Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-13-19 | Raptors +3.5 v. Warriors | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 59 h 10 m | Show |
5* NBA Finals - Game 6 NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors +3½ -109 I cashed in on the Warriors as a dog in Game 5 at Toronto. A big reason for that is, I just just didn't think the Raptors would be able to match the fight of Golden State and the return of Durant. Warriors had their way early with Durant in the lineup, but the offensive woes returned after he left. After putting up 62 points in the first half, Golden State managed just 44 in the second half. Warriors made a ridiculous 20 3-pointers in Game 5 and yet they still needed a ridiculous comeback in the final couple minutes to squeak out a 106-105 win. That's a massive concern, as it's unlikely Golden State shoots that well again. The Raptors already won twice at Oracle in the series and their intensity will be up a notch in this one. I don't see this thing extending to a Game 7. Take Toronto! |
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06-13-19 | Tigers -122 v. Royals | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -122 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers -122 Easy play here on Detroit in a rare neutral site game in the MLB. These will kickoff the festivities at the 2019 College World Series with a game at Omaha's TD Ameritrade Park. Some might find it tough betting on a matchup of two bad teams, but there's too much value here to pass up with the Tigers. Detroit has one of the better starters that people don't know about on the mound. Matt Boyd's 5-4 record and 3.08 ERA might not seem like anything special, but this guy has elite swing and miss stuff. Boyd has 105 strikeouts in 84.7 innings. What makes him special is he doesn't walk people with just 15 free passes on the season. In his last 3 starts he has a ridiculous 25/1 K/BB ratio. Royals aren't a great offensive team, so Boyd should be able to keep them well in check. All we need is for the Tigers offense to put up some runs. They should be able to do just that, as KC will send out Homer Bailey and his 5.90 ERA and 1.508 WHIP in 13 starts. Take Detroit! |
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06-13-19 | Fever v. Wings +3 | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
4* BEST BET on Wings +3 -110 Analysis will be posted shortly |
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06-13-19 | Blue Jays -136 v. Orioles | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Blue Jays -136 I really like Toronto as a relatively small road favorite against the Orioles. Blue Jays snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 8-6 win over Baltimore on Wednesday. Hard to not like Toronto's chances with Marcus Stroman on the mound. Stroman has a 3.56 ERA and 1.253 WHIP in 5 road starts. He also has a strong 3.68 ERA in 12 career starts against the Orioles. Baltimore is a pathetic 17-42 in their last 59 home games and are a mere 1-6 in their last 7 at home against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Simply put, this is too good a price with a top tier starter to pass up. Take Toronto! |
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06-12-19 | Blues v. Bruins -145 | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Stanley Cup Finals G7 NO-BRAINER on Bruins -145 The Blues had their chance to close this thing out in St Louis, but Boston stayed alive with a convincing 5-1 win. That was as well as the Bruins had played since taking Game 1 by a final of 7-2. I just think they have all the momentum going into Game 7 and the biggest thing is they are playing at home. Bruins are 28-9 in their last 37 when playing on 2 days of rest (Game 6 was on Monday) and 25-9 in their last 34 after allowing 1 or fewer goals in their previous game. Take Boston! |
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06-12-19 | Lynx v. Liberty +3.5 | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
4* BEST BET on Liberty +3½ -110 Analysis will be posted shortly |
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06-12-19 | Rangers +135 v. Red Sox | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers +135 I really like the value here with Texas as a decently priced road dog against the Red Sox. Boston is struggling to get this thing figured out. Red Sox have started out their 8-game homestand a mere 1-5 after losing the first two in the series to the Rangers. No doubt Boston isn't playing up their potential. They got too much talent to be a sub-.500 team. However, they are pressing right now and I'll look to keep fading them. Red Sox will have a struggling Rick Porcello on the mound, who has a 6.23 ERA and 1.730 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Texas on the other hand has a surging Lance Lynn, who owns a 3.44 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Texas! |
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06-12-19 | Reds v. Indians -117 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Indians -117 Easy play here on Cleveland as a small home favorite. Indians will have little known Zach Plesac on the mound and that's where the value stems from in this one. Plesac has only made 3 big league starts, all 3 since joining the rotation in late May. He's been outstanding, posting a 1.86 ERA and 0.879 WHIP in 3 starts, which includes a road start at Boston and a start at home against the Yankees. Plesac will be up against a Reds offense that would struggle to hit a ball off a tee right now. Cincinnati scored just 1 run in yesterday's loss and have scored 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 5 with a 4 run outburst being their best during this stretch. Phillies are scoring 5.6 runs/game over their last 7 and will be up against Anthony Desclafani. He's got a 4.70 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 12 starts and a 5.02 ERA and 1.674 over his last 3 outings. Take Cleveland! |
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06-11-19 | Tigers v. Royals -130 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
3* MLB - AL Central PLAY of the DAY on Royals -130 Kansas City is worth a look as a small home favorite against the Tigers with Jake Junis on the mound. That's because Junis has owned Detroit. Junis is 5-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in 8 career starts against the Tigers. That's with 6 of the 8 starts coming in Detroit. In his 2 home starts against the Tigers, he's given up a mere 4 runs with 15 K's on 16 innings of work. Tigers will counter with Spencer Turnbull, who has a solid 3.01 ERA in 13 starts, but is trending in the wrong direction with an ERA at 4.00 over his last 3. Detroit has lost 4 of his last 5 starts. Tigers are also just 4-13 in their last 17 following a loss and 3-7 in their last 10 series openers. Take Kansas City! |
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06-11-19 | Mariners v. Twins -170 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Twins -170 Easy play here for me on the Twins at home in Tuesday's series opener against the Mariners. Seattle may have taken over the season home run lead from Minnesota (Twins played fewer games), but this is a rebuilding Mariners team that has been among the worst in baseball of late. Seattle is a mere 15-39 since starting the year out 13-2. Another key here is the starting pitching matchup, which I think heavily favors Minnesota. Seattle's Mike Leake threw a complete game last time out against the Astros, but that was at home. Leake is a mere 1-4 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.357 WHIP in 7 road starts. Twins will have Martin Perez on the rubber. Perez has a 7.29 ERA and 2.107 WHIP in his last 3 starts, but all 3 were on the road. Perez is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Minnesota! |
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06-11-19 | Mercury v. Sky +3.5 | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Sky +3½ -105 Easy play on Chicago as a home dog against the Mercury. The Sky are a perfect 2-0 at home and are coming off a 78-71 win at home against the defending WNBA champs in Seattle. Phoenix is simply getting too much love here. Mercury are off a win, but have not won back-to-back games this season and are in a tough spot here, playing their 3rd straight on the road. I'll take the points as a little added insurance, but I'm confident the Sky win this one outright. Take Chicago! |
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06-11-19 | Diamondbacks +122 v. Phillies | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Diamondbacks +122 I'm all over the Diamondbacks as a road dog against the Phillies on Tuesday. Arizona is playing too well to not take a shot on them at this price. Diamondbacks defeated the Phillies 13-8 on Monday for their 5th straight win. Arizona has 4 straight games with 10 or more hits and at least 6 runs. That offense will be up against a struggling Jake Arrieta, who has 6.11 ERA and 1.641 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Arrieta has given up 10 runs on 17 hits (5 HRs) and 6 walks in his last 2 starts. While Arizona's offense figures to stay hot, I think Jon Duplantier has the stuff to keep the Phillies in check, at least enough to get the win. Dbacks have won 7 straight on the road against a team with a winning percentage of 60% or better at home. Phillies are just 1-5 in their last 6 off a loss and have lost 4 straight at home against a team with a winning record. Take Arizona! |
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06-10-19 | Dodgers -162 v. Angels | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -162 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Dodgers -162 I got no problem laying a little juice with Dodgers in Monday's series opener against their cross-town rivals. Not only are the Dodgers the better team, but they got arguably the Cy Young frontrunner on the mound in Hyun-Jin Ryu. He's 9-1 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.775 WHIP in 12 starts. He's also coming into this one in prime form, as he hasn't allowed a run in either of his last two starts. Angels have not hit left handed starters well this season. They have gone just 9-16 in games where they face a left-handed starter and are scoring just 4.4 runs/game and hitting .249 as a team. Angels are also 0-11 in their last 11 vs a NL starting pitcher with an WHIP of 1.15 or better. LA is also 4-14 in their last 18 vs a team that's outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game. Dodgers are 41-14 in Ryu's last 58 starts vs a team with a losing record. Take the Dodgers! |
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06-10-19 | Warriors +4 v. Raptors | Top | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 61 h 51 m | Show |
5* NBA Finals - No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Warriors +4 -115 As difficult as it may be to back Golden State after just watching them lose two straight at home, I don't the series ends tonight. With or without Durant. However, I do think we are finally going to see Durant and just having him on the floor changes the game. If he plays, it's going to be a heck of lot harder on the Raptors defense, as they can't just focus all their attention to Curry and Thompson. The biggest thing I like here is that we got a defending champ with their backs against the wall. Golden State definitely has more to offer. This is also a sticky spot for the team up 3-1. It's not easy to match the intensity of the team facing elimination when you know in the back of your mind that a loss isn't the end of the world. Take Golden State! |
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06-10-19 | Pirates +147 v. Braves | 7-13 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Situational DOG OF THE DAY on Pirates +147 Pittsburgh is worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Braves. Pirates were just swept over the weekend in a 3-game series at Milwaukee. They are going to be 100% locked in for this one. Braves on the other hand are off a 3-game sweep at Miami and could easily come out flat in this one. The bigger factor here is who the Braves are sending to the mound. Kevin Gausman is going to get a start and it figures to be one of his last. Gausman is expected to be the guy to get the boot in the rotation when newly signed Dallas Keuchel is ready to go. Gausman only has himself to blame, as he's posted a 6.15 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in 12 starts and is trending in the wrong direction with a 13.50 ERA and 2.333 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues -110 | 5-1 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Blues -110 I love the value here with St Louis at basically a pick'em on their home ice with a chance to close out Boston in Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Finals on Sunday. Blues have won 3 of the last 4 after dropping the series opener. In those 3 wins St Louis has held Boston to 2 or fewer goals and that defense/goaltending isn't going anywhere in Game 6. Blues are going to feed off an electric atmosphere at the Enterprise Center. Take St Louis! |
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06-09-19 | Mercury v. Fever +2 | 94-87 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Fever +2 -110 No way I'm passing up on the Fever as a home dog against the Mercury. Indiana has opened up the season 3-1 and are 2-0 at home with both being blowout wins. They whooped New York 92-77 in their home opener and then crushed Dallas 79-64. Both games they were small favorites, so this isn't the first time they have been way undervalued by the books. Phoenix is also off to a mere 1-2 start and have failed to reach 70 in 2 of those 3 games. Last game they managed just 56 points on 37% shooting at Minnesota. Fever held New York and Dallas to 35% shooting in their 2 home wins. Take Indiana! |
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06-09-19 | White Sox v. Royals -119 | 5-2 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Royals -119 Have to pick your spots when backing a poor team like Kansas City and this is definitely one where you want to be on the Royals. Kansas City has such a massive edge on the mound that this is too good a price to pass up. Royals will send out Glenn Sparkman, who has made 2 starts at home and owns 0.73 ERA and 0.649 WHIP. Chicago on the other hand will turn to Reynaldo Lopez and he's 0-4 with a 8.75 ERA and 1.901 WHIP. Lopez also owns an atrocious 12.82 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 5.05 ERA in 10 starts vs the Royals. Take Kansas City! |
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06-09-19 | Twins -223 v. Tigers | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - AL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Twins -223 I'm confident the Twins will take care of business on the road in Sunday's series finale against the Tigers. Not only do we have a massive mismatch in terms of talent, but Minnesota will have a huge edge on the mound in this one with Jake Odorizzi facing off against Ryan Carpenter. Odorizzi has been Cy Young material in 2019. He's 8-2 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in 12 starts. He's not allowed a run in 3 straight start starts, a stretch in which he's posted a 0.674 WHIP. Odorizzi has also made 9 starts against the Tigers and his team has won 7 of them. Carpenter has made 5 starts and owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.385 WHIP. Out of those 5 starts, 3 have come at home and it's not been pretty in those 3. Carpenter has allowed 16 runs on 24 hits (5 HRs) in 16 innings pitched at home. Take Minnesota! |
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06-09-19 | Reds +123 v. Phillies | Top | 4-3 | Win | 123 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Reds +123 I absolutely love the value here with Cincinnati as a road dog on Sunday. Phillies have won the first two games of the series and 4 in a row overall. Most will look to take Philadelphia, especially with ace Aaron Nola on the mound. However, Nola hasn't been anything close to an elite starter in 2019, despite a solid 6-1 record. Nola owns a 4.63 ERA and atrocious 1.529 WHIP in 13 starts. In his last start he was just rocked for 6 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in 5 1/3 innings of work at San Diego. While the Phillies will send out one of the more overrated right now, Reds will have one of the more underrated arms on the mound in Sonny Gray. In 12 starts, Gray owns a strong 3.39 ERA and 1.213 WHIP. Gray also has a sizzling 2.89 ERA in 5 road starts and a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-08-19 | Nationals -148 v. Padres | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals -148 Easy play here on the Nationals. Washington is 9-4 in their last 13 games and 3 of the 4 losses have been by a mere 1-run, which includes each of the first two games in this series. I don't even expect this one to be close, as the Nationals will have Max Scherzer on the mound. Scherzer has had quite the unfortunate start to 2019. He's just 3-5, despite a strong 3.06 ERA and 1.125 WHIP over his 13 starts. He's taking matter into his owns hands. Last time out he allowed 1 run on 3 hits with 15 K's in 8 innings of a 4-1 win at Cincinnati. Scherzer has a 2.37 ERA in 10 career starts against the Padres and my money is on him to dominate in this one. Take Washington! |
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06-08-19 | Yankees v. Indians +118 | 4-8 | Win | 118 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Indians +118 Love the value here with Cleveland as a home dog against the Yankees. New York is overpriced more times than not and that's especially the case here. Betting public will want nothing to do with Indians starter Adam Plutko after seeing he gave up 7 runs on 12 hits in his last start. However, the start prior to that he only gave up 1 run on 1 hit in 6 innings. With the Yankees not exactly swinging a hot bat, I think he will do just fine in this one. As for the Indians' offense, I think they are going to have success against Yankees starter C.C. Sabathia. While Sabathia owns a very respectable 3.61 ERA and 1.247 WHIP in 9 starts overall, he's got sub-par 5.31 ERA and 1.377 WHIP in 4 road outings. Indians are also swinging a hot bat with 23 runs in their last 4 games. Take Cleveland! |
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06-08-19 | Sparks +3.5 v. Lynx | Top | 89-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
5* WNBA - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Sparks +3½ -110 I like the Sparks to win this game outright, making them a no-brainer as a 3.5-point dog. Minnesota is off to a blistering 4-1 start, but two of those wins are by 3-points or less and this is a team that figures to struggle minus Maya Moor for the season. One of those close victories for the Lynx came in their last game, as they squeaked out a 58-56 win at home against Phoenix. That result is worth noting, as Minnesota is a dreadful 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons off a win by 6 points or less. They are also just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 when they coming in having won 2 of their last 3. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-08-19 | White Sox v. Royals +119 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Royals +119 Kansas City snapped a 6-game losing streak with a 6-4 win at home against the White Sox on Friday. Royals have struggled to score runs this season, but have now scored 11 on 24 hits in their last 2 games. I look for KC to stay hot and find a way to get to Chicago starter Lucas Giolito. I know Giolito is coming off a strong May, but I'm not convinced he's completely turned the corner into elite status. He's due for a bad outing. White Sox have also now lost 6 straight on the road and are a mere 8-21 in their last 29 vs a starter with a WHIP worse than 1.30. Royals' Brad Keller has a strong 3.46 ERA in 7 starts against the White Sox, including a 3.00 ERA in 4 starts versus them this season. KC is 15-7 in their last 22 at home vs a team with a losing record. Take Kansas City! |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
5* NBA Finals - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Warriors -5 -105 While I definitely would prefer Klay Thompson play, I want to point out that I love Golden State to win and cover in Game 4 regardless if he's on the floor. As of right now he's listed as probable, while Durant is listed as out, so you have to assume he's playing. Either way the effort simply wasn't there on the defensive end of the floor in Game 3 and there's no doubt that's been the focal point in the lockerroom leading up to this game. Golden State might be the defending champs, but they know they are all but done for if they lose this game. I think a better effort defensively and Toronto not shooting it as well from deep as they did in Game 3 will get the job done. The Warriors have the fire-power with Curry to score enough to not just win but win going away. Take Golden State! |
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06-07-19 | Pirates +233 v. Brewers | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Pirates +233 I can't believe the price we are getting on the Pirates Friday night in Milwaukee. I get the Brewers being favored at home with a no name starting for Pittsburgh, but this line is ridiculous. Pirates can easily win this one. I get that Milwaukee's Brandon Woodruff has a 7-1 record, but he owns a very mediocre 3.82 ERA in 12 starts and actually has a 4.05 ERA in his last 3. Not to mention he gave up 6 runs on 10 hits in just 4 innings in his only start this season against Pittsburgh. Pirates also come in swinging a hot bat, as they just put up 18 runs on 34 hits in a 3-game series against Atlanta and are averaging 6.3 runs/game and hitting .312 as a team over their last 7. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-07-19 | Mystics -8 v. Liberty | Top | 94-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
5* WNBA - Eastern Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Mystics -8 -105 Easy play here on Washington, as the Mystics should have no problem winning here by double-digits. Washington is 2-1 on the season and in their two wins they have beat Atlanta by 21 and Chicago by 18. Their lone loss was at Connecticut, but it was also without one of their best players in Elena Delle Donne (played in both wins). As for New York, they are the worst team in the league and while they have flirted with a couple wins in 2019, the fact of the matter is they are 0-3 and have now lost 17 straight dating back to last season. No one wants to be the first team to lose to a team on a losing streak like this, so forget the Mystics looking past this one. Take Washington! |
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06-07-19 | Diamondbacks +130 v. Blue Jays | 8-2 | Win | 130 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Diamondbacks +130 I really like the value here with Arizona as a decently priced road dog against the Blue Jays. The only teams with fewer wins than Toronto are the Orioles and Royals. Blue Jays come in having won just 2 times in their last 9 games. Toronto starter Marcus Stroman has a very strong 2.84 ERA in 13 starts this season, but also owns a sub-par 1.303 WHIP and 3-7 record. Stroman isn't as good as his ERA suggest and it's hard to win games when your offense struggles to score runs. Blue Jays have surpassed 4 runs in just 2 of their last 9 games and average a mere 3.8 runs/game on the season. Arizona's averages 5.1 runs/game. Diamondbacks are a rock-solid 26-19 in their last 45 as a road dog of +100 to +150, while Blue Jays are 8-27 in their last 35 after a 5-game stretch where they had a team batting average of .225 or worse. Take Arizona! |
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06-06-19 | A's v. Angels -123 | 7-4 | Loss | -123 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Angels -123 The Angels are worth a look late on Thursday, as they should have no problem winning at home against the A's. Oakland has been struggling to win games of late, as they are just 1-6 in their last 7. LA is headed in the other direction, as the Angels are 8-4 in their last 12. A's starter Michael Fiers threw a no hitter earlier this season and I think it has him overvalued. He's 0-2 with a 7.76 ERA and 1.575 WHIP in 6 road starts (1-5 team record). Angels will counter with Tyler Skaggs, who has a 2.28 ERA and 1.098 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-06-19 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +178 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Blue Jays +178 We cashed in a huge profit on Toronto yesterday (5* AL East play of the month) and will roll the dice on the Blue Jays as they go for the 3-game sweep of New York. Toronto is getting no love from the books, because it's not been pretty of late for starter Edwin Jackson. However, Jackson is a veteran pitcher and one little tweak can put him right back on track. In fact, Jackson is 14-2 over the last 2 seasons against a team that is hitting .265 or worse. Also, Yankees starter, J.A. Happ, isn't exactly pitching lights out. Happ has an ugly 6.13 ERA in his last 3 starts. Take Toronto! |
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06-06-19 | Aces v. Dream +3.5 | 92-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS DESTROYER on Dream +3½ -110 The Dream are showing great value here as a home dog against the Aces. Las Vegas was a team a lot of people were picking to win the title this year. That may end up being the case, but they are not playing well to start and should not be favored on the road in this one. Road teams in the WNBA that are off back to back losses as a favorite are a mere 5-23 (18%) ATS on Thursday night. Take Atlanta! |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 123-109 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 7 m | Show |
5* NBA Finals - Game 3 NO LIMIT Top Play on Warriors -5½ -109 Even if Durant and Thompson don't play for Golden State, I'm all over the Warriors to win and cover at home in Game 3. Toronto had their chance to go up 2-0 but couldn't get it done and it's always the toughest bouncing back from a loss in a game that you felt like you should have won. Either way, I just don't see Golden State losing in this spot. The Warriors needed to win Game 2 and did just that. I think Game 3 is even that much more important. This is where the home-court shift will lead to a more lopsided outcome for the Warriors, as they should get a lot more out of their role players. Take Golden State! |
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06-05-19 | Red Sox -200 v. Royals | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Red Sox -200 No need to overthink this one. Lay double the juice with Boston and cash in an easy winner on the diamond tonight. Red Sox defeated the Royals 8-3 on Tuesday. KC has lost 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. They got no shot tonight with Boston sending out ace Chris Sale against the likes of Jake Junis. Sale has been throwing it much better of late and owns a 2.90 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 23 career starts against the Royals. Junis is not very good. He's got a 5.35 ERA and 1.441 WHIP in 12 starts. Take Boston! |
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06-05-19 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +185 | Top | 7-11 | Win | 185 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays +185 I really like the value here with Toronto as a massive home dog against the Yankees on Wednesday. Blue Jays snapped a 6-game losing streak with a 4-3 win over New York on Tuesday. Toronto took down Tanaka in that one and now they are ready to take aim at James Paxton. While Paxton owns a sensational 2.81 ERA and 1.128 WHIP in 8 starts, he's got an ugly 7.20 ERA and 1.867 WHIP in 3 road starts. Toronto will counter with Trent Thornton, who has been a lot better than the numbers would suggest. Adding even more value is a great system in play to fade New York. Favorites of -150 or more that are averaging 1.5 or more homers/game are just 72-102 against the money line over the last 5 seasons. That's a hefty 59% system on an underdog to win outright. Take Toronto! |
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06-05-19 | Sky v. Mystics -10.5 | 85-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Mystics -10½ -110 I got no problem laying double-digits with the Mystics at home. Washington didn't play well in their opener at Connecticut, but bounced back with a 21-point win as a 9-point favorite at home against Atlanta. I expect a similar type of blowout win over Chicago, who lost by 18 in their lone road game this season. Note that the Sky's last two trips to Washington have resulted in losses by 28 and 16 points. Take Washington! |
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06-04-19 | Phillies +145 v. Padres | 9-6 | Win | 145 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Line MISTAKE on Phillies +145 Big time value here with the Phillies in Tuesday's matchup with the Padres. I just think San Diego is a little overpriced after yesterday's win, which we had as our top play. A lot of people are quick to back the Padres with Chris Paddack on the mound, as he was outstanding to start the year and still has a very strong 2.40 ERA and 0.816 WHIP. However, Paddack has struggled of late and has a 4.59 ERA in his last 3 starts. He served up 3 homers in his last start at New York and has now given up 5 home runs in his last 3 starts (only gave up 2 in his first 7 starts). I look for his struggles to continue here. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-04-19 | Lynx v. Storm +1 | 77-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Storm +1 -115 Love Seattle in this spot as a home dog with revenge. These two teams played last Wednesday and the Lynx pulled out a 72-61 win. That result along with the fact that Minnesota is the only team left without a loss, has them way overvalued. No way should the Lynx be a road favorite here. I just don't think this team is as good as their start. Keep in mind Maya Moore is taking this season off and she's hands down one of their best players. Also, Storm have played just one home game this season and that was a 77-68 victory over Phoenix as a 3.5-point dog. Take Seattle! |
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06-04-19 | Orioles +111 v. Rangers | 12-11 | Win | 111 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Orioles +111 I really like the value here with Baltimore as a dog in Tuesday's series opener against the Rangers. Key here is who the Orioles have on the mound. Baltimore will send out the red-hot Dylan Bundy, who has a 2.94 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Bundy is also fresh off a great outing at home against the Tigers, where he gave up just 3 runs in 7 innings. While the Orioles will have Bundy on the rubber, the Rangers will counter with Drew Smyly and his 5.90 ERA and 1.690 WHIP in 7 starts. Texas is also a mere 3-10 in their last 13 series openers and 1-5 in their last 6 following an off day. Take Baltimore! |
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06-04-19 | Marlins v. Brewers -168 | Top | 16-0 | Loss | -168 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Brewers -168 Easy play here on Milwaukee as a big home favorite against the Marlins. Brewers won each of their final 2 games against the Padres by a score of 9-3. Milwaukee is averaging 5.6 runs/game and hitting .285 as a team over their last 7 games. That red-hot offense will be up against the likes of Pablo Lopez, who is an atrocious 1-4 with a 8.26 ERA and 1.623 WHIP in 6 road starts. Brewers will counter with Chase Anderson, who has returned from injury in prime form. While Anderson has struggled to go deep in games, he has a strong 2.78 ERA in 5 starts. Not going deep in games is also not a problem with Milwaukee and their strong bullpen, which should be close to full strength after a day off on Monday. Brewers are 7-2 in Anderson's last 9 home starts vs a team with a losing record, 20-7 as a team in their last 27 vs an opponent that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 21-6 in their last 27 games following an off day. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-03-19 | Phillies v. Padres +126 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 126 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Padres +126 Easy play on the Padres as a home dog against the Phillies in Monday's series opener. Philadelphia is getting way too much love in this spot because of the perceived edge on the mound with ace Aaron Nola starting. Nola has a perfect 6-0 record, but owns a very mediocre 4.18 ERA and 1.484 WHIP. That incldues an awful 5.85 ERA in 4 road starts. Phillies as a team also come in having lost 4 straight and a big reason for their recent struggles is the offense isn't producing. Philadelphia scored 3 or fewer in all 4 losses and were shutout on Sunday. Padres will counter here with Eric Lauer, who I really like in this spot. Lauer has been outstanding at home with a 2.67 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 6 starts. He's also trending in the right direction with a 1.50 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take San Diego! |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -1.5 | Top | 109-104 | Loss | -109 | 60 h 51 m | Show |
5* NBA Finals - Postseason GAME OF THE YEAR on Raptors -1½ -109 I love the Raptors as a small home favorite in Game 2. We cashed in an easy winner on Toronto in Game 1 and with Kevin Durant not suiting up for Golden State in Game 2, I see no reason why we should expect anything different. Toronto's home court edge is underrated and like I said in the write-up for Game 1, I just think this is a really tough matchup for the Warriors without Durant. They got 55 points from Curry and Thompson in Game 1 and it wasn't nearly enough. Toronto also won going away with a pretty average game from Kawhi. Raptors depth is also huge in this series, especially with Iguodala likely playing at less than 100%. Take Toronto! |
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06-02-19 | Marlins v. Padres -175 | 9-3 | Loss | -175 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Padres -175 I got no problem laying a little extra juice on the Padres at home against the lowly Marlins. While San Diego lost yesterday's matchup, they have won 7 of their last 11 overall. Miami is also the team you want to be fading, especially on the road. Even with the win the Marlins are a mere 9-18 on the road this season. Padres will have Matt Strahm on the rubber and he's got a strong 3.21 ERA and 1.107 WHIP in 10 starts. He should have no problem shutting down a Miami offense that is only averaging 3 runs/game and hitting .227 as a team on the road. Take San Diego! |
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06-02-19 | Sun v. Aces UNDER 167 | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sun/Aces under 167 -110 The books have set the total way too high for Sunday's WNBA action that has Connecticut visiting Las Vegas. The Aces are coming off a very high-scoring game at Phoenix, but only combined for 153 in their home opener against LA, limiting the Sparks to just 70 points on 36.4% shooting. As for the Sun, they are scoring at a high clip, but they are also defending well. This total is basically calling for both teams to eclipse 80 points and I just don't see that happening. UNDER is 15-5 in Connecticut's last 20 as a dog and 19-8 in Vegas' last 27 after a game where they combined for 165 or more. Take the UNDER! |
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06-02-19 | Mets v. Diamondbacks -110 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Diamondbacks -110 It took a couple extra innings, but Arizona pulled out a 6-5 win in 11 innings on Saturday to snap a 5-game losing streak. I'm confident the Diamondbacks will ride the momentum from yesterday's win to a victory on Sunday. Arizona will have Merrill Kelly on the mound and while he's coming off a poor start at Colorado, he's got a sensational 2.64 ERA and 1.142 WHIP in 5 home starts. Mets will counter with Steven Matz, who has an ugly 5.40 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 6 road starts. Also, don't be fooled by his 2.87 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's got an atrocious 1.659 WHIP during that stretch. New York is just 6-20 in their last 26 road games, 3-11 in their last 14 during Game 3 of a series and 1-6 in Matz's last 7 road starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Arizona! |
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06-02-19 | Nationals v. Reds +113 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Early Money Line NO-BRAINER on Reds +113 This might seem like a great price to back the Nationals with Scherzer on the mound, but I really like this spot for Cincinnati. Reds have been playing well of late and Washington just keeps finding ways to lose when Scherzer gets the start. Nationals have won a mere 2 times in the 12 starts that Scherzer has made this season. Reds also have a pretty good starter of their own going in this one. Cincinnati turns to Sonny Gray, who has a strong 3.37 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in 11 starts overall. Gray has been really good in his last 2 starts, allowing just 1 run on 10 hits with 16 strikeouts in 12 innings of work. Nationals are 2-9 on the season when playing in road games against a team with a losing record and Gray is 14-4 on the money line when listed as a favorite of -125 to a dog of +125. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-01-19 | Mets v. Diamondbacks -103 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Diamondbacks -103 I love the matchup and value we are getting with Arizona at basically a pick'em at home with ace Zack Greinke on the mound. Greinke is 6-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 0.875 WHIP in 12 starts overall. As good as that is, and that's really good, he's even better at home. Greinke is 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 5 home starts. I get the Mets have reigning Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom on the mound, but he's not been the same guy in 2019. New York is a mere 4-7 in his last 11 starts and he comes in with a 5.06 ERA and 1.375 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Mets have also lost each of his last 4 road starts. Take Arizona! |
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06-01-19 | Lynx v. Wings OVER 151.5 | 70-67 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Lynx/Wings over 151½ -120 These two teams should have no problem going OVER the total here. Minnesota combined for 170 in their opener against Chicago and Dallas is coming off a game in which they combined for 148 at Atlanta, despite shooting a mere 35.1% from the field. I think both teams are going to eclipse 75 points in this one without much problem, which in turn should have them flying by the number here. OVER is an impressive 10-2 in the Wings last 12 vs a team from the Western Conference. Take the OVER! |
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06-01-19 | Nationals +130 v. Reds | 5-2 | Win | 130 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Nationals +130 This is just too good a price to pass up on the Nationals. The Reds did win the series opener 9-3 on Friday, but Washington is a very respectable 5-2 in their last 7 and a team I think could go on a run now that Trea Turner is back healthy. Either way, no reason for Cincinnati to be this big of a favorite. Nationals are sending out little known Erick Fedde, who has allowed just 1 run in 10 innings over his first two starts of 2019. Reds counter with Tanner Roark and they have lost 4 of his 5 home starts this season. Reds are also a mere 1-6 in their last 7 off a win. Take Washington! |
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06-01-19 | Royals v. Rangers -149 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Rangers -149 Easy play here on the Rangers. Texas has won 3 of their last 4 and have scored at least 6 runs in all 3 wins. They are averaging 5.9 runs/game at home and should eclipse that mark in this one. Kansas City will have Homer Bailey on the mound and he's got a 6.16 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in 5 road starts and a 9.58 ERA and 2.130 WHIP in his last 3 overall. On the flip side of this, Texas will send out veteran Lance Lynn, who turned a corner in the month of May. Lynn comes in with a 2.70 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in his last 3 starts. One of those was against these same Royals and he allowed just 1 run in 7 innings of a 16-1 blowout win. Just so happens it was Bailey on the other side in that game as well. Take Texas! |
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05-31-19 | Storm v. Dream OVER 146 | 82-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Storm/Dream over 146 -115 The fact that the UNDER has cashed in each of Seattle's first two games and in Atlanta's lone contest, has created some great value here on the OVER in this matchup. OVER has cashed in 6 of the last 8 in the series, including 4-1 in the last 5 times they met up in Atlanta. Keep in mind the last time these two teams played in 2018, the total for that game was 163.5. The time before that they combined for 191 points. Take the OVER! |
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05-31-19 | Tigers +155 v. Braves | Top | 8-2 | Win | 155 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague 'No Limit' PLAY OF THE MONTH on Tigers +155 Absolutely love the value here with Detroit as a huge road dog against the Braves. It's all about the edge on the mound in this one. Tigers will turn to Spencer Turnbull, who is one of the most underrated starters in the game because he not only has a mere 2-4 record, but because he's on a bad team. Turnbull owns a sensational 2.97 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 11 starts. He will be up against Mike Foltynewicz, who has a 5.67 ERA in 6 starts overall and a 6.75 ERA and 1.312 WHIP in 4 home starts. Braves have lost 7 of his last 8 starts and are a miserable 6-24 in their last 30 home games vs a right-handed starter. Take Detroit! |
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05-31-19 | Nationals v. Reds +111 | 3-9 | Win | 111 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
