Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-22-23 | Manchester United v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 46 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Arsenal sits top of the table in the Premier League, but they host a Manchester United home that has been on a roll of late. Eric Ten Hag has really turned things around, winning seven of their last eight matches in all competitions, and going unbeaten during that span. They have scored a dozen goals in their last five matches. Only Manchester City has scored more goals this season than Arsenal. The last three meetings between these teams have all gone over 3. I expect both teams to score and we should see a minimum of three goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 52 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Despite five turnovers against the Chargers last week, the Jags scored 31 points and erased a 27-0 deficit. Trevor Lawrence threw for 288 yards and four TDs on 28-of-47 passing in the comeback. He has his work cut out for him if he wants to keep up with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas City ranks 1st in the NFL in passing (298 yds per game) and #1 in scoring averaging over 29 points per game. Kansas City doesn't have much of a running game, so we should see both teams air it out here. The over is 8-3 in Jaguars last 11 road games, and the Chiefs have gone over in 10 of their last 13 in the month of January. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-23 | Lightning v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Canucks are struggling, winning just two of their last nine games overall. They don't have any problem scoring goals, averaging 3.4 goals per game. They haven't had any success on defense, as only the Anaheim Ducks have allowed more goals this season. This will be the Canucks first home game after playing four straight on the road. Tampa Bay is in town, and these teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings. The over is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Release The Kraken! Ladies and gentlemen the hottest team in the NHL hails from The Emerald City, and Seattle had won eight in a row, prior to losing to Tampa last night. They scored a whopping 36 goals in those wins. Seattle has a potent power play, but they face the Oilers who have the best power play in the NHL. These teams have gone over in all five head to head meetings. The over is 19-7-2 in the Oilers last 28 overall, and they have scored 17 goals in their last three games. The Kraken have gone over in five of their last six versus Pacific Division opponents. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs UNDER 45.5 | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. I can't take a side here, there's no way I trust either of these quarterbacks. Tom Brady has looked his age lately, throwing six INTs in his last four meaningful games. We won't count a meaningless game against Atlanta in the season finale. Dak Prescott has thrown eight picks in his last five starts, and his last game was a complete disaster. He threw for just 128 yards on 14-of-37 passing with a TD and an INT in a 26-6 loss to Washington. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last seven head to head meetings. I expect both coaches to be quite conservative, especially in the first half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-23 | Lightning v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Release The Kraken! Ladies and gentlemen the hottest team in the NHL hails from The Emerald City, and Seattle has won eight in a row. They scored a whopping 36 goals in those games. Seattle has a potent power play, but they face the Tampa Bay lightning who own the #2 ranked power play in the league. The Lightning are 20-7 in their last 27 overall, and they have scored 30 goals in their last seven wins. We should see a shootout in Seattle tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars OVER 47.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 67 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Trevor Lawrence threw for 262 yards and three TDs on 28-of-39 passing in a 38-10 win over the Chargers in LA in Week 3, but don't read too much into the fact that the Chargers were blown out in that game. Justin Herbert had broken ribs, and Keenan Allen didn't play. Despite all the injuries and dealing with adversity, Herbert still threw for almost 5,000 yards and 25 TDs this season. The Chargers boast the NFL's #3 ranked passing offense. Jacksonville won their final five games in the regular season, scoring an average of more than 29 points in those contests. The over is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and the Chargers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 versus Jacksonville. I expect both teams to score their share here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Manchester City v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 50 | 119 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. The Manchester Derby will feature two of the Premier League's highest scoring teams. Manchester City has scored a Premier League best 45 goals in 17 matches, while Manchester United has scored 15 times in their last six matches in all competitions. Eric Ten Hag finally has this team playing the attacking style we are familiar with from his time at Ajax. The last two meetings between these teams were high scoring. City winning both matches by a combined 10-4 margin. With injuries to their top two defenders, Manchester United may have an opportunity to avenge those losses. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | 4-0 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Seattle Kraken come into Montreal as one of the hottest teams in the NHL, and during a four game winning streak they have scored 22 goals. They face a Canadiens team that ranks near the bottom of the league in goals against. Only Vancouver, Anaheim and Columbus have allowed more goals than Montreal. The Habs are banged up on the blue line, making it unlikely their defensive woes will end any time soon. We should expect this game to be high scoring all things considered. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls OVER 235 | 112-121 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Nets come into Chicago as winners of 12 straight overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last five games overall. The bookmakers have set the total at a high number, but I am not sure it's high enough. It's still lower than the number of 238 in the Nets last visit to Chicago, and that game went over with Brooklyn winning 138-112. The Bulls come in scoring 121 points per game in their last five overall, unfortunately for them though they have allowed opponents to average 122 points during that span. The Bulls have gone over in five of their last six overall, and six of their last eight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State OVER 52.5 | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Both these teams should be geared up to play in the Rose Bowl. There aren't a lot of opt outs to worry about here, but both teams will be without their top corners. Cam Rising threw for 310 yards and three TDs on 22-of-34 passing in the PAC12 Championship game, beating USC 47-24. Penn State has scored at least 30 points in six straight games, and the over is 12-5 in the Nittany Lions