Basketball Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
03-27-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks -2 |
Top |
101-108 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks -2 Bottom Line: The Bucks have lost consecutive games by 21 and 9 points and have a pair of 5-point losses to Atlanta this season and yet they are favored? Odds makers clearly want the public on the Hawks, who have won 4 in row, but we won't fall for the trap. I believe Milwaukee will play with a greater sense of urgency tonight as it is currently on the outside of the playoff picture. Plus, I expect Atlanta to be more focused on tomorrow's showdown with the Bulls. Playing against underdogs (ATLANTA) off a home win in which they scored 110 or more points, tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days, has produced an 83-48-4 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The SU record of this system is 105-30 and the teams fitting into it have lost by an average of 8.9 points. Pound Milwaukee.
|
03-26-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Bobcats +7 |
Top |
102-95 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Bobcats +7 Bottom Line: This aging Boston squad has really struggled when playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back, especially on the road. In fact, the C's are only 1-8 ATS this season when playing their 2nd game in as many days away from home. They haven't just lost these games, they've lost them by an average of 12.6 points. It is also worth mentioning that the Celtics are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games when playing on no rest and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Additionally, Bean Town is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 road games and 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet Charlotte.
|
03-25-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +7 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
102-96 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies +7 Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have lost 3 in a row, but that's not about to keep me off them. They are a sizzling 15-4 ATS in their last 19 road games after 3 or more consecutive losses and have only lost in this situation by an average of 0.1 points. The Lakers have won the season's first 2 meetings but the Grizzlies are 49-31 ATS in their last 80 games when playing with double revenge. They have only lost these games by an average of 1.3 points. The Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. We'll fade LA.
|
03-25-12 |
Miami Heat +2 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
87-103 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Major *MONSTER MATCHUP* on Heat +2 Bottom Line: The Heat are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City. The road team is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings, and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Thunder are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Plus, the Heat are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Wade and James have played in more big games than Westbrook and Durant, and I expect their big game experience to be the difference here.
|
03-25-12 |
Kansas -1.5 v. North Carolina |
|
80-67 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major Elite 8 *BLOOD BATH* on Kansas -1.5 Bottom Line: North Carolina is a poor 1-11 ATS when playing in road/neutral court games with one or no days of rest over the last 2 seasons. The Tar Heels are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog. The Jayhawks are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less. Without Marshall at full strength, I give the edge to Kansas, who will get better guard play from Tyshawn Taylor.
|
03-24-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +3.5 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
101-99 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +3.5 Bottom Line: The Mavs have won 4 straight over Houston with those wins coming by an average of 6.5 points. The last time the Mavs lost in Houston was Dec. 31, 2009 and they only lost that game by 3 points. The Mavs are an incredible 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. We'll side with the reigning NBA champions in the small dog role here.
|
03-24-12 |
Ohio State v. Syracuse +3 |
Top |
77-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Elite 8 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Syracuse +3 Bottom Line: Top-seeded Syracuse isn't getting the respect it deserves here. Ohio State won more impressively in the Sweet 16 but that win came against a Cincy team seeded lower than the team Syracuse played (Wisconsin). Plus, the Orange won that game despite Wisconsin dropping in 14 three-pointers. It takes excellent 3-point shooting to beat Jim Boeheim's matchup zone, and I don't see an Ohio State team that only averages 6 made three-pointers per game hitting enough threes tonight. Ohio State is only 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games in the Big Dance when listed as a favorite of 6.5 points or fewer. Pound Cuse.
|
03-23-12 |
NC State v. Kansas -8 |
Top |
57-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Sweet 16 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Kansas -8 Bottom Line: The public has fallen in love with NC State, and odds makers are looking to take advantage here. We won't go down with the public ship. Kansas endured a close call against Purdue and failed to cover the spread, but recent history tells us it isn't wise to go against the Jayhawks in this spot. In fact, Kansas is an impressive 11-4 ATS this season following a game in which it didn't cover the number. It has won these games by an average of 12.1 points. Kansas had its Final Four hopes dashed last year by VCU, and it's on a mission. We'll lay the points as the Jayhawks bring NC State's Cinderella run to an end.
|
03-23-12 |
New Jersey Nets +7.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
84-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nets +7.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Nets, who have lost each of the season's first 3 meetings in the series. The Nets were crushed by 36 in the season's first meeting but played the Hawks to 7 and 5-point games in the next 2. Having lost 4 in a row and coming off an embarrassing loss to Washington, New Jersey should be very hungry here. The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-23-12 |
New York Knicks v. Toronto Raptors +5.5 |
Top |
79-96 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Year on Raptors +5.5 Bottom Line: The books want the money coming in on NY, who enters riding a 5-game win streak and defeated the Raptors by 19 on March 20, but we won't oblige them. That embarrassing loss, and blowing a 12-point lead in their last game against the Bulls, will have them extremely motivated here. Toronto has lost 3 in a row but is 14-4 ATS this season after losing 3 of their last 4 games. The Raptors have actually won by an average of 0.4 points in these contests. Also, the Knicks are a lousy 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite. The Raptors are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Pound Toronto.
