Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-14-19 | White Sox +184 v. A's | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line HEAVY HITTER on White Sox +184 Big time value here with Chicago as a massive road dog against the A's on Sunday. Oakland has won the first two of the series and are off a 13-2 blowout win on Saturday. This is the ideal letdown spot and no way should they be this big of a favorite with the likes of Brett Anderson on the mound. He's got a 4.54 ERA and an ugly 1.560 WHIP in 8 home starts. Note that the A's have come out flat often on Sunday. Oakland is just 5-12 in their last 17 games played on the final day of the week. That includes a 1-4 mark with Anderson on the mound. White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 or fewer runs and 15-8 in their last 23 after losing 3 of their last 4. Take Chicago! |
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07-14-19 | Sky v. Wings | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Vegas ATS NO-BRAINER on Wings PK -110 Love the value here with Dallas as a pick'em on their home court against the Sky. Big bounce back spot for the Wings, who are off an ugly 14-point loss at Seattle. Dallas is a different team at home and have been constantly undervalued at home by the books. Wings are 6-2 ATS at home this season. Adding to this is a great system in play for fading Chicago in this spot. Road dogs who are scoring 77+ ppg and facing an opponent off a loss by 10 or more are just 60-102 (37%) ATS since 1997. Take Dallas! |
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07-14-19 | Tigers +142 v. Royals | Top | 12-8 | Win | 142 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers +142 Love this spot and price with Detroit as a road dog against division rival KC. Tigers will have veteran Jordan Zimmerman on the mound and he's owned the Royals in his career. Zimmerman is 4-1 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.987 WHIP in 8 starts versus Kansas City. Royals will send out Homer Bailey, who has a very mediocre 4.80 ERA and 1.411 WHIP in 18 starts. KC is just 1-4 in his last 5 when he starts Game 3 of a series. Royals are also a mere 6-21 in their last 27 following a win and have lost 24 of their last 33 games played on Sunday. Take Detroit! |
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07-14-19 | Blue Jays +198 v. Yankees | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Blue Jays +198 This is just too good a price to pass up with Toronto as a near +200 dog at New York. Blue Jays were an even bigger dog on Saturday (+235) and found a way to win. Yankees offense has scored just 5 runs in their first two games out of the break and will be up against one of Toronto's better starters in Marcus Stroman. Stroman has a mere 5-9 record, but owns a 3.18 ERA and 1.261 WHIP in his 18 starts. He also has a strong 2.76 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in 7 road starts this season. Yankees will send out Tanaka and are just 2-7 in his last 9 home starts as a favorite of -175 to -250. Take Toronto! |
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07-13-19 | Reds +114 v. Rockies | Top | 17-9 | Win | 114 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds +114 Love the value here with Cincinnati as a road dog against the Rockies on Saturday. I just don't trust Colorado starter Kyle Freeland. I know the guy was great last year, finishing 4th in the Cy Young, but he's simply not the same guy in 2019. Freeland had a 10.17 ERA in 6 starts in May and was demoted to the minors, where he's spent 6 weeks trying to figure things out. For the most part the struggles continued. I would much rather take my chances with Reds starter Tanner Roark, who is 4-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 9 road starts this season. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-13-19 | Astros -118 v. Rangers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
3* MLB - AL West PLAY OF THE DAY on Astros -118 Love this spot and price with the Astros on Saturday, as Houston is going to be hungry for a win after coming out of the break with back-to-back losses to division rival Texas. The Astros lead in the AL West is down to just 6-games over the A's (7 in front of the Rangers). I know the Rangers will have Mike Minor on the mound and he's been unbelievable in 2019, but he's just 2-3 with a 4.37 ERA in 10 career starts against the Astros. Houston will counter with Wade Miley, who has a 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts and was sharp in his only previous outing against Texas this season, limiting the Rangers to 2 runs on 2 hits in 6 innings of a 4-2 win. Even after the first two losses in this series, Astros are still 39-14 in their last 53 vs a division foe. They are also 38-15 in their last 53 on the road vs a left-handed starter. Take Houston! |
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07-13-19 | Giants v. Brewers -117 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Brewers -117 We played and won on San Francisco as a big road dog in Friday's series opener at Milwaukee. In large part because of the value we were getting with the Giants. Now it's the Brewers who are showing big time value as a small home favorite in a big bounce back spot at home. Giants are getting love because they will have Madison Bumgarner on the mound, but he's struggled away from home. Bumgarner is just 2-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.340 WHIP in 8 road starts. Brewers will counter with Zach Davies, who is 7-2 with a strong 3.07 ERA in 18 starts. Going back to last year, Giants are 8-20 in Bumgarner's last 28 road starts. Brewers are 33-15 in their last 48 when revenging a home loss as a favorite. Take Milwaukee! |
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07-13-19 | Aces +5 v. Mystics | 85-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Aces +5 -110 Love the value here with the Aces as a dog at Washington on Saturday. Las Vegas is absolutely rolling right now. The Aces have won 4 straight and 8 of 10 overall. Mystics had been playing well, but are off back-to-back losses, including an ugly 68-91 loss at home to Phoenix as a 8-point favorite last time out. Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Aces. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who are a strong team (outscoring opponents by 3+ ppg) and are playing a team that has played in 3 straight games with a combined score of 155 or more are 33-11 (75%) ATS. Take Las Vegas! |
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07-12-19 | White Sox +173 v. A's | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
5* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE MONTH on White Sox +173 Easy play here on Chicago as a massive road dog against the A's on Friday. You might be thinking White Sox starter Ivan Nova is a guy you want to fade, given he's just 4-7 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 18 starts. However, Nova went into the break with a strong 3.57 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's also 2-0 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.273 WHIP in 4 starts vs the A's and Chicago is 5-1 this season when he starts as a dog of +150 or more. White Sox are also 4-1 in Nova's last 5 starts to open a series. Take Chicago! |
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07-12-19 | Giants +173 v. Brewers | 10-7 | Win | 173 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Giants +173 Absolutely love the value here with San Francisco as a massive road dog against the Brewers in the first game back from the All-Star break for both teams. These two went into the break headed in opposite directions. San Francisco was playing some of their best baseball, winning 6 of 7, which included a 3-game sweep at San Diego and taking 2 of 3 against St Louis at home. Brewers on the other hand have lost 5 of 6. Just hard to trust Milwaukee in this spot at this price, as they only send out Chase Anderson, who is just 3-2 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.288 WHIP in 12 starts. Anderson also owns a not so great 4.91 ERA in 8 starts vs San Fran. Giants are 7-3 in their last 10 series openers and the Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 to open a series and 1-5 in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record. Take San Francisco! |
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07-12-19 | Lynx -2.5 v. Dream | 53-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lynx -2½ -110 Atlanta comes in a mere 4-10 on the season and are just 3-5 SU and 3-5 ATS at home. I just can't pass up a play on the Lynx as a small road favorite against the Dream. Minnesota is playing some of their best basketball right now. They have won 5 of their last 6 and are a dominant 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. These two teams played earlier at Minnesota and the Lynx won 85-68, easily covering as a 7.5-point favorite. I think they win by double-digits here. Take Minnesota! |
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07-12-19 | Nationals v. Phillies +125 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Phillies +125 This is just too good a price to pass up on the Phillies at home. No question the Nationals were one of the hottest teams in the league going into the All-Star break, but Philadelphia is a rock-solid 27-17 at home this season. As good as Washington has been playing, they are just 2-6 in their last 8 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Phillies will send out Nick Pivetta. While his numbers aren't great, Philadelphia has won each of his last 4 home starts and are 12-5 in his last 17 when he takes the mound in Game 1 of a series. Take Philadelphia! |
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07-11-19 | Astros -131 v. Rangers | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Astros -131 There might be some that are hesitant to back the Astros because they will be starting Framber Valdez, who is a mere 1-2 with a 6.52 ERA and 1.397 WHIP in 4 starts. Valdez does have a a much more respectable 4.57 ERA on the season, as he has also made 14 relief appearances. Keep in mind this is also the same guy that had a sensational 2.19 ERA over 5 starts and 3 relief appearances last year. The price is simply too good to pass up. Houston is 70-32 as a road favorite of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons and are a dominant 20-8 this year as a favorite of -100 to -150 (home & away). Not to mention they are 26-7 vs other AL West teams this season. Take Houston! |
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07-10-19 | Lynx v. Sky | 73-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Sky PK -110 These two teams opened up the season against each other and Minnesota embarrassed the Sky 89-71 at home. Most will look to back the Lynx here given that earlier result, but I think the revenge card is the play in this one. Chicago snapped a 4-game skid with a 78-66 win and cover at home against Dallas and are now 5-2 both SU and ATS at home this season. Lynx are just 3-3 away from home and are a mere 2-4 ATS on the road compared to their 6-1 ATS mark at home. It's also worth noting that Minnesota is fresh off a hard fought 74-71 win at Connecticut, as the Lynx are 0-8 ATS over the last 2 seasons when coming off a win by 6 points or less. Take Chicago! |
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07-09-19 | National League v. American League -108 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB - All-Star Game VEGAS INSIDER on American League -108 When you factor in just how dominant the AL has been in this All-Star Game, this is just too good a price to pass up. American League has won 6 straight and are 24-6-1 in the last 31 meetings. Not to say the NL roster doesn't have great players, I just think top to bottom the AL is hands down the better team. Take the American League! |
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07-07-19 | Dream +7.5 v. Mercury | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Dream +7½ -110 Atlanta snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 77-66 win at Seattle as a 9-point dog. I'll gladly back them here as a similarly priced dog at Phoenix, who just lost as a 7.5-point home favorite against New York. Betting public still wants nothing to do with Atlanta, which is why we are getting such a great price on them here. Thing is, you want to be on the Dream, they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 off a SU win. Take Atlanta +7.5! |
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07-07-19 | Brewers v. Pirates +105 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 105 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pirates +105 Pittsburgh should have no problem here going into the All-Star break with a win at home against the Brewers. Milwaukee has not been playing well and likely need some time off to get back on track. Brewers have lost 4 of their last 5. After scoring just 2 runs on Saturday, Milwaukee has scored 2 or fewer in 3 of their last 4. Hard to see them snapping out of that funk against the red-hot arm of Pirates starter Joe Musgrave. He's got a 0.56 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last 3 starts. While the Brewers are struggling to score, Pittsburgh comes in averaging 7.3 runs/game and are hitting .333 as a team over their last 7. Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 at home and 7-3 in their last 10 following a win. Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 or more runs and 1-4 in Anderson's last 5 road starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Pittsburgh! |
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07-07-19 | Phillies -103 v. Mets | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Phillies -103 Great spot and price here to jump on Philadelphia with ace Aaron Nola on the mound. Nola got off to a really disappointing start in 2019, but he seems to have figured things out headed into the All-Star break. Nola has a 0.39 ERA and 0.696 in his last 3 starts. That includes a recent start against these Mets, where he allowed just 1 hit over 7 scoreless innings. Phillies have won 6 of Nola's last 7 road starts. New York on the other hand is 2-8 in his last 10 vs a division foe and 1-8 in their last 9 vs a right-handed starter. Take Philadelphia! |
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07-07-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -154 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Blue Jays -154 Really like Toronto to cash in a win here at home against the Orioles on Sunday. Blue Jays are going to be extra motivated to avoid another loss going into the break and being the first team to get swept by the Orioles this season. Toronto's offense was held in check the first two games of the series in large part to two great starting pitching efforts by Bundy and Cashner. Prior to scoring just 1 run the last 2 games the Blue Jays offense was rolling, scoring 6 or more runs in 8 straight games. I look for them to get back on track against Baltimore starter Asher Wojciechowski, who has not been good when given a chance at the big league level. His only other start of 2019 came on July 2nd at Tampa and he allowed 4 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks in 5 1/3 innings. Look for the Blue Jays to score early and often. Take Toronto! |
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07-06-19 | A's v. Mariners +125 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 125 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Mariners +125 This is the ideal spot for Seattle to snap out of their funk and get a big win at home against division rival Oakland. Mariners will send out Marco Gonzales for this one and he's trending in the right direction with a 3.78 ERA in his last 3 starts. Even more important is Gonzales' strong track record against the A's, as he's 3-1 with a 3.81 ERA in 5 career starts. Oakland counters with Chris Bassitt, who has an ERA north of 4.00 in his last 3 starts and is 0-3 in 5 starts (1-4 team record) against the Mariners. Bassit faced Seattle back in June and gave up 4 runs on 5 hits and 4 walks in 5 2/3 innings of a 9-2 loss. Gonzalez was the opposing starter, and allowed just 1 earned run in 7 innings. Mariners are 17-8 in Gonzales' last 25 starts with a money line of -125 to +125. A's are 1-6 in Bassit's last 7 during Game 2 of a series and 0-6 in his last 6 starts on Saturday. Take Seattle! |
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07-06-19 | Phillies +145 v. Mets | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies +145 Not only are we getting an excellent price here on the Phillies, this is an ideal spot to fade the reeling Mets. New York gave up 5 runs in the 9th inning to blow a gem by deGrom in Friday's 7-2 loss. The Mets are now 2-9 in their last 11. Mets offense has gone ice cold and will be up against Jake Arrieta, who despite his current form always seems to pitch well against the Mets. Arrieta has a 3.09 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 14 career starts vs New York. Phillies are a perfect 6-0 in Arrieta's last 6 after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 off a loss and just 3-8 in Syndergaards last 11 starts vs a team that scored 5 or more last time out. Take Philadelphia! |
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07-06-19 | Indians v. Reds +115 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Reds +115 The red-hot Cincinnati Reds are worth a look here as a home dog against the Indians. Cincinnati just took 3 of 4 at home against division rival Milwaukee and will be ready to roll against their in-state rivals. Reds pitching has been outstanding of late. Cincinnati Shutout the Brewers in the final 2 games of the series. Reds will turn to Anthony Desclafani for this one and he's got a strong 3.37 ERA in 6 home starts. Desclafani is also fresh off a great outing at home against the Cubs, allowing just 5 hits and 1 walk over 6 shutout innings. Indians will turn to Shane Bieber. He's off a strong outing as well, but the Indians are just 1-4 n his last 5 following a Quality Start. Reds are 9-2 in their last 11 at home and 5-1 in Desclafani's last 6 interleague starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-06-19 | Lynx +9 v. Sun | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lynx +9 -110 I like the value here with Minnesota as a near double-digit dog at Connecticut. Lynx got back on track in their last game, crushing Atlanta 85-68, easily covering as a 7.5-point favorite. No way should they be getting this many points here. Sun have lost 33 straight and failed to cover 5 in a row. Lynx are 5-1 ATS last 6 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 vs a team from the Eastern Conference. Take Minnesota! |
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07-05-19 | Padres +177 v. Dodgers | 3-2 | Win | 177 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Padres +177 San Diego is worth a shot at this price. Dodgers are way overvalued right now. LA has won 9 straight at home and just swept their short 2-game series against Arizona. The thing is, Dodgers could have easily lost both of those games. Both games they trailed 4-3 going into the bottom of the 9th and both times they found a way to win 5-4. With the All-Star break just a few days away, I also think LA could have a difficult time staying focused. I know Kershaw is going for the Dodgers, but the key here is Eric Lauer and his history of shutting down the LA offense. Lauer is 3-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 4 career starts vs the Dodgers. Take San Diego! |
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07-05-19 | Dream v. Storm -8.5 | 77-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Storm -8½ -110 Seattle should have zero problem winning here by double-digits. The Storm have to be itching to get back on the court, as they just lost back-to-back games at home by a combined 3 points to Phoenix and New York. Those are their only 2 losses at home this season. I look for them to come out and take advantage of a weaker opponent. Atlanta is just 2-9 on the season and have a 3-8 record against the spread. They have not won a game on the road in 2019 and are getting outscored on the road by 14.5 ppg. Storm are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 off a SU loss and 21-6 ATS last 27 after a game where they failed to cover. Take Seattle! |
