*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Marshall Thundering Herd were a high powered offense in the past, but they aren't that anymore. Marshall took a huge step backward when Rakeem Cato graduated. Marshall ranks 64th in the nation in total offense. I think the perception is still out there that Marshall is a good offense because of what they did in the past, and that gives us value on the under.

UConn's defense has gotten so much better under Bob Diaco. The Huskies are giving up only 19.8 points per game. This is a unit that has been consistently very good all season long. Marshall's defense is only allowing 18.4 points per game. I think both offenses will have a difficult time getting things going in this one.

The under is 5-0 in UConn's last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 non-conference games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss by 20 points or more. A 31-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and Arkansas State Red Wolves meet on Saturday night in New Orleans. Louisiana Tech has a really good offense with Jeff Driskel (Florida transfer) and Kenneth Dixon at quarterback and running back. Driskel was a disappointment at Florida, but he's been great at Louisiana Tech. Arkansas State's Fredi Knighten and Michael Gordon are a really nice quarterback and running back combination too. Both of these teams have big play ability on offense.

When you look at the schedules these two teams played, they didn't play very many dynamic offenses, and when they did, they gave up a bunch of points. Louisiana Tech just gave up 58 points against Southern Miss in their last game. Arkansas State allowed 31 points or more five times this year, and this will be the second most talented offense they have faced this year. Both offenses in this game prefer to play at a quick tempo.

The over is 5-0 in Arkansas State's last 5 games after gaining more than 450 yards last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 40 points or more last game. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. A 16-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star BYU/Utah Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars and the Utah Utes absolutely hate each other. This is one of the meanest rivalries in college football today. Both teams should be plenty motivated here. We are going to see some very hard hitting action. 

Utah's offense is really banged up right now. The Utes are expected to be without star running back Devontae Booker here. Booker carries a massive load for this offense. He's averaged nearly 5 yards per carry in his career, and he is a workhorse. Britain Covey, Utah's best receiver and best kick returner is also doubtful for this one. That means there will be a lot more pressure on Travis Wilson. Wilson isn't a guy I trust very much, especially when he doesn't have enough weapons at the skill positions around him.

BYU's offense hasn't been able to run this year, and Utah presents a major challenge for the Cougars offense. Utah has a tremendous pass rush and the Utes also have a very good secondary. 

I see both offenses struggling in a close game throughout. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Bowl Season Kickoff CASH* The New Mexico Lobos have the home field advantage in this one, but they are at a significant talent disadvantage. Rather than get involved on the side in this game, I'm going with the over. New Mexico and Arizona are two rushing attacks that both make a bunch of explosive plays. I think we'll see a lot of long runs in this game.

Arizona ranks 4th in the nation in pace of play. The Wildcats are going to look to get off as many plays as they can quickly, and that's obviously very helpful for an over. New Mexico's defense has improved quite a bit this year, but they haven't faced many offenses with the type of talent Arizona has.

Arizona's defense is giving up 4.42 yards per carry this year. The Wildcats haven't allowed less than 30 points in a single game in their last six contests. They allowed 45 points or more five times this year.

The over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 non-conference games. The over is 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. A 15-1 angle. Take the over.  

*5 Star Army/Navy TOP Play SMASHER* The Army Cadets and the Navy Midshipmen renew their tremendous rivalry this Saturday. This one will be played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The Navy Midshipmen had a great season in their first year in the American Athletic Conference. Army has struggled once again to a 2-9 record. 

Navy and Army have a long history of playing low scoring games against each other. It really makes a lot of sense. The single biggest advantage of running a triple option offense is that opposing defenses typically aren't accustomed to seeing it. That obviously isn't the case when these two teams play each other. The defenses work against triple option attacks every single day in practice.

Earlier this year, both of these teams played Air Force and both teams saw their games go under against Air Force. Army's game with Air Force was particularly telling. It was a 20-3 game that never got even close to the posted total. While Army's defense was bad overall this year, they did well against Air Force.

In the past nine years, there hasn't been a single game between these two finish with a higher total than 48 points.

The under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. The under is 10-1 in Army's last 11 games in December. The under is 10-1 in Navy's last 11 games in December. The under is 5-0 in Navy's last 5 neutral site games. The under is 6-1 in Navy's last 7 on grass. A 40-3 angle. Take the under big.  This line is dropping through the week. I would play this for a top rated play down to 49 points. *TOP Rated Play*

*4 Star Pac 12 Title MONEY Total* The Stanford Cardinal and USC Trojans meet in the Pac 12 title game this Saturday night. USC's defense has been a big disappointment this year. USC ranks number 70 in the nation in total defense this year. They are giving up 400 yards per game. USC gave up more than 40 points three times this year, including their first meeting this year with Stanford.

Stanford's defense isn't very good either. They are 50th in the nation in total defense. Stanford has allowed more than 30 points four times this year. USC has an improved running game since their first meeting with Stanford, and I think their improved balance as an offense will help them find success against Stanford's mediocre defense.

Christian McCaffrey is one of the best game breakers in the nation, and USC gives up a bunch of big plays. Kevin Hogan is a winner who makes big plays when needed. USC has plenty of offensive playmakers. The over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings between these two teams. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB MAC MONEYMAKER* The Bowling Green offense is as dynamic as they come, so this isn't an easy bet to make, but there are several reasons I like this one. Bowling Green's rushing defense has improved over the course of the season, and Northern Illinois has a very inexperienced quarterback under center. While I think Northern Illinois will still get plenty of yards on the ground, I think their inability to move it through the air will bog things down a bit in the red zone. Look for Bowling Green's defense to force Northern Illinois into some field goals.

In addition, Northern Illinois has a good coach and I'm going to assume that they know they need to slow the tempo of the game down. The Huskies aren't likely to be able to win a shootout here. They will likely look to run the ball a bunch and use up a lot of clock. 

One final key factor, the public is betting the over here in a big way (75-80%) and yet the total has edged down throughout the week. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Temple Owls defense held a very good Memphis offense to only four field goals last weekend. Temple has struggle with offenses that have a good runner at quarterback, but UConn doesn't have that. In fact, UConn's starting QB is listed as questionable here. Even with him, the team is averaging less than 20 points per game against a relatively weak schedule. UConn has been much more competitive this year thanks to their ability to shut down the running game. Temple's offense isn't dynamic, and UConn should be able to slow them down. Both defenses have a clear advantage. Take the under. *Note- This has moved down since I picked it earlier this week- I would play this for 3 stars at anything below 42. Thank you.*

*3 Star Play Over* The Arkansas State Red Wolves rushed for nearly 500 yards against New Mexico State last year! That's video game type numbers, and I won't be surprised if they come close to reaching it again. New Mexico State ranks third worst in the country in run defense and they are allowing more than six yards per carry. The Red Wolves offense likes to play fast and they have a good runner at QB in Knighten and two good RB's. New Mexico State's offense has been much better in recent weeks, and Arkansas State isn't very good defensively. Expect a shootout. Take the over. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The Vanderbilt Commodores have been a great team for under bettors this year. Vanderbilt hasn't been able to get an offense going all year, but the defense is much better than it was a year ago. Coach Mason has a strong defensive background and the team has taken to that identity this year. Tennessee has played well in recent weeks. I had the under in their game last week against Missouri and the Volunteers did all they needed to do to win against a bad offense. I expect the same from them in this one.

The Volunteers clearly have the much more talented team, and I expect them to win. Having said that, these rivalry games can be closer than expected, and Vanderbilt's defensive numbers are impressive. The Volunteers may well be needing to kick field goals and win in an ugly contest. Vanderbilt isn't going to be able to get much of anything going offensively. 

The under is 7-0 in Vanderbilt's last 7 road games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 November games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 275 yards or less last game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after throwing for 170 yards or less last game. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following an ATS loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the Volunteers last 4 November games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. The under is 3-0 in the last 3 between these teams. 

