10-29-16 |
Stanford v. Arizona UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on STAN@ARI to go UNDER the total.
Stanford has lost three of it's last four games, and has scored an average of just 11 points per game during that span. Ryan Burns is really struggling at quarterback for the Cardinal, and he's thrown five INTs and just one TD pass in his last three starts. Christian McCaffrey has been banged up, failing to run for 100 yards in each of his last three starts. He wasn't able to play in Stanford's 17-10 win at Notre Dame. The good news for the Cardinal is their defense has played well, holding Colorado to 10 points last week, and Notre Dame to 10 point the week earlier. Arizona has lost four straight, and it's offense only managed 14 points in a home loss to USC last week. Stanford's defense should make life difficult for the Wildcats, and I think we'll see another low scoring game here in Arizona. The Cardinal have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-27-16 |
Jaguars v. Titans OVER 43 |
|
22-36 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 6* play on JAX@TEN to go OVER the total.
The Jags will visit the Titans Thursday night, and neither of these two teams have been able to stop anybody in recent weeks. The Titans have given up 60 points in their last two games (a home win over Cleveland and a loss at home last week versus the Colts). Quarterback Marcus Mariota has been putting up decent numbers after a slow start, he's thrown eight TD passes and just one pick in his last three starts. He's going up a Jacksonville defense that ranks 26th in the league allowing over 26 points per game. Last week the Jags limited Derek Carr to 200 yards and a TD on 23-of-37 passing, but they still gave up 33 points at home losing to the Raiders. When these two teams met in Tennessee last season, Blake Bortles threw for 322 yards and five TDs in a losing effort. The Titans have reached the total in six of their last seven home games, while the Jags have gone over in nine of their last 12 when coming off a loss.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-20-16 |
BYU v. Boise State UNDER 57.5 |
|
27-28 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 2-team (7.5 point) teaser with BYU+UNDER.
The BYU Cougars come into Boise State riding a three game winning streak, and their overall record of 4-3 is quite impressive when you look at their schedule. Losses to #12 ranked West Virginia and #18 ranked Utah came by a combined eight points, and they lost at home to UCLA by a score of 17-14. Their defense has allowed 21 points or less in five of seven games. The Broncos defense ranks 23rd nationally, allowing less than 20 points per game. Those numbers are little skewed though, considering their soft schedule.
Both teams have relied heavily on a power running game in recent weeks. Boise State running back Jeremy McNichols ran for 217 yards and a pair of TDs last week, carrying the ball a season high 40 times. Jamaal Williams ran for 286 yards and five TDs in BYU's win over Toledo a few weeks ago. I expect both teams to try to establish the run here on Thursday, and the result should be a close low scoring game. BYU has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings in this series, and Boise State has failed to reach the total in nine of it's last 10 home games.
Take BYU+UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-15-16 |
West Virginia v. Texas Tech UNDER 84 |
|
48-17 |
Win
|
100 |
111 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WVU@TTU to go UNDER the total.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are an offensive juggernaut, but they could be slowed by the undefeated West Virginia Mountaineers this week. West Virginia held Kansas State to just 16 points last week, and the Mountaineers rank 15th nationally in passing defense. They've allowed just four passing TDs, while picking off opposing quarterbacks five times. That's not good news for the nation's leading passer Patrick Mahomes, who is dealing with a shoulder injury. He threw for at least 300 yards 10 times last season, but was held to a season low 196 yards with three TDs and one INT on 21-of-34 passing in a 31-26 loss to West Virginia. The total for this week's game is astronomically high, in fact it's far higher than it was in any of the previous four meetings. Only one of those four games went over the total, when Texas Tech won 37-27 at West Virginia in 2013. That still falls well short of the number these teams are being asked to reach here in this game. I expect the Mountaineers defense to make enough stops to keep this game from reaching this inflated number.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-10-16 |
Calgary v. Toronto UNDER 54 |
|
48-20 |
Loss |
-106 |
170 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CAL@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Stampeders come into Toronto Saturday as a double digit favorite, with the CFL's best record at 12-1-1. They boast the league's top ranked defense, and they held the Ticats to just 17 points in a win at Hamilton last week. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and they failed to reach the total in both meetings last year. The under is 21-8-3 in Calgary's last 32 road games, while the Argos have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record. The Argos are struggling, especially offensively as they've scored a total of just 23 points in their last two games. Toronto's quarterback Drew Willy has thrown twice as many INTs (4) as he has TDs (2) in his last four starts. The Argos will be thin at wide receiver, after releasing three of their top wideouts during the week. Calgary won 27-15 at Toronto last year, and I expect a similar result here this week.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-08-16 |
Alabama v. Arkansas OVER 48.5 |
Top |
49-30 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
10-08-16 |
Auburn v. Mississippi State UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
38-14 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-16 |
Cardinals v. 49ers UNDER 43.5 |
Top |
33-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 2-team (7.5 point) tease W/49ers+Under.
San Francisco is coming off a home loss to Dallas on Sunday, and they only managed to accumulate 295 total yards in that game. Blaine Gabbert is putting up pedestrian numbers at quarterback, with as many picks (4) as touchdowns in the first four weeks. Even in a Week 1 win over the Rams, he threw for just 170 yards and a TD. The good news is that the defense has looked pretty solid, and they should be able to hang in there against a struggling Cardinals offense with backup quarterback Drew Stanton getting the start. Stanton was picked off twice, completing just 4-of-11 attempts for 37 yards after replacing the injured Carson Palmer in last week's loss to the Rams. He started eight games for the Cardinals two seasons ago, and won five of those starts. The Cardinals failed to score 20 points in six of those eight games though, and seven of those contests failed to reach the total. Three of the last four meetings in this series have failed to reach the total, and only one of those four games was decided by a double digit margin.
