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Kyle Hunter NCAA-F Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-04-12 West Virginia v. Clemson OVER 58.5 70-33 Win 100 728 h 34 m Show
*3 Star Orange Bowl Total Domination* Clemson and West Virginia are two teams who can really put up the points. Both teams have become much more impressive on the offensive side of the football this season. Dana Holgorsen's Mountaineers are a brand new team this year. Geno Smith is picking apart defenses on a consistent basis. On the other side, Tajh Boyd was sensational in his freshman season for the Tigers. Clemson averages 34 points per game, and the Tigers have one of the nation's best play makers in Sammy Watkins. Tavon Austin and the Mountaineers receivers are also capable of making big plays. This game definitely has the potential to be very high scoring. I really like the over in this one.
01-02-12 Wisconsin v. Oregon OVER 71.5 38-45 Win 100 16 h 40 m Show
*3 Star Rose Bowl Total Domination* There should be plenty of offensive fireworks in this terrific Rose Bowl matchup. Wisconsin's defense has been vulnerable against the run this year and Oregon has the running backs to take advantage. The Ducks have a quick strike offense that should be better than any offense Wisconsin has seen this year. The Badgers have a great offense as well. Montee Ball racked up the touchdowns this year and he should find plenty of running room against a weak Oregon defense. Russell Wilson was spectacular this year. Look for both teams to move the ball with ease. The over is 8-2 in Wisconsin's last 10 games. Take the over!
12-30-11 Rutgers v. Iowa State OVER 44.5 27-13 Loss -105 12 h 28 m Show
*3 Star Pinstripe Bowl Total Domination* Rutgers has improved its passing game dramatically throughout the year. Iowa State's secondary has been pretty suspect this year. Rutgers has had some trouble stopping the run this year, and the running game is Iowa State's strength. I tend to think that a game like this is a good case of the long layoff helping the offense more than the defense. The over is 4-1 in Rutgers last 5 bowl games. This total is set a little too low. Take the over here.
12-22-11 Arizona State v. Boise State OVER 67 24-56 Win 100 390 h 48 m Show
*3 Star Arizona St/Boise St Total Domination* Arizona State is giving up 38 points per game in their last three games. Boise State averages 43 points per game this year, and I expect Kellen Moore and the veteran laden Broncos offense to be very well-prepared in this one. Boise State's defense hasn't been quite as dominant this year as they have been in the past few seasons. Arizona State's Brock Osweiler is a good quarterback who should be able to spread out the Broncos defense and help the Sun Devils put up quite a few points. The over is 16-5 in Arizona State's last 21. Look for this one to finish over the posted total.
12-17-11 Temple v. Wyoming OVER 47 37-15 Win 100 264 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* Temple does not have a passing game, but they can definitely run the football. Bernard Pierce is one of the best runners in the nation, and Matt Brown is a great backup. Temple has proven that they can run it even when a team knows it is coming. Wyoming ranks 115th out of 120 teams in the nation at stopping the run. I expect them to have trouble all day long. Brett Smith and the Cowboys offense have surprised people all year long, and I think they'll put up more points than most expect in this one. The over is 4-0 in Temple's last 4. Take the over here.
12-10-11 Army v. Navy UNDER 57.5 21-27 Win 100 97 h 35 m Show
*3 Star Army/Navy Total DOMINATION* It's the final game of the regular season. These two might not be the best football teams in the land, but they are bitter rivals on the field, and it is always a great game to watch. Army and Navy are full of young guys who fight to the bitter end. The posted total here is set quite high because both defenses have struggled against the run this year, but I think this gives us a nice opportunity to bet on the under. Both of these teams practice every day against the triple option, which gives them an advantage to stopping the opponent in this game. In addition, both of these offenses have struggled mightily in the red zone this year. Don't be surprised if both teams move it between the 20's and then stall out. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under here.
12-03-11 Michigan State v. Wisconsin OVER 54.5 39-42 Win 100 43 h 9 m Show
*3 Star Big Ten Title Total* Michigan State and Wisconsin played that fantastic game in late October, and now we get to see a rematch of that one for the conference title. Wisconsin moved the ball on the ground nicely in East Lansing, and I expect more of the same in this one. Wisconsin's offense may be the most balanced attack in the country. Russell Wilson has put up Heisman Trophy type numbers for the Badgers, and Montee Ball has an amazing 29 touchdowns in 2011. Wisconsin has scored at least 48 points in each of their last four games. Michigan State's offense has improved as the season has moved along. Look for Martin and Cunningham to make plays on the outside. Both defenses are good, but the offenses are even better. The over is 19-6-1 in Wisconsin's last 27 Big Ten conference games. Take the over.
12-03-11 Utah State v. New Mexico State OVER 61.5 Top 24-21 Loss -110 38 h 24 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* Utah State's offense has been a pleasant surprise this year. Utah State has two very nice quarterbacks who are capable of leading the team down the field consistently. New Mexico State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. New Mexico State gives up 38 points per contest. New Mexico State's offense is much better at home. The team averages 29.4 points per game at home, and the over is 4-1 in their 5 home games this year. Utah State gives up 35 points per game on the road. The over is 7-1 in New Mexico State's last 8 home games. The over is 5-2-1 in Utah State's last 8 road games. I expect a lot of points to be scored here. Take the over big.
11-26-11 Louisiana-Lafayette v. Arizona OVER 61.5 37-45 Win 100 38 h 18 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Both of these teams have very good passing offenses. Both of these teams also have terrible pass defenses. It's a recipe for a shootout on Saturday in Arizona. The Wildcats have a clear athleticism advantage here, but the Arizona secondary ranks second to last in the nation in pass defense. The over is 6-1 in Lafayette's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 6-2 in Arizona's last 8 games. Look for a lot of completed passes and several big plays here. Take the over in this matchup.
11-26-11 Oregon State v. Oregon OVER 63.5 21-49 Win 100 112 h 22 m Show
*3 Star Pac 12 Total Takedown* Oregon was stunned at home by the USC Trojans last week. The Ducks offense took a little longer than normal to get started, and the defense showed its major flaws in the secondary. Oregon State's defense simply doesn't have the team speed to keep up with the Ducks in this one. Oregon State does move the ball well through the air, and I expect them to have some success there. The over is 20-6-1 in Oregon's last 27 home games. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. Take the over.
11-26-11 Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 46 38-0 Win 100 13 h 5 m Show
*3 Star Rivalry Totals Play* Virginia Tech and Virginia are bitter rivals. The team's are more similar than most would think this season. The Cavaliers have put together a shocking season behind the play of a solid defense and a decent ground game. The Hokies are built around their defense and run game as well. Look for both teams to try to establish the run, and the clock should be ticking early and often in this game. The under is 12-5-1 in Va. Tech's last 18 games. The under is 6-0 in Virginia's last 6 home games. Take the under.
11-25-11 California v. Arizona State OVER 54 47-38 Win 100 20 h 21 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* Cal's defense is great at home, but they seem to struggle quite a bit on the road. Cal gives up 34 points per game away from home. Arizona State is averaging 40 points per game on offense at home. The Sun Devils defense is terrible against the pass, and Cal should be able to move the ball in this one. Both offense have quite a few talented players at the skill positions. The total here is set quite low, and I was expected a number closer to 60. The over is 7-1 in Arizona State's last 8. Take the over.
11-25-11 Pittsburgh v. West Virginia OVER 57 20-21 Loss -105 17 h 6 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Rivalry Total* Pitt and West Virginia have been rivals for years, but since Pitt is getting ready to leave the Big East, they won't be meeting each other annually. The Panthers offense has been inconsistent this year, but West Virginia's defense has given up a ton of big plays this year. On the other side of the ball, Dana Holgorsen has turned West Virginia into a very impressive offensive team. Geno Smith and the offense should carve up a mediocre Pittsburgh defense. The over is 8-1 in the Mountaineers last 9 games. Take the over.
11-19-11 USC v. Oregon OVER 67 38-35 Win 100 116 h 22 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Oregon showed the college football world how good they are last weekend when they took it to Stanford on the road. The Ducks high powered offense got rolling in the second half, and when it is rolling it is a thing of beauty. LaMichael James is back in the lineup and he is a gamebreaker. USC has one of the best passing attacks in the nation, and Oregon ranks 80th in the country in pass defense. The Ducks will have trouble with Matt Barkley and company, but I expect Oregon to put up a big number here as well. Last year's game finished 53-32. Don't be surprised if this game ends up in the upper 70's or so low 80's. Take the over.
11-19-11 Vanderbilt v. Tennessee OVER 44 21-27 Win 100 66 h 35 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* The word around Tennessee is that Tyler Bray will likely be back for the Volunteers in this one. Bray is probably the best quarterback in the SEC, and he will instantly make this Tennessee offense much better again. Vanderbilt has improved as an offense of late. The Commodores should be able to run the ball some against a mediocre front seven for Tennessee. Jordan Rodgers has helped this Vanderbilt offense build some momentum of late. Look for this game to have more scoring than most expect. Take the over.
11-19-11 Eastern Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 41 22-28 Loss -110 16 h 55 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* Eastern Michigan is a much improved football team this year. Ron English and the Eastern Michigan Eagles have done it by running the football well and controlling the ball. The defense is also much better than it was last year. Kent State ranks 119th out of 120 teams in the country in total offense. The Golden Flashes do have a very good defense, especially against the run. Neither of these offenses can throw the ball much at all, and the defenses should hold up well here. Expect an ugly low scoring game. Take the under.
11-12-11 Oregon v. Stanford OVER 65.5 53-30 Win 100 101 h 55 m Show
*3 Star Oregon/Stanford Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks were in the BCS Championship game last year. Stanford is hoping to make it to the title game this year, but Oregon is standing in the way. The Ducks still have a chance at the title game, but they must win here. Oregon's offense is extremely dangerous, and I think they give Stanford's defense some serious matchup problems. Oregon's offense is built on pure speed, while Stanford is a physical defense that isn't as quick. Oregon's offense is just as good as last year, but their defense isn't as strong. Stanford should be able to move the ball consistently against the Ducks. The over is 15-6 in Oregon's last 21 conference games. The over is 11-3 in Stanford's last 14 home games. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Take the over.
11-12-11 Fresno State v. New Mexico State OVER 64 45-48 Win 100 32 h 15 m Show
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* Fresno State has one of the worst defenses in college football. The Bulldogs are giving up 36.2 points per game this year. New Mexico State's offense is much improved this year. The Aggies have topped the 30 point mark in four of their last five games. New Mexico State's defense also gives up 36 points per game. The Aggies are 112th out of 120 teams in the nation in total defense. Fresno State should be able to move it up and down the field consistently here. The over is 4-0 in Fresno State's last 4 road games. The over is 6-0 in New Mexico State's last 10 games. Take the over in this one!
11-12-11 Buffalo v. Eastern Michigan OVER 48 17-30 Loss -110 84 h 12 m Show
*3 Star Under the Radar Totals Winner* Buffalo's offense is slowly improving as the season moves along. Buffalo's strength is the passing game, and Eastern Michigan's secondary struggles. On the other side, Eastern Michigan is a team that runs almost all the time. Buffalo's front seven has been terrible against the run this year. Both offenses should be able to move the ball here. The over is 7-1 in Eastern Michigan's last 8 games against teams with a losing record. The over is 5-1 in the Eagles last 6 conference games. Take the over.
11-12-11 West Virginia v. Cincinnati OVER 65.5 24-21 Loss -110 24 h 57 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* West Virginia's Dan Holsgorsen has changed the way the Mountaineers play. West Virginia's offense is much much better than they have been in recent years, but their defense is also much worse. The Mountaineers last three games have had a total final score of 72, 72, and 73 points. Cincinnati's weakness on defense is their pass defense. On the other hand, Cincinnati averages 39 points per game on offense. Zach Collaros leads an offense that can put points on the board in a hurry either by running or throwing it. The over is 8-0 in West Virginia's last 8 games. Take the over.
11-12-11 Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 43 17-14 Win 100 24 h 48 m Show
*3 Star Nebraska/Penn State Totals CASH* The Penn State defense is the best in the Big Ten, but the Nittany Lions offense simply isn't very good. The Cornhuskers defense has underachieved this year, but they have been a bit better the last few weeks. Both teams will be looking to run the ball consistently in this one. There will be extra emotions from Penn State in this one, and I think that will show up on the defensive side of the ball. Look for Nebraska's option offense to be slowed down. Taylor Martinez isn't a very adept passer, which means the Nittany Lions should hold down the Huskers offense. Seven of Penn State's last eight games have stayed under this posted total. I like the under here.
11-08-11 Northern Illinois v. Bowling Green OVER 65 45-14 Loss -110 19 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Day* The Northern Illinois Huskies are a terrific running team. They rank ninth in the nation in rushing yards. Bowling Green's rushing defense ranks 93rd in the nation. Northern Illinois averages 41 points per game. The Huskies have also been horrific on the defensive side of the ball, especially on the road. In their five road games they have allowed 45, 49. 48, 30, and 60 points. That is hardly a strong defense, and Bowling Green's offense is pretty good. Expect Matt Schilz and the Falcons to move the ball through the air nicely in this one. The over is 10-4 in Northern Illinois' last 14 games. The over is 6-2 in Bowling Green's last 8 games. Take the over.
11-08-11 Western Michigan v. Toledo OVER 68 63-66 Win 100 19 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Western Michigan and Toledo both have powerful offenses. The Broncos have Alex Carder, one of the MAC's best quarterbacks. Jordan White is one of the best receivers in the nation, and he and Carder have built up trust in each other. Toledo's secondary is the team's biggest weakness, and that should be exposed in a big way by Western Michigan. On the other side, Western Michigan has given up more than 30 points in three of their last five games. The over is 6-1 in Toledo's last 7 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the over.
11-05-11 Oregon v. Washington OVER 70.5 34-17 Loss -110 140 h 19 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon Ducks expect to have LaMichael James for this game, and that is huge for this offense. Washington's defense is allowing almost 300 yards per game through the air, and the Huskies allow 33 points per game. Oregon put up 53 points on Washington last year. The Huskies lost Jake Locker, but their offense is actually better this year. Keith Price has been fantastic at the quarterback position, and Chris Polk is one of the best runners in the country. This Oregon offense is just as good as last year, but the Oregon defense is definitely weaker than last season. I expect both teams to move the ball at will in this one. The total is set very high, but I think this has a good chance of topping 80 points. The over is 19-9 in Oregon's last 28. The over is 5-2-1 in the Huskies last 8. Take the over.
11-05-11 UTEP v. Rice OVER 58.5 37-41 Win 100 134 h 30 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Rice Owls gave up 73 points to Houston last week. UTEP certainly doesn't have the same offense Houston does, but this Rice defense has a way of making the opposing offense look good. The Owls are giving up 495 yards and 38 points per contest. On the other side, UTEP is giving up 427 yards and 27 points per contest as well. The Rice offense has been improving in the last few weeks, and they should be able to run the ball against the Miners front seven. The books have had a lot of trouble trying to catch up to the Owls in the last few years. The over is 60-24 in the Owls last 84 games overall. Take the over here.
11-05-11 Troy v. Navy OVER 58.5 14-42 Loss -110 63 h 38 m Show
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* Navy has one of the best running games in the country, and they also have a very poor defense. I have played successfully on the 'over' in Navy games several times this year. I think this is another good spot. Troy can move the football quite well through the air. I expect Corey Robinson to have a big game against the Navy secondary. On the other side, Troy's defense simply isn't any good. I don't expect them to be able to slow down the option much at all. Navy averages 36 points per game at home, and Troy gives up 34 per game on the road. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
11-05-11 North Carolina v. North Carolina State OVER 55 0-13 Loss -105 25 h 0 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The NC State defense has struggled mightily all year. The Wolfpack are giving up almost 400 yards of offense each game, and that has been to mostly mediocre offenses. Bryn Renner and this North Carolina offense is pretty good. Renner can make all the tough throws, and Giovani Bernard already has 965 yards rushing this year. The Tar Heels should roll up quite a few points here. NC State gets most of their yards through the air, and that just happens to be the Tar Heels defense weakness. North Carolina is 98th in the nation against the pass. The over is 13-4 in NC State's last 17 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
11-05-11 Louisville v. West Virginia OVER 49 38-35 Win 100 131 h 55 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The West Virginia Mountaineers are a different team now that Dana Holgorsen is at the helm instead of Bill Stewart. The Mountaineers are much better offensively, and they are much weaker on defense. In their last seven games, the lowest total is 59 points. Louisville is certainly a team that has a pretty good defense, but they haven't faced offenses as good as West Virginia's. The Mountaineers defense has allowed 49 and 31 points to mediocre offenses in their last two games. The under is 7-0-1 in the Cardinals last 8. The over is 7-0 in West Virginia's last 7. I think the Mountaineers will dictate the style of play here. Take the over.
11-01-11 Northern Illinois v. Toledo OVER 67 63-60 Win 100 42 h 46 m Show
*3 Star Tuesday Night Total Domination* The Northern Illinois Huskies hung 65 points on the Toledo Rockets last year. Don't think for a minute that Toledo has forgotten that game. Toledo may have the most talented team in the MAC this year, but they are still weak defensively. They have yet to face a team that can run the ball the way Northern Illinois can, and I think the Huskies will roll up a lot of yards again this year. On the other side, Toledo's offense is full of play makers, and they average 36.5 points per contest. Northern Illinois is much worse defensively this year. The Huskies allowed Kansas to score 45 points and Central Michigan to score 48 points. Those two offenses aren't good at all, and Toledo should be able to move the ball at will agaisnt Northern Illinois. The over is 9-4 in Northern Illinois' last 13 games. The over is 5-1 in Toledo's last 6 home games. Take the over.
10-29-11 Arizona v. Washington Huskies OVER 69.5 31-42 Win 100 51 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* Arizona's Nick Foles is one of the better quarterbacks in the nation. Foles is completing 71% of his passes and he has 18 touchdowns and just 5 interceptions this year. Keith Price has come in and lit it up as Washington's new quarterback. Price has an amazing 22 touchdowns and just 5 picks. Washington is averaging 35 points per game. Arizona is averaging 30 points per game. Arizona's defense is 114th out of 120 teams in pass defense. Washington is 110th out of 120 in pass defense. This game has shootout written all over it. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
10-29-11 Nevada v. New Mexico State OVER 59 48-34 Win 100 68 h 37 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* Nevada runs the Pistol offense, and they generally do it very well. The team had some trouble getting going early this year, but Chris Ault has this offense rolling at this point. They have scored 37. 49, and 45 in the last three games. New Mexico State is giving up 30.3 points per game, and Nevada will be one of the best offenses they have faced this year. New Mexico State's offense is much improved this year, and I expect them to be able to score several times as well. The over is 4-0 in New Mexico State's last 4 games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 games between these teams. Take the over.
10-29-11 South Carolina v. Tennessee UNDER 44 14-3 Win 100 67 h 52 m Show
*3 Star SEC Total Takedown* South Carolina is a much different team without Marcus Lattimore. Tennessee isn't even close to the same team without Tyler Bray. Both of these teams are missing their most important offensive player. South Carolina's defense has given up 3, 16, 3, and 12 points in their last four games. Tennessee's defense is good against the pass, and South Carolina will likely struggle to run without Lattimore. I expect both offenses to look lost without their key players in this one. This one will likely be an ugly contest. Expect a low scoring affair. Take the under.
10-29-11 Hawaii v. Idaho OVER 57 16-14 Loss -110 113 h 0 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* The Idaho Vandals secondary is horrible, and Hawaii is the perfect team to expose that weakness. Moniz and the Warriors offense should carve up the Idaho secondary all day long. It wouldn't surprise me to see Hawaii put up 40 points in this one. Idaho's offense has been improving a bit of late, and I expect them to be able to move it through the air against a mediocre Hawaii defense. Expect both teams to air it out early and often, which should help give both teams chances to put points up in bunches. I expected this total to be set in the low 60's, so I like the value here. Take the over.
10-29-11 Buffalo v. Miami (OH) OVER 48 13-41 Win 100 86 h 37 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Buffalo Bulls offense has improved as the season has moved along. Anderson gives the Bulls a solid quarterback that can throw it around. In fact, last week he threw for more than 400 yards against Northern Illinois. Miami (OH) and Buffalo both have poor defenses that give up the big play quite often. A total set this low is generally indicative of two good defenses, but that just isn't the case here. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams at Miami (OH). I expect both teams to get into the mid 20's here. Take the over.
10-27-11 Rice v. Houston OVER 70.5 34-73 Win 100 20 h 32 m Show
*3 Star Thursday Night Total Domination* The Rice Owls defense has been among the worst in the nation in each of the last three years. Rice is allowing 33 points per game this year. Houston has the number one offense in all of college football. The Cougars are first in yards per game and points per game. Houston averages 49 points per game. This is the type of game where I truly expect Houston to score at least 50 points. Case Keenum and his receivers should carve up this Rice secondary. At the same time, Rice has some play makers on offense and the Houston defense simply isn't very good. The over is 38-14 in Rice's last 52 road games. The over is 19-7 in Houston's last 26 games. This combined 57-21 angle strongly supports an over play. Take the over.
10-22-11 Tulsa v. Rice OVER 59 38-20 Loss -110 120 h 26 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Rice Owls have had a bad defense for several straight years now. Tulsa actually scored 64 points on Rice last season. The Rice Owls defense is 115th out of 120 teams in college football in total defense. Tulsa has a solid balanced offense led by quarterback G.J. Kinne. On the other side of the ball, Tulsa's defense is giving up 32 points per game, and they are awful against the pass. Taylor McHargue is improving as the season moves along, and Rice does have some play makers on the offensive side of the ball. The over is 59-23 in Rice's last 82 games overall. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
10-22-11 Army v. Vanderbilt UNDER 45 Top 21-44 Loss -110 101 h 12 m Show
*5 Star Top Play Total Knockout* Army runs the ball more than any other team in the nation. They are dead last in passing offense in the nation, and that will hurt them against this Vanderbilt defense. The Commodores have a strong front seven with a great group of linebackers that should do well against the triple option. Army won't abandon the run, but I don't think they'll be as successful as usual with the run either. Vanderbilt's offense averages just 21.7 points per game, and they really don't have much firepower. The Commodores will try to run the ball as much as possible in this one as well. The clock should be ticking a lot in this one, and both defenses will stack the box and dare the other team to throw. Two years ago these teams played to 16-13 overtime game. The under is 21-9-1 in Vanderbilt's last 31 home games. Take the under.
10-22-11 East Carolina v. Navy OVER 64.5 Top 38-35 Win 100 118 h 44 m Show
*5 Star Top Play of the Month* East Carolina's run defense is absolutely terrible. They were dead last in the nation in rushing defense last year, and I expect them to finish near the bottom again this year. Navy ran for 521 yards against East Carolina last year on their way to a 76-35 win. Navy's triple option is tough for everyone to stop, and I simply don't think the Pirates have the personnel to stop it at all. On the other side, Navy doesn't typically play teams with a strong passing attack. East Carolina's Dominique Davis is a good passer who should put up big numbers against the Navy secondary. Last year he threw for 5 touchdowns and 413 yards against Navy. I don't see many punts at all in this game. The over is 9-3 in East Carolina's last 12 road games. The over is 6-1 in Navy's last 7 home games. Expect the points to pile up quickly in this one. 5 Star Play Of the Month on the over!
10-22-11 Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 56 10-14 Loss -110 90 h 33 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Western Michigan has the MAC's best quarterback in Alex Carder. Carder shredded up this Eastern Michigan defense last year by passing for 349 yards and 4 touchdowns while throwing no interceptions. Eastern Michigan has yet to face a team with a good passing game this year, and I expect their secondary to be picked apart once again. On the other side of the ball, Western Michigan is allowing 217 rushing yards per game. Eastern Michigan runs the ball well (10th in the nation in rushing yards) and I expect them to exploit this weakness in the Broncos defense. The over is 4-0 in Eastern Michigan's last 4 conference games. The over is 4-1 in Western Michigan's last 5 games. Take the over.
10-22-11 Wake Forest v. Duke OVER 59 Top 24-23 Loss -110 114 h 44 m Show
*5 Star Top Play Early Bird Special* Wake Forest is a team that has surprised quite a few people this year. The Deamon Deacons have done it largely because of the impressive play of quarterback Tanner Price. Price has thrown 12 touchdowns and just three picks this season. Three of his receivers already have at least 25 catches. Duke's defense allows 272 yards per game through the air, and I expect Price to find plenty of open receivers. Duke's Sean Renfree is a solid quarterback as well. Duke can move the ball in the air against weak secondaries, and I think Wake Forest fits in that category. Last year when these teams met the final was 54-48. Two years ago the final was 45-34. The last four meetings have all gone safely over the posted total. I expect both teams to air it out early and often in this one. Expect a high scoring affair. 5 Star Top Play on the over in this one.
10-15-11 Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 41.5 33-28 Loss -112 65 h 26 m Show
*3 Star College Football Total Value* The Georgia Bulldogs have really turned it on since their 0-2 start. Georgia has been doing it with some superb defense. The Bulldogs are allowing just 8.75 points per game in their last four contests. Vanderbilt has a terrible offense that just can't seem to find its way. The Commodores put up 3 points against South Carolina and they were blanked by Alabama. On the other side, Vanderbilt actually has a very good defense. The Commodores are ranked in the top 30 in the nation in every major defensive category. Expect both defenses to flex their muscles here. Take the under.
10-15-11 East Carolina v. Memphis OVER 56 35-17 Loss -106 48 h 45 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* East Carolina's offense was one of the most dynamic in all of college football last year. This year they are averaging just 20 points per game. Dominique Davis and this East Carolina offense might not be quite as good this year, but they are due for a breakout game. What better team to breakout against than a terrible Memphis Tigers team? The Memphis defense is allowing 495 yards and 37 points per game. East Carolina's defense is terrible as well, and even a weak Memphis offense should put up several points on them. The Pirates are allowing 37 points per game as well. I expect this one to get safely over the posted total.
10-15-11 Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest OVER 49 38-17 Win 100 43 h 18 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* Wake Forest has really put themselves on the map with their win over Florida State last week. This is a Wake Forest team that can really move the football through the air. Virginia Tech has a great run defense, but the secondary is a bit vulnerable. On the other side, Wake Forest's defense isn't ready for the bigtime yet. Logan Thomas is coming off an unreal 23/25 performance against a good Miami defense. Both offenses should have success in this one. The over is 10-3 in Wake Forest's last 13 home games. Take the over in this matchup.
10-15-11 UTEP v. Tulane OVER 57 44-7 Loss -110 44 h 15 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* The UTEP Miners picked up a very good quarterback in Nick Lamaison. The Miners passing game has gotten better each game this year. Tulane's secondary simply isn't very good and I expect UTEP to take advantage of that. At the same time, UTEP's defense is very poor. Tulane's Ryan Griffin has improved quite a bit this year, and I expect the Green Wave to put up quite a few points this weekend. UTEP allows 33 points per contest. Tulane's defense allows 34 points per contest. I expect the defenses to make the offenses look good in this one. The over is 5-1 in Tulane's last 6 home games. Take the over.
10-13-11 San Diego State v. Air Force OVER 58.5 41-27 Win 100 29 h 29 m Show
*3 Star Thursday Night Total DOMINATION* The San Diego State Aztecs had a good run defense last year, but the same cannot be said this season. San Diego State is allowing 229 rushing yards per contest this year. Air Force has the #2 rushing attack in the nation, and I expect the Falcons to find lots of room to run in this one. Air Force has a severely undersized defensive front, which makes them extremely vulnerable against the run as well. Ronnie Hillman is a very talented future NFL running back for San Diego State. Hillman and the Aztecs should be able to run all over the Air Force defense. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 games overall. Expect both offenses to move the ball quite easily in this game. Take the over.
10-08-11 Georgia v. Tennessee OVER 57 20-12 Loss -110 115 h 35 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* This will be a battle of the SEC's best two quarterbacks in my opinion. Tyler Bray has helped turn this Tennessee offense into a dangerous one, and Aaron Murray continues to develop in his second year under center. Bray is completing 69% of his passes, and he has thrown 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions this year. Isiah Crowell gives the Bulldogs an impressive runner that takes pressure off Murray and the passing game for Georgia. The over is 8-3 in Georgia's last 11 games. The over is 9-2 in Tennessee's last 11 games. I expect both offenses to put up quite a few points here. Take the over.
10-08-11 Louisiana Tech v. Idaho OVER 55 24-11 Loss -110 113 h 34 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Both of these defenses are terrible against the pass. Idaho is allowing 115th out of 120 teams in the nation against the pass, and Louisiana Tech is 114th against the pass. Expect both teams to be airing it out and putting up some big numbers here. Both teams have been prone to turnovers, which could lead to some defensive touchdowns in this one as well. In the last three meetings between these teams, the final scores have been 46-14, 35-34, and 48-35. I don't see either defense faring well at all in this one. I think this one clears the total quite easily. Take the over.
10-08-11 Arizona v. Oregon State OVER 59 27-37 Win 100 44 h 50 m Show
*3 Star College Football Totals Takedown* Arizona's defense is extremely young, and they just aren't very good right now. Arizona has given up 38 points per game so far this year. Oregon State isn't very good offensively, but I do think they'll put up some points thanks to an improving passing game. On the other side, Arizona's pass offense is one of the best in the nation. Nick Foles should shred this Oregon State secondary that has been prone to giving up the big play. Both defenses are worse than last season, and I think the offenses will move the ball a lot in this one. Take the over.
10-08-11 Boston College v. Clemson UNDER 53 14-36 Win 100 43 h 22 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Boston College is a team that just doesn't have much of an offense at all this year. The star of their offense is running back Montel Harris, and he is expected to miss this game with an injury. Boston College generally stays in the game because of a defense that bends but doesn't break. Clemson is a much improved team this year. The defense showed how great it can be by holding Virginia Tech to just three point in Blacksburg last week. Look for Clemson to shutdown Boston College here. The under is 6-0 in the Eagles last 6 conference games. The under is 8-1 in Clemson's last 9 conference games. Take the under.
10-08-11 Illinois v. Indiana UNDER 53.5 41-20 Loss -105 43 h 3 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* Illinois has started the season 5-0. The Fighting Illini have done it largely because of a very underrated defense. The defense is allowing just 79 rushing yards per game and 17 points per game. Indiana's defense isn't very good, but they tend to play much better at home. Illinois doesn't have a great passing attack, and the Fighting Illini generally don't blow too many teams out on the road. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. I expect an ugly game that stays under the posted total. Take the under.
10-06-11 California v. Oregon OVER 62.5 15-43 Loss -110 68 h 17 m Show
*3 Star Cal/Oregon Total DOMINATION* The Cal Golden Bears are averaging 39.5 points per game this year. Oregon is averaging 52 points per game this year (best in the nation). Both defenses are quite vulnerable. Oregon's defense isn't nearly as good as last year, and Cal should be able to score some points here. At the same time, Oregon's offense is as good as ever. The Ducks absolutely have the ability to put up 50 points or more in this game. Oregon will push the tempo in a big way and get out to a big lead here. I think Cal will find some success through the air in this game, and I expect a very high scoring game. The over is 16-4-1 in Oregon's last 21 home games. Take the over.
10-01-11 Hawaii v. Louisiana Tech OVER 58 44-26 Win 100 120 h 0 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Hawaii's Bryant Moniz is back for another year. Moniz is a terric quarterback for this pass happy system. He is completing 66% of his passes this year. He also has 11 TD's and just one pick. Louisiana Tech's pass defense isn't very impressive. They allowed 372 yards through the air at home against Central Arkansas earlier this year. The Louisiana Tech offense is averaging 30 points per game, and Hawaii's defense is notoriously bad away from home. The over is 5-2 in Hawaii's last 7 games. The over is 4-1 in La. Tech's last 5 home games. Expect a high scoring game here. Take the over.
10-01-11 Duke v. Florida International OVER 57 31-27 Win 100 47 h 41 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value Play* Duke has a solid quarterback in Sean Renfree. Renfree knows the system well and he can pick apart a defense if he is given time to throw. Florida International's defense is no better than average, and their secondary is quite inexperienced. Duke averages 306 passing yards per game, and they should be able to air it out here. Duke's pass defense is poor as well, and TY Hilton and the Florida International offense should find lots of room to operate. The over is 6-1 in Duke's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in FIU's last 5 games following a loss. Take the over.
10-01-11 Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 51 23-3 Win 100 46 h 49 m Show
*3 Star Clemson/Va. Tech Total Domination* Frank Beamer and his Virginia Tech team have proven they know how to win football games at home. What is the secret? They run the football and control time of possession. They also play solid defense and make it a sloppy and low scoring game. Clemson's totals have gone over in all four of their games, which gives us a solid value here. I don't think the Tigers will find the offense nearly as easy to come by in this one. Expect Virginia Tech to keep it on the ground often here, which should help keep the clock ticking most of the game. The under is 9-2 in the Hokies last 11 games. Take the under.
10-01-11 Baylor v. Kansas State OVER 63.5 35-36 Win 100 112 h 59 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* It's hard to overstate just how amazing this Baylor offense has been this year. Baylor ranks second in all of college football in total offense. Robert Griffin III is completing a ridiculous 85 percent of his passes. Griffin is hands down the best dual-threat quarterback in college football. What about his decision making? Griffin has thrown 13 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Kansas State simply won't be able to stop Baylor. At the same time, Baylor's defense is not good at all. Kansas State's Bill Snyder should have Collin Klein and the offense ready with a good game plan for this game. The over is 9-3 in Kansas State's last 12 games. The over is 5-1 in Baylor's last 6. Take the over.
10-01-11 Arizona v. USC OVER 57 41-48 Win 100 46 h 10 m Show
*3 Star College Hoops Total Domination* The Arizona Wildcats defense is very young and inexperienced this year. It has definitely shown in the first few games. Arizona has given up at least 37 points in each of their last three contests. The Wildcats secondary will likely be picked apart by Matt Barkley and Robert Woods of USC. Arizona's Nick Foles is a very good quarterback, and I expect Arizona to be able to move the ball well also. USC's secondary has been pretty poor in coverage this year. The over/under was posted at 61 in last year's game, and with a much worse Arizona defense this year, we also get a lower number. Take the over.
10-01-11 Kent State v. Ohio UNDER 47 10-17 Win 100 45 h 40 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Kent State ranks 119th out of 120 teams in college football in total offense. The Golden Flashes best offensive output was 281 total yards against South Alabama. In their other three contests, they have yet to top 200 yards of total offense. Ohio's defense is near the top of the MAC in most categories, and I don't think Kent State scores much at all here. On the other side, Kent State actually has a decent defense. I expect an ugly game with neither offense getting in a real rhythm. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.
09-29-11 Houston v. UTEP OVER 64.5 49-42 Win 100 73 h 40 m Show
*3 Star Thursday Night Total DOMINATION* The Houston Cougars may have the best passing attack in the country. Case Keenum is back healthy and this offense is firing on all cylinders. Houston has scored at least 35 points in every game this year, and they are averaging 44 points per game on the season. This is a passing attack that averages 446 yards per game through the air. UTEP has yet to face a great offense this year, but they gave up 575 yards last week against South Florida. UTEP has a solid passing attack that is generally more productive at home, and Houston's defense is pretty weak. The over is 17-6 in Houston's last 23 games. In the last 4 meetings between these teams the total has finished at 65, 79, 99, and 78 points. I like the over in this one.
09-24-11 Oregon v. Arizona OVER 64 56-31 Win 100 96 h 48 m Show
*3 Star Oregon/Arizona Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks were beaten soundly by LSU in week one, but don't let that fool you into thinking this team isn't dangerous. Oregon's offense is definitely one of the top five in the nation, and they have shown that the last couple weeks. The Ducks put up 69 points against Nevada. They then had 56 points before the end of the third last week against Missouri State before calling off the dogs. Arizona's defense was riddled by Stanford last weekend, and I think Oregon's offense is better. Both Oklahoma State and Stanford scored 37 on Arizona. I expect Oregon to top 40 points here. Oregon's defense is definitely down from a year ago, and Arizona put up 23 on them last year. This has all the makings of a shootout. The over is 16-7 in Oregon's last 23 games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 matchups between these two. Take the over.
09-24-11 Connecticut v. Buffalo OVER 46 17-3 Loss -110 91 h 8 m Show
*3 Star Ugly Football Totals Winner* I certainly won't be watching this game on Saturday, and I don't think you should either. Both of these teams aren't very good at all, but I think there is a good value on the total here. Chazz Anderson has helped the Buffalo offense become formidable this year. The Buffalo defense is very bad. The Bulls have been getting gashed on the ground by teams who aren't very good. UConn has a solid ground game and I expect them to use it effectively this week. These teams have played the last two years and the score has been 45-21 and 38-20. The total is set so low here that I like the over.
09-24-11 Tulane v. Duke OVER 54.5 27-48 Win 100 110 h 39 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Tulane Green Wave are short-handed in the secondary right now. Southeastern Louisiana threw for 295 yards and Tulsa threw for 246 yards against them. Duke's Sean Renfree has a good understanding of the Blue Devils offense, and he should be able to move this team up and down the field against a weak secondary. Duke's defense is giving up 29 points per game this year. Tulane has a solid quarterback in Ryan Griffin. Griffin should find plenty of open receivers against Duke. The over is 6-1 in Tulane's last 7. The over is 5-1 in Duke's last 6 non-confernce games. Take the over.
09-24-11 Georgia v. Ole Miss UNDER 54.5 27-13 Win 100 85 h 8 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Total* The Ole Miss offense is a complete mess right now. The offensive coordinator admitted earlier this week that he decided to reduce the playbook by 25 or 30% this week because the offense just can't get the plays right. The running game has been pretty good the last couple years, but team's are now stacking the box since the Rebels can't throw it much at all. The Rebels defense is only allowing 22.7 points per game, and they should play inspired at home this week against an SEC foe. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. TAke the under.
09-24-11 San Diego State v. Michigan OVER 60 7-28 Loss -110 69 h 24 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Michigan Wolverines haven't been quite as dynamic on offense this year, but I think they still can be when they need to be. San Diego State's offense is led by Ryan Lindley, a talented four year starter at quarterback. Ronnie Hillmann is a great sophomore running back for the Aztecs. I expect the Aztecs to be able to move the ball a lot in this one against a subpar Michigan defense. San Diego State has allowed 199 yards per game on the ground, and Denard Robinson should take advantage of that. It is Brady Hoke's new team against his old team this Saturday. I expect a high scoring game. Take the over.
09-24-11 North Carolina v. Georgia Tech OVER 58 Top 28-35 Win 100 106 h 16 m Show
*5 Star Top Play of the Week* Georgia Tech always has one of the best running games in the country since Paul Johnson is their coach. This year Tevin Washington is giving them an extra dimension with his ability to throw the ball. Washington has thrown for more than 600 yards in just three games. He has 7 touchdowns and zero interceptions. How good is the Yellow Jackets rushing attack? The team has three players with at least ten carries this year that are averaging 10 yards or more per carry. On the other side, North Carolina has a budding star in quarterback Bryn Renning. Renning has completed 81% of his passes this year, and he has made this offense much more dynamic. Georgia Tech has scored at least 49 points in each of their 3 games this year. I think both offenses will have a leg up on the defenses here. The over is 7-0 in Georgia Tech's last 7 September games. This is my biggest play of the week. Take the over.
09-17-11 Utah v. BYU UNDER 47 54-10 Loss -110 81 h 15 m Show
*3 Star College Football Total Domination* The BYU Cougars have played to a 14-13 and 17-16 final in their first two games. At this point, it is pretty clear that the BYU defense is ahead of the offense. The same thing happened last year with this team at the beginning of the season. Utah held a pretty good USC offense in check last weekend. The Utes have a fairly pedestrian offense. The under is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in this in-state rivalry. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at BYU. I expect both defenses to flex their muscles in this one. Take the under.
09-17-11 Oklahoma v. Florida State OVER 55 23-13 Loss -110 53 h 5 m Show
*3 Star Oklahoma/FSU Total Domination* Oklahoma's high octane offense will be difficult for anyone to stop this year. The Sooners defense isn't bad, but they certainly aren't one of the best in the land. If Florida State is going to keep up with Oklahoma, they'll have to put up quite a few points in this one. I think the Seminoles are equipped to put together long drives and score some points here. At the same time, I think Oklahoma will wear down the Florida State defense with their fast paced offense. Last year's game saw Oklahoma roll to a 47-17 win. Florida State should be highly motivated in this one, and I expect a high scoring close game here. Take the over.
09-17-11 Central Michigan v. Western Michigan UNDER 56 14-44 Loss -110 72 h 1 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM* It's a battle of two directional Michigan schools in the MAC this Saturday. Central Michigan has a solid secondary led by Jahleel Addae. Western Michigan counts on throwing the football all the time, and if forced to run it, they will have some trouble offensively. Western Michigan probably has the best front four in the MAC, and that should give Ryan Radcliffe and the Central Michigan offense quite a bit of trouble. Central Michigan only put up 21 points against South Carolina State, so their offense isn't too strong. The under is 6-2 in Central Michigan's last 8. The under is 4-1 in the Broncos last 5 home games. Take the under.
09-17-11 West Virginia v. Maryland OVER 55 37-31 Win 100 68 h 49 m Show
*3 Star College Football Totals Takedown* Dana Holgorsen is an offensive minded coach, and everywhere he has been the team's offense has put up points. Geno Smith is a good quarterback for the system and Tavon Austin is a real threat at the wide receiver spot. Maryland's Danny O'Brien is a much better quarterback than most people realize, and the West Virginia defense lot a ton of talent from last year. Maryland rolled up 499 total yards against Miami, and I expect Randy Edsall's team to be a solid balanced offense this year. I like this one to go over the total.
09-17-11 Wyoming v. Bowling Green OVER 52 28-27 Win 100 68 h 40 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Wyoming Cowboys don't have much of a passing attack, but the running game is pretty good. Bowling Green's weakness defensively is stopping the run, so I expect Wyoming to be able to move the ball in this one. Bowling Green runs a west coast offense. Matt Schilz is a solid quarterback and I think the Falcons will score quite a few points this season. The Wyoming secondary is extremely inexperienced, and that should show quite frequently this weekend. Schilz was injured quite a bit last year, but he is healthy this year. I expect Bowling Green totals to move higher as the year goes along. I like the value on the over.
09-10-11 BYU v. Texas UNDER 48.5 16-17 Win 100 48 h 28 m Show
*3 Star College Football Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars and the Texas Longhorns are two teams that are quite a bit like each other. Both teams have a quarterback with quite a bit of promise, but they haven't been terribly consistent. Both defenses have had to carry the offenses in the past year, and I expect that to be the case quite a bit in this game. BYU won 14-13 last week, but their last touchdown was a defensive score. Texas struggled in the first three quarters against a terrible Rice defense. Neither team will be able to air it out much in this one. Look for a lot of running that will keep the clock ticking. The under is 6-1 in BYU's last 7 road games. The under is 5-1 in Texas' last 6 home games. Take the under.
09-10-11 Cincinnati v. Tennessee OVER 53 23-45 Win 100 45 h 57 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* After Tyler Bray took over as quarterback last season, the Tennessee offense became much more productive. The team averaged 35.4 points per game in their last five contests last year. They opened by putting up 42 points against Montana last week. Cincinnati has a very skilled quarterback in Zach Collaros. The Bearcats rolled up 72 points against Austin Peay last week. Neither of these teams have a strong defense, and I think this could turn into a track meet. Look for both quarterbacks to have a big day in this one. The over is 8-1 in Tennessee's last 9 home games. The over is 7-0 in the Volunteers last 7 non-conference games. Take the over.
09-10-11 Central Michigan v. Kentucky UNDER 47.5 13-27 Win 100 41 h 27 m Show
*3 Star College Football Totals TKO* The Kentucky Wildcats beat Western Kentucky 14-3 in week one. Kentucky managed just 190 yards of total offense against a very questionable defense. Without Locke and Cobb Kentucky really lacks playmakers on offense. Central Michigan put up just 256 yards of total offense against South Carolina State last week. Kentucky's defense is a swarming defense, and I suspect the Chippewas will find it difficult to move the ball this week as well. Both teams will try to establish the run, but neither team is very good at running the ball. I expect a lot of punting in this one. Take the under.
09-03-11 South Carolina v. East Carolina OVER 62 56-37 Win 100 51 h 6 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM* The South Carolina Gamecocks offense is extremely good this year. Marcus Lattimore will be one of the best running backs in the country, and Alshon Jeffery might be the best reciever in the country. Stephen Garcia has gotten better each year and I expect him to have a solid season. East Carolina runs an uptempo offense and they air it out early and often. South Carolina allowed opponents to throw for 242 yards per game last year. Domonique Davis is a very good quarterback and I expect him to take advantage of the Gamecocks secondary. At the same time, East Carolina's defense was absolutely horrendous last year. By many different statistics, they had the worst defense in the entire nation in 2010. Navy scored 76 points on East Carolina while running all over them. Expect South Carolina to be able to do whatever they want in this one. East Carolina's last five games last season all went over the total, and they all finished with at least 71 points total. I think there is a lot of value on the over in this one.
09-03-11 UCLA v. Houston OVER 61.5 34-38 Win 100 162 h 2 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The UCLA Bruins were bad last year, and Rick Neuheisel is definitely on the hot seat right now. The single biggest problem for UCLA last season was the weakness defensively. UCLA gave up 30.3 points per game last year. Houston suffered through a difficult season last year, but things should be much different with Case Keenum under center once again. Keenum is one of the nation's best quarterbacks and he'll instantly make this Houston offense great once again. Despite having their third string quarterback playing most of the year, Houston still averaged 37 points per game last year. Expect that number to go up quite a bit this season. Houston's front seven isn't very good at all defensively, and the UCLA Bruins can definitely run the football. Franklin is a very good back for the Bruins, and I expect him to do quite a bit of damage here. The over is 5-2 in UCLA's last 7 road games. The over is 7-1 in Houston's last 8 home games. Take the over.
01-09-11 Boston College v. Nevada UNDER 55 13-20 Win 100 126 h 20 m Show
*3 Star Play of the Day* The Nevada Wolfpack have a great offense, but most people don't know about how great this Boston College defense is, especially against the run. Nevada can throw the ball when necessary, but make no mistake about it, they are a run first team. Boston College is first in the nation in rushing yards allowed per game. The Eagles allow only 73 yards per game on the ground. Even Virginia Tech had a tough time finding any room to run against this BC rushing defense. I suspect Nevada will have more luck with the run than most, because they have a great attack, but I still think the Eagles ability to stop the run will be key here. On offense Boston College is very weak. Boston College did not score more than 23 points in a game against a Division I opponent this year. The Eagles finished the regular season averaging 18.9 points per game. Nevada's run defense is solid, and I don't think BC has the ability to air it out on a consistent basis against the Wolfpack. The under is 5-0 in BC's last 5 games overall. The under is 12-1 in BC's last 13 non-conference games. I like the under a lot in this one.
01-01-11 Connecticut v. Oklahoma OVER 54.5 20-48 Win 100 30 h 33 m Show
*3 Star Fiesta Bowl Total DOMINATION* The UConn Huskies are the representative from the Big East in the BCS this year. No doubt this Huskies team is far weaker than the rest of the teams in the BCS, but they do have a very solid running game. Jordan Todman is one of the best backs in the nation, and Oklahoma is ranked 66th in the nation in stopping the run. On the other side of the ball, Oklahoma has a dynamic offense and I think they'll be able to put up points in a hurry in this game. UConn is the 47th ranked total defense in the nation, and they played a weak Big East schedule. Oklahoma's Landry Jones should have a huge game here, and I think DeMarco Murray might break some long runs as well. I like this game to be a high scoring affair. Take the over.
12-30-10 Kansas State v. Syracuse UNDER 48.5 34-36 Loss -110 43 h 49 m Show
*3 Star Bowl BEATDOWN* The Syracuse Orange are a team that has a very good defense, and a very poor offense. Kansas State's defense isn't very good, but they have a high quality running game. I think Syracuse will stack the box with eight men and force Kansas State to throw the football in this one. I don't believe Coffman is the type of quarterback who can just air it out consistently on Syracuse. Syracuse will look to establish the run here as well, and because of all the consistent runs, the clock should be ticking most of the way. Syracuse has only had two of their ten games against Division I schools go over 48 points this year. Kansas State plays in the high scoring Big 12, but I don't think they will be able to pile up the points in this one. The under is 8-0 in Syracuse's last 8 games with a winning record. I think Syracuse knows in order to win they must control the clock and run the ball. Look for the Orange to help this one stay under the posted total.
12-29-10 Arizona v. Oklahoma State OVER 65.5 10-36 Loss -110 48 h 55 m Show
*3 Star Alamo Bowl Total DOMINATION* This is a game where both teams have a great passing attack, and I expect the ball to be in the air a whole lot in this matchup. Oklahoma State has the second ranked passing attack in the nation, while Arizona has the ninth best passing attack. Oklahoma State's defense has been absolutely torched by the pass all year long. They are 115th out of 120 schools in Division I allowing 276 yards per game. Arizona's pass defense started the season out well, but they were not good at all in the last few games. The over is 5-1 in Arizona's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in Oklahoma State's last 4 non-conference games. Both teams have big play guys on offense as well. Oklahoma State's Justin Blackmon will likely create some big plays here, and Juron Criner is a nice big play receiver for the Wildcats. I expect this one to go over the posted total as both passing games show just how effective they can be.
12-29-10 East Carolina v. Maryland OVER 67.5 20-51 Win 100 18 h 49 m Show
*3 Star Military Bowl Major CASH* You simply won't find a worse defense than the East Carolina Pirates. This defense allowed 43.4 points per game this year in a weak Conference USA. At the same time, the ECU offense is very good. The Pirates average 318 yards through the air each game, and they are scoring 38 points per game this year. Maryland's offense has scored 38 points or more in three of their last five contests, so I expect them to score plenty against a terrible ECU defense. Maryland's defense has been weak against the pass all year, which is bad news against the ECU offense. East Carolina's last five games have finished with totals of 84, 111, 96, 100, and 83 points! While 67.5 points seems like a lot, it really isn't when East Carolina is playing. I like this one to make it into the 70's. Take the over here.
12-24-10 Tulsa v. Hawaii OVER 73.5 62-35 Win 100 43 h 51 m Show
*3 Star Hawaii Bowl BEATDOWN* The Hawaii Warriors will get to host a bowl game once again this year. The Warriors and their high-powered offense will take on a Tulsa team that is capable of scoring points in bunches as well. This game should be exciting from start to finish. In Tulsa's last game they pulled off a 56-50 victory over Southern Miss. The good news for Tulsa is they have a very balanced attack on offense. They are the 14th best rushing attack in the nation and the 16th best passing offense. The bad news for Tulsa is they are awful against the pass, and Hawaii is easily the number one ranked passing attack in the country. Tulsa is allowing 306 yards per game through the air for the year. Bryant Moniz is a great quarterback for this Hawaii offensive system, and the Warriors have two great receivers. I really believe Hawaii could score 50 points in this one by themselves, and Tulsa's balanced offense should be able to put up plenty to cover the over. Don't be surprised if this one goes over 80 points. Take the over here.
12-21-10 Louisville v. Southern Mississippi OVER 56.5 31-28 Win 100 42 h 49 m Show
*3 Star CFB Beef O'Brady's Bowl BEATDOWN* The Southern Miss Golden Eagles have been on my radar all year long. The Golden Eagles have a very good offense which is extremely balanced. They average 461 yards per game, 255 through the air and 206 on the ground. The Golden Eagles average 37.6 points per game. Louisville has a very good running game this year. At first glance the Southern Miss defense looks great against the run (13th in the nation), but they have performed poorly against the top running teams they have played this year. Tulsa averaged 6.7 yards per carry and South Carolina averaged 6.4 yards per carry. I think Louisville will be able to move the ball well against a banged up and mediocre Southern Miss defense. In the same manner, Louisville has a top ranked (9th in the nation) pass defense, but who have they played? The Big East conference has no great passing games, and I fully believe this will be the best passing team they have played yet. I expect both teams to score plenty in this one. Take the over.
12-11-10 Navy v. Army UNDER 53.5 31-17 Win 100 15 h 4 m Show
*3 Star Army/Navy Bookie CRUSHER* The great rivalry between Army and Navy will be played on Saturday and I expect a hard hitting battle. These two teams have the utmost respect for each other, but they love nothing more than to defeat the other squad. Both teams run the football extremely well, and neither of them throw it much at all. That fact alone helps the under since the clock will be rolling almost all game long. Additionally, Army is much better this year than in the past, and their run defense is in the top 35 nationwide, so I expect a closer game than in past years. The fact that both teams understand the triple option very well helps them defend it better than the average team. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 games and I believe the under is the best play for Saturday as well.
12-04-10 Nebraska v. Oklahoma UNDER 53 20-23 Win 100 29 h 48 m Show
*3 Star Nebraska/Oklahoma Play* This will be the Nebraska Cornhuskers final game in the Big 12 Conference. Nebraska will definitely be looking to complete some unfinished business after their last second loss to Texas in this game last year. Oklahoma is a team that looks much better in their last few games. There are some key injuries in this game. Taylor Martinez and DeMarco Murray are both questionable in this one. My guess is that both will play at least some, but they are both hurt pretty badly and I think that will make them less effective than normal. Oklahoma is very reliant on their passing attack, and Nebraska has the second best pass defense in all of college football. I expect Nebraska to pressure Landry Jones and make things difficult for him. On the other side, Nebraska relies on their running game. I think Oklahoma will do their best to stack the box and make Nebraska throw it in this one. A hobbled Martinez will make it more difficult for Nebraska to be effective running the ball. These two teams played to a 10-3 final last year. A game of this magnitude often stays lower scoring as well, as the Texas/Nebraska game last year did. I like the under in this one.
12-04-10 Washington Huskies v. Washington State Cougars UNDER 54.5 35-28 Loss -110 28 h 22 m Show
*3 Star College Football Bookie BEATDOWN* The Washington Huskies and the Washington State Cougars will battle for the Apple Cup in Pullman on Saturday night. It has been cold and snowy all week in Pullman, and it is expected to be very cold again Saturday night. This is a pretty good rivalry game that most people don't follow very closely. The Huskies offense has struggled of late, scoring just 14 points per game in their last five overall. Washington State relies on the passing game, and Washington's secondary is solid. The Huskies are allowing only 193 passing yards per game this year. In the last two years the total has finished at 30 and 29 points when these two have met. I expect this to be a close hard-fought game, and I think the value is on the under.
12-04-10 Oregon v. Oregon State OVER 64 37-20 Loss -110 25 h 52 m Show
*3 Star College Football Total DOMINATION* The Oregon Ducks have the highest powered offense in college football. Oregon State's defense has been terrible this year, especially of late. Oregon will definitely want to keep putting up the points in this rivalry game, and I think they could easily get to 45 or 50 points in this one. Oregon State will playing in front of the home crowd, and I expect Quizz Rodgers and the rest of the offense to put some points up against Oregon. The history between these two is for this game to be an absolute shootout. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Oregon State's poor rushing defense should get exposed by the Oregon Ducks amazing running game. I think this is the type of game where there will be a ton of huge plays. I like the over here.
11-27-10 Wake Forest v. Vanderbilt UNDER 50 34-13 Win 100 119 h 55 m Show
*3 Star NCAA Football Total DOMINATION* The Vanderbilt Commodores have done a nice job competing this season. Their head coach quit just days before the season and the team has very little offense, but the defense fights hard. Wake Forest and Vanderbilt both are lacking quite badly at the skill positions on offense, as evidenced by their recent offensive outputs. In their last three games, Vanderbilt is averaging 14.7 points per game. Wake Forest is averaging just 8.7 points per game in that time span. I don't expect either team to establish much of a consistent offense in this one, but there will probably be some points scored because of turnovers. I think the oddsmakers set this one too high. A game with two teams that are dreadful offensively looks like a nice opportunity on the under to me.
11-27-10 South Carolina v. Clemson UNDER 45 29-7 Win 100 118 h 25 m Show
*3 Star Early Bird Special* The Clemson Tigers have had an interesting season. The defense has risen up and played extremely well. The offense has been disappointing. This combination has led to seven straight Clemson games going under the posted total. In fact, the highest total score of those seven games was 40 points. South Carolina has struggled badly against good passing offenses, but Clemson doesn't have the weapons to air it out consistently against the Gamecocks. I look for both teams to try to establish the running game in this one, which will keep the clock rolling. South Carolina has already wrapped up the SEC East, and Clemson will be fired up for this one, so I expect a close game that goes down to the wire. The books still haven't adjusted enough for Clemson's recent trends toward the under. Take the under here.
11-27-10 UAB v. Rice OVER 67 23-28 Loss -105 19 h 9 m Show
*3 Star CFB Hidden GEM* The Rice Owls are the best 'over' team in all of college football over the last few years. The over is 57-18 in their last 75 games overall. It's hard to believe a trend could continue that long for one team, but it just keeps on going. The over is 31-8 in their last 39 conference games. Taylor McHargue has taken over as the Owls starting quarterback, and he looked great in his first start last week. McHargue was a highly touted recruit, and much is expected of him. Rice racked up more than 600 yards of offense last week and scored 62 points. The UAB offense is all about the passing game, which is a good thing against Rice. Rice has the single worst pass defense in college football this year. The Owls are allowing 309 yards per game through the air. The Rice defense has allowed at least 38 points in each of their last four games. UAB will be able to put up a lot of points here, and Rice's new quarterback should help them make this game an all out track meet. Take the over.
11-27-10 Kentucky v. Tennessee OVER 58 14-24 Loss -110 112 h 44 m Show
*3 Star CFB Bookie CRUSHER* The Kentucky Wildcats have been impressive on offense this year. Kentucky is averaging 35 points per game. Mike Hartline has done a nice job at the starting quarterback position, and Randell Cobb and Derrick Locke give the offense two great play makers. Tennessee has improved a lot on the offensive side as the season has gone along. They have put up more than 38 points per game in the last three contests. Neither team has a defense that has proved it can stop many teams for an entire game. I expect a lot of big plays in this game. The over is 9-2 in Kentucky's 11 games this year. The over is 9-2 in Tennessee's 11 games this year. The over is also 6-0 in Tennessee's last 6 games at home. Take the over in this one.
11-26-10 UCLA Bruins v. Arizona State Sun Devils UNDER 48.5 34-55 Loss -110 14 h 52 m Show
*3 Star Turkey Trimmings Totals Winner* The UCLA Bruins have had a long season, and that is largely due to their one dimensional offense. Johnathan Franklin is a very good running back, but it is tough to find room to run when you virtually never get anything going through the air. UCLA ranks 117th in the nation in pass offense, averaging just 117 yards per game. Arizona State's defense is stout against the run, which should mean the Bruins will struggle to score in this one. The Sun Devils are allowing only 122 yards per game on the ground this year. UCLA's defense is weak against the run, but solid against the pass. Arizona State is pass first type of offense, so once again I see the defense holding up fairly well here. The trends are very strong for this one as well. The under is 21-6-1 in UCLA's last 28 PAC 10 games. The under is 32-15 in Arizona State's last 47 games overall. The under is also 4-0 in their last 4 meetings with each other. Take the under here.
11-26-10 SMU v. East Carolina OVER 69.5 45-38 Win 100 72 h 7 m Show
*3 Star Friday Totals Feast* The East Carolina defense is as bad as any defense in all of college football. In fact, East Carolina is dead last in Division I in points allowed at 43 per game. Rice put up 62 points on them last week, and Rice had been struggling offensively. Navy put up 76 points on them earlier this year as well. SMU hasa very solid offense and I fully expect them to score a bunch. On the other side, East Carolina has a terrific offense. Dominique Davis leads a high powered passing attack for the Pirates. They average 319 yards per game through the air, and the offense as a whole puts up 38 points per game. The weakness of the SMU defense is their secondary, which should mean ECU will pile up the yards and points in this one as well. This one could be a very high scoring game. I like the over in this one.
11-20-10 Arkansas State v. Navy OVER 64 19-35 Loss -110 38 h 19 m Show
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* The Navy Midshipmen have gotten their ground game working once again this year. They started off a little slowly, but they have been racking up the yards in the last few games. They average 303 yards per game on the ground. Arkansas State's defense is absolutely terrible. The Red Wolves are allowing 206 yards per game on the ground this year, which is 110th in the nation. On the other side, Arkansas State has a pretty good passing game. They are 22nd in the nation in passing yards. Navy has struggled against solid passing teams this year. Navy is allowing 234 yards per game on the ground. The last three games for Navy have finished with totals of 65, 101, and 75. The last four games for Arkansas State have finished with totals of 70, 53, 75, and 71. The over is 4-0 in both teams last 4 games. I like the over a lot in this one.
11-20-10 Ole Miss v. LSU UNDER 51 36-43 Loss -110 38 h 48 m Show
*3 Star SEC Showdown Total* Ole Miss has been a big disappointment this year. Their defense was supposed to be solid this year, but they have been pretty bad. LSU's defense is one of the very best in the country. LSU ranks sixth in the nation in points allowed at just 14.6 points per game. The LSU offense has struggled all year, especially when it comes to throwing the football. Mississippi has been decent against the run, but LSU should be able to get plenty of yards on the ground. I am counting on LSU's defense to rise up at home like they have consistently for the last few years. The under is 12-2 in their last 14 home games. 10 of their last 11 games at home have finished at 51 points or less. I think it will be difficult for the Rebels to consistently move the ball against this defense. I like the under in this one.
11-20-10 East Carolina v. Rice OVER 72 38-62 Win 100 41 h 14 m Show
*3 Star CFB Totals Terrorizer* At first glance you might think it is crazy to be playing an over on a total set at 72 points. Look at the numbers though, and you'll see this is a very good value. East Carolina's offense is extremely productive, and they run an uptempo offense. The Pirates have scored at least 35 points in each of their last four games. They have the #5 passing attack in the nation. Rice's secondary is horrible, in fact they are the second worst in the country against the pass. East Carolina could very well put up more than 50 points in this one. At the same time, Rice should be able to put up plenty of points as well against an East Carolina defense that is allowing 41 points per game for the year. This one should be one heck of a shootout. Take the over here.
11-20-10 Troy State v. South Carolina OVER 57.5 24-69 Win 100 114 h 39 m Show
*3 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Troy State Trojans have a great offense, but their defense is horrible. South Carolina's offense has been very good this year, but they have struggled defensively against teams with a solid passing attack. South Carolina is ranked 107th in the nation in pass defense, and Troy is ranked 13th in the nation in passing. Troy should be able to score several points in this game. On the other side, Troy has allowed 35 and 52 points against North Texas and FIU respectively in their last two games. The Gamecocks have a better offense than both of those teams, and even if they are a bit flat after last week's big win they should be able to score more than 40 in this one. How about a couple great 100% angles for this game? The over is 8-0 in Troy's last 8 games against an SEC opponent. The over is also 4-0 in South Carolina's last four home games. Take the over here.
11-19-10 Fresno State v. Boise State OVER 64.5 0-51 Loss -110 99 h 49 m Show
*3 Star TGIF Style Bookie Basher* The Boise State Broncos are on a mission to prove to the public that they are worthy of a BCS National Title berth. The team knows they not only need to win, but they must win big from here on out. This is one of their best chances to do it on a national stage against a Fresno State program that has a quality reputation in college football. Fresno allowed 55 points against Ole Miss earlier this year, and 34 against Louisiana Tech. Boise State has a better offense than both of these teams. Fresno State's offense has scored at least 33 points in each of their last four games, and the over is 6-2 in their last 8 overall. I think Boise State puts up at least 45-50 points by themselves, and Fresno should be able to put up the rest. I like the over in this game.
11-13-10 Oklahoma State Cowboys v. Texas UNDER 56 33-16 Win 100 51 h 2 m Show
*3 Star ABC Showdown Moneymaker* The Texas Longhorns are having a terrible season. Mack Brown's team is now 4-5 overall and 2-7 ATS this year. Oklahoma State is 8-1 overall and 7-2 ATS. There is one thing that stands out to be about the line that the oddsmakers have set on this game. The posted total is 56 points. Texas has yet to have a game this year finish with a total score of more than 53 points. Sure Oklahoma State has a great offense, but this Texas defense is very good. Oklahoma State has a weak defense, but Texas' offense has been awful this year. Oklahoma State is the third ranked passing attack in the nation, but Texas ranks second in the nation in pass defense. Oklahoma State is particularly weak in the secondary, but I don't think Texas has the weapons to beat them deep. The under is 16-5 in Oklahoma State's last 21 road games. The under is 6-2 in Texas' last 8 home games. Take the under here.
11-13-10 Stanford v. Arizona State Sun Devils OVER 58.5 17-13 Loss -110 51 h 47 m Show
*3 Star CFB Total Domination Play* The Stanford Cardinal are playing very solid football. Andrew Luck is a great quarterback and the Cardinal have a solid running game as well. Arizona State has been a bit of a surprise in the Pac 10, and their offense is much better this year with Steven Threet under center. The thing about Threet is he is a high risk/high reward type of quarterback. He has 17 touchdown, but he also has 15 interceptions. Don't be surprised if Stanford picks him a couple times and gets a quick score or two that way. The Arizona State secondary has has serious trouble against good quarterbacks this year, and this is the best quarterback they have played yet. I like Arizona State to be able to score on their home field and keep this one close, but the offenses should have the upper hand the entire way in this one. Take the over.
11-13-10 Texas A&M Aggies v. Baylor OVER 64 42-30 Win 100 119 h 27 m Show
*3 Star Total Domination Play* The Baylor Bears were throttled last weekend at Oklahoma State. They'll go home this week to a more friendly environment, where they are 4-0 this year. I expect Baylor's offense to play better, as they average 42.5 points per game at home. On the other hand, the defense has been allowing 40 points per game in their last three outings. Ryan Tannehill has taken over the quarterback duties at Texas A&M, and he has done a great job thus far. Tannehill is completing 68.6% of his passes and he has nine touchdown passes in just three games. In those three games the Aggies are averaging 41 points per game. Texas A&M has a solid rushing defense, but they can't stop the pass. Baylor averages 300 yards per game through the air. Baylor's defense can't stop the pass, and the Aggies have the ninth ranked pass offense in the nation. What about the trends? The over is 5-1 in Baylor's last six. The over is 28-10-1 in the Aggies last 39 road games. Both teams will it air it out early and often in this one. Expect a bunch of points and a good game. I like the over in this one.
11-13-10 Georgia v. Auburn OVER 65.5 31-49 Win 100 116 h 57 m Show
*3 Star Georgia/Auburn Guaranteed Play* The Auburn Tigers are in the driver's seat for a national title berth, but the road is far from easy the rest of the way. Georgia is a team that is definitely getting its act together over the last few games. Auburn's defense has proven susceptible this year, and I think Georgia will be able to exploit some of those weaknesses. At the same time, Georgia's defense is weak, and Auburn should roll up a ton of yards in this one. Cam Newton is the Heisman front runner right now, and this Auburn offense is firing on all cylinders. The Tigers are averaging 48.5 points per game in their last six games. Georgia's defense gave up 31 points to Kentucky and 34 to Florida, and Auburn is a much better offense than those two teams. How will Georgia do it on offense? Aaron Murray and the passing game will go after Auburn's weak secondary. The over is 5-1 in Georgia's last 6. The over is 4-1 in Auburn's last 5. The over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the over in this huge matchup!
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