Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-20-19 | Knicks +10.5 v. Heat | 114-129 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Knicks +10½ -115 New York is definitely worth a look here as a double-digit dog against the Heat. Knicks have been a money maker since they fired head coach David Fizdale. They are 3-3 SU and 5-1 ATS since he was let go. That includes 3 straight covers on the road against the Warriors, Kings and Nuggets. Winning at Miami won't be easy, but I like their chances of keeping this within 10-points. Heat could definitely struggle to get up for this game, as they are off a huge road win against the 76ers, which concluded a 3-game road trip. Heat also got off to that great start and as a result the books are starting to overprice them, especially as a favorite. Miami is just 1-4 ATS last 10 when laying points. Take New York! |
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12-20-19 | Pistons v. Celtics -7 | Top | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA - Eastern Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH on Celtics -7 -110 I got no problem laying the points with Boston at home against the Pistons. Celtics should have no problem winning here by double-digits against a struggling Detroit team that will not only be without Blake Griffin, but also Luke Kennard and Christian Wood. Boston won't have Gordon Hayward but at this point they are accustomed to not having him. They also don't need him to put away this Pistons team. Celtics are also well rested playing just their 2nd game in the last 7 days and coming off a big momentum building win at Dallas where they rallied in the 2nd half for a 109-103 win. Pistons have gone 3-14-1 ATS last 18 vs a team with a winning record, 1-7-1 ATS last 9 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games (Celtics are 10-1 at home) and 3-8 ATS last 11 off a double-digit loss at home. Take Boston! |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | Top | 51-41 | Loss | -110 | 180 h 12 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Utah St/Kent St FRISCO BOWL Top Play on Utah State -6½ -110 Easy play here for me on the Aggies. I don't get the line move at all as I thought the books had it priced right when they opened Utah State at -8.5. There's simply too much value here now with them under the key number of 7. I just think Jordan Love announcing he was leaving early to go pro and then some key guys getting accused of smoking pot had people leaning Kent State in this game. Thing is, Love is playing and those allegations appear to be false, at least from what head coach Gary Anderson is saying. Love is going to want to show out here to build up his draft stock. I also think the Utah State players will be motivated that much more after hearing the coach had their back. Love should have a field day in this one, as the Golden Flashes are awful defensively. They give up 471.7 ypg and allow 34.6 ppg away from home. They also are allowing opposing QB's to complete 69% of their attempts for 249 ypg and 8.4 yards/ pass attempt. Also, Kent State went 6-6 and their only decent win was against Buffalo and they trailed 27-6 in the 4th quarter of a crazy 30-27 win. Golden Flashes are a great story as they had quite the turnaround, but they are outclassed in this one. Take Utah State! |
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12-20-19 | Stars v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Stars/Panthers over 5½ -110 The OVER 5.5 is definitely worth a look here in Friday's NHL clash between the Stars and Panthers. Both offenses will be coming in feeling confident after putting up a big number in their last game. Dallas scored 4 in a win at Tampa Bay and Florida hung 6 on Ottawa at home. OVER is also 31-15 in the Panthers last 46 off a win/tie and 31-17 in their last 48 after scoring 4 or more goals in their previous game. OVER is also 12-3 in their last 15 off a win over a division opponent and 34-17 last 51 in the 1st half of the season when playing a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! |
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12-20-19 | Buffalo v. Charlotte UNDER 58.5 | Top | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 112 h 33 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Buffalo/Charlotte BAHAMAS BOWL Top Play on Buffalo/Charlotte under 58½ -110 Easy play here on the total in Friday's first bowl game of the season with Buffalo taking on Charlotte. Couple factors here that really has me loving this game staying UNDER the total. First off these are two teams that are run-first offenses. Buffalo finished the season ranked 9th in the country in rushing at 254.3 yards/game and Charlotte was 26th at 211.3 ypg. I full expect both teams to try to come out and establish the run. They might not have a choice. The other big factor here is the weather with the game in the Bahamas. Winds are expected to exceed 20 mph with gusts approaching 30 mph. Plus, the game is being played in a soccer stadium, which is built like your normal CFB stadiums, so the wind could be even more of a factor than you would expect. UNDER is also 28-6 (82%) since 1992 in games where you have two non-Power 5 teams with decent offensive teams (390 to 440 ypg) facing off in a non-conference game. Take the UNDER! |
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12-19-19 | Portland State +5.5 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Small Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Portland State +5½ -111 Easy play here on the Vikings getting points against the Lions. I actually think Portland State is going to win this game outright, so this is really a no-brainer at this price. Loyola-Marymount has failed to cover their last two, including a mere 3-point win in their last home game against Prairie View A&M as a similarly priced 6-point favorite. The Lions just aren't a team to be trusted to lay points. They don't play great defense and struggle to take care of the basketball. That could haunt them here against Portland State, which has had some success turning over the opposition. Vikings also are also a great offensive rebounding team and those second chances should pay off in this matchup. Vikings are 15-6 ATS last 21 non-conference road games, while the Lions are a mere 3-7 ATS last 10 at home vs a team with a losing road record and 1-9 ATS last 10 at home against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Portland State! |
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12-19-19 | Canadiens v. Flames -130 | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Flames -130 I like the value here with Calgary as a small home favorite against the Canadiens. Montreal comes in having won 4 of their last 5, but are still just 16-18 on the season and have a losing record away from home. Calgary has lost their last two, but had won 7 straight before those setbacks against Carolina and Pittsburgh. Canadiens have time and time been a good fade after a recent hot stretch like they are on now. Montreal is 4-12 in their last 16 after winning 4 of their previous 5 games. Flames have won 5 of their last 7 against a team with a losing record and 7 straight over a team from the Atlantic Division. Take Calgary! |
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12-19-19 | Nets v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
5* NBA - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE WEEK on Spurs -2½ -106 I absolutely love the value here with the Spurs at basically a pick'em at home against the Nets. This hasn't been anywhere close to the kind of start to the season that most expected for San Antonio and their latest 107-109 loss to Houston, where they blew a 25-point lead, speaks to the season they are having. With that said, I do feel like there's some positives with building up a 25-point lead on the road against the Rockets. It could be a sign of them turning the corner. Had they won that would have been 4 out of their last 5. With a full 2 days off before this game I think we get a big effort here from the Spurs. As for the Nets, they continue to play well without Kyrie, but a lot of that success has come against bad teams. This is also not an ideal scheduling spot playing on the road for the 3rd time in the last 6 days. Spurs are 15-5 ATS last 20 games at home in the month of December and 21-9 ATS last 30 at home with a line of +3 to -3. Take San Antonio! |
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12-19-19 | Jazz -6 v. Hawks | 111-106 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Jazz -6 -109 The Jazz are definitely worth a look here at Atlanta tonight. Utah is just 5-8 away from home and I think that poor road record has them a bit undervalued in this one. Jazz have won 3 straight and will be motivated here to get their 3-game road trip started off with a win. What I love is they don't even need to play their best to cover this number against the Hawks. Atlanta has the second worst record in the league at 6-22 and are just 2-16 over their last 22 games. Last time out the Hawks fell by 23 on the road to an awful Knicks team, marking their 6th double-digit setback in their last 7 losses. Jazz have faired well against teams like Atlanta away from home, as they are 20-9 ATS last 29 on the road against bad defensive teams that are allowing opponents to shoot 46% or better from the field. They are also 13-3 ATS last 16 on the road with a total of 220 or more and 9-1 ATS last 10 on the road after 2 or more consecutive home wins. Take Utah! |
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12-18-19 | Celtics -1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
5* NBA - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Celtics -1½ -109 I absolutely love the Celtics here at basically a pick'em at Dallas. The Mavs shocked just about everyone in their last game, as they snapped the Bucks 18-game winning streak in Milwaukee without one of the best players in the league in Luka Doncic. Dallas won the game 120-116 as a 10-point dog. Not to take anything away from that win, but you have to think some of that was Milwaukee not giving the Mavs the respect they deserved. They had to think they could just coast and beat Dallas without Doncic. On the flip side the Mavs were highly motivated to show they can win without their star. Boston isn't going to make the same mistake here. In fact, the Celtics should be 100% locked in after losing their last two and being fully rested after having the last 5 days off. Boston is 8-2 ATS last 10 times they have played on 4 or more days of rest and are 11-2 ATS on the season vs a team with a winning record. Take Boston! |
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12-18-19 | Ducks v. Devils OVER 5.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Ducks/Devils over 5½ -101 I just don't see these two eclipsing this total. These are two of the worst teams in the NHL and a big reason for that is their inability to score goals on a consistent basis. New Jersey is only scoring 2.4 goals/game and Anaheim isn't much better at 2.6 goals/game. Not only that, both offenses come in even worse form. The Ducks are down to 2.2 goals/game in their last 5 and the Devils are at a mere 1.6 goals/game in their last 5. I get neither has a great defense, but I just don't think either side has the playmakers to take advantage of it. UNDER is 20-9 in Anaheim's last 29 road games in the 1st half of the season when playing a team with a losing record and 11-3 in the Devils last 14 at home against poor power play teams. Take the UNDER! |
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12-18-19 | VCU v. College of Charleston +6 | Top | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on College of Charleston +6 -109 I love the value here with the Cougars as a decently priced home dog against the Rams. VCU is the household name in this matchup and I think it has them laying a few to many in this one. Note the books have really been inflating the number on the Rams of late. VCU has failed to cover five straight and are just 2-8 ATS on the season. They are also 0-2 SU and 0-2 ATS on the road. Charleston is off to a very respectable 5-5 start. A .500 record might not seem great, but they have played the likes of Oklahoma State, Marshall, UCF (twice), Wake Forest, Providence and Richmond. Most of those games they were very competitive. Last year the Cougars went on the road and beat VCU 83-79 as a 5.5-point dog and what I like is they got the guards to handle this Rams pressure with 3 really good ball handlers in Galloway, Jasper and Riller. Another thing here is the Rams have not shot the ball well in 2019 and are still missing one of their better outside shooters in Malik Crowfield. Not to mention the Cougars are holding opponents to 40% from the field at home. Take Charleston! |