Take SF+UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Cowboys v. 49ers UNDER 46 |
Top |
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
146 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DAL@SF to go UNDER the total.
The 49ers defense pitched a shutout in a home win over the Rams in Week 1, but they were blown out on the road in each of their next two games. I expect a better showing from San Francisco here at home versus Dallas, and with both teams likely to lean on the run, it could be a low scoring battle. Ezekiel Elliot ran for 140 yards on 30 carries in a win over the Bears last week. Carlos Hyde had a big game for San Francisco, running for 103 yards and two TDs on 21 carries in the loss to Seattle. San Francisco's passing game has been futile, with Blaine Gabbert who threw for just 119 yards last week. The Cowboys will be without their top wide receiver as Dez Bryant is sidelined by an injury. San Francisco has gone under in seven straight home games versus teams above .500. The Cowboys have gone under in six of their last seven games played on grass.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Raiders v. Ravens UNDER 46.5 |
Top |
28-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
148 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OAK@BAL to go UNDER the total.
The Raiders defense couldn't stop anybody in the first two weeks, but they are coming off a solid 17-10 road win at Tennessee. They limited Marcus Mariota to 214 yards with no TDs and two INTs on 17-of-33 passing. They will try to do it again on the road at Baltimore, and the Ravens offense hasn't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard. Baltimore ranks 24th in the NFL, averaging just 19 points per game. Last week Joe Flacco really struggled, throwing for 214 yards on 21-of-40 passing, with no TDs and a pair of INTs.The Ravens though have won three straight to start the season, behind the league's 4th ranked defense. The Ravens have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games, and six of their last seven on field turf. Derek Carr had a career best 351 passing yards against this Baltimore secondary last year, but I don't like his chances of a repeat performance here on the road Sunday.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-02-16 |
Colts v. Jaguars UNDER 49.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
144 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND@JAX to go UNDER the total.
The Colts defense got the job done at home versus San Diego last week, holding the Chargers to just one offensive touchdown. Andrew Luck threw for 331 yards with one TD and an INT in the 26-22 victory. Indianapolis will face the winless Jaguars in London, and this looks like a tough spot for a banged up Andrew Luck. The Jags defense was great last week, limiting Joe Flacco to 214 yards on 21-of-40 passing, with no TDs and a pair of INTs. They also did a good job defending the run, holding the Ravens to 84 yards and a TD on 22 carries. Blake Bortles made a ton of mistakes though, and that cost Jacksonville in a 19-17 loss. Bortles had one of his best games last season in a win over the Colts, throwing for 250 yards and three TDs. That game went over the total, but these teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The total here looks a little high, given both team's struggles on offense.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-01-16 |
Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 59 |
Top |
24-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
119 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ARI@UCLA to go UNDER the total.
The UCLA Bruins are coming off a tough home loss to Stanford, but once against their defense was extremely impressive. The Bruins made Christian McCaffrey look human, limiting him to 138 yards on 26 carries, keeping him out of the endzone. Stanford was held to just three field goals, before Ryan Burns completed a game winning drive with a TD pass to J.J. Arcega-Whiteside with 24 seconds left in the game.
Previously, the Bruins held the Aggies to just 24 points in regulation in an overtime loss at College Station, and they held the BYU Cougars to just 14 points in a win in Provo. While the defense looks great, there isn't a lot to get excited about on offense. Josh Rosen looks nothing like the Heisman candidate he was supposed to be.
Arizona's defense has also been impressive, and these two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Four of the last five meetings in California have failed to reach 50 points. The total for this Saturday's game is closer to 60. The Bruins have failed to reach the total in 11 of their last 14 home games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-01-16 |
A's v. Mariners UNDER 8 |
Top |
9-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OAK@SEA to go UNDER the total.
The Mariners will probably need to sweep this series to have any chance of clinching a Wild Card spot, and they've done well so far winning the first two games at home. Both those games went under the total, and I expect another pitcher's duel in Game 3.
Hisashi Iwakuma will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been dealing. The right-hander allowed just one run on four hits over six innings in a 4-3 win at Houston his last time out. He's 4-0 with a 3.12 ERA in four starts versus Oakland this season.
The A's hand the ball to rookie right-hander Jharel Cotton, who has an impressive 1.44 ERA, and .159 opponent's batting average. He limited the hot hitting Texas Rangers to just one run on three hits over seven innings in his last start.
These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings at Safeco.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
10-01-16 |
Calgary v. Hamilton UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
36-17 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CAL@HAM to go UNDER the total.
The Calgary Stampeders lead the CFL in scoring defense, as the only team in the West to allow less than 300 total points. That hasn't stopped them from going over the total in each of their last four games, but I expect a different story here in Hamilton on Saturday. They have a long history of playing low scoring games versus the Ticats, failing to reach the total in eight straight meetings dating back to 2012. Hamilton's offense has been out of sync lately, averaging fewer than 20 points per game over their last three. The under is 20-8-3 in Calgary's last 31 road games, while the Ticats have failed to reach the total in 43 of their last 63 home games. The under trend in head to head meetings goes way back, with 20 of the last 28 failing to reach the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-29-16 |
Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CIN@STL to go UNDER the total.
After scoring 34 runs in the first two game of this series at Busch Stadium, we saw a pitcher's duel in Game 3. The Reds hung on to win by a score of 2-1, and I expect another low scoring battle here in the finale.
Dan Straily will toe the rubber for the Reds, and he's been dealing. Straily (14-8, 3.74 ERA) allowed one run on five hits over 6 1/3 innings in a 6-1 win over Milwaukee his last time out. The Reds have won eight of his last 10 starts, and he's 10-2 with a 3.00 ERA since the All Star break.
The Cardinals hand the ball to Alex Reyes, who has won three straight. He's only given up one run in 12 1/3 innings at home, and in his last appearance at home he shut out the Cubs for 4 1/3 innings.
The Cardinals have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 19 overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-27-16 |
Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8 |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Braves are on fire at the moment, coming into this home series versus Philly as winners of seven of their last eight. I expect a pitcher's duel in Game 1.
Julio Teheran (6-10, 3.10 ERA) allowed one run on five hits over seven innings in a 5-4 win over the Mets his last time out. He's pitched very well against Philly this season, going 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA in two previous meetings. Philly's lineup is batting just .221 over a combined 172 at bats versus Teheran.
The Phillies hand the ball to Jerad Eickhoff, who has also pitched well against Atlanta. He's 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA in four starts versus the Braves this year, but he's 0-1 with a 2.89 ERA in his two starts at Atlanta.
The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-25-16 |
Bears v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 |
Top |
17-31 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHI@DAL to go UNDER the total.
The Cowboys are a big favorite at home to the Bears on Sunday night, but I am still not convinced that rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot are going to live up to all the hype. The Cowboys are 1-1, and everyone is singing the praises of their new rookie quarterback. As solid as he's looked, he's yet to throw a TD pass. The good news is that he hasn't made many mistakes. If the Cowboys want to keep it that way, they will have to continue protecting him with a conservative game plan on offense. They don't need to come out passing, and settling for field goals is likely to be plenty good enough against these Bears. Chicago's offense is in rough shape, with Brian Hoyer stepping in at quarterback to replace Jay Cutler. Hoyer is a capable backup, but this is a tough situation, playing behind an offensive line that can't stop the pass rush. Chicago has not seen the total go over 45 points in seven straight games dating back to last December. The Cowboys have gone under in four of their last five versus an opponent with a losing record, and I expect to see a low scoring game here tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-24-16 |
Nebraska v. Northwestern UNDER 48 |
Top |
24-13 |
Win
|
100 |
83 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-16 |
BYU v. West Virginia UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
32-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-16 |
Syracuse v. Connecticut UNDER 57.5 |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-16 |
USC v. Utah UNDER 47 |
Top |
27-31 |
Loss |
-107 |
14 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on USC@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Utah Utes are 3-0, but when you really examine those three victories, none of them are all that impressive. Despite the fact that they've played three unranked opponents, they've scored an average of just 26 points per game, ranking 90th nationally. The Trojans haven't looked great defensively, but keep in mind that they've played two defending conference champions (Alabama and Stanford). When matched against a lesser opponent, they didn't look too bad. USC held the Utah State Aggies to just seven total points, and 253 total yards in Week 2. Sam Darnold will step in at quarterback for the Trojans, but he faces a Utes defense that ranks top 10 nationally. Darnold was 5-of-7 for 45 yards with an INT against Stanford last week. Given the history between these two conference rivals, we should expect to see a defensive battle. The last time the Trojans played here they lost 24-21, and the under in 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-22-16 |
Clemson v. Georgia Tech UNDER 57.5 |
Top |
26-7 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-16 |
Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
3-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SF@LAD to go UNDER the total.
The Giants and the Dodgers have been involved in back-to-back pitcher's duels, and I expect a similar result here in Game 3 tonight.
Matt Moore will toe the slab for San Francisco, and the southpaw has been dealing. Moore (11-11, 4.06 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on seven hits over five innings in a home win over the Cardinals his last time out. He's won four of his last five starts, holding the opposition to two runs or less in all four wins. The only loss during that span came at Coors Field. He came one out away from a no-hitter in his last start at LA (August 25th). The Dodgers have hit just .182 versus Moore in 88 previous at bats.
The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who has been the epitome of consistency. While he rarely blanks the opposition, he's held opponents to three runs or less in 10 straight starts.
These teams have gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings, and that's a trend that's likely to continue tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-20-16 |
Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7 |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SF@LAD to go UNDER the total.
We saw a pitcher's duel in LA last night, with the Giants blowing a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the ninth. I expect to see a similar result here in Game 2 tonight.
Johnny Cueto will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's been dealing. Cueto (16-5, 2.86 ERA) went the distance, allowing two runs on five hits, fanning seven in a home win over St. Louis his last time out. He allowed one run on four hits over six innings in a 1-0 loss at LA back in August, and he's 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in four starts versus the Dodgers this year.
Rich Hill will go for LA, and he suffered his first loss as a Dodger in his last start. The southpaw allowed four runs on four hits over 5 1/3 innings in a loss at Arizona. He hasn't given up any runs in three starts in LA.
Six of the last 10 games between these teams have been decided by a single run, and the under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in LA.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-19-16 |
Eagles v. Bears OVER 42 |
Top |
29-14 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@CHI to go OVER the total.
Jay Cutler had the Bears up 14-10 at halftime in Houston in Week 1, but Chicago was shutout in the second half and went on to lose 23-14 to the Texans. The offensive line couldn't keep Houston's pass rushers off of Cutler, and he was sacked five times. Chicago's offense should have a more favorable matchup here at home against Philly. The Eagles are really thin in the secondary, and making matters worse, Leodis McKelvin will be out with a hamstring injury. Rookie quarterback Carson Wentz had his way with the Browns in Week 1, throwing for 278 yards and a pair of TDs. Wentz has plenty of weapons at his disposal, but he might not be quite as successful here on the road against a solid Bears defense. The Bears have seen the total go over in nine of their last 13 games in the month of September, and the over is 4-1 in their last four games versus the Eagles.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-19-16 |
Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 9 |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@BAL to go UNDER the total.
The Red Sox sit three games clear of Baltimore at the top of the AL East, and the two teams play Game 1 of a four game series at Camden Yards on Monday.
Rick Porcello will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's looking for his 21st win of the season. Porcello (20-4, 3.12 ERA) allowed a single run on four hits over eight innings in a 1-0 loss to the Orioles his last time out. He's held the opposition to two runs or less in seven of his last 10 starts.
The Orioles hand the ball to Dylan Bundy, who shutout the Yankees in his last home start. The 23 year old is 4-2 with a 2.72 ERA in 17 appearances at home in 2016. He's 2-0 with a 4.91 ERA in his last three starts.
The under is 23-5-1 in Baltimore's last 29 home games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-18-16 |
Astros v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
3-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on HOU@SEA to go UNDER the total.
The Astros beat the Mariners by a score of 2-1 at Safeco yesterday, moving into a second place tie with Seattle in the AL West. Both teams are trying to clinch a Wild Card berth, and I wouldn't be surprised to see another pitcher's duel here in Seattle Sunday.
Ariel Miranda will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's won three straight starts. Miranda (4-1, 4.10 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings, surrendering just three hits in a win at LA his last time out. He's now 3-0 with a 3.65 ERA in five appearances at Safeco this season.
The Astros hand the ball to Doug Fister, who has been better on the road than he has been at home. The right-hander has won a dozen games this season, nine of those coming on the road. He's 2-1 with a 4.67 ERA in three starts against the Mariners this season, and Seattle's lineup has hit a combined .241 over 133 at bats versus Fister.
These teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the under is 5-0-1 in the Mariners last six games versus a right-handed starter.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-17-16 |
Cardinals v. Giants OVER 7.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on STL@SF to go OVER the total.
The Giants have won back to back games in this home series versus St. Louis, and we've seen plenty of scoring in both those contests. I think we'll see our fair share of runs here in Game 3 on Saturday.
Mike Leake will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been hit hard in previous meetings with the Giants. San Francisco's lineup is hitting .325 over 126 at bats versus Leake. Hunter Pence has really given him trouble, the Giants right fielder is batting .419 in 31 career at bats against him.
The Giants hand the ball to Jeff Samardzija, who hasn't missed many bats lately. Samardzija (11-10, 4.07 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits in six innings in a home loss to San Diego his last time out. The Cardinals are hitting .306 over 111 previous at bats versus Samardzija.
These teams have gone over in eight of the last nine meetings in San Francisco.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-16-16 |
Astros v. Mariners UNDER 8 |
Top |
6-0 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on HOU@SEA to go UNDER the total.
The Astros are two games back of Seattle in the AL West, and they begin a three game series at Safeco tonight. The Mariners are a favorite with ace Felix Hernandez on the mound, and I expect this to be a pitcher's duel.
Hernandez (11-5, 3.58 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings in a win at Oakland his last time out. He's 7-1 in his last 11 starts, but his ERA during that span is a bit of a concern at 4.22.
The Astros hand the ball to Colin McHugh, who has owned the Mariners. McHugh (10-10, 4.86 ERA) has been dealing, winning five straight starts. He allowed one run on two hits over five innings in a 2-1 win over the Cubs his last time out. He's 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two starts at Safeco this season.
The Mariners are batting just .216 with 46 strikeouts and 38 hits over 176 at bats against McHugh in previous meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-16-16 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
101 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAD@ARI to go UNDER the total.
The D'Backs have won four straight, and all four of those games have been slugfests. I expect a pitcher's duel tonight as they host the Dodgers in Game 2 at Chase Field.
Kenta Maeda will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and he's probably been the most consistent pitcher in the majors this year. He's held opponents to three runs or less in nine straight starts. What's really interesting about that stat, is that during that span he's pitched at Coors Field twice, at Citzen's Bank Park, and he's face the D'Backs twice at home. He's 2-1 with a 3.18 in five starts against Arizona this season.
The D'Backs will hand the ball to Zack Greinke, who has lost back to back starts. One of those was against the Dodgers, and he was torched for eight runs on nine hits over 4 2/3 innings in a 10-2 loss in LA. He's likely burning for another crack at his former team, and I think he'll be a little sharper tonight. Four of his last five home starts have gone under the total.
The under is 15-5-1 in Dodgers last 21 overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-16-16 |
White Sox v. Royals OVER 7 |
Top |
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CWS@KC to go OVER the total.
The White Sox come into Kansas City tonight as winners of six of their last nine, and the are the favorite with ace Chris Sale on the mound.
Sale (15-8, 3.03 ERA) is winless in his last four starts, and a trip to Kansas City looks like a tough place to break out of slump. The Royals have seen him plenty throughout his career, and they've hit him pretty hard. Kansas City is batting .300 over 390 at bats against him in previous meetings. Sale won 14 games in 18 starts before the All Star break, and he's won just once in 10 starts since.
Kansas City will counter with Ian Kennedy, who is 5-0 in his last nine starts. Kennedy (11-9, 3.62 ERA) made his last start against the White Sox, tossing six scoreless innings, surrendering one hit and fanning six. He faced Chicago twice earlier in the season, and the results were not as favorable. He gave up eight runs on 15 hits (5 home runs) in a dozen innings in those two games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-15-16 |
Jets v. Bills UNDER 40.5 |
Top |
37-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play NYJ@BUF to go UNDER the total.
The Bills offense was putrid in Week 1, gaining just 160 total yards in a 13-7 loss to the Ravens. It doesn't figure to get any easier here at home versus the Jets just four days later. Their top receiver Sammy Watkins is banged up, still bothered by a foot injury that troubled him last year. The Jets defense didn't look too bad in a loss to Cincinnati on Sunday, holding the Bengals to a total of 57 yards on the ground, and sacking Andy Dalton seven times. Ryan Fitzpatrick had an average performance, throwing for 189 yards with two TDs and an INT on 19-of-35 passing. Fitzpatrick has a history of struggling against Rex Ryan's defense. Last year he was picked off three times while throwing for 181 yards on 16-of-37 passing in a 22-17 at Buffalo in last year's season finale. The Jets lost at home to the Bills earlier in the season, by the exact same score. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three straight meetings, and the under is 4-1 in the Jets last five trips to Buffalo.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-14-16 |
Mets v. Nationals UNDER 9 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYM@WAS to go UNDER the total.
The Nats have split the first two games of this home series versus the Mets, but they are a favorite in the rubber match with a red hot pitcher on the mound. I expect to see a low scoring game here in the nation's capital today.
Tanner Roark will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's been dealing all year long. Roark (14-8, 2.85 ERA) allowed one run on six hits, fanning eight over six innings in a home win over Philly his last time out. He's 7-5 with a 2.63 ERA in 15 starts at home, but an even more impressive 6-2 with a 1.77 ERA in 11 starts in day games.
The Mets hand the ball to Robert Gsellman, who beat the Nats in New York just two weeks ago. Gsellman (2-1, 3.92 ERA) allowed four runs on seven hits over five innings in a no decision at Atlanta his last time out. He won't have much margin for error here opposite Roark.
These teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 10 meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-12-16 |
Rams v. 49ers UNDER 42.5 |
Top |
0-28 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LA@SF to go UNDER the total.
The Niners host the Rams on Monday Night Football, and these two teams have a lot in common. They both finished with a losing record, missing the playoffs last year. They both have below average quarterbacks, and both teams like to focus on running the football. They've gone under in each of the last three head to head meetings, and the under is 4-1 in the Rams last five visits to San Francisco. The Niners have scored an average of less than 12 points in those three games, while the Rams were held to an average of just over 18 points per game. Case Keenum won three of his four starts at the end of last season, but he didn't put up eye popping numbers, with four TDs and one INT in those games. Three of those four games went under the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-12-16 |
A's v. Royals OVER 8.5 |
Top |
16-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OAK@KC to go OVER the total.
The Royals are four games back in the American League Wild Card race, but they play a home series versus Oakland, which should be a chance to make up some ground.
Ross Detwiler will toe the slab for the A's in Game 1, and he's been lit up in recent outings. Detwiler (1-3, 5.15 ERA) was torched for three runs on five hits and two walks in just three innings in a loss to the Angels his last time out. He's 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA in five appearances on the road in 2016.
The Royals hand the ball to Dillon Gee, who has been pitching well lately. The 30 year old is trying to hold down a spot in the Royals rotation, and he's won three of his last four starts. He's 4-3 with a 4.02 ERA in 17 appearances at Kauffman this season.
The Over is 12-3-1 in the Royals last 16 overall.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-11-16 |
Indians v. Twins OVER 8.5 |
Top |
7-1 |
Loss |
-130 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@MIN to go OVER the total.
The Twins have lost 18 of their last 22 overall, and 19 of those games saw at least nine runs scored. We should expect plenty of scoring here in Sunday's game.
Corey Kluber will toe the slab for the visitors, and while he's having a solid season, he's been hit hard by the Twins. He's surrendered seven runs on 13 hits and five walks over 14 2/3 innings against Minnesota this year. He's surrendered seven runs on hits, walking five and giving up three home runs in his last two starts.
The Twins hand the ball to Jose Berrios, who hasn't missed many bats in his rookie season. Berrios (2-5, 9.21 ERA) allowed five runs on nine hits over five innings in an 11-5 home loss to the Royals his last time out. He's faced Cleveland twice, surrendering eight runs on 11 hits in 10 innings.
The over is 39-13-2 in the Twins last 54 home games.
Take MIN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-11-16 |
Orioles v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BAL@DET to go UNDER the total.
The Orioles have split the first two games of this series in Detroit, and I expect to see a pitcher's duel here in the rubber match.
Justin Verlander will toe the slab for the Tigers, and the under is 9-1 in Verlander's last 10 starts. The Tigers ace is 9-4 with a 3.17 ERA at home, and 6-1 with a 2.09 ERA in his last 11 starts overall. He's owned Baltimore, the Orioles are batting just .235 with 68 strikeouts in 247 at bats in previous meetings.
The Orioles hand the ball to their ace Chris Tillman, who was roughed up in a home loss to Houston his last time out. This looks like a good spot for Tillman, who is 7-3 with a 3.18 ERA in a dozen starts on the road this season, and he tossed seven shutout innings, striking out seven in his only start against the Tigers.
The under is 6-2 in Detroit's last 10 home games, and 38-18 in Baltimore's last 56 overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-11-16 |
Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 |
Top |
11-8 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@TOR to go UNDER the total.
We saw a pitcher's duel at Rogers Center on Saturday, with the Jays winning by a score of 3-2. The stakes are high with Boston holding on to a one game lead in the AL East, and I expect another low scoring affair here on Sunday.
Aaron Sanchez will toe the slab for the Jays, and he's been Toronto's best pitcher this season. Sanchez (13-2, 2.92 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits over seven innings in a no decision at New York his last time out. He's 5-1 with a 3.36 ERA in 11 starts at home, and 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA in two starts versus Boston.
The Red Sox will hand the ball to Clay Buchholz, who has really found his groove since the All Star break. Buchholz (6-10, 4.99 ERA) allowed one run on eight hits, striking out six over 6 2/3 innings in a 5-1 win at San Diego his last time out. He's 3-1 with a 2.95 ERA in 15 appearances so far in the second half of the season. He's faced Toronto three times, holding them scoreless through 8 2/3 innings.
These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 13 meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-10-16 |
Central Florida v. Michigan UNDER 55.5 |
Top |
14-51 |
Loss |
-110 |
94 h 60 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UCF@MICH to go UNDER the total.
The Wolverines took full advantage of a travel weary Hawaii team last Saturday, beating the Warriors by a score of 63-3. I expect them to face a slightly tougher challenge here at home against a UCF team that pitched a shutout in Week 1. The Knights were 0-12 last season, but I expect them to be far more competitive here in 2016. This program is only two years removed from a 9-4 season and an AAC Championship. As impressive as Michigan's offense looked last week, their passing game wasn't exactly what you would call explosive. Wilton Speight was picked off on his first pass attempt, and finished with 145 yards and three TDs on 10-of-13 passing. The Knights have played five straight non-conference games without going over the total, and the under is 20-5-1 in their last 26 games during the month of September. Weather conditions in Ann Arbor are expected to be less than ideal, with rain and wind in the forecast.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-09-16 |
Indians v. Twins OVER 9 |
Top |
5-4 |
Push |
0 |
13 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@MIN to go OVER the total.
The Twins have lost four of seven on their current home stand, and all seven of those games have seen 10 or more runs. They host Cleveland tonight, and I expect another slugfest.
Danny Salazar will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's been roughed up in previous meetings with Minnesota. Salazar (11-6, 3.78 ERA) allowed one run on six hits, striking out 11 over 5 2/3 innings in a 6-5 home win over Miami his last time out. He's faced the Twins twice this season, surrendering nine runs on nine hits and six walks over a combined 6 2/3 innings. He also surrendered three home runs in those games, and the Twins have tagged him for seven home runs total while batting .287 in 115 previous at bats.
The Twins hand the ball to Tyler Duffey, who has really been hit hard at home. Duffey (8-10, 6.24 ERA) was torched for six runs on seven hits in just three innings in a home loss to the Tigers his last time out. He's 4-5 with a 7.22 ERA in a dozen starts at Target Field this season.
The Twins might have the worst record in the major leagues, but since the All Star break on two teams have scored more runs than Minnesota.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-08-16 |
Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TEX@SEA to go OVER the total.
The Mariners are 3-3 on their current home stand, and five of those games saw the total go over. They wrap up a four game series with Texas tonight, and I expect another slugfest.
Taijuan Walker will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been getting hid hard lately. Walker (4-10, 4.60 ERA) failed to get out of the first inning, giving up six runs on six hits including three home runs in a 10-3 home loss to the Angels his last time out. He's 0-3 with a 9.17 ERA in his last four starts, and he's allowed seven runs on 14 hits over 11 innings in two previous meetings with Texas.
The Rangers hand the ball to Derek Holland, who has been hit hard at Safeco in the past. Holland (7-6, 4.57 ERA) allowed two runs on six hits and three walks is six innings in a 12-4 win over Houston his last time out. The Mariners are batting .293 with 11 home runs over a combined 232 at bats versus Holland.
Texas has gone over in nine straight, while Seattle has gone over in eight of it's last nine.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-07-16 |
Braves v. Nationals OVER 8 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@WAS to go OVER the total.
The Nats have lost back to back games in this home series with the Braves, and both games went over the total. The number here in game three seems artificially low with Stephen Strasburg returning from an elbow injury.
Strasburg (15-4, 3.59 ERA) was torched for nine runs on nine hits over 1 2/3 innings in a loss to Colorado his last time out. Prior to that he gave up six runs on seven hits and a pair of walks over 5 1/3 innings in a home loss to Atlanta. He's always had trouble with the Braves, who are batting .287 against him over a combined 122 at bats. Freddie Freeman has done plenty of damage, batting .412 with four home runs against him.
The Braves hand the ball to Mike Foltynewicz, who makes his second career start against Washington. He was roughed up in the first meeting, giving up four runs on five hits and a pair of walks over 5 2/3 innings in an 8-5 win at Nationals Park.
Atlanta has won six of it's last eight overall, with the total going over in seven of those eight games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-07-16 |
Mets v. Reds UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 60 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on NYM@CIN to go UNDER the total.
The Reds are 2-3 through the first five games of this home stand, and only one of those games went over the total. I expect a pitcher's duel here at Great American Ballpark this afternoon.
Noah Syndergaard will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's been dealing lately. Syndergaard (12-8, 2.56 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on three hits over seven innings in a loss to Washington his last time out. The Reds haven't had much success against him, hitting a combined .173 over 52 at bats.
The Reds hand the ball to Anthony DeSclafani, who has been one of the hottest pitchers in the majors since returning from injury. DeSclafani (8-2, 2.93 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits over seven innings in a 3-2 home win over St. Louis his last time out. He's 4-1 with a 2.63 ERA in seven home starts in 2016.
