08-13-15 |
Dallas Cowboys v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 38 |
|
7-17 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on DAL@SD to go UNDER the total. It came as no surprise that we saw another low scoring tilt between the Steelers and the Vikings in this year's Hall of Fame Game. The first game of the pre-season has failed to go over 37 points in eight of the last 11 annual events. Low scoring games are the norm in the pre-season, and I find it a little odd that bookmakers seem overly optimistic about how many points are going to be scored here in Week 1. We saw five of the six games go under on the opening Thursday of the 2014 pre-season, and only five of 18 games saw more than 37 points scored in the entire first week. The Cowboys and the Chargers met on Thursday night last season, and the Chargers won that game by a score of 27-7. Tony Romo did not play at all in that game, while Philip Rivers came in for just one series, going 4-for-4 for 61 yards with no TDs and no picks. Neither coach showed any desire to play their starters, and we will assume that it will be the same approach here this time around. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
08-13-15 |
Miami Dolphins v. Chicago Bears UNDER 37 |
|
10-27 |
Push |
0 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on MIA@CHI to go UNDER the total. It came as no surprise that we saw another low scoring tilt between the Steelers and the Vikings in this year's Hall of Fame Game. The first game of the pre-season has failed to go over 37 points in eight of the last 11 annual events. Low scoring games are the norm in the pre-season, and I find it a little odd that bookmakers seem overly optimistic about how many points are going to be scored here in Week 1. We saw five of the six games go under on the opening Thursday of the 2014 pre-season, and only five of 18 games saw more than 37 points scored in the entire first week. The Dolphins went 3-1 in the 2014 pre-season, but their lone loss came in Week 1 by a score of 16-10 at Atlanta. Ryan Tannehill saw one series, going 6-for-6 for 62 yards and a TD. The rest of the Miami starters saw limited action as well, including Lamar Miller who had just four carries. Chicago was involved in a barn burner versus the Eagles in their first exhibition game of 2014, and their starters saw a bit more action. It's a new regime with John Fox taking over as head coach of the Bears though, and he could be a little more conservative.
Take UNDER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
08-13-15 |
Green Bay Packers v. New England Patriots UNDER 37.5 |
|
22-11 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on GB@NE to go UNDER the total. It came as no surprise that we saw another low scoring tilt between the Steelers and the Vikings in this year's Hall of Fame Game. The first game of the pre-season has failed to go over 37 points in eight of the last 11 annual events. Low scoring games are the norm in the pre-season, and I find it a little odd that bookmakers seem overly optimistic about how many points are going to be scored here in Week 1. We saw five of the six games go under on the opening Thursday of the 2014 pre-season, and only five of 18 games saw more than 37 points scored in the entire first week. The Packers lost at Tennessee by a score of 20-16 in their first exhibition game last year, and Aaron Rodgers didn't even step on the field. In fact the backup quarterbacks were 14-of-25 for 148 yards with no TDs and no picks. The focus seemed to be on the running game, with eight players combining for 148 yards on 35 carries. Tom Brady didn't see any action in a Week 1 loss to the Redskins last year, and Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 137 yards and a TD, but that was the Patriots only score. The word out of Patriots camp is that Garoppolo has really struggled, so Belickick will likely want to give him plenty of reps.
Take UNDER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
08-12-15 |
Boston Red Sox v. Miami Marlins OVER 7.5 |
Top |
6-14 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@MIA to go OVER the total.
The Red Sox lost 5-4 in extra-innings in Miami last night, and I think we could see another slugfest here this afternoon.
Eduardo Rodriguez will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's really struggled on the road. Rodriguez (6-4, 4.17 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits over seven innings in a loss at New York his last time out. He's been a Jekyll & Hyde pitcher so far for the Red Sox, with dramatic splits in day versus night games. The 22 year old southpaw is 5-1 with a 1.75 ERA at night, but 1-3 with a 9.82 ERA during the day. It might also be worth noting that the Fish are batting an NL best .278 versus left-handed pitching.
Miami will hand the ball to 25 year old lefty Adam Conley, who makes just his second major league start. Conley allowed three runs on three hits in three innings in relief at Atlanta his last time out. The rookie has a record of 1-0 with a 4.05 ERA, and he's never gone deeper than five innings.
The Marlins have seen the total go over in six of their last seven home games, and seven of their last 10 versus left-handed pitching.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-11-15 |
Oakland A's v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OAK@TOR to go OVER the total.
The Blue Jays are by far the highest scoring team in baseball, but lately they've been playing a lot of low scoring games. I think that will change tonight at Rogers Center with a pair of struggling pitchers on the mound.
Drew Hutchison will toe the slab for the home team, and he's been getting rocked in the second half of the season. Hutchison (10-2, 5.42 ERA) was torched for seven runs on seven hits over just five innings in a no decision at home versus the Twins his last time out. He has a record of 2-0 in four starts since the All Star break, but it comes with an inflated 5.85 ERA.
The A's hand the ball to Kendall Graveman, who was rocked by the Blue Jays in Oakland a few weeks ago. Graveman (6-7, 3.90 ERA) was torched for six runs on six hits, including three home runs over just 5 1/3 innings in a 7-1 home loss on July 21. The right-hander has lost five straight, and his ERA is an unsightly 6.16 in four starts in the second half.
Josh Donaldson hit his 31st home run of the season on Sunday, and he leads the majors with 83 RBIs. He's done most of the damage at Rogers Center, where he's batting .344 with 20 home runs and 50 RBIs.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-06-15 |
San Diego Padres v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
1-10 |
Loss |
-120 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SD@MIL to go UNDER the total.
Since getting rid of two of their top hitters, the Brewers bats haven't been quite as potent. They've seen 11 of their last 13 games finish with a total of fewer than eight runs, and I expect to see another lower scoring game here this afternoon at Miller Park.
Matt Garza will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he's had a pretty rough season. Garza (5-12, 5.17 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits over six innings in a 4-2 home loss to the Cubs his last time out. He hasn't had many highlights this season, but when he has been good, it's usually been at home during the day. Those trends hold true throughout his career, as he's always had more success in day games.
The Padres hand the ball to Odrisamer Despaigne, who has been rather hit or miss. He comes in off back to back wins, allowing four runs on seven hits over 12 innings in a home and home set versus the Marlins. The Park itself may provide a boost for both pitchers here in this matinee, as it's notoriously difficult to pick up the ball in the shadows during the day in Milwaukee. Ryan Braun has plenty to say about the matter: "It gets to the point where nobody enjoys playing day games here. It's good for pitchers, but you can't see the ball. It's, by far, worse than any other park in Major League Baseball."
His numbers would support his argument, as he's batting .241 during the day in comparison to .288 at night. The Brewers as a team rank 27th in the majors batting just .235 in day games. Much of those struggles would be attributed to the conditions in day games at their home park. Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-04-15 |
Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on HOU@TEX to go OVER the total. The Astros are hot, winning 11 of 16 since the All Star break. They've leapfrogged the Angels in the AL West, now sitting three games clear of Los Angeles. They came up short in a 12-9 loss at Texas last night, and I think we'll see another slugfest in Arlington tonight.
Yovani Gallardo will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's coming off back to back wins. Gallardo (7-9, 3.39 ERA) has allowed 10 runs on 16 hits over 10 innings in wins over the Yankees and Angels in his last two outings. The Astros have hit him pretty hard in past meetings, with a team batting average of .308. He's 1-1 with a 6.52 ERA in two starts versus Houston this season.
The Astros hand the ball to Dan Straily, who gets the call up from Triple-A to make a spot start. Straily hasn't pitched since July 8, when he two runs on three hits over six innings in a loss at Cleveland. He's only appeared in two games this year, but he was 13-12 with a 4.54 ERA over the last three seasons.
Pitchers have really struggled to keep the ball in the park in Texas lately, and four of the last five meetings in this series have gone over the total.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-04-15 |
New York Mets v. Miami Marlins OVER 7.5 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYM@MIA to go UNDER the total.
The Mets are now alone at the top of the NL East, coming off a 15-1 blowout win in Miami last night. I think we could see another slugfest in Game 2 at Marlins Park.
Jonathon Niese will toe the slab for the Metropolitans, and he's been inconsistent this year. Niese (5-9, 3.63 ERA) allowed one run on six hits over six innings not earning a decision in an 8-7 loss to San Diego his last time out. He's been hit hard by the Marlins in his career, and he was torched for five runs on seven hits in just four innings in his only start against Miami this season. The Marlins lineup is hitting a combined .319 versus Niese, and that's over 160 at bats (no small sample size). This isn't all that surprising when you consider that Miami is hitting a National League best .278 versus southpaws this season.
The Marlins will hand the ball to Brad Hand, who comes out of the bullpen to make a spot start. Hand (1-2, 5.12 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over 3 2/3 innings in three relief appearances versus the Mets this season.
Yoenis Cespedes had a big night last night, going 3-for-5 with a pair of doubles and four RBIs.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-04-15 |
Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 |
Top |
3-13 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@NYY to go OVER the total.
The Yankees return home after winning 6-of-10 on a long road trip to host rivals Boston in a three game series in the Bronx. New York is leading the major leagues in scoring, batting .290 since the All Star break. The Red Sox on the other hand are 0-7 on the road since the break.
Henry Owens will toe the slab for the Sox, filling in for the injured Rick Porcello. Owens is making his major league debut, and the 23 year old southpaw posted a 3.16 ERA at Triple-A. This is a tough spot for the rookie, facing a Yankees lineup that leads the majors in scoring in night games batting .270 under the lights.
The Yankees hand the ball to Masahiro Tanaka, who has been rather hit or miss lately. Tanaka (7-4, 3.80 ERA) allowed four runs on nine hits over six innings in a loss at Texas his last time out. He had won four straight at home prior to that, and he's 5-2 with a 4.20 ERA in eight starts in Yankee Stadium this season.
The Yankees have won six of their last seven home games, and six of those seven games went over the total.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-04-15 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8 |
Top |
2-6 |
Push |
0 |
15 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAD@PHI to go OVER the total.
The Phillies have won 12 of 15 games since the All Star break, and they've been swinging some hot bats, with a team batting average of .289 during that span. They host the Dodgers tonight, and I expect this to be a slugfest.
Jerome William will toe the slab for the Phillies, so they will likely have to score a few runs if they want to win tonight. Williams (3-8, 6.36 ERA) was torched for four runs on 10 hits over just 4 1/3 innings in an 8-2 loss to Toronto his last time out. He's in search of his first win since mid May, and the Phillies have lost nine of his last 10 starts.
The Dodgers hand the ball to Alex Wood, who makes his debut after coming over from Atlanta. Wood (7-6, 3.54 ERA) tossed 7 1/3 scoreless innings in a no decision at Baltimore his last time out. He's making his fourth start against Philly this season, and he's surrendered seven runs on 24 hits and six walks over 16 innings in three previous meetings.
We don't see many low scoring games in this ballpark, as the Phillies have trended over at a rated of 20-5-3 in their last 28 home games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-03-15 |
New York Mets v. Miami Marlins OVER 7 |
Top |
12-1 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYM@MIA to go OVER the total.
The Mets come into Miami fresh off a home sweep of Washington, and they now sit in a first place tie at the top of the NL East. The Marlins won a thriller last night with a walkoff home run in the bottom of the ninth, and I think we could see another slugfest here in Florida tonight.
Bartolo Colon will toe the slab for the Metropolitans, and he's coming off a brutal effort in his last start. Colon (9-10, 4.56 ERA) was torched for six runs on 10 hits over just 2 1/3 innings in a home loss to San Diego. He's lost seven straight, and he's now 3-6 with a 5.57 ERA on the road. This will be his second trip to Miami, and his first didn't go well. He got rocked for four runs on nine hits over six innings in a loss.
The Marlins hand the ball to Tom Koehler, who is also coming off a disastrous performance. Koehler (8-7, 3.38 ERA) allowed five runs on six hits over six innings in a home loss to Washington. This will be his third start against the Mets, and he was rocked for 12 runs on 13 hits over just 6 2/3 innings in the last two.
Lucas Duda is swinging a red hot bat, with nine home runs in his last eight games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-02-15 |
San Diego Padres v. Miami Marlins OVER 6 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SD@MIA to go OVER the total.
The Marlins will be a big favorite at home this afternoon in the series finale versus San Diego, despite the fact that they've lost four straight, seven of their last eight and five in a row against the Padres. Three of their last four games have gone over the total, and I think the bookmakers are putting way to much stock in Jose Fernandez and his perfect 14-0 career home record.
Fernandez (4-0, 2.53 ERA) allowed one run on four hits and four walks over six innings in a 4-1 win over Washington his last time out. At this point, we all know the kid is good at home, but he's not going to remain undefeated in Miami forever. If there's one thing about his splits that are cause for concern, it's his record in day games. He's only had one start in the afternoon this season, and it was hit debut at home against the Giants. He allowed three runs on seven hits over six innings, and needed to hit a home run to power himself to a 5-4 win.
The Padres hand the ball to James Shields, who hasn't been sharp lately. Shields (8-4, 3.77 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits over seven innings in a loss to the Mets his last time out. The Padres have lost eight of his last 10 starts, and he's been far better at home than on the road. He's also better at night, with a record of 3-2 with a 4.40 ERA in eight starts in the afternoon.
These teams have pushed the total over in seven of the last 10 meetings at Marlins Park.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-01-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on COL@STL to go UNDER the total.
The Cardinals are 6-3 during this current home stand, and only one of those nine games saw more than seven runs scored. They shutout the Rockies last night, and I think wer'll see another pitcher's duel tonight.
Lance Lynn will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's super stingy at home. Lynn (8--5, 2.71 ERA) allowed just one run on five hits over seven innings in a 4-1 home win over Cincinnati his last time out. He's now 6-1 with a 1.77 ERA at Busch Stadium in 2015.
The Rockies hand the ball to Jorge De La Rosa, who is the best pitcher on one of the worst staffs in the majors. De La Rosa (6-4, 5.03 ERA) allowed six runs on five hits over just 3 2/3 innings in a loss to the Cubs at Wrigley his last time out. He's still 4-2 with a 3.07 ERA in seven starts on the road this season. He allowed a pair of runs on three hits over seven innings, beating the Cardinals in the only previous meeting this season.
The Rockies rank 24th in the majors batting .242 on the road this season, and the under is 9-4 in De La Rosa's last 13 starts on the road.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-01-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-101 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PIT@CIN to go OVER the total.
The first two games of this series in Cincinnati have been high scoring, and I think another slugfest is in the cards here on Saturday.
Gerrit Cole will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's leading the major leagues with 14 wins. The Reds haven't been fooled in previous meetings though, as the right-hander is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in three starts versus Cincinnati this season. The Reds lineup is hitting .320 over 100 combined at bats versus Cole.
Cincinnati will hand the ball to Raisel Iglesias, who has just one win under his belt this season. Isglesias (1-3, 5.53 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits over six innings in a loss at St. Louis his last time out. He hasn't picked up a win in any of his last seven starts dating back to mid May.
These two teams have gone over the total in six straight meetings, and they've combined to hit seven home runs in the first two games of this series.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-31-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 7 |
Top |
0-7 |
Push |
0 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
This a 10* play on COL@STL to go OVER the total.
The Rockies blew a two run lead in the bottom of the 9th last night, losing by a score of 9-8. I think tonight's game will be another high scoring contest.
Michael Wacha will toe the slab for the home team, and he's been struggling lately. Wacha (11-4, 3.27 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits and three walks over six innings in a home loss to Atlanta his last time out. He allowed 10 runs on 11 hits over 11 innings in his previous two starts. The Rockies lineup is hitting a combined .333 against Wacha in previous meetings.
The Rockies hand the ball to Kyle Kendrick, who's numbers are about as bad as it gets. Kendrick (4-11, 6.33 ERA) was torched for six runs on seven hits over five innings in a 17-7 loss to Cincinnati his last time out. He's 2-6 with a 5.52 ERA in 10 starts on the road.
The Rockies don't play a lot of low scoring games, the over is 36-14-1 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.
Take Over.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-31-15 |
San Francisco Giants v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SF@TEX to go OVER the total.
The Rangers are coming off back to back wins over the Yankees, out-scoring New York 12-8 in those games. They host the Giants tonight, and I expect to see plenty of runs. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for the Giants, and he's won three straight. Bumgarner (11-5, 3.16 ERA) allowed just one run on five hits, fanning 11 in seven innings in a home win over Oakland. He owns an ERA of 4.11 in nine starts on the road, and a trip to Texas looks like it could be trouble.
Texas will hand the ball to Nick Martinez, who hasn't missed many bats lately. Martinez (5-6, 4.08 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits and three walks in five innings in a 13-7 loss at Anaheim his last time out. He's lost six straight, and he's 2-4 with a 5.14 ERA in 11 starts under the lights.
The Giants are hitting a major league best .277 on the road this year.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-31-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8.5 |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PIT@CIN to go OVER the total.
We saw a slug-fest in Cincinnati last night, with the Reds routing the Pirates by a score of 15-5. I am expecting another high scoring affair in this hitter's park here in Game 2. Jeff Locke will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's been just awful on the road this year. Locke (5-6, 4.15 ERA) allowed four runs on four hits and three walks over five innings, not factoring in the decision in a 7-5 home win over Washington his last time out. He's 2-3 with a 6.57 ERA in seven starts on the road this year, and he's 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two starts versus Cincinnati.
The Reds hand the ball to Michael Lorenzen, who was completely annihilated in his last outing. Lorenzen (3-5, 4.58 ERA) was torched for eight runs on seven hits and two walks in just 2 1/3 innings in a loss to Colorado his last time out. He's 1-2 with a 4.46 ERA in seven starts at home this season.
Todd Frazier is second in the National League with 27 home runs, he's hitting .450 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Locke.
Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-29-15 |
New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-118 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is a Free #MLB play on NYY@TEX to go OVER the total. The New York Yankees went off last night, scoring 21 runs in a rout over Texas, and I think we could see another slugfest in Arlington tonight.
Masahiro Tanaka will toe the slab for the Bronx Bombers, and he's undefeated in his last five starts. Tanaka (7-3, 3.64 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits over 7 2/3 innings in a home win over Baltimore his last time out. He surrendered three home runs in that game, and he's given up multiple home runs in four of his last six starts. He was rocked for six runs on seven hits in just five innings in a loss to Houston in his last start away from Yankee Stadium.
The Rangers hand the ball to Colby Lewis, who is coming off back to back wins. Lewis (10-4, 4.49 ERA) allowed two runs on five hits over 7 2/3 innings in a 4-2 win over at Anaheim his last time out. He was rocked for five runs on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings in a loss to the Yankees earlier this year.
The Texas bullpen ranks dead last in the major leagues with an ERA of 4.74.
Take OVER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
07-28-15 |
Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7.5 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on KC@CLE to go OVER the total.
The Cleveland Indians have now lost five in a row after a 9-4 defeat at home to the Royals last night. I think there's a good chance we see another slugfest in Game 2.
Chris Young will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's really struggled with his command lately. Young (8-6, 3.32 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits, including a pair of home runs in just three innings in a loss to St. Louis his last time out. He's given up seven home runs in his last four starts, and he's walked eight batters in those games.
The Indians hand the ball to Trevor Bauer, who has been inconsistent all year. Bauer (8-7, 4.29 ERA) gave up six runs on six hits with three home runs over six innings in a home loss to Chicago his last time out. He's surrendered five home runs and four walks in his last two appearances.
Bauer has really struggled at home, going 3-4 with a 6.16 ERA in 10 starts.
Take OVER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
07-27-15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7 |
Top |
4-3 |
Push |
0 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ARI@SEA to go OVER the total. When you think of Safeco Field, you think of a notorious pitcher's park where runs are hard to come by. That certainly hasn't been the case lately, and on Sunday the Blue Jays and the Mariners combined to hit five home runs in a 6-5 extra-innings win for Seattle. That puts the over trend at Safeco at 12-2-2 over the last 16. The Mariners host Arizona on Monday, and both teams send rookies to the mound.
Robbie Ray will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's coming off a couple rough outings. Ray (3-5, 2.72 ERA) was torched for five runs on five hits and three walks over 4 2/3 innings in a home loss to Miami his last time out. He allowed a pair of runs on eight hits over five innings in a 6-5 loss to San Francisco prior to that. The Mariners hand the ball to Mike Montgomery, who has been rocked in each of his last three starts. Montgomery (4-4, 3.25 ERA) allowed eight runs on six hits over just 2 2/3 innings in his last start. He's surrendered 16 runs on 21 hits over 13 2/3 innings in three straight losses.
Robinson Cano is swinging a red hot bat, hitting .337 with 6 home runs and 17 RBIs in the month of July.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-27-15 |
New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYY@TEX to go OVER the total.
The Texas Rangers will host the New York Yankees in Game 1 of a three game series on Monday, and both these teams are swinging hot bats. The Yankees are coming off back to back wins in Minnesota, scoring a total of 15 runs in those games. The Rangers have won four of their last five, and they've scored seven or more runs in five of their last six. The conditions at the ballpark in Arlington tonight should favor hitters, with the wind blowing out to right. 1-1
Matt Harrison will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's coming off a real gem at Colorado. Harrison (1-1, 5.40 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings in 9-0 win over the Rockies. He was torched for six runs on six hits and three walks over just four innings in a home loss to Arizona prior to that. The Yankees hand the ball to Ivan Nova, who has lost both his starts on the road so far. Nova (2-3, 3.34 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings in a loss to Boston in his last start on the road. He's allowed seven runs on 14 hits over 12.2 innings in hist two trips to Texas.
Texas leads the majors in runs scored versus left-handed pitching. Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-26-15 |
Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 8 |
Top |
7-13 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TEX@LAA to go UNDER the total.
The Angels came out of the All Star break as the hottest team in the majors, but coming into Sunday's series finale versus Texas as losers of three straight. It's not going to get any easier here in a matinee at Angel Stadium, as the Angels rank dead last in the league in scoring in day games, and own a team batting average of .220.
Nick Martinez will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he owns the opposition during the light of day. Martinez (5-5, 3.92 ERA) was roughed up at Coors Field his last time out, and he's winless in his last five starts. The right-hander is 3-1 with a 1.89 ERA in day games though, and this trend holds true throughout his career, with a record of 4-2 with a 2.89 ERA in nine starts in the afternoon the last three seasons.
The Halos hand the ball to Andrew Heaney, who has been brilliant since joining the team. Heaney (4-0, 1.57 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over seven innings in a home win over Boston his last time out. He's allowed just one run over 13 innings in two starts during the day.
The Angels have trended under at home at a rate of 12-3-1 in their last 16 in Anaheim.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-25-15 |
Atlanta Braves v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@STL to go UNDER the total.
The Braves lost Game 1 of this series versus St. Louis by a score of 4-2, and I expect to see another pitcher's duel tonight. The Cardinals have won six of seven since the All Star break, and five of those games fell short of the total. Both these teams have been struggling at the plate in July, and I expect to see that trend continue at Busch Stadium.
Shelby Miller will toe the slab for the Braves, and he's pitched remarkably well this season. Miller (5-6, 2.33 ERA) allowed three runs (only one earned) on four hits over six innings in a 4-1 loss to the Cubs his last time out. He's facing his former team for the first time, and he comes in with a career record of 14-8 with a 2.51 ERA in 33 starts in this ballpark.
The Cardinals hand the ball to Carlos Martinez, who has been having a fine season in his own right. Martinez (10-4, 2.51 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over just four innings in a no decision his last time out. The Cardinals lost that game 3-1 in extra innings to the Mets. He's only given up three earned runs in his last four starts.
These two teams have failed to reach the total in 10 of the last 14 head to head meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
07-25-15 |
New York Yankees v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 |
Top |
8-5 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYY@MIN to go OVER the total.
The Twins bats exploded for 10 runs in a home win over the Yankees in Game 1 of this series last night. The Twins have now won seven of their last eight at Target Field, and boast a home record of 32-16.
Tommy Milone will toe the slab for the home side, and he's been pretty solid since joining the team. Milone (5-2, 3.38 ERA) was torched for seven runs on five hits over just 2 2/3 innings in a loss at Oakland his last time out. He had not allowed more than two runs in his previous six starts, and he is 4-1 at home this year. He's going to have to be careful with Mark Teixeira, who is among the league leaders in home runs and RBIs, as Tex is 4-for-7 with a pair of doubles lifetime versus the southpaw.
The Yankees will hand the ball to C.C. Sabathia, who has been horribly inconsistent so far. Sabathia (4-8, 5.25 ERA) allowed one run on six hits over six innings in a 1-0 win over the Mariners his last time out. He's 2-5 with a 4.27 ERA on the road though, and this looks like a tough spot for the veteran.
The Twins are 4-1 in Milone's last five home starts, and the total has gone over at a rate of 6-1-1 in his last eight appearances at Target Field.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-25-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 |
Top |
8-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@SEA to go OVER the total. Felix Hernandez silenced the mighty Blue Jays bats in Seattle last night, but Toronto might have more success against a former Blue Jays pitcher here at Safeco today. J.A. Happ will toe the slab against his former club, and he's surrendered at least three runs in each of his last seven starts. Happ (4-5, 4.12 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits and two walks over seven innings in a no decision at Detroit his last time out. Prior to that he was lit up for four runs on seven hits and four walks in just four innings in a home loss to the Tigers. He's really been torched in day games, going 0-4 with a 6.39 ERA. The Jays hand the ball to Drew Hutchison, who has been getting lit up on the road. Hutchison (9-2, 5.19 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over six innings in home win over the Rays his last time out. He was torched for 11 runs on 17 hits over 9 2/3 innings in back to back losses on the road prior to that. The right-hander owns a rather swollen 8.81 ERA in 10 starts on the road. Robinson Cano is batting .354 with five home runs and a dozen RBIs in July, and he's 2-for-4 with a home run lifetime versus Hutchison. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
07-24-15 |
Miami Marlins v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-102 |
14 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@SD to go OVER the total.
When Giancarlo Stanton went down with a wrist injury, you had to expect Miami to struggle offensively. They then lost Dee Gordon shortly after the All Star break, but despite their injury woes they've won six of their last 10, scoring an average of almost five runs per game during that span. Perhaps it just goes to show you that even the backups on one of the worst teams in the league are professional ball players, and you can't write them off completely.