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07-05-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -121 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays -121 As difficult as it may be to back Toronto with Aaron Sanchez on the mound, I like Sanchez to deliver the goods and for the Blue Jays to secure an easy win at home against division rival Baltimore. Orioles are simply the ideal team to fade on the road, no matter who is on the mound for the opposing team. Baltimore is 14-30 away from home this season, where they are getting outscored by 1.7 runs/game. Let's also not overlook how poor Baltimore starter Dylan Bundy has been of late. He's 0-3 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.884 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Orioles are just 4-12 in his 16 starts this season. O's have also dropped 12 straight when Bundy starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Toronto! |
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07-05-19 | Brewers v. Pirates +107 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Pirates +107 Pittsburgh comes in off a loss to the Cubs Thursday, but 10-4 in their last 14 overall. I just love the value here with the Pirates as a home dog against division rival Milwaukee. While Pittsburgh is surging back into the thick of the NL Wild Card race (only 3 games back), the Brewers are going into the All-Star break in a bit of a funk. Milwaukee has lost 3 straight and were shutout in each of the last 2 games at Cincinnati. It can take a while of an offense to snap out of a slump like this. It will be that much tougher against Steven Brault, who not only has a 2.30 ERA in his last 3 starts, but owns a 2.92 ERA in 7 career starts against the Brewers. Take Pittsburgh! |
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07-04-19 | Indians -117 v. Royals | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Indians -117 Great value here with Cleveland as a small road favorite against the Royals. Indians are playing well headed into the All-Star break. They have already won the first two games in the series and are 8-3 in their last 11 overall. Royals have lost 3 straight and are just 1-6 in their last 7. Cleveland will send out Zach Plesac, who isn't a familiar name so he doesn't get the love as some of their other starters. However, he's got a 3.61 ERA and 1.110 WHIP in 7 starts. Royals counter with Homer Bailey and his 4.87 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 17 starts. Bailey also has a 5.03 ERA in 10 career starts against the Indians. Take Cleveland! |
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07-04-19 | Brewers v. Reds +120 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 120 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds +120 Cincinnati is worth a look here as a home dog. Reds have won 4 of 6 and have scored 5 or more in 4 of those games. No way should they be a dog here at home with the likes of Luis Castillo on the mound. Castillo is one of the best starters in the game. He's 7-3 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in 17 starts. He's got a 2.08 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 9 home starts. Milwaukee will send out Brandon Woodruff, who has a 4.29 ERA in 7 road starts and an ugly 8.68 ERA in 2 career starts vs the Reds. Brewers are just 1-5 in their lat 6 on the road and 1-4 in their last 5 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Reds are 8-2 in their last 10 at home vs a team with a winning record and 10-4 in Castillo's last 14 at home in this spot. Take Cincinnati! |
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07-04-19 | Marlins +179 v. Nationals | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Early Bird ANNIHILATOR on Marlins +179 As tough as it can be to back Miami, this is just too good a price to pass up with the Marlins on the 4th of July. It's all about who Miami has on the mound. Elieser Hernandez has been really strong in his 4 starts, posting a 3.63 ERA and 0.985 WHIP. I also think it's important to note that this is not the same pathetic Marlins' offense that we saw the first couple months of the season. Miami is averaging 4.9 runs/game over their last 7 and will be up against a starter they can attack in Anibal Sanchez., who is just 4-6 in 15 starts. Sanchez owns a 1.326 WHIP on the season and Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs a starter with a WHIP more than 1.30. Take Miami! |
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07-03-19 | Indians v. Royals +149 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Royals +149 Kansas City is worth a look here as a big home dog against division rival Cleveland. The Indians have no business being this big a favorite with how poorly Mike Clevinger was in his first start back from the IL. Clevinger failed to get out of the 2nd inning at Baltimore, as he was pulled after giving up 7 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks. I just think it's going to take a few starts before he's back to anywhere close to his typical form. Royals will counter with one of their stronger starters in Danny Duffy, who is coming off back to back strong starts. Duffy first held the Twins to just 3 runs in 8 innings and then limited the Blue Jays to just 3 runs in 6 1/3 on the road. Take Kansas City! |
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07-03-19 | Liberty +7 v. Storm | 84-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Vegas ATS NO-BRAINER on Liberty +7 -110 Love the value here with the Liberty as a near double-digit dog at Seattle. The Storm won last yer's title, but are off to a mere 8-6 start without two of their best players in Sue Bird and Breanna Stewart. Both of those gals are out long-term. New York comes in having won 2 straight and are off a dominating performance at Atlanta, where they won 74-58 as 4.5-point underdog. Liberty are 6-1 ATS last 7 vs a team with a winning record, while Seattle is a mere 1-4 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Take New York! |
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07-03-19 | Tigers v. White Sox -130 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on White Sox -130 Easy play here on the White Sox at home against the Tigers. Detroit is an easy fade, especially on the road. Tigers are having a miserable time scoring runs. They have scored a mere 11 runs in their last 5 games and that's with 7 of them coming in 1 game. Every other game they scored exactly 1 run. You might think this would be a good spot for them against a guy making his first ever big league start. However, Dylan Cease is one of Chicago's top prospects and definitely has the goods to keep this Detroit offense in check. White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 vs a left-handed starter and Detroit will be sending out struggling southpaw Daniel Norris, who is a mere 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.345 WHIP in 14 starts. Take Chicago! |
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07-02-19 | Cardinals v. Mariners +125 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 125 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Mariners +125 Huge value here with Seattle as a relatively big home dog against the Cardinals. Mariners come in having lost 4 straight, but no way should St Louis be getting this much love. Cardinals are just 1-5 in their last 6 and will send out the struggling Jack Flaherty, who has a awful 7.41 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 6.68 ERA and 1.663 WHIP in 7 road starts this season. Cardinals have lost 8 of Flaherty's last 11 road starts and are just 1-5 in his last 6 interleague outings. Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 at home. Solid system in play here on Seattle. Home teams that are hitting .190 or worse over their last 5 games and are facing another cold-hitting team that is hitting .230 or worse over their last 20 are 43-17 (72%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Take Seattle! |
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07-02-19 | Twins v. A's +112 | 6-8 | Win | 112 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG on A's +112 Easy play here on the A's as a home dog against the Twins. Oakland has really been playing well the last month. The A's come in having won 10 of their last 13 and are I don't see them slowing down the final week before the All-Star break. Minnesota is a top tier team, but they aren't exactly playing great right now. Twins have lost 6 of their last 11 and just lost a series on the road to the White Sox. Minnesota is getting love here with Jake Odorizzi on the mound, but he's got a 6.46 ERA and 1.566 WHIP in his last 3 starts and the Twins have lost 9 of his last 12 road starts vs a team with a winning record. A's will counter with Daniel Mengden, who returned to the rotation in style with 6 shutout innings at St Louis. A's have won 6 of his last 7 starts and are 7-3 in his last 10 at home. Take Oakland! |
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07-02-19 | Dream v. Lynx -6.5 | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lynx -6½ -110 Minnesota should have no cashing in a win and cover at home against the Dream in Tuesday's WNBA action. Lynx have been absolute covering machines on their home floor, going 5-1 ATS to open up the season. Atlanta on the other hand has lost all 3 road games they have played and are just 3-7 ATS on the season. The Dream are simply struggling to be competitive. They come in having lost 3 straight all by double-figures. They now have 8 losses on the season and 7 of them have come by at least 10 points. Take Minnesota! |
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07-01-19 | Brewers v. Reds +104 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds +104 Easy play here on the Reds at home in Monday's series opener against the Brewers. Cincinnati just took 2 of 3 at home against the Cubs over the weekend and scored 14 runs in the process. Brewers also won their series at home over the weekend against Pittsburgh, but they managed just 7 run in those 3 games. It continued Milwaukee's struggles at the plate. Brewers have scored 4 or fewer runs now in 6 straight games. Won't be easy getting back on track against Reds' starter Tyler Mahle, who has a strong 3.29 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in 5 home starts. Mahle also owns a 2.53 ERA in 2 career starts (both last year) against the Brewers. Milwaukee is sending out Adrian Houser, who has made 3 starts and it hasn't been pretty. Houser owns a 9.00 ERA and 2.500 WHIP, as he's given up 8 runs on 15 hits and 5 walks in a mere 8 innings of work. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-30-19 | Cardinals +109 v. Padres | 5-3 | Win | 109 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Cardinals +109 Easy play here on the Cardinals as a road dog against the Padres. St Louis will send out Miles Mikolas, who is trending in the right direction. Mikolas has a mere 4.33 ERA in 16 starts overall, but has a strong 3.37 ERA in his last 3 and is coming off two really strong outings. St Louis has gone 12-3 in Mikolas' last 15 starts after a team loss in his last start. Cardinals are also a strong 14-6 in Mikolas' last 20 road starts and 10-3 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series. Take St Louis! |