The Mets rank 27th in the major leagues in runs scored, and own a team batting average of .243.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-05-16 |
Edmonton v. Calgary UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
24-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
170 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on EDM@CAL to go UNDER the total.
The Calgary Stampeders own the league's best record at 7-1-1, and they rank 1st in scoring defense allowing a total of just 185 points in nine games this season. They host the Edmonton Eskimos on Labor Day, and the Eskies come in riding a three game win streak. This is one of the top rivalries in the CFL, known as the "Battle of Alberta". History tells us that we should expect a low scoring game, as seven of the last 10 meetings have failed to reach the total. The Eskimos have gone under in 13 of their last 19 road games, while Calgary has failed to reach the total in each of it's last four games. Tonight's total looks a little high, considering the last eight times these teams met the total was set below 50. The Eskimos have only managed to score an average of 13 points in their last four games at Calgary. The combined score of the last two games these two teams played in Calgary doesn't even come close to tonight's total of 54.5.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
09-03-16 |
Western Michigan v. Northwestern UNDER 52 |
Top |
22-21 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WMU@NW
The Wildcats had one of the nation's top defenses last year, resulting in 12 of their 13 games combining for fewer that 52 points. They open the 2016 season at home versus Western Michigan, and the Broncos should be over-matched here. Western Michigan had success against opponents in the MAC last season, but didn't fare to well in non-conference games against Power Five teams. They scored an average of just 17.6 points per game in losses to Michigan State, Georgia State and Ohio State. Unlike the aforementioned teams, Northwestern doesn't have an explosive offense to run up the score. The Wildcats opened up last season with a 16-9 loss to Stanford, and they've gone under in nine straight games in the month of September. The under is 24-8 in the Wildcats last 32 home games, and Northwestern has failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 non-conference games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-29-16 |
Yankees v. Royals OVER 8.5 |
Top |
5-8 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on NYY@KC to go OVER the total.
The surging Kansas City Royals are the hottest team in baseball, returning home after taking two of three in Boston as winners of 17 of their last 21 overall. They host the Yankees tonight, and we should expect fireworks as both these teams are swinging hot bats.
Dillon Gee will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he appears to be the weak link on the Kansas City staff. Gee (5-7, 4.55 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits through 5 1/3 innings in a loss at Miami his last time out. He's 2-4 with a 5.14 ERA in his last eight appearances, and he faces a Yankees team that has plated 37 runs while winning four of their last five games.
The Yankees hand the ball to Michael Pineda, who was rocked by the Royals earlier in the season. Pineda (6-10, 5.02 ERA) was torched for five runs on seven hits and two walks over 5 1/3 innings in a 7-5 loss at Safeco his last time out. He surrendered six runs on six hits and four walks in 5 2/3 innings, losing his lone start versus Kansas City this season.
The wind isn't expected to be a factor tonight, but the forecast is calling for heat and humidity which should favor the hitters.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-28-16 |
Hamilton v. Calgary UNDER 55 |
Top |
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on HAM@CGY to go UNDER the total.
Hamilton is flying high after a 53-7 win over Saskatchewan last week. The Cats offense has been charged up since starting quarterback Zach Collaros returned from injury. He threw for 381 yards and five TDs last week, but that was against the Roughriders, who's defense ranks dead last in the CFL. Previous trips to Cow Town have not been as fruitful for the Cats, who have lost five straight at Calgary, scoring an average of just 20 points in those losses. Four of those five games went under, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in seven straight meetings dating back to 2012. Calgary boasts the top defense in the CFL, allowing opponents to score a total of 161 points in eight games. The Stamps are the only team that has allowed less than 200 points this season. Given that Calgary hasn't seen a combined 54 points in any of it's previous six games, I believe this total is grossly inflated.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-28-16 |
Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on SEA/CWS to go UNDER the total.
The White Sox have taken two of three games so far in this home series versus Seattle, and they wrap things up with a matinee in Chicago Sunday. I expect a low scoring game here with the wind blowing in at US Cellular Field.
Carlos Rodon will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's given up just four runs total in his last four starts. Rodon (4-8, 4.02 ERA) allowed just three hits while tossing 6 2/3 shutout innings in a home win over Philly his last time out. He's owned the Mariners, going 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two previous meetings.
The Mariners hand the ball to Taijuan Walker, who has had success in past meetings with the White Sox. Walker (4-8, 4.14 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits, striking out five batters in 5 2/3 innings in a 5-1 home loss to the Yankees his last time out. He's 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA in his last three starts versus Chicago.
The White Sox rank 25th in the major leagues in runs scored, and they've gone under in four of their last five games when facing a right-handed starter.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-26-16 |
Rays v. Astros UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TB@HOU to go UNDER the total.
The Astros come into Game 1 of this home series versus Tampa as winners of five of their last six. They face a hot pitcher here at home though, and the Astros are batting just .236 at Minute Maid Park in 2016.
Drew Smyly will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's won five straight. Smyly (6-11, 4.88 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits, striking out seven over 6 2/3 innings in a home win over Texas his last time out. He's been dealing in the second half of the season, going 4-1 with a 3.50 ERA in seven starts.
The Astros hand the ball to Mike Fiers, who has been pretty sold at home in Houston. Fiers (9-6, 4.41 ERA) allowed one run on five hits, striking out seven over seven innings in a win at Baltimore his last time out. He's 6-3 with a 3.36 ERA in a dozen starts at home in 2016.
These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in 25 of the last 25 head to head meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-26-16 |
Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 9.5 |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PIT@MIL to go UNDER the total.
