The Golden St. Warriors have the best offense the NBA has seen in years. Recently, they have not been winning by large margins as they were earlier in the season. The numbers certainly show why, but also you must take in consideration that Golden St. played just 2 home games the entire month of February! The offense is a scoring machine at home, and one reason for the decline in big margins is the fact that the defense has been taking on water since Christmas Day. Golden St. has played 8 games this season at home seeing the total points scored between both teams come in at less than 210 total points, ALL 8 WERE FROM CHRISTMAS DAY AND BEFORE. Since that time, Golden St. has not played a single game that saw both clubs score 209 points or less, and now to expand upon the reason. remember, these are home gams we are talking about. Christmas Day and before saw the average score of their games at home at 112.1 to 95.4. Since that has risen to 117.5 to 104.8. The already elite offense has gotten better, while the defense has gone from 95.4 to 104.8! That is almost 10 points a game worse, a significant change. The Warriors have scored 109 or more points in all home games since X-Mas Day, Utah is strong defensively, but only because they try to play in the half-court, and that has not stopped good offenses on the road:

Cleveland   118
Sacramento  114
SA          118
SA          123
Port        115

I also have a totals situation which is 172-112 ATS active on the over here. Think this is one of the biggest bargains of the year, and hence, my NBA Total of the Year is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 132-62 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 100-43 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 58-20 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 58-17 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 100-43 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 58-17 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 171-112 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 105-51 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 118-87 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 105-51 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 105-51 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 105-51 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 105-51 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 105-51 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 105-51 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 874-735 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 874-735 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 874-735 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 55-22 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 55-19 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 305-213 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 74-33 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 110-55 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 31-6 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 107-48 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 497-391 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 77-28 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 874-734 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 44-17 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 40-19 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 170-112 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 112-55 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 874-732 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 874-732 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 131-91 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 91-44 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 79-42 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 91-44 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 24-4 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 31-8 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 150-83 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 49-30 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 28-7 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 62-25 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 41-14 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 170-111 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation that is 91-49 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 233-147 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 233-147 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 77-42 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 79-41 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 867-729 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 867-729 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 130-91 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 79-40 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 867-728 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 38-12 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 169-111 ATS, and the play is on the over

This game fits a situation which is 248-175 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 53-26 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 77-27 ATS, and the play is on the under.

 This game fits a situation which is 232-144 ATS, and the play is on the under

 This game fits a situation which is 865-728 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 268-148 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 495-388 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 77-27 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 110-55 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 134-67 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 62-24 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 78-40 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 122-51 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 68-24 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 56-17 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 103-38 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 55-18 ATS, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 865-726 ATS, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 865-726 ATS, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 73-25 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 30-6 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 41-10 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 32-8 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 119-59 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 33-8 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 63-26 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 40-10 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 40-10 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 84-40 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 43-14 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 862-726 ATS, and the play is on the under.

The Bradley Bears are having a nightmare season as they are off to a 4-21 start. they may feel some comfort playing at home tonight against the Loyola, Chicago Ramblers who are just 11-13 on the season. Home court is an equalizer as Loyola is just 3-8 on the road, while Bradley is 3-9 at home. I'm interested in the total here, as these teams combine to average 127.5 total points per game, and Loyola comes in a very hot shooting team having scored 247 points in their last 3 games, the highest 3 game stretch for them of the season at 82.3ppg. The Ramblers have shot over 50% in each of their last 3. Bradley has also been a hot offensive team putting up 204 points in their last 3, at 68ppg, and have had their top 2 highest shooting percentage games in back to back games on the season. Both these teams should feel they can run on the other, and both shooting with confidence right now. The low total set here is the lowest of the season by 6 points for any game, and with the shot clock lowered for the 2015 season, all games with a total of less than 130 have connected on 72% to the over. covering by an average margin of 8.88ppg. This also fits a situation that has seen the over go 77-21 ATS. My NCAA basketball total of the year is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 862-726 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 37-10 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 861-725 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 17-2 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 58-19 ATS and the play is on the over

This game fits a situation which is 861-725 ATS, and the play is on the under.

The Orlando Magic is in a free fall, losers of 17 of their last 20 games. It is clear to see why as this team has been brutally bad offensively, generating 87.7ppg in their last 20 games. Atlanta, just less than 3 weeks ago, held the Magic to an ugly 34.5% shooting, and just 6-22 from deep. The hawks are allowing less than 100 points a game, and have already shutdown this Orlando offense in dramatic fashion, and this certainly doesn't look like the coming out party spot for the struggling Orlando offense, that has shot 42% or less in half their most recent 18 games. This game fits a 269-166 situation on the low side of the total. Make the play on the under.

The Philadelphia 76ers are a long way from becoming a competitive team, and playing with 0 rest certainly does not enhance their chances. They may be able to compete here vs a Brooklyn team that looked to be on the rise a year ago, making the playoffs, but this year`s team is not nearly up to the same standard. The nets will also be playing this game with no rest, and that sets the stage for a lot of points here, as both teams are not committed to the defensive end, and both will be playing on no rest here. History shows us from game 20 on in the NBA season, when 2 teams square off that are both under .350 on the season, and both are on 0 rest, we end up with much higher scoring games, than what the averages say and often soar over the total, in this case 59-25-2 to the over, beating the total by 6.61 points per contest, a significant edge. Make the play on the over.

The Citadel Bulldogs are a fun tem to watch as they shuttle plsyers in and out, go 11 deep, and run the floor for 40 minutes. They have averaged 89.4ppg on the season, but the caveat is they allow over 93ppg on the season. mercer will be one of the best defensive teams they have faced this season, as the bears allow just 39.1% shooting against them, and have been even tougher at home where they allow a very stingy 36.4%. The Bears held Citadel to 39.1% shooting in the first meeting this season on the road, and should better those numbers at home. The Bears allowing just 59.5ppg on their home court this season, will have this one hard pressed to get into the 170s, and this game also fits a situation that is 96-29 to the under. Make the play on the under in this one.