Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs OVER 54 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER Steelers/Bucs. Pittsburgh’s season is on the line. RB Bell is out, meaning that everything falls onto Ben Roethlisberger’s broad shoulders. If the Steelers are ever going to win this games, it’s going to be on Big Ben’s arm. We expect Pittsburgh to open up the playbook through the air today, early often and throughout. Tampa is off to an unreal 2-0 start thanks to incredible play from QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (8:1 TD:INT) and an offense which is “firing on all cylinders.” And that’s bad news for a Steelers’ defense which has looked terrible this season, giving up over 40 points to the Chiefs last week. We’re expecting a high-tempo, high-scoring OVER. AAA Sports |
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09-23-18 | Colts v. Eagles UNDER 47.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Colts and the Eagles. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: As note that Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last nine as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER in 13 of its last 19 at home and in 7 of its last 11 as a fav in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. The bottom line: The Eagles’ defense looks to get back on track after last week’s stunning collapse. Expect that to happen against a shaky Andrew Luck. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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09-23-18 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 54 | 43-37 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Saints/Falcons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: As note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 18 road games when the total is greater than or equal to 49.5, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last nine off a win against a division rival. The bottom line: We’re expecting these two normally high-scoring division rivals to play to more of a lower-scoring defensive battle on Sunday afternoon. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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09-20-18 | Jets v. Browns UNDER 39.5 | Top | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 38 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the Jets/Browns. After a great opener, Sam Darnold and the Jets came back down to Earth in Week 2. The short week on the road isn’t going to help cohesion for this young team either in our opinion. On the offensive side of the ball that is. Defensively the Jets have been strong this year, allowing just 18.5 PPG. The Browns could easily be 2-0, but they’re not, they’re just 0-1-1. Cleveland continues to work through growing pains offensively, the strength being the running game which has posted 135 YPG average in the early going. Defensively the team has been sharp as well though in allowing just 21 PPG. Two young teams on a short week. Something has to give here and we believe it’ll be the offensive units. Look for the defenses to dominate the summaries tomorrow morning. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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09-20-18 | Tulsa v. Temple UNDER 55.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 37 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between Tulsa/Temple. These teams played to a “barn-burner” in Temple’s 43-22 victory last season, but we think that we’ll see a much lower-scoring battle on Thursday night. Tulsa is averaging 26.3 PPG and it’s allowing 28. Temple is averaging 27 PPG and it’s allowing only 23 (58th in the country.) Note that Tulsa has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last four games played on a grass field, while Temple has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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09-14-18 | Marlins v. Phillies OVER 8 | Top | 2-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the OVER Marlins/Phillies. These teams played a double-header yesterday and each game fell UNDER the number. However with these two erratic starters going head-to-head on Friday, we think this total will easily blast past the posted number. The Marlins’ Wei-Yin Chen (6-10, 4.72 ERA) had a decent run through August, but overall the southpaw has struggled, especially on the road where he’s a terrible 1-7 with a 9.13 ERA. The home side goes with Zach Eflin (9-7, 4.42) who has lost three in a row and who has given up at least four runs in five of his last five trips to the hill, posting a horrendous 7.72 ERA, 2.01 WHIP and 21:11 K:BB over that stretch. Note that Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in 21 of its last 32 as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range, while Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER in seven of its last 11 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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09-13-18 | Boston College v. Wake Forest UNDER 53 | Top | 41-34 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between BC and Wake Forest. Both teams are 2-0, blowing out their weak non-conference opponents. Each team features a balanced offensive attack and both have above-average defensive units. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics. As note that BC has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last four as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and in ten of its last 16 against conference opponents, while Wake Forest has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range and in nine of its last 14 against the conference. The final summary: The situation and the numbers point to the UNDER as the savvy call here. AAA Sports |
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09-10-18 | Rams v. Raiders UNDER 49.5 | Top | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 127 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Rams/Raiders. The last thing the Raiders can do here is get into a “shootout” and expect to win this against the league’s No. 1 offense from a year ago. Oakland traded away star player Kahlil Mack to the Bears for draft picks so the Rams have to be liking their chances tonight, but the Raiders catch a tiny break here in that none of the Rams starters saw any time in the preseason. For our Over/Under selections (in every sport), we are always on the look out for situations like this one to take advantage of. LA’s offense is rusty and the Raiders are going to want to slow this one down at every moment possible as they look to control the clock on offense, so as to limit the time the Rams’ offense is on the field of play. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high; play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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09-09-18 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 46 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 96 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the 49ers and Vikings. San Fran went 6-10 last year, while Minnesota was 13-3. The 49ers got a boost with the acquisition of QB Jimmy Garoppolo, who had 1,560 receiving yards and a 7:5 TD:INT over six games. The 49ers only averaged 20.7 PPG last year and they could find it difficult to today to get any early chemistry going against last year’s second best defense. The Vikes allowed only 15.8 PPG, while averaging 23.9. Minnesota got Kirk Cousins in the off-season and he’s a major upgrade on the offensive end, but early chemistry will surely be an issue. The 49ers strength last year was the defense, allowing just 23.9 PPG. Richard Sherman should make that unit a lot better this season as well. More question marks on the offensive side of the ball for each side, than on the defensive. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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09-03-18 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State OVER 55 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -112 | 33 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* O/U MASSACRE on the OVER between VT and FSU. VT and FSU both finished with winning records in the ACC, but each lost its bowl game last year. The Hokies averaged 28.2 points and allowed only 14.8. Note though that the entire unit that posted those unreal numbers from last season is gone. Duplicating those numbers in 2018/19 will be impossible for VT. The offense looks primed for a big showing though with the return of QB Josh Jackson, who had nearly 3,000 yards passing and 325 rushing last year. FSU averaged 27.8 PPG and it allowed 21.2. The defense returns most of its starters, as does the offense, including Deondre Francois under center. We believe each team takes a step back defensively this year; play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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09-01-18 | Navy v. Hawaii UNDER 63 | 41-59 | Loss | -113 | 109 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between Navy/Hawaii. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: As note that Navy has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten on the road, while Hawaii has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last seven off a win against a conference rival. The bottom line: After Hawaii’s upset win in Week 1, we expect a predictable letdown Too many point, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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08-30-18 | New Mexico State v. Minnesota UNDER 46.5 | Top | 10-48 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between New Mexico State and Minnesota. New Mexico State lost 29-7 in its home opener this past weekend and we think it’ll have issues scoring here as well. Minnesota will look to take advantage as it looks to better it’s 5-7 record from last year. The Aggies just looked plain terrible on both sides of the ball last week. QB Matt Romero was 16 of 27 for 140 yards and a TD, while the run game posted -9 yards. The defense was a bright spot for New Mexico though and the unit should continue to progress with seven returning starters. The Golden Gophers are ranked sixth in the Big Ten. The QB position is in a bit of an upheaval for Minnesota though, as freshman walk-on Zack Annexstad has been named the starter shockingly. He’ll be leaning heavily on RB Rodney Smith all year, as he had 977 rushing yards last season. Overall Minnesota struggled offensively though with an average of just 22.1 PPG. While the offense did indeed struggle, the defense was decent and it will be a strength of a team in 2018/19 as well with several starters returning (note that the Gophers gave up just 22.8 PPG last season). This one has “chess match,” written all over it. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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08-27-18 | White Sox v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between the White Sox and Yanks. We think this one has “pitchers duel” written all over it. The visitors hand the ball to Carlos Rodon (5-3, 2.71) is white hot for the White Sox with a 1.77 ERA and 0.94 WHIP while posting eight straight quality starts. Note that Rodon owns a sharp 2.31 ERA in all “night” games. The Yanks go with Masahiro Tanaka (9-4, 3.90) who gave up one run over six innings in a no-decision to Miami on Tuesday. Tanaka comes in on top form as well with a 10:1 K:BB over his last 12 innings of work. Note that Tanaka is 7-3 with a 3.59 ERA in all “night” contests. Expect these two quality starters to battle deep and for this total to fall UNDER once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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08-22-18 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BIG TIGER on the OVER Phillies/Nationals. Zach Eflin and Stephen Strasburg are two competent hurlers. However Eflin returns after a short stint in the minors, while Strasburg returns after a month off from injury. and we think that’s going to lead to a higher-scoring shootout. Eflin (9-4, 3.70 ERA) looked good in his final start before going to the minors for one start and coming back up. The back and forth though wears him out here in our opinion, setting him up for a sub-par effort in the Nation’s capitals. Strasburg (6-7, 3.90) has been out for over a month with a neck related issue. He’s been decent, but not spectacular this year, especially at home with a poor 2-5, 5.21 ERA. This one sets up fantastically for a higher scoring OVER. AAA Sports |
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08-16-18 | Cubs v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER between the Cubs/Pirates. The visitors go with Jon Lester (12-5, 3.89 ERA), who has scuffled a bit of late but who overall has been solid across the board; note that he’s been particularly sharp on the road with the 7-2, 3.48 ERA record (he’s also 5-3 with a 3.01 ERA in all “night” contests). The home side goes with Ivan Nova (7-6, 4.42) who earned a no-decision against the Cards on Saturday after giving up four runs off eight hits with three walks over four innings. Nova has struggled over the last month admittedly, but note that the Pirates have seen the total go UNDER in 17 of their last 27 against clubs with winning records. Also note that Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in 50 of 91 vs. right-handed starters this year. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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08-16-18 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 8 | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER between the Rays/Yanks. Rays took Game 1 of this series 6-1 yesterday, but we think the home side will find a way to respond here on Thursday. The visitors go with ace Blake Snell (13-5, 2.18 ERA) who looked good in his first start back from a stint on the DL, but who will reportedly once again be under a pitch count today. That leaves the door open for Masahiro Tanaka (9-3, 4.08) who comes in off a pair of strong outings. Tanaka owns a 1.07 WHIP and has 109 strikeouts over 103 innings of work. Note that he’s 2-0 with a 3.80 ERA in all “day” contests as well. But with Snell under a pitch count, I think New York takes advantage of Tampa’s shaky bullpen. Note as well that Tampa has seen the total go OVER the number seven of its last nine against right-handed starters, while New York has seen the total go OVER in nine of its last 11 after scoring one run or less in its previous outing. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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08-11-18 | Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 50.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Als/Redblacks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense. The UNDER has hit five straight times in this series, but we’re banking on that trend ending here. The Als got smoked 50-11 against the Ti-Cats last week, as rookie QB Johnny Manziel struggled. It wasn’t entirely his fault though and with a week between to prepare and re-focus, we’re expecting a much better effort from the former College star this time around. Ottawa could clearly care less about Montreal’s problems and it’ll be out to bounce back after last week’s 42-41 setback to Toronto. Note that Montreal has seen the total go OVER the total in seven of its last 11 off a loss against a division rival, while Ottawa has seen the total go OVER in three of four already this year when playing the role of favorite. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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08-10-18 | Lions v. Raiders UNDER 36.5 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 37 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER Lions/Raiders. Expect to see a heavy dose of the back-ups and wannabe’s in this one. The Lions will not be playing starting QB Matt Stafford and the Raiders will not be starting Derek Carr. We think the door is being left wide open for each side’s defensive unit to shine. A great “situational” play on the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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08-10-18 | Diamondbacks v. Reds UNDER 9 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 105 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the UNDER Diamondbacks/Reds. A couple of red hot hurlers go head-to-head in this one and all signs point to a lower-scoring UNDER. The visitors go with Clay Buchholz (5-1, 2.68 ERA) who gave up two runs off seven hits with two walks while striking out eight in a win over the Giants on Saturday. He hasn’t allowed more than three runs over his last four starts, all victories. Note that Buchholz is 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA on the road. The home side goes with Anthony DeSclafani (5-3, 4.98) who gave up one run off six hits over seven innings in a win over the Nationals on Saturday. We look for these starters to build off their latest efforts and we expect this total to ultimately stay well UNDER the number at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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08-09-18 | Colts v. Seahawks OVER 34.5 | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Colts/Seahawks. The NFL preseason, especially Game 1, is all about testing out new schemes, new players and getting accustomed to actually being on the field of play. This is a big season for both teams, who over the last couple of years have failed miserably to live up to expectations. Colts’ starting QB Andrew Luck is back healthy this year and it’s reported that he’ll see significant time in the first quarter. The Seahawks’ once vaunted defense is now a work in progress and Luck and company should have a pretty easy time today moving the ball against Seattle’s back-ups. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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08-07-18 | Yankees v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 105 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Yanks/White Sox. CC Sabathia (6-4, 3.59 ERA) gave up two runs over three innings in a no-decision to the Red Sox on Thursday for New York. It wasn’t his best outing, but the veteran has to be feeling confident he can bounce back here as he’s already a solid 5-3 with a 3.74 ERA in all night contests. The home side goes with Reynaldo Lopez (4-9, 4.47) who gave up two runs over seven innings in a no-decision to the Royals on Thursday. Recent form shown by both of these starters points to a classic “duel” on Tuesday night. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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08-07-18 | Cardinals v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Cards/Marlins. This play is based primarily around the dominance of Cards’ pitcher Miles Mikolas and the ineptitude of Miami at the plate in general. Mikolas (11-3, 2.75 ERA) is for legit, most recently going seven strong innings, giving up two runs while striking out six over seven innings in a victory over Colorado on Thursday. To go along with his sharp ERA, note that he also sports an elite 1.08 WHIP and solid 97:25 K:BB over 137.1 innings of work. We have a hard time seeing many runs scored in this one, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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08-05-18 | Royals v. Twins UNDER 9 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER Royals/Twins. Two pitchers who have seen better days go head to head in this one. All things considered though, we think this number is a little high. The visitors go with Danny Duffy (7-9, 4.50 ERA) who went 5.2 scoreless and struck out seven in a win over the White Sox on Tuesday. Duffy has now posted three scoreless outings out of his last six starts and we think the veteran will carry that momentum over here. The home side hands the ball to Ervin Santana (0-0, 6.10) gave up four runs off six hits with two walks over 5.1 innings in a no-decision to the Indians on Monday. Santana has now given up seven runs over 10.1 innings since returning from injury and he’s going to benefit here tonight facing the Royals’ anemic line-up. We’re expecting these starters to fight into the latter frames and for this one to ultimately stay UNDER once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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08-05-18 | Braves v. Mets OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the OVER Braves/Mets. We think these starting pitchers will “get the hook” early, which will in turn result in a higher-scoring “slug-fest.” The visitors go with Julio Teheran (8-7, 4.46 ERA) who gave up three runs off four hits with four walks over five innings in a win over Miami on Monday. He’s now given up ten earned runs over his last 9.1 innings of work (note that he’s just 4-5 with a 5.13 ERA on the road as well.) The home side goes with Corey Oswalt (1-2, 5.27), who has been called up from the minors to replace the injured Steven Matz. It’s a tough spot start for Oswalt and we think he’ll stumble here against this high-powered Braves line-up. This number is just a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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08-03-18 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER in the Yankes/Red Sox. Severino (14-4, 2.94 ERA) will be extra motivated here after giving up six runs off eight hits with one walk and five strikeouts over 4.1 innings in a loss last weekend. Severino has admittedly stumbled of late, but note that he’s still 6-3 with a 3.59 ERA on the road and there’s no reason to over-react in our opinion. Porcello (13-4, 4.03) comes in off a poor outing as well, giving up four runs off five hits and a walk over 5.2 innings in a victory over Minnesota on Saturday. Porcello has been sharp of late overall though and there’s no reason not to think that he won’t be able to bounce back in friendly confines. With these two competent starters battling deep, we look for this one to indeed fall UNDER once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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08-03-18 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER Marlins/Phillies. The visitors go with Trevor Richards (3-5, 4.06 ERA) who went six scoreless in his last start. Richards has been decent of late, who over his last ten starts has struck out 47 batters spanning 51.2 innings of work. Velasquez (7-8, 4.02) gave up two runs while striking out four over five innings against Cincinnati on Saturday. Over his last 27 innings of work Velasquez has now allowed only five runs while striking out 25 in that span. We’re expecting these competent starters to battle deep and for this one total to fall UNDER once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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07-28-18 | Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 56 | 21-15 | Win | 100 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Redblacks and Ti-Cats. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: as note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 17 against division foes, while Hamilton has seen the total go UNDER in its last two as a home favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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07-23-18 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 7 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Padres/Mets. We think these starting pitchers will duel deep and we look for this total to stay UNDER at the end of the night. The visitors go with Eric Lauer (5-6, 4.87 ERA) who entered the break off a “dud,” allowing five runs over two innings against the Cubs. Previous to that though Lauer had gone eight straight starts in which he’d given up three earned runs or fewer. With the extra time off, we’re expecting the right-hander to return to form. The home side hands the ball to Zack Wheeler (3-6, 4.44) who finished the first half with a win over the Nationals, allowing four runs and striking out seven over eight innings. Each starter catches a break here facing these anemic line-ups. This number is just a little high, play the UNDER. NOTE, LATE PITCHING CHANGE FOR METS: This play is STILL ACTIVE. New York goes with ace Jacob deGrom (5-4, 1.68) whose start has been pushed to Monday following Sunday’s rainout. in his previous outing he went eight scoreless while striking out seven in an unfortunate no-decision to the Phillies. He comes in with a massive 149:30 K:BB over 123.1 innings of work. This play is STILL LIVE. DOUBLE NOTE, ANOTHER LATE CHANGE FOR PADRES: This play is STILL ACTIVE. Lauer is out and Lucchesi is now in. We still love this play. He comes in off the DL and a rough re-hab start, but he was one of the Friars strongest starters over the first half with a 3.34 ERA and 69:25 K:BB over 67.1 innings of work. This play is STILL LIVE. AAA Sports |
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07-01-18 | Russia v. Spain UNDER 2.5 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between Russia/Spain. Russia smashed Saudi Arabia and Egypt, but then came back down to Earth in its 3-0 loss to Uruguay in its final match. Spain comes in on a 23 match unbeaten streak and it’s never lost to Russia ever. The Spanish have depth across the board and while they’ve let in some goals in this tournament, we think they’re going to be able to slow down the host nation in this one. Spain can sit back and wait for the panicked Russians to make the first mistake. We like the Spaniards to control the pace of this one and we look for this total to fall UNDER once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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06-28-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary UNDER 57 | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between Ottawa/Calgary. This can still be a higher-scoring affair and fall UNDER this sky-high number, and that’s exactly what we expect to see happen. Not surprisingly, this is the highest total on the CFL board in Week 3. While the total has gone OVER in six of their last seven in the series, we are finally expecting more of a defensive battle (both match ups, in Weeks 1 and 2 went well above the number.) Ottawa looked impressive on both sides of the ball in its season opener at home to Saskatchewan, pulling away for the convincing 40-17 victory. The Stamps are 2-0 to open the season, but could be caught a little complacent here after going to Toronto in a rematch of last year’s Grey Cup upset and coming away with the big 41-7 blowout victory. Both teams have league-leading QB’s leading the way offensively, but the overall situation lends itself to more of a defensive affair in our opinion. Further note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 20 when playing with six or less days of rest, while Calgary has seen the total go UNDER in 14 of its last 25 after two or more consecutive SU victories. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-28-18 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the UNDER Brewers/Reds. We had a play on Milwaukee at home to the Royals yesterday and it would unfortunately come out on the wrong end of a 5-4 decision, the total going OVER the number in that one. Cincinnati was in Atlanta earlier in the day and it left town with a 6-5 win. While both teams played to higher-scoring slug-fests yesterdays, we believe that we’ll have more of a “duel” on our hands in this one. The visitors hand the ball to Junior Guerra (3-5, 2.82 ERA) who gave up one run with seven strikeouts over five innings in a no-decision to the Cards on Friday. Guerra is now holding the opposition to a .217 average and he’s allowed one run or less while going at least five innings in three of his last five starts. To go along with his very respectable ERA, Guerra also sports an elite 1.17 WHIP and 74:30 K:BB over 76.2 innings of work. Note that he’s 2-2 with a 2.60 ERA on the road. The home side hands the ball to Anthony DeSclafani (3-1, 4.09) who gave up two earned runs with three strikeouts over 6.1 innings in a victory over the Cubs on Saturday. DeSclafani hasn’t been perfect this year, but he’s once again trending in the correct direction. Note that Milwaukee has seen the total go UNDER the number in 22 of 34 against the division already this year, while Cincinnati has seen the total go UNDER in 20 of 35 against divisional opponents this season. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-27-18 | Yankees v. Phillies UNDER 9 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* FIRST HALF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Yanks/Phillies. Luis Cessa (0–0, 3.00 ERA) gets the call for the visitors and he’ll look to make the most of this spot start on Wednesday. Cessa’s been used out of the bullpen and has posted a 3.60 ERA in all night games. The home side goes with Zach Eflin (5-2, 3.44) who comes in off another strong outing against Washington Friday, going five innings and allowing two runs with five strikeouts in the eventual victory. This play is based primarily on the strong recent play of Eflin, who has won four straight decisions behind a 2.28 ERA and a 22:4 K:BB over 23.2 innings of work. Note that Eflin has been sharp at home as well with a 2-1, 3.63 ERA record. Cessa catches a break facing the Phillies “on again off again” offense, while we’re also expecting Eflin to keep the Yanks’ big bats at bay. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-24-18 | A's v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* O/U SITUATIONAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER A’s/White Sox. The first two games of this series have sailed OVER the number, but we’re finally expecting more of a “duel” in the finale. The A’s hand the ball to Paul Blackburn (1-1, 8.03 ERA) who gave up two runs off four hits while striking out four over five innings in a no-decision to the Padres on Tuesday. Blackburn bounced back nicely after getting rocked in his season debut, throwing 53 of his 85 pitches for strikes. Note that he owns a 3.60 ERA on the road. Chicago counters with Carlos Rodon (0-2, 4.41) who gave up four runs off five hits while striking out five over seven innings in a loss to the Indians on Tuesday. Rodon retired 11 of the final 12 batters he faced and he has to be feeling confident here as he sports a sharp 3.60 ERA at home and in day games thus far. We usually don’t put much stock in team trends when landing on a particular day, however it’s worth mentioning that Oakland has already seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of 12 this year when playing on a “Sunday,” while Chicago has seen the total go UNDER in all nine games that it’s played this year that happen to fall on a Sunday. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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06-23-18 | A's v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-6 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Oakland A’s and the Chicago White Sox. After yesterday’s high-scoring A’s slug-fest victory, we’re expecting runs to be at more of a premium on Saturday. Oakland hands the ball to Daniel Mengden (6-6, 4.06 ERA) who gave up four earned runs off six hits with three walks while striking out two over 5.2 innings against the Angels on Sunday. Mengden started the year on fire and has since regressed, but note that he’s still owns a sharp 3.02 ERA in all “day” contests. The White Sox hand the ball to Dylan Covey (3-2, 2.90) who gave up five runs off six hits and five walks over five innings in a loss to the Indians on Monday. Previous to this dud though, Covey had not allowed more than two runs in any of his last five outings. Note that he’s 2-0 with a tiny 1.42 ERA at home this year as well. With these two hungry starters battling deep into the latter frames, the savvy move in this matchup is on the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-15-18 | Phillies v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 2-13 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Phillies/Brewers. Two starters hungry for a victory go head-to-head in this one and we think they’re going to fight each other deep. As a result, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy call in this matchup. The visitors hand the ball to Jake Arrieta (5-4, 2.97 ERA), who enters off a a tough outing against these very Brewers on Saturday, allowing five runs off four hits over 5.1 innings in what turned out to be a loss. Arrieta has struggled a bit of late, but he still comes in sporting an elite 5-2, 2.05 ERA in all “night” contests thus far. The home side goes with the ever improving Brent Suter (6-4, 4.61) who gave up three runs off four hits and five strikeouts in the victory throwing opposite Arrieta last weekend. Note that Suter owns a respectable 4.01 ERA in all “night” contests. Note as well that Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of 14 already this year on the road when the total in the contest is set between 8 and 8.5, while Milwaukee has seen the total go UNDER in 19 of 30 at home. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-14-18 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 50 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Esks/Blue Bombers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is primarily based on common sense. Edmonton lost both regular season games to Winnipeg last year, but then got its revenge in the West Semi Finals in a high-scoring affair. But with Blue Bomber’ starting QB Matt Nichols lost for at least six weeks after going down with injury in practice two weeks ago, we believe that Winnipeg will be forced to run while on offense early and often. Edmonton’s QB Mike Reilly has been one of the most prolific in the league the last two years, but the Bombers’ defense is stout. When you add it all up, this total is indeed a little high. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-12-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Cubs/Brewers. These teams combined for nine runs in the Cubs 7-2 win yesterday and we believe we’ll see even less on Tuesday. Tyler Chatwood (3-4, 3.86 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and while he’s struggled at times this year, note that he owns a sharp 2.70 ERA on the road to this point. The home side goes with Chase Anderson (4-5, 4.57) who has been “hit or miss” this season as well, but who comes in with a decent 4-2, 3.91 ERA in all “night” contests to this point. Also note note that Chicago has already seen the total go UNDER the number in 18 of 29 on the road this season, while Milwaukee has seen the total go UNDER IN 17 of 27 at home. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-12-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Red Sox/Orioles. These teams combined for just two runs in the Red Sox 2-0 victory yesterday and in our opinion all signs point to another “duel” between these clubs on Tuesday. The Red Sox go with Eduardo Rodriguez (7-1, 3.68 ERA) who comes in off four straight wins, most recently giving up just one run off five hits and a walk over 5.2 innings while also striking out five in a win over Detroit in Wednesday. Note that Rodriguez is 2-0 with a 3.80 ERA on the road to this point. The Orioles hand the ball to David Hess (2-2, 3.07) who gave up one run off five hits and two walks over six innings while striking out four in a no-decision against the Jays on Thursday. Over his last 18.2 innings of work, Hess has allowed just two earned runs and note that he owns a sharp 3.00 ERA at home so far. Also note that Boston has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of 13 already this year as a road favorite in the -125 to -175 range, while Baltimore has seen the total go UNDER in three of four as home dog in the +125 to +175 range. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-09-18 | Indians v. Tigers UNDER 9.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Indians/Tigers. These teams played to a lower-scoring UNDER yesterday and in our opinion, everything points to another “duel” on Saturday afternoon as well. The Tribe hands the ball to Mike Clevinger (4-2, 3.36 ERA) who gave up four runs off seven hits with three strikeouts over six innings in a no-decision to the Twins on Sunday. Over his last 24.1 innings of work, Clevinger owns a 20:12 K:BB. However note that he’s a sharp 2-1 with a 2.38 ERA on the road this year and an even better 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA in all “day” contests. The Tigers go with Mike Fiers (5-3, 4.33) who comes in off a strong outing against the Yanks on Monday, giving up two earned runs off six hits over 5.2 innings, walking two and striking out six in the eventual victory. Note that Fiers is a solid 2-0 with a 4.11 ERA in all day games and 3-1 with a 3.97 ERA at home. We expect these two starters to battle into the latter frames and for this total to fall UNDER the number once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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06-03-18 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 216 | Top | 103-122 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the Cavs/Warriors. We had a play on the OVER in Game 1 and we obviously feel a bit “lucky” to have hit that one, as these teams would need OT to indeed make that happen. Both teams ran out of gas in the fourth quarter and it would fortunately end tied after regulation. LeBron James expended a great deal of energy in that one and we predict that he’ll come out a bit flat to open this one up. The way the Cavs lost as well will put a damper on the visitors in this one and we think that’ll cause a chain reaction in overall chemistry as well. The Warriors dodged a bullet and they know it, but it’s hard to see GS play so poorly on the defensive end twice in our opinion. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. This particular play is based primarily on common sense, as we expect to see a much tighter, lower-scoring UNDER in this pivotal Game 2 matchup. AAA Sports |
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06-03-18 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 9 | 5-7 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Indians/Twins. We expect these hungry starters to fight into the latter frames. The visitors hand the ball to Mike Clevinger (4-2, 3.14 ERA) who gave up one run off four hits and two walks with seven strikeouts over seven innings in a victory over the White Sox on Tuesday. Note that Clevinger has been fantastic on the road this year with a 2-1, 1.61 ERA thus far. Kyle Gibson (1-3, 3.57) gets the nod for the home side and he most recently struck out eight over seven scoreless in a win over Kansas City on Tuesday. Note that it was Gibson’s third scoreless outing of the year. Gibson owns a sharp 1.25 WHIP and is holding his opponents to a mere .222 batting average and we have no reason not to believe that he won’t be able to carry over that momentum here. This pick is based entirely on these starting pitchers, because as we said off the top, we’re fully expecting them to both go deep into this one. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-01-18 | Nationals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Nationals/Braves. We’re expecting these team’s respective “aces” to fight deep into this one and as a result, we look for this total to fall UNDER the number once it’s all said and done. The Nats turn to Stephen Strasburg (6-4, 3.13 ERA) who went five scoreless and struck out eight in a victory over the Marlins on Sunday. Strasburg would allow only two opponents to get past first base and he’d go on to throw 66 percent of his pitches for strikes. Also note that he’s now allowed three runs or fewer in his last five trips to the mound, so we find no reason no to think that the dynamic right-hander won’t be able to continue his progression here. The Braves’ go with Mike Foltynewicz (4-3, 2.55) who gave up one run off three hits with seven strikeout over seven innings in a win over the hard-hitting Red Sox on Sunday. Foltynewicz’s numbers are elite across the board, with the 2.55 ERA and 1.28 WHIP, with 69 strikeouts over 60 frames of work. Also note that Washington has seen the total go UNDER the number in 16 of 26 on the road already this season, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER In 20 of 35 “night” contests. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-01-18 | Cubs v. Mets OVER 8.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the OVER Cubs/Mets. We think these two struggling starters get the hook early and as a result, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy call in this matchup. The visitors hand the ball to Tyler Chatwood (3-4, 4.10 ERA) who was shelled for three runs off six hits over just 2.