Basketball Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
01-03-15 |
Providence v. Marquette -1.5 |
|
66-75 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR BIG EAST *BLOOD BATH* on Marquette -1.5 Bottom Line: Look for Marquette to bounce back strong against Providence following a tough loss at DePaul. The Golden Eagles are a perfect 7-0 at home versus Providence since they began competing in the Big East Conference. None of these wins have come by fewer than 7 points. Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3 playing against road teams that have beaten the spread by 18 or more points total in their last 3 games has resulted in a 19-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons if they are up against a team that has gone under the total by 18 or more total points in their last 3 games. Bet Marquette.
|
01-03-15 |
Connecticut v. Florida -9.5 |
|
63-59 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NON-CONFERENCE *MARQUEE MATCHUP* (CBS) on Florida -9.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for Florida, which lost to UConn in last season's Final Four. The Gators are an impressive 114-89 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under coach Donovan, including 39-27 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Florida is on a 65-38 ATS run after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.
|
01-02-15 |
Detroit Pistons v. New York Knicks +3 |
|
97-81 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +3 Bottom Line: Detroit is being overvalued following 3 straight wins. It is just 1-8 ATS as a favorite this season. The Knicks lost ugly to the Blazers and Clippers in their last 2 but are 26-9 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 points or more since 1996. The Knicks are 8-0 in their last 8 home games versus the Pistons.
|
12-31-14 |
Marquette v. DePaul +4.5 |
Top |
58-61 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH on DePaul +4.5 Bottom Line: Marquette is 0-7 ATS the last 3 seasons in road games following 2 consecutive double-digit wins and has lost these games by an average of 7.0 points. Additionally, DePaul is 14-5 ATS in home games against teams with win percentages of 60-80% under coach Purnell. Pound DePaul.
|
12-30-14 |
Phoenix Suns v. New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 |
|
106-110 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans -1.5 Bottom Line: This is a challenging spot for Phoenix, which will be playing a 3rd road game in 5 days and this one comes after a long cross-country trip from LA. The Suns also have a big revenge game in Oklahoma City tomorrow so they could be peeking ahead to that one. New Orleans has had the last 2 days off so it should be the fresher team. It should also be the hungrier side as it tries to end 4-game losing streak to the Suns. The Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record.
|
12-30-14 |
Pennsylvania +11.5 v. La Salle |
|
67-84 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Penn +11.5 Bottom Line: LaSalle is 2-10 ATS since 1997 after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. The Explorers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 versus Ivy League opponents and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. They are 10-24 ATS in non-conference home games under coach Giannini and 27-41 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under their current coach. The road team is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Playing road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are an average shooting team (42.5-45%) playing against a good defensive team (40-42.5%) has resulted in a 70-33 ATS record since 1997, provided the play on team allowed a shooting percentage of 55% or higher last time out.
|
12-29-14 |
St. Joe's v. Denver -4.5 |
|
73-77 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB HOME COURT *SUREFIRE* on Denver -4.5 Bottom Line: After giving Colorado State all it wanted, Denver suffered a letdown and lost to lowly Bryant. It was the kind of loss that gets the blood boiling. The Pioneers lost at St. Joe's by 1 points last season so they will draw added motivation from that. Home court has been good to Denver. It is 56-36 ATS in lined home games under coach Scott, including 23-10 ATS as a home favorites of 6 points or less or pickem. Additionally, Scott's teams are 7-0 ATS all-time in home games following a game where they shot 20% or worse from beyond the arc. They've won these seven by an average of 9.3 points.
|
12-29-14 |
Portland v. BYU -10 |
|
88-97 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH on BYU -10 Bottom Line: This may seem like a lot of points for 10-4 BYU to be laying against 10-3 Portland, but this is a tough spot for Portland. The Pilots are playing their 2nd road game in 3 days. BYU is also playing a 2nd game in 3 days but has been at home the entire time, and that makes quick turnarounds much easier. The Cougars are 12-4 ATS in home games when playing a 2nd game in 3 days under coach Rose, and they have won these games by 23.0 points on average. BYU is 5-0 in its last 5 home games versus Portland with these wins coming by an average of 15.0 points.
|
12-29-14 |
Sacramento Kings v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 204.5 |
Top |
99-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Kings/Nets UNDER 204.5 Bottom Line: Playing the UNDER on a team that has finished over the total in at least its last 2 games has resulted in a 108-58 (65%) record the last 5 seasons if that team is playing an opponent that has finished over the total in at least its last 4 games. Additionally, playing the UNDER on a road team when the total is 200 or higher has resulted in a 72-38 (66%) record since 1996 if the road team averages 102 PPG or more and is playing a team that averages 92-98 PPG, and if the road team allowed 55 points or more in the 1st half in its last 2 games. Pound the UNDER.
|
12-28-14 |
Toronto Raptors v. Denver Nuggets +2.5 |
|
116-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for Toronto playing without rest in high altitude. The difficulty of this spot is magnified by the fact it is off a big win and has a bigger game on deck. The Nuggets are 29-10 ATS in their last 39 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Denver is 14-4 ATS at home the last 3 seasons versus very good teams that outscore their opponents by 6 PPG or more, and it has defeated these teams by an average of 1.4 points.
|
12-28-14 |
Rutgers v. Monmouth -2.5 |
|
59-58 |
Loss |
-102 |
3 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Monmouth -2.5 Bottom Line: Monmouth is coming off a pathetic performance against Saint Francis-New York. However, playing favorites that return all 5 starters and are off a game where they were held to 60 points or fewer has resulted in a 161-97 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Rutgers defeated Saint Francis-NY at home earlier this season by 3 points yet it is an underdog to a team that was just crushed by the same opponent? It appears odds makers are begging for money on Rutgers. Take Monmouth.
|
12-27-14 |
Indiana Pacers v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 191 |
|
110-85 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Pacers/Nets UNDER 191 Bottom Line: Lionel Hollins is a defensive-minded coach and can't be happy with yesterday's performance in Boston. The Nets got the win but allowed the Celtics to score 107 points on 51.7% shooting. Hollins has been able to make the proper adjustments and motivate his team following poor defensive game. The Nets are 8-0 under his watch after allowing 105 points or more and are holding opponents to only 94.0 in this spot.
|
12-26-14 |
Charlotte Hornets +6.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
75-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hornets +6.5 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from OKC following a big Christmas Day win in San Antonio. The Hornets are playing their best basketball of the season, and they'll be more rested and more prepared for this contest. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a win, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams with a losing record and 4-0 ATS in their 4 road games. Charlotte is 10-1 ATS in December road games under coach Clifford. Pound the Hornets.
|
12-25-14 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Miami Heat +5.5 |
Top |
91-101 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY CHRISTMAS *BEST BET* on Heat +5.5 Bottom Line: This line is inflated due to a combination of Cleveland's back-to-back blowout wins and covers and Miami's ugly loss to the 76ers. This will be an emotional game for LeBron James as he returns to the place he won 2 Championships. He struggled mightily in the season opener in his return to Cleveland and I believe his emotions will also get the better of him in this one. I also expect a big effort from the Heat as they look to show LeBron that he would have been better off staying in South Beach. At the end of regulation, Cleveland has won by more than 5.5 points in just 3 of 11 road games this season. Miami has been a great bounce-back team this season at 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following a loss. Pound the Heat.
|
12-23-14 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +14 v. Cleveland Cavaliers |
Top |
104-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on T-Wolves +14 Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game of the Cavs, which are off a big blowout win over Memphis and have a Christmas day showdown at Miami on deck. I don't see them giving the lowly T-Wolves their full attention tonight. Playing against home favorites after a game where they shot 60% or better has resulted in a 26-6 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Additionally, Tuesday night double-digit dogs that have a win percentage of 25% or worse on the season are 104-59 ATS since 1996. Pound Minnesota.
|
12-23-14 |
Arkansas State v. Niagara +2 |
|
74-69 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Niagara +2 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back wins over Mississippi State and Marshall, Arkansas State will be looking right past a Niagara team it blew out last season. I'm playing the revenge angle here as this is the first home game for the Purple Eagles since Dec. 6, and they'll be ready to get their revenge in front of their home crowd. Arkansas State is 19-36 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite under coach John Brady, including 6-17 ATS the last 3 seasons.
|
12-22-14 |
Providence v. Miami (FL) -1.5 |
|
76-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Miami -1.5 Bottom Line: Look for Miami to bounce back strong following an ugly loss to Eastern Kentucky. The Hurricanes managed only 44 points on 29.3% shooting, but they are on a 13-1 ATS run when playing away from home after a game where they made 33% of their shots or less. They are on a 6-0 ATS run in games played away from home after being held to 55 points or less. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss.
|
12-22-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Houston Rockets -3.5 |
Top |
95-110 |
Win
|
102 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA Pre All-Star Break GAME OF THE YEAR on Rockets -3.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Rockets, who were bounced by Portland in six games in last season's playoffs. What stings even worse is how they lost. It looked like Houston was going to force a Game 7, then Damian Lillard nailed a three-pointer as time expired. You just don't forget losses like that, and this is the first meeting since. Houston will be ready. The Rockets have been a much better play than Portland when facing quality competition. The Rockets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60% while the Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Houston.
|
12-21-14 |
Indiana Pacers v. Minnesota Timberwolves +3 |
|
100-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on T-Wolves +3 Bottom Line: When the line is +3 to -3, playing a team that has allowed 105 points or more in 2 straight games has resulted in a 28-7 ATS record since 1996, provided their opponent is off a game where 165 points or less were scored. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, teams off 2 straight double-digit defeats are 46-18 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are playing a team that is off a game where both it and its opponent scored 90 points or less. Grab the points.
|
12-21-14 |
Southern Mississippi v. Georgia State -18.5 |
|
55-68 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Georgia State -18.5
Bottom Line: The Panthers will be highly motivated following a loss at Old Dominion, and they'll show no mercy to a So. Miss team they lost to last season. The Panthers have played just 2 home games this season and won both handily. The 24-point win over Wisconsin-Green Bay was very impressive. So. Miss is 0-3 on the road this season and has been smacked by 23 and 20 points in its last 2 road games. The Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.
|
12-20-14 |
Indiana Pacers +4 v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
73-76 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers +4 Bottom Line: Playing road teams that are out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more to an opponent, provided that opponent checks in off a home win, has resulted in a 41-12 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Off a big win over the Clippers last night, Denver will have a tough time getting past a more motivated and better rested Indiana squad. Pound the Pacers.
|
12-20-14 |
Penn State v. Drexel +7 |
|
73-68 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Drexel +7 The Key: Penn State is getting a little too much respect in this neutral floor contest. The Nittany Lions have been a terrible investment at 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games overall. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. These teams have played two like opponents this season and had very similar results. Drexel defeated Cornell by 2 points, Penn State defeated Cornell by 1. Drexel lost to USC by 2 points, Penn State defeated USC by 2 points. The results of those games show me this line is being inflated due to Penn State's overall record (10-2) versus Drexel's overall record (2-7). Grab the points.
|
12-19-14 |
Chicago Bulls +6.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
103-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Bulls +6.5 Bottom Line: Memphis is being overvalued following back-to-back big wins over Golden State and San Antonio. The Bulls have been outstanding on the road where they are 11-4, and they are an incredible 17-5 ATS in Friday night road game over the last three seasons. Playing underdogs that are outscoring opponents by 3 PPG or more on the season and are matched up against a team that is coming off a close win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 46-21 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound the Bulls.
|
12-19-14 |
St. Mary's +7 v. St. John's |
|
47-53 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Saint Mary's +7 Bottom Line: Look for St. Mary's to give St. John's all it wants and more tonight. The Gaels got caught in a sandwich last game, losing to Northern Arizona, as they were off a big win at Creighton and had this contest on deck. The loss assures us they will be even more motivated. The Gaels are 11-3 ATS off a home loss of 3 points or less under coach Bennett. There is also another factor at play that can't be ignored. St. John's is 3-19 ATS after committing 8 turnovers or less under coach Lavin.
|
12-18-14 |
Seton Hall v. South Florida +6 |
|
89-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on South Florida +6 Bottom Line: Seton Hall is being overvalued here because it is 8-0 ATS in lined games this season. That's the type of streak the public takes notice of and the type of streak the books like to use against the public. The Pirates are 8-1 but have been aided by a schedule that has included just 1 road game to this point. The home team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. It is also 8-2 in the last 10 with neither of the losses coming by more than 5 points. That creates a perfect 10-0 matchup trend given the number we are getting here.
|
12-17-14 |
Houston Rockets v. Denver Nuggets +1.5 |
Top |
115-111 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +1.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Nuggets, who were defeated by double digits in Houston Saturday. I expect home court to make the difference as the home team is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall, including 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 at home. These 4 wins came by an average of 12.0 points. Pound the Nuggets.
|
12-17-14 |
New Mexico State +13.5 v. Baylor |
|
55-66 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on New Mexico State +13.5 Bottom Line: Baylor is being overvalued at home. The Bears haven't played since Dec. 9, and I expect to see some rust. The Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last six versus Western Athletic Conference opponents. The Aggies are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record.
|
12-17-14 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Detroit Pistons +6.5 |
|
117-106 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *PUBLIC MASSACRE* on Pistons +6.5 Bottom Line: The public doesn't want any part of a Pistons team that is 5-20 on the season, but this is a good spot for them. The Mavs played in New York last night while the Pistons had the night off so I expect Detroit to be the fresher side. The Mavs will also be tempted to peak ahead to their next opponents - San Antonio. The Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest.
|
12-16-14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings +7.5 |
Top |
104-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on Kings +7.5 Bottom Line: The Kings are 17-4 ATS the last 3 seasons following a stretch of 8 or more losses in a 10-game span. They are also on a 32-16 ATS run as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9.0 points. Playing against favorites in a game involving teams with a +/- 3.0 PPG scoring differential, provide they are off a blowout win of 15 points or more, has resulted in a 73-35 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound Sacramento.
|
12-16-14 |
Northern Arizona +14 v. St. Mary's |
|
73-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Northern Arizona +14 Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for St. Mary's. The Gaels are coming off a big win over Creighton and they have another big showdown at St. John's on deck so I don't think they'll give Northern Arizona their full attention. The Gaels are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a cover. The Lumberjacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record. Take the points.
|
12-15-14 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Phoenix Suns -5 |
|
96-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Suns -5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Milwaukee as it hits the road following a big upset win over the Clippers. The Bucks are 4-14 ATS off an upset victory over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 12.3 points in this spot. The Suns have owned the Bucks at home to the tune of 16-1 since 1997. The Suns have won these games by an average score of 110 to 100. Bet Phoenix.
|
12-15-14 |
Troy State v. Austin Peay -2.5 |
|
70-73 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 0 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Austin Peay -2.5 Bottom Line:Austin Peay just played Saturday, but it is 36-25 ATS in home games when playing with 1 or no days of rest under coach Loos. The Governors will be lacking no motivation after a bad loss to Lipscomb. They are 28-17 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses under Loos. The Troy Trojans are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. Bet Austin Peay.
|
12-14-14 |
Utah Jazz +11 v. Washington Wizards |
|
84-93 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +11 Bottom Line: Off a big win over the Clippers, it's going to be tough for Washington give the Jazz its full attention. I expect enough of a letdown from the Wizards for Utah to be able to keep this one within a generous number. Double digit dogs off 2 or more consecutive OVERS are 43-15 ATS the last 5 seasons, provided they average 92-98 ppg and are playing a team that allows 92-98 ppg. Additionally, Utah is 11-0 ATS the last 3 seasons in road games after 2 or more consecutive OVERS. Bet the Jazz.
|
12-14-14 |
Fordham +16 v. St. John's |
|
53-74 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Fordham +16 Bottom Line: Fordham will be the more motivated team Sunday afternoon as it looks to save face following last year's 104-58 loss to St. John's. Prior to that defeat, Fordham had covered 4 straight against the Red Storm while playing them to within 11 points in the previous 3. The Rams are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 non-conference games while the Red Storm are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus Atlantic 10 foes. Steve Lavin's teams are a miserable 63-94 ATS as a favorite since 1997.
|
12-13-14 |
Northern Iowa v. VCU -7 |
Top |
87-93 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY CBB GAME OF THE WEEK on VCU -7 Bottom Line: This is a bad scheduling spot for Northern Iowa, playing 2 road games in 4 days. VCU has had a week to prepare, and it has lacked no focus as it looks to pay the Panthers back for last season's upset loss in Cedar Falls. Playing against road underdogs or pickems in the 1st 10 games of the season that return all 5 starters and held their last opponent to 55 points or less has resulted in a 29-12 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have lost by an average of 11.9 points. Pound VCU.
|
12-12-14 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Washington Wizards +2.5 |
Top |
96-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Wizards +2.5 Bottom Line: The Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games versus teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage greater than .600. Playing against road favorites that have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games, provided they have a win percentage of 75% or better and are playing a winning team, has resulted in a 63-27 (70%) ATS record since 1996. Pound Washington.
|
12-12-14 |
Texas Southern +26 v. Florida |
|
50-75 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Texas Southern +26 Bottom Line: Texas Southern has had over a week to get ready for the Gators and will also benefit from having already stepped on the floor with Indiana, Tennessee, SMU and Baylor. Texas Southern had performed well against quality competition before getting kicked at Baylor last time out, but that loss works in our favor. Road teams off a road loss where they were held to 60 points or less, provided they have a win percentage of 20% or worse on the season, has resulted in a 93-49 (65.5%) ATS record the last 5 seasons. The Gators are off a 38-point win over Yale but are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a win, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a win of more than 20 points and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
|
12-11-14 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 204.5 |
|
94-103 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA on TNT "Total" DOMINATOR on Cavs/Thunder UNDER 204.5 Bottom Line: The Under is 6-0-1 in Cavaliers' last 7 games when playing on 1 days' rest, 3-0-1 in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 5-0-1 in their last 6 versus NBA Northwest opponents and 6-0 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The Under is 6-1 in Thunder's last 7 home games and 22-8 in their last 30 overall. The Under is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings, including 4-1-1 in the last 6 in OKC.
|
12-11-14 |
DePaul v. George Washington -10 |
|
68-81 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB DOUBLE DIGIT *BLOOD BATH* on George Washington -10 Bottom Line: This may seem like books are asking too much of GW against a 6-1 DePaul team, but I don't think so. This is the first road trip outside Chicago this season, and that makes this a tough spot for the Blue Demons. DePaul has won 4 in a row, all by 11 points or more, but that actually plays in our favor. Playing against road dogs or pickems that have won 3 in a row by 10 points or more has resulted in a 90-47 ATS record the last 17 years, provided they average 76 or more ppg and are playing a team that allows 63 or less ppg. DePaul is yet to see a team that can get after it defensively the way GW does. Pound the Colonials.
|
12-10-14 |
Fairleigh Dickinson +18.5 v. St. John's |
|
52-74 |
Loss |
-112 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Fairleigh Dickinson +18.5 Bottom Line: Riding high off a big win at Syracuse to jump into the Top 25, St. John's won't give Fairleigh Dickinson its entire focus. Road underdogs in the 1st 10 games of the season that return 2 starters and were held to 25 points or less in the 1st half last game are 53-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Johnnies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 20-31 ATS when laying points with Lavin as head man.
|
12-10-14 |
Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Hornets -2.5 |
Top |
87-96 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY EASTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on Hornets -2.5 Bottom Line: The Hornets have the edge at home against a Boston team that has lost 5 of its 1st 7 road games. Charlotte has been resting comfortably at home all month and has had 4 full days to prepare for the Celtics. Boston is playing for the 3rd time in 4 days with its most recent one going to double OT so it will be showing some fatigue. The Celtics have been awful on defense this season, especially on the road where they are giving up 110.3 ppg. They are 15-26 ATS after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 Wednesday games and 18-8 ATS in their last 26 versus NBA Atlantic division foes. Pound Charlotte.
|
12-09-14 |
Sacramento Kings v. Los Angeles Lakers -2.5 |
|
95-98 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers -2.5 Bottom Line: Sacramento's ball movement has suffered without Cousins in the post, and that has corresponded to losses. The Kings have dropped 4 of 6 since Cousins went down with an illness, and I don't like their chances here. The Lakers are on a 19-4 ATS run versus teams that average 20 or fewer assists per game. The Lakers have won 5 straight at home in the series.
|
12-09-14 |
Miami Heat +4.5 v. Phoenix Suns |
Top |
103-97 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Heat +4.5 Bottom Line: Fatigue will be an issue for Phoenix, which is playing a 4th game in 5 days and went to OT last night in LA. Playing against home teams that have lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games and are playing a 4th game in 5 days has resulted in a 139-86 ATS record since 1996. This system has gone 15-6 ATS the last 3 seasons. Pound the Heat.
|
12-09-14 |
UMKC +23.5 v. Iowa State |
Top |
56-73 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on UMKC +23.5 Bottom Line: Off a dominant performance against Arkansas and with a big rivalry game in Iowa City on deck, Iowa State will get caught looking past a UMKC squad it demolished by 59 points last season. The Kangaroos are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Iowa State is on a 10-22 ATS slide versus teams with a win percentage of 20-40%. Playing against double-digit road underdogs in the first 10 games of the season that were held to 25 points or less in the 1st half of their last game, provided they return just 2 starters, has resulted in a 66-36 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Take the points.
|
12-08-14 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers |
|
108-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -110 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Hawks playing a second game of a back-to-back versus a team that has had the last 2 days off. Playing against underdogs that allow 99 ppg or more on the season but have allowed 85 points or less their last 2 games has resulted in a 28-7 ATS record the last 18 seasons, including a perfect 8-0 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound the Pacers.
|
12-07-14 |
Denver Nuggets +5.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
84-96 |
Loss |
-103 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +5.5 Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to Denver's 30-point loss in Washington combined with Atlanta's 23-point win in Brooklyn. Prior to that, Denver had been playing outstanding basketball, and I expect it to come storming back against a team it's had a great deal of success against. Based on a number of +5.5, the Nuggets are 6-2 SU and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Atlanta. Playing against home teams that led by 20 points or more at halftime of their previous game has resulted in a 99-56 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Playing on road teams off a blowout loss of 15 points or more, provided they average 103 ppg or more on the season, has resulted in a 124-71 ATS record the last 18 seasons.
|
12-06-14 |
New Orleans Pelicans +9.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
100-120 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +9.5 Bottom Line: Look for the Pelicans to come storming back following Thursday's ugly 27-points loss to Golden State. The Pelicans are 33-16-3 ATS in their last 52 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Clippers have been overvalued at home a lot lately, especially when rested. They are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Pound the Pelicans.
|
12-06-14 |
Wisconsin Green Bay +10.5 v. Miami (FL) |
Top |
68-55 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY CBB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Wisc.-Green Bay +10.5 Bottom Line: This is a very dangerous game for Miami. Wisc.-GB is an experienced team, and it will be livid after getting murdered by Georgia State. The Phoenix return 4 starters from a team that defeated Virginia last season. They are 29-10 ATS when playing with 1 day of rest or none under coach Wardle and 15-6 ATS under their current coach when playing a 2nd road game in 3 days. Don't be surprised if they shock the Hurricanes.
|
12-05-14 |
Houston Rockets v. Minnesota Timberwolves +7 |
Top |
114-112 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Timberwolves +7 Bottom Line: Look for Houston to get caught looking ahead tonight. The Rockets are prime for a letdown following a win over Memphis and with a tough game against Phoenix on deck tomorrow. They have already defeated the Timberwolves by double-digits this season so they will be thinking they can just show up and win. Minnesota, however, just lost to the worst team in the league, and I'm expecting an inspired effort in the aftermath of that. The Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 1 days' rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record. Pound Minnesota.
|
12-05-14 |
Florida International +29.5 v. Louisville |
|
57-82 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *SUREFIRE* on Florida International +29.5 Bottom Line: Riding high off a big win over Ohio State, motivation will be an issue for Louisville as it takes on an FIU squad it defeated by 29 last season. The Cardinals are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 lined home games and just 27-40 ATS in home games in December under Pitino. The Golden Panthers are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 road games, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the ACC and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 20 points.
|
12-04-14 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. New York Knicks +7 |
|
90-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +7 Bottom Line: Even bad teams tend to get up for national TV spots, and I fully expect the Knicks to get up for LeBron and company tonight. The Knicks are an impressive 15-5 ATS in their last 20 Thursday TNT games. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Cavs have only 1 win of more than 6 points on the road this season. Grab the points.
|
12-03-14 |
Toronto Raptors v. Utah Jazz +4 |
Top |
123-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4 Bottom Line: This is a difficult spot for Toronto, which is playing its 2nd road game in as many nights and it's 3rd in 4 days. It has a big showdown with Cleveland on deck so it will be easy to peek ahead to that one since it handled Utah easily at home last month. The Jazz will be the fresher team having had yesterday off. They'll also be the more motivated squad as they look to end a 6-game slide and avenge that earlier loss in Toronto. The Raptors are 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Pound Utah.
|
12-03-14 |
Villanova v. La Salle +11 |
|
84-70 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on La Salle +11 Bottom Line: The odds makers have missed their mark here. La Salle is 27-14 ATS all-time as a double-digit underdog under coach Giannini. Additionally, playing December double-digit dogs that are off an upset loss has resulted in a 223-141 (61.3%) ATS record since 1997.
|
12-03-14 |
Old Dominion v. George Mason +4 |
|
75-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB LETDOWN GAME OF THE WEEK on George Mason +4 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Old Dominion in its first true road game of the season following Saturday's big upset win over VCU. Old Dominion shot the lights out from 3-point range in their last game, but teams headed up by Jeff Jones are 0-7 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3-point shots or better since 1997. Teams headed up by Paul Hewitt are 24-11 ATS all-time as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem.
|
12-03-14 |
Butler v. Indiana State +7.5 |
Top |
77-54 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY CBB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana State +7.5 Bottom Line: Indiana State is difficult to beat at home and is very difficult to defeat by a wide margin. By my count, the Sycamores have lost by fewer than this number in 41 of their last 45 home games. Home court has been huge in this matchup with the home team going 3-0 in the last 3, 5-1 in the last 6 and 10-2 in the last 12. Only 1 time during this span has the home team lost by more than 7.5 points. Pound Indiana State.
|
12-02-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Denver Nuggets +3.5 |
|
105-103 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets +3.5 Bottom Line: Denver has lost the season's first 2 meetings with Portland handily, but that was before it started its current 8-2 run. I like the Nuggets to have their revenge tonight at home. The Nuggets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games, 43-21-1 ATS in their last 65 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
|
12-02-14 |
Nebraska-Omaha v. Kansas State -13 |
|
66-84 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BLOOD BATH* on Kansas State -13 Bottom Line: K-State has lost its last 2 with the most recent being an ugly 70-47 loss to Pitt. I expect the Wildcats to come storming back at home. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss or more than 20 points. They are also 8-0 ATS in home games versus teams that average 77ppg or more under coach Weber.
|
12-02-14 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Detroit Pistons -1.5 |
|
106-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pistons -1.5 Bottom Line: Following a big upset win over Toronto, expect the Lakers to suffer a letdown as they hit the road for the first time since Nov. 21. Detroit has underachieved to this point given the level of talent it has on the roster. After playing 6 straight games against teams with winning records, and losing all 6, the Pistons will be going after a win tonight with all they've got. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
|
12-02-14 |
Boston Celtics +7.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
Top |
105-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +7.5 Bottom Line: The Hawks are the more rested team having had the last 2 days off while the Celtics just had yesterday off. Fresh legs have done Atlanta no good against the number as it is 6-25 ATS in its last 31 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Boston has shown the ability to score the basketball, and that makes it an attractive dog here. Playing underdogs that average 103 or more ppg that are taking on a team that has scored 100 points or more in 3 straight games has resulted in a 96-45 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound Boston.
|
12-01-14 |
Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz +3 |
Top |
103-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +3 Bottom Line: Look for the Jazz to bounce back at home following Saturday's 112-96 loss to the Clippers. The Jazz are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 1 days' rest. The Nuggets are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 versus the Western Conference and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the NBA Northwest division. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Utah.
|
12-01-14 |
Oral Roberts +5.5 v. Weber State |
|
61-62 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Oral Roberts +5.5 Bottom Line: This game is about revenge for Oral Roberts, which still has 6 players on the roster from the team that lost to Weber State in the 2013 CIT Quarterfinals. The Wildcats are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a cover. Road underdogs or pickems with a win percentage of .200 to .400 that are playing their 3rd game in a week and are playing another team with a losing record are 296-194 ATS since 1997.
|
11-30-14 |
Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets +3.5 |
|
102-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 0 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +3.5 Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to fade the Bulls following Friday's win in Boston as they are 0-7 ATS this season off a road win, losing these contests by an average of 4.2 points. The Nets will be the fresher side as they have had the last 3 days off. Playing home teams off a road win over a division opponent that are playing only their 2nd game in 5 days has resulted in a 36-14 ATS record the last 5 seasons.
|
11-30-14 |
Western Michigan +2.5 v. San Diego |
|
68-66 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Western Michigan +2.5 Bottom Line: Western Mich lost by 7 at San Diego Nov. 24, but I expect it to have its revenge in this neutral court rematch. The Broncos are 12-3 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent, winning by an average of 9.3 points in these contests. They are also 11-3 ATS the last 3 seasons in games when the line is +3 to -3, winning these contests by an average of 8.2 points.
|
11-29-14 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Utah Jazz +6 |
Top |
112-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +6 Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to grab the points with the Jazz as I expect them to take the Clippers right down to the wire. LA has played 5 road games the last 7 days, and I think it runs out of gas against a Utah squad that has had the last 2 days off. The Jazz have won or lost by fewer than 6 points in 34 of their last 36 home games against the Clippers. Pound Utah.
|
11-29-14 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Philadelphia 76ers +12.5 |
|
110-103 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA SUPER SYSTEM *SUREFIRE* on 76ers +12.5 Bottom Line: The 76ers will have no trouble getting up for this game. They are still searching for their first win of the season and were humiliated by Dallas earlier this month. Philly has shown improvement with their last 3 losses coming by 10 points or less, and it should be feeling good physically after having the last 2 days off. I see Dallas having a hard time getting up for this one after yesterday's big win in Toronto. Playing against double-digit road favorites that are outscoring opponent by an average of 9.0 ppg or more on the season has resulted in a 51-22 ATS record since 1996. This system is already 1-0 this season and 6-1 the last 3 seasons.
|
11-29-14 |
George Washington +3 v. Seton Hall |
|
54-58 |
Loss |
-107 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on George Washington +3 Bottom Line: Seton Hall is 4-0 SU and ATS but has played a soft schedule to this point. It takes a big step up in competition here and will likely suffer its first loss as a result. George Washington has stepped on the floor with Virginia and will benefit from taking on such a high-caliber opponent. Seton Hall is 3-11 ATS the last 3 seasons in home games versus good teams that are outscoring opponents by 4.0 ppg or more on the season. The Pirates have lost to such teams by 5.5 points on average.
|
11-28-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Charlotte Hornets +9 |
|
106-101 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Hornets +9 Bottom Line: Playing against road teams with a good defense that has held opponents to an average of 41% shooting or worse on the season, provided they have held each of their last 3 opponents to 42% or worse, has resulted in a 74-34 ATS record since 1996. This system shows the way good defensive teams tend to be overvalued on the road.
|
11-28-14 |
Monmouth +16 v. Maryland |
|
56-61 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Monmouth +16 Bottom Line: Playing road underdogs of 10-19.5 points in the first 10 game of the season that return 2 more starters than their opponent has resulted in a 40-15 ATS record since 1997, provided they were outscored by 4.0 ppg or more last season. These teams have been underdogs of 15.0 point on average but have lost by only 12.2 points. This system illustrates the way teams that weren't very good last year are undervalued early in a new season.
|
11-26-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Orlando Magic +9 |
|
111-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Magic +9 Bottom Line: I expect the Warriors to show some fatigue tonight. They are playing their 2nd road game in as many nights and their 3rd in 4 nights. The Magic had yesterday off and should be the fresher side. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 1 day of rest and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games versus teams with a winning record. The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Orlando, and the home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
|
11-26-14 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 |
Top |
103-86 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Timberwolves +1.5 Bottom Line: Heavy legs will be an issue for the Bucks as they hit the road, where they are 3-5, after playing at home last night. Minnesota will be very fresh having had the last 3 days off. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a losing home record while the Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Timberwolves are an outstanding 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 versus NBA Central division foes, and they've had plenty of success against Milwaukee, going 23-11 SU & 22-10-2 ATS in the last 34 meetings. The Wolves have won 4 straight in the series and should be able to make it 5 in a row in this advantageous scheduling spot. Pound Minnesota.
|
11-26-14 |
Cleveland State +23 v. Louisville |
|
33-45 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *PUBLIC MASSACRE* on Cleveland State +23 Bottom Line: This is a flat spot for Louisville. The Cardinals just defeated Savannah State by 61 points. That same Savannah State team defeated Cleveland State by 4 points 2 days earlier. With that knowledge and a little time off for Thanksgiving after this game, I don't see Louisville being focused enough to cover this number. The Vikings are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
|
11-25-14 |
Sacramento Kings v. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 203.5 |
Top |
99-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Kings/Pelicans UNDER 203.5 Bottom Line: We saw 206 points scored when these teams met last week, but I expect defensive adjustments to be made and this one to come in comfortably under the number. Eric Gordon scored 17 points in that contest but won't be available here. The Kings aren't an overly aggressive defensive team. They prefer to pack it in and force opponents to wind down the shot clock. That bodes very well for us as their approach slows down the game and prevents easy transition opportunities for the opposition. The numbers support this too as the Kings are 17-5 UNDER after 4 straight games of forcing 14 turnovers or less under coach Malone. Rebounding is a big part of unders plays. The Kings are one of the best in the league on the boards and that limits second chance opportunities for their opponents. When the total is 200 or higher for a Tuesday game, playing the UNDER on a team like Sacramento that outrebounds its opponents by an average of 3.0 per game or more has resulted in a 61-29 record over the last 5 seasons. Pound the UNDER.
|
11-25-14 |
Nebraska-Omaha v. Nebraska -15 |
|
67-80 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BLOOD BATH* on Nebraska -15 Bottom Line: Nebraska Omaha just upset Marquette on the road so there's no chance that Nebraska will be overlooking the Mavericks, especially off a loss at Rhode Island. The Cornhuskers are on a 9-0 ATS run in home games against teams with a winning record. Omaha is 1-11 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that give up 64 ppg or less and has lost to these teams by 19.4 points on average.
|
11-24-14 |
San Francisco -6.5 v. Hawaii |
|
88-73 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BLOOD BATH* on San Francisco -6.5 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Hawaii as it is off a big upset win over Pitt and is playing away from home for the first time this season. The Dons are an impressive 38-15-1 ATS in their last 54 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60%. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. The Dons are 10-2 ATS since 1997 following 2 straight wins of 15 points or more.
|
11-24-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 199.5 |
|
114-104 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Blazers/76ers OVER 199.5 Bottom Line: Portland has been playing well defensively, but it will have a difficult time digging in at the defensive end after playing yesterday. It will also be hard for Portland to get up for the lowly 76ers, and defense is typically what suffers most in unmotivated spots. Philly is is 32-16 OVER in home games following a game that went under the total over the last 3 seasons. It is 25-12 OVER in home games played in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Blazers are 14-3 OVER in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins under coach Stotts.
|
11-23-14 |
Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers +2 |
|
101-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers +2 Bottom Line: The Nuggets aren't the same team outside of Denver, going 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. They are just 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 versus the Western Conference and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The Lakers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record.
|
11-23-14 |
Golden State Warriors v. Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5 |
|
91-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Thunder +8.5 Bottom Line: It will be tough for the Warriors to get up for an OKC team that doesn't have Durant or Westbrook on the court. The Thunder have been competitive at home where they don't have a single loss by more than 7 points. OKC is 60-38 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points under coach Brooks and 23-8 ATS under Brooks after having lost 8 or more of its last 10 games.
|
11-23-14 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Boston Celtics +6 |
Top |
94-88 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +6 Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade Portland. The Blazers are on a 12-26 ATS slide after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. The Celtics are 9-1 in the last 10 home meetings in the series. Pound Bean Town.
|
11-23-14 |
Florida Atlantic +15 v. Georgia |
|
61-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Florida Atlantic +15 Bottom Line: Georgia is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite under coach Fox. The Bulldogs have lost these games by an average of 1.1 points. The Bulldogs are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 versus Conference USA.
|
11-22-14 |
New Mexico State v. UTEP -5.5 |
|
76-77 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on UTEP -5.5 Bottom Line: UTEP lost both of last season's meetings with New Mexico State so it will be highly motivated here. The Miners are a phenomenal 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games overall, including 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. NM State hasn't defended that well in the early going, which bodes well for us six UTEP is on a 6-0 ATS run versus teams allowing opponents to shoot 45% or better from the field. The Aggies haven't been sharing the ball well either, which is significant because UTEP is on an 8-0 ATS run versus teams averaging 12 assists per game or less.
|
11-22-14 |
Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks +3 |
Top |
111-100 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +3 Bottom Line: This will be a tough encore for Washington after upsetting Cleveland last night. The Wizards are on a 5-16 ATS slide in road games off an upset win of 10 points or more at home. Kidd has shown he can make proper adjustments and motivate his teams after they take it on the chin. His teams are 13-3 ATS off a road loss of 10 points or more. Pound Milwaukee.
|
11-22-14 |
Toronto Raptors v. Cleveland Cavaliers -3 |
|
110-93 |
Loss |
-104 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Cavs -3 Bottom Line: LeBron James and company will be extremely motivated after losing a 3rd straight last night. The Raptors kicked Milwaukee last night, but they are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 10 points and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without rest. The Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Raptors.
|
11-21-14 |
Phoenix Suns v. Philadelphia 76ers +9.5 |
|
122-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR NBA *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on 76ers +9.5 Bottom Line: The 76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Suns are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record. Plays on any team off 2 straight double digits losses that is up against a team that is off a game where both it and its opponents scored 90 points or less has resulted in a 46-17 ATS record the last 5 seasons.
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11-21-14 |
Boston University +30.5 v. Kentucky |
|
65-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
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4* MAJOR CBB *SUREFIRE* on Boston +30.5 Bottom Line: After a completely dominant 32-point win over Kansas, there's no way the Wildcats will take Boston U seriously. The Wildcats are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 20 points. They are 9-26 ATS under coach Cal after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less. The Terriers are 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 road games.
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11-20-14 |
Chicago Bulls v. Sacramento Kings -1 |
|
88-103 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
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4* MAJOR NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings -1 Bottom Line: The Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Kings and have been obliterated by scores of 121-79 and 99-70 in their last 2 visits to Sacramento. The Bulls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a cover while the Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS defeat. The Kings have cooled off following a hot start, but their cool off coincided with a 4-game road trip. And, it's not like they've played poorly. They played Memphis to a 1-point game on the road. This is their final home game before 4 more on the road so they'll be looking to finish their 3-game home stand with a winning record. Bet the Kings.
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11-20-14 |
Drexel +10 v. Miami (FL) |
|
46-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 41 m |
Show
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4* MAJOR CBB *SUREFIRE* on Drexel +10 Bottom Line: Playing against neutral court favorites or pickems that averaged 53 or less shots per game last season and are off a game where they made 50% or more of their 3-point shots has resulted in a 31-7 ATS record since 1997. Plus, this is a letdown spot for Miami following a big win at Florida.
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11-19-14 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Brooklyn Nets -6 |
|
122-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
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4* MAJOR NBA DOUBLE DIGIT *BLOOD BATH* on Nets -6 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Bucks playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back on the road against a highly motivated team. Brooklyn is 10-0 ATS the last 3 seasons after 2 straight losses of 10 points or more and has won these 10 by 12.4 points on average.
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11-19-14 |
Phoenix Suns v. Detroit Pistons +3 |
Top |
88-86 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
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5* WISEGUY NBA UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK on Pistons +3 Bottom Line: The Pistons are showing exceptional value in the home underdog role as this has been a matchup dominated by the home team. The home squad is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings with an average winning margin of 11.0 points. Pound the Pistons.
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11-19-14 |
Charlotte Hornets +2.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
86-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
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4* MAJOR NBA BOUNCE-BACK *PUNISHER* on Hornets +2.5 Bottom Line: The Pacers have been a bad play off a big win. They are only 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games following a victory. The Hornets were hammered by Dallas last game but are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
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11-18-14 |
New Orleans Pelicans +3 v. Sacramento Kings |
|
106-100 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +3 Bottom Line: Playing underdogs that are outscoring opponents by 3.0 ppg or more on the season and are matched up with a team that is off a close win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 45-21 ATS record the last five seasons. Bet New Orleans.
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11-18-14 |
Montana +17 v. Boise State |
|
67-72 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
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4* Major CBB *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Montana +17 Bottom Line: Boise State is being overvalued at home as it so often is. The Broncos went 2-11 ATS as a home favorite or pickem last season and are on a 0-7 ATS skid at home following a game where they covered the spread. Grab the points.
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11-17-14 |
Louisiana-Lafayette v. Tulsa -7 |
|
53-64 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
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4* Major CBB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Tulsa -7 Bottom Line: Look for Tulsa to be highly motivated after getting upset at Oral Roberts in its opener. The Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games. Lousiana-Lafayette made easy work of an inferior opponent in its opener but is 1-9 ATS in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons. TULSA is also on a 14-5 ATS run as a favorite. Lay the points at the Golden Hurricane take this one by double digits.
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11-17-14 |
Denver Nuggets +12.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers |
Top |
106-97 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +12.5 Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Cleveland, which already has a comfortable win over Denver and has the reigning champs up next. Not only is this a revenge spot for Denver, it's a bounce-back spot after yesterday's 16-point loss at New York. Playing double-digit road dogs off a loss of 15 points or more that are up against a team that has posted a combined score of 215 points or more in 2 straight games has resulted in a 27-6 ATS record since 1996. Pound the Nuggets.
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11-16-14 |
Hampton +22 v. Syracuse |
|
47-65 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 45 m |
Show
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4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on Hampton +22 Bottom Line: The Orange took care of business in their opener with a 47-point win over Kennesaw State but are now being overvalued as a result. The Orange are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a win of more than 20 points and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Pirates are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Grab the points as Hampton keeps this one closer than the odds makers think.
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11-16-14 |
Denver Nuggets v. New York Knicks -1 |
|
93-109 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 18 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks -1 Bottom Line: The Knicks will leave it all on the floor to end their 7-game losing streak. This is their last home game before they hit the road for 2 straight and 5 of 6, and they don't want to bring a losing streak on the road with them. The home team has had the edge in this matchup, going 4-0 in their last 4 and 9-1 in the last 10. Expect this trend to continue.
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11-15-14 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
|
117-131 |
Loss |
-106 |
13 h 30 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Super System *SUREFIRE* on T-wolves +11.5 Bottom Line: The T-wolves fit neatly into a system that has performed exceedingly well. Consider that plays on road teams that average 98-102 ppg have resulted in a 73-32 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are playing a team that allows 98-102 ppg and if they've allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games. Additionally, the Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. The road team is 35-16 ATS in the last 51 meetings, and the Timberwolves are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Dallas.
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11-15-14 |
Orlando Magic v. Washington Wizards -8.5 |
Top |
93-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 0 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Wizards -8.5 Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Orlando, which will be playing for the 4th time in 5 days and the 8th time in 12 days. Washington had 3 days of rest prior to its last game and 2 days of rest prior to this one. It gets 3 more days off after this game so it has no reason to hold anything back. The Wizards won in Orlando by 7 points earlier this season, but that win was the 2nd game of a road back-to-back. This is a much better spot. The Wizards are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the Magic with these wins coming by an average of 9.6 points. The Wizards are also 5-0 in their last 5 home games against the Magic with these victories coming by 14.4 points on average. Pound Washington.
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11-14-14 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Boston Celtics +6 |
|
122-121 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +6 Bottom Line: Cleveland is getting too much respect from odds makers. The Cavs really have only 1 quality win on the season, an OT win in Chicago. The Celtics also have a win in Chicago and didn't need extra time to pull it off. Rose wasn't playing when the Celtics beat the Bulls, but this line is still off the mark. Everyone seems to be giving this Cavs team their best shot, and I expect no different tonight. Playing underdogs that average 103 ppg or more that are up against a team that has scored 100 points or more in 3 straight games has resulted in a 94-51 ATS record the last 5 seasons.
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11-14-14 |
Denver Nuggets +3.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
Top |
108-87 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Nuggets +3.5 Bottom Line: Indiana beat Miami in its last game, but it is a very poor 9-23 ATS in its last 32 games following a win. The Pacers are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games, 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games versus teams with a losing record and 12-31 ATS in their last 43 games when playing on 1 day of rest. Denver is coming off a pair of double-digit defeats to Portland. However, road teams off 2 straight double-digit defeats are 26-6 ATS the last 5 seasons if their opponent is coming off a game where both it and its foe scored 90 points or less. This system is 15-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Pound Denver.
|
11-14-14 |
Minnesota +8 v. Louisville |
|
68-81 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Major CBB Opening Night *MARQUEE MATCHUP* (ESPN) on Minnesota +8 Bottom Line: Minnesota enters the season with tons of confidence and momentum after capturing the NIT championship. Both teams play a similar style, and Minnesota has the veteran guards, seniors Andre Hollins (13.6 points) and DeAndre Mathieu (12.0), to handle Louisville's pressure. The Golden Gophers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games, and the Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 versus the Big Ten.
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