This is a 10* on the UNDER

New Orleans just suffered what has to be the most shocking loss of the NFL season. As a two-touchdown favorite, they fell 26-9 to the Falcons last week. That was at home. They were dominated. Coming off a loss like that, you figure the Saints will be eager to take the field this week. But they are traveling to Tampa Bay to face a Buccaneers team that all of a sudden has some confidence following a last minute win over Arizona. Drew Brees is back but this Saints offense doesn't seem right. Last week was the 4th game this year in which they were held to 13 points or less. Some of that was with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. But slow starts have been the norm. New Orleans has scored just 25 points in the 1st quarter this year. Eventually that's going to catch up with them. It certainly did last week. Tampa Bay's last seven games have all gone Over. Some of them by a lot. But last week's only went Over when they scored the game winning touchdown in the closing seconds. The previous week's game went to overtime. The defense should get better this week with the return of CB Carlton Davis. Down a key offensive lineman (Andrus Peat), don't be shocked if the Saints again struggle to protect Brees. Also, Tampa Bay's defense is #1 in the league at stopping the run. But the Saints can probably count on their own defense in this game. They come in allowing just 20.2 points/game. Play UNDER New Orleans-Tampa Bay 

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Hawaii games have seen a spike in scoring over the last month with five straight games going Over. Every one of those five games saw at least 79 total points scored. Oddsmakers have been slow playing catchup as not even an absurd 78.5 could keep the Warriors and San Jose State Under last week (Hawaii won 42-40). But this week should finally be the time where the scoring subsides. UNLV is the opponent this week. The Rebels don't have any chance of making a bowl and Tony Sanchez may be coaching his final games out in the desert. The Rebels just can't seem to put it together offensively. Six of the last eight games have seen them held to 17 points or less. If UNLV is held to anything close to 17 points this week, then this will be an easy Under. Hawaii can't go Over themselves. They've scored more than 45 points only one time in 2019. Hitting the mainland, we expect Hawaii's offense not to be as prolific as recent weeks. The home team is on a 9-1 run in the series and that includes a 35-28 Hawaii win in Honolulu last year. Four of the last five meetings have seen 72 points or less scored. UNLV is off a bye, but that hardly matters. They are going nowhere fast. Redshirt freshman Kenyon Oblad isn't the answer at quarterback. Play UNDER Hawaii-Nevada

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

San Antonio has not played good defense lately. That's not the norm for Greg Popovich's team. The last five games have seen the Spurs surrender an average of 119.2 points. They're allowing opponents to shoot over 50%. But tonight's opponent has the potential to change all that. Orlando plays at the slowest tempo in the league. That has resulted in them also being last in the league in points scored. Though they've improved somewhat in the last four games, the Magic still aren't even averaging 100 points/game. They failed to hit triple digits in the first seven games of the season. But unlike the Spurs, the Magic can play some defense. They are #1 in the NBA in points allowed. At home, they give up just 96.3 points/game. Being last in points scored & first in points allowed should make the Under an automatic consideration any time Orlando hits the floor. The Under is already 7-4 for the Magic this season and that's with the last two games both going Over. Our view is that the Spurs defense will improve tonight and the game will be played at a slow pace. This is also the highest O/U line for any Orlando game in two weeks. Play UNDER San Antonio-Orlando   

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

Vancouver stopped a four-game losing streak with a 5-3 win over Nashville on Tuesday. Tonight, they'll play host to a Dallas team on its own four game streak, that being four straight Unders. You can look for this to be another low-scoring game. Play the Under. The Under is 9-1 the Stars last 10 games, a stretch which has also seen them win eight times. The key to the success, as you might have guessed, is keeping the other team from scoring. Those last nine games, they've allowed just 16 goals. They won 3-1 last night in Calgary.  Off to one of their best starts in years, the Canucks should relish the opportunity to play at home where they've done quite well for themselves. The offensive numbers here are impressive, but so is the fact they allow just 2.5 goals/game. A problem for Dallas is that they still rank among the lowest scoring teams in the league. They average only 2.4 goals/game on the road, which is in the bottom third. They are 29th in shots/game on the road. The last two times Dallas has been in back to back, the game has gone Under. Play UNDER Dallas-Vancouver

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Michigan State started the year at #1 in polls. But they lost their first time out, falling to #2 Kentucky 69-62. It didn't take the Spartans long to bounce back though. Sunday saw them destroy Binghamton by a score of 100-47. Up next on the docket for Tom Izzo's team is a date with Seton Hall. The Pirates are 2-0 having also hit triple digits in a game (beat Wagner 105-71 in the opener). They followed that up by beating Stony Brook 74-57. Needless to say, this is a major step up in terms of the opposition. Seton Hall is no slouch. They are ranked #12 in the country. But they'll likely be playing without their best player Thursday. Myles Powell, who is the preseason Big East Player of the Year, sprained his ankle in the Stony Brook game. Replacing his production will be quite difficult, especially against a strong defensive team like Michigan State. Sparty didn't shoot well against Kentucky (39.4 FG%) and it will be interesting to see how they do in their first true road game. The Under is 17-7 when Izzo's team is a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. Play UNDER Michigan State-Seton Hall

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

The Spurs are coming off their most embarrassing result of the season as they lost to Memphis Monday night, a game they were favored to win by double digits. Instead, they lost 113-109. Minnesota is off an upset win as they went to Detroit on Monday and beat the Pistons 120-114. It was the third time this season the Timberwolves went on the road and pulled off an outright upset. The Spurs have dropped five of seven games and are 2-8 ATS on the season. Maybe the most surprising thing about them is the poor defense we've seen of late. The last five games have seen them allow an average of 114.2 points. You just don't see that with a Greg Popovich coached team. Minnesota has pulled some upsets on the road, but they are not shooting the ball well at home (just 39.4% in four games). Our guess is that the Spurs defense is going to improve tonight and that means another bad shooting night for the T'wolves. These teams met four times last year and the Over was 4-0. But three of those four games would NOT have gone Over tonight's O/U line. Lower scoring game than expected tonight. Play UNDER San Antonio-Minnesota

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER 

You have to wonder if the Over is set to make a "comeback" in these primetime affairs. The Under had been 13-4 in Sunday/Monday night games this year prior to last night's Over in Minnesota-Dallas. We had the Over last night and that's the way we're playing Monday night's game as well. It's not just about bucking a trend for us though. Both of these teams can certainly score. In their last home game, the 49ers put up 51 points. Seattle scored 40 last week in an overtime victory over Tampa Bay. The Seahawks will add Josh Gordon to their offense this week. The mercurial Gordon certainly has his share of off the field problems, but can be as talented a receiver as there is. Not that Russell Wilson needs much help these days. Wilson is having a MVP caliber season with 2,505 yards passing. That the Niners are without LB Kwon Alexander is huge. A rookie (Dre Greenlaw) is replacing him. San Francisco QB Jimmy Garoppolo should have a big night as well. Seattle's pass defense ranks 28th, giving up 278 yards/game. They allowed 460 yards to a backup (Matt Schaub) two weeks ago and then 335 to Jameis Winston last week. The Over has hit in six of Seattle's last seven NFC West games. The same for four of San Francisco's last five NFC West games. This could easily turn into a high-scoring game. Play OVER Seattle-San Francisco

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

The Lakers have won seven in a row and posted the best point differential in the league. They've held half of their opponents below 100 points and just held Miami to 80 points, their fewest allowed in a game this season. They have posted the league's best defensive efficiency rating as well. Right now, things are going very well for LeBron and company. It's a tough matchup on Sunday though with the defending champs coming to LA. Toronto is 6-2 and had double digit leads in both games they lost. The Raptors are allowing a field goal percentage of 40.6% this year, which is even lower than what the Lakers are allowing. This has all the makings of a low-scoring game between two good defensive teams. Toronto is really going to struggle to score tonight. They are without both Kyle Lowry (21.8 PPG) and Serge Ibaka, both of whom sustained injuries in New Orleans Friday night. Play UNDER Toronto-LA Lakers

AAA

This is an 8* on the OVER

The numbers aren't good here for Kirk Cousins, whether it be his record on the road vs. winning teams (0-7-1 SU/ATS with Minnesota), his record on the road in primetime (1-7 SU, 1-6-1 ATS) or his record against Dallas (1-6 straight up, including 0-4 vs. Dak Prescott). But Cousins has either completed 80% of his passes or thrown 3 TD passes in five straight games. The Vikings did lose last week, 26-23 at Kansas City, but are 23-9-1 ATS off a loss under Mike Zimmer. They're getting Dallas on a short week. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS after playing on Monday Night Football under Jason Garrett. So the trends aren't all against Minnesota Sunday night. Another trend that's interesting is the Under has gone 13-4 in Sunday & Monday night games this NFL season. That includes 8-0 when the home team is favored. But with two explosive offenses this week, we feel that trend is about to change. We've got two of the game's best runners facing off in Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott. Cook has 1232 yards from scrimmage and leads the league in rushing. The Vikings defense isn't the same away from home either as it has given up 56 points the last two road games. The Cowboys offense has scored 37 points in back to back games. They are averaging 6.8 yards/game and 436.6 yards/game. This total simply isn't high enough for a game that could quickly turn into a shootout. Play OVER Minnesota-Dallas

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

So Tampa Bay found another way to lose last week. It was blowing a 21-7 lead in Seattle and going down in overtime where they didn't even have a chance to possess the ball. A tough break for Bruce Arians team, which is now 2-6 on the year. This week find the Bucs favored for just the third time this season. They are hosting the 3-5-1 Cardinals who will be coming in with some confidence after taking the undefeated 49ers to the wire last Thursday. The Arizona offense even averaged over 7.0 yards/play against what is the league's top defense. With the Bucs on a six-game Over streak, the expectation here will clearly be for a high-scoring shootout. But be careful with expectations sometimes. This high number is something we can take advantage of this week.Tampa's run defense is actually #1 in the league this year, giving up only 78.1 yards/game. So hopefully they can make the Arizona offense one-dimensional. While Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray has some of the same skill-set as Russell Wilson (who faced the Bucs last week), Murray just isn't the passer Wilson is - at least yet. The Under is still 15-7 in Tampa Bay's last 22 home games. Play UNDER Arizona-Tampa Bay

AAA

This is a 10* on the OVER

Tennessee has shown it still has a pulse by scoring 71 points the last two weeks. (They also won both games) Kentucky is off a bye, so their offense should be as healthy and ready as its been in some time. With a low total, we like this game to go Over. Part of Kentucky's problem this year has been at quarterback. But they have found a solution in the most unique of ways. Receiver Lynn Bowden Jr was moved over to QB and has dazzled with back to back virtuoso performances. Bowden has RUN for 400 yards in two starts. It's something the Tennessee defense is going to have trouble prepping for. The Wildcats haven't exactly faced the most impressive slate of offenses recently and the game vs. Missouri two weeks ago took place in a downpour. It's worth noting that before UK's last five games went Under, the first three all went Over. Tennessee has shown it can score the last two weeks. The 41-point effort against South Carolina was especially impressive. This is the third year in a row that Kentucky is favored to beat Tennessee. Before that, they'd been favored just once in 50 years! The Vols are 3-0 ATS in those three games as dogs and they've also scored at least 24 points the last five meetings, including three games with at least 49 points. Play OVER Tennessee-Kentucky

AAA

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This is a 10* on the UNDER

These schools have met just one time. It was last year and Coastal Carolina won 30-28 as a three-point underdog. That was on the road. This year, the Chanticleers get to host the Ragin Cajuns, but are actually much bigger underdogs. Louisiana has been one of the best ATS teams in the country this year. They are 7-1 ATS. The only game they didn't cover was against Appalachian State, a 17-7 loss. The only other team to beat them was Mississippi State back in the first game of the season. While this won't be the highest total for either team, ULL has gone Under in three straight games. They also haven't allowed more than 25 points in any game since that loss to Mississippi State. Coastal Carolina has been quite the opposite with five of their last six games going Over the total. Their defense hasn't been great. Home games, on average, have tended to be lower scoring though. Look for Louisiana to run the ball a lot in this game. They'll be effective at doing so, but it will also keep the clock moving. Play UNDER Louisiana-Coastal Carolina

AAA

This is an 8* play on OVER

This will be the first time since 2010 that Toledo hasn't had to lay double digits to Kent State. It's only the fourth meeting since then for the in-state rivals, but the short price shouldn't come as a total shock. Toledo has suffered some bad losses this year while Kent State looks improved. They've been outscored by 41 points in four MAC games, but if Toledo wins out they could very well win the West Division for the second time in three years. The problem is a leaky defense that has given up 86 points the last two weeks. After getting lambasted by Ball State (52-14), the Rockets barely beat Eastern Michigan last week, winning 37-34 in overtime. Toledo averages 35.2 PPG at home, which is two full touchdowns more than what they average outside the Glass Bowl. Kent State's defense is giving up nearly 500 yards/game on the road, so this easily could turn into a shootout Tuesday night. Last year was a 56-34 game, won by Toledo, who was an 11.5-point favorite. The Under is 6-0 in Toledo's last six Tuesday games. That's about to change. Take away the dreadful effort against Bowling Green (on the road) and the Rockets have scored plenty in almost every other game. Kent State took some lumps against Power 5 teams, but is an improved team on offense. Play OVER Kent State-Toledo

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

Arizona and Edmonton have each gone Over in their last three games. But both teams are certainly capable of scoring a lot of goals on any given not. Especially the Oilers when they are playing at home. So far, the Oilers are scoring an average of 3.8 goals in home games. But if the Oilers have a problem tonight, it's that they also give up a decent number of goals at home (3.3 per game). So with an average of more than 7 goals/game being scored in Edmonton home games, this number looks to be low. Arizona had a 3-0 shutout of Colorado last time we saw them. But it was their 1st shutout this season and just the 12th in the last three seasons. The Coyotes are among the league leaders when it comes to fewest number of goals, but we're rather suspicious of that continuing. They also give up a higher number of goals on the road compared to at home. The Over is 10-4 for Edmonton when off three or more consecutive Unders. The time is right for a high-scoring game. Play OVER Arizona-Edmonton. 

AAA

This is an 8* play on the UNDER

This is a little bit like our Under play on last night's Flames-Capitals game. We've got a red hot team scoring a lot of goals. In this instance it's Boston, winners of five straight, a streak which has seen them find the back of the net a total of 24 times.Look for the pace to slow down tonight though with a visit from the always dangerous Penguins. Pittsburgh can score, but they've also allowed just three goals in the last three games. So, in our opinion, this has Under written all over it. Pittsburgh is giving up just 2.4 goals/game so far. Boston is even better at 2.1. At home, the Bruins allow just 1.6 goals/game. Both Bruins' numbers are the best in the NHL right now.The Under is actually 52-18-2 in the Penguins last 72 games! They are 22-4 Under their last 26 games vs. the Atlantic Division. A problem for Pittsburgh is that they are 0 for 19 on the power play the previous eight games. Forward David Backes is out for Boston. Play UNDER Pittsburgh-Boston

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

This streak of Washington Overs has to end some time, right? The Capitals have gone Over in nine straight games with all nine seeing seven or more total goals scored. The Caps have handled the bulk of the scoring 41 goals in those nine games, which is kind of an insane number. One of the games was in Calgary and the Caps won there 5-3. The two times these teams played last year, both games also went Over. The Flames have produced some high scoring games themselves this season, but most have been at home. They are averaging just 2.3 goals/game on the road. This is the second game of a back to back for them as well. Last night saw them shutout Columbus 3-0. The Flames have gone Under both times they've been in a back to back this year. Washington allowed just one goal in its last game. Take away the third period and overtime of the Nashville game Thursday and Calgary has only six goals its last four games. Play UNDER Calgary-Washington

AAA

This is an 8* on the UNDER

The Packers are 7-1 heading into this game and have won four straight. The Chargers are only 3-5, but did win last thanks to a missed field goal by the Bears. Even though they won, the Chargers offense gained only 231 total yards last week. They've scored more than 24 points in regulation just one time and that was against Miami. That's the only time since Week 1 that they've scored more than 20. The Under is 6-1 their last 7 games. The Over is 5-1 in Green Bay's last six games, so one of these teams O/U trends is going to cease. The Packers defense has been improved this year, giving up just 20.4 points/game. With Chargers games typically being so low scoring, signs point to that continuing this week. The Packers have faced a couple of bad offenses the last two weeks. The Chargers are giving up only 19.6 points/game. We love that the number has been bet up during the week. The Under is 5-2 for Green Bay following a game where they scored 30 or more points. Play UNDER Green Bay-LA Chargers

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Tampa Bay heads to Seattle desperate for a win. The Bucs are just 2-5 after blowing another lead and losing last week. Turning things around won't be easy though as the Seahawks are 6-2. We're calling for an Under. Seattle rarely blows anybody out. They have only one win by more than seven points all year. Last week's 27-20 win over Atlanta wasn't really that close though. The Seahawks led 24-0 at one point. The Falcons did much of their offensive damage in garbage time. Tampa Bay's last five games have gone Over. That has resulted in their highest O/U line to date. The same thing is true for Seattle. The number is too high. Tampa Bay has only gone over 26 points in two games. Seattle scored 27 last week, but just 16 the week before than and is actually scoring less at home where they are 0-4 ATS. The Seahawks lost their starting center for the season. That will have a major impact on the rest of the offensive line, if not the entire offense. One thing you shouldn't expect from this game is for Seattle to run the ball well. The Buccaneers are giving up only 69 yards rushing per game. That's the best mark in the league. Play UNDER Tampa Bay-Seattle

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

Philadelphia comes into this game with a 5-0 record. They are the only team in the league that hasn't lost a game yet. Oddsmakers are predicting the end of their unbeaten run tonight though as they are slight underdogs to a Portland team that has covered the spread in its last four games. We're playing the total though. Both teams are coming off games that went Under. The 76ers beat Minnesota 117-95 (total was 221.5) while Portland beat Oklahoma City 102-99 (total was 222). We think both teams, Portland especially, are capable of producing higher-scoring games. The big story for tonight is that Philly won't have Joel Embiid. He's been suspended for two games due to the fight with Karl Anthony-Towns. While most will focus on the effect Embiid's absence will have on the offensive end, don't be surprised when the Sixers slip defensively sans big man. The 99 points Portland allowed in their last game was a season-low. It also was against a bad team. At the same time, the 102 points the Blazers scored were also a season-low. The previous three games all saw a minimum of 223 points scored. Four other players besides Embiid were in double figures for the Sixers against Minnesota. They'll score plenty without him. Portland will see a drastic swing after playing its lowest scoring game of the year. Play OVER Philadelphia-Portland

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

This rivalry may not mean what it used to, but the games are generally closely contested and emotions still run high. Florida State won a series record seven straight from 2010-16, but has lost the last two. The road team has won 9 of the last 13 matchups and 15 of the last 17 have been one-score games. Despite this, the favorite is 7-1 the last eight years. Neither team is ranked right now. But Miami is off a big upset win over Pitt, bringing them to 4-4 overall and 2-3 in the ACC. They beat Pitt 16-12 despite gaining only 208 total yards. That was the third time this season that the Hurricanes won a game in which they scored 17 points or fewer. Their four losses have all been by seven points or less with the difference being they've allowed an average of 30.5 points in the four losses as opposed to 8.25 in the four wins. Florida State is off a 35-17 win over Syracuse. They too are 4-4 overall, but they're 3-3 in conference play. The Seminoles have scored 31 or more points in all four wins this year while being held to just over 22 points/game in the four losses. With FSU being favored in this game, we should expect one of the better offensive showings. It's just the way it seems to work. It's interesting that their last five games have all stayed Under. But totals for those five games were all much higher than this one. This will be the lowest total for any Florida State game this season. While quarterback is a question mark for both teams, the running game isn't. Cam Akers has run for more than 300 yards in the last two games for Florida State. Miami RB DeeJay Dallas, who didn't play last week, averages 6.7 yards per carry. It is important to note that Jarren Williams is starting at QB for Miami. He began the season as the starter before hurting his shoulder. Williams is better than N'Kosi Perry, whom he replaced last week and then led the come from behind victory. Play OVER Miami-Florida State

AAA

This is an 8* play on the UNDER

Northern Illinois is having a down year. Really, so is the entire MAC. Central Michigan has been one of the few pleasant surprises in the conference. After going 1-11 last season, the Chippewas are 5-4, but they did lose badly last week 43-20 at Buffalo. That came after three straight games scoring at least 38 points. The game at Buffalo still did go Over though, so that's four Overs in a row for CMU. Northern Illinois has gone Over three straight as they did all the scoring last week against Akron in a 49-0 win. But that was Akron. The Huskies aren't exactly a high-scoring outfit. They average just 21.2 points/game at home. They had only 71 yards passing against Akron, but didn't need any more than that as they had two defensive scores. Central Michigan also allowed a defensive score in its game last week. They also gave up two more touchdowns on drives that started inside their own 25-yard line. Take those defensive scores away and all of a sudden the games are a lot more low scoring. Play UNDER Northern Illinois-Central Michigan

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

The Lakers and Mavericks both come into this game at 3-1. The Lakers have won three straight following a season-opening loss to the Clippers. The Mavs just upset the Nuggets, in Denver, a nice bounce back from their first loss of the season (which was at home vs. Portland). Tonight marks the Lakers first real road game of the season. They were technically the road team against the Clippers, but that game was still played at the Staples Center. The Lakers defensive numbers probably need to be taken with a grain of salt as they've beaten some pretty weak offensive teams. Dallas has scored at least 108 points in all four of its games.There were three meetings between these teams last season. All three went Under. But all three totals were also much higher. The lowest O/U line of the three was 221. LeBron James didn't suit up for one of them.Not only will James play tonight for the Lakers, so will Anthony Davis, who was not on the team last year. Davis had 40 points and 20 rebounds in the last game, despite playing for only three quarters. Kyle Kuzma is set to make his season debut as well. Dallas is also stronger offensively this year with a healthy Kristaps Porizingis in the lineup. Nine Mavs were in double figures vs. Denver.The Over was 9-5 the last two years when the Lakers are on a three-game win streak. Play OVER Lakers-Mavs

AAA

THis is a 10* on the UNDER

While all the focus remains on the fact the home team is 0-6, the only game to go Under in this World Series was Game 3 in Washington and that was with the pitchers having to come up to bat. But with the stakes at their highest and two starters the caliber of Scherzer and Greinke going in Game 7, we're calling for a low-scoring game. Greinke's only WS start was Game 3 and he held the Nationals to one run in 4 2/3 IP. Tonight marks just the second time Greinke has started at home in these playoffs. The first was his best outing of the postseason as he went six innings and held the Yankees to three runs. His home ERA and WHIP for the year are 3.61 and 1.055 respectively. But Grienke isn't the only former Cy Young winner pitching tonight. Scherzer, who was scratched from Game 5 due to neck spasms, makes it the first ever WS Game 7 where two former Cy Youngs are starting. Assuming Scherzer is okay, he too should pitch well here. He has a 2.49 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 14 road starts. His last three starts overall have yielded a 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Really, we shouldn't have to delve too deep into how good the two starters here truly are. It's surprising that the Over is 5-1 in this series considering the home team has averaged just 2.0 runs/game! Under is 6-1 last seven times Grienke has started on four days rest. Under is also 9-2 Scherzer's last 11 Interleague starts. Play UNDER Washington-Houston

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

The Bulls previous three games have all stayed Under, which should not be a shock as it's not like this is a great offensive team. They were held to 84 points by Toronto in a home loss on Saturday. Then they scored only 98 in a loss to the Knicks on Monday. That game against the Raptors saw them shoot less than 30% from the field, which is about as poor a field goal percentage as you're going to see all season. The good news is they haven't allowed the opponent to score more than 108 points in any of those last three games. The Cavs will be happy to see Chicago after they gave up 129 points in a loss to Milwaukee Monday night. You may recall we laid the points with the Bucks there, a winning ticket. Before getting shredded by the Bucks, Cleveland allowed only 94 and 99 points in its first two games. They shot well in the home opener vs. Indiana, but don't expect too many night like that this season as the Cavs figure to be a pretty weak offensive team. They were held to 85 points in the season opener vs. Orlando. The Bulls aren't favored very often, but when they are the game usually goes Under (13-8 L3 seasons). Play UNDER Chicago-Cleveland