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision against the Giants on Sunday. It was the second straight outing in which Chatwood has lasted just 2.2 frames and during that span he owns a poor 4:11 K:BB. Also note that Chatwood’s 1.76 WHIP over 48.1 innings of work leaves everything to be desired as well. The home side turns to the erratic Zack Wheeler (2-4, 5.40) who gave up four runs off six hits with two walks in a no-decision in his latest outing. Previous to this outing Wheeler had allowed ten or more runners to reach base over three trips to the mound. Wheeler looked a bit better in this latest performance, but note that he’s still a brutal 0-4 with an elevated 7.36 ERA at home this year. Note as well that Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five on the road when the total in the contest is set between 8 and 8.5, while New York has seen the total go OVER in five of its last seven when the money line in the contest is set between +125 and -125. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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06-01-18 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 10 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Yanks/Orioles. We look for these starters to fight deep into this one and as a result, all signs do indeed point to this number being a little high. The Yanks hand the ball to Masahiro Tanaka (6-2, 4.62 ERA) who comes in off a great showing against the Angels last time out, giving up one run off three hits while striking out eight across six innings. Tanaka has posted back to back victories and while his ERA isn’t anything to write him about yet, note that he does still sports a sharp 1.09 WHIP and 58 strikeouts over 62.1 frames of work (note that he’s 4-0 on the road thus far.) The Orioles go with Kevin Gausman (3-4, 4.31) who enters off an outing to forget, allowing seven runs off six hits and two walks over just 2.2 innings in a loss to the Rays on Sunday. The silver lining though was that Gausman would post nine strikeouts in his limited time. Previous to this dud though Gausman had pitched three quality efforts out of his last four tries, so we’re definitely not reading too much into one crummy performance. Also note that Guasman is 3-2 with a 3.99 ERA at home thus far. Note as well that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of eight already this year as a road fav in the -125 to -175 range, while Baltimore has seen the total go UNDER in 16 of its 25 at home already. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. NOTE: There’s been a pitching change in this one after yesterday’s game was cancelled, as Gausman is out for the O’s and Thursday’s original starter Andrew Cashner will get the call. THIS PLAY IS STILL VALID. Cashner (2-6, 5.07) was roughed up in his latest outing against the Rays on Saturday, but previous to that dud he’d given up three or fewer earned runs in four consecutive starts. We look for the vet bounce back in this one. Also note that Sonny Gray will get the start for New York. Gray (3-4, 5.98) comes in off an outing to fogey against the Angels on Saturday, but note that he’s 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA in all “day” games. AAA Sports |
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05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 214 | Top | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 41 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Golden State Warriors. It’s round 4 of the Cavs/Warriors and so far Golden State holds the 2-1 lead. LeBron James will be risking life and limb to try and pull of the upset, both in Game 1 and in this series overall and while “The King” may or may not pull off that feat, we’re expecting both sides to come in rested/focused and to push this one OVER the total before the final buzzer sounds. Note that Cleveland has seen the total go OVER in five of its last seven when playing with three or more days rest, while Golden State has seen the total go OVER in six of its last eight with three or more days rest. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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05-30-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 106 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Capitals/Knights. The Las Vegas Golden Knights have become the “trendy” pick and how can you blame people blindly jumping on them? LV has defied all odds to advance to the Stanley Cup Final and it took control of this series with a convincing 6-4 win in Game 1. I think you’d be hard pressed to find many though that even know a single players name on the Golden Knights other than goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury. Whatever the case may be, with that high-scoring goal-fest out of the way, we do definitely now feel that both Fleury and the Capitals’ Braden Holtby will settle down and steal the show in Game 2. Note that Holtby is still 12-7 with a 2.20 GAA in the postseason, while Fleury is still 13-3 with a 1.81 GAA. We’re expecting a much tighter, lower-scoring UNDER in Game 2. AAA Sports |
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05-30-18 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Cards/Brewers. These teams went UNDER the number in the Cards 6-1 win yesterday (we had a play on St. Louis in that one.) We think this one sets up as another lower-scoring pitchers duel as well. The visitors turn to Alex Reyes (0-0, 0.00 ERA), who makes his season debut this afternoon. Reyes has been in re-hab up until now and in his time in Triple-A he’s been completely dominant, posting 44 strikeouts over 23 innings of work. Reyes is expected to get a full work load and he’ll anchor the fifth spot in the rotation until others become healthier. The home side goes with Junior Guerra (3-3, 2.98) who earned a no-decision against the Mets in his latest start despite giving up just two runs off five hits over six innings. Note that Guerra comes in with the solid 3.57 ERA in all “night” games. We expect these two starters to fight into the late innings and as a result, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy call in this matchup. AAA Sports |