|
03-22-12 |
Florida v. Marquette -2 |
|
68-58 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Sweet 16 Bailout on Marquette -2 Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs (FLORIDA) in a game involving two good offensive teams (averaging 74-78 ppg), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half, has produced a 34-17 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. These teams have lost by an average of 8.7 points. The Golden Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite, and we'll lay the deuce with them here.
|
03-22-12 |
Cincinnati +7.5 v. Ohio State |
Top |
66-81 |
Loss |
-101 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Sweet 16 Game of the Year on Cincinnati +7.5 Bottom Line: The Bearcats have won 9 of their last 11 and those 2 losses came by 6 points or less. The Buckeyes have won 6 of their last 7, but only 3 of those wins have come by more than 7 points. Cincy is an awesome 8-1 ATS when playing away from home versus non-conference foes since the beginning of last season. It has won these games by an average of 10.0 points (67.1 to 57.1). We'll grab the points as Cincy gives the Buckeyes all they want and more.
|
03-22-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards +6.5 |
Top |
85-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +6.5 Bottom Line: The Pacers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Pacers have lost their last 4 on the road and could get stung again here versus a Washington squad with home wins over the Thunder and Lakers. Take the points.
|
03-21-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. San Antonio Spurs -9.5 |
Top |
100-116 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Spurs -9.5 Bottom Line: Having had 3 full days of rest and hungry to bounce back from a loss to Dallas and to avenge a pair of loss to Minnesota, look for the Spurs to roll tonight. The Spurs haven't lost consecutive games since January. They are 5-0 following their last 5 defeats, winning those games by an average of 16.6 points. The Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Also, the Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Pound the Spurs.
|
03-21-12 |
Pittsburgh +1.5 v. Butler |
Top |
68-62 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy CBI Tournament Game of the Year on Pittsburgh +1.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for Pittsburgh. It is the more talented team and it will show no mercy to a Butler squad that knocked it out of the Big Dance last year. Pitt is 11-3 ATS all-time under coach Dixon as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pickem. It has won these games by an average of 4.8 points. The Panthers are also 21-8 ATS under Dixon when checking in off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. Pitt has won by an average of 14.8 points in this spot. Pound Pitt.
|
03-20-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Indiana Pacers -3.5 |
Top |
89-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Week on Pacers -3.5 Bottom Line: I'll grab the Pacers laying a small number in this bounce back spot considering the dominance the home team has displayed in this series. The home team has won each of the last 4 by at least 7 points with Indiana winning its 2 home games during this span by 27 and 13.
|
03-19-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Denver Nuggets -4 |
Top |
112-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -4 Bottom Line: The Nuggets will be out for some serious revenge here after they were defeated by 10 and 18 points respectively by Dallas last month. Keep in mind that Denver's best player (in my opinion), Gallinari, didn't play in either of those games. With Gallinari back and playing well, Denver should be able to taste some sweet revenge here. Coach Karl is 105-81 ATS when out for revenge for a same season as the coach of Denver. He's also 41-17 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the 2nd half of the season with the Nuggets. Look for Denver to hand Dallas its 8th straight road loss tonight.
|
03-19-12 |
Butler v. Pennsylvania +1.5 |
|
63-53 |
Loss |
-106 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major CBI Tournament SUREFIRE on Pennsylvania +1.5 Bottom Line: Penn has been nothing short of dominant at home where it has won 6 in a row and 8 of its last 9. Butler has struggled on the road where it has lost its last 2 and 4 of its last 6. The Bulldogs are just 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games when matched up against a team with a winning percentage above .600.
|
03-19-12 |
Middle Tennessee St +4.5 v. Tennessee |
|
71-64 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Major NIT SUREFIRE on Middle Tennessee State +4.5 The Key: The Blue Raiders are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. They are also 7-0 ATS when matched up against a team with a winning record this season.
|
03-18-12 |
St. Louis +7.5 v. Michigan State |
Top |
61-65 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy ROUND of 32 GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Louis +7.5 Bottom Line: St. Louis has been at its best against the stiffest competition this season. In fact, it is 6-0 ATS versus very good teams (outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game) this season, and it has defeated these teams by an average of 9.3 points. The Billikens are also a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Defense has been the key to St. Louis' success, and I believe it is far too good defensively not to cover this number. The Billikens rank 8th in the nation in scoring defense, only allowing 57.4 points per game. Take the points.
|
03-18-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 |
Top |
103-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Cavaliers +2.5 Bottom Line: Playing against all teams when the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 3 straight games of allowing opponents to shoot 47% or better - has produced a 32-9 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation have lost by an average of 4.0 points. In addition, the Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the Cavs.
|
03-17-12 |
Colorado v. Baylor -7.5 |
|
63-80 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Baylor -7.5 Bottom Line: I believe Baylor is being undervalued here because of the close game it played with South Dakota State. That game showed the Bears, who are one of the most talented teams in the country, that they'll need to step up their game to make a Final Four run. I fully expect them to do that here. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Pacific-12 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Under coach Drew, Baylor is 62-47 ATS in road/neutral floor games when playing against a team with a winning record. We'll lay the points.