last 17 non-conference games. They have also gone over in four of their last five versus PAC12 teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 47 | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The line has moved significantly due to the injury to Jalen Hurts. I am not convinced that the Eagles are much worse off with Minshew Mania at the helm. Gardner Minshew has completed over 63 percent of his passes for 41 TDs and a dozen INTs in his NFL career. Most of his playing time came with the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars. Now he steps in behind an elite offensive line, on the best team in the NFL. There is every reason to expect him to be successful, as least moving the ball and putting points on the scoreboard. These teams have gone over in four straight, and three straight in Dallas. The total came down several points after the news that Hurts wouldn't play, and I still expect the Eagles to score enough to get the total over the number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-22 | Giants v. Vikings OVER 49 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on over. The Vikings defense has given up 70 points in their last two games. Last week they trailed the Colts 33-0 at halftime, and came all the way back to win 39-36. They have now gone over the total in six of their last seven home games, and it would be no surprise to see another high score here against the Giants. The Vikings have allowed an average of 28 points in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-22 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 226.5 | 100-118 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks come into Brooklyn averaging over 117 points per game in their last five overall, and the Nets have scored 126 points per game during that span. Neither team has been great defensively of late, each allowing 116.6 points per game in their last five. The last time the Bucks played in Brooklyn the betting total was set at 243. The opening number for tonight's game is lower than it was in each of the past five head to head meetings. I expect both teams to score plenty here in this marquee game two days before Christmas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-22 | Bucks v. Pelicans OVER 227.5 | 128-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks have the best record in the NBA, and they will take on the Pelicans in New Orleans Monday. The Pelicans are just a game back of Memphis for first place in the West. You know both teams will be up for this game, and history tells us that it should be a high scoring affair. The home team has won five of the last six head to head, and the over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. The Pelicans have gone over in four of their last five overall, and the over is 17-4 in their last 21 versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-22 | France v. Argentina OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 79 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Lionel Messi is tied for the tournament lead with five goals, and three of those have come via penalty. Argentina has been awarded four penalties so far, tying the record. With one game to play, you have to think there is a good chance Messi gets another opportunity from the penalty spot. Argentina has scored two or more goals in five straight matches, while France has scored two or more in four of their last five. I don't think either team is going to post a clean sheet here, and 2-1 seems like the most likely final score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-22 | Troy v. UTSA OVER 54 | 18-12 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Roadrunners and the Trojans each finished as Conference Champions, and they both come into their bowl game as winners of 10 straight games. Troy has done it with a Top 10 ranked defense, while UTSA has been an offensive juggernaut. UTSA has scored an average of 41 points per game over it's last 10, while Troy has scored over 100 points in their final two games of the regular season. Troy's defensive stats might be misleading, a product of the opposition they faced. When they played Western Kentyucky and Appalachian State, both of those games saw 60+ points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-22 | Morocco v. France UNDER 2.25 | 0-2 | Win | 50 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. MorocCo is the Cinderella story of the 2022 World Cup. Heading into the Semi Final they have only conceded one goal, and it was an own goal in a 2-1 win over Canada. Their impressive run includes clean sheets against Spain, Belgium, Portugal and Croatia. Surely their strategy will be to stifle France, and they would be more than content to extend this game to extra time and try to win on penalties. I think the most likely scores are 0-0,1-0,1-1, or 2-0. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 72 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Lions are 5-7, and yet they are favorite here at home against a 10-2 Minnesota team. Both these teams are playing their best football of late, each winnimng four of their last five games. The Lions rank dead last in the NFL in total defense, allowing 402 yards per game. Right behind them are the Vikings allowing 398 yards per game. The Lions lost 28-24 at Minnesota earlier this season, and last December they won 29-27 at Ford Field. The over is 11-5 in the Vikings last 16 road games, and the Lions have gone over in six of their last eight home games. The over is 4-1 in the Vikings last five at Detroit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-22 | France v. England OVER 2.25 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. There is no shortage of talent between these two teams. England has scored a dozen goals in four games at the tournament, while France has scored nine goals in four matches. Both teams have scored in three of the last four head to head meetings, and the most recent international friendly was a 3-2 win for France back in 2017. An early goal could light this game on fire. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-22 | Sharks v. Ducks OVER 6 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Sharks will be on the road in Anaheim in a game between two of the league's worst teams. The Ducks rank dead last in the NHL allowing over four goals per game. The Sharks aren't much better, and without starting goaltender James Reimer they might be worse off. Backup netminder Kaapo Kahkonen is 3-6-2 with a 3.71 GAA in a dozen appearances. This will be the third time these teams meet this season, and they combined to score 20 goals in their first two meetings. The over is 15-5-1 in the Sharks last 21 overall, and the over is 10-1-2 in their last 13 versus Pacific Division opponents. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-22 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 225.5 | 121-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Nuggets have scored an average of 115 points per game this season, while the Blazers are averaging just 110 points per game. These teams just played two weeks ago and the Blazers won 135-110. The total went way over the number, and the over is now 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings. The over is 12-4 in the Nuggets last 16 games following an ATS loss, and they have gone over in 10 of their last 14 at Portland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-22 | Michigan v. Minnesota UNDER 136 | 90-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have scored just 63 points per game. There are 371 teams in college basketball that score more than that. They are pretty good defensively though, holding the opposition to just 66 points per game. It's not surprising that they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games. They host a Michigan team that has scored just 69 points over it's last five games. Losing their starting PG Jaelin Llewellyn for the rest of the season won't help. I'd be surprised if either of these teams gets to 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams OVER 43.5 | 16-17 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Heading into the season we thought the duo of Derek Carr and Davante Adams would put up huge numbers. They got off to a slow start, but over the last five games Adams is averaging over 132 receiving yards per game. He also has seven TDs during that span. The Raiders come into LA as winners of three in a row, and they face a Rams defense decimated by injuries. Geno Smith threw for 367 yards and three TDs in LA on Sunday. Despite a lost season for the Rams, they were still competitive against Seattle. These games may just be an opportunity for players like Cam Akers and Van Jefferson to pad their stats. The Raiders 26th ranked defense allows 25 points per game, so there should be opportunities. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-22 | Canadiens v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Montreal is coming off a wild 7-6 OT loss at Vancouver, in a game that saw them blow a 4-0 lead. We might see another high score here in Seattle, as the Kraken have one of the league's best power play units and one of the worst penalty killing units. The over is 6-0 in the Canadiens last six games following an OT game. The Habs have also gone over in 12 of their last 16 when playing the second game of a back to back. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-22 | Lakers v. Cavs UNDER 224.5 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-22 | Switzerland v. Portugal OVER 2 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Portugal will be a favorite in their knockout round match versus Switzerland, and I expect to see both teams score here. Portugal has plenty of offensive talent, and it was on display in the Group Stages scoring six goals in three matches. Switzerland also showed offensive prowess in a 3-2 win over Serbia in their final match of the first round. These two teams have scored a combined 10 goals in the last three head to head meetings. I can't see either of these teams posting a clean sheet. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-22 | South Korea v. Brazil OVER 2.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. We haven't seen Brazil really play an aggressive brand of football yet at this World Cup. After beating Serbia 2-0, they won 1-0 over Switzerland with a late goal. Already having locked up first in the group, they lost 1-0 to Cameroon in the last game of the Group Stages. Expect a different story here against a Korean team that has scored four goals in their last two games. Here in the knockout round nobody is playing for a draw. Expect Brazil to get a goal in the first half, and all hell might break loose after that. These teams have gone over in four of their last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-22 | Brazil v. Cameroon OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. We saw three of the four games at the World Cup yesterday go over the total, which should come as no surprise considering that in the final match of the Group Stages certain teams are forced to throw caution to the wind as they need to win in order to qualify. Unlike the first two matches when they are content to play for a draw, they need to push, take chances and go for the win. Then you have other teams that have already qualified (Brazil) who will rest starters and don't necessarily need a result. Brazil's backups are more than capable of putting a ball or two in the net, and that's especially true against a Cameroon squad that rarely posts a clean sheet. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 45 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 152 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The last game played at Gillette Stadium saw the Patriots score just three points up until the final five seconds of regulation. They were quite fortunate that they held the Jets to just three points on just 103 yards of offense. They were even luckier to return a punt for a touchdown to walk the game off for the win. They host the Buffalo Bills on Thursday night, and both these teams boast Top 5 scoring defenses each allowing just 18 points per game. The weatherman says it's going to be cold with rain and wind (if you can trust the forecast several days out). The Pats have held opponents to three points or less in three of their last four games. I think 21 points will be enough to win this game GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-22 | Senegal v. Ecuador UNDER 2.25 | 2-1 | Loss | -124 | 80 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Ecuador only needs a draw to punch their ticket to the the knockout round at the World Cup. They face Senegal in their final match of the Group Stages, and Senegal needs a win. Ecuador has played to a draw in four of their last five matches in all competitions, and in eight of their last 11. They have also posted a clean sheet in seven of their last eight matches, with the exception being a 1-1 draw versus Netherlands. We can expect a tight defensive battle here, and I expect a final score of 1-1 or 0-0. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-22 | Texas Southern v. Kansas UNDER 139.5 | 55-87 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Kansas Jayhawks are off a 64-50 upset loss to Tennessee, and they have only scored an average of 74.4 points per game so far, ranking 150th nationally. Of course their defense has been stellar, and they host a Texas Southern team that has scored less than 53 points per game in three losses to Top 25 teams. All three of those games went under. Texas Southern has gone under in six straight overall, and the under is 18-7-1 in the Tigers last 26 games following a straight up loss. The under is 9-2 in Jayhawks last 11 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Canucks v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Over. Vancouver might be the best over bet in hockey, going over in 14 of 20 games so far. They score a ton of goals (3.5 per game), but they give up even more (3.9 per game). They are great on the power play (5th) and brutal on the penalty kill (30th). The over is 19-7-1 in the Canucks last 27 road games, and they have gone over in four of their last five versus Las Vegas. The over is 7-3 in the Golden Knights last 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Notre Dame v. USC OVER 63 | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Trojans can keep their playoff hopes alive with a win at home over Notre Dame, but this game could be tricky. Just a week after they gave up 45 points in a win over UCLA, we should expect the Irish do get their fair share of points here in LA. This USC defense has been lit up for 30+ points in four of their last five games, but they also have the nation's #3 ranked offense. Notre Dame has a resume propped up by signature wins over #16 Syracuse and #4 Clemson. The Orange had an injury at QB, and they had home field against the Tigers. Caleb Williams and Jordan Addison present a whole different challenge than DJ Uiagalelei and the Tigers. Look for USC to win a shootout here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Oregon v. Oregon State UNDER 58.5 | 34-38 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Utah Utes rank 1st in the Pac12 in total defense, and they are allowing 20 points per game this season. Oregon State comes in allowing 20.3 points per game. The Beavers at home though are borderline elite defensively. This was evident when they held USC to a season low 17 points, and Caleb Williams to just 180 yards on 16-of-36 passing in late September. Bo Nix was playing on one leg last week, but the Ducks got the win 20-17 over Utah behind a strong effort from the defense. The under is 11-4 in the Ducks last 15 road games, and the under is 5-1 in the Beavers last six home games versus a team with a winning road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Saudi Arabia v. Poland UNDER 2.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Despite the fact that Lewandowski is one of the top goalscorers of his generation, Poland does not score a lot of goals in international play. In fact the under is 5-0 in their last five matches. With Poland off an 0-0 draw versus Mexico, and Saudi Arabia bagging two points with a win over Argentina, a draw here would be a suitable result for both teams. I expect a cautious approach, with neither team wanting to concede the first goal. Saudi Arabia had gone under in four straight prior to the match versus Argentina. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-25-22 | NC State v. North Carolina OVER 56 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Tar Heels have a high powered offense and a Heisman contender at QB, but they rank dead last in the ACC against the pass. Freshman QB MJ Morris has proven he can move the ball against below average defenses, throwing for 475 yards and six TDs in wins over Virginia Tech and Wake Forest. The Wolfpack had a bit of a let down last week against Boston College, but expect them to be better in this rivalry game. The over is 20-8 in the Tar Heels last 28 versus a team with a winning record. Expect both teams to do their share of scoring in what should be a great game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-22 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss OVER 58.5 | 24-22 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Ole Miss ran for 463 yards, and gained a total of 703 yards in a loss (yeah that's right) to Arkansas last week. They also gave up over 500 yards to the Hogs, and 335 yards on the ground. They face a Mississippi State team in the Egg Bowl that doesn't run much, but Will Rogers did throw for 336 yards in a losing effort versus the Rebels last year. The Rebels have gone over in five of their last six overall, and the over is 4-1 in their last five coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-22 | Canada v. Belgium OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Over. The Canadians are minnows of international football, but they might surprise some at this World Cup. Keep in mind they finished ahead of Mexico and USA in CONCACAF World Cup Qualifying. They have scored 11 goals in their last six matches in all competitions, including a 2-1 win over Japan in their last match. They are up against European powerhouse Belgium, who has some of the most talented attacking players in Europe. Kevin De Bruyne might still be the best midfielder in the world, and Romelu Lukaku scores goals in his sleep. The Belgians weakness is their aging defense, and that should keep the door open for Canada. Expect both teams to score and the total to go over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-22 | Buffalo v. George Mason UNDER 145.5 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. George Mason lost 66-62 to Belmont at the Paradise Jam at the UVI Sports & Fitness Center in the Virgin Islands on Saturday. In fact all four games at this venue over the weekend were low scoring, falling well short of 140 combined points. Neither of these two teams have been scoring regardless of the venue, Buffalo comes in averaging 69 points per game while the Patriots are averaging just 65 points per game. The Patriots are strong defensively, which might be why they have gone under in five of their last six games. This number looks way too high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State UNDER 47.5 | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Cincinnati v. Temple UNDER 51 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | TCU v. Baylor UNDER 58 | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 43 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So TCU scored just 17 points on 289 total yards in a win at Texas last week. Their defense was impressive, holding Texas to 10 points on 199 total yards. The question is, did Texas give Dave Aranda the blueprint for slowing down the Horned Frogs offense? I think Baylor has to try to replicate what Texas did, slowing down this game and limiting the possessions. Blake Shapen threw for 203 yards and two INTs on 22-38 passing last week, so don't expect him to be slinging it around the yard this week. I expect to see both teams favor the run in bad weather, resulting in time coming off the clock. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Duke v. Pittsburgh UNDER 49.5 | 26-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Indiana v. Michigan State UNDER 47.5 | 39-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Illinois v. Michigan UNDER 42 | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-22 | Celtics v. Pelicans OVER 226.5 | 117-109 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics have gone over the total in 10 of 16 games so far this season. That comes as no surprise to me. Here is what I said prior to their season opener: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." The over is 7-2 in the Pelicans last nine games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Pistons v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clippers rank dead last in the NBA in scoring, and still they are a 9-point home favorite here against the Pistons. Dallas ranks first in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing 106.3 points per game. The Clippers aren't far behind allowing just 106.9 points per game. The under is 6-1 in the Clippers last seven home games, and they have gone under in seven of their last nine versus Detroit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Nets v. Blazers UNDER 220.5 | 109-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Nets are coming off a 153-121 loss at Sacramento, after going under in six straight before that. This looks like a let down spot here in Portland, facing a Blazers team that ranks sixth in the NBA in opponent's scoring. Portland ranks in the bottom 10 in the NBA in scoring, averaging fewer than 110 points per game. Don't expect a shootout here in Portland. The under is 9-4 in the Nets last 13 games following a straight up loss, and the under is 12-4-2 in the Trail Blazers last 18 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Kings v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Oilers are