Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Giants return to the postseason for the first time since 2016 but bring a 22-8 ATS playoff record since 1982 into this scrum – including 15-4 ATS as a dog. On the fl ip side, the Norsemen are 8-17 SU and 9-15-1 ATS in the postseason since 1989, including 0-9 ATS when facing foes coming off a loss. Vikes’ QB Kirk Cousins has made three starts in the playoffs during his NFL career, going 1-2 SUATS, including 0-1 SUATS as a favorite. Note that Wild Card round dogs of 3 or fewer points, seeking same-season revenge, are 12-4-1 ATS. With it, Big Blue certainly remembers dropping a 27-24 decision here just three weeks ago on a 61-yard field goal at the final gun, a game in which they outstated the Vikes by 92 yards. Look for the G-Men to improve on their 10-2 ATS dog log under head coach Brian Daboll. Go ahead and grab the points |
|||||||
01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Fish have gone 0-4 SUATS in postseason games since and are 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS on the playoff road by an average loss margin of 22 PPG. We certainly don’t want any of that, not in frigid Buffalo as the Dolphins are 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS away in outside stadiums in January since 1990, as well as 2-14 SU and 3-13 ATS in Buffalo when arriving off a SUATS home win. You can rest assured the Bills will play the Damar Hamlin card throughout the postseason. In addition, Buffalo is the only team in the playoffs that out-yarded each of the other playoff teams they faced this season. With Bills Mafia backers 31-9-4 ATS in games Buffalo wins outright as a favorite behind Josh Allen. |
|||||||
01-15-23 | St. John's v. Connecticut -13.5 | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The UConn Huskies have won two of their last five matchups and are looking to get a winning streak going. They currently hold a winning record in the Big East and are sitting in fourth place. The Huskies have an overall better team with the offense averaging 80 points per game while the defense is conceding just 62.6 points per contest. With this being said, the Huskies' offense is explosive and talented enough to put a lot of points on the boards, so expect them to do that against a defense that is surrendering over 70 points per game. The Huskies' defense has been unbreakable this season, giving up just 62.6 points per game, so watch out for them to make huge plays and cause chaos for the St. John's offense. With the elite defense and successful offense, take the Huskies. |
|||||||
01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units AFC South champion Jaguars, the first team since the 2008 Dolphins to win a division the season after having the league’s worst record. Pederson also shines in the postseason, going 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS, including 5-0 ATS as a playoff dog. Coupled with the fact that Wild Card home pick or dogs are 12-3 ATS, look for the Bolts to short-circuit here. |
|||||||
01-14-23 | Hawks v. Raptors -6.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hawks have continued to struggle over the last week, as they are currently (3-7) in their last 10 games played. They aren't playing good basketball right now and I don't see them showing up on the road. I also see the Raptors having the advantage on the offensive end of the court. According to dunksandthrees.com, they have the 13th-highest adjusted offensive rating. Siakam has been playing like a man on a mission, as I see Toronto scoring just enough points to cover this spread. The Hawks have been unimpressive on the defensive end of the court, as they are surrendering the 22nd most points per game and they have struggled to defend the paint. The Raptors will continue to attack the basket and score enough points to cover this spread at home. |
|||||||
01-14-23 | Duke v. Clemson +1.5 | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One player that wasn't mentioned in the write-up for Clemson was P.J. Hall. At 6-10, 245, he gives the team the size to help keep Duke off the boards. Ben Middlebrooks (6-10, 232) can also add size off the bench so Clemson won't get crushed on the boards in this one. Duke has struggled on the road and without Roach, this is going to be a very tough place to play. Littlejohn Coliseum will be up for this game as much as any in years. Clemson's tough defense and that atmosphere will cause another 15+ turnover game for the Blue Devils and a win for the Tigers to keep them undefeated in the conference. Duke is also a bit overvalued as they have covered just once in their last six games. |
|||||||
01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers -9.5 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Home teams in their initial NFL playoff game who lost at home in a conference championship game last season are 27-2 SU and 21-7-1 ATS in Game One in these contests if they won a dozen of more games last season. The Seahawks enter as one of seven playoff teams this year that missed the postseason in 2021. However, double digit dogs in the Wild Card round with same-season revenge are just 1-5 ATS – which makes for only one way to look here. |
|||||||
01-14-23 | Iowa State v. Kansas -7 | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kansas has won 15 straight games at home and hasn't lost to a Big 12 opponent at home since the 2019-20 season. The Jayhawks can defend the ball very well and are a far superior offensive team than Iowa State. Iowa State will get its share of stops in this game but it will come down to each team's ability to create second shots. In that regard, the 54th-ranked rebounding unit of Kansas far trumps the 254th-ranked rebounding team of Iowa State. Kansas will get second chances and more possessions than Iowa State. Kansas also protects the ball better than Iowa State, as evidenced by the Jayhawks' six turnovers against Oklahoma in their last outing. It will be a dogfight but Kansas will pull away late with its ability to create offense. |
|||||||
01-14-23 | North Carolina v. Louisville +12.5 | 80-59 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units North Carolina is 0-4 on the season on the road and 3-2 in neutral-site games. The Tar Heels have yet to beat anyone by more than eight points away from Chapel Hill this season. In addition, the Heels' major advantage in this game, rebounding, will likely be hampered with the questionable availability of both Bacot and Nance. The Heels will win this game, but they will not likely win this game going away without two key interior weapons on offense and likely more reliance on a perimeter offense that has been marginal at best. |
|||||||
01-13-23 | Magic v. Jazz -5.5 | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utah offense is one of the most explosive and dominant offenses in the NBA this season, averaging 117.5 points per game (3rd). With Markkanen being consistent scoring-wise and on the boards, the Jazz has someone they can rely on. In addition, Clarkson has been hot and is coming off a 32-point game. With these two scorers, the Magic will really need to do something special to slow them down but that will be difficult with the amount of talent Utah has when moving the ball around and shooting. Orlando relies on Banchero (21.2) and Wagner (20.2) to put points on the board but other than them the Magic don't have much scoring talent. Expect the Utah defense to contain Banchero and prevent Orlando from scoring a lot. |
|||||||
01-13-23 | Nebraska v. Purdue -14.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Purdue Boilermakers have been unstoppable this season, mowing down teams left and right. They have lost just one game this season and don't seem to have another loss scheduled anytime soon. They are averaging 75.9 points per game while conceding 61.5 points per game, so expect them to crush Nebraska on both sides of the ball. The Cornhuskers are in for a treat when they face the Purdue defense, so I expect the Boilermakers to easily earn another win with Nebraska unable to be productive on offense. Loyer is coming off a 22-point performance and I expect him to have a similar performance against a defense that is allowing 66.8 points per game. Edey is a solid impact player who leads Purdue on the boards and in points per game, so I also expect him to dominate in this game. Take Purdue with their successful offense and elite defense. |
|||||||
01-09-23 | TCU +13 v. Georgia | 7-65 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The fortuitous Bulldogs, who are 28-3 with QB Stetson Bennett behind center, will be looking to become the first team to repeat as a national champion since the inception of the CFP nine years ago. However, the double-digit line leaves some wiggle room for TCU backers, as the favorite in CFP championship games is 3-5 ATS all time, including 0-2 SUATS versus non-undefeated foes coming off a SU underdog win. Then there’s the 0-4 SUATS failure of the four defending champions who found their way back to the championship game the following season (see Alabama last year). Additionally, Dykes is 10-5 SU and 11-3-1 ATS when his team sports a .900 or greater win percentage and are taking on undefeated foes, including 7-0-1 ATS after scoring 39 or more points in their last game. Let’s also not forget that .750 or greater double-digit bowl dogs coming off a SU underdog win are 5-0 ATS the last fifteen years, and bowl dogs of more than 12 points are 7-0 ATS versus .900 or greater opponents the last ten years. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Lions +5 v. Packers | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit walks onto Lambeau Field having won seven of their last nine games, and at 8-8 on the season will not only need to beat the 8-8 Packers today but will also need the 8-8 Seahawks to lose against the 5-11 Rams. Sure, while this happening is unlikely, either way the 2022 season has been a resounding success for Dan Campbell and the Lions. Adding to the karma, the Lions are 9-0 ATS in their last nine division dukeouts, but the Packers are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS as a host in this series when Detroit is coming off a win. Given the fact that no team has ever made the NFL playoffs after a 1-6 start, and the Packers own the clearest path to the playoffs (they own the tiebreaker over Seattle), we don’t see them losing this contest. Covering it is another matter. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Bucs +4 v. Falcons | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
NFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Tom Brady is clearly programmed to break every NFL passing record in the book. In his best outing of the year – 432 yards and three TDs passing, one rushing TD – he completed 34 passes Sunday, adding yet another record to his seemingly endless collection. In the process he won his 19th division title, as the Bucs are now back-to-back division champs for the fi rst time in team history. Atlanta enters as a team playing out the string, just 2-6 SUATS and ITS in its last eight games while throwing green QB Desmond Ridder to the wolves. With the Dirty Birds just 2-13 ATS at home coming off a home game and Brady 3-0 ATS in his career as a dog in season finales, and finally NFL .500 dogs are 5-0 ATS in final games of the season when coming off a win |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Patriots +8 v. Bills | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What we know for sure is that the Bills’ mental frame of mind is not where it needs to be today. That and the fact they are just 6-16 ATS as a division favorite of 7 or more points, including 1-11 ATS versus greater than .250 opponents. With the Pats 6-1 ATS off a home game against foes coming off a road game, as well as 5-1 ATS when coming off a division home contest, we also know that Bill Belichick is 15-7 SU and 16-6 ATS in final games of the regular season with New England, including 4-0 ATS as a dog. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Iowa v. Rutgers -5.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Scarlet Knights are 14th in the nation according to KenPom. The defense is excellent rated third in adjusted efficiency, and top-six in three-point percentage, field goal percentage, and points allow. The offense is 113th in adjusted tempo. The Scarlet Knights have four players on the team averaging double-digits, led by 6'11 junior Clifford Omoruyi averaging 14.1 ppg, 10 rebounds, and 1.8 blocks per game. |
|||||||
01-07-23 | Magic v. Warriors -6.5 | 115-101 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Golden State is 17-3 inside their arena this season, as I don't believe the Magic have enough talent to cover this spread on the road. Golden State is currently scoring the fifth most points per game and they have the sixth-highest three-point shooting percentage. They will find open shots consistently throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. Orlando is not a great team, as they are only scoring the 27th most points per game and they have the 25th lowest adjusted offensive rating, according to dunksandthrees.com. They will struggle to put the ball in the basket and the Warriors will slowly pull away. Golden State is also holding their opponents to the 10th-lowest shooting percentage from the field, as they will continue to contest shots and make it tough for the Magic to score. I am also expecting Poole and Thompson to play well, as they should be the most aggressive offensive players in this game. They will dominate on the offensive end of the floor and the Warriors will cover this spead. |
|||||||
01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The fact of the matter is Stidham sliced up the NFL’s best defense. Given the Chiefs’ 0-6 ATS mark of late against sub .500 division foes, while also understanding since winning Super Bowl LIV, the Kansas City Chiefs are 2-27-1 ATS in one-score games, including 0-18-1 ATS against avenging foes., look for the Raiders to improve on their 9-1 ATS record at home against AFC West foes who are not coming off a win of more than three points. If that doesn't seal the deal consider that playing on any NFL division home dog in its final game of the season if they were a playoff team last season and if they are seeking revenge from a .600 or greater opponent is 15-2 since 1980. |
|||||||
01-07-23 | Creighton v. Connecticut -6.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Creighton Bluejays have had UConn's number over the years, beating them twice last year and four times in a row. Given that fact, and the fact that the Huskies have lost two straight, I love the Huskies to get a bounce-back win. Make no mistake, this will be a great game as the Bluejays are an excellent basketball team and they match up very well with the Huskies. But I just can't see a team this good losing three straight, particularly coming home after two road losses, Gampel should be rocking and carry the Huskies to a long-overdue win over Creighton. take UConn to cover. |
|||||||
01-06-23 | Hawks v. Lakers +2.5 | 114-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta’s interior defense is far away from an elite level, and the Lakers will attack the rim all night long. With LeBron in the lineup, the Lakers will torture the Hawks’ D. Last Friday, he dropped a season-high 47 points on Atlanta, and the Lakers erased a 15-point deficit. Both teams have been inconsistent, and their ATS record tells the story. The Hawks are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Western Conference. The Lakers, on the other side, have gone 4-1 ATS in their past five tilts overall and 4-2 ATS in their previous six meetings with the Eastern Conference. |
|||||||
01-06-23 | Cavs v. Nuggets -6 | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland hits the road where the team is three-games under .500 this season. Denver, meanwhile, comes in at 2-2 on the second leg of back-to-back games this season but has lost each of its last two. In the past, Denver would have had difficulty matching up with a scoring two-guard of Mitchell's caliber. However, the addition of the likes of Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Bruce Brown gives the Nuggets much more defensive flexibility and allows Aaron Gordon to stay at his more traditional power forward position and not have to cover the opponent's best scorer. Jokic is a nightmare matchup for most bigs and he will certainly draw Cleveland center Jarrett Allen away from the basket which should help nullify Cleveland's rebounding advantage. Despite the back-to-back, Denver will show off its home court dominance while the Cavs will leave Denver still trying to find a way to gain more consistency away from home. |
|||||||
01-03-23 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +6 | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Virginia might be off to an excellent start this season, but it has been massively overvalued in the betting market. The Cavaliers have only covered the spread once in their last eight games, so I have no interest in backing them right now. Pittsburgh has been a completely different story, covering the spread in nine straight games. The Panthers are coming off a solid win over a ranked team, giving them some additional momentum coming into this matchup. They are going to be playing in front of a raucous crowd, so I am thrilled to back them as home underdogs. Virginia has only played three true road games this season, with one of them being a loss at Miami. |
|||||||
01-03-23 | Syracuse -8.5 v. Louisville | 70-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up loss of more than 20 points, and the Orange are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Louisville is also 0-4 ATS in its last four Tuesday games. The Orange are prepared for the Cardinal's best shot. They, too, know what it's like to be desperate for wins after losing four of their first seven, including three consecutive to St. John's, Bryant, and Illinois. Now that they're back on track, keeping focus is crucial, particularly with a game against #11 Virginia looming. Syracuse looked solid in its win over Boston College, holding the Eagles to 65 points on 40.4 percent shooting, including 33.3 percent from long range. I believe the Cuse defense will swarm and suffocate a Cardinals offense that's 307th nationally in offensive efficiency and turns the ball over far too often. |
|||||||
01-03-23 | Western Michigan v. Kent State -17.5 | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kent State Flashes are off to an excellent start at 10-3 straight up and an impressive 10-1 against the spread while in contrast Western Michigan is only 4-9 straight up and 5-5 against the spread. Home court is big during conference games and Kent State will use that to its advantage on Tuesday. The Golden Flashes will use their tough man to man in your face defense that is allowing an average of only 60.8 points per game to shut down a Western Michigan offense that is generating only 68.4 points per game while shooting just 44.2%. Western Michigan has covered each of its last two games but were 20-point and 23.4-point underdogs, losing each of the two outright. However, the spread for this matchup will be much less and the Broncos failed to cover the spread in each of the six games prior to the two most recent with much smaller spreads. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Spurs +12.5 v. Nets | 103-139 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Antonio is 6-6 in its past 12 games since an 11-game skid Nov. 14-Dec. 4. The Spurs have produced their best four shooting performances in that span, including Saturday when they shot 55.3 percent in a 126-125 loss to the visiting Dallas Mavericks. San Antonio was unable to stop Luka Doncic, who scored 51 points as the Mavs shot 58.1 percent. It was the fifth time an opponent made at least 58 percent from the floor against San Antonio and 21st instance of the Spurs allowing at least 50 percent shooting. Despite allowing a big night from Doncic, the Spurs nearly erased a 17-point deficit over the final 17-plus minutes thanks to big games from Keldon Johnson (30 points) and rookie Jeremy Sochan (20 points). Consider that the Nets are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Pelicans v. 76ers -3.5 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The pelicans are just 7-9 on the road and have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. Philly is 14-5 at home and Joel Embiid has averaged almost 35 points per game in Philly. The sixers have won five straight home games against New Orleans by an average of 7.5 points. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Rutgers +8.5 v. Purdue | 65-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are a legit contender propelled by the stifling defense. They beat #10, Indiana by 15 points in their first Big Ten action and only lost by one point on the road against ranked Ohio State in their next one. Purdue is obviously a great squad but has only covered the spread four times all season. Rutgers has an incredible defense that will keep Purdue in check. The Scarlet Knights are only conceding 84.7 points per 100 possessions, ranking them 3rd in adjusted defensive efficiency according to Ken Pomeroy's ratings while Purdue is conceding 91.7 points. Purdue relies on center Zach Edey heavily and Rutgers has an answer for Edey in Clifford Omoruyi who is elite defensively. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State +1.5 | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The three-loss Utes actually improved their numbers on both sides of the ball in 2022; yet fell short of their targeted goal of being the fi rst PAC12 school since 2016 to make their way to the College Football Playoff. And while the Nittany Lions were never a real threat to make the CFP this season, they have a chance to close out the campaign with their fourth 11-win season in the past seven years with a victory against Utah today. It’s been a season of two tales for James Franklin’s troops who started the 2022 season 5-0 and closed it out going 4-0. The one thing that jumps off the page in this contest is PSU’s penchant for staying on a roll as they ride a jaw-dropping 16-3 SU and 17-1 ATS mark into this game when coming off a pair of SUATS wins. It’s numbers like those, and incentive to boot, that puts them on our playlist today. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Tulane +2.5 v. USC | 46-45 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units In his lone season at Oklahoma, Heisman Trophy winning QB Caleb Williams recorded 1,912 passing yards, 21 passing touchdowns, four interceptions, 442 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns in 11 games. This season with the Trojans, Williams threw for 4,075 yards, 37 touchdowns (tied for most in the nation), and four interceptions, while running for 372 yards and 10 touchdowns on 109 carries. Consider that first year coaches favored in bowl games are just 16-32 ATS against foes coming off a win, and Pac-12 bowlers who allow over 25 PPG are 20-42 ATS, including 0-14 ATS the last 14. With that, finally review that the bowl team with the Heisman Trophy winner is 0-8 SUATS off SUATS loss since 1980. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Purdue +16 v. LSU | 7-63 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If Brohm DNA runs through brother Brian’s veins it should prove fruitful as big brother Jeff is 11-0 ATS as a dog when coming off a loss – including 10-0 with Purdue. Conference title game losers are 8-2 ATS as double-digit bowl dogs. The biggest hurdle the Makers need to get over is the lack of success by teams in bowl games that won as a dog of more than 6 points in a bowl game the previous season. Meanwhile, LSU enters behind high profile boss Brian Kelly who is 6-0 SU and 2-3-1 ATS in his career against Purdue. The bad news is BK is also just 5-8 ATS in bowl games, including 0-3 ATS when favored by 7-plus points. So, while a huge coaching mismatch is in the making, the fact also remains that the Tigers were one win from capturing the SEC championship and will likely look at this contest as little more than a full uniform scrimmage. Expect the ‘Brohm factor’ to lead to another payday |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Mississippi State v. Illinois +2.5 | 19-10 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All things being equal, we’d be ordering up a big fade against the Bulldogs in this bowl game were it not for the sudden passing of Leach, and the feeling here is the effect of the Grim Reaper’s presence will outweigh any notion of “winning one for the Gipper”. Don’t consider an Over play, either, not with Illinois owning the nation’s No. 1 Scoring Defense (12.25), and the Bulldogs holding four opponents to season-low yardage in 2022. The bottom line is we see Illinois playing up to the standard of excellence they achieved the season in a big win for head coach Bret Bielema. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -6.5 | 118-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks are currently (15-3) at home this season and the Wizards aren't good enough offensively to cover this spread. The Wizards could also be without Bradley Beal in this game, which would be a huge loss. The Bucks have continued to dominate on defense, as they have the third lowest adjusted defensive rating in the NBA and they are holding their opponents to the sixth least amount of points scored per game. They will lock the Wizards up and efficiently score on the other end. Washington has been average on both ends of the court, but I don't see anyone on their team stopping Giannis in the paint. He will continue to score throughout and allow his team to slowly pull away. The Wizards are close, but they aren't healthy enough to challenge the Bucks on the road. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | UCLA -10 v. Washington | 74-49 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units UCLA has played very well over the last few weeks. The Bruins possesses great depth, and the Huskies will have a mountain to climb in front of the home fans. Washington lacks a quality scorer besides Keion Brooks. The Huskies defend the 3-point line at a high level, but their interior defense cannot contain the Bruins, who have gone 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with Washington. UCLA is 4-1 ATS in its last five games played in January, whereas Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Jets v. Seahawks +1.5 | Top | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 53 h 11 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units USA TODAY called out the fact that the Jets handed the Jaguars a Christmas gift two years ago when they foolishly rallied to defeat the Los Angeles Rams, 23-20, just before Christmas and granting them access to QB Trevor Lawrence as the No. 1 overall draft pick. Talk about a gift that keeps on giving to Jacksonville, it’s one that may well haunt the Jets for the next 10-15 years. What may also trouble the Big Planes today is their recent 7-16 SU and 5-18 ATS record in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 1-10 SUATS versus greater than .400 foes. That fits perfectly into the Seahawks’ 10-0 ATS record in home games when coming off consecutive underdog losses. Then there is head coach Pete Carroll, who is 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS at home in January, including 4-0 SUATS with a losing record and 4-0 SUATS versus sub .600 foes – and our favorite holiday ‘Caroller’ has also never lost four consecutive home games. Finally, consider that playing on any NFL non-division home dog or ‘pick’ if they are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games is 112-82-7 ATS since 1980. Better yet, put these non-division hosts up against a sub. 500 foe in this role and the black ink turns a deep shade of green, going 35-19-3 ATS, including 16-1-2 ATS when they sport a win percentage over .100 and were a dog of 6-plus points in their last game. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Cornell -8 v. Dartmouth | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cornell has gotten off to a hot start, namely with a high octane and efficient offense. They are slightly stronger on the glass than Dartmouth, so they won't be controlled in terms of pace. They are very effective with the basketball, while Dartmouth turns the ball over frequently. While Dartmouth has been fairly effective protecting against the 3pt shot, they will be facing a Big Red team that is ranked 89th in the country shooting the long ball. Cornell isn't great on the perimeter but Dartmouth doesn't have the shooters to take advantage of that. The Big Red will roll in their first Ivy matchup of the season and make it four straight wins. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +4 | 31-3 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jags enter 13-6 ATS in games with quintuple-plus division revenge as they have now lost 9 straight times to Houston. Unlike years past, Jacksonville controls its playoff destiny, as a loss here will not matter since next week’s home contest against Tennessee will ultimately decide the AFC South title. What arguably matters more is head coach Doug Pederson would like to extend the Jags win skein to four in a row. But the fact of the matter is each of their last three wins came in underdog roles and today they change clothes. Teams in this role are just 7-16-2 ATS since 1999, including 3-11-1 ATS from Game Ten out. So, while Jack’s muscles are bulging at the moment, we can’t ignore the elephant in the room, namely that the Jacksonville Jaguars are 0-11 SU and 1-10 ATS against foes coming off a SU underdog win. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Ohio State v. Georgia -6 | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Year Rating: 5 Units This will be Georgia’s third time playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium this season, with the Bulldogs dominating both Oregon and LSU by a combined margin of 99-30. In addition to a virtually impenetrable defense, veteran QB Stetson Bennett is complimented by a three-headed rushing attack featuring RB with Kenny McIntosh, Daijun Edwards, and Kendall Milton, who have all rushed for more than 500 yards in 2022. Meanwhile, OSU receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka just might be the best receiver tandem in the country for Heisman finalist QB CJ Stroud. Yes, bowlers like UGA who allow fewer than 14.5 PPG that won their conference title game are 19-4 SU and 17-6 ATS all-time, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS against foes who allow 14.5 or more PPG. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | 76ers v. Thunder +4.5 | 115-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia guard Tyrese Maxey will take some time to return to form after missing more than a month of action, 76ers coach Doc Rivers said. After a nine-point outing in his return on Friday, Maxey may or may not be on the court Saturday as the 76ers visit the Oklahoma City Thunder. Philadelphia lost its second game in a row on Friday, falling 127-116 to the host New Orleans Pelicans. Maxey came off the bench to hit 4 of 10 shots while adding one rebound and one assist in 19 minutes. Consider that the Thunder are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Mavs v. Spurs +7.5 | 126-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs have won two of their past three games, including a 122-115 home victory over New York on Thursday. Keldon Johnson scored 30 points and Romeo Langford added a career-high 23 as San Antonio Spurs built a 17-point lead in the third quarter and had all the answers late to send the Knicks to a fifth consecutive loss. Tre Jones scored 13, Jeremy Sochan had 12 and Jakob Poeltl took 12 rebounds for the Spurs, The win was without Devin Vassell, who missed the game with a sore left knee. With Vassell, the Spurs' second-leading scorer this season (19.6 points per game), listed as doubtful for Saturday's game, San Antonio will need to rely on Langford to pick up the slack. He was more than up to the task in Thursday's win. Consider that the Mavericks are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Nets v. Hornets +7 | 123-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hornets opened their homestand with Thursday night's 121-113 victory against Oklahoma City. The Hornets need to start producing in home games. They had lost five in a row on their home court until the result against Oklahoma City. If there's a new surge of excitement stemming from the Hornets it might revolve around point guard LaMelo Ball, who was one assist shy of a double-double Thursday night with 27 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists. The Hornets also are bound to be pumped up about rookie center Mark Williams, who has spent most of the season in the G League. He came off the bench to rack up 17 points (7-for-7 shooting), 13 rebounds, two blocked shots and two steals Thursday night. Consider that the Nets are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan -7.5 | 51-45 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units No Alabama, Tennessee, Clemson, Utah, etc, but the only 4 teams in the land with less than 2 losses (Michigan & Georgia, the only perfect squads. When Harbaugh took over the reins at Ann Arbor in '15, great things were expected, & realized with 7 straight bowl seasons, with 42-27, 45-23 wins over archrival Ohio St L2 yrs, but couldn't close the deal: 0-5 SU/ATS (-8, -15½, -30, -11½, -15½ pts) in L5 bowls. TCU Horned Frogs were hosed from the playoffs in '14, despite their 11-1 log, proving it with 42-3 (-3½) Peach Bowl rout of Ole Miss. Frog QB Duggan (2nd in Heisman voting) at 30/4, with Wolves' McCarthy at 20/3. No RB Corum (1,436 yds) for Mich, but note UM's #3 "D" vs Tcu's #74. Take the TD. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Clippers v. Pacers +3.5 | 130-131 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana looks for its third consecutive win and fifth in the last six games as it continues a home stretch. The Pacers are playing the third of four straight at home, a run that will include eight of 10 overall in Indianapolis. They opened this stretch with a pair of high-scoring wins, beating Atlanta 129-114 on Tuesday, and then 135-126 against Cleveland on Thursday. Tyrese Haliburton led the Pacers in scoring with 29 against the Cavs. He dished nine assists to maintain his NBA-leading pace of 10.2 assists per game. Buddy Hield shot 5 of 6 from 3-point range en route to 25 points, Aaron Nesmith scored 22 points and Bennedict Mathurin finished with 23 points off the bench. Finally, the Pacers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -10 | 67-69 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kansas defense has been the strength of their team, but their offense has been nothing to slouch at either. They are shooting 35.9% from 3-point range and are knocking down 54.5% of their 2-point tries. Their lone weakness on that end of the court has been their free throw shooting, as they are knocking down less than 70% of their tries. This will be a strong test for them, as Oklahoma State is fifth nationally in defensive field goal percentage. Star forward Jalen Wilson leads Kansas with 21.1 points and 9.0 rebounds per game. Freshman guard Gradey Dick (15.4) and senior guard Kevin McCullar Jr. (11.9) are both in double figures as well. Consider that the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Kansas State +7 v. Alabama | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Always an unusual season, when the Crimson Tide of Alabama is not a participant in the Final Four Playoffs (just the 2nd time in 8 seasons). Years of excellence continue on, scoring 30+ pts in 46 of their last 53 games, with their only SU losses TY: 52-49 in L0:00 at Tenn, & 32-31 on 2-pt OT conversion at Lsu. Heisman winner Young: just 2/0 & 1/1 in those losses. Can 'Tide prepare properly for this, after such close misses, along with multiple transfer portal cases? Kansas State Wildcats took TCU for Big12 Title in OT. QBs Howard & Martinez are more than capable, as is the 2nd coming of Darren Sproles in Deuce Vaughn. Take the TD. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +1.5 | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There's a lot to like about the Hokies, but how will they respond if they fall behind early? They've played just two road games, at Charleston and Boston College, and lost both times. With upcoming road matchups versus Syracuse, Virginia, and Clemson, it's time for VA Tech to figure it out on the road. They might have to go without Cattoor (9.6 PPG), who is questionable after leaving the BC game with a left forearm injury. With that said, I'll side with the home team in this ACC matchup. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | 76ers v. Pelicans +1.5 | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has an adjusted offensive rating of 114.7, which is the eighth-highest rating in the NBA. The 76ers have struggled against top teams and they fell to the Wizards in their last outing. They will struggle in this game, as I don't see them efficiently scoring enough points to cover this spread. Philadelphia is only scoring the 21st most points per game and the Pelicans have the size down low to make it difficult for Embiid. They will challenge him every time he gets the ball, which will hurt the 76ers' offense. New Orleans also has the second-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the second-lowest three-point shooting percentage. They will defend on the perimeter and in the paint, as they won't allow the Sixers to score enough points to cover this spread. The Pelicans are sitting at the top of the Western Conference standings for a reason. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | Clemson -5.5 v. Tennessee | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It took Dabo Swinney the entire season to pull the plug on erratic starter D.J. Uiagalelei for Cade Klubnik, a former 5* recruit for the Tigers. Swinney must have informed all parties concerned that the move was permanent, causing Uiagalelei to immediately hit the transfer portal. For the Vols from Rocky Top, backup QB Joe Milton, who transferred in from Michigan, takes over for Hendon Hooker, who was enjoying a marvelous season until suffering an ACL tear against South Carolina. Tennessee does boast the No. 1 ranked offense in the nation (538 YPG), but that was largely behind QB Hooker. In addition, WR Jalin Hyatt, who won the Biletnikoff Award, is undecided. We know the Volunteers have played on some big stages this year, but this sort of thing is ‘been there, done that’ for the Tigers, as Swinney stands 29-9 ATS away off a double-digit SUATS win, including 12-1 ATS the last 13. Both teams have played their share of undisciplined football in 2022, but Tennessee takes the trophy as the nation’s No. 124 team in most Penalties Per Game (8.00). Yes, we know Clemmie is just 3-4 ITS (In The Stats) in its last seven games of the season; however, that’s not enough to keep us off the striped cats. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | Wolves v. Bucks -6 | 114-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee is just 22nd in the NBA in offensive efficiency, but that has a lot to do with them being dead last on the road. In-home games, Milwaukee has been more explosive, where they are fourth in offensive efficiency. The Bucks have also won five of their last six games at home, with each of those wins coming by at least nine points or more. Both teams want to snap their four game losing streak, but the home court advantage will make a huge difference tonight. I will take the Bucks to cover. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 38-45 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First-year coaches favored in bowl games are 16-32 ATS vs. foes coming off a win, including 2-12 ATS against those off a SU underdog win. Uh oh. Then there’s the matter of Notre Dame’s negligent 7-15 SUATS failure in its last 17 bowl games, including 3-14 ATS vs. foes off a win. And we wouldn’t be doing our job if we left out this damning stat: the Irish are ranked No. 129 in Red Zone Defense, worst of all bowler. Head coach Shane Beamer owns a solid 6-1 ATS record vs. non-conference foes and his team won four games SU as underdogs this campaign. Head coach Marcus Freeman will have the Irish back in the thick of it before long, but it’s a little early to back them here considering SC has gone 6-2 SUATS in its previous 8 bowl games. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. UCLA -7.5 | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Quite a cross country trip for the U.C.L.A. Bruins & the Pittsburgh Panthers, but that didn't keep them from facing each other 14 times, many in season openers, from 1958 thru 1972, with the Bruins holding a 9-5 edge. For Pitt, this makes it 13 bowls in 15 years (4-8 SU, 3-9 ATS), while for the Uclans, this is their first such holiday affair since '17 (35-17 Cactus Bowl loss to Kansas St). Similar seasons for these 2, with Bruins reaching 9th in the polls off their 6-0 start, flattening out, with nary a cover since Nov 5th. Panther in a 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) windup, but have lost QB Slovis, as well as AA DL Kancey. Simply cannot ignore such significant turns. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | Maryland v. NC State | 16-12 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Maryland is staring down some ugly ATS numbers here: 1-6-1 SUATS as a bowler if not favored by 3 or more points, sub .600 bowlers off a shutout win are 1-7 ATS, and head Terrapin Locksley is a back-in-the-shell 3-39 SU and 15-27 ATS versus a foe with the better record. Yikes. The bad news for State is its miserable 1-8 ITS (In The Stats) record versus bowlers in 2022, but with Doeren boasting a 6-0 ATS record in bowl games versus a foe off a SUATS win, and the Pack having cashed a ticket in 10 of its last 13 bowls, we’ll back DD over Mike Locksley any day of the week. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh +6.5 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The North Carolina Tar Heels are having an inconsistent season and are only 4-4 in their last eight games. They have only won three of their seven games against a power conference opponent. Pittsburgh is one of the hottest teams in the ACC. They are 2-0 in ACC play and have won eight out of their last nine games. Furthermore, the Tar Heels' defense continues to squander too many points. They have conceded at least 76 points in five out of their last six games against a power-conference squad. They gave up 80 against Virginia Tech and 76 against Michigan in their latest action. Also, Pittsburgh has netted at least 82 points in three consecutive games. |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Rockets +10.5 v. Mavs | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Last Friday, the Mavericks barely outlasted the Rockets 112-106 and failed to cover a 7-point spread at Toyota Center in Houston. Luka Doncic dropped 50 points on the Rockets, but it wasn’t enough for an ATS victory. Dallas will beat Houston once more. However, I’m not sure the Mavs will be able to cover a double-digit spread. They’ll be a bit tired after that wild game against the Knicks, and the Mavericks are only 1-4 ATS in their last five home contests against the Rockets. Dallas has won four games in a row, and none of those victories has come by more than nine points. |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Raptors +3.5 | 119-106 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The game against the Clippers was the first of a stretch of nine of 10 games at home for the Raptors. They have lost four straight in their own building, however. It was a good night for two members of Toronto's 2019 NBA championship team now with the Clippers: Kawhi Leonard and Norman Powell. Leonard, playing his second game in Toronto as a member of the Clippers, was quietly effective with 15 points, seven rebounds and eight assists. Powell, playing his first game in Toronto since being traded to the Portland Trail Blazers in March 2021, scored 22 points. Consider that the Grizzlies are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings. |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Cavs v. Pacers +5 | 126-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers have covered the spread in eighth of their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record and deserve more respect here. The Cavs have been dominant at home, but now find themselves on a two game losing streak and have only covered the spread in one of their last 10 games away from home. Two weeks ago the Cavs beat the Pacers by only six points despite making nine less free-throws on 13 free attempts, and also being outshot 45.2% to 30.6% from three-point range. Indiana will fare better at home this time and cover. |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Oklahoma v. Florida State -9.5 | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units These 2 powers meet for the 8th time; first since '11, & 5th in a bowl, including the '00 Orange, when the Oklahoma Sooners (+10) beat the Florida Sate Seminoles 13-2, for the National Championship (Stoops' first year). By the way, the 'Noles entered that one with a 42-10 ppg edge. This makes it 26 straight bowl years for the Sooners (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS L10), while the Sems entered TY off 4 consecutive losing seasons. But 18 returning starters have turned it around, with a 5-0 windup (43.6 ppg), ranking 13th & 14th in total "O" & "D". Last 3 of Okies' 6 losses have come by just 3 pts, but cannot hide a "D" which ranks 120th in the land. 'Noles! |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Minnesota v. Syracuse +11 | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For P.J. Fleck, it was also a tale of two cities, especially on offense, as they averaged 543 YPG in their first four games of the season and 335 YPG in their last eight. However, his stop unit held up their end of the bargain, finishing 5th in the nation in Team Defense. Still, we feel this number is a bit too high, since Syracuse is 13-3-1 SU and 13-4 ATS in bowl games since 1988. For head coach Dino Babers, there will be some adjustments with OC Robert Anae leaving for NC State, but quarterbacks’ coach Jason Beck has been promoted to the position after doing a great job overseeing QB Garrett Schrader this season. Besides that, the most interesting match-up at Yankee Stadium will be the running backs, with Sean Tucker recording his second straight 1,000-yard season for the Orange and Minnesota’s Mohamed Ibrahim notching over 100 in each of his first 11 games. QB Tanner Morgan was always the weak link on the Gopher offense, but with Athan Kaliakmanis taking over, Minny should be in good shape. Finally, here is an obscure fact you might consider: Bowl favorites off a win of 7 or more points are 0-6 ATS on Thursdays. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Ole Miss -3 v. Texas Tech | 25-42 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A 1-4 finish with losses to LSU, Alabama, Arkansas and rival Mississippi State in the Egg Bowl showed Lane Kiffin he still has plenty to accomplish in Oxford. Bowlers coming off 3 SU losses are 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS versus a foe off back-to-back SUATS wins. Conversely, TTRR enters on a 3-0 SUATS win skein to close the season. That’s the good news. The bad news is, like a grim reaper, that bowlers coming in on 3-0 SUATS win skein are 9-27 SU and 8-28 ATS when facing an opponent coming off a SU favorite loss. Worse, the Techsters were outgained in all three of the wins, and not to pile on, Texas Tech is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 bowl games. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | North Carolina +13 v. Oregon | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We feel like this is a lean to the Heels, since the underdog is 7-0-2 ATS in Tar Heels/Pac-12 contests and conference title game losers are 8-2 ATS as double-digit bowl dogs. However, be aware that UNC is 0-4 SUATS in bowl games when they allow more than 25 points. Oregon’s recovery from that pounding they took from Georgia in the opener was remarkable, but the campaign lost its luster after losing to Washington in November and a total collapse against the Beavers in the Civil War finale. That drives us into a take here. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Nets -6.5 v. Hawks | 108-107 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nets are (9-1) in their last 10 games. I don't see the Hawks being able to slow down their offense, as Brooklyn is scoring the 13th most points per game. But, they also have the highest three-point and overall shooting percentage. They can score from anywhere on the floor and the Hawks aren't going to be able to slow them down. According to dunksandthrees.com, Atlanta has the 16th lowest adjusted defensive rating in the league and they are allowing the 17th most points per game. Durant and Irving will continue to attack and they will score enough points to cover this spread. Brooklyn has also been elite defensively during this run, as they are surrendering the ninth least amount of points per game and they are holding their opponents to the fifth-lowest shooting percentage in the NBA. They will contest shots near the basket and force the Hawks to beat them from the outside. This won't happen, though. The Hawks are only shooting 33.2% from deep, which is the 27th-lowest three-point shooting percentage in the league. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Villanova +12.5 v. Connecticut | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UConn has been a machine all season, but Villanova is showing steady improvement under their new head coach and won't go down without a fight. The Wildcats have been extremely efficient offensively and have faced a slightly tougher schedule than UConn this season. The Wildcats are also the best free-throw shooting team in the country and have been undefeated since Cam Whitmore has been active. Villanova has also won six of the last seven games against UConn head-to-head. Take Villanova to cover. |
|||||||
12-27-22 | East Carolina v. Coastal Carolina +7.5 | 53-29 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the Pirates, fifth-year senior QB Holton Ahlers completed 67.1 percent of his passes this season for 3,408 yards, tossed 23 touchdowns compared to fi ve picks, and he also rushed for 5 TDs. The Pirates will not have NFL prospect TE Ryan Brown for this game, as he has opted out to prepare for the draft, but Ahlers will not be without his top two targets: wide receiver Isaiah Winstead recorded 82 catches for 1,012 yards, while C.J. Johnson will enter the bowl game 67 yards away from his first 1,000-yard receiving campaign. The Chanticleers’ rough finish may be of concern to some, but it might work to their advantage, as conference title game losers are 8-2 ATS as double-digit bowl dogs. Take the points |
