Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-27-19 | Ludmilla Samsonova v. Jil Teichmann -175 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
3* TENNIS - Palermo Ladies Open CASH COW on Jil Teichmann -175 I like Jil Teichmann to make easy work of Ludmilla Samsonova in the Semifinals of the Palermo Ladies Open on Saturday. Teichmann is the more accomplished player, as she comes in ranked No. 82, while Liudmila is ranked No. 144. Take Teichmann -175! |
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07-26-19 | Giants v. Padres -136 | 2-1 | Loss | -136 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Late Night DIAMOND DESTROYER on Padres -136 Great spot and price to back the Padres at home. San Diego will be extremely motivated off yesterday's 4-0 loss to the Mets. Padres have been a great team to back off a loss like that. San Diego is 10-3 off a game that saw a combined score of 4 or less and 19-8 over the last 3 seasons off a game where they were shutout. It also helps the Padres will have Joey Lucchesi on the mound. While Lucchesi has a modest 7-5 with a 4.27 ERA in 19 starts, he's been lights out at Petco Park, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 11 home starts. Padres are a perfect 4-0 in Lucchesi's last 4 starts to open up a series and 4-0 in his last 4 after scoring 2 or fewer runs. Take San Diego! |
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07-26-19 | Cubs v. Brewers +105 | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Brewers +105 Big time value here with Milwaukee at basically a pick'em at home. Brewers are a respectable 6-3 in their last 9 game sand have scored at least 5 runs in all 9 games during this stretch. I look for that offense to be the difference Friday night against the Cubs' Kyle Hendricks. The home/away splits for Hendricks are hard to ignore. The guy is 4-2 with an incredible 1.89 ERA in 9 home starts, yet is just 3-6 with a 5.44 ERA in 9 road starts. Hendricks only start against the Brewers this season came in Milwaukee back in April and he lasted just 4 innings after giving up 4 runs on 8 hits. Brewers will send out Gio Gonzalez, who has pitched well enough for Milwaukee to win 5 of his 7 starts this year. Gonzalez also has a strong track record against the Cubs, posting a 3.23 ERA and 1.128 WHIP in 13 starts. Take Milwaukee! |
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07-26-19 | Dodgers v. Nationals +154 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Nationals +154 This is just too good a price to pass up with Washington at home. The Dodgers are a great team, but no way should they be this big a favorite on the road against another playoff caliber team. Nationals have been on quite a run the last 2 months and even with yesterday's loss to the Rockies are 13-4 in their last 17 at home. The overall numbers are great for Dodgers starter Hyun-Jin Ryu, as he's 11-2 with a 1.76 ERA and 0.935 WHIP in 19 starts. While still great, it is worth noting that his ERA is pushing 3.00 (2.92) on the road. Dodgers are just 4-12 in Ryu's last 16 road starts against a team with a winning record and 8-17 in his last 25 road games played at night. Nationals are 13-3 in their last 16 following a SU loss, have won 4 straight series openers and are 8-2 in Anibal Sanchez's last 10 starts. Take Washington! |
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07-26-19 | Cameron Norrie -120 v. Alexei Popyrin | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
4* TENNIS - BB&T Atlanta Open NO-BRAINER on Cameron Norrie -120 I like Cameron Norrie to come out on top in Friday's Quarterfinal action against Australian teenager Alexei Popyrin. While Popyrin could mature into a fine player, he is still just No. 95 in the world rankings. Norrie (No. 54) is the more experienced player and has the better all-around game, which I believe will be enough for him to advance to the Final 4 of the BB&T Atlanta Open. Take Norrie -120! |
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07-25-19 | Indians v. Royals +133 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Royals +133 The Royals are simply playing too good a ball right now to pass up as a division home dog. Kansas City just went on the road and swept the Braves in a quick 2-game series. Royals are 9-3 in their last 12 games, which is quite the run for a team that still sits a hefty 25-games under .500. Mike Montgomery is going to get his second chance at a start in 2019. The first one didn't go well, but we know he's got the stuff to pitch at a high level from his days with the Cubs. Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 series openers and have won 4 straight at home. Take Kansas City! |
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07-25-19 | K King +475 v. Taylor Fritz | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
3* TENNIS - BB&T Atlanta Open CASH COW on K King +475 |
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07-25-19 | Padres +192 v. Mets | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - Heavy Hitter TOP PLAY on Padres +192 It's hard to blame the books for overpricing the Mets with an elite starter like Jacob deGrom on the mound, but the value continues to be on the opposing teams. New York is a mere 8-22 in deGrom's last 30 home starts, yet are a -200 favorite. Padres had no problem getting to New York's Noah Syndergaard on Wednesday and have scored 5 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games. Mets offense is the complete opposite. The 2 runs NY scored in yesterday's loss marked the 4th time in the last 6 games that they scored 2 or fewer runs. Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs a right-handed starter. Mets 9-20 last 29 vs a marginal losing team (46% to 49% WP). Take San Diego! |
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07-24-19 | Angels +182 v. Dodgers | 3-2 | Win | 182 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Angels +182 This is just too good a price to pass up with the Angels right now. The Angels have won 8 of 11 since the All-Star break and Mike Trout is in one of the hottest stretches of his career with 11 home runs in his last 13 games. Angels have also won all 3 meetings so far in the series against cross-town rival Dodgers. I'm just willing to bet that Trout can career the Angels to a win here. Dodgers Ross Stripling has a 4.40 ERA in his last 3 starts and an ugly 5.06 ERA in 2 career starts vs the other LA team. Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 5 or more runs and have won 7 of their last 10 interleague games vs a team with a winning record. Take Angels! |
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07-24-19 | Yankees -105 v. Twins | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Yankees -105 New York won an absolute thriller on Tuesday, sneaking out a 14-12 win in 10 innings thanks to a highlight reel diving catch by Aaron Hicks to end the game with the bases loaded. That's one of those losses that stings a little more than others. I just think this is a great price to get New York when they got all the momentum in the series. Yankees are a team you can feel good about backing on the road. New York has a solid 27-18 road record in 2019 and are scoring 6.4 runs/game away from home. That offense comes in no point, as they are averaging 7.7 runs/game in their last 7, a stretch in which they have hit a staggering .313 as a team. As good as Jake Odorizzi has been for the Twins this season, he doesn't come into this one in great form. He's got a 6.08 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Yanks aren't the team to get right against. Take New York! |
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07-24-19 | Reds +137 v. Brewers | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds +137 Love the value here with Cincinnati as a decently priced road dog at Milwaukee. Reds have already won the first two games of the series and it feels like the Brewers are in trouble. The pitching has not been good and they just lost Woodruff for 6 or more weeks. They will send out Jhoulys Chacin for this one and he's 3-10 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.529 WHIP. Reds are swinging a hot bat with 29 hits and 20 runs the last two days. Hard to see Chacin keeping them in check. Cincinnati will send out Lucas Sims for his second start of 2019. The first one was promising. While Sims allowed 4 runs, he struck out 9 and walked just 1 while pitching into the 8th inning. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-24-19 | Mystics -4.5 v. Lynx | 79-71 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mystics -4½ -110 I like the value here with the Mystics as a relatively small road favorite against the Lynx. Washington has been great on the road this season, winning 6 of their 9 games away from a home. I just don't think Minnesota can keep pace with the Mystic's high-powered offensive attack. Washington averages almost 10 points more per game. Washington is off a 93-65 thrashing of Atlanta at home and are 5-1 ATS last 6 off a SU win. Mystics are also 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team with a winning record. Take Washington! |
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07-23-19 | Fever v. Mercury -5 | 77-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mercury -5 -110 This is a great price to back the Mercury at home against the Fever. Phoenix is undervalued here because of a 2-5 ATS run they are on, but they have won their last two and are fresh off a cover as a 2-point favorite at Dallas. I also don't think it's asking a lot for the Mercury to win here by 6 or more. Indiana has lost 5 straight and 9 of 10 overall. They come in having lost 4 straight by 6 or more as well. Make it 5 in a row after tonight. Take Phoenix! |
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07-23-19 | Cubs -103 v. Giants | 4-5 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Late Night DIAMOND DESTROYER on Cubs -103 Most are going to want to jump on the red-hot Giants at home with ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound, but I really like the Cubs in this spot. I think now is the time to jump on Chicago's Yu Darvish. Guy has put together back-to-back dominant starts. In his first start back from the break he allowed 0 runs on 2 hits with 8 k's in 6 innings against the Pirates. Very next start he allowed 0 runs on 2 hits with 7 k's in 6 innings against the Reds. This is what the Cubs expected when the signed him. It's worth noting that the Giants squeaked out 5-4 win in Monday's series opener. That sets up a very profitable spot for the Cubs, as they are 41-14 over the last 3 seasons when revenging a 1-run loss. Take Chicago! |
