Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-09-21 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The Phillies and Braves wrap up their three game series Sunday night on ESPN. The Phillies hold the 5-3 head to head edge in season battles, but this series is tied at a game apiece after the Braves rallied for an 8-7 win yesterday. Saturday’s game went 12 innings and it was 3-1 Phillies entering the bottom of the ninth. The comeback was well received on this end as we had Atlanta. If you had the Under, that’s a tough break. But tonight is a good chance to get it back as the pitching matchup of Nola-Ynoa should result in very few runs being scored. Nola already has a complete game under his belt this season and is off another quality where he gave up just one run in six innings. His first start of the year came against Atlanta and he allowed just two runs in 6 ⅔ innings there. Ynoa has started six games in 2021 and if you take away one bad effort at Wrigley, he’s allowed just three earned runs in the other five. In three of the six starts, the opponent has scored one run or less. Play on UNDER AAA |
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05-08-21 | Rangers v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER We know the four playoff teams in the East Division - Penguins, Capitals, Bruins and Islanders. But the order of finish is far from settled. The Bruins have the most games remaining (3) and trail the Penguins and Capitals by four and two points respectively. The first of the three games is today against the Rangers, who will have the unfortunate distinction of being the best team NOT to make the playoffs. The Rangers are definitely playing like a team that’s been eliminated from contention as they’ve lost five in a row and been shut out three times. The most recent loss came against the Bruins on Thursday and was a 4-0 game. This is the Rangers final game of the year and we don’t expect much of a fight, at least at the offensive end. They managed only seven shots on goal in the first two periods Thursday and just 15 shots total. Lots of injuries on their bench, so there’s missing firepower. Boston has won five of the seven meetings with the Rangers this season and three of the five wins have come in shutout form. Play on UNDER AAA |
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05-07-21 | Twins v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER After an incredibly putrid offensive stretch - which at one point saw 12 straight games stay Under the total - the Tigers offense finally woke up from its season-long hibernation against Boston earlier this week. They totaled 22 runs in three games, but of course still found a way to lose twice as this is the worst team in baseball right now. As bad as the offense has been in Detroit, the team has allowed 10 or more runs in four of its last seven games. The Tigers entertain the Twins this weekend and we’ve got two terrible starting pitchers on the mound for Friday’s opening game. Matt Shoemaker has a 7.83 ERA and 1.57 WHIP for Minnesota while Tarik Skubal has a 7.16 ERA and 1.653 WHIP for Detroit. Shoemaker gave up nine runs in his last start. Skubal allowed three home runs in his, lasting only three innings. That was the second time in three starts Skubal allowed three home runs. Those three starts combine for just 11 innings. The Tigers are 4-0 Over in Skubal starts and the Twins are 4-1 Over in Shoemaker starts. This has all the makings of a high-scoring affair. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-06-21 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 9* on OVER The Braves are looking to complete a three-game sweep this afternoon in the Nation’s Capital. This series is obviously going a lot better than the weekend did vs. Toronto where they lost three times. Unfortunately, it’s tough to be confident in Drew Smyly to get the job done. Smyly, who gets the nod Thursday for Atlanta, has an 0-4 team start record to go along with an 8.05 ERA. A 1.526 WHIP isn’t good either and these numbers are only getting worse with Smyly allowing five or more runs in each of his last three starts. It’s certainly fair to say that the southpaw is a major reason why Atlanta is one of six teams to be allowing at least 5.0 runs/game this year. While Washington hasn’t been putting a ton of runs on the board lately, they are hitting .263 the last seven games. They were 0 for 6 with RISP and left seven men on base yesterday. Jon Lester gets his second start for the Nationals after being a part of the team’s COVID-19 outbreak at the start of the season. He didn’t give up any runs his first time out, but also only had one strikeout in five innings. Look for him to struggle some here. Smyly has allowed eight home runs in the last three starts. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-04-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 239.5 | Top | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER A rematch from Sunday takes place tonight on TNT with the Bucks hosting the Nets. Milwaukee won 117-114 on Sunday as Giannis Antetokounmpo (49 points) outdueled Kevin Durant (42). The teams combined to make 32 three-pointers. A high-scoring game from these teams should not be surprising as they are 1st and 2nd in points per game in the league. The Bucks average 119.3 points while the Nets aren’t far behind at 118.7. As high scoring as Sunday was, this rematch should be even higher scoring. When the teams met in January, they combined for 248 points (Brooklyn won 125-123). Durant being back makes the continued absence of James Harden less of a deal for the Nets. The fact their overall field goal percentage from the past two games is hovering just around 42% probably means they’re in store for some sharpshooting tonight. They are shooting closer to 50% for the year. So is Milwaukee. The Over is 14-6 when the Nets are off a loss and 17-8 Over when the Bucks are off a win. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-03-21 | Warriors v. Pelicans OVER 237 | Top | 123-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER This is a really big game when it comes to who will get the last few playoff spots in the Western Conference. Golden State is safely in, for now, as they are 9th with a 32-32 SU record. They trail 8th place Memphis by a ½ game and are also ahead of 10th place San Antonio by a ½ game. Most importantly, they are up three games on New Orleans, who would be the odd team out. But the Pelicans have won two in a row and covered the spread in four straight games. Getting the Warriors at home for two games (today and tomorrow) is huge. The total is high for Monday, but we like the game to go Over anyway. The Pelicans are the league’s top Over team (39-24 all games) including 24-10 when favored. Even when the total is 230.0 or higher, the Over is 16-9 in their games. The last game, a win over Minnesota, did go to overtime. But it was tied at 123 at the end of regulation. Golden State only gave up 87 points in its last game, but they were playing Houston, who shot a horrific 9 of 42 from three-point land. The Warriors have scored at least 113 in five of the last six games. The one time they didn’t, they gave up 133. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-02-21 | Suns v. Thunder OVER 222.5 | Top | 123-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Oklahoma City suffered the largest home loss in NBA history on Saturday, getting beat 152-97 by Indiana. For a while, it appeared as if the Thunder might suffer the worst ever loss in NBA history as they were down 67 at one point, the largest lead by any team in an NBA game in a quarter century. The biggest win in NBA history took place in 1991 when the Cavs beat the Heat by 68. The Thunder let the Pacers shoot 65.5% overall and 63.6% from three-point range. Domantas Sabonis had a triple double by halftime. So the 45-18 Suns very much have to be “licking their chops” heading into this one. We know Phoenix already averages 114.4 points/game and has gone over that number in three of its last four games. Facing an OKC team that’s lost 19 of 21 and showing no sense of pride, the Suns should be able to name the score tonight. The last time they played the Thunder, they scored 140 and shot 60 percent. They don’t need nearly that many to ensure this one goes Over. But they could come close. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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05-02-21 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Mets and Phillies wrap up a three-game series on “Sunday Night Baseball” and we feel there will be no shortage of runs in this rubber match. The first two games weren’t particularly high-scoring as the Phillies won 2-1 Friday and the Mets 5-4 on Saturday. No team has really distinguished itself in the NL East thus far. Everybody is at least a game below .500. Mets lefty David Peterson looks to be a potential liability for his team in this one, based on his first two starts on the road. He allowed six runs in both of them and one took place here in the City of Brotherly Love. After giving up two home runs, Peterson was gone after four innings and the Mets went on to lose 8-2 to the Phillies that day. It was even worse when Peterson started at Wrigley Field as he was gone after 3 ⅓ and the Mets lost that one 16-4. Zach Eflin will go for Philadelphia and his previous starts against the Mets haven’t gone all that well. He has a 5.24 ERA the 11 times he’s faced them. Eflin allowed five runs in his last start. Play on OVER AAA |
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05-02-21 | Lightning v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Three teams stand out in the NHL’s Central Division and Detroit definitely isn’t one of them. The Red Wings have fallen on “hard times” in recent years and 2021 is no exception as they’ve already been eliminated from playoff contention and have just 45 points. The fact they’re not in last place is about the only positive you can say about them right now. Well, that and the fact they just beat the Lightning yesterday 1-0. The game went to a shootout, meaning no goals were scored in regulation or overtime. That was a terrible loss for Tampa Bay, who is among the top three in the Central but still two points back of Florida and four back of Carolina. We’re gonna call for another low scoring affair in the only game on the Sunday NHL docket. Detroit only had 15 shots on goal, including overtime, yesterday. Only five teams have given up less goals than the Lightning have this season. The Red Wings have scored three goals in their last four games. Will Tampa Bay score 4 or even 5 today? We don’t think so based on the way they played yesterday. Clearly, they are more concerned with getting ready (and staying healthy) for the playoffs than winning these last few games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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05-01-21 | Dodgers v. Brewers OVER 7 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 9* on OVER The Dodgers and Brewers have two of the best pitching staffs in baseball. Both are among the top five in runs allowed per game. We’ve seen this play out in the first two games of this series with the Brewers winning 2-1 and 3-1. Having lost seven of their last nine, it’s fair to say the Dodgers are in a slump right now. Going back to 2019, 9 of the last 11 meetings between these teams have seen the Under cash. But not tonight, even with two solid starters going. Brandon Woodruff for Milwaukee has made four straight quality starts, but three of them were against the same opponent (Cubs). He has a 9.39 ERA vs. the Dodgers. Dustin May pitched great Sunday night, but the game still went Over because of the bullpen. Neither bullpen has been great so far. Unless both starters completely dominate, we see this one going Over. The Dodgers’ lineup is too talented to continue struggling like this. Milwaukee has homered in four straight games. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-30-21 | Red Sox v. Rangers OVER 8 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER It’s not often that you can sweep a series when scoring only three runs. But that’s what Boston did in two games with the Mets. Now they were not as fortunate when they scored only one run in the series opener vs. Texas. The Rangers were 4-1 winners Friday as Boston’s hitters seem to be mired in a real slump. That’s just four runs in the last three games for them. But they still are averaging 5.1 runs/game when facing right handed starters. They are up against a righty tonight in Kohei Arihara, who just so happens to be off a bad start. The White Sox scored five times off him in just two innings. But Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi also allowed five runs in his last start. He’s also given up nine in the last two starts. There have been only two games in the last eight where the Rangers failed to score at least four runs. Neither starter was throwing many strikes in those last starts and Arihara may have been tipping pitches. Over is 4-1 for Texas if they allowed two runs or less last game. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-29-21 | Red Wings v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Carolina has already clinched a playoff berth and has an almost 90% chance of finishing first in the Central. Those odds do seem high, given that the two Floridian teams chasing them - the Panthers and Lightning - are both within three points of the division lead. But it’s hard not to like the Hurricanes going into the playoffs as they’ve given up the fewest number of goals in the division and fourth fewest in the whole league. But tonight should see the offense get its chance to shine as the ‘Canes face Detroit, a team eliminated from playoff contention. The Red Wings are Central’s lowest scoring club and the league’s second lowest scoring club. So counting on them to score goals here may sound dicey. But they did recently score 7 in a win over Dallas. We will probably only need 1-2 tonight as Carolina comes in averaging 3.8 goals over its last five games. Four of the last six times these teams have played, there have been six or more total goals scored. Detroit was pretty lucky not to give up any goals in regulation in their last game. This is a much tougher opponent than Columbus that they face tonight. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-28-21 | Twins v. Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER Minnesota is off to its worst start in years and Cleveland will be looking to sweep them today. But finishing the sweep may prove difficult with Logan Allen pitching. Allen has a 6.91 ERA in four starts with the last two being both brief and ugly. The second inning was something Allen couldn’t escape against either the Yankees or Reds as he’s allowed nine runs total in his last 4 ⅓ innings of work. The good thing for the Indians is they are hitting right now. Particularly Franmil Reyes, who is 12 for 27 on the current homestand. He hit a pair of homers in yesterday’s 7-4 win. Also, Jose Ramirez is 8 for his last 21 and has homered in both games of this series. Losers of 13 of their last 15 games, the Twins turn to J.A. Happ on Wednesday. He carried a no-hitter into the eighth for us in the last start. (Twins were our 10* Interleague Game of the Month that day). But that was also against the Pirates. Expect Happ to struggle a bit today facing a lineup that has produced 12 runs the last two games. Happ had not made it past the fifth inning in any of his previous starts to the last one. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-27-21 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the OVER Things have gotten bad in a hurry for the Tigers, who have lost 10 of 11 and five in a row. They went down 3-2 yesterday afternoon at the hands of Kansas City and that marked the ninth time in the past 10 games they were held to two runs or fewer. The job will get no easier Tuesday as the Tigers head to Chicago to face the White Sox. Winners of six of their past seven games, the White Sox are coming off a three-game sweep of Texas and are massive favorites today. While Detroit’s offense has been really bad and a win is highly unlikely, they should be able to break out of their slump a bit as Lucas Giolito hasn’t been very good for Chicago in 2021. Well, he was versus vs. Cleveland on 4/13, but then his last start saw him surrender eight runs in the first inning and it was over from three. We like this game to go Over as well with the White Sox averaging 5.6 runs over the last seven games. They have a .312 team batting average in those seven games as well. Starting for the Tigers will be Jose Urena, who has an 0-4 team start record due in large part to a lack of run support. But his offense HAS to break through sooner or later as they left 23 runners on base Monday vs. Kansas City. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-27-21 | Bucks v. Hornets UNDER 223 | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Milwaukee has had its share of problems with Charlotte this season, losing twice to the Hornets. The more recent loss occurred earlier this month at home, but there was no Giannis Antetokounmpo for that game. The teams still found a way to combine for 246 points though (127-119) after combining for 240 in the first matchup (126-114). We look for a far lower scoring affair the third time around as the Hornets are banged up and unlikely to match the kind of shooting display they put forth against Boston on Sunday. In that 125-104 win over the Celtics, four different Charlotte players made at least four three-pointers. They shot 50.5% overall and assisted on 39 of their 47 made field goals. Milwaukee is one of the better defensive teams in this league as they are top 10 in efficiency. Problem is they only could score 104 in a loss to the Hawks on Sunday. Charlotte is giving up only 107.2 points/game at home this year and their last five games overall have averaged just 210.8 points/game. There have been six games this month where the Hornets failed to score 100 points.The Under has hit in four of the Bucks’ past five road games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-25-21 | Devils v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Out of playoff contention and losers of nine in a row, New Jersey will head to Philadelphia on Sunday. The Flyers will be desperate for a win here as they are still 11 points off the playoff pace after splitting a pair of games with the Rangers. A -36 goal differential seems to say that Philadelphia is not playoff worth. But they shouldn’t have much difficulty scoring goals tonight as New Jersey has given up a shocking 45 of them during the nine-game skid. Every one of those nine games have seen the Devils give up at least three goals. They’ve allowed at least four in all but one and five in all but three. Their last five games have all seen at least six total goals scored. Opponents are scoring on 18.4% of their shot attempts in those last five contests. The Devils are 7-2 Over on the road when the total is 6.0 or higher this season. The Flyers are 9-3 Over at home when the total is that high. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-22-21 | Marlins v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Marlins won 3-0 yesterday, but six of their last nine games have seen eight or more total runs scored. They average 6.0 runs per game when they take their act out on the road. That’s the highest average for road games among National League teams. The average will be put to the test this evening when they visit San Francisco, who isn’t giving up many runs at home this year. These teams played a three-game series in Miami last weekend where the Giants were held to just one run in two of the games. One was a win (1-0 obviously) and the other a loss (4-1). The middle game, won by the Marlins, ended up being 7-6. We look for something more along the lines of that one tonight. San Francisco has put 15 runs on the board in just the last two games and will get a second crack at Daniel Castano after only managing one run and three hits off him last week. More familiarity with the opposing pitcher should lead to a higher success rate at the plate, plus this game is in their ballpark. Miami will also be seeing Aaron Sanchez for a second time. They scored just one run off him the first time, but that was also the game that ended up 7-6. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-22-21 | Pelicans v. Magic UNDER 222.5 | Top | 135-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER We’d like to think the Pelicans will win this game. They desperately need it as they’ve fallen 3.5 games behind the last spot for the play-in round. But we’re not going to lay a near double digit spread on the road with a team that’s lost four in a row and eight games below .500 for the year. Instead, we’ll count on this being a relatively low-scoring affair with the hapless Magic, who know a thing or two about losing themselves. Orlando has lost 9 of their last 10 games and was held to only 96 points in a loss at Atlanta Tuesday night. That was the fourth time this month - and third time in six games - that the Magic were held under 100 points. They are the second lowest scoring team in the league at 104.2 points per game. While the average does go up a bit at home, it’s not by much. So the Pelicans’ often leaky defense should not be an issue tonight. Consider that even with overtime these teams only combined for 225 points when they met in Orlando on April 1st. The total for that game was much lower. The Under is 5-1 the last six meetings here in Orlando. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-21-21 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER We told you to take the Angels -1.5 yesterday and they came through with a 6-2 victory against the Rangers. Shohei Ohtani threw four shutout innings, while at the plate both Trout and Pujols homered. Texas had just five hits as their offense continues to struggle. They did score six times on Monday, but five of those runs came in one inning, which matched their entire offensive output from the previous 32 innings. So take away that one big inning and this lineup has scored just seven times in 41 innings. But they should break out today facing Jose Quintana, who gave up seven runs in just 1 ⅔ innings against Toronto on April 10th. The result was a 15-1 loss. His first start of 2021, resulted in a 7-6 win for the Angels, but Quintana allowed four runs in 3 ⅓ innings. The Over is obviously 2-0 in Quintana starts. Texas starter Mike Foltynewicz is 3-0 Under, but he’s also 0-3 with a 5.63 ERA. He gave up five runs his last start and has already allowed five home runs. This should be a high-scoring AL West battle. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-20-21 | Clippers v. Blazers OVER 226.5 | Top | 113-112 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER After having a seven-game win streak snapped in Philadelphia Friday night, the Clippers came right back and easily defeated Minnesota Sunday, 124-105 as 10 point favorites. They head to Portland for what should be a tougher test on Tuesday, although the Blazers are going to be without Damian Lillard and Jusuf Nurkic. With one team minus two key players, it may sound strange to be thinking Over here, but consider that Portland’s defense has been very bad for most of the season. Only Sacramento allows more points per possession. Kawhi Leonard is back for the Clippers, who have beaten the Trail Blazers five straight times. Two of those wins came earlier this season at home and LA scored 128 and 133 points. So this could get ugly for the Blazers. Also key here is the fact the Clippers have gone Under in three straight. So far, they are 3-0 to the Over this season when coming off three straight Unders. Portland is 5-1 Under its last six games, also a rarity. Since they are going to be without two key players, the O/U has come down several points, which feels like bettors overreacting. There’s some real nice value with the Over here as Portland games see an average of 229 points. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-20-21 | Ducks v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 9* on OVER The bottom two in the Pacific face off on Tuesday with the Kings hosting the Ducks. Though just three points separate the two teams, it sure feels like the Kings are a lot better as they’ve given up only 13 more goals than they’ve scored while Anaheim is -44 in that department. As much as we’d love to back the Kings at this price, we really can’t as they’ve allowed 25 goals in their last six games, all of which have gone Over the total. Anaheim isn’t exactly known for scoring (at least when they’re not playing San Jose), but they just gave up nine goals in two games to Vegas. So this feels like a game where there will be plenty of goals scored by both teams. The Kings haven’t played in nearly a week as two games vs. Colorado got scratched due to COVID-19. So their skaters should be fresh heading into this one. Keep an eye on the Anaheim power play though as it is MUCH better on the road than at home. When these teams played twice in Anaheim last month, the Kings scored five goals in each game, both times leading to an Over. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-19-21 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets OVER 227 | Top | 137-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Both the Grizzlies and Nuggets are dealing with injury concerns entering Monday’s clash. This will be Memphis’ third straight game on the road and they’ve got four more tough ones upcoming. The trip has started out well with them winning at Milwaukee and Chicago. But several players are listed as questionable for tonight, which is why the line has risen. However, lay the points with caution in this one as Denver is still getting over the loss of Jamal Murray, whose season is done. The Nuggets have scored 123 and 128 in their last two games, both wins and both Overs (they beat Miami and Houston). The Grizzlies have scored a few more in their last two games with 126 against the Bulls and 128 against the Bucks. Those two games also went Over. Our bet is that this one will go Over as well. Even with the injuries, both teams have proven they can still score. The Over is 6-0 the last six times Memphis has been off an ATS win. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-19-21 | White Sox v. Red Sox OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER The White Sox and Red Sox finish up a four-game series early Monday, in the traditional early start time to help celebrate Patriots’ Day. (Normally, the Boston Marathon would be run today, but that’s been pushed back to October due to the pandemic). The teams played two on Sunday with the White Sox winning 3-2 and 5-1. Both of those were seven-inning affairs with MLB’s new rules in place for doubleheaders. Going back to Saturday, the Red Sox won the opener 7-4. We’re back to nine innings today and we like the Over. Lucas Giolito starts for Chicago. He’s been quite effective so far, including seven shutout innings (in a losing effort) his last trip to the mound. But Boston came into yesterday averaging nearly 6.0 runs/game and 6.7 against right-handed starters. Giolito has given up seven runs in 17 previous innings vs. the Red Sox. The starter for the home team will be Nathan Eovaldi, who is similarly off to a great start to 2021. But he has a 5.59 ERA vs. the White Sox, who were averaging 5.7 runs/game on the road going into Sunday. Watch the line as Boston is 6-1 Over its last seven as home underdog. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-18-21 | Golden Knights v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER We had Vegas -1.5 when they beat Anaheim 4-0 on Friday. There was a pretty strong case that the Golden Knight would roll in that spot and sure enough they did with a monumental 51-16 edge in shots on goal. Vegas is averaging 4.4 goals during a five game win streak, but they’ve also posted two shutouts and have given up just eight goals the last four games. Anaheim is 5-0 Under its last five games and while they two four-goal wins against San Jose, they haven’t beaten anyone besides the Sharks in April! In the last six games not against the Sharks, the Ducks have failed to score more than two goals. They have just one in the last three. Vegas is so good at limiting shots and we don’t think they’re going to go for four (or more) goals again. Four of the last five meetings have gone Under and this one has the potential to be lower scoring than Friday was. The Under is 15-7-1 their past 23 road games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-18-21 | Blue Jays v. Royals OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Blue Jays and Royals played a doubleheader on Saturday. Both teams got a win and both games stayed Under. Toronto won the first, 5-1, before KC came back with a 3-2 win of their own. Keep in mind those were only seven inning games per MLB’s “new” rules. We’re set to play a full nine today and look for more runs to be scored as a result. The Jays got a really strong start from Steven Matz in Game 1 yesterday. But their starter for Sunday, Robbie Ray, figures to be less impressive. Ray and Royals starter Brad Singer were both supposed to go Friday before the rain interfered. Singer has had a poor start to the year with a 6.48 ERA and 1.81 WHIP. The second game yesterday is the only time in the last five games that Toronto didn’t score five or more runs. Kansas City averages 5.7 runs per game at home, but also gives up 5.1. Don’t forget that Thursday’s game was a 7-5 final (KC won). We expect something along those lines here. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-18-21 | Pelicans v. Knicks OVER 218.5 | Top | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the OVER The Pelicans, who are desperate for a win, have lost two in a row. They went off as the betting favorite in both defeats. One of them was to the Knicks, who are on an eight-game ATS win streak. The teams now meet for the second time in five days Sunday afternoon, but this time at Madison Square Garden. After beating the Pelicans 116-106 on Wednesday, the Knicks then defeated Dallas 117-109 as 6.5-point underdogs. They’ve gone off as the dog in five of these eight straight ATS wins. Two of those games they lost, but they are now on a five-game SU win streak as they are now sixth in the Eastern Conference. New Orleans badly needs this game as they are 11th in the Western Conference and 2.5 games back of 10th. They lost 117-115 in overtime at Washington on Friday night, a terrible result given their current circumstance and that they held the Wizards to 4 of 27 from three-point range. The Knicks’ Julius Randle is as hot as anyone right now with 76 points in the last two games. The Pelicans give up the third most points per possession in the league. Wednesday’s game went Over the total and so should this one as the Knicks are 3-0 Over their last three games, averaging almost 115 points/game. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-17-21 | Cavs v. Bulls UNDER 214 | Top | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The Bulls are in a terrible way right now. Five consecutive losses and they are without top scorer, Zach LaVine (quarantine). It was a 126-115 home loss last night to Memphis as Chicago gave up 69 points in a disastrous second half. They haven’t covered the spread in any of the five losses either as only one of the games was decided by fewer than nine points. The Bulls get to stay at home tonight as they face Cleveland. While this looks like a favorable matchup for the hosts, we think it’s more conducive to an Under. Cleveland is the lowest scoring team in the league at 103.9 points/game and they drop below 100 points/game (99.8) on the road. Chicago isn’t doing much better of late, averaging only 104.9 points/game during the five-game skid. Without LaVine, the Bulls aren’t getting much offense besides the recently acquired Nikola Vucevic and Coby White, who went for 27 points Friday. The other three starters combined for just 18 points! These teams were in action against one another last month. The final score was 103-94 (Cleveland!) and that was the fourth time in the last five meetings here in Chicago that the Under cashed. Make it five of six. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-16-21 | Pacers v. Jazz OVER 233.5 | Top | 111-119 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER The Jazz had only seven players score on Tuesday, but six of them finished in double figures as they defeated the Thunder 106-96. It was not a good shooting night overall for the Western Conference leaders as they finished the game with a 41.8 field goal percentage. But after falling behind by 17 early, they were able to hold Oklahoma City to a 38.7 FG%. We expect to see more scoring in today’s game vs. Indiana, who has scored at least 132 four times in their last seven games. The Pacers shot very well against Houston (53.2%) two nights ago. But an issue to keep an eye on is that they’ve also allowed 124 or more points in five of their last seven games. Utah puts up 118.6 points/game at home, so we are anticipating they’ll score a lot today, even if some of the injured players that sat out Tuesday do not return here. The Over is 6-1 in Indiana’s past seven games as a road underdog. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-16-21 | Braves v. Cubs OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Cubs hitting, or should we say “lack thereof,” has been dreadful so far. As a team, they are batting .163. No other team in the National League strikes out at a higher rate and no team in all of MLB scores fewer runs per game. They are averaging fewer than five hits per game and off a shutout loss (7-0) at the hands of Milwaukee. At home things are even more dire as they have hit just .124 in six games! But a visit from the Braves and the afternoon Wrigley wind should lead to a change in things on Friday. Atlanta’s last seven games have averaged just over 12 runs with them scoring and allowing 6.0 per. Six of those seven games went Over the total including each of the last three. Braves starter Drew Smyly has struggled with the home run ball thus far, allowing three in his two starts and if the wind is blowing out today that should continue to be a problem. The only other time Smyly faced the Cubs, he allowed a pair of home runs. Cubs starter Davies has allowed just one HR so far, but he gave up seven runs while getting only five outs in his last start. We don’t like his chances against Ronald Acuna Jr, who leads MLB with seven home runs. This one goes Over. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-15-21 | Celtics v. Lakers UNDER 212.5 | Top | 121-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER While tonight’s Celtics-Lakers matchup certainly lacks the prestige of past editions, it does offer up an excellent opportunity to bet the Under. The Lakers are still without both of their superstars, LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Relative to expectations, they’ve actually done okay without them by winning six of the last 10 games. They are off a 101-93 win against Charlotte, which snapped a four-game Over run. But there has been only one time in the previous six games that the Lakers have scored more than 110 points. The last two games have seen them score a total of 197 points. Boston, save for an overtime win against Minnesota last week, has done a good job at the defensive end lately. A four-game win streak has them up to fifth in the Eastern Conference. The Lakers are fifth in the Western Conference. The Under is 8-2 in Boston’s last 10 games and the Lakers are tops in the West with a PPG against average of 105.6. The Under is 18-4 this season when the Lakers play a team with a winning record. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-15-21 | Indians v. White Sox OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Indians weren’t just beaten 8-0 last night by the White Sox. They were no-hit by Carlos Rondon, the second no-no we’ve seen so far this season. The only runner Cleveland got on base was Roberto Perez in the ninth and that was after he was hit by an 0-2 slider. It was the second straight shutout in the series as the Indians won 2-0 on Tuesday. Chicago won the opener 4-3. Look for today’s finale to be the highest scoring game of the series. That may seem like an odd prediction based on how both of Thursday’s starters have performed so far in 2021. But Indians starter Civale has only had to face the Tigers - twice. After a six-run first inning last night, it seems like the White Sox should have finished with more runs. Of course, they didn’t need any. Tim Anderson, who has finished top two in batting average each of the last two seasons, will be back in the Sox lineup Thursday. We also think Cleveland can score at least four runs today. That’s how many they scored after the only other game where they were shutout this season. They are also 5-0 Over after allowing five or more runs in their last game. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-14-21 | Marlins v. Braves OVER 8 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER The Braves have dropped both games to the Marlins so far. The first was one they let get away. They led 3-1 going into the eighth, but then let Miami tie the game up and lost in extras, 5-3. We were happy about that result as we had the Marlins +1.5 after calling it a “tough spot” for Atlanta coming off the controversial loss Sunday night. Last night saw things get really one sided as the Marlins won 14-8. Given the odds for tonight, you’ve gotta think Atlanta is going to break through. We’ll take the Under with Charlie Morton starting as he’s allowed only four runs in 11 innings so far this season. Last night was not only Miami’s season high in both runs and hits, but they also exceeded their total number of runs scored from the previous six games combined. So look for a quiet night at the plate from them. Marlins starter Nick Neidert will have to reduce the number of walks (5) from his first start, but we like the fact he still allowed just one run. This game should resemble Monday not Tuesday and presuming Atlanta is up, they won’t have to bat in the ninth inning. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-12-21 | Kings v. Pelicans UNDER 234.5 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER New Orleans got the win it needed last night as they rallied to defeat Cleveland 116-109. We laid the points with the Pelicans, so we ended up happy. Now they head back home to face slumping Sacramento. The Kings have lost six straight games and have ended up with 106 points or less in four of the losses. The last two games have seen the Pelicans play some defense as they held Philadelphia to 94 before holding Cleveland to 109 last night. The Under is 12-5 in the Kings last 17 games and 7-3 L10 road games. They are 7-2 Under off an ATS loss. New Orleans does have the most Overs in the league, which is why the total is so high, but even they are 3-1 Under last four. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-10-21 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Since being swept by Baltimore to open the season, the Red Sox have won four straight. Following an off-day, they look to make it two straight over the Orioles here at Camden Yards. Obviously, Thursday’s series opener went much differently than the series at Fenway last week. Boston won 7-3 and has now scored at least six runs in each of its four wins. But Saturday starter Garrett Richards had a terrible first outing vs. the O’s, lasting just two innings while giving up six runs. Baltimore pitching has given up exactly seven runs in three of the last four games. Saturday starter Zimmerman was on the winning end of Richards’ first start, but isn’t likely to pitch as well the second time around. Boston’s last five games have all gone Over the total. They are on an 8-0 Over run after scoring five or more runs the previous game, going back to 2020. The Orioles are 7-3 Over in the second game of a series. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-09-21 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER It seems as if the National League East is the consensus choice as the “toughest division in baseball” this season. We don’t expect many runs to be scored in this Phillies-Braves series opener on Friday. Both teams were off Thursday. Philadelphia has opened 4-1 and swept Atlanta at home to start the 2021 season. But the Braves, despite being 2-4, have to like their chances at revenge because they are 42-18 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 the past two seasons. All three games in the series at Citizens Bank Park last week stayed Under. The most total runs scored in any of the three was five! Philly’s recently completed series with the Mets went much differently as all three games went Over. Tonight’s game features a starting pitching rematch from 4/3 as Zack Wheeler opposes Charlie Morton. Wheeler was masterful in the game last Saturday as he went seven innings and allowed only one hit. He had 10 strikeouts and no walks. Morton wasn’t bad either; he gave up three runs over five innings. But it didn’t matter considering how good Wheeler was and the Phillies won the game 4-0. Look for another low-scoring affair tonight as the Braves are batting just .170 in the early going. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-09-21 | Capitals v. Sabres UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER If you follow the NHL, you’re well aware that Buffalo has become quite the embarrassment. They were beaten again last night, 6-3 at home by New Jersey, and have now dropped 20 of their last 23 games. That includes a record-setting (for the shootout era) 18-game losing streak from February 25th through March 29th. There was a 3-0-2 run going into last night, but the Sabres allowing the Devils to score six times was a painful reminder why this is the worst team in the league. They are 1-16-1 this season against the top four teams in the division. They play one of those four tonight. Washington has lost three of five, but was 17-3-1 in the 21 games before that. They are 5-0-1 vs. the Sabres in 2021 with a 14-5 goal advantage in the three games here in Buffalo. We look for tonight’s game to stay Under the total. The Capitals are coming off a 4-2 loss last night in Boston, their fourth loss in six games. They didn’t score the game before that, but have also held two of the last four opponents to just one goal. The Caps are 5-0 Under L5 games without rest. The Sabres are 18-6 L24. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-08-21 | Cavs v. Thunder OVER 213 | Top | 129-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER You’ve got two bad teams ready to square off Thursday. The fact Oklahoma City is getting points at home from Cleveland should tell you they are in a really sorry state right now. Last night saw them go down for a fourth straight time, 113-102 here at home against Charlotte. On the bright side, the Thunder did not give up more than 130 points, which is something they’d done each of the three previous games. If you wanted to say these are the two worst teams in the league right now, we will not disagree. But we did tell you to take Cleveland in their last games and they did win 125-101 as nine-point underdogs in San Antonio on Sunday. The Cavaliers had lost their previous five games while never scoring more than 101. Given OKC’s recent defensive issues, we project the Cavs to have another high scoring effort tonight. But we also worry about their defense. They let Oklahoma City shoot 54% last month in a 117-101 loss. This is a low total and in the Thunder’s previous 11 games without rest, the average number of total points per game scored is 226.2. The Over has hit in 9 of the last 11 Thunder home games. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-08-21 | Penguins v. Rangers OVER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The East is probably the NHL’s deepest division as it has five good teams. As it presently stands, the Rangers would be the odd team out come playoff time. They are five points back of the fourth place Bruins. So tonight is a big game as they face third place Pittsburgh, who is nine points above the Blueshirts, but has roughly the same goal differential. The Rangers certainly are hoping for a repeat of Monday when they beat the Penguins 8-4 here at Madison Square Garden. The Penguins, if you can believe it, have allowed 15 goals the last two games. But they’ve also scored a total of 13 in the last three, never scoring fewer than four in any game. In only one of the previous seven games have the Pens failed to score four or more goals. So it’s very reasonable to expect another high scoring game tonight. Plus, over the L11 games, the Rangers are 8-3-2 and have THREE games with EIGHT or more goals! (This isn’t your father’s NHL, we guess). The Over is 5-0 in the Rangers last five home games. Pittsburgh is 14-3 Over when they allowed five or more goals their last game. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-06-21 | Dodgers v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Adding a designated hitter to the Dodgers’ already potent lineup just seems cruel, especially if you’re the 0-5 A’s, who have given up eight or more runs in every game. They gave up a season-high 10 to the Dodgers in last night’s series opener. That was the second time in the last four games LA scored 10 or more runs. They had seven runs on the board through three innings last night. Chris Bassitt has the unenviable task of starting against the Dodgers tonight. While he pitched well in the Spring and on Opening Day, he never faced a lineup quite like this one. Clayton Kershaw goes for the Dodgers and while you may think that means a long day for the Oakland hitters, guess again as they got him for nine runs in a Spring Training game. Kershaw also allowed six runs and 10 hits in his first start of 2021 and that was without giving up a home run. Look for the bevy of runs scored in A’s games to continue on Tuesday. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-06-21 | Cardinals v. Marlins UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER St. Louis was 4-1 winner in Monday’s series opener. That victory squared their season record away at 2-2. Miami is 1-3 and save for a 12-run effort on Sunday, they haven’t done a whole lot of scoring. The other three games have seen them score a total of five runs and four of those were in one game. Let’s not forget that last year’s playoff run ended with back to back shutout losses. So we’ve got little confidence in the Marlins lineup heading into Tuesday and really the same is true for the Cardinals. While the Redbirds’ first three games all went Over, they didn’t have a ton of hits. They’ve scored 22 runs in four games, but the fact they have only 27 hits (7 or fewer each of the L3 games) makes that seem a bit fortuitous. Sandy Alcantara will be the starter for Miami on Tuesday. He threw six shutout innings on Opening Day and allowed only two hits. The Marlins lost that game 1-0. St. Louis will send John Gant to the bump. Since he’s been used as a reliever the past two seasons, Gant won’t be in there for too long. But regardless, Miami hasn’t shown they are any real threat at the plate. The Under is 14-3 in the Marlins’ last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter. They’ve scored a total of one run in the two games this season. Play on UNDER AAA |
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04-05-21 | Avalanche v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER With a four-game win streak, Colorado has overtaken Vegas for first place in the West Division. Sitting in third, six points back of the Avalanche, is Minnesota. The Wild just helped out the Avs (and themselves) by winning in Vegas two straight times. They certainly hope “what happens in Vegas” doesn’t stay there as this is a golden opportunity for them to catch up to the Avs. But it will not be easy keeping the Avs in check. Colorado has scored a total of 19 goals during its win streak, an average of nearly 5.0 per game. They are 12-0-2 in their last 14 games and have scored 62 times in that stretch, an average of basically 4.5 goals per game. It was 6-0 (Avs) the last time these teams played and 5-1 (Avs) the time before that. The Avs had 85 shots on goal in those two games. This will be the seventh meeting of the year and the Over is 5-1 in the first six with all but the one Under seeing six or more total goals scored. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-03-21 | UCLA v. Gonzaga OVER 145.5 | Top | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the OVER Gonzaga looks unstoppable as they go for the 1st National Championship in program history. They are massive favorites against UCLA Saturday as you just don’t see a double digit spread in the Final Four very often. But it’s the total that has our attention in this National Semifinal. While both teams are 3-1 Under their last four games, this has the potential to be a pretty high-scoring affair. We need not remind you that Gonzaga leads the nation in scoring at 91.6 points/game. They have scored at least 83 in all four Tournament games. This number will likely end up closing as the third lowest total for any Gonzaga game this season. UCLA being off such a low-scoring game (they beat Michigan 51-49 in the Elite Eight) is a big reason for that. But the Bruins scored plenty in the first four Tourney games (remember they were in the First Four). Yes, two of those games went to OT. But they still hit 65 in regulation in all of them and twice hit 73. Those kinds of numbers are reasonable for tonight and should they get there, this game will easily go Over. Gonzaga likes to play fast and UCLA is 5-1 Over this season when the total is 140 to 149.5. Gonzaga is shooting almost 55% from the field and only one of their last 11 games saw a fewer number of total points than this total. Their games average 160.1 total points. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-02-21 | Thunder v. Suns OVER 219 | Top | 103-140 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Phoenix just keeps on winning. They’ve won four in a row and six of the last seven games. Their last game was a 121-116 win against Chicago, which easily went Over the total. Now they are set to face Oklahoma City, which should be an easy win. The Thunder also won their last game, but other than Houston, Minnesota and Toronto - all of whom are terrible - they haven’t beaten anybody in the last two weeks. Expect the Suns to score a lot tonight as they are 10-3 Over when off three or more consecutive wins. A big key here is Devin Booker. Since returning to the lineup, the Suns are 25-6. Without Booker, they lost to the Thunder 102-97 in late January. Booker has averaged 26.8 points on better than 50% shooting since returning and just went for 45 against the Bulls on Wednesday. The Thunder will need to score some here as well and with the Suns allowing 110 or more in three of the last five games, they should. The Over is 5-2 the last seven times Oklahoma City has been off an ATS win. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-02-21 | Coyotes v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 118 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Alphabetically, these are the first two on the list of NHL teams. But that’s about all Anaheim is first in. The Ducks sit last in the West Division with 28 points and they have a -40 goal differential. To put that GD in some perspective, a Buffalo team that is considered the embarrassment of the sport has a -47 GD. Arizona is just hoping to get that fourth playoff spot the division has to offer. They are one point behind St. Louis in the race for it. Certainly hurting their chances was their most recent effort where they allowed NINE goals in a humiliating loss to Colorado. Over the Coyotes last six games, the Over has cashed five times. The good news, from their perspective, is they’ve scored at least three goals in five of those games. Three times they’ve scored five goals. Anaheim just gave up five goals in its last game, also against Colorado, and was one of the teams to recently give up five to Arizona. Playing each other instead of the Avalanche gives the teams a better shot at winning. No matter who comes out on top, we anticipate a high-scoring affair. The Over is 9-4 for the ‘Yotes if they allowed four or more goals last time out. Play on OVER AAA |
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04-01-21 | Astros v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER These were the two playoff teams from the American League West a season ago. Oakland took home the pennant with a 36-24 WL record. But Houston was the one who made it to the ALCS, even though they had a sub-.500 regular season record. That postseason run included a 3-1 series win over the A’s in the LDS. That was strange as Oakland really dominated the regular season series, winning 7 of 10 with all three losses coming in seven inning games. We look for Opening Day to be a relatively high-scoring affair. Three of those four playoff games saw 15 or more total runs scored. Houston is going to have a bounce back year at the plate. Two years ago, they were tops in MLB in batting average, slugging and OPS. Zack Greinke faced Oakland three three times last year. He allowed four runs in two of those starts. The A’s will counter with Bassitt, who allowed two home runs in last year’s LDS, same as Greinke did in his start that series. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-31-21 | Knicks v. Wolves OVER 218 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Defense hasn’t been an issue for the Knicks this season as they allow the fewest number of points per game in the league. But offense was a problem on Monday as they managed only 88 points in a home loss to the Heat. While it would be easy to point the finger at the Mitchell Robinson injury, he only averages 8.3 points. The team needs to start shooting the basketball better as they’ve finished with a 43.2 FG% or worse in five of their last six games. Fortunately for them, they are in Minnesota tonight where they’ll find one of the league’s worst defensive teams. The Timberwolves allow 117.1 points/game and there has been only one time in the L10 games where they didn’t allow at least 112. That one time was against Houston, who can’t hit water from a boat right now. Minnesota has scored exactly 107 points in three straight games, which isn’t a lot, but they did make 14 threes against Brooklyn Monday night. Though that game did stay Under, the Over is 9-4 the past 13 times the T’wolves have been underdogs. The Knicks did give up a 39-point quarter to the Heat. We think both of these teams are due for a big night offensively. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-30-21 | Stars v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Nashville is surging right now as they’ve won five straight and seven of their last eight. The one loss was 2-0 at Florida on March 20th. In six of the seven victories, they’ve allowed two goals or fewer. It shouldn’t be shocking then to find out the Under is on a 6-2 run in Predators games. One of those two Overs was against the Stars, a 4-3 victory, but that was in Dallas. The Under is 6-1 the last seven times the Stars have had to play here in Music City. All four head to head meetings between these teams this season took place in “Big D.” The Stars are not playing particularly well of late, having dropped 8 of their last 11. But if a certain pattern holds, they are in for a win tonight. The last three times they have been off two straight losses, they’ve won the next game. They have lost their last two games coming into Tuesday. They lost 4-1 and 4-3 at home to Florida, but we believe they’ll shore things up defensively in this game. Nashville has been playing without Filip Forsberg, who leads the team in both goals and points. The Under is 6-1-1 in the Stars previous eight road games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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03-30-21 | USC v. Gonzaga OVER 153 | Top | 66-85 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Much has been made of USC’s defense in this Tournament. The Trojans have allowed 58.3 points per game and none of the three teams they’ve faced have been able to shoot better than 37.7 percent. But none of those teams were Gonzaga. The Bulldogs lead the country in scoring at 91.8 points per game and have scored 98, 87 and 83 in their three Tournament games. They shot almost 60 percent from the field against Creighton in the Sweet 16 win. The only concern here for Gonzaga is that they better shoot well again because USC has also been scoring at a high rate. The last two games have seen the Trojans make 57% of their shots and that includes 21 of 35 on three-pointers! So this should be quite the high scoring game in the Elite 8 as both teams should score at least 80. The Over is 39-17 in Gonzaga’s last 56 games and they are an astronomical 55% overall this year! USC is 6-3 Over after a game where they scored 80 or more points. Gonzaga likes to play fast and as a result, this one goes Over. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-29-21 | Pelicans v. Celtics OVER 230 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
analysis soon |
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03-28-21 | Oregon v. USC OVER 138.5 | Top | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 78 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Oregon has gone Over in eight straight games. We like them to make it 10 against USC in the Sweet 16. Now the last time a Ducks’ game stayed Under, it was against USC. That regular season matchup saw them lose 72-58 in LA. Though they made 7 of 17 three-point attempts, the Ducks were an unsightly 16 of 40 on two-point attempts. That percentage will certainly improve in Sunday’s rematch, even though USC has done an excellent job on defense so far in the Tournament and really all season. With the teams combining for 130 in the first meeting, we only a handful more to send this one Over. Considering they combined to go just 13 of 22 from the charity stripe last month, we should get some more points there in this one. You also can’t forget that Oregon just dropped 95 points on Iowa in their last game. USC has scored 72 and 85 in their two games and shot 57.1% against Kansas. Oregon shot 55% vs. Iowa. Both USC opponents have shot worse than 30%. That can’t continue. The Over is 6-1-1 for USC following a SU win. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama OVER 145.5 | Top | 88-78 | Win | 100 | 75 h 2 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the OVER UCLA had to win three times last weekend. This first one wasn’t easy as they needed overtime to get by Michigan State in the “First Four.” But the Bruins then looked dominant against 6-seed BYU and 14-seed Abilene Christian. Defense was the key against Abilene Christian as only 44 points were allowed. But that was a 14-seed. Now UCLA faces Alabama, who just hung 96 points on Maryland in its Round of 32 game. The Crimson Tide are going for just the second Elite Eight appearance in program history. Nate Oats won’t ever be confused for Nick Saban but the Tide’s second year coach has done a great job at Tuscaloosa. Bama basically averages 80 points per game, a number they have matched or exceeded in four of their last six games. They like to play fast. UCLA does not, but it remains to be seen if they can control the tempo. UCLA does shoot the three well (37%) and Bama allowed Maryland to shoot 53% overall (37% from three). The Terps got to 77 points even though they attempted only seven free throws and made just three. The Over is 8-1 for Alabama following a game where they scored 90 or more points. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-28-21 | Devils v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER New Jersey was blanked (4-0) in Washington Friday night. Seven of their last nine games have seen five or less total goals scored. The exceptions were the two games before the shutout loss on Friday. Now the Devils head to Boston to face a Bruins team that’s coming off a 3-2 win over Buffalo last night. It wasn’t easy for the B’s on Saturday, even though the Sabres are on the longest losing streak of the shootout era. Boston needed two goals in the third period to pull out the “W” and we don’t see an abundance of goals coming from their end tonight either. The Under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Not to be outdone, the Under is 7-2 in the Devils’ last nine games. All signs point to another Under here as that particular wager has gone 14-4-3 the L21 meetings and 4-0 the last four here in Beantown. Play on UNDER AAA |
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03-27-21 | Bulls v. Spurs OVER 223 | Top | 104-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Chicago is 7-1 Under in its last eight games and in five of those they failed to score more than 100 points. But they were active at the trade deadline, making several moves, the most notable of which brought Nikola Vucevic over from Orlando. Paired with Zach LaVine, who is already averaging 28.2 points/game, the Bulls should now be a lot more dynamic offensively. Honestly, it’s not that they are bad at that end of the floor. For the season, they are averaging 113.0 points/game. They average more on the road (117.9) and overall Bulls’ road games average 232.6 points/game. It should be noted all four sub-100 point performances over the L8 games occurred at home. San Antonio is coming off an awful shooting game where they made just 40.2 percent of their field goals. They held the Clippers to 38.2%, but it wasn’t enough as they went down for a fourth straight time, 98-85. We get the sense that both teams are ready to break out of their “mini offensive slumps.” Over the last three seasons, the Spurs are 12-4 Over when they are on a losing streak of three or more games. Thursday was a season-low in points for them. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-26-21 | Hawks v. Warriors UNDER 220.5 | Top | 124-108 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Without Steph Curry, the Warriors look to be in major trouble. While they didn’t have much difficulty scoring last night, they were blown out 141-119 by the Kings. It was Golden State’s third straight loss. All three losses have come with Curry out of the lineup. Draymond Green, reportedly feeling the effects of a COVID-19 shot, sat yesterday as well. The self-professed “greatest defender of all time” partly explains the Warriors giving up 141 last night. The team is hopeful that Green will play tonight as they host Atlanta, who has never played in this building since it opened for the start of last season. The Hawks are in the middle of an eight-game road trip that has gone a bit sideways. After they blew all of a 22-point lead against the Clippers on Monday and lost 119-110, they then lost 110-108 to Sacramento. Before those losses, they’d won the first eight games for interim coach Nate McMillan. Before giving up 141 last night, Golden State was on a 4-0 Under run. We think they’ll struggle to score tonight without Curry, but the defense should improve. Atlanta hasn’t topped 110 in any of its last three games and is 4-0 Under off its last four ATS losses. Golden State is 7-0 Under in the second game of a back to back. Play on UNDER AAA |
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03-23-21 | Lakers v. Pelicans OVER 222 | Top | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Without LeBron James and Anthony Davis, the Lakers have vowed to completely overhaul their approach to the game. Dennis Schroeder noted “it’s totally opposite now” and that may be the understatement of the year. Things did not go real well for the Lakers in their first game since James sprained his ankle. They got blown out in Phoenix and scored just 94 points. In six quarters without LeBron, the team has totaled only 141 points and three of those quarters saw them score 18 points or less. But tonight should see more scoring as they face a New Orleans team that doesn’t play much defense. The Pelicans are giving up 114.7 points/game and only two teams (Sacramento, Portland) allow more points per possession. So if Los Angeles can play fast tonight, they’ll score a decent number. New Orleans averages 117.7 points/game at home, a big reason why the Over is 17-4 here. This total should be higher. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-22-21 | Kings v. Cavs UNDER 224 | Top | 119-105 | Push | 0 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER A couple of bad teams here. Cleveland is actually off a win though. They beat short-handed Toronto yesterday by a score of 116-105. They had a big lead early and held on for the ‘W.” Tonight they’ll host Sacramento, a team that saw a two-game win streak end with a 24-point loss in Philadelphia the other night. The Kings have only five wins in the last 18 games, but are still favored here, which should tell you what the oddsmakers think of the Cavs. We know Sacramento doesn’t play much defense, but Cleveland is near the bottom of the league in points per game (104.0). The Cavs have scored at least 110 for three consecutive games now, but that’s atypical of them. The three games prior (to those three), they didn’t score 100 even once. So they should experience a downturn offensively tonight. The Kings have failed to top 107 in three of their last five contests. They are 5-0 Under after allowing 100+ their last game. Play on UNDER AAA |
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03-21-21 | Loyola-Chicago v. Illinois OVER 133 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
THis is an 8* on OVER Emotions should be high for this in-state battle of Top 25 teams. Loyola Chicago probably should have been seeded higher, though they did have trouble ousting undermanned Georgia Tech in the first round. The Ramblers won that game 71-60 (they pulled away late) despite allowing the Yellow Jackets to shoot 57.4%. Now they face top seeded Illinois, who shot 57.1% in its 78-49 dismantling of Drexel on Friday. We know Loyola usually plays great defense, but there’s a big difference between the Missouri Valley and one of the best teams in College Basketball. The Fighting Illini average 81.3 points/game and while this is a high O/U for a Loyola game, it’s relatively low for what they’re used to seeing in Champaign-Urbana. The Illini have had only two games this season close with totals in the 130’s. Both were vs. Wisconsin and both went Over. The Over is 6-0 for Loyola this season following a non-conference game and the only previou two times they’ve been an underdog in 2020-21, the game also went Over. Both teams shoot better than 50% overall from the field. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-20-21 | St Bonaventure v. LSU OVER 144 | Top | 61-76 | Loss | -111 | 112 h 52 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER LSU came up one point short in the SEC Tournament Championship, but if there’s one thing we can count on from the Tigers, it’s that they’ll score in bunches. They average 82.1 points/game, the eighth most in all of College Basketball. In their last 10 games, the Tigers have scored a minimum of 75 points. That’s the good news. The bad news is they gave up more than 70 in all but two of those 10 games. So expect St. Bonaventure, champions of the Atlantic 10 Conference, to score plenty on Saturday afternoon as well. The Bonnies scored 75, 71 and 74 in their three-game A-10 Tourney run. We find it very likely that both teams will score at least 70 points in this one. The Over is 6-1 in St. Bonaventure’s last seven neutral site games. The Over is 7-1 the last eight games where LSU was the favorite. Between these teams, there are nine double digit scorers. This is a really low total for an LSU game. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-18-21 | Hornets v. Lakers UNDER 227 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Tough matchup here for the Hornets. They lost badly in Denver last night, giving up 129 points. Now they head to LA to take on a Lakers team that just scored 137 in its last game. The Lakers didn’t have any issues with its own back to back Sunday/Monday as they routed Golden State and Minnesota in the two games. These teams have not played since Oct 2019 when the Lakers won 120-101 in Charlotte. This is Charlotte’s first visit to Staples Center (to play the Lakers) in almost two years. Look for it to be a relatively low-scoring affair. The Lakers, despite their point totals from the last two games, have been an “Under team” in 2020-21. They are 24-15 Under in all games and 16-7 in those with a total of 220 or higher. The Under is 11-2 when they face a team that has a winning record and Charlotte is 20-19. The Hornets could bounce back here as they are 6-0 ATS off their previous six losses. But they only scored 104 last night and are facing the #1 team in defensive efficiency. Play on UNDER AAA |
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03-16-21 | Jazz v. Celtics OVER 227.5 | Top | 117-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER The Jazz’s first four games of March have been their worst stretch of basketball all season. They’ve lost three of them straight up while going 0-4 ATS. The only win was against a Houston team that has lost its last 16 games. Even worse is that in all three losses, they’ve surrendered 129 or more points. Those three losses all came on the road and tonight they are in Boston to play a Celtics team that has scored more than 130 in two of its last three contests. Now one of those was their own matchup with Houston. The other was the last time they played at home, when they beat Toronto. Utah has let four of its last six opponents shoot north of 51%. Golden State was above 56% in a 131-119 game Sunday. Boston shot 55% against Houston Sunday and was above 60% in that Toronto game. Unless the Jazz can pull off some sort of dramatic defensive improvement in 48 hours, we should be looking at a lot of points from the Celtics here. Utah has gone Over the last five times it has been a road favorite and they are favored here. The final score was 122-108 (Jazz won) when the teams played each other last month. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-15-21 | Knicks v. Nets OVER 224.5 | Top | 112-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Eight of the last nine times these NY rivals have met, the game has gone Under the total. But the one exception was the last time they played, back in January, as the Nets won 116-109 in MSG. That was right before James Harden joined the Nets. With Harden in the fold, Brooklyn has become the most prolific scoring team in the NBA. They average 120.6 points/game and go Over with tremendous regularity. They are 25-14 Over in all games this season and that’s with six of the last nine staying Under. Saturday saw them get held under 110 points for just the 8th time all season, but they still managed to defeat Detroit 100-95. Even without Kevin Durant, the Nets still continue to score in bunches. The Knicks last four games have gone Over due to their own uptick in scoring (scored 119 in a win over OKC on Sat) and some poor defensive efforts (allowed 134 to Milwaukee on Thursday). We’ll look for a combination of the two tonight as the Over is 20-7 in games where Brooklyn is the favorite. After the subpar shooting effort vs. the Pistons, the Nets should score a ton tonight. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-14-21 | Clippers v. Pelicans OVER 235.5 | Top | 115-135 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Clippers went into the All-Star Break on a three-game losing streak. But they came out and crushed the Warriors by 26 Thursday night. So it looks as if everything will be just fine. They scored 130 points Thursday as they continue to be the most efficient offense in the league outside of Brooklyn. Expect them to score a lot of points tonight as they face a New Orleans team that is just dreadful defensively. The Pelicans give up the third most points per possession in the league. That translates into 115.5 points allowed per game. They only gave up 82 on Friday, easily a season-low, but that was against Cleveland. The game before that, they allowed 135 to Minnesota. The Over is 26-11 in all Pelicans’ games this season, 16-4 at home and 12-4 when the total is 230.0 or higher. An easy call here. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-14-21 | Hurricanes v. Red Wings OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Carolina, who is as hot as any team in the league right now, should easily continue its winning ways Sunday and move back into first place with a win over last place Detroit. That being said, we really can’t back them at the current price. But what we will do is take advantage of the fact they are likely to score a lot of goals here and take the Over. The Hurricanes have won seven straight games and have scored at least three goals in every game. They’ve scored 28 total or an average of 4.0 per game. The Red Wings, who just snapped a four-game losing streak by beating Tampa Bay 6-4 on Thursday, have given up an average of 4.8 goals their last five games. Every opponent has scored at least four and that includes Carolina, who won 5-2 when the teams played on March 4th in Raleigh. Detroit has scored at least two goals in six of their last seven games, so they’ll help here as well. The Over is 6-1 in those seven contests. The Over is 4-0 in Carolina’s last four as a road favorite. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-14-21 | LSU v. Alabama UNDER 158 | Top | 79-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Alabama rallied from 15 down to defeat Tennessee in the semifinals. That was a much more difficult endeavor than the quarterfinals when the Crimson Tide blew past Mississippi State 85-48. Today, it’s a bit of a surprise that they face LSU in the SEC Tournament Final. The Tigers have won a couple close games in this tourney, 76-73 over Ole Miss and 78-71 over Arkansas. In yesterday’s upset, they held the second-seeded Razorbacks to 11 points below their season average and to just 6 of 26 from three-point range. Averaging more than 80 points/game, LSU is one of the top offensive teams in the country, but here they run into a team that happens to be #1 in the country in defensive efficiency. Bama really “gave it” to LSU in both regular season games, winning by 30 and 18. In the 30-point rout, they scored 105 points. That won’t happen today. The Under is 5-1 in the Tide’s past six games. The second time these teams played this year, the final score ended up being 78-60 and while it may not wind up as lopsided this time, that’s the number of total points we’re looking for here. Play on UNDER AAA |
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03-13-21 | Ohio State v. Michigan OVER 144.5 | Top | 68-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER The Over worked quite well for us in Michigan’s win yesterday over Maryland as the Wolverines shot 51.7 percent, including 10 of 22 on three-pointers. They put up 79 points, their most in a game since a February 25th win over Iowa. So we’re going back to Over today as the Wolverines face rival Ohio State in the first Big Ten semifinal. The Buckeyes had to go to OT to get by Purdue yesterday as it was the second day in a row they blew a double digit lead in the second half. They wound up with 87 points, their most in a game since a loss to Michigan last month. That game soared past the number as it was a 92-87 final. We don’t see nearly 40 fewer points being scored this time, especially since the Buckeyes really struggle at the defensive end of the floor. They are 76th in the country in defensive efficiency, easily the worst among top 10 teams. That’s why they struggle to protect leads. Earlier, we brought up the 79 (points) Michigan scored on Iowa last month as the Hawkeyes are another team that struggles defensively. Look for a lot of points Saturday. The Over is 5-0 the last five times Ohio State has been an underdog. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-12-21 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 228 | Top | 103-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Denver is hoping to start the second half of the season the way it finished the first. Four straight wins going into the All-Star Break has them back up in fifth place in the West. We took them their last time out, which ended up being a 113-103 win against Indiana. The team they face tonight is Memphis and we cashed in on the Grizzlies’ last game as well, albeit with the Over. That was real close, but Memphis still found a way to score 127 points, which was the third time in four games that they finished with at least 125. We don’t see them scoring anywhere close to that number tonight though. But maybe they won’t have to as we also are expecting the All Star Break to have an adverse effect on the Nuggets’ previously red-hot shooting. In many ways, the break came at a bad time for the Nuggets. They’ve shot better than 55% during the four-game win streak. This being their first game in over a week, expect a cold start. Memphis has limited its last five foes to 107.6 points on 43.3% shooting. We should also mention Denver is allowing just 102 points/game during its winning streak. Play on UNDER AAA |
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03-12-21 | Maryland v. Michigan OVER 132.5 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER So Maryland and Michigan have each gone Under in their last five games. Maryland won Thursday as they erased an early deficit against Michigan State. The score ended up being 68-57, a comfortable win.They are allowing fewer than a 60-point average the past five games. But that streak will obviously be tested here by top seed Michigan. The Wolverines are an elite team at both ends of the floor. Offensively, production did dip the last three games. But you shouldn’t worry about it. These teams played twice in the regular season. Michigan won both. They scored 84 and 87 points. Both games went Over. What’s interesting here is the total is way lower than it was for either regular season matchup. Value? We think so. The Over is 4-0 for both squads their last four games versus teams that have winning records. The Over is also 4-0 the last four times they have played. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-11-21 | Wolves v. Pelicans UNDER 239 | Top | 135-105 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Plenty of points will be expected here as New Orleans hosts Minnesota, the first game after the All Star Break for both teams. But unlike our O/U play yesterday where we felt the expectation for lots of points was justified (we had the Over in Washington-Memphis), here we believe the total is a bit “too high.” Yes, most Pelicans’ games this season have gone Over the total. They are the league’s top Over team at 25-10-1 due in large part to their very poor play at the defensive end. Minnesota actually allows a higher number of points per game! But even so, we’re looking at one of the highest totals this season in the NBA and it's after a long break. Look for both teams to come out a bit rusty and a slow start (offensively) is all we need to cash an Under tonight. The Timberwolves have lost nine in a row and five of those losses saw them fail to score more than 104 points. Play on UNDER AAA |
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03-11-21 | Panthers v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER We think Florida is a pretty good team. Not as good as either Tampa Bay or Carolina, but the Panthers are better than the rest of the Central Division. That includes Columbus, whom they just defeated on Tuesday by a score of 4-2. That was the Blue Jackets’ second straight loss as well as their seventh loss in the last nine games. Only three times in those nine games have they scored more than two goals. They’d gone Under six in a row before running into the Panthers 48 hours ago. Florida may be averaging almost 4.0 goals per game on the road. However, that average will be extremely difficult to maintain as the season wears on. We don’t think they’ll match that number here tonight and that basically means an Under is automatic as the Blue Jackets aren’t likely to score more than two of their own. The Under is 10-5 for Columbus this season when they are playing in a revenge spot. Play on UNDER AAA |
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03-10-21 | Wizards v. Grizzlies OVER 237 | Top | 112-127 | Win | 101 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Certainly, you have to be aware of the fact that the Wizards don’t play much defense. Their 119.1 points/game allowed is the most this season in the Eastern Conference. League-wide, only Sacramento gives up more and there’s only one other team within three points of those two. So the Wizards should definitely be accommodating when it comes to this big Over play. As for Memphis, they put up 122 or more in three of their last five games. They’ll take advantage of that poor Washington defense. The Grizzlies have played in two games this year in which they had three or more days rest. Those two games averaged 245.5 points/game. The Over is 4-0 the last four times they’ve played with three or more days rest. These teams played on March 2nd and it was 125-111 Grizzlies, a final score that came just shy of the total. But we think the team will score a few more tonight. Bradley Beal leads the NBA in scoring at 32.9 points/game. He scored just 23 in the loss to Memphis last week, so expect him to perhaps be the sole difference tonight’s game goes Over the total. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-06-21 | Indiana State v. Loyola-Chicago OVER 122.5 | Top | 49-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER The Missouri Valley Conference Tournament is now down to its semifinals and this event was not without headlines as yesterday Drake got to advance without even playing (its quarter final opponent N Iowa had a positive COVID test). In today’s first semi, top seeded Loyola (ranked #20) will face Indiana State. The Ramblers had no problems in yesterday’s 73-49 beatdown over Southern Illinois. That made it 16 straight games where Loyola has held its opposition below 60 points. The last time they failed to do so was all the way back on January 10th and ironically that was against the team they’ll face here in the semis, Indiana State. The Sycamores won that game 76-71, the first of two times the teams played. (Loyola did win the second 58-48.) The Ramblers average more than 70 points/game, so they can take care of the majority of the scoring today. We do see Indiana State getting to 60, which is probably the key here to the game going Over. This total is REALLY low as ISU’s game vs. Evansville featured fewer than 100 total points. But it’s a new day and the Sycamores are 10-4 Over following a game in which they allowed fewer than 50 points. Loyola has gone Over in five straight neutral site games. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-04-21 | Texas v. Oklahoma UNDER 143 | Top | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER This entire three-game package has almost exclusively featured Big 12 teams and we’ve got two in the top 20 here. Oklahoma, who at one point this season defeated three straight top 10 teams, is limping into the regular season finale. The Sooners have dropped three in a row including two straight to rival Oklahoma State. It was 79-75 in Stillwater Monday as they let the Cowboys shoot 52.9% from the field. Both losses to the Pokes were by four points. Now they face a Texas team that’s off a 14-point win over Iowa State on Tuesday. The Longhorns also beat Kansas last week, which we know is impressive. The first time these teams played, the game went way Over the total (OU won 80-79 in Austin). We look for the rematch to feature a lot less scoring though. Both teams allow a pretty low field goal percentage for the year. Texas was held to 59 points by Texas Tech last Saturday. Play on UNDER AAA |
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03-04-21 | Blue Jackets v. Stars OVER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER The Stars season has been impacted more than most by postponements. They’ve had eight (postponements) total including the first four games. Right now they are struggling mightily. They have just one victory in the last 10 games and are coming off two straight shutout losses to Tampa Bay. However, we do see them getting on the board tonight against Columbus. The Blue Jackets have given up 78 goals in just 24 games. Only a handful of teams have allowed more and they’ve all played more games. Since Dallas has played the fewest games in the league, their numbers are skewed. But they are averaging 3.4 goals scored per game at home. So they should get more than one tonight. We’re probably looking at least 2-3. Columbus should score multiple goals tonight as well. They just put four in the back of the net Tuesday vs. Detroit. Blue Jackets goalie Korpisalo has a poor .897 save percentage in five career starts against the Stars. Dallas goalie Khudobin allowed four goals on just 25 shots when he faced Columbus earlier this month. Play on OVER AAA |
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03-01-21 | Blues v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -127 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER St. Louis has given up a lot of goals so far, 67 to be exact, which is more than you’d expect from a team with their record. They’ve also scored 67. They are coming off a win in San Jose Saturday where the final score was 7-6. But you may be shocked to learn that the Blues’ O/U record this year is only 12-9. When their games go Over, like Saturday, they often go way Over. But four of the last six games have seen five or less total goals scored. Tonight they face an Anaheim team that hasn’t won in nearly three wins. When the Ducks did last win, it was a 1-0 final. They’ve collected only 12 goals in the six games since and have the fewest number scored in the league (42) for the season. The Under is 7-3 in Ducks home games when the total is 5.5. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-28-21 | Red Wings v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Expect plenty of goals to be scored in this game. Detroit has put five on the board each of its last two, including a 5-3 win right here in Chicago last night. The Blackhawks will look to respond with their sixth game of 3+ goals in their last eight. Chicago has had three games with five or more goals this month. Three of their last four games have seen eight or more total goals scored. Three of the Red Wings previous five games have seen at least seven total goals scored. Their power play, which finally scored a goal last night, was long overdue to break through and should continue to improve if they are allotted some more opportunities tonight. There were 68 combined shots in last night’s game, 36 from Chicago and 32 from Detroit. We have every reason to believe this will be another “wide open” game. The Over is 4-0 this season when the Blackhawks are off a loss by two or more goals. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-27-21 | Penguins v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER These are two teams we haven’t talked about much. The Penguins have 21 points, tied for fourth in the East Division. The Islanders are two points ahead of them (23) and in third. Both have won five of their last seven games. But the Islanders have won their last two while Pittsburgh is off a loss. In that loss, the Pens gave up five goals (to Washington). The Isles are off a game where they scored seven times. So the probability that this will turn into a pretty high-scoring game seems pretty high. The Islanders average 3.7 goals per game at home. With Pittsburgh, their power play has been a disappointment, but it’s just a matter of time before they get that turned around. The Islanders penalty killing unit hasn’t been that great this year. The Over is 11-1 when the Penguins are off a loss by three or more goals. Tied to that is they are also 5-0 Over after allowing 5+ goals in the last game. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards OVER 235.5 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Neither of these teams are particularly good with the Timberwolves being especially bad of late. It’s six straight losses for them and in each of the last two, they’ve given up 130+ points. While that’s a little misleading because their last game went to overtime, it was still 119 points allowed in regulation. There was no OT when they gave up 130 to the Wizards last month in a 21-point loss. That was the fifth straight meeting where Minnesota and Washington combined to go Over the total. The Wiz’s last game, a 112-110 win against Denver Thursday night, did stay Under. But that was only after they gave up 124 and 135 in the previous two games. Washington is allowing the second highest number of points per game in the league this season and when they’re at home, the number jumps to 122.2. Minnesota allows 119.4 PPG on the road. All five T Wolves' games this season with a total of at least 230 have gone Over. The Over is 10-3 in Wizards’ home games when the total is 230 or higher. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-26-21 | Suns v. Bulls OVER 227 | Top | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Suns have had a tremendous February and won 12 of their last 15 games overall. But they lost Wednesday 124-121 to Charlotte. While that put an end to a three-game win streak, another streak did continue and that’s an Over run which has now reached five in a row. Over the previous five games, Phoenix has averaged 127.4 points while shooting 53.3%. Tonight they invade Chicago to face a Bulls team whose games are also - generally - high scoring. The Bulls are off a 133-126 overtime win against Minnesota. While five additional minutes make the number of total points scored there a little misleading, this is a team whose games are averaging over 230 total points for the season. In four of the last six games, including each of the last three, Chicago has scored 120 or more. Tonight is an attempt by the Bulls to win four straight for the first time all season. They are 7-2 Over their last nine games as a home underdog. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-24-21 | Alabama v. Arkansas UNDER 156.5 | Top | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER With both Missouri and Tennessee faltering in recent weeks, might we be looking at the SEC’s two premier teams here? Alabama certainly is in that discussion as they lead the conference with a 13-1 SU record (18-5 overall). The Crimson Tide are deservedly ranked #6 in the country right now, although two of their last three wins have come by four points or less. Now they head to Arkansas, who has won its last seven SEC games and has revenge on the mind Wednesday night. When these teams played in Tuscaloosa last month, the Tide ripped the Razorbacks 90-59. It was over in the first half as Bama took a 42-19 lead into the break. Things are obviously going to be a lot more competitive tonight in Fayetteville. Arkansas is also well rested as they haven’t played in over a week. The expectation is that these teams are going to put up a lot of points, however the Razorbacks are giving up only 63.1 points/game at home. That’ll not only make this one more competitive than last night, but also lower scoring. The fact that Alabama is #2 in defensive efficiency can’t be discounted either. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-24-21 | Hurricanes v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER It should be a good one tonight as the two best teams in the East Division face off. To be clear, we know Tampa Bay is currently in 4th place. But the Lightning are also the defending Stanley Cup Champs and have the division’s best goal differential. This should also turn out to be a high-scoring affair. With 64 goals scored on the season, Carolina is the highest scoring team in the entire Eastern Conference. Tampa Bay isn’t far behind with 58 goals scored in just 16 games. The teams just played twice in Raleigh and split with the Hurricanes winning 4-0 and the Lightning winning 4-2. We definitely see the winning team tonight scoring at least four goals. After all, the winning side in Tampa’s last seven games has scored at least four times. The same holds true for Carolina’s last seven games. The difference compared to the last two games will be that we see both teams scoring at least three times this evening. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-23-21 | Wolves v. Bucks UNDER 232 | Top | 112-139 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Thanks to a couple home games against lesser competition, the Bucks have seemingly turned things around. A five-game slide, which included back to back home losses to Toronto, was certainly a little shocking for a team accustomed to winning. That losing streak is now over though as the Bucks have beaten Oklahoma City 98-85 and Sacramento 128-115 over the course of the last four days. Now they host Minnesota, so it should be another easy win. We like the game to stay Under as the Timberwolves are off two straight abysmal efforts at the offensive end. They managed only 99 points against the Knicks on Sunday and 81 against Toronto on Friday. But Milwaukee can’t poke too much fun at Minnesota. Before the win against Sacramento, who is arguably the worst defensive team in the entire NBA, they too failed to score 100 points in back to back games. This total may not seem all that high for Milwaukee, but their home games are averaging only 227.8 points/game this year. Minnesota is 10-3 Under when it plays a team from the East. Tonight is the first game on the bench for new coach Chris Finch and there figures to be an adjustment period. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-22-21 | Blazers v. Suns OVER 227 | Top | 100-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Portland’s loss to Washington Saturday night aside, these are two hot teams in the Western Conference. Before that loss, the Blazers hadn’t just won six straight games, they’d also covered six straight games. The Suns are even hotter with an 8-1 straight up and against the spread run in their last nine games. The only loss came by four points to Brooklyn and that’s a game where they had a 24-point lead at one juncture. Five of the last six games have seen Phoenix score at least 120 points. They should score at least that many tonight. Portland is a bad team defensively. They allow the third most points per possession in the league. Three of the Blazers last four opponents have gone for at least 118, the exception being OKC, who isn’t a high-scoring team. The good news for Portland is that they average 117.7 points/game on the road. They had a 43-point quarter against the Wizards Sunday. Phoenix hit 24 three pointers in its last game. The Over is 7-0 the last seven times Portland has been an underdog. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-21-21 | Jets v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -121 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER It was 2-0 win for Winnipeg Friday night in the front end of this back to back. We anticipate this game to be fairly low-scoring as well. The Jets have scored two goals or less in four of their last six games. Meanwhile, Vancouver continues to struggle against Winnipeg, losing 15 of the last 17 head to head while averaging fewer than 1.5 goals per game. They now lost their last six home games versus the Jets. In four of the last seven games, the Canucks have scored 1 or 0 goals. They are 3-1 Under after doing so. The Jets are 5-2 Under when the total is 6.0 or higher. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-20-21 | Heat v. Lakers UNDER 213 | Top | 96-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER This is the first time these teams have seen one another since October when they met in the NBA Finals. The way things are going this year, this could be the last time they meet for a while. The Heat are really struggling, 12-17 and just barely hanging on to what would be one of the “play-in” spots in the Eastern Conference. Truthfully, the Lakers have been a bit underwhelming as they are not leading the Western Conference. But they are definitely one of the league’s best teams and are only two games back of the Jazz. Being that LeBron is off a loss here, figure the Lakers will be “locked in” tonight. Though they fell to Brooklyn Thursday, they held the Nets to just 109 points, an achievement in its own right. Now the Nets didn’t have Durant/Irving, but that hasn’t stopped them from putting up a lot of points before. That Los Angeles only scored 98 themselves in that game is a bit concerning though. Only the Knicks are allowing less points/game and the Lakers are 1st in defensive efficiency. Miami isn’t a good offensive team. The Under was 4-2 in the NBA Finals last year. The Lakers still don’t have Anthony Davis. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-19-21 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 226 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER The Hawks have gone Over the total in six consecutive games, the most recent being a 122-114 win here in Boston Wednesday night. They look to make it two straight in Beantown tonight and we look for them to make it seven straight Overs. This team has put up a minimum of 112 points in its last six games while at the same time allowing no fewer than 114 in every game. They ripped the Celtics the other night, shooting 57.1% overall. Trae Young had 40 points on 14 of 20 shooting. Boston’s defense, particularly in transition, has not been good the last week or so. But we think their shooting (43.9% L10 games) is set to improve. Specifically look for Jayson Tatum to have a good game tonight. The team’s second leading scorer at 24.6 points/game, Tatum has made only 39.2% the L10 games. But he still scored 35 points on Wednesday. The Over is 12-4 in the Celtics previous 16 games off an ATS loss. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-19-21 | Blackhawks v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Chicago and Carolina are separated by just a point in the Central Division as both teams have generally been successful of late. Carolina did lose here at home to Florida on Wednesday, but had won three straight prior and is 8-2-1 its last 11. Chicago has won three straight and six of seven. Four of those wins have come in overtime. But it’s generally been a “different path” for the two teams’ respective success. Hurricanes games have been high scoring as eight of the last night have gone Over. Every Over has seen at least seven total goals scored. But the Blackhawks are on Under runs of 5-1 L6 and 3-0 L3 with all those Unders seeing no more than five total goals scored. So something will have to give tonight in Raleigh. Our view is that this is going to be a lower-scoring game. The ‘Canes allow just 2.2 goals/game at home while the ‘Hawks average just 2.1 per game on the road. Carolina is 14-8 Under when off three or more consecutive Overs. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-16-21 | Wild v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER This will be Minnesota’s first game in two weeks. Not traveling with the rest of the team to LA will be forwards Nick Bonino, Victor Rask and Nico Sturm, defensemen Jonas Brodin, Ian Cole, Brad Hunt, Carson Soucy, and goalie Cam Talbot. That’s obviously a pretty sizable group. While it may seem difficult to know what to expect from the Wild here, what we do know is they could only score one goal in three of their previous five games. These teams were supposed to meet Saturday, but the Wild still weren’t cleared. So that’s why it’s just the one game that they play and the reason the Kings have been off for four days. Each of the Kings last four games have seen seven or more total goals scored. They had six themselves the last time they played, which was against the Sharks. But after a “mini-break,” we don’t see them coming out as sharp. The only other time the Kings played with three or more days rest this season, the Under was a winner. Lengthy absences from the ice = low scoring affair. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-15-21 | 76ers v. Jazz OVER 226 | Top | 123-134 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the OVER The best teams from each conference meet Monday in Salt Lake City. The Jazz have made a strong case to be considered the league’s best team this year as they have won 18 of their last 19 games to get to 22-5 on the year. The Sixers are 18-9 and have actually lost two in a row, both on the road to Western Conference teams (Portland, Phoenix). It’s going to be a tall task to finish this four-game road trip with a .500 record. But we do expect there to be lots of points from both sides tonight. Four players scored 25 or more points for the Jazz in Friday night’s very impressive win against Milwaukee. In this 7-0 start to February, there has been only one game where Utah failed to score at least 112. The Sixers are 9-3 Over the L12 games. The Over is 4-0 in the Jazz’s last four Monday games. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-15-21 | Virginia v. Florida State UNDER 129 | Top | 60-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is 10* on UNDER Florida State returned from a two-week break (COVID) to defeat Wake Forest 92-85 in overtime Saturday. That final margin of victory wasn’t nearly enough to cover the 13-point spread, but the Seminoles will take the win considering they trailed by two with five seconds left in regulation. They’d let a double digit lead slip away and nearly lost at home for the first time in over two years. Now it’s a Top 25 showdown with #9 Virginia, a team that has lost only one time in 2021. The last eight FSU games have all gone Over, but considering Virginia just held North Carolina to 48 points on Saturday, this one has a good chance of going “the other way.” Plus, the Under has hit 11 straight times when Virginia has visited Tallahassee! As always, Virginia is one of the best defensive teams in the country. They are allowing just 58.8 points/game. They are 5-1 Under in road games. The 48-hour turnaround for both teams will probably result in below average shooting and FSU could again be without Balsa Koprivica. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-14-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER We know that St. Louis is in first place, but these are the two best teams in the NHL’s West Division. Colorado and Vegas are set to play four straight games against one another, the first two taking place here in Sin City where the Golden Knights are always tough to beat. Vegas was shutout in its last home game, 1-0 by Anaheim, but won 3-1 last night in San Jose. Before that loss to the Ducks, they’d won their three previous home games and scored a total of 18 goals (4.5 per) in the previous four. This is a team that’s scored at least four goals in seven of their 12 games this season. Colorado has averaged 4.0 goals per game over their last five, winning four of those. Tonight is their first game in 12 days though and we wonder if they’ll be a bit “leaky” in the defensive end. Both teams are top 10 in scoring. Nathan MacKinnon will be back for the Avs, who did get three practices under their belt while being under COVID protocols. Vegas scored three times on the power play yesterday. The Over is 7-1 the last eight times Vegas has been a home underdog. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-13-21 | Hurricanes v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER It was 5-3 Carolina when these clubs met Thursday. That was Dallas’ fourth straight loss as a 4-0 start is now a distant memory. We expect Saturday’s rematch to see less goals scored. You’ve got to think Stars goalie Khudobin will start to play better. He’s 0-3-1 his last four starts, all three losses coming vs. Carolina, and his save percentage is just .866. Hurricanes goalie James Reimer is 6-1 vs. Dallas and made 34 saves Thursday. The Under is 37-15-2 in Dallas games if they allowed five or more goals their previous time out. We’re due to see a downtick in scoring tonight. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-13-21 | Iowa v. Michigan State OVER 152 | Top | 88-58 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER Iowa doesn’t have a problem scoring on anybody as they are third in the country with an 87.4 points/game scoring average. They’ve actually failed to hit that average in six straight games, which partly explains why they’re just 2-4 in that stretch. But the Hawkeyes did down Rutgers 79-66 earlier this week and now look to take care of a Michigan State team that is simply not among the elite in the Big 10 anymore, let alone among the elite in the country. The Spartans are a money-burning 4-13 ATS, although they have won two straight games for only the second time in two months. Those wins were against Penn State and Nebraska though, probably the conference’s two worst teams (Nebraska is definitely the worst). They won those games in part because the opponents were terrible shooting from three-point range, but that will almost assuredly not be the case today as Iowa is making 39 percent of its three-point shots. But the Hawkeyes have an issue in that they allow more than 80 points/game on the road. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-12-21 | Blues v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Welcome to the 2020-21 NHL season where we’ve got an incredible bit of scheduling brewing here in the desert. St. Louis and Arizona just met four times in the Gateway City with the Coyotes winning the last three. Now they’re set to play three more times here in Phoenix. That is seven consecutive games against the same opponent and the Stanley Cup Playoffs are still a couple months away! Three of the four games in St. Louis ended up being 4-3 finals with the last one going to a shootout. But with so much familiarity between the two clubs, we’ve got to expect less goals after a three-day break. The Blues are just 1 for their last 12 on the power play. The Under is 5-2 the past seven times they’ve been a road favorite. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-12-21 | Middle Tennessee v. Marshall OVER 143 | Top | 79-107 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER A couple games versus a pretty bad Charlotte team is what Middle Tennessee needed last weekend. The Blue Raiders had lost six in a row before that and five of the losses were by more than 10 points. But they defeated the 49ers 66-65 and 73-60, providing a brief glimmer of positivity in what has been a pretty awful season. At 10-5 on the year, Marshall is doing a lot better than MTSU, though they had some unscheduled breaks in January. They did play last weekend though and could only muster a split with Old Dominion despite being favored to win both games. The loss was by one point and the win was by 20. They should win big tonight. The game should also end up being high scoring. The Thundering Herd have scored more than 80 points in three consecutive games. They are basically averaging 80 per game for the entire season. Middle Tennessee does not score very much, but if they can reach 60 (doable!), then the Over is all but assured in this one. The Over is 4-0 the last four times MTSU has been off an ATS win. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-11-21 | Sharks v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER The Kings have dropped five straight. In those five losses, they have surrendered a total of 21 goals. They’ve allowed at least three in all five games and four in four of them. The last one was a 4-3 loss to San Jose, who they face again tonight. It should also be noted here that four of the Sharks’ last six games have seen seven or more total goals scored. Five of the last seven Kings’ games have seen at least seven total goals scored. San Jose is allowing 3.6 goals per game this year and LA is allowing 3.5. Those are among the highest averages in the league. You get where we’re going with this one? The Over is 15-5-1 in the Sharks last 21 games as a road favorite. Play on OVER. AAA |
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02-10-21 | Cavs v. Nuggets UNDER 219.5 | Top | 95-133 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The struggling Cavaliers head to Denver Wednesday night in search of what would be their second win this month. It’s unlikely to come here as the Nuggets are heavily favored and on a three-game losing skid of their own. Two of those three losses were to the Lakers and Bucks. Then again, Cleveland has faced Milwaukee twice as well as the Clippers and Suns in their last four games. What we do see taking place tonight is a relatively low-scoring affair. The Cavs are dead last in the NBA in points per possession. The Nuggets join them in the bottom five in terms of pace of play. The Cavs have seen 8 of their 11 road games stay Under the total as they’ve shot only 43.5% in them. Denver goes Over a lot more than it goes Under, but this is a high total for Cleveland, whose last three games with a total of 220 or higher have all stayed Under. The Cavs have averaged just 104 points during their four game losing streak, but we like the move to “go big” (now starting two centers) from a defensive perspective. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-09-21 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech UNDER 140 | Top | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER These teams played two weeks ago with West Virginia winning 88-87 as a 2.5-point favorite. While it was a back and forth game, the O/U was never in doubt as the total for the game was 144.5 and the teams went way Over that. The total is even LOWER for tonight’s second meeting, which may be a surprise to some, but this is a matchup we had circled to play the Under all along. The number of total points scored in Morgantown should be viewed as an aberration. The teams went 21 of 41 on three-point attempts, which is way more production than the 13 of 39 average that they combine for on a per game basis this season. The likely significant decrease in 3-point marksmanship tonight should alone account for this game staying Under. But if you need more convincing, note that Texas Tech allows only 56.5 PPG at home. Five of their last seven games have been on the road, which is why we’ve been seeing some higher scoring games from them recently. But in the last home game, they held Oklahoma to only 52 points and that game had just 109 total points scored. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-09-21 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 231.5 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Second of two straight games between the Warriors and Spurs. San Antonio won last night 105-100, which was a far cry from what we saw the very first time these teams played (back on January 20th). Then it was Golden State 121-99. Of course, last night’s game was in San Antonio. But what we were most taken aback by is the fact the Warriors scored just 100 points. They were coming off two straight games vs. Dallas where they scored 147 and 132. Things started out well enough, with a 36-point first quarter. But Golden State scored just 41 in the entire second half and Steph Curry was curiously absent for much of the 4th quarter when the Spurs made their run. Steve Kerr has said he’s not going to “stretch” Curry’s minutes to “chase wins,” which seems like an odd thing to say, but our assumption is that Curry will play his usual 34-35 minutes tonight. He had 32 points last night. Look for his teammates to shoot better than the 28 of 69 (40.5%) we saw from them Monday. Problem is Golden State also gives up 121.5 points/game on the road, so they’re number of points allowed is also expected to increase tonight. The Spurs are also 21-9-1 Over when playing the second night of a back to back. They shot only 40% last night. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-08-21 | Thunder v. Lakers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 112-119 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The last time the Thunder and Lakers played, the game went pretty much how you’d imagine. LA dominated en route to a 128-99 win. That was only a little more than three weeks ago, so you’d anticipate tonight should go pretty smoothly for the Lakers, who are in fact favored by double digits. But we think the game has a better chance of being “low scoring” rather than another Lakers’ double digit victory. The most recent Lakers game has a very misleading final score. It was 135-129 because of double overtime. They allowed only 106 points in regulation, making it nine straight games they’ve allowed 108 or less (excluding OT). Four of those games, they’ve allowed fewer than 100. They are the best defensive team in the league right now. The Under is 17-7 in all Lakers games this season and 6-0 off their last six ATS losses. Oklahoma City just set a franchise record with 83 first half points against Minnesota on Saturday, but was then held to only 37 in the second half. That first half performance is indicative of nothing as the Thunder average only 107.5 points/game. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-06-21 | Beneil Dariush v. Diego Ferreira OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 99 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER This is a rematch from 2014 when Dariush was able to record a unanimous decision victory over Ferreira. Ferreira lost his next fight, a 1st round knockout at the hands of Dustin Poirier (doesn’t seem so bad now, does it?), but has gone undefeated since and is on a six-fight win streak coming into this rematch. He’s now 17-2 in his career. Dariush is 19-4-1 and on a five-fight win streak. He won by spinning backfist last August against Scott Holtzman and it didn’t even take him a full round to do so. Dariush’s last four wins have all come in the first or second round. Ferreira, on the other hand, has had three of his six straight wins go to decision. We see this one going along the lines of the first fight, i.e. leaving it in the hands of the judges. Dariush would prefer to keep this fight standing and he possesses the necessary takedown defense to keep it that way. He’s also a bit stronger now compared to six years ago, so he won’t get overwhelmed in the grappling department. Play on OVER 2.5 ROUNDS AAA |