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06-30-19 | Liberty +3.5 v. Dream | 74-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Liberty +3½ -110 Great system in play backing New York. Road underdogs that have failed to cover 3 or more games in a row are a dominant 46-17 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Atlanta is also a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 and have failed to cover 5 of their last 7 at home. Take New York! |
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06-30-19 | Cubs v. Reds +117 | 6-8 | Win | 117 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Reds +117 Really like the value here with Cincinnati as a home dog against division rival Chicago. Cubs are simply getting too much respect here with Jon Lester on the mound, as he has really struggled on the road. Lester has an ugly 5.82 ERA and 1.441 WHIP in 6 road starts. Reds counter with Anthony DeSclafani who struggled last time out at Milwaukee, but the start before held the Astros to just 1 run in 5 1/3 inning at home. Cincinnati as a team is 5-1 in their last 6 at home and have won 7 of their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-30-19 | Royals +117 v. Blue Jays | Top | 7-6 | Win | 117 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider Top Play on Royals +117 Kansas City is worth a look here as a road dog against the Blue Jays on Sunday. Royals are going to be highly motivated here after losing the first two game of the series. I also think it's worth a shot here to fade Toronto starter Aaron Sanchez at this price. Sanchez is a mere 3-10 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.702 WHIP in 17 starts overall. He's 0-3 with an awful 15.75 ERA and 2.667 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Sanchez allowed at least 7 runs in all 3 of those outings. Take Kansas City! |
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06-29-19 | Cardinals +121 v. Padres | Top | 2-12 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
5* MLB - Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Cardinals +121 Absolutely love the value here with St Louis as a decently priced road dog against the Padres on Saturday. San Diego won the series opener 3-1 on Friday, but that was a big flat spot for St Louis in their first game on the west coast after a long homestand. I look for a much more focused and energized Cardinals team on Saturday and they got just the guy on the mound to get them out of their funk. Dakota Hudson is 6-3 with a 3.39 ERA in 15 starts. He's trending even better with a 2.25 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in his last 3. Guy has made 8 straight starts where he's allowed 3 or fewer runs and went at least 6 innings. Padres will counter with Chris Paddack, who seems to be hitting a bit of a slump after a great start to 2019. Paddack has an ugly 6.28 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's averaging over strikeout/9 innings, yet only recorded 1 K in his last outing at Pittsburgh. Padres have lost each of his last 4 starts and the Cardinals are a perfect 7-0 in Hudson's last 7 starts. Take St Louis! |
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06-29-19 | Cubs +110 v. Reds | 6-0 | Win | 110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Cubs +110 This is just too good a price to pass up with Chicago. The Cubs will be extra motivated off a loss on Friday and I like them to deliver the good on Saturday. Reds will have their ace Luis Castillo on the mound, but he's coming off a poor start at Milwaukee and has a staggering 11 walks in his last 2 starts. Castillo has faced the Cubs 7 times and only twice has he been able to complete at least 6 innings. Quintana is off a horrible start, but got some extra rest and the Cubs are 6-1 in his last 7 when he's throwing on 6 days of rest. Adding to this is a great system. Road teams with a money line of +125 to -125 with a decent bullpen are 38-14 (73%) against the money line when facing an NL starter with an ERA of 2.70 or better. Take Chicago! |
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06-29-19 | Sun +8 v. Mystics | 59-102 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sun +8 -110 Really like the value here with the Sun as a near double-digit dog at Washington. Connecticut comes in having lost 2 straight as a favorite, but last time out they lost by just 1 at Dallas. Also, Sun started out 9-1 before losing the last two. Washington comes in having won 4 straight, but they also just finished up a 4 game road trip and could come out flat here with just 2 days off since they last played at Chicago. These two teams also played twice already this season and both times the Sun won going away. Sun won 84-69 at home in late May and then a few weeks late won at home again 83-75. Wouldn't be shocked at all if they won outright here. Take Connecticut! |
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06-29-19 | Yankees -132 v. Red Sox | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Early Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Yankees -132 I really like the value here with the Yankees in Saturday's anticipated clash with rival Boston in a short two-game series overseas in London. New York is on quite a roll right now. Yankees have won 3 straight and are 11-1 in their last 12. They have a commanding 7-game lead in the AL East. Key here is the starting pitching matchup, which I feel heavily favors the Yankees with Masahiro Tanaka going up against Rick Porcello. Tanaka is trending in the right direction with a 2.49 ERA and 0.877 WHIP. In his last 2 starts he's allowed just 2 runs in 15 innings and that was against two really good teams in the Rays and Astros. Porcello is off an awful start at home against the Blue Jays, allowing 5 runs on 8 hits and 4 walks in 6 innings. Take New York! |
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06-28-19 | Pirates v. Brewers -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Brewers -137 Brewers should have no problem securing a win at home against division rival Pittsburgh on Friday. Milwaukee has own the Pirates this season with a 6-1 record overall and 3-0 mark at home. Also hard to not like your chances with the Brewers high-powered offense against the struggling Chris Archer. Archer has a 6.75 ERA and 1.562 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also a miserable 0-3 with a 8.41 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 5 road starts. Pittsburgh is just 3-8 in Archer's last 11 starts vs a team with a winning record and 2-8 in his last 10 on the road. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-28-19 | Wings +3.5 v. Liberty | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wings +3½ -110 Dallas is worth a look here as a road dog against the Liberty. The Wings are coming in hot. Dallas is fresh off a 74-73 win against Connecticut as a 9-point dog. Wings are now 3-1 in their last 4 with all 3 wins coming in the road of an underdog. While Dallas is trending up, New York has lost 3 of 4 and last time they were at home they lost by 8 to Chicago as a similarly priced 2-point favorite. Defense hasn't been there for the Liberty of late and they are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games after giving up 80 or more in each of their last 2 games. Take Dallas! |
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06-28-19 | Braves v. Mets -124 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -124 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Mets -124 Easy play here on the Mets as a small home favorite with ace and reigning Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom on the mound. It's exactly who New York needs on the mound to put an end to their 5-game losing streak. Big thing to note is all 5 losses were on the road. Mets are a strong 20-14 at home this season and have won 12 of their 16 at home vs a right-handed starter. deGrom had his struggles early on, but is back in form. He's got a 2.53 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also owned the Braves with a ridiculous 1.88 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 19 career starts vs Atlanta. Take New York! |
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06-27-19 | Aces v. Sparks +2.5 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
5* WNBA - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Sparks +2½ -105 Easy play here on the Sparks as a home dog against the Aces. Vegas won an earlier meeting between these two, but that has LA primed for revenge. Sparks are also desperate for a win after losing their last 4. Big thing to keep in mind is that 3 of the 4 losses came on the road. LA was 4-2 prior to the losing streak. Sparks are on 3 days rest and that's important to note, as they have gone 15-6 ATS last 21 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Aces are 1-5-1 ATS last 7 on the road and 0-5-1 ATS last 6 off a SU win. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-27-19 | A's +145 v. Angels | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on A's +145 Love the value here with Oakland as a big road dog against the Angels. A's have really been playing well of late. Oakland just swept a short 2-game series at St Louis and are now 7-2 in their last 9 games. Angels are off a couple of wins against Cincinnati, but that's nothing to get excited about. A's are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a dominant 12-4 in their last 16 series openers. I know LA has a strong starter in Canning going, but A's are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs an AL starter with a WHIP less than 1.200. Take Oakland! |
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06-27-19 | Mariners v. Brewers -170 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Brewers -170 I got no problem laying big juice with Milwaukee at home in Thursday's series finale against the Mariners. Seattle has won the first two games of the series, which means we are going to get a highly motivated and focused Milwaukee team in this one. This is also the prime spot for Houston's offense to get back on track. Seattle's Mike Leake is fresh off a miserable outing at home against the Orioles, where he allowed 8 runs on 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings. Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 when playing at home with double revenge over the last two seasons. Mariners are 1-6 in Leake's last 7 road starts and 1-7 in his last 8 on the road vs a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-26-19 | Sun -8 v. Wings | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Prime Time (NBATV) NO-BRAINER on Sun -8 -110 Easy play here on Connecticut laying single digits at home against a bad team off an ugly loss last time out at Chicago. Sun got destroyed 93-75, trailing by 20+ at the half, snapping a 7-game winning streak. Dallas is the ideal team to get back on track against. Wings are just 2-6 on the season and are fresh off a 86-68 loss at Las Vegas. Dallas is 0-7 ATS last 2 seasons when coming off a road loss by 10 or more. Take Connecticut! |
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06-26-19 | Mets +135 v. Phillies | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
5* MLB - No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Mets +135 Absolutely love the value here with the Mets as a decently priced road dog against the Phillies. Philadelphia has won the first two of the series, but it has them way overvalued in this one. Phillies will send out Nick Pivetta, who has an awful 5.84 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 6 home starts. Pivetta also owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.648 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Mets. New York will counter with Jason Vargas, who has a strong 3.20 ERA in 12 starts this season. Even more important is how well Vargas has pitched against the Phillies. He's made 4 career starts against them and has a 2.57 era and 1.143 WHIP. Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 after losing the first 2 games of a series. Philadelphia is 2-8 in Pivetta's last 10 starts vs a division opponent. Take New York! |
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06-26-19 | Rockies -136 v. Giants | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockies -136 Easy play here on the Rockies as a small road favorite against the Giants. Colorado is hands down the better team in this matchup and they have the better starter going in this one. Rockies will send out German Marquez, who is 7-3 with a 4.32 ERA in 17 starts. A lot of people see an ERA over 4.00 and assume he's not been very good. A big reason for that is he's basically starting half his games at Coors Field. Marquez has a 3.02 ERA and 0.794 WHIP in 8 road starts. Last time out he started at Dodgers and limited LA to 1 earned run on 5 hits in 8 innings. Giants will turn to Jeff Samardzija, who has a 6.61 ERA and 1.837 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Colorado! |
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06-26-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +130 | 2-8 | Win | 130 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks +130 Arizona is worth a look here as a decently priced home dog against the Dodgers. No question who the better team is, but no way should LA be favored on the road with a guy making his first ever big league start. Even with yesterday's win the Dodgers are just 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs a team with a losing record. Dbacks will send out a rookie of their own in Taylor Clarke, whose overall numbers aren't great. However, Clarke pitched well at home against these same Dodgers earlier this month, giving up just 2 earned runs in 5 innings. Take Arizona! |
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06-25-19 | Storm +6.5 v. Aces | Top | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
5* WNBA - No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Storm +6½ -110 Big time value here with the Storm as a decently priced road dog against the Aces. Seattle has got quite the emotional lift with the return of head coach Dan Hughes, who missed the first 9 games for cancer treatment. In his first game back Seattle destroyed LA 84-62 as a 1.5 point home dog and came back on just 1-day of rest and defeated Indiana 65-61. While I like them to win this one outright, we got a ton of insurance here with the big spread. Aces are off a nice win, but are just 3-5 ATS last 8. Vegas is also 0-7 ATS last 7 games vs a team with a winning record. Take Seattle! |
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06-25-19 | A's v. Cardinals -127 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -127 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Cardinals -127 Love the value here with St Louis as a relatively small home favorite against the A's. Cardinals are 7-4 in their last 11 and come in having scored 4 or more in 4 straight games. St Louis will send out Jack Flaherty to start this one. If you just look at Flaherty's overall numbers you might miss the value here, as he's just 4-4 with a 4.24 ERA in 15 starts. Flaherty is simply a different pitcher at home compared to on the road, as he's got a 2.49 ERA and sensational 0.830 WHIP with 53 strikeouts in 47 innings over 8 home starts. St Louis is a perfect 10-0 this season at home vs great power teams that are averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game, while A's are 3-13 in their last 16 vs an NL team that is scoring 4.5 or more runs/game. Take St Louis! |
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06-25-19 | Braves v. Cubs +108 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Cubs +108 This is just too good a price to pass up with Chicago at home. Cubs won the series opener 8-3 on Monday and are now 28-14 at Wrigley Field this season. Atlanta has been playing well, but are now playing their 5th straight on the road. I also think Braves' starter Max Fried is a little overvalued right now. Fried had a 2.30 ERA at the end of April. It was up to 3.19 after a sluggish May and is up to 4.03 after a miserable month of June, where he's posted a 6.53 ERA in 4 starts. Cubs will have Adbert Alzolay on the mound and there's a ton of excitement surrounding one of the clubs top prospects. He pitched great in 4 innings of relief in his first big league action. He came in the 5th inning and didn't allow a hit until serving up a solo homer in the 9th. I look for him to pitch well. Take Chicago! |
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06-25-19 | Rangers v. Tigers +130 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Tigers +130 Solid value here with the Tigers as a home dog against the Rangers. Texas is just 14-21 on the road compared to 28-15 at home. Rangers are being forced here to turn "Opener" Jesse Chavez into a legit starter here. While Chavez has been great in his previous role, it doesn't mean he will perform well here. Texas has dropped 13 of their last 19 series openers and are a miserable 1-6 in their last 7 after a day off. Adding to this is a great system in play on Detroit. Home underdogs that are a poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) and facing a pitcher that hasn't started in 7 or more days are 52-37 (58.4%) over the last 5 seasons. Take Detroit! |
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06-24-19 | Rockies v. Giants +125 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Giants +125 San Francisco is worth a look here as a small home dog against division rival Colorado. It's one thing to try and bounce back from a tough loss, it's whole different animal trying to recover from what the Rockies just experienced over the weekend. Colorado was swept in a 3-game series at Los Angeles, where a Dodgers rookie player ended the game on a walk-off homer. Giants took 2 of 3 at Arizona and in that series they won their 6th straight series opener. Take San Francisco! |
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06-24-19 | Dodgers -133 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -133 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Dodgers -133 Easy play here on the Dodgers as a small road favorite. LA comes in having won 6 straight and are off a 3-game sweep against the Rockies, where they won all 3 games in walk-off fashion. Arizona is 1-6 in their last 7 and while they won yesterday at SF, they scored just 3 runs in the process. Offense just isn't clicking right now and it's hard to see them snapping out of that funk against Clayton Kershaw, who is 7-1 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Diamondbacks will have their ace on the mound in Zack Greinke, but he's coming off a start at home where he gave up 5 runs to the Rockies. Greinke also allowed 7 runs on 7 hits in 3 2/3 innings in his only start vs LA this season. Dodgers are 56-13 in Kershaw's last 69 starts vs a division opponent and 43-16 in his last 59 during game 1 of a series. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-23-19 | Fever +5.5 v. Storm | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Blockbuster ATS NO-BRAINER on Fever +5½ -115 I'm taking the Fever here as a decently priced dog against the Storm. Seattle is simply overvalued here after starting out 3-0 SU and ATS at home. Indiana is fresh off a win at Chicago 76-69 as a similarly priced 5-point dog. These two teams also played earlier this season at Indiana. The Storm won the game, but it could have gone either way. Fever lost by just 2 in that one and I not only think they keep it close again, but I like them to win this game outright. Seattle is 2-12 ATS last 14 off an upset win as a dog and are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 off a win by 10 or more as a dog. Take Indiana! |
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06-23-19 | Rockies v. Dodgers -208 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Dodgers -208 I got zero problem laying the big juice with Los Angeles on the road against the Rockies. LA is the best team in the NL and have Kenta Maeda starting at home, where he is 5-1 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.757 WHIP in 6 starts. Maeda has also owned Colorado in his career. He's faced them 9 times as a starter and owns a sensational 2.56 ERA and 1.044 WHIP. Chances are Maeda will hold form, but even if he's not at his best he should get plenty of runs support. Rockies are countering with Antonio Senzatela, who has a ERA over 5.00 in 13 starts and a 7.20 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his only start against the Dodgers. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-23-19 | Giants +131 v. Diamondbacks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Giants +131 Easy play here on San Francisco. The Giants have won the first two games of the series, which both came after the call-up of Alex Dickerson, who has come out of nowhere to carry the San Francisco offense. Dickerson has gone 5 for 9, hitting for the cycle in the process. Giants have scored 18 runs in the two wins. Diamondbacks have lost 6 straight, as they were swept at home in their previous series by the Rockies. Arizona has struggled to get their offense going and I look for that to continue against the Giants Shaun Anderson. He's been solid of late, allowing 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight and 6 of his 7 starts overall. Take San Francisco! |
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06-23-19 | Padres -142 v. Pirates | 10-11 | Loss | -142 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Padres -142 I'm confident the Padres will avoid the sweep in the series finale at Pittsburgh. San Diego's offense has been held in check the first two games of the series, but are poised to breakout here with Steven Brault on the mound for the Pirates. San Diego will counter with Joey Lucchesi, who is one of the more underrated starters in the league. Lucchesi just keeps getting better. He's got a 3.00 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He was dominant in his most recent out against the Brewers, holding Milwaukee to a mere 3 hits over 7 shutout innings. Pirates are just 2-8 in their last 10 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and are just 3-8 in their last 11 off a win. Take San Diego! |
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06-22-19 | White Sox v. Rangers -181 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Rangers -181 I got no problem laying the big juice here with Texas at home agains the White Sox. Rangers are one of the more underrated teams in the league. Texas will be eager to get back on the field after last night's loss to Chicago and they are in a prime spot to get the win. Rangers will send out veteran Lance Lynn, who has been throwing like an ace of late. Lynn enters with a 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He's been throwing like this for a while now, as he's pitched at least 6 innings in 10 straight starts and has gone 8 straight giving up 3 or fewer runs. Take Texas! |
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06-22-19 | Liberty +7.5 v. Lynx | 83-92 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWUT on Liberty +7½ -105 The books have made quite the error here with this number. No way should New York be this big of a road dog against the Lynx. Minnesota is just 4-5 to start the year and come in having lost 4 straight. Of those 4 defeats, 3 of them came on their own floor, including a loss to LA as a 4.5-point favorite. Minnesota is just 4-12 in their last 16 after a game where both teams scored 75 or more points. Liberty are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 vs a team from the Western Conference and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss. Take New York! |
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06-22-19 | Braves +115 v. Nationals | Top | 13-9 | Win | 115 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Braves +115 Love the value here with Atlanta as a small road dog against the Nationals. Washington has won 5 straight, but will send out Anibal Sanchez. He's just 3-6 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.355 WHIP in 13 starts. Braves are a solid 21-13 in their last 34 on the road after losing 2 of their previous 3. They are also a dominant 9-1 in their last 10 off a 1-run loss. Braves will have Mike Foltynewiczs will start for Atlanta and he's pitched well against the Nationals in his career and Atlanta is a 6-1 in his last 7 starts vs a division opponent. Take Atlanta! |
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06-22-19 | Astros v. Yankees -154 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Yankees -154 Easy play here on the Yankees at home against the Astros Saturday. New York handed Houston their sixth straight loss with a 4-1 win on Friday. New York has now won 7 straight and I'm confident the make it 8 in a row. Yankees have a clear edge on the mound with Masahiro Tanaka against the likes of Wade Miley. Tanaka has a strong 3.23 ERA in 15 starts, but owns an even stronger 2.83 ERA an 1.081 WHIP in 9 home starts. Miley has a solid 3.30 ERA in 15 starts, but is just 2-3 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in 8 road starts. Take New York! |
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06-21-19 | Sparks v. Storm +1.5 | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Storm +1½ -105 Love the value here with the Storm as a home dog against the Sparks. Seattle has won and covered each of their first two games at home and simply should not be a dog in this fight. Los Angeles is one of the better teams, but just lost back-to-back at home, including a 81-52 loss to Washington last time out. Take Seattle! |
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06-21-19 | Twins -145 v. Royals | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Twins -145 Minnesota is worth a look here on the road against the Royals. This feels like quite the bargain, as we get one of the best teams in baseball at less than -150 against one of the worst teams in the league. Doesn't hurt the Twins will have Martin Perez on the mound, who despite some recent struggles, still comes in at 6-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 12 stats. Perez has a strong 3.08 ERA in 4 career starts against the Royals. KC will send out Jake Junis, who has a not so great 5.34 ERA and 1.464 WHIP in 15 starts. Junis also owns a 5.68 ERA in 8 road starts and a 4.55 ERA and 1.807 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Twins. Take Minnesota! |
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06-21-19 | Angels -108 v. Cardinals | 1-5 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Angels -108 I like the Angels to win the series opener Friday night in St Louis. It's hard to believe, but this will mark the first time that Albert Pujols will play a game in St Louis since he was a member of the Cardinals way back in 2011. This isn't just another series for LA, especially the opener. They want this to be a memorable return. It helps St Louis will have the struggling Michael Wacha on the mound. Wacha is off another poor outing, as he gave up 6 runs on 7 hits in 4 innings at the Mets. Wacha now has a 5.40 ERA and 1.658 WHIP in 11 starts. He's been downright awful at home, posting a 8.23 ERA and 2.033 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-21-19 | Astros +145 v. Yankees | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Astros +145 Really like the value here with Houston as a big road dog against the Yankees. Astros are due for a win to say the least, as they come in having lost 5 straight. New York on the other hand is due for a loss after winning 6 straight. That's not all. Yankees starter, James Paxton, has a 7.42 ERA and 1.874 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Last time he started at home, he gave up 6 runs on 7 hits in 2 2/3 innings. Astros will send out Brad Peacock, who has a strong 3.77 ERA and 1.144 WHIP in 13 starts. Astros are 8-3 in Peacock's last 11 road starts vs a team with a winning record and are 37-14 in their last 51 road games vs a left-handed starter. Take Houston! |
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06-20-19 | Mystics +5.5 v. Aces | 95-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Mystics +5½ -110 Easy play here on Washington as a decently priced road dog against the Aces. Mystics snapped a mini two-game slide with a 81-52 blowout win at LA as a 1.5-point dog. Las Vegas is off a win and have won 3 of 4, but are not covering. Aces are juts 2-4 ATS last 6 games. Vegas is also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record and 0-3-1 in their last 4 off a SU win. Great system in play backing the Mystics. Road teams are 98-64 (61%) against the spread in the month of June when playing on only their 2nd game in 5 days. Take Washington! |
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06-20-19 | Angels v. Blue Jays +140 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 140 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays +140 Love the Blue Jays here as a home dog against the Angels. I won on the Angels each of the last two days, but now is the time to shift gears and take the other side. Toronto is going to be extremely motivated here to avoid getting swept in this 4-game series with LA. Big flat spot for LA. Angels won 11-6 on Wednesday and Toronto is 12-5 in their last 17 home games after allowing 9 or more runs. LA is also a mere 2-10 in their last 12 vs a starter that is winless after 5 or more starts. Clayton Richard is 0-3 with a 7.52 ERA in 5 starts. However, Richard was outstanding last year against the Angels, giving up just 2 runs on 4 hits in 8 innings. Take Toronto! |
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06-20-19 | Indians v. Rangers +120 | 2-4 | Win | 120 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers +120 Texas is showing big time value here as a home dog to the Indians. Cleveland is coming off a couple of high-scoring wins and are overvalued because of it. No way should the Rangers be a dog at home with the likes of Mike Minor on the mound. Minor has a 2.63 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 15 starts. He's got a 2.25 ERA over his last 3 starts and a 2.18 ERA in 7 home starts. It's been hit or miss for Indians starter Shane Bieber. He was sharp last time out against a bad Detroit lineup, but prior to that he gave up 5 runs in 1 2/3 innings at home to New York. Indians are a mere 4-19 in their last 23 vs an AL starter with an ERA of 2.90 or better. Take Texas! |
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06-19-19 | Rockies +133 v. Diamondbacks | 6-4 | Win | 133 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Late Night ANNIHILATOR on Rockies +133 I love the value here with Colorado. I get the Diamondbacks will have ace Zack Greinke on the mound, but he's facing a Rockies offense, most notably Charlie Blackmon, that's hitting the cover off the ball. Blackmon can tie MLB history with a sixth straight game with 3 or more hits. That's now 56 runs in their last 5 games for Colorado. I also think it helps the Rockies to have already faced Greinke twice this season. The more you see a pitcher the more comfortable you are going to be. Rockies have gone 20-8 in their last 28 after a win where they held a division foe to 1 or fewer runs. Take Colorado! |
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06-19-19 | Mets v. Braves -147 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Braves -147 Atlanta is worth a play at this price on their home field. Mets won yesterday's matchup by a score of 10-2, but they also had the reigning Cy Young on the mound in deGrom. Prior to that the Braves had gone 10-1 in their previous 11 games. They had also scored 5 or more runs in 9 straight prior to Tuesday. Look for Atlanta's offense to return to form. New York will have Steven Matz on the mound and he's got a 5.79 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 7 road starts. Atlanta will have Max Fried on the mound. He's struggled a bit of late, but has been consistently strong at home (3.54 ERA and 1.106 WHIP). Take Atlanta! |
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06-19-19 | Sky v. Liberty UNDER 165 | 91-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sky/Liberty under 165 I believe the books have completely missed the mark with this WNBA total. Chicago comes into this one having won 3 straight and great defense is a big reason why. The UNDER cashed in all 3 of those wins and is 5-1 in the Sky's 6 games overall. Books have also been setting the bar too high here of late in New York's game. UNDER is 3-1 in the Liberty's last 4 games. NY also comes in off a win and that's a good thing here, as the UNDER is 13-4-1 in their last 18 off a straight up win. UNDER is also 8-2 in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! |
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06-19-19 | Astros -166 v. Reds | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -166 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
5* MLB - Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Astros -166 I'm confident the Astros will secure a road win at Cincinnati. Houston enters having lost 3 straight, but they are going to get a huge boost here with the return of Jose Altuve. Anytime you add a MVP-type player back into your lineup, it provides a spark to the other players. It doesn't hurt that Houston will also have the edge on the mound. Astros send out the surging Gerrit Cole, who has a solid but not great 3.67 ERA in 15 starts. However, Cole has been elite here of late. Last two starts he's given up a mere 3 earned runs on 7 hits with 24 strikeouts in 13 innings. Tyler Mahle will start for the Reds and he's headed in the other direction. Mahle has a 5.65 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Houston! |
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06-18-19 | Mystics +2 v. Sparks | 81-52 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
4* WNBA - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Mystics +2 -110 The books are begging for you to take the Sparks as a small home favorite, but the smart money is going to be on the Mystics. Washington comes in having lost two straight, but both were close games. Mystics could easily be sitting here on a 6-game winning streak. Note they only lost 3 in a row once all of last season, so this team knows how to stop the bleeding. Sparks are solid, but just lost at home to New York as a double-digit favorite. Mystics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a ATS loss and a dominant 8-2 in their last 10 when playing on 3 or more days of rest (last played Friday). Take Washington! |
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06-18-19 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -135 | 8-1 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Diamondbacks -135 I really like Arizona in Tuesday's series opener against the Rockies. Colorado is coming off quite the 4-game series at home against the Padres. The two teams combined for a ridiculous 92 runs in those 4 games, the most in a 4-game series in 90 years. No need to debate it, Rockies' players have already stated how draining that series was. A flat Colorado team that no longer has the thin air of Coors Field to help them could struggle to get their offense going against Arizona's Merrill Kelly. In his last 3 starts, Kelly has looked like a Cy Young candidate, posting a 0.81 ERA and 0.627 WHIP. Rockies will counter with Antonio Senzatela, who has a mere 5.48 ERA and 1.625 WHIP in 12 starts. Senzatela is also fresh off a bad outing at home against the Cubs, allowing 8 runs on 8 hits in 4 innings of work. Take Arizona! |
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06-18-19 | Red Sox v. Twins +110 | 3-4 | Win | 110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Twins +110 I'll gladly back Minnesota as a home dog against the Red Sox. No way should the Twins be a home dog. Minnesota has the best record in the league at 47-24 and are 23-12 at home this season. Boston is getting love with David Price on the mound, but he's coming off a dreadful outing at home against the Rangers. Price gave up 6 runs on 5 hits, recording just 4 outs before getting pulled. As for Twins starter Michael Pineda, he's got a strong 3.78 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Pineda has allowed 3 or fewer hits in 2 of his last 3 starts. Twins are 21-6 in their last 27 off a loss and 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 2 or fewer runs. Take Minnesota! |
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06-18-19 | Angels -107 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Angels -107 Easy play here on the Angels as a small favorite at Toronto. Los Angeles is a team to watch out for right now. Angels just got back Justin Upton and not that long ago Ohtani was added to the mix. Upton homered in his first at-bat back and Ohtani has been red-hot of late. I look for that offense to be able to get to Blue Jays starter Marcus Stroman. Not only do I see the Angels putting up a big number, Toronto's offense is one of the worst in the league. Especially at home. Blue Jays are only averaging 3.7 runs/game and hitting .209 as a team on their home field this season. Tyler Skaggs of LA hasn't been great, but Toronto is just 17-43 in their last 16 vs a left-handed starter and are 3-7 in Stroman's last 10 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-17-19 | Brewers +115 v. Padres | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Brewers +115 Absolutely love the value here with Milwaukee as an underdog against the Padres. Brewers avoided getting swept at San Francisco with a 5-3 win on Sunday. Milwaukee is getting no lover here because of how bad starter Jhoulys Chacin has been in 2019. The key here is Chacin's is healthy coming off the IL and is a guy that we know can perform at a high level. Padres put on an offensive show with the Rockies at Coors Field over the weekend (two combined for 92 runs in 4 games). I know they are returning home after a road trip and that should be a positive, but I think it's a big flat spot off that series with Colorado. Let's also not forget that San Diego has struggled at home this season. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-17-19 | Astros v. Reds -110 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Reds -110 I got no problem backing the Reds as a small home favorite against the Astros. Not very often you see Houston as a dog, especially against a team with a losing record. That speaks volumes to the respect the books have for Cincinnati starter Luis Castillo and rightfully so. Castillo is 6-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.090 WHIP over 14 starts and has a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 7 home starts. He's definitely catching a break in this one, as Houston is minus 3 of their best players in Altuve, Correa and Springer (all on IL). Also got to love the Reds coming into this game off a big offensive performance, as they scored 11 runs in yesterday's 8-run win over the Rangers. Astros starter, Wade Miley, has a mediocre 4.50 ERA and 1.316 WHIP in 7 road starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-16-19 | Cubs v. Dodgers -162 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
5* MLB - Sunday Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Dodgers -162 The Dodgers are an easy play for me on Sunday Night Baseball against the Cubs. Chicago won on Saturday, barely squeaking out a 2-1 win. LA had won the first two in the series behind strong offensive showings. Look for them to get back on track agains the struggling Jose Quintana. It's been a big struggle for Quintana when he's not starting at Wrigley Field. He's a mere 1-3 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.466 WHIP in 6 road starts. Dodgers counter with Hyun-Jin Ryu, who has to be your early Cy Young favorite. Ryu is 9-1 with a 1.36 ERA and 0.802 WHIP over 13 starts. He's a perfect 6-0 with a 1.01 ERA and 0.649 WHIP in 6 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-16-19 | Aces v. Lynx +6.5 | 80-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Lynx +6½ -110 Big time value here with the Lynx as a decently priced home do against the Aces. Minnesota is getting no love from the books here because of a 3-game losing streak, but it's not like they weren't competitive in those losses. All 3 defeats were by 6 or less. Las Vegas is also overvalued coming off a 100-65 thrashing over New York on Friday. The same NY team they lost to by double-digits a few days earlier. No way should the aces be laying points here. Take Minnesota! |
