5* NO BRAINER on Warriors/Nets over 229½ -104

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Lakers/Rockets under 219½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Rockets/Thunder over 225½ -101

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Jazz/Nuggets under 216 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Clippers/Mavs under 230½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Nuggets/Spurs over 225 -113

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Wizards/Nets under 236 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on 76ers/Pacers over 211½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Kings/Spurs over 216 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Jazz/Pelicans over 224½ -106

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Raptors/Kings under 228½ -110

I really like the UNDER in Sunday's late night NBA action that has the Raptors visiting the Kings. Toronto's offense has been potent here of late, scoring 118 or more in each of their last 3, but the last two came against the Suns and Warriors. 

I just think we are going to see a bit of an uninterested Raptors' team in this one. This will be Toronto's 4th straight on the road in their 5-game west coast trip, which concludes with a much bigger game tomorrow night in Utah. 

Kings also figure to be playing at a much slower pace than normal, as they will be on no rest after a up-tempo game last night in Portland. Sacramento also just got back one of their top defensive players in Richaun Holmes. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Grizzlies/Hawks over 239½ -109

I really like the value here with the OVER 239.5. This is a massive number for a NBA total, but with the style in which the Hawks play, these two should have no problem eclipsing the mark. 

Atlanta basically plays to outscore their opponent, as they want to run and gun behind 2nd-year All-Star Trae Young. Hawks are No. 4 in the NBA in pace and No. 28 in defensive efficiency. They are No. 29 in points/allowed at 119.1 ppg, barely in front of the last place Wizards (119.9 ppg). 

While they only average 114 ppg at home, they come in averaging 122.6 ppg in their last 5. Hard to see Memphis slowing them down. Grizzlies are giving up 116.6 ppg on the road. Memphis also wants to play fast, as they are No. 7 in pace. 

OVER is 7-3 in the Grizzlies last 10 road games and 4-0 in their last 4 on the road against a team with a losing home record. OVER is 21-8 in Atlanta's last 29 at home vs a team with a losing road record, 11-4 in their last 15 off a win and 5-0 last 5 off a win by more than 10 points. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Bucks/Raptors over 230½ -109

I really like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's big Eastern Conference matchup that has the Raptors hosting the Bucks. I just don't think the number here is anywhere close to what it needs to be at. 

These are two of the best offensive teams in the NBA. Milwaukee is 2nd in offensive efficiency and the Raptors are T-8th. Toronto is also a much better offensive team at home. Raptors average 113.3 ppg on the season, but that jumps to 117.2 ppg at home. 

Both of these teams also love to run. Bucks are No. 1 in the NBA in pace of play and Raptors are 12th. Both really like to get out in run. Toronto is No. 1 in the NBA in fast break points and Bucks are No. 2. Not to mention both teams are averaging 14 made 3-pointers per game. 

OVER is 8-1 in the Raptors last 9 at home off a home win and 14-5-1 in Bucks last 20 road games vs a team that has won more than 60% of their home games. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT on Nets/Hornets under 212½ -110

I really like the UNDER in Saturday's NBA matchup between the Hornets and Nets. Charlotte plays at the slowest pace in the NBA and are in the bottom 5 in offensive efficiency. With the game on their home floor they should be able to play the game closer to their tempo. 

As for the Nets, they are not only playing better without Kyrie Irving this year, they are a much better defensive team when Irving isn't on the floor. With the way their offense has struggled here of late, scoring 106 or fewer in 3 straight, this sets up to be a defensive battle that could see both teams fail to reach the century mark. 

UNDER has cashed in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two in Charlotte and is 6-2 in the Hornets last 8 vs a team with a losing record and 19-7 in Brooklyn's last 26 on the road vs a team with a losing home record. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mavs/Magic under 220½ -110

I like the value here with the UNDER between the Magic and Mavericks. Dallas has been better offensively than expected this year and it's why the OVER is 35-20 in their 55 games to this point. I just think the books have made the adjustments and now it's time to start looking the other way. 

Getting a game to go over 220 with Orlando is not an easy task. I get they put up 116 and 135 points in their last two games before the break, but that was against the Pistons and Hawks. This is still the same team that had a stretch of 4 games where they didn't crack 100. Part of that is their lack of offensive playmakers, but even more so is their desire to play at a slow pace (3rd slowest). 

Keep in mind these two teams played back in November and only combined for 213 points and that was with the Magic shooting 49% from the field (shoot 43.4% on the season). 

Mavs rely on the 3-pointer (average 15 made 3's/game). UNDER is 8-1 in Orlando's last 9 home games vs a team who shoots 36% or better from deep. It's also 13-2 in Magic's last 15 at home in the 2nd half of the season vs strong teams (outscoring opponents by 3+ ppg). Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Hornets/Bulls under 211½ -110

I just look for the Bulls and Hornets to have a difficult time scoring enough to eclipse the mark set by the books. These two of the worst offensive teams in the league in terms of efficiency. In fact, both are tied for the 26th worst mark in offensive efficiency for the season. 

Factor in the slow tempo that Charlotte likes to play at (ranks dead last in pace) and the laundry list of injuries that the Bulls are dealing with right now and it's just hard to see either offense doing a lot in this one. These two did just play a couple months ago (12/13) and that game finished with a mere 156 points, as Charlotte won 83-73. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rockets/Suns under 235½ -109

The UNDER is worth a look here. Books have set a massive number on the total for this one, but I have hard time seeing the pace being there for these two to eclipse the mark. 

Houston is in a massive letdown spot here playing on the second leg of a back-to-back road set after playing last night in LA. A game they won 121-111, which I think only makes it that more likely they don't show up for this one. You also have to factor in they are going to rest Russell Westbrook, as they continue to keep him from playing both games in a back-to-back scenario. 

As for the Suns, they are really hurting with injuries. Aaron Baynes, Dario Saric, Tyler Johnson, Ty Jerome and Cam Johnson are all out for this one. Also, while Phoenix is at home on a day of rest, this figures to be a tired Suns team. As they had to play Sunday at Milwaukee, Monday at Brooklyn and then Wednesday at Detroit. Suns are only scoring 105 ppg over their last 4 games, well below their season mark of 112.5 ppg. 

UNDER has cashed in 5 of the Rockets last 7 on 0 days rest and 5 of their last 7 as a road favorite. UNDER is also 6-1 in the Suns last 7 home games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Pistons/Thunder under 217½ -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER between the Pistons and Thunder. This is just too big a number given what Detroit has to work with on the road. The Pistons are without Blake Griffin and Luke Kennard long-term. Derrick Rose, Markieff Morris and Svi Mykhailiuk won't be available for this one.

Detroit also just traded away their best player in Andre Drummond. They did get John Henson and Brandon Knight in the deal, but hard to imagine the suit up here and even if they do it's hard seeing their offense do much of anything. 

Just a couple of games ago we saw Detroit manage just 82 points on the road at Memphis and I would be shocked if they sniffed 100 in this one. UNDER is 9-4 in the Pistons last 13 as a road dog and 4-1 in their last 5 trips to OKC. UNDER is also 4-1 in the last 5 overall for the Thunder. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA - Northwest Div TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nuggets/Jazz under 218 -109

I love the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Jazz hosting the Nuggets. After losing 4 straight where the defense has not been playing well, I think we are going to get a big time effort from Utah at home in this one. 

One of the reasons the Jazz's defense was slipping was the team was just worn down. They should be refreshed here playing on a full 3 days of rest. Last time out Utah lost 107-124 at Portland as a 8-point favorite and that's worth noting. UNDER is 26-9 in the Jazz's last 35 off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 6 or more. 

Another big thing here is Denver will be playing this game on no rest, as they had to host the Blazers last night. Look for a Nuggets team that ranks 29th in pace to play even slower than normal on no rest. 

UNDER is also 31-9 (78%) last 5 seasons in games where you have a team off 2 or more consecutive road losses in a matchup of two good teams that have won between 60% to 75% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Suns/Pistons under 220 -109

The UNDER is definitely worth a look here between the Pistons and Suns. These are two teams that are really dealing with some big injuries right now. Detroit's been without Blake Griffin and Luke Kennard for a while.

They won't have Derrick Rose or Svi Mykhailiuk for this one and Markieff Morris is questionable. Pistons were in a similar spot in their last game and managed just 82 points on 35% shooting at Memphis a game that saw a combined 178 points with a total of 223.5. 

As for the Suns, Cameron Johnson, Aron Baynes, Tyler Johnson, Ty Jerome, Dario Saric and Frank Kaminsky are all expected to miss this game. Much like the Pistons the Suns struggled to overcome these injuries in their last game, scoring just 97 on the road at Brooklyn, who is far from a good defensive team. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Hornets/Rockets under 224½ -110

I like the value with the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Rockets hosting the Hornets. As good as Houston is offensively they are shooting a mere 44% over their last 5 games and figure to have a hard time putting up a big number here. 

Not because the Hornets are a juggernaut on defense, but because Charlotte plays at the slowest pace of any team in the league. Not to mention the Hornets are arguably the worst offensive team in the league right now. Charlotte is shooting 42% from the field in their last 5 and 42% on the road this season. In the Hornets last 10 games the most they have scored in any game is 112 and 7 of the 10 have seen them score 100 or less. 

UNDER has gone 9-3 in Charlotte's last 12 games vs a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 7-2 in Rockets last 9 vs a team with a losing record and 4-0 in their last 4 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA - Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Nuggets/Pistons under 216 -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Nuggets and Pistons. I just don't see either one of these offenses being in sync with this early start time. The game is tipping off at 12:30 EST, which means it's going to feel like playing at 10:30 am for the Nuggets. 

This also figures to be a tired Denver team, who just finished up a back-to-back Thursday/Friday at Milwaukee after a game at home against Utah the night before. Detroit could only manage 92 points on 35% shooting at home against the Raptors in their last game and it doesn't figure to be much better for them in this one. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the Nuggets last 20 games against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA - Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Raptors/Spurs under 223 -109

Love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's afternoon showdown between the Spurs and Raptors. I just think both of these teams are going to be looking to slow things down a bit. Toronto is playing their second straight on the road and 4th away from home in their last 5 overall. It's also the Raptors 6th game in the last 10 days. 

Spurs will be playing their second straight at home, but prior to that were on the road for 6 of 8 games and they are also on little rest with this being their 5th game in 8 days. 

You also have two teams that have been playing well and I think both will bring the defensive intensity in this one. There's just also something about playing on Sunday. UNDER is 3-0-1 in the Raptors last 4 on Sunday and 6-1 in the Spurs last 7. 

These two teams also played recently, as the just faced off in Toronto on Jan. 12th. That game only saw a combined score of 209. Spurs really did a good job of slowing the game down and making the Raptors play at their pace, something they should be able to do even more at home. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Wizards/Cavs under 232 -110

I really like the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup between the Cavs and Wizards. Washington is a team that finds themselves in a lot of high scoring games, but this will not be one of them. Wizards aren't going to have much gas in the tank for this one, as they just played last night in Miami in a game that went to OT. 

Cleveland won't have any problem playing this game at a slower pace, as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in pace of play. Cavs won't have Brandon Knight for this game, which is a big positive for their defense, as is the expected return of John Henson. Last time out Cleveland scored just 86 points against the Knicks in a game that saw a combined score of 192 with a total of 222.5. 

UNDER is 5-0 in Washington's last 5 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 7-1 in the Cavs last 8 when playing on 2 days of rest. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Jazz/Warriors under 218½ -110

The UNDER is definitely worth a look in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Warriors hosting the Jazz. Golden State is coming off a game at Portland where they put up 124 points and combined for 253. I just think it has the total here a lot higher than it should be. 

Warriors have only eclipsed 110 points twice in their last 10 games and will have a hard time coming anywhere close to that against a good Utah defense that just held the Pacers to 88 points at home in their last game. 

UNDER is 14-5 in the Warriors last 19 as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, 22-9 in their last 31 at home after going over the total in their last game and 12-2 in their last 14 home games after a contest with a combined score of 245 or more points. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Grizzlies/Celtics under 232½ -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup between the Celtics and Grizzlies. Boston will be without one of their top players, as Jaylen Brown has been ruled out with an ankle injury. That's a big loss for a Celtics team that is likely to suffer some kind of letdown after that big win over the Lakers on Monday. 

In terms of a letdown, I think we see a little slower pace and more focus on the defensive end for Boston, who I think will find some motivation here trying to slow down a red-hot Memphis offense that has a ridiculous streak going of scoring 110 or more points in 14 straight games. 

I'm not saying this won't be a high-scoring game, I just don't think it eclipses the high total set by the books. UNDER is 4-1 in Boston's last 5 after a game where they scored 125 or more and 7-3 in the Grizzlies last 10 after giving up 125 or more in their last game. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Clippers/Mavs under 233½ -110

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Tuesday's only NBA action that has the Mavs hosting the Clippers. In the only previous meeting between these two they combined for just 213 points with a total of 225. Both defenses were really good, as both sides shot under 43% from the field. 

I think we get a big effect defensively from both teams knowing that a lot of eyes will be on this one. Also, both teams are going to be well-rested, as LA hasn't played since Saturday and Dallas since Friday. 

It's also worth noting that Dallas is favored, which adds some value. UNDER is 8-1 this season when the Clippers are listed as an underdog and a perfect 7-0 when they are a road dog. UNDER is also 8-1 in LA's last 9 vs a top tier team that's outscoring teams by 6+ points/game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Bucks under 226½ -109

I really like the value with the UNDER in Monday's Central Division clash between the Bulls and Bucks. These two teams are very familiar with one another and will be meeting for the 4th time this season. After combining for 239 points in the first matchup, the last two have gone for 225 or less. 

I just have a hard time seeing these two eclipse the mark set for this one. Milwaukee's one of the best defensive teams in the league and Chicago's offense has had it's struggles against better teams, especially on the road. 

One thing the Bulls do well that should help this stay under is play solid transition defense. Chicago ranks 8th in defensive transition defense. They also defend spot up shooting, which is where Milwaukee's offense really thrives. 

It's also important to note the Bucks come in off a 117-97 win at Brooklyn, as the UNDER is 13-3 in Milwaukee's last 16 home games off a road win by 10 or more and a perfect 8-0 if that win was by 20 or more. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Hawks/Spurs under 230½ -109

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA matchup that has the Spurs hosting the Hawks. I know Atlanta's defense is one of the worst in the league and San Antonio's isn't much better, but I just don't see the pace being at the point needed to eclipse this total. 

While the Hawks will be on two days rest, I still think they are going to be a bit fatigued for this one. Atlanta was at Washington last Friday, had to play at Brooklyn two days later and then were back home on just 1 day of rest against the Suns. 

As for the Spurs, they are going to be playing on just 1 day of rest after a grueling 4-game road trip that had them go from Boston to Memphis to Toronto and finally end up in Miami. 

UNDER is 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 road games. It's also 8-2 in the Spurs last 10 home games off a road trip of 7 or more days and 6-0 in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record. UNDER is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in this series. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Mavs/Kings over 226½ -109

Easy play on the OVER in tonight's late action between the Kings and Mavs. I just don't think Sacramento has any hope here of slowing down this potent Dallas offensive attack. Mavs are No. 1 in the league in offensive efficiency at 114.1 per 100 possessions. Next best is the Bucks at 111.9. 

Dallas is lethal in the pick and roll and the Kings are rank in the bottom 10 of the league at defending the pick and roll. Sacramento is giving up 111.8 ppg in their last 5 and have allowed 110 or more in 10 of their last 14. 

Key here is the Kings are clicking on the offensive end right now, as they are scoring 111.6 ppg in their last 5 and have scored 110 or more in 7 of 9 overall. Dallas held the 76ers to 91 and the Warriors to 97 in their last 2, but Philadelphia's without Embiid and Golden State is just not very good. Prior to that they had given up 114.4 ppg in their previous 8. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Wizards/Bulls over 230 -103

I look for the Bulls and Wizards to easily surpass the big total set for tonight's matchup. It's really hard to not like the OVER with Washington as long as Bradley Beal is in the lineup. Wizards are obviously a better offensive team with Beal on the floor, but what people don't realize is how he negatively impacts the defense. Wizards defense is 14.4 worse per 100 possessions with him on the floor. 

On the season Washington is giving up 121.6 ppg away from home and the Bulls can and should hit that mark. Chicago had 110 at the Wizards when these two played about a month ago and shot just 40% from the field in that game. 

Other key here is the Bulls who had been playing solid defense are struggling on that side of the ball since Wendell Carter Jr went down. In Chicago's last 6 games they have given up 111 or more points in 5 of those games and the only exception was a game against a depleted Pistons squad. Also, Bulls have gone 8 straight games allowing the opposition to shoot 46% or better from the field. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Hornets/Blazers under 217 -105

The UNDER is worth a look here in Monday's NBA matchup between the Blazers and Hornets. I just don't see these two teams playing with the kind of pace needed to go over a total of this magnitude. 

Charlotte has to be running on fumes as they flew across the country for a game at Utah on Friday and then were at Phoenix last night before making another long trip up north for this game on no rest. Blazers had to return home from a 4-game road trip to face one of the league's best in Milwaukee and will be on just 1-day of rest for this one. 

Portland has been playing at a slower pace of late with all the travel and have scored no more than 102 in their last 3 games. Charlotte plays at the slowest pace of any team in the league and we saw how that can impact a game last night against the Suns. Phoenix shot 50% from the field and yet the game only saw a 192 combined points. Same thing in their game against Utah. Jazz shot 51% and the two combined for only 201 points. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Warriors/Grizzlies over 221 -109

Easy play on the OVER in Sunday's NBA matchup that has Memphis hosting the Warriors. The books are having a terrible time setting the total high enough in Grizzlies' games of late. The OVER is 12-3 in Memphis' last 15 games. 

A big part of that is the Grizzlies' offense, which is absolutely on fire right now. Memphis is averaging 127.4 ppg in their last 5 and have scored 110 or more in 10 straight games. Not only is their offense lighting it up, but they are allowing a ton of points. Grizzlies have given up 112 or more in 5 straight. 

OVER is 10-1 in Memphis' last 11 home games and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 at home against a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Hornets/Jazz under 213 -109

I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA matchup that has Utah hosting Charlotte. I just think this is too big a number given how strong the Jazz are defensively and how poor the Hornets are on offense. 

Utah ranks 7th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and in their last 5 games are giving up just 101 ppg on 43% shooting. Charlotte ranks 22nd in offensive efficiency, as they are scoring just 104.6 ppg on 44% shooting and that drops to 102 ppg on 43% shooting when on the road. 

Another thing here is pace. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace of play with Charlotte the slowest team in the league. 

UNDER is also 28-15 in Utah's last 43 off a home win and 36-18 in their last 54 at home off 2 straight games where they scored 110 or more points. UNDER has also cashed in 7 of their last 9 games vs a team with a losing record. and is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two in Utah. Take the UNDER !

3* NBA -Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Raptors/Hornets under 209 -110

The UNDER is worth a look in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Hornets hosting the Raptors. UNDER has cashed in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games and a big reason for that is they have had to really slow things down with all the injuries. They have been without Siakam, Powell and Gasol for a while now and just recently lost VanVleet. 

Last night they played at home against the Blazers and that game finished with a combined 200 points with a total of 221. Note that Portland had seen each of their previous 6 games see a combined score of 210 or more with 5 of those going for at least 225. 

With Toronto playing on no rest, expect them to slow things down even more and Charlotte will have no problem joining in, as they are dead last in the NBA in pace of play and rank in the bottom 10 in offensive efficiency. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Thunder/Spurs under 218½ -109

Easy play on the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Thunder. Oklahoma City likes to play at a slow pace and that combined with a mediocre offense and solid defense is a great recipe for low-scoring games. UNDER has cashed in each of their last 5 games. 

Spurs inability to lock down defensively was a big reason for their early season struggles, but they have been much better on that side of the ball. San Antonio has held 9 of their last 14 opponents to 44% or worse from the field and will be facing a Thunder offense that has shot no better than 45% in their last 4 games. 

UNDER is 10-5 in OKC's 15 road games this season, 27-12 in their last 39 as a dog and 11-2 in their last 13 with a line of +3 to -3. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Late Night Total NO-BRAINER on Suns/Kings under 222 -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NBA matchup that has the Kings hosting the Suns. Just went Sacramento was starting to pick up the pace with De'Aaron Fox and Marvin Bagley back from injuries, both players are hurt once again and out for this game. 

Kings are going to have to go back to slowing things down and Phoenix figures to be looking to slow the pace as well, as they will be in the second game of a back-to-back set after playing last night in Golden State. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the Suns last 20 road games against division opponents and 21-9 in the Kings last 30 at home when playing only their 2nd game in a 5 day stretch. Take the UNDER 222! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Magic/Jazz under 208½ -105

The UNDER is worth a look here in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Jazz hosting the Magic. These are two teams that like to play slow. Utah ranks 16th in pace of play and Orlando is way back at 26th. 

Another thing here is I think we are going to get a big effort here from Utah on the defensive side of the ball, as they can't be happy about letting each of their last two opponents shoot over 53% from the field. 

UNDER is also 14-3 in Orlando's last 17 road games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3 and the average combined score in this spot is just 200.3. UNDER is also 35-17 in Utah's last 52 at home after scoring 110 or more in 2 straight games. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT on Knicks/Nuggets over 205½ -110

Easy play here on the OVER for me in Sunday's NBA showdown between the Knicks and Nuggets. Denver comes into this one off back-to-back wins, scoring 114 against the Blazers on Thursday and 110 yesterday against the Thunder. Nuggets should have no problem putting up another big number here against a Knicks defense that is giving up 113.9 ppg on the road. 

Key here is that with Denver playing on no rest, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights, it's unlikely they give a top notch defensive effort in this one, especially given how bad this Knicks team is. Nuggets can simply go through the motions on defense and still win this game no problem. Knicks scored 124 on 48% shooting at the Warriors on Wednesday and 103 on 46% shooting at Sacramento on Friday. If NY can just get to 95 here we cash this thing easy. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on 76ers/Celtics over 210 -110

I like the value here with the OVER at this price. A lot of people are going to be thinking UNDER here with this being a matchup of two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference, especially with how these teams can get after it on defense. 

The thing is, I just don't think these two are going to have enough in the tank to bring their "A" game defensively. Boston just played last night at Indiana in a game that saw 239 combined points. It's also the Celtics 3rd game in 4 days. 76ers had yesterday off, but are playing their 4th game in 6 nights. 

OVER is 25-10 in the Celtics last 35 home games after a combined score of 235 or more. It's also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Boston. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wizards/Heat under 234 -109

The UNDER is worth a look in Friday's NBA matchup that has division rivals Washington and Miami facing off. The scoring numbers here might suggest this thing going OVER, but I just don't think the pace of play will be at the point needed to eclipse this total. 

Washington is playing in the second leg of a back-to-back set and 3rd in 4 days. They are also primed to come out a little flat after a big upset win over the 76ers last night as a 7.5-point dog. Miami had yesterday off, but will also be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and should give a big effort defensively coming off a 19-point loss at Boston. 

UNDER is 33-16 in the Wizards last 49 off a home win and 31-17 in their last 48 after playing 2 straight games at home. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Grizzlies/Bulls over 221 -110

I think we are getting some great value here with the OVER in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Bulls hosting the Grizzlies. These two teams like to play fast, as the Bulls are T-11th in pace and Memphis is 6th. 

The Grizzlies are without star rookie point guard Joe Morant, but in the last two games without him both matchups saw a combined score of 221 or more. Not only do these two teams like to play fast, they also don't play much defense. Memphis is allowing 117 ppg and the Bulls are giving up 110 ppg. 

Another thing to keep in mind when we have two bad teams facing off against each other, the defensive intensity is usually not there. OVER is 5-1 in the Grizzlies last 6 vs a team with a losing home record and 5-1-1 in the Bulls last 7 vs a team with a losing record. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/76ers over 206 -109

The books have completely missed the mark with Saturday's NBA total between the Pacers and 76ers. I get these are two strong defensive teams, but Philadelphia is scoring 108.3 ppg and Indiana is even better at 109.3 ppg. Pacers are also red-hot on the offensive side of the ball right now, as they are scoring 115.6 ppg in their last 5. 

76ers don't figure to be at their best defensively in this one, as they will be playing in the second game of a back-to-back set and this will be their 6th game in the last 9 days. Same thing with the Pacers defense, as Indiana is also in the second game of a back-to-back. 

OVER is 5-1-1 in the Pacers last 7 when playing on 0 days of rest and 4-1 in the 76ers last 5 on no rest. OVER is laos 6-1 in Philadelphia's last 7 when their starters combine for 160 minutes in the previous day and 6-2-1 in Indiana's last 9 when their starters combine for 160 or more minutes the previous day. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Late Night TOTAL BAILOUT  on Wizards/Lakers under 235 -105

UNDER is definitely worth a look in tonight's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Wizards. While LA has seemed to figure out the offense here i n the last couple of weeks, I just feel the number is way too high for the spot. 

I just don't see the Lakers looking to push the pace at all in this one. They just finished up a 4-game road trip that spanned just 6 days and they just last played in New Orleans on Wednesday. If LA wants to play slow, they are good enough to dictate the tempo to their liking. 

Wizards are a team that likes to play fast, but they too figure to be a little slower than normal. Washington is playing it's 3rd straight on the road and this will be their 3rd game in the last 4 days. 

UNDER is 15-5 in Lakers last 20 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points and 24-9 in their last 33 after scoring 105 or more in 4 straight games. UNDER is also 17-7 in their last 24 at home vs a team with a losing record and 18-5 in their last 23 vs bad defensive teams that are allowing opponents to shoot 46% or better from the field. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Early Bird Total NO-BRAINER on Celtics/Nets under 216½ -109

I really like the value here with the UNDER 216.5 in Friday's early NBA action between the Celtics and Nets. This is a far cry from what NBA players are use to in terms of start time for a game and I just think when you have games this early, especially on Friday, it's hard for players to get up for the game and play at their normal tempo. 

On top of that, these two teams just played Wednesday night in Boston, so both teams are going to be much better equipped for what the other wants to do offensively. UNDER is 15-5 in the Celtics last 20 division road games and 5-1 in the Nets last 6 overall. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Wizards/Nuggets over 226½ -110

I think we are getting some great value here with the OVER in Tuesday's NBA action between Denver and Washington. The Nuggets have been great defensively over their recent 9-1 stretch, but I just don't think we are going to see a big effort on that side against a bad Wizards team, especially with the holiday's coming up and Denver getting a much-needed 3-day break after this game. 

Washington is also a team that just doesn't play any defense and if Denver gets up big they aren't going to keep trying on the defensive side of the ball. Wizards have allowed 113 or more points in 11 of their last 12 games, giving up 120 or more 7 times in this stretch. Only one of their last 6 games has seen a combined less than 243 points. 

OVER is 20-8 in the Wizards last 28 off a loss, 7-2 in their last 9 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 5-1 in their last 5 vs a team from the Western Conference. OVER is also 31-17 in their last 48 with a total set in the 220's. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Kings/Celtics under 208½ -110

I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA matchup between Boston and Sacramento. These two teams met just 8 days ago in Sacramento and the Kings won that contest 100-99. Both defense played really well in that game and the pace was extremely slow. 

Playing slow is what the Kings want to do, as they 27th in the NBA in pace of play. I like them to dictate the tempo once again, as Boston is likely to be without starting point guard Kemba Walker. They are already down a big offensive weapon in Gordon Hayward and while Marcus Smart is going to play, he's at less than 100%. 

UNDER is 24-12 in Kings last 36 non-conference games, 16-6 in their last 22 vs a team with a winning record and 9-3 in their last 12 on the road. UNDER is also 12-3-1 in Boston's last 16 at home after a road trip of 7 or more days and 5-0 n their last 5 non-conference games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Magic/Pistons under 206½ -110

Really like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA matchup that has the Magic visiting the Pistons. It's been a struggle on the offensive end for Orlando who are 29th in the league at just 102.1 ppg.

It's not going to get any better in the short-term, as the Magic will be without Aaron Gordon and Nikola Vucevic. Gordon is 4th on the team at 13.1 ppg and Vucevic is second at 17.1 ppg. These are Orlando's two best offensive rebounders. 

Magic also are the league's slowest team in pace of play and will have to rely even more on their defense and slow tempo to have any shot here. Detroit's offense isn't exactly clicking, as they have failed to top 90 in 2 of their last 3. The Pistons also rank in the bottom half of the league (21st) in pace of play. 

UNDER is 13-3 in Orlando's last 16 road games after losing 2 of their last 3 and 29-13 in their last 42 when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. UNDER is 14-3 in Pistons last 17 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Mavs/Rockets under 231½ -109

Most are going to look to pound the OVER here, as you got a Mavs team coming off back-to-back 140+ point showings against a Rockets team that can score all kinds of points behind their dynamic duo of Westbrook and Harden. 

I just think it's a lot harder than people realize for these NBA players to get their minds right for these early start times on the weekend, especially Sunday. Add in both of these teams playing on limited rest and I think we get a lot lower scoring game than you would normally get with these two. 

UNDER is a strong 17-7 in the Rockets last 24 games with a total of 230 or more. It's also 35-19 in the Mavs last 54 after 2 straight where they shot 50% or better from the field. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Blazers/Cavs over 223 -110

Easy play on the OVER in Saturday's NBA slate that has the Cavaliers hosting the Blazers. Defense is not a strength of either of these teams. Cleveland is giving up 112.1 ppg and Portland is allowing 116.7 ppg. Both teams are in much worse form than that of late, as the Cavs are giving up 122.8 ppg in their last 5 and the Blazers are allowing 122.4 ppg in their last 5. 

Blazers are one of the best pick and roll teams in the league and the Cvs are one of the worst defending it. Portland should be able to exploit this in a big way, especially with Damian Lillard expected back in the lineup after missing the Blazers last game. 

I wouldn't be shocked at all to see both teams score into the 120s and this thing fly past the number. OVER is 10-3-1 in Portland's last 14 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 13-3 in the Cavs last 16 off a loss by more than 10. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA - Late Night TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rockets/Clippers under 228 -109

This number doesn't make any sense to me. I just don't see these two teams coming close to 230 points. Houston is a tired team. They will be playing their 5th game in 7 days. Playing their 4th game in 6 days they managed just 95 points and shot just 42% from the field on Wednesday at Denver. 

Now they face a Clippers team that I believe can be the best in the league when they want to be on the defensive side of the ball. I fully expect a max effort on that side of the ball from LA at home against Harden and Westbrook. They definitely got the guys to slow those two down. 

Houston's offense gets a lot of praise, but they better defensively than they get credit for. Clippers offense only scored 90 on 40% shooting against the Thunder on Monday and then had 107 (in OT) on 42% shooting against the Celtics. 

UNDER is 16-4 in the Rockets last 20 road games as a dog of 6 or less and 19-5 in their last 24 on the road after going under in their previous game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Heat/Bulls under 216½ -105

The UNDER is worth a look here in Friday's NBA matchup between Chicago and Miami. This just feels like to big a number when you got a decent Heat defense that's facing a Bulls offense that is having a miserable time shooting well from the field. Chicago has shot 43% or worse in 4 straight games and will be facing a Heat defense that has only allowed a team to shoot better than 45% once all season. 

Miami has also slowed the pace considerably of late and we have seen the UNDER cash in 7 of their last 10 games. UNDER has cashed in each of the Bulls last two and they are off one of their best defensive showings of the season on Wednesday, as they held the Pistons to just 89 points on 34% shooting. 

UNDER is 8-2 in Miami's last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 27-11-1 in the Bulls last 39 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Raptors/Magic TOTAL WINNER on Magic/Raptors under 208 -115

I'm doubling down on tonight's NBA matchup between Orlando and Toronto, as see great value both with the Magic and the UNDER. 