Over the last few years, we've come to think of San Diego's PETCO Park as one of the most pitcher friendly in the majors. That's quickly becoming a myth here in 2015. According to ESPN Park Factors, PETCO ranks 5th in total home runs behind Coors Field, Great American Ballpark, Camden Yards and Yankee Stadium. You don't often see totals of 6.5 - 7 in any of those parks, but low totals are still the norm in San Diego. The Padres saw two of three games go over in their series versus the Giants, and a total of eight home runs in those games. Andrew Cashner will toe the slab for the Padres, and he's having a rough season so far. Cashner (3-10, 4.10 ERA) allowed four runs on three hits and two walks over 7 2/3 innings in a 5-2 loss to the Pirates his last time out. He's 1-5 with a 4.01 ERA in seven starts at home this season. The Fish hand the ball to Dan Haren, and the veteran has not missed many bats lately. Haren (7-5, 346 ERA) allowed five runs on seven hits over six innings in an 8-7 loss at Philly his last time out. He's had troubles with San Diego's big bats, as Matt Kemp is hitting .282 with three home runs against him, and Melvin Upton Jr. has gone deep six times in 37 career at bats. Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-24-15 |
Atlanta Braves v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@STL to go UNDER the total.
The Braves will head to St. Louis to take on the Cardinals in a three game set at Busch Stadium this weekend, and Game 1 goes Friday. The Cardinals have won five of six since the All Star break, and four of those games fell short of the total. Both these teams have been struggling at the plate in July, and I expect to see a pitcher's duel here in the series opener.
Manny Banuelos will toe the slab for the visitors, and the rookie is off to an impressive start. Banuelos (1-1, 1.08 ERA) allowed a pair of runs (one unearned) on six hits over 4 2/3 innings in a 4-0 loss to the Cubs his last time out. The southpaw has only allowed two earned runs over 16 2/3 innings in four appearances since being called up. He's facing a St. Louis lineup that is hitting just .230 against left-handed pitching.
The Cardinals hand the ball to Tim Cooney, who has looked sharp in his last appearance. Cooney (0-0, 3.33 ERA) struck seven over 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a 3-1 loss to the Mets his last time out. The 24 year old lefty faces a Braves team that doesn't have a lot of "pop" in the lineup, and Atlanta ranks 27th in the majors in runs scored versus left-handed pitching.
These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 13 head to head meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-23-15 |
Miami Marlins v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 |
|
4-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 43 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@SD to go OVER the total.
When Giancarlo Stanton went down with a wrist injury, you had to expect Miami to struggle offensively. They then lost Dee Gordon shortly after the All Star break, but despite their injury woes they've won five of their last nine, scoring an average of almost five runs per game during that span. Perhaps it just goes to show you that even the backups on one of the worst teams in the league are professional ball players, and you can't write them off completely.
The Marlins are coming off back to back wins over Arizona, and they'll play Game 1 of a four game set versus the Padres at PETCO tonight. Over the last few years, we've come to think of San Diego's PETCO Park as one of the most pitcher friendly in the majors. That's quickly becoming a myth here in 2015. According to ESPN Park Factors, PETCO ranks 5th in total home runs behind Coors Field, Great American Ballpark, Camden Yards and Yankee Stadium. You don't often see totals of 6.5 - 7 in any of those parks, but low totals are still the norm in San Diego. The Padres saw two of three games go over in their series versus the Giants, and a total of eight home runs in those games.
Tyson Ross will toe the slab for the home side, and he's not exactly known to toss many shutouts. Ross (6-7, 3.38 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits over 6 2/3 innings in a home win over Colorado his last time out. He's 3-4 with a 4.44 ERA in eight starts at home so far, and he's allowed five runs on six hits over 7 1/3 innings in his last two appearances versus Miami.
The Fish hand the ball to Tom Koehler, who has been getting lit up on the road. Koehler (7-6, 3.38 ERA) allowed three runs on three hits and two walks over six innings in a loss at Philadelphia his last time out. He's now 3-5 with a 4.85 ERA in 10 starts on the road this year.
The Padres lineup has hit a combined .333 in past meetings with Koehler, and Justin Upton is 6-for-16 with a home run and a pair of RBIs in those games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-22-15 |
San Francisco Giants v. San Diego Padres OVER 7 |
Top |
7-1 |
Win
|
103 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SF@SD to go OVER the total.
Over the last few years, we've come to think of San Diego's PETCO Park as one of the most pitcher friendly in the majors. That's quickly becoming a myth here in 2015. Monday's game failed to go over the total, but last night's game saw 12 runs (three home runs). According to ESPN Park Factors, PETCO ranks 5th in total home runs behind Coors Field, Great American Ballpark, Camden Yards and Yankee Stadium. You don't often see totals of 6.5 - 7 in any of those parks, but low totals are still the norm in San Diego.
Big Game James Shields will toe the slab for the Padres, and he might still have nightmares about the beating he took in the World Series. Shields (8-3, 3.92 ERA) allowed one run on seven hits and four walks over seven innings in a 4-2 win over Colorado his last time out. The right-hander was very fortunate that the Rockies were unable to take advantage of the 11 baserunners. He's struggled with his command of late, waking at least four in four of his last six starts.
The Giants hand the ball to Matt Cain, who makes his fourth start of the season. The right-hander surrendered four runs on eight hits over five innings in a no decision at Arizona his last time out. Over the last two seasons, he's struggled on the road, particularly in day games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-22-15 |
Cleveland Indians v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
7-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@MIL to go UNDER the total.
The Brewers host the Indians in the second of two games at Miller Park this afternoon, and Milwaukee won last night by a score of 8-1. I think runs could be hard to come by here with a hot sunny day forecast for Milwaukee.
Cody Anderson will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's been dealing so far. Anderson (2-1, 0.89 ERA) allowed one run on just three hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 3-1 win over Houston his last time out. He's only given up a pair of runs on eight hits through 16 innings in his two starts on the road this season.
The Brewers hand the ball to Kyle Lohse, who doesn't have a lot of impressive stats to speak of. The 36 year old right-hander is having an off-season, but he hasn't had much trouble in past meetings with Cleveland. The Indians lineup is hitting just .224 over a combined 67 at bats against Lohse.
The Park itself may provide a boost for both pitchers here in this matinee, as it's notoriously difficult to pick up the ball in the shadows during the day in Milwaukee. Ryan Braun has plenty to say about the matter: "It gets to the point where nobody enjoys playing day games here. It's good for pitchers, but you can't see the ball. It's, by far, worse than any other park in Major League Baseball."
His numbers would support his argument, as he's batting .241 during the day in comparison to .288 at night. The Brewers as a team rank 25th in the majors batting just .230 in day games. Much of those struggles would be attributed to the conditions in day games at their home park. Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-22-15 |
New York Mets v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 |
Top |
3-4 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYM@WAS to go UNDER the total.
The Mets won last night's game by a score of 7-2, and their four runs in the top of the ninth killed my play on the under, that had looked quite promising after eight innings. Even with that victory, the Mets are 19-50 in their last 69 games versus Washington. They are also batting just .231 on the road this year, ranking dead last in the majors in runs scored.
Noah Syndergaard will toe the slab for the visitors, looking to win on the road for the first time in his career. Syndergaard (4-5, 3.05 ERA) allowed a pair of run on five hits over seven innings, not factoring in the decision in a 3-2 loss at St. Louis his last time out. He's 0-4 with a 4.73 ERA in six starts on the road so far. but he's only allowed one run on nine hits over 13 1/3 innings in two starts in day games.
The Nats hand the ball to Jordan Zimmerman, who is always at his best at Nationals Park. Zimmerman (8-5, 3.27 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on three hits over four innings in a home win over the Dodgers his last time out. He's 4-3 with a 2.40 ERA at home this season, but an even more impressive 24-8 with a 2.88 ERA at home the past three seasons.
The Nats are 6-0 in Zimmerman's last six starts against the Mets, and New York has seen the total go under in nine of it's last 13 road games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-21-15 |
San Francisco Giants v. San Diego Padres OVER 7 |
Top |
9-3 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SF@SD to go OVER the total.
Over the last few years, we've come to think of San Diego's PETCO Park as one of the most pitcher friendly in the majors. That's quickly becoming a myth here in 2015. Monday's game failed to go over the total, but we did see Matt Kemp hit another home run. According to ESPN Park Factors, PETCO ranks 5th in total home runs behind Coors Field, Great American Ballpark, Camden Yards and Yankee Stadium. You don't often see totals of 6.5 - 7 in any of those parks, but low totals are still the norm in San Diego. Odrishamer Despaigne will toe the slab for the home side, and he's struggled at home this season. Despaigne (3-6, 4.64 ERA) allowed five runs on three hits (two homers) in 5 2/3 innings in a loss to Arizona in his last start at PETCO. He's 2-3 with a 4.36 ERA in nine starts at home overall this season. He'll be tested by a Giants team that is batting a major league best .278 on the road this season.
The Giants hand the ball to Chris Heston, who I think is still overrated after a near no-hitter against the Mets earlier in the year. Heston (9-5, 3.39 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits over six innings in a 6-5 loss at Miami in his last start on the road. He hasn't had much luck against the Padres, surrendering seven runs on 16 hits over 12 innings in two previous meetings.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-21-15 |
New York Mets v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYM@WAS to go UNDER the total.
The Mets are three games back of the Nationals in the NL East, and they come into tonight's game as a slight favorite with their ace on the mound. Given how well deGrom has pitched of late, and the fact that the Nats will hand the ball to a rookie who most people haven't heard of, it's easy to see why some might like the visitors. I think they are falling in love with "Fool's Gold" however, as the Mets are batting just .231 on the road this year, ranking dead last in the majors in runs scored.
Joe Ross will toe the slab for the home side, and he's actually been pretty dominant in his three starts so far. Ross (2-1, 2.66 ERA) allowed one run on six hits while striking out 11 in 7 1/3 innings in a home win over the Pirates his last time out. He went eight strong innings, allowing a pair of runs on seven hits in a win at Milwaukee prior to that. He couldn't ask for a better opponent here at home tonight as he goes for his third straight victory.
deGrom (9-6, 2.14 ERA) tossed eight scoreless innings, surrendering a pair of hits and fanning 10 in a win at San Francisco his last time out. He's been pretty damn good no matter where and when he's pitched lately, but he is significantly better at home, and in the day.
The Mets are 18-50 in their last 68 games versus Wasington, and they've seen 13 of their last 18 road games fall below the total. The Nats have gone under in nine of their last 12 at home
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-21-15 |
Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BAL@NYY to go UNDER the total.
The Bronx Bombers host the Orioles tonight, and a pair of southpaws will face off in what I think has the fixings to be a pitcher's duel. Five of the last six games at Yankee Stadium have gone under, and the humid New York weather might be partially to blame. The forecast is calling for more humid conditions tonight, and the ball might not have a lot of carry on it.
Wei Yin Chen will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's having himself an impressive season. Chen (4-5, 2.78 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits over eight innings in a 3-2 home loss to the Nats his last time out. It was the first time since May that he allowed more than two runs, when he surrendered three runs in a 3-0 loss to Tampa Bay. He's faced the Yankees twice this season, going 1-0 while allowing three runs on nine hits over 13 innings.
The Yankees hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi, who is still undefeated in the Bronx. Eovaldi (9-2, 4.50 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits over five innings in a win at Boston his last time out. He's 4-0 with a 3.72 ERA in eight starts at Yankee Stadium this year, and he's 1-0 with a 4.55 ERA in two starts versus the Orioles.
The Orioles have seen the total go under in 10 straight with Chen on the mound.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-19-15 |
Chicago Cubs v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHC@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Cubs lost Game 1 of this series in Atlanta by a score of 4-2, but battled back to tie the series with a 4-0 win yesterday. Chicago has really struggled at the plate in July, batting just .213 in 14 games. Shelby Miller will toe the slab for the Braves, and he's having a solid season. Miller (5-5, 2.38 ERA) was roughed up in Colorado his last time out, but it's hard to read too much into those numbers at Coors Field. He's 2-3 with a 1.94 ERA in eight starts at home, and 2-0 with a 1.87 ERA in five starts in day games. The Cubs hand the ball to Jake Arrieta, who has also been dealing. Arrieta (10-5, 2.66 ERA) went the distance, allowing one run on two hits with nine strikeouts in a win over the White Sox his last time out. He's 6-1 with a 2.39 ERA on the road, and 6-3 with a 2.44 ERA in day games this year. Those stats are a similar when you dig deeper, and this looks like a good spot for the 29 year old right-hander.
Take UNDER,
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-19-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
102 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PIT@MIL to go UNDER the total. The Brewers have picked up right where they left off prior to the All Star Break, winning back to back home games against the Pirates. They have now won 15 of their last 21, and I like their chances of completing the sweep at home on Sunday afternoon. If you haven't heard of Taylor Jungmann, it's probably only a matter of time. The 25 year old right-hander has been raising plenty of eyebrows in his rookie season in Milwaukee. He's 4-1 with a 2.15 ERA in seven starts, and his two most recent outings have been his most impressive. He went the distance, allowing one run on three hits in a win over the Dodgers in LA, and prior to that he tossed eight strong innings, allowing one run on four hits in a win at Cincinnati. The Pirates hand the ball to left-hander Jeff Locke, who has been better at home than he has been on the road. Locke (5-5, 4.03 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits over five innings in a 4-1 loss to St. Louis his last time out. He's 2-2 with a rather swollen 7.28 ERA in six starts on the road this year. That being said, he's faced Milwaukee twice, going 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA, and he allowed just a pair of runs on seven hits over six innings in his last start at Miller Park. The Park itself may provide a boost for both pitchers here in this matinee, as it's notoriously difficult to pick up the ball in the shadows during the day in Milwaukee. Ryan Braun has plenty to say about the matter: "It gets to the point where nobody enjoys playing day games here. It's good for pitchers, but you can't see the ball. It's, by far, worse than any other park in Major League Baseball." His numbers would support his argument, as he's batting .241 during the day in comparison to .288 at night. The Brewers as a team rank 25th in the majors batting just .230 in day games. Much of those struggles would be attributed to the conditions in day games at their home park. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
07-18-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on COL@SD to go OVER the total.
Over the last few years, we've come to think of San Diego's PETCO Park as one of the most pitcher friendly in the majors. That's quickly becoming a myth here in 2015. Friday's game failed to go over the total, but we did see four home runs in that game (all solo shots). According to ESPN Park Factors, PETCO ranks 5th behind Coors Field, Great American Ballpark, Camden Yards and Yankee Stadium. You don't often see totals of 6.5 in any of those parks, but low totals are still the norm in San Diego.
Chad Bettis will toe the slab for the visitors in Game 2 tonight, and he's been getting hit hard on the road this season. Bettis (5-4, 4.91 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits over six innings in an 11-3 home win over Atlanta his last time out. He's 2-2 with a 4.55 ERA in five starts on the road, and an even more disturbing 2-2 with a 6.10 ERA in seven starts at night.
The Padres hand the ball to Tyson Ross, who has been better on the road than he has been at home. Ross (6-7, 3.34 ERA) tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings in a win at Texas his last time out. He's 3-1 in his last five starts, but only one of those wins came at home, where he is 3-4 with a 4.50 ERA in seven starts.
The Padres have trended over at a rate of 14-5-2 in their last 21 games as a favorite.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-18-15 |
Chicago Cubs v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHC@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Cubs lost Game 1 of this series in Atlanta by a score of 4-2, and I am expecting another low scoring affair here in Game 2. Chicago has really struggled at the plate in July, batting just .212 in 13 games.
Manny Banuelos will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's been brilliant so far. The 24 year old left-hander has surrendered just one run on seven hits over 12 innings in three appearances since being called up from Triple-A. Only one of those starts came at home, and he blanked the Nats over 5 2/3 innings in a 2-1 upset win opposite Max Scherzer.
The Cubs hand the ball to Jon Lester, who hasn't put up the kind of numbers Chicago had hoped for when signing him to a big contract in the off-season. Lester (4-8, 3.59 ERA) allowed five runs on seven hits over seven innings in a loss to the White Sox his last time out.
The Braves haven't had much success against him in past meetings, with more strikeouts (38) than hits (37). The under is 6-0-1 in Lester's last seven starts.
Take UNDER,
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-18-15 |
Seattle Mariners v. New York Yankees UNDER 8 |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SEA@NYY to go UNDER the total.
The Yankees took Game 1 of this home series versus Seattle by a score of 4-3, and I am expecting another pitcher's duel in the Bronx this afternoon. The Yankees lead the majors in runs scored at night, but they have struggled to score runs during the day hitting just .230. That likely has a lot to do with their home park, that seems to favor pitcher's in matinees.
Michael Pineda will toe the slab for the Bronx Bombers, and he's been dealing in recent outings. Pineda (9-5, 3.64 ERA) allowed one run on seven hits over 6 2/3 innings in a win at Boston his last time out. Prior to that he struck out 10 through seven scoreless innings in a home win over Tampa. He's 4-2 with a 3.21 ERA in nine starts at home, but an even more impressive 3-1 with a 2.03 ERA in six starts in the afternoon.
The Mariners hand the ball to Hisashi Iwakuma, who is making just his third start since coming off the DL. The right-hander spun a gem in a home win over the Angels his last time out, but he was torched for five runs on eight hits and four home runs in his first game back against Detroit. He's a solid 18-8 with a 3.39 ERA on the road over the last three seasons.
The Mariners have seen the total go over the number just once in their last 10 road games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-17-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 28 m |
Show
|
ERROR: Play is on OVER! This is a 10* play on COL@SD to go OVER the total. The Rockies closed out the first half as winners of four straight, while the Padres lost six of eight before the All Star break. The Rockies are the underdog at PETCO this Friday, and I like their chances as they've had little trouble hitting Big Game James. Jorge De La Rosa will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been dealing lately. De La Rosa (6-3, 4.34 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits while striking out seven in six innings in a win over Atlanta his last time out. The Rockies have won nine of his last 10 starts, and he's 4-1 with a 1.67 ERA in five starts on the road this season. That being said, he doesn't exactly have good numbers against San Diego. The Padres are batting .387 against him over a combined 163 at bats.
The Padres hand the ball to James Shields, who has not been missing many bats in recent outings. Shields (7-3, 4.01 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits and four walks over 5 1/3 innings in a no decision at Texas his last time out. He's now winless in his last seven starts, and during that span he's struggled with his control, walking 19 batters in those games.
The Rockies have feasted on his offerings in the past, batting a combined .331 versus the right-hander. Nolan Arenado is 7-for-11 with three home runs and five RBIs, while Carlos Gonzalez is 6-for-14 with a pair of homers and three RBIs lifetime versus Shields.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-17-15 |
B.C. Lions v. Saskatchewan Roughriders UNDER 52 |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on BC@SASK to go UNDER the total.
The Lions finished fourth in the West Division with a 9-9 record last year with backup quarterback Kevin Glenn filling in for the injured Travis Lulay. The veteran failed to impress, throwing for 3,918 yards with 17 TDs and 17 INTs. B.C. let him go in the off-season, and he found a new home in Saskatchewan. Once again he finds himself filling in for an injured starter, replacing Darian Durant. Travis Lulay meanwhile is back under center for the Lions, but his return wasn't as spectacular as anticipated. Lulay threw for just 254 yards with 1 TD and an INT in a 27-16 loss at Ottawa. I expect the former Most Outstanding Player (2011) to improve on those numbers tonight, but I am still calling for a low scoring game between a couple of teams that appear to be better on the defensive side of the ball. These teams certainly have a history of playing low scoring games, as 36 of the last 51 meetings have failed to reach the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-17-15 |
Chicago Cubs v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHC@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Cubs will star the second half of the season on the road in Atlanta, and Chicago will be a favorite in Game 1 of this series. I think the bookmakers aren't giving Atlanta enough credit with their ace on the mound.
Julio Teheran will toe the slab for the home team, and he's still perfect in Atlanta in 2015. Teheran (6-4, 4.56 ERA) allowed three runs on two hits, striking out eight over seven innings in a no decision at Milwaukee his last time out. He's 5-0 with a 2.04 ERA in eight starts at home so far this year, and he's 14-8 with a 2.66 ERA at Turner Field over the last three seasons.
The Cubs will hand the ball to Kyle Hendricks, who is coming off a real gem his last time out. Hendricks (4-4, 3.55 ERA) has not allowed a run over 20 1/3 innings in his last three starts. Atlanta has won seven straight home games versus Chicago, and the last four failed to reach the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-17-15 |
Kansas City Royals - Game #1 v. Chicago White Sox - Game #1 UNDER 8 |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on KC@CWS to go UNDER the total.
The White Sox host the Royals in a double header on Friday, and I think Game 1 is likely to be a pitcher's duel. Chicago had won nine of 12 before the break, and they send a red hot right-hander to the mound here today.
Jeff Samardzija will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's coming off a flawless performance in his last outing. Samardzija (6-4, 4.02 ERA) tossed a complete game shutout, surrendering just four hits in a 2-0 home win over Toronto. Prior to that he went 7 2/3 innings, allowing just one run on three hits in a 3-2 win at home versus Baltimore. He's 4-1 with a 2.59 ERA in eight starts at home this year.
The Royals counter with Edinson Volquez, who is having a solid season in Kansas City. Volquez (8-4, 3.31 ERA) will be facing the White Sox for the third time this season, and he was 1-1 with a 1.32 ERA in the first two meetings.
Chicago has seen the total fall short of the number in 21 of their last 26 home games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-12-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 |
Top |
10-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAA@SEA to go UNDER the total.
The Mariners blanked the Angels at Safeco last night, and they send another red hod pitcher to the mound here in the series finale.
Taijuan Walker will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's won six straight starts. Walker (7-6, 4.53 ERA) allowed five runs on six hits over six innings in a 7-6 win over the Tigers his last time out. He was 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA in five starts in June, and he limited opponent's to one run or less in four of his last six outings.
The Angels hand the ball to Andrew Heaney, who has been light's out so far. Heaney (2-0, 1.77 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on eight hits over 7 1/3 innings in a 10-2 win at Colorado his last time out. He allowed just two runs on six hits over 13 innings in his previous two starts.
The Angels rank dead last in the major leagues in scoring during the day, with a team batting average of just .212. These two teams have failed to reach the total in 10 of the last 14 meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-12-15 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@LAD to go OVER the total.
The Brewers are surging, coming into tonight's game in LA as winners of 10 of their last 13. The bats are on fire, and I like their chances of tacking on some more runs against a struggling Dodgers pitcher tonight.
Brett Anderson will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and he's not missing many bats this season. Anderson (5-5, 3.12 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits over five innings in a 7-2 loss to the Phillies his last time out. The 27 year old has struggled with his command for most of the season, and this looks like a tough spot facing a heavy hitting Brewers lineup.
The Brewers hand the ball to Kyle Lohse, who's better days appear to be behind him. Lohse (5-10, 6.29 ERA) allowed four runs on 11 hits over five innings in a home loss to Atlanta his last time out. He's really struggled in day games, going 1-5 with an 8.33 ERA in six starts. He allowed three runs on four hits over five innings in his only start versus the Dodgers this season.
The Brewers have seen the total go over at a rate of 7-2-1 in their last 10 road games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-12-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 |
Top |
1-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@MIN to go OVER the total.
The Tigers offense is firing on all cylinders, scoring a major league best 66 runs in July, with a team batting average of .323. Unfortunately for Detroit, their own pitching staff has been terrible, resulting in a losing record. It has also resulted in the total going over in 21 of their last 22 overall.
Shane Greene will toe the slab for Detroit, and the 26 year old has lost four straight. Greene (4-6, 5.82 ERA) was torched for five runs on seven hits in just three innings in a loss to the Cubs his last time out. He's 2-3 with a 7.57 ERA in six starts on the road, and he's given up eight runs on 13 hits over 12 1/3 innings against Minnesota this season.
The Twins hand the ball to Kyle Gibson, who has won three straight. Gibson (7-6, 3.04 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits over six innings in a home win over Baltimore his last time out. He hasn't had as much luck against Detroit, going 0-1 with a 5.91 ERA in two starts versus the Tigers this season.
J.D. Martinez is hitting .412 with a pair of home runs and five RBIs lifetime versus Gibson.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-11-15 |
San Diego Padres v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SD@TEX to go OVER the total.
The Rangers have really cooled off, losing 13 of their last 18 overall. The good news is that they are hosting a Padres team that has lost six straight.
Colby Lewis will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's been hit hard recently. Lewis (8-4, 4.83 ERA) was torched for 10 runs on 12 hits in a 12-6 loss to the Angels his last time out. He allowed five runs on six hits over six innings in a win over the Orioles in Baltimore prior to that. He's surrendered four home runs in his last two starts.
The Padres hand the ball to James Shields, who has lost six straight. Shields (7-3, 3.88 ERA) allowed just one run on two hits over seven innings in a 2-1 loss at Pittsburgh his last time out. Pitching in Texas is a lot tougher than it is in Pittsburgh though, and he'll have to face the red hot bat of Prince Fielder, who's hitting .350 lifetime versus Shields.
The Over is 6-2-1 in the Rangers last nine home games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-11-15 |
New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYY@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Red Sox not only lost the series opener versus the Yankees last night, but they also lost Clay Buchholz to an elbow injury. Boston is now 6.5 games back of the Yankees in the AL East, and they desperately need to close that gap before the All Star break.
Eduardo Rodriguez will toe the slab for the Sox, and the southpaw is coming off back to back wins. Rodriguez (4-2, 3.69 ERA) allowed one run on six hits, but needed 101 pitches to get throw five innings in a 5-4 win over Houston his last time out. So far he looks like he fits the mold of a Jekyll and Hyde pitcher, with a record of 3-0 with a 0.69 ERA on the road, and 1-2 with a 7.52 ERA at home.
The Yankees hand the ball to Ivan Nova, who has been roughed up in his last two starts. Nova (1-2, 2.65 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits over five innings in an 8-1 home loss to Tampa Bay his last time out. He's really struggled against the Red Sox, who are hitting .342 in previous meetings with the right-hander.
Alex Rodriguez was 2-for-4 with a home run last night, and he's hitting .360 with a pair of home runs and eight RBIs against the Red Sox this season.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-11-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8 |
Top |
5-9 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@MIN to go OVER the total.
The Tigers failed to push the total over in the opener in Minnesota, putting an end to an epic over trend that lasted 19 games. The trend got back on track after the bullpen blew a five run lead in the ninth inning last night. Detroit's bats are firing on all cylinders despite the absence of Miguel Cabrera. They've scored 61 runs in 10 games in July, and they led the majors batting .281 in June. With a struggling veteran on the mound for the Tigers tonight, I think the over trend will continue.
Alfredo Simon will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's coming off a string of poor performances. Simon (8-5, 4.18 ERA) was torched for five runs on eight hits over 5 2/3 innings in a 12-5 win at Seattle his last time out. That makes it four straight starts that he's allowed at least five runs.
The Twins hand the ball to Phil Hughes, who is best known for surrendering the most home runs in the majors during his tenure with the Yankees. He's resurrected his career here in Minnesota, but he's still giving up more than his fair share of home runs. He's surrendered 21 this season, and eight home runs in his last five starts.
Detroit's bullpen surrendered seven runs in the ninth inning last night, something that has been a common problem for the Tigers in recent weeks.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-10-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
16 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@KC to go OVER the total.
The Royals host the major league's highest scoring team in Game 1 of a three game set at Kauffman Stadium tonight, and I think we could see a slugfest in Kansas City.
Danny Duffy will toe the rubber for the Royals, and the southpaw has really been struggling. Duffy (2-4, 5.14 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over 6 1/3 innings in a no decision versus Minnesota his last time out. He's 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA in six starts at home this season, and he's 1-4 with a 5.87 ERA in eight starts under the lights.
The Jays hand the ball to Marco Estrada, who is coming off a string of sub-par performances. Estrada (6-4, 3.59 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over five innings in a 10-5 win over Detroit his last time out. Prior to that he was rocked for four runs on three hits and four walks over just 2 1/3 innings in a home loss to Boston.
Toronto is crushing left-handed pitching, batting a major league best .296 versus southpaws. That's not good news for a struggling Danny Duffy.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-10-15 |
Saskatchewan Roughriders v. B.C. Lions UNDER 49.5 |
|
32-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on SASK@BC to go UNDER the total.
The Lions finished fourth in the West Division with a 9-9 record last year with backup quarterback Kevin Glenn filling in for the injured Travis Lulay. The veteran failed to impress, throwing for 3,918 yards with 17 TDs and 17 INTs. B.C. let him go in the off-season, and he found a new home in Saskatchewan. Once again he finds himself filling in for an injured starter, replacing Darian Durant. Travis Lulay meanwhile is back under center for the Lions, but his return wasn't as spectacular as anticipated. Lulay threw for just 254 yards with 1 TD and an INT in a 27-16 loss at Ottawa. I expect the former Most Outstanding Player (2011) to improve on those numbers tonight, but I am still calling for a low scoring game between a couple of teams that appear to be better on the defensive side of the ball. These teams certainly have a history of playing low scoring games, as 20 of the last 26 meetings in B.C. have failed to reach the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-10-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 |
Top |
6-8 |
Win
|
101 |
14 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@MIN to go OVER the total.
The Tigers failed to push the total over in last night's series opener in Minnesota, putting an end to an epic over trend that lasted 19 games. Detroit's bats are firing on all cylinders despite the absence of Miguel Cabrera. They've scored 55 runs in nine games in July, and they led the majors batting .281 in June. With a struggling veteran on the mound for the Tigers tonight, I think the over trend will be re-ignited.
Justin Verlander will toe the slab for Detroit, and he's still in search of his first win of the season. Verlander (0-2, 6.75 ERA) was torched for seven runs on seven hits, two home runs and a pair of walks in just five innings in a home loss to Toronto his last time out. The former Cy Young winner appears to be on the down side of his career, coming off a pretty poor season in 2014. He was rocked for four runs on eight hits and three walks over just 5 2/3 innings in his only start in Minnesota last year.
The Twins hand the ball to Ervin Santana, who was brilliant in his return from suspension. The 32 year old allowed two runs on three hits over eight innings in a no decision at Kansas City. As good as he looked, it's just one start, and he could be in for a rough ride against a hot Tigers lineup.
Victor Martinez is swinging a hot bat, hitting .338 with a pair of home runs and a dozen RBIs since coming off the DL a few weeks ago. He's hitting .364 with a home run and three RBIs lifetime versus Santana. Ian Kinsler was 2-for-4 with a home run and three RBIs last night, and he's hitting .351 in 57 career at bats against Santana.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-09-15 |
Ottawa Redblacks v. Edmonton Eskimos UNDER 45.5 |
|
17-46 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on OTT@EDM to go UNDER the total.
The Ottawa Redblacks were by far the worst team in the CFL last year, but after the first two weeks of the 2015 season they are just one of two undefeated teams. They've been getting it done with their defense, holding both the Montreal Alouettes and the B.C. Lions to just 16 points in their first two games. They lead the CFL in defense against the pass allowing an average of under 200 yards per game, as well as the run allowing 71.5 yards per game. It might be a little naive to expect this team to continue to put up such dominant defensive numbers, but Edmonton isn't exactly an offensive powerhouse, and they will be without their starting QB Mike Reilly who suffered a knee injury in a Week 1 loss to Toronto. Both these teams have a history of playing low scoring games, with Edmonton seeing the total go under in eight of it's last 10, and Ottawa seeing the total fall below 45 in six of it's last seven.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-09-15 |
Oakland A's v. New York Yankees OVER 7.5 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OAK@NYY to go OVER the total.
The Yankees host Oakland in the rubber match of a three game set in the Bronx this afternoon, and I think the total looks a little low all things considered.
Masahiro Tanaka will toe the slab for New York, and he still doesn't look right since missing time with a sore elbow. Tanaka (4-3, 3.94 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits over six innings in a 7-5 home win over Tampa his last time out. He's just 2-2 with a 5.33 ERA in five starts at home this season, and 1-2 with a 5.60 ERA in five starts in day games. He's surrendered 18 runs on 42 hits over 23 innings in his last four starts.
The A's hand the ball to Jesse Chavez, and he also seems to be trending in the wrong direction. Chavez (4-8, 3.20 ERA) allowed four runs on nine hits over 6 1/3 innings in a home loss to Seattle his last time out. He's allowed a dozen runs on 23 hits over 17 innings in his last three starts.
The Yankees have been playing a lot of high scoring games in the Bronx, with the total going over at a rate of 9-2-1 in their last 12 home games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-08-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Chicago White Sox OVER 8.5 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@CWS to go over the total.
The Blue Jays have split the first two games of this series in Chicago, and each of those games were low scoring battles. I think we could see the bats come alive tonight, as Toronto is batting a major league best .295 versus left-handed pitching.
John Danks will toe the slab for the Sox, and the Jays have hit him hard in the past. Danks (4-8, 4.95 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings in a home win over the Orioles his last time out. Prior to that he surrendered nine runs on nine hits over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the Twins in Minnesota. The Jays lineup is batting .310 versus Danks, and Josh Donaldson is 6-for-11 with a pair of home runs and six RBIs lifetime versus Danks.
The Jays hand the ball to Drew Hutchison, who has really been stinking it up on the road. Hutchison (8-2, 5.23 ERA) was torched for seven runs on 10 hits over 4 2/3 innings in a loss to Detroit his last time out. He's 2-1 with a 9.00 ERA in nine starts on the road overall this season.
The over is 17-5 in Hutchisons last 22 road starts.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-08-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@SEA to go OVER the total.
Detroit has now seen the total go over in 18 straight, and given the way they've been playing, there may be no end in sight. Their starting rotation is struggling, and the bullpen has been a complete disaster over the past few weeks. On a positive note for the Tigers, their bats have been hot, scoring 46 runs in seven games in July, and they led the majors batting .281 in June.
Anibal Sanchez will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's won five straight starts. Sanchez (7-7, 4.65 ERA) four runs on three hits and three walks over 7 1/3 innings in an 8-6 home win over Toronto his last time out. He hasn't been very good in day games this season, going 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA. The Mariners hand the ball to J.A. Happ, who has struggled for most of the season. Happ (4-5, 3.93 ERA) allowed three runs on nine hits over six innings in a 9-3 win over Oakland his last time out. Prior to that he had lost six straight, and he has really been hit hard in day games. Happ is 0-4 with a 6.13 ERA in eight starts in the afternoon so far.
We saw seven home runs in last night's game, so the conditions at Safeco may not be all that favorable for pitcher's at the moment.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-07-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@SEA to go OVER the total.
Detroit has now seen the total go over in 17 straight, and given the way they've been playing, there may be no end in sight. Their starting rotation is struggling, and the bullpen has been a complete disaster over the past few weeks. The defense has been brutal as well, evidence by two more errors in Sunday's loss to Toronto. On a positive note for the Tigers, their bats have been hot, scoring 40 runs in six games in July, and they led the majors batting .281 in June.
Kyle Ryan will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's struggled in his rookie season. Ryan (1-2, 4.55 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on three hits and five walks over four innings in a home loss to Pittsburgh his last time out. He's allowed eight runs on 14 hits over 14 1/3 innings on the road so far, and he's failed to get out of the fourth inning in his last start away from home.
The Mariners hand he ball to Taijuan Walker, who has been dealing lately. Walker (7-6, 4.34 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings, surrendering just one hit in a win at San Diego his last time out. While he's won five straight, four of those wins came on the road, and he allowed three runs on five hits over 6 1/3 innings in a win over Houston at home. He gave up a pair of home runs in that game, and he's facing a Tigers team that hit four home runs at Safeco last night.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-07-15 |
Houston Astros v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7 |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on HOU@CLE to go OVER the total.
The Astros roughed up Carlos Carrasco and the Indians in Cleveland last night, winning by a score of 9-4. It was a surprising result in a game that was expected to be a pitcher's duel, and I think we could see another slugfest here tonight.
Corey Kluber will toe the slab for the Tribe, and he's coming off a no decision in his last start. Kluber (3-9, 3.64 ERA) allowed four runs on seven hits, striking out 14 at Tampa his last time out. While he's putting up impressive strikeout totals, he's also surrendering a ton of hits, and plenty of runs to go along with those hits. The Indians have lost four of his last five starts, and back to back home starts.
The Astros hand the ball to Vincent Velasquez, and the right-hander is still in search of his first major league run. Velasquez (0-0. 4.21 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits over 6 1/3 innings at home to Kansas City his last time out.
The Indians have seen the total go over in six of their last eight overall, while Houston is trending over on the road at a rate of 8-3-1 in their last 12.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-06-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7 |
Top |
12-5 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@SEA to go OVER the total.
Detroit has now seen the total go over in 16 straight, and given the way they've been playing, there may be no end in sight. Their starting rotation is struggling, and the bullpen has been a complete disaster over the past few weeks. The defense has been brutal as well, evidence by two more errors in Sunday's loss to Toronto. On a positive note for the Tigers, their bats have been hot, scoring 28 runs in five games in July, and they led the majors batting .281 in June.
Alfredo Simon will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been shelled in three straight losses. Simon (7-5, 3.94 ERA) was torched for six runs on 15 hits over 5 2/3 innings in a home loss to the Pirates his last time out. He's had plenty of trouble on the road, with a record of 3-3 with a 5.03 ERA in seven starts away from Comerica Park.
The Mariners will hand the ball to Hisashi Iwakuma, who hasn't pitched since April. The right-hander has impressed in his three starts in Triple-A, but he only logged 13 1/3 innings in those games. He could be on a pitch count here in his first game back. The Tigers have hit him hard in past meetings, with the current lineup batting .304 over 102 at bats.
Both Yoenis Cespedes and Ian Kinsler are swinging hot bats, and they have both owned Iwakuma. Kinsler is batting .391, and Cespedes is hitting .417, and each of them has three home runs against the right-hnder.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-06-15 |
Atlanta Braves v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 |
Top |
5-3 |
Push |
0 |
19 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@MIL to go OVER the total.
The Brewers are on fire, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of eight straight. Milwaukee is hitting a major league best .444 so far after five games in July. With the Braves sending a rookie to the mound tonight, I think we should be in for another slugfest.
Matt Wisler will toe the slab for the Braves, and he's making just his second career start on the road. Wisler (2-1, 2.60 ERA) went five innings, allowing one hit and five walks in a home win over Washington his last time out. He didn't fare well in Washington though, getting rocked for six runs on nine hits, failing to record a strikeout in four innings in a 7-0 loss.
The Brewers hand the ball to Kyle Lohse, who has has been getting hit hard most of the season. Lohse (5-9, 6.24 ERA) allowed four runs on nine hits over 6 1/3 innings in a win over Philly his last time out. His numbers at home are shocking, going 3-5 with an 8.16 ERA in nine starts at Miller Park.
Atlanta's bullpen ranks among the worst in the majors with a 4.28 ERA, and they could be asked to log some innings tonight as Wisler has failed to get out of the sixth in two of his three starts so far.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-06-15 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Chicago Cubs OVER 8 |
Top |
6-0 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on STL@CHC to go OVER the total.
The Cubs host the Cardinals in Game 1 of this four game series at Wrigley tonight, and with a couple of big name starters going, it might look like a potential pitcher's duel at first glance. The conditions at Wrigley should favor the hitters here tonight though, with 20+ MPH southerly winds forecast.
John Lackey will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's coming off a tough luck loss. Lackey (6-5, 3.30 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on seven hits over seven innings in a 7-1 home loss to the White Sox his last time out. He's struggled on the road, going 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA in seven starts, and he's also just 2-5 with a 4.17 ERA in 11 starts under the lights.
The Cubs hand the ball to Jon Lester, who hasn't made as much of an impact as expected after signing a big contract this off-season. Lester (4-5, 3.74 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings in a win over the Mets his last time out. He was rocked for four runs on four hits and four walks win four innings in a loss to the Dodgers in his last home start.
The Cardinals lineup has really hit Lester hard in past meeting, with a team batting average of .318. Jason Heyward is 8-for-15 with a home run lifetime versus the southpaw.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-05-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 |
Top |
12-6 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAA@TEX to go OVER the total.
The Angels have won the first two games of this series in Texas, and both games saw plenty of runs. I expect that trend to continue here on Sunday, and the opening total seems a little too low.
Colby Lewis will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's having a solid season. Lewis (8-3, 4.13 ERA) allowed five runs on six hits over six innings in an 8-6 win over the Orioles his last time out. He lost to the Angels in LA earlier this season, and he's 1-5 with a 7.99 ERA in six starts against them since 2012. The Angels lineup has hit .314 against him, with Pujols and Trout doing the bulk of the damage.
The Angels hand the ball to C.J. Wilson, who has been wildly inconsistent. Wilson (6-6, 3.78 ERA) allowed one run on five hits over six innings in a home win over the Yankees his last time out. Prior to that he got rocked by the Astros, surrendering seven runs on eight hits over just 3 1/3 innings. He hasn't been successful at all in previous trips to Texas, going 0-1 with a 9.70 ERA in his last five starts in Arlington.
The big bats in the Rangers lineup have feasted on the southpaw, with Adrian Beltre batting .324 lifetime, and Prince Fielder hitting .467 with a home run and five RBIs.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-05-15 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8 |
Top |
6-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@CIN to go OVER the total.
Don't look now, but the Brewers are on a roll! Milwaukee has won seven in a row, and they are swinging some hot bats. I like their chances of staying hot today against a struggling Cincinnati pitcher.
Mike Leake will toe the rubber for the Reds, and he's coming off yet another terrible outing. Leake (5-4, 4.38 ERA) was torched for seven runs on nine hits over four innings, but was fortunate to get a no decision in a game that the Reds rallied to win 11-7 versus Minnesota. He's really had trouble pitching in his home park, with a record of 2-2 with a 6.11 ERA in eight starts in Cincinnati. He's also had plenty of trouble versus Milwaukee, going 2-3 with a 4.61 ERA in nine career starts. Both of those wins came at Miller Park.
The Brewers hand the ball to Taylor Jungmann, who has been impressive as a rookie. Jungmann (2-1, 2.79 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits over six innings in a win at Philly his last time out. He should get plenty of run support opposite Leake.
Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .407 with a pair of doubles and four RBIs over the last seven days, and he's batting .444 with a home run and four RBIs lifetime versus Leake.
Take OVER
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-04-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
5-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@ATL to go UNDER the total. The Braves have won three of four on this home stand so far, and they are still in the thick of things in the NL East. Atlanta is just a game and a half back of the Mets, and five games out of first place. The Phillies have lost five straight, and eight of their last nine.
Alex Wood will toe the slab for the Braves, and he's having a pretty good season so far. Wood (5-5, 3.17 ERA) tossed 7 1/3 scoreless innings, striking out eight in a 2-1 win over Pirates in Pittsburgh his last time out. He's faced the Phillies twice this season, surrendering just three runs on 14 hits over 10 innings in those games.
The Phillies hand the ball to veteran Kevin Correia, who has been solid in his return to the majors. Correia (0-2, 3.60 ERA) allowed three runs (two unearned) on seven hits over 5 1/3 innings in a 3-2 loss to Washington his last time out. He's 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA in his last four starts against the Braves.
The Phillies rank dead last in the National League in runs scored, while the Braves have seen nine of their last 11 overall fall short of the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-04-15 |
Seattle Mariners v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
105 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SEA@OAK to go UNDER the total.
Seattle has won four of seven on this road trip so far, and they send their ace to the mound in Oakland this afternoon. The A's own the worst home record in the American League (17-25), and this looks like a tough spot against one of the best pitchers in the game.
Felix Hernandez will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's coming off another stellar performance. Hernandez (10-4, 3.05 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings, surrendering just one hit in a no decision against the Angels. He's faced the A's twice this season, and he's allowed five runs on 13 hits over 12 innings in those games, with Seattle winning both. He's 5-0 with a 2.10 ERA in seven starts at Overstock Coliseum over the last three seasons.
The Athletics hand the ball to Kendall Graveman, who has had his moments as a rookie. Graveman (5-4, 3.47 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings in a home win over Colorado his last time out. He hasn't had much success pitching in day games though, with a record of 1-3 with a 5.14 ERA in five starts. The A's have only seen the total go over the number twice in their last 10 home games, while the Mariners have seen the total go under in 13 of their last 16 day games when Felix Hernandez starts.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-04-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 |
Top |
3-8 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@DET to go OVER the total.
The Jays lost Game 1 of this series in Detroit, but a six run rally in the top of the eighth inning helped push the total over for the 11th straight time for the Tigers. They've been playing poor defense, getting poor performances from their pitching staff (especially the relievers), and they are still hitting the ball. Despite the fact that we have a pair of former Cy Young Winners starting today, I still think we can expect FIREWORKS on the 4th of July.
Dickey (3-8, 4.85 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits and three walks over six innings in a home loss to Boston his last time out. He's really struggled on the road, going 0-5 with a 5.79 ERA in seven starts. This looks like a tough spot for the knuckleballer.
The Tigers hand the ball to David Price, who was very fortunate to earn a no decision at home against the White Sox in his last start. Price (7-2, 2.62 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits in six innings, but the Tigers scored four runs in the eighth inning and went on to win 5-4.
Price might have excellent numbers against the Jays in recent seasons, but he hasn't had any answer for Jose Bautista. The Toronto slugger is batting .319 with five home runs and 11 RBIs lifetime versus the southpaw. The Jays are also hitting a major league best .309 versus left-handed pitching.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-03-15 |
New York Mets v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYM@LAD to go OVER the total.
The Mets have only scored one run in their last three games, and they will face the 2014 NL Cy Young Winner on the road in LA tonight. While it sounds like a daunting task, Clayton Kershaw actually hasn't been sharp at all this season.
Kershaw (5-6, 3.20 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits over seven innings in a loss to Miami his last time out. It was his third straight loss, and he's surrendered a total of 10 runs in those games. The worst of the three was a home loss to Texas, when he was tagged for four runs on five hits and a home run in six innings.
The Mets hand the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who has been inconsistent in his rookie season. The 22 year old has been hammered on the road, going 0-3 with a 6.52 ERA in four starts. He's also just 1-4 with a 4.33 ERA in six starts under the lights.
The Dodgers may very well push the total over by themselves with this low number, but I wouldn't be expecting Kershaw to pitch a shutout either at this point.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-03-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees OVER 7 |
Top |
5-7 |
Win
|
106 |
16 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TB@NYY to go OVER the total.
Some might look at this game, and think that with two big name pitchers on the mound, we'll see a pitcher's duel. That's the last thing I expect to see here in the Bronx tonight.
Chris Archer will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's coming off a poor performance his last time out. Archer (9-5, 2.31 ERA) was torched for five runs on five hits (three home runs) in a home loss to the Red Sox. He's been trending in the wrong direction lately, allowing three or more runs in three of his last four starts.
The Yankees hand the ball to Masahiro Tanaka, who is coming off consecutive terrible outings. Tanaka (4-3, 3.88 ERA) has surrendered 13 runs on 17 hits over 10 innings in losses to Houston and Detroit. He gave up three home runs in both of those losses.
If you go back and look at the Yankees last home stand, you can see that the ball simply couldn't stay in the ballpark. In fact the last five games at Yankee Stadium all saw enough runs to double the listed total for tonight's game.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-03-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 |
Top |
6-8 |
Win
|
102 |
16 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@DET to go OVER the total.
The Tigers have been a good bet to go over lately, in fact the over has paid out in each of their last 10 games. Hosting the heavy hitting Jays may do very little to change that, and oddly we haven't seen the bookmakers adjust be bumping up the number. With trends like this, the last thing I want to do is be late to the party, but I can't resist jumping on what looks like a low number.
Drew Hutchison will toe the slab for the Jays, and his record is a little dubious. Hutchison (8-1, 4.99 ERA) allowed one run on four hits over 5 2/3 innings in a home win over Texas his last time out. That makes it four straight starts failing to get out of the sixth inning, and he's been very fortunate to have been backed by the best run support in the major leagues. He's been hit hard on the road, posting an ERA of 8.92 in eight starts.
The Tigers hand the ball to Anibal Sanchez, who was hit hard by the White Sox in his last start. Sanchez (6-7, 4.63 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits, surrendering three home runs in seven innings in a no decision versus Chicago.
Neither team is great defensively, and both bullpens rank near the bottom of the major leagues.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-02-15 |
Hamilton Tiger-Cats v. Winnipeg Blue Bombers OVER 51 |
Top |
52-26 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on HAM@WPG to go OVER the total.
The Tiger Cats looked pretty good on the road in Calgary in Week 1, scoring 15 points in first quarter against the defending Grey Cup champions. They went on to lose the game on a field goal in the final minute, but there were plenty of positives to take from the loss. One standout was Brandon Banks, who didn't waste any time picking up where he left off last season, running back a punt for a TD with 55 seconds left in the first period. An off-season rule change is expected to result in more kick return yardage in 2015, and nobody is likely to benefit more from that than Banks. Zach Collaros completed 27-of-38 passes for 281 yards, and he might put up even bigger numbers against the Bombers defense that ranks last in the CFL in total yards after Week 1. The good news for the Bombers is that their offense looked great in a win over Saskatchewan in Week 1, with QB Drew Willy throwing for 325 yards and three TDs. Based on what I've seen from these two teams, I'm expecting this one to be a bit of a barn burner.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-02-15 |
Texas Rangers v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TEX@BAL to go UNDER the total.
The Rangers have taken two of three in this series versus the Orioles, and they wrap things up tonight at Camden Yards. Texas has won 6 of Yovani Gallardo's last nine starts, and all three losses during that span came by just one run.
Gallardo (7-6, 2.72 ERA) was flawless through 8 1/3 innings in a shutout win at Toronto his last time out. He's 4-2 with a 2.23 ERA in seven starts on the road overall this season. He's only faced the Orioles once since 2012, and he allowed three runs on four hits over 6 2/3 innings in a victory in that game.
Texas has seen the total go under in eight of it's last 10 road games, and four of Gallardo's last five road starts. Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-02-15 |
Chicago Cubs v. New York Mets UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
6-1 |
Loss |
-130 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHC@NYM to go UNDER the total. The Cubs have improved a lot in 2015, but I still think they are a long way from fulfilling the "Back-to-the-Future" prophecy. For those that don't already know, the movie featured a scene that showed the Cubs winning the World Series in 2015. In reality they are 9.5 games back of the Cardinals, and they've failed to score more than two runs in eight straight games. The bookmakers though seem to rate the Cubs as one of the best teams in baseball, and not the mediocre team that they really are.
Jake Arrieta will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's coming off a pair of real gems. Arrieta (7-5, 2.94 ERA) allowed one run on three hits, fanning seven over seven innings in a no decision versus St. Louis his last time out. Prior to that he tossed a complete game shutout at Minnesota. He'll have his work cut out for him here against the Mets, who are tied with the Cardinals for the most home wins in the majors.
The Mets hand the ball to Jacob deGrom, (8-5, 2.15 ERA) tossed eight scoreless innings, surrendering just four hits while striking out seven in a win at Milwaukee his last time out. He's 5-1 with a 1.33 ERA in eight starts at Citi Field this season, and he's an even more impressive 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA in five starts in day games. Those incredible stats were close to identical in his rookie season: 5-3, 1.70 ERA at home, and 4-0, 1.59 ERA in the day.
I like the Mets to avoid the sweep in a pitcher's duel in New York this afternoon.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
07-02-15 |
San Francisco Giants v. Miami Marlins OVER 6.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SF@MIA to go OVER the total.
The Miami Marlins will welcome back their ace Jose Fernandez on Thursday, and he's starting opposite Matt Cain who is also coming off a lengthy stint on the DL. The bookmakers have the total listed at 6.5 for this game, and that might make sense if these two starters were at their best. That's not the case though, and both could be working on a pitch count, likely to exit early.
Fernandez allowed four runs on six hits in his last rehab start at Triple-A, and I think it would be a little naive to expect the 22 year old to come in and pitch a shutout in his first start in the majors in almost a year.
Matt Cain is best known for throwing a perfect game in 2012, but he's been far from perfect since. The 30 year old was 2-7 with a 4.18 ERA in 15 starts last season, and he surrendered 13 home runs in those games. Two of those home runs came in a loss to the Marlins.
