4* Major CBI Tournament *POWER PLAY* on Santa Clara -7
Bottom Line: George Mason covered the spread with an impressive double-digit win over Western Michigan last time out but is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 after a win by 10 points or more and 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games following an ATS win. The Broncos are a terrific 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. They are also 8-0 ATS in their last 8 post-season tournament contests. This trend excludes the WCC tournament. I'm talking about CBI and CIT games.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Blazers +9.5
Bottom Line: This is a big time bounce back spot and revenge spot for Portland, which lost Friday to Utah and was crushed Saturday by Golden State. Plays on road underdogs that are coming off a lopsided defeat of at least 20 points and are matched up against a team that has hit the century mark in 4 straight games are 50-26 (66%) ATS since 1996. These teams have faced an average line of 9.8 points but have lost by only 6.6 on average. Looks like this number is about 3 points off the mark.

4* Major Atlantic Division *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: The Celtics are being undervalued here considering they have won or lost by fewer than 7 points in 18 of the last 20 meetings in the series. Now that's an 18-2 trend I can get behind. They've lost the last 2 in the series and were embarrassed in Boston Tuesday so they will be motivated to say the least. Take the points as the Celtics take the Knicks down to the wire.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs pk
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Heat, who will be playing their 4th road game this week. That's a lot of ball and a lot of travel without much rest. The Spurs have been home since last Sunday night and have played only 2 games this week. They will be the fresher side. San Antonio will be lacking no confidence following back-to-back wins over the Nuggets and Clippers. The Spurs have beaten just about everyone at home where they are an impressive 32-4 on the season. They are 12-1 in their last 13 at home against the Heat, winning the last 2 home meetings in the series by 30 points. Pound San Antonio!

4* Major Elite 8 *POWER PLAY* on Louisville -3.5
Bottom Line: Louisville is on another level right now. Duke won the first meeting by 5 points back in November, but I fully expect the Cardinals to have their revenge. Louisville won the battle of the boards, shot a higher percentage from the field and held Duke to 5 of 20 from 3-point range in the first meeting. The difference was Duke getting to the foul line 27 times and converting on 23 of those trips. Louisville only made 14 trips to the charity stripe. I just don't see there being as large of a disparity at the foul line in this one. The Cards have won 13 in a row with each of these wins coming by at least 5 points. Take Louisville.

5* Wiseguy Elite 8 *PUNISHER* on Michigan +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for Michigan to ride the momentum of Friday's thrilling victory to a Final Four trip. I have no doubt Trey Burke will be the best player on the floor, and he has the better supporting cast. The Wolverines are far more talented than Florida offensively, and I expect them to bring the "D" after not doing so against Kansas should have got them beat. Michigan is an outstanding 11-4 ATS in non-conference games this season. It is also 7-1 ATS in all neutral court games this season. And, the Wolverines are 23-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Pound Michigan!

4* Major on Suns +10
Bottom Line: The value lies with the Suns as home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in at least 8 of their last 10 games are 68-34 ATS (67%) since 1996 if they're matched up against a team that has covered the number in at least 5 of its last 7 games. This system is surefire evidence of the way oddsmakers over inflate lines for hot teams against cold ones.

4* Major on Nets +4.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade the Jazz. They have won 3 in a row and have covered the number in each of their last 6, but they take a big step up in competition tonight. Plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have successfully covered the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season, are 31-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is 16-4 ATS the last 3 seasons and 5-1 ATS this season.

4* Major on Rockets pk
Bottom Line: I locked in the Rockets on the money line but would not be surprised at all if they end up as a small home dog by the time this one closes. I like Houston here regardless because I feel this is a flat spot for LA as it is coming off a tough loss in San Antonio and is playing its 4th game in 5 days. In case the Rockets ended up catching points, I should mention that they are 10-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. I should also mention that the Clippers are 2-10 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less this season.

5* Wiseguy Elite 8 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Ohio State -4
Bottom Line: It's been a great run for Wichita State, but it takes a big step up in competition here. This will be the best team its played all season while you can argue that Ohio State just beat two teams (Iowa State, Arizona) that are better than the Shockers. The Buckeyes are playing with a ton of confidence right now, which has been evident in the way they have been able to execute in the closing seconds of the last two games in high-pressure situations. I expect the Shockers to hang around for a while, but Ohio State's experience and superior talent will take hold late, helping the Buckeyes pull away. Wichita State is 1-8 ATS lifetime under coach Gregg as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick. Pound the Buckeyes.

4* Major Elite *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Marquette +4.5
Bottom Line: I really like Marquette catching points here as it has won 3 of the past 4 meetings in the series and has covered the number in each of the last 5 meetings. The Golden Eagles have been an outstanding underdog under Buzz Williams, which is a testament to how well he prepares and how hard he gets his kids to play. They are 32-14 ATS as a dog under his watch. I'll grab the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Mavericks -4
Bottom Line: Look for the Bulls to fall flat on their faces here after an epic win over Miami. The Mavs will be out for blood after getting pummeled by the Pacers. They need this game because they are 1.5 games out of the #8 spot in the West. The Mavericks are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Pound Dallas.