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06-16-19 | Rangers v. Reds -156 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Reds -156 Really like Cincinnati in this spot. Reds are going to be highly motivated to get a win after dropping the first two games in the series. They have just the guy on the mound to make sure they secure the win. Reds will turn to Sonny Gray, who comes in great form with a 3.24 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Gray has enjoyed every chance he gets at facing the Rangers. He's 8-3 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.132 WHIP over 13 starts. Reds are 10-4 in their last 14 off a loss and 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-16-19 | Indians v. Tigers +144 | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Tigers +144 I really like the value we are getting with Detroit as a home division dog against the Indians. Cleveland has won the first two games in the series, but it has them way overvalued in the finale. I also think there's a bit of an overreaction with Trevor Bauer's last start. Bauer allowed just 1 run in 7 2/3 innings at home against the Reds. However, he walked 5 guys in that outing and was 0-5 with a 5.52 ERA in his previous 7 starts. Tigers will have one of their top starters going in Spencer Turnbull. He's quietly sitting there with a 2.78 ERA over his 14 starts of 2019 and has a 2.12 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Detroit! |
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06-15-19 | Rangers +110 v. Reds | Top | 4-3 | Win | 110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE WEEK on Rangers +110 Easy play here on Texas as a road dog against the slumping Reds. Not sure what the books are seeing in Cincinnati in this one. Reds lost 7-1 in the series opener last night and are just 3-7 in their last 10 overall. Biggest problem for Cincinnati is the offense. Reds have scored 2 or fewer runs in 7 of those 10 games. Hard to see them snapping out of their slump against the likes of the Rangers Mike Minor. In 14 starts so far in 2019, Minor has posted a 2.52 ERA and 1.175 WHIP and he's stayed true to form of late with a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 starts. Key here is the Rangers can score. Texas has put up 4 or more in 5 of their last 6 games. Red starter Tanner Roark has a not so great 4.50 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Texas! |
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06-15-19 | Cardinals v. Mets -137 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Mets -137 I got no problem laying a little juice with the Mets at home against the Cardinals on Saturday. St Louis comes in having won 4 of 5, including the first two in this series, but it has them getting too much respect in a very favorable matchup for New York. St Louis will be turning to Michael Wacha, who has 4.95 ERA and 1.632 WHIP in 10 starts. Wacha just hasn't been himself in 2019 and has walked 31 guys in 52 2/3 innings. He was so bad early on he had to be removed from the rotation. Mets will counter with Noah Syndergaard, who after a slow start of his own has really come alive. Syndergaard has a 2.75 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Note Cards won 9-5 on Friday and are 0-7 this season in road games after a win by 4 or more runs. Take New York! |
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06-15-19 | Sky +5 v. Fever | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sky +5 -110 I like the value here with the Sky as a pretty decent sized road dog against the Fever. Chicago is fresh off back-to-back wins and have won 3 of their last 4. Indiana is off a close win at Dallas, but they were favored in that matchup. Prior to that the Fever had lost back-to-back games at home and their only home win on the season is against a 2-5 New York squad. Chicago has won and covered in each of their last 3 trips to Indiana. Take the Sky! |
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06-15-19 | Brewers v. Giants -104 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Sharp Money Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Giants -104 I think the books have made a huge mistake here with the line for Saturday's MLB action between the Giants and Brewers. Milwaukee is the better team and the Giants are not a public team, making them way undervalued in this spot. Brewers are a long way from home with a guy on the mound that was really bad in his last start. Jimmy Nelson missed more than a full season and in his first start back gave up 5 runs in 3 innings to the Marlins of all teams. Chances are he's going to take a minute to get into form. While he figures to get hit hard, San Fran will have veteran ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound to keep the Brewers offense in check. Bumgarner has underachieved to this point, but does have a strong 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Francisco! |
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06-14-19 | Sun v. Lynx +5.5 | Top | 85-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
5* WNBA - Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Lynx +5½ -110 I really like the value here with Minnesota as a home dog. Connecticut has won 4 straight and are sitting on top of the league at 6-1. I just think the strong start has the Sun way overvalued here against a quality Lynx team who are 3-1 in 4 home games, outscoring teams by nearly 7-points/game. Sun have played 3 road games and are 2-1. However, they lost at LA by 7 as a 3-point favorite. The only team they have played on the road that currently has a winning record. The two wins were against the Aces and Dream. Take Minnesota! |
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06-14-19 | Cardinals v. Mets -125 | 9-5 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mets -125 My money is on the Mets to take down the Cardinals after the two teams finish up last night's suspended game. New York has Steven Matz on the mound and the Mets are a perfect 5-0 in his 5 home starts this year. Matz owns a 1.80 ERA in those 5 starts, as he has allowed just 6 earned runs in 30 innings. Cardinals will counter here with Daniel Poncedeleon, who is making just his second start of 2019. Poncedeleon has been hit or miss in his 5 career starts. The biggest problem he has had is he doesn't go deep in games and that could be a major problem here, especially if the suspended game drags on. Either way I like the Mets in this spot. Take New York! |
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06-14-19 | Indians -137 v. Tigers | 13-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Indians -137 Absolutely love the value here with Cleveland in Friday's series opener against the Tigers. Detroit is not a very good team and bad teams are often the ones that struggle in tough spots. Tigers are playing their 3rd game in 3 nights in a different city. They played Wednesday at Kansas City, last night they were in Omaha and tonight they are at home. Indians will have Adam Plutko on the mound, who is coming off a great start against the Yankees. Plutko allowed just 2 runs on 3 hits in 6 innings. That's the second time in 3 starts this year that he's lasted 6 innings and gave up 2 or fewer. Detroit has scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Take Cleveland! |
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06-14-19 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals -165 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Nationals -165 I got no problem here laying the big juice with the Nationals at home on Friday. Washington will have ace and 3x Cy Young winner, Max Scherzer on the mound. Scherzer had a bit of a slow start to 2019, but it's safe to say he's back to his elite form. Scherzer has a 0.86 ERA and 0.905 WHIP in his last 3 starts, lowering his season ERA down to 2.83. Scherzer has also tormented the team that drafted him way back in 2006. He's 6-0 with a 2.89 ERA in six stars against the Diamondbacks. It's the exact opposite for Arizona starter Robbie Ray, who was drafted by the Nationals, but is 0-4 with a 6.26 ERA in 5 starts against Washington. Take the Nationals! |
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06-13-19 | Raptors +3.5 v. Warriors | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 59 h 10 m | Show |
5* NBA Finals - Game 6 NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors +3½ -109 I cashed in on the Warriors as a dog in Game 5 at Toronto. A big reason for that is, I just just didn't think the Raptors would be able to match the fight of Golden State and the return of Durant. Warriors had their way early with Durant in the lineup, but the offensive woes returned after he left. After putting up 62 points in the first half, Golden State managed just 44 in the second half. Warriors made a ridiculous 20 3-pointers in Game 5 and yet they still needed a ridiculous comeback in the final couple minutes to squeak out a 106-105 win. That's a massive concern, as it's unlikely Golden State shoots that well again. The Raptors already won twice at Oracle in the series and their intensity will be up a notch in this one. I don't see this thing extending to a Game 7. Take Toronto! |
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06-13-19 | Tigers -122 v. Royals | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -122 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers -122 Easy play here on Detroit in a rare neutral site game in the MLB. These will kickoff the festivities at the 2019 College World Series with a game at Omaha's TD Ameritrade Park. Some might find it tough betting on a matchup of two bad teams, but there's too much value here to pass up with the Tigers. Detroit has one of the better starters that people don't know about on the mound. Matt Boyd's 5-4 record and 3.08 ERA might not seem like anything special, but this guy has elite swing and miss stuff. Boyd has 105 strikeouts in 84.7 innings. What makes him special is he doesn't walk people with just 15 free passes on the season. In his last 3 starts he has a ridiculous 25/1 K/BB ratio. Royals aren't a great offensive team, so Boyd should be able to keep them well in check. All we need is for the Tigers offense to put up some runs. They should be able to do just that, as KC will send out Homer Bailey and his 5.90 ERA and 1.508 WHIP in 13 starts. Take Detroit! |