I would be surprised to see either of these two starters go deep into this game, and I wouldn't be surprised to see either of the two get roughed up.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-30-15 |
Seattle Mariners v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 |
Top |
5-0 |
Loss |
-125 |
19 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SEA@SD to go OVER the total.
San Diego's PETCO Park has a reputation as a pitcher's park, and prior to this year there have been fewer runs scored at San Diego than in any other park in the majors since 2012. That trend has turned upside down here in 2015, with ESPN's Park Factor showing PETCO ranking as more of a hitter's park so far. Still we see another astronomically low total for tonight's game, and my money is on this over trend to continue here with an improved San Diego offense getting a crack at a rookie pitcher.
Mike Montgomery will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's coming off a complete game shutout victory over the Royals. The 25 year old had allowed four runs on seven hits over 7 1/3 innings in a home loss to San Francisco prior to that. This is only his second career start on the road, his first was an 8-1 win in Houston.
The Padres hand the ball to Ian Kennedy, who was rocked in a loss to San Francisco his last time out. He's 2-3 with a 6.83 ERA in seven starts at Safeco this season.
More bad news for Kennedy, the Mariners lineup has hit .313 against him in previous meetings. Kyle Seager, Logan Morrison and Seth Smith have all hit home runs against the right-hander.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-30-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. Oakland A's OVER 7 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on COL@OAK to go OVER the total. The Oakland A's are in dead last in the AL West, and only have two more wins than the Rockies this season. I can't see how anyone can justify listing Oakland as a 2-1 favorite at home when it has a home record of 15-23. The Rockies hand the ball to Jorge De La Rosa in Game 2 of this series, and the southpaw is 4-1 over his last six starts. He allowed just one run on four hits over seven innings in a win at Miami in his last start on the road. The A's will send Chris Bassit to the mound, and he's replacing Sonny Gray, making his first start of the season. The 26 year old has made five starts over the last three seasons, and he posted a record of 1-1 with a 3.94 ERA in those games. This game features the two very worst bullpens in the major leagues, and both teams could go to the pen early here tonight. Take OVER, GL, Jesse Schule
|
06-30-15 |
Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 |
Top |
6-1 |
Push |
0 |
16 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WAS@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Atlanta Braves have lost five of their last six, and they failed to score more than two runs in five of those games. Runs might be far and few between here in tonight's series opener versus Washington, in what looks like it should be a pitcher's duel.
Shelby Miller will toe the slab for the Braves, and he's been as good as anyone this season. Miller (5-3, 1.94 ERA) allowed one run on three hits over seven innings in a no decision at Washington his last time out. It wasn't the first time he shut down the Nats, he was 2-0 with a 0.73 in four starts versus Washington over the last three seasons.
The Nats hand the ball to Jordan Zimmerman, who has had success against Atlanta. Zimmerman (5-5, 3.42 ERA) tossed eight scoreless innings in a 2-1 home win over Atlanta opposite Miller last week. He's 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts versus Atlanta this season, and he was 2-1 with a 2.83 ERA in six starts against the Braves over the previous three seasons.
The Braves rank 26th in the majors in runs scored versus left-handed pitching, and they have a team batting average of just .236 versus southpaws.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-30-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Detroit Tigers OVER 7.5 |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PIT@DET to go OVER the total.
The Tigers will host the Pirates in an inter-league game at Comerica Park tonight, and the total for this one looks a little low to me. Sure we have a former Cy Young winner versus the current MLB wins leader, but this looks like a tough spot for both.
Justin Verlander will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's making just his third start of the season. The 32 year old was torched for six runs on 10 hits over 6 2/3 innings in a loss to the Yankees in New York his last time out. That was 11 days ago, and his next start was skipped to rest a sore back. He's surrendered four home runs in 11 2/3 innings so far this season.
Gerrit Cole (11-3, 2.16 ERA) was torched for five runs on eight hits over just 4 2/3 innings in a loss to Cincinnati his last time out. He's a solid pitcher, but I think a let down was inevitable after such a hot start to the season. Facing a stacked Tigers lineup in an American League park isn't an ideal situation coming off his worst performance of the season.
The over is 16-5-1 in the Tigers last 22 overall, and that trend is likely to continue tonight.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-29-15 |
New York Yankees v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8 |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYY@LAA to go OVER the total.
The New York Yankees lead the major leagues in runs scored in night games this season, and the Angels rank 5th in scoring under the lights. Tonight's scheduled starters were both roughed up pretty good in their previous starts, so we could be in for another slugfest tonight.
C.C. Sabathia will toe the slab for the visitors, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. Sabathia (3-7, 5.65 ERA) was torched for six runs on eight hits over 4 2/3 innings in a home loss to the Phillies his last time out. Opponents are batting .308 against Sabathia so far this season, and he's surrendered 11 runs on 25 hits over 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts on the road.
The Angels will hand the ball to C.J. Wilson, who was shelled by the Astros in a 13-3 home loss in his last start. Wilson (5-6, 3.92 ERA) allowed seven runs on eight hits over just 3 1/3 innings in that game. He was also rocked by the Yankees in the Bronx a few weeks ago, surrendering six runs on seven hits over seven innings in a 6-2 loss.
The total has gone over in four of Sabathia's last five road starts, and six of his last seven overall.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-28-15 |
Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 7 |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHC@STL to go OVER the total.
We've seen the Cardinals win both the first two games of this series, and their bats have been hot lately. The bookmakers are calling for a pitcher's duel here on Sunday night, but while both these starters have good numbers, I think they're both due for a bit of a let down.
Jason Hammel will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's coming off a flawless performance. Hammel (5-2, 2.65 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings in a win over the Dodgers his last time out. He hasn't had as much success against St. Louis though, surrendering eight runs on 12 hits over 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts versus the Cardinals
The Cardinals hand the ball to Carlos Martinez, who has been dealing all season long. Martinez (8-3, 2.89 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits over seven innings in a win at Miami his last time out. One of his worst starts of the season came at home against the Cubs, surrendering seven runs on nine hits and four walks over just 3 1/3 innings in a 10-9 Cardinals win.
Jason Heyward was 2-for-3 last night, and he's 8-for-14 (.571) lifetime versus Hammel.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-28-15 |
Seattle Mariners v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SEA@LAA to go UNDER the total.
The Angels evened this series at 1-1 with a win over the Mariners last night, and both games fell well short of the total. Given today's scheduled pitchers, we shouldn't expect to see too many runs here in Anaheim this afternoon.
Felix Hernandez will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's owned the Angels in recent seasons. Hernandez (10-4, 3.24 ERA) didn't have his best stuff in a home loss to Kansas City his last time out, but he's 4-0 with a 0.68 ERA over his last eight starts versus the Angels. He also has a history of being even more dominant in day games than he is at night, and he's 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four starts in the afternoon this season.
The Angels hand the ball to Hector Santiago, who is having a fine season in his own right. Santiago (4-4, 2.68 ERA) allowed one run on two hits over six innings in a home win over Houston his last time out. He's surrendered two runs or less in seven of his last 10 starts.
Seattle has won eight straight with Hernandez pitching against the Angels, and the total has gone under in each of his last five starts in Anaheim.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-28-15 |
New York Yankees v. Houston Astros OVER 7.5 |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYY@HOU to go OVER the total.
The Yankees opened up an early lead in yesterday's game at Minute Maid Park, but the Astros rallied scoring six runs on Masahiro Tanaka. In the end the Astros bullpen blew it, and the Yankees won by a score of 9-6. I expect to see a similar story with another slugfest here today.
Michael Pineda will toe the slab for the Bronx Bombers, and like Tanaka he's trending in the wrong direction. Pineda (8-4, 4.25 ERA) was torched for eight runs on 11 hits over just 3 1/3 innings in a loss to Philly his last time out. He hasn't been that good on the road overall this season, posting a 5.05 ERA in six starts.
The Astros hand the ball to Collin McHugh, who's numbers at home are pretty ugly. McHugh (8-3, 4.80 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on nine hits over eight innings in a win over the Angels in LA his last time out. He's posted an ERA of 6.82 in six home starts.
The Over is 9-1-1 in Pineda's last 11 road starts.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-28-15 |
Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers OVER 7.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CWS@DET to go OVER the total.
So far we've seen a couple of slugfests in the first two games of this series in Detroit, and I wouldn't be surprised to see another high scoring tilt here this afternoon.
Jeff Samardzija will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's not missing many bats this season. Samardzija (5-4, 4.53 ERA) allowed just two runs on eight hits over seven innings in a 6-2 win over the Twins his last time out. He had lost four straight prior to that, and one of those losses came at home to Detroit. He was torched for six runs on 10 hits (2 home runs) in that game.
The Tigers hand the ball to David Price, who hasn't shown many signs of weakness this season. Price (7-2, 2.42 ERA) allowed one run on nine hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 7-3 win at Cleveland his last time out. He's got better numbers on the road than he has in Detroit, and he will likely struggle to post a clean sheet against a White Sox team that has been in a groove at the plate.
The Tigers lead the league in runs scored in day games, and they own a team batting average of .308 in 31 games in the afternoon.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-27-15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ARI@SD to go OVER the total.
San Diego's PETCO Park has a reputation as a pitcher's park, and prior to this year there have been fewer runs scored at San Diego than in any other park in the majors since 2012. That trend has turned upside down here in 2015, with ESPN's Park Factor showing PETCO ranking as more of a hitter's park so far. Still we see another astronomically low total for tonight's game, and my money is on this over trend to continue here with an improved San Diego offense getting a crack at a struggling Arizona pitcher.
Jeremy Hellickson will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been inconsistent at best so far. Hellickson (5-4, 4.94 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits over six innings in a home win over the Padres his last time out. He's struggled on the road though, allowing seven runs on 10 hits over 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts away from Arizona. He's also been hit hard by the Padres in three starts this season, surrendering 12 runs on 21 hits over 17 1/3 innings.
The Padres hand the ball to Andrew Cashner, who is having an absolute nightmare of a season. Cashner (2-9, 4.35 ERA) was torched for seven runs on four hits and a pair of walks in a loss to Arizona his last time out. He's faced Arizona three times this year, losing all three games, surrendering 13 runs on 15 hits over 17 innings.
Paul Goldschmidt is batting a major league best .354 with 20 home runs and 62 RBIs, and he's hitting .353 with a home run and five RBIs lifetime versus Cashner.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-27-15 |
Edmonton Eskimos v. Toronto Argonauts UNDER 49.5 |
|
11-26 |
Win
|
100 |
87 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on EDM@TOR to go UNDER the total.
It's not surprising that both the first two games of the CFL season have failed to reach the total. These teams only play two exhibition games before the season starts, and the starters often see very little playing time, and it's hard to develop chemistry on offense with new personnel coming and going. That's certainly the case for Eskimos starting quarterback Mike Reilly, who only completed one pass in two pre-season games. Both these teams have heavy under trends in the first month of the season. Edmonton has seen six of it's last eight games in June go under the total, while Toronto has seen 10 of it's last 12 week one games go under. The Eskimos own the CFL's best defense, and they match up against Toronto's backup quarterback. Toronto has also upgraded it's defense, and they could get after Edmonton's quarterback.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-26-15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ARI@SD to go OVER the total. San Diego's PETCO Park has a reputation as a pitcher's park, and prior to this year there have been fewer runs scored at San Diego than in any other park in the majors since 2012. That trend has turned upside down here in 2015, with ESPN's Park Factor showing PETCO ranking as more of a hitter's park so far. Still we see another astronomically low total for tonight's game, and my money is on this over trend to continue here with an improved San Diego offense getting a crack at a struggling Arizona pitcher.
Robbie Ray will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's off to a good start in his rookie campaign. Ray (2-2, 1.78 ERA) he allowed four runs on six hits over 5 2/3 innings in a loss to the Padres his last time out. It was by far his worst outing of the season, and he'll have to face the same San Diego team here tonight. Matt Kemp was 2-for-5 in that game, and he was 2-for-4 with a home run last night in San Francisco.
The Padres hand the ball to Tyson Ross, who was brilliant in the win over Arizona opposite Ray last week. Ross (4-7, 3.61 ERA) went the distance, allowing one run on four hits while striking out nine. He hasn't had as much luck at home, where he is 2-4 with a 4.76 ERA in six starts.
Paul Goldschmidt is batting a major league best .354 with 20 home runs and 60 RBIs, and he's hitting .350 with a pair of home runs and four RBIs lifetime versus Ross.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-26-15 |
Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHC@STL to go UNDER the total.
The Cardinals return home from an eight game road trip to host the Cubs at Busch Stadium tonight. The Cubs are coming off back to back home losses to the Dodgers, and they've really struggled at the plate, scoring just three runs in their last three games. The Cardinals own the league's best home record at 26-7, and they've won 41 of their last 51 home games.
Jake Arrieta will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's coming off a complete game shutout in his last start. Arrieta (7-5, 3.07 ERA) has been fantastic on the road so far, going 5-1 with a 2.78 ERA in seven starts. He's also pitched well against the Cards, going 1-1 with a 2.92 ERA in two starts. St. Louis leadoff man Matt Carpenter is 0-for-13 lifetime versus Arrieta.
The Cardinals hand the ball to John Lackey, who is also coming off a fantastic performance. Lackey (6-4, 3.41 ERA) allowed one run on five hits over seven innings in a win over the Phillies his last time out. He's 5-1 with a 1.81 ERA at home this year, and one of those wins came against the Cubs (7 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 10 Ks).
Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant are a combined 0-for-9 lifetime versus Lackey.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-26-15 |
Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CWS@DET to go OVER the total.
The Tigers lost the series opener at home to Chicago yesterday, and both teams had a big day at the plate. I'm expecting another slugfest here at Comerica Park tonight, as the Tigers have seen the total go over in eight straight.
Jose Quintana will toe the slab for the sox, and he's been rocked in three previous starts versus the Tigers this year. Quintana (3-7, 3.92 ERA) allowed two runs on five hits over seven innings in a home win over Texas his last time out. He's 0-2 with a 7.88 ERA against the Tigers this year, and Yoenis Cespedes is 8-for-12 with a four home runs lifetime versus Quintana.
The Tigers hand the ball to Anibal Sanchez, and he was crushed in a home loss to Chicago earlier this season. That was not an isolated incident either, as the right-hander is 0-5 with an 8.20 ERA in his last five home starts versus Chicago.
Former NL batting champ Melky Cabrera is hitting .519 with four RBIs in 27 career at bats versus Sanchez.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-26-15 |
Texas Rangers v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 9 |
Top |
2-12 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TEX@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Blue Jays certainly have scored a lot of runs this season, but I think the total in tonight's home game versus Texas is still far too high. Both teams send hot pitchers to the mound, and neither team has been scoring in their most recent games. Texas has lost five straight, averaging three runs per game during that span.
Nick Martinez will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and the 24 year old has pitched well this season. Martinez (5-3, 2.77 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits over six innings in a loss to Chicago his last time out. He's 3-1 with a 1.69 ERA in seven starts on the road this season.
The Jays hand the ball to veteran Mark Buehrle, who has been dealing in recent starts. Buehrle (7-4, 3.90 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits over seven innings in a no decision versus Baltimore his last time out. He's undefeated in his last five starts, and all five of those games saw fewer than nine runs scored. He's 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last four starts versus Texas.
These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, with 13 of the last 16 heat to head meetings falling below the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-24-15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 |
Top |
8-7 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ARI@COL to go OVER the total.
The Rockies have now won three straight at home, and they've scored 25 runs in those games. The D'Backs will send a struggling rookie to the mound here in Game 2, and I think we should be in for another slugfest.
David Hale will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's won two of his last three starts at Coors. Hale (2-2, 5.28 ERA) was rocked for five runs on 10 hits in just five innings in a loss to the Astros his last time out. Even though he's been better at home, he's still given up plenty of runs, and he's surrendered six home runs in his last three home starts.
The D'Backs hand the ball to Alan Webster, who is coming off a terrible performance. Webster (1-1, 6.55 ERA) allowed six runs on five hits and five walks over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the Dodgers his last time out. While his poor numbers in just two appearances this season are a small sample size, his career ERA of 6.38 over 20 starts doesn't give any reason for optimism.
Nolan Arenado was 2-for-4 with a pair of home runs last night, and Troy Tulowitzki also had a pair of hits last night, and he's 9-for-21 (.429) over the last seven days.
Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-24-15 |
Atlanta Braves v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
112 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@WAS to go UNDER the total.
The Nats defeated Atlanta by a score of 3-1 in Washington last night, and they'll be in search of a fifth consecutive victory in Game 2. We should expect another pitcher's duel here in the nation's capital tonight.
Jordan Zimmerman will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's looking to snap a three game losing skid. Zimmerman (5-5, 3.75 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits, while striking out eight over seven innings in a 5-0 loss to Tampa his last time out. He's 3-3 with a 2.75 ERA in eight home starts this season, but he was 24-8 with a 2.88 ERA in 51 starts in Washington the last three seasons.
The Braves hand the ball to Shelby Miller, who is having a breakout season. Miller (5-3, 1.99 ERA) allowed four runs (one earned) on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings in a home loss to Boston his last time out. He's 3-1 with a 2.31 ERA in eight starts on the road, and 2-0 with a 2.30 ERA four starts in the afternoon. The 24 year old is 2-0 with a 0.73 ERA four career starts versus Washington.
Both teams will be missing some of their best hitters, with Freddie Freeman sidelined for the Braves and Jayson Werth and Ryan Zimmerman out for Washington.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-24-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Yankees OVER 7.5 |
Top |
2-10 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@NYY to go OVER the total.
The Phillies bats have exploded for 31 runs during a three game winning streak, and they look to complete a sweep of the Yankees here in the Bronx this afternoon. The Yankees have seen plenty of scoring during this home stand, with the total going over in six straight at Yankee Stadium.
Cole Hamels will toe the slab for the visitors, and he missed his last start due to an apparent groin strain. Hamels (5-5, 2.96 ERA) is the subject of trade rumors, and may have a lot more to think about than this game here in New York. He's having another solid season, but a matinee in the Bronx is hardly an ideal situation for the southpaw.
The Yankees hand the ball to Ivan Nova, who makes his return from Tommy John surgery. The right-hander was 2-2 with an 8.27 ERA in four starts before landing on the DL last year. He didn't look sharp in his last start in Triple-A, surrendering five runs on seven hits. He might be on a pitch count here in his debut, and expectations are pretty low for the 28 year old.
The Yankees offense has also been on fire, batting .361 with 19 home runs over their last six games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-23-15 |
San Diego Padres v. San Francisco Giants OVER 6.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SD@SF to go OVER the total.
The Giants are heavily favored to beat the Padres in the series opener in San Francisco tonight. The total here looks a little low though, and I think we'll see a few runs cross the plate in this one.
Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's having a decent season. Bumgarner (7-4, 3.09 ERA) allowed two runs on four hits over eight innings in a loss at Seattle his last time out. He's faced the Padres twice already this season, going 1-1 with a 4.35 ERA.
The Padres hand the ball to Odrisamer Despaigne who has really struggled all season long. Despaigne (3-5, 4.92 ERA) was rocked for six runs on eight hits over six innings in a loss to Oakland his last time out. He's 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in five starts on the road, and 3-4 with a 5.24 ERA in nine starts at night this season.
Justin Upton hasn't been fooled by Bumgarner, hitting .400 with a home run and a pair of RBIs in 30 career at bats.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-23-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 |
Top |
11-6 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@NYY to go OVER the total.
The Phillies have scored the fewest runs of any team in the majors, but the bats are hot of late. Philly has scored 20 runs in back to back wins over the Cardinals and Yankees. I think the total looks a little low here in the Bronx for Game 2 of this series.
C.C. Sabathia will toe the slab for the Bronx Bombers, and he hasn't looked sharp very often this season. Sabathia (3-7, 5.31 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits over six innings in a 9-4 home win over Miami his last time out. He's 1-3 with a 7.92 ERA in five starts in the Bronx this season.
The Phillies hand the ball to Sean O'Sullivan, who has struggled on the road. O'Sullivan (1-5, 4.79 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits over six innings in a loss to Pittsburgh in his last road start. He's 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA in four starts on the road this season.
The Yankees have hit .314 off O'Sullivan in previous meetings, and Alex Rodriguez is bating .333 with a home run and a couple of RBIs.
Take OVER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
06-23-15 |
New York Mets v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYM@MIL to go OVER the total.
The Mets are in Milwaukee tonight, looking to snap a five game losing skid. They haven't had much success on the road this season though, with a record of 10-24 away from Citi Field this season. That is a trend that seems likely to continue tonight.
Jonathon Niese will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's been brutal lately. Niese (3-7, 4.21 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits and three walks over seven innings in an 8-0 loss to Toronto his last time out. He's 1-5 with a 4.17 ERA in seven starts on the road so far.
The Brewers hand the ball to Mike Fiers, who hasn't been that sharp either. Fiers (3-7, 4.50 ERA) was rocked for six runs on eight hits over five innings in a 10-2 loss at Kansas City his last time out. He went seven innings allowing three runs on five hits in a home win over the Nats prior to that. The Over is 7-3-2 in Niese's last 12 road starts.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-21-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAA@OAK to go UNDER the total.
The Angels and the A's will wrap up this series in Oakland on Sunday, and we should see a pitcher's duel in this one.
Garrett Richards will toe the slab for the Halos, and he's been hot lately. Richards (7-4, 3.59 ERA) allowed one run on four hits over seven innings in a 4-1 win over Arizona his last time out. This will be his second start versus Oakland, and he went six innings, allowing one run on four hits in a home win.
The A's hand the ball to Scott Kazmir, who has also been dealing. Kazmir (3-4, 2.84 ERA) tossed eight scoreless innings allowing just one hit in a win over Texas in his last home start. He's 2-1 with a 1.27 ERA in six starts in Oakland this year.
The Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-21-15 |
Texas Rangers v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TEX@CWS to go UNDER the total.
We've seen the Rangers and the White Sox have played a couple of low scoring games in this series so far, and I don't expect that to change here in the finale on Sunday.
Yovani Gallardo will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's pitched well in recent starts. Gallardo (6-6, 3.16 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings in a win over the Dodgers his last time out. This will be his second start against the White Sox, and he gave up one run on three hits in six innings in the previous meeting.
The White Sox hand the ball to Jose Quintana, who has been quite good in Chicago. Quintana (3-7, 4.03 ERA) allowed three runs on nine hits over six innings in a 3-0 loss at Pittsburgh his last time out. He had won back to back starts against Detroit and Houston at home prior to that.
The White Sox have scored fewer runs than any other team in the American League.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-21-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
2-9 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PIT@WAS to go UNDER the total.
The Pirates bats have been awful quiet lately, and they were no-hit by Max Sherzer in Washington yesterday. They have scored three runs or less in six of their last seven, and they've been held to just one run while losing the first two games here in Washington.
Gio Gonzalez will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's looking to bounce back from a loss at Tampa. Gonzalez (4-4, 4.82 ERA) allowed five runs on eight hits over just 3 1/3 innings in a 6-1 loss to the Rays his last time out. He's always been far better at home than he has been on the road, and he's 2-1 with a 3.26 ERA in five starts at Nationals Park this season. He's 20-11 with a 2.87 ERA in Washington over the last three seasons.
The Pirates hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who is looking for his sixth straight victory. Morton (5-0, 1.62 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings in a win over the White Sox his last time out.
The Nats are still missing two of their best hitters (Ryan Zimmerman & Jayson Werth), and Bryce Harper played through pain with a sore hamstring last night.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-20-15 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 7.5 |
Top |
10-1 |
Win
|
110 |
17 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on STL@PHI to go OVER the total.
The Cardinals beat the a Phillies by a score of 12-4 in Game 1 of this series last night, and we could be in for another high scoring game here tonight.
John Lackey will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's still looking for his first road win of the season. Lackey (5-4, 3.59 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over eight innings in a home win over the Twins his last time out. He's 0-3 with a 6.27 ERA in six starts on the road so far.
The Phillies will hand the ball to Aaron Harang, who has lost five straight starts. Harang (4-8, 3.24 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits over six innings in a loss at Baltimore his last time out. He was rocked for five runs on nine hits over six innings in a loss to St. Louis earlier this season.
The Phillies have seen eight of their last nine home games go over the total.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-20-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-118 |
14 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAA@OAK to go OVER the total.
The A's took a 6-2 lead into the seventh inning last night, but the worst bullpen in baseball allowed eight runs in the top of the seventh, and Oakland lost by a final score of 12-7. I think we could see another slugfest here this afternoon.
Jered Weaver will toe the slab for the visitors, and his best days appear to be behind him. Weaver (4-7, 4.65 ERA) allowed five runs on eight hits over seven innings in a 7-3 loss to Arizona his last time out. He's 2-5 with a 5.57 ERA in eight starts on the road, and he's even worse in days games, with a record of 0-2, 7.36 ERA in two starts. This will be the third time he's faced Oakland, and he's 0-1 with a 4.85 ERA in the first two meetings.
The A's will hand the ball to Jesse Hahn, who has been rather hit or miss this season. Hahn (4-5, 3.65 ERA) allowed one run on three hits over 6 2/3 innings in a win at San Diego his last time out. Three of his four wins have come on the road, and he was tagged for three runs on four hits over five innings against the Angels in a no decision earlier this year.
Albert Pujols was 2-for-5 with a double and a home run last night, and he now has 20 home runs on the season.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
06-20-15 |
Texas Rangers v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TEX@CHI to go UNDER the total.
The Chicago White Sox have lost eight in a row, and they've scored just six runs in their last six games. It won't get any easier this afternoon, as they face a hot Texas team with one of it's best pitchers on the mound.
Nick Martinez will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's having a stellar season so far. Martinez (5-2, 2.76 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits over seven innings in a home loss to Minnesota his last time out. He's 3-0 with a 1.47 ERA in six starts on the road, and he's also undefeated with a 1.69 ERA in five starts in the afternoon.
The White Sox hand the ball to Carlos Rodon, who is having a solid rookie season in his own right. Rodon (2-1, 2.86 ERA) was torched for seven runs on nine hits in just 3 2/3 innings in an 11-0 loss at Pittsburgh his last time out. He's been solid at home, going 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA in three starts.
The White Sox rank dead last in the American League with just 226 runs scored.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|