3* MLB -Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Reds +111 I really like the value here with Cincinnati as a home dog against the Nationals. A lot of people are going to be quick to jump on Washington as a small road favorite, but the Reds have been playing well here of late and starter Tyler Mahle has been outstanding in his two starts at Great American Ballpark. Mahle has allowed just 1 runs on 6 hits in 11 innings in those 2 home starts and one of those was against the Dodgers, where he limited LA to 0 runs in 6 innings. Reds did lose last time out, but are a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 off a loss. Nationals have also gone just 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs a right-handed starter and are just 1-10 in their last 11 following an off day. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-31-19 | Brewers -109 v. Pirates | 4-9 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Brewers -109 I'm all over Milwaukee here as a small road favorite against the Pirates. Brewers won the series opener 11-5 and it could have been a lot worse for Pittsburgh, as Milwaukee left 12 guys on base. Brewers are 3-1 in their last 4 and in prime spot here to add another victory. Jhoulys Chacin will take the mound for Milwaukee and he's not quite pitched up to his potential, yet still is throwing well enough to get the win here behind a red-hot offense. One that should score early and often against the struggle Chris Archer, who is 1-5 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.549 WHIP in 8 starts. Archer's last 3 starts have been especially bad, as he's 0-3 with a 8.56 ERA and 2.048 WHIP. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors +1 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
5* NBA - Warriors/Raptors Game 1 VEGAS INSIDER on Raptors +1 -115 I really like Toronto to take Game 1 of the NBA Finals at home against the defending champs. Without Durant I think the Raptors matchup extremely well with Golden State. Marc Gasol has the ability to hang with Draymond, while Leonard and Lowry can slow down Curry and Thompson. I know Klay is a great defender, but I just feel like Kawhi is on a different level and without Durant the Warriors really don't have a great answer for him. Add in the home court edge in Toronto and the depth edge that the Raptors have and I think they should be a bigger favorite here. Let's also not forget that Toronto won both of the regular-season meetings with the Warriors, including a 20-point win as a 8-point dog at Golden State. Raptors are 21-8 ATS last 29 at home after winning 4 of their last 5 and 34-16-2 in their last 52 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take Toronto! |
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05-30-19 | Brewers -116 v. Pirates | Top | 11-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Brewers -116 Milwaukee is worth a look here as a small road favorite at Pittsburgh on Thursday. Pirates have really cooled off here of late. Pittsburgh is just 3-7 in their last 10, which includes a 1-5 mark in their last 6 at home. Hard to not like the Brewers in this one with Chase Anderson facing off against Joe Musgrove. Anderson has a 2.55 ERA in 4 starts, while Musgrove owns a 4.74 ERA in 10 outings overall and a 6.10 ERA in 4 road outings. Musgrove also has a poor 6.94 ERA and 1.457 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Brewers. Brewers weren't in action on Wednesday and are a dominant 20-6 in their last 26 following an off day. They are also 36-16 in their last 52 series openers. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-30-19 | Cardinals -106 v. Phillies | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Early Bird HEAVY HITTER on Cardinals -106 I'll take my chances with St Louis on the money line in Thursday's series finale at Philadelphia. The fact that the Cardinals are favored really says it all. Public will be all over a Phillies team that is 9-3 in their last 12, won the first two of this series and own a 20-10 record at home. Why is St Louis favored? It all comes down to the starting pitching matchup. The Cardinals will send out the red-hot Dakota Hudson, who has a 3.07 ERA in his last 5 starts and has delivered a Quality Start in each of his last 3 outings. Phillies will counter with the struggling Jerad Eickhoff, who has an awful 9.75 ERA in his last 3 starts. Cardinals offense hasn't been there of late, but now is the time to jump on, as they are 20-4 in their last 24 after scoring 4 or fewer runs in 3 straight games. Take St Louis! |
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05-29-19 | Mets +185 v. Dodgers | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Mets +185 I can't believe we are getting the same value as yesterday with the Mets. We cashed in an easy winner on New York Tuesday at +185. The Mets got no respect at all yesterday against Rich Hill and now are getting zero love against Walker Buehler with Noah Syndergaard going for them. While Syndergaard hasn't exactly lived up to expectations in 2019, the guy has thrown a complete game shutout and mixed in several other great outings. You just don't get a pitcher of this kind talent at this price often. The even bigger factor here is the Mets are swinging a hot bat. New York has scored at least 4 runs in 9 straight games and have hit 5 or more in 8 of those 9. That kind of offense can win any game. Take New York! |
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05-29-19 | Storm +3 v. Lynx | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Storm +3 -110 I like the value here with Seattle as a small road dog. A lot of people are giving the Storm no shot this season to defend their title and it's hard to argue with them given they lost reigning MVP Breanna Stewart for the season and are also without Sue Bird. While this may ultimately end up being a lost season, this team is coming out of the gate on a mission. They want to prove to everyone that they are more than 1-2 players. That kind of effort against a Minnesota team that is without Maya Moore should be more than enough for the win and cover. Take Seattle! |
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05-29-19 | Pirates +142 v. Reds | 7-2 | Win | 142 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Early Bird Money Line DESTROYER on Pirates +142 Easy play here on the Pirates as a decently priced road dog at Cincinnati. Pittsburgh getting no love here because starter Steven Brault has a 9.39 ERA and 2.086 WHIP. However, he's only made two starts and his last outing was way back on the 12th. He's lot better than that. In fact, Brault has owned the Reds in his career. He's made 8 appearances against them and is 3-0 with a 1.27 ERA. Home favorites of -125 to -175 that are off a win by 4 or more in a game that had 17 or more combined runs are just 26-47 (36%) on the money line over the last 5 seasons. That's the exact spot we find the Reds. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-28-19 | Mets +185 v. Dodgers | 7-3 | Win | 185 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Mets +185 Unbelievable value here with New York as a massive road dog against the Dodgers on Tuesday. While the Mets come in off a 9-5 loss to Kershaw and the Dodgers Monday, New York is 6-2 in their last 8 games and a big reason for that is the offense. Despite coming in a losing effort this time, Mets have now scored 4 or more runs in 8 straight games. They are slugging .508 as a team over their last 7 (slugging .411 on the season). At this price, this is just too good to pass up. Dodgers will have Rich Hill on the mound, but that's actually a positive for NY. Hill owns an awful 7.31 ERA and 1.694 WHIP in 6 starts against the Mets. LA comes in red-hot, but are just 7-13 over the last 2 seasons when riding a winning streak of 4 or more. Mets are also 14-5 in Matz last 19 starts off a loss. Take New York! |
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05-28-19 | Tigers -109 v. Orioles | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Tigers -109 Easy play here on Detroit as a small road favorite at Baltimore Tuesday. Tigers have been a lot more competitive than their recent record would suggest. They are averaging 4.0 runs and hitting .259 as a team over their last 7, yet are 1-6. I believe that offense will be able to produce more than enough runs to get the win behind starter Matt Boyd. In 11 starts this season, Boyd has a 3.11 ERA and 1.005 WHIP with 80 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings of work. Baltimore will have Dylan Bundy on the mound. Bundy has a 4.68 ERA in 6 home starts and the Orioles as a team are just 1-5 in those 6 outings. Baltimore is also a mere 3-13 in their last 16 vs a left-handed starter and 0-9 in Bundy's last 9 starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Detroit! |
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05-28-19 | Fever +9 v. Sun | 77-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Fever +9 -110 Indiana is worth a look here as a near double-digit dog against the Sun. The Fever opened up the 2019 season with a thrilling 81-80 win at New York as a 3.5-point dog. That's quite the start to the season for a team that finished dead last in 2018 with a mere 6-wins. I'm not saying Indiana is going to start 2-0, but I think they can ride that momentum to a cover. Connecticut rolled over the Mystics 84-69 in their opener, but Washington was without Elana Delle-Donne. Easy for them to come in a little too confident against a team they have dominated of late. Look for the Fever to make a game of it. Take Indiana! |
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05-27-19 | Rangers +110 v. Mariners | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers +110 Rangers are worth a look here at pretty much even money on the road against the Mariners. While Texas just lost 2 of 3 at the Angels, they are 8-3 in their last 11 overall. While the Rangers are surging, Seattle has completely fallen off the map. Mariners have lost 6 straight and 9 of 10 overall. Not only are the Mariners struggling to keep their opponents from scoring a bunch of runs, they just aren't producing at the plate. Hard to not like the Rangers chances in this one with a red-hot Lance Lynn on the mound. Lynn has a 2.57 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in his last 3 starts, all of which he completed 7 innings. Take Texas! |
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05-27-19 | Blues +137 v. Bruins | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Blues/Bruins Money Line NO-BRAINER on Blues +137 I really like St. Louis to go on the road and steal Game 1 against Boston. Blues have been on some kind of run. It's hard to believe that this team had the worst record in the league back in January. Clearly this team thrives in this role of being the underdog. I also think this is a really tough spot for the Bruins. While both teams have been off quite a bit, Boston hasn't played since 5/16, giving them 11 days off between games. I just think it's hard to flip the switch after that long of a break, especially when you were playing so well prior to the long layoff. Bruins were just 1-6 this season when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Take St Louis! |
