5* Wiseguy Double Digit Blood Bath GOTY on Purdue -9.5
We hit our CBB Blowout of the Year on Pitt a few weeks back and buried the books with out NBA Blowout of the Year on Portland last night. This play is reserved for a game that I feel can beat the number by double digits and I really like the Boilermakers to do that here. Here is what Purdue is capable of at home, it beat Michigan State by 18. The Boilers are coming off a bad loss at Michigan and they are looking to avenge an 8-point defeat at Ohio St earlier this season. It's going to be blowout city this afternoon. Purdue is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average of 14.3 and I have this one ending up at least 18. Lay the number!

4* Major ACC Game of the Month (ABC) on VA Tech +5.5
VA Tech gets up for big games as well as any team in the country and they have had this one circled ever since getting blown out 44-69 at Duke in one of their worst games of the season. A big win at Clemson to end a skid gives the Hokies a ton of confidence coming into this one. The Hokies were left out of the Big Dance last season and they want to win today to make sure that doesn't happen again. We'll play on a home team as an underdog or pick revenging a loss where they scored less than 50 points, off a road win against a conference rival. This system is 39-14 ATS since 1997. Take the points!

3* SUREFIRE on Oklahoma City +10
Odds makers have overvalued the Mavs tonight. The Thunder are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games overall, 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games as an underdog, and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Thunder are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Mavericks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Northwest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Year on Portland -6
The Blazers have struggled on the road this season, but expect them to explode against a team they have dominated tonight. The Blazers have won 10 of 12, including six straight and three in a row at the Target Center. Portland won by 5 in Minnesota back in November, but that was back when the Wolves still had Al Jefferson. The Wolves have now dropped 6 of 7 since their leading scorer and rebounder went down. The loss of Jefferson was a big blow, one that has the Wolves packing it in. They have now lost 7 straight at home, and I expect this one to get ugly tonight as Brandon Roy looks to rebound from a poor 14 point effort in Wednesday's loss to the Spurs. The Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Trail Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Bet the Blazers!

4* Major Underdog Shocker on Wizards +5.5
Yes, the Wizards are awful, but they were just called out by interim coach Ed Tapscott about being mentally prepared for games and his words were echoed by both Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison. Expect to see the most motivated Wizards team you have seen in a while tonight. The Bulls are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Southeast and still can't be trusted as a heavy favorite as they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Bet the Wizards!

4* Major CBB MONSTER Line Mistake on Montana +2
The books have favored the wrong team here and the public has taken the bait. Montana has won 5 straight in this series and is 3-0 ATS in lined games. Montana is 9-0 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% after 15+ games this season. Montana is also 6-0 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Bet the Grizzlies.

3* NBA on TNT Side of the Night on Rockets +3.5
The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Houston. The Rockets are 10-2 SU and 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games against the Cavs, including 2-0 SU and ATS the last 2 seasons with blowout wins of 15 and 18 points in those games. The Cavaliers are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games while the Rockets are 25-9-3 ATS in their last 37 Thursday games. Houston is 23-6 at home this season and they'll look to send a message not to sleep on them tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Cavs/Rockets UNDER 186
I love the under in this matchup tonight as we have a pair of strong defensive teams which have upped their play of the defensive side of the ball even more of late. When these teams get together, it is a battle and the stats support it as the Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston. The Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less and 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Cavs have held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 80 and the Rockets have held 4 of their last 5 under 88. Houston is 18-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Bet the UNDER.

3* SUREFIRE on Nets -1.5
The Bulls are playing their best basketball of the season but I don't think they'll be able to hang with New Jersey in tonight's spot. We took them to beat the Magic last night, and that they did, but that win puts Chicago in a letdown spot here. Couple that with the Bulls playing back-to-back nights and I really like the Nets. NJ has dominated this series at home, going 4-1 SU and ATS the last 3 seasons and 17-6 SU and 16-7 ATS since 1996. Chicago is 1-9 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and 5-18 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the Nets!

4* Major NBA BEST BET on Washington Wizards +5
Philly has lost 4 in a row and is 0-5 ATS in its last 5. The injuries are starting to really hurt the 76ers. The Wizards scored just 67 points in an embarrassing home loss to the Spurs last game. They've had 3 days to prepare for this one and I promise you they'll be ready to hit Philly in the mouth. Here's the angle: Plays on home teams (WASHINGTON) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 32-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points!

4* Major CBB Double Digit Blood Bath on Davidson -25
After getting it handed to them by The Citadel and Butler in back-to-back games, Davidson comes back strong tonight against a team they beat on the road by 21 points earlier this season when they had no motivation. Plays on favorites of 10 or more points (DAVIDSON) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite, in February games are 40-13 ATS since 1997. Bet Davidson tonight!

3* SUREFIRE on Nebraska -3.5
Nebraska is always a deadly home team, even in years when it can't win on the road. This Nebraska team is 13-3 at home with wins over Mizzou, K-State, and Texas. After getting crushed at Kansas, expect the Huskers to get back in the win column tonight against an Aggies team that has lost 5 of its last 6 on the road. The Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Cornhuskers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy CBB Mismatch of the Year on Baylor -2.5
Baylor is the more talented team and I expect the Bears to go out and prove that tonight. ISU is known for its Hilton Magic, but it hasn't had much of it this season. The Cyclones have lost 4 of their last 5 at home and it's going to be tough to get up for this one after a tough home loss to K-State last game. ISU is 0-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season, losing by an average score of 58.4 to 74.0 in these spots. The Bears are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. The Cyclones are 0-5-3 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Baylor's tougher schedule makes this one look more even than it really is. We'll take advantage of this mismatch.

3* SUREFIRE on Thunder +8
The Thunder played the Lakers to a 7-point game on the road 2 weeks ago and I like them to give LA an even bigger scare tonight. LA has not won by more than 8 in any of its last 3 wins and I expect the Lakers to coast with a back-to-back spot coming up. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5, 11-1 ATS in their last 12 Tuesday games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog. The Lakers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points!

4* Major NBA BEST BET on Bulls +3
The Bulls are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games, playing their best ball of the season. I like them at home tonight catching a tre as they look to pay the Magic back for a lopsided defeat at the United Center back on Dec. 31. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Bet the Bulls at home tonight.

4* Major Big Ten GOTW (ESPN) on Penn State +6
Ohio State has lost 3 in a row and with odds makers knowing that the public would bet the Buckeyes to bounce back tonight, they have given the Nittany Lions too many points. We'll take those points as Penn State has been solid away from home all season with a 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS record. Even more importantly, the Lions have had a week off to prepare for this one while Ohio State just played Sunday. The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Ohio State and the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Massacre of the Month on Kings +8.5
The Hornets are being overvalued here and we will most certainly take advantage. The public expects the Hornets to bounce back tonight following a double digit loss at Utah Saturday, and they could, but not by this large of a margin. The Hornets have dropped 5 of their last 6 road games, which include losses to lowly Minnesota and Memphis, with their only win during that stretch coming by just 2 points over the lowly Thunder. Kings have played a ton of road games, more than anyone else in the Western Conference, and that makes their record look worse than it should be. Coming off a blowout loss on the road at Dallas, I like the Kings to bounce back strong at home tonight as they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. The home team is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings and the Hornets are just 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Sacramento. In fact, the Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Kings have dominated at home winning 13 of the last 15 SU. Bet the Kings tonight.

3* ESPN Big Monday BLOOD BATH on Georgetown +1.5
Everyone and their brother is on Louisville tonight and that is right where the books want them. Georgetown has one of the toughest schedules in the country and a high RPI. A big win over Louisville tonight keeps the Hoyas' Big Dance hopes alive as they also have big wins over UConn and Memphis. Georgetown is 10-4 at home, has won back-to-back at home in this series, and 4 of the last 5 overall. Take the Hoyas as they pull off the big upset, although not that big in the eyes of the odds makers.

3* Pac-10 Rivalry Showdown on Arizona +7.5
Since losing at home to ASU, the Cats have won 7 straight games. This will be a statement game for the Cats to prove once and for all that they belong in the Big Dance. Arizona has won 9 of the last 11 at ASU and has won 20 of the last 24 in this matchup. Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog are 41-15 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division GOTY (ESPN) on Pistons +9
Detroit has lost 5 in a row. This is a veteran team, and I can assure you that they would rather die then let the Cavs embarrass them today. The Pistons need this one to end their skid and to give them a confidence boost and I love them to give the Cavs a run for their money. The rest leading up to this one is important for the Pistons as it puts them in a great spot today. Detroit is 9-0 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons. The Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Odds makers have inflated this line knowing that the public would be all over the Cavs. We'll take the points!

4* Major CBB DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH on Minnesota -6
Off back-to-back losses on the road at Penn State and at Michigan, expect the Gophers to be out for blood at home today where they are 14-2 this season. The Gophers will also be after revenge as they went down at Northwestern earlier this season. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 6.5 or less. Great spot for the Gophers.

3* SUREFIRE on UNLV -2
UNLV is 9-1 ATS in home games versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons, 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons, and 8-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons. Take UNLV.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Jazz -7
No way New Orleans can rebound tonight after playing a tough OT game in LA last night. Utah is rolling and has had New Orleans' number. The Hornets are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Utah is 14-4 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 103.4 to 91.8. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Iowa State +4
Expect a little Hilton Magic today. K-State is 3-12 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 69.9 to 76.3. It is also 4-16 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick since 1997, losing by 3.1 points on average in these spots. Take the points.

4* Major Mid-Major MONSTER on New Mexico -5
3 straight ATS losses has brought this line down from what it would have been and I'll gladly take the Lobos to beat it. New Mexico is 21-8 ATS in all home games over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 77.1 to 58.4. The Lobos are 12-2 at home this season and I like them to clean up here.

5* Wiseguy CBB Favorite of the Year on Georgetown -3.5
Odds makers are favoring unranked Georgetown by this much over Marquette? They are looking to trap the public hard here and I'm not biting. The Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Big East. Marquette continues its slide back down to reality against a Hoyas team starting to pick it up. Plays on a favorite after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, are 23-5 ATS the last 5 years. Take the Hoyas.

4* Major NBA Road Warrior of the Week on Nuggets -2.5
We'll play on a team where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after a win by 10 points or more. This system is 30-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. s Denver is 12-3 ATS as a road favorite this season and the Nuggets will be good for this number tonight against a Bulls team dealing with personnel changes.

3* NBA "TOTAL" Dominator on Kings/Grizzlies OVER 206
The Kings went down to Memphis 94-109 earlier this season, so the angle we play on here is revenge. Sacramento is 20-6 OVER revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The average total score in these games was 212.6. Take the Over.

5* Wiseguy ESPN GAME OF THE YEAR on Rockets -3
Houston is 20-6 at home this season, but one of those home losses have been to the Mavs, and that spells revenge here. We'll play on favorites (HOUSTON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This system is 31-8 ATS since 1996. In addition, Houston is 24-5 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 10.7 points in these spots. No McGrady for Houston tonight, but the Mavs are also without Jason Terry so I don't see any advantage for Dallas there. The key here is Houston's defense at home and revenge. Dirk struggles against stiff defenses and Houston will make him take more shots than he wants to to get his points. Take Houston at home.

4* Major ESPN Game of the Week on Indiana +10
This is way too many points for a Wisconsin team to be laying on the road that is just 1-4 in its last 5 Big Ten road games. The Badgers are not an explosive offensive team and that makes these points look even better. The Hoosiers are hungry for a second Big Ten win and they are playing well enough to get it tonight against a Wisconsin team I'm not sold on. The Hoosiers have continued to play inspired hoops in front of their faithful and I expect one of their best efforts of the season tonight. The Hoosiers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog and 8-1 ATS in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

3* NBA on TNT BEST BET on Spurs +1
The Pistons won the first meeting in San Antonio by 12 points back in December. These teams have gone 2 completely different directions since then and I look for San Antonio to have its revenge tonight. The Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Off a bad loss at NY, the Spurs will be ready to bounce back strong tonight!

5* Wiseguy Sun Belt Conf. GOTY on Arkansas LR -2
Western Kentucky put it on Little Rock at home in early January. The Trojans will return the favor tonight. Ark LR is rolling having won 10 of its last 11 and is 9-1 ATS in its last 10. Ark LR returns all 5 starters from a team which won 20 games last season while the Hilltoppers return just 2 starters. The Trojans are poised to win the Sun Belt and they won't let the Hilltoppers stand in their way here. Ark LR is 8-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and the Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Ark LR.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Nets +8
The Nets are catching way too many points here. They have already gotten their feet wet since the break while Dallas will be a little rusty in its first game back. The last time Devin Harris faced his former team he dropped 41 on them and I expect him to show them what they've been missing again tonight. NJ is 8-0 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog this season, winning by an average score of 100.1 to 95.3. Dallas is just 1-8 ATS in home games in non-conference games this season, losing by an average score of 98.6 to 98.8. The Nets will have an excellent shot to win this one outright. Take the points!

3* CBB Public Massacre on Colorado State +9
Odds makers have overvalued the Utes here against a CSU team that will get up for this one. Utah is just 4-13 ATS in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game since 1997. The Utes are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The public is all over the Utes here and it is going to get burned.

3* CBB Underdog Shocker on Fordham +25.5
After getting blown out by 30+ by Xavier, expect Fordham to play a whole lot tougher tonight against a less explosive Temple team. Fordham has won 2 of the last 3 against Temple. Plays on a road team (FORDHAM) - after allowing 85 points or more 3 straight games are 27-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, the Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points!

5* Wiseguy Mountain West Conference GOTY on New Mexico +7
New Mexico won the first meeting by 19 points at home earlier this season and I like the Lobos to challenge the Cougars again tonight so we'll take the points here. While BYU is 11-2 at home, it is just 4-9 ATS in those games and odds makers have overvalued the Cougars at home again here. New Mexico is 12-3 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 3 seasons and 17-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons. The Lobos are also 8-2 ATS in conference play this season while BYU is just 5-5 ATS in conference play. Take New Mexico!

3* SUREFIRE on Austin Peay/Jacksonville St OVER 149
AUSTIN PEAY is 15-2 OVER in all lined games this season, 9-0 OVER after allowing 80 points or more this season, and 9-0 OVER after playing a game as favorite this season. JACKSONVILLE ST is 7-0 OVER after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons. These teams put up 166 points in the first meeting and I expect another high scoring affair tonight.

4* Major NBA BEST BET on T-Wolves/Wizards UNDER 202.5
Washington is not the same high scoring team it has been in the past but that has yet to sink in for the public. The books are begging for overs wagers tonight but we won't bite. When teams are well rested, they play better defense and the Under is 6-1 in the Timberwolves last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Washington is 16-6 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season and Minnesota is 16-6 UNDER in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Under tonight.

4* Major Double Digit BLOOD BATH on Kent State -6.5
Ohio is an awful 2-9 on the road this season and I have the Bobcats getting crushed by at least 10 points tonight. The Bobcats are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Golden Flashes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less and 21-7 ATS in their last 28 Tuesday games. The Home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Kent St. Lay the number!