the most gifted offensive team in the NHL, and it's no surprise that they have one of the best power play units. Special teams could play a big role here, as the Kings come in with an above average power play and a below average penalty kill. The over is 10-4-2 in the Kings last 16 overall, and they have gone over in eight of their last nine road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Ball State v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 149.5 | 71-61 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Nebraska Omaha Mavericks play up to their namesake. They love to run and gun, and they may have found a suitable dance partner here with Ball State. The Cardinals come in averaging 90 points per game on 52 percent shooting. The over is 20-7 in the Mavericks last 27 overall, and they have gone over the number in 23 of their last 32 home games. I can't figure out why this number isn't 150 or higher? GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan UNDER 49.5 | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Traditionally midweek MAC games have been high scoring. I am betting against that trend continuing here on Wednesday night. The weatherman says to expect rain, snow and wind. The wind is the most significant factor. High winds make kicking field goals a tricky proposition, prompting more fourth down attempts, eventually leading to empty drives. When the passing game is off the table, the clock keeps ticking with every running play. The Broncos have failed to reach the total in four straight overall, and five straight when coming off a loss. Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 232.5 | 126-101 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics have gone over the total in 10 of 15 games so far this season. That comes as no surprise to me. Here is what I said prior to their season opener: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." The over is 9-3 in the Hawks last 12 overall. While this is a big number, I just don't think the books can set it high enough. I expect both teams to score 115+. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Iowa v. Seton Hall OVER 148.5 | 83-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Iowa loves to run and gun, and they come into this game averaging triple digits on better than 50 percent shooting. Seton Hall is hardly a defensive juggernaut, they are averaging 79.5 points per game so far. The over is 8-1 in the Hawkeyes last nine after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Hawkeyes won six straight non-conference games to start last season, and all of those landed on a number higher than 148.5, even at Virginia! GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois UNDER 45.5 | 29-23 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Traditionally midweek MAC games have been high scoring. I am betting against that trend continuing here on Wednesday night. The weatherman says to expect rain, snow and wind. The wind is the most significant factor. High winds make kicking field goals a tricky proposition, prompting more fourth down attempts, eventually leading to empty drives. When the passing game is off the table, the clock keeps ticking with every running play. The Red Hawks have gone under in five of their last six MAC games, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Michigan v. Pittsburgh UNDER 141 | 91-60 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on under. These two teams don't play a run and gun style, so it appears that the total of 141 is a little high. Michigan isn't gonna let Pitt score 70, they held PFWU to just 56 points in their home opener. Am 88-83 win over Eastern Michigan should be the exception and not the rule. Emoni Bates dropped 30 on the Wolverines, but Pitt doesn't have a guy who's gonna go off like that. Pitt scored 56 in a home loss to West Virginia on Friday, and the under is 19-7-1 in the Panthers last 27 games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 60.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Traditionally midweek MAC games have been high scoring. I am betting against that trend continuing here on Wednesday night. The weatherman says to expect rain, snow and wind. The wind is the most significant factor. High winds make kicking field goals a tricky proposition, prompting more fourth down attempts, eventually leading to empty drives. When the passing game is off the table, the clock keeps ticking with every running play. The Golden Flashes have gone under in six of their last seven MAC games, and the under is 6-2 in their last eight versus Eastern Michigan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-22 | Northwestern v. Georgetown OVER 144 | 75-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Hoyas came into the season riding a 21 game losing streak, but they are undefeated after winning back to back games to start the season. No thanks to their defense, as they gave up 89 points in their season opener versus Coppin State. Northwestern is also 2-0, and if you look at their schedule last season they won four straight to start the season, scoring 80+ points in all of those games. We have every reason to expect a high score here this afternoon. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-22 | Blues v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Colorado Avalanche host St. Louis on Monday, and this game looks like an interesting matchup. The Avs #1 ranked power play (39%) matches up against the Blues #31 ranked penalty killing unit. The Blues also have an above average power play, and the Avs have a below average penalty killing unit. The over is 19-9-1 in the Blues last 29 games following a win, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 versus Colorado. This games should be quite the battle of special teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-22 | Monmouth v. Illinois UNDER 140.5 | 65-103 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Illini are an enormous favorite here at home versus Monmouth, and it really looks like they just can't set this line high enough. Monmouth is coming off back to back losses by an average margin of over 40 points. They scored an average of just 46 points in those losses. They have scored an average of just 56 points per game in their last five overall. They might be hard pressed to score 50 here against an Illini defense that has held opponents to just 58 points per game in their last five overall. Illinois only averaged 68 points per game during that span. Illinois has failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and six of their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-22 | Clippers v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | 122-106 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clippers have already played the Rockets twice this season, and both of those games were low scoring. LA ranks dead last in the NBA in scoring, averaging just 103 points per game. The fact that they still have a decent record also indicates that they have one of the league's top defenses. The under is 14-3 in Clippers last 17 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven in Houston. This number looks a little inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-22 | Stetson v. South Florida OVER 129 | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The South Florida Bulls were just 3-13 in the American Conference last year, but