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05-27-19 | Pirates v. Reds -200 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -200 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds -200 I got no problem laying the big number with Cincinnati at home in Game 1 of their double-header against the Pirates. Reds will have one of the best starters in the game going in Luis Castillo. The guy is 5-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 11 starts. He's even tougher to score against at home, as he owns a 1.89 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in 6 home starts. While Cincinnati has a legit ace on the mound, Pittsburgh will be counting on the likes of Nick Kingham and his 10.12 ERA and 2.125 WHIP. Last time out Kingham gave up 7 runs on 10 hits in 4 innings. I just don't see a struggling Pirates offense being able to score enough in this one. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-26-19 | Sparks +3.5 v. Aces | 70-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sparks +3½ -110 I like the value here with LA as a dog. Aces are a team that are getting a ton of love coming into the 2019 season. Not only did they add another No. 1 overall pick in Jackie Young from Notre Dame, they acquired 2018 MVP runner-up Liz Cambage. These moves have Las Vegas as one of the favorites to win it all. The talent is definitely there, but much like in the NBA when superstars pair up for the first time, it's going to take some time before they play to their potential. The chemistry just isn't there right away. Sparks are a legit playoff team and have the pieces in place to win the title. I think they come out and make a statement here on the road. Take Los Angeles! |
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05-26-19 | Mariners +130 v. A's | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Mariners +130 Mariners are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog at Oakland. No doubt we are getting some great value here on the money line with Seattle. A's have won 8 straight and the Mariners have lost 5 in a row. Oakland is going to have Brett Anderson on the mound and he's not exactly been great in 2019. Anderson owns a 4.14 ERA and an ugly 1.362 WHIP in 10 starts. In his last 2 starts against the Mariners, he's given up 9 runs on 13 hits (5 HRs) in just 8 1/3 innings of work. Seattle will have Mike Leake on the mound and they lost his last start. That's worth noting, as the Mariners are 12-3 in Leake's last 15 starts following a loss in his last outing. Take Seattle! |
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05-26-19 | White Sox +220 v. Twins | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Central GAME of the MONTH on White Sox +220 I absolutely love the value here with Chicago at more than a 2 to 1 dog Sunday. Minnesota is simply way overpriced due to them coming into this game having won 5 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. Note that lone loss came in a flat spot last Sunday, as they had already won the first 3 games of their series against Seattle. They have outscored the White Sox 19-5 in the first two of this series and I think they will have a tough time showing up to the park motivated for this early game against a bad team. Take Chicago! |
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05-26-19 | Red Sox +158 v. Astros | 4-1 | Win | 158 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Red Sox +158 Red Sox are worth a look here as a big dog against the Astros on Sunday. Not very often will you see Boston at this price, but the Astros are playing well and appear to have a massive edge on the mound with Justin Verlander against the struggling Eduardo Rodriguez. While Rodriguez has struggled in his last 2 starts, we know the guy has good stuff and Houston has cooled off considerable at the plate. In fact, Astros have scored 4 or fewer runs in 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 overall. I just think at this price, it's worth a shot on the Red Sox in this one. Take Boston! |
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05-25-19 | Dodgers v. Pirates +165 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Heavy Hitter TOP PLAY on Pirates +165 Absolutely love the value here with Pittsburgh as a massive home dog against the Dodgers. LA is a massive public team and with them playing well and having a strong starter on the mound, no doubt the books inflated the line here. Pittsburgh will have a capable starter on the mound in Joe Musgrove, and he's coming off back-to-back strong starts. Pirates have won 4 of his last 5 starts at home against a team with a winning record. Dodgers will have lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu on the mound. While he's been great, the Dodgers are just 2-14 in his last 16 road starts vs a team with a winning record and the Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 at home vs a left-handed starter. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | Top | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 36 h 10 m | Show |
5* Bucks/Raptors NBA Playoffs GAME OF THE MONTH on Raptors -2 -110 My money is on the Raptors to make it 4 straight wins to close out the series with Milwaukee and move on to the NBA Finals. As good as Antetokounmpo is, you could argue that Toronto's Kawhi Leonard has been the best player on the floor in this series, especially of late. More than anything, I think Leonard's got the much better supporting cast. Bucks just aren't getting production from their bench and a lot of that has to do with the great defense of Toronto. I just think with all the momentum the Raptors have, playing at home will be more than enough to propel them to victory in this one. Take Toronto! |
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05-25-19 | Braves v. Cardinals +100 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cardinals +100 St Louis is worth a look here at even money on Saturday. Just too good a price to pass up with the Cardinals at home. Atlanta is simply getting too much love with Mike Soroka on the mound. St Louis has a very capable starter of their own in Dakota Hudson, who has a strong 3.76 ERA in 5 home starts. While the Braves are playing well, Atlanta is just 14-24 in their last 38 when they go into a contest having won 6 of 8. Cardinals on the other hand are 9-2 in their last 11 at home with a money line of -125 to +125. Take St Louis! |
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05-25-19 | Rays +122 v. Indians | 6-2 | Win | 122 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Rays +122 Tampa Bay is worth a look here as a road dog. This is a great price to back the Rays with Charlie Morton on the mound. Morton is 4-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.196 WHIP in 10 starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.95 ERA in 6 road starts, which the Rays have gone 5-1. Cleveland will have Carlos Carrasco on the mound and he's just 4-4 with a 4.30 ERA in 10 starts. He has been better of late, but is coming off a poor outing at home against the A's and in his last 2 starts vs the Rays, he's allowed 8 runs on 15 hits and 4 walks in 13 1/3 innings. Indians are also a mere 3-16 over the last 2 seasons against an AL starter with a ERA of 2.90 or better. Take Tampa Bay! |
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05-24-19 | Braves +142 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-2 | Win | 142 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
5* MLB No Limit PLAY OF THE MONTH on Braves +142 Love the value here with Atlanta in Friday's series opener against the Cardinals. I'm not so sure St Louis should be favored. Cardinals have not been playing well. St Louis is just 5-14 in their last 19. It's also a weird spot for them, as they have been off 3 of the last 4 days and the one day they did play they had to play a double-header. Cardinals will have Miles Mikolas on the mound and he's got a mere 4.88 ERA in 10 starts. Last time out Mikolas couldn't even complete 2 innings, as he was pulled after giving up 7 runs on 9 hits. He's just not been the same guy that we saw in 2018. Atlanta will turn to Mike Foltynewicz. When he's on and healthy, he's one of the better starters the Braves have. He had to miss some time and has not looked great in 5 starts, but was sharp last time out against the Brewers, holding a potent Milwaukee offense to just 2 runs on 3 hits in 6 innings. Take Atlanta! |
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05-24-19 | White Sox +190 v. Twins | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on White Sox +190 I think this is a great spot and price to back Chicago. The White Sox are going to come into this series with a ton of confidence, as they just took the final 2 games of their series with the Astros, which featured a complete-game shutout by Giolito on Thursday. No doubt Chicago is going to want to keep it going against a red-hot Twins team that has a 8-game lead in the AL Central. As for Minnesota, I just feel like this is a flat spot for them. Twins just capped off a 7-game road trip out west with a 16-7 win on Thursday, which featured an impressive 8 homers. Believe it or not, it's a feat they have already accomplished once this season. Really easy for them to not take this series seriously against a team like Chicago. Overall numbers for today's two starters favor Minnesota, but recent form is in favor of Chicago. White Sox Reynaldo Lopez has a 2.29 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Twins starter Jose Berrios has a 4.67 ERA and 1.557 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Chicago! |
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05-24-19 | Reds +151 v. Cubs | 6-5 | Win | 151 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER on Reds +151 Big time value here with Cincinnati as a big road dog against the Cubs. Chicago's Kyle Hendricks has a 2.53 ERA in his last 6 starts and was on quite a run up until his last start. Hendricks had a no-hitter going thru 4 innings, but blew up and allowed 4 runs in the 5th and was forced out of the game. Hendricks needs to be on top of his game to be effective and I think we could see him struggle in this one. Cubs are also coming off a huge 4-game series against the Phillies and I could see them being a little flat here with an early start. Reds on the other hand have really been playing good baseball over the last month and will be highly motivated to show what they got against a team like the Cubs. Numbers aren't great for Reds starter Anthony Desclafani, but he's pitched well against the Cubs in his career and the Reds have won 5 of his last 6 starts. That includes 4 straight wins on the road. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 217.5 | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors/Bucks under 217½ -110 While each of the last 3 games in the series have gone OVER the total, I absolutely love the UNDER in Game 5 on Thursday. With the series tied 2-2, this feels like a must-win for both team, so we can expect a max effort here from both sides. With both teams giving all they got on the defensive side of the ball, I think we are poised to get our lowest scoring game of the series. Keep in mind that neither team even got to 100 points in regulation of Game 3 and there were just 208 scored in Game 1. UNDER has cashed in 7 of the Raptors last 10 on the road and 13 of the Bucks last 19 off a loss. Take the UNDER! |
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05-23-19 | Braves v. Giants +100 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Giants +100 Easy play here on San Francisco even money at home with ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound. Giants have won each of Bumgarner's last 4 straight and it's important to note the early start with this game. Bumgarner has a 2.70 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 3 day starts this season. Atlanta is going to counter with Kevin Gausman, who has just not lived up to the hype. Gausman is 2-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.250 WHIP. However, I'm more focused on the ugly 5.19 ERA and 1.731 WHIP in 4 road starts. Gausman has made only one start in a day game and it wasn't pretty, as he gave up 5 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks in 5 innings. Take San Francisco! |
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05-23-19 | Marlins +148 v. Tigers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 148 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Marlins +148 This is just too good a price to pass up on the Marlins. Miami is playing as well as they have all season, as they come in on a 5-game winning streak, which includes wins over Detroit in the first two games of this series. As for the Tigers, they have lost 8 in a row. Detroit is getting love because they have a strong starter going in Matt Boyd, but the problem with the Tigers is they can't score runs. Detroit is scoring just 3.3 runs/game on the season and it's been even worse than that of late, as they are averaging just 2.6 runs/game over their last 7 games. Tigers are a mere 1-10 in their last 11 home games, 0-7 in their last 7 off a loss, 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series and 0-8 in their last 8 at home vs a right-handed starter. Take Miami! |
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05-22-19 | Phillies +144 v. Cubs | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Phillies +144 Philadelphia is worth a look here as a decently priced dog at Chicago. Despite blowing yesterday's game in the bottom of the 9th, the Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 and I look for them to take the series with a win tonight. Cole Irvin will take the mound for Philadelphia and he's been lights out in his first two big league starts. Irvin is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.923 WHIP. He'll be facing a Cubs offense that has scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6. Phillies are 18-4 in their last 22 when revenging a one run loss and 12-2 in their last 14 in game 3 of a series. Take Philadelphia! |
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05-22-19 | Marlins +107 v. Tigers | Top | 6-3 | Win | 107 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Marlins +107 This is a great price to jump on Miami. Marlins might be one of the worst teams in the league, but they aren't playing like it. Miami has won 4 straight and will be facing a Tigers team that has lost 7 straight. Key here is the Marlins have a big edge on the mound. Jose Urena doesn't look great with a 1-6 record and 4.27 ERA in 9 starts. However, those numbers are misleading. He's gone at least 6 innings in each of his last 6 starts and allowed 2 or fewer run 5 times during this run. He's facing a Tigers offense that is one of the worst in the league, averaging 3.3 runs/game and hitting .217 as a team. While Detroit figures to struggle to score, Marlins should score early and often. Tigers will turn to Daniel Norris and he's got a 4.55 ERA in 6 starts overall and a 5.94 ERA in his last 3 outings. When he is out, he will turn it over to a Tigers bullpen that has a 5.56 ERA. Take Miami! |
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05-22-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +220 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles +220 Simply too much value here with Baltimore as a massive home division dog. While the Yankees have won the first two in the series, Orioles have put up 11 runs on 21 hits. I think that offense is more than capable of putting up a big number here against C.C. Sabathia. While Sabathia comes in with a sharp 2.97 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in 7 starts, there's going to be some regression going forward. Sabathia has also not been nearly as good on the road, where he owns a 4.70 ERA and 1.305 WHIP. Baltimore's Daniel Staily has really picked up his game against division opponents, going 24-10 in his last 34 starts against a division rival. It's also worth mentioning that the home plate umpire will be David Rackley. Home team has won 7 of his last 10 games behind the plate including a 5-1 record when the Yankees are the road team. Take Baltimore! |
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05-22-19 | A's v. Indians +120 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird Money Line SMASH on Indians +120 Big game here for Cleveland and I expect them to get the job done. Indians will be highly motivated to avoid getting swept after dropping the first two to the A's. Oakland on the other hand has secured a winning record on their current 8-game road trip and could get caught looking ahead to their flight back home, especially with a day off on Thursday. Indians will have Jefry Rodriguez on the mound and he's been a heck of a lot better than his 1-3 record would suggest. Rodriguez has a very strong 3.45 ERA and 1.181 WHIP. He also just faced the A's in Oakland a couple starts back and limited them to 3 runs in 6 innings of a Indians win. No way should Cleveland be a home dog here. Indians are a dominant 16-5 in their last 21 after losing the first two games of a series. Take Cleveland! |
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05-21-19 | Reds +130 v. Brewers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 130 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
5* MLB NL Central GAME of the MONTH on Reds +130 I think the Reds are worth a look in Tuesdays's series opener against the Brewers. Cincinnati has been playing better than .500 ball since their dreadful 1-8 start to the season and will be up for another shot at the defending NL Central champs, especially after Milwaukee swept the Reds in Cincinnati earlier this season (all 3 wins were by exactly 1-run). Brewers are just 4-4 over their last 8, so they aren't exactly playing their best. I also think this is a bit of a flat spot for Milwaukee, as they just finished up a lengthy 10-game road trip on Sunday. Gio Gonzalez has pitched well in his first 4 starts for the Brewers, but he doesn't go deep in games and is due for a poor outing. Reds are 9-3 in their last 12 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 6-2 in their last 8 on the road vs a team with a winning record and 10-4 in their last 14 off a SU loss. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-21-19 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays +140 | 3-10 | Win | 140 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Blue Jays +140 I'm confident the Blue Jays will come out with a win and cash in a nice ticket as a decently priced home dog against the Red Sox. No denying that Boston is the better team, but it's the Blue Jays who will have a massive edge on the mound in this one. Toronto will send out Marcus Stroman, who has a 2.95 ERA and 1.293 WHIP in 10 starts. Most of that success has come at home, where he has a 2.60 ERA in 6 starts. Boston will counter with Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a mere 4.89 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in 9 starts and a awful 6.98 ERA and 1.966 WHIP in 4 road starts. Take Toronto! |
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05-20-19 | Diamondbacks +130 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Diamondbacks +130 Arizona is worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Padres. This looks like quite the pitching matchup with Luke Weaver of Arizona going up against Chris Paddack of San Diego. Paddack has the better numbers and the Padres are at home, but he was not sharp at all in his last start and he's due for some regression. Weaver on the other hand comes in with a 2.25 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also 3-0 with a strong 2.38 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in 4 road starts and owns a 2.28 ERA and 1.014 WHIP in 4 career starts vs San Diego. Another thing is the Dbacks have a big edge offensively. Arizona is averaging 5.6 runs/game on the road, while the Padres are scoring a mere 3.4 runs/game at home. Take Arizona! |
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05-20-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +180 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles +180 Big time value with Baltimore in Monday's series opener against the Yankees. While New York is the better team, no way should they be this big of a favorite on the road against a division rival. Easy spot here for the Yankees to come out flat, as they just closed a 4-1 homestand and swept two games at home against Baltimore last week. Runs have been tough to come by for the Orioles, but I look for them to get the offense going. Yankees will have J.A. Happ on the mound and he's got a 4.44 ERA in 9 starts. Baltimore on the flip side of this will have Andrew Cashner on the mound. Cashner has a very strong 2.45 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in 3 home starts. My money is on him keeping the Yankees in check. Take Baltimore! |
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05-19-19 | Bucks +2.5 v. Raptors | 112-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
3* Bucks/Raptors Game 3 VEGAS INSIDER on Bucks +2½ -110 I just don't think playing at home is going to be enough for Toronto in Game 3. Raptors had their chance to steal Game 1 in Milwaukee with the Bucks off that long layoff, but blew a big lead in a crushing defeat. They followed that up by getting annihilated 125-103 in Game 2. Milwaukee's defense has simply been too much for the Raptors to overcome, as Toronto continues to struggle from the field. Raptors have shot 43% or worst from the field in 4 straight, dating back to the 76ers series. Keep in mind Bucks are a perfect 4-0 on the road in the postseason with 3 of the 4 wins coming by double-digits. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-19-19 | Giants +154 v. Diamondbacks | 3-2 | Win | 154 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB NL West PLAY OF THE DAY on Giants +154 This is just too good a price to pass up with San Francisco. The Giants are fresh off a 8-5 win on Saturday and I look for them to carry that momentum over to Sunday. Arizona has lost 8 of their last 13 and have been absolutely dreadful on Sunday. Diamondbacks are 1-11 in their last 12 games played on Sunday. I don't know if they are staying out to late or what, but this team is not performing in this spot. Same goes for starter Robbie Ray, who is 0-5 in his last 5 starts on Sunday. Arizona is also just 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 or more in their previous game. Giants have won 9 of their last 13 in the series. Take San Francisco! |
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05-19-19 | Brewers -118 v. Braves | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Brewers -118 Great value here with Milwaukee as a small road favorite. Atlanta is getting a ton of love right now, as they have won 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall, but the Brewers are favored for a reason in this one. Milwaukee will have a massive edge on the mound, as they send out the red-hot Brandon Woodruff against the struggling Mike Foltynewicz. Woodruff has a 1.06 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in his last 3 starts, all of which have ended up in Brewers wins. In fact, Milwaukee has won 7 of Woodruff's 9 starts on the season. As for Foltynewicz, he's 0-3 with a 8.01 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in 4 starts. All 4 of which the Braves have wound up losing. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-18-19 | Cubs +130 v. Nationals | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs +130 Easy play on the Cubs at this price. Chicago has been one of the hottest teams in the league. Yesterday they roughed up Max Scherzer in a 14-6 win. Washington is just 4-8 in their last 12 as they continue to underperform in 2019. No way I'm passing up on a team as talented as the Cubs when they are playing this well with a guy as hot as Jon Lester on the mound. Lester has a ridiculously good 1.16 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 7 starts. He hasn't allowed a run in 3 straight starts and is facing a Nationals team that is just 3-7 on the season when up against a left-handed starter. Washington is not hitting for a strong team average and that's worth noting. Lester is 12-2 in his last 14 starts vs a NL team that's hitting .245 or worse as a team. Nationals simply won't be able to keep pace with the Cubs offense in this one. Take Chicago! |
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05-18-19 | Brewers v. Braves -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Braves -115 Love the value here with the Braves as a small home favorite against the Brewers. Atlanta comes in off a 12-8 win in the series opener and that was after they put up 10 runs on 14 hits in the finale against the Cardinals. I look for that Braves offense to stay hot in this one. Milwaukee is sending out one of the better starters in Chase Anderson, but he's making his first start since 4/26, as he returns from the DL. Atlanta will have Kevin Gausman on the rubber and he's coming off a strong start at Arizona, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Gausman comes in with a not so great 4.01 ERA in 4 home starts, but a lot of that is bad luck. Despite an ERA over 4, he's got a WHIP of just 0.892 WHIP. Take Atlanta! |
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05-17-19 | Giants +135 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
5* National League HEAVY HITTER of the MONTH on Giants +135 Really like the value here with San Francisco on the money line Friday night. While the Diamondbacks are off a 11-1 blowout win at home against the Pirates, Arizona is still just 4-7 in their last 11 games overall. Diamondbacks might have been dealt a big blow in that loss with David Peralta forced to leave the game prematurely. While it doesn't appear to be serious, I would be shocked if Peralta played in this one and he's a huge part of that Arizona offense. I also think that SF will be able to get their offense going in this one. Diamondbacks will have Merrill Kelly on the mound and he's not been great of late with a 6.06 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Francisco! |
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05-17-19 | Dodgers v. Reds +122 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Reds +122 Give me the Reds as a home dog against the Dodgers in this one. Cincinnati might be last in the NL Central, but they are playing well right now. Reds just won 2 of 3 at home against the re-hot Cubs and are 5-2 in their last 7 overall. I know the Dodgers are playing well, but starter Rich Hill has not been up to par in his first 3 starts. He's got a 4.20 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. He was also really bad in his one road start against the Padres, giving up 3 runs no 7 hits in just 4 innings. He's served up 5 homers in just 15 innings, which really speaks volumes to his struggles right now. Reds will have Anthony Desclafani, who has a strong 3.27 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 2 home starts. Reds are 5-0 in his last 5 starts and have won 6 of his last 7 starts vs the NL West. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-16-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
5* NBA Western Conf Finals GAME OF THE MONTH on Blazers +8 -110 Really like the value here with Portland as a near double-digit dog in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals. I wasn't surprised to see the Blazers struggle in Game 1. In fact, I had a strong play on Golden State in that one. I just thought it was asking a lot for Portland to play well in that spot. It's hard enough playing on the road in the postseason at Golden State. It's that much harder when coming off a Game 7, especially when that Game 7 was played in altitude. While it's only been one day between games, I think we see a very different Blazers team tonight. The other huge key here is that Durant is not expected to play. I get that Curry and Thompson were great in Game 1, but it will be tough for the two to combine for another 62 points and 12 made 3-pointers. Not saying the Blazers will win, but I expect this to be a dog fight the whole way. Take Portland! |
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05-16-19 | A's -135 v. Tigers | Top | 17-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on A's -135 I got no problem laying a little juice with Oakland on the road in this one. While the A's are just 5-17 on the road this season, Detroit is one place I'm confident they can win at. In fact, Oakland is 12-1 against the Tigers at any park the last 3 years, which includes a perfect 7-0 record at Comerica Park. Tigers have one of the worst offenses in the big leagues. They come in averaging just 3.4 runs/game and are hitting a mere .223 as a team. That drops down to 2.8 runs/game with a .213 average in games where they face a right-handed starter. Not only will they be up against a righty in this one, they have to face a really good one. Oakland's Chris Bassitt has a 2.55 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in 4 starts this season. Tigers are an awful 13-41 in their last 54 vs a team from the AL West, while the A's are a dominant 39-12 in their last 51 vs a team from the AL Central. Take Oakland! |
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05-15-19 | Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 58 m | Show |
5* Bucks/Raptors Game 1 VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Raptors +6½ -110 I really like the value here with Toronto as a pretty decent road dog in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Bucks. I know the Raptors just played Game 7 against the 76ers on Sunday, but two days is more than enough to recover. I actually think the Bucks are the team that is going to be most affected by rest. Milwaukee only needed 5 games to put away the Celtics in the second round and thus haven't played in a week. I think no game action for that long really makes it tough on a team to come out sharp. I look for the Raptors to take control early and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they went on to win the game. Take Toronto! |
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05-15-19 | Rangers v. Royals +122 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
5* American League Money Line PLAY OF THE MONTH on Royals +122 Love the value here with Kansas City as a home dog against the Rangers. Royals finally got their offense going in yesterday's 11-5 win. I look for them to stay hot at the plate Against a Texas pitching staff that has allowed 10+ runs in 3 straight games. Rangers have also been a horrible road team. After losing on Tuesday, they are now just 5-15 on the road this season. Texas has gone just 1-7 in their last 8 on the road vs a team with a losing record and have lost 7 of the last 10 starts by Mike Minor. Royals on the other hand are 12-4 in their last 16 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Kansas City! |
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05-15-19 | Cubs +119 v. Reds | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs +119 No way I'm passing up a chance to play the Cubs as a dog. Chicago won the series opener 3-1 on Tuesday. Cubs have won 3 in a row and are a dominant 21-5 over their last 26 games. I get Yu Darvish hasn't been great, but no way should the Reds be favored with the likes of Sonny Gray on the mound. Gray has a respectable 3.92 ERA, but has not won a single one of his 8 starts and the Reds are just 2-6 in those outings. If he's not on his game, this Cubs offense will make him pay. It's also worth noting that Darvish has owned Cincinnati, with a 1.93 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 3 starts. When the Cubs come in having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, they are a dominant 16-4 against the money line. Take Chicago! |
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05-14-19 | Padres +142 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
5* MLB NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Padres +142 Absolutely love the value here with San Diego at this price. I'm not saying the Dodgers shouldn't be favored at home with Clayton Kershaw on the mound, but they are getting way too much respect in this one. As good as Kershaw has been in his 5 starts, he's not the best starter going in this game. Chris Paddack of the Padres is putting up Cy Young type numbers to start the season. Paddack has a 1.55 ERA and 0.688 WHIP in 7 starts. San Diego has won 6 of his 7 starts, which includes a perfect 3-0 record on the road. Padres were off Monday and this is a team that you want to back after a break. They are 12-3 in their last 15 following an off day. Take San Diego! |