Take the under big! CFB Top Play of the Week 

*4 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total* The Illinois Fighting Illini and Northwestern Wildcats are pretty similar teams in that they both struggle on offense and are much improved on defense. Northwestern obviously has the much better record, but the line here indicates Las Vegas expects a close game throughout. The forecast calls for 20-25 mph winds through the game, which will likely mean even more running than there would have been. A running clock with a bunch of running plays is great news for under bettors. Both defensive lines are strong. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Syracuse Orange offense has been a mess all year. The Boston College offense is an absolute disaster. While Syracuse's defense isn't nearly as good as they have been in recent years, they don't really need to be to hold down Boston College. Boston College hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game vs. an FBS opponent all year. There's no reason to expect it here either. At the same time, Syracuse is so bad that Boston College is the favorite in this game. There are plenty of reasons to expect a really sloppy game where neither team can get going. 

The under is 4-0 in Boston College's last 4 November games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 on turf. The under is 10-1 in Boston College's last 11 following a loss. A 20-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Georgia Bulldogs defense has been very good this year. They have given up 6 points or less on three occasions. They've allowed 14 points or less in six games this year. Georgia Tech's offense has been really struggling to score touchdowns this year. The Yellow Jackets confidence is extremely low right now, and Georgia's defense is likely to make it tough for them here. On the other side, Georgia has no passing game. The Bulldogs have a good running game, but when you are completely one-dimensional it makes you much easier to defend. In rivalry games like this one, we typically see lower scoring games.

The under is 5-0 in Georgia's last 5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 20 points or less. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 after giving up 170 yards or less through the air last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 November games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up more than 200 rushing yards. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. A 40-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Pac 12 Total* The Washington State Cougars offense is a well-oiled machine with Luke Falk at quarterback. He's the perfect fit for a Mike Leach offense. Washington State doesn't run the ball because they don't need to. Colorado's secondary has been picked apart all year, and it should happen again here. Falk has a bunch of great wide receivers, and Colorado doesn't have the secondary to keep them in check.

Washington State's defense has been giving up a ton of yards, and Colorado's backup quarterback is a guy the team is very high on. He'll start here and I think he has a good opportunity to do well for the Buffaloes against a mediocre at best defense. Take the over. 

*5 Star College Football TOP Play of Week* The Boston College Eagles have the number one ranked defense in the nation. Why do they have such a bad record? Because their offense is awful. 

Boston College is giving up only 2.12 yards per carry this year, which is truly an amazing number. The Eagles defense has allowed 14 points or less in 6 of their 10 games this season. Steve Addazio's team works extremely hard on the defensive end.

Boston College has one of the worst offenses in the country. How bad are they? Well they have scored 10 points or less in 5 of their 8 games this year against FBS opponents. They haven't scored more than 17 points against an FBS opponent this year! 

Notre Dame's defense isn't great, but they should look great against Boston College's offense. The Fighting Irish and the Eagles both play at a slow tempo. We should see the game clock moving most of the time with a lot of running the football here. 

The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. The under is 9-1 in Boston College's last 10 following a loss. A 15-1 angle. Take the under big! NCAA FB TOP Play of the Week

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Missouri Tigers defense has been great all year and their offense has been awful all year. For some reason, Missouri's offensive coaches have decided to continue to try to throw the ball with Drew Lock at quarterback despite him having next to no success all year. The running game doesn't get enough carries. Tennessee's defense is pretty good against the run, and Missouri will struggle to score.

Tennessee's offense has been very inconsistent this year. The Volunteers are likely to face a very spirited Missouri defense though in what is Gary Pinkel's last home game coaching the Missouri Tigers. This defense has been nasty at home.

The weather here looks like it could be helpful too. The wind will gust to 25 miles per hour, which definitely hurts the offense.

The under is 3-0-1 in the Volunteers last 4 November games. The under is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 after giving up less than 100 rushing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 SEC games. A 17-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The Oregon State Beavers starting quarterback is out. Their second string quarterback has struggled and he is dinged up. He will either play hurt or they'll be on their third string quarterback. Washington's defense has impressed me all year. The Huskies stop unit is unlikely to give up much of anything against this Oregon State offense. I'll be very surprised if Oregon tops 14 points. 

Washington's offense has been really inconsistent this year, and traditionally Oregon State's defense plays much better at home. The Beavers have spoken about their poor performances against Washington of late and they want to make amends for those showings. The defense should show improvement in this game.

The under is 7-0 in the Huskies last 7 road games. The under is 7-0 in Washington's last 7 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 2-0 in Oregon State's last 2 home games. A 21-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Old Dominion Monarchs have steadily improved their offensive production for the year. Old Dominion's defense has been awful all year. They are allowing 34 points per game. Southern Miss' offense averages 38.6 per contest, and the Golden Eagles are one of the most improved teams in the nation this year. They average 5.22 yards per carry, and Mullens is a very good quarterback in this system. Look for a lot of big plays from both offenses. Take the over in this one. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Utah Utes defense has been elite against the run, but they have given up a lot of big plays in the passing game. Josh Rosen and the UCLA wideouts should be able to take advantage of that. Utah's offense has big play ability, and I think this UCLA defense has been one of the most overrated units in the country this season. They are now without their best two players in the front seven, and Utah should move the ball a lot in this one. Weather won't be an issue here and I'll take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The North Carolina Tar Heels are playing some tremendous football of late. I don't think they have gotten the credit they deserve. North Carolina has always had a great offense, but this year their defense has stepped up in a big way. The Tar Heels secondary has turned into one of the best in the country. Gene Chizik is doing great work with this unit. 

Virginia Tech's defense has had a lot of injuries this year, but they are still a solid unit, especially against the pass. Bud Foster will dial up some unique blitz packages to confuse the Tar Heels offense here. Virginia Tech is playing their final home game, which means this is Frank Beamer's last game in Blacksburg. Expect a spirited effort from the Hokies defense.

The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two at Virginia Tech. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings overall. A 12-1 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star College Football TOP Play of the MONTH* The UCLA Bruins defense is missing their top three players, and it has shown on multiple occasions this year. Stanford put up 56 points in three quarters against them. Colorado lit them up for 31 points and a whopping 554 yards. Colorado had 312 passing yards in that game. In their home loss to Arizona State, UCLA allowed 465 yards of total offense.

Washington State's offense is great with Luke Falk at the quarterback spot. Falk is the perfect quarterback for Mike Leach's system. Falk is a tall quarterback who sees over the defense. He gets rid of the ball quickly, and he spreads the ball around to all of Washington State's talented receivers. The Cougars wide receivers have a definite advantage over UCLA's banged up secondary.

UCLA's offense should move the ball with ease as well. As usual, Washington State doesn't have much at all in the way of defense. The Cougars defense is giving up 30.1 points per game. They have allowed at least 30 points in 5 of their last 6 games. Josh Rosen looks great at quarterback, and Paul Perkins is underrated as running back at UCLA.

Both teams move the ball well here. This line is far too low. Take the over big! College Football TOP Play of the Month. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Cincinnati Bearcats have an excellent quarterback in Gunner Kiel. Kiel threw for more than 500 yards last week at Houston. He could put up those kinds of numbers once again here. Tulsa has a very weak secondary that should be exploited by the combination of Kiel and Cincinnati's very good wide receivers. 

Tulsa plays at the single fastest pace of any team in the country. The Golden Hurricane will be working against a Cincinnati defense that has struggled both last year and this year. With weather conditions looking good for Saturday's game, I see a shootout in this one. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Houston Cougars and Memphis Tigers can both put up points in a hurry. Houston is a really well balanced offense that hasn't been stopped very effectively by anyone this year. Memphis has Paxton Lynch, an excellent quarterback, and the Tigers should be able to move the ball through the air effectively. Houston's defense allowed more than 500 yards passing last week against Cincinnati. The Memphis defense was just torched by Navy last weekend. Memphis' defense is likely to be hurting a little extra, because the blocking schemes that Navy runs are noted as being tough to bounce back from right away. Both teams push the tempo and I'll take the over here. 

