Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 46 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -108 | 72 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Chiefs/Broncos (AFC WEST TOY) Here is a great situational play on the total. These teams just played two weeks ago and the Chiefs pulled away for the awkward 19-8 victory as 10.5-point favorites. KC has won six straight, but it's also seen the total go "under" the number in six straight. And why is that important?! Because note that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Denver has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent. Denver comes in off a season-saving 19-17 win over Green Bay here last weekend and if it can somehow pull off an upset here, it'll still be in contention before heading into its bye week. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats does indeed make the "over" the correct call in this one and qualifies as our one and only 10* AFC WEST TOY! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-28-23 | Florida State v. Wake Forest OVER 51.5 | Top | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
10* O/U ASSASSIN FSU/Wake OVER. We have an interesting matchup here with Florida State now 7-0 after its 38-20 home win over Duke last week it was a 13.5 point favorite in that one. It's a 20-point favorite here on the road in this one. The total blasted past the posted number of 49 in that one and this game at Wake Forest is a bit higher the over/under number but it's still not nearly high enough in our estimation. Clearly, the Seminoles are in the driver's seat moving forward, as they have very winnable matchups throughout the rest of their regular season. They should in fact be favored in every game they play in now moving forward. We say for sure that FSU can keep the offensive momentum rolling here against Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons are 4-3. They're 12th in the ACC and they're off the 21-17 upset home win over Pittsburgh. They still have a shot at a bowl game and they obviously won't be rolling over here. Wake has now played to five straight "unders" in a row after its most recent win, but note that the Deacons have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. When you add together the situational factors and the above listed trend, everything points to this big ACC matchup at high noon on Saturday flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-27-23 | Thunder v. Cavs UNDER 226.5 | 108-105 | Win | 100 | 28 h 19 m | Show | |
8* UNDER OKC/Cleveland (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams come into their second game of the season off high-scoring victories in their first one. We're expecting a competitive game here, but one that ultimately stays "under" the number once it's all said and done. Cleveland fell apart down the stretch in Brooklyn and had to come from behind for the 114-113 win. After that "scare," we can expect the Cavs to be much more attentive on the defensive end for all four quarter here at homee. OKC pulled away for the 120-104 win over the Bulls on the road, the most impressive part was the Thunders' tight defensive play in our estimation. With their first game of the year at home on Thurday vs. the defending champs, can anyone say "look ahead" spot?! The last time these teams played against each other, they combined for 212 points, and we're expecting a similar final combined score this time around as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-27-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte OVER 42.5 | Top | 38-16 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER FAU/Charlotte (AAC TOW) We have a really low total here. A little TOO low now in our estimation. FAU is 3-4, while Charlotte is 2-5. FAU has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four, including it its most recent 36-10 home loss to UTSA. Charlotte on the other hand has now seen the total go "under" in four straight after its most recent 10-7 win at East Carolina as a six-point dog. Previous to that the 49ers loss 14-0 at home to Navy. FAU won this game by a score of 43-13 last year, and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well. FAU QB Daniel Richardson had 142 passing yards but made several mistakes in the loss to UTSA, but clearly catches a break here facing the 49ers. Charlotte hasn't been terrible defesively, but with each team desperate for a victory here and pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this O/U line finally being a bit TOO low; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-27-23 | Sabres v. Devils UNDER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sabres/Devils (EAST-CONF TOY) Both teams have played to several higher-scoring games to open the season, but we say those trends come to an end here in what we anticipate will be a very defensive and ultimately lower-scoring affair once it's all said and done. New Jersey isn 3-2-0-1 overall, while Buffalo is 3-4. The Devils have seen the total go "over" the number in every game they've played so far this season, including in their most recent 6-4 home loss to Washington as a -225 favorite. Note though that New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 off an upset home loss as a -200 or greater favorite in its previous outing. Buffalo got back in the win column with a 6-4 road victory at Ottawa. If we simply looked at offensive and defensive numbers for these teams, then 90% of the public would just add it up and be on the "over" in this one, and that's what the bookmakers are now counting on. But the overall situation, combined with the trends tell the real story. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-26-23 | Senators v. Islanders UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sens/Isles (EAST-CONF TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much tighter defensive battle finally here on Long Island. Ottawa is 3-3 and so far it's seen the total go "over" the number in every game but one, which "pushed." The Islanders are 2-2-1, but they come in having lost three straight. Most recently it was a 7-4 home setback to the Avalanche. Note that NY has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more losses in a row. Note that all three games between these clubs went "under" the number last season, as they combined for just 14 goals over that span. Both teams were ranked well defensively last year and we think we'll see that play out in this contest tonight; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-26-23 | Syracuse v. Virginia Tech OVER 46.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
10* Syracuse/VT OVER (ACC TOY) Some pundits may believe that this will be a very low-scoring defensive battle, but we sure don't! These are two hungry teams looking for an outright victory here and we're expecting this extreme-sense of competition to translate into offensive production on the field of play today. Syracuse Syracuse is 4-3, while Virginia Tech is 3-4. The Hokies though are 3-1 at home. The Orange come in having lost three straight games, both SU and ATS, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as VT has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. ALSO, the Orange come in having seen the total go "under" in six straight, and despite their last game staying well under the number in their 41-3 humbling loss at FSU, note that Syracuse has also seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. These teams haven't played since 2021, but in that contest they combined for a whopping 77 points in the Orange's 41-36 road victory as a 3.5-point dog. We're not expecting that many points this time around, but we're definitely once again expecting a similar high-octane offensive affair, one that blasts past the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-25-23 | UTEP v. Sam Houston State OVER 36 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 53 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER UTEP/Sam Houston State. These teams are bottom feeders and each has struggled to put points on the board in a consistent manner this season, but we definitely feel this O/U line is much too low in this one. Sam Houston State has nothing to play for here except pride as the Bearkats enter at 0-7 after a tough 33-27 OT home loss to FIU as 5-point favs last weekend. It was the best that Sam Houston has looked offensively and we fully expect that momentum to get carried over here. UTEP is 2-6 after a 28-7 loss to New Mexico State. The Miners have now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's signficiant to note here as UTEP has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Here's a great "situational" total on Tuesday night; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ALCS TOW) Game 1 went "under" the number, but since then the last five games have all flown "over" the number. Note that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row, while Houston has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four in the same position. We have two great experienced starters going for each side, with Max Scherzer getting the call for the Ranges, and the home side countering with Christian Javier; everything points to Game 7 staying "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ASSASSIN) This series has seen some high-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a "duel" here in this important Game 6. Texas won the first two games here, while Houston then responded with three straight wins in Texas. Now with their backs against the wall, Texas hands the ball to its best "in form" starter in Nate Eovaldi, who is so far 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in the playoffs. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez, who has uncharacteristically struggled so far in the postseason, going 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA and 2.57 WHIP. But we're expecting Valdez to return to form here at home. He has the experience and pedigree to match pace with his counterpart and while we have indeed seen some higher-scoring affairs to open this series, everything now sets up from a number of different angles to finally be a lower-scoring "duel" here in Houston on Sunday in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-21-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV UNDER 62.5 | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER CSU/UNLV (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a much more defensive affair this time around. Colorado State has seen the total go "over" in two straight afer its most recent 31-30 home upset of Boise State as a 7.5-point dog. Note though that CSU has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS home win as an underdog. UNLV has covered in all six games and is 5-1 SU overall. The Runnin Rebels have seen the total go "over" the number in four sraight after a 45-27 win at Nevada last time out, but note that the Rebels have still seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. UNLV's only loss was a 35-7 setback to Michigan. The Rebels can become bowl eligibile with a win here. We don't see UNLV's defense giving the Rams' any hope and believe they home side will just look to control this one without sustaining significant injuries. In our opinion, all of this will add up to a lower-scoring defensive battle in the end; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-20-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ALCS TOY) The last three games in this series have flown "over" the number, but note that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row, and Texas has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten in the same position (also in five of its last seven in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent.) Honestly it would not be very difficult to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game either, but these strong O/U trends do definitely tip the scales in favor of the men on the mound in this ALCS matchup. The Astros go with Justin Verlander (1-1, 1.42 ERA), while the home side counters with Jordan Montgomery (2-0, 2.08.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-19-23 | Golden Knights v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER Knights/Jets (WEST-CONF TOM) Las Vegas is 4-0, and it's seen the total go "under" in all four games. Winnipeg is 1-2, and after its first two games went "over" the number, it's coming off its first "under" of the season in a 5-1 setback here to the Kings two nights ago. Note though that the Jets have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off an upset home loss. Additionally note that the Knights have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last seven still after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. We absolutely respect Adin Hill and Connor Hellebuyck, but the overall situation finally points to a wide-open "goal-fest" in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-19-23 | Flames v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
8* OVER Flames/Sabres (GOAL-FEST) Both teams have gotten out to slow starts, and each will be hungry to kick start its offense into high-gear because of it. We like betting on highly-motivated teams when we're betting on "overs." Calgary is 1-1-0-1 after a 3-2 shootout loss in the Nation's capital three nights ago, while Buffalo is 1-2 after a 3-2 OT win over the Lighting here two nights ago. All three games of Buffalo's have gone "under" to open the year, but note that the Sabres have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. These two teams were expected to be among the best offensive clubs in the league and while each has gotten out to a slow start offensively to begin the season, all signs finally point to a wide-open shootout in this non-conference affair in our opinion; this total flys "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-19-23 | Rice v. Tulsa UNDER 59 | Top | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rice/Tulsa (ACC TOY) It's a big game, as each team comes into this one at 3-3 overall and 1-1 in league play. We're expecting a very competitive (as are the bookmakers with a spread like this!), and because of that, we're going to focus on the total and we're definitely expecting more of a defensive affair than what this larger O/U line is suggesting. The Owls are 4-2 ATS and they've seen the total go "over" the number in four of six this season. QB JT Daniels has 1,831 passing yards, 15 TDs and five INTs. The Owls have struggled defensively, but we anticipate this game to be won in the trenches and by field position this time around. Tulsa brought in all new coaching staff this year and so far so good. Tulsa has gotten the job done with tough defensive play and by running the all, as four of six games have gone "under" the number. If this one was at Rice, we'd likely be leaning to a higher-scoring game, but as it is, all signs in our opinion point to this one being a defensive battle until the end; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-19-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/D-Backs (TOP TOTAL) The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but all signs point to much more of a "duel" here finally in our opinion now that the venue has shifted. The D-Backs essentially have their backs against the wall here being down 2-0. Ranger Suarez (1-0, 1.04 ERA, 0.58 WHIP) gets the call for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 3.86, 1.43.) It's interesting to note as well that Arizona has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The overall situation here finally points to a more of a defensive "duel" in the NLCS; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers (ASSASSIN) Texas has the 2-0 series lead and is on the proverbial driver's seat in this series now back at home for three straight. One game went "over" and one game went "under." But now here in Game 3, we think this number is a bit TOO high, so we're going to recommend a play on the "under." And for us, it all comes down to the starting pitchers, who we're expecting will battle deep into this one. Max Scherzer (13-7, 3.77 ERA) makes his first start for Texas since Spetember 12th after injuring himself. He's thrown a bullpen session and has been given the green light. Overall Scherzer is 5-2 with a 3.84 ERA in ten career regular-season starts vs. Houston. He's also 7-7 with 3.58 ERA in 27 career playoff appearances. The Rangers bullpen has been elite throughout the playoffs as well. He'll be opposed by the red hot Cristian Javier (1-0, 0.00) who hasn't allowed a run in three career postseason starts. He's also 5-1 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Rangers. All signs point to a classic "duel" here in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-18-23 | Florida International v. Sam Houston State OVER 41 | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER FIU/Sam Houston State. Time is running out for 3-4 Florida International to become "eligible," but here's a great opportunity to move one step closer to that possibility. Sam Houston State enters 0-6, just looking for something positive and to finally "get off the schneid." Both teams have struggled with offensive consistency this year and each has been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but those facts have only helped in driving this particular total now a few points lower than it normally would/should be. We have to very motivated sides, and we're expecting that sense of competition to translate into offensive production on the field of play on Wednesday night. The Panthers average 28 PPG in their victories so far. The Bearkats have nothing to lose here, except another game. They have just nine offensive TD's this season, but here's a greart opponend for QB Keegan Shoemaker to finally have a break out performance against. Last week he was 32 of 48 for 278 yards and two TD's in the lost to New Mexico State. In our opinion, everything point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-16-23 | Flames v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Flames/Capitals (NON-CONF TOW) Here's a great situational play, as we're expecting the home side to push the pace from start to finish after losing 4-0 to the Penguins on Opening night. Note that Washington has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten off a shutout home loss. Both of Calgary's games have flown "over" the number, beating the Jets 5-3 and then falling 5-2 at Pittsburgh. With the home side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-15-23 | Giants v. Bills OVER 44.5 | Top | 9-14 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 31 m | Show |