4* Major Sweet 16 Bailout on Florida -12.5
Bottom Line: It's been a nice run for FGCU, but I'm confident it comes to an end here. Brett Comer has had a terrific tournament, but I believe he'll struggle with the quickness of Florida's guards. The Eagles need Comer to have a big game to have a chance, and I don't see it happening. FCGC needs to play uptempo to be effective, but Florida can play any style and that gives it a huge advantage. Plus, the Gators are the far superior defensive team. They rank 3rd in the country in scoring defense (53.8 ppg allowed) and 5th in field goal percentage defense (37.8%). The Gators are 26-13 ATS in the Dance under Donovan, including 18-5 ATS in their last 23 NCAA Tournament games. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Trail Blazers -3
Bottom Line: Utah can't be trusted on the road where it has lost its last 9. The Jazz are 1-8 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season, losing by an average of 10.0 points in this situation. The Jazz lost the most recent meeting in Portland by 6 and are 9-21 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to and opponent the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy Sweet 16 *PUNISHER* on Duke -2
Bottom Line: Duke is 20-1 with Ryan Kelly in the lineup. The 6'11'' sharp-shooter doesn't even have to score for the Blue Devils to be successful. He knocks 3's in at a 45.9% clip so opponents have to pay extra attention to him. That opens things up for the other guys. Also, Coach K has had Izzo's number. Duke is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings with each of the wins coming by at least 5 points. Pound the Dukies.

4* Major on Nuggets -6.5
Bottom Line: Denver has been tough as nails at home where it is 24-11 ATS this season. They are 14-4 ATS on the season at home where matched up against a team with a winning record and have won by an average of 9.4 points in this situation. The Nets are a soft 12-21 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

4* Major on T-Wolves +8
Bottom Line: The T-Wolves are playing their best basketball since early in the season. They lost a tough one to the Lakers Wednesday but are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss. They have a win over the Thunder at home earlier in the season, and not has come easy for OKC in the Twin Cities. The Thunder are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

4* Major on Hornets +7
Bottom Line: I don't believe Miami will be over Wednesday's loss to the Bulls yet. It really wanted the record and coming up short puts it in a letdown spot. The Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Also, the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -4.5
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have lost their first two this week after concluding last week with a win over Boston, but that won't keep me off them here. They are 7-0 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. They have won by an average of 9.4 points in these spots. Also, the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the Rockets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis. Pound the Grizz.

4* Major South Region *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Michigan +2
Bottom Line: Beilein has proven himself time and time again in the NCAA tournament. His teams are 13-3 ATS in the Dance dating back to 1997. He's also proven himself against the Big 12 with his squads going 9-1 ATS versus Big 12 foes since 1997. He's 2-0 ATS versus Bill Self since coming to Michigan. Siding with Beilein in this one.

4* Major Sweet 16 SUREFIRE on Oregon +10
Bottom Line: Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points are 70-36 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are off 2 or more consecutive wins and are matched up against an opponent off 9 or more consecutive wins. Basically, this system shows how oddsmakers overvalue teams on lengthy winning streak. The Ducks have come to play in the Dance, and I look for them to give Louisville a game.

4* Major Surefire Cinderella on La Salle +4.5
Bottom Line: Wichita State is being overvalued because it knocked off Gonzaga. Keep in mind that the Shockers made 14 3-point shots in that game. They average just 6 3-point makers on 32.6% shooting in road/neutral floor games on the season. La Salle is the superior long range team. It averages 8 3-point makes in road or neutral floor venues on 37.2% shooting. I expect it to win the long range battle and to have an excellent opportunity to pull off the upset. La Salle has been getting beat on the boards, but that hasn't mattered. Consider that the Explorers are 9-0 ATS lifetime under coach Giannini after 3 straight games of being outrebounded by 6 or more boards. It has won by an average of 5.1 points in this spot. La Salle has won with offense most of the season, and offensive teams have given the Shockers the most trouble. The Explorers give up 45.6% shooting on average, but Wichita State is 0-6 ATS lifetime under coach Marshall in road/neutral floor after 15+ games versus teams allowing 45% shooting or higher. The Shockers have lost to these teams by an average of 4.6 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET Bailout on Suns +2
Bottom Line: The Suns have owned the Kings in Phoenix where they are 12-1 in the last 13 meetings. The Kings won at Golden State last night, but they are still just 7-30 on the road. Plus, that win sets them up for a major letdown as it was their first of the entire season on the road versus a winning team. The Kings will be feeling pretty good about themselves, and I believe they'll already be looking ahead to Saturday's matchup with the Lakers. Suns continue their home dominance in the series tonight.

5* Wiseguy Sweet 16 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Indiana -5
Bottom Line: I have felt Indiana is the best team in college basketball all season, and I stand by that. Both of these teams are top-notch defensively, but Indiana is the superior offensive side. That gives it the big edge. Besides, Boeheim's track record in the Sweet 16 is not encouraging. The Orange are 0-6 ATS under Boeheim in the "sweet 16" round of the NCAA tournament. They haven't just lost these games, they've lost them by 7.7 points on average.

4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Bucks +1.5
Bottom Line: Very tough spot for the short-handed Lakers, who just played last night and are playing their 3rd road games in 4 days. The Lakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Lakers are 21-44-1 ATS in their last 66 games versus a team with a losing record, 17-39 ATS in their last 56 games following a win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Lakers are also 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee. The underdog is 13-4-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings. Milwaukee just played last night too, but it has a deeper bench and this is just its 2nd game in 4 days.

4* Major *BLOOD BATH* on Ohio State -3
Bottom Line: Arizona had a nice draw with Belmont and Harvard, but it takes a big step up in competition here and I believe it will get hit in the mouth. The Buckeyes have won 10 in a row by an average of 11.5 points with each of these wins coming by at least 3. Ohio State's defense will be the difference as Arizona hasn't seen a team as good defensively as Ohio State in a very long time.

4* Major *POWER PLAY* on Marquette +5.5
Bottom Line: Everyone and their mother is on Miami, but I'll gladly take the points with this physical and gritty Marquette squad. The Golden Eagles are an impressive 31-14 ATS under coach Williams in the underdog role. They have lost these games on average but only by 2.9 points. Plus, Marquette is 17-7 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that carry a winning percentage above 80%. It has lost to these teams on average but only by 0.6 points. Gotta take the points here.

4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Bulls +5.5
Bottom Line: Miami's 27-game run very well could come to an end tonight. The Heat have been down by double digits against 4 of their last 5 opponents but have been able to flip a switch. It will be much harder to flip that switch against a Bulls team that is capable of playing championship-caliber defense. The Bulls won at Miami earlier this season but were beat badly at home in the most recent meeting, which will provide added incentive. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus teams from the East.

4* Major *BIG CHALK BLOWOUT* on Thunder -13
Bottom Line: This is a game OKC wants badly. The Thunder were defeated in Washington in the first meeting and will be out for some cold, hard revenge as a result. The Thunder are 13-4 ATS this season in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent. The Thunder kicked Portland by 20 points last time out and are 12-4 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Lakers -4.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers will be lacking no motivation following 3 consecutive defeats that have shrunk their lead over Utah for the 8th spot in the West to one game. I'll gladly take them against Minnesota in this motivated spot as they are 21-0 in their last 21 against the Wolves, winning these games by an average of 11.9 points. Minnesota just earned a road win last night but hasn't won back-to-back games since mid-December. Pound LA.

4* Major Non-Conference *POWER PLAY* on Grizzlies +1
Bottom Line: Memphis will be the fresher and hungrier team tonight. The Grizzlies have had a day off and will be motivated by Monday's poor showing against the Wizards. The Knicks will be playing on consecutive days and enter this one feeling good about themselves following a big win over divisional rival Boston. The Grizzlies beat the Knicks by 10 in the season's first meeting clear back in November, but plays against all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent that's coming off a road loss are 109-64 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Bailout on Mavericks +1
Bottom Line: The Mavs are showing good value at home catching a point against LA considering they are 10-1 in their last 11 at home in the series. These 10 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. The Clippers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. Pound the Mavs.

5* Wiseguy CIT Game of the Year on Bradley +11
Bottom Line: I don't trust Northern Iowa laying this many points against a team that is very familiar with them. The Panthers won both meetings during the regular season but have defeated the Braves by more than 11 points just once in the last 6 meetings. Northern Iowa is only 14-25 ATS as a double-digit favorite under coach Ben Jacobson. The Braves are 14-5 ATS under Geno Ford when matched up against marginal winning teams (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). Also, road underdogs of 10 or more points that are out for revenge for a home loss versus an opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, are 116-58 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Bradley.

4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -2
Bottom Line: Boston has lost 4 in a row, but 3 of these losses were on the road and the other came to the Miami Heat in a game that it should have won. Betting against Boston at home hasn't been an option lately. The Celtics are 11-1 SU & ATS in their last 12 home games with notable wins over the Heat, Clippers, Lakers, Nuggets and Bulls during this run. Lay the deuce.

4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Lakers +1
Bottom Line: The Lakers will be very motivated after back-to-back defeats, especially since they were called out by D'Antoni after blowing an 18-point second-half lead in Friday's 103-100 home loss to Washington. They should be the much fresher team tonight as they have played just once in the last 6 days. It's also to their benefit that Stephen Curry is banged up with an ankle injury that should limit him if he is indeed able to go. The Lakers have won the season's first two meetings and 18 of the last 19. Take LA.

5* Wiseguy NIT Game of the Year on So. Miss -8
Bottom Line: I played against So. Miss in its first round NIT game as I expected it wouldn't be over its double-overtime loss to Memphis in the C-USA championship. It should be over not making the Big Dance by now, and it should be very motivated here because it was defeated by double digits at Louisiana Tech back in December. While So. Miss has been susceptible on the road, it has been nearly unstoppable at home where it is 13-1. 10 of its last 12 home wins have come by 8 points or more. Tech wasn't the same team on the road late in the season, getting destroyed at Denver and New Mexico State. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound the Golden Eagles.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +6.5
Bottom Line: After getting humiliated in Denver in the first two matchups of the season, the Hornets will be hungry tonight. They are on an impressive 32-17 ATS run when out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent. They've lost in this situation on average but only by 3.2 points. New Orleans gives the Nuggets all they want here. Pound the Hornets.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards +3
Bottom Line: Washington has been undervalued against quality competition at 22-10 ATS on the season versus opponents with a winning record. The Wizards are also 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games, and the home team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. I like Washington outright in this one but will take the points for insurance.

4* Major NBA Bailout on 76ers +3
Bottom Line: The 76ers will be very motivated here because they have lost 15 in a row on the road. They will also be fresher than Sacramento as they will be playing on 2 days' rest while the Kings just played in Denver last night. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.