*4 Star Play Over* This Texas State defense is among the worst in the nation, and Georgia State's is barely any better. In fact, they both rank in the bottom 15 out of 128 teams in the nation in terms of total defense. Both offense play at a quick pace, so we should see a lot of snaps in this one. With these two defenses on the field a lot, I think there will be a lot of big plays from both teams. I think this game gets into the 70's in a close game where both offenses put up points easily. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores defense has put together some really impressive performances this year. Vanderbilt gave up only 14 points to an amazing Western Kentucky offense earlier this year. They allowed only 9 points last week at Florida. They have allowed 14 points or less in six of their nine games so far this year. Kentucky's offense has been a mess this year. Vanderbilt's offense is a disaster right now. For as good as the defense is, the offense is that bad. They were shutout by Houston and then scored only 7 at Florida. Western Kentucky's awful defense allowed only 12 points against Vanderbilt. This total is low for a reason.

The under is 5-0 in Vandy's last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 yards rushing or less. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 170 yards passing or less. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 on turf. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The under is 3-0 in the last 3 games between these two teams. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Alabama/Mississippi State MONEY* The Alabama Crimson Tide defense is outstanding. The show that defensive front put on against LSU and Leonard Fournette. Holding him to 31 yards rushing is an amazing accomplishment. Mississippi State isn't nearly the dynamic offense they were last year. The Bulldogs have an exceptional quarterback in Dak Prescott, but he has little help around him. Prescott is accustomed to running the football a lot, but I can't imagine Alabama's defensive front letting him get much running room here.

Mississippi State's defense has been excellent this year as well. Alabama has a good ground game, but the passing attack is questionable at best. The Bulldogs defense has been great at home in recent years, and they have stopped Alabama well in the past. 

The under is 8-1 in the Bulldogs last 9 SEC games. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two in Starkville. A 15-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Tulane Green Wave did a really nice job defending the triple option when they played Navy a few weeks ago. Navy won that game, but it wasn't nearly as easy as expected for the Midshipmen. Tulane's defense should be able to defend the Army triple option well again here. Navy runs the triple option more effectively than Army does. 

Army moves at the slowest pace of any team in the country. That means we'll see a lot of running clock and the play clock rolling down to a couple seconds before snapping it. The Tulane offense has been woeful all year. Army's defense isn't very good, but they should be able to contain Tulane's offense enough. Take the under here. *Note- This line has moved a few points- I would play this for 4 stars down to 45 and for 3 stars down to 42.5.*

*3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* The Cal Golden Bears have come undone in recent weeks after starting the season red hot. Cal's passing attack hasn't been as good lately. They should look a lot better in this one against an Oregon secondary that has been blasted by every decent quarterback they have gone up against. Goff has a bounce back game here. 

Vernon Adams makes this Oregon Ducks offense so much better. He was injured earlier this year, and the team just couldn't get going like normal. He's now healthy, and he's the playmaker the team was missing. Adams makes something out of nothing on a consistent basis.

It's expected to be rainy for this one, but importantly wind isn't expected to be a factor. Rain itself doesn't necessarily hurt scoring because there can actually be more turnovers that lead to easy points or special teams touchdowns. Wind is a negative for the over, but wind isn't going to hurt here.

Look for a high scoring game. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Under* The Washington Huskies defense has been tremendous this year. Washington wasn't expected to do much of anything this year, and the fact that they have tells me Chris Petersen is doing a great job here. The Huskies offense still needs a lot of work, but their defense has been amazing in their last few contests.

Utah's defensive line is the best in the Pac 12. Look for them to make life very difficult on Browning and the Huskies offensive front. Devontae Booker is the Utes main weapon on offense and they have to give him the ball a bunch here. Washington has been great against the run though.

The weather is important here as well with rain and winds of 15 to 20 mph possible during the game. That weather is favorable for the under. Take the under big. 

*Note- This line has moved significantly since I played it early in the week- I would currently play the under for 3 stars. Thank you*

*4 Star Play Under* The Navy Midshipmen know they don't want a high scoring affair against a Memphis team that can put up the points in a hurry. What will they do? They'll look to play keep away with Keenan Reynolds and their tremendous triple option attack. Look for Navy to slowly drive the ball down the field and hold a big time of possession advantage in this game. I think both teams will score on a lot of drives here, but I don't think there will be enough possessions for them to get past this very high total.

It's very rare to see this high of a total in a Navy game because of their methodical style of play. I see it as a good chance to take the value on the under. Look for this one to stay in the 50's. Take the under. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* These two teams are a lot like each other. Both of them have a defense that plays hard and rallies to the ball. They both also have a terrible offense that has struggled to put together consistent drives against anyone. Last year when these teams met the final score was 12-3! I'm not necessarily saying this one will be that low, but I do think it will be another game with a lot of field goals. This one has sloppy game written all over it.

Both of these teams run the ball a lot, and both defenses are solid against the run. Tulane's defense really impressed me a couple weeks ago when they played Navy. UConn's defense has gotten better quickly under Bob Diaco. Neither team is designed in a way where they will make big plays very often. We'll look for a lot of running clock and strong defense from both teams throughout.

The under is 9-0 in Tulane's last 9 games after gaining 170 yards or less through the air last game. The under is 6-0 in UConn's last 6 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in the Huskies last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing last game. A 19-0 angle. Take the under big! 

*4 Star CFB Rivalry Total* The Air Force Falcons and Army Cadets both run the triple option all the time. I've had a lot of success playing unders in these situations before. Air Force and Army both defend the triple option on a daily basis, and that gives their defense a huge advantage over other teams who aren't accustomed to playing against this defense. 

Since both teams will be running the ball almost every single down, the clock will be ticking a lot in this one. That's really important when you bet an under. Additionally, Army's tempo is the slowest in the country so far this year, so they really milk the clock. 

The familiarity with the triple option should lead to a lower than expected game. Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Over* Here's a game between two defenses that are regressing and two offenses that are improving on a weekly basis. Washington State's offense has the perfect signal caller in Luke Falk. Falk spreads the ball around to the many talented wide receivers for the Cougars. There hasn't been a defense that has been able to stop them yet this year.

Arizona State is good against the run, but Washington State doesn't even attempt to run the football. The Cougars are going to be airing it out. Washington State's defense has been unable to stop anyone this year. Arizona State has been a lot better in recent weeks on offense.

This number is a few points too low. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The Michigan Wolverines defense didn't look quite as good last week in their close win over Rutgers. They should look a whole lot better here against a Rutgers offense that is a disaster right now.

Rutgers scored 7 points on Ohio State two weeks ago and that was a touchdown with 30 seconds left against the Buckeyes second and third team defensive players. Last week, Rutgers scored only 3 points on offense against Wisconsin. It wouldn't surprise me to see them shutout or very close to it in this one.

Michigan's offense is a run first attack and they move very slowly. They aren't going to pile up a bunch of points on many people. The wind is expected to be 20 to 25 mph during this game, which means both passing attacks should struggle. 

The under is 6-0 in the Wolverines last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. I think they make it 7 straight unders. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers had a big lead last year when they played at Florida Atlantic. They blew that lead and suffered a stunning loss. They'll be out for revenge here. Western Kentucky's offense is dynamic with Brandon Doughty spreading the ball around to a bunch of wide receivers. Now Anthony Wales has turned into a game breaker at the running back spot as well. This offense is scary good, and Florida Atlantic's defense hasn't been good against even subpar offenses. Western Kentucky is going to put up a big number here. 

The Hilltoppers still have a weak defense as evidenced by Old Dominion scoring a bunch on them last week. Florida Atlantic should be able to get in the end zone several times as well.

*Note- This line has moved up since I picked earlier in the week. I would play this for 4 stars up to 66 and for 3 stars up to 70 points. Thank you*

*4 Star CFB Thursday Night THUNDER* The Missouri Tigers haven't seen a single game this year go over the posted total. Missouri has the perfect combination of a terrible offense and a great defense. Missouri has virtually no passing game, and the running game is slowed down by quality defenses because they stack the box. Mississippi State has been great against the run this year, and I can't imagine the Bulldogs are going to let Missouri bet them on the ground here.

Dak Prescott is a really good quarterback for Mississippi State, but he clearly has less weapons around him than he did last year. Prescott is likely to have a difficult time against this Missouri defense. The Tigers defensive line is great at getting into the backfield and sacking the quarterback or stuffing a run behind the line.

This line has surprisingly climbed so far this week. I'm glad to take the under in this spot because my number for this one was 39 points. 

The under is 8-0 in the Bulldogs last 8 SEC games. The under is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 after giving up 20 points or less last game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 170 yards or less through the air. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 SEC games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 games overall. A 40-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB SEC Total* The Kentucky Wildcats defense has really shown signs of wearing down the last couple weeks. Auburn's very weak offense was able to move the ball consistently against them, and then last week Dak Prescott and Mississippi State did whatever they wanted against this Kentucky defense. Tennessee had a rough time offensively against Alabama, but this Volunteers offense has been very good against lesser defenses, and that's what Kentucky is this year. Tennessee's defense has been mediocre at best. These are two teams that play at a pretty quick tempo. Take the over.

*The line has moved since I selected this earlier this week. I would play this one up to 58 points. Thank you*

*3 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Georgia State Panthers have a similar strategy on offense when it comes to getting off a bunch of plays. Both teams look to hustle to the line and get the snap off quickly. That's a big benefit for over bettors because it creates more plays and more chances to score. Arkansas State's defense has regressed this year, and they have been giving up a lot of big plays. Georgia State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. The Panthers should get absolutely torched by Arkansas State's elite ground game. Both Knighten and Gordon have game breaking ability in the backfield. This total dropped throughout the week, which gives us a nice value play.

The over is 6-0 in Georgia State's last 6 following an ATS cover. The over is 7-0 in Arkansas State's last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 October games. An 18-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Florida Gators defense is still one of the best in the country. Florida's offense will likely have a difficult time making big plays without Will Grier. At the same time, I see Georgia having a ton of trouble on offense in this game. Georgia's Greyson Lambert hasn't played a good game against a top defense yet, and I don't think this will be one either. Florida is going to dare Georgia to beat them through the air here. Look for Florida to stack the box and do a nice job slowing down the Bulldogs running game. This should be a hard fought game where both defenses have the upper hand. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The Texas Tech Red Raiders have been a scoring machine this year. Mahomes has proven to be an upgrade at the quarterback spot and that has made this Red Raiders offense much more dangerous than they were last year. Mahomes does a good job getting rid of the ball quickly, and he spreads it around to all their talented receivers. 

Oklahoma State's offense has feasted on the Texas Tech defense for years now, and I don't see why it would be any different this year. Oklahoma State's quarterback play has been better recently, and Texas Tech's secondary has been making everyone look good this year.

Both of these teams love to play an uptempo style and we will see a ton of big plays throughout this game. The combination of a quick pace and explosive plays is great for the over. This number is high, but it's high for good reason. 

The over is 7-0 in Texas Tech's last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 40 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record on the road. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star ACC Total* The Boston College Eagles offense is just horrendous. How bad were they last week? Boston College had 4 first downs and 79 total yards of offense against a Louisville defense that is decent, but not amazing. Wow. Boston College is routinely scoring less than 10 points in games. Virginia Tech's offense is once again underperforming this year, but the defense is solid with a great coordinator in Bud Foster. Look for both teams to struggle to get anything going offensively in this game. While this total is posted extremely low, it's low for a reason. I made this total 34 points, and with the way both of these offenses have looked lately, I'm taking the under. 

*4 Star CFB Big 10 Total* The Wisconsin Badgers have been a very good under team this year. It makes sense because Wisconsin has one of the top five defenses in the country. In the past, the Badgers have had one of the best ground games in the country, but they don't this year. Wisconsin's offensive line has struggled throughout the year, and the running back situation hasn't been nearly as good thanks to injury issues. Rutgers has been pretty good at slowing down the running attack this year, so I think they can hold their own for the most part. Rutgers' Leonte Caroo is questionable with an injury this weekend and he's a huge deal to this offense. The Scarlet Knights offense has virtually no passing game without him. Last week, Ohio State held Rutgers scoreless until Rutgers scored with a few seconds left in the game on a garbage touchdown. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night THUNDER* The Pittsburgh Panthers are playing at the second slowest tempo of any team in the country. Pittsburgh is a team that is going to run the ball early and often, and they are going to use the clock. In their final drive against Syracuse last week, they ran off nearly 10 minutes of clock and kicked a field goal. Those are the kind of things that under bettors have to love. It doesn't hurt that the Panthers have a strong defense either.

North Carolina is known for their offense, but Gene Chizik has done a really nice job with this team's defense this year. This defense was a laughing stock a year ago, and now they have been pretty good this season.

Another important factor here is the weather. There are expected to be wind gusts of 30 mph at times throughout this game. What does that mean? Well it means their should be a lot more running, and running the football means a running clock. It also usually means less explosive plays. 

The under is 6-0 in North Carolina's last 6 Thursday games. Take the under in this one. 

*Surprisingly- this line has moved up. I would take the under for a 4 star play at 59 points or higher. Thank you. 

*3 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The Mississippi State Bulldogs offense is far worse than it was a year ago. Dak Prescott is still a great playmaker at quarterback, but he has very little help around him. The Bulldogs have been able to put up points in bunches against non-conference opponents, but they haven't been very good against SEC foes. Kentucky's defensive improvement is the main reason this team has been far more competitive in the last couple seasons. I made this total 51.5, so I see enough value to make a play.

The under is 7-0 in the Bulldogs last 7 conference games. The under is 3-0-1 in Kentucky's last 4 conference games. The under is 5-0-1 in Kentucky's last 6 after throwing for 280 yards or more last game. A 15-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Utah/USC Total DOMINATION* The USC Trojans put forth a good effort last weekend in Notre Dame, but they came home with a loss. USC's offensive line has had issues this year, and the Trojans are playing against the best defensive front in the conference in Utah. The Utes will be pressuring Cody Kessler all night on Saturday. The USC offense has been very inconsistent this year, and in recent years they have had trouble moving the ball against Utah. While Utah's defense and special teams are tremendous, the Utes are too one dimensional on offense. Booker is a great runner, but they have no other playmakers on offense. A total of 60 is too high with these two teams. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Total of the Week* The UTEP Miners offense is totally lost without their starting quarterback and starting running back. Aaron Jones was the team's leading rusher last year, and they were counting on him to be the star again this year, but he is injured and likely out for the season. Without him at running back, this team is a mess. UTEP's pace of play is one of the 5 slowest in the country. Florida Atlantic's defense is better than their offense. The defense isn't special, but they shouldn't need to be to slow down this UTEP offense. This one should be ugly all the way, but ugly is usually a good thing for under bettors. The line has shifted down a bit since I bet this one early in the week, but it's still a 5 star play for me. My number for this game was only 45 points.

The under is 5-1 in FAU's last 6 on turf. The under is 4-0 in UTEP's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 13-1 angle. Take the under big! 

*3 Star Play Over* The Idaho Vandals defense is one of the five worst in the country. Anytime I see an Idaho posted total this low, the over is worth a look. Louisiana Monroe had a solid defense in the past, but this year they have been much weaker. Both of these teams play quickly and there should be a lot of possessions for both offenses. The total was hit down in the market which made this one get into the play range for me. Look for a back and forth game that goes over the total. Last year, the final was 38-31 when these two played. This one gets to the 60's too. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Wildcats rank second in the nation in terms of pace per play. They love to play uptempo. Mike Leach has always been an uptempo guy, and he has a great quarterback in Luke Falk. Falk threw 6 touchdowns in the first half last weekend! Arizona's defense has been torched on a consistent basis this year, and I think Washington State will do the same to them here. Arizona's defense wasn't great to start with, and now they are banged up. Washington State's defense is bad once again this year, and Rich Rod's team has lots of speed and weapons on offense. 

The over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 after a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more passing. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after running for 200 yards or more last game. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 overall. A 29-1 angle. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Under* The South Florida Bulls and the SMU Mustangs both rank in the bottom 25 in terms of pace in the nation. With a high total and two teams that take a lot of time in between plays, there is value on the under. South Florida's defense is the best unit on the field here, and SMU should have trouble scoring. While USF might be capable of winning this one big, I don't see them running up the score in a spot where they would likely be better to rest their players and be happy with a comfortable win. Take the under. *Note- This line has moved since I selected it on Monday. I would play this one down to 58.5 points which is available at most books now late in the week. Thank you*

*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Wisconsin Badgers have become a really good under team. The Badgers defense is as strong as ever. They are good against both the run and the pass. The Wisconsin offense though is much weaker than they have been in recent years. Corey Clement is hurt and the backups aren't getting the job done in the running game. The offensive line is far less dominating than they have been in recent years. Joel Stave isn't a good quarterback either. Illinois has slowed down their tempo and they have played some low scoring games this year. The weather is important here too. Winds of 20 mph with showers are expected during the game. That's good news for under bettors.

The under is 5-0 in the Badgers last 5. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on turf. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 275 yards or less. The under is 4-0 in Illinois' last 4 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 200 yards or more on the ground last game. A 30-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star Mac Total* The Ohio Bobcats defense is one of the best in the MAC. They didn't show it last week. Frank Solich is a great coach, and I expect he will have this Ohio defense ready to go this week. The Bobcats are a team that runs the ball a lot on offense and uses up the clock and so is Buffalo. Buffalo's star running back is Anthone Taylor. He is listed as questionable here, and even if he does play he won't be 100 percent. This should be a close game all the way, but I think it will be low scoring. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Pittsburgh Panthers defense has been amazing this year led by new head coach Pat Narduzzi. Narduzzi was awesome as Michigan State's defensive coordinator, and now the Panthers defense has immediately gotten better in a big way. Pitt only allowed 100 total yards of offense a couple weeks ago at Virginia Tech. The Panthers defensive line will have a huge advantage over Syracuse's offensive front. The Orange are starting a quarterback who simply isn't very good. He started the year as the fifth quarterback option for the team. Pittsburgh will run the ball and use up clock. Look for Pitt to win a low scoring game. Take the under. 

*This line has moved since I first selected it- I recommend playing this for 4 stars down to 49 and it would be a 3 star play down to 46. Thank you*

*4 Star Play Over* The Charlotte 49ers are a team that doesn't make much sense to me. There's no question they are at a big talent disadvantage against just about everyone on their schedule (Southern Miss included), but they continue to play as fast as possible. Charlotte ranks 10th in the nation in pace. It is crushing their defense. The 49ers defense is giving up 32.3 points per game (that figure will likely continue to rise) and they have been torched by anyone that has a decent passing game. Southern Miss' offense is much improved this year. Southern Miss puts up a big number and Charlotte does enough. Take the over.

*This line has moved significantly since I picked it late on Monday. I would play this for 4 stars up to 62 and for 3 stars up to 65.5. Thank you*

*4 Star UCLA/Cal Total DOMINATION* The Cal Golden Bears offense is excellent with Jared Goff at the helm. Goff can shred up most secondaries, and UCLA's defense is much weaker now that they have lost Moreau (best CB) Jack (best LB) and Vanderdoes (best DL). The Bruins defense has been really bad in recent weeks, and I think they give up a bunch of points here too. At the same time, Cal's defense isn't impressive. While they are a little better than they have been in the past couple years, they are still weak. Josh Rosen is a very good freshman, and the UCLA ground game is impressive with Paul Perkins leading the way. I think this game gets into the 70's. Take the over. 

*Note- This line has gone up  since I selected this Monday. I would make this play all the way up to 71 points. Thank you*

*4 Star CFB Thursday Night THUNDER* The Georgia Southern Eagles take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers in what should be a really interesting game. Georgia Southern's triple option attack is really good, but they meet an Appalachian State team that has the best defense in the Sun Belt. Appalachian State hosts here, and this is a huge game for both teams. Appalachian State essentially never gets to host a television game, but that's what they have here. Expect a really good home field advantage for them. Appalachian State's offense and Georgia Southern's offense have something in common: they both move very slowly and run it almost every down. 

With almost no passing going on, it will be tough to reach this high of a posted total. The clock will keep running throughout this game. The last two meetings between these two have stayed well under the posted total. The under is 5-1 in App State's last 6 games overall. I think Appalachian State's defense defends the triple option well and this game stays under the total. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Tuesday Night Total DOMINATION* The Arkansas State Red Wolves have a high powered offense led by Fredi Knighten. Knighten is the team's star quarterback. He missed a few games earlier this year, and the team suffered, but he came back last week and the offense looked great in a 49-27 win. Arkansas State lost 55-40 despite gaining 595 yards last year when these two teams met. Louisiana Lafayette isn't the team they were last year, but they should get scoring chances against an Arkansas State defense that isn't very good. This is a conference where high scoring games is the norm, and I think we'll see another one of them on Tuesday night. 

The over is 6-0 in Arkansas State's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games in October. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 14-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star NCAA FB Pac 12 Total* The Arizona Wildcats are playing at the second fastest tempo of any team in the country. Who's the fastest? The Baylor Bears. Anu Solomon is back and healthy, and with he and Wilson in the backfield Arizona is going to be able to score a lot against Colorado. The Buffaloes defense isn't good, and they have been worn down in the second half in several contests. The Colorado offense should get a lot more scoring opportunities than they normally do. Arizona's defense is badly banged up, and their linebackers aren't good at all without Wright and Ippolito. Colorado also plays at a fast tempo, and other than last week, Arizona's defense has been getting shredded by everyone. I think this gets into the 70's. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The Florida Gators season took a big hit when Will Grier was suspended for a year after testing positive for PED's. While the Florida offense will likely look more vanilla this weekend, it is important to remember that Florida's defense is elite. LSU has absolutely no passing game right now. In a recent game, LSU completed 4 out of 14 passes against lowly Eastern Michigan. LSU is going to have to run it nearly every down here. While Leonard Fournette is a beast, this Florida defense is good and they'll be stacking the box up every time. 

On the other side, LSU's defense hasn't been quite as good so far this year as expected, but they should bring their best effort in this one. Florida's Treon Harris isn't a particularly good passer, and LSU has a great secondary. Florida is likely to be one-dimensional as well.

With a running clock throughout the game and two offenses that have very little passing game, I expected a lower total than this. I like this value. Take the under. 

*4 Star Big 12 Total* The Kansas State Wildcats offense has been a lot better than expected so far this year. They have a passing game that has seen quite a bit of success in recent weeks. Kansas State is a top ten ranked offense by advanced metrics. Oklahoma's air raid attack has been very successful this year except for their last game, a loss against Texas. Kansas State's defense is banged up, and they aren't as talented as they have been in recent years. Even in the past couple years when Oklahoma wasn't playing an uptempo offensive style, the game between these two teams has finished at 72 and 61 points. This one should be a close one all the way, and the chance of overtime is another benefit to the over. Take the over here. 

*3 Star Michigan State/Michigan MONEY* The Michigan Wolverines defense hasn't allowed a single point in their last three games. They have allowed a grand total of 14 points in their last five games! This defense is playing better than anyone else in the nation, and it isn't even close. Michigan State's defense is still solid, and their defensive line has a huge advantage over Michigan's offensive line. Look for the Spartans to get in the Wolverines backfield a lot in this game.

As good as Michigan's defense is, I believe their offense still has a lot to prove. Jake Rudock is nothing more than a game manager. Michigan State is going to try to make him beat them through the air. Connor Cook doesn't have enough weapons around him on offense this year. 

Both of these teams play very slowly. In fact, they are both in the bottom 20 in the nation in pace of play. A lot of running clock and solid defense throughout this one. Take the under. 

*4 Star MAC Totals TKO* The UMass Minutemen rank in the top ten in the nation in terms of pace of play. UMass is going to get snaps off quickly and look to put up a big number. Blake Frohnapfel is one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country. He has a nice group of receivers led by Tajae Sharpe. UMass has an offense that should be able to score quite a few on almost every defense in the MAC. The UMass defense is one of the worst in the country. Kent State has struggled on offense this year, but they should look better in this one against a bad defense. Kent State is moving quicker on offense than last year as well. Take the over in this contest. 

*3 Star CFB Total VALUE* The Minnesota Golden Gophers have a hard nosed team that battles on every down. They aren't the most talented team, but they'll work as hard as anyone. Nebraska has had several really tough losses so far this year. The Cornhuskers don't seem a like team that comes in with much confidence. Minnesota's offense hasn't been able to do much at all against quality opponents this year, and Nebraska should slow them down. On the other hand though, I see Minnesota's defense doing a good job slowing down Nebraska's mediocre offense as well. This line has been bet up during the week, which gave us enough value to play this one. Take the under. 

*3 Star Alabama/Texas A&M Totals CASH* The Texas A&M defense has been a lot better this year, but they still aren't an elite unit. Texas A&M's defense is extremely aggressive with blitz packages, and I have to think that Alabama is going to be ready with some screen passes and quick slants to beat that blitz. Coker has been playing better of late, and Alabama's running game is good. On the other side, Texas A&M has a tremendous amount of skill position talent. The Aggies receivers hold a big advantage over Alabama's defensive backs. I see Texas A&M putting up a real fight in this one, and I think they can create a bunch of big plays on this Crimson Tide secondary. A back and forth game. Take the over. 

*3 Star Big 10 Total Takedown* The Northwestern Wildcats have been a terrific under team for a long time now. Northwestern was absolutely crushed by Michigan last week, but the Wildcats should bounce back with a much better effort in this one. Pat Fitzgerald's defense is very good, and Iowa's offense isn't going to be able to run it down their throat all game long like they have with other opponents recently. These two teams are both stronger on the defensive end than they are on offense. 

The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. The under is 23-6 in Northwestern's last 29 home games. Take the under. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The South Florida Bulls and the UConn Huskies have a lot in common. Both teams have an offense that has struggled the majority of the year. USF's offense looked good last week against Syracuse and UConn's offense looked good last week against UCF. I think those performances last week got us some extra value on the under in this one. Both UCF and Syracuse are bad defensively right now, so these two offenses were able to take advantage. They'll face a much better defense here.

In addition, both of these teams play very slowly. They run the ball a lot and use up the play clock in between snaps. This can really shorten a game, and I look for this when looking to play an under. In the past 5 years, these teams have played five times and none of the games have finished with a total higher than 35 points. My number for this game was 38, which is much lower than this posted total.

The under is 3-0-1 in USF's last 4 after an ATS win. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 games after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. The under is 5-0 in UConn's last 5 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 rushing yards or less. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. A 24-0 angle. Take the under big! TOP Play of the Week.

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The BYU Cougars and East Carolina Pirates both play very quickly. That means we will see a lot of snaps in this one. While East Carolina's defense isn't as bad as it was a few years ago, it still isn't very good. BYU used to have a dominating defense, but they are only average on defense now. Tanner Mangum has been great in the BYU offense. East Carolina has a balanced attack and they have gotten good quarterback play this year as well. I think this game gets into the 60's.

The over is 4-0 in ECU's last 4. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. an independent team. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more of total offense. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* This is a game where I believe Louisiana Tech's physical defense can slow down UTSA's offense. Neither team plays very fast, so this is a pretty high total in these circumstances. This line has moved down throughout the week and I had this number at 56, so at the current price I would have passed on this one. Take the under if this line is 58 points or higher. Thank you. 

*3 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Arizona Wildcats get Anu Solomon back this weekend, and that will make a huge difference for the offense. Solomon is a great young quarterback and paired with Arizona's strong running game, he makes this offense tremendous. Oregon State has no answer for the Arizona offense. Scooby Wright is one of the nation's best defensive players, but he's out of the lineup for Arizona. The team's second best linebacker is also out of the lineup. Seth Collins is quickly improving in the Oregon State offense. Arizona's defense has looked really bad in recent weeks.

The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss by 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star Wisconsin/Nebraska Total DOMINATION* The Wisconsin Badgers offense is a mess right now. Wisconsin doesn't quite have the offensive line they have had in recent years. They had one star at running back in Corey Clement, but he is out with an injury. The Badgers depth in the backfield is far weaker than it has been in the past. Nebraska's defense is good enough to load the box and force Joel Stave to beat them. Stave isn't good, and Alex Erickson is currently listed as doubtful. Erickson is the team's only playmaker at wide receiver. The Wisconsin defense is tremendous and I don't see Nebraska scoring too many here. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play CFB Total DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles have a tremendous defense this year. They are ranked in the top five in the nation in every major defensive category. Boston College had a bad offense to start with, and now they are playing without their starting quarterback as well as their starting running back. Wake Forest is developing into a very nice defense under the leadership of Dave Clawson. Wake Forest still has a bunch of problems on offense. Here is two teams that are light years better on defense than offense. This is certainly a low number, but I think this is a very sloppy game that stays under.

The under is 5-0 in Boston College's last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. The under is 11-1 in Wake Forest's last 12 October games. A 25-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* Light up the scoreboard in a big way for this one. Two of the top ten fastest paced teams in the country meet here, and both of these quarterbacks should have a huge game. Matt Johnson and Blake Frohnpafel both have a lot of playmakers to work with, and both of these defenses are just awful. In last year's meeting Bowling Green won 47-42. The Falcons had 668 yards of offense and UMass had 638! That's truly amazing,  and I think we'll see something similar in this game. *Note- this line has moved up since I selected it. I would currently play it for a 3 star play. Thank you.* 

*4 Star Play Over* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers offense racked up more than 700 yards in a loss to Middle Tennessee State last week. Western Kentucky's offense is led by senior quarterback Brandon Doughty. Doughty is the type of guy who spreads the ball around and gets rid of it quickly. They play an uptempo style and they'll keep the game moving here. MTSU has gotten great quarterback play from Stockstill as well, and this Western Kentucky defense still isn't good. *Note- this line has moved up since I selected this one earlier in the week. I would currently play this for 3 stars instead of 4. Thank you.*

*5 Star TOP Play Under* The UTEP Miners are an under team in my book right now. Aaron Jones was a great running back for the team, but he's out with an injury. They are also without their starting quaterback. FIU doesn't have much of an offense, but they do have a solid defense. I don't expect to see UTEP scoring much here. Also important in this one is the fact that both teams like to use a lot of play clock between snaps. A conservative game plan as well as some solid defense and bad offense makes this a big play on the under. *Note- this line has moved down since I selected it early in the week. At anything less than 45.5 would play for 4 stars, and 44.5 or lower I would play for 3 stars. Thank you. 

*3 Star CFB Under the Radar Total* The UTEP Miners lost both their starting quarterback and running. UTSA returned 3 starters from last year's offense. These are two offenses in a lot of trouble right now. UTEP had a nice blueprint for winning games last year, and Sean Kugler has done a great job with this team. The problem is the blueprint was run the ball early and often with Aaron Jones, their running back, and now he is out for the year. No one else on the team is even close to as talented as him. UTEP will still try to run the ball, but they aren't likely to be nearly as successful. Both of these teams take a lot of time between plays which is important in a game with a relatively high total. Take the under. *Note this line has moved down a bit during the week. I would play this down to 56 points for 3 stars. Thank you*

*5 Star TOP Play of the Week* The Cal Bears offense is excellent with Jared Goff under center. Sonny Dykes' system is perfect for a guy like Goff who can get rid of the ball quickly and spread the ball around to a bunch of different receivers. Cal ranks in the top five in the nation in terms of pace. Washington State isn't the type of team that will slow a game down. Mike Leach's offense is all about airing it out and playing with pace. Washington State's defense is among the worst in the nation among Power 5 conference teams (it may be the worst). When these two met last year I had the over and the game finished 60-59. While it's hard to expect that high of a game, I do think this sails over. I have this line at 79 points and I think that is being conservative. Big play for me here. Take the over big! *Note- This line has moved since I played it early in the week. I would play this for 5 stars up to 73 points and 4 stars up to 76. Thank you.*

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers offense is tremendous. Brandon Doughty is definitely one of the best quarterbacks in the country. It helps him that he has a tremendous deep group of receivers as well. The Rice defense has been exposed all season long. Last week they gave up 70 points to Baylor. Now, I'm not going to pretend that Western Kentucky has an offense like Baylor's, but it is very good. Rice will move the ball and score a lot too though. The Owls have a good veteran quarterback and they are up against a Western Kentucky defense that has been horrible in each of the past two seasons. 

The over is 4-0 in W Kentucky's last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in Rice's last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in Rice's last 4 games after giving up 450 yards or more. The over is 8-1 in W Kentucky's last 9 after giving up 280 yards or more through the air. A 20-1 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Total Value* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have improved this year. Dave Clawson is a good coach, he just doesn't have much talent to work with in Winston Salem. Wake Forest will play hard though. The under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 home games. This is a team that can be very tough to score on, but Wake Forest has a very bad offense. Florida State's defense was disappointing last year, but they have been very good this season. The hurricane will be felt here with winds and heavy rain throughout the day. That should make for a very conservative game plan for both teams. Look for a lot of running the ball which keeps the clock ticking. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA FB MAC Total* The Kent State Golden Flashes have a terrible offense and a decent defense. Miami is just a bad team overall. Miami is playing three different quarterbacks, and none of them have been any good. The weather is going to be a problem in this game with 20 mph winds and rain expected at gametime. That means more running from two teams who aren't good at running the ball. Miami won't score many points on anyone on the road this year, and Kent State's offense isn't good enough to expect a big win from them. Low scoring games have been the norm in this series. Take the under. 

*The line has dropped here due to the weather, but at 45 points or higher I'd still take this for 4 stars. Below that, I make it a 3 star play. Thank you.*

*4 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total* Here we have a battle between two teams who play very similar styles of football. They both like to run the football and win with time of possession and defense. Wisconsin's defense has been great since they were a little shaky in week one against Alabama. Iowa's defense has been very solid as well. Without Corey Clement, the Wisconsin running game certainly isn't as strong as it has been in the past. Joel Stave isn't a good quarterback, and Iowa will try to make him beat them with his arm. Iowa is unlikely to have much offensive success here against a Wisconsin defense that always play very well at home. Both teams play slowly, so we'll slow a lot of long and slow drives. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Virginia Tech Hokies defense should be very solid this year. Kendall Fuller going down with an injury definitely hurt them, but the Hokies still have a good secondary. Pittsburgh is unlikely to be able to consistently move it through the air here. Pittsburgh's defense will be much better this year with Pat Narduzzi as their head coach.

Another big reason to like this play is the weather. With a hurricane not far away, wind and heavy rain is expected on Saturday afternoon in this game. Two teams that are quite conservative to start with will likely be running the football even more here. An ugly low scoring game is what I see for this contest. Take the under. 

*This line has dropped big in the last couple days due to bad weather in the area. I would play this for 3 stars at the current level. Thank you.*

*3 Star SEC Total* The Missouri Tigers offense has been a total disaster this year. On the other hand, Missouri still has a good defense. The Tigers will be playing with a new quarterback in this one as Mauk is suspended for the game. South Carolina has a freshman quarterback who has proven nothing playing on the road in a difficult environment here. Missouri's pass rush should make him very uncomfortable. There's no doubt that both offenses are worse than they have been in the past few years. Even in the last three years though, the total at the end of regulation was 41, 34, and 41 points. I don't think either team finds the end zone much here. Take the under. 

*3 Star West Virginia/Oklahoma Totals CASH* The Oklahoma Sooners chose to switch up their offense entirely in the offseason, and it has worked beautifully. The Air Raid system with Lincoln Riley as the offensive coordinator and Baker Mayfield at quarterback has been tremendous right away. Oklahoma is averaging 41.3 points per game. West Virginia is unbeaten as well coming into this one. I do like this West Virginia team, but I think their defensive numbers are being artificially propped up because of their extremely weak early season schedule. Maryland is the worst team in the Big Ten right now. Georgia Southern is a Sun Belt team. Liberty isn't even an FBS opponent. Oklahoma should score quite a few here. The Sooners put up 45 on West Virginia in Morgantown last year, and that was before their improved offense under the Air Raid.

West Virginia has a good balanced offense that should score on just about everyone they play this year. Oklahoma has a good defense, but they gave up 38 points against Tulsa, so they are definitely capable of getting beaten by the opposing offense. With both of these teams playing as fast as they do, a total of only 59 points is low. Take the over. 

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Toledo Rockets and Arkansas State Red Wolves met at the end of last season in a bowl game. Toledo won that game 63-44. It's odd to see a total this much lower after a game like that. Toledo's defense is definitely better than it was last year, but Arkansas State has been able to move the ball against everyone they play this year. Blake Anderson's Arkansas State always pushes the tempo and Toledo is playing at a faster pace so far this year. There should be a bunch of snaps in this one, and both teams have a lot of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. Take the over here. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Selection* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have a way of making games very high scoring. I won my college football game of the year last weekend with the Western Kentucky over against Indiana. Brandon Doughty and this offense can throw at will against mediocre defenses, and Miami's defense is far worse than mediocre. Western Kentucky should be able to name their score here. At the same time, Miami found something on offense last week against Cincinnati, and this Western Kentucky has a way of making just about everyone's offense look good. Take the over. 

*4 Star Tennessee/Florida Total* The Florida Gators still have an elite defense. Florida is also still offensively challenged. They scored 14 points in a titanic struggle of a game against Kentucky last weekend. Of course, Florida only allowed 9 points in that one and they won the game. Tennessee played Western Carolina last week. The Volunteers need to prove they can bounce back from their disappointing home loss to Oklahoma two weeks ago. The Volunteers are improving defensively. I don't see either offense having consistent success throughout this game. Take the under.

*Note- this line has moved since I selected it early in the week. I would recommend this as a 4 star play down to 49 and a 3 star play down to 46 points. Thank you.*

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Minnesota Golden Gophers could only muster 10 points against a terrible Kent State defense last week. Ohio is a much better team than Kent State. The Bobcats could give Minnesota a really tough time on Saturday. Minnesota's defense is scrappy, and I don't think Ohio will score many points here either. This is the type of game where viewers will likely be disappointed because of the sloppiness of the game, but under bettors should cash in. Look for a field goal battle and a game that finishes well below the posted total.

The under is 5-0 in Ohio's last 5 after gaining 280 yards through the air. The under is 8-1 in Ohio's last 9 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 8-1 in Minnesota's last 9 after allowing 170 or less yards through the air. A 21-2 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Wyoming Cowboys and the New Mexico Lobos have something in common: they both have an awful defense. Wyoming hasn't been able to stop anyone all year, and New Mexico's unique pistol/option offense will be a big challenge for them. Wyoming has a decent running game, and New Mexico is terrible at stopping the run. The last two years these teams have played to a 38-31 and 36-30 final.  Usually a lot of running is good for the under, but in this case I don't think it is since both run defenses are terrible. I expect this one to get into the 60's as well. Take the over. 

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Art Briles hasn't been happy with the Baylor Bears play so far this year. Baylor hasn't had the same type of killer instinct they had in the last couple years. After a week off last week, I think there's a good chance they come out ready to play here. Rice has a bad defense that is especially weak in the secondary. Baylor has all the weapons to expose that problem. Baylor scored 59 points or more seven times in 2013 and four times last year. I think they have a good chance to do it here. Baylor's defense hasn't looked good so far this year, and Rice should be score to get on the board a few times in this one. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Boston College Eagles offense wasn't good at all to start the season. Now, they have to play the rest of the year without their starting quarterback. Starter Darius Wade was lost for the season. Steve Addazio has said he hasn't decided who will start on Saturday. That usually isn't a good sign. Boston College has very little talent to work with on offense overall. At the same time, Addazio's teams always play some very good defense. Northern Illinois showed how good they can be on defense last week in Columbus against Ohio State. It's hard to imagine either team getting past 20 points or so here.

The under is 5-0 in Northern Illinois' last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in BC's last 4 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the MAC. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The South Carolina Gamecocks aren't even close to the same team they were a couple years ago. The exact same thing can be said of the UCF Knights. Both of these teams have been terrible so far this year. The primary problem for both of these teams is their offense. I expect that to continue this weekend. Both of these teams have good coaches and I think they'll work hard this weekend. The problem for these two is they have a major lack of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. Look for a lot of long drawn out drives that fall short of the end zone.

The under is 7-0 in the Knights last 7 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the SEC. The under is 6-0 in S Carolina's last 6 non-conference games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 170 yards or less through the air. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Totals Cash* The Pitt Panthers offense isn't nearly as good without Conner running it in the backfield. Tyler Boyd is the main playmaker now, but Iowa has some good shutdown corners. Pitt's defense will be much better this year with Pat Narduzzi running the show. Both of these teams take a very long time in between snaps. That means we won't see many possessions in this one, and with defenses that are strong against the run, I don't see many points here. Take the under.

*Note- the line has moved since I selected this one early in the week. I would play this for a 4 star rated play down to 48 and a 3 star play down to 46. Thank you*

*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Oregon State Beavers offense has 12 yards in the final three quarters against Michigan last weekend. Gary Andersen has very little to work with on offense. San Jose State's defense isn't great by any stretch, but they should look decent against Oregon State's offense. The Oregon State defense is bigger in the trenches than San Jose State is accustomed to playing against. San Jose State needs to be able to run the football to have any consistent success on offense. I don't see them being able to run the ball on Oregon State here.

The under is 5-0 in Oregon State's last 5. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 September games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on turf. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss by 20 points or more. A 19-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Diego State Aztecs offense has been awful this year. Maxwell Smith hasn't worked out as quarterback, and opponents are just stacking the box to stop Donnell Pumphrey and the running game. South Alabama lost nearly their entire team from last year, and they are going to have a long season. They will still play hard though, and this SD State offense only put up 7 points against a subpar Cal defense last week. San Diego State plays at a very slow pace, which certainly helps, and as much as they run the ball, the clock will be ticking. Both of these teams have been far better on defense than offense thus far.

The under is 6-0 in San Diego State's last 6 September games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 home games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss by 20 points or more. A 23-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Washington Huskies are much less talented this year, but Chris Petersen's team is still solid on the defensive end. Petersen's teams always play hard for the full game, and Utah State's offense hasn't shown anything this year. They didn't even score an offensive touchdown against Southern Utah in their season opener. Last week the Utah Utes defense shut them down. On the other hand, Washington's offense is ugly and the Utah State defense is extremely good. Utah State has terrific linebackers who serve as the leaders to this unit. This one should be close and low scoring all the way. Take the under. 

*The line has moved since I selected this one Monday. I would play this for 4 stars down to 45 and for 3 stars down to 43. Thank you.*

*6 Star Rated TOP Total of the YEAR* The Indiana Hoosiers and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are very similar teams. They both like to get off as many snaps as possible, and they both love to air it out early and often. Additionally, both of these teams play next to zero defense. These teams are both going to rank in the top 15 or 20 in the country in terms of pace, and they'll definitely both rank near the bottom of the country in defense. Brandon Doughty is the one of the best under the radar quarterbacks in football, and Indiana can't get any pressure on opposing quarterbacks. He'll have time to pick apart this secondary.

Western Kentucky scored 44.4 points per game last week. Western Kentucky allowed 40 points per game last week. Indiana has allowed 33 points per game or more in each of the last five seasons. The Hoosiers had no quarterback last year so their offensive numbers weren't good, but with Nate Sudfeld back under center this team is much better on offense. 

Huge play for me on this one.. I won't have a totals release stronger than this all year. Take the over big! 6* TOP Total of the Year *Please note- My line on this total is 85 points. I like this for a 6 star rated play all the way up to 75 points. Thank you*

*4 Star Ga Tech/Notre Dame Total* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets run the football on nearly every down. Notre Dame will likely be running the football more often than normal with a new quarterback under center. The clock should be ticking almost the entire game here. Georgia Tech always takes their time between snaps, and Notre Dame won't play fast with a new quarterback either. This Notre Dame defense should be very good against the run this year with an elite defensive line. Look for long drives that eat up the clock. Take the under. 

*Note- The line has moved since early in the week when I selected this play. I would play this for 4 stars down to 55.5. I would play this for 3 stars down to 54. Thank you*

*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Eastern Michigan Eagles are giving up an eye popping 6.66 yards per carry so far this year. The Ball State Cardinals have the single best offensive line in the Mid American Conference. Ball State is going to run for a bunch of yards in this game. Ball State's defense was torched by VMI in their season opener for more than 500 yards, so they have lots of defensive issues as well. In the past five years, these teams have played to the following final scores against each other: 41-38, 33-31, 37-26, 51-20, and last year 45-30. 

Eastern Michigan's backup quarterback looked better than their starter in last week's huge win at Wyoming. Don't be surprised if Ball State runs for 300 yards or more here. A lot of scoring. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Over* The Bowling Green Falcons and Memphis Tigers play football the same way. They both play uptempo and look to keep the defenses off guard. I expect both defenses to be winded and struggling late in the game here. Memphis was a good defense in recent years, but they returned only 3 starters on defense from last year. Bowling Green's defense has been awful since Dino Babers arrived at the school. Matt Johnson and Paxton Lynch are underrated quarterbacks who will have big days here. Take the over.

*Note- the line has moved significantly since I played this on Monday.My number in this one is 84 points. I would play for 5 stars to 77 points and for 4 stars to 79.*

*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* I took the under in the FIU vs. UCF game last Thursday night and watched the entire game. The under cashed and UCF's offense looked absolutely awful. The Knights are now up against a much better Stanford defense. Stanford also comes into this game ticked off after being upset by Northwestern. The Cardinal are a team that slows the game down and runs the football a lot. UCF is the same way. Both of these teams have a bunch of question marks on offense, but they are very good defensively. 

The under is 5-0 in UCF's last 5 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in Stanford's last 4 during September. The under is 17-5 in Stanford's last 22 overall. The under is 27-8-1 in UCF's last 36 September games. A 53-13 trend. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Total Takedown* The Temple Owls had one game vs. an FBS foe go over this posted total last year. The Owls defense totally dominated Penn State last weekend. Cincinnati will have more success, but they shouldn't score a bunch like they will against most teams this year. Temple's offense still has a lot of question marks and they should run the ball often and use up the clock. The line move up made this one go into the play range for me. A game with a posted total of 55 where Temple is involved is almost always going to be an under bet for me. Take the under.