5* Wiseguy CBB Bounce Back GOTM on Charleston pk
Charleston won the first meeting this season by 8 and won at Appalachian State by 5 a season ago. Charleston returns all 5 starters from that team while Appalachian returns just 3. We are getting excellent value here with Charleston as a pick as it would almost certainly be favored by a couple points if it hadn't lost at home to the Citadel last game. Charleston has been a good road team, 8-3 this season, which includes a win at Davidson. The Mountaineers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss. Charleston is also 19-8 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997. Take the Cougars!

3* Top 5 Tango on Pitt +3.5
With Dyson out, a slumping UConn offense gets handed a major blow against a Pitt team hitting on all cylinders. UConn hasn't scored over 69 points in 4 straight games but its defense has been able to shut down the opposition. The Huskies will have to be able to score tonight against a Pittsburgh team which matches up with them very well. Pitt has won 5 in a row, all by double digits, while scoring 85 or more points in 4 of those games. Pitt is 7-2 on the road this season and knows it needs this one to have a chance at the Big East title. The Huskies are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and the Panthers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings at UConn. There is a big target on the back of No. 1 ranked teams. Pitt found that out first hand. UConn is the latest No. 1 to fall tonight.

5* Wiseguy CBB GAME OF THE YEAR on Drake -1.5
With Illinois State without a couple key players, namely starting PG LLoyd Phillips, the Red Birds don't stand a chance against a Drake team which took them right down to the wire on the road earlier this season. The Red Birds have really struggled against Drake, going 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Drake. The Redbirds are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Missouri Valley while the Bulldogs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. While Drake has had its share of road troubles, it remains rock solid at home and after losing as a road favorite at Indiana State, I expect the Bulldogs to return home with revenge on the brain. Drake won by 6 here last season and by 30 in a neutral court game and the key, once again, for a big win will be Drake's ability to cash in from deep. Illinois St. is 1-8 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and 1-10 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Drake is 17-4 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting percentage defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons. Lastly, Drake is 13-4 ATS after a game where it failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Take Drake at home!

5* Wiseguy WAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Boise State +4.5
Boise State is 11-1 at home this season and will be primed and ready to hand Utah State its first WAC loss tonight. The Public is all over the ranked Aggies and they will get burned. The Aggies are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 6.5 points or less while the Broncos are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less. The Underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings while the Aggies are 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points!

3* SUREFIRE on UCF +2
The Knights are not getting the respect they deserve here and certainly should not be catching points at home. The Golden Knights are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. Conference USA. The Golden Hurricane are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take UCF.

4* Major CBB Rivalry Game of the Month on Cal -6
This is one of the greatest rivalries in sports and it doesn't get nearly enough attention with Carolina/Duke catching all the headlines. I like the Bears by double digits today as they have been unstoppable at home this season at 14-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in home lined contests. Stanford won the first one by 6 at home early in the Pac-10 season but since it has been Cal playing the much better ball. Cal is 7-0 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season, winning by 12.4 ppg in these spots. Cal has its revenge tonight.

4* Major Double Digit BLOOD BATH on Xavier -28.5
Xavier has lost 2 in a row, something it didn't think would happen all season. Its last defeat was by double digits at Dayton. That puts the Musketeers in a very bad mood today and a terrible Fordham team unfortunately plays the role of punching bad. This number looks large, but when you consider that Xavier has already won at Fordham by 26 and blew out a St. Louis team 70-44 that just beat Fordham by 30, it is very manageable. We'll lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on La Salle +6
This rivalry matchup will go right down to the wire do I'm taking the points. La Salle is 16-6 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons, losing by just 4.4 ppg on average in these spots. St. Joe's is coming off an emotionally and physically brutal home loss to Temple and it is just 5-15 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival since 1997. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Ivy League Total of the Year on Dartmouth/Columbia UNDER 121
Dartmouth has gone under in 4 straight and 7 of its last 8 lined games. Columbia has gone under in 3 of its last 4. 3 of the last 4 matchups between these teams have gone under as well. Columbia is 12-0 UNDER as a favorite over the last 2 seasons - the average total points scored in these games was 115. Columbia is a perfect 10-0 UNDER in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons, 8-0 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons, and 6-0 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. Dartmouth is 8-0 UNDER versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots over the last 3 seasons and 7-0 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. We'll take this 51-0 Angle to the bank tonight!

4* Major NBA "TOTAL" Bailout on Blazers/Warriors UNDER 217.5
This line has been jacked up because of Golden State's 144-point performance last time out but the Warriors are playing a Blazers team tonight that only allows 96.8 points per game on the road this season. The Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings and 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Golden State. The Under is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 overall, 5-2 in Warriors last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, and 6-2 in Warriors last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is 7-3 in Trail Blazers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

5* Wiseguy Pac-10 GAME OF THE YEAR on Oregon +11.5
Oregon has lost by 9 or fewer in 4 straight games and these 11.5 points are like catching 15 against the Cougars because of their slow down style of play which only averages 57.8 ppg at home. Oregon did not show up at all in the first meeting and lost by 12. This is a game the Ducks believe they can win and I do too. While Washington State has had some good teams in recent years, Oregon has enjoyed playing there. The Ducks are 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 at Washington State. State is 2-8 ATS in home lined games this season and just 1-7 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season. Bet the Ducks.

4* Major Top 25 Tango (ESPN) on UCLA -1.5
It took ASU overtime to win at UCLA and the best team in the west will not be denied in tonight's rematch. UCLA has won 4 of the last 5 and is 8-3 in the last 11 at ASU. UCLA is 13-4 ATS in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite since 1997 and 6-0 ATS in road games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take UCLA!

5* Wiseguy Western Conference GOTM on Jazz +3
With tired legs having played last night, I like the Jazz, which are 20-6 at home this season and 57-10 over the last 2, to take down the Lakers. A terrible road loss at Golden State prior to this one will fuel Utah's fire. We'll play on a home team (UTAH) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest. Teams are 49-14 ATS in these spots the last 5 seasons. Take the points!

4* Major CBB Upset of the Week on Baylor +4
The entire world is on Oklahoma tonight and that has the books looking to cash in big with Baylor. Baylor is a much better team than it has shown and will get up for the No. 2 Sooners like no other game this season. Everything about this one says Oklahoma and the books know that. That is what has made it so easy to trap the public. OU has been lucky to come away with wins in each of its last 4 games now and I fully expect the Bears to hand OU its first Big 12 loss tonight. The Sooners are 19-40-3 ATS in their last 62 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Baylor is 11-3 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. Take the points!

3* SUREFIRE on Purdue -10.5
Off back-to-back road defeats, the Boilermakers will be out for revenge at home tonight. It also does not help Penn State's chances that it beat Purdue early in the conference season before the Boilers were at full strength. The last time Purdue returned home after consecutive road games, it crushed Michigan 67-49 as an 11.5-point favorite. We'll lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Letdown GOTY on Knicks +4.5
I will fade the Warriors in a huge letdown spot tonight. The Warriors are coming off a huge win over Utah and will fall victim to a hungry Knicks team which has now lost 4 straight close games. NY plays the run and gun style and was able to beat the Warriors at home 138-125 earlier this season. I expect a similar result here. NY is 14-3 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog this season and 8-1 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog this season. Let the letdown systems begin: Golden State is 4-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 1-8 ATS off a home win scoring 110 or more points this season, and 1-10 ATS off a home win this season period. Bet the Knicks!

4* Major CBB Blowout of the Week on Minnesota -17.5
Off back-to-back road losses, the Gophers will be out for blood tonight against a Hoosiers team that is losing by an average of 19.1 ppg on the road this season. The Golden Gophers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games while the Hoosiers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. Minnesota wins this won by 20+.

3* SUREFIRE on Loyola Chicago +4.5
Loyola has had some disappointing defeats this season but they have shown promise with a big home win over Wisconsin Green Bay speaking volumes. They'll be up for this one tonight while Wright State is going to have a hard time getting up after having high hopes of beating Butler and watching themselves get crushed for a second time this season. The Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall while the Ramblers are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU loss. The Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Nets +5.5
The Nets played the Spurs to a 3-point game on the road on January 23rd and they have an excellent opportunity to get the outright win tonight. The Nets will be in bounce back mode off a bad loss at Orlando while the Spurs find themselves in a letdown spot following a big win over Boston. The Spurs are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference and 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic. The Nets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. Take the points.

3* Big East BASH (ESPN 2) on Villanova -4.5
Marquette's confidence took a hit when it endured its fist conference loss of the season at USF last game. Now I think you'll start to see some more losses follow including tonight against a red hot Nova team. This is a revenge game with Nova having lost at Marquette earlier in the season and I like the Cats to have their revenge at home where they are 12-1 on the season. Marquette is 0-7 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Nova is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season and 6-0 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. Take the Wildcats!

3* ESPN Big Monday SUREFIRE on Mizzou -4
The public is jumping on the ranked Jayhawks here but they are making a big mistake. Mizzou is a veteran club with 4 starters returning and will look to exact some revenge on the defending national champs for sweeping them a season ago. Mizzou is a tough place to play so it comes as no surprise that it is 15-5 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997. It is also 6-0 ATS when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons. The Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the Jayhawks are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Missouri. Lay the points!

3* SUREFIRE on Memphis -2
Memphis has won 3 of 4 SU and ATS and I like its chances again at home tonight with CP3 and Tyson Chandler out of the New Orleans lineup. With New Orleans taking on Boston next, we'll catch them looking ahead here. The Hornets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the Grizz at home.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Bucks +6.5
This one is all about the numbers. Houston struggles on the road, mostly because of its methodical style of play which does not puts teams away. Because of that, the Rockets have not won a game on the road by more than 4 points since before Christmas. The Bucks are a solid 14-9 at home and will be up to the challenge tonight. The Bucks are a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. the NBA Southwest while the Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. We'll take the points!

3* SUREFIRE on Clippers +1.5
The Clippers are in an upswing while the Bobcats in a downswing. We'll take the team on the up here. The Bobcats have lost 5 straight and now must play back-to-back against a team that has punished each of its last 2 opponents. Charlotte is only 3-8 straight up in the second of back to back games this season and the road team is on a 7-0 ATS in this series. Take the Clippers!