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

The 2-1 Lakers are big favorites over the 1-2 Grizzlies tonight and we want no part of that number. But we do like the total as the Lakers have been surprisingly effective on the defensive end of the floor in their three games. The last two, both of which were home, really saw them keep the opponent in check. After beating Utah 95-86 on Friday, LA held Charlotte to 101 in a blowout win Sunday night. The Lakers also happened to have their best shooting night of the young season against the Hornets, making nearly 53% of their field goal attempts. That shouldn't happen here against the gritty Grizzlies, who have yet to allow an opponent to shoot even 48% from the field. Misleading final from the last Memphis game where they beat Brooklyn 134-133. Game went to overtime and neither really shot the ball all that well. In the first two games, the Grizzlies finished with field goal percentages of 42.7 and 41.5 and point totals of 101 and 102. Previous two seasons have seen the Grizz go 3-0 Under the game after scoring 130 points or more. Play UNDER Memphis-LA Lakers

AAA

This is a 9* play on the UNDER

The amount of scoring in Capitals games has gotten fairly outrageous, so it's no shock to see this game with the Maple Leafs have a high total. These are the two highest scoring teams in the league right now with Washington's 50 goals leading the way and Toronto not far behind at 46. Additionally, both have given up their fair share with the Caps having surrendered the most in their division and the Leafs allowing two more than that. The Over is 7-0 in Washington's last seven games. But here's the thing. All good streaks must come to an end. Seven straight games with seven or more goals scored is quite the streak. It's not something you see all that often. So even though this particular matchup seems the most conducive to producing an Over and everyone is on the Over, don't be shocked when this one stays Under. Though they've had three days off, tonight's game marks the end of a long five-game road trip (most of it in Canada) for the Capitals. They may not have much left in the proverbial tank. Toronto scored just two goals in its last game, which was a loss to Montreal. Play UNDER Washington-Toronto

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

Both Lakers games have gone Under. The last one was a 95-86 win over Utah. They only scored 102 points in the opener, which was a loss to the Clippers. Tonight they face a terrible Charlotte team that scored only 99 points in the last game. We aren’t expecting much from the Hornets this year and nor should you. But they might be able to hang around because the Lakers are only shooting 41% through two games. The Under is 35-15-1 the Lakers last 51 home games. Play UNDER Charlotte-LA Lakers

AAA

This is a 10* play on UNDER

Despite being a dog in all six games, Oakland is 3-3. Houston is 4-3. Both teams are off losses. The Raiders gave up 42 points to the Packers, a game which turned when QB Derek Carr fumbled the ball through the end zone. The Texans lost a key AFC South battle in Indianapolis as the Colts were off a bye. With the Raiders 4-0 Over the L4 games and the Texans 3-0 Over the L3 games, it’s not a shock that the total for this week has been bet up. But it’s too high in our opinion. The Under is 8-2 in Raiders games that have a total of 50 points or higher the last three seasons. This year, the Raiders have scored more than 24 points only once. The key here becomes the Raiders holding Houston under 30 points, which is certainly doable as the Texans have scored more than 28 just two times. The Under is also 16-7 in the Texans last 23 AFC games and 6-1 their last 7 home games. Play UNDER Houston-Oakland

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

Playing the Over here is the ultimate contrarian call seeing as Cal is 6-1 to the Under and so is Utah. Cal's last three games have all gone Under. So have Utah's last five. But this is a REALLY low total for a College Football game being played in 2019. Utah has had some games with totals in the 60's. This will be the lowest total in any game for either team this season and could close as the lowest total all year in College Football the way things are going. Only two Utah games this year have seen less than 42 points scored. One was a shutout of Idaho State, who is a FCS team. The other was last week's 21-3 win over Arizona State. Cal definitely struggles to put points on the board and will probably struggle here too. But they can score enough to get this one Over. Yes, we know they may have to turn to an untested starter. But this number is just too low not to bet it Over. Play OVER Cal-Utah

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

The road team is 3-0 in this World Series. The Over won in Games 1 and 2. The Under came in for Game 3. If you’re looking for a pattern with the total, the two Overs hit in the American League park (pitchers don’t have to bat) while the Under hit in a National League park (pitchers have to come up to bat). Looking at these patterns, you’d expect the home team to win a game eventually. It might happen tonight. But we aren’t willing to bet on it. The Under seems like the right call. While there’s no “ace” on the mound tonight, Pat Corbin has pitched very well for Washington this year, especially when at home. Corbin has a 14-3 TSR here in the Beltway. He also has a 2.62 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. You have to remember the Houston lineup is not at full strength with the DH out. Urquidy will get the start in Game 4 for the Astros. While this is his first postseason start, he allowed 1 run or less in four of his last five regular season starts. Play UNDER Houston-Washington

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

The Hawks pulled a small upset in their first game, beating Detroit 117-100. They shot 51.2% in the game, led by Trae Young’s 38 points. They were a bit fortunate to draw the Pistons in the second game of a back to back there. Don’t expect Atlanta to shoot that well again tonight. Orlando is a tougher opponent, one that allowed just 85 points in its first game. Yes they were facing Cleveland. But the Magic were a good defensive team last year. Only two teams in the Eastern Conference allowed a fewer number of points per game. But they only scored 94 points against the Cavs, which really isn’t a good sign. The Under is 36-15 for the Magic when off an ATS loss.  Play UNDER ATLANTA-ORLANDO

AAA

This is a 10* on the OVER

The Bulls and Grizzlies each opened with losses. In both cases, a lot of points were given up. Chicago allowed 126 in a one-point loss to Charlotte where they blew a 10-point fourth quarter advantage. Memphis also played a terrible fourth quarter in its opener in Miami, getting outscored 37-17 on their way to a 120-101 loss. We don't expect much defense in this game. Memphis should shoot better than 42.7%, which is what the Heat held them to Wednesday night. The Bulls allowed Charlotte, who isn't a good team, to shoot 51.1%. They allowed 63 points in both halves. Memphis seemed well on its way to a big scoring night in Miami as they had 60 points by halftime. But the Heat shut them down in the second half. The Bulls shot very well in two games against Memphis last year (over 50%) and won both times. The Grizzlies are 36-25 Over their last 61 non-conference games.  With Ja Morant in the fold, they're now a more dynamic team offensive. The Bulls added some pieces too and should be a better offensive team than they were a year ago. Play OVER Chicago-Memphis

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

It's weird to see the Warriors as a home dog to open the season. But they don't have Kevin Durant anymore (he left for Brooklyn) and Klay Thompson tore his ACL in the NBA Finals, meaning he's nowhere near ready to return. But Steph Curry and Draymond Green are still here, meaning Golden State still has plenty of ways to score points. Now that doesn't mean they'll beat the Clippers necessarily. But you shouldn't expect the Warriors to be held to 100 points either. The Clippers, of course, are now the favorite to win the Western Conference. They came from behind to beat the Lakers 112-102 on opening night. Kawhi Leonard led the way with 30 points against the Lakers, but four other Clippers were in double figures as well. You obviously don't need to remind the Warriors about what Leonard can do. He dominated them in last year's Finals as a member of the Toronto Raptors. We won with the Under in the Clippers first game, but they're facing a better offensive team tonight and it's on the road. So go with the Over for game #2. Play OVER Clippers-Warriors

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

SMU is one of the highest scoring teams in the country at 44.3 points per game. The fewest points they've scored in any game this year was 37 and that was in the very first game. Since then, it's been at least 41 in every game. With a range of 37 to 49 points scored in all games, the Mustangs have certainly been consistent. All seven of their games have gone Over so far. No other team has gone Over in every game. In all four of Houston's losses this year, they've allowed at least 31 points. If you take away Houston's two weakest opponents this year, which would be Prairie View A&M and Connecticut, the defensive numbers get real ugly. But help is on the way offensively as QB Clayton Tune is set to make his return to field. The last game Tune started and finished, the Cougars scored 46 points. They may not be as high-powered as they were when D'Eriq King was the quarterback, but Houston should still be respected offensively. They should score in the 30's while SMU should top 40 and that means the Over will hit again for the favorite. Play OVER SMU-HOUSTON

AAA

This is a 10* on the OVER

First James Harden left, then Kevin Durant and finally Russell Westbrook. Oklahoma City figures to take a major tumble down the standings in 2019-20 in what should end up being a pretty ugly season. Don’t expect any sympathy from Utah though as the Jazz feel they have a legit shot at finishing first in the West. For Opening Night in Salt Lake City, expect plenty of points as the Thunder are going to struggle defensively. They’d already slipped pretty badly at that end last year and a less talented roster figures to do a worse job. The Thunder do have Chris Paul and we think they’ll be okay - relatively speaking - when it comes to scoring points. So should Utah. Bojan Bogdanovic is the kind of shooter they lacked a season ago. Over is 12-8 the L20 Jazz home games where the total was 220 or higher. Play OVER OKC-UTAH

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

Detroit and Ottawa aren’t exactly doing a lot of scoring lately. The Red Wings have managed just seven goals during a five-game losing streak while the Senators have scored only five goals during their own four-game losing streak. So it stands to reason we won’t see many goals scored in this Wednesday night battle. Ottawa has scored the fewest goals in the league so far with just 17 in 8 games. The Under is 4-0-1 their last five games. Detroit isn’t averaging many shots, a good thing for Ottawa seeing as they’re giving up one of the highest shot totals in the league. Defense has been the Red Wings weak spot so far, but facing the lowest scoring team in the league is a reprieve. Under is 11-6 when Ottawa is off three straight road games. Play UNDER Detroit-Ottawa

AAA

analysis soon

THis is a 9* play on the UNDER

It’s come down to the Nationals and the Astros in the World Series. The AL contingent is a massive favorite here, not just for Game 1 but the series in general. They have Gerrit Cole pitching tonight. Cole is probably going to be the AL Cy Young winner. He checks in with a 23-5 WL record this year, a 2.30 ERA and 0.89 WHIP and has only gotten more impressive with a postseason resume that includes a 0.40 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in three starts. He’s allowed 1 run in 22 ⅔ innings and has 32 strikeouts. The Under is 5-1-1 in Cole’s last seven starts (0.71 ERA, 0.77 WHIP) with just the one Over being the only game where there were more than seven combined runs scored. Houston should feel lucky to have Cole pitching tonight because Washington has Max Scherzer. Scherzer also has a 3-0 TSR in the playoffs to go along with a 1.89 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. For the year, he has a 2.82 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. On the road, those numbers slightly improve to 2.43 and 0.91. When Scherzer and those kind of numbers represent the second best starter in a given matchup, the game is probably going Under. Play UNDER Washington-Houston

AAA

THis is a 10* on OVER 

New England and New York already played once this year and it was a 30-14 win by the Patriots. The Jets actually failed to score an offensive touchdown in that game (1 def, 1 ST), but that was with Luke Falk making his first career NFL start at quarterback. Falk is thankfully no longer around as Sam Darnold returned last week to throw for 300+ yards in an upset of Dallas. Darnold being on the field this time should automatically make the Jets more competitive. Despite not scoring an offensive touchdown in that first meeting, the Jets still covered. The game also went Over the total. If we can get an Over with one team not even scoring an offensive TD, it makes sense to come back with that same play for the rematch now that Darnold is the Jets QB. The Patriots average 31.7 points/game. So with the Jets likely to score more than they did the first go around with New England, all we need is an “average” type performance from the Patriots offense and this one should sail Over. The Over is 7-3 in the Jets past 10 home games. Play OVER New England-NY Jets

AAA

This is a 10* on UNDER

Two teams with very different recent levels of scoring will skate against each other Monday. The last five games involving Columbus have all stayed Under. The last four, which consist of two wins and two losses for the Blue Jackets, have all been 3-2 finals. The Over is 4-0-1 in Toronto’s last five games with four of the five seeing at least seven total goals scored. Something will have to change tonight. We don’t think the Maple Leafs can continue to score almost 4.0 goals/game, so the change is more likely from their side. Now they did win in Columbus 4-1 on October 4th. Still that final score makes this total look too high. The Under is 6-0 the last six times the Blue Jackets have been an underdog. Toronto is without captain John Tavares. The Blue Jackets have gone six straight games without allowing more than three goals in regulation. Play UNDER Columbus-Toronto

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Arizona is 2-3-1. The Giants are 2-4. All that enthusiasm surrounding the move to Daniel Jone at QB in the Big Apple seems to have quieted. The Giants have lost two straight games, though those were against the Vikings and Patriots, two of the better teams in the league (one of them THE best). Speaking of new QBs, the Cardinals obviously continue to roll with rookie Kyler Murray. He guided his team to a wild 34-33 win over Atlanta last week where the Cards were lucky that Falcons kicker Matt Bryant missed the potential game-tying extra point. The last two games have been Murray and the offense's best showings yet. Not coincidentally, Arizona won both games. But they were also facing two terrible defenses. The Giants defense isn't exactly what we'd call great, but neither is an offense which has scored 24 points the last two games. Actually, one of their two touchdowns last week came from the defenses. That game with the Patriots was a terrible beat for anyone with the Under as there were three non-offensive scores in the game (two by New England). Take those away and you wouldn't come close to approaching the number this week. The Giants have averaged just over 210 yards/game the last two weeks. Under is 6-1 for Arizona if they allowed 30 or more points the previous week. Play UNDER Arizona-NY Giants

AAA

This is a 10* play on UNDER

It's the usual late start out in Hawaii (11 PM easter) with Air Force making the trip out to Honolulu. Both teams enter this game with a 4-2 record. However, one won last week (Air Force) while the other (Hawaii obviously!) lost. The only thing the last two Hawaii games have in common is the winner scored a lot of points. It was them putting up 54 in thrashing of Nevada on September 28th. But then they gave up 59 last week to Boise State. Air Force obviously runs a much different offense than most teams with the triple option. While the Flyboys have scored 40 or more in every home game, they are averaging just under 25 PPG on the road. The run first approach should theoretically shorten this game. Last week, the Falcons attempted only three passes in their 43-24 win over Fresno State. They did run for 340 yards. But this total is much higher than all their other games this year. Hawaii has been involved in some wild ones so far, but they've also faced three Pac 12 teams + Boise State. Most of the offenses they go up against the rest of the way will be weaker than what they've already gone against. Don't discount the effect the trip itself might have on the Air Force offense. Hawaii has one of the most unique home field advantages in the sport. These two high-powered offenses should each "slow down" a bit Saturday night. Play UNDER Air Force-Hawaii

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

The Sabres are off their regulation loss of the season, which came last night in Anaheim by a score of 5-2. At 5-1-1 though, they still lead the Atlantic Division w/ 11 points. Who knows how long that will last night, but tonight they seem to have a favorable matchup against the last place Kings. Los Angeles finished with the least amount of points in the Western Conference last season. They have started 2-4 this year and have had major issues keeping the opposition from scoring. Their 28 goals allowed are second most in the league right now. It's going to take a lot more than covering up a Taylor Swift banner to get this team pointed in the right direction. The good news though is they only allowed two goals in their last game, which took place Tuesday, and that was a season-low. The bad news is they got shutout by Carolina. Buffalo allowed two goals or less in four of its first six games before getting blitzed last night by Anaheim. But Carter Hutton should be back in goal tonight (Ulmark played last night) and he's been the better of the two goalies so far, including a 25-save shutout against Dallas on Monday. One area where the Sabres are due to drop off is the power play. We saw that last night with them going just 1 for 7 while having the man advantage. Previously, they'd converted a league-high 42.9% of the time on the power play, a number which cannot be maintained. The top power play team last year converted "only" 28.2% of the time. Play UNDER Buffalo-Los Angeles

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

Kansas City has scored its two lowest point totals EVER with Patrick Mahomes as the starting QB the last two games. They lost both and now must face a Denver defense that's playing with some confidence following two straight wins, the last one coming in shutout fashion. But the Chiefs offense, even with Mahomes hobbled, is still far more dangerous than what the Broncos have faced the last two weeks. It's certainly reasonable to expect Kansas City to score at least 24 points in this game. That's something they've done every time but once with Mahomes as the starter. That one time was two weeks ago against Indianapolis. By kickoff, this could very well end up as the lowest O/U for any Chiefs game so far this season. Denver's offense is going to have to pick up some of the slack as well, but that shouldn't be a problem going against a KC defense that is struggling right now. A year ago, the Chiefs allowed the second most yards in all of football. It hardly mattered with Mahomes and the offense putting up record numbers. But now the defense is a problem for Andy Reid as it has given up 180 or more yards rushing each of the last four games. The Chiefs have given up 26 or more points four times this year. The Over is 17-5 the Chiefs past 22 road games and 3-1-1 the last five times the Broncos have been off a win by at least two touchdowns. Play OVER Kansas City-Denver

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Louisiana was the last team in the country to lose a game ATS. The loss happened last week at home to Appalachian State (who is still undefeated straight up), 17-7. It was quite the departure offensively for a Ragin Cajuns team that had scored 35 points or more four games in a row. They were held to just over 250 total yards as well. Appalachian State had the answer for what had been a dominant Louisiana run game, holding them to just 123 yards on 33 carries. For us, the game was a 45-point win on the Under! You'd hope that game at least provided a blueprint for Arkansas State, who has struggled defensively in 2019. Virtually all of the Red Wolves games this year have been high-scoring. The fewest total points scored in any ASU game is 55 and that ironically saw them allow all 55 (shutout loss to Georgia). Oddsmakers have taken note, however, and jacked up the O/U for this game. The Red Wolves have scored 90 points the last two years against Louisiana, but this game promises to be lower-scoring. The Ragin Cajuns defense has allowed more than 25 points in just one game and that was vs. Mississippi State. They are the top Sun Belt defense in terms of points allowed and just outside the top 30 nationally. While most are going to anticipate this being a shootout, you can look for it to stay Under as that's what 11 of ASU's last 16 conference games have done. Play UNDER UL Lafayette-Arkansas State

AAA

This is an 8* on the OVER

It's been confirmed that the Steelers are starting 3rd stringer Devlin Hodges Sunday night as backup Mason Rudolph is still unable to return from last week's concussion. Of course, Ben Roethlisberger's season is over after an injury suffered in the second game. That's the current state of the Steelers, who are 1-4 after suffering a tough 23-20 home loss to Baltimore in overtime. They did score with Hodges in the game as he went 7 of 9 for 63 yards. In College, Hodges won the Walter Payton Award in 2018 while at Samford, meaning he was the best player at the FCS level. Maybe he has a higher upside than Rudolph? We do think the Steelers will be able to score on a Chargers defense that's giving up 6.3 yards per play. Take away the ugly opener in New England and Pittsburgh has scored at least 20 points in every game. Los Angeles is off a bad home loss to Denver last week in which they scored only 13 points. But they turned it over twice inside the 5-yard line, so there easily could have more points for them. Philip Rivers and company, while short-handed, should bounce back tonight. RB Gordon is back after a lengthy holdout. The Under is 4-0 the Chargers last four games, but the Over is 4-1 in the last five matchups with the Steelers. The key angle here is that this is the lowest total of the season for either team. Game goes Over. Play OVER Pittsburgh-LA Chargers

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Atlanta is favored in this one, but it sure doesn't feel like they should be. That's cause they've lost three in a row and four of five to open the season. Arizona is now 1-3-1 after picking up its first win last week at the expense of winless Cincinnati. The Falcons completely fell apart late in the game vs. Houston last week and ended up giving up 53 points. It was a one-possession game going into the final two minutes but they ended up losing by 21. We expect a better defensive effort this week. At the same time, they hadn't scored more than 24 in a game themselves before last week. The Cardinals had been held to 20 points or less in the three games prior to last week's win. Two of their top offensive players - RB Johnson and WR Kirk - may not play Sunday. The Under is 22-9 the Cardinals last 31 home games. The Cardinals have been settling for far too many field goals this year. 14 of 22 scoring drives have ended with a FG rather than a touchdown. Atlanta QB Matt Ryan turns it over too often in the red zone. Play UNDER Atlanta-Arizona

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

This is an insanely low total for a College Football game in 2019. Consider that Wyoming is averaging 31 points/game on its own, which would be basically just a touchdown shy of the number. Now we don't expect the Cowboys to score that many against San Diego State. This team is a very misleading 4-1 as they have been outgained in four of five games. Before beating UNLV 53-17 two weeks ago, the Cowboys had trailed by double digits in all four games. The defense gives up over 400 yards and is lucky to be allowing only 20.4 points/game. San Diego State has seen all five of its game stay Under so far and their participation is what has this total so low. Going back to last season, the Aztecs have had their issues scoring. But they should rediscover the end zone multiple times against this Wyoming defense. The Aztecs have scored at least 23 points in all three wins this year and are off nice road win against Colorado State. QB Agnew threw three touchdowns in the 24-10 win.  The Over has hit 8 of the last 11 times these schools have met and not once was the total lower than it is here. By kickoff, there's a strong chance that this total will be the lowest for any NCAAF game played so far this season. Let's be honest here. It won't take much to send the game Over and with the game taking place in San Diego, you know the weather will not be a factor. Play OVER Wyoming-San Diego State

AAA

This is a 10* on the OVER

Once again, the Pac 12 is not looking very strong. Oregon is probably the best the conference has to offer and they are ranked #13. The Ducks only loss was to Auburn, a game they led virtually the entire time. Since that loss, they've battled back to win four in a row, even though QB Justin Herbert really hasn't been as good as advertised. Last week, the Ducks were held to a season low 17 points in a win over California. That was a good defense they were up against though and Herbert did extend his streak of games with at least one touchdown pass to 33. The Ducks also gained over 400 yards and had double the first downs Cal did. So it was a pretty impressive win. Expect them to find more offensive success this week against a struggling Colorado defense that hasn't seemed to keep anyone in check. Five games have seen the Buffaloes be remarkably consistent, giving up between 30 and 35 points. We project it to be very likely Oregon scores more than 35 in this game. The Ducks defense has also been consistent - consistently good that is. They've allowed a total of 22 points the last four games, giving up no more than 7 to any one opponent. But Colorado can score. They average nearly 35 points/game. All but one of Colorado's games have seen 65 or more total points scored. There's likely to be a lot of Overs involving Colorado moving forward and this should be one of them. The have a QB in Steven Montez who is on pace for 3,500 yards and 30 touchdowns. Play OVER Colorado-Oregon

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

Carolina has grabbed the bull by the horns, starting out 4-0. Their most recent win saw them score six times and that was on the road. But they may find some issues scoring tonight as they are matched up with an Islanders team that gave up the fewest goals in hockey a year ago. New York will be looking to put an ugly 5-2 loss to Edmonton behind it. That loss occurred Tuesday, the same day the Hurricanes won 6-3 in Florida. But that loss on Tuesday isn't the only thing the Islanders would like to forget. Last Spring, they were swept in the first round of the playoffs by Carolina. Then again, that probably has them extra motivated coming into tonight's game. Regardless of the motivation factor, we like this to be a low-scoring affair. The Islanders have scored only seven goals in three games. Though off to the 4-0 start, three of Carolina's wins have come in overtime, so they've only topped three goals in regulation one time. The Under is 54-14-4 in the Islanders last 72 games as an underdog. Play UNDER New York-Carolina

AAA

This is a 10* on the OVER

Not many people expected the Rays to extend the Astros this far, but here we are and it's the last League Division Series to be decided. The home team is 4-0 in the series and with Game 5 in Houston, you probably won't find many "takers" on the Rays outside of their own clubhouse. We acknowledge the unlikelihood of the Rays advancing (though we did have them in Game 3), but won't be getting involved with the Astros either due to the current price. We are actually 4-0 in this series having cashed Houston in Game 1, the Under in Game 2, Tampa Bay in Game 3 and the Under in Game 4. Now it's time to play the Over, which may sound strange as Gerrit Cole is pitching for the Astros and we did take the Under in his Game 2 start. As masterful as he was that day and as dominant as he's been throughout the second half, the Astros offense is more than capable of scoring enough on its own to help send this one Over. They average 6.0 runs/game at home for the year. Tampa Bay did score 10 runs in Game 3, six of them against Zack Greinke. So don't rule out the notion of them hitting Cole better tonight than they did in Game 2. Tyler Glasnow is the Game 5 starter for the Rays. He lasted only 4 1/3 innings in Game 1 and gave up two runs. The Over is 5-1 in the Rays past six LDS road games. The Over is also 5-2 in Cole's last seven home starts despite how well he has pitched in those games. Play OVER Tampa Bay-Houston

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

This is an early season showdown in the Sun Belt and we're glad to see it get the national spotlight it deserves. Appalachian State is a team you probably are aware of as the Mountaineers first made their presence felt over a decade ago (then as a FCS team) by upsetting Michigan. It's been a successful transition to FBS and the Sun Belt Conference as they are 35-6 their last 41 league games. They have won or shared the SBC regular season title each of the last four seasons. Already this year, the Mountaineers upset one Power 5 team (North Carolina), part of a 4-0 SU start. But Wednesday is probably their toughest test of the season as they are facing a Louisiana team that has covered the spread in all five of its games so far, beating the oddsmakers expectations by about 70 points. The only loss for the Ragin Cajuns this year was the opener 38-28 to Mississippi State. Since then, they've scored 35 or more in every game, their last three all going Over. Similarly, App State has scored 34 or more in all four of its games and the last three have been Overs. But with a high total and high stakes, we're gonna call for the game Wednesday night to be lower-scoring than expected. Last year, this was a 27-17 game, won by Appalachian State. The Under is 5-1 the last six meetings. The Under is 14-5 the last 19 times App State scored more than 40 points their previous game (beat Coastal Carolina 56-37). The Under is 4-1 the last five times Louisiana has been coming off a bye. Play UNDER Appalachian State-Louisiana