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12-18-19 | DePaul v. Cleveland State +16 | 73-65 | Win | 101 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cleveland State +16 +101 I really like the value here with the Vikings as a massive home dog against DePaul. Not many people saw the Blue Demons being this good this early on in 2019. DePaul is off to an impressive 10-1 start, which includes a 7-3 ATS mark. However, we are far enough in that the betting public has caught on and now the books are really starting to inflate their price. I also think this is a bit of a flat spot for the Blue Demons, as this is not a team they need their best effort against to get a win. It's their first road game in almost 3 weeks and they got a big matchup with Northwestern at home on Saturday. Also worth noting that a lot of DePaul's ATS success has come in the role of a dog. Blue Demons are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. They are also just 2-9 ATS last 11 when they come in having won 3 of their last 4. Take Cleveland State! |
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12-17-19 | Magic v. Jazz UNDER 208.5 | 102-109 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Magic/Jazz under 208½ -105 The UNDER is worth a look here in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Jazz hosting the Magic. These are two teams that like to play slow. Utah ranks 16th in pace of play and Orlando is way back at 26th. Another thing here is I think we are going to get a big effort here from Utah on the defensive side of the ball, as they can't be happy about letting each of their last two opponents shoot over 53% from the field. UNDER is also 14-3 in Orlando's last 17 road games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3 and the average combined score in this spot is just 200.3. UNDER is also 35-17 in Utah's last 52 at home after scoring 110 or more in 2 straight games. Take the UNDER! |
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12-17-19 | San Francisco +6.5 v. Stanford | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on San Francisco +6½ -109 Love the value here with the Dons as a decently priced dog against the Cardinal. Stanford has been one of the big surprises early, as they are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS. However, both the betting public and the books have figured out just how good the Cardinal are and we are seeing them a little overpriced here against a good San Francisco team. Dons are 9-2 to start the year and one of those losses is by a mere 4-points to Arizona State. That's not their only good showing against a Pac-12 foe, as they beat Cal at home by 12 earlier this month. Dons are 17-6 ATS last 23 on the road after 2 straight covers as a favorite. Also a great system in play to fade the Cardinal. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 off a road win by 20 or more are just 17-45 (27%) ATS since 1997 in games involving 2 teams that have won 80% or more of their games. Take San Francisco! |
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12-17-19 | Florida v. Providence +5.5 | 83-51 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Providence +5½ -115 I really like the value here with the Friars as a decently priced dog against the Gators in Tuesday's matchup in the Hall of Fame Invitational at the Barclays Center. Florida has been one of the most overrated teams in the country by the books. While the Gators are a respectable 6-3 SU, they are just 2-7 ATS. Last time out they lost by 14 at Butler as a mere 3.5-point dog. Providence hasn't been much better of late, but the Friars continue to play hard and they really get after you defensively. Providence is only allowing opponents to shoot 42% from the field against them and are 11th in the country in defensive turnover rate. Florida's lackluster offense is a big reason for their disappointing start and they have struggled against good defensive teams. Gators are just 8-17 ATS last 25 with a total of 130 to 139.5 and 5-13 ATS last 18 vs teams that are holding opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Take Providence! |
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12-17-19 | Ducks v. Flyers -130 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Flyers -130 Philadelphia is definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Ducks. Perfect time to buy low on the Flyers after losing 3 in a row. Big thing to note with the skid is all 3 losses came on the road. Anaheim is also a great team for them to get back on track against. Ducks are just 5-10 away from home and are a mere 5-13 in their last 18 overall. Anaheim will be hitting the road after back-to-back games at home and are just 2-9 in their last 11 after playing 2 or more games in a row at home. Take Philadelphia! |
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12-16-19 | Colts v. Saints OVER 46 | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 56 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Colts/Saints MNF Vegas INSIDER on Colts/Saints over 46 -110 I love the value here with the OVER on Monday Night Football. New Orleans just seems to always deliver a big offensive performance when playing at home in prime time games and it's hard to see the Colts slowing down Drew Brees and that high-powered passing attack after Jameis Winston just torched the Indy defense for 467 yards and 4 TDs in their last game. Tampa Bay finished with 542 yards of total offense. Colts defense is much better suited to slow down run-first teams. The key here is I don't think New Orleans will be able to take their foot off the gas. The Saints defense has been really good for the most part this season, but a big reason for that is the play they were getting up front. Unfortunately for NO they just lost two studs from the defensive line to season ending injuries in defensive end Marcus Davenport and defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins. They also are dealing with some injuries at linebacker and in the secondary. OVER is 11-3 in the Saints last 14 games under head coach Sean Payton on Monday Night Football and 29-12 in their last 41 at home off a loss by 6 or less. OVER is also 15-3 in the Colts last 18 on the road after giving up 35 or more points in their last game. Take the OVER! |
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12-16-19 | Bulls v. Thunder -6 | 106-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Thunder -6 -110 Really like the value here with Oklahoma City at home tonight against the Bulls. Chicago comes in off an upset win at home over the Clippers, which looks great on paper until you realize LA didn't play Kawhi Leonard, Lou Williams or Pat Beverly. Not to mention it was the Clippers 3rd game in 4 days and wrapped up a 6-game road trip. Prior to taking advantage of that game against a depleted and tired Clippers team, the Bulls managed just 73 points in a home loss to the Hornets. Chicago's offense has been one of the worst in the league early on, as they come in 27th in effective field goal percentage. Hard to win games on the road or even keep them close for that matter when you struggle to put the ball in the hoop. Thunder might be just 11-14, but do own a 7-5 record at home and are 5-3 over their last 8 with a 4-1 ATS mark in their last 5. Take Oklahoma City! |
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12-16-19 | Avalanche v. Blues -110 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
3* NHL Money Line MASSACRE on Blues -110 St Louis is definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Avalanche. Great time to sell high on Colorado, who comes in having won 8 of their last 9. St Louis is a tough place to get a win and the Blues are off back-to-back wins, scoring 4 goals in each victory. Not to mention St Louis has owned the Avalanche of late. Blues have won 8 of the last 10 meetings and are 5-1 in their last 6 at home against Colorado. St Louis is also a team you want to stay on when things are going well, as they have won 14 of their last 19 when off a win. Take St Louis! |
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12-16-19 | Eastern Illinois v. Western Illinois +2.5 | Top | 85-47 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Heavy Hitter TOP PLAY on Western Illinois +2½ -110 I love the value here with Western Illinois as a small home dog against rival Eastern Illinois. Books have been consistently undervaluing the Leathernecks here of late, as they come in having covered 4 straight. Eastern Illinois may have the better record, but they have played the much easier schedule. The Panthers also lack size, as they got a 6'5 guy playing center. The offense also doesn't produce at near the same level on the road. Eastern Illinois is averaging 78.3 ppg on the season, but just 68.3 ppg away from home. That lack of offense on the road figures to really hurt them here, as Western Illinois comes in averaging 80.9 ppg on the season and 90.0 ppg at home, where they are shooting a healthy 48% from the field and 44% from long distance. Leathernecks are a strong 9-4-1 ATS last 14 as a home dog and 5-1 ATS last 6 vs a team with a winning record. Panthers are 3-7 ATS last 10 road games vs a team with a losing home record and a mere 1-8 ATS last 9 times they have been listed as a road favorite. Take Western Illinois! |
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12-15-19 | Samford +7.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 73-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Samford +7½ -110 I absolutely love the value here with the Bulldogs as a near double-digit dog at Hawaii on Sunday. I know the competition hasn't been the best, but it's worth noting that Samford has scored 97 and 113 points in their last two games. In their last game they beat Houston Baptist by 23 as a mere 4.5-point favorite and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Hawaii is 6-3, but those 6 wins are against the likes of Pacific, Portland State, Florida A&M, New Orleans, San Francisco and Hawaii Pacific. Even with that soft schedule their largest margin of victory all season is by 13-points. Rainbow Warriors are not a team to back as a favorite, as they have gone just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when laying points. They are also a mere 1-4 ATS last 5 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Bulldogs are also a healthy 31-12-1 ATS last 44 non-conference games. Take Samford! |
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12-15-19 | Bills v. Steelers UNDER 36.5 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 72 h 55 m | Show | |
4* NFL - SNF Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Bills/Steelers under 36½ -110 Even when there's every reason to believe there's going to be little to no offense in a game, the betting public struggles to stomach an under with a total less than 40. I just can't help myself here, as this is just one of those games where both offenses are going to have a hard time just getting first downs. With all the injuries the Steelers have had on offense they really have leaned hard on their defense to win games and the stop unit has been up to the task. Pittsburgh has held each of their last 3 opponents to 17 or fewer. Buffalo has a little more offensive fire-power, but not much. Bills also want to win games with their defense. Buffalo comes in 3rd in the NFL in total defense (296.8 ypg) and the Steelers have the 28th ranked offense (290.1 ypg). Pittsburgh's stop unit is 5th in total defense (310.9 ypg) and the Bills are 20th in total offense (341.9 ypg). UNDER is 10-3 in the Bills 16 games this season and a perfect 6-0 in 2019 when they are listed as a dog. UNDER is also 11-3 in their last 14 on the road. UNDER is 10-3 in the Steelers 13 games this season, 12-4 in their last 16 off a cover and 7-0 in their last 7 after playing their previous game against a team from the NFC. Take the UNDER! |
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12-15-19 | Canucks +190 v. Golden Knights | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Canucks +190 This is just too good a price to pass up with Vancouver as a massive road dog against the Knights on Sunday. Canucks lost 2-4 at San Jose last night, but had won 3 of their previous 4. Vegas is just 2-3 in their last 5 and simply aren't deserving of being this big of a favorite right now. Especially considering they have a losing record at home on the season. Vancouver has struggled a bit offensively of late, but are still averaging a healthy 3.2 goals/game on the season Vegas is just 1-5 at home this year against teams who are averaging 3 or more goals/game. Take Vancouver! |
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12-15-19 | Knicks v. Nuggets OVER 205.5 | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT on Knicks/Nuggets over 205½ -110 Easy play here on the OVER for me in Sunday's NBA showdown between the Knicks and Nuggets. Denver comes into this one off back-to-back wins, scoring 114 against the Blazers on Thursday and 110 yesterday against the Thunder. Nuggets should have no problem putting up another big number here against a Knicks defense that is giving up 113.9 ppg on the road. Key here is that with Denver playing on no rest, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights, it's unlikely they give a top notch defensive effort in this one, especially given how bad this Knicks team is. Nuggets can simply go through the motions on defense and still win this game no problem. Knicks scored 124 on 48% shooting at the Warriors on Wednesday and 103 on 46% shooting at Sacramento on Friday. If NY can just get to 95 here we cash this thing easy. Take the OVER! |
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12-15-19 | Long Beach State v. USC UNDER 149.5 | 76-87 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Long Beach State/USC under 149½ -109 The UNDER is worth a look in Sunday's NCAAB matchup that has USC hosting Long Beach State. I just think the number here is way too high for this one. I get that the 49ers aren't the best defensive team and USC has some offensive fire-power, but I think both offenses could struggle to produce in this one. Both teams figure to be a bit rusty on offense, as USC hasn't played since Dec. 6 and Long Beach has been off since Dec. 7. Trojans last game was at TCU and they scored 80 points, but the UNDER is 8-1 in USC's last 9 at home after playing their previous game on the road, 15-6 in their last 21 as a home favorite and 11-3 in their last 14 after a game where they scored 80 or more. Take the UNDER! |
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12-15-19 | Vikings v. Chargers +3 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -120 | 106 h 49 m | Show |
5* NFL - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Chargers +3 -120 I absolutely love the value here with the Chargers as a home dog against the Vikings. LA might be just 5-8 on the season, but there's no denying the talent the Chargers have on both sides of the ball. As glim as their playoff hopes might be, this is a team that will continue to fight until they are officially out of it. Los Angeles snapped a 3-game skid last week with a 45-10 throttling of the Jaguars as a mere 3.5-point favorite. Chargers are also a team that could easily be sitting here with 10 wins had they caught a few more breaks. All 8 of LA's losses have come by 7-points or less with 4 of those by a field goal or fewer. Vikings are sitting at 9-4, but are just 2-3 on the road. This is a team that lost away from home to the Chiefs when Mahomes was sidelined, which I think speaks volumes to just how much more vulnerable they are away from home. Last week Minnesota beat the Lions at home, but failed to cover as 13.5-point favorite. That's worth noting, as the Vikings are a mere 7-20 ATS in their last 27 on the road off a win where they failed to cover as a favorite. Chargers are also 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Take Los Angeles! |
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12-15-19 | Texans +3 v. Titans | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 103 h 35 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Texans +3 -115 Most are going to look to lay the short number here with the Titans, as Tennessee comes in having won and covered in each of their last 4 games, while Houston just got embarrassed at home by the Broncos as a 8-point favorite. I'm not about to say the Titans aren't a good team, but I definitely don't trust them in this spot. I also think the Texans simply laid an egg last week against Denver after that massive home win over the Patriots. I fully expect Deshaun Watson and that Houston team to bounce back in a big way with 1st place in the AFC South on the line. Watson and the Texans have really thrived in the role of underdog. In games that Watson starts in which Houston is getting points, the Texans have gone 11-4 ATS, including an 8-3 ATS mark in this spot on the road. Houston is also 8-2-1 ATS last 11 off a game where they failed to cover and 6-1 ATS last 7 off a double-digit loss at home. Titans are just 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 division games and just 4-11-1 ATS last 16 times they have been matched up against the Texans. Take Houston! |
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12-15-19 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 41 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 77 h 3 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Bears/Packers under 41 -110 These two managed to combine for just 13 points when they met up in Week 1 and neither offense had more than 255 total yards in the matchup. I would expect a little more offense in the rematch this Sunday, but I still don't see them approaching 40 points. Chicago's offense has come to life a little over the last couple of weeks, but there's little reason to be optimistic about them putting up a big number here. Mitch Trubisky is simply not playing at a high level and the Bears' lack of a running game really puts the entire offensive unit behind the 8-ball. While the offense continues to struggle for Chicago, the defense remains a strength and while the Packers have Aaron Rodgers, they have struggled to put up points against the better defenses they have faced. Even last week they only scored 20 points against the Redskins at home and that was them scoring 14 points in the 1st quarter. Add in just how familiar these two teams are with one another being division opponents and the fact the game will be played at wind chills in the single digits and it wouldn't surprise me if neither team scored 20 points. UNDER is 8-1 in the Bears last 9 games as road underdog, 6-1 in their last 7 division games and 9-2 in their last 11 games played in the month of December. UNDER is also 7-3 in the Packers last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 6-0 in their last 6 division games. Take the UNDER! |
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12-15-19 | Patriots v. Bengals OVER 41 | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 65 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Patriots/Bengals over 41 -110 I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's matchup that has the Patriots visiting the Bengals. I think we are getting a great number here with how New England's offense has struggle here of late. Patriots only managed 16 points at home last week against a Chiefs defense that isn't perceived to be very good and are averaging just 17 ppg in their last 4. The thing is, those 4 games were against some pretty good defensive teams. I wouldn't be surprised at all if they had one of their best offensive games of the season against a Bengals team that just gave up 27 points to a struggling Browns offense. As for Cincinnati's offense and how they will manage to score against this Patriots defense. It won't be easy, but the Bengals have looked a lot better on that side of the ball since going back to Andy Dalton. While they only managed 19 points last week against the Browns, they had 451 yards of total offense. If they can just put up like 17-20, which I think is very doable, this thing should fly past the number. OVER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in the Bengals last 5 at home vs a team with a winning road record. OVER is also 10-1 in Cincinnati's last 11 at home vs elite pass defenses that are giving up 5.2 or less yards per attempt. Take the OVER! |
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12-14-19 | Gonzaga +3.5 v. Arizona | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Late Night PLAY OF THE MONTH on Gonzaga +3½ -110 I love the value here with the Bulldogs getting points at Arizona. While the Wildcats are greatly improved over last year and these two come into this game with identical 10-1 records, I feel Gonzaga is by far the better team. Arizona comes in off a blowout 99-49 win and cover against Nebraska-Omaha, but prior to that had failed to cover 4 straight. Wildcats are also going to be down one of their better players in Stone Gettings. Another key thing here is the matchup on the boards. Arizona's head coach Sean Miller flat out said his teams biggest weakness was their defensive rebounding. That's a big time problem against a Gonzaga team that is great at generating second chances by hitting the offensive glass. I just don't think the Wildcats will be able to go score-for-score with the juggernaut that is the Bulldogs offense. Take Gonzaga! |
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12-14-19 | UC-Davis +8 v. San Diego | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on UC-Davis +8 -110 Easy play here for me on UC-Davis as a near double-digit dog against the Toreros. The Aggies are just 4-7, but the schedule has not been favorable. They also started out the season a dreadful 0-6 ATS. However, they have come to life in the last few weeks and come in having covered 4 straight and are off back-to-back outright wins as a dog. San Diego has been on cruise control in their last two games, but are just 18-34 ATS last 52 at home after holding 2 straight opponents to 65 or less and are a dreadful 0-7 ATS in their last 7 at home after leading in their previous 2 games by 10+ points at the half. Take UC-Davis! |
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12-14-19 | Clippers v. Bulls +6 | 106-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Prime Time ATS CASH COW on Bulls +6 -109 I think the Bulls are definitely worth a shot here as a decently priced home dog against the Clippers on Saturday. Chicago absolutely laid an egg at home last night against the Hornets, as they managed just 73 points on 30% shooting in a double-digit loss as a 7-point favorite. That performance will have the betting public wanting nothing to do with the Bulls in this matchup against the Clippers, who come in having won 4 straight and are 13-2 in their last 15 overall. The books know this and have shaded the line here to help Chicago cover. Note that we should get a max effort here from the Bulls off that clunker, especially against a top tier team like LA. As for the Clippers, they are the ones I would be concerned about not bringing their "A" game. LA is also playing on no rest after a hard fought win at Minnesota last night and will be concluding a lengthy 6-game road trip tonight. Take Chicago! |
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12-14-19 | Georgia Tech +15.5 v. Kentucky | 53-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG on Georgia Tech +15½ -109 I like the value here with Georgia Tech catching a big number against the Wildcats. Most are going to just look to lay the big number with Kentucky after seeing that the Yellow Jackets were trounced at home by Syracuse 97-63 in their last game. I just think we are going to get a big effort here from Georgia Tech off that ugly showing against the Orange. On top of that, I think we could see Kentucky come out a bit flat. Wildcats haven't played in a week and in just a few days will be heading to Las Vegas to take on Utah. Wildcats are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6, so the books have definitely been inflating the number on them. Yellow Jackets are 13-3 ATS last 16 off an upset loss by 10 or more as a favorite and 9-2 ATS last 11 on the road against strong teams that are outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game. Take Georgia Tech! |
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12-14-19 | Rangers +125 v. Ducks | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
3* NHL Money Line MASSACRE on Rangers +125 I really like the value here with the Rangers as a road dog against the Ducks. New York started out the season just 2-5, but have won 14 of their last 24 and are fresh off a 6-3 win at San Jose on Thursday. It's been the exact opposite for Anaheim. The Ducks opened the season 6-2, but are just 7-17 since and a mere 4-13 in their last 17 games. Anaheim just can't get anything going offensively, as they are scoring just 2.6 goals/game and a mere 2.4 in their last 5. Hard to see them snapping out of that funk against a Rangers team that is only giving up 2.0 goals/game in their last 5. Take New York! |
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12-14-19 | Army v. Navy -10 | Top | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 80 h 27 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Army/Navy NO LIMIT Top Play on Navy -10 -110 I got no problem laying double-digits with the Midshipmen in Saturday's huge rivalry game with Army. Some might think Navy will be looking ahead to their bowl, while Army is going to treat this like it's their bowl game. Sure the Black Knights are going to come to play, but don't think for a second that the Midshipmen aren't 100% focused on this game. A big reason for that is they come in having lost 3 straight in the series after they had rattled off 14 wins in a row over Army. A big reason for the Black Knights recent success is they for the first time in a long time had the better talent on the field. This year Army has underperformed big time and finished just 5-7, despite a schedule that had many calling for at least 8 wins. Navy has played the much tougher schedule and are 9-2. Midshipmen are the better team on both side of the ball and I just think they come out with a chip on their shoulder Saturday and win here by at least 14. Army is just 1-9 ATS last 10 as a neutral field dog of 7.5 to 14 points and have lost in this spot by an average score of 35 to 10. Take Navy! |