4* Major Southern Conference GOTM on Furman +8
Furman's numbers look horrendous on the season, but the thing to look at is what its done lately. With back-to-back wins and 5 straight covers, it is playing its best ball of the season so we'll gladly take these points. The Phoenix are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite while the Paladins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Take the points!

3* Late Night NBA Bailout on Warriors +1.5
The Jazz are a terrible road team and they will not win back-to-back games on the road here against a Warriors team that has no trouble scoring the rock. Utah is 11-23 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons and 4-16 ATS in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Golden State is 22-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons and 10-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Take the points!

4* Major NBA Monster Line Mistake on Kings +7
The Thunder do not deserve to be this large of a favorite, especially not in this letdown spot after beating the Blazers. OKC has only been a favorite this large one other time this season and Memphis tied them at the end of regulation. The Grizz were burnt in OT but my point is that the books were 7 points off with that line. The Kings have an excellent shot at winning here and I'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA National TV GOTY on Cavaliers -4
It's been a great run by the Lakers on this road trip but they will finally run out of gas today. LA won round won at home, but it will not take road two where the Cavs are 23-0 SU and 18-5 ATS this season. Cleveland is one of the few teams in the NBA that has had great success against the Lakers going 4-1 SU and ATS in the last 5 and a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at home during the span. In the first meeting with LA this season, the Cavs were playing short handed. They are back at near full strength now and this will be a completely different game. The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Pound the Cavs!

4* Major MVC GOTM on Creighton +2.5
UNI has been getting by by the skin of its teeth. It was down 8 late against Bradley before catching fire from 3. Its luck runs out today. Creighton played UNI to a 3-point game in the first meeting that it easily could have won and I like the Jays here as they are one of the few teams that have had great success in Cedar Falls. Creighton is 4-1 SU and ATS in all games in this matchup the last 3 seasons, 2-0 SU and ATS at UNI the last 2 seasons and 8-3 SU and ATS in the last 11 meetings at UNI. Creighton is 14-4 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons. Take the points.

4* Major Top 25 Tango (ESPN) on Gonzaga -4.5
I love Gonzaga here with Memphis having to make the long cross-country trip. While Memphis has been getting after it on defensive, it has been offensively challenged at times. Pargo and Bouldin are too good at handling the rock to cough it up enough times to get the Tigers a win here. Tennessee is a very similar team to Memphis and the Bulldogs have handled it twice. What has Gonzaga done against scrappy defensive teams? It is 11-3 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season after 15+ games. The average score was GONZAGA 78.9, OPPONENT 67.2. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA Total of the Month on T-Wolves/Rockets UNDER 200.5
Houston plays exceptional defense at home and after losing on the road to lowly Memphis it will be lock down city tonight to keep this one under. Houston is 41-26 UNDER in home games over the last 2 seasons and 12-3 UNDER in home games after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons, holding its opponents to just 85.9 points in these spots while scoring just 97.1. Pound the Under.

3* SUREFIRE on UCF -1.5
ECU is just 4-16 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games since 1997, losing by an average score of 67.5 to 75.4 in these spots. UCF is 7-1 ATS against conference opponents this season. After a terrible blowout loss at home to Houston, UCF comes storming back here.

3* SUREFIRE on Utah -6
Utah beat Wyoming 91-67 in the first meeting this season and it has another double digit win in it here. Utah is the far superior team and the fact that Wyoming is unbeaten at home gives the Utes the incentive to hand the Cowboys their first home loss. The Utes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 6.5 or less. Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - a good team (+3.5 to +8 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less are 38-14 ATS since 1997. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy CBB Underdog of the Year on Colorado +21
Huge System Play: Plays against favorites of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA) - after 8 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 41-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. Colorado has not been blown out in five straight games and it took Kansas down to the wire on the road. Colorado has covered the spread in 5 straight and it is still isn't getting the respect it deserves by the books. Take the points.

4* Major ESPN Late Night MONSTER on Warriors +9.5
The Warriors just beat the Suns by 12 points at home two days ago. While Phoenix is in a bounce back spot, odds makers are asking the Suns to lay too many. The Suns have lost 8 of 12 and are only 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games and yet this team continues to be overvalued. The Warriors are not scared of Phoenix because its defense is bad and that allows them to score at will. The big key here is Golden State's ability to knock down three point shots. Phoenix is 5-15 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season, actually losing against these teams by 2.4 points on average. Phoenix is also 3-15 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. Take the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Massacre of the Month on Thunder +4.5
Portland is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 road games while OKC is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 home games and 10-1 ATS in its last 11 as a home dog. The Thunder are playing much better basketball than they were early on and this team is still being way undervalued because the public continues to fade away. The books are licking their chops with the public piling on Portland tonight. We'll go against the grain and pick up an easy winner.

3* SUREFIRE on Pacers +6.5
I know the Pacers just played last night, but I like their chances against the Magic tonight. Orlando played an emotionally charged game last time out in the wake of Nelson's injury, but I don't see the Magic reacting so strongly in their first road test without their starting PG. Indy has lost 3 straight and is playing one of the best road teams in the NBA and is only catching 6.5. I smell a rat. Orlando has blown the Pacers out in both home games this season, but when it came to Indy, it only won by 2. The Pacers are an offensively talented team and hungry for a win and that's why the books don't think Orlando can take it to them on the road tonight. Indy is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season, 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season, 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) off a road loss this season, and 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. Take the points.

4* Major CBB Game of the Night on MTSU -2
MTSU has the best player in the league in Desmond Yates and a team that is superior in size and athleticism to Denver. Also, it has an excellent chance to win the Sun Belt and it will not let Denver be a road bump on its way to doing so tonight. MTSU has won 3 in a row SU and ATS in this series, including a 7-point win at Denver a season ago. The Blue Raiders are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Lay the number!

3* NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 204.5
Plays under on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 22-6 the last 5 seasons. We only saw 175 points scored between the teams in LA in the X-mas game and I expect another low number here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Rivalry GOTY on Celtics -6
This is a huge revenge game for Boston after the Christmas Day loss in LA and the Celtics catch LA in a great spot. LA has played a lot of games in not very many nights and this one will be played back-to-back. The loss of Bynum also hurts LA against a Celtics team with superior interior depth. Garnett will be rested up and ready to make a statement after missing the last 2 games. Defensively, Boston has been at its best against the best in the NBA and you will see that again tonight. The Lakers are 0-8 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 12-2 ATS in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Bet Boston!

3* Big 12 SUREFIRE on Texas Tech +12.5
The books are giving the Red Raiders too many here. Oklahoma State has lost 4 of 5 as its defense has been non-existent and the Cowboys will get caught looking ahead to dates with Kansas and Texas coming up next. 4 of the last 5 meetings in this matchup have been decided by single digits and both teams return 4 starters from teams that played each other in a pair of close contests last February and March. Take the points.

4* Major Big East BLOOD BATH of the Week on Villanova -2.5
The Cats are rolling having won 4 of their last 5 by 9 points or more. Their only loss during that stretch was by 6 points at UConn. Providence just lost at UConn by 30+. Nova has covered the number in 5 straight and fits into a strong system here: Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (VILLANOVA) - off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 70-36 ATS since 1997. Take Nova.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pistons -4
Detroit has lost back-to-back games to two of the best teams in the NBA and has had 3 days to think about it. The Pistons will wash the sour taste of defeat out of their mouth in a big way tonight. Detroit has won 5 straight against the Heat and it will be hungry for another big win tonight. The Heat are 13-32-3 ATS in their last 48 games following a SU win and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Pistons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Wednesday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. I have hit all 3 of my NBA GOTM plays this season, so let your books have it with #4.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Clippers/Magic UNDER 198
The Clippers have not scored over 95 points in their last 6 games and they face a team allowing only 91.4 ppg at home this season tonight. Also, the loss of starting Magic PG Jameer Nelson affects this offense greatly. Don't expect the Magic to really be running up the score of many opponents with their engine out. Orlando is 9-1 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Both matchups at Orlando the past 3 seasons have gone Under as well. Bet the Under.

3* Atlantic 10 SUREFIRE on St. Louis -1.5
Plays on a favorite (SAINT LOUIS) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, are 22-5 ATS the past 5 seasons. St. Louis is 10-2 at home this season and after spending back-to-back games out on the road will be happy to get back in its own building tonight.

4* Major NBA Fool's Gold of the Month on Bucks +4.5
I'll fade the Nets at home tonight catching too many points. Yes, the Bucks lost Redd for the season, but forward Charlie Villanueva is more than picking up the slack. NJ is banged up as well with Vince Carter not at 100% and Yi, Bobby Simmons, and Najera won't play. NJ has owned this matchup and that is why this line is inflated, but Milwaukee did beat the Bucks back on January 9th and that gives them a bunch of confidence heading into this one. NJ has been fool's gold at home as it is just 9-15 SU and ATS. Milwaukee is 29-20 ATS in all games and 16-11 ATS on the road. Here's the key: NJ is 3-14 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 94.4 to 101.2, and 1-8 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog this season, losing by an average score of 95.2 to 140.3. Bet the Bucks.

5* Wiseguy CBB Blowout of the Month on Georgetown -15.5
Georgetown has lost 5 straight in a vigorous stretch that has seen it play 4 of those games on the road. After 3 straight losses out on the road, the Hoyas return home tonight and they will be out for blood. Rutgers is terrible and a big double digit home win over DePaul puts the Scarlet Knight in a letdown spot tonight. Georgetown is 9-2 at home and winning by 15.2 ppg in its own building. The Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Plays on home teams as a favorite or pick (GEORGETOWN) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better are 51-21 ATS the last 5 seasons. Get ready for an offensive explosion from the Hoyas tonight.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 GOTY on Baylor +2.5
We'll take Baylor in an excellent spot tonight with our strongest bet in the Big 12 this season. Baylor has lost 3 straight. This is a team that entered the season with very high hopes of not only making the Big Dance but doing some damage once it got there. It lost at Oklahoma and then was edged out by Texas, 2 teams that are probably better than the Bears on most nights, but it was then embarrassed at Mizzou Saturday. That puts the Bears in a big bounce back spot at home tonight. KU has played a weak Big 12 slate to this point. It is a young team and is just 4-4 on the road this season. Baylor is 6-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 81.5 to 78.7. Kansas is 0-6 ATS in February games over the last 2 seasons. Take Baylor at home tonight.