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07-23-19 | Reds +128 v. Brewers | Top | 14-6 | Win | 128 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on Reds +128 I nailed my free pick on Cincinnati as a road dog over Milwaukee on Monday and will fire right back with the Reds as an even bigger dog in Game 2 of their 3-game series. I just think Cincinnati starter, Tanner Roark, is being way undervalued here. Roark has an ugly 7.16 ERA in his last 3 starts, but that's a direct result of one bad outing at Coors Field against the Rockies, where he gave up 7 runs on 13 hits in 4 2/3 innings. He bounced back in his next start and allowed just 2 runs in 5 innings vs a hot Cardinals team. He's allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 4 of his last 6 starts. Brewers will send out Zach Davies, who has a sensational 2.79 ERA in 20 starts overall and a 0.50 ERA in his last 3 outings. However, Davies has had his struggles against the Reds. He's faced them 12 times and has an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP at 1.340. That includes 2 starts this year, where he's allowed 8 runs on 10 hits and 5 walks in just 8 innings of work. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-23-19 | Indians v. Blue Jays +164 | 1-2 | Win | 164 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Blue Jays +164 This is just too good a price to pass up with Toronto at home. I also think there's some hidden value with the Blue Jays. The starting pitching matchup looks to heavily favor Cleveland with Trevor Bauer going up against Aaron Sanchez. Bauer has a 3.73 ERA in 22 starts and Sanchez has a 6.26 ERA in 21 starts. The thing is, Bauer is just 2-2 with an ugly 5.57 ERA and 1.577 WHIP in 7 career starts against Toronto. Sanchez on the other hand has seen his team win 3 of his 4 starts vs Cleveland and he has a strong 3.74 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in those 4 outings. Take Toronto! |
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07-22-19 | Rangers +116 v. Mariners | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Rangers +116 Easy play here on Texas as an underdog against the Mariners. Looking back at it now, it's crazy to think that Seattle started out the season 13-2. They have won just 27 games since and are 33 games under .500 since that epic start. They are in really bad form right now, as the Mariners are a mere 3-15 in their last 18 games. I know Texas is struggling, but this is the team to get right against. Note that Seattle has lost 24 of their last 31 at home vs a team with a winning record and 7 of their last 8 games against Texas. No way should the Rangers be a dog in this fight. Take Texas! |
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07-22-19 | Yankees -105 v. Twins | 6-8 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Yankees -105 Love the value here with New York against the Twins. While the Yankees lost on Sunday, they are 5-1 in their last 6. Minnesota is the opposite. They come in off a win, but have lost 5 of 7. Both teams are loaded on the offensive side of the ball with power bats and can score runs in a hurry. They key here is who will get the better pitching and it's hard to not say New York. Yankees have the better bullpen and will send out veteran C.C. Sabathia, who has tormented the Twins in his career. Sabathia is 22-9 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in 41 career starts. He's faced them once each of the last 3 seasons and has allowed a mere 3 earned runs on 14 hits in 18 innings of work. Yankees are a dominant 26-7 in their 33 games this season where they were listed as a favorite of -100 to -150. They are also a perfect 9-0 this season when coming off a loss by 4 or more runs (lost 8-4 on Sunday). Take New York! |
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07-21-19 | Lynx v. Aces OVER 156 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
5* WNBA - Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Lynx/Aces over 156 -110 The books have completely missed the mark on the over/under for Sunday's WNBA action between the Lynx and Aces. I think too much is being made of the defenses in this one. Minnesota is a very good offensive team an are averaging just over 76 ppg. Vegas is the second highest scoring team in the league at 81.8 ppg. Lynx just gave up 90 points at home in their last game against Seattle, so it's hard to see them slowing down the Aces on the road today. While Vegas is only giving up 76 ppg they have allowed 80 or more in 4 of their last 7. OVER is 7-1 in the Lynx last 8 vs a team with a winning record, 6-1 in the Aces last 7 after an ATS loss and 4-1 in their last 5 at home. Take the OVER! |
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07-21-19 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks +138 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Diamondbacks +138 Arizona is definitely worth a look here as a big home dog against the Brewers. Simply put, this is too good a price to pass up with a quality team like the Diamondbacks with a starter that is throwing extremely well. You might not have heard of hime yet, but Arizona south paw Alex Young has made 3 starts and won all 3 of them, posting a sensational 1.10 ERA and 0.551 WHIP in the process. He's allowed just 2 runs on 6 hits with 3 walks in 16 1/3 innings. Brewers have gone just 1-9 in their last 10 road games vs a left-handed starter, while the Dbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a right handed starter. Take Arizona! |
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07-21-19 | Rangers +134 v. Astros | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - Division Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Rangers +134 Love the value here with the Rangers on Sunday. Houston is overpriced here because of how good they are and the fact that they come in having won 4 straight while Texas has lost 6 in a row. They key here is the starting pitching matchup. Astros are sending out Rogelio Armenteros for his first big league start. Armenteros has been used 3 times out of the pen and doesn't figure to go deep here. As for Texas, they will send out Lance Lynn, who is having himself quite the season. Lynn has turned back the clock and posted a strong 12-5 record with a 3.87 ERA and 1.227 WHIP in 20 starts. He's also one of the few guys that have been able to tame this Astros lineup. Lynn has a 1.94 ERA in 8 career starts against Houston. He's faced them twice this year and allowed a mere 3 runs with 19 K's in 14 innings. Take Texas! |
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07-21-19 | A's +134 v. Twins | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on A's +134 The A's continue to show great value here on the road against the Twins. Oakland lost the opener at Minnesota on Thursday, but have won the last two as decently priced dog and I look for them to take the finale on Sunday. Oakland is on one of their ridiculous runs right now. A's 38-17 in their last 55 overall and are within striking distance (5.5 games) of the Astros in the AL West. Oakland has won 21 of their last 28 on the road. Today's starter, Daniel Mengden has won 5 straight road starts and the A's are a ridiculous 22-8 in his last 30 starts. Take Oakland! |
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07-20-19 | Brewers +129 v. Diamondbacks | 8-3 | Win | 129 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Brewers +129 I just think we are getting enough value here to take a shot with Milwaukee as a big road dog against the Diamondbacks. Brewers get a boost here with the return of Gio Gonzalez and he's 17-3 as a starter against the money line when he's working on 7 or more days of rest. Arizona getting love here from the books and the public because they will send out Zack Greinke, but he's just 1-3 with a 4.28 ERA in 7 career starts against the Brewers. On the flip side, Gonzalez is 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA in 8 starts against the Dbacks. Take Milwaukee! |
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07-20-19 | A's +132 v. Twins | 5-4 | Win | 132 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on A's +132 I'll jump on the A's as a big road dog against the Twins. This is just too good a price to pass up with Oakland. Twins aren't playing well. They have lost 4 of 5. The A's on the other hand are 37-17 over their last 54 and have won 7 of their last 8. On top of that, Oakland will send out the red-hot Brett Anderson, who has a 1.74 ERA and 0.822 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Minnesota's Jose Berrios hasn't won a decision in 6 starts and has an ugly 4.67 ERA and 1.558 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Berrios also has had a rough time against Oakland with a 6.32 ERA and 1.532 WHIP in 3 starts (all losses). A's are 20-7 in their last 27 on the road and have won 5 straight road games with Anderson on the mound. Take Oakland! |
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07-20-19 | Blue Jays v. Tigers +116 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Tigers +116 The Blue Jays rolled the Tigers 12-1 on Friday, so I'm expecting a big effort here from Detroit at home. Toronto is also a team that you want to fade off a win, as they are just 15-36 in their last 51 off a win. Blue Jays are also prone to a bad showing after an offensive outburst. Toronto is 2-16 in their last 18 after scoring 10 or more runs. You also have to factor in who the Blue Jays have on the mound. Toronto will send out Trent Thornton, who is 3-7 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.542 WHIP in 20 starts. He didn't even complete 2 innings in his last start. Take Detroit! |
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07-20-19 | Sparks v. Liberty +3 | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS HEAVY HITTER on Liberty +3 -110 Love the value here with New York at home. You have an overrated Sparks team in this one. LA has won 3 in a row, but are without the injured Candace Parker and still without double-digit scorer Riquna Williams. On the flip side of this we are going to get a very hungry Liberty team, as they are looking to snap a 3-game losing streak. NY is an impressive 7-3 ATS last 10 vs a team with a winning record, while LA is 5-15-1 in their last 21 off a win. Take New York! |
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07-19-19 | Mets v. Giants +173 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 173 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE MONTH on Giants +173 This is just too good a price to pass up with San Francisco. The Giants were already riding a wave of momentum coming into this series, as they had won 5 straight and 8 of their last 9. They added to it on Thursday with a thrilling 3-2 win in 16 innings for their 6th win in a row. Mets are getting way too much love here because of Jacob deGrom n the mound, but San Francisco's Tyler Beede has been throwing lights out of late. Beede has won each of his last 2 starts and has a strong 2.84 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Mets are just 3-12 in their last 15 road games after a loss by 2 runs or less and 4-12 in deGrom's 16 night starts this season. Giants are 6-1 when Beede starts as an underdog. Take San Francisco! |
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07-19-19 | A's +118 v. Twins | 5-3 | Win | 118 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on A's +118 Twins snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 6-3 win over the A's on Thursday, but my money is on Oakland to even things up with a win tonight. Despite the loss yesterday, A's have been absolutely rolling, as they had won 6 straight. Oakland is 7-3 in their last 10 during Game 2 of a series. Oakland has also enjoyed facing the AL Central. Even with yesterday's loss they are 42-11 in their last 53 vs the central division. That includes a perfect 5-0 run vs the AL Central with Chris Bassitt on the mound. Bassitt is also fresh off a great start, allowing just 4 hits over 6 shutout innings. Take Oakland! |
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07-19-19 | Blue Jays v. Tigers +149 | 12-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Tigers +149 I like the value here with Detroit as a big home dog against the Blue Jays. Toronto has no business being this big of a road favorite. The Blue Jays have lost 4 of 5 and are a miserable 18-32 on the road this season. As bad as things have been for Tigers starter Jordan Zimmermann, he's 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Blue Jays. Toronto has also dropped 17 of their last 22 series openers. Tigers just played 7 straight on the road and are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 at home after a road trip of 7 or more days. Take Detroit! |
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07-19-19 | Mystics v. Fever OVER 160 | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Mystics/Fever over 160 -105 I really like the OVER in Friday's WNBA action, as we have two teams that can score but also don't play a ton of defense. Washington puts in 85 ppg and Indiana is not to far back at 77 ppg. The Mystics give up 78 ppg on the road and Fever give up 79 ppg at home. OVER is 14-2 in Indiana's last 16 off a loss to a division rival and 9-1 in their last 10 at home when riding a losing streak of 3 or more games. Adding to this is a great system in favor of the OVER. OVER is 27-7 (79%) with a total of 140 and the home team has failed to cover 2 or more and are not a good team (25% to 40%) and playing a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! |
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07-18-19 | A's +132 v. Twins | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on A's +132 I'm shocked we are getting the A's at this kind of a price with how well Oakland has been playing. The A's just hit 6 homers in yesterday's 10-2 win over the Mariners, which capped off a perfect homestand. They have won 19 of their last 24 to move just 4.5-games back of the Astros for the top spot in the AL West. In their last 7 games the A's are outscoring their opponents 7.1-2.7 (+4.4 runs/game). Twins are definitely a contender, but they have been trending down some from their incredible start. The offense has struggled of late as they are averaging just 4.0 runs/game and hitting .240 as a team over their last 7 (avg 5.6 runs/game and hitting .270 on the season). A's will send out the red-hot Michael Fiers, who is 9-3 with a 3.45 ERA in 19 starts and has a 0.88 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also 6-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 11 starts vs the Twins. Take Oakland! |
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07-18-19 | Wings +7.5 v. Sparks | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
4* BEST BET on Wings +7½ -110 Analysis will be posted shortly |
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07-18-19 | Padres v. Marlins +109 | 3-4 | Win | 109 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Marlins +109 I really like this spot and price with Miami at home against the Padres. Marlins will have the vastly underrated Caleb Smith on the mound. Smith is one of the top targets contenders are trying to acquire before the trade deadline. Miami has stated they aren't going to trade Smith, but he's got to want to pitch well incase it increases his chances of getting out of that crap franchise. Smith is 5-4 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in 14 starts. Strong numbers if that's all you were going off. However, the real key here is how well Smith has thrown the rock at Marlins Park. He's 4-1 with a 1.53 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 6 home starts. Padres will counter with Dinelson Lamet, who didn't make his first start until July 4th and will be making only his 3rd start when he takes the mound today. First two have been pretty so-so, as Lament has allowed 7 runs on 8 hits and 4 walks in 10 innings (6.30 ERA). I'll take my chances the Marlins offense provides us enough here for the win. Take Miami! |
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07-17-19 | White Sox +120 v. Royals | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox +120 I like Chicago to snap their 5-game losing streak and get that elusive first win since returning from the All-Star break. This is a big time revenge spot for the White Sox, as they were utterly embarrassed in yesterday's 11-0 loss to KC, where the Royals jumped out to an early lead and just kept laying it on them. The numbers aren't great for Chicago's Ivan Nova, but he has pitched better on the road in 2019 and while the Royals offense was great on Tuesday, they are not a good offensive team. Also, even if Nova doesn't pitch great, there's a good chance the White Sox score a bunch here against Danny Duffy, who has a 5.28 ERA and 1.695 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Chicago! |
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07-17-19 | Wings v. Mercury -7.5 | 64-69 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS NO-BRAINER on Mercury -7½ +100 I like the Mercury to lay it on the Wings tonight. Dallas is the ideal to fade on the road. The Wings haven't won a game away from home at 0-7. They are also just 2-13 ATS in road games over the month of July and 1-9 in their last 10 on the road when they come in having lost 4 of 5 against the spread. Last time out Phoenix was a dog Minnesota and have failed to cover 4 of their last 5. Both of these are great for backing the Mercury tonight, as they are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 after being listed as a dog in their previous game and a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 after failing to cover 4 of 5. Take Phoenix! |
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07-17-19 | Giants +163 v. Rockies | 11-8 | Win | 163 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Giants +163 This is just too good a price on the Giants. San Francisco has won the first 3 games of the series with Colorado, outscoring the Rockies 37-10 in the process. Giants are 5-1 since returning from the All-Star break and this is a team that went into the break playing their best baseball. SF has won 11 of their last 13. Rockies will have Jon Gray on the mound and while he's one of their better starters, he's just 1-3 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.513 WHIP in 8 career starts against the Giants. SF is 16-5 in their last 21 games vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or more and Gray's is right on the 1.30 mark. Giants have won 7 straight against a division opponent and will make it 8 in a row tonight. Take San Francisco! |
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07-17-19 | Pirates +117 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB - Early Bird NO LIMIT Top Play on Pirates +117 Pittsburgh snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Tuesday and I like them to build off that with another win on Wednesday. Pittsburgh will send out Chris Archer. The 2019 numbers aren't great for Archer, but he's got a strong history against St Louis, posting a 2.76 ERA in 3 starts. Pittsburgh is 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game and St Louis is a mere 2-10 in their last 12 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less and 2-12 in their last 14 after a game with a combined score of 4 or less. Take Pittsburgh! |
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07-16-19 | White Sox v. Royals +117 | Top | 0-11 | Win | 117 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB - Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Royals +117 Easy play here for me with Kansas City as a home dog against the White Sox. Royals have won 3 of 4 since returning from the All-Star break, while Chicago has lost 4 in a row. White Sox are having a miserable time scoring runs, as they have eclipsed 2 runs since the break. Royals will send out Glenn Sparkman. The overall numbers aren't great, as he's just 2-4 with a 5.59 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in 9 starts. However, the home/away splits have been pretty drastic. Sparkman has a 1.38 ERA and 0.885 WHIP in 4 home starts. Chigao is sending out Dylan Cease for his second big league start. Cease gave up 3 runs on 4 hits and 4 walks in just 5 innings of his first start and that was against a bad Tigers offense. Royals have scored 25 runs on 37 hits in the 4 games since the break. Take Kansas City! |
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07-16-19 | Padres -118 v. Marlins | 7-12 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Padres -118 Really like the value here with the Padres as a small road favorite against the Marlins on Tuesday. San Diego is going to be extremely motivated to get this series started off on the right foot after getting swept at home by Atlanta in the first series back from the All-Star break. Marlins are getting some love here with this line because of how well starter Jordan Yamamoto has pitched. The thing is, it's hard to win when you struggle to score and Miami has scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9, scoring just 2 runs in each of their last 2 games. Padres have won 5 of their last 6 on the road and it's worth noting that they were off Monday, as they are 16-7 in their last 23 when playing with a day of rest. Marlins just 5-14 in their last 19, including a 0-6 mark in their last 6 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take San Diego! |
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07-16-19 | Dodgers -176 v. Phillies | 8-9 | Loss | -176 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers -176 We cashed in a massive profit with a GOY play on LA Monday and will fire right back with the Dodgers on Tuesday. LA is hands down the best team in the NL. Just about every one of their starters is top notch and the offense is tied with the Rockies for most runs scored on the season. Dodgers will have Walker Buehler on the mound in this one and he's coming off a strong start against the Dbacks. Buehler allowed just 3 runs with 9 strikeouts in 7 innings. He'll be facing a Phillies lineup that has scored just 9 runs in 4 games since returning from the All-Star break. Philadelphia is a miserable 2-13 in their 15 games this season vs an NL starter with a WHIP of 1.150 or better. Phillies are also 1-10 in Velasquez last 11 starts vs a team that is outscoring opponents by 1+ run/game. Take Los Angeles! |
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07-15-19 | Braves v. Brewers +106 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Brewers +106 I like the value here with Milwaukee at basically a pick'em at home. Brewers will be extremely motivated to get this series with Atlanta started off with a win, as they have really struggled of late. I know Atlanta is playing well, but they are coming off a long trip from San Diego to Milwaukee and will have the struggling Max Fried on the mound. Fried was great to start the year, but his ERA is now 4.36 and his WHIP is 1.412. Fried has an even worse 5.62 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 at home vs a left-handed starter and 10-1 in their last 11 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Milwaukee! |
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07-15-19 | Dodgers -160 v. Phillies | Top | 16-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE YEAR on Dodgers -160 Easy play here on the Dodgers in Monday's series opener against the Phillies. LA got rocked the first game back from the All-Star break, but responded by winning the final two over the weeked against the Red Sox, scoring 18 runs on 23 hits. Dodgers will have veteran ace Clayton Kershaw on the mound, who is 7-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 15 starts. He'll be facing a Phillies offense that managed just 7 runs in their series at home against Washington over the weekend. Phillies will also be sending out the struggling Zach Eflin, who has a 9.64 ERA and 2.143 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Eflin has also not enjoyed facing the Dodgers, as he's 0-2 with a 9.18 ERA and 1.740 WHIP in 4 starts (0-4 team record). Take Los Angeles! |
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07-14-19 | White Sox +184 v. A's | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line HEAVY HITTER on White Sox +184 Big time value here with Chicago as a massive road dog against the A's on Sunday. Oakland has won the first two of the series and are off a 13-2 blowout win on Saturday. This is the ideal letdown spot and no way should they be this big of a favorite with the likes of Brett Anderson on the mound. He's got a 4.54 ERA and an ugly 1.560 WHIP in 8 home starts. Note that the A's have come out flat often on Sunday. Oakland is just 5-12 in their last 17 games played on the final day of the week. That includes a 1-4 mark with Anderson on the mound. White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 or fewer runs and 15-8 in their last 23 after losing 3 of their last 4. Take Chicago! |
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07-14-19 | Sky v. Wings | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Vegas ATS NO-BRAINER on Wings PK -110 Love the value here with Dallas as a pick'em on their home court against the Sky. Big bounce back spot for the Wings, who are off an ugly 14-point loss at Seattle. Dallas is a different team at home and have been constantly undervalued at home by the books. Wings are 6-2 ATS at home this season. Adding to this is a great system in play for fading Chicago in this spot. Road dogs who are scoring 77+ ppg and facing an opponent off a loss by 10 or more are just 60-102 (37%) ATS since 1997. Take Dallas! |
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07-14-19 | Tigers +142 v. Royals | Top | 12-8 | Win | 142 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers +142 Love this spot and price with Detroit as a road dog against division rival KC. Tigers will have veteran Jordan Zimmerman on the mound and he's owned the Royals in his career. Zimmerman is 4-1 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.987 WHIP in 8 starts versus Kansas City. Royals will send out Homer Bailey, who has a very mediocre 4.80 ERA and 1.411 WHIP in 18 starts. KC is just 1-4 in his last 5 when he starts Game 3 of a series. Royals are also a mere 6-21 in their last 27 following a win and have lost 24 of their last 33 games played on Sunday. Take Detroit! |
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07-14-19 | Blue Jays +198 v. Yankees | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Blue Jays +198 This is just too good a price to pass up with Toronto as a near +200 dog at New York. Blue Jays were an even bigger dog on Saturday (+235) and found a way to win. Yankees offense has scored just 5 runs in their first two games out of the break and will be up against one of Toronto's better starters in Marcus Stroman. Stroman has a mere 5-9 record, but owns a 3.18 ERA and 1.261 WHIP in his 18 starts. He also has a strong 2.76 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in 7 road starts this season. Yankees will send out Tanaka and are just 2-7 in his last 9 home starts as a favorite of -175 to -250. Take Toronto! |
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07-13-19 | Reds +114 v. Rockies | Top | 17-9 | Win | 114 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds +114 Love the value here with Cincinnati as a road dog against the Rockies on Saturday. I just don't trust Colorado starter Kyle Freeland. I know the guy was great last year, finishing 4th in the Cy Young, but he's simply not the same guy in 2019. Freeland had a 10.17 ERA in 6 starts in May and was demoted to the minors, where he's spent 6 weeks trying to figure things out. For the most part the struggles continued. I would much rather take my chances with Reds starter Tanner Roark, who is 4-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 9 road starts this season. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-13-19 | Astros -118 v. Rangers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
3* MLB - AL West PLAY OF THE DAY on Astros -118 Love this spot and price with the Astros on Saturday, as Houston is going to be hungry for a win after coming out of the break with back-to-back losses to division rival Texas. The Astros lead in the AL West is down to just 6-games over the A's (7 in front of the Rangers). I know the Rangers will have Mike Minor on the mound and he's been unbelievable in 2019, but he's just 2-3 with a 4.37 ERA in 10 career starts against the Astros. Houston will counter with Wade Miley, who has a 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts and was sharp in his only previous outing against Texas this season, limiting the Rangers to 2 runs on 2 hits in 6 innings of a 4-2 win. Even after the first two losses in this series, Astros are still 39-14 in their last 53 vs a division foe. They are also 38-15 in their last 53 on the road vs a left-handed starter. Take Houston! |
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07-13-19 | Giants v. Brewers -117 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Brewers -117 We played and won on San Francisco as a big road dog in Friday's series opener at Milwaukee. In large part because of the value we were getting with the Giants. Now it's the Brewers who are showing big time value as a small home favorite in a big bounce back spot at home. Giants are getting love because they will have Madison Bumgarner on the mound, but he's struggled away from home. Bumgarner is just 2-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.340 WHIP in 8 road starts. Brewers will counter with Zach Davies, who is 7-2 with a strong 3.07 ERA in 18 starts. Going back to last year, Giants are 8-20 in Bumgarner's last 28 road starts. Brewers are 33-15 in their last 48 when revenging a home loss as a favorite. Take Milwaukee! |
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07-13-19 | Aces +5 v. Mystics | 85-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Aces +5 -110 Love the value here with the Aces as a dog at Washington on Saturday. Las Vegas is absolutely rolling right now. The Aces have won 4 straight and 8 of 10 overall. Mystics had been playing well, but are off back-to-back losses, including an ugly 68-91 loss at home to Phoenix as a 8-point favorite last time out. Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Aces. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who are a strong team (outscoring opponents by 3+ ppg) and are playing a team that has played in 3 straight games with a combined score of 155 or more are 33-11 (75%) ATS. Take Las Vegas! |
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07-12-19 | White Sox +173 v. A's | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
5* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE MONTH on White Sox +173 Easy play here on Chicago as a massive road dog against the A's on Friday. You might be thinking White Sox starter Ivan Nova is a guy you want to fade, given he's just 4-7 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 18 starts. However, Nova went into the break with a strong 3.57 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's also 2-0 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.273 WHIP in 4 starts vs the A's and Chicago is 5-1 this season when he starts as a dog of +150 or more. White Sox are also 4-1 in Nova's last 5 starts to open a series. Take Chicago! |
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07-12-19 | Giants +173 v. Brewers | 10-7 | Win | 173 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Giants +173 Absolutely love the value here with San Francisco as a massive road dog against the Brewers in the first game back from the All-Star break for both teams. These two went into the break headed in opposite directions. San Francisco was playing some of their best baseball, winning 6 of 7, which included a 3-game sweep at San Diego and taking 2 of 3 against St Louis at home. Brewers on the other hand have lost 5 of 6. Just hard to trust Milwaukee in this spot at this price, as they only send out Chase Anderson, who is just 3-2 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.288 WHIP in 12 starts. Anderson also owns a not so great 4.91 ERA in 8 starts vs San Fran. Giants are 7-3 in their last 10 series openers and the Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 to open a series and 1-5 in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record. Take San Francisco! |
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07-12-19 | Lynx -2.5 v. Dream | 53-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lynx -2½ -110 Atlanta comes in a mere 4-10 on the season and are just 3-5 SU and 3-5 ATS at home. I just can't pass up a play on the Lynx as a small road favorite against the Dream. Minnesota is playing some of their best basketball right now. They have won 5 of their last 6 and are a dominant 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. These two teams played earlier at Minnesota and the Lynx won 85-68, easily covering as a 7.5-point favorite. I think they win by double-digits here. Take Minnesota! |
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07-12-19 | Nationals v. Phillies +125 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Phillies +125 This is just too good a price to pass up on the Phillies at home. No question the Nationals were one of the hottest teams in the league going into the All-Star break, but Philadelphia is a rock-solid 27-17 at home this season. As good as Washington has been playing, they are just 2-6 in their last 8 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Phillies will send out Nick Pivetta. While his numbers aren't great, Philadelphia has won each of his last 4 home starts and are 12-5 in his last 17 when he takes the mound in Game 1 of a series. Take Philadelphia! |
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07-11-19 | Astros -131 v. Rangers | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Astros -131 There might be some that are hesitant to back the Astros because they will be starting Framber Valdez, who is a mere 1-2 with a 6.52 ERA and 1.397 WHIP in 4 starts. Valdez does have a a much more respectable 4.57 ERA on the season, as he has also made 14 relief appearances. Keep in mind this is also the same guy that had a sensational 2.19 ERA over 5 starts and 3 relief appearances last year. The price is simply too good to pass up. Houston is 70-32 as a road favorite of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons and are a dominant 20-8 this year as a favorite of -100 to -150 (home & away). Not to mention they are 26-7 vs other AL West teams this season. Take Houston! |
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07-10-19 | Lynx v. Sky | 73-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Sky PK -110 These two teams opened up the season against each other and Minnesota embarrassed the Sky 89-71 at home. Most will look to back the Lynx here given that earlier result, but I think the revenge card is the play in this one. Chicago snapped a 4-game skid with a 78-66 win and cover at home against Dallas and are now 5-2 both SU and ATS at home this season. Lynx are just 3-3 away from home and are a mere 2-4 ATS on the road compared to their 6-1 ATS mark at home. It's also worth noting that Minnesota is fresh off a hard fought 74-71 win at Connecticut, as the Lynx are 0-8 ATS over the last 2 seasons when coming off a win by 6 points or less. Take Chicago! |
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07-09-19 | National League v. American League -108 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB - All-Star Game VEGAS INSIDER on American League -108 When you factor in just how dominant the AL has been in this All-Star Game, this is just too good a price to pass up. American League has won 6 straight and are 24-6-1 in the last 31 meetings. Not to say the NL roster doesn't have great players, I just think top to bottom the AL is hands down the better team. Take the American League! |
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07-07-19 | Dream +7.5 v. Mercury | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Dream +7½ -110 Atlanta snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 77-66 win at Seattle as a 9-point dog. I'll gladly back them here as a similarly priced dog at Phoenix, who just lost as a 7.5-point home favorite against New York. Betting public still wants nothing to do with Atlanta, which is why we are getting such a great price on them here. Thing is, you want to be on the Dream, they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 off a SU win. Take Atlanta +7.5! |
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07-07-19 | Brewers v. Pirates +105 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 105 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pirates +105 Pittsburgh should have no problem here going into the All-Star break with a win at home against the Brewers. Milwaukee has not been playing well and likely need some time off to get back on track. Brewers have lost 4 of their last 5. After scoring just 2 runs on Saturday, Milwaukee has scored 2 or fewer in 3 of their last 4. Hard to see them snapping out of that funk against the red-hot arm of Pirates starter Joe Musgrave. He's got a 0.56 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last 3 starts. While the Brewers are struggling to score, Pittsburgh comes in averaging 7.3 runs/game and are hitting .333 as a team over their last 7. Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 at home and 7-3 in their last 10 following a win. Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 or more runs and 1-4 in Anderson's last 5 road starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Pittsburgh! |
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07-07-19 | Phillies -103 v. Mets | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Phillies -103 Great spot and price here to jump on Philadelphia with ace Aaron Nola on the mound. Nola got off to a really disappointing start in 2019, but he seems to have figured things out headed into the All-Star break. Nola has a 0.39 ERA and 0.696 in his last 3 starts. That includes a recent start against these Mets, where he allowed just 1 hit over 7 scoreless innings. Phillies have won 6 of Nola's last 7 road starts. New York on the other hand is 2-8 in his last 10 vs a division foe and 1-8 in their last 9 vs a right-handed starter. Take Philadelphia! |
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07-07-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -154 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Blue Jays -154 Really like Toronto to cash in a win here at home against the Orioles on Sunday. Blue Jays are going to be extra motivated to avoid another loss going into the break and being the first team to get swept by the Orioles this season. Toronto's offense was held in check the first two games of the series in large part to two great starting pitching efforts by Bundy and Cashner. Prior to scoring just 1 run the last 2 games the Blue Jays offense was rolling, scoring 6 or more runs in 8 straight games. I look for them to get back on track against Baltimore starter Asher Wojciechowski, who has not been good when given a chance at the big league level. His only other start of 2019 came on July 2nd at Tampa and he allowed 4 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks in 5 1/3 innings. Look for the Blue Jays to score early and often. Take Toronto! |
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07-06-19 | A's v. Mariners +125 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 125 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Mariners +125 This is the ideal spot for Seattle to snap out of their funk and get a big win at home against division rival Oakland. Mariners will send out Marco Gonzales for this one and he's trending in the right direction with a 3.78 ERA in his last 3 starts. Even more important is Gonzales' strong track record against the A's, as he's 3-1 with a 3.81 ERA in 5 career starts. Oakland counters with Chris Bassitt, who has an ERA north of 4.00 in his last 3 starts and is 0-3 in 5 starts (1-4 team record) against the Mariners. Bassit faced Seattle back in June and gave up 4 runs on 5 hits and 4 walks in 5 2/3 innings of a 9-2 loss. Gonzalez was the opposing starter, and allowed just 1 earned run in 7 innings. Mariners are 17-8 in Gonzales' last 25 starts with a money line of -125 to +125. A's are 1-6 in Bassit's last 7 during Game 2 of a series and 0-6 in his last 6 starts on Saturday. Take Seattle! |
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07-06-19 | Phillies +145 v. Mets | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies +145 Not only are we getting an excellent price here on the Phillies, this is an ideal spot to fade the reeling Mets. New York gave up 5 runs in the 9th inning to blow a gem by deGrom in Friday's 7-2 loss. The Mets are now 2-9 in their last 11. Mets offense has gone ice cold and will be up against Jake Arrieta, who despite his current form always seems to pitch well against the Mets. Arrieta has a 3.09 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 14 career starts vs New York. Phillies are a perfect 6-0 in Arrieta's last 6 after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 off a loss and just 3-8 in Syndergaards last 11 starts vs a team that scored 5 or more last time out. Take Philadelphia! |
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07-06-19 | Indians v. Reds +115 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Reds +115 The red-hot Cincinnati Reds are worth a look here as a home dog against the Indians. Cincinnati just took 3 of 4 at home against division rival Milwaukee and will be ready to roll against their in-state rivals. Reds pitching has been outstanding of late. Cincinnati Shutout the Brewers in the final 2 games of the series. Reds will turn to Anthony Desclafani for this one and he's got a strong 3.37 ERA in 6 home starts. Desclafani is also fresh off a great outing at home against the Cubs, allowing just 5 hits and 1 walk over 6 shutout innings. Indians will turn to Shane Bieber. He's off a strong outing as well, but the Indians are just 1-4 n his last 5 following a Quality Start. Reds are 9-2 in their last 11 at home and 5-1 in Desclafani's last 6 interleague starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-06-19 | Lynx +9 v. Sun | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lynx +9 -110 I like the value here with Minnesota as a near double-digit dog at Connecticut. Lynx got back on track in their last game, crushing Atlanta 85-68, easily covering as a 7.5-point favorite. No way should they be getting this many points here. Sun have lost 33 straight and failed to cover 5 in a row. Lynx are 5-1 ATS last 6 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 vs a team from the Eastern Conference. Take Minnesota! |
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07-05-19 | Padres +177 v. Dodgers | 3-2 | Win | 177 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Padres +177 San Diego is worth a shot at this price. Dodgers are way overvalued right now. LA has won 9 straight at home and just swept their short 2-game series against Arizona. The thing is, Dodgers could have easily lost both of those games. Both games they trailed 4-3 going into the bottom of the 9th and both times they found a way to win 5-4. With the All-Star break just a few days away, I also think LA could have a difficult time staying focused. I know Kershaw is going for the Dodgers, but the key here is Eric Lauer and his history of shutting down the LA offense. Lauer is 3-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 4 career starts vs the Dodgers. Take San Diego! |
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07-05-19 | Dream v. Storm -8.5 | 77-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Storm -8½ -110 Seattle should have zero problem winning here by double-digits. The Storm have to be itching to get back on the court, as they just lost back-to-back games at home by a combined 3 points to Phoenix and New York. Those are their only 2 losses at home this season. I look for them to come out and take advantage of a weaker opponent. Atlanta is just 2-9 on the season and have a 3-8 record against the spread. They have not won a game on the road in 2019 and are getting outscored on the road by 14.5 ppg. Storm are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 off a SU loss and 21-6 ATS last 27 after a game where they failed to cover. Take Seattle! |
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07-05-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -121 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays -121 As difficult as it may be to back Toronto with Aaron Sanchez on the mound, I like Sanchez to deliver the goods and for the Blue Jays to secure an easy win at home against division rival Baltimore. Orioles are simply the ideal team to fade on the road, no matter who is on the mound for the opposing team. Baltimore is 14-30 away from home this season, where they are getting outscored by 1.7 runs/game. Let's also not overlook how poor Baltimore starter Dylan Bundy has been of late. He's 0-3 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.884 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Orioles are just 4-12 in his 16 starts this season. O's have also dropped 12 straight when Bundy starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Toronto! |
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07-05-19 | Brewers v. Pirates +107 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Pirates +107 Pittsburgh comes in off a loss to the Cubs Thursday, but 10-4 in their last 14 overall. I just love the value here with the Pirates as a home dog against division rival Milwaukee. While Pittsburgh is surging back into the thick of the NL Wild Card race (only 3 games back), the Brewers are going into the All-Star break in a bit of a funk. Milwaukee has lost 3 straight and were shutout in each of the last 2 games at Cincinnati. It can take a while of an offense to snap out of a slump like this. It will be that much tougher against Steven Brault, who not only has a 2.30 ERA in his last 3 starts, but owns a 2.92 ERA in 7 career starts against the Brewers. Take Pittsburgh! |
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07-04-19 | Indians -117 v. Royals | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Indians -117 Great value here with Cleveland as a small road favorite against the Royals. Indians are playing well headed into the All-Star break. They have already won the first two games in the series and are 8-3 in their last 11 overall. Royals have lost 3 straight and are just 1-6 in their last 7. Cleveland will send out Zach Plesac, who isn't a familiar name so he doesn't get the love as some of their other starters. However, he's got a 3.61 ERA and 1.110 WHIP in 7 starts. Royals counter with Homer Bailey and his 4.87 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 17 starts. Bailey also has a 5.03 ERA in 10 career starts against the Indians. Take Cleveland! |
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07-04-19 | Brewers v. Reds +120 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 120 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds +120 Cincinnati is worth a look here as a home dog. Reds have won 4 of 6 and have scored 5 or more in 4 of those games. No way should they be a dog here at home with the likes of Luis Castillo on the mound. Castillo is one of the best starters in the game. He's 7-3 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in 17 starts. He's got a 2.08 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 9 home starts. Milwaukee will send out Brandon Woodruff, who has a 4.29 ERA in 7 road starts and an ugly 8.68 ERA in 2 career starts vs the Reds. Brewers are just 1-5 in their lat 6 on the road and 1-4 in their last 5 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Reds are 8-2 in their last 10 at home vs a team with a winning record and 10-4 in Castillo's last 14 at home in this spot. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-04-19 | Marlins +179 v. Nationals | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Early Bird ANNIHILATOR on Marlins +179 As tough as it can be to back Miami, this is just too good a price to pass up with the Marlins on the 4th of July. It's all about who Miami has on the mound. Elieser Hernandez has been really strong in his 4 starts, posting a 3.63 ERA and 0.985 WHIP. I also think it's important to note that this is not the same pathetic Marlins' offense that we saw the first couple months of the season. Miami is averaging 4.9 runs/game over their last 7 and will be up against a starter they can attack in Anibal Sanchez., who is just 4-6 in 15 starts. Sanchez owns a 1.326 WHIP on the season and Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs a starter with a WHIP more than 1.30. Take Miami! |
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07-03-19 | Indians v. Royals +149 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Royals +149 Kansas City is worth a look here as a big home dog against division rival Cleveland. The Indians have no business being this big a favorite with how poorly Mike Clevinger was in his first start back from the IL. Clevinger failed to get out of the 2nd inning at Baltimore, as he was pulled after giving up 7 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks. I just think it's going to take a few starts before he's back to anywhere close to his typical form. Royals will counter with one of their stronger starters in Danny Duffy, who is coming off back to back strong starts. Duffy first held the Twins to just 3 runs in 8 innings and then limited the Blue Jays to just 3 runs in 6 1/3 on the road. Take Kansas City! |
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07-03-19 | Liberty +7 v. Storm | 84-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Vegas ATS NO-BRAINER on Liberty +7 -110 Love the value here with the Liberty as a near double-digit dog at Seattle. The Storm won last yer's title, but are off to a mere 8-6 start without two of their best players in Sue Bird and Breanna Stewart. Both of those gals are out long-term. New York comes in having won 2 straight and are off a dominating performance at Atlanta, where they won 74-58 as 4.5-point underdog. Liberty are 6-1 ATS last 7 vs a team with a winning record, while Seattle is a mere 1-4 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Take New York! |
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07-03-19 | Tigers v. White Sox -130 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on White Sox -130 Easy play here on the White Sox at home against the Tigers. Detroit is an easy fade, especially on the road. Tigers are having a miserable time scoring runs. They have scored a mere 11 runs in their last 5 games and that's with 7 of them coming in 1 game. Every other game they scored exactly 1 run. You might think this would be a good spot for them against a guy making his first ever big league start. However, Dylan Cease is one of Chicago's top prospects and definitely has the goods to keep this Detroit offense in check. White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 vs a left-handed starter and Detroit will be sending out struggling southpaw Daniel Norris, who is a mere 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.345 WHIP in 14 starts. Take Chicago! |
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07-02-19 | Cardinals v. Mariners +125 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 125 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Mariners +125 Huge value here with Seattle as a relatively big home dog against the Cardinals. Mariners come in having lost 4 straight, but no way should St Louis be getting this much love. Cardinals are just 1-5 in their last 6 and will send out the struggling Jack Flaherty, who has a awful 7.41 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 6.68 ERA and 1.663 WHIP in 7 road starts this season. Cardinals have lost 8 of Flaherty's last 11 road starts and are just 1-5 in his last 6 interleague outings. Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 at home. Solid system in play here on Seattle. Home teams that are hitting .190 or worse over their last 5 games and are facing another cold-hitting team that is hitting .230 or worse over their last 20 are 43-17 (72%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Take Seattle! |
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07-02-19 | Twins v. A's +112 | 6-8 | Win | 112 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG on A's +112 Easy play here on the A's as a home dog against the Twins. Oakland has really been playing well the last month. The A's come in having won 10 of their last 13 and are I don't see them slowing down the final week before the All-Star break. Minnesota is a top tier team, but they aren't exactly playing great right now. Twins have lost 6 of their last 11 and just lost a series on the road to the White Sox. Minnesota is getting love here with Jake Odorizzi on the mound, but he's got a 6.46 ERA and 1.566 WHIP in his last 3 starts and the Twins have lost 9 of his last 12 road starts vs a team with a winning record. A's will counter with Daniel Mengden, who returned to the rotation in style with 6 shutout innings at St Louis. A's have won 6 of his last 7 starts and are 7-3 in his last 10 at home. Take Oakland! |
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07-02-19 | Dream v. Lynx -6.5 | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lynx -6½ -110 Minnesota should have no cashing in a win and cover at home against the Dream in Tuesday's WNBA action. Lynx have been absolute covering machines on their home floor, going 5-1 ATS to open up the season. Atlanta on the other hand has lost all 3 road games they have played and are just 3-7 ATS on the season. The Dream are simply struggling to be competitive. They come in having lost 3 straight all by double-figures. They now have 8 losses on the season and 7 of them have come by at least 10 points. Take Minnesota! |
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07-01-19 | Brewers v. Reds +104 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds +104 Easy play here on the Reds at home in Monday's series opener against the Brewers. Cincinnati just took 2 of 3 at home against the Cubs over the weekend and scored 14 runs in the process. Brewers also won their series at home over the weekend against Pittsburgh, but they managed just 7 run in those 3 games. It continued Milwaukee's struggles at the plate. Brewers have scored 4 or fewer runs now in 6 straight games. Won't be easy getting back on track against Reds' starter Tyler Mahle, who has a strong 3.29 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in 5 home starts. Mahle also owns a 2.53 ERA in 2 career starts (both last year) against the Brewers. Milwaukee is sending out Adrian Houser, who has made 3 starts and it hasn't been pretty. Houser owns a 9.00 ERA and 2.500 WHIP, as he's given up 8 runs on 15 hits and 5 walks in a mere 8 innings of work. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-30-19 | Cardinals +109 v. Padres | 5-3 | Win | 109 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Cardinals +109 Easy play here on the Cardinals as a road dog against the Padres. St Louis will send out Miles Mikolas, who is trending in the right direction. Mikolas has a mere 4.33 ERA in 16 starts overall, but has a strong 3.37 ERA in his last 3 and is coming off two really strong outings. St Louis has gone 12-3 in Mikolas' last 15 starts after a team loss in his last start. Cardinals are also a strong 14-6 in Mikolas' last 20 road starts and 10-3 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series. Take St Louis! |
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06-30-19 | Liberty +3.5 v. Dream | 74-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Liberty +3½ -110 Great system in play backing New York. Road underdogs that have failed to cover 3 or more games in a row are a dominant 46-17 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Atlanta is also a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 and have failed to cover 5 of their last 7 at home. Take New York! |
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06-30-19 | Cubs v. Reds +117 | 6-8 | Win | 117 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Reds +117 Really like the value here with Cincinnati as a home dog against division rival Chicago. Cubs are simply getting too much respect here with Jon Lester on the mound, as he has really struggled on the road. Lester has an ugly 5.82 ERA and 1.441 WHIP in 6 road starts. Reds counter with Anthony DeSclafani who struggled last time out at Milwaukee, but the start before held the Astros to just 1 run in 5 1/3 inning at home. Cincinnati as a team is 5-1 in their last 6 at home and have won 7 of their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-30-19 | Royals +117 v. Blue Jays | Top | 7-6 | Win | 117 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider Top Play on Royals +117 Kansas City is worth a look here as a road dog against the Blue Jays on Sunday. Royals are going to be highly motivated here after losing the first two game of the series. I also think it's worth a shot here to fade Toronto starter Aaron Sanchez at this price. Sanchez is a mere 3-10 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.702 WHIP in 17 starts overall. He's 0-3 with an awful 15.75 ERA and 2.667 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Sanchez allowed at least 7 runs in all 3 of those outings. Take Kansas City! |
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06-29-19 | Cardinals +121 v. Padres | Top | 2-12 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
5* MLB - Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Cardinals +121 Absolutely love the value here with St Louis as a decently priced road dog against the Padres on Saturday. San Diego won the series opener 3-1 on Friday, but that was a big flat spot for St Louis in their first game on the west coast after a long homestand. I look for a much more focused and energized Cardinals team on Saturday and they got just the guy on the mound to get them out of their funk. Dakota Hudson is 6-3 with a 3.39 ERA in 15 starts. He's trending even better with a 2.25 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in his last 3. Guy has made 8 straight starts where he's allowed 3 or fewer runs and went at least 6 innings. Padres will counter with Chris Paddack, who seems to be hitting a bit of a slump after a great start to 2019. Paddack has an ugly 6.28 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's averaging over strikeout/9 innings, yet only recorded 1 K in his last outing at Pittsburgh. Padres have lost each of his last 4 starts and the Cardinals are a perfect 7-0 in Hudson's last 7 starts. Take St Louis! |
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06-29-19 | Cubs +110 v. Reds | 6-0 | Win | 110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Cubs +110 This is just too good a price to pass up with Chicago. The Cubs will be extra motivated off a loss on Friday and I like them to deliver the good on Saturday. Reds will have their ace Luis Castillo on the mound, but he's coming off a poor start at Milwaukee and has a staggering 11 walks in his last 2 starts. Castillo has faced the Cubs 7 times and only twice has he been able to complete at least 6 innings. Quintana is off a horrible start, but got some extra rest and the Cubs are 6-1 in his last 7 when he's throwing on 6 days of rest. Adding to this is a great system. Road teams with a money line of +125 to -125 with a decent bullpen are 38-14 (73%) against the money line when facing an NL starter with an ERA of 2.70 or better. Take Chicago! |
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06-29-19 | Sun +8 v. Mystics | 59-102 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sun +8 -110 Really like the value here with the Sun as a near double-digit dog at Washington. Connecticut comes in having lost 2 straight as a favorite, but last time out they lost by just 1 at Dallas. Also, Sun started out 9-1 before losing the last two. Washington comes in having won 4 straight, but they also just finished up a 4 game road trip and could come out flat here with just 2 days off since they last played at Chicago. These two teams also played twice already this season and both times the Sun won going away. Sun won 84-69 at home in late May and then a few weeks late won at home again 83-75. Wouldn't be shocked at all if they won outright here. Take Connecticut! |
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06-29-19 | Yankees -132 v. Red Sox | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Early Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Yankees -132 I really like the value here with the Yankees in Saturday's anticipated clash with rival Boston in a short two-game series overseas in London. New York is on quite a roll right now. Yankees have won 3 straight and are 11-1 in their last 12. They have a commanding 7-game lead in the AL East. Key here is the starting pitching matchup, which I feel heavily favors the Yankees with Masahiro Tanaka going up against Rick Porcello. Tanaka is trending in the right direction with a 2.49 ERA and 0.877 WHIP. In his last 2 starts he's allowed just 2 runs in 15 innings and that was against two really good teams in the Rays and Astros. Porcello is off an awful start at home against the Blue Jays, allowing 5 runs on 8 hits and 4 walks in 6 innings. Take New York! |
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06-28-19 | Pirates v. Brewers -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Brewers -137 Brewers should have no problem securing a win at home against division rival Pittsburgh on Friday. Milwaukee has own the Pirates this season with a 6-1 record overall and 3-0 mark at home. Also hard to not like your chances with the Brewers high-powered offense against the struggling Chris Archer. Archer has a 6.75 ERA and 1.562 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also a miserable 0-3 with a 8.41 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 5 road starts. Pittsburgh is just 3-8 in Archer's last 11 starts vs a team with a winning record and 2-8 in his last 10 on the road. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-28-19 | Wings +3.5 v. Liberty | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wings +3½ -110 Dallas is worth a look here as a road dog against the Liberty. The Wings are coming in hot. Dallas is fresh off a 74-73 win against Connecticut as a 9-point dog. Wings are now 3-1 in their last 4 with all 3 wins coming in the road of an underdog. While Dallas is trending up, New York has lost 3 of 4 and last time they were at home they lost by 8 to Chicago as a similarly priced 2-point favorite. Defense hasn't been there for the Liberty of late and they are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games after giving up 80 or more in each of their last 2 games. Take Dallas! |
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06-28-19 | Braves v. Mets -124 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -124 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Mets -124 Easy play here on the Mets as a small home favorite with ace and reigning Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom on the mound. It's exactly who New York needs on the mound to put an end to their 5-game losing streak. Big thing to note is all 5 losses were on the road. Mets are a strong 20-14 at home this season and have won 12 of their 16 at home vs a right-handed starter. deGrom had his struggles early on, but is back in form. He's got a 2.53 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also owned the Braves with a ridiculous 1.88 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 19 career starts vs Atlanta. Take New York! |
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06-27-19 | Aces v. Sparks +2.5 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
5* WNBA - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Sparks +2½ -105 Easy play here on the Sparks as a home dog against the Aces. Vegas won an earlier meeting between these two, but that has LA primed for revenge. Sparks are also desperate for a win after losing their last 4. Big thing to keep in mind is that 3 of the 4 losses came on the road. LA was 4-2 prior to the losing streak. Sparks are on 3 days rest and that's important to note, as they have gone 15-6 ATS last 21 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Aces are 1-5-1 ATS last 7 on the road and 0-5-1 ATS last 6 off a SU win. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-27-19 | A's +145 v. Angels | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on A's +145 Love the value here with Oakland as a big road dog against the Angels. A's have really been playing well of late. Oakland just swept a short 2-game series at St Louis and are now 7-2 in their last 9 games. Angels are off a couple of wins against Cincinnati, but that's nothing to get excited about. A's are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a dominant 12-4 in their last 16 series openers. I know LA has a strong starter in Canning going, but A's are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs an AL starter with a WHIP less than 1.200. Take Oakland! |
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06-27-19 | Mariners v. Brewers -170 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Brewers -170 I got no problem laying big juice with Milwaukee at home in Thursday's series finale against the Mariners. Seattle has won the first two games of the series, which means we are going to get a highly motivated and focused Milwaukee team in this one. This is also the prime spot for Houston's offense to get back on track. Seattle's Mike Leake is fresh off a miserable outing at home against the Orioles, where he allowed 8 runs on 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings. Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 when playing at home with double revenge over the last two seasons. Mariners are 1-6 in Leake's last 7 road starts and 1-7 in his last 8 on the road vs a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-26-19 | Sun -8 v. Wings | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Prime Time (NBATV) NO-BRAINER on Sun -8 -110 Easy play here on Connecticut laying single digits at home against a bad team off an ugly loss last time out at Chicago. Sun got destroyed 93-75, trailing by 20+ at the half, snapping a 7-game winning streak. Dallas is the ideal team to get back on track against. Wings are just 2-6 on the season and are fresh off a 86-68 loss at Las Vegas. Dallas is 0-7 ATS last 2 seasons when coming off a road loss by 10 or more. Take Connecticut! |
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06-26-19 | Mets +135 v. Phillies | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
5* MLB - No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Mets +135 Absolutely love the value here with the Mets as a decently priced road dog against the Phillies. Philadelphia has won the first two of the series, but it has them way overvalued in this one. Phillies will send out Nick Pivetta, who has an awful 5.84 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 6 home starts. Pivetta also owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.648 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Mets. New York will counter with Jason Vargas, who has a strong 3.20 ERA in 12 starts this season. Even more important is how well Vargas has pitched against the Phillies. He's made 4 career starts against them and has a 2.57 era and 1.143 WHIP. Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 after losing the first 2 games of a series. Philadelphia is 2-8 in Pivetta's last 10 starts vs a division opponent. Take New York! |
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06-26-19 | Rockies -136 v. Giants | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockies -136 Easy play here on the Rockies as a small road favorite against the Giants. Colorado is hands down the better team in this matchup and they have the better starter going in this one. Rockies will send out German Marquez, who is 7-3 with a 4.32 ERA in 17 starts. A lot of people see an ERA over 4.00 and assume he's not been very good. A big reason for that is he's basically starting half his games at Coors Field. Marquez has a 3.02 ERA and 0.794 WHIP in 8 road starts. Last time out he started at Dodgers and limited LA to 1 earned run on 5 hits in 8 innings. Giants will turn to Jeff Samardzija, who has a 6.61 ERA and 1.837 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Colorado! |
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06-26-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +130 | 2-8 | Win | 130 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks +130 Arizona is worth a look here as a decently priced home dog against the Dodgers. No question who the better team is, but no way should LA be favored on the road with a guy making his first ever big league start. Even with yesterday's win the Dodgers are just 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs a team with a losing record. Dbacks will send out a rookie of their own in Taylor Clarke, whose overall numbers aren't great. However, Clarke pitched well at home against these same Dodgers earlier this month, giving up just 2 earned runs in 5 innings. Take Arizona! |
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06-25-19 | Storm +6.5 v. Aces | Top | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
5* WNBA - No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Storm +6½ -110 Big time value here with the Storm as a decently priced road dog against the Aces. Seattle has got quite the emotional lift with the return of head coach Dan Hughes, who missed the first 9 games for cancer treatment. In his first game back Seattle destroyed LA 84-62 as a 1.5 point home dog and came back on just 1-day of rest and defeated Indiana 65-61. While I like them to win this one outright, we got a ton of insurance here with the big spread. Aces are off a nice win, but are just 3-5 ATS last 8. Vegas is also 0-7 ATS last 7 games vs a team with a winning record. Take Seattle! |
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06-25-19 | A's v. Cardinals -127 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -127 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Cardinals -127 Love the value here with St Louis as a relatively small home favorite against the A's. Cardinals are 7-4 in their last 11 and come in having scored 4 or more in 4 straight games. St Louis will send out Jack Flaherty to start this one. If you just look at Flaherty's overall numbers you might miss the value here, as he's just 4-4 with a 4.24 ERA in 15 starts. Flaherty is simply a different pitcher at home compared to on the road, as he's got a 2.49 ERA and sensational 0.830 WHIP with 53 strikeouts in 47 innings over 8 home starts. St Louis is a perfect 10-0 this season at home vs great power teams that are averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game, while A's are 3-13 in their last 16 vs an NL team that is scoring 4.5 or more runs/game. Take St Louis! |
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06-25-19 | Braves v. Cubs +108 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Cubs +108 This is just too good a price to pass up with Chicago at home. Cubs won the series opener 8-3 on Monday and are now 28-14 at Wrigley Field this season. Atlanta has been playing well, but are now playing their 5th straight on the road. I also think Braves' starter Max Fried is a little overvalued right now. Fried had a 2.30 ERA at the end of April. It was up to 3.19 after a sluggish May and is up to 4.03 after a miserable month of June, where he's posted a 6.53 ERA in 4 starts. Cubs will have Adbert Alzolay on the mound and there's a ton of excitement surrounding one of the clubs top prospects. He pitched great in 4 innings of relief in his first big league action. He came in the 5th inning and didn't allow a hit until serving up a solo homer in the 9th. I look for him to pitch well. Take Chicago! |