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12-14-19 | Alabama v. Penn State -10.5 | 71-73 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Afternoon ATS DESTROYER on Penn State -10½ -109 I got no problem laying the big number at home with Penn State as they get ready to host Alabama. The Nittany Lions come in off an impressive 76-69 win at home over No. 4 Maryland and should have no problem making easy work of the Crimson Tide. With that win Penn State improved to 6-0 at home. Alabama is just 4-4 overall with their 4 wins against the likes of FAU, Furman, Southern Miss and SF Austin. Crimson Tide are just 1-3 away from home and a big reason for that is they are allowing 85.2 ppg on 48.4% shooting on the road. That's a problem, as Penn State is scoring 80.5 ppg at home. Nittany Lions should also have a big edge here on the glass with their strong frontcourt and Alabama's guard heavy lineup. Not to mention the Crimson Tide's inability to take care of the ball. They rank 322nd in offensive turnover rate. This thing is going to get ugly in a hurry. Take Penn State! |
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12-14-19 | Oregon +4 v. Michigan | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Oregon +4 -110 I really like the value here with the Ducks as a small road dog against the Wolverines. Few coaches are better than Oregon's Dana Altman at getting his team ready for big games. Ducks have already compiled an impressive 7-1 ATS record this season when matched up against a team with a winning record. Michigan had that great run in the Battle 4 Atlantics, knocking off Iowa St, UNC and Gonzaga in a 3-day span. They went from unranked to the Top 10 and I'm not so sure it was warranted. Michigan has lost 2 of 3 since returning from that tournament, including a 62-71 loss at Illinois last time out. I know the Wolverines are a good home team, but Oregon is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 8-1 in their last 9 when facing a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Oregon! |
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12-13-19 | Prairie View A&M +7 v. Loyola Marymount | 76-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Prairie View A&M +7 -110 The Panthers are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against Loyola Marymount. Prairie View A&M is just 3-6 overall, but that was to be expected. Panthers haven't played at home since opening the season at home on Nov. 5 against Jarvis Xian. They have played each of their last 8 games away from home and all but two have been true road games. While the wins haven't been there, they are an impressive 5-1 ATS and roll in having covered 3 straight. They only lost by 9 last time out at Arizona State and have also lost by just 4 at both UCF and Cal, as well a mere 14-point loss at Texas. If they can go on the road in those venues and keep it that close, they are capable of covering this and even winning outright. Lions are just 1-8 ATS last 9 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Panthers are 4-1 ATS last 5 as a dog and 6-2 ATS last 8 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take Prairie View A&M! |
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12-13-19 | Bucks v. Grizzlies +10.5 | Top | 127-114 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
5* NBA - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Grizzlies +10½ -109 I love the value here with Memphis as a double-digit home dog against the Bucks. Milwaukee has won 16 straight and are fresh off a 15-point win over the Pelicans without Antetokounmpo and he's questionable to play here. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Bucks gave him another night off, especially against a sub-par team like Memphis. The Grizzlies have won two straight since star rookie Ja Morant returned from a 4-game absence and this team is more than capable of keeping this close with him on the floor. I also think this is a tricky spot for Milwaukee. They just played 3 straight at home and will return home for 3 more after this contest. Real easy for them to just kind of take this game off and go through the motions. Bucks are a mere 7-24 ATS in their last 31 off 3 or more consecutive home wins and just 1-5 ATS last 6 on the road against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Grizzlies are returning home after 4-straight on the road. Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS last 11 at home off a road trip of 7 or more days. Take Memphis! |
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12-13-19 | Golden Knights +150 v. Stars | 3-2 | Win | 150 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Golden Knights +150 This is just too good a price to pass up with Las Vegas. Dallas has won 3 straight and are off a spirited win over New Jersey, which came just hours after they learned head coach Jim Montgomery had been fired. I just think they could be in for a bit of a letdown here and are simply too big a favorite in this spot, especially with how they struggle to score. Stars are only scoring 2.6 goals/game, which is the 5th lowest mark in the league. Knights have also been a decent bet the last 3 seasons against teams that are stingy on defense, as they have gone 58-29 (67%) vs teams with good starting goalies that are saving 91.5% or more of their shots against. Take Las Vegas! |
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12-12-19 | Kings v. Ducks -127 | 2-1 | Loss | -127 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Ducks -127 I like the value here with Anaheim as a relatively small home favorite against the Kings. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Ducks at home with how LA has been struggling on the road Kings are just 1-4 in their last 5 and have gone a miserable 2-13 away from home on the season. LA is also a miserable 0-8 on the road when playing a team with a losing record this season and have lost in this spot by an average score of 4.6 to 1.8. Expect more of the same tonight. Take Anaheim! |
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12-12-19 | Northern Iowa -5.5 v. Grand Canyon | 82-58 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Northern Iowa -5½ -109 This is just too good a price to pass up with the Panthers. Dan Majerle's Antelope's team is better than their 4-7 record, but I still think they are outclassed in this one. UNI really came on strong at the end of last year and look like a team that's poised to make a serious run for a MVC title. Panthers are 9-1 with the only loss coming by 5 to West Virginia. They just went on the road and beat Colorado 79-76 as a 9.5-point dog and that's a really impressive win with how good the Buffaloes are at home. UNI improved to 7-1 ATS on the season and a perfect 4-0 ATS away from home. Take Northern Iowa! |
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12-12-19 | Jets +15 v. Ravens | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 22 m | Show |
5* NFL - Jets/Ravens TNF VEGAS INSIDER on Jets +15 -110 I really like the value here with New York getting more than two touchdown against the Ravens. Baltimore has quickly become one of the biggest public plays in the league and with this being a prime time game the books have really inflated this one. The Jets might be out of the playoff picture, but they have continued to play hard and actually come in having won 4 of their last 5 games. This is a really good opportunity for New York to see just how far they come against one of the leagues best teams. I fully expect the Jets to give it their all in this one. It's not that I don't think Baltimore won't come to play, but I do think this is a tricky spot for the Ravens given their recent stretch of high-profile games. Lamar Jackson is going to play despite a quad injury, but I don't think we see the same MVP type performance that we have go accustomed to. I can't imagine there will be a lot of designed runs for Jackson and as soon as Baltimore gets a comfortable lead they are going to look to just run the ball and get this game in the books. Another key here is the Jets defense and how it matches up with the Ravens high-powered run game. New York is one of the best in the league at stopping the run, as they come in No. 2 in the league, giving up just 78.8 ypg. I think they will be able to slow down Baltimore enough to keep this game close. Take New York! |
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12-12-19 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 210 | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on 76ers/Celtics over 210 -110 I like the value here with the OVER at this price. A lot of people are going to be thinking UNDER here with this being a matchup of two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference, especially with how these teams can get after it on defense. The thing is, I just don't think these two are going to have enough in the tank to bring their "A" game defensively. Boston just played last night at Indiana in a game that saw 239 combined points. It's also the Celtics 3rd game in 4 days. 76ers had yesterday off, but are playing their 4th game in 6 nights. OVER is 25-10 in the Celtics last 35 home games after a combined score of 235 or more. It's also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Boston. Take the OVER! |
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12-12-19 | Predators -125 v. Sabres | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Predators -125 I like the value here with Nashville as a small road favorite against the Sabres. Predators come in off back-to-back wins, which saw them score 9 goals. They have won 5 of 8 overall and should have no problem making it 3 straight wins against Buffalo. Sabres are just 5-8 in their last 13. Buffalo is off a 5-2 win at home against St Louis, but are just 3-13 in their last 16 off a home win by 2 or more. Predators have also thrived in road games that are expected to be high-scoring, going 30-16 in their last 46 away from home with a total of 6 or more. Take Nashville! |
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12-11-19 | Knicks v. Warriors -4.5 | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Warriors -4½ -110 Easy play here on the Warriors laying a short number at home against the Knicks. The fact that the Warriors are just 5-20 overall and just lost at home as a favorite to a bad Memphis team, is a big part of the value we are getting here. The thing is the Warriors are still playing to win and this Knicks team is one they can have their way with, especially at home. New York is 1-10 on the road this season and are getting outscored on the road by 15.1 ppg. Not to mention the Knicks are in a tough scheduling spot playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back on the road after last night's game in Portland. Take Golden State! |
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12-11-19 | Hawks v. Bulls -4.5 | 102-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Big Money ATS CASH COW on Bulls -4½ -110 I like the value here with the Bulls laying a short number at home against the Hawks. Chicago has went from a team a lot of people were really high on to start the year to a team no one really wants anything to do with, especially as a favorite. Those that have taken advantage of the poor perception on the Bulls have been rewarded with some nice profits here of late. Chicago has covered 5 of their last 6 and now are laying a small number against a bad Hawks team that is just 3-10 on the road, where they are getting outscored by 13.3 ppg. Take Chicago! |
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12-11-19 | Boise State +3 v. Tulsa | Top | 56-69 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Sharp Money PLAY OF THE MONTH on Boise State +3 -110 Love the value here with the Broncos as a road dog against the Golden Hurricane, as my numbers say Boise State should be favored here. Tulsa comes in at 7-2, but it's a fraudulent mark, as they have played the 353rd ranked strength of schedule. We saw some of how overvalued the Golden Hurricane are in their last game, as they lost outright at home as a 13-point favorite to Arkansas State. Boise State on the other hand has been way undervalued of late. Broncos are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. I just don't see Tulsa being able to keep pace offensively. Tulsa is only averaging 70.9 ppg and that's against opponents that on average give up 75.7 ppg. Boise State is scoring 81.0 ppg and that's against opponents that are giving up just 71.0 ppg. Take Boise State! |
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12-11-19 | Senators +145 v. Canadiens | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Senators +145 The Senators are worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Canadiens on Wednesday. This is just too good a price to pass up with Ottawa right now. Senators have won 2 of 3 and have scored 13 goals in their last 3 games. Montreal is also playing well with 3 wins in their last 4 games, but are still just 3-9 in their last 12 and have a losing record at home. Another big thing is the Canadiens just played last night in Pittsburgh and are just 2-7 in their last 9 at hoe when playing on back-to-back days. Take Ottawa! |
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12-11-19 | Rockets -10.5 v. Cavs | 116-110 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockets -10½ -115 I got no problem laying double-digits here with Houston, as we should get a big effort with the Rockets coming off a upset loss at home to the Kings. Not many better teams to get right against than the Cavs right now. After losing by 47 at Philadelphia on Saturday they responded by losing by 22 at Boston. Houston can pretty much name the score in this one. Rockets have covered 5 of their last 6 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and have covered 4 of their last 5 off a loss and failed cover. Cavs are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs a team with a winning record and have lost 4 straight as a dog. Take Houston! |
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12-11-19 | Yale v. Massachusetts +4.5 | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Massachusetts +4½ -110 I like the value here with UMass as a small home dog against the Bulldogs. This is the perfect time to buy low on the Minutemen after losing 5 straight and getting drubbed in their last game at Harvard 89-55. It' also the perfect time to sell high on Yale, who has won 5 straight and covered 8 in a row. It's not like UMass has been losing to a bunch of bad teams. They were a dog in all 5 losses and 4 of those were away from home. We should get a max effort here from the Minutemen in this one. For Yale, I think they are not only overpriced, but also in a tough spot here playing their 3rd straight on the road in a 8 day stretch. Take UMASS! |
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12-10-19 | Knicks +9 v. Blazers | 87-115 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Late Night ATS BAILOUT on Knicks +9 -105 I like the value here with the Knicks as a near double-digit dog against the Blazers. This is just too big a price for Portland to be laying right now. Blazers are down two starters to injury in Zach Collins and Rodney Hood and are still trying to adjust to life with Carmelo Anthony. Portland has lost 3 of 4 and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Knicks have lost 9 straight, which is why the line is what it is, but several of those have been single-digit defeats. History is also on our side with New York. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have lost 4 or more consecutive games in the month of December are 45-20 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take New York! |
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12-10-19 | Flames v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Flames/Coyotes under 5½ -130 I really like the value here with the UNDER 5.5 in tonight's NHL matchup between the Flames and Coyotes. Both teams have winning records overall and come in playing well. Calgary has won 5 in a row and Arizona is 3-1 in their last 4. These are the kind of games teams take their game up a notch. While both teams are fully capable of scoring a bunch of goals, I expect these two defenses to win out. Flames have held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 3 or fewer goals and the Coyotes have done the exact same. UNDER is 14-4 in Calgary's last 18 road games against a team with a winning record in the 1st half of the season and 10-3 in Coyotes last 13 against good offensive teams that are averaging 29 or more shots and are converting 17% or more. Take the UNDER! |
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12-10-19 | Nevada +8.5 v. BYU | Top | 42-75 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Nevada +8½ -110 I really like the value here with the Wolf Pack as a near double-digit dog against the Cougars. Steve Alford is doing a tremendous job in his first year with Nevada, despite having to put together a make-shift roster after all 5 starters and 7 of the top 8 rotation players departed. Wolf Pack come in having won 5 straight. All five wins have come by double-digits as a single-digit favorite, so they are far exceeding the books value on them right now. Nevada definitely has the offensive fire-power to hand with BYU, as the Wolf Pack come in averaging 79.6 ppg. What's crazy is they score even more on the road, as they are scoring 81.2 ppg and shooting 49.1% from the field away from home. BYU has not been a good bet in games that are expected to be shootouts, as they are just 4-13 ATS last 17 games with a total of 150 to 159.5. Cougars are also just 2-12 ATS last 14 off a cover as a double-digit favorite. Take Nevada! |
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12-10-19 | Devils +175 v. Stars | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Devils +175 The Devils are definitely worth a look here as a huge road dog against the Stars. We are just getting too good a price here with New Jersey due to them coming in having lost 5 straight. Dallas has won their last 2 but are just 2-4 in their last 6 and continue to struggle to score. The Stars have scored 3 or fewer goals in 6 straight games and when you can't put the puck in the net on a consistent basis you can lose to anyone. Dallas also has a history of underperforming against bad teams, as they are just 10-19 in their last 29 vs a team that's won between 25% to 40% of their games. Take New Jersey! |
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12-10-19 | Maryland v. Penn State +1 | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Public Money ATS SHOCKER on Penn State +1 -110 This line really says it all. You got the No. 4 ranked team and undefeated (10-0) team in the country the slimmest of road favorites against an unranked Penn State team. Books clearly like the Nittany Lions to win this game and so do I. Maryland is talented, there's no denying that, but they lack chemistry, routinely get off to slow starts and don't take high percentage shots. They were extremely fortunate to win at home against Illinois last time out, as they went on a 11-1 run in the last 5 minutes to win 59-58. Penn State isn't just good enough to get up on the Terps, but they can bury them if Maryland doesn't bring their 'A' game tonight. Nittany Lions are 5-0 at home and are shooting 47% from the field at home, while allowing just 38%. Atmosphere is going to be electric as well and this is easily the toughest true road game of the season for Maryland. Take Penn State! |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 36 h 48 m | Show |
5* NFL - NFC EAST PLAY OF THE MONTH on Giants/Eagles under 45½ -109 I love the UNDER between the Eagles/Giants on Monday Night Football. I think a lot of people are going to look at this number and think it's way to low given how poorly New York's defense has played and the Eagles coming off a game where they gave up 37 points and over 400 yards of offense to the Dolphins. However, I don't see either team going off in this one. Eagles are perceived to be this great offense, but that just hasn't been the case in 2019. Giants are going to show up with one of their best efforts in this one, plus I think the conditions favor a low scoring game with rain expected throughout and winds approaching 15 mph. UNDER is 9-2 in the Eagles last 11 games after going OVER the total in their previous game, 13-4 in their last 17 at home with a total of 42.5 to 49 and 16-4 in their last 20 after scoring and allowing 30 points in their last game. Take the UNDER! |
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12-09-19 | Bruins -170 v. Senators | 2-5 | Loss | -170 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Bruins -170 I got no problem laying the heavy juice with Boston on the money line in Monday's road game against the struggling Senators. Bruins are one of the best teams in the league, as they come in at 20-4, while Ottawa is just 12-17. Only three teams have fewer than the 25 points the Senators have posted in 2019. What I love here is we know we are getting a big effort from Boston, as they enter off back-to-back home losses to Chicago and Colorado. Ottawa on the other hand is in a free fall right now having lost 6 of their last 7. Bruins last game was a 4-1 loss to the Avalanche and that's worth noting, as they are 13-2 on the season after scoring 1 or fewer goals. Take Boston! |
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12-09-19 | Cavs +14 v. Celtics | 88-110 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Cavs +14 -105 The Cavs are definitely worth a look here as a huge road dog against the Celtics. I just think the price here is too good to pass up with Cleveland. I just think the number here has been inflated due to the fact that Boston is such a big public team and are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. Cleveland also comes in having lost 6 straight and are just 1-5 ATS in this stretch. These two played at Cleveland a little over a month ago (Nov. 5) and the Cavs hung around in that one at home, losing by just 6 and that was with Boston shooting 57% from the field. Celtics have also failed to produce in this spot, as they are just 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 at home vs a team with a losing record and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 at home against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Cleveland! |
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12-09-19 | Clippers v. Pacers +1.5 | 110-99 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Pacers +1½ -109 The Pacers are worth a look here as a home dog against the Clippers Monday. Most are going to look to take LA as a small road favorite, but this is not an ideal spot for the Clippers, who had to play at Washington on Sunday and will be suiting up for the 3rd time in the last 4 days. Not to mention the Pacers are playing extremely well right now and are going to be fired up to show off against one of the league's top teams. Indiana is 8-2 in their last 10 games and have gone 9-2 on their home floor this season. Keep in mind the Clippers are just 4-6 on the road compared to 13-1 at home. Indiana is returning home from a 5-game road trip and are 6-1 ATS last 7 at home off a road trip of 7 or more days. Pacers are also 16-5-1 ATS last 22 at home vs a team that's won 40% or less of their road games. Take Indiana! |
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12-08-19 | Wolves +11 v. Lakers | 125-142 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night ATS DESTROYER on Wolves +11 -105 Great value here with the Timberwolves as a double-digit dog against the Lakers on Sunday. LA has been costing the books a lot here of late, as they come in having covered 3 in a row. I think it's got them way overvalued here against Minnesota. This is not an ideal spot for the Lakers. While they are back home after a 3-game road trip, those 3 road games were at Denver, Utah and Portland and they got just 1 day off for this game. The Timberwolves are also a great road team, as they come in 7-4 SU and 7-4 ATS away from home this season. TWolves are 8-3 ATS last 11 as a road dog, while the Lakers are just 2-7 ATS last 9 at home vs a team with a winning road record and 0-4 last 4 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Minnesota! |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
4* NFL - RAMS/SEAHAWKS SNF ATS NO-BRAINER on Rams +1 -105 The Rams are definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em on their home turf against the Seahawks on Sunday Night Football. Seattle has quickly went from a team not many people trusted to one of the biggest public plays on the board. Seahawks are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games, which has created a ton of value here with the Rams. Even though LA is off an impressive 34-7 win at Arizona last week, the betting public can't get that ugly 45-6 loss to the Ravens on MNF a couple weeks back out of their head. I just think the key here is Goff and that LA offense should be able to move the ball against what I think is a pretty average Seattle defense. I also don't love the spot for the Seahawks, as they are coming off 3 huge games. They played at San Francisco, at Philadelphia and at home against the Vikings. Rams are out to make a statement in this one and I expect them to do just that. Take Los Angeles! |
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12-08-19 | Sabres v. Oilers -165 | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Oilers -165 I got no problem laying the big juice with Edmonton at home against the Sabres. Not only are the Oilers the better team, but Buffalo comes in just 5-11 on the road and have gone just 3-8 in their last 11 overall. Teams are scoring at will against this Sabres defense. Buffalo has allowed 3 or more in 5 of their last 7 games and are giving up 3.5 goals/game on the road this season. That's a big problem for the Sabres as they are only scoring 2.6 goals/game on the road and Edmonton is scoring 3.4 goals/game at home. No surprise Sabres are a mere 8-27 in their last 35 on the road against good offensive teams that are scoring 2.85 or more goals/game. Take Edmonton! |
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12-08-19 | Bulls +8 v. Heat | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
4* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Bulls +8 -115 I like the value here with the Bulls as a big road against the Heat on Sunday. Chicago has been playing better here of late and come in having covered 3 of their last 4. Miami is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games, but the books have been making it tough for them to cover with some inflated lines after their great start. Heat are just 3-5 ATS last 8 games. Bulls are a perfect 9-0 ATS last 3 seasons when playing on the road after covering 3 of their last 4. They are also a perfect 4-0 ATS last 4 games as a dog and 4-0 in their last 4 trips to Miami. Take Chicago! |
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12-08-19 | Texas -8.5 v. Texas A&M | 60-50 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Big Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Texas -8½ -109 I look for the Longhorns to have no problem winning by double-digits on the road against the Aggies. Texas is off to a strong 7-1 start to their season with the only loss coming on a neutral court to Georgetown. Texas A&M is just 3-4 and have lost 3 straight. The Aggies have also been one of the most overvalued teams in the country early on, as they are a miserable 0-7 ATS. Texas A&M just can't get their offense going and are up against a really good Texas defense. Aggies come in averaging just 57.1 ppg on 36% shooting. Longhorns are giving up 59.5 ppg on 41% shooting. Another thing is turnovers, Texas A&M does not take good care of the basketball and Texas knows how to force teams into mistakes. This should lead to a lot of easy points in transition for the Longhorns, which will allow them to win here comfortably. Take Texas! |
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12-08-19 | South Alabama +7 v. Richmond | 57-75 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG on South Alabama +7 -109 I like the value here with the Jaguars as a decently priced road dog against the Spiders. I just think Richmond is a bit overvalued right now. Spiders have started out 7-1 and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6. For me the biggest thing that sticks out is the one common opponent in Auburn. While both teams lost to the Tigers, South Alabama lost by just 1-point and Richmond lost by 14. Another thing here is the Spiders could be short-handed, as two of Richmonds top scorers, Nathan Cayo and Grant Golden are both questionable to play. Jaguars are 13-5 ATS last 18 games against a team with a winning record and a dominant 11-3 ATS last 14 vs a team that's averaging 77+ points/game. Take South Alabama! |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills UNDER 44 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Ravens/Bills under 44 -105 I don't see either offense being able to do a whole lot in this one. Baltimore's high-powered offensive attack had a difficult time moving the ball against a strong 49ers defense last week and I expect more of the same against a Bills defense that ranks No. 3 in the league in total defense. Buffalo's also well aware that their offense is not built for a shootout, so they are going to come out looking to play keep away from Lamar Jackson and try to grind out possessions with their running game. Another factor here for a low-scoring game is the conditions. Temps are expected to be in the mid 30's, but it's expected feel more like 25 degrees. There are also expected to be winds close to 17 mph. This should limit both teams ability to throw the ball, which means more clock getting eat up with all the run plays. UNDER is 15-6 in the Bills last 21 off a win, 13-5 in their last 18 as an underdog and perfect 7-0 in their last 7 with a total of 42.5 to 49. Take the UNDER! |
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12-08-19 | Panthers v. Falcons -3 | Top | 20-40 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
5* NFL - NFC SOUTH PLAY OF THE YEAR on Falcons -3 -125 I love the value here with Atlanta laying just a field goal at home against the Panthers. I know a lot of times teams tend to respond with a big effort after their head coach gets canned, but I don't think there's a lot of fight left in this Carolina team. For a second straight year the Panthers have fell apart after a strong start. Last year the Panthers started out 6-2 only to lose 7 straight and end up finishing 7-9. This year they jumped out to a 4-2 record and are now 5-7 and are riding a 4-game losing streak. The most recent being an inexcusable home loss to the Redskins. Falcons might be just 3-9, but they have looked like a much better team over the last month and they absolutely destroyed Carolina on the road a few weeks back 29-3 as a 4.5-point dog. Atlanta is 4-1 ATS at home against the Panthers with Matt Ryan at QB. Panthers are 0-6 ATS last 6 in the 2nd half of the season vs a team with a losing record and 0-7 ATS in the 2nd half in their last 7 vs a team that's giving up 350+ yards/game. Take Atlanta! |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +6.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bills +6½ -107 I really like the value here with Buffalo catching close to a touchdown at home against the Ravens. I just think we are seeing Baltimore way overvalued right now, as the betting public just can't get enough of Lamar Jackson and this team. Hard to blame them given the Ravens have covered 5 of their last 6. They did however fail to cover as a 6-point favorite at home last week against the 49ers. I not only think they could fail to cover at Buffalo this Sunday, but I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Bills won this game outright. Buffalo is built for an offense like the Ravens and are going to be well-prepared for Jackson with the extra 3 days of prep they got this week after playing on Thanksgiving. I also don't love the spot at all for Baltimore, as they have been in 3 huge games the last 3 weeks against the Texans, Rams and 49ers. I just think they are going to struggle to match the intensity of the Bills and let's not overlook just how tough it is to win in Buffalo when they are playing well. Buffalo is 9-4 ATS with Josh Allen at QB as a dog, which includes a 3-1 ATS mark as a home dog. Ravens are just 5-12 ATS last 17 as a favorite and 1-5 ATS last 6 off a failed cover. Take Buffalo! |
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12-07-19 | Portland v. Seattle University -4.5 | 71-73 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Late Night ATS CASH COW on Seattle University -4½ -109 Don't be fooled by the overall records in this one, as Portland is 6-2 and Seattle comes in at just 5-5. The value is with the RedHawks as a small favorite. Seattle comes in having won and covered 3 straight and their poor start can be attributed to a really tough schedule. Portland on the other hand has had it easy and are coming off a loss at home to CS-Northridge by 7 as a 5-point favorite. Both of these teams have played Incarnate Word at home. Seattle won by a score of 81-60, where Portland snuck out a 65-56 win. Redhawks won by 21 despite shooting just 42% from the field and turning it over 16 times, so the gap could have been a lot larger. Portland comes in allowing just 61.9 ppg and are holding opponents to 38% from the field. Seattle seems to play their best against good defensive teams, as they are a perfect 6-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons when facing a team that's holding opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Take Seattle! |
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12-07-19 | Colorado State v. Boise State -5.5 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Boise State -5½ -109 I'm confident the Broncos are going to cover the spread at home against the Rams. Boise State comes in off a mere 2-point loss at New Mexico, but covered for the 4th straight game as a 5-point dog. Clearly the books haven't been giving this team the respect they deserve and I think this line should be closer to double-digits. Colorado State just doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep pace in this one. Rams are only scoring 67.8 ppg away from home and will be facing a Broncos offense that is averaging 84.5 ppg on 47% shooting at home this season. Teams off a cover where they lost as a dog are 64-33 (66%) ATS over the last 5 seasons in games involving two marginal winning teams. Take Boise State! |
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12-07-19 | CS Sacramento +1 v. CS-Fullerton | 62-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Late Night ATS VEGAS INSIDER on CS Sacramento +1 -110 I really like the value here the Hornets at basically a pick'em against the Titans. CS-Sacramento is 5-1 with their only loss coming at Colorado, which they covered in as a 17-point dog. CS-Fullerton is just 3-6 SU and 3-5 ATS. The Titans have lost 3 straight overall. Playing at home has not benefited Fullerton, as they are a mere 2-7-1 ATS last 10 home games. They are also just 4-15 ATS last 19 vs a team with a winning record. Titans are 4-0 ATS on the season and are riding a 5-0 ATS run on the road. Take CS-Sacramento! |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin +17 v. Ohio State | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 60 h 39 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Big Ten Championship VEGAS INSIDER on Wisconsin +17 -115 I really like the value here with the Badgers getting three scores against the Buckeyes in Saturday's Big Ten Championship Game. The public is going to be on Ohio State in this one. Not only because they are off an impressive 56-27 blowout win at Michigan last week, but because of the fact they beat Wisconsin 38-7 with a 431 to 191 edge in total yards when these two played in the regular-season. As lopsided as the box score was in that first meeting, Wisconsin held their own for a good chunk of that game. Ohio State was only up 10-0 at the half and 24-7 going into the 4th quarter. I don't think Wisconsin's offense can play any worse than they did in that game and they closed out the season really strong on the offensive side of the ball, scoring 37 or more in each of their last 3. The other big factor here is the health of Buckeye's star quarterback Justin Fields. He's probable to play with a knee injury, but I don't think he's going to be playing at 100%. I could definitely see him not utilizing his legs like he has and I think taking away his ability to run really makes things easier on the Wisconsin defense. They should also be better off having already faced this offense once. Badgers are 32-15 ATS last 47 vs excellent offenses that average 450 or more yards/game and a perfect 8-0 ATS last 8 times they have been on the road when revenging a loss where they scored 14 or fewer points. Take Wisconsin! |
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12-07-19 | Penguins v. Red Wings UNDER 6 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Penguins/Red Wings under 6 +105 I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NHL action between the Penguins and Red Wings. The books have completely missed the mark with this number, as both of these offenses are really struggling to score coming into this game. Pittsburgh has scored 3 or fewer goals in each of their last 4 games and their defense comes in having not allowed a goal in two straight games. Detroit has scored a whopping 5 goals in their last 6 games combined. Take the UNDER! |
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12-07-19 | Avalanche v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Avalanche/Bruins under 6 +100 The UNDER is worth a look here in Saturday's NHL action between the Avalanche and Bruins. Colorado is playing their 3rd straight on the road and the first two games of their trip have been low scoring. They won 3-1 at Toronto and 3-2 at Montreal. Expect a similar type of game here against the Bruins. Boston has scored 3 or fewer goals in 5 straight games and have allowed 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 9. Bruins did give up 4 in their last game, but history suggests they will return to form, as the UNDER is 22-12 in Boston's last 34 at home after giving up 4 or more goals. Take the UNDER! |
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12-07-19 | Morehead State +7.5 v. Illinois State | 50-61 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Morehead State +7½ -109 I like the value here with the Eagles as a decently priced road dog against Illinois State. The Redbirds got no business here being this big of favorite against Morehead State. Illinois State is just 3-5 and while a number of those losses have come against quality teams, they also lost to Grand Canyon and their only two Div 1 wins have come by 7 or less. I also don't love the mental state of this Redbirds team. Head coach Dan Muller, threw his team under the bus after their most recent loss to TCU, saying "We're just not good enough to win this game, a game like this." Not the first time Muller has been quick to speak poorly of his team. Clearly they aren't responding to his criticism and I wouldn't be shocked in the slightest if they lost this game outright. Take Morehead State! |
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12-07-19 | Georgia +7.5 v. LSU | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 34 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Georgia/LSU SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Georgia +7½ -110 I love the value here with Georgia keeping this within a touchdown against LSU in the SEC Championship Game. LSU has been the talk of college football this year and it's only a matter of time before Tigers quarterback Joe Burrow is named this year's Heisman winner. I just think with how the public is pounding LSU right now, it's resulted in too good a price to pass up with Georgia. The biggest thing that I think people are overlooking in this game is Georgia's defense and part of that is the public just doesn't think this LSU offense can be stopped. The Bulldogs defense was already going to be fired up for this game and I think all the Burrow talk will have them playing with a massive chip on their shoulder. Keep in mind Georgia hasn't allowed more than 17 points in any game this season and are excellent against both the run and the pass. Ed Orgeron has proven he's more than just a motivator, but I still give the coaching edge to Georgia's Kirby Smart. People were saying the same things about Georgia the last two years when they met up with Alabama in the national title game in 2017 and in last year's SEC title game. They lost both of those games, but should have won both meetings. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are outgaining teams by 125 or more total yards and off a game where they gained 6.75 or more yards/play are 60-28 (68%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. At the same time, neutral field underdogs that are outrushing opponents by 100 yards/game are 36-11 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Georgia! |
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12-07-19 | Hawaii +14 v. Boise State | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - MWC Championship ATS ANNIHILATOR on Hawaii +14 -110 This is too good a price to pass up with the Rainbow Warriors as a two touchdown dog against the Broncos. Boise State is the household name and are nationally ranked, so no surprise the public is on the favorite in this one. I'm not saying Hawaii is going to win this game outright, but I'm confident they will put up a fight and keep this within two touchdowns. I know Boise State won the regular-season meeting by 22 at home, but there's reason to believe that Hawaii can make up the ground. Broncos only had a 518 to 438 edge in total yards and 29 to 24 advantage in first downs. The difference in that game was the Warriors turned it over 4 times to Boise State's 1 turnover. I also like the fact that all the pressure is on the Broncos, as they need this win to have any shot at playing in the Cotton Bowl. Hawaii on the other hand can play loose, as they really got nothing to lose. Rainbow Warriors don't have the best defense, but road teams that are coming off a game where they allowed 7.25 or more yards/play, who have an experienced QB are a dominant 72-36 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons if facing a team with an inexperienced QB. Take Hawaii! |
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12-07-19 | Delaware -1.5 v. George Washington | 56-66 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Delaware -1½ -109 I got no problem laying the small number here with the Blue Hens at George Washington. Delaware is off to a perfect 9-0 start to their season and have already won 4 games away from home, including 3 true road games. As for George Washington, they are just 4-5 to start the season and have lost to the likes of Towson, American, Morgan St and UMKC. The only reason the line is low, is because they have covered 4 straight. I just don't see GW being able to keep pace offensively. Delaware is averaging 77.1 ppg and shooting 48.9% from the field. The Colonials are only scoring 67.1 ppg and shooting 41% from the field. They will be up against a Blue Hens defense that only allows 63 ppg and 39% shooting. Take Delaware! |
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12-07-19 | Pelicans +9 v. Mavs | 84-130 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Early Afternoon ATS ANNIHILATOR on Pelicans +9 -110 This is just too good a price to pass up with New Orleans in Saturday's early NBA action against the Mavs. Dallas comes in having gone a ridiculous 9-1 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. However, I think the books have had enough and have drastically inflated the number in this one. I know the Pelicans come in having lost 7 straight, but they have been competitive in a lot of those games. I also think the losing streak makes it a lot harder on the Mavs to get up for this one. Last time out New Orleans fell 132-139 at home to the Suns and that's worth noting as they are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games off a home defeat. We also see that underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have lost 4 or more consecutive games are 44-19 (70%) ATS in the month of December over the last 5 seasons. Take New Orleans! |
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12-07-19 | West Virginia v. St. John's +4.5 | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on St. John's +4½ -109 I like the Red Storm as a home dog against the Mountaineers in Saturday's early college hoops action. I just think West Virginia is getting a little too much love here. Mountaineers could be a little rusty having only played 1 game in the last 9 days. They will also be playing their first true road game since visiting Pitt way back on Nov. 15. St. John's comes in having won 3 straight and are 6-1 at home with their only loss coming by a mere 2-points to a decent Vermont team. What I like about the Red Storm here is they are locked in defensively to start the year. Opposing teams are shooting just 38% from the field against them on the season. West Virginia is only hitting 43% on the season and a mere 39% away from home. Take St John's! |
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12-07-19 | Florida v. Butler -3 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Early Bird ATS NO-BRAINER on Butler -3 -110 The Bulldogs are definitely worth a look here as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Gators on Saturday. Butler is a perfect 8-0 to start the season with quality wins over the likes of Minnesota, Missouri, Stanford and Ole Miss. Each of the last 3 coming away from home. Florida is 6-2, but have not looked anything close to what we expected to see from this team coming into the year. Gators have been consistently overvalued by the books, as they are just 2-6 ATS. They have just not been able to find a rhythm offensively this year and hard to imagine they figure it out in a hostile environment against a stingy Bulldogs defense that is giving up just 55.5 ppg, while holding teams to just 40.6% shooting. Gators are a miserable 1-9 ATS over the last 2 seasons vs top caliber teams that are outscoring opponents by 12+ points/game and 0-6 ATS last 6 vs a team that shoots 48% or better from the field. Bulldogs are 14-5 ATS last 19 at home off a win and 13-2 ATS last 15 at home in Saturday games. Take Butler! |
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12-06-19 | North Dakota +7.5 v. Montana | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on North Dakota +7½ -110 The Fighting Hawks are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Grizzlies. While both teams have an identical 3-5 record, North Dakota has played the tougher schedule, especially when you consider they have played just one game on their home floor all season. While neither team is lighting it up offensively, Montana has really struggled on that side of the ball, scoring just 63.2 ppg, and are scoring 5.7 ppg under what their opponents have allowed. North Dakota is at 69.0 ppg, despite all those road games. I also like the matchup for the Fighting Hawks, as they run their offense thru big man Filip Rebraca, who is averaging 15.3 ppg and 9.2 rpg, while shooting 63% from the field. I just don't think Montana has the guys inside to keep Rebraca from having a big game here. Fighting Hawks are 6-0 ATS last 6 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and are 8-2 ATS last 10 as a dog of 7 to 12.5 points. Take North Dakota! |
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12-06-19 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Celtics | 95-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Nuggets +3½ -105 I know the Celtics are a perfect 8-0 at home this season, but I think the Nuggets are the play when Denver visits Boston on Friday. These two teams played a couple weeks ago and Denver won 96-92, but it was much more lopsided than that, as the Nuggets held a 70-57 edge going into the 4th quarter. Boston is also not been a good bet when they are a small favorite. Celtics are just 4-10-1 ATS last 11 home games as a favorite of 4.5 or less, including a 2-6 ATS mark in this spot at home. Denver is playing on 0 days rest, but yesterday's game at NY was a blowout, so they will be ready to go. Nuggets are 5-2 ATS last 7 on no rest. They are also 3-0-1 ATS last 4 trips to Boston. Take Denver! |
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12-06-19 | Wizards v. Heat UNDER 234 | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wizards/Heat under 234 -109 The UNDER is worth a look in Friday's NBA matchup that has division rivals Washington and Miami facing off. The scoring numbers here might suggest this thing going OVER, but I just don't think the pace of play will be at the point needed to eclipse this total. Washington is playing in the second leg of a back-to-back set and 3rd in 4 days. They are also primed to come out a little flat after a big upset win over the 76ers last night as a 7.5-point dog. Miami had yesterday off, but will also be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and should give a big effort defensively coming off a 19-point loss at Boston. UNDER is 33-16 in the Wizards last 49 off a home win and 31-17 in their last 48 after playing 2 straight games at home. Take the UNDER! |
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12-06-19 | Coyotes v. Penguins -165 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Penguins -165 The Penguins are worth a look here as a big home favorite against the Coyotes. Pittsburgh got back on track after back-to-back losses with a 3-0 win at home against the Blues on Wednesday. Penguins are a solid 4-2 now in their last 6 games and I look for them to have no problem cashing in a win against the Coyotes. Really tough spot here for Arizona, who is playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set and are also playing their 3rd road game in the last 4 days overall. Penguins have also owned this series, as they are 4-0 against the Coyotes over the last 3 seasons. Take Pittsburgh! |
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12-05-19 | Jets v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Jets/Stars under 5½ -125 I like the value here with the UNDER 5.5 in Thursday's NHL action between the Jets and Stars. UNDER is 34-19 in Winnipeg's last 53 road games after winning 4/5 of their last 6 and 9-2 in their last 11 after playing their previous game at home. UNDER is also 30-13 in Dallas' last 43 home games after a game against a division rival, 10-2 in their last 12 off a blowout loss by 3 or more to a division foe and 7-1 in their last 8 at home when playing their 3rd game in 5 days. Take the UNDER! |