10* Giants/Bills OVER (NON-CONF TOY) The Bills are now 3-2 after falling 25-20 to Jacksonville in London last week. Note that Buffalo has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after a SU/ATS loss as a favorite. The Giants are just 1-4, and another loss here will essentially be the final nail in the coffin for their 2023/24 campaign. Note that NY though has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. Both teams are coming off losses, and each can't wait for the other to make the first mistake. With each side pushing the pace throughout like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (BLOWOUT) We're expecting a "duel" here in the opener of the ALCS, and you don't have to look any further than the starting pitchers to know why. These teams are very familiar with each other of course, but in the end we're expecting the men on the mound to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. Texas hands the ball to Jordan Montgomery (1-0, 3.27 ERA), while the home side counters with Justin Verlander (1-0, 0.00.) These two veterans are coming off solid regular seasons and have so far been great in the playoffs. All signs point to a classic "duel" as we stated off the top; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-15-23 | Lightning v. Senators UNDER 7 | Top | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bolts/Sens. Here's a great "situational" play. Both teams are 1-1, and each has seen the total go "over" the number in each of its games. Finally here on Sunday night we're expecting more of a defensive battle between these two hopeful Eastern-Conference opponents. Despite who is playing in net, and despite the past history of these clubs playing to higher-scoring affairs whenever they get together, the overall situation to us points finally to a defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-14-23 | Ducks v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Ducks/Knights (PACIFIC DIVISION TOM) When a season starts (in any sport), whenver we wager on a total, we're essentially wagering on "situations." And in our opinion, this particular Pacific Division contest sets up to a be a wide-open "shootout," rather than a lower-scoring, grind-it-out defensive battle. This is the Ducks first game of the year, while Las Vegas enters already at 2-0. Both of the Knights games have gone "under" so far backed by Adin Hill, but we're definitely expecting this Knights offense to push the pace and to make Anaheim have to play from behind. There's no way that the younger visiting side can sit back and hope that the champs will make the first mistake. With each side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-14-23 | Canucks v. Oilers UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Canucks/Oilers (ASSASSIN) A great "common sense" play here. No need to overthink this one TOO much. These teams opened the season together in Vancouver just two nights ago and the Canucks skated away with the upset and lop-sided 8-1 victory. After that blowout high-scoring loss, we're expecting the oilers to double down defensively here obviously as they look to atone for their opening night "brain fart." The Canucks looked great on both ends of the ice in the victory, but don't expect lightning to strike twice offensively for Vancouver, especially here on the road. We're expecting a much "chippier" affair in the "rematch," and ultimately this slower-paced battle is going to produce a lower-scoring outcome; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-14-23 | California v. Utah OVER 43.5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Cal/Utah (PAC 12 TOM) Cal is 3-3 and coming off a 52-40 shootout home loss to Oregon State on Saturday. Cal's offense looked decent, but the defense looked terrible. So that's good news for the 4-1 Utes, who come out of their bye off their first loss in a 21-7 setback at Oregon State (note though that Utah has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 off a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to a TD or less.) Utah hasn't announced yet if star QB Cam Rising will finally be under center, but whether he is or not we can fully expect this explosive Cal offense to run the ball early and often behind Isaiah Ifanse. But the Golden Bears' defense, especially the secondary is completely atrocious. No matter which way you cut it, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-13-23 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Pens/Caps (BLOWOUT) Every single Washington preseason game either went "over" the number or "pushed." Now that the "real thing" is here, we're expecting a very defensive affair between these bitter rivals. Pittsburgh enters off a 4-2 Opening night loss at home to the Blackhawks, but note that the Pens have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last seven off an upset home loss as a favorite. These teams have played to a lot of high-scoring games against each other (the "over" is 15-4 the L19 in the series), but the overall situation here finally points to more of a defensive affair; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-13-23 | Coyotes v. Devils UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Coyotes/Devils (NON-CONF TOM) The Devils are off a high-scoring 4-3 win here over Detroit just last night, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here on Friday. Arizona finished 28-40-14 last year, while New Jersey was 52-22-8. New Jersey won both games last year in this series. Arizona only averaged 2.68 GPG last year, while allowing 3.55. New Jersey averaged 3.48 GPG last year, while conceding just 2.67. If New Jersey was opening its season tonight, we'd likely be leaning "over" here, but because of the fatigue factor in the b2b scenario, we're expecting the home side to have a more defensive game-plan this evening; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Twins (ASSASSIN) Here's a great "situational" play, as the first two games of this series went "over" the number, and now here with the shift in venue we're finally expecting more of a "duel." Houston hands the ball to Christian Javier (10-5, 4.56 ERA), who is 4-1 with a 2.20 ERA in 14 playoff games. In his World Series start last year he threw six shutout innings in a win over the Phillies. He'll be opposed by Sonny Gray (8-8, 2.79), who threw five scorless innings in a win over the Jays in the wildcard. Look for these two "studs" to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-09-23 | Packers v. Raiders UNDER 44.5 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Packers/Raiders (BLOODBATH) We're expecting a really defensive affair here. The Packers looked horrible in their loss to the Lions last week, especially offensively getting outgained 401-230. QB Jordan Love is struggling, ranked 34th in the league in completion percentage. The run game is still suffering without Aaron Jones, who may be back, but regardless, Green Bay will have to establish the run throughout here to alleviate the pressure off its struggling young pivot. Las Vegas should have Jimmy G back under center, but he'll be more of a "game manager" here. Look for Josh Jacobs to finally get involved more for LV as well this week; when you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-09-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 47 | 3-29 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
8* OVER RedBlacks/Als (SUPER TOTAL) These teams played just last week in Canada's capital and the Als came out on top by a score of 32-15, the total staying "under" the number. Note though that the 4-11 RedBlacks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Montreal has won three of its last four SU/ATS. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight. Note though that the Als have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. It's a great situational play here, as all signs finally point to more of an offensive affair in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-07-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State UNDER 59 | Top | 27-35 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER San Jose State/Boise State. Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here on Saturday night, and in our opinion, we're going to see a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Boise State is 2-3 and San Jose State is 1-4. The Spartans have lost five straight road games. QB Chevan Cordeiro has been decent with 1,066 yards passing, six TD's and two INT's. The defense is allowing 33.4 PPG. Boise State concedes 31.6. It's QB Taylen Green has 938 passing yards and a 4:4 TD:INT. The ground game though is the strength of the Broncos by averaging 165.8 YPG. Boise State will look to run this ball, and then run it some more to control the pace of this contest. San Jose State has had a difficult schedule, but this is a tough matchup once again for it and we expect it to once again have difficulties moving the ball. When you add it all up, this number is indeed high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-07-23 | North Texas v. Navy UNDER 61.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER UNT/Navy (AAC TOM) For a number of different reasons we believe this number is way too high. UNT is 2-2, while Navy is 1-3. The Mean Green though have seen the total go "over" the number in all four games this year. That fact has only helped in driving this particular total here in Week 6 a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Navhy has seen its last two games fly "over" the number as well (both losses.) Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here and we're fully expecting this to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. These teams haven't played against each other since 2007, so there's no recent comparisons to make in that department, but from a "situational" stand point, this one sets up beautifully to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. This game is going to be decided in the trenches, and by field position; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-06-23 | Nebraska v. Illinois UNDER 43.5 | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 76 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nebraska/Illinois (BIG TEN TOY) Two struggling Big Ten teams collide on Friday night. The Huskers are 2-3 straight up and 2-3 against the spread as well and they're also 0-2 straight up on the road. Illinois is 2-3 as well, but it's 2-1 at home. What does definitley stand out here though is that the Illini are so far 0-5 against the spread to open the year. Nebraska is going back and forth with its quarterbacks, but it looks like Henrich Haarberg has emerged as their No. 1 guy over Jeff Simms. Haarberg has only completed 54 percent of his passes, but he's the teams best rusher. Illinois is led by Luke Altmyer, who has looked bad of late. He looked banged up in last week's 44-19 loss to Purdue. The Illini passing game is in the bottom half of nation in EPA/pass and so far he has a negative touchdown to interception ratio. We love standing in front of trains and predicting when a lop-sided streak, either good or bad, will come to an end but we're going to steer clear of a side in this one on Friday night between these two struggling teams and instead focus on the tota; and we're going with the "under" here. Both of these offenses are in really bad shape right now. Nebraska is so far limiting opponents to less than five yards per play (which is 25th in the country.) In what should be an evenly matched "WAR OF ATTRITION," the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-04-23 | Jacksonville State v. Middle Tennessee State OVER 51.5 | Top | 45-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER Jacksonville State/MTSU. MTSU is 1-4, and Jacksonville State is 4-1. So why are the Blue Raiders favored here today? Because they've played the much more difficult schedule. They're also in dire need of some victories now that conference play is in full swing if they have any hope of a Bowl berth. Jacksonville State is off the 35-28 win over Sam Houston State, and we expect the Gamecocks to keep that offensive momentum rolling here. With MTSU pushing the pace of this one like we anticipate, this great situational play will eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later in our opinion! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Giants (TOW) This total has been bet up since the opening number, and we now feel its too high. We liked the opening number as well to go under the number. Either way, we're not expecting a shootout here, but instead we expect this game to be won in the trenches, and with field position, similar to what we saw on Sunday night between the Chiefs and Jets. Seattle is unbelievably 5-0 in this building, but after playing to B2B "overs," and with their bye week up next, we're expecting the Hawks to have their hands full here with this hungry home side looking to avoid falling to 1-3. With each team committed to establishing the run like we predict, we're indeed expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle here on Monday night; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-28-23 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* Yanks/Jays OVER (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a higher-scoring slug-fest here finally in the finale of this AL East series. The Yanks are out of playoff contention, and they're looking to once again play spoiler here after taking the first two gams of this series, winning 2-0 and 6-0. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Jays have also seen the total go "over" in three of their last four in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. Luke Weaver (0-0, 6.75 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.74) counters for the home side. They're both in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-25-23 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Padres/Giants (NL WEST TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some runs to be plated here tonight in the opener of this crucial divisional series, as each side is desperately trying to keep its dwindling playoff hopes alive. In fact, these teams now enter tied for third in the NL West. Their both five games back of the Cubs with six games to go. It's now or never, do or die. These two starters, Blake Snell for San Diego and Logan Webb of San Francisc, have been terrific this year, but this is just a case of each being in the wrong place, at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-25-23 | Rams v. Bengals UNDER 44 | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rams/Bengals (BLOCKBUSTER) Two teams in desperate need of a win collide here on Monday night. Non-conference games are usually less intense defensively, but we're not expecting that to be the case here tonight though, as Cincinnati will be risking life and limb to not only win this game (as the Bengals enter 0-2), but to also control the pace throughout. With each side committed to establshing the run while on offense like we envision, all signs point to this one staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Rays. Both teams have been involved in several high-scoring contests, including in the first two games of this series, with each team taking one game. However, the worm turns as far as the total is concerned here in this important divisional series finale in our opinion. Tampa has seen the total go "over" in five straight now, which is definitely significant to note as the Rays have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Toronto has seen the total go "over" in three straight. Yusei Kikhuchi (10-6, 3.74 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Taj Bradley (5-7, 5.36.) The overall sitaution points to a duel here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-21-23 | Giants v. 49ers OVER 45 | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Giants/49ers (TOW) New York was shutout in Week 1 at home by the Cowboys, and then it went into its Week 2 matchup in Arizona down 28-0. The Giants then made the "mother of all half time adjustments" and came out and won the game by a score of 31-28. Working on a short week, and catching a contented 49ers team returning home from a 2-0 road start, we expect the visiting side to put some points on the board and keep that offensive momentum rolling here in San Francisco. This is a huge spread for San Fran to cover, but we're also note sure if NY will in fact be able to keep pace down the stretch. Either way, we do think NY will points on the board as it tries to keep pace with the red hot home side. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-17-23 | Chiefs v. Jaguars UNDER 51 | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Jags (AFC NON-DIV TOW) The Chiefs looked shaky in Week 1 without Jason Kelce, and whether he's in the line-up or not, we feel KC will once again have difficulties moving the ball. Trevor Lawrence and company will look to win this game in the trenches and with field position. Weather could be an issue here as well, with Hurricane Lee ripping off the coast right now. We see this one being a really gritty, lower-scoring battle that indeed stays well "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-14-23 | Vikings v. Eagles OVER 48.5 | Top | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 35 h 4 m | Show |
10* OVER Vikes/Eagles. The bottom line here is that Mac Jones threw for 315 yards on the Eagles' secondary, and we just feel that Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson will also be able to take advantage here. Clearly the Eagles won't be rolling over here after that somewhat uninspiring performance at New England, which saw them go up early, and then for some reason take the foot off the gas. Perhaps they were caught looking ahead to this game?! Either way, we can expect Jalen Hurts and company to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in their home opener. This number is low, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 47 | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 172 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bills/Jets (ASSASSIN) It's going to take some time for Aaron Rodgers to develop chemistry with his new team. They'll be looking to run the ball heavily to open things up, to alleviate as much pressure off him as possible. The Jets will be better served keeping Josh Allen off the field of play as much as possible anyways. New York actually had one of the best defenses in the league last year, allowing the fourth least amount of PPG. THe last thing NY wants to do is turn this into a "shootout;" this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-10-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER D-Backs/Cubs. The first three games of this series have gone "under" the number, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here this afternoon. Arizona has won four straight and the first three of this series. All three games have gone "under" the number, but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. Brandon Pfaddt (1-8, 6.27 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, countered by Kyle Hendricks (5-7, 3.73) for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above stats/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-09-23 | Vanderbilt v. Wake Forest UNDER 57.5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER Vanderbilt/Wake (EARLY) A couple of non-conference opponents battle here and in our opinion, this total is a little high. Vanderbilt is off a 47-13 win over Alabama A&M, while Wake Forest smashed Elon 37-17. Both failed to cover the spread. Let's not overreact to last week's results offensively though is the moral of this story in our opinion. Wake Forest did win 45-25 last year, but with considerable turnover for each side, we're anticipating a much tighter game this time around. This one is going to be decided in the trenches and by field position; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-08-23 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pirates/Braves (ART OF WAR) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the opener of this series in ATL on Friday night. The Braves lost two of three to the Cards, and all three games went "over" the number. But note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two really good starters going head-to-head and all signs point to a "duel" as we eluded to above, with Mitch Keller (11-8, 3.93 ERA) going for the Pirates, and Bryce Elder (11-4, 3.42) countering for the home side. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-07-23 | Tigers v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Tigers/Yanks. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting finally a "slug-fest" here on Thursday night in the Bronx. NY has won 8 of its last 9 and both games to open this series. It's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. Eduardo Rodriguez (10-7, 3.11 ERA) gets the call for the Tigers, and he's definitely in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. Carlos Rodon (2-4, 5.70) has struggled for New York. Everything in our opinion points to this total flying well "over" the number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-06-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to a "duel" here in our opinion. The Astros have won both of these games to open this series, and both have flown well "over" the number, including in their 14-1 win last night. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. We have two former teammates going head-to-head here, with Justin Verlander (4-1, 2.79 ERA) getting the call for Houston, and Max Scherzer (3-1, 2.64) countering for Texas. Look for these ex-teammates to battle deep, and for this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-05-23 | Blue Jays v. A's UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/A's (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally predicting more of a "duel" here finally on Tuesday night. The Jays came from behind, and then had to hold on for the 6-5 win last night. Toronto has now seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. Note though that despite yesterday's high-scoring outcome, Toronto has still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Chris Bassitt (13-7, 3.81 ERA) has been a consistent bright spot for Toronto all year. Ken Waldichuk (2-7, 5.92 ERA) less so for the A's, but the overall situation and the numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call for sure here today as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-03-23 | Inter Miami v. Los Angeles FC UNDER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
10* UNDER Inter Miami/LAFC. With Messi on Inter Miami, the general betting public is is quick to back the team from South Beach now. LA though is still clinging to second spot in the West despite a 2-1 setback at Charlotte last Saturday. Now back at home and ready for a bounce-back, we think the last thing LAFC will do is to turn this into a "track meet." Instead, we expect the "better team on paper" to sit back and wait for the visiting side to make the first mistake. In this "war of attrition," expect the total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-01-23 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/Reds (NL CENTRAL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here. Chicago just went 2-1 vs. Milwaukee at home as it keeps its playoff hopes alive. All three games went "under" the number, but note that the Cubs have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Cincinnati hasn't thrown in the white towel yet on its season either. The Reds lost two of three at San Francisco, but did win the finale 4-1. All three games also went "under" the number. That's four straight "unders" for the Reds, but note that despite their low-scoring victory last time out, they've still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Chicago goes with still unproven Jordan Wicks (1-0, 1.80 ERA) who looks primed for a dose of reality in our opinion after a decent debut vs. the Pirates last time out. He'll be opposed by Graham Ashcraft (7-8, 4.73) who is 1-4 with a 10.38 ERA in five career starts vs. Chicago. We're expecting these guys to "get the hook" early; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-31-23 | Florida v. Utah UNDER 46.5 | Top | 11-24 | Win | 100 | 106 h 15 m | Show |
10* Florida/Utah UNDER (TOM) The Utes finished 10-4 last year and they lost in the Rose Bowl. Utah averaged 38.6 points per game while conceding 21.4. The Gators were 6-7 in 2022, and they lost the Las Vegas Bowl. They averaged 29.5 points, while allowing 28.8 per contest. Utah has question marks at QB though, as Cam Rising is still nursing a sore knee suffered in the Rose Bowl, while backup Brandon Rose was hurt in the preseason and he's up in the air as well. Florida's offense will be shaky to start this year as well, but it'll make up for it on the defensive side, which will be tough in the pass rush in this one. A great situational play on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-31-23 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Nationals (NL EAST TOY) Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting some offensive fireworks here in the Nation's capital in the opener of this series. Miami has lost five of its last six. It lost both games to Tampa Bay over the weekend, including falling 3-0 yesterday. Note though that the Fish have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off a shutout home loss. These teams played just last week and the Nats took two of three, so the Marlins won't be taking anything for granted here obviously. Washington has lost three of four, includuing a 7-0 loss at Toronto last night. Note though that the Nats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a shutout road loss. Neither starter has been terrible, and neither has been great. Braxton Garrett (7-5, 3.96 ERA) gets the call for Miami, while Washington counters with Joan Adon (2-0, 5.25.) The situation and trends/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* D-Backs/Dodgers UINDER (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end this evening. Arizona has seen the total go "over" in both games to open this series, both have been losses. That's significant to note however, as the D-Backs have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Dodgers have now seen the total "over" the number in six straight. All of these "overs" have pushed the O/U line in this finale a little bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Brandon Pfaadt (1-6, 5.91 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 2.00) counters for the home side. The overall situation combined with the above listed trends finally points to a bit of a duel here on Wednesday; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Red Sox (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to some really high-scoring games of late, including in the Astros 13-5 series-opening victory here yesterday. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Astros have in fact seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston though has now seen the total go "over" in 12 straight games. That fact though has for sure only helped in driving tonight's total a bit higher than it normally would/should be. Two really good starters here in JP France (9-5, 3.51 ERA) and Brayan Bellow (10-7, 3.56) for the home side. The overall situation and the numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call finally! AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-28-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* Brewers/Cubs UNDER. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a "duel" here in the opener of this important series. Milwaukee has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. But note that the Brewers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Cubs have won seven of their last nine and they've seen the total fly "over the number in six of their last seven. Milwaukee goes with Wade Miley (6-3, 3.18 ERA), while the home side counters with Jameson Taillon (7-8, 5.60.) The overall situation, combined with the above-listed O/U ATS stat makes the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-27-23 | Royals v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Royals/Mariners (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Seattle continues to surge, after taking two of three from the White Sox, it's also taken the first two games of this series vs. the Royals, winning 7-5 and 15-2. Note though that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Alec Marsh (0-6, 5.56 ERA) gets the call for the Royals, while Luis Castillo (10-7, 3.15) counters for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above listed ATS O/U trends does indeed make the UNDER the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one. AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-26-23 | A's v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER A's/White Sox. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Chicago has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 8-5 and 12-4, but note that the White Sox have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Two decent starters here in JP Sears (2-10, 4.61 ERA) for the A's and Touki Toussaint (0-1, 4.91) for the home side. The overall situation points to this finally being more of a "duel," the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-26-23 | Navy v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5 | Top | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 554 h 59 m | Show |
10* Navy/ND UNDER (NON-CONF TOW) This is the third time these teams have played each other in Ireland. Notre Dame is 2-0. The Irish are heavy favorites here, but we're steering clear of the side and instead focussing on the total. The last time was back in 2012 where the Irish won 50-10. Notre Dame finished 9-4 overall last year and 7-6 ATS. Sam Hartman transferred over from Wake Forest and he had 38 TD's and 12 INT's last year. He now steps behind one of the best offensive lines in the nation. Navy finihed 4-8 overall and 7-5 ATS. The Midshipmen came out on the wrong side of more than a couple close calls last week. Navy's offense is centered around the run and that's what we're expecting to see a lot of today. Also note that the Midshipment finished first in their conference in third down stops last year. They also ranked second in stopping the run in the nation and the defense returns most of the starters. Look for this "across the pond" contest to be decided by field position and special teams and expect it to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-25-23 | Astros v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Tigers. Both teams enter this series have been playing to higher-scoring "overs" of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The visitors hand the ball to Framber Valdez (9-9, 3.55 ERA), while the home side counters with Matt Manning (5-4, 4.31.) Despite having played to several high-scoring affairs entering this one, all signs finally point to more of a "duel" here between these super competent starters; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Orioles UNDER 9 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Orioles (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Toronto has gone 3-1 in its last four, including going 2-1 in this series. The first two games both flew "over" the posted total, while yesterday's game went "under" in the Orioles 7-0 victory. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 following a shutout road loss. We have two really competent veteran starters going head-to-head, and we're expecting a classic "duel" into the latter frames, with Jose Berrios (9-8, 3.39 ERA) getting the nod for the Jays, and Kyle Gibson (12-7, 4.97) countering for the Orioles. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-23-23 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Astros (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have now seen the total go "over" in five straight after losing the first two games of this series. Note though that Boston has seen the total "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in four straight as well. Two hungry starters collide, and we're expecting a "duel," with Chris Sale getting the nod for the Red Sox, and Jose Urquidy countering for the home side. This number is a little high in our estimation now, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-22-23 | Dodgers v. Guardians OVER 9 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Dodgers/Guardians (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. LA just went 2-1 at home to Miami this weekend, and the final two games both went "under" the number. Cleveland enters the series having played to six straight "unders." Despite that though, note that the Guardians have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in arow. Cleveland is desperate to snap a horrible stretch, having lost four of its last five. LA goes with Bobby Miller (7-2, 3.70 ERA) who we feel is just in the wrong place at the wrong time, as we expect the home side to finally plate some runs tonight. Miller though will still be feeling confident here going up against confirmed "gas can" Noah Syndergaard (1-2, 5.06.) Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-20-23 | Phillies v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Phillies/Nationals. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here on Sunday. Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after last night's 12-3 win here. Note though that the Phillies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight overs in a row. Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in interestingly three of its last four after a loss of 8 or more runs as well. Zach Wheeler (9-5, 3.63 ERA) of the Phillies faces off against Trevor Williams (5-7, 5.20) of the Nationals in the starting pitching matchup, and we're expecting these guys to battle into the latter frames; when you add it all up, the "under" is indeed the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-20-23 | Saints v. Chargers UNDER 38 | Top | 22-17 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saints/Chargers (NFLX TOY) Both teams come in at 1-0, and each of their games flew well "over" the posted number, but all signs point to a much more defensive affair this time around. One of the biggest things to constantly remember when betting the preseason, is not to "read" too much into the results from one week to the next. We believe we'll see a much more defensive affair this time around, with each team's defensive starters seeing plenty of time here in Week 2. While the majority all go one way, we're going the other on this total; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-19-23 | Giants v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Giants/Braves (NL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a more explosive "slug-fest" here finally on Saturday, despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head. San Fran has now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's 4-0 setback here. Note though that the Giants have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. The Braves have now won four straight, while also seeing the total go "under" in three straight (but note that ATL has seen the total go "over" the number in six of its last eight after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.) The Giants hand the ball to Logan Webb (9-9, 3.26 ERA), while the home side counters with Yonny Chirinos, who is 1-1 with a ballooned 9.33 ERA for his new team. Expect these guys to get "the hook" early and then look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-17-23 | Red Sox v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Nats (ULTIMATE TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. Boston has now seen the total go "under" in seven straight after yesterday's 6-2 loss. Note though that the Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Chris Sale is 5-2 with a 4.52 ERA for Boston, while Patrick Corbin is 7-11 with a 4.85 ERA for the Nationals. Two veterans who have each seen better days collide here and this is just a case of each being in the wrong place at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-17-23 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* Mariners/Royals UNDER (ASSASSIN) The first three games of this series have all flown well "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive "duel" here in the finale (note that Seattle has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Seattle hands the ball to George Kirby (10-8, 3.11 ERA), while the home side counters with Angel Zerpa (1-1, 7.71.) This pick is based mainly upon the form of Kirby, who is 2-0 with a 1.97 ERA and a 38:3 K/W over his last five starts. Zerpa hasn't made a start since July 26th last year, so he's a bit of an unknown, but note that he's 1-2 with a 1.29 ERA in three previous career starts. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-13-23 | Chiefs v. Saints UNDER 38.5 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Saints. The Chiefs are the defending champs, but they have plenty to work on in the preseason, with new faces in the line-up on both sides of the field. Andy Reid won't be playing his starters here today, but the Saints will. But starters won't be playing for long on either side. The Chiefs won't be taking the preseason too seriously. We say this Week 1 NFLX contest will be more of a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-12-23 | Colts v. Bills UNDER 38 | Top | 19-23 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNDER Colts/Bills (BLOCKBUSTER) The Colts have a new QB under center, as well as a new head coach, and chemistry will clearly be an issue for them to open the season. The Bills on the other hand have continuity in both of those spots once again this season. The Colts will have plenty of competition in the preseason, while the Bills will be looking to fill in some gaps in their already stacked line-up. Each will have different motivations going into each contest, and while most of the starters won't even see playing time in this one, we're absolutely expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle once it's all said and done. This one has "under" written all OVER it; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-11-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
10* Padres/D-Backs OVER (ASSASSIN) This is a great situational play. These division foes' wildcard hopes continue to dwindle by each passing day. San Diego enters having lost five of its last six and four in a row, while Arizona comes into this series having dropped eight in a row. Arizona's fall from grace over the second half has been spectacular to say the least. Either way, these are two overhyped teams for sure. They've each played to several lower-scoring games. Arizona has played to three straight "unders," but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Blake Snell is 8-8 with a 2.61 ERA for the Padres, but Ryne Nelson is just 6-6 with a 5.16 ERA for the D-Backs. Snell is just in the wrong place, at the wrong time today, as all signs point to this total flying well "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-11-23 | Giants v. Lions OVER 35 | Top | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
10* Giants/Lions OVER (CONF TOW) We have no idea how long, if at all, either team's starters will play today. And that's pretty much the case throughout the preseason, as anything can change at the drop of a hat basically. That said, for the most part it's just going to be the backups and wannabe's in this one. New York will turn to Tyrod Taylor for most of this game, and we see him running up the score here. Not much defense being played in this one in our estimation, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-10-23 | Dream v. Storm OVER 165 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* OVER Dream/Storm (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now expecting much more of an offensive affair here on Thursday. ATL has seen the total go "under" in four straight after beating Indiana 82-73 at home last time out. Seattle has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four, including in its lastest 81-69 loss to Connecticut here at home last time out. The Storm lost 85-75 at Atlanta in July, and while that total also stayed "under" the number, the overall situation now points to tonight's O/U line being just a little lower than it normally would/should be; the value now swings the other way as far as the total is concerned, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-10-23 | Blue Jays v. Guardians OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Jays/Guardians. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally expecting those trends to end this afternoon in what sets up to be an explosive offensive affair. The Jays are now 35-27 on the road after their 1-0 win here yeterday. They are 2-1 in this 4-game series, all three games have gone "under" the number, but note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The bottom line though more than anything is we don't trust either starting pitcher lasting very long, with the Jays going with the erratic Alek Manoah (3-8, 5.72 ERA), and the home side countering with Noah Syndergaard (1-4, 7.16.) All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-09-23 | Astros v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Orioles (AL TOM) The Astros came from behind to knock off the Orioles by a score of 7-6 last night, and while that total flew well "over" the number, we're expecting more of a "duel" here on Wednesday night. The visitors go with Christian Javier (7-2, 4.39 ERA), while the home side counters with Jack Flaherty (1-0, 1.50.) The Orioles have in fact seen the total go under the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Look for these savvy vets to "steal the show," and grab the "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-09-23 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Reds (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on Wednesday afternoon. The Marlins have seen the total go "under" in three straight after last night's 3-2 victory, and note that Miami has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Reds have now lost seven of their last eight after yesterday's setback, and they've seen the total go "under" in six straight. Two confirmed "gas cans" go head-to-head" here though, with Cueto (0-3, 5.32 ERA) going for the Fish, and Ashcraft (6-7, 5.18) countering for the home side. Ashcraft is actually way worse at home this year as well; look for this total to fly well OVER the number before it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 9.5 | Top | 13-7 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
10* UNDER Dodgers/Padres. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair here on Monday in the fourth game of this series. LA has now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight after last night's 8-2 victory, while SD has seen the total go "over" in the first three games of this series (which is in fact significant to note, as the Padres have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row at home. We have two really decent starters going head to head, with Tony Gonsolin (6-4, 4.11 ERA) getting the nod for the Dodgers and Seth Lugo (4-5, 3.54) countering for the Friars. All signs point to a classic "duel," finally in the finale; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-06-23 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan OVER 44 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Saskatchewan (NON-CONF TOW) We're expecting this non-conference game to be less intense defensively, and more wide-open and high-scoring than what this O/U line is suggesting. These teams are in dire need of a victory, as Ottawa is 3-4, and Saskatchewan is 3-4 as well. We like betting on motivated teams when we're betting an "over," no matter what the sport is. Saskatchewan is off three straight SU losses, which is significant to note, as the Riders have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more SU losses in a row. Ottawa had won two straight high-scoring OT games as an underdog before last week's low-scoring 16-12 upset loss to Hamilton. We expect the RedBlacks to regain their offensive form here though in what we anticipate will be a wide-open high-scoring "shootout." This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-06-23 | Sparks v. Mystics OVER 156.5 | Top | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Sparks/Mystics. We base our picks on many different things. This particular one sets up fantastic from a "situational" stand-point. LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in five straight games after its 79-77 loss here just two nights ago (but note, the Sparks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row.) LA has lost three straight, but the Sparks have also seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after three or more SU losses in a row. Washington snapped a 3-game slide with the much-needed victory, but barely held, unable to even cover the small 3-point spread on Friday night. Expect the Mystics to push the pace and for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-04-23 | Sun v. Fever OVER 159.5 | Top | 88-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Connecticut/Indiana (U OF U) We're expecting more of a wide-open offensive affair in this one. Connecticut is 4-1 in its last five, but it's coming off a lower-scoring 79-69 win over Minnesota. Indiana has seen the total go "under" in four straight after its narrow 72-71 home win here over Phoenix on Monday. A whole lot of collective "unders," but that fact has only helped in driving today's number a few points lower than it normally would/should be. These teams played a competitive game in Connecticut at the start of the season, with the Sun holding on for the 81-78 victory. All signs point to another competitive game, but one that flies well "over" the posted number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-01-23 | Liberty v. Sparks OVER 166 | Top | 76-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER Liberty/Sparks. Both sides have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on the West Coast on Tuesday night. These teams just played here two nights ago and the Liberty came out on top by a score of 87-79. It was the Sparks third straight "under," but note that LA has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. New York leads the East and it enjoys a couple days off after this before a big matchup in Minnesota vs. the red hot Lynx. In what we anticipate will be a very fast-paced affair, expect this total to fly well "over" the number before the final buzzer sounds! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-31-23 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rays/Yanks. We have an important divisional matchup here, but it's one that's going to be dominated by the men on the mound in our opinion. Tampa Bay is 64-44 overall, but just 27-25 on the road. New York is only 55-50 overall, but it's 32-24 at home. Tampa went 2-1 at Houston over the weekend, with the last two games flying "over" the number. New York lost two of three to Baltimore here at home over the weekend, and the final two also eclipsed the posted number as far as the total is concerned. But everything points to a "duel" here with the Rays' Tyler Glasnow (4-3, 3.36 ERA) facing off against the Yanks' Domingo German (5-7, 4.77.) This should have a "playoff-like" atmosphere about it, and everything points to runs being at a premium in the opener; the play is indeed on the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-30-23 | Mariners v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER Mariners/Diamondbacks. The first two games of this series have gone "under" the number, but all signs point to a more high-scoring affair here on Sunday in our opinion. This is just a case of both Luis Castillo (6-7, 3.02 ERA) of the Mariners and Merril Kelly (9-4, 3.12) f the D-Backs being in the "wrong place," at the "wrong time!" The overall situaation points to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-28-23 | Mystics v. Wings UNDER 164.5 | Top | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mystics/Wings (BLOOD-BATH) These teams are 1-1 in the season series so far, but both games went "under" the number. We're expecting a similar defensive affair here as well now in the third matchup. Dallas has now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, and note that the Wings have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington has been trading high-scoring contests, with lower-scoring "unders" over its last six games, and off a 97-92 loss last time out, we're expecting this pattern to continue; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-27-23 | Fever v. Sparks OVER 161.5 | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Fever/Sparks (ASSASSIN) This one sets up great from a situational stand-point to be a higher-scoring shootout in our opinion. The Fever play with revenge after a tight 79-78 loss here just two nights ago, and note that Indiana has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. LA broke an 8-game slide with that victory, and we're expecting it to come out play at a faster-pace here tonight as well to keep the momentum rolling. As stated off the top, a great situatinoal call for this rematch to fly "over" the posted total sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-27-23 | Angels v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Angels/Tigers. These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here after the Angels 7-6 win in yesterday's series opener. More than anything though, we really like these starting pitchers and we're predicting a classic "duel" early here in Detroit. The visitors go with ace Shohei Ohtani (8-5, 3.71 ERA, 1.12 WHIP), while the home side counters with the under-rated Michael Lorenzen (5-6, 3.49, 1.09 WHIP.) Expect these two to battle deep and for this total to stay "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-26-23 | Blue Jays v. Dodgers UNDER 10 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Dodgers. The first two games of this series have flown well "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a bit of a "duel" here in the finale. The Jays won the opener by a score of 6-3, before the Dodgers bounced back in yesterday's come-from-behind 8-7 victory. These teams are a couple of the heaviest hitting clubs in the league, but they also have some of the best starting pitching and bullpens. This is a great starting pitching matchup, and after the first two games have plated a lot of runs, we're anticipating a classic "duel" here on Wednesday in LA, as Toronto goes with Yusei Kikuchi (7-3, 3.92 ERA, 1.27 WHIP), while the Dodgers go with Tony Gonsolin (5-3, 3.94, 1.08.) Look for these two competent starters to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-26-23 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 8-7 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Mariners/Twins (DUEL) Seattle rallied for a 9-7 win last night, after falling 4-3 in the series opener. These two teams are in the playoff hunt, and we're expecting the finale to be more like the first game, as we have two really good starting pitchers squaring off, and all signs point to a classic "duel," as Seattle hands the ball to Bryce Miller (6-3, 3.50 ERA), 0.97 WHIP), while Minnesota counters with Joe Ryan (9-6, 3.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP.) Finally, note that the Twins have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four as well in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-25-23 | Aces v. Sky OVER 168 | Top | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Aces/Sky (WNBA NON-CONF TOW) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we don't expect a lot of defense to played in this one on Tuesday night, and ultimatley we look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. These teams played in Las Vegas back on June 11th, and while the Sky earned the cover in the 93-80 setback as 13.5-point dogs, the total flew "over" the posted number of 168. We're expecting a similar style pace and similar final combined score here as well once it's all said and done; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-20-23 | Sparks v. Lynx UNDER 162.5 | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sparks/Lynx (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of a defensive affair here finally. The Sparks enter having lost six straight, both SU and ATS, but note that LA has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 12 still after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Lynx are desperate for a win here as well, as they've lost three in a row SU/ATS (but once again, that's significant for us to take note of here as Minnesota has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.) Everything points to a very defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-20-23 | Twins v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Twins/Mariners (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we anticipate those trends ending here this evening. Minnesota has now seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight, including in the first three of this series here in Seattle (Twins are 2-1 so far.) Note though that the Twins have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. And note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Two really good starting pitchers sqaure off here as well, and everything points to a classic "duel," as Minnesota hands the ball to Pablo Lopez (5-5, 4.24 ERA), and the home side counters with George Kirby (8-8, 3.43); the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-16-23 | Red Sox v. Cubs UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Cubs (ASSASSIN) Chicago has now seen the total go "over" in four straight ater yesterday's 10-4 win. The Red Sox won the opener by a score of 8-3 and Boston has now seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four. But everything points to more of a defensive duel here on Sunday between two really good starting pitchers. The Red Sox turn to Kutter Crawford (3-4, 4.11 ERA, 1.16 WHIP), while the home side counters with the red hot Justin Steele (9-2, 2.56 ERA, 1.06 WHIP.) We've seen a lot of offense from each team of late, but that fact has only helped in driving this Sunday total a little too high now in our opinion. And so that's the play, the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-14-23 | Toronto v. Montreal UNDER 48 | Top | 35-27 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Argos/Als (SPECIAL) After starting the season 2-0 SU/ATS, the Als have gone 0-2 SU/ATS. They're 6-1 their last seven in this series here at home though, and they play with revenge after falling 34-27 in the ECF last year, in which Toronto eventually went on to win the Grey Cup. The Als will be looking to control the tempo of this one throughout, as another way to slow down this Argos offense. Toronto had a bye last week, so will "rest" lead to "rust?!" Very possibly is the answer. Either way, we're expecting this one to be won in the trenches and where field position will prove to be critical. As such, all signs point to this being a defensive affair; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-09-23 | Montreal v. BC OVER 45.5 | Top | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
10* Als/Lions OVER (NON-CONF TOY) Montreal is 2-1. BC is 3-1. Each team is the best in its repsective conference on the defensive side of the ball. These teams are similar in many respects, including that they each enter Week 5 off their first loss of the season. Montreal fell 17-3 at home to Winnipeg, while BC fell flat in Toronto by a score of 45-24. The Als though have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 after a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 3 or fewer points in. BC's defense may have finally been exposed last week, but its offense continues to fire on all cylinders. We're expecting a shootout; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-09-23 | Mystics v. Sun UNDER 159 | Top | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mystics/Suns (EAST-CONF TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair here between these Eastern-Conference opponents. Washington is 10-7 and third in the East after beating Indiana 96-88 as a 1-point dog last time out, while Connecticut is 13-5 and No. 2 in the East after a 93-73 win at home over Seattle earlier in the week. Note though that they Mystics play with revenge here after an 88-81 home loss to the Sun back in May, and that's big time significant for us to take note of here, as Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. All signs point to a much more defensive affair here in the rematch; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-08-23 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44 | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Hamilton (EAST-CONF TOW) Winning can at times lead to complacency, and losing can breed motivation. The second part of that is true for both of these teams coming into Week 5, as Ottawa is 1-2 and Hamilton is 0-3. The Ti-Cats though have played some really good teams to open the season, and while they're 0-3, we're expecting a much more efficient offensive game here at home vs. this suspect Ottawa secondary (also note that the Ti-Cats have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.) This marks the first of three games between the teams. Off their first win of the season (26-7) over Edmonton last week, there's no reason not to think that the Redblacks also can't build off that performance; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-07-23 | Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 46.5 | Top | 11-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Stamps/Bombers (WEST-CONF TOW) We're expecting a shootout here. Calgary is 1-2 and Winnipeg is 3-1. The Stamps finally got their offense working in last week's 29-26 OT home loss to the Riders, and we're expecting that offensive momentum to get carried over here. Winnipeg saw its first two games go "over" the number, but the last two have gone well "under." But that's only because the Bombers were matched up against the league's two best defenses the last two weeks. Now back at home and facing this suspect Calgary secondary, we're anticipating a wide-open shootout here; a great situational play on the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-03-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9 | 12-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
8* OVER Astros/Rangers (SLUG-FEST) These teams have been playing to some lower-scoring games of late, but we're definitely expecting that to change quick fast and hurry this afternoon. The total has gone "under" in the first three games of this four game series. So far Houston is 2-1. Note though that the Rangers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. These starters have been great, but regression is imminent in our opinion. The visitors go with Christian Javier, who is 7-1 with a 3.72 ERA, while the home side counters with Martin Perez, who is 7-3 with a 4.28 ERA. This is just a case of these guys being in the wrong place at the wrong time tonight. Everything points to an explosive finish to this four-game series; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-02-23 | Diamondbacks v. Angels OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER D-Backs/Angels (ASSASSIN) Two really good starters going head-to-head here, but we're still predicting this one to become a classic "slug-fest." Arizona has seen the total go UNDER in four straight now after taking the first two games of this three-game series. That includes yesterday's 3-1 victory. Note though that LA has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses vs. an opponent. As mentioned, nothing but respect here for both starters, as Zac Gallen is 10-2 with a 3.02 ERA for Arizaon, while Reid Detmers is 1-5 with a 3.77 ERA for the Angels. This is just a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-02-23 | Sparks v. Dream UNDER 167.5 | Top | 84-112 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sparks/Dream (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH) Here's a great situational play, as we're expecting a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. LA has seen the total go "over" in two of its last three after back-to-back losses at Chicago this week. Atlanta has seen the total go "over" in three straight after a 94-89 win over Washington, but note that the Dream have seen the total go "under" in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. All signs point to a very tight, defensive lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |