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Kyle Hunter NCAA-F Totals Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
09-13-14	Illinois v. Washington OVER 65	Top	19-44	Loss	-110	94 h 20 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play Total of the MONTH The Washington Huskies defense has taken a major step backward this year, especially in the secondary. Washington was torched for 52 points and 573 yards of total offense by Eastern Washington last week. The most amazing statistic is that Eastern Washington threw for 475 yards in that game. Wes Lunt gives Illinois a quality quarterback who can move their offense. The Fighting Illini have had defensive problems for many years, and they aren't fixed this year. They allowed 34 points last week against Western Kentucky. Washington's top cornerback is out for this game, which should make things even tougher for the Huskies defense. Both offenses like to play very quickly, so they'll get lots of chances here. I had this total at 75 points, so this is a very big play for me. TOP Total of the Month on Washington/Illinois Over.
09-13-14	Iowa State v. Iowa UNDER 49		20-17	Win	100	94 h 33 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Battle for Iowa Total Iowa and Iowa State have played some highly physical games against each other the past few years. These games are generally relatively close, and the defenses usually have the edge. I don't see any reason to expect anything different in this game. Iowa couldn't get any offense going last weekend against Ball State, and the Hawkeyes are without star OL Scherff. The Cyclones defense appears better this year, and they have fared well against Iowa in recent seasons. Iowa's defense is tough in the trenches, and they should manhandle an Iowa State OL that is very weak. Very little offense from either side in this one. Take the under.
09-13-14	Louisville v. Virginia UNDER 49		21-23	Win	100	57 h 51 m	Show
4 Star CFB Early Bird Special The Louisville Cardinals are transitioning to a totally different offense, and it always takes a while to get things right during that period. Virginia's offense simply can't throw the football, so they rely on the run almost exclusively. Louisville's front seven is good against the run, and I see Virginia struggling to score here. At the same time, Virginia's defense showed me a lot in their loss to UCLA earlier this year. Virginia didn't let UCLA do much of anything in that game, and that is a very good Bruins offense. Louisville's offense is going to have a rough time getting going here. Look for a lot of three and outs in this game, and if teams do get in the red zone I expect plenty of settling for field goals. The under is 4-0 in Louisville's last 4 games on grass. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 following a win by 20 points or more. An 11-0 angle. Take the under.
09-13-14	UMass v. Vanderbilt OVER 45		31-34	Win	100	90 h 9 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total Value The Vanderbilt Commodores and the UMass Minutemen are two absolutely horrible teams. These aren't teams I would ever want to back as an ATS selection, but I'll take the value play on the over here thanks to their terrible defenses. Vandy's defense has been strong in the past couple years, but they aren't this year. UMass has such a horrible defense that they allowed 41 points to an awful Colorado offense last week. It won't be pretty in this one, but I expect the offenses to get enough on the board. Also, defensive or special teams TD's are very likely in a sloppy game like this one. Take the over.
09-12-14	Baylor v. Buffalo OVER 68.5		63-21	Win	100	18 h 56 m	Show
3 Star ESPN CFB 100% Angle Total The Baylor Bears and Buffalo Bulls meet in non-conference game in Buffalo Friday night on ESPN. Baylor's Bryce Petty is expected to start in this one. Petty was dinged up in the opener, but he will be ready to go here and his Heisman campaign will be on display on national television. Art Briles and this team have made it clear by their comments that they want to give Petty a boost in the Heisman race. In my opinion, that means keeping the foot on the gas and piling up the points. There's little doubt that Baylor can hang a huge number on a Buffalo defense that isn't even close to as good as they were a year ago. Remember, they scored 70 points on Buffalo last year and now they are facing a weakened defense. The Bulls should be able to put up some points on a weakened Baylor defense too. Buffalo has a good passing game, and that should help them keep the chains moving. The over is 8-0 in Baylor's last 8 September games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games. The over is 7-0 in Buffalo's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 September games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up 200 yards or more rushing. A 42-0 angle. Take the over.
09-12-14	Toledo v. Cincinnati UNDER 59.5		34-58	Loss	-110	73 h 1 m	Show
4 Star CFB Totals TKO The Toledo Rockets will have a new quarterback for this game. Phillip Ely won the starting job, but he is injured and out for the year now. Without Ely, I look for the Rockets offense to take some time to get used to Woodside as the new starter. Cincinnati's offense is good, but I don't see the Bearcats being able to dominate on the front line against a high quality Toledo defensive line. Toledo was beaten badly by Missouri last week, and I fully expect a much better defensive effort from the Rockets in this one. Cincinnati hasn't played a game all year thus far, which is a very strange scheduling situation. As it is though, the Bearcats offense will likely need a little time to work out the kinks. I see this being a close game between two underrated defenses. Take the under.
09-06-14	Texas Tech v. UTEP OVER 63	Top	30-26	Loss	-112	69 h 60 m	Show
5 Star CFB TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT The UTEP Miners and Texas Tech Raiders meet Saturday night in a game where I expect the scoreboard to be lighting up. Texas Tech is top five in the nation in terms of pace. The Red Raiders are going to put up a bunch of points against a UTEP defense that was among the worst in the nation last year. UTEP's secondary is particularly weak, and Davis Webb and company will chew them up. Texas Tech's defense struggled last week against Central Arkansas, and I expect UTEP's offense to be better this year behind quarterback Jamiell Showers. UTEP might initially want to slow this game down, but once they get behind they'll be unable to do that. I made this total 71 points, so I see a ton of value on the over. The over is 4-0 in Texas Tech's last 4 following a win. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 40 points or more last game. An 11-1 angle. Take the over big!
09-06-14	Michigan State v. Oregon OVER 55.5		27-46	Win	100	39 h 23 m	Show
4 Star CFB Oregon/Michigan State Totals CASH The Oregon Ducks and Michigan State Spartans meet in what is the biggest game of the year so far in college football. Oregon's fast-paced and high flying offense against Michigan State's strong defense in a matchup that has college football fans salivating. I highly respect Pat Narduzzi (DC at Michigan State), but I'm afraid this Spartans defense has has to replace too many stars. With this being only the second game of the year, there's no way this unit will be as good right now as the Spartans defense was late last year. I think the oddsmakers have lined this total as if it were a game played at the end of last year. Oregon's fast pace should bother Michigan State. Indiana runs a similar fast paced offense with far less talent, and the Hoosiers scored 28 points on Michigan State last year. Connor Cook is playing great at quarterback, and I think he'll find holes in the Oregon secondary to led the Spartans to plenty of points as well. This total is set too low. Take the over here.
09-06-14	Old Dominion v. NC State OVER 65		34-46	Win	100	28 h 8 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO NC State's offense should be much better this year with Jacoby Brissett under center. Brissett was a very highly touted prospect in high school, and I think he has the potential to put up big numbers against the ACC this year. Old Dominion's defense has been awful in recent years. They gave up 80 points to North Carolina last year. Hampton's offense had no trouble moving the ball against them last week. NC State's defense is nothing special at all, and Old Dominion's offense is very good with star quarterback Taylor Heinicke running the show. Both of these teams ranked in the top 37 in the nation in terms of pace last year, so I expect plenty of snaps in this one. Take the over.
08-30-14	UTEP v. New Mexico OVER 63.5		31-24	Loss	-105	24 h 53 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The New Mexico Lobos and the UTEP Miners have two of the worst defenses in the nation. New Mexico allowed 6.2 yards per carry and 42.8 points per game last year. UTEP allowd 6.2 yards per carry and 39.3 points per game. These teams met last year and the final score was 42-35. Jamiell Showers and the UTEP offense should be much better this year with Showers getting a lot more reps in this system. UTEP has a couple good RB's as well. New Mexico's option attack (pistol) has been really successful and Bob Davie's team should score a lot of points on teams that can't stop the run this year. UTEP definitely fits right into that mold. I expect a very high scoring game. Take the over.
08-29-14	Bowling Green v. Western Kentucky OVER 56	Top	31-59	Win	100	316 h 40 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Total Bowling Green has a bunch of returning starters on offense, and they are the key guys that will make this offense thrive in 2014. Matt Johnson is the best quarterback in the Mid American Conference. Travis Greene is the best running back in the MAC. Even more importantly though, Bowling Green has a new head coach in Dino Babers. Who is Dino Babers? Babers used to work under Art Briles at Baylor and he helped install Baylor's current fast-paced high octane offense. Babers used that at Eastern Illinois the past two years, and Eastern Illinois scored more than 40 points per game last year. It's all about playing fast and getting off tons of snaps. Western Kentucky lost most of their defense from last year, and I expect Bowling Green to move the ball at will here. It won't surprise me to see massive yardage totals from the Falcons. Western Kentucky has a veteran quarterback and some solid offensive weapons. The Hilltoppers should be able to put some on the board as well. Tons of possessions in this game and a total of only 56. I love the value here. Take the over big! This line has quickly risen. My numbers had this game at 70 points, so I still suggest a play on this one, but I would rate it 4 stars instead of 5 at the current level. Thank you
08-28-14	Tulane v. Tulsa UNDER 47		31-38	Loss	-106	24 h 14 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Opening Night Total DOMINATION The Tulsa Golden Hurricane had a very disappointing season last year. They got horrible quarterback play and had an inexperienced defense. Tulsa is used to winning and I do expect them to be better this year. Still, Tulsa has major concerns at quarterback and running back this year, and they shouldn't be too dynamic. On the other hand, Tulane isn't used to winning and they had a great season and got to a bowl game a year ago. The Green Wave are due to regress a bit this year, but I think they'll still be competitive. The Tulsa defense returns 10 starters (as many as any team in the nation) and I expect them to be much better defensively than they were last season. Tulane's defense is what led the way last season. The matchup between these two last year finished at 14-7 Tulane. This one will be higher scoring than that, but I don't see it reaching this total. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
01-06-14	Auburn v. Florida State OVER 65.5		31-34	Loss	-106	671 h 26 m	Show
3 Star BCS Title Game Total DOMINATION The Auburn Tigers and Florida State Seminoles will meet for the BCS Championship on Monday January 6 at the Rose Bowl. We won't need to worry about bad weather with the game being played in southern California. Auburn's offense is a well-oiled machine at this point. The Tigers is so hard to stop because they can do so many different things from the same offensive set. Florida State's defense is very good, but they haven't had to play against an offense even close to the caliber of Auburn. Look for Auburn's rushing attack to have more success than most people expect. On the other side, Auburn's defense has been gashed by quite a few opponents this season. The Tigers defense looked terrible against Missouri in the SEC title game, and they'll face a much better offense in Florida State here. Look for Heisman winner Jameis Winston to run more often in this one, and he can do a lot with his feet. Auburn's defense will be overmatched. This is a defense that allowed 424 yards per game this season. These offenses should pile up the points. The over is 6-0 in Auburn's last 6 games on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a straight up win. A 22-0 angle here. Take the over for the BCS title game.
01-05-14	Arkansas State v. Ball State OVER 64.5		23-20	Loss	-110	73 h 26 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB GoDaddy Total DOMINATION The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Ball State Cardinals both like to keep the game moving quickly. Lots of quick snaps in this one should lead to a bunch of possessions for both teams. Arkansas State has the 25th best rushing attack in the nation, and Ball State's weakness on defense is their rushing defense. Ball State's offense is prolific, and Keith Wenning is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the country. Ball State has scored at least 44 points in 4 of their last 6 games. The Cardinals average 40.1 points per game for the season. Both offenses should have lots of success in this one. The over is 4-0 in Arkansas State's last 4 overall. The over is 6-0 in Ball State's last 6 after allowing less than 20 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf. A 14-0 angle. Take the over.
01-01-14	Michigan State v. Stanford UNDER 43		24-20	Loss	-110	16 h 12 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Rose Bowl Total DOMINATION The Michigan State Spartans and Stanford Cardinal will battle for the Rose Bowl in Pasadena on New Year's Day. These two teams do it the same way. Both of them like to win the battle in the trenches and win with defense. A posted total of 43 is certainly very low, but I had this one projected at 40 points. Neither team will be hurrying things up here. Both teams will run the football very frequently to keep the clock moving. Neither quarterback has proven capable of airing it out successfully all that often. The under is 6-0 in Stanford's last 6 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Michigan State's last 5 after gaining at least 280 passing yards last game. A 22-0 angle here. Take the under.
01-01-14	Iowa v. LSU UNDER 49		14-21	Win	100	12 h 4 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Outback Total Takedown The LSU Tigers offense has been very good this year, but they'll be without star quarterback Zach Mettenberger here. Iowa's strength is their defense. Without the threat of airing it out deep with Mettenberger, I expect Iowa to be able to key in on the LSU running game here. Iowa's offense isn't very good, and they try to bully the opposition. LSU has a strong defensive front, and I don't expect them to get pushed around by a Big Ten team. The under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 bowl games. The under is 4-0 in Iowa's last 4 following a SU win of 20 points or more. The under is 6-1 in Iowa's last 7 at a neutral site. A 14-2 angle. Take the under.
01-01-14	Wisconsin v. South Carolina UNDER 51		24-34	Loss	-106	12 h 57 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Capital One CASH The Wisconsin Badgers and South Carolina Gamecocks will do battle in what should be a terrific Capital One Bowl Clash. Wisconsin's defense ranks in the top ten in the nation in every major category. South Carolina's defense has struggled against great passing attacks, but Wisconsin is a running team. Lots of strength in the trenches on both sides here. I expect to see lots of running the football, which makes the clock will keep on ticking. The under is 5-1 in Wisconsin's last 6 January games. The under is 5-1 in S. Carolina's last 6 overall. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. The under is 4-0 in S. Carolina's last 4 following an ATS win. An 18-3 angle. Take the under.
12-31-13	Mississippi State v. Rice UNDER 51		44-7	Push	0	14 h 25 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Liberty Bowl CASH The Mississippi State Bulldogs played one of the toughest schedules in the nation this year. The Bulldogs only went 6-6, but playing in the SEC and playing a solid non-conference slate, this team saw tons of very good opponents. Mississippi State's defense was very good, especially late in the year. The Bulldogs held Alabama to 20 points, and they held Ole Miss to 10 points in the season finale. Rice is a much improved team, and they can thank their defensive improvement for that. The Owls pass defense is top notch. I don't see either team putting up very many points in this game. The under is 5-0 in the Rice's last 5 at a neutral site. The under is 4-0 in the Bulldogs last 4 at a neutral site. The under is 6-1 in the Bulldogs last 7 overall. A 15-1 angle. Take the under.
12-30-13	Texas Tech v. Arizona State OVER 71		37-23	Loss	-110	24 h 57 m	Show
4 Star Holiday Bowl Total DOMINATION Sometimes you just can't overthink a game. The posted total of 71 is definitely high, but this total is extremely high for good reason. When Texas Tech and Arizona State get together, there are going to be a bunch of plays run and both teams will air it out a bunch here. Texas Tech can throw it against anyone, and Arizona State's offense is well-balanced and should score at least 45 points here. The over is 6-0 in the Red Raiders last 6 bowl games. The over is 4-0 in Arizona State's last 4 non-conference games. The over is 5-0 in the Sun Devils last 5 games at a neutral site. The over is 10-1 in Texas Tech's last 11 at a neutral site. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. A 30-1 angle here. Take the over.
12-30-13	Middle Tenn State v. Navy OVER 56.5		6-24	Loss	-108	13 h 33 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Bowl Special The MTSU Blue Raiders and Navy Midshipmen will kick off the bowl slate on December 30 with a game starting before noon EST. MTSU averages 31 points per game. The Blue Raiders have a balanced offense with veterans and they should be able to get their points against a Navy defense that isn't very good against the pass. Navy's option attack should be very successful against MTSU's poor front seven. Reynolds makes good decisions as the MTSU quarterback, and he should find plenty of running room in this matchup. The over is 7-0 in MTSU's last 7 after gaining 280 yards passing last game. The over is 6-2 in Navy's lats 8 bowl games. Take the over.
12-27-13	Syracuse v. Minnesota UNDER 47.5		21-17	Win	100	143 h 45 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Texas Bowl Total TAKEDOWN The Syracuse Orange and Minnesota Golden Gophers are very similar teams. Both of them struggle offensively, but their defense has gotten much better in the past couple years. The strong defenses are the reason these two teams are in this spot. Phillip Nelson is questionable for Minnesota in this one. The Golden Gophers really have no passing attack. Hunt has been disappointing at quarterback for Syracuse. The Orange and Golden Gophers have both been in a bunch of very low scoring games this year. It wouldn't surprise me a bit if both teams fail to make it out of teens in this one. A lot of value on the under in this contest. Take the under.
12-24-13	Oregon State v. Boise State OVER 63.5		38-23	Loss	-115	123 h 55 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Hawaii Bowl Christmas Eve CASH The Oregon State Beavers and Boise State Broncos both like to play quickly on offense. There should be a lot of snaps in this game. Oregon State and Boise State have both struggled against the pass this year. Both of these offenses have been great passing the ball. Sean Mannion and Brandin Cooks is one of the best QB to WR combination's in the country for Oregon State. The Beavers defense allowed 105 points in their last two games. Two bad secondaries and two teams who will air it out all game long equals a lot of points here. The over is 4-0 in Boise's last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 games on a neutral field. The over is 4-1 in Oregon State's last 5 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in Boise's last 5 neutral site games. A 16-2 angle. Take the over.
12-21-13	UL-Lafayette v. Tulane UNDER 49.5		24-21	Win	100	51 h 25 m	Show
3 Star New Orleans Bowl Total DOMINATION The Tulane Green Wave had a remarkable turnaround this year, and the main reason they were able to be so much better this year was their defense. Tulane's defense ranks 26th in the nation in total defense and they are giving up only 21.2 points per game. The strength of their defense is the front seven. La. Lafayette isn't a defensive juggernaut, but Tulane's offense has been bad all year. Tulane won games with defense. The Green Wave rank 118th in the nation in total offense. Terrance Broadway will either miss this game or be ineffective due to an injury. Look for a low scoring game all the way in this one. The under is 5-0-1 in Tulane's last 6 following a loss. The under is 6-1 in Tulane's last 7 after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground in their last game. Take the under.
12-14-13	Army v. Navy UNDER 55		7-34	Win	100	134 h 24 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Army/Navy Cold Hard CASH The Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen meet this Saturday in another installment of their epic rivalry. These might not be two of the best teams in college football, but watch this game and you'll see how much this game means to both teams. It's a really special rivalry game. Both of these teams run the triple option and they run on almost every single play from scrimmage. The single best angle to handicapping the total in this game is the fact that both of these teams defend the triple option every day in practice. The biggest advantage to running the option typically is that defenses aren't prepared, but in this game the defenses are very well prepared. I've cashed in on the under in the Army/Navy game in their last three meetings, and I'm going back to the well. The under is 8-0 in Army's last 8 games in December. The under is 10-0 in Navy's last 10 games following a bye week under coach Ken Niumatalolo. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-0 in Navy's last 7 after throwing for 75 yards or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games between each other with Navy as the home team. A 36-0 angle. Take the under.
12-07-13	South Florida v. Rutgers UNDER 47	Top	6-31	Win	100	48 h 57 m	Show
5 Star CFB TOP Play Hidden GEM The USF Bulls are a very good under team for a couple reasons. Number one is they have arguably the worst offense in the nation. How bad are they? They are averaging just 14.5 points per game. Their defense is solid though. The Bulls have allowed 23 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games. Rutgers has a poor pass defense, but the USF offense hasn't been able to pass on anyone all year. Rutgers' rushing defense ranks 7th in the nation against the run. All signs point to a very low scoring game. The under is 6-0 in USF's last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 100 yards on the ground. The under is 6-0 in Rutgers' last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under big!
12-07-13	Texas v. Baylor OVER 71.5		10-30	Loss	-106	44 h 57 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Texas Longhorns defense has been one of the most disappointing units in all of college football this year. This Longhorns defense gave up 40 points at West Virginia, 44 points at home to Ole Miss, and 40 points at BYU. This Baylor offense will be the best offense they have faced this year. It's typically not a challenge for Baylor to put up 45-50 points at home at a minimum, and I think they'll do that here. The Baylor defense has been exposed of late, and Texas has the potential to put up plenty of points here. I think this game gets to the upper 70's at a minimum. Baylor is first in the nation in points per game at 55.4 per contest. The over is 22-5-1 in Baylor's last 28 home games. Take the over in this one.
11-30-13	Texas A&M v. Missouri OVER 69.5		21-28	Loss	-110	105 h 32 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Tex A&M/Missouri Total The Texas A&M Aggies offense was slowed down last week by LSU in a way that we haven't seen in a long time. Johnny Manziel didn't look good, but I have a feeling that will be different this week. Manziel is still the most electrifying player in the nation, and Missouri's pass defense is a glaring weakness. The entire Texas A&M defense is a complete mess. The Aggies have been unable to stop anyone all year long. Look for both teams to pile up the points in this one. Take the over. Note- I would play this for 4 stars if you can get the over at 66.5 or lower. 3 Stars up to 71. Thank you.
11-30-13	Louisiana Monroe v. UL-Lafayette OVER 57.5		31-28	Win	100	104 h 47 m	Show
3 NCAA FB Instate Rivalry Total LA Monroe and LA Lafayette don't like each other one bit. This is a rivalry that doesn't get attention on a national scale, but locally this game is a really big deal. Kolton Browning and the Warhawks offense haven't been good the last two weeks, but I expect a much better effort from them in this one. Lafayette's running offense is the best in the conference and LA Monroe is very unlikely to be able to do anything about slowing them down at all. I had this one projected at 61 points. Take the over in this matchup.
11-30-13	Boston College v. Syracuse UNDER 51	Top	31-34	Loss	-110	100 h 19 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play Total DOMINATION The Boston College Eagles and Syracuse Orange meet up in what should be a very competitive game in Syracuse on Saturday. The defense is the strength of both of these teams. Syracuse's offense is a mess, and the Orange rarely can put together long scoring drives. Boston College has an elite runner, but the Syracuse defense excels at stopping the run. This is one of those games where both defenses should be able to rise up and force a lot of field goal attempts if the offenses do get into the red zone. I had this one lined at 44.5, so I see a ton of value here. Take the under big!
11-30-13	Idaho v. New Mexico State OVER 68.5	Top	16-24	Loss	-100	100 h 16 m	Show
5 Star NCAA TOP Play of Week The Idaho Vandals gave up 80 points in a drubbing at the hands of Florida State last week. Idaho's defense has been giving up huge totals all year. The Vandals defense is allowing an FBS worst 48.8 points per game this year. What about New Mexico State's defense? Not much better. They are allowing 47.2 points per game, which is second worst in the FBS. These are the two worst defenses in the nation up against each other. Expect lots of points from two offenses that are improving quite a bit. I lined this one at 80 points, so I'm very surprised the line dropped the way it has. The over is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 40 points or more. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on grass. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss of 20 points or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 6-0 in New Mexico State's last 6 November games. In all, a 37-0 angle. Take the over big!
11-30-13	BYU v. Nevada OVER 58.5		28-23	Loss	-110	100 h 49 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown The BYU Cougars are a completely different team than they were last year. This BYU team is looking to snap the ball as quick as possible and get off as many offensive plays as they can. That should work really well against a Nevada defense that is among the worst in the nation. Nevada's offense has plenty of fight, and Cody Fajardo is capable of leading this team to several scores here. Don't be surprised if BYU puts up a big number here. Take the over. Note- The line has moved up in a big way since the opener when I took this. I would play this up to 61 for 4 stars and up to 66 for 3 stars, but above 66 I would pass. Thank you.
11-30-13	Duke v. North Carolina OVER 58		27-25	Loss	-110	97 h 51 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB ACC Rivalry Total The Duke Blue Devils are one of the biggest surprises in college football this year. North Carolina has been putting the pieces together on offense of late after Bryn Renner went down with an injury. Most thought the UNC offense wouldn't be any good the rest of the year, but Marquise Williams has been very good at QB for them. In the last 3 weeks, UNC has scored 45, 34, and 80 points. The Tar Heels defense isn't consistent though, and Duke's offense has improved a ton since the beginning of the year. I had this total set at 64 points. Take the over.
11-30-13	Rutgers v. Connecticut UNDER 50.5		17-28	Win	100	97 h 50 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and UConn Huskies are both ready for this season to be over. Rutgers was expected to be pretty good this year, but they've been a big disappointment. UConn won last week, but that was their first win of the season. The Huskies have been abysmal on offense all year long. UConn has absolutely no running game, and their passing attack isn't good either. The Huskies defense has shown some fight at home, and I expect more of that in this one. I had this number projected at 46 points. This should be an ugly game. Take the under.
11-29-13	Miami (Florida) v. Pittsburgh UNDER 55		41-31	Loss	-110	76 h 2 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Miami Hurricanes and Pitt Panthers both have offenses that have struggled to get going of late. The Hurricanes aren't the same team without Duke Johnson. Stephen Morris has been very disappointing of late at QB as well. Pitt lacks weapons on the offensive end. The Panthers have been playing some very low scoring games, and I've been backing the under with them for quite a while now. I'm not going to jump off the train just yet. Look for this one to stay close all game, and there should be a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. Take the under.
11-29-13	Bowling Green v. Buffalo UNDER 51	Top	24-7	Win	100	74 h 22 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Hidden GEM The Bowling Green Falcons and Buffalo Bulls meet in a key MAC matchup Friday. Ralph Wilson Stadium will be the site for this one. Bowling Green has the number one pass defense in the nation and they have a top 10 defense in every category. Buffalo's defense has been great against MAC opponents. Neither of these teams has an elite offense. Last year when they got together the final score was just 21-7. This one might be a little higher, but I think the line should have been around 45 points. Look for a tight defensive battle all the way. Take the under big!
11-29-13	East Carolina v. Marshall OVER 67.5	Top	28-59	Win	100	73 h 35 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB Feast TOP PLAY The East Carolina Pirates and Marshall Thundering Herd meet in a very important game for both teams Friday. The winner of this game will play in the Conference USA title game next week. East Carolina and Marshall both have a high octane passing attack, and I think that means a very high scoring game here. Both teams like to move quickly, so there will be lots of plays. I projected this one at 73 points. The over is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 November games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more last game. A 28-0 angle. Take the over big!
11-23-13	Missouri v. Ole Miss OVER 56		24-10	Loss	-113	104 h 30 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Missouri Tigers and Ole Miss Rebels meet in what should be a great SEC clash. Missouri is still in the national title race if they win out and Mississippi has proven capable of beating big name teams at home this year. The strength of both of these teams is their offense. Missouri's glaring weakness is their secondary and I expect Bo Wallace and Mississippi to exploit that. Missouri's offense hasn't been stopped by anyone this year when James Franklin is healthy and he'll be back for this one. The over is 6-0 in Missouri's last 6 road games. The over is 5-0 in Ole Miss' last 5 November games. The over is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 road games against a team with a winning record. The over is 12-2 in Ole Miss' last 14 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing last game. A 28-2 angle backs this. Take the over.
11-23-13	Louisiana Monroe v. South Alabama OVER 56	Top	14-36	Loss	-110	103 h 57 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks offense looked bad most of the year, but that was without star quarterback Kolton Browning. Browning is Mr. Everything for this offense, and he is back and healthy now. They put up 49 points two games ago against Troy. The oddsmakers haven't yet caught up to Monroe's much better offense with Browning on the field. South Alabama's offense should be able to move it against a Monroe defense that isn't very good against either the run or the pass. The South Alabama defense played pretty well earlier this year, but they have a lot of injuries and are struggling of late. I had this line projected at 63 points, so this one has a ton of value. Take the over in a big way here!
11-23-13	Indiana v. Ohio State OVER 79.5		14-42	Loss	-115	99 h 29 m	Show
3 NCAA FB Big 10 Total The Ohio State Buckeyes won 60-35 last week in Illinois, but the Buckeyes weren't very impressive in that win. At this point in the season, Ohio State not only needs to win games, but they need to be very impressive when winning them. Urban Meyer knows the Buckeyes need style points. Indiana has the worst defense in the Big 10. The Hoosiers are allowing an eye-popping 535 yards per game. Opponents have scored at least 42 points against Indiana in 4 of their last 5 games. Ohio State will be the best offense they have faced yet. The Buckeyes could easily score 60 points by themselves. Indiana's offense put up 49 points on Ohio State last year, and they should score several here. This number is very high for a reason. Look for a very high scoring game. Take the over.
11-23-13	BYU v. Notre Dame UNDER 54		13-23	Win	100	21 h 60 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB BYU/Notre Dame Total The BYU Cougars and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are both tough defenses to run the football on when they know the run is coming. Last year these teams played to a 17-14 final score. A huge factor in this game will be the weather. There is snow expected during this game as well as 25 mph winds. Both of these passing games will have serious problems getting going. A ton of runs means a predictable offense for both teams as well as a clock that keeps running the entire game. Look for another low scoring contest here. Take the under.
11-23-13	Pittsburgh v. Syracuse UNDER 49.5		17-16	Win	100	96 h 20 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The Pitt Panthers and Syracuse Orange are two teams that I have bet on the under with successfully several times already this year. Pitt has an offense that isn't very good at either throwing or running it, and Syracuse's offense has been a complete disaster of late. On the other side of the ball, both of these defenses have improved a great deal through the year. Syracuse has lots of team speed on defense, and Pittsburgh has a dominating defensive line. Look for field goals instead of touchdowns here. Take the under in this one.
11-16-13	San Diego State v. Hawaii OVER 57.5	Top	28-21	Loss	-110	106 h 47 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total The San Diego State Aztecs have been good to me on overs so far this year. The Aztecs are good at stopping the run, but their secondary is weak. Hawaii can't run the ball, but they can definitely air it out. Hawaii should put up a lot more points here than most expect. On the other side, Hawaii's defense is dreadful. They are giving up 37.3 points per game for the year. The Hawaii offense has steadily improved as the season has progressed. The over is 6-0 in Hawaii's last 6 games overall. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on turf. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining at least 450 yards last game. A 22-0 angle. Take the over big!
11-16-13	Oregon State v. Arizona State OVER 63.5		17-30	Loss	-111	44 h 15 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Oregon State Beavers and Arizona State Sun Devils both like to air it out early and often. Don't expect many rushing attempts in this game. The weakness of both of these defenses is their secondary. Arizona State has been piling up the points at home all year. The Sun Devils have scored 62, 54, and 53 points in their last three home games. Oregon State has mismatches against AZ State's secondary and they'll get their points too. The over is 5-0 in Oregon State's last 5 games on grass. The over is 6-0 in AZ State's last 6 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 275 total yards. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. A 21-1 angle. Take the over.
11-16-13	Florida International v. UTEP UNDER 51.5		10-33	Win	100	104 h 36 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO When FIU and UTEP meet, I expect an absolutely horrible football game. Don't even try to watch, listen, or follow this game. There will be nothing exciting about this game. That being said, the game doesn't have to be exciting for me to see an opportunity to make money. FIU is dead last in the nation in points per game, and UTEP's offense is short-handed right now. These defenses aren't very good, but they'll probably look good on Saturday night. This number has moved throughout the week. I would make this a 4 star play down to 49 and a 3 star play as low as 47 points. Take the under.
11-16-13	Texas State v. Arkansas State UNDER 51.5		21-38	Loss	-110	103 h 46 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Hidden Gem Total The Texas State Bobcats had two weeks to prepare for this one, and I think that means their defense will be very well-prepared. Texas State's defense has been able to slow down some very good teams this year. Arkansas State's defense is also one of the best in the Sun Belt. Both of these offenses have really struggled with consistency so far this year. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see a tight game here where both teams struggle to get into the end zone. I made this line 45, so I like the value on this one. Take the under here.
11-16-13	Michigan State v. Nebraska UNDER 42.5		41-28	Loss	-110	38 h 47 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total The Michigan State Spartans have the best defense in the nation. They are allowing just 43 rushing yards per game. Michigan State's defense flies to the football. I don't see this defense giving up a big number against anyone. Without Taylor Martinez, Nebraska's offense isn't as dynamic. The Huskers are going to struggle to score in this one. Michigan State's stacked on defense, but their offense isn't very good. The Huskers defense stepped up in a big way last weekend at Michigan. Look for both D's to be very good here. Take the under. I would play this game as low as 41 points, but not lower.
11-16-13	UL-Lafayette v. Georgia State OVER 59.5		35-21	Loss	-106	37 h 51 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special The Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns have won 7 straight games. Their offense has put up 35 points or more in 6 of those 7 wins. They have scored 41 or more in 4 of the 7 games. Georgia State's defense is so bad that Lafayette may get to 50 in this one. Georgia State's offense is slowly improving and you have to think that Lafayette will let them score some late in the game here. The over is 7-0 in Lafayette's last 7 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 3-0-1 in Lafayette's last 4 November games. The over is 4-0 in GA State's last 4 following a double digit home loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games at home. A 23-0 angle. Take the over.
11-09-13	San Diego State v. San Jose State OVER 56	Top	34-30	Win	100	105 h 24 m	Show
5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Month The San Diego State Aztecs and San Jose Spartans have a nice little rivalry going on. San Jose State has an NFL-caliber quarterback in David Fales. San Diego State has a balanced offense with two good runners and a quickly improving quarterback. My numbers had this game at 64 points, so this line is more than a touchdown away, which rarely happens. The Spartans are 24th in the nation in total offense, and Fales should pick apart a suspect San Diego State secondary. At the same time, San Jose State is 93rd in the nation in total defense, and San Diego State will get plenty of opportunities to score as well. The over is 6-1-1 in the Spartans last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in SD State's last 4 after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their last game. The over is 8-2 in San Diego State's last 10 after an ATS loss. An 18-3 angle backs this play. Take the over big here!
11-09-13	Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh UNDER 51		21-28	Win	100	103 h 56 m	Show
3 Star Notre Dame/Pitt Total Domination The Notre Dame Fighting Irish defense hasn't been as good as expected so far this year, but it is still the strength of the team. Pittsburgh's offense has struggled the majority of the year, and I think they'll struggle up front against Notre Dame's front four. The Panthers defense is much improved and their defensive front is becoming a major strength for the team. Notre Dame doesn't have a consistent passing game, so I don't think they can beat this Pitt defense consistently. Look for both defenses to play well in this matchup. The under is 5-0 in Pitt's last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Pitt's last 4 on grass. The under is 4-0 in Pitt's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-1 in Pitt's last 7 November games. A 19-1 angle. Take the under.
11-09-13	Syracuse v. Maryland UNDER 55	Top	20-3	Win	100	99 h 60 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB ACC TOP Total The Syracuse Orange won 13-0 over Wake Forest in a game that I played the 'under' in last week. That was a great play from start to finish. Syracuse has lots of offensive issues right now. Their quarterback play has been shaky at best, and Maryland has a talented defense. The Terrapins are once again having problems with the injury bug this season. Syracuse has a quality defense that does a good job keeping their opponents from getting those big plays. I had this game lined at 48 points. Expect both teams defenses to bring their A game here. This one stays low scoring all the way. Take the under big!
11-09-13	Nevada v. Colorado State OVER 63	Top	17-38	Loss	-110	99 h 60 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Hidden GEM Total The Nevada Wolfpack have a very good quarterback in Cody Fajardo. Fajardo is a dual-threat quarterback who is a weapon in every aspect of the game. He'll be up against a Colorado State defense that has been susceptible against mobile quarterbacks the past couple years. Nevada's defense is among the worst in the nation. The Wolfpack are allowing an astonishing 513 yards per game so far this season. Colorado State's offense has come to life of late, and I expect a big number from Colorado State here. Back and forth with both offenses lighting it up in this one. The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 after allowing 200 rushing yards or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in CSU's last 5 games. The over is 3-0-1 in CSU's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in Colorado State's last 5 after gaining 450 yards in their last contest. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 conference games. A 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!
11-09-13	Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 58		32-35	Win	100	60 h 47 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total The Eastern Michigan Eagles may have the worst defense in the nation. These guys just haven't been able to stop anyone this year. How bad are they? Eastern Michigan has given up 45.6 points per game so far in 2013. They have allowed at least 50 points in each of their last 4 games. Western Michigan's offense got going in their last game against UMass, and the Broncos should have plenty of success offensively here. At the same time, Western Michigan is giving up 37 points per game as well. Two horrible teams that can't play any defense. The over is the play. The over is 6-0 in the Eagles last 6 on turf. The over is 5-0 in the Eagles last 5 after allowing 40 points or more in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 conference games. A 22-0 angle here. Take the over.
11-09-13	UAB v. Marshall OVER 65.5		14-56	Win	100	96 h 31 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the best quarterbacks in the country. Rakeem Cato can air it out with the best of them and it's hard to imagine UAB's pathetic defense slowing down Marshall at all here. UAB's defense is allowing 38.4 points per game so far this year, and Marshall will be one of the best offenses they have faced all year. Marshall's defense is fully capable of giving up a lot of points, and UAB's offense is improving over the last few weeks. I had this one lined at 71 points. Look for a high scoring affair all the way. Take the over.
11-09-13	Western Kentucky v. Army OVER 57		21-17	Loss	-110	22 h 38 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have a high quality offense under new coach Bobby Petrino. Antonio Andrews is one of the best running backs in the nation. Andrews has almost 1300 yards on the ground already this year. Army runs the football extremely well. In fact, Army has more rushing yards than any other team in the country. Western Kentucky's rushing defense has struggled all year, and the Hilltoppers are dinged up on the defensive side of the ball. Both teams are going to have lots of room to run in this one. I think this game comfortably tops 60 points. Take the over.
11-09-13	SMU v. Cincinnati OVER 65.5		25-28	Loss	-106	22 h 38 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special The Cincinnati Bearcats wins over FBS opponents this year have come against teams with a combined record of 3-36. While Cincinnati's defensive numbers look great, I don't think this defense is very good. SMU has been on fire offensively of late as Garrett Gilbert has come into his own of late. Look for the Mustangs to burn Cincinnati through the air early and often. SMU's defense is giving up 42 points per game, and Cincinnati should be able to move the ball at will. The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4. The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4 after giving up more than 40 points in their last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more. A 21-0 angle here. Take the over.
11-08-13	Air Force v. New Mexico OVER 59		37-45	Win	100	52 h 18 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Friday Night MONEYMAKER The Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos are both teams that run the ball on nearly every play. The assumption then is that a game between these two teams would finish under the total, but a closer look tells us the value is clearly on the over in this game. Air Force is 113th in the nation and allows 221 rushing yards per game. New Mexico is 122nd in the nation and allows 252.6 yards per game on the ground. These two ground games are both very good. The Falcons are gaining 279 rushing yards per game. The Lobos are averaging 314 yards per game on the ground. Both teams are going to be running wild in this one. The over is 5-0 in the Lobos last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up more than 200 yards on the ground in the previous game. A 19-0 angle here. Take the over.
11-02-13	San Jose State v. UNLV OVER 66		34-24	Loss	-108	27 h 57 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total The San Jose State Spartans have one of the most underrated quarterback in the country in David Fales. Fales is adept at picking apart subpar secondaries, and that is exactly what he'll be up against this week at UNLV. The Rebels secondary struggled badly against Hawaii and Fresno State's aerial attack. San Jose State should put up big points here. At the same time, UNLV's offense is light years better than it was last year. Caleb Herring and the Rebels offense should have a lot of success against a Spartans defense that ranks 100th in the nation in total defense. The scoreboard will light up in Las Vegas on Saturday afternoon. Take the over.
11-02-13	Kent State v. Akron OVER 53		7-16	Loss	-110	99 h 30 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Kent State Golden Flashes are a long ways removed from their Cinderella season last year. The Golden Flashes are a mess defensively right now. With Reardon healthy at quarterback and Dri Archer back healthy in the backfield, the Golden Flashes offense is much better than it was a few weeks ago. Akron isn't the punching bag they were a year ago. The Zips have a quality quarterback who should move it through the air against a poor Kent State secondary. This game should be very close, which puts overtime into play as well. I think this has a good chance of reaching the upper 50's or even 60 points. Take the over.
11-02-13	Wake Forest v. Syracuse UNDER 51.5		0-13	Win	100	35 h 60 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have shown a ton of fight the last few weeks. Jim Grobe's team is much better defensively now than they were early in the year. Syracuse has tons of issues on offense, and Wake Forest's offense is one-dimensional. Wake Forest is averaging only 96 yards per game on the ground. Wake's defense is giving up just 20.8 points per game. I expected to see a total in the mid 40's in this one. The under is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games on turf. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground in the last game. The under is 9-1 in Wake Forest's last 10 conference games. A 19-1 angle here. Take the under.
11-02-13	Temple v. Rutgers OVER 53		20-23	Loss	-110	95 h 46 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown The Temple Owls have found a bit of a spark in young quarterback P.J. Walker. Walker threw 4 touchdowns and no picks in the team's 59-49 loss last weekend. Rutgers was overrated from day one this year, and the Scarlet Knights defense isn't even close to what it used to be. Oddsmakers are putting out totals that are too low for this group right now. Rutgers offense isn't any good, but they don't have to be to score a lot on a pathetic Temple defense. The Owls are giving up 516 yards per game this season. This total is set quite a bit too low. Take advantage and bet the over.
11-02-13	Southern Mississippi v. Marshall OVER 56.5		13-61	Win	100	23 h 56 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The Marshall Thundering Herd lost a heart breaker last week at MTSU. Marshall is one of the most talented teams in Conference USA, and they get a perfect chance to bounce back in a big way this week. Southern Miss has lost 19 games in a row! The Golden Eagles are giving up more than 40 points per game this year. It wouldn't surprise me at all if Marshall gets to the posted total by themselves in this one. Rakeem Cato and the Thundering Herd offense will look great in this one. I had this number at 64 points. Look for this one to sail over the total. Take the over.
10-26-13	Colorado State v. Hawaii OVER 56.5	Top	35-28	Win	100	108 h 32 m	Show
5 Star CFB TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT The Hawaii Warriors offense really struggled early in the year, but they have been getting it together of late. Hawaii has no running game, but their passing game has gotten much better. Sean Schroeder has been a nice spark for the passing attack. Hawaii has scored 37, 27, and 37 points in their last three games. Colorado State is their opponent this week, and the Rams are 119th in the nation in pass defense. Hawaii is 122nd in the nation in pass defense. The Rams are coming off a momentum-building 52-22 shellacking of rival Wyoming. Both aerial attacks should get going here against two bad secondaries. The over is 5-0 in the Warriors last 5 October games. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in Colorado State's last 4 after scoring 30 points or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the Rams last 4 after putting up 450 yards or more of offense. A 20-2 angle backs this. Take the over big!
10-26-13	Stanford v. Oregon State OVER 55		20-12	Loss	-110	105 h 60 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Stanford/Oregon State Total DOMINATION The Stanford Cardinal and Oregon State Beavers meet in a key Pac-12 matchup Saturday night in Corvallis. I really like what I've seen out of this Oregon State offense this year. The Beavers are first in the nation in passing yards per game. What's the weakness of the Stanford defense? Their secondary. Brandin Cooks and Sean Mannion should carve up this secondary. Stanford will be able to score too. Oregon State is giving up 28.4 points per game so far this year. The over is 9-0 in Oregon State's last 9 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 20 points in a game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up less than 100 rushing yards. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after putting up 450 yards or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 100 rushing yards in their last game. The over is 4-0 in Stanford's last 4 after allowing less than 100 rushing yards in their last game. A 34-0 angle in all backs the over. Take the over.
10-26-13	Fresno State v. San Diego State OVER 61.5	Top	35-28	Win	100	105 h 46 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play Total CRUSHER The Fresno State Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in the country. Derek Carr is a great drop back passer, and I don't see SDSU being able to get pressure on him with their weak front seven and poor pass rush. Carr has lots of weapons and this Bulldogs offense is top ten in the nation in passing. Fresno State has allowed 37 points or more on three occasions already this year, so their defense isn't nearly as good as the offense. San Diego State's offense has been much better on their home field this year, and the Aztecs should get plenty of scoring chances here. Look for big plays from star running back Donnel Pumphrey. I made this total 70 points. The over is 8-2 in Fresno State's last 10 games after gaining 450 yards or more in their last game. The over is 7-1 in San Diego State's last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the over big in this one!
10-26-13	Penn State v. Ohio State OVER 56.5	Top	14-63	Win	100	102 h 17 m	Show
5 Star TOP Big 10 Total of the Year The Ohio State Buckeyes are rolling right along on offense this year. Braxton Miller is clearly much better than he was a year ago, and the Buckeyes are playing at a faster pace. On the other side, the Buckeyes defense is significantly weaker than we are used to seeing. Their biggest weakness is the secondary. Penn State's Christian Hackenburg should find plenty of open receivers against this Buckeyes secondary. At the same time, the Nittany Lions aren't the same defensive team they used to be either. Ohio State's offense should have its way here. I had this one lined at 65 points, so I love the value on the over. The over is 5-0 in Penn State's last 5 October games. The over is 8-0 in Penn State's last 8 following an ATS win. The over is 8-0 in the Nittany Lions last 8 against a team with a winning record. A 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!
10-26-13	South Alabama v. Texas State UNDER 51.5		31-33	Loss	-110	102 h 29 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total Value Texas State is great at forcing a low scoring game. The Bobcats have a strong rushing defense, and their offense is very poor. Texas State often struggles to put together scoring drives. South Alabama is one of the most improved teams in the country. The Jaguars usually score a decent amount, but I see them struggling on the road here. My numbers had this total at 45 points. The Bobcats aren't an easy team to beat at home, and this one should end up being a hard fought battle in the trenches. Texas State slows this game down and controls the clock. I like the value here. Take the under.
10-26-13	Georgia State v. Louisiana Monroe UNDER 49	Top	10-38	Win	100	102 h 13 m	Show
5 Star CFB TOP Play Under Radar Total The Georgia State Panthers have actually improved quite a bit this year. This is a team that has been shocking people by covering the spread. Their defense isn't good, but they are serviceable. Louisiana-Monroe's offense is really lacking play makers right now. The Warhawks last three games have finished at 45, 41, and 35 points total. Monroe's defense is one of the best in the Sun Belt. Georgia State averages just 16.6 points per game on offense. The under is 4-0 in Georgia State's last 4 road games. The under is 6-1 in Monroe's last 7 following a bye week. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Take the under big here.
10-26-13	Troy v. Western Kentucky OVER 59.5		32-26	Loss	-110	99 h 52 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown The Troy Trojans have a way of making games very high scoring. Troy throws the ball early and often and they have a terrible defense. Western Kentucky likes to push the tempo and run a bunch of plays under new coach Bobby Petrino. Antonio Andrews is the best back in the Sun Belt, and he should have a big game for the Hilltoppers here. Western Kentucky's defense was top notch last year, but they are inexperienced and shaky this season. With both teams running a lot of plays, I like the over. I had this number set at 66 myself. Look for both teams to find the end zone several times in this contest. Take the over.
10-26-13	Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 65.5		20-59	Win	100	48 h 53 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The Eastern Michigan Eagles have one of the worst rushing defenses in the nation. With a horrible rushing defense, heading to Northern Illinois to face Jordan Lynch and the Huskies is the last place you want to be going. Eastern Michigan is giving up 42.3 points per game, and Northern Illinois will be the best rushing attack they have faced this year. While Northern Illinois has an elite offense, their defense isn't good at all. The Huskies are 100th in the nation in total defense, and Eastern Michigan should get scoring opportunities here. This one gets ugly in a hurry, but both offenses should score plenty. Take the over.
10-26-13	Western Michigan v. UMass UNDER 47		31-30	Loss	-110	95 h 18 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total These are two of the worst teams in the nation. I certainly wouldn't want to wager on who is going to win this mess of a game, but I don't mind taking advantage of the fact that it should be an ugly low scoring game all the way. UMass hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game all year. Western Michigan's top offensive output is 20 points. This one has a 17-14 ugly game written all over it. Both defenses have looked better in recent weeks, but the offenses are a disaster. The under is 7-0 in UMass' last 7 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 170 passing yards in their last game. It is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 following a loss of 20 points or more. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 games on turf. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring less than 20 points. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground. The under is 4-0 in Western Michigan's last 4 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more in the previous game. In all, a 51-0 angle backs this play! Take the under.
10-26-13	Pittsburgh v. Navy OVER 49.5	Top	21-24	Loss	-105	97 h 35 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total The Pittsburgh Panthers have performed a little better offensively than most people expected (myself included). Navy's defense isn't any good, and the Panthers should be able to overpower the small Navy defensive front. Navy's offense is really hard to prepare for, and the Panthers defense has been disappointing this year. Pitt lacks play makers at linebacker, and that really is the key to stopping the Navy triple option attack. The posted total here opened more than 10 points off my projected total here (60 points). This line has slowly been moving up this week, but I'd play this one up to 55 points. Take the over big.
10-19-13	Oregon State v. California OVER 71		49-17	Loss	-110	125 h 26 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT The Oregon State Beavers and Cal Bears are two teams who don't even attempt to run the football. Both teams are terrible at running, but they can both air it out. Expect this to be a game where both quarterbacks get 50 pass attempts or more. A ton of passing attempts for good offenses against terrible defenses means a lot of points. Brandin Cooks has 63 receptions and 11 touchdowns already this year for Oregon State, and Cal doesn't have anyone who can even come close to slowing him down. Jared Goff and the Bears put up 34 points at home against an Ohio State defense that is much better than Oregon State's. The line is high here for a reason. This should be a real shootout. The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 road games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 following a SU win. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 conference games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 450 yards or more in their previous game. The over is 4-0-1 in Cal's last 5 home games. The over is 5-0-1 in the Bears last 6 after scoring 20 points or less in their previous game. A 37-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
10-19-13	UNLV v. Fresno State OVER 71.5		14-38	Loss	-110	56 h 17 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The UNLV Rebels have picked up the tempo in a big way on offense. UNLV ran 113 offensive plays last week. That set a new school record and a new Mountain West Conference record. It was only two plays away from the NCAA record set by Houston last year. Fresno State is regularly running more than 100 plays per game this year. This is going to be a fast-paced game and both offenses are very good. Fresno State has scored at least 40 points in their last 10 regular season games. UNLV's offense is firing on all cylinders with Herring now at quarterback. On the other side, both of these defenses will be completely overmatched. Fresno is giving up 33.4 per game on defense, and they have allowed 40 or more twice at home this year. UNLV has given up more than 50 twice this season already. The over is 6-0 in Fresno's last 6 following a bye week. The over is 4-0 in Fresno's last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0-1 in UNLV's last 5 after giving up more than 280 passing yards. The over is 6-1 in UNLV's last 7 overall. The over is 6-1 in UNLV's last 7 following an ATS loss. Take the over. A 26-2 angle here. Take the over.
10-19-13	Florida State v. Clemson OVER 62	Top	51-14	Win	100	123 h 27 m	Show
5 Star FSU/Clemson TOP Total The Florida State Seminoles offense has been firing on all cylinders with Jameis Winston at quarterback. Winston is completing 73% of his passes this year. Florida State is 4th in the nation in total offense, and they are averaging 53.6 points per game. Clemson has a terrific offense led by quarterback Tajh Boyd. Boyd is now a senior and he knows this offense extremely well. Sammy Watkins is one of the best receivers in the country, and he is capable of taking it the distance any time he touches it. These defenses have impressive stats, but they haven't faced an offense even close to as good as their opponent this week. Last year's game was 49-37 and there was a total of 1,096 yards in that game. The over is 5-0 in the Seminoles last 5 games overall. The over is 6-0 in the Seminoles last 6 games following a win by 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings between these teams. Take the over big!
10-19-13	Nevada v. Boise State OVER 67		17-34	Loss	-109	76 h 8 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total The Nevada Wolfpack have an awful defense, but they can definitely score points. Cody Fajardo is the same type of quarterback as Colin Kaepernick, and he'll be able to move this offense against a less than stellar Boise State defense. Boise State has picked up the pace in a big way of late on offense. Both of these teams rank in the top 10 in the nation in terms of plays per game. Lots of plays should equal lots of chances to score points here. Boise State could put up 45 or 50 here, and Nevada should get more than 20. The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 October games. The over is 5-0 in Boise State's last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. A 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
10-19-13	USC v. Notre Dame OVER 47		10-14	Loss	-110	122 h 12 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The USC Trojans offense has looked much better in the past couple games. It's big for them to have Silas Redd back in the lineup. Marqise Lee is expected to play this weekend as well. In their last two games, USC has scored 41 and 38 points. Notre Dame's defense hasn't been nearly as good as expected this year. It looks like they miss Teo even more than expected. USC's defense has been susceptible against the pass this year, and Tommy Rees is getting more comfortable at QB for the Fighting Irish. This was primarily a numbers play for me since I made this total 55. Look for this one to get over the posted total. Take the over.
10-19-13	Washington v. Arizona State OVER 66		24-53	Win	100	121 h 58 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown The Washington Huskies had to play at Stanford and home against Oregon the last two weeks. The schedule makers must not be fans of Washington. I like the Huskies team a lot, but this is a really tough spot for them. I think that shows up most on the defensive side of the football this week. Washington's defense will be gassed in the hot Arizona weather after two long weeks before this one. Todd Graham's offense is very fast-paced and Taylor Kelly is making great decisions for the Sun Devils. Keith Price and Bishop Sankey lead a very good Washington offense who should score plenty in this one as well. Look for a high scoring contest. Take the over.
10-19-13	Akron v. Miami (OH) UNDER 45		24-17	Win	100	43 h 52 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks are one of the very worst teams in college football this year. Akron hasn't won a road game in their last 30 tries. This game has ugly written all over it. Miami hasn't scored more than 14 points in a game all year, and I don't see any reason to believe they'll do it in this game either. Akron nearly took down Michigan and Northern Illinois this year, so the Zips are much better than they have been. The defenses will be ahead of the offenses in this one. This looks like one of those 20-14 ugly games that are terrible to watch, but I don't mind cashing in a bet on ugly football. The under is 8-0 in Akron's last 8 road games. The under is 7-0 in Akron's last 7 October games. The under is 5-0 in Miami's last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle backs this one. Take the under.
10-12-13	Colorado v. Arizona State OVER 64		13-54	Win	100	105 h 38 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT The Colorado Buffaloes are a more competitive team this year under Coach Mike MacIntyre, but the Buffs still have an awful defense. Colorado is giving up 38 points per game so far this year. Arizona State's offense is high-octane and they can really score in bunches on their home field. Taylor Kelly should be able to pick apart this Colorado secondary. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see Arizona State score more than 50 points in this game. Colorado's passing attack is much improved this year, and due to the pace of the game, the Buffs should get plenty of chances to score here. The over is 4-0 in Colorado's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Arizona State's last 4 home games. The over is 6-0 in Arizona State's last 6 after gaining at least 280 yards through the air in their previous game. The over is 7-1 in the Sun Devils last 8 October games. A 21-1 angle backs this play. Take the over.
10-12-13	Hawaii v. UNLV OVER 54.5		37-39	Win	100	67 h 37 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO Hawaii coach Norm Chow is slowly helping this Hawaii offense progress as season moves along. The Warriors are picking up the tempo a bit and airing it out often. UNLV's pass defense hasn't been tested all season, but that will change here. UNLV has won three games in a row, and the Rebels offense is much improved. Caleb Herring hasn't turned the ball over since taking over as the team's starting quarterback. Both of these defenses are way below average, and the offenses have been clicking well in the last couple weeks. I had this total projected at 60 points. Take the over in this one.
10-12-13	New Mexico v. Wyoming OVER 66		31-38	Win	100	121 h 10 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown Who do you think is the number one rushing team in the country? Most fans would probably guess Navy, Army, Air Force, Georgia Tech, or maybe Oregon. All of those guesses are wrong. New Mexico comes into this game with the top ranked rushing attack in the nation. Bob Davie has really done a good job getting this team to buy into his system. The Lobos have a great runner in Kasey Carrier, and he should rack up the yards here against an undersized defensive front for Wyoming. Brett Smith is a superb quarterback for Wyoming. New Mexico's defense is still a mess. The Lobos are giving up 36 points per game. Wyoming is averaging 38 points per game. This one has shootout written all over it. Take the over.
10-12-13	Kent State v. Ball State OVER 60	Top	24-27	Loss	-115	120 h 50 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week The Kent State Golden Flashes are a totally different team with Dri Archer in the backfield. Archer came back last week, and the team put up 24 points and moved the ball well all game against a good Northern Illinois team. Ball State is led by the best quarterback in the MAC, Keith Wenning, and he can do it all. Wenning had a great game and led the Cardinals to a big win at Virginia last week (48 points on the road at an ACC school). Ball State is 12th in the nation in passing. Kent State's is ranked 113th in the nation in total defense this year. At the same time, the Cardinals defense is 106th in the nation at stopping the run. Archer and the Golden Flashes running game should rack up the yards here. In last year's game, the final score was 45-43. Expect another high scoring contest here. The over is 17-8 in Ball State's last 25 conference games. Take the over big!
10-12-13	Navy v. Duke OVER 58.5		7-35	Loss	-110	120 h 50 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total Value The Navy Midshipmen are all about the running game on the offensive side of the ball. Past history between these two teams tells me that Duke isn't good at all at stopping the triple option. Duke couldn't stop Georgia Tech's triple option last month, and I don't think they'll stop Navy here. Duke has improved over the last few weeks offensively, and the Blue Devils should be able to move the ball consistently against an undersized Navy defense that isn't very good against the run or the pass. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. I had this number at 63 points. Take the over.
10-12-13	Missouri v. Georgia OVER 63.5		41-26	Win	100	47 h 8 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special The Missouri Tigers are one of the most improved teams in college football. James Franklin and Henry Josey were both banged up last year, and now that they are healthy this is a completely different offense. The Tigers have been piling up the yards. Missouri ranks in the top ten nationally in total offense. Missouri's one weakness as a team right now is the secondary. The Tigers secondary ranks 114th in the nation in pass defense. Georgia has a ton of injured players, and their defense isn't any good right now, but the Bulldogs can still air it out with quarterback Aaron Murray at the helm. Both teams should put up a lot of points here. The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Missouri's last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. The over is 7-0 in the Bulldogs last 7 games overall. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Georgia's last 4 against the SEC. In all, a 30-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
10-10-13	San Diego State v. Air Force OVER 51		27-20	Loss	-110	55 h 24 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The San Diego State Aztecs offense has come alive in the past three weeks. The Aztecs have scored 30, 26, and 51 points in their last three games. They should have plenty of success here against an Air Force defense that is among the worst in the country. Air Force is allowing 39.8 points per game this year. The Falcons are undersized on the defensive front, and San Diego State should be able to run all over Air Force. At the same time, Air Force's triple option is tough to defend, and San Diego State had a short week to prepare. Last year's game was low scoring between these two, but that was the exception rather than the rule. These teams have played a lot of high scoring games. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 conference games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two at Air Force. Take the over. Note- This line has moved since I locked it in early in the week. I would play this one up to, but not above 56 points. Thank you.
10-05-13	West Virginia v. Baylor OVER 64		42-73	Win	100	104 h 43 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The West Virginia Mountaineers and Baylor Bears will get together Saturday night. Last year, these teams played to a 70-63 final. West Virginia's offense isn't as good as last year, but their defense is just as bad. Baylor's offense is even better than last season. The Bears are averaging a ridiculous 751 yards of offense and 69.7 points per game so far this year. It wouldn't shock me if Baylor put up 60 points in this game by themselves. The posted total here looks far too low. West Virginia likes to play at a fast pace, and Baylor will be glad to run a ton of plays. I made the total in this one 79 points, so I love the value on the over. The over is 12-0 in Baylor's last 12 games following a win of 20 points or more. The over is 7-0 in Baylor's last 7 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in Baylor's last 6 after allowing less than 20 points in their last game. The over is 3-0-1 in the Bears last 4 following a bye week. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. A 32-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. Note- This line has been all over the place this week. I would play this one up to 69 points for 4 stars and for 3 stars up to 74 points. Thank you.
10-05-13	New Mexico State v. New Mexico OVER 59		17-66	Win	100	49 h 22 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total The New Mexico Lobos are great at running the football. They are awful at everything on the defensive end. New Mexico State is one of the worst teams in all of football, and they are particularly weak when it comes to stopping the run. New Mexico State is allowing 301 yards per game on the ground which is by far and away dead last in the nation. The Lobos should find running room all day long. New Mexico State allows 45.4 points per game defensively. New Mexico allows 40.2 points per game. Both these teams are bad, but they should both score a ton of points here. The over is 4-0 in the Aggies last 4 road games. The over is 8-1 in the Aggies last 9 games overall. The over is 7-1 in the Aggies last 8 non-conference games. The over is 7-1 in the Aggies last 8 following a loss. In all, a 26-3 angle backs this play. Take the over.
10-05-13	Fresno State v. Idaho OVER 65		61-14	Win	100	69 h 27 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown The Fresno State Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in college football. Derek Carr is a terrific quarterback who can make all the throws necessary. Idaho's defense won't have a chance to slow down this Bulldogs high-powered offense. At the same time, Fresno State's defense has been terrible this year. Fresno State is giving up 38.2 points per game. Idaho has scored 71 points in two home games this year. The Vandals should be able to put plenty on the board here. Fresno should comfortably put up at least 45-50 points here. The over is 8-2 in Idaho's last 10 games against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
10-05-13	East Carolina v. Middle Tenn State OVER 61		24-17	Loss	-111	51 h 21 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The East Carolina Pirates got their offense going in a big way last week against North Carolina. The Pirates racked up 55 points against an ACC defense. East Carolina has a rising star in quarterback Shane Carden. Middle Tennessee State hasn't shown the ability to stop anyone with a decent offense all year. The Blue Raiders offense is much more dangerous at home. East Carolina is going to score a lot of points here, so if MTSU is going to stay in this one they'll have to be ready offensively. The over is 14-2 in the Pirates last 16 games following a win by more than 20 points. The over is 5-0 in MTSU's last 5 after scoring less than 20 points in the previous game. Take the over.
10-05-13	Northern Illinois v. Kent State OVER 62.5		38-24	Loss	-106	44 h 19 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total The Northern Illinois Huskies are once again the team to beat in the MAC. Northern Illinois is piling up the points on a weekly basis. NIU is averaging 43.2 points per game. Kent State's defense is inexperienced this year, and the Golden Flashes will have trouble slowing down Jordan Lynch and company. Kent State's offense is much better now that Dri Archer is back in the lineup. Archer is the most electrifying player in the MAC. Northern Illinois has given up a bunch of points to everyone this year. Even Eastern Illinois racked up almost 600 yards and 39 points on NIU. The over is 4-0 in NIU's first 4 games this year. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf. The over is 4-1 in Kent State's last 5 following a win. Take the over here.
10-05-13	Texas San Antonio Roadrunners v. Marshall OVER 64.5	Top	10-34	Loss	-110	115 h 30 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB TOP Total of Week The Marshall Thundering Herd have a real weapon in quarterback Rakeem Cato. Cato has all the tools to be a good NFL quarterback in the future. He can absolutely pick apart lesser defenses like UTSA. UTSA has been stout against the run of late, but they don't have a good secondary. Marshall is the perfect team to expose UTSA's weakness in the secondary. UTSA's offense has looked very good this year. Marshall's defense is almost as bad as their offense is good. Both teams like to play fast and this one has high scoring game written all over it. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5 October games. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 games following a loss. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!
10-03-13	UCLA v. Utah OVER 57.5	Top	34-27	Win	100	76 h 34 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Total TAKEDOWN The UCLA Bruins and Utah Utes meet on Thursday night in a game televised by Fox Sports 1. UCLA had a bye week last week, so they'll be very fresh. The Bruins have one of the nation's best dual-threat quarterbacks in Brett Hundley. Hundley is a rising star in college football, and he is putting up some huge numbers this year. The Bruins offense is second in the nation in total offense at 614 yards per game. They are averaging 52 points per game. Utah changed their strategy in the offseason. The Utes now play an uptempo style employed by Dennis Erickson. Travis Wilson is a 6'7 quarterback who is getting this offense moving up and down the field consistently this season. The Utes have scored 148 points in their three home games this year. Both of these defenses lost their top players from last year, and I see the makings of a real shootout in this one. I made this one 68 points. The over is 6-0 in UCLA's last 6 Pac-12 games. The over is 5-0 in UCLA's last 5 after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 following a win. I recommend a 5 star play up to 61 points. I would play it for 4 stars up to 63 and 3 stars up to 64 points. Take the over big!
09-28-13	UNLV v. New Mexico OVER 54		56-42	Win	100	127 h 57 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total The UNLV Rebels have actually won two straight games for the first time in a very long time. UNLV still isn't a good team at all. They beat up on a short-handed Central Michigan team and FCS Western Illinois. The Rebels run defense is atrocious. New Mexico can't throw the ball, but Bob Davie's team can definitely run with the best of them. The Lobos are averaging 267 yards per game on the ground. Earlier this year, UNLV allowed 397 yards on the ground in a single game against Arizona. New Mexico's defense is one of the worst in the country, and they won't be able to stop anyone all season long. Both of these teams are giving up about 35 points per game. I like the value here. Take the over.
09-28-13	Air Force v. Nevada OVER 58.5		42-45	Win	100	41 h 33 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Air Force Falcons can run the football extremely well, but they can't stop anyone this year. Their defense is about as bad as you'll find anywhere. Air Force is undersized along the defensive front and their secondary isn't even as good as normal. Air Force will have a new quarterback here, but as long as he is decent in the triple option, this team will get some points against Nevada's horrible rushing defense. Air Force is allowing 41 points per game this year. Nevada is giving up 34 points per game this year. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 games in September. The over is 4-0 in Air Force's last 4 conference games. Take the over.
09-28-13	Arizona v. Washington OVER 63.5		13-31	Loss	-110	99 h 7 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown The Arizona Wildcats are much improved this season. Rich Rodriguez has one of the best running attacks in the country, and they should be able to move the football against everyone on their schedule. Steve Sarkisian has his most talented offense since he has been in Washington. Sarkisian decided to push the tempo on offense this year, and it has been paying off. Keith Price and Bishop Sankey are a terrific tandem in the backfield. Washington is averaging 629 yards per game this year. Arizona's defense hasn't faced a decent offense yet, and they will get chewed up here. The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings at Washington between these teams. Take the over.
09-28-13	Army v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 52		35-16	Win	100	123 h 56 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are a completely team different team this year. Louisiana Tech had a high flying offense last year, but this season their offense is terrible. Louisiana Tech's strength is their defensive line, which will help them in this game against an Army team that runs the ball on nearly every play. Louisiana Tech hasn't been able to score on questionable defenses such as Tulane and Kansas in recent weeks, and I don't expect them to put up all that many here either. The clock should be rolling through much of this game. The under is 4-0 in Army's last 4 neutral site games. The under is 4-0 in Army's last 4 games following a game where they allowed 200 yards on the ground. The under is 4-0 in LA Tech's last 4 games overall. Take the under.
09-28-13	UTEP v. Colorado State OVER 52		42-59	Win	100	25 h 52 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The UTEP Miners have a solid quarterback in Texas A&M transfer Jamiell Showers. Showers nearly beat out Johnny Manziel at Texas A&M before last season, but ended up transferring to UTEP. He has faced some good defenses this year, but I expect him to be able to put up big numbers against a Colorado State secondary that was torched by Colorado in game one. On the other side, UTEP's front seven is their weakness and the Rams should be able to exploit that. Colorado State has been much better offensively at home over the past few years. This total is set too low for two defenses that are below average. Take the over.
09-28-13	Oklahoma v. Notre Dame UNDER 51		35-21	Loss	-110	23 h 36 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Oklahoma/Notre Dame Total The Oklahoma Sooners and Notre Dame Fighting Irish will do battle in South Bend on Saturday. Oklahoma lost 30-13 to Notre Dame in Norman last year, and you better believe they'll want revenge here. The Sooners defense has been very good this year, and Notre Dame's offense has been very underwhelming. Notre Dame can't run the ball much at all, and the Sooners pass rush should get to Tommy Rees often. Notre Dame's defensive front is one of the best in the nation, and I don't expect this Oklahoma team to be able to run consistently on them. There should be a lot of field goals here as both defenses buckle down in the red zone. The under is 22-7 in Notre Dame's last 29 home games. Take the under.
09-28-13	Navy v. Western Kentucky OVER 58	Top	7-19	Loss	-110	110 h 47 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of the Month The Navy Midshipmen can run the football against just about anyone. It doesn't matter if their opponent knows the run is coming, because they can't stop it. Western Kentucky's weakness on defense is stopping the run. The Hilltoppers have been giving up running yards by the bunches. Opponents are running for 195 yards per game against them. Western Kentucky's offense is top-notch, and they have one of the most underrated runners in the country in Antonio Andrews. Andrews has already run for 6 TD's this year. Navy's defense isn't good, and I expect both teams to get huge chunks of yardage in this one. The over is 7-1 in the Hilltoppers last 8 home games. I expect a game that gets into the mid 60's at a minimum. Take the over in a big way here!
09-21-13	Texas State v. Texas Tech OVER 57.5		7-33	Loss	-110	24 h 20 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO Texas State and Texas Tech will get together this weekend. Texas State is going to be outmanned in a big way here. The Bobcats gave up 58 points to Texas Tech last year, and I could certainly see Tech topping 50 points once again in this one. Texas State's offense is slowly improving, and the Red Raiders defense doesn't normally shut too many opponents down. This total is several points lower than my numbers had it (62). Expect the Red Raiders high powered offense to do whatever they want in this one. The pace alone should allow for plenty of scoring opportunities. Take the over.

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