they are expected to be a lot better here in 2022. Senior forward Keyshawn Bryant has averaged 14.5 points per game since transferring from South Carolina. Sophomore Selton Miguel transferred from Kansas State, and senior Tyler Harris transferred from Memphis. They host a Stetson team that is coming off an 83-74 win over Florida State. The Hatters have gone over in six of their last seven road games, and they have scored over 75 points per game in their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida OVER 144.5 | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. This rivalry game features two teams that are averaging in the mid 70s in scoring, and both shooting the ball pretty well. The Gators are coming off an 88-78 win over Kennesaw State, while the Owls are coming off an 80-67 loss at Ole Miss. The over is 11-5-1 in the Owls last 17 games following an ATS loss, and they have gone over in seven of their last nine road games. The Gators beat the Owls 79-68 in the most recent head to head meeting, and a similar score is expected here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys v. Packers UNDER 44 | 28-31 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. This is the last stand for the Packers this season. If they are going to save the season it has to happen here against Dallas. They get a home game in bad weather, normally an ideal spot for this team. I expect them to bring a ton of intensity on defense and lean on their running game. It's not clear if Aaron Rodgers can do anything with this receiving corps. The Cowboys have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall, and the under is 7-3 in their last 10 games in November. The under is 6-1 in the Packers last seven games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-22 | Manchester United v. Fulham OVER 2.75 | 2-1 | Win | 50 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Manchester United sits fifth in the Premier League table, and they will host Fulham on Sunday. It may surprise some that Fulham has actually scored five more goals this season than Manchester United. They have also conceded five more goals. These teams have a history of scoring goals when they face each other. The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Fulham has gone over the total in four of it's last five matches in all competitions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Boise State v. Nevada UNDER 47.5 | 41-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Under. Did you know it snows in Nevada? Maybe not in Las Vegas but snow is actually pretty common in Reno. The forecast is calling for snow and -5 temps in a late game in Reno here on Saturday night. Boise State doesn't have much of a passing game with QB Taylen Green (6 TD, 4 INT). We've seen the total go under in six of Nevada's last eight home games in the month of November, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings. Not surprising considering Nevada ranks 119th nationally in passing (176 yards per game). GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Leafs have given up eight goals in back to back home losses, and they face Vancouver on Hockey Night in Canada (the Canadian equivalent of MNF) on Saturday night. Vancouver is coming off a 5-2 loss at Montreal. The Canucks have one of the league's best power plays, and one of the worst penalty killing units. This often leads to high scoring games. The over is 34-15-2 in the Canucks last 51 overall, and they have gone over in six straight on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Central Florida v. Tulane UNDER 53 | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Tulane. It's 2022, and in this season the Tulane Green Wave have been the better team. That's not really debatable. Despite coming in with an 8-1 overall record and a 5-0 conference record, they are close to a pickem here at home versus UCF. The Knights have name recognition, and the bigger brand. Starting QB John Rhys Plumlee was sidelined by a concussion last week, and Mikey Keene was solid throwing for 219 yards, three TDs and an INT of 22-of-28 passing in a 35-28 win over Memphis. We expect Plumlee back this week, but he runs into the #11 ranked Tulane defense that is allowing under 17 points per game. The Knights are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win, while the Green Wave are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Alabama v. Ole Miss OVER 64.5 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Alabama is in uncharted territory, with two regular season losses and presumably eliminated from the college football playoff. A lot of people talk about Alabama being 5-0 ATS coming off a loss, but I am not sure those trends are relevant here in a "dream crusher" scenario. They have been terrible on the road all year, including a 52-49 loss at Tennessee. The Vols had 567 total yards in that game, and it's interesting that Ole Miss presents a similar challenge when it comes to pace of play. When these teams met last year the total was set at 80, and the bookmakers set the total over 70 in three of the last four meetings. The Rebels have gone over the number in four straight games, and I expect both teams to score their fair share here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Louisville v. Clemson UNDER 52.5 | 16-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on under. Clemson was exposed by Notre Dame last week, but they return home to face a Louisville team that they have owned in recent years. The Tigers are 7-0 straight up in seven meetings since 2014. They will have their hands full with this Cardinals defense, that ranks 4th nationally in sacks per game. DJ Uiagalelei has been sacked 10 times in his last four starts, and he's looked pretty bad when under pressure. Clemson has failed to cover in nine of their last 12 home games. You look back to their most recent home game and they were quite lucky to sneak past Syracuse, scoring 17 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to win 27-21. Don't be surprised if the Cardinals give them a similar challenge. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Maryland v. Penn State UNDER 57 | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Maryland couldn't get anything going offensively in a bad weather game at Wisconsin last week. Taulia Tagovailoa threw for just 77 yards with a TD and an INT on 10-of-23 passing in a 23-10 loss. It's expected to be another cold and windy winter day at Beaver Stadium Saturday. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings, and the under is 4-0 in the last four at University Park. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Purdue v. Illinois UNDER 45 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Illinois inexplicably lost to Michigan State last week, despite a 441-294 edge in total yards, and a 25-17 edge in first downs. They are in a good spot here at home against Purdue, a team that is reeling after back to back losses to Iowa and Wisconsin. Aidan O'Connell threw five INTs and just one TD pass in those games. He faces the nation's #1 ranked scoring defense in bad weather on the road this week. These teams have failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, and the Fighting Illini are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | SMU v. South Florida OVER 72.5 | 41-23 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The South Florida Bulls fired their head coach after a drubbing at Temple last week. They gave up 54 points to the 119th ranked offense in the country (after scoring 54). On the bright side, Katravis Marsh threw for 176 yards and three TDs. He's thrown for 649 yards, 6 TDs and just one INT since taking over at QB. SMU comes in ranked Top 5 in the nation in passing, and Top 10 in scoring. The over is 12-1 in the Bulls last 13 home games, and they have gone over in 11 of their last 13 coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-22 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 228.5 | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Over. The Warriors snapped a five game losing streak with a home win over the Sacramento Kings, but there remains plenty of reason for concern in Golden State. Only the San Antonio Spurs are allowing more points per game than the Warriors, who's opponents are averaging more than 120 points per game. The good news is that Steph Curry scored 47 points and shot 7-of-12 from beyond the arc in the win over the Kings. We could see another shootout here against the Cavs. The over is 18-7-1 in the Cavaliers last 26 road games, and the Warriors have gone over in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-22 | Wild v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Kraken bring a five game winning streak into tonight's home game against Minnesota. Seattle has one of the league's best power play units, and they are scoring over 3.5 goals per game. The Wild will look to avenge a 4-0 home loss to Seattle last week. We should see more scoring here tonight. The over is 17-8 in the Wild last 25 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-22 | Raptors v. Thunder OVER 220.5 | 113-132 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. The Raptors haven't missed Pascal Siakam, coming off a 116-109 win over Houston. Fred Van Flleet scored 32 points and shot 7-of-16 from beyond the arc. Toronto has gone over in five of their last six in Oklahoma City, and the over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings. The Thunder have gone over in four straight home games. We should both teams run and gun here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 93-111 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Bucks are coming off a 136-132 double overtime win over Oklahoma State. They are banged up with Giannis, Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton all out of the lineup. The backups played well, shooting over 47 percent from the field, and 47 percent from beyond the arc against the Thunder. They have a history of playing high scoring games against the Spurs. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings, and the total for this game is lower than it was in the last eight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-22 | Predators v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Predators pulled starting goaltender Juuse Saros in a 5-1 loss at Seattle a few days ago. Saros is 3-6-1 with a 3.46 GAA this season. The Preds are in Colorado to face the defending champs, and their league best power play. Colorado is converting on an incredible 38 percent of their power play chances. Their penalty killing unit though has struggled, giving up a goal on over 30 percent of their opponent's chances. Of course the result is often a high score. These teams have gone over in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-22 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Nebraska OVER 153.5 | 61-75 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on OVER. Nebraska Omaha lost their season opener at Kansas by 25 points, but despite shooting just 38 percent from the field and 23 percent from beyond the arc they still scored 64 points. They play rivals Nebraska in their second game, and the Cornhuskers defense isn't quite the same as the Jayhawks. This game should be a bit of a track meet, with both teams running and gunning. The over is 19-7 in the Mavericks last 26 overall, and the over is 14-4 in the Cornhuskers last 18 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-09-22 | Florida Gulf Coast v. San Diego UNDER 145.5 | 73-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Coming off a 74-61 win over USC, it's not entirely clear if that win was a result of poor shooting from the Trojans or solid defense from the Eagles. USC shot just 3-of-19 from beyond the arc, but the Eagles only shot 37.5 percent from the field. San Diego is hardly an offensive juggernaut, only averaging 63.6 points per game in their last five dating back to last season. The under is 10-4 in the Toreros last 14 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | Predators v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Canucks have won three of their last four, and they are scoring plenty of goals. They are coming off an 8-5 win over the Ducks, and we should expect another barn burner here against Nashville. These teams have gone over in five of the last six in Vancouver, and the over is 10-3 in the last 13 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 7 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Phillies need to win Game 6 to force a Game 7, but they do have a favorable pitching matchup. Zack Wheeler was tagged for five runs on six hits over five innings in Game 2, but he should bounce back here. His previous road start in San Diego was a gem, tossing seven scoreless innings, striking out eight and allowing one hit. Framber Valdez is suspected to have been using a foreign substance in Game 2, and after getting rocked for 10 runs on 4 2/3 innings in two starts in the World Series last year I can see why. The whole world will be watching, so it would be shocking to see him try anything here in Game 6. The under is 8-3 in the Phillies last 11 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | Penn State v. Indiana UNDER 51 | 45-14 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Indiana ranks dead last in the BIG10 in rushing, so if the weather prevents them from having success in the passing game they are going to be in big trouble. They lost 24-0 at Penn State last year, and another low score seems likely here. The under is 8-2 in the Nittany Lions last 10 games in November, and the Hoosiers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five in the BIG10. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh UNDER 48 | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | West Virginia v. Iowa State UNDER 50 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | Maryland v. Wisconsin UNDER 49.