|
03-17-12 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Indiana -6 |
Top |
61-63 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big Dance *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Indiana -6 Bottom Line: VCU will play hard, as it always does, but I'm confident this more talented Indiana squad will be too much in the end. In fact, the Indiana squad has been too much for all 14 of its non-conference foes this season, including Kentucky. Odds makers set spreads for 8 of those games and the Hoosiers covered the number in all 8 while winning by an average of 23.8 points. We'll lay the number.
|
03-17-12 |
New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers -4.5 |
|
102-88 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers -4.5 Bottom Line: Expect the Pacers, who lost by 5 in New York last night, to return the favor here. The Knicks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. They are also 13-5 at home where they have won by an average of 7.7 points.
|
03-16-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +8 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
92-97 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +8 Bottom Line: The T-Wolves will be the more motivated team tonight as they look to snap a 17-game losing streak in the series. They have played the Lakers to 5 and 3-point games in 2 of the season's 3 meetings. Plus, the Lakers could be dealing with some chemistry issues after moving Derek Fisher, Luke Walton and Jason Kapono. The Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Lakers 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-16-12 |
Virginia Cavaliers +4 v. Florida |
Top |
45-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament *PUNISHER* (TNT) on Virginia +4 Bottom Line: Virginia should not be catching this many points. The Cavs have lost 3 of their last 4 but all 3 of those losses came by 3 points to NCAA tourney teams (UNC, FSU, NC St). Florida has lost 4 of 5 with 3 of those losses coming by double figures. When getting ample time to prepare, Virginia has been unstoppable. In fact, it is 6-0 ATS under coach Bennett when playing with 5 or 6 days' rest. It has won by an average of 6.6 points in these games. Also, the Cavaliers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog.
|
03-16-12 |
Texas v. Cincinnati -2 |
|
59-65 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major Early Annihilator (CBS) on Cincinnati -2 Bottom Line: I really feel this is a mismatch with a proven Cincy squad up against an inexperienced Texas team. Texas has been a poor investment all season at just 10-18 ATS in lined games. The Longhorns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Big East and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Big 12 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite.
|
03-15-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Clippers -7 |
Top |
91-87 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Clippers -7 Bottom Line: The Suns have been playing well but have only played one road games since Feb. 19. They have lost each of their last four road contests by an average of 11.5 points. The Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet the Clippers.
|
03-15-12 |
Colorado v. UNLV -5.5 |
|
68-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Major Bailout on UNLV -5.5 Bottom Line: After losing to Northern Iowa and Illinois in the first round of the NCAA tournament the past two seasons, this experienced UNLV squad (returns 4 starters) will be lacking no motivation when it hits the court tonight. The Buffaloes won the Pac-12 tourney, but that feat doesn't exactly impress this season with the league being down so much. UNLV was dominant in non-conference play with impressive wins over North Carolina (by 10) and Cal (by 17). The Buffs, meanwhile, lost to Maryland, struggled to beat Georgia and lost to Colorado State. Expect UNLV's NCAA tourney disappointments the past two seasons to drive them to a comfortable win tonight.
|
03-15-12 |
South Dakota St +8 v. Baylor |
Top |
60-68 |
Push |
0 |
18 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Round of 64 Game of the Year on South Dakota State +8 Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to back South Dakota State at this price with the way it can light it up from three-point range. SD State is 8-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% - over the last 2 seasons, defeating these foes by an average score of 79.2 to 66.5. The Jackrabbits are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Baylor is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game - after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. It is losing to these teams by an average score of 79.8 to 69. The Bears are also just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
03-15-12 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Wichita State -6 |
|
62-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Wichita State -6 Bottom Line: Lightning doesn't strike twice in the same place. In other words, don't expect VCU to make another improbable run in the tourney. The Rams aren't as good as they were a season ago, and they're up against a Wichita State squad that is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pickem over the last 3 seasons. The Shockers have won these games by a whopping 13.9 points on average. Take Wichita State.
|
03-14-12 |
Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls -2.5 |
|
102-106 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
4* Major Monster Matchup (ESPN) on Bulls -2.5 Bottom Line: The Bulls will be lacking no motivation as they look to end a 5-game skid versus Miami. Plus, they get this game at home where they are 17-3, and they get a fatigued Miami squad that just played an overtime game last night. The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record. Also, the Bulls are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less.
|
03-14-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. New Orleans Hornets +5 |
Top |
107-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Hornets +5 Bottom Line: The Hornets catch the Lakers at the right time as LA used a ton of energy in last night's double-OT win. The Lakers have struggled on the road all season. They are even on a 0-5 ATS slide in road games when matched up against teams with losing marks at home. The Hornets have covered the number in 10 of their last 13 when catching points. Pound New Orleans.
|
03-14-12 |
Buffalo v. American +3 |
|
78-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB Play of the Day on American +3 Bottom Line: The Buffalo Bulls are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 6.5 points or less and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite period. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
|
03-13-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Denver Nuggets -5 |
Top |
117-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -5 Bottom Line: The Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Denver has won 4 straight at home against Atlanta with those wins coming by 9.5 points on average. Lay the number.
|
03-13-12 |
Mississippi Valley State v. Western Kentucky -3.5 |
|
58-59 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB Play-in Game *BLOOD BATH* on Western Kentucky -3.5 Bottom Line: The WKU Hilltoppers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. They are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when playing just their 2nd game in 8 days. The Delta Devils, meanwhile, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 0-6 ATS in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
|
03-12-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +4 v. Phoenix Suns |
Top |
127-124 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +4 Bottom Line: The Timberwolves are still a quality team without Rubio. They are more talented than Phoenix top-to-bottom and will prove it here tonight. The Suns defeated the Wolves by 9 points earlier this month, but Minnesota shot just 39.5% from the field in that game. The poor shooting can be attributed to tired legs as that was Minnesota 3rd game in as many days. It is fresher heading into this one and will shoot the ball a lot better. The Wolves are an impressive 17-7 ATS when catching points this season. It is winning by an average score of 99.2 to 98.6 in these games. Look for the Wolves to notch an outright win.
|
03-11-12 |
Atlanta Hawks +1 v. Sacramento Kings |
Top |
106-99 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +1 Bottom Line: I like this experienced Atlanta squad to bounce back from consecutive defeats against the young Kings tonight. Sacramento is coming off a big double-digit win over the reigning NBA champs but is only 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. Atlanta has won 7 in a row against the Kings with those wins coming by an average of 8.6 points. Also, the Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Bet Atlanta in this bounce back spot against a team it has had a great deal of success against.
|
03-11-12 |
Ohio State v. Michigan State +2 |
Top |
64-68 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big Ten Championship *PUNISHER* on Michigan State +2 Bottom Line: Michigan State has been a team on a mission since losing its final two regular season games and sharing the Big Ten title with Ohio State and Michigan. It wants this game to prove it is the best team in the Big Ten and to give itself an opportunity to land a No. 1 seed. A 72-70 loss at home to Ohio State in the season finale will be the motivating force behind a Michigan State victory today. Under coach Izzo, the Spartans are 27-12 ATS when out to avenge a same-season defeat to a foe. They are winning by an average of 7.5 points in these games.
|
03-10-12 |
Indiana Pacers +9.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
91-93 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +9.5 Bottom Line: We may not get the Pacers in a better spot all season. They have had 3 days to get fresh following consecutive defeats, and we can expect maximum effort after losing the season's first two meetings with Miami badly. The Pacers have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games when taking the floor with 3 days' rest or more. The Pacers desperately want to show that they can play with anyone in the East. I think they take a step toward proving that by taking the Heat down to the wire.
|
03-10-12 |
NC State +9 v. North Carolina |
Top |
67-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Conference Tourney *PUNISHER* on NC State +9 Bottom Line: NC State likely still needs a win (or at least a strong showing) to get off the bubble, and that's all the motivation it will need here. The Wolfpack are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games as an underdog. It also bodes well for us that John Henson has a wrist injury and may not be able to go. Even if he's on the floor, he likely won't be as effective.
|
03-09-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers +5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
|
120-108 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 60 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Clippers +5 Bottom Line: The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. They lost to the Spurs by just 3 points in OT on Feb. 18, and I like them to keep this one within the number in this revenge spot.
|
03-09-12 |
Louisville -3 v. Notre Dame |
Top |
64-50 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big East Tourney *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Louisville -3 Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to grab the Cards laying such a small number as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or fewer. The Fighting Irish, meanwhile, are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Notre Dame won the regular season meeting by 2 points, but I expect Louisville to have its revenge here.
|
03-09-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers -113 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
Top |
105-102 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Lakers -113 Bottom Line: After blowing a 12-point lead against Detroit Tuesday and a 21-point lead against Washington Wednesday, the Lakers will be out for blood against a team they have defeated 17 straight times. Playing on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, has produced a 12-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Also, the Lakers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
|
03-09-12 |
New Jersey Nets v. Charlotte Bobcats +3 |
|
83-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +3 Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NBA Atlantic and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite and 4-21-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
|
03-08-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Phoenix Suns +3.5 |
Top |
94-96 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Suns +3.5 Bottom Line: I fully expect the Suns to end their 8-game losing streak to the Mavs tonight. Dallas has dropped its last 4 on the road while Phoenix has won 5 of its last 6 at home and that lone home defeat only came by 2 points. The Mavs are not the same team that won the title last season and yet they are continuing to get that type of respect from odds makers. The Mavericks are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite period. The Suns have covered the number in 5 of their last 6 at home and 7 of their last 10 as an underdog of fewer than 5 points.
|
03-08-12 |
Stanford v. California -185 |
Top |
71-77 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Conference Tournament Game of the year on California -185 Bottom Line: I really like Cal against the spread if you don't want to pay this much juice, but I'm taking the Golden Bears on the money line to eliminate any fluke back door cover from Stanford in the closing seconds (i.e. slop 3-pointer at the buzzer). After losing to Stanford in their last game (and losing a share of the Pac-12 title alone with it), the Bears will be out for blood here. Cal has been a solid investment in bounce back spots at 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a, ATS loss. The Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite and the favored side is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Pound the Bears.
|
03-07-12 |
Houston v. UTEP -3.5 |
|
62-67 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Major on UTEP -3.5 Bottom Line: Playing favorites (UTEP) that have failed to cover the number in 3 or more consecutive games, provided they are matched up against an opponent that has successfully covered the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, has produced a 51-24 ATS record the last 5 seasons.