|||||||
12-27-22 | Utah State +7.5 v. Memphis | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Looking back, we realize that the Aggies go from the top of the mountain after capturing the Mountain West title and winning the Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl game to this minor bowl game. Their star player this season was speedy RB Calvin Tyler, Jr, who rushed for over 1,000 yards and 7 TDs. Keep in mind that Mountain West bowl teams are 5-0 SUATS against the AAC and Anderson is 4-1 ATS himself on the road versus AAC foes. We don’t figure them to win this game, but the points are simply too good to pass. |
|||||||
12-27-22 | Georgia Southern v. Buffalo +4.5 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bulls were a “mission team” in 2022 after last season’s 4-8 effort snapped a three-year bowl skein. Following an 0-3 start, they went on to win their next 5 games before hitting the skids again with another 3-game losing streak. They literally rallied back with a late 23-22 win over Akron to cement this bid, a game that was postponed by the 6 feet of snow that fell on Buffalo in mid-November’s monumental storm, then rescheduled due to its importance for the Buffalo program. Comparing spread records this season versus bowl teams, Buffy was 5-1 ATS, while GSU was 1-4 ATS against bowlers. Our money is on the Bulls |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Blazers | 113-124 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte is 2-2 on the excursion after outlasting Los Angeles Lakers 134-130 on Friday. The Hornets have won two of their last three games after losing their previous eight contests. Gordon Hayward scored the tiebreaking points with 6.3 seconds left and P.J. Washington added two free throws to seal it. Portland is returning home from a 2-4 road trip in which it dropped its last three games. The Trail Blazers lost a pair of games to the Oklahoma City Thunder before finishing the trip with a 120-107 loss to the Denver Nuggets. Consider that the Hornets are 25-12-2 ATS in their last 39 road games. |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Jazz v. Spurs +4.5 | 122-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Thursday's game was the only home contest for Utah in a stretch of six of seven games away from home. The Jazz's three-game road trip includes stops in San Francisco and Sacramento to play the Warriors and Kings on Wednesday and Friday. The Spurs (10-22) head home after a 133-113 loss at Orlando on Friday. Consider that the Jazz are only 9-24-1 ATS in the last 34 meetings in San Antonio. |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts +4 | 20-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We realize things are looking rosy for the Chargers, who close out the campaign against three 4-win lightweights in the Colts, the Rams and the Broncos. The Bolts are 4-0-1 ATS away Mondays, and 12-2-2 ATS away versus AFC South. On the other side of the bed, the Colts are 0-3 ATS home on Mondays, 1-7 ATS after scoring 35-plus points, and 1-7 ATS as home dogs 4 or fewer points. However, while it all looks like an avalanche of evidence working against the Colts, the Chargers are still a team that cannot blow out opponents, only winning one game all year by more than six points, and that came back in Week 4 against the awful Texans. Look for the Horseshoes to toss a surprise ringer tonight. |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Pacers +3.5 v. Pelicans | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Zion Williamson (25.2 PPG, 7.2 RPG) is the Pelicans’ leading scorer and a huge part of New Orleans’ defense, so his absence is a massive blow for Willie Green’s team. The Pels have won their last two games without Zion, but the Pacers are arguably a better team than San Antonio and Oklahoma City, so I’m going with Indiana to cover. The Pacers are healthy and Tyrese Haliburton has been outstanding as of late. Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall and 3-1-1 ATS in its previous five contests against New Orleans. On the other side, the Pelicans have covered twice in their last six outings at any location. |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Nets +2.5 v. Cavs | 125-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Because of what unfolded Friday night, the Nets can match the Bucks and Celtics for the NBA's longest winning streak of the season. Brooklyn also can get its first nine-game winning streak since a franchise-record 14-game run in 2006. Brooklyn's two most recent wins also did not require heavy lifting from Kevin Durant. Durant scored 24 points Friday after finishing with 23 Wednesday but also had plenty of help. Irving scored 14 of his 18 in the fourth when the Nets kept Milwaukee star Giannis Antetokounmpo scoreless. The Nets are 12-1 in their past 13 games and Cleveland has been nearly as hot lately. Since their five-game losing streak last month, the Cavaliers are 14-6 in their past 20 but are also attempting to avoid consecutive losses for the first time since that skid. On Friday, Cleveland saw its five-game winning streak stopped with a 118-107 loss to the Toronto Raptors. Cleveland shot 51.3 percent but despite shooting over 50 percent for the 15th time, it allowed a season-high 19 3-pointers to the NBA's worst 3-point shooting team and trailed by as many as 26 early in the third when coach J.B. Bickerstaff benched his starters. Consider that the Cavaliers are 26-58-4 ATS in their last 88 games following a ATS loss. |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Clippers -5.5 v. Pistons | 142-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons' defense is not good around the rim or at defending the three-point shot, which will be a cause for concern against the Clippers, who are top ten in three-point shooting percentage and rebounds per game. Last game versus Atlanta, the Pistons gave up 66 points in the paint and 21 fast-break points. I'm expecting LA to have similar success. Los Angeles' defense is elite, ranking third in points allowed, fourth in field goal and three-point percentage, and fifth in opponent free-throw percentage. In other words, it's challenging for good offense squads to score against the Clippers, which the Pistons certainly are not. I'll bet on the Western Conference betting favorites, who may be rounding into shape, over a fading Pistons squad growing more irrelevant by the game. |
|||||||
12-26-22 | New Mexico State +3 v. Bowling Green | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 29 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Like NMSU, the Bee Gees closed like a racehorse, winning four of their six games to earn a bowl bid for the first time since 2015. They dropped 4-touchdown losses early in the season to UCLA and Mississippi State, but once MACtion got underway, the Falcons went 6-2 in conference play. To be quite honest, if you look at the statistical ranking of the Falcons, you might be surprised to find out that they actually qualified for a bowl game, since the Bee Gees rank 105th in offense and 106th in the nation on D. We also look at Kill’s excellent record versus MAC foes: 20-7 SU and 16-10-1 ATS, including 18-2 SU if that opponent is .500 or below. With that, we’ll look for the Aggies to notch a win in only their second bowl game since 1960. |
|||||||
12-25-22 | Bucs v. Cardinals +7.5 | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucs’ six wins this season, the last five have been against losing teams a 26-44 winning record combined. Through it all, the GOAT who refused to hang ‘em up when he had the perfect opportunity, leads a team that is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games as a favorite, 1-7 ATS last eight games on Sundays, 1-5-1 ATS versus NFC West foes and 1-5 ATS versus sub .400 opponents. Sheesh. While the Cardinals may be going thru the motions, at least they bring a 9-1 ATS log as home dogs of more than 2 points, and a 4-0 ATS record in this series. |
|||||||
12-25-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors +6.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With a 10th straight Christmas Day game on the schedule, the Warriors return home after a 1-5 trip that ended with 38- and 30-point drubbings at New York and Brooklyn, respectively. Golden State played the final four games of the trip without Curry, who remains out with a slightly dislocated left shoulder and will miss at least two more weeks. They also were missing Wiggins (strained adductor) for the entire trip and key reserve Donte DiVincenzo (illness) for the last two losses, but both practiced during the Warriors' three days off and are expected to face the Grizzlies. The Warriors have beaten their last two opponents in NBA Finals -- Boston at home and Toronto on the road -- for the only wins in their last nine games, and Draymond Green believes it's time for him and his mates to start taking a disappointing 15-18 start more seriously. |
|||||||
12-25-22 | Packers +3.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 26 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units For the first time in over two-and-half months the Pack finally have a winning streak. The Cheese Heads are the No. 10 seed in the NFC, currently 1.5 games behind the Commanders for the NFC’s final wild-card spot. Green Bay enters 6-1 ATS as a dog in games when favored last game. Miami returns home off a winless three game road trek knowing they are 0-4 ATS coming off three straight road games, as well as 0-4 ATS when coming off three losses. And that’s not to mention the fact they are 1-5 ATS as a host in this series. With Rodgers suddenly smelling playoff blood, know that he is 9-4-1 ATS as a dog from game 15 out, including 6-0-1 ATS when the Packers own a win percentage of .666 or less. |
|||||||