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12-05-19 | Louisiana Tech +8.5 v. Mississippi State | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Louisiana Tech +8½ -109 I really like the value here with Louisiana Tech as a decently priced dog at Mississippi State. Mississippi State is off to a strong 6-1 start and have covered 5 straight, but I think that has them getting a little too much respect here. This Louisiana Tech team is the real deal. They have 4 starters back from a team that managed to win 20 games last year despite being hit hard with injuries. Louisiana Tech is off to a strong 5-2 start with their only two losses coming by 10 at Creighton and by 13 at Indiana. Two teams I think are better than Mississippi State. Louisiana Tech can really disrupt teams with their defensive pressure. That combined with the experience they have at the guard position has them winning the turnover battle just about every time out. They have only lost the turnover battle twice all season and both times were a mere -2. Louisiana Tech is 9-2-1 ATS last 12 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 8-2 ATS last 10 as a road dog. Take Louisiana Tech! |
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12-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -2 | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
5* NBA - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Raptors -2 -109 The Raptors are worth a look here as I think we are getting some exceptional value with Toronto laying a short number at home against the Rockets. Toronto comes into this off a crushing OT loss at home to Miami and they are 7-1 ATS last 8 times off a loss by more than 10 points. As for the Rockets, they will have had just 1-day off since their double-overtime loss at San Antonio on Tuesday. Five different players for Houston logged at least 40 minutes with Westbrook, Harden and Tucker all playing 48+. I just don't see the Rockets have a whole lot left in the tank in this one. That game against the Spurs ended 235-233 and that's worth noting, as Houston is a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a contest that had 245 or more combined points. Also, underdogs that have won 60% to 70% of their games and are off a game that went over the total by 30 or more are just 5-26 (16%) ATS if they are playing a team with a winning record. Take Toronto! |
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12-04-19 | Kings v. Blazers -3.5 | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night NO LIMIT ATS DESTROYER on Blazers -3½ -110 I really like the value here with Portland as a small home favorite against the Kings. I think we are getting a great price here on the Blazers due to the fact that this is a bad scheduling spot for them playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. With that said, the addition of Carmelo Anthony has given this Portland team a huge spark. Anthony has been way better than anyone could have expected. Last week he averaged 22.3 ppg on 57.4% shooting, including 45.5% from deep. His emergence gives the Blazers a legit 3-man scoring punch with Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum, both of which have started to shoot the ball much better since Anthony's arrival. Portland also doesn't have the luxury of taking nights off right now, as they got some major ground to make up with a 8-13 record. They have won 3 of 4 with the only loss to the Clippers last night. Kings had covered 12 of 13 before losing at home to the Bulls as a 4.5-point favorite on Monday and I think we are going to see them struggle a bit now that the books have clearly adjusted the number on them. Take Portland! |
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12-04-19 | CS-Northridge v. Portland -4.5 | 71-64 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Portland -4½ -109 The Matadors suffered a massive blow prior to the season ever starting, as reigning Big West Player of the Year, Newcomer of the Year and Freshman of the Year, Lamine Diane, was ruled academically ineligible. CS-Northridge has started out just 1-7 without Diane and are 0-6 in games away from home, losing by an average of 21.6 ppg. On the flip side of this, Portland has came out of nowhere to start the year 6-1, with the only loss coming at USC by a mere 11-points. Keep in mind the Pilots only won 7 games all of last year. The schedule hasn't been overly challenging, but the important thing is they are 5-1 ATS. I just don't think it's asking a lot for them to win here by more than the number. Take Portland! |
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12-04-19 | San Diego State v. Colorado State +5 | 79-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Colorado State +5 -110 Colorado State is worth a look here as a home dog against the Aztecs. I just think San Diego State is getting a little too much respect from the books after starting out the season 8-0 SU and 6-1 ATS. One reason to expect the Aztecs to regress is how fortunate they have been in the battle at the 3-point line. San Diego State has shot a ridiculous 40.9% from deep. Considering the national average is 33%, it's only a matter of time before they start regressing and opposing teams are only hitting 32% from deep against the Rams. Aztecs' opponents have also shot just 26.7% from behind the 3-point line against them. They figure to struggle to improve that number here, as Colorado State is shooting 38% from deep on the season. Take Colorado State! |
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12-04-19 | Grizzlies v. Bulls OVER 221 | 99-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Grizzlies/Bulls over 221 -110 I think we are getting some great value here with the OVER in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Bulls hosting the Grizzlies. These two teams like to play fast, as the Bulls are T-11th in pace and Memphis is 6th. The Grizzlies are without star rookie point guard Joe Morant, but in the last two games without him both matchups saw a combined score of 221 or more. Not only do these two teams like to play fast, they also don't play much defense. Memphis is allowing 117 ppg and the Bulls are giving up 110 ppg. Another thing to keep in mind when we have two bad teams facing off against each other, the defensive intensity is usually not there. OVER is 5-1 in the Grizzlies last 6 vs a team with a losing home record and 5-1-1 in the Bulls last 7 vs a team with a losing record. Take the OVER! |
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12-04-19 | UC-Davis v. Northern Arizona -4.5 | 85-66 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Northern Arizona -4½ -109 I like the value here with the Lumberjacks as a small home favorite against UC-Davis. Northern Arizona has to be the freshest team in the country, as they have only played 4 games all season and this will be just their 3rd in the last 19 days. That's a lot of valuable practice time, but at the same time the players have to be chomping at the bit to get on the floor against another team. Hard to not like their chances of winning here rather easily against a struggling Aggies team that comes in having lost 6 straight. Not only that but UC-Davis has to be running on fumes with all the travel they have had to do here of late. They have played 9 games and only 1 of those were on their home court, which was back on Nov. 7th. Each of their last 3 games have been true road contests. Aggies are just 5-14 ATS last 19 non-conference games and 7-16 ATS last 23 as an underdog. Take Northern Arizona! |
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12-04-19 | Virginia v. Purdue +1 | 40-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Purdue +1 -110 The Boilermakers are worth a look here as a home dog against No. 5 Virginia. The fact that the No. 5 team is basically a pick'em against an unranked opponent says it all. The books are begging the public to take the Cavaliers, which means they must really like how Purdue matches up here. One thing is certain. The Boilermakers won't be thrown off by Virginia's grind it out style of play. Purdue ranks 348th in the country in tempo and want to win in the same way. I know the Cavaliers won at Syracuse earlier in the season, but that's a bad Orange team. This is easily their toughest true road game to date and with an offense that can't score it's hard to beat quality teams away from home. Purdue has lost all 3 of their meetings against top programs, falling to Texas, Marquette and FSU, but were very competitive in all 3 defeats. Boilermakers will be highly motivated for a statement win against one of the nation's best teams. Take Purdue! |
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12-04-19 | Avalanche v. Maple Leafs -115 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Maple Leafs -115 I like the value here with the Maple Leafs as a small home favorite against the Avalanche on Wednesday. Colorado is the better team, but the Avalanche are just 8-6 on the road compared to 8-2 at home, so they are clearly more vulnerable away from home. I also like the fact that Toronto comes in playing well. While they lost last time out, they are 4-2 in their last 6 and are averaging 3.5 goals/game during this stretch. Colorado comes in off a 7-3 win over Chicago, but are just 5-12 in their last 17 after a game where they scored 6 or more. Take Toronto! |
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12-04-19 | Eastern Illinois +5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 69-74 | Push | 0 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Eastern Illinois +5 -110 I love the value here with the Panthers as a road dog against the Mastodons. These two played last year at Eastern Illinois and IUPU-Ft Wayne embarrassed the Panthers 104-60 as a mere 3.5-point favorite. All 5 starters are back for Eastern Illinois and you can bet they have had this one circled since the schedule was released. The Mastodons only return 2 starters from last year's team and had to replace their dynamic scoring duo of John Konchar (19.5 ppg) and Kason Harrell (15.2 ppg). IUPU comes in having won 3 straight, but it's come against some soft competition. I think we got a real taste for the talent level on this team when they lost by 39 at Ohio State. Eastern Illinois is just 4-3, but two of those losses were on the road against Power 5 opponents in Texas Tech and Wisconsin. The other came on no rest in a tournament. Speaking of rest, the Panthers haven't played since Nov. 24, while the Mastodons just played on Saturday. Take Eastern Illinois! |
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12-03-19 | Senators v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under DESTROYER on Senators/Canucks under 6½ -115 The UNDER is worth a look in Tuesday's NHL action that has the Canucks hosting the Senators. It's just almost a no-brainer at this point to roll the dice with the UNDER in games involving Ottawa. UNDER is 8-2 in their last 10 and 11-4 in their 15 road games this season. It all has to do with their inability to score on a consistent basis and the high level they play at defensively. Senators have scored 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 9 games. During this same stretch they have allowed 2 or fewer goals 6 times. Vancouver has allowed 3 or fewer 5 of 6. Take the UNDER! |
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12-03-19 | Florida State +3 v. Indiana | 64-80 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Late Night ATS NO-BRAINER on Florida State +3 -109 The books are making a big mistake here with listing the Seminoles as a road dog against the Hoosiers. Florida State is the No. 17 ranked team in the country and have already played true road games at BC and Florida, as well as neutral site games against Tennessee and Purdue. They are 3-1 in those games with the only loss by a mere 2-points. Indiana is a well-known program and are simply getting a little too much love after their perfect 7-0 start to the season. The thing is, the Hoosiers should be 7-0 with who they scheduled. Indiana's strength of schedule ranks 345th out of the possible 353 Division 1 teams. They also haven't been dominating these bad teams like they should. They only beat Portland State by 11, LA Tech by 13 and S Dakota State by 14. Indiana's offense has not been tested, so don't be fooled by their 86.4 scoring average. I think they are in for a rude awakening on the offensive side of the ball against a deep, athletic and talented FSU defense that is only giving up 59.9 ppg (holding teams 10.1 ppg under their average) and have allowed opponents to shoot just 35.8% from the field. Take Florida State! |