I know Orlando comes in 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS on the road this season, but they just weren't playing well at all to start the year. Magic got the kinks worked out on their recent 5-game homestand. They won each of the last 3 and 4 of 5 overall. I like them to carry over that momentum and not just cover but win this game outright. 

Raptors have been playing without Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka and I just think they are starting to show some signs of fatigue. One player that really seems to be effected is Fred VanVleet, who is averaging close to 38 mins/game. He's just 11 for 38 from the field in his last two games. 

As for the UNDER, the Magic like to slow things way down. Orlando is the third slowest team in the league with a pace rating fo 98.6. Toronto starting out playing fast (104.2 pace rating in October), but injuries have forced them slow things down. In the month of November their pace rating is just 101.6. 

Magic are 11-2 ATS last 13 when they come in having won 4 of their last 5 and the UNDER is 14-3 in their last 17 road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. Take Orlando & UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Spurs/Mavs under 225 -109

This just feels like way too many points for this matchup. Both of these teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace of play. I know the Spurs have played some high scoring games of late, but only one time in the Mavs last 6 games have they finished with a combined score of 225 or more. 

Spurs offense is averaging a respectable 112.4 ppg, but a lot of that is them playing a lot of bad defenses. San Antonio's opponents on the season are giving up 111.7 ppg, so they are just barely eclipsing what their opponents allow. 

Another thing to note is that in the last 30 meetings between these two teams, they have not had a game hit 225 points. UNDER is also 27-14 in Dallas' last 41 vs a poor defensive team that is allowing a shooting percentage of 46% or more. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Cavs/Knicks over 208½ -109

I like the value here with the OVER in Monday's NBA matchup of Eastern Conference bottom feeders, as the Knicks will play host to the Cavs. A lot of time when you get two bad teams against one another, you don't see a whole lot of effort on the defensive side and that's what I'm expecting here. 

Cavs defense has been slipping of late, as they have allowed 50% shooting in each of their last two games and 47% or better in 5 of their last 7. Knicks are giving up 109.2 ppg. 

OVER is 5-2 in Cleveland's last 7 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 10-3 in their last 13 off a game where they didn't cover. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wizards/Magic under 223 -109

UNDER is worth a look here in Sunday's NBA matchup between Orlando and Washington. The Magic are just an ideal UNDER team, as they rank dead last in the league in pace of play (99.7). They are 28th in offensive efficiency (100.9) and 5th in defensive efficiency (100.0). 

UNDER is 8-3-1 in Orlando's last 12 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 vs a bad team like the Wizards that has won less than 40% of their games. 

UNDER is 29-7 (81%) with a total of 220 to 229.5 when you have a road team off a win that's won between 25% to 40% of their games and facing another team with a losing record. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Blazers/Spurs TOTAL WINNER on Blazers/Spurs under 228 -109

I just think the total here has been set way too high for this one. Portland was playing with some decent pace early on, but all the injuries have forced the Blazers to slow things down. Their pace of play rating was a respectable 105.1 in their first 8 games and is just 99.4 over their last 4. It's important to note the dip has come against teams that look to push the pace, which is a good sign the slow play will continue. 

Spurs defense hasn't been great, but their biggest weakness has been protecting the paint. Portland isn't really a team to take advantage of that, as they are 25th in the league in number of attempts per game within the restricted area. Look for this to stay well below the mark. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Pistons/Hornets over 219 -109

I look for the Pistons/Hornets to fly past the total set by the books Friday night. These are simply too bad defensive teams. Detroit comes in allowing 112.5 ppg and that jumps up to 115.2 ppg on the road. Charlotte is allowing 113.7 ppg and their defense is even worse at home, where they are allowing 118.0 ppg. 

The Pistons have seen an average score of 223 in their 6 road games this season, while the Hornets are combining for 228.2 ppg on their home floor. Charlotte also really likes to push the pace at home. They also struggle to defend spot up shooting, which is something that Detroit excels at. 

Charlotte has allowed each of their last 3 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field and the OVER is a dominant 13-3 in their last 16 after 2 such games of bad defense. OVER is also 6-1 in the Pistons last 7 on the road, 8-1 in their last 9 when playing on 2 days of rest and 8-2 off a loss. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on 76ers/Magic over 204 -110

I think we are getting some decent value here with the total in Wednesday's game that has the 76ers visiting the Magic. I just feel like the number here has been deflated way too much due to Orlando's offensive struggles and the 76ers coming off a game last night at Cleveland that ended with a mere 197 points. 

Thing is I don't think we are going to get a great defensive effort from Philadelphia playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 3rd in 4 days. We should also get one of the better offensive performances from the Magic playing at home on a full 2 days of rest. 

OVER is 31-12 in Philadelphia's last 43 road games off a home win by 3-points or less, 14-3 in their last 17 when playing on 0 days rest and 10-4 last 14 vs a team with a losing record. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Knicks/Bulls under 213½ -109

Easy play on the other here as two of the league's worst offensive teams go head-to-head at the United Center. The Knicks rank dead last in offensive efficiency and the Bulls are sitting at 27th. Both teams also rank in the bottom half of the league in pace of play with the Knicks way back there at 28th. 

These two teams already played once this season and combined for just 203 points. Both teams shot under 43% from the field. Expect more of the same tonight. UNDER is 8-2 in New York's 10 games and 12-3 in their last 15 when playing a bad team that's won 25% to 40% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Cavs/Knicks under 214 -110

Easy play for me on the UNDER in Sunday's NBA showdown between bottom feeders New York and Cleveland. The Knicks are scoring just 101.2 ppg on the road, while the Cavs are managing a mere 97.3 ppg at home. 

Neither of these teams like to play up-tempo. New York is 28th in pace of play and Cleveland comes in at 23. UNDER is 3-1 in the Knicks 4 road games and a perfect 3-0 in the Cavs 3 home games this season. 

UNDER is also 20-7 in the Knicks last 27 at home with a line of +3 to -3 and 7-3 in the Cavs last 10 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA - Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Clippers over 228 -109

I look for the Blazers and Clippers to fly past the total when the two face off in LA tonight. These are two of the most efficient offenses in the league right now. Clippers are No. 3 in offensive efficiency and the Blazers are just two spots back at No. 5. 

On top of that, both of these teams rank in the top half of the league in pace of play and the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. I do think the Clippers can be a top tier defensive team if they choose, but I don't see them having the energy on that side tonight playing in the second game of a back-to-back. 

OVER is 30-18 in the Clippers last 48 home games and 11-2 in their last 13 at home if they are playing their 3rd straight at home. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Late Night Total HEAVY HITTER on 76ers/Jazz over 210½ -105

I look for the Jazz and 76ers to fly past the total tonight. The UNDER is 7-0 in Utah's first 7 games. I think the books have over-adjusted the number here, creating value on the OVER. This is the lowest total of the season for the Jazz and it's not like they are facing an offense that can't score. 

Philadelphia is averaging 114 ppg and have played 3 times without their best player in Embiid. While the 76ers offense has traveled well (115.0 ppg on the road), the defense has not. Philadelphia is giving up 114 ppg and allowing teams to shoot 52% from the field on the road, including 44% from deep. Both teams will hit at least 105 in this one. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Hawks over 219 -110

I'm confident the Bulls/Hawks will fly over the total Wednesday night in Atlanta. With both teams off big games Tuesday night, I just don't see the defensive effort being there for either side. Bulls were in a heated contest against the Lakers at home and the Hawks pulled out a late rally to upset the Spurs. 

OVER has cashed in 3 of the last 4 games for the Bulls. I know the UNDER is a perfect 6-0 in Atlanta's 6 games, but they played several games without their best player in Trae Young. He returned against SA and scored 28 points in the 2nd half after a slow start. Hawks defense took a huge hit with John Collins getting handed a 25-game suspension, so Atlanta will have to rely on the offense even more. 

OVER is 7-3-1 in Chicago's last 11 off a SU loss and 4-1 in Atlanta's last 5 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Magic/Thunder under 204 -110

Don't be fooled into taking the OVER with this low total in tonight's NBA action between the Thunder and Magic. I actually think there's value with the UNDER in this one. Both of these teams are strong defensively. OKC is tied for 3rd in defensive efficiency and Orlando is right on their heels at No. 5. 

Not only that, both teams are struggling on the other side of the ball. Magic are dead last in the league in offensive efficiency and the Thunder aren't to far back at 26th. Orlando also plays at the second slowest pace in the league. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Blazers/Warriors under 224 -109

The Warriors are a complete mess right now. They won't have Steph Curry for months because of a broken hand. Draymond Green is out at the moment with a torn ligament in this finger and D'Angelo Russell is questionable with an ankle injury. Without these 3 in the lineup, they scored just 87 points in a 6-point home loss to the Hornets. 

The only way Golden State even has a chance to be competitive without Curry and Green is to slow the game way down and play hard defensively, which is what I'm expecting here agianst the Blazers. Even if they can't keep Portland in check, this should turn into a blowout and still stay under the high total set by the books. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Pistons/Wizards over 224½ -109

I look for Detroit and Washington to have zero problem eclipsing the total Monday night. The Wizards haven't exactly been playing a lot of defense. In Washington's last 3 games they have allowed 124 to the Spurs, 159 to the Rockets and 131 to the T-Wolves (without KAT). All of those saw a combined score of 140 or more. 

Pistons aren't a great offensive team, but they are scoring 112.7 ppg on the road and giving up 115.7 ppg on the road. Wizards are averaging 133.5 ppg on their home floor. OVER is 30-15 in Washington's last 45 with a total of 220 to 229.5 and 25-10 at home the last two seasons with a total of 220 or more. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Lakers/Spurs over 217½ -109

I think this is an easy play on the OVER. Lakers offense has been clicking lately and it figures to only get better the more chemistry LeBron and AD form. Not to mention they have recently just got back a big time scorer in Kyle Kuzma. Lakers have scored 119 or more in each of their last 3 games. 

I could easily see them getting to that points, but all we need is for both teams to get to 109 and we can't lose. Spurs have scored 113 or more in 4 of 5 games and are averaging 119 on the road. OVER is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 at home and 10-3 in the Lakers last 13 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Clippers/Jazz over 215 -109

I'm not expecting this thing to get into the 230's or anything, but I see a ton of value with the total at this price. Utah is averaging 106.5 ppg at home and will be facing a Clippers defense that is giving up 126.0 ppg on the road. 

While Utah has an elite defense that is allowing just 91.5 ppg, it's hard to see them holding this Clippers team under 100, as LA is averaging 121.5 ppg. 

Not to mention the books are begging for UNDER money with this total, as the public will be much more inclined to take the UNDER seeing that the Jazz haven't played a game all season where the two teams combined for more than 200 points. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Warriors/Pelicans over 235 -109

Don't be afraid of the big number here. These two should easily eclipse this total. Each of the Pelicans first 3 games have seen a combined score of 139 or more. Both teams also love to push the pace. New Orleans is currently No. 6 and the Warriors are No. 9. Both are also struggling defensively. Golden State ranks dead last in defensive efficiency and the Pelicans come in at 25th. 

OVER is 21-8 in the Pelicans last 29 after 2 straight losses and the average score in this spot has been 138.1. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Late Night Total KNOCKOUT on Clippers/Suns under 228 -110

I think these two teams will fly past the total Saturday night. The rest of the league has to be a bit worried with what they are seeing from the Clippers, as they look every bit as good as we thought they we would Khawi and they are going to be adding Paul George to the mix here shortly. 

Clippers have featured the most efficient offense in the league at 123.6 points per 100 possessions. The next best is the hawks at 116.7. The defense was great the first two games, but one was against a Lakers team that is the slowest pace team in the league and the other against a Warriors team that looks to be in big trouble with their lack of scoring options. 

I don't think the Clippers will bring that same intensity on defense against the Suns on the road and I wouldn't be surprised at all if both teams score into the 120's. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA - Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Kings over 225 -110

I look for the Blazers and Kings to fly past the total tonight. Sacramento let the Suns of all teams shoot 50% from the field in their season opener. That says a lot about this team and the effort they will be giving on the defensive side of the ball. 

The offense did manage just 95 points on 39% shooting, but I would expect a much better showing from the offense at home. Blazers also due for a much better shooting night after connecting on just 41% against a really good Denver team. 

OVER is 18-7-1 last 26 Blazers games after they failed to cover the spread and 8-1-1 in their last 10 vs a team with losing record at or below 40%. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA - Late Night TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nuggets/Blazers under 218 -109

You will hear a lot about the offensive playmakers on both sides of the ball in this game, but I think we are going to see the two defenses shine. This season opener means a little more, especially to the Nuggets, as the Blazers knocked them out of the playoffs last year. 

I also think Portland is still a team playing with a chip on their shoulder, as they just continue to not get the respect they feel they deserve. This team just went to the Western Conference Finals and yet no one is picking them as a title contender. I expect as close to a playoff-like atmosphere as you can expect this early in the season. I also think we are getting a few points of value here with the books inflating the total in a nationally televised game. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA - Opening Night GAME OF THE YEAR  on Lakers/Clippers under 226½ -110

I think the books have completely missed the mark with the total in tonight's highly anticipated season opener between the Clippers and Lakers. I think we are seeing a high number because the Lakers brought in AD and the Clippers added Kawhi and George. However, George is not ready to play and Lakers will be without Kuzma. 

You got two of the very best defensive players on the same team in Leonard and Patrick Peverley. Lakers got LeBron and AD and a bunch of guys that can play defense in Rondo, Howard, Bradley Green, etc. 

I'm expecting playoff like intensity from both teams in this game and a bit of a slower pace. Total should be closer to 215 than 225. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Playoffs NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors/Bucks under 217½ -110

While each of the last 3 games in the series have gone OVER the total, I absolutely love the UNDER in Game 5 on Thursday. With the series tied 2-2, this feels like a must-win for both team, so we can expect a max effort here from both sides. 

With both teams giving all they got on the defensive side of the ball, I think we are poised to get our lowest scoring game of the series. Keep in mind that neither team even got to 100 points in regulation of Game 3 and there were just 208 scored in Game 1. UNDER has cashed in 7 of the Raptors last 10 on the road and 13 of the Bucks last 19 off a loss. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Playoffs Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on 76ers/Raptors over 207½ -109

I know that the defensive effort will be there for both teams in Game 7, but I just can't pass up on the value here with the OVER at this price. While both teams have flashed great defense in the postseason, especially the Raptors, I just think there's too much offensive fire-power on the floor for these two to not reach at least 210 points. 

Each of the last 2 games have went OVER the total and both of those were blowouts. I think this one is going to be a lot closer and even more high-scoring than the last two. OVER is 17-6 in the 76ers last 23 road games with a total set between 200 and 209.5. Over is also 34-19 in the Raptors last 53 when revenging a loss where they gave up 110 or more points. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bucks UNDER

No need to overthink this one. Big time value here with the UNDER at this number. While Game 2 went OVER the mark, it do so just barely and was a bit of a fluke given how poorly both teams shot overall. Despite scoring 123 points, the Bucks only shot 43.8% from the field. Boston was even worse at 39.5%. The only reason the game went over is the Bucks made 20 3-pointers and the two combined to go 49 for 58 (84%) from the free throw line. 

These two only combined for 202 points in Game 1 and I still think we have yet to see a true defensive game between these two. I think the Celtics defense is really going to benefit from playing at home, and Milwaukee is going to be extremely motivated to take back homecourt in the series. I wouldn't be shocked at all if both teams failed to break 100 points. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Playoffs NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors UNDER

I just don't know how you don't play the UNDER at this number given what we have seen in the first two games of the series. Game 1 had a total of 223 and it ended up with a combined score of 203. They lowered the total down to 219.5 for Game and it still wasn't close. This time they only managed 183 points. 

I don't see any reason to expect anything but another low-scoring game. Toronto has yet to allow an opponent to shoot better than 42% from the field in any game this postsesaon. They have held the 76ers under 40% in both games. They have also not allowed more than 96 points in any game since Game 1 of the first round against Orlando. 

You also have to factor in that Embiid is not 100% and when he's not right the 76ers offense can really struggle to score in the halfcourt. I think Philly understands that for them to win this series they have to play with same defensive intensity that they brought to the table in Game 2. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Playoffs Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH on Clippers UNDER

I love the value here with the UNDER in Game 5 between the Warriors and Clippers. I'm not saying there won't be a lot of offense, I just feel like the number here is way too high with Los Angeles fighting off elimination and the Warriors surely motivated to end this series at home and get ready for their big showdown with Houston in the next round. 

We saw a much more defensive-minded contest in Game 4, as the two only combined for 218 points with a total at 236. I wouldn't be shocked at all if this thing stayed under 220 again. 

UNDER is 13-1 in the Clippers last 14 when revenging a home loss and 15-4 in their 19 road games this season against a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 10-3 in the Warriors last 13 home games and 17-5 in their last 22 when playing on 1 day of rest. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Playoffs Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Spurs UNDER

Each of the last 3 games in the series have gone OVER and it's resulted in the highest total of the series in Game 5. I think it's time to shift gears and bet the UNDER. Not only are we getting a few points of value, but we can count on both teams showing up defensively.

With the series tied 2-2, both teams know that the winner of this game almost always ends up winning the series. I expect a very similar type of scoring output to Game 1, where the two teams combined for 197 points. 

UNDER is 23-12 in the Spurs last 35 when playing on 2 days of rest and 8-3 in their last 11 on the road. UNDER is also 13-4 in the Nuggets last 17 off a win and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 at home vs a team that's won less than 40% of their road games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Playoffs Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Warriors UNDER

I think we are getting some big time value here with the UNDER after these two combined for 266. A lot of that had to do with the Warriors taking their foot off the gas after building up a 31-point lead. They let the Clippers score 40+ points in both the 3rd and 4th quarter. Expect more of what we saw in Game 1, when the two combined for just 125. 

That's an embarrassing loss for the defending champs and I'm confident they come out 100% locked in for Game 3, especially with them feeling the need to step up after the injury to DeMarcus Cousins. Not having Cousins on the floor definitely hurts the Warriors offense, but I also think it helps them defensively. 

UNDER is 12-2 in the Warriors last 14 when revenging a loss as a home favorite of 10 or more and 13-3 in Clipper home games during the 2nd half of the season, when facing a team that's outscoring opponents by 6+ points/game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Pistons OVER

The Pistons and Bucks combined for 207 points with Detroit accounting for just 86 in Game 1. Some of Detroit's struggles offensively were a product of Milwaukee's defense, but the Pistons simply didn't shoot well.

I think we are going to see a little more out of Detroit's offense in Game 2 and a big reason for that is it will be hard for Milwaukee to bring that same intensity on the defensive side after how lopsided it was in Game 1 (won by 35). Key here is that we are getting value on the total because of what happened in the series opener. 

OVER is 21-8 in the Bucks last 29 when playing on 2 days of rest and 7-3 in their last 10 off a SU win by more than 10 points. OVER is also 12-3 in the Pistons last 15 when revenging a loss by 20 or more. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Thunder/Blazers UNDER

These two combined for just 203 points in Game 1 with a total set at 223. The books have adjusted quite a bit for Game 2, but not nearly enough. These are two teams that don't get the respect they deserve on the defensive side of the ball because of all the fire-power they have on the offensive side. 

What people also overlook is the lack of legit scorers that both teams have after their top guys. Westbrook (24) and George (26) combined for 50 and Lillard (30) and McCullum (24) combined for 54. Thunder also got 17 from Adams, while the Blazers got 20 from Kanter. Chances are we see a couple of these guys struggle in Game 2 and I wouldn't be shocked if this thing ends up under 200. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Nets/76ers UNDER

These two teams combined for just 113 in the opener, finishing well below the mark of 228. The books have adjusted a little, but not nearly enough. Brooklyn's a very strong defensive team and their intensity on that side of the ball really gave the 76ers problems. 

As for Philadelphia, I think they got a big wake-up call in the Game 1 loss. I think they went in thinking it was going to be easy to take down the Nets. They won't make that mistake in Game 2. Expect the 76ers to lay everything on the line, especially on the defensive side, to avoid going down 0-2. I just don't see this one coming close to the mark. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Raptors/Hornets OVER

The books completely missed the mark here. With Milwaukee's win last night, Toronto is locked into the No. 2 seed in the east. The defensive effort simply isn't going to be there, especially on the road. 

While the game means something to the Hornets, Charlotte has been playing little to no defense down the stretch. Hornets have allowed each of their last 4 opponents to shot 47% or better from the field and have allowed 50% or better in 3 of their last 6. Raptors might limit some minutes, but they are a deep team. I could see both teams scoring 120. Take the OVER 223! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Grizzlies UNDER 

I just don't see the Blazers and Grizzlies surpassing the mark set by the books. Memphis is only shooting 41% from the field over their last 5 games. They just lost Jonas Valanciunas, are already without Avery Bradley and aren't expected to have the services of Mike Conley. Grizzlies only scored 96 on 38% shooting last time out against the Clippers, which marked the first time since late Jan. that LAC held an opponent under 100 points. 

Portland is fighting the Rockets for the No. 3 seed in the west and they control their own destiny. They win their final 4 games and they will be the No. 3 seed. I expect a big effort here and chances are this thing turns into a bit of a blowout, which is always a good thing for the UNDER. 

UNDER is 7-2 in the Grizzlies last 9 on the road vs a team with a winning home record and 11-2 in their last 13 on the road with a total set between 210 and 219.5. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Late Night Total NO-BRAINER on Nuggets/Warriors UNDER

This is a massive game this late in the year, as these two are fighting for the No.1 seed and home court advantage throughout the Western Conference playoffs. Right now the Warriors have a 1-game lead over the Nuggets, but a Denver win would not only pull them even in the standings it would make it a 2-2 series split between the two teams. 

I think both teams understand the importance of home court and will basically treat this like a playoff game. Add in the Nuggets scoring problems of late (scored 95 or less in 4 of 5) and this thing should stay well below the number posted here.

UNDER is 12-3 in Denver's last 15 road games when revenging a road loss, 10-2 in their last 12 vs the Western Conference and 8-2 in their last 10 vs a team with a winning home record. UNDER is also 12-3 in the Warriors last 15 overall, 8-2 in their last 10 vs a team from the west and 7-1 in their last 8 at home. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Central Division TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Pistons UNDER

There's a lot to like here with the UNDER in Monday's division clash between the Pistons and Pacers. The obvious is that being division rivals these two teams are very familiar with one another. They have already faced each other twice this season. 

Both will be without their best player, as the Pacers continue to go to work without Victor Oladipo, while the Pistons will be without the services of Blake Griffin. Detroit just played a game without Griffin against the Blazers and the two combined for just 189 points. 

Both of these teams are strong defensively and both still have plenty to play for. Indiana is tied for 4th/5th with Boston and getting home court in that series would be huge for them. As for the Pistons, they are sitting 6th in the east, but just 1.5-games ahead of 9th place Orlando. 

UNDER is 20-8-1 in the Pistons last 29 road games vs a team that has won more than 60% of their home games, 35-16 in the Pacers last 51 at home and 28-11 in last 39 vs a team with a winning record. Take UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Bulls/Raptors UNDER

Big time value here with the UNDER in this one. Toronto comes into this game around a 14-point favorite and for good reason, as the Bulls are expected to be without 3 starters in Kris Dunn, Zach LaVine and Otto Porter Jr. Both LaVine and Porter Jr sat out their last game and the Bulls managed just 83 points on 36% shooting. Without those guys there's just not enough offensive fire-power for the Bulls to put up a ton of points. 

Making matters even worse for Chicago's offense is they are likely to get a pissed off Raptors team that just lost back-to-back at home. Toronto should be in complete control of this game from the start and blowouts tend to be lower scoring, as there's not as many fouls late and the better players are typically on the bench. 

These two combined for just 184 points in the most recent meeting and a mere 205 in the only other matchup this season. UNDER is 4-1 in the Bulls last 5 vs a team with a winning percentage above 60% and 5-2 in the Raptors last 7 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Sixers/Magic UNDER

Love the value here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA matchup between the 76ers and Magic. Orlando comes in off a high-scoring game against the Grizzlies, but they didn't bring the defensive intensity early. When it mattered the most they held Memphis to 15 points in the 4th quarter. Prior to that the Magic had held 3 straight teams under 100 points. 

Not a big surprise, as Orlando has been the best defensive teams since the All-Star break, at least in terms of points allowed (103.8 ppg). A big reason for that is they have posted the best 3-point percentage defense during this run. No question we are going to get a max effort defensively from Orlando against a top-tier team like the 76ers. 

UNDER is 18-8 in Magic's last 26 home games vs a team with a winning road record and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 vs another team from the east. UNDER is also 6-2 in the 76ers last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 4-0 in their last 4 off a SU loss. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pistons UNDER

Look for Detroit and Portland to fly UNDER the mark set by the books on Saturday. Pistons have really been playing well for a while now, but he offense has struggled of late. Detroit has shot 43% or worse in 4 of their last 7 and considering they are playing their 4th game in 7 days and 3rd straight on the road, I don't see them going off offensively in this one. 

Blazers are known for their offense, but this is a very sound defensive team, especially at home. UNDER has actually cashed in 4 of the last 5 games for Portland. UNDER is also 5-0 in the Blazers last 5 when they are playing on a full 2 days of rest. 

UNDER has also gone 16-5 in Detroit's last 21 vs a team from the Western Conference, 33-14-4 in their last 51 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 11-1 in their last 12 when playing 8 or more games in a 14 days stretch. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Nets/Lakers OVER

Easy play on the OVER here in Friday's NBA action between Brooklyn and Los Angeles. Lakers are playing little defense and that's to be expected when you have a team that has come up this short on expectations. LA just gave up 121 against the Kings and have allowed at least 114 points in 3 straight. Hasn't been much better for Brooklyn, who has allowed 110 or more in 4 straight and 12 of 13 overall. 

OVER is 25-9 in Brooklyn's last 34 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a perfect 4-0 in the Lakers last 4 when playing on 2 days rest. Take OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sixers/Bucks UNDER

Books have set the total way too high for Sunday's afternoon showdown between the Bucks and 76ers. This is a big time matchup, as both of these teams are trying to take claim to the Eastern Conference now that LeBron is gone. I look for both teams to come out looking to send a message to the other side. 

UNDER has been a money-maker in 76ers game of late, as it's cashed in 8 of the last 9 games for Philadelphia. UNDER is also a perfect 8-0 in the 76ers last 8 road games with a total of 230 or more and 6-0 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning home record. UNDER is also 7-3 in the Bucks last 10 at home, 7-1 in their last 8 vs a team from the East and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Jazz/Thunder UNDER

I'm confident that Utah and OKC will fly UNDER the mark set by the books. These are two of the better teams in the Western Conference and that should bring out the best in both sides. Both teams also are going to be hungry for a win. The Thunder have lost 6 of 8, while Utah comes in having lost 2 of 3, getting upset as a favorite in both defeats. 

I get the last time these two teams played they combined for a ridiculous 295 points, but that was a double-overtime game and it was also the first contest back from the All-Star break. UNDER is still 17-8 in the last 25 meetings overall and a dominant 10-2 in their last 12 meetings played in Utah. 

UNDER is also 11-3 in the Thunder's last 14 road games when they are listed as an underdog on the spread and 12-2 in their last 14 after playing a game where they attempted 100 or more shots. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pacers/Bucks OVER

The Pacers and Bucks should have zero problem eclipsing the total set by the books in Thursday's showdown on TNT. Milwaukee is one of the best offensive teams in the league. The Bucks are averaging 117.3 ppg on the season and that goes up to 119.6 ppg at home. They have shot under 39% from the field in each of their last 2 games, yet still averaged 108 points in those contests. 

Pacers have scored 100+ in each of their last 7 games, a stretch in which they are averaging 113.4 ppg. If they can just hit the 110 mark in this one, this game is going to fly past the number. Keep in mind they have allowed 110 or more points in 6 of their last 7. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Hornets OVER

The Nets and Hornets should have no problem eclipsing the mark set here by the books. This is an ideal matchup for a high-scoring game. Both teams come in in good form offensively. Charlotte is averaging 110 ppg over their last 5, which is pretty impressive given they are only shooting 43.8% from the field during this stretch. Brooklyn is averaging 116.2 ppg and have also not shot well (44.1%). Nets also expected to get back a big offensive piece tonight in Spencer Dinwiddie. 

Not only are both teams scoring a lot, but they are both not playing a bunch of defense. Hornets have allowed 110+ in each of their last 5 games. As for the Nets, they have allowed 113 or more in 8 of their last 9. OVER is 7-1 in the Hornets last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 5-0 in the Nets last 5 vs a team from the Eastern Conference. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Late Night TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Thunder UNDER 

I'm not sure why the books have the total here as high as they do, but I'll gladly back the UNDER. We just saw a similar total in Denver's last game at home against the Clippers. The total for that contest was 235.5 and the two teams combined for 119. 

UNDER has cashed in 4 of the Nuggets last 5 overall and a big reason for that is this a better defense team than they get credit for. No doubt they are going to come to play on that side of the ball against a team like OKC. Thunder just has a total of 240 in their last game against the Kings and failed to eclipse the mark. OKC also shot a mere 38% in the process. 

UNDER is 13-2 this season in games involving the Thunder with a spread of +3 to -3 and 20-9 in OKC's last 29 as an underdog. UNDER is also 6-2 in the last 8 meetings, which includes two meetings earlier this season that failed to eclipse 210 points. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Raptors UNDER 

I'm expecting a much lower-scoring game than the books are calling for in Sunday's afternoon tilt between the Magic and Raptors. Orlando has really been playing well of late, especially on the defensive side of the ball. They held 3 of their final 4 opponents going into the break under 90 points. While they gave up 110 in a loss to Chicago in the first game back, they held the Bulls to just 44.4% shooting. 

This is one of those "measuring stick" games for the Magic against a team like Toronto, so we can bank on a big effort here on the defensive side of the ball. Toronto is a better defensive team than they get credit for and are only going to get better once the new pieces, like Marc Gasol get more comfortable with their new teammates. 

UNDER is 22-9 in the Magic's last 31 road games off a home loss by 3-points or less and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under TOTAL NO-BRAINER on Wizards OVER

The Wizards and Hornets are going to have zero problem eclipsing the total set by the books tonight. The first meeting between these two teams this season saw a combined 256 points in a 130-126 win for Washington. That's now 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two that have finished OVER the mark. 

Washington is just a perfect team to play with the OVER. The Wizards rank in the Top 10 in the league in pace of play, they are in the top half of the league in offensive efficiency and the bottom 5 in defensive efficiency. Charlotte also ranks top half of the league in offensive efficiency and bottom 10 in defensive efficiency. No surprise these two played such a high-scoring game the first time around. 

Adding to this is a great system. OVER 63-35 (64%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total of 210 or more where one team (WASH) has gone over the total by 24 or more points in their last 3 games and the other (CHA) has gone under the total by 48 or more in their last 10. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Thunder/Blazers UNDER 

I think we are going to get a big defensive effort from both of these teams, which will have this game staying well below the big total set by the books. These are two division rivals fighting for a top seed in the Western Conference. OKC is currently No. 3 in the standings, but are just 3-games ahead of Portland. 

The Thunder have already won each of the first two meetings, and can secure the tie-breaker with a win here (teams meet one last time in early March). That really makes this one important for Portland, who is also going to be highly motivated coming off a loss at Dallas where they blew a double-digit 4th quarter lead. 

UNDER is 21-10-1 in the Thunder's last 32 vs a team with a winning record, 13-4 in the Blazers last 17 division games and 17-7 in the last 24 meetings between these two teams in OKC. Take the UNDER!