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 221 | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Jazz were supposed to be in contention for a lottery pick this season, but after winning six of their first eight games the betting markets are slow to react. Utah comes into Dallas averaging 118 points per game, while the Mavs are scoring roughly the same. Utah is allowing opponents to average 114 points per game, and the Mavs are allowing opponents to average over 110 points per game. Historical trends for the Jazz point to the under, but the Rudy Gobert Era is over in Utah. These Jazz have gone over (221) in six of eight games, while the Mavs have gone over in five straight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-22 | Astros v. Phillies OVER 7 | 5-0 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. I had the over in Game 3, and somehow despite five home runs the total stayed below the number. I am not very optimistic that Aaron Nola can shutout the Astros here in Game 4, after he was rocked for five runs on six hits in 4 1/3 innings in Game 1. The Astros turn to the back end of their rotation, and the Phillies lineup has been dialed in this entire post-season. In fact the seven runs scored last night is exactly their average at home in the playoffs in six games. The over is 7-2 in the Phillies last nine home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames OVER 6 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Flames are coming off a loss to Edmonton in the Battle of Alberta, but they draw a favorable matchup with a home game against Seattle tonight. Both these teams have top ranked power play units, but the Kraken are pathetic on the penalty kill (66%). Seattle is coming off a home win over Pittsburgh, and the over is 5-0 in their last five games coming off a win. The Flames have gone over in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-22 | Astros v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | 0-7 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. After a rainout on Monday, Game 3 is scheduled to go Tuesday night with Lance McCullers and Rangers Suarez as listed pitchers. Suarez (10-7, 3.65 ERA) faced Houston once this year, and he got rocked for six runs on seven hits in just three innings. He was 4-4 with a 4.27 ERA in 13 home starts. McCullers (4-2, 2.27 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits in five innings in the Bronx his last time out. The over is 7-1 in the Phillies last the home games, and the Phillies have gone over in four of their last five home games against Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-22 | Buffalo v. Ohio UNDER 59 | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Everybody knows that midweek games in the MAC can often be high scoring, and because of that the total for this game is almost at 60. In fact it's six points higher than the last time Buffalo Played in Athens. Only once in the last six head to head meetings has the listed total been higher than 55 points. Even given the much lower totals, only one of the last five head to head meetings reached the number. Buffalo ranks second in the MAC in scoring defense allowing 24 points per game. The under is 4-1 in the Bobcats last five conference games, and the under is 7-2 in the Bulls last nine games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-22 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 223 | 94-112 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Here is what I said prior to the Celtics season opener versus Philly: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." They have since gone over in four of their five games. The over is 5-0 in the Celtics last five versus a team with a winning straight up record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-22 | Oilers v. Flames OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Battle of Alberta is one of the NHL's best rivalries, and historically these games have been high scoring. The over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings, and 8-2 in the last 10. These two teams are each ranked in the Top 5 in the NHL in power play percentage, both scoring on over 30 percent of their opportunities with the man advantage. The over is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings in Calgary. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-22 | Northwestern v. Iowa UNDER 38 | 13-33 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Northwestern comes into Iowa on a six game losing streak, scoring an average of just 16.5 points per game in those losses. This Iowa defense is better than any they have faced this season, and you really have to wonder how the Wildcats could possibly score a TD here. It's likely more likely that their defense record a pick-six than it is for their offense to punch one in. Iowa's offense is historically bad, so it could be a busy day for kickers. These teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings, and they combined for an average of less than 30 points in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-22 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 218.5 | 132-123 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Here is what I said prior to the Celtics season opener versus Philly: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." They have since gone over in three of their four games. The over is 15-5-1 in Cavaliers last 21 road games, and they have gone over in 13 of their last 19 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-22 | Bears v. Patriots UNDER 40.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Patriots welcome back Mac Jones on Monday night at home against the Bears, despite the fact that their offense looked a lot better with Bailey Zappe under center. Jones has thrown for 786 yards, 2 TDs and 5 INTs on 66 percent passing this season. This isn't exactly a favorable matchup as the Bears rank among the best in the NFL against the pass allowing just over 170 yards per game. The good news for New England is that Chicago can't stop the run, allowing over 160 yards per game on the ground. This should prompt Belicheck to pound the rock, burning the clock and slowing the game down. History favors the under, as the Patriots have gone under in six of their last seven MNF games, while the Bears have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight on Monday night. The under is 11-2 in the Bears last 13 games in October. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-22 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 217 | 111-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. They went well over the number in their season opener versus Philly, and this number looks a little low all things considered. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-22 | Blazers v. Kings OVER 226 | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Blazers lost 124-121 to the Sacramento Kings in their season opener last year, and they play the Kings in their first game of the 2022 season. The Kings finished dead last in the NBA in opponent's scoring average last year, and Portland wasn't far behind. These teams have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings, and the over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Sacramento was 4-0 in the pre-season averaging 117 points per game. We should expect a lot more offense than defense here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-18-22 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 214.5 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. Joel Embiid should feast here in the season opener, and both teams should do plenty of scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-22 | Golden Knights v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Seattle Kraken are off to a decent (1-1) start to their second season in the NHL. That said they did blow a 4-2 lead in the 3rd period in their season opener, losing 5-4 to Anaheim in overtime. They have been a good bet to the over since joining the league, and we can expect a high score here as they host the VGK. The over is 8-3 in the Golden Knights last 11 versus the Western Conference, and these two teams have gone over in three of four all time meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |