Basketball Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
02-14-12 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +3 |
Top |
105-90 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +3 Bottom Line: This is an extremely difficult spot for the Heat, who will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days. The Pacers will have the benefit of 2 days' rest and are guaranteed to leave it all on the floor as they face a 4-game losing streak. The Pacers have won 7 of 10 at home on the season and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The underdog is an incredible 22-8-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings. We'll pound the Pacers.
|
02-13-12 |
Utah Jazz v. New Orleans Hornets +4 |
Top |
80-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +4 Bottom Line: The New Orleans Hornets, who have lost 8 in a row, want a win in the worst possible way. Fortunately, they find themselves in an ideal spot tonight. The Hornets have had 2 full days to prepare while the Jazz just played Sunday. The prep time is key considering New Orleans is 43-25 ATS in its last 68 home games when playing on 2 days' rest. It's winning by an average score of 99.4 to 94.6 in this situation. The Hornets will be lacking no confidence in this one either since they played the Jazz to a 4-point game in Utah last month and since the Jazz are just 3-7 on the road this season. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two, and I expect this trend to continue.
|
02-13-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +5 v. Orlando Magic |
|
89-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Magic +5 Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have been consistently good on the road this season and have covered the number in 8 of their 11 road contests as a result. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-12-12 |
Washington Wizards +6 v. Detroit Pistons |
Top |
98-77 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Wizards +6 Bottom Line: Detroit is getting too much respect here. It has been favored just 3 times all season, and it lost straight up in the 2 games it was favored by 5 points or more. The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Take the points.
|
02-12-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Boston Celtics +3 |
|
91-95 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Celtics +3 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back loss, the Celtics will be hungry for a win this afternoon, especially against a Bulls team they lost to last month. The Celtics have won 10 of their last 13 at home against the Bulls, and they are a terrific 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-11-12 |
New York Knicks v. Minnesota Timberwolves -6 |
Top |
100-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves -6 Bottom Line: The Knicks are riding as high as they have all season having rattled off 4 straight wins despite injuries to Melo and Stoudermire. Lin-sanity is getting out of control and I expect the T-Wolves to hand the Knickerbockers a reality check this evening. The T-Wolves are the more talented team and will be lacking no motivation following consecutive defeats. They've won 2 straight, 6 of their last 7 and 11 of their last 14 at home against the Knicks. Their 2 most recent home wins in the series have come by 21 and 9 points. Lay the number.
|
02-11-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Charlotte Bobcats +10.5 |
|
111-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +10.5 Bottom Line: This is a great situational spot for Charlotte against an LA club that will be playing its 7th game in 11 days. Playing on home underdogs of 10 or more points (CHARLOTTE) - after a game in which they failed to cover the spread, well rested team playing 4 or less games in 10 days, has produced a 27-7 ATS record since 1996. Teams in this situation are only losing by an average of 4.9 points. This system is 7-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.
|
02-11-12 |
San Diego St v. UNLV -9.5 |
Top |
63-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Mountain West Conference Game of the Year on UNLV -9.5 Bottom Line: Odds makers are looking to catch the public in a major trap here. SDSU is rated higher than UNLV in the polls and yet it is getting nearly double digits? Exactly! The Aztecs have overachieved all season and I expect the bottom to fall out down the stretch. SDSU was pounded by 17 in its last road game at Colorado State, and I expect a similar result here. The Runnin' Rebels are 13-0 at home where they are winning by 23.2 points on average, and they will show no mercy as they are out to avenge a 2-point loss to the Aztecs. UNLV dominated a very good New Mexico squad at home by 15 points and also crushed Colorado State by 19. The Rebs even beat UNC - arguably the most talented team in the country - by 10 on a neutral floor. Lay the points.
|
02-10-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz +1.5 |
|
101-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Jazz +1.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder are incredible fatigued. We saw it down the stretch last night when they blew a lead and lost to Sacramento. This will be their 7th game in 10 days this month. Utah, meanwhile, has had 2 fulls days to prepare for this one. The Jazz are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days' rest, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-10-12 |
Dallas Mavericks -129 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
104-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Mavericks ML Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Mavs, who have dropped the first two meetings with Minnesota this season. Considering the road team is 21-5 ATS in the last 26 meetings, I won't hesitate to back Dallas here. Plus, the Timberwolves are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
|
02-10-12 |
Indiana Pacers +1.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
92-98 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake Game of the Month on Pacers +1.5 Bottom Line: I really believe the odds makers have the wrong team favored here. The Pacers have 4 more wins on the season and haven't lost back-to-back games all year. The Grizzlies have lost 7 of their last 10 and aren't the same team without Zach Randolf, who is their best player. Plus, the Pacers have been really good on the road where they have wins over the Celtics, Lakers, Bulls, Magic and Mavs. The Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Pound the Pacers.
|
02-09-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings +7 |
|
101-106 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Kings +7 Bottom Line: The Kings have been way undervalued of late and have covered the number in 6 straight as a result. They continue to be undervalued here against a fatigued Oklahoma City squad playing its 6th game already this month. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and we'll grab them in the home dog role tonight.
|
02-09-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns -3.5 |
|
96-89 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Suns -3.5 Bottom Line: The Suns have won 4 in a row at home against the Rockets by an average of 6.5 points. Plus, Houston is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 at Phoenix. The Suns are playing well and they'll be lacking no motivation after losing by 18 in Houston Friday. Also, the Suns have the big edge at point guard with Kyle Lowry expected to miss with an elbow injury.
|
02-09-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 v. Boston Celtics |
Top |
88-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Lakers +3.5 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, I expect LA to show up in a big way tonight. Boston has won 9 of 10 but none of those wins have come against elite teams. The Lakers have won three straight and five of six in Boston during the regular season. Boston is just 9-30 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take the Lakers.
|
02-08-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +1.5 v. Denver Nuggets |
|
105-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Mavs +1.5 Bottom Line: Denver has caught a hard case of the injury bug, which opens the door for the Mavs tonight. The loss of Danilo Gallinari especially hurts. He posed the biggest matchup problems for the opposition. The Mavs were embarrassed by the Nuggets in their second game of the season so they'll take great joy in returning the favor here. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
02-08-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Atlanta Hawks -3 |
Top |
87-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Month on Hawks -3 Bottom Line: Off 3 consecutive losses, at home no less, the Hawks will be out for some serious revenge tonight. It is also to their benefit that the Pacers just played last night. Indy is just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games when playing on 0 days' rest. The Hawks have won 8 in a row at home against the Pacers and each of those 8 wins have come by at least 4 points.
|
02-08-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +7 |
|
92-99 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Cavs +7 Bottom Line: Chauncey Billups' injury deals the Clippers a considerable blow. LA wasn't overly deep to begin with and it will really miss its most clutch performer. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
|
02-07-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors +2.5 |
|
119-116 |
Loss |
-103 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors +2.5 Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Thunder, who used a lot of energy in last night's overtime win in Portland. The Warriors haven't played since Saturday and they'll be hungry to avenge last month's home loss to the Thunder. The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing without a day of rest and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Take Golden State.
|
02-07-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Milwaukee Bucks -7 |
Top |
107-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks -7 Bottom Line: This is a really good spot for the Bucks, who haven't played since Saturday. They'll be a lot fresher than the Suns, who just played in Atlanta last night. Milwaukee is 7-3 at home where it has an 11-point win over the Lakers and an 8-point win over the Heat. The fact the Bucks are coming off consecutive losses actually works in our favor. That's because Milwaukee is 29-12 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Scott Skiles. Lay the number.
|
02-06-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5 v. Portland Trailblazers |
|
111-107 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Thunder -1.5 Bottom Line: Portland has been nearly unstoppable at home, but Oklahoma City has the horses to get the job done tonight. The fact the Blazers upset the Thunder in OKC in the season's first meeting bodes well for us considering the Thunder are 16-3 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. We'll take the Thunder in this revenge spot.
|
02-06-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 |
Top |
89-84 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Southwest Division Game of the Year on Grizzlies -1.5 Bottom Line: The Spurs have struggled away from home where they have fallen in 8 of 11 this season. They have also lost 5 of their last 6 in Memphis. San Antonio has won the first 2 meetings in the 2011-12 season but that actually bodes well for us considering Memphis is 19-8 ATS when playing with double revenge over the last 2 seasons. The Spurs are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games and 2-10-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series. It is also worth noting that San Antonio is now the slight favorite at some books. This encourages me to note that the Spurs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. Bet Memphis.
|
02-06-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Atlanta Hawks -7 |
|
99-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hawks -7 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses at home and also looking to snap a 3-game slide against Phoenix, there's no doubt in my mind the Hawks will be ready to play tonight. The Suns are a lousy 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and a poor 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600.
|
02-04-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz -2 |
Top |
87-96 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Jazz -2 Bottom Line: Expect a ferocious effort from the Jazz tonight as they look to bounce back from consecutive defeats and to avenge a pair of losses to the Lakers. It has been a strong play of late to fade the Lakers in the road underdog role, and we won't hesitate to do so here as they are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when catching points away from home. It should also be noted that the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. We'll lay the deuce with the Jazz in this incredibly motivated spot.
|
02-04-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -3 |
|
96-107 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Spurs -3 Bottom Line: The Thunder won the first meeting in the season series at home, but I expect the Spurs to return the favor on their home floor this evening. San Antonio went 36-5 at home last season and it has picked up where it left off with a 12-1 home mark early on this year. The Spurs have won 3 in a row at home in the series by an average of 13.0 points. The Thunder were pushed to the limit by Memphis last night while the Spurs were resting. That also plays in our favor.
|
02-04-12 |
Oakland +1 v. Western Illinois |
Top |
74-70 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Summit League Game of the Year on Oakland +1 Bottom Line: Oakland had won 10 in a row over Western Illinois before suffering a 10-point home loss to the Leathernecks on Jan. 5. As if that loss alone isn't enough motivation, the Golden Grizzlies enter this contest off consecutive narrow defeats. These events set up a terrific spot to back Oakland, who is an awesome 22-6 ATS in road games against conference opponents under coach Kampe. It should also be noted that Oakland is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 14 or less 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. It has defeated these foes by an average score of 79.3 to 68.1. In addition, W. Illinois is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. It's losing to these teams by an average score of 63.4 to 56.6. Take Oakland.
|
02-03-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +8.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
94-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Grizzlies +8.5 Bottom Line: The fact Memphis dropped the first 2 meetings in the season series works in our favor considering it is 18-8 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. an opponent - over the last 2 seasons. It's winning by an average score of 100.7 to 97.0 in this spot.
|
02-03-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Detroit Pistons +4.5 |
Top |
80-88 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division Game of the Year on Pistons +4.5 Bottom Line: Hungry to end a 7-game skid and even more motivated by losing the season's first 2 meetings with Milwaukee, I expect the Pistons to put forth an impressive effort tonight. This is a bad sandwich game for the Bucks, who are coming off a big win over Miami and will be looking ahead to a date with Chicago tomorrow. The Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Pistons are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Pound the Pistons.
|
02-03-12 |
Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors -4 |
|
89-106 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Raptors -4 Bottom Line: The Wizards are 23-49 ATS in their last 72 games as an underdog, 16-36 ATS in their last 52 road games, 15-36 ATS in their last 51 games as a road underdog and 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Off consecutive blowout defeats and looking to pay the Wizards back for a double-digit loss last month, we'll ride the Raptors at home in this incredible motivated spot.
|
02-02-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Golden State Warriors -5 |
|
101-119 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Warriors -5 Bottom Line: Considering Utah has a 1-point win at Golden State earlier this season, the books clearly want the money coming in on Utah judging by the line. Utah has lost 4 of 6 on the road this season and those 4 losses have come by at least 15 points. Plus, Stephen Curry did not play in the season's first meeting. Lay the points with the Warriors.
|
02-02-12 |
Denver Nuggets +1.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
Top |
112-91 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Nuggets +1.5 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, and with one of those defeats to the Clippers, Denver will be out for cold hard revenge this evening. The Nuggets are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 road games, 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog and 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog. Also, the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series. Take Denver.
|
02-02-12 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Sacramento Kings +3.5 |
|
92-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Kings +3.5 Bottom Line: Portland hasn't shown it can be trusted on the road period, let alone laying points. The Trail Blazers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-01-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Portland Trail Blazers OVER 183 |
|
68-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on Bobcats/Blazers OVER 183 Bottom Line: Plays Over on road teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - after 4 or more consecutive losses and playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 31-6 the last 5 seasons. We've seen an average total of 185.3 in this situation but we've seen an average total score of 196.4 points. Take the Over.
|
02-01-12 |
Miami Heat -6.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
|
97-105 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Heat -6.5 Bottom Line: Expect the Heat to get revenge for their Jan. 22 home loss to Milwaukee. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge against a team that is coming off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival are 47-20 ATS since 1996. Teams in this situation are winning by an average of 8.7 points. You might also like to know that this system has produced a 7-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons.
|
02-01-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
95-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Thunder +1.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder were not at all happy about the way they played Monday, calling it their worst performance of the season. As if that isn't enough motivation, the Thunder will draw more incentive from a 100-87 loss at Dallas on Jan. 2. OKC is 8-0 ATS in road games when out to avenge a road loss to an opponent since the beginning of last season. It has won these games by an average of 5.4 points.
|
01-31-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +13 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
73-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Bobcats +13 Bottom Line: The Lakers, who have a huge public following, are annually one of the most overvalued teams in the NBA. They are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 14-37 ATS in their last 51 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Bobcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater. The underdog is 12-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series. Also, the Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 matchups with the Lakers at Staples Center.
|
01-31-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Memphis Grizzlies +1 |
Top |
97-100 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies +1 Bottom Line: I fully expect Memphis to bring its 4-game skid to an end tonight at home, where it is 34-16-1 ATS in its last 51 games and 15-4 ATS in its last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Memphis.
|
01-31-12 |
New Jersey Nets +9.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
99-106 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nets +9.5 Bottom Line: The road team has dominated this series to the tune of 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue. The Nets have really been undervalued following any loss and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a defeat as a result. It's been the opposite for the Pacers, who are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a victory.
|
01-30-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +7 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
120-108 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Timberwolves +7 Bottom Line: The T-Wolves are a more talented team than the Rockets now that Michael Beasley is back in the lineup, and they'll be very hungry tonight after a poor performance against Houston a week ago. The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
|
01-30-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +13 v. Miami Heat |
|
95-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +13 Bottom Line: The Hornets catch Miami at a good time as it is coming off an emotionally and physically draining win over the Bulls. Plus, the Hornets are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater while the Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater.
|
01-30-12 |
Orlando Magic +7 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
69-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Magic +7 Bottom Line: After getting embarrassed in their last 2 games, I like the Magic to show up and give the 76ers a game tonight. The Magic are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
|
01-29-12 |
Chicago Bulls +4.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
93-97 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Bulls +4.5 Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to side with Chicago here considering underdogs that has won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a good team (60% to 75%), are 95-48 ATS since 1996. These teams have been underdogs of 3.8 points on average but have lost by just 1.4 points on average. The Bulls, who are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less, have had this one circled ever since getting knocked out of the playoffs by Miami last season. That series loss will be the motivation behind a strong effort this afternoon. Take the points.
|
01-29-12 |
Utah v. USC -12.5 |
Top |
45-62 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Year on USC -12.5 Bottom Line: By making USC, who has lost 9 in a row, a double-digit fave, odds makers clearly want the money coming in on Utah. Here's why. The Utes are 0-10 when playing away from home this season, losing these games by an average of 25.0 points. The Utes have lost their 7 true road games by 21, 30, 29, 40, 3 and 27 points for an average losing margin of 26.6. The Utes are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and USC is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games 15 or more games into the season versus poor teams that are outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game. It's beating these teams by an average of 21.2 points. Lay the number.
|
01-28-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Phoenix Suns +4 |
|
84-86 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Suns +4 Bottom Line: The value lies with Phoenix considering plays on underdogs - cold team failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 and tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days - have produced a 44-13 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation have only lost by an average of 1.3 points. It's already been a long road trip for Memphis, which has lost 2 in a row, and the Suns will relish the opportunity to bounce back from last night's embarrassing loss.
|
01-28-12 |
New York Knicks +7 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
84-97 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +7 Bottom Line: We played on the Knicks +11.5 for a cover last night and we'll stick with them here as they continue to be undervalued in the absence of Carmelo Anthony. The Knicks are an awesome 27-10 ATS as a road underdog dating back to the beginning of last season. They are also 15-0 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days under coach D'Antoni. Pound the Knicks.
|
01-27-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors +4.5 |
|
120-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors +4.5 Bottom Line: Golden State has given the Thunder problems because of its athleticism and ability to knock down the three-point shot. Golden State has won its last 2 at home against OKC, and it's last 2 losses in the series have come by just 5 points and 1 point. The Thunder are 0-4 ATS in those 4 meetings. Plus, the Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Take the Warriors.
|
01-27-12 |
New York Knicks +11.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
89-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Knicks +11.5 Bottom Line: No Carmelo Anthony for the Knicks tonight, but I like them to be really focused and hungry against arguably the best team in the NBA. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record. This shows you how overvalued Miami has been against lesser opponents. The fact New York has played consecutive games on the road and the fact this will be its 3rd road game in 4 days bodes extremely well for us. The Knicks are 9-0 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games since the start of last season and 14-0 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days since the start of the 2008-09 season. Take the Knicks.
|
01-26-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers -3.5 |
Top |
91-98 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout Game of the Month on Clippers -3.5 Bottom Line: I like the Clipps at home, where they are 8-2, laying a small number against a Memphis squad that has been inconsistent on the road. The Grizzlies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss. Lay the points.
|
01-26-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic -9 |
|
91-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Magic -9 Bottom Line: The Magic will be out for blood tonight after the hurt the Celtics put on them earlier in the week. The Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Also, the home team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Lay the points as Orlando has its revenge.
|
01-25-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 |
|
91-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Lakers -3.5 Bottom Line: Hungry to get back in the win column following 3 straight defeats and out to avenge an earlier loss to the Clippers, expect the Lakers to take care of business tonight. The team designated as the home team is on a 7-1 ATS run this series. Plus, the Lakers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less.
|
01-25-12 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Golden State Warriors -3 |
Top |
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Warriors -3 Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for Portland, which will be playing its third game in as many nights on the road, where it is 3-6 SU and ATS this season. The Warriors are 11-1 SU and ATS in their last 11 home games versus Portland, winning those games by an average of 11.3 points. All 11 wins have come by 5 points or more.
|
01-25-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Sacramento Kings +6 |
|
122-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Kings +6 Bottom Line: The Kings are 4-3 at home this season where they have quality wins over the Lakers and Pacers. Plus, they've won an incredible 24 of their last 28 at home against the Nuggets. The home team is 7-2-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. We'll take the points.
|
01-24-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Portland Trail Blazers -5 |
|
84-97 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Blazers -5 Bottom Line: Portland is one of the best home teams in the NBA. Plus, this is a tough spot for Memphis after using so much energy to erase a 20-point deficit in last night's win. Portland will be the much fresher side. The Grizzlies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Trail Blazers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Lay the number.
|
01-24-12 |
Orlando Magic +3.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
Top |
102-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Magic +3.5 Bottom Line: Extremely motivated by last night's embarrassing loss, expect the Magic to take out their frustrations on a team they have owned. Orlando has won the last 5 in this series by an average of 13.6 points. We'll take the points.
|
01-23-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors -1.5 |
Top |
91-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Warriors -1.5 Bottom Line: Expect fatigue to be a major issue for Memphis tonight. Playing against underdogs (MEMPHIS) off a home win in which they scored 110 or more points, tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days, has produced an 80-41 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation are losing by an average of 9.4 points. The Grizzlies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. The Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. Also, the Warriors are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS at home versus Memphis the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 10.7 points.
|
01-23-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 |
|
107-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Timberwolves -2.5 Bottom Line: Minnesota is a better team than its 7-9 record might lead you to believe. The T-Wolves have endured 5 losses by 4 points or fewer and those losses came to Oklahoma City, Miami, Memphis, Atlanta and Milwaukee. The favorite is an impressive 14-2-1 ATS in the last 17 in this series. Plus, the Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Take Minnesota.
|
01-23-12 |
Syracuse v. Cincinnati +5.5 |
|
60-53 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Cincinnati +5.5 Bottom Line: The Orange have only had 1 day to recover emotionally and physically from their first loss of the season. Now, doubt has momentarily set in and Syracuse will no longer be playing with unwavering confidence. Plus, the Orange won't have the services of Fab Melo again tonight. The Orange are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less while the Bearcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less.
|
01-21-12 |
Louisville v. Pittsburgh -2.5 |
Top |
73-62 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Year on Pittsburgh -2.5 Bottom Line: Pitt will receive a huge lift emotionally and physically with the return of Travon Woodall. Louisville, meanwhile, will continue to struggle without leading scorer Kyle Kuric. Pitt has played Marquette and Syracuse tough on the road in its last 2 games, and now it returns home to catch a banged-up Louisville squad at the perfect time. Lay the points as Pitt records its long-overdue first Big East win in impressive fashion.
|
01-21-12 |
Sacramento Kings +9.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
95-128 |
Loss |
-104 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Kings +9.5 Bottom Line: The Kings have knocked off the Pacers and the Spurs in their last 2 games, and don't be surprised if they add Memphis to the list tonight. This is too many points for Sacramento to be getting in this revenge spot, considering it is 27-14 ATS when out to avenge a same season loss over the last 2 seasons. The Kings are only losing by 2.8 points on average in these contests. This one will be much closer than the odds makers think with Sac having a chance to pull off the shocker in the end.
|
01-21-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. New York Knicks +3 |
Top |
119-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +3 Bottom Line: Playing on any cold team (NEW YORK) failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15, and tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days, has produced a strong 72-34 ATS record since 1996. This system is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. I'll side with a highly motivated Knicks team here as they show that they are much better than their record leads you to believe.
|
01-20-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
|
98-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Pistons +4 Bottom Line: The Pistons should not be counted out tonight, considering they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games when valued as an underdog. They are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Memphis has lost 4 of 6 away from home this season and its wins came by just 4 and 6 points. The Grizzlies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. We'll take the Pistons as they have an excellent chance to pull off the upset.
|
01-20-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 |
Top |
76-90 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers -5.5 Bottom Line: The 76ers are an impressive 6-1 SU and ATS at home where they are winning by an average of 19.1 points. Atlanta hasn't been nearly as strong on the road where it has taken 3 of its 4 losses. The 76ers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Hawks have won 4 straight since Al Horford's injury but those 4 wins came at home - 3 of the teams had losing records and one is struggling. Atlanta played one game against Philly without Horford last season and was blasted by 34 points. We'll take the 76ers.
|
01-19-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +3 v. Utah Jazz |
Top |
94-91 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PUNISHER* on Mavs +3 Bottom Line: Utah had serious issues against the Mavs last season, losing all 4 meetings SU and ATS by an average of 13.5 points. Off back-to-back losses, the Mavs will give great effort tonight. Plus, they have been deadly as a road dog, covering the number in 25 of their last 33 in the role. Utah looks to be an improved team but most of its wins have come against lesser competition. We'll take the points.
|
01-19-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers +6 v. Miami Heat |
|
87-98 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Power Play on Lakers +6 Bottom Line: This is a major revenge spot for Kobe and the Lakers, who were swept by the Heat last season. LeBron James isn't at full strength (flu) and Dwayne Wade is likely to miss again with an ankle injury. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, and the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Kobe looks a lot fresher than he did at any point last season. I'm expecting a big game from him tonight. We'll take the points.
|
01-19-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +10 v. Houston Rockets |
|
88-90 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +10 Bottom Line: Houston won't have the legs to run away with this one against a hungry New Orleans team that's out to snap a 5-game skid. Playing on road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days against an extremely tired foe playing 9 or more games in 14 days has produced a 43-17 ATS record since 1996. Teams in this situation are only losing by an average of 3.8 points.
|
01-18-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Sacramento Kings +5.5 |
|
88-92 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings +5.5 Bottom Line: The Kings will be happy to be back home tonight following 5 in a row on the road. The Pacers have had 3 days of rest, but that actually works against them here as it slows their momentum. The Pacers, who were just 13-28 away from home last season, have been inconsistent on the road again this season. The Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Western Conference.
|
01-18-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. New Orleans Hornets +4.5 |
|
93-87 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Hornets +4.5 Bottom Line: Expect letdown city for Memphis, who is coming off a lopsided victory over the Bulls. The Grizzlies are just 1-4 away from home this season and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games dating back to last year. New Orleans lost to the Grizz by 9 Saturday, so it will relish the opportunity to avenge that loss so quickly.
|
01-18-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. New Jersey Nets -2.5 |
Top |
100-107 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Nets -2.5 Bottom Line: This is a tough scheduling spot for the Warriors, who are playing their 2nd game in as many nights and their 4th game in 5 days. The Nets, who are hungry for their first home win, will be the fresher team with a days' rest on their side. Golden State has dropped 11 of its last 13 at New Jersey. Plus, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Lay the number.
|
01-18-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Washington Wizards +11.5 |
|
102-105 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Wizards +11.5 Bottom Line: The Wizards are the worst team in the NBA, but they are still showing value catching double-digits at home. The Thunder have played 7 road games and haven't won by more than 10 points in any of them. The Thunder are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Washington.
|
01-18-12 |
San Antonio Spurs +5.5 v. Orlando Magic |
|
85-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Spurs +5.5 Bottom Line: I'm not sold on the Orlando Magic this year. They are 10-3 but don't have any wins over teams I consider to be championship contenders. The Spurs were embarrassed last night in Miami and their 0-5 road start is not sitting well. The Spurs have some vets so playing back-to-back is not a desirable thing. However, this will be Orlando's third game in as many days. The Magic are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite.
|
01-17-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat -6.5 |
Top |
98-120 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Heat -6.5 Bottom Line: Recent history tells us the Heat are a strong investment when coming off a double-digit loss. In fact, they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Spurs, meanwhile, are a lousy 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. San Antonio has really struggled on the road this season, going 0-4 SU and ATS and losing by an average of 11.2 points. No Dwayne Wade tonight, but that won't stop a hungry Miami squad from covering this number.
|
01-17-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +12 v. Orlando Magic |
|
89-96 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Bobcats +12 Bottom Line: Orlando won't give a Bobcats team it has already defeated by 21 points this season enough focus tonight, especially with a big matchup against San Antonio going down tomorrow night. Charlotte will show up not wanting to get embarrassed again, and I believe it has an excellent chance to pull off the shocker here. Orlando has won 9 in a row against the Bobcats but just 3 of those victories have exceeded tonight's number. Plus, the Bobcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 11.0 points or more.
|
01-17-12 |
Auburn v. LSU -9 |
|
58-65 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB Big Chalk Blowout on LSU -9 Bottom Line: Auburn has been horrific on the road at 1-5 SU and ATS away from home this season with an average losing margin of 17.6 points. The Auburn Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Lay the number.
|
01-16-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Los Angeles Lakers -4 |
|
70-73 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Lakers -4 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Lakers, who were swept by the Mavs in last season's playoffs. The Lakers are 8-1 at home where they are winning by an average of 9.9 points. They are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. Take the Lakers.
|
01-16-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Boston Celtics +3.5 |
Top |
97-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (TNT) on Celtics +3.5 Bottom Line: The Celtics haven't lost 5 in a row overall or 4 in a row at home since Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen arrived to join Paul Pierce in 2007. I expect these vets to leave it all out on the floor tonight to show this young Grizzlies team their not over the hill yet. The Celtics are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games in this series. While OKC is 5-1 on the road, we can't ignore the fact that it is winning those games by just 2.0 points on average. Take the points.
|
01-14-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Washington Wizards +8 |
|
103-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Wizards +4 Bottom Line: Last night's embarrassing loss at Philadelphia is all the motivation the Wizards need tonight. Washington has won 4 in a row at home in this series. It is also worth noting that the 76ers have lost 9 of their last 11 ATS on the road when laying 5 to 10.5 points. Take the Wiz.
|
01-14-12 |
Boston Celtics +4 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
83-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Celtics +4 Bottom Line: Off 3 straight defeats and out to avenge a loss to Indiana earlier this season, expect the Celtics to come up big tonight. The Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less while the Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Pacers are also 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest. Bet Boston.
|
01-13-12 |
Miami Heat v. Denver Nuggets +3.5 |
|
104-117 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Nuggets +3.5 Bottom Line: The Heat are dog tired with 3 of their last 4 games going to overtime and Denver's high altitude figures to do them no favors this evening. The Heat, who lost by 28 in Denver last season, Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings there. Plus, the Nuggets are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Miami won't have enough left in the tank down the stretch. Take the points.
|
01-13-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Boston Celtics +2.5 |
Top |
88-79 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Celtics +2.5 Bottom Line: Including the playoffs, the Celtics have won 10 of the last 12 at home against the Bulls. The Celtics are also a strong 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. It looks like Derrick Rose will play tonight, but I expect him to show a little rust as his toe isn't fully healed and the Celtics are capable of putting the clamps on defensively.
|
01-12-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 188 |
|
117-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT "Total" Bailout on Magic/Warriors UNDER 188 Bottom Line: The fact odds makers have set a total in the 180's tells us they are expecting a low-scoring game tonight, especially since both of these teams went well over 200 total points in their previous games. The Warriors aren't the same fast-break team under Mark Jackson, who has placed a much bigger focus on defense. Plus, Orlando is 13-4 UNDER in road games when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Under is 12-4 in the Warriors' last 16 overall as well. Bet the Under.
|
01-12-12 |
New York Knicks v. Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 |
Top |
83-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Grizzlies -4.5 Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite and 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite. They are also 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. The Knicks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. We'll take the fresher Grizzlies at home tonight.
|
01-11-12 |
Miami Heat v. Los Angeles Clippers +4.5 |
|
89-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Clippers +4.5 Bottom Line: The Heat are banged up and fatigued, and it showed in last night's overtime loss to the Warriors. It will be tough for them to bounce back against a talented and fresher Clippers squad that has played 3 less games on the season. Home court has been extremely important in this series as the home team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
01-11-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. New York Knicks -4 |
Top |
79-85 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Year on Knicks -4 Bottom Line: Philly has benefited from playing a soft early schedule. It has won 6 in a row but none of those wins came against elite teams. In fact, Indiana is the only one of the 6 that will likely make the playoffs. The Knicks have already defeated the Celtics, and they'll be looking to make a statement that their the best team in the Atlantic tonight. The Knicks won 117-103 the last time the 76ers visited MSG. It is also worth noting that the 76ers are 6-13 ATS in the last 19 meetings in the Garden and 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings overall. The Knicks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less. Bet the Knicks.
|
01-10-12 |
Miami Heat v. Golden State Warriors +7.5 |
|
106-111 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* Major Tuesday NBA Bailout on Warriors +7.5 Bottom Line: The Warriors are 36-12-3 ATS in their last 51 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Golden State has defeated the Bulls and the Knicks and has played the Spurs and Lakers to 6 and 7-point games to earn covers. The Warriors hang around tonight as well.
|
01-10-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Minnesota Timberwolves +7 |
|
111-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Timberwolves +7 Bottom Line: Minnesota has only lost one home game by more than 7 points this season. The T-Wolves have home wins over Dallas and San Antonio and lost by just 4 and 3 points respectively to Oklahoma City and Miami. The improved T-Wolves keep this one close to get the cover.
|
01-10-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 |
|
100-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Grizzlies +3.5 Bottom Line: Oklahoma City is 8-2 but 4 of its wins have come by 4 points or less and it hasn't won by more than 3 points in its last 3 road games. The Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. Also, the Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games.
|
01-10-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Detroit Pistons +7 |
|
100-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Pistons +7 Bottom Line: The Pistons are struggling, but so are the Mavs. Dirk is really struggling offensively without Jason Kidd on the floor to get him the ball in his sweet spot. The Mavericks are a lousy 15-38-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. the NBA Central. The Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Take the points.
|
01-10-12 |
Toronto Raptors v. Washington Wizards -2.5 |
Top |
78-93 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Wizards -2.5 Bottom Line: Odds makers are tipping their hand here. This is the first time the Wizards have been favored since their season opener, which tells us they expect the Wiz to record their first win of the season tonight. I agree with the odds makers completely. The Wizards are at home and will be fresher than a Toronto team that just played last night. The value clearly lies with Washington, which is 65-37 ATS in its last 102 games after 5 or more consecutive losses.
|
01-09-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Toronto Raptors -3 |
|
87-97 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major Monday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Raptors -3 Bottom Line: There's no doubt Toronto will be jacked up to play tonight after getting handed a 35-point defeat by the 76ers last time out. Plus, its dominance over Minnesota can't be ignored. The Raptors have won 7 straight north of the border in this series by an average of 10.9 points. The Raptors are 6-1 ATS in those games. We'll lay the points.
|
01-06-12 |
Indiana Pacers +6 v. Boston Celtics |
Top |
87-74 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +6 Bottom Line: With Boston coming off a double digit win and Indiana coming off a double digit loss, the Pacer are being undervalued by odds makers. Boston is 8-26 ATS since the beginning of last season when checking in off a win of 10 points or more. It is only winning by 0.1 points on average in this spot. It's also worth noting the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a defeat of more than 10 points. We'll pound the Pacers.
|
01-05-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 |
Top |
96-107 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Blazers -3.5 Bottom Line: The Blazers have won 23 of their last 29 at home against the Lakers, and I expect them to continue their home dominance against LA tonight. The Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games while the Blazers are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 home games. The Blazers are also 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games in this series.
|
01-05-12 |
Miami Heat v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 188.5 |
|
116-109 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT "Total" Dominator on Heat/Hawks UNDER 188.5 Bottom Line: With LeBron James and Dwayne Wade are both banged up and listed as questionable, points will be tough to come by for the Heat against a good Atlanta defense. The Under is 35-17 in the Hawks' last 52 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog, 20-6 in their last 26 games as a home underdog and 10-3 in Hawks last 13 home games. The Under is 4-1 in the Heat's last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 6-2 in their last 8 road games. The Under is also 20-8 in the last 28 meetings between these two sides.
|
01-04-12 |
Houston Rockets +7.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
89-117 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Rockets +7.5 Bottom Line: The Clippers continue to be overvalued as the public continues to buy into the hype generated by Chris Paul. We'll fade away with a solid Houston club that has covered the spread in 13 of the last 16 on the road in this series. Plus, the Clippers are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
|
01-04-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Detroit Pistons +6.5 |
|
99-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Pistons +6.5 Bottom Line: Detroit wants a piece of Chicago badly as it has lost 11 in a row in the series, and it catches the Bulls at the perfect time. Chicago used a ton of energy in last night's comeback win over Atlanta and won't have the legs in this one. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 in this series.
|
01-03-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +4 v. Cleveland Cavaliers |
|
101-115 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Dog of the Night on Bobcats +4 Bottom Line: The underdog has dominated this series going 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Plus, the Bobcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games when valued as an underdog 4.5 points or fewer. The Cavs are a lousy 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games when listed as a favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. Bet the Bobcats.
|
12-31-11 |
Indiana Pacers v. Detroit Pistons +2.5 |
|
88-96 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Pistons +2.5 Bottom Line: I fully expect the 0-3 Pistons to upset the 3-0 Pacers tonight. The Pistons have won the last 2 at home in this series and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Pacers are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games when playing without a day of rest, and will have a difficult time bouncing back after playing an overtime game last night. Pound the Pistons.
|
12-30-11 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Utah Jazz +3 |
|
99-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Jazz +3 Bottom Line: The Jazz are 0-2 and haven't looked good, but both of those games were on the road. They are a different team at home, where they have won 20 of their last 22 against the 76ers. This is Philly's 3rd-straight road game, and it's never easy on teams when playing multiple games in a row away from home. Losing to the Nuggets and the Lakers - two of the best in the west - was expected. Now, the Jazz will have an opportunity to break into the win column against a lesser opponent. Take the points.
|
12-28-11 |
Washington Wizards +9 v. Atlanta Hawks |
Top |
83-101 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Wizards +9 Bottom Line: These teams met 4 times last season. Atlanta won 3 of the last 4 meetings but 2 of those wins came by 7 points or less. Basically, the Hawks are getting too much respect here because of their 36-point win over New Jersey. We can't read too much into that effort because the Nets used a ton of energy the night before to erase a 21-point deficit against the Wizards. We'll take the points.
|
12-27-11 |
Boston Celtics v. Miami Heat UNDER 187 |
|
107-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator (TNT) on Celtics/Heat UNDER 187 Bottom Line: Miami is 25-12 to the "Under" under coach Spoelstra when checking in off a road win of 10 points or more. It is also 9-0 "Under" all-time under Spoelstra after leading in its previous game by 20 or more points at the half. We have seen just 173.8 total points scored in these games. Pound the Under.
|
12-25-11 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors +6 |
|
105-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
58 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Season Opener on Warriors +6 Bottom Line: Odds makers are looking to trap the public on opening day by playing on all the buzz surrounding Chris Paul's move to the Clippers. The regular season is much different than the preseason, and I expect the Clipps to struggle early while Paul and his teammates try to jell. The Warriors are no slouch at home, and I'll gladly take them in this point-spread range considering they are an impressive 36-13-3 ATS in their last 52 home games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
12-21-11 |
Texas +11.5 v. North Carolina |
|
63-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Major *PRIMETIME PUNISHER (ESPN2) on Texas +11.5 Bottom Line: Since defeating Michigan State by 12 in its season opener, UNC has played what I consider to be 4 quality opponents (UNLV, Wisconsin, Kentucky, Long Beach State). The Heels lost to UNLV by 10 points and Kentucky by 1, and defeated the other two by no more than 6 points. I believe UNC will have trouble pulling away tonight against an athletic Texas team that really gets after it on defense. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 while the Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Take Texas.
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