12-25-22 | 76ers v. Knicks +2 | 119-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After an impressive eight-game winning streak, the Knicks have dropped consecutive games to the Toronto Raptors and Chicago Bulls. RJ Barrett scored 44 points and, Julius Randle added 29 points and 12 rebounds, but the Knicks fell 118-117 to the Bulls on Friday. DeMar DeRozan's jumper with 0.4 seconds remaining was the difference, and the loss left Barrett deflated. The Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Middle Tennessee State v. San Diego State -6.5 | 25-23 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Aztecs (7-5) were two different teams this year -- one before Mississippi State transfer Jalen Mayden took over at quarterback and another after he got the job from Virginia Tech transfer Braxton Burmeister. Prior to Mayden's insertion, San Diego State went 2-3 and averaged just 19 points per game with an inefficient passing attack. With Mayden running the offense, the Aztecs posted a 5-2 mark and scored 23 points per game. Mayden has completed 62.9 percent of his passes for 1,721 yards and 10 touchdowns, giving the offense some big-play potential it didn't have in recent years. He has thrown seven interceptions. Aztecs coach Brady Hoke said the bowl trip is a reward for his team and also a chance to win the last game of the year. To cap it off, MTSU was mugged in games against fellow bowlers this season (0-3 SUATS and In The Stats). |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Eagles +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Cowboys, who have clinched a playoff berth, are 6-12 outright in Prescott’s NFL career in games in which he has more turnovers than touchdown passes, including 0-3 SUATS this season. The problem today for the Cowboys, though, is Dallas is just 2-10 ATS and 4-8 ATS at home in this series when Philly sports the better record. Yes, there are a lot of back-and-forth numbers bandying about in this fray, but until Dallas improves its to 8-25-1 ATS mark as a home favorite when coming off a loss, we’ll be flying with the Eagles. Especially knowing that Dallas is 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS at home on Saturdays during the regular season since 1980. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Giants +4 v. Vikings | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Vikes have clinched the division and a playoff spot s0 can they thwart the path of others looking to earn their playoff stripes? Owning the league’s 32nd-ranked (worst) defense, they concede all of the defensive numbers to the Giants in this contest. Minny has been out-yarded in 5 of their last 6 games and are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven games against NFC East opponents. With the G-Men barely clinging to the No. 6 spot in the NFC playoff pictures, and 7-1 ATS on Saturdays, look for Big Blue to improve on its 7-2 ATS mark as a dog under rookie head coach Brian Daboll. Grab the points. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Bengals v. Patriots +3 | Top | 22-18 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Currently the Pats are the No. 8 seed in the AFC playoff picture but they must close out the season against the likes of these 10-4 Bengals, 8-6 Miami, and 11-3 Buffalo. Thus, it starts today against a Cincinnati squad who enters just 7-29 SU and 12-22-2 ATS away against the AFC East, including 1-6 SU and 0-6-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit win. Yes, the Hoodies need to roll up their sleeves and get to work against a Joe Burrow-led Bengals’ bunch on an AFC best 6-game win skein. However, consider that playing against any NFL team that is 6-0 SUATS in its last six games if they are facing a sub .700 non-division opponent is 10-1 ATS since 1980. |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Pacers v. Heat -6.5 | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana relies more on Haliburton than just about any team in the NBA relies on one player. He is not only the team’s leading scorer, but he also leads the league in assists. His questionable status for this game makes me want to stay completely away from the Pacers, especially since they are facing one of the top defensive teams in the league. Miami has started to round into form and should have its best player back from an illness on Friday night. The Heat have gone 11-5 in their last 16 games against Indiana and have covered the spread at a 10-5 clip in the last 15 meetings between these teams. |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Mavs v. Rockets +6.5 | 112-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dallas Mavericks have not been a reliable team to back on the road as of late, losing three out of their last four road games. This marks the end of a four-game road trip. Dallas has also dropped five out of their last eight games overall. The Rockets have been competitive recently, especially at home. They recently beat the Bucks and Suns on the current homestand. Furthermore, the Mavericks have not been at their best offensively. They have only averaged 103 points in their last three games and that includes an overtime game in that span. The Rockets already beat the Mavericks in the lone meeting this season by nine points and are a strong play in this one. |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Bulls v. Knicks -5 | 118-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks have won eight of their last 10 games and four of their last five home games. They are playing well offensively, especially at home where they have scored over 115 points per game in their last three games while making over 51 percent of their shots. They are one of the best rebounding teams in the league and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing more than 13 offensive boards per game at home, which will lead to extra scoring opportunities. The Bulls aren’t very good offensively and they played worse in recent games, giving up more than 120 points per game in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Knicks. The Bulls have lost four of their last six games and five of their last seven road games. Despite their recent run, they continue to play well offensively, scoring more than 115 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Knicks and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against them. They’ve also been very careless with the ball, which will be a problem against the Knicks, who are averaging seven steals per game. With New York holding opponents under 105 points per game in their last three games, they will keep Chicago’s offense in check, so go with New York to cover the spread. |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Houston -7 v. UL-Lafayette | 23-16 | Push | 0 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It has been a wildly uneven year in Lafayette, LA, but give props to Coach Michael Desormeaux for holding together the shards left by Billy Napier’s departure to Florida. UH triumphs if Clayton Tune is hitting the scales and avoiding the sour notes. The Cougars QB has 37 TD passes, tied with the top two Heisman candidates – winner Caleb Williams and third-place CJ Stroud, but has thrown a pick in his last four games. UL’s offense is more balanced, having 15 players with 100 or more scrimmage yards this season, tied with SMU and Texas Tech. Discipline (sometimes) and emotion versus balance makes for an intriguing matchup. |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Illinois -6.5 v. Missouri | 71-93 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Missouri has an excellent record, but they have only faced the 346th-rated schedule according to KenPom and only one team in the Coaches Poll Top 25. Illinois is much more battle-tested having faced the 135th-rated schedule, and four top-25 teams, with wins over two top-10 teams. Illinois has the offensive firepower to match Missouri and also loves to play at a fast tempo. The Fighting Illini do have a huge advantage on the defensive end and also on the boards, where they are outrebounding foes +7.1 per game. At the same time, Missouri is dead even in rebounding margin on the season. I will lay the points and take Illinois. |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Jaguars +1.5 v. Jets | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show | |
Trevor Lawrence is a kind of unhinged Justin Herbert with a more imaginative offensive coordinator, making them extremely dangerous behind a head coach whose been there and done that. Since Week 9, Lawrence leads the NFL in passer rating (111.2) and completion percentage, having thrown 14 touchdowns and just one interception. Those are numbers Jets’ head coach Robert Saleh would die for these days. And speaking of dying, Saleh completely blew last week’s game when he mismanaged a full array of three timeouts with under two minutes remaining in last week’s puzzling loss against the Lions. Despite the Jags’ putrid road record (2-21 SU in their last 23 away games), we’ll rely instead on playing against any NFL .500 favorite off a loss in Game Fifteen of the season, that's because teams in this situation are 16-45-4 ATS in this role dating back to 1980. Worse, send these .500 choke artists home off a loss and they fall to 7-28-2 ATS. And if these same teams are facing a sub .500 opponent they are a heart-stopping 2-19-1 ATS in this role since 1980. So look for the Jags to continue their winning ways at the expense of the league’s biggest quarterback bust since the days of JaMarcus Russell: Zach Wilson. |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans -8 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has beaten the Spurs twice this season, both by double digit scores. The Spurs catch a break without Williamson playing in this matchup but they will be playing their second straight game without their own leading scorer in Johnson. New Orleans is 12-4 on the season at home and have played a number of games without key players and showed off their depth. They have shown the ability to protect the basketball and, even without Williamson, they can control the boards in this matchup. |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Air Force +4.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 78 h 15 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units The military teams take advantage of success, going a combined 29-9 ATS when coming off a win. AFA is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 bowl games and in addition to being stingy at giving the ball back, they carry the top overall defense in the country. This bowl game is to honor the military and they give back by going 6-3 ATS in the last 9, including 4-1 ATS as the dog. Meanwhile, Da Bears are a sub-standard 0-3 SUATS as single digit favorites while the Big 12 has been small ATS versus military teams, going 0-3. If you are a trend lover, BU is 3-14 ATS on Thursdays plus this game is at TCU’s home field, where Baylor has lost five of the last seven, both SU and ATS. If that’s not a strong persuader, consider that Playing on any greater than .667 college military team in a bowl game that scored fewer than 50 points in its last game if they are not off a loss and their team’s overall net Yards Per Rush is greater than 1.0. is 17-0 ATS since 1980. |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Louisville v. NC State -17 | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals have one of the country's most under-whelming teams this season and there's little reason to think that things will change as they hit the road in this one. They only have two wins on the season as a whole and without a win away from home, this isn't an opponent that they match up well with. The Wolfpack have one of the ACC's best scoring duos and Louisville will not only not be able to stop them, nor will they be able to come close to matching the scoring punch. Additionally, according to covers.com, Louisville is 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, while NC State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Lakers v. Kings -6 | 120-134 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Lakers and Sacramento Kings hope to get back on winning tracks when they square off Wednesday night in the California capital. The Lakers had won two in a row before opening a three-day, two-game trip without LeBron James and absorbing a 130-104 drubbing in Phoenix at the hands of the Suns on Monday night. At the same time, the Kings, also seeking a third consecutive win but doing so on their home court, saw the Charlotte Hornets come to town and walk away with a 125-119 victory. L.A. and Sacramento met once earlier this season, with the Kings winning 120-114 on the road in November in a game in which the Lakers were also missing James. This time, they'll be without Anthony Davis, who injured his right foot in a 126-108 home win over the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Consider that the Lakers are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | South Alabama v. Western Kentucky +4.5 | 23-44 | Win | 100 | 56 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units WKU has scored 45+ points in four bowl games since 2014, most in FBS during that span. WKU QB Austin Reed, who turned down new Louisville Head Coach Jeff Brohm’s request to transfer, meaning Reed is returning to the Hilltoppers with his 4,247 pass yards and 36 TDs. While Reed may not know this, sticking with Coach Tyson Helton can pay off, since Tyson often puts foes in a corner, going 18-5 SU and 16-6-1 ATS vs. a team off an ATS defeat. WKU is generally good at putting money in people’s pockets with a 3-0 SUATS mark versus the devilish .666-win percentage types and 13-2 ATS as a dog vs. the Fun Belt. Meantime, South Alabama is seeking the first bowl win in program history. The Jaguars are a toothless 0-2 SUATS in bowl games and have also struggled versus C-USA, going 1-3 SUATS against .500 or better. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | St. Mary's -8 v. Wyoming | 66-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Saint Mary's Gaels’ defense, which is allowing an average of 57.7 points per game and 39.9% shooting will be too much for the Wyoming offense. Wyoming is shooting a below average 44.4% overall and will get very few second look opportunities as St Mary's is allowing an average of only 25.8 rebounds per game including just 5.6 offensive rebounds, which is third best in the country. St. Mary's has covered the spread in six of the last seven games played on a Wednesday on the road. Wyoming has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 16 games overall. The Cowboys are scoring a respectable 73.6 points per game but are shooting just 44.4% and rely on a more up-tempo game and St. Mary’s will take the wind out of the sails as the Gaels will use as much of the shot clock as possible on each possession. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Blazers v. Thunder +4 | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City. Additionally the Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. While the Thunder are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 43-19-3 ATS in their last 65 games following a ATS win, and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Magic v. Rockets +1.5 | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Rockets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 Wednesday games. While the Magic are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Mavs v. Wolves +3.5 | 104-99 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Naz Reid continued his strong play in the absence of Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns by contributing 27 points and 13 rebounds. Gobert has missed three straight games with a sprained left ankle, while Towns has been sidelined since sustaining a calf injury on Nov. 28. Jaylen Nowell scored 18 points off the bench and Austin Rivers added 16 for the Timberwolves, one night after Minnesota set a franchise record for points (150) and field goals (57) in a rout of the Chicago Bulls. Consider that the Mavericks are 7-16-2 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Bulls v. Hawks -6 | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games on the road. They are 2-3 in the second half of back-to-backs thus far this season. They are also just 2-7 ATS overall in their last nine games prior to Tuesday night's game. The Bulls defense is struggling to slow down their opponents and will have a difficult time against a Hawks team that has Murray and Collins back to support the offense. The Hawks should control the tempo and flow of the game with their ability to protect the basketball, they are 8th in the NBA in assist-to-turnover ratio. Additionally, the Bulls are just 4-11 on the road this season while the Hawks are 10-5 at home. Atlanta defeated Chicago two weeks ago in Atlanta. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Michigan v. North Carolina -5 | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I know bettors are going to be wary of backing North Carolina after its slow start to the season, but the Tar Heels have started to round into form and were able to gain some confidence with an overtime win against a ranked opponent. They also match up very well in this game, as they have the size to counter Dickinson along with the guard play to match Howard. Neither team has been good on the defensive end of the court, but North Carolina has more firepower offensively. Michigan needs Dickinson to play a perfect game today, while the Tar Heels have numerous high-level scoring options. |
|||||||
12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets +1.5 | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets have plenty of talent, but the one name circled on every scouting report is two-time MVP Nikola Jokic. He is playing well again this year and is coming off a historic game against Charlotte on Sunday night. Jokic finished with 40 points, a career-high 27 rebounds and 10 assists to join Wilt Chamberlain as the only players to compile those numbers in one game. Jokic had a franchise-record 20 rebounds in the first half of the 119-115 win. Consider that the Grizzlies are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 road games and 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Denver. |
|||||||
12-20-22 | Wizards v. Suns -6 | 113-110 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I am going to take the Suns and I am going to lay the points (-7.5). As long as Booker and Ayton play, I believe this team can beat anybody. Make sure to check the injury report before placing your wager. On the offensive end of the court, the Suns have the third-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are scoring the 10th most points per game. They can score from anywhere on the floor and the Wizards won't be able to slow them down. Washington has now lost 10 games in a row, as they can't do anything right. They are struggling on the defensive end of the court and they can efficiently score either. They are only scoring the 23rd most points per game and they haven't been able to defend the three-point shot. The Suns will find consistent open shots throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. Phoenix has also been elite defensively, as they are surrendering the seventh least amount of points per game and they have the 10th lowest adjusted defensive rating. They will get the job done on both ends of the floor, as I see them slowly pulling away in this game. |
|||||||
12-20-22 | Toledo v. Liberty +4 | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 31 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toledo won the MAC for Head Coach Jason Candle but MACtion seems to run out of steam after November. Toledo is 3-9 ATS in bowl games since 2002, including 1-7 ATS off a win of 7 or more points. MAC Bowlers are 6-28 SU and 8-25-1 ATS vs. foes coming off a loss. Liberty has a much more distinguished post-season history, going 3-0 SUATS, 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS versus MAC opponents since joining FBS. |
|||||||
12-20-22 | Jazz v. Pistons +2.5 | 126-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons have had a tough 10 game stretch that includes two losses to Memphis and a lost to New Orleans, but also upset wins over Miami and Dallas. The overall record isn't prett, but Detroit doesn't cheat its fans in the effort department and are 9-2-2 in thier lst 13 gainst a team with a winning record. Utah looked flat last night in Cleveland, and although the Cavs are a good team, they never really competed. The Jazz have been a poor defensive team most of the season, but now their offense is also not coming through. Utah is 0-4 in its last four games against at team with a losing record. I will back the home dog here. |