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Tampa Bay managed to keep its season going (at least for another day) with a stunning 10-3 win in Game 3. We weren't too surprised as we backed the Rays +1.5 Monday and did call for more offensive than expected. Still, beating Zack Greinke and the Astros by that kind of margin was eye-opening. But the oddsmakers are rightly giving the Rays little chance in Game 4 as the pitching matchup appears to be as one-sided as any we'll see all postseason. Justin Verlander goes for Houston. He started Game 1 and didn't allow a run in seven innings. He only allowed one hit. Verlander is of course on the short list for the AL Cy Young as he has a 2.54 ERA and 0.80 WHIP for the season. After yesterday's offensive explosion, TB should be back to the lack of production at the plate that we saw in both Games 1 and 2. Even with his last three starts all ending up as Overs, the Under remains 22-12 in all Verlander starts this season. The Under had been 10-1 in the Rays' previous 11 home playoff games (before yesterday). The price is obviously too high to play Houston in this matchup, so it's on Diego Castillo and the rest of the Rays staff to limit what the Astros do at the plate. Considering TB allows only 3.8 runs/game at Tropicana Field, something we cited in our Game 3 analysis, we think they are up to that challenge. Play UNDER Houston-Tampa Bay

AAA

This is an 8* play on the Over

We know the Chiefs are going to score as they've put up at least 26 points in all games started by Patrick Mahomes. They've gone over 30 in three of four this year. The one exception was a 28-10 win over Oakland where they scored all 28 points in a single quarter. The Colts defense just gave up 31 points in a loss to the Raiders last week, so this hardly seems like an ideal matchup for them. But of course, the Chiefs defense isn't very good either. They've given up 26 points or more to every opponent but the Raiders. Indianapolis should be good for at least 24 points by the end of this game as that's the threshold they've hit in three of four games, a matchup with Tennessee (top five scoring defense) the lone exception. The Over is 6-0 when the Chiefs gained at least 350 total yards in their last game. They gained 438 in last week's wild 34-30 win over the Lions. That game could have featured even more scoring were in not for turnovers by both teams. The Chiefs defense actually ended up giving up more than 450 yards. Three of the Chiefs games this year have seen at least 61 total points scored. This number is high, but the issue is oddsmakers just don't seem willing to open the number higher. Until they do, KC strictly remains an Over team. Play OVER Indianapolis-Kansas City

AAA

*Bonus Pick Chiefs 1st Half

This is a 10* on the OVER

The Patriots could go Over this total themselves. Mark it down. One of the NFL's two 4-0 teams, New England heads to D.C. this weekend to take on the Redskins, who are one of the league's four 0-4 teams. Obviously, this is a gross mismatch. But the pointspread reflects that. What the O/U line doesn't reflect, however, it just how bad the Washington defense is. They gave up over 30 points the last three games, one of them against Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears (who were struggling to move the ball previous to that game) and then 24 more to the Giants last week. It easily could have been more than 24 points allowed last week, but the Giants turned it over four times. You can bet Tom Brady won't be that careless with the ball this week. The Patriots offense will also be eager to atone for last week's subpar effort, which came against a very good Bills defense. They go from facing one of the league's best defenses to one of its worst. Colt McCoy (yikes!) and the Washington offense probably won't do much here, but a single TD or maybe 10 points might be all we need here for an Over. Play OVER New England-Washington

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

We were on the Astros in Game 1, a relatively easy call as they rolled to a 6-2 victory. Justin Verlander did his job by throwing seven shutout innings and Houston led 6-0 by the time they went to the bullpen. Though Tampa Bay did end up scoring twice in the top of the eighth, they were faced with an insurmountable edge. Those two runs that the Rays scored weren't totally insignificant though, pardon the pun, as they did send the game Over the total. Given that the game was still a scoreless tie through four innings, that had to be a heartbreaker for Under bettors. We'll provide them with some much needed relief for Game 2 though as this one should stay Under. The Rays go from facing Verlander to now having to deal w/ Gerritt Cole. That's rough. Cole set team records in the regular season by winning his last 16 decisions and striking out 326 batters. His 2.50 ERA was not only a career-best, but also topped all American League starters this year. So look for the Rays to have another tough night at the plate. If they are to have any chance of winning Game 2, it will be because of their own starter, Blake Snell, last year's Cy Young winner. While it's been awhile since Snell pitched more than three innings (missed two months due to elbow surgery), we've got confidence that he'll pitch relatively well in this spot. The Under is 4-0 in Snell's previous four starts vs. the Astros. Play UNDER Tampa Bay-Houston

AAA

This is a 10* on the OVER

UAB will be looking to rebound from a disappointing loss it suffered last week at Western Kentucky. The Blazers were three-point favorites, but went down by a score of 20-13 thanks in no small part to turning the ball over four times. All four turnovers were interceptions thrown by QB Tyler Johnston III. They led to just six points (two field goals) by WKU, but it could have been worse as one came at the end of the first half. It was a big step back for Johnston, who had thrown for over 300 yards each of the previous two games. It was also UAB's 1st Conference USA loss since the meaningless regular season finale against Middle Tennessee last year. Before that, the Blazers had won 11 straight conference games. They are unbeaten at home since the program returned to the field in 2917 (14-0 SU). Rice meanwhile is still searching for its first win of the year as they are 0-5 against what has been a challenging schedule. The Owls have just three wins going back to 2017, but have generally been more competitive in 2019. They took Louisiana Tech to OT last week, for example. But the defense is still giving up a 68.3% completion rate to opposing QB's and 6.3 yards per play. So sfter scoring a season-low 13 points last week, we look for the UAB offense to rebound here. This was a 42-0 game last year. Look for Rice to definitely get on the board Saturday and them doing so should be enough to help this one get Over a low number. The Over has hit each of the last four times the teams have met here in Birmingham. Play OVER Rice-UAB 

AAA

This is a 10* play on OVER Twins-Yankees

These teams certainly aren't lacking in the run production department. They are the only two teams in baseball history to hit 300+ home runs in a single season. Not coincidentally, they finished 1-2 in overall runs scored this year. The last time they met was late July and not only did all three games go Over the total, all of them saw at minimum 14 runs scored. We know it's now the postseason, but this seems like a really low O/U line for these two clubs. Neither starter really impresses us as Jose Berrios (Twins) has a 4.85 ERA his past seven starts, having given up at least five runs in three of them. James Paxton (Yankees) seemingly got hot down the stretch as the Yankees have won all of his last 11 starts. But his last one saw him have to leave after one inning, so there's concern there. The Over is 8-2 in Paxton's last 10 starts, by the way. Yes, the Yankees have an incredible bullpen, but if the Twins lineup can get to Paxton, that won't be as big of a factor. We figure both teams are going to hit their fair share of home runs in this game and that means the Over is in play. Both sides are clearly capable of putting at least five runs on the board in Game 1. Play OVER Twins-Yankees

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

This is the start to the season for both teams and the game is being played in the Czech Republic (Prague) For the Blackhawks, Prague is better than Philly where they've lost 17 of their last 19 trips. There is some enthusiasm for this Chicago club despite missing the playoffs each of the last two seasons. There was a lot of turnover in personnel, but the biggest issue that needs fixing is on the goals allowed side of the ledger where they were second worst in the entire league last year. They gave up a fair number in the preseason, but with Corey Crawford back between the pipes, we should see improvement in that category moving forward. The Flyers have missed the playoffs four straight years and underwent some serious offseason changes as well. Carter Hart, who was a rookie last season, is now firmly entrenched as the #1 goalie here. Hart posted a 2.83 goals against average and .917 save percentage in his rookie season. With him spending more time between the pipes, we should see a reduction in the number of goals allowed by the Flyers this season. The Under is 8-1-2 in the last 11 meetings between these teams and this is a high number for the first game. The Under is also 16-2-4 the Blackhawks last 22 games vs. the Metropolitan. Play UNDER Chicago-Philadelphia

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

Division winners Atlanta and St. Louis meet in this National League Division Series. This will be their first time playing since May. There were two series between them that took place that month. The Braves took two of three in both. They've got the homefield advantage, which seems important given that virtually every Cardinals starter seems to perform substantially worse on the road. That's something we'll definitely be tracking in this series. Miles Mikolas is the Game 1 starter for St. Louis. He went just 4-8 in 17 road starts during the regular season, posting a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. So that you can compare, he has a 3.01 ERA and 1.05 WHIP at home. The one time Mikolas faced the Braves this year, it was at home. He allowed three runs and seven hits, so it's reasonable to expect him to give up more Thursday. Atlanta is going with Dallas Keuchel as its Game 1 starter. While Keuchel's last five starts have all stayed Under, he certainly hasn't pitched well in two of the previous three. In fact, the Braves have lost Keuchel's last three starts with him posting a 6.19 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. There are some questions about how well the St. Louis offense will perform in a postseason environment, but the Over is 7-1 their last 8 playoff games. They have also gone Over 41 of the last 65 times they've faced a left-handed starter. The Braves are one of the highest scoring teams in the National League. The Over is 6-1 the last seven times they've hosted St. Louis. Play OVER St. Louis-Atlanta

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Two teams expected to compete for first place in the Pacific meet Wednesday night in Sin City as the Golden Knights host the Sharks. By the end of the regular season last year, both were caught looking up at the Flames in the standings. That set up a 1st round playoff matchup, which went to a Game 7 and saw the Sharks ultimately prevail. They haven't forgotten that series in Las Vegas as the Knights dropped both Games 6 & 7 in overtime with Game 6 going to 2 OT's. So even though this is just the first game of the season, there will be some major revenge on the mind. Interestingly, five of the seven games in that playoff series saw at least seven total goals scored. That's a lot of scoring, especially for playoff hockey. We don't think the skaters will be nearly as prolific to start the season. Vegas was among the league's best (3rd overall) in terms of giving up goals at home, allowing only 2.41 per game. Note that the two games in last year's playoff series that did not go Over both took place here. San Jose is a different team this year with Joe Pavelski gone. But their save percentage (.889 last year) can only go up. Play UNDER San Jose-Vegas

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

Neither team playing Monday night has done much of the way in scoring in 2019 and neither has done any kind of winning. The Bengals and Steelers both come in at 0-3 with the former averaging only 18.0 points/game while the latter is at just 16.3. The Steelers have the obvious excuse of not having Ben Roethlisberger, but they still put up 20 last week in a loss to San Francisco with Mason Rudolph at quarterback. While the Roethlisberger injury definitely altered our outlook on the Steelers season, more concerning in the interim is how poorly the defense has played. They've given up 28.3 points/game so far and could have given up a lot more than 24 last week were it not for the 49ers turning the ball over so much. Three of San Francisco's five turnovers came inside the red zone. So it definitely could have - and should have - been a lot worse for Pittsburgh last week. They allowed 446 total yards to the Niners. On the year, the Steelers are allowing 443 yards/game. The Bengals defense knows what it's like to be shredded by the 49ers as well. They gave up 572 total yards to them in 41-17 loss back in Week 2. On the bright side, Andy Dalton is actually averaging over 300 yards passing per game. The Over is 5-2 the Steelers last seven games on Monday Night Football and 7-2-1 in the Bengals last 10 division games. While the offenses have been struggling, this one could easily turn into a shootout with two struggling defenses that can't stop anybody. Play OVER Cincinnati-Pittsburgh

AAA

This is an 8* play on OVER

The competition has not been fierce, but the Cowboys have looked good so far. They are 3-0 and averaging 32.3 points per game. Kellen Moore is doing a very good job as the new offensive coordinator, QB Dak Prescott is playing as well as anyone in the league right now and RB Ezekiel Elliot hasn't skipped a beat. New Orleans will be the Cowboys toughest opponent yet, but of course the Saints are without Drew Brees. These teams played a Thursday night game last season and the Cowboys won 13-10. Expect this tussle to feature a lot more scoring. It took touchdowns from both the defense and special teams to get New Orleans to 33 points last week as they pulled the upset in Seattle. But now they are playing in the Superdome. We expect Teddy Bridgewater to play well here. The Over is 8-3 in the Saints last 11 September games. It's also cashed in the last five conference games for Dallas. The Saints defense, which isn't as good as it was last year, did just give up over 500 yards to Seattle. The only offenses Dallas has faced are the Giants (with Eli Manning), the Redskins and the Dolphins. So it wouldn't be fair to call them "good" just yet. The Saints always put up points at home. This time Dallas should be able to match them. Play OVER Dallas-New Orleans

AAA

This is an 8* play on the UNDER

We like the Seattle-Arizona game to go Under too. Sure, we talked a good bit about the Seahawks putting up a lot of yards last week and the Cardinals defense being down both of its starting corners. But Seattle can't score enough to send this one over by itself. Their defense played better against the Saints than the final score indicated. We went through this in the analysis on the side. But New Orleans scored two non-offensive touchdowns. Arizona did give up 4 TD passes to Kyle Allen last week, but should play better this week. The offense hasn't scored more than 24 in regulation this year and their total points would look a lot worse if not for the 4th quarter comeback they had vs. the Lions. The Under is 21-9 in Arizona's last 30 home games. It is also 11-5 the last 16 times Seattle gave up 30 or more points in its last game. Play UNDER Seattle-Arizona

AAA

This is a 10* play on OVER Virginia-Notre Dame

After suffering a tough loss to Georgia last Saturday night, Notre Dame should resume scoring in bunches against a Virginia team that comes in ranked a highly questionable 18th overall. The Fighting Irish scored 101 points in their first two games including 66 in the only one played so far in South Bend. They were held to 17 by Georgia, but that's an elite defense they were facing there. Virginia certainly doesn't have a bad defense as they've yet to allow more than 24 points in a 4-0 start. But this number is too low based on what we see for most Notre Dame games. Even against Georgia, the total was 58. Virginia has scored at least 28 points in every game, so it may take a big number from Notre Dame to win this one comfortably, let alone win it at all. The Over is 7-3 in Virginia's last 10 non-conference games. Last week's vs. Old Dominion featured a slow start, but once the Cavaliers offense got going, it wasn't going to be denied. The Over is also 6-1 the last seven times Virginia has played on the road against a team with a winning home record. Notre Dame isn't about to score 66 again this week, like they did two weeks ago vs. New Mexico. But they should score plenty as they look to bounce back from the loss to Georgia. Virginia won't go quietly though. Play OVER Virginia-Notre Dame

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

After two games, the Maryland hype train was in full effect. They'd put up 142 points in a pair of wins, one of them 63-20 over Syracuse. But that hype train then got stuck in the station in a 20-17 road loss to Temple two weeks ago. We'll now get to see how Mike Locksley gets his team to perform off a loss. The Terrapins will face a Penn State squad that had its own impressive first two weeks on offense before playing a game vs. Pitt that they easily could have lost. They only beat the Panthers 17-10 and that came on the heels of a lackluster first half the week prior against Buffalo. The Nittany Lions have destroyed the Terps each of the last two years, outscoring them 104 to 6. No you didn't read that incorrectly. We think the last game for each team showed that neither offense is invincible here. We're not going to be seeing the video game-like numbers from the first two weeks. Both defenses might be underrated as Penn State has given up only 30 total points in three games while Maryland has given up just 40. The Terps last four Friday games have all stayed Under. Play UNDER Penn State-Maryland

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Two NL Central teams conclude their seasons in PNC Park this weekend as the Pirates host the Reds. While these are the final games for both sides, they probably feel very different about their respective 2019 seasons. The Reds appear to be a team on the rise, with some strong pitching, as they're going to NOT lose 90+ games for the 1st time since 2014. That said, they've lost the last four games. Pittsburgh has fallen hard this year as they've lost 91 games and will finish last in the division. Their future outlook seems a lot more bleak, though they did just shockingly sweep the Cubs here at home in their last series. The Pirates often do allow a lot of runs, but Cincinnati comes in having scored just 30 in its last 12 contests. For the season, the Reds are bottom six in baseball in runs scored. But they are top eight in runs allowed. Something will have to give with the top Over team (Pittsburgh) facing the top Under team (Cincinnati). Reds starter DeSclafani has a 1.89 ERA and 0.58 WHIP his previous three starts, so that's fairly "on brand." We'll hope that Pirates starter Brault can improve upon his recent efforts thanks to facing a team he held scoreless back in May. Brault does tend to pitch better at home. Play UNDER Cincinnati-Pittsburgh

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

Could this end up being a FIVE-game sweep for the Nationals? (Series wraps up tomorrow) That's looking like more and more of a reality after sweeping yesterday's doubleheader with the Phillies. That result officiall put Washington into the playoffs while simultaneously eliminating Philadelphia. That's a huge motivational edge here as the Nationals try and lock down home field advantage for the NL Wild Card Game against whichever team (St. Louis or Milwaukee) doesn't win the Central Division. They currently have a one game edge over Milwaukee in that department entering Wednesday when they look to make it four straight over Philly. They've outscored the Phillies 17-8 in the three games so far and what makes this series result all the more sweeter is that it's come against former teammate Bryce Harper. Anibal Sanchez will get the call for tonight's game. While he's pitched well recently, Sanchez has struggled against the Phillies this year. He's faced them four times and is winless with a 4.22 ERA. The Over is 6-2 in Sanchez's last eight starts overall. Drew Smyly will start here for the Phillies, who are now lame ducks for the final six games. We don't see any reason why Smyly, who has a 5.89 ERA and 1.58 WHIP for two teams this season (Phillies & Pirates), would come up big in this situation. The Nationals already average 5.5 runs per game at home. Play on OVER Philadelphia-Washington

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

Minnesota is very likely to win the AL Central and go into the playoffs as the "3-seed" (would face either Yankees or Astros in LDS). Detroit has been nowhere near a playoff discussion this season and will soon be done playing games. They are 49.5 games behind the Twins. They have scored 339 fewer runs. No team in baseball has scored fewer runs. That leads us to playing the Under in this divisional matchup. The Tigers have averaged only 2.6 runs/game over the past week and gone five in a row without scoring more than three. That was before Sunday's 6-3 win over the White Sox. If they do have a chance of winning Tuesday, it'll be due to starter Spencer Turnbull. He has been one of the few reliable options in this rotation. Turnbull allowed only one run in his last start - with eight strikeouts and no walks - which ended up being a 2-1 loss in Cleveland. Unfortunately, Turnbull and the Tigers will face Jake Odorizzi. In 11 career starts vs. Detroit, Odorizzi is 5-1 with a 3.25 ERA. The Under is 12-3-1 in Odorizzi's past 16 starts overall including the last five on the road. The Under is also 5-1 in the Twins last six series openers. The Under is 6-1-1 the Tigers last eight games overall. Play UNDER Minnesota-Detroit

AAA

This is a 10* on the OVER

The Vikings and Raiders have combined to go Under in all four of their games so far. But we anticipate a bit higher scoring affair for them as they meet in Week 3. Minnesota had a very efficient 28 points in a Week 1 win over Atlanta. That was at home and they return to TCF Bank Stadium this week. They should have scored more than 16 last week, but Kirk Cousins threw a BAD interception against the Packers, basically costing his team the game. The Vikings offense actually averaged 7.0 yards per play in that game, but went 0 for 2 in the red zone and turned it over a total of four times. The defense was torched by Aaron Rodgers early, but then kept the team in the game as long as they could. While Minnesota's D didn't allow any points over the last 44 minutes, Oakland failed to score at all in the final three quarters last week vs. Kansas City. That after a 10-point fourth quarter and efficient Week 1 win (over Denver) of their own. Strangely, the Raiders defense allowed four touchdowns in the second quarter vs. the Chiefs, but no points at all in the other three quarters. They still allowed almost 7.0 yards/play though. The Raiders are 4-0 Over their last four games on field turf. Play OVER Oakland-Minnesota

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

Temple is going to have to guard against a letdown here as last week they upset a heavily hyped Maryland team, 20-17 as 5.5-point home dogs. That game set up pretty well for the Owls as they were off an open date. Now let's see how they perform having to play in consecutive weeks for the first time this season. While Temple has covered both of its games, Buffalo is 0-3 ATS. Two weeks ago, they actually led Penn State at the half, 10-7. Since then, it's been all downhill as they've been outscored 73-20. That includes a bad 35-17 loss at Liberty last week where the Bulls were favored by 5.5 points. We figured UB would struggle early on this year as they lost their starting QB and two receivers from last year. That they have with just 30 total points the last two games. But both were on the road. They actually gained 429 and 373 yards in those two games. So they've moved the ball. Back at home this week, they should start finding the end zone more. Temple's defense turned in a tremendous performance last week vs. Maryland, but that's the side of the ball where the letdown could take place. The Owls offense has averaged 561 yards/game so far. The Over is 10-4-1 in Buffalo's last 15 home games. Last year was a 36-29 win by Buffalo at Temple. Play OVER Temple-Buffalo

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

The Titans were oh so close to 2-0 last week, but couldn't finish the job against the Colts. They had a late 17-13 lead, but after a missed FG things quickly went awry. The Colts scored the go-ahead touchdown after a 55-yard run, but a missed XP by Adam Vinateri definitely left the door open for Tennessee, who was down only 19-17. But the Titans offense could muster nothing on its final two drives. Still, they're in better position than the 0-2 Jaguars, who went for 2 and the win against Houston (could have kicked XP and gone to OT instead). They obviously failed and it was a 13-12 loss. While it was a low-scoring game for both teams last week, let's go back to Week 1. Tennessee scored 43 while Jacksonville gave up 40. This will likely end up closing as the lowest total on the Week 3 board despite what happened in Week 1. There's definitely value on the Over in our estimation. The Over is 6-2 in the Titans last eight Thursday games and 4-0 when they are off an ATS loss. Jacksonville is 6-2 Over if they allowed 15 or less points in the last game. Play OVER Tennessee-Jacksonville

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

Houston and Tulane have combined to play six games this year. The Under is 6-0. Houston is 1-2 straight up, thanks to a tough schedule to open the season, which has seen them already face Oklahoma and Washington State. The Cougars only win was against a FCS team and a bad one at that (Prairie View A&M). Tulane lost to Auburn in Week 2, but won its other two games, one of which was against a FCS foe. They also opened the season by beating FIU 42-17. Given that kind of scoring output, we think it's pretty reasonable for the Green Wave to score a lot this week. They also hung 58 on Missouri State last week. Houston not surprisingly is no offensive slouch either as they're averaging over 30 points/game. But a defense that has given up 80 points to its two FBS opponents is a cause for concern. This is a really low total for a game involving Houston. The first three all saw totals in the 70's. That the number has been bet down is a break for us. Play OVER Houston-Tulane

AAA

This is a 10* Play on the UNDER

Last week's game involving the Chargers should have been an Under as they led 24-16 with less than a minute to go. But the defense not only let the Colts drive down for a touchdown, but also gave up a two-point conversion that sent the game into overtime. Fortunately for Chargers fans, Philip Rivers got the ball first in OT and never let the Colts have a chance as LA scored a TD on its first possession. But the Chargers weren't the only team last week to have overtime ruin what looked to be a sure under. Detroit led Arizona 24-6 early in the fourth quarter before Cardinals rookie Kyler Murray awoke and led his team on a wild comeback. The game wound up going to OT, but unlike Chargers-Colts, there was no winner as it ended up a 27-27 tie. This week, the Chargers offense won't have TE Hunter Henry nor will they have him the rest of the season (fractured knee). That'll affect them drastically. They are already without RB Melvin Gordon, who is holding out. Austin Eckler had the game of his life starting in place of Gordon last week, but won't be repeating that performance here. Detroit's offense will probably look to run a lot here after the Chargers defense got gashed on the ground by the Colts. But we're not sure the Lions will have the same success. The Under hit in the last five Lions home games last year. Play UNDER Chargers-Detroit

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

We've seen this total skyrocket due to Baltimore putting up 59 points in Week 1. But such efficiency is highly unlikely two weeks in a row and even if the Ravens are successful again this week (and it's very likely they will be), they won't be scoring as much. With top overall draft pick Kyler Murray making his first career start, the Arizona offense looked pretty bad for three quarters last week. They scored only six points before a furious late rally forced overtime and ultimately earned them a tie with the Lions. Again, it's likely the Cardinals find themselves down entering the 4th quarter here. But the Ravens defense won't be nearly as generous as the Lions were. They gave up just 200 total yards to Miami. In the last 10 years, the Ravens have only lost to a rookie QB one time.  Baltimore won't be scoring 40+ every week, or even most weeks this season. Not all, but a good deal of their offensive performance last week had to do with whom they were facing. Arizona had the worst record in the league last year, but they're better than Miami. This will be a relatively low-scoring affair and best of all is that the number has been bet up several points, presenting us with a value situation. Play UNDER Arizona-Baltimore

AAA

This is a 10* Play on the OVER

For the second year in a row, Cal beat Washington and both times they did it with defense. Last year, it was a 12-10 win without an offensive TD. Last week, it was 20-19 on a last-second FG, a game that was delayed nearly 2 1/2 hours because of weather. This defense, led by one of the better secondaries in the country, is quite clearly pretty good. But this week we feel it will be the offense's turn to show what it can do as it faces a North Texas defense that isn't the least bit good. The Mean Green gave up 52 in the bowl to end last year and lost some key players from that defense. That poor bowl performance looks to have carried over into 2019. The first game, they gave up 31 points and 456 yards to Abilene Christian. It got worse last week in a visit to SMU where they got torched for 49 points and 503 yards. Luckily, UNT does have an offense with a senior QB Mason Fine that can put points on the board. While it's the worst defense Cal has faced yet, it's also the best offense. Fine has guided the offense to 78 points in two games. He's thrown for nearly 8000 yards the last two seasons and is the school's all-time passing leader. This O/U has been bet down several points. While its understandable because of Cal's defensive effort last week, it's too low. Take the OVER

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

Compared to the early game, Denver-Oakland figures to feature little in the way of scoring. You've got two bad offensive teams, one starting Joe Flacco at quarterback and the other trying to pick up the pieces in the wake of the Antonio Brown debacle. The Raiders are a complete joke right now as acquiring Brown cost them draft picks and he didn't he play a game for them. It's a complete distraction heading into the season, which by the way will be their final one in Oakland. This Raiders team has averaged only 18 points/game each of the past two seasons. QB Derek Carr has regressed heavily during that time. Not only do the Raiders not have Brown at their disposal, also gone is TE Jared Cook, who had a career year in 2018. The Denver offense isn't going to be much better this year with the aging Flacco serving merely as a stop gap before someone else takes the reigns (Drew Lock?). Defense is the speciality of new Broncos coach Vic Fangio, so expect them to be stronger on that side of the ball. Their defensive front should overwhelm what is looking like a terrible Oakland offensive line here. The Under went 13-3 in all Denver games a season ago. The Under is also 16-5 the Raiders last 21 games on grass. Play UNDER Denver-Oakland

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

The Indians were able to win the weekend, taking three of three from the Twins in Minnesota. But they are still the odd team out when it comes to a tight three-team race for the Wild Card in the American League. They are 1.5 games back of Oakland entering Monday and 2.5 games behind Tampa Bay. The A's are in Houston to start the week, which will be a tough series for them and that means Cleveland is going to need to make up some ground here in Los Angeles. Monday's starter will be Shane Bieber and he should hold up his end of the bargain. Bieber has been great on the road this year, owning a 2.85 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. Going back to a complete game one-hitter he threw against Toronto on 7.24, Bieber has allowed no more than three earned runs in any of his last nine starts. But we're not sure the Cleveland offense can be trusted in this spot. The Indians last four games have all gone Under. Patrick Sandoval remains winless in five starts for the Angels, who are out of playoff contention, but he's given up just one run and two hits his last two times out. This has all the making of a low-scoring affair with major injuries affecting both lineups. The Indians are without Naquin and Ramirez while the Angels could be without Mike Trout. Bieber has started twice against the Angels in his career and has won both times, producing a 2.45 ERA. The Under is 10-2-1 in Bieber's 13 starts on the road this season. Play UNDER Cleveland-LA Angels

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Two teams looking to improve start the season against one another, so either Detroit or Arizona will be 1-0 after the first game. That's the good news. The bad news is one of them will be 0-1. For Arizona, there's lots of room to improve after finishing with the league's worst record in 2018. They brought in a new coach (Kliff Kingsbury), who will bring his "Air Raid" offense from the college ranks. It will be run by last year's Heisman Trophy winner, Kyler Murray. But this is going to be a work in progress and you shouldn't expect the Cardinals to put up big point totals early on in the season. They just don't have the offensive personnel as was obvious last year when they were last in the league in scoring at 14.4 points/game. As for the Lions, Matt Stafford is still here and he's (kind of?) got a running game now. But Detroit only averaged 20.3 points/game last year (25th) and stayed Under in each of its last seven games. That's what we look for here. Neither offense has improved enough to have this game go Over. The Lions defense was pretty good last year, ranking in the top 10 in yards given up and top 8 against the pass. The Under is 21-7 in Arizona's last 28 home games. Play UNDER Detroit-Arizona

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Minnesota and Fresno State met last year and it was a 21-14 win for the Golden Gophers at home. Fresno State would lose just one other time the rest of the season, to Boise State, and would later avenge that defeat in the Mt West Champ Game. Now they get a shot at avenging the other loss and this time they get the Gophers at home. We expect it once again to be a low-scoring affair. Minnesota barely gained 300 total yards in an unimpressive win over South Dakota State in the opener. Fresno State scored 23 in its loss to Southern Cal. The only games they scored fewer last season were the two losses and the win over Boise State. Minnesota has one of the better defenses they'll see all year and the Bulldogs have just three starters back on offense. The Under is 19-7 in Fresno's last 26 games overall. It's also now cashed in Minnesota's last five games. This should be a late-night slugfest. Play UNDER Minnesota-Fresno State

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

The Bears had a top flight defense last season, leading the league in interceptions with 27 while allowing a league-low 27 touchdowns. While they do have to replace defensive coordinator Vic Fangio, virtually all the same personnel returns for second year coach Matt Nagy, with one notable exception. That would be Adrian Amos, who will now start at safety for Green Bay! Interestingly enough, Amos' replacement is former Bear Ha-Ha Clinton Dix. The Packers defense should be better this year thanks to eight new starters. The offense is actually a more interesting deal. The numbers last year were not all that impressive even though Aaron Rodgers played a whole season. That was part of the reason Mike McCarthy is gone. New coach Matt LaFleur has installed a new offense and don't be surprised if, as great as he is, it takes Rodgers some time to adjust. The Packers, who don't run the ball that well to begin with, will likely struggle to run in this game. Chicago closed last season on a 5-0 Under run. Green Bay closed on a 7-3 Under run. Both meetings last year ended up with similar point totals, 47 and 41, and we don't think there will be more points scored here. Five of the last seven meetings have seen 47 or less total points scored. Play UNDER Green Bay-Chicago

AAA

This is a 8* on the OVER

The Nationals absolutely stunned the Mets last night, scoring seven times in the bottom of the ninth to win 11-10. So much for a low-scoring game with deGrom and Scherzer as the two starting pitchers. Now, to be fair, over half the total runs scored in the game came in the 9th inning. (The Mets actually scored five in the top half!) and the game was only 4-2 heading into the 8th. While still technically in playoff contention, last night's result had the vibe of a "season-killer" for the Mets. As for the total, it won't be the likes of deGrom or Scherzer starting tonight, but rather Wheeler and Sanchez instead. Both have seen each of their last three starts go Over. In the case of Sanchez, it's four straight. We obviously know what both bullpens are "capable of" here. As bad as the Mets bullpen was last night, Nationals' relievers actually have the lowest ERA in the National League (5.95). (The Mets are 3rd worst). Let's also not forget what Washington has done at the plate over the last few weeks. Last night was the 5th time they went for 11+ runs since August 14th. They've scored at least seven runs in 15 of their last 21 games, a stretch which has seen them go 17-4. Expect a high-scoring affair Wednesday afternoon. Play OVER Mets-Washington

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

Cleveland has sustained some serious attrition over the last week or so, losing three key hitters from the everyday lineup. They are Jose Ramirez, Tyler Naquin and Jason Kipnis. The former two are going to be out for an extended period of time with Naquin done for the year. These injuries have come at a most inopportune time for the Indians as they are in a tight race for the Wild Card. Getting swept over the weekend in Tampa Bay was a worst case scenario. But thankfully they get to play the White Sox this week. There is one key return for Cleveland and that's Carlos Carrasco, who was diagnosed with Leukemia and will now pitch in a relief role. Chicago has lost six in a row. So this should be a bounce back game for the Indians. But bet the Over instead. Even with the injuries, Cleveland's lineup should have its way with Ross Detweiler, who has been pretty bad this year. He gave up five runs in four innings his last start. Monday's starter for the Indians, Aaron Civale, has looked great. But we don't think he'll be able to maintain his current numbers. The Over is 8-2-2 in Chicago's last 12 road games as they'd given up 31 runs in the three games before yesterday's 5-3 loss. The Over is also 10-3 in the Indians last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Play OVER Chicago-Cleveland

AAA

This is an 8* play on the UNDER

Arizona had won six in a row before falling in extra innings Sunday. Despite the losing streak coming to an end yesterday, nearly sweeping a four-game series from the Dodgers is impressive. Monday sees the Dbax welcoming in the Padres, who are obviously a much weaker opponent, though San Diego also won 3 of 4 in its last series (against the Giants). We look for Monday's game to be pretty low scoring. The last series between the teams, a Padres sweep, resulted in all Unders as well. It's Cal Quantrill going for San Diego today. After being roughed up in his most recent start, we look for him to bounce back. It was the Dodgers that roughed Quantrill up, which happens to a lot of pitchers. His last seven starts have seen the Under go 5-2 as his ERA and WHIP are 3.69 and 1.08. He's held opponents to a .210 batting average during that time as well. His WHIP on the road this season is 1.05.  But the problem for Quantrill is that before yesterday's 8-4 win, the most runs scored in any game by the Padres in the last two weeks was 5. That's music to the ears of Arizona starter Leake, but what's not is that his team scores fewer runs at home than on the road. Leake does have a 3.60 ERA and 1.20 WHIP at home, however. He's coming off a quality start in San Francisco. Play UNDER San Diego-Arizona

AAA

This is an 8* on the OVER

Taking the Over in a game that involves Miami might sound dicey, but Washington can do all the heavy lifting if need be in this one. The Nationals have gotten ridiculously hot at just the right time as they've gone 15-3 in the last 18 games. Carrying them has been an offense that has scored seven or more runs 14 times during that stretch! They've scored 7 runs in both games of this series, one a shutout (yesterday) and the other a one-run game (Friday). Expect this one to be more along the lines of the opener even though the Marlins did virtually nothing at the plate in last night's game. The Over is 7-3-2 the past 12 times Miami failed to score more than two runs in its last game. Pat Corbin has had their number this year, but Washington is just 4-6 after a shutout win and their bullpen is still pretty suspect. Caleb Smith has struggled on the road for the Marlins this year and has a 6.32 ERA his past three starts overall. He's given up five runs in each of his last two and that's how many he gave up the last time he started here in D.C. as he lasted only three innings. Play OVER Miami-Washington

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

For the second day in a row, the Reds and Cardinals will play a doubleheader. This unusual circumstance was brought on by Friday's rainout and will undoubtedly take a toll on the position players. Yesterday's doubleheader also took a toll on the Reds as they lost both games. The first was a high-scoring affair (10-6) while the second was more in line with what you expect from these two teams (3-2 final). St. Louis won the second game in the final at-bat after holding Cincy to just three hits. Both teams are exceptional at limiting runs as they rank 2nd (Cardinals) and 4th (Reds) in runs allowed among National League teams. Cincinnati definitely has problems scoring, however. They are averaging only 4.4 runs/game. We don't see them getting too many off Miles Mikolas, who starts this first game for the Cardinals. The Under had been 8-3 in his first 11 home starts before the Over hit in the last two. The Under is 8-1-1 in Mikolas last 10 division starts. The Under is also 20-9-1 in the Cardinals last 30 games overall and 29-12 their last 41 home games. While Reds starter Mahle has a shocking 0-11 team start record on the road, the Under is 7-3-1 in those 11 games. The Under is also 20-8-1 the last 29 times the Reds have played a road game against a team with a .600 or better home win percentage. Play UNDER Cincinnati-St. Louis

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Alabama plays Duke Saturday afternoon in Atlanta as part of the Chic Fil-A Classic. We do not expect the game to be close, nor do the oddsmakers, but we're not in the business of laying this many points in a season opener either. With Duke breaking in a new starting QB, they are really going to struggle to score points here. Making matters more challenging is that the Blue Devils lost a starting wide receiver (Jake Bobo) to injury three weeks ago. So expect very few points to be scored on the Duke side against what is still one of the best defenses in College Football. As for the other side, Alabama scored at will (until running into Clemson in the Championship Game) last season, but often called off the dogs late when the game got out of hand. We can see a similar situation arising here, which obviously helps when holding an Under ticket. Also, Duke does have eight of last year's starters on defense back, plus a former All-ACC CB (Mark Gilbert) that missed virtually all of last season.  "I'm more excited about this defense than any defense we've had in the 12 seasons," head coach David Cutcliffe said. That defense won't be enough to keep Duke in this one, but this will be a lower-scoring affair than anticipated. Play UNDER Duke-Alabama

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

The Yankees didn't score many runs last night, just two to be exact, but should do a lot more damage at the plate this afternoon against Homer Bailey, who often struggles on the road. Bailey has a nice 6-2 record since coming over from the Royals, but he actually hasn't pitched all that well for the A's as his ERA in those eight starts is 5.52. As already mentioned, he often struggles on the road where his ERA is above 6.00 and the Over is 7-4. Bailey did pitch pretty well on August 20th against the Yankees, but that was at home. He will once again start opposite Domingo German. German is having a great year record-wise (he's 17-3), but his ERA (4.09) is higher than what you'd typically expect from a pitcher with that kind of record. German gave up six runs when he faced the A's 11 days ago and has never beaten them in three tries, ending up with an ugly 6.91 ERA. In playing the Over here, we have to mention that the Yankees average 5.8 runs/game, 2nd most in the majors. Oakland's scoring average rises on the road to 5.5 runs/game, which is a top five average. The Over is 25-12-1 the last 38 times the Yankees allowed at least five runs in their last game. Play OVER Oakland-New York 

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

It might be unheard of to lay this many points in a season opener against a conference opponent. But if ever there were a time for it, it would be here with #1 Clemson facing Georgia Tech. The Tigers are defending National Champions and will be favored by double digits in every game this season. The Yellow Jackets are going through a transition. They're going from the triple option to a more pro scheme, run by 1st year coach Geoff Collins. Expect growing pains and for Ga Tech to be the worst team in the ACC this year. Clemson beat Ga Tech by 28 last year and that was in Atlanta with Kelly Bryant at quarterback against a team running the triple option. Now its Trevor Lawrence in at QB for Clemson and a Ga Tech offense with pieces fit for a different scheme. The Yellow Jackets simply aren't going to score many points here and with the game in little doubt in the 4th quarter, expect Dabo Swinney to call his dogs (or Tigers as it may be) off. Play UNDER Georgia Tech-Clemson

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Don't look for much in the way of scoring in this preseason finale between the Vikings and Bills. One of these teams is going to finish its preseason unbeaten. But what we see on the field Thursday won't resemble what we've seen in each team's first three games. Minnesota has been especially aggressive in scoring 26.3 points/game, but they've made their point and are going to be content to "go through the motions" here. The same rings true for Buffalo, who has scored at least 24 points in all three of its games, all of which have gone Over. Tyree Jackson is expected to take all the snaps at QB for the Bills and so far the rookie has completed only 33 percent of his pass attempts. So look for Buffalo's offense to struggle in what should be an ugly game overall. Play UNDER Minnesota-Buffalo

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

St. Louis has taken the first two games from Milwaukee and goes for the sweep Wednesday afternoon in Miller Park. There is no denying that the Cardinals are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. They're 15-3 their last 18 games and that surge has them in first place in the NL Central. We started this series by cashing the Over Monday as the Cardinals rolled to a 12-2 victory that day. Last night's game was not quite as high scoring with St. Louis coming out ahead by a score of 6-3. For this day game, we like the Under as the Brewers have had some obvious issues scoring of late and they've got to face one of the hottest pitchers in baseball right now, Jack Flaherty. Since the All Star Break, Flaherty has a 0.73 ERA in eight starts. Opponents are hitting just .152 against him in the second half and in August he's 4-0 with a 0.28 ERA and 40 strikeouts! He's allowed a total of one run in his last 32 innings just five runs in his last 56 1/3 IP. In five of his last seven starts, Flaherty has not given up a single run. Giving Milwaukee a chance here is Jordan Lyles. Acquired from Pittsburgh before the trade deadline, Lyles has proven be a solid addition to the starting rotation with a 3-1 record and 2.67 ERA in five outings. He just held Arizona hitless for six innings in his last start. This game has all the makings of a pitchers' duel. Play UNDER St. Louis-Milwaukee

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

It was a very good weekend for St. Louis, who not only swept a four-game series against the Rockies, but also watched as the Cubs suffered a rare sweep at Wrigley, at the hands of the Nationals. That leaves the Cardinals up 2.5 games in the NL Central, a division race which Milwaukee also remains a part of as they are 4.5 back after taking two of three this weekend from Arizona. The Cardinals and Brewers just met last week in St. Louis with the home team taking two of three. The Cards did a pretty good job in that series in terms of limiting runs, but they are typically less effective in doing so on the road. Just look at tonight's starter Adam Wainwright. He has a 2.67 ERA at home, but a 6.87 ERA on the road. Not to mention a 1.66 WHIP as well. Milwaukee's Gio Gonzales has watched as his last three starts have all gone Over as he has a 4.61 ERA and 1.54 WHIP during that time. He'll have to deal with a St. Louis offense that just scored 31 runs in the four-game sweep of the Rockies. Lastly, the Over is 24-9-1 the past 34 times Milwaukee has been coming off a game in which they were held to two runs or fewer. Play on OVER St. Louis-Milwaukee 

AAA

This is a 10* on the Over

There's no denying that Toronto is the worst team in the league this year. They've scored only 129 points in eight games, by far the fewest. Only British Columbia, who they lost to and has played one more game, has allowed more points. Last week's defensive effort was very poor as they gave up 41 points and over 500 yards in a loss to Edmonton. This all has to make this week's opponent, Montreal, quite happy as the Als are searching for a second straight win after hanging 40 on Calgary last week. That performance was just was the doctor ordered after the Alouettes had dropped consecutive games for the first time since an 0-2 start. One area of concern that remains is that they are giving up 31.5 points/game on the road. This will be the first time the teams have met in 2019 (excluding preseason). With Montreal off a huge game offensively and Toronto's defense in flux, we know the visitors will put up plenty of points this week. The Argos should also score enough to help this one go Over the total. Play OVER Montreal-Toronto

AAA

This is a 10* play on the UNDER

Florida had a big jump in wins under Dan Mullen, going from 4 to 10 in his debut year in Gainesville. Mullen had some fortuitous things go his way though, such as inheriting 19 starters from the Jim McElwain regime and a +12 turnover margin. This year's Gators look like they'll be stronger on the defensive side of the ball. The same holds true for the opening week opponent, Miami, who sees Manny Diaz making the jump from defensive coordinator to head coach, replacing the retired Mark Richt. The Hurricanes only gave up 19.5 points/game last year as it is and didn't allow more than 21 in any of Diaz's three years here as the defensive coordinator. Florida enters #8 in the country. Miami is breaking in a new starter at QB with transfer Tate Martell coming over from Ohio State. This isn't an easy first start. Mullen engineered a tremendous offensive turnaround in his first year with the Gators jumping 86 spots in points/game, the second largest jump ever in FBS. Even with QB Franks back, we're not confident they match last year's number (just five offensive starters return). The Under is 7-1 in Miami's last eight neutral site games and 6-0-1 in the last seven games overall. Play UNDER Florida-Miami

AAA

This is a 10* play on the OVER

If you're wondering why the spread for this early game on Saturday has jumped so high, well, it probably has to do with the fact that Minnesota is leading all teams this preseason with an average of 433 yards/game. They've covered against both New Orleans and Seattle, but we're not about to lay this many points. But the total is still there, ripe to be exploited, in light of the Vikings offensive success so far. Arizona is banged up in the secondary and will start the year without both of its starting cornerbacks as Patrick Peterson is suspended. In other words, the Vikings should continue to pile up yards and points. Look for the Cardinals to follow their lead though as rookie coach Kliff Kingsbury isn't about to take his foot off the gas pedal with his starters likely playing the entire first half of this one. The Cardinals did score 26 points last week in Oakland, but also gave up 33, so we're looking for another shootout on Saturday afternoon. Play OVER Arizona-Minnesota 

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

Unbelievable! For the second time in 10 days, the Astros suffered a historic loss as a huge favorite. This time it was 2-1 to the Tigers, ironically with Justin Verlander on the mound. Houston closed at -530 on the money line, which was not the first time they've lost at -500 or higher. Ten days ago, it was to Baltimore. Those aren't the Astros only losses as big favorites recently. Because they're always priced so high, there have been four losses total at -350 or higher. Making matters more difficult to swallow from last night is that Detroit had just two hits, but both were home runs. The Tigers still have scored the fewest runs in baseball. We wouldn't expect them to score many tonight either. They're going against Gerrit Cole, who also could end up closing north of -500. Cole has a 2.87 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. His last five starts have resulted in just six runs allowed in 34 innings. Good thing for Detroit then that they have Jordan Zimmerman going. Zimmerman threw five shutout innings himself his last time out and allowed only one hit. It'll be another low-scoring affair tonight in Houston as the Astros look to make amends for yet another historical loss. The Under is 11-5-1 the L17 times the Tigers have played the finale of four-game series. Play UNDER Detroit-Houston

AAA

This is an 8* play on OVER Jacksonville-Miami

It has not been a good start to the preseason in Jacksonville. After being shut out 29-0 by Baltimore in the first game, things didn't go much better in a 24-10 loss to Philadelphia last week. But with this being the dress rehearsal game, we'll start to get a better feel for what the Jaguars have to offer. Coach Doug Marrone has gone on record as saying almost all starters will play Thursday, most notably QB Nick Foles. So you can expect more points here than the 10 total the Jags have scored the first two games. Miami is a team that's rebuilding, but the players are looking to impress new coach Brian Flores. Last week, the Dolphins lost 16-14 in Tampa Bay. But they were a lot better in the first home game, beating Atlanta 34-27. With a QB competition very much alive (Josh Rosen vs. Ryan Fitzpatrick), the Dolphins will have someone under center looking to score points virtually the entire game. Fitzpatrick will start. Rosen has led five scoring drives against backup defenses in the first two games. Play OVER Jacksonville-Miami

AAA

This is a 10* on the UNDER

The Twins can scored with the best of 'em, but they failed to do so Monday night in a surprising 6-4 loss to the White Sox. You'd expect them to bounce back Tuesday, but in Wednesday's early game they are going to have to contend with Chicago's best pitcher. That would be Lucas Giolito. The White Sox may not be a good team, but they are 15-9 this year when Giolito pitches. Though his last start vs. the Twins was not good, we expect Giolito to pitch well here. Back in May, he threw five shutout innings against the Twins, holding them to one hit. While keeping the Twins offense in check might be easier said than done (we still expect Giolito to do so!), Jake Odorizzi should have no such difficulty with the anemic White Sox. Odorizzi's last three starts have all brought victory for the Twins as well as a 3-0 mark with Unders. Odorizzi has faced Chicago only once this year and he held them scoreless for 5 1/3 innings, allowing just one hit (sound familiar?). The Under is 13-3-1 in Odorizzi's last 17 starts vs. the AL Central. It is 13-6 in Giolito's last 19 starts overall. Play UNDER on White Sox/Twins

AAA

This is a 10* on the OVER

For Denver, this is the third preseason game, so they've had a chance to work out the kinks. Well, at least in theory. The Broncos have scored just 14 points in each game, winning one and losing one. It was the Hall of Fame Game they won, thanks to a late touchdown. They weren't as fortunate last Thursday in Seattle. Again, they scored a late TD though. The Broncos had a lot more yards in the second game (298 vs. 188), which is a positive sign. As for the 49ers, they were 17-9 winners over Dallas in their only game. They scored 10 points in the fourth quarter to "steal" the win. Even though neither team has shown much penchant for scoring thus far, we like this one to go Over the total. Starters will play more this week than we've seen previously. There's also depth at quarterback. Denver has Drew Lock (17-28 for 180 yards) and Kevin Hogan to backup Joe Flacco. The 49ers have Nick Mullens and CJ Beathard, both of whom started regular season games last year in the wake of the Jimmy Garoppolo injury. Play OVER San Francisco-Denver 

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