|
03-07-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +8 |
|
106-104 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bucks +8 Bottom Line: Odds makers are begging for action on the Bulls with this line considering Chicago has won the last 2 in this series by 23 and 19. We won't bite. This is Milwaukee's last chance at the Bulls and they enter very confident following a big win over Philly. Expect the Bucks to keep this one closer than the odds makers think.
|
03-07-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Charlotte Bobcats +7 |
|
99-93 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +7 Bottom Line: The Jazz, who are just 4-13 on the highway, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-07-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Washington Wizards +8 |
|
101-106 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Wizards +8 Bottom Line: The Lakers, who are just 6-13 on the road, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
|
03-07-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Philadelphia 76ers -6.5 |
Top |
71-103 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers -6.5 Bottom Line: Boston is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 on the highway. It's also just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 away games when matched up against a team that has won more than 60% of its home games.
|
03-06-12 |
Houston Rockets +4.5 v. Boston Celtics |
|
92-97 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Rockets +4.5 Bottom Line: The Celtics are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and the Rockets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Boston.
|
03-06-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Detroit Pistons +6 |
Top |
85-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Pistons +6 Bottom Line: A Lakers squad that is just 6-12 on the road this season enters this matchup overvalued following a big win over Miami. L.A. hasn't won by more than 5 points on the road all season and is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 in the road chalk. The Pistons are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog. Pound the Pistons.
|
03-06-12 |
George Washington +9 v. Dayton |
Top |
50-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Atlantic 10 Tourney Punisher on George Washington +9 Bottom Line: GW is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 conference tournament road games. It has won these games by an average score of 73.1 to 69.9. It is also 14-4 ATS in its last 18 road games when out to avenge a loss where it was held to less than 60 points. It is only losing these games by an average score of 67.3 to 65.9. Bet George Washington.
|
03-05-12 |
Gonzaga -2.5 v. St Marys Ca |
Top |
74-78 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy West Coast Conference Game of the Year on Gonzaga -2.5 Bottom Line: After 11 straight seasons of winning the WCC regular season championship, Gonzaga was finally dethroned by St. Mary's. That's not sitting well with the Bulldogs, and they'll be out to prove they're the better team tonight. The Gaels are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games as an underdog, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less.
|
03-05-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 |
|
109-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Play of the Day on Cavs +2.5 Bottom Line: With as poorly as Utah has played on the road (3-13), I won't hesitate to grab the Cavs in the home dog role. They are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points.
|
03-04-12 |
Denver Nuggets +6.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
|
99-94 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Nuggets +6.5 Bottom Line: Denver's dominance on the boards last game is a good sign considering it is 8-0 ATS in road games after a game in which it outrebounded an opponent by 15 or more over the last 3 seasons. It hasn't just won in this situation, it's won by an average of 10.6 points. Also, Denver is 14-5 ATS in road games this season and 23-9 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.
|
03-04-12 |
Ohio State +3.5 v. Michigan State |
Top |
72-70 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Month on Ohio State +3.5 Bottom Line: Michigan State's loss to Indiana opened the door for the Buckeyes to earn a share of the Big Ten and I expect them to take advantage. Michigan State won the first meeting but Matta's teams are 11-1 ATS all-time when out for revenge for an upset home loss. His squads have won by an average of 8.1 points in this situation. Also, Izzo's Spartan's are just 1-11 ATS all-time as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pickem. This trend is relevant because the Spartans opened as a 2.5-3.0 point favorite almost everywhere. Sparty has lost these games by an average of 6.6 points. Pound the Buckeyes.
|
03-03-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Dallas Mavericks -7.5 |
Top |
96-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs -7.5 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Utah following a big win over Miami last night. It's a bounce back spot for Dallas, who is out to snap a 4-game skid. The Mavs are 6-0 SU and ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series with those 6 wins coming by an average of 12.0 points. The Mavericks are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The favorite is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings, and the home team is 24-8-1 ATS in the last 33 meetings.
|
03-03-12 |
Baylor v. Iowa State -1.5 |
|
72-80 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Iowa State -1.5 Bottom Line: Iowa State has been sensational at home where it has won 6 straight, a run that includes an 8-point win over Kansas. The Cyclones are 9-0 all-time at home against Baylor and their last 4 home wins against the Bears have come by an average of 15.8 points.
|
03-03-12 |
North Carolina -1.5 v. Duke |
Top |
88-70 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Year (ESPN) on North Carolina -1.5 Bottom Line: I'm confident UNC will avenge its 1-point loss to Duke. The Tar Heels actually led by 10 points with just a couple minutes remaining before they allowed Duke to rally. They won't take their foot off the gas this time around. The Blue Devils are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Duke. Also, the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound UNC.
|
03-02-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers +10 |
Top |
112-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Cavaliers +10 Bottom Line: Even if an illness keeps Kyrie Irving out, this is a lot of points for the Bulls to be laying on the road. The Bulls handed Cleveland the most lopsided home loss in franchise history six weeks ago, which assures us the Cavs will leave it all on the floor here. The Cavaliers have been a real nice home dog, covering the spread in 7 of their last 9 in the role. We'll pound Cleveland.
|
03-02-12 |
East Tennessee St +12 v. Belmont |
Top |
61-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Conference Tourney *PUNISHER* on E. Tennessee State +12 Bottom Line: The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. The Bruins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. East Tennessee State has only lost to Belmont by more than 12 points 1 time in the last 15 meetings. We'll pound the Bucs.
|
03-01-12 |
Miami Heat v. Portland Trail Blazers +4.5 |
Top |
107-93 |
Loss |
-104 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Trail Blazers +4.5 Bottom Line: Playing on home underdogs in non-conference games that are extremely well rested playing 3 or less games in 10 days has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS mark the last 3 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 3.7 points on average but have won by an average of 1.7. Also, fading Miami when it enters a contest off 3 of more consecutive home wins has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS run. The Heat are losing by an average of 9.1 points in this spot.
|
03-01-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Orlando Magic +1.5 |
|
105-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT SUREFIRE on Magic +1.5 Bottom Line: The Magic will be out for revenge at home tonight as they look to atone for an 8-point loss in Oklahoma City on Christmas. The home team has had the big edge in this series, covering the spread in each of the last 5 matchups. The Magic have won 7 in a row at home against the Thunder/Sonics by an average of 15.0 points.
|
02-29-12 |
Portland Trailblazers v. Denver Nuggets -3 |
|
95-104 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nuggets -3 Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games against the Trail Blazers. Denver has won 6 straight at home in the series by 15.0 points on average.
|
02-29-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz -2.5 |
|
83-104 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Jazz -2.5 Bottom Line: The Jazz are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Rockets are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-29-12 |
Golden State Warriors +7 v. Atlanta Hawks |
Top |
85-82 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Warriors +7 Bottom Line: The Warriors are being undervalued here because of last night's embarrassing loss to Indiana. They are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Expect Golden State to take Atlanta right down to the wire.
|
02-29-12 |
Ohio v. Kent State -2 |
Top |
61-68 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Game of the Year on Kent State -2 Bottom Line: It's been a disappointing season for Kent State, which was the favorite to win the MAC East but a battle with Ohio, who embarrassed the Golden Flashes by 22 in the season's first meeting, will get its competitive juices flowing. The Golden Flashes have won 9 of the last 10 at home in this series with those 9 wins coming by an average of 11.6 points. Also, Kent State is 17-6 ATS when out to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent since 1997. It is 19-3 ATS when out to avenge a same season loss to an opponent since 1997. Pound Kent State.
|
02-28-12 |
Texas Christian v. Wyoming -8 |
Top |
59-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Wyoming -8 Bottom Line: Wyoming is 14-3 at home this season with an average winning margin of 13.3 points. It has also won 6 of its last 7 at home against TCU and the last 4 wins have come by an average of 12.0 points. The Cowboys are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. TCU is riding high after a big upset win over New Mexico and has a big revenge game against SDSU up next. Expect it to fall flat on its face tonight as it gets caught overlooking a team that is very dangerous on its home floor.
|
02-28-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
Top |
97-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Pistons +4 Bottom Line: After getting clobbered by the 76ers in the season's first two meetings in Philly, look for the Pistons to take the floor with focus and hunger tonight. The 76ers have lost 5 in a row by an average of 8.6 points. Considering they're recent struggles, I don't believe they are worth of laying this many points on the road. The 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less. We'll take the points for insurance but I like Detroit to win this one outright.
|
02-28-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +14 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
95-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +14 Bottom Line: The Hornets have covered the spread in 6 straight games and yet they continue to be undervalued by odds makers. An embarrassing 23-point loss to Chicago on Feb. 8 has fueled the Hornets' solid play of late and they will be out for revenge tonight. Prior to that loss, Chicago hadn't won by more than 11 points in 4 straight meetings in this series. We'll take the Hornets and the points.
|
02-27-12 |
Kansas v. Oklahoma State +9 |
Top |
70-58 |
Loss |
-104 |
12 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy *Primetime Punisher* (ESPN) on Oklahoma State +9 Bottom Line: Revenge has been a strong play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when out to avenge a road loss to a foe and have won these games by an average score of 65.4 to 64.0. Also, recent history suggests this is too many points for Kansas to be laying on the road. The Jayhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games when valued as a favorite of 7.0 to 12.5 points.
|
02-26-12 |
Iowa v. Illinois -5.5 |
Top |
54-65 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Week on Illinois -5.5 Bottom Line: Illinois has lost 6 in a row but it will be willing to leave it all on the floor against an Iowa squad that has endured 5 consecutive setbacks on the highway by an average of 15.8 points. The Fighting Illini have won 6 in a row against the Hawkeyes by an average of 11.2 points. They have also won 10 in a row at home in the series with those wins coming by an average of 13.0 points. Iowa guard Matt Gatens have absolutely gone off the last 2 games with 30 and 33-point efforts, and the Hawks needed everyone of those points to fend off late rallies from Indiana and Wisconsin. I just can't see him keeping it up on the road against an Illinois team with enough athletes to make life very difficult for him. Lay the points.
|
02-25-12 |
Missouri v. Kansas -7.5 |
Top |
86-87 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Year (CBS) on Kansas -7.5 Bottom Line: Hungered by a bitter 74-71 defeat in Columbia, MO on Feb. 4 in which the Jayhawks blew an 8-point lead with 2:00 minutes remaining, and with a chance to notch an eighth consecutive Big 12 title, expect Kansas to roll this afternoon. Kansas is 14-0 at home this season with a 22.8-point average margin of victory. Also, the Jayhawks are a perfect 8-0 ATS under coach Self when out to avenge a close loss of 3 points or less to an opponent. They have won these games by a whopping 19.4 points on average. Bet Kansas.
|
02-24-12 |
Marquette v. West Virginia -107 |
Top |
61-60 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on West Virginia -107 Bottom Line: WVU needs a resume-boosting win and I like its chances here. Coach Huggins is a proven motivator and he won't have any trouble getting his kids ready to play following Wednesday's embarrassing 71-44 loss to Notre Dame. Huggins' teams are 14-2 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997. They have won by an average score of 79.1 to 63.4 in this situation. Also, his WVU teams are 9-2 ATS off an embarrassing road loss in which they were held to less than 60 points. They've bounced back to win by an average score of 78.3 to 62.6 in this situation. The home team has won the last 6 meetings and WVU's 3 home wins during this span have come by an average of 11.7 points. Take the Mountaineers.
|
02-23-12 |
New York Knicks v. Miami Heat -9.5 |
Top |
88-102 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Heat -9.5 Bottom Line: Miami is 14-2 at home and those 14 wins have come by an average of 15.5 points. These wins haven't just come against cupcakes either. The Heat have double-digit wins at home over the Pacers, Spurs, Lakers, 76ers, Magic and Knicks. The Knicks are an improved team with Lin at the point, but they have benefited from a soft schedule. Lin is yet to face a defensive team like the Heat, and I expect him to struggle. Miami has rattled off 7 straight wins by an average of 16.9 points, and it will be out to prove to everyone that the Knicks have been overhyped.
|
02-22-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks +11.5 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
91-110 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bucks +11.5 Bottom Line: The Bucks played the Bulls to a 7-point game in Chicago last month and I like them to keep this one closer than the odds makers think as well. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 11.0 points or more while the Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 11.0 points or more.
|
02-22-12 |
Atlanta Hawks +7.5 v. New York Knicks |
Top |
82-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +7.5 Bottom Line: The Hawks are dealing with some injuries and have lost back-to-back games but shouldn't be catching this many points. Atlanta's last two losses came in Portland (arguably the toughest place to play in the West) and at Chicago (arguably the best team in the East). It will be excited to go to battle against a Knicks team that plays no defense. NY is 1-10 ATS in home games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 108.5 to 99.5 in this situation. Bet the Hawks.
|
02-22-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Charlotte Bobcats +6 |
|
102-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +6 Bottom Line: The Pacers, who are 1-9 ATS in their last 10, shouldn't be getting this much respect on the road, especially against a team that will be out for blood following embarrassing losses in Indiana in the season's first two meetings. The Pacers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-21-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers -4 |
Top |
97-137 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Trail Blazers -4 Bottom Line: Odds makers expect San Antonio's 11-game win streak to come to an end tonight, and so do I. The Spurs have lost their last 6 in Portland and those losses have come by 8.2 points per game. With this in mind, the Blazers are showing good value as just a 4-point fave. Bet bet Blazers.
|
02-21-12 |
New Mexico v. Colorado St +6 |
Top |
63-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *Underdog Shocker* on Colorado State +6 Bottom Line: Colorado State was defeated by 33 at New Mexico, but it is a completely different team at home where it has won 11 straight. The Rams are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS over the last 2 seasons when out to avenge a road defeat to a foe. Bet the Rams.
|
02-20-12 |
Washington Wizards +6 v. Phoenix Suns |
Top |
88-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +6 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Suns following last night's satisfying revenge win against the Lakers. The Wizards have 2 days' rest on their side and will be hungry to end a 9-game skid in the series. Phoenix has constantly been overvalued against weak competition and this remains the case this evening. The Suns are 0-9 ATS in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 2 seasons. It is barely winning these games by an average score of 108.0 to 107.9.
|
02-20-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Houston Rockets -3 |
|
93-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Rockets -3 Bottom Line: The Rockets have lost their first two meetings with the Grizzlies but both of those were in Memphis. Expect the Rockets to have their revenge at home where they are 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS. Houston has won 10 in a row at home against the Grizzlies with those 10 wins coming by an average of 12.2 points.
|
02-20-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +11.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +11.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder have won the first 2 meetings of the season by 10 points each, and I don't see them winning by more than that here. New Orleans have the benefit of 2 days' rest while Oklahoma City played an overtime game Sunday. The Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days' rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.
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02-19-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns +3 |
|
90-102 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
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4* Major on Suns +3 Bottom Line: The Lakers have defeated the Suns twice this season but both wins have come in LA. The Lakers haven't shown they can be trusted on the road where they are 5-10 SU and 4-11 ATS this season. The Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games when laying points. Take Phoenix in this double revenge spot.
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02-19-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers +1 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
Top |
91-92 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +1 Bottom Line: Look for Philly to bounce back strong here against a team it has defeated 3 straight times by an average of 17.7 points. Under coach Collins, the 76ers are 10-0 ATS after a playing a game in which 165 total points or less were scored. The Sixers have won by an average score of 100.6 to 85.6 in this situation. Also, Minnesota is only 1-8 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Take Philly.
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02-19-12 |
Boston Celtics -5.5 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
81-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
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4* Major on Celtics -5.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for Boston which lost SU and ATS at Detroit Wednesday. It bodes well for us that Boston followed that loss up with another SU and ATS loss to Chicago because the Celtics are 19-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. They are winning by an average of 9.6 points in this situation. Also, the Celtics are 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit.
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02-18-12 |
Ohio State v. Michigan +5.5 |
Top |
51-56 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Year (ESPN) on Michigan +5.5 Bottom Line: Michigan is 14-0 at home this season where it has wins over ranked foes Wisconsin, Michigan State and Indiana. I believe the Wolverines add Ohio State to the list today. The Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or fewer. Plus, they have a major advantage from beyond the arc where they average 8 makes on 23 attempts (Ohio State only average 5 makes on 15 attempts). This is significant because the Buckeyes are 0-10 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Take Michigan.
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02-18-12 |
Golden State Warriors +5.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
103-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 47 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Warriors +5.5 Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to back the Warriors catching 5.5 points even after last night's double-digit loss in Oklahoma City. Consider that Golden State is 28-9 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 108.2 to 107.4 in these games. In addition, the Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Grizzlies are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Take Golden State.
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02-18-12 |
Dayton v. Xavier -7.5 |
|
83-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
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4* Major on Xavier -7.5 Bottom Line: With 7 days to prepare and motivated by a lackluster performance at Temple last game and an embarrassing 15-point loss at Dayton last month, expect the Musketeers to continue their home dominance in this series. Going back to 1998, Xavier has won 14 in a row at home against the Flyers with those wins coming by an average score of 77 to 66. The Musketeers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, and the favorite is 15-7 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Lay the points.
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02-17-12 |
Phoenix Suns +8.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
99-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 53 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Bailout on Suns +8.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers are one of the most frequently overvalued teams because of their huge public following. They have especially been overvalued at home on Friday nights as odds makers look to take advantage of the public's love affair with this team. As a result, LA is just 5-18 ATS in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. We'll take the points.
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02-17-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Philadelphia 76ers -3 |
Top |
82-75 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on 76ers -3 Bottom Line: I'm confident Dallas' absences will be too much to overcome this evening. The Mavs are expected to be without Delonte West, Rodrique Beaubois and Jason Terry, which really only leaves the aging Jason Kidd to deal with Philly's deep backcourt. Also, playing on home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) off a road loss by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), has produced a 41-16 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation have won by an average of 8.3 points. Take the 76ers.
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02-17-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +7 v. Toronto Raptors |
|
98-91 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
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4* Major on Bobcats +7 Bottom Line: The last 2 times the Raptors have been favored by 5.5 points or more they lost straight up to New Jersey and Sacramento. Charlotte is bad, but the Raptors have not proven they can be trusted laying this many points. The Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Toronto.
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02-16-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls -8 |
Top |
80-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -8 Bottom Line: I really like the Bulls in this spot. Playing against road teams (BOSTON) off a double-digit loss in a game in which they were favored by 6 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, has produced a 24-5 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting the parameters of this system have lost by an average of 10.7 points. Also, this system is a spotless 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Losing at Boston Sunday can't be sitting well with the team with the best record in the East. Even if Rose can't go, I like Chicago in this revenge spot. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Celtics are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Lay the points.
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02-15-12 |
Denver Nuggets +7 v. Dallas Mavericks |
|
84-102 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
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4* Major on Nuggets +7 Bottom Line: The Nuggets have some momentum on their side following back-to-back wins and will be hungry to pay the Mavs back for last week's loss. Denver 21-6 ATS in its last 27 road games and 21-5 ATS in its last 26 games as an underdog. Also, the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points.
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02-15-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets +4 |
|
95-96 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
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4* Major on Rockets +4 Bottom Line: Expect the third time to be the charm for the Rockets, who have lost their first two with OKC this season. Houston is 10-3 at home this season and has only lost to the Sonics/Thunder by more than 4 points once in the last 14 home meetings in this series. The home team has certainly been the play considering it is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
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02-15-12 |
Sacramento Kings +6.5 v. New York Knicks |
Top |
85-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* Game of the Month on Kings +6.5 Bottom Line: The Knicks are due for a major letdown following last night's buzzer-beating win in Toronto. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games at Madison Square Garden. Also, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the points.
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02-14-12 |
UNLV v. Texas Christian +8.5 |
Top |
97-102 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on TCU +8.5 Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for UNLV, which is coming off a big win over San Diego State and has a big showdown at New Mexico Saturday. TCU will be lacking no motivation here as it was crushed by 23 at UNLV last month. The Runnin' Rebels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, and I don't see them covering this hefty number versus a TCU squad with an 11-2 home mark.
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