4* Major Horizon League HAMMER on Wisconsin-Green Bay +2.5
The Phoenix are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games, 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Horizon League. Green Bay gave Butler all they wanted on the road a couple weeks back and the second place Phoenix will be ready to have their revenge at home tonight. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Big Market MONSTER on Knicks +6
New York can score with the best of the teams in the NBA and it has already showed it can hang with LA this season, playing the Lakers to a 2-point game in Tinsel Town. The Lakers bigs were instrumental in that win and without Bynum tonight, LA loses a big part of that edge. The Knicks are playing their best ball of the season, going 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. The Lakers are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 6-21 ATS in their last 27 vs. Eastern Conference. The Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Take NY!

4* Major Saturday Night NBA Bailout BLOWOUT on Blazers -9
Portland is one of the best home teams in the league and it takes on a banged up Jazz team that is playing back-to-back and has lost 8 of its last 9 on the road! Portland is 14-2 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons, 11-2 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and 13-3 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Portland is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS at home versus the Jazz the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.

3* SUREFIRE on W. Mich -1
Kent is one of the worst covering teams in the nation at just 4-13 ATS this season. It is just 1-8 ATS on the road this season. WMU cleaned Kent's clock by 22 the last time in visited. This one won't be that bad but I anticipate a comfortable 7-point win for the Broncos.

4* Major CBB Underdog Shocker of the Week on Iowa State +10.5
ISU has lost 3 in a row and will be hungry Saturday against the best in the Big 12 at home where it is 10-3 this season. Expecting a bigger challenge from A&M next, expect to see OU looking ahead today. ISU is 12-3 ATS in home games off 3 straight losses against conference rivals since 1997. Take the points!

5* Wiseguy CBB BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR on Pitt -10.5
After Pitt lost to Louisville on the road, it exploded to an 18-point win at home against Syracuse. Now, coming off a road loss at Villanova, expect Pitt to rebound strong again. Notre Dame has lost 4 in a row and is clearly a second-tier team in the Big East this season as it is giving up too much in the athletic ability department. ND is 0-6 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. The Fighting Irish are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Lay the points!

3* SUREFIRE on Nets/Hawks OVER 196.5
Great overs spot here. NJ has played its best ball on the road this season and Atlanta is very hungry for a win following 3 straight losses. Both teams are athletic and I expect to see a lot of points go up on the board tonight. 5 of the last 6 meetings in this matchup have gone over. Atlanta is 15-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score totals 209.5 in these spots. Also, Atlanta is 13-4 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score totals 212.5 in these spots. Take the over.

4* Major NBA Underdog Shocker on Wizards +10.5
First off, the 76ers are being overvalued here. This is a .500 team and not a .660 team. Washington deserves to be a larger dog against Philly than it was at Portland a few nights back. Secondly, I really like the Wizards in this spot. They are hungry for a win and they just got it handed to them by division rival Miami. Washington is 10-1 ATS in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 95.0 to 92.6 in these spots. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night NBA Game of the Year (ESPN) on Celtics -5.5
Boston is rolling like it was early in the season, and let's face it, Detroit was no longer a threat in the East as soon as it traded away Billups. These teams have already met twice this season and Boston won each by 12 and 18 points respectively and I won't listen to any of the third time's a charm talk. Detroit has dropped 7 of 10 SU and ATS while Boston has won 9 straight and is 8-1 ATS in those games. Detroit is only 13-9 SU and 7-15 ATS in home games this season. The Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Detroit and the Road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Pistons are also 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. Pound the Celtics tonight!

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT BLOOD BATH on Suns -1.5
This is a huge statement game for the Suns to prove that they can still play with the best in the west. The Suns are rested and back at home off two huge confidence-boosting blowout road wins. The Spurs have played a lot of games on the road over the last week and a half and that catches up with them tonight against a Suns team that will look to push the tempo. The Spurs are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win, and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win. Take Phoenix.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Total of the Year on Michigan State/Iowa UNDER 125.5
Two straight in this series have gone UNDER at Iowa. Two years ago we saw a combined score of 122 points and last year we saw a combined score of just 79 points. Both teams are very good defensively and Iowa plays half court hoops so this one has the under written all over it. Iowa is 17-6 UNDER in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) since 1997, 7-1 UNDER when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season, and 11-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons. Pound the Under!

4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Blazers -9
Off an emotionally and physically draining double OT win in LA last night, there's no way they Bobcats will be able to get up for this one against a Blazers team that is 16-5 at home this season. Portland has beaten each of its last 2 opponents by double digits while scoring big points and that puts them in a very nice system tonight. Portland is 12-1 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 105.2 to 91.3. Lay the points!

4* Major NBA Odds Maker Miss on Memphis +7.5
I know Memphis has lost 10 in a row, but the Thunder don't deserve this kind of respect on any court against anyone. Memphis knows it can compete with the Thunder and it will get up for this game to end its skid. OKC has been a covering machine, almost entirely as an underdog. It has been favored now in 3 of its last 4 games, losing 2 of those SU and ATS. Plays On Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 8 or more consecutive losses are 25-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.