5* Wiseguy Sunday NCAA Tournament *BRACKET BUSTER* on Illinois +8
Bottom Line: Illinois has a serious shot to upset Miami, which is the Final Four pick of many in the East region. The Canes were hitting on all cylinders in their opener but now find themselves up against a much more talented opponent - one with double-digit wins over Butler, Gonzaga and Ohio State and a win over Indiana. The value clearly lies in our favor here when you consider that playing against favorites that have covered the spread in at least 6 of their last 8, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a good team (60% to 80%), are 103-62 ATS the last 5 seasons. Illinois should take this one right down to the wire with a great chance of pulling off the upset.

4* Major Situational *BLOOD BATH* on Ole Miss -4
Bottom Line: Ole Miss is playing with a ton of confidence and swagger after winning the SEC tourney. I expect no letdown following its upset of Wisconsin as it is 9-1 ATS the last 2 seasons off an upset win and has won by an average of 6.9 points in these contests. Tough spot for LaSalle also as this will be its 3rd game in 5 days.

4* Major Sunday NCAA Tournament *BLOWOUT* on San Diego State -7
Bottom Line: So much talk about Florida Gulf Coast's win over Georgetown and no one's talking about the beating San Diego State put on Oklahoma. The Eagles also snuck up on Miami earlier this season, but they were defeated by 10 points or more in their other 4 non-conference games versus quality competition, which tells me Friday's win was an aberration. San Diego State will be lacking no confidence after its opening win. It seems to feed on performances like that, as evidenced by its 57-25 ATS all-time record under coach Fisher after a win by 15 points or more. It has rolled in these spots by an average of 8.6 points.

4* Major NBA Surefire on T-Wolves -2
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Bulls following last night's win over Indiana. Plus, Chicago is expected to be without Joakim Noah, arguably its best player. T-Wolves have won 3 of their last 4 at home with a decisive win over the Spurs during this stretch. Chicago has dropped 5 of its last 6 on the road. Lay the deuce.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rockets +1.5
Bottom Line: I'll gladly grab the points with the Rockets at home. They have won 10 of 12 at home and are 3-1 in their last 4 at home versus San Antonio with the loss coming in OT in a game where James Harden did not play. Houston has been a home dog of 6 or fewer points 10 times since the beginning of last season and has covered the number in 9 of these matchups while winning outright by an average of 2.3 points.

4* Major South Region *SUREFIRE* on Minnesota +8
Bottom Line: Florida is an outstanding defensive team, but Minnesota has risen to the occasion time and time again versus such foes. The Golden Gophers are 13-5 ATS all-time under coach Smith when matched up against teams that allow 57 points per game or less. The Gophers have defeated these teams by 2.2 points on average.

4* Major Powerhouse *POWER PLAY* on Kansas -6
Bottom Line: UNC does a good job of sharing the basketball, but Kansas has easily defeated such teams. The Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons when playing outside Lawrence versus good passing teams that average 16 assists or more per game. They have won by an average of 12.7 points in these contests. More bad news for the Tar Heels. Kansas is 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons at least 15 games in versus teams that average 16 assists or more per game. It has won by an average of 11.9 points in these games.

4* Major Early *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks -2.5
Bottom Line: Milwaukee has lost the season's first two meetings, but plays on home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are playing with double revenge against an opponent coming off a home loss by 10 points or more are 67-33 ATS since 1996.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Gonzaga -6
Bottom Line: After shaking off the rust Thursday, I expect Gonzaga to roll against a less experienced and less talented Wichita State team. The Bulldogs don't lose often (only twice season), but they treat close games like losses in terms of the way they respond. The Zags are on a 31-15 ATS run in games played outside the Kennel after a win by 6 points or less. They are also 10-2 ATS on the season following a game that they did not cover the number in. They have won by an average of 18.3 points in this situation. You might also like to know that the Shockers are on a 4-18 ATS slide when listed as a pk or laying 6 points or fewer on a neutral floor.

5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division Game of the Year on Bulls -3.5
Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to lay the small number with the Bulls here as home faves of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that is coming off a win of at least 20 points against a divisional foe are 46-19 ATS the last 17 years. This system, which is 13-4 ATS the last 5 seasons, carries an average winning margin of 8.6 points. Since Thibodeau took over, the Bulls have responded well following any loss at home. They've lost their last 2 at home so I expect them to play inspired tonight. Chicago is 21-8 ATS under coach Thibs following a home loss, winning by an average of 10.2 points in this situation. Pound the Bulls.

4* Major *BLOOD BATH* on Marquette -2
Bottom Line: Butler defeated Marquette by a point on a neutral floor earlier this season but needed a last second 3-point make to get it done. I felt Marquette was the better team that day as it shot 49% from the field and held Butler to 44.3%. It also outrebounded the Bulldogs. The Eagles walk away with a 2-point win if that 3 doesn't go in so it comes as no surprise that they are a 2-point favorite here. They walk away with an even bigger with if they don't have 7 more turnovers than Butler. Marquette had 14 giveaways in that game, which isn't bad, but Butler only forces 11 a game. I expect the Eagles to do a little bit better job of taking care of the ball this time around. They'll earn the cover as a result.

4* Major Bracket Buster on Oregon +4
Bottom Line: Oregon, an underrated #12 seed, has what it takes to send Saint Louis, a dark horse pick of many to make the Final Four, home early. The Billikens have been strong defensively, holding their last 5 opponents below the 60-point mark. However, they haven't been as sharp offensively, failing to score more than 67 points in their last 3 games. This is important because Saint Louis is 0-6 ATS this season after 3 consecutive games of both it and its opponents scoring 70 points or less. The Billikens will have a tough time holding down an Oregon squad that averages 71.6 ppg. The Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 17-6-1 ATS in their last 24 games following an ATS win.

4* Major Blowout on Arizona -10
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Harvard following Thursday's huge upset win over New Mexico. The Crimson rely on shooting a high percentage from 3-point range, which they did in their round of 64 win, but don't count on them knocking them down against Arizona like they did on the Lobos. The Wildcats are 14-4 ATS lifetime under Sean Miller in road/neutral venues versus good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% or more of their attempts. Plus, Miller knows a thing or two about winning in the Big Dance. His teams are 12-2 ATS lifetime in the NCAA tournament. Lay the points as Zona rolls.

4* Major Early Surefire on Michigan -2.5
Bottom Line: VCU will have to turn Michigan over a bunch to win this game and I don't see it happening with Big Ten Baller of the Year Trey Burke doing the bulk of the handling. VCU relies on points-of-turnovers for offense but Michigan only give it away 9 times a game. Fading the Rams versus team that average 12 turnovers or less per game has produced a perfect 6-0 ATS record this season.

4* Major NCAA Tournament Bailout on Minnesota -2.5
Bottom Line: Minnesota struggled late in the Big Ten season while playing a road-heavy schedule against teams that know it well. However, now's the perfect time to get behind the Gophers as they start the postseason with a clean slate. Minnesota is big, physical and athletic with more experience than UCLA. Plus, the Bruins will be without one of their top performers as Jordan Adams has been lost for the season with a broken foot. UCLA played one game without him, the Pac-12 tournament title game, and it lost it by 9 points. Minnesota enters off a dismal 49-point effort against Illinois but is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games after scoring less than 50 points in its previous game. The Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Also, taking teams that have gone under the total by 48 or more points in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1 conferences, has produced a 17-3 ATS result the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks -7.5
Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Blazers which are playing their second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. The Hawks were at home resting yesterday, and they'll go after this one hard knowing their next 4 are on the road. Portland has been awful on the road this season. It had lost 10 of 11 on the road before last night's 10-point win in Chicago. Don't expect the Blazers to build on that win as they are 2-14 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 9.9 points in this spot. The Blazers have also dropped their last 4 in Atlanta by an average of 8.5 points.

4* Major NCAA Tournament *BLOOD BATH* on Villanova +4
Bottom Line: Nova has been undervalued all season and it enters the tournament with a 20-10 ATS record as a result. The Wildcats have wins over Georgetown, Marquette, Syracuse and Louisville so they clearly have what it takes to get the Tar Heels. Nova enters off a SU and ATS defeat but is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following a SU loss and 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following an ATS loss. The last time it lost, it responded with a double-digit win over Georgetown.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Iona +14.5
Bottom Line: The Iona Gaels enter the NCAA tournament flying under the radar and are showing nice value here as a result. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record. People that don't follow the smaller conferences don't realize how explosive Iona is. The Gaels average 80.7 ppg. They put up 94 on Wake Forest, a team that beat Miami, and dropped 81 on Georgia, who held Indiana, UCLA and Florida to 66 points or fewer. Iona is great at making you play faster than you want and Ohio State is clearly not an uptempo team as it has only one consistent scorer. Iona's tempo causes enough problems for Ohio State that the Gaels pick up the cover.

4* Major NCAA Tournament Power Play on Cincinnati +3.5
Bottom Line: Fading Creighton in NCAA tournament play has been a profitable venture. Throwing out a push, the Blue Jays are on a 0-5 ATS slide in the Big Dance. The Bearcats are a rock solid 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 12-2 ATS the last 3 seasons versus non-conference opponents in road or neutral court venues. Bearcats are showing great value catching points in a game they can clearly win outright.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament Afternoon Delight on Pacific +12.5
Bottom Line: I really like Pacific catching double digits here considering the way it has performed against quality competition. Throwing out a push, the Tigers are on a 5-0 ATS run versus teams that have a winning record. Also, taking double-digit dogs after 2 straight games where both it and its opponent scored 65 points or less against a team that has scored 75 points or more in 2 straight games has produced a 55-25 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound Pacific.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +14
Bottom Line: Road underdogs of 10 or more points that are coming off a blowout loss of 15 points or more and are up against an opponent that has had a combined score of 215 points or more in 2 straight games are 23-5 ATS since 1996. Teams in this scenario have been underdogs of 13.6 points on average but have been defeated by just an average of 9.0 points. This system is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver finds itself in a letdown spot following a big win over the Thunder while the 76ers are in bounce-back mode following a humiliating loss to the Clippers.

4* Major on Cal +3
Bottom Line: Cal dropped an earlier meeting with UNLV by 1 point on a last second putback. There are 2 things to note about that game. Cal gave up 13 offensive rebounds and missed 13 free throws. The Golden Bears typically give up just 10 offensive boards and they average 72.5% from the foul line. I expect Cal to do a better job of cleaning up the glass and knocking down their freebies in the rematch. The Runnin' Rebels have been constantly overvalued the last couple seasons as evidenced by the fact they are 22-33 ATS in their last 55 games as a favorite.

4* Major on Michigan -11
Bottom Line: A lot of people are down on Michigan, but I'm not drinking the Kool-Aid. The Wolverines are extremely talented and should enter the Dance with a chip on their shoulder after a disappointing Big Ten season and after an early exit in last year's tourney. Michigan is a strong 19-9 ATS the last 3 seasons when it enters a game off 1 or more consecutive losses. Lay the points with the Wolverines in this bounce-back spot.

4* Major on Oregon +3
Bottom Line: Look for Oregon to parlay the momentum of a Pac-12 tournament title into a round of 64 win. Oklahoma State has struggled against elite competition this season. The Cowboys are only 3-10 ATS on the season versus very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8+ points/game.

4* Major on Davidson +3.5
Bottom Line: The books are clearly begging for the public to take #3 seed Marquette here, but I won't fall for the trap. Davidson has won 17 straight and returns all 5 starters from a team that took Louisville down to the wire in last year's NCAA tournament. The Wildcats have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 NCAA tournament games, and I expect this trend to continue as they pull off the shocker against Marquette.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on New Mexico State +9
Bottom Line: The public has fallen in love with Saint Louis and books are looking to cash in big time by elevating the line. The Billikens are clearly overvalued at this number, and I'm ready to take full advantage. Plays against favorites that have won 80% or more of their games and have covered the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games that are up against a team that has won 60% to 80% of its games are 65-31 ATS the last 3 seasons. This system is a perfect example of the way oddsmakers like to jack up the line on hot teams. The Billikens are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus the WAC and New Mexico State has proven itself time and time again late in the season against good teams. The Aggies are on a 22-9 ATS run in the month of March. They are also 12-4 ATS lifetime under coach Menzies versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game - after 15+ games. Take the points as New Mexico State gives Saint Louis a run for the money.

4* Major on Bucknell +4
Bottom Line: Butler has impressive wins over Indiana and Gonzaga on its resume but hasn't looked like the team that defeated those squads lately. Bucknell is the real deal behind 6'11'' forward Mike Muscala. Plays against favorites from a second-tier division 1 conference that are coming off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference foe and are up against a team from a weak conference are 13-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.

4* Major on Charleston Southern +13
Bottom Line: Plays against favorites from a second-tier division 1 conference that are up against a team from a weak conference and are off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are a perfect 12-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Can't imagine Southern Miss will be jacked up for this game after such a heartbreaking loss to Memphis in the C-USA final.

4* Major on Houston +3
Bottom Line: Texas can't be trusted on the road where it is just 2-9 this season, especially against a Houston squad that is 13-4 at home. The Cougars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss.

4* Major on Spurs -8
Bottom Line: The Spurs are well rested (had last 3 days off) and hungry as they were defeated in Golden State the last time these two met. I like them to have their revenge at home where they have won 28 in a row in the series by 17.0 point on average.

4* Major on Mercer +8.5
Bottom Line: Mercer is 12-2 ATS when catching points under coach Hoffman. I'm not hesitating to ride this trend tonight against a Tennessee team that has to be felling disappointed after missing out on the Big Dance.

4* Major on North Dakota +16.5
Bottom Line: Northern Iowa won the season's first meeting by 25 but North Dakota was minus its best player in that game. With Huff back and the Sioux out for revenge, I'm expecting a much closer contest. The Panthers are a soft 21-37 ATS as a double-digit favorite since 1997.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake Game of the Year on Magic +11
Bottom Line: The Knicks have gone from being a 10.5-point underdog at Utah last game to being an 11-point favorite at home. That's one of the biggest line jumps you'll ever see and it's not warranted. Carmelo Anthony returns to the lineup, but the Knicks did not perform well the last time he returned after sitting out several games. In fact, they were blown out by 29 at Golden State. Melo's return throws a hitch in the giddy-up of New York. Orlando was crushed in Indiana last night but will have no problem getting up for this one as they have lost the season's first three meetings and will be motivated to avoid the sweep. The Magic are 26-15 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Pound Orlando.

4* Major on Cavs +11.5
Bottom Line: Tough spot for Miami playing its third road game in four days, especially since it enters off an emotionally and physically draining game against Boston. The Heat are just 1-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite during their winning streak.

5* Wiseguy CBB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Bryant +5
Bottom Line: I'm putting a Richmond team that is just 3-10 this season on the road on upset alert against a Bryant squad that is 11-4 at home. The Spiders are 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Also, teams headed up by coach Oshea are 13-1 ATS lifetime as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick. His teams have won these contests by an average of 5.5 points.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings +9.5
Bottom Line: The Kings have lost the season's first two matchups by double digits. However, they are 13-2 ATS lifetime under coach Smart when out for revenge for 2 straight losses of 10 points or more to a foe. They have lost in this spot on average but only by 2.8 points. Plus, Kings have won or lost by fewer than 8 points in each of their last 8 at home.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament *PUNISHER* on Middle Tennessee State +3
Bottom Line: Dayton is a long way from home for Saint Mary's, which has struggled away from its home court versus non-conference opponents this season. It has especially struggled over the years versus quality defensive teams like Middle Tennessee. The Blue Raiders rank 15th in the country in scoring defense, allowing only 57.8 ppg. That number is significant because the Gaels are only 15-30 ATS all-time under coach Bennett when playing away from home versus good defensive teams that hold the opposition to 64.0 points or less. Saint Mary's is also on a 10-23 ATS slide away from home versus teams that outscore their opponents by 12+ points/game. Middle Tennessee hasn't gotten much love from analysts but will earn a little respect tonight.

4* Major on Denver -6.5
Bottom Line: This is not the time of year to go against Denver at home, even with a winning team. That's because the Pioneers are 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons in home games that occur at least 15 games into the season versus teams that have a winning record. Denver has won these games by an average of 20.3 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -9
Bottom Line: The Thunder were upset in Denver earlier this month on a last second shot. You can bet that defeat hasn't been sitting well. OKC typically responds following such losses. It is 8-1 ATS this season in home games when out for revenge for an upset loss on the road. It has won by an average of 12.8 points in these contests.

4* Major on Robert Morris +4.5
Bottom Line: Kentucky isn't the same team without Nerlens Noel and Robert Morris is a better team than most realize. It played Arkansas to a 5-point game on the road this season. Consider that Kentucky lost at Arkansas by 13. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also 1-7 ATS this season when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET Bailout on Suns +3
Bottom Line: Not hesitating to grab the points with the home dog here considering the home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with an average winning margin of 10.75 points. The Suns are 3-0 at home during this stretch with wins of 12, 20 and 6. This veteran Lakers team just played yesterday while the more youthful Suns have had a day off. The extra rest helps the Suns here while vets like Nash, Jamison and World Peace struggle to be at the top of their game on consecutive nights.

4* Major on Hornets +3.5
Bottom Line: Hornets have lost the season's first two matchups but are 32-16 ATS the last 2 seasons when playing with double revenge. Plus, Golden State is off a huge revenge win over Houston and has the Spurs on deck. In other words, look-ahead spot. Also can't ignore the Warriors' road woes. They're just 2-9 in their last 11 on the highway. Hornets should be the hungrier, more focused team tonight.

4* Major on Bulls +4.5
Bottom Line: Nuggets have reeled off 11 straight wins but just 4 of those came on the road and were all against sub-.500 competition. Nuggs haven't won on the road against a team with a winning record since Jan. 23. They're 15-19 away from home on the season with only six victories over teams that are currently .500 or better. Expect Denver's road struggles to continue considering how strong the home team has been in this series. The home team has won or lost by 4 points or less in 16 of the last 17 matchups.

4* Major on Bobcats +7.5
Bottom Line: Bobcats are struggling but have won 2 of 3 versus Washington this season and Wizards are only 2-8 in L10 on the road. Plus, cold underdogs that have dropped 12 or more of their last 15 ATS and are up against a team that has won at least 4 of its last 6 ATS are 67-35 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting this scenario have been dogs of 7.9 points on average but have lost by only 3.4 on average.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +5
Bottom Line: The Thunder can't be trusted on the road laying this many points against a team playing as well as Dallas. The Thunder are 3-4 in their last 7 on the road with only 1 win coming by more than 4 points during this stretch. That was against lowly Charlotte. The Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Mavs have won 5 of their last 6 with the only loss in this stretch coming by 1 point at San Antonio. Keep in mind OKC just lost by 12 at San Antonio. The Mavericks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. They've covered the number in 2 of 3 against OKC this season with one of those being a loss of only 3 points at home. The underdog is a potent 22-6-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Grab the points.

4* Major on Warriors +7.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors have been incredibly resilient since Mark Jackson took over and instilled his grit and toughness. Golden just got whacked by Chicago and it has been taken out behind the woodshed 3 times by Houston this season. I expect the Warriors to be out for blood here as a result. Golden State is 25-12 ATS under Jackson in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses. They have lost these contests on average but only by 2.6 points. Take the points in what should be a tight one.

4* Major Conference Tourney Play of the Day on VCU +3.5
Bottom Line: This is a highly-motivated spot for VCU. The Rams finished a game shy of the Billikens in the regular-season standings with a 76-62 loss at Saint Louis being one of the defeats that cost them a share of the title. I expect a much different result on a neutral floor. Underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 4 games that are 43-15 ATS since 1997 when matched up against a team that has covered in 12 or more of its last 15 games. This system, which shows clearly that the value lies with VCU, is 3-1 ATS this season and 16-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. Bet the Rams.

5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout Blowout on Jazz -1.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz are in great position to blow this spread out of the water. The Grizzlies are coming off a tough loss in Denver last night and will be playing their fourth road contest in five days. Utah has had two days of rest, and it will be hungry for revenge after losing the season's first two meetings. The Jazz have been tough as nails at home once again this season, and they have won nine of their last 10 at home against the Grizzlies with those nine wins coming by an average of 15.9 points.

4* Major NBA Underdog Shocker on 76ers +5
Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Pacers playing their second game in as many night and third in four days. Plus, it's on the road where they are just 14-17 on the season. Philly enters this contest with confidence after giving Miami all it wanted and more last time out. It also enters rested as it has had the last two days off. Philly has lost the season's first two meetings and was embarrassed 88-69 when Indy visited last month. The 76ers, who have a winning record at home, should have an excellent chance to pull the upset as I fully expect them to take the Pacers down to the wire. The Pacers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on two days of rest. Lastly, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

4* Major Big Chalk Blowout on Celtics -15.5
Bottom Line: Boston has Miami Monday but won't get caught looking ahead here. That's because the Celtics have lost their last two with Charlotte and were humiliated 100-74 at Charlotte Tuesday. Boston will be out for some serious revenge, and it should also be the much fresher side. The C's have had two days off while the Bobcats will be playing their second road game in as many days. Charlotte has lost its last six road games by an average of 22.7 with five of those losses coming by at least 17 points.

5* Wiseguy MAC Tournament Game of the Year on Ohio -1.5
Bottom Line: Ohio is far too experienced and far too good to drop a third straight to Akron this season. The Bobcats blew a double-digit lead and lost in OT in the last meeting so they'll be hungry to say the least. Also, the Zips won't have Alex Abreu this time around. He played a pivotal role in both of the wins against Ohio so he will be greatly missed. The Bobcats are an awesome 33-12 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent - since 1997 and have won these games by an average of 4.4 points.

4* Major Big 12 Championship *BLOOD BATH* on Kansas State +4.5
Bottom Line: The Wildcats were embarrassed 83-62 in Lawrence after playing the Jayhawks to a 4-point game in the first meeting. That loss will have the Wildcats extremely motivated this evening. Bruce Weber is an outstanding coach. We're talking about a guy that has been the national coach of the year and the coach of the year in all 3 leagues he's coached in. That's why it should come as no surprise that his teams are an outstanding 33-17 ATS when looking for revenge against a team that dropped 75 points or more on his squad. His teams have actually bounced back to win by 4.0 points on average in these spots. I expect Weber to make the necessary adjustments and for a great effort from the players to lead to a K-State cover.

4* Major Big Ten Tourney BEST BET on Michigan State +2
Bottom Line: The Spartans got a wake-up call, nearly losing to Iowa, and I expect them to respond here. They'll be motivated as they dropped the most recent meeting. Betting they'll drop another one isn't wise considering they are on a 29-13 ATS run when out for revenge for a season-season defeat. They have won in this situation by an average of 7.2 points. I also like the fact Michigan State is 11-3 ATS under Izzo as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick.

5* Wiseguy on Arizona -4
Bottom Line: Arizona will be lacking no motivation here after losing both regular-season meetings with UCLA. It will be hard for UCLA to match the intensity of the revenge-minded Wildcats after yesterday's emotionally and physically draining win. The Bruins used a lot of energy in battling back from a 15-point second-half deficit against Arizona State. UCLA managed to earn a half-point cover against the Sun Devils, but it is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS win.

5* Wiseguy on Cavaliers +7.5
Bottom Line: I love Cleveland's chances of keeping this one within the number considering it has had 2 days of rest and will be up against a team that just played last night. Plus, Dallas struggles on the defensive end and Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season in road games versus poor defensive teams that allow 99.0 points or more per game. Dallas like to play uptempo but the Cavs have shown they can hang with such teams, even on the road. Cleveland is 7-0 ATS this season in road games versus uptempo teams that average 83 or more shots per game. No Kyrie Irving, but Cleveland will be the much fresher side.

4* Major on Iowa State +6
Bottom Line: This is the matchup Iowa State wanted after it believed it was screwed out of a victory at home against Kansas by the officials. The Cyclones took the Jayhawks to OT in both regular-season contests, and I like their chances of challenging them again. Iowa State is a ridiculous 40-18-2 ATS in its last 60 versus the Big 12. It is also 15-5 ATS the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent.

4* Major on Hornets +4
Bottom Line: The Wizards are a dismal 3-12 ATS the last 2 seasons as a home favorite of 6 points or less. Also, the Hornets are a potent 17-4 ATS the last 2 seasons off a road loss of 10 points or more. Washington is getting a little too much respect here against a Hornets side that has bounced-back well.

4* Major on Lakers +10
Bottom Line: Fading double-digit home favorites that exploded for 60 points or more in the first half of their last game, as long as they give up 91 ppg or less on the season, has produced a 35-11 ATS mark since 1996. Teams fitting this criteria have won by just 7.5 points on average. Also, this system is a perfect 7-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. No Kobe for LA tonight, but I still like its chances of keeping this one closer than the oddsmakers think.

4* Major on Syracuse +2
Bottom Line: The third time's a charm for Syracuse as it avenges two prior losses to Georgetown this season. The Orange are often at their most dangerous in the Big East tournament, and they are 22-9 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick under coach Boeheim. They are also 20-6 ATS when playing away from home following an upset win over a conference rival under their current coach. Cuse wants this one more because of the double-revenge factor.

4* Major on Tulsa +11.5
Bottom Line: Tulsa has the advantage of playing this one right at home. Plus, Memphis is a soft 23-38 ATS under coach Pastner following a win by 10 points or more. It has won by only 7.8 points on average in these spots. The Tigers have been consistently overvalued following double-digit wins, and that's the case here. The Golden Hurricane took it on the chin at Memphis and will be extremely motivated here as a result.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Year on Oregon -3.5
Bottom Line: Oregon gave away the Pac-12 title with disappointing performances against Colorado and Utah. They've had 4 days to let those losses fuel their fire, and I fully expect them to respond tonight against a team they defeated twice during the regular season by 5 and 13 points. Washington managed to sneak past rival Washington State last night, but the Huskies have not been good away from home. They've dropped 5 of their last 7 off campus. Oregon has been more reliable away from Eugene where it has won 5 of its last 9 with wins at Washington and UCLA during this stretch. Lay the small number with the Ducks, who should be all over the court in this one.