The Pirates won 3-2 at Miller Park last night, and these two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. They've failed to reach the total in five straight, and eight of the last nine. Today's umpire has had a generous strike zone, as he's called six straight unders.
Matt Garza will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he's been very sharp at home. Garza (4-5, 5.27 ERA) was rocked for six runs on nine hits over just 3 2/3 innings in a 7-6 win at Seattle his last time out. He's 3-0 with a 3.91 ERA in four starts at Miller Park in 2016, and one of those wins came against the Pirates, allowing just two runs on four hits in five innings.
The Pirates hand the ball to Ryan Vogelsong, who has owned the Brewers in previous meetings. Vogelsong (2-3, 2.98 ERA) allowed three runs on three hits over six innings in a 3-2 loss to Miami his last time out. He's 1-2 with a 2.28 ERA in his last four starts, and he's 4-0 with a 2.53 ERA in his last six starts against Milwaukee.
The Pirates are dead last in runs scored, batting just .237 since the All Star break.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-26-16 |
Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SEA@CWS to go UNDER the total.
The White Sox have won four of their last five, and they host the Mariners in Game 2 of a home series in Chicago tonight. We should see a pitcher's duel between Felix Hernandez and Chris Sale.
Hernandez (8-4, 3.26 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on seven hits, striking out eight in eight innings in a home win over Milwaukee his last time out. He's 4-0 with a 3.80 ERA in his last seven starts, and he faces a Chicago team that struggles at the plate. The White Sox rank 25th in the major leagues in runs scored.
Sale (15-6, 3.15 ERA) struck out eight, surrendering just three hits while tossing eight scoreless innings in a home win over Oakland his last time out. He was even better in his only start versus Seattle this season, tossing eight scoreless frames and allowing just one hit. The Mariners are batting .192 with 31 strikeouts in 104 at bats versus Sale.
The White Sox have seen the total go under in 16 of Sale's last 23 home starts.
Take UNDER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
08-25-16 |
Cowboys v. Seahawks UNDER 44 |
Top |
17-27 |
Push |
0 |
18 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DAL@SEA to go UNDER the total.
The third week of the pre-season is known to be the most important, the one game that actually matters. This is when most coaches like to leave the starters in for a little longer, in order to get a good idea of what they have to work with. Pete Carroll has a reputation as a guy that covets winning pre-season games, especially in the crucial third week. Since 2012, Seattle is 4-0 in their third game of the pre-season, and in those games they held opponents to an average of just 11 points. The Cowboys are likely to be cautious to avoid injury to Tony Romo, so we should see plenty of Dak Prescott in this game. As good as Prescott has looked against backups, and vanilla schemes, he's going to have a tough time moving the ball against the toughest defenders in the league. Seattle knows what it has at quarterback, so I expect the Hawks to really focus on running the ball here. The last time these teams met in the regular season, the Seahawks won 13-12 at Dallas. They've failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, and I think tonight's total is just a little too high.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-25-16 |
Angels v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-109 |
15 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAA@TOR to go OVER the total.
The Jays have split the first two games of this home series versus LA, but they will be expected to punish a struggling Angels pitcher in the rubber match.
Jered Weaver will toe the slab for the Halos, and he's been hit hard of late. Weaver (8-11, 5.47 ERA) was torched for five runs on 10 hits over just 4 2/3 innings in a loss to the Yankees his last time out. He's surrendered 15 runs on 28 hits, including a whopping seven home runs in his last three starts.
The Jays hand the ball to J.A. Happ, who can take over the major league lead in wins with a victory tonight. Happ (17-3, 3.05 ERA) allowed four runs on seven hits over seven innings in a 7-4 win in New York his last time out. The Angels have hit the left-hander pretty hard, batting .300 with five home runs in previous meetings.
Kole Calhoun was 2-for-4 with a double last night, and he's 4-for-7 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Happ.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-25-16 |
Tigers v. Twins OVER 9.5 |
Top |
8-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@MIN to go OVER the total.
The Tigers and the Twins have combined to score 24 runs in the first two games of this series, and another slugfest is expected in Game 3.
Jose Berrios will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's been roughed up in all eight of his starts this season. Berrios (2-3, 9.28 ERA) was torched for four runs on five hits and four walks in just four innings in a home loss to the Royals his last time out. His last meeting with the Tigers was brief, getting the hook in the first inning after surrendering seven runs and walking four.
The Tigers hand the ball to Daniel Norris, who hasn't missed many bats in his recent outings. Norris (1-2, 3.81 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits over five innings in a home loss to the Red Sox his last time out. He's struggled with his command, walking eight batters in his last three appearances.
The over is 55-24-4 in Minnesota's last 83 overall, and I expect that trend to continue this afternoon.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-24-16 |
Indians v. A's UNDER 8 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@OAK to go UNDER the total.
Cleveland has a comfortable lead in it's division, sitting seven game clear of Detroit. The Indians though have been out-scored 9-2 in the first two games of this series in Oakland, and I'll take the A's as a home dog in the rubber match this afternoon.
Kendall Graveman will toe the slab for the A's, and he's coming off a complete game shutout. Graveman (9-8, 4.09 ERA) struck out five, surrendering just two hits while going the distance in a 9-0 win over Chicago his last time out. He's having a solid second half, going 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA in seven starts. The 25 year old boasts a stellar 3.03 ERA in 10 home starts this season.
The Indians hand the ball to Trevor Bauer, who has been wildly inconsistent. Bauer (9-5, 3.88 ERA) struck out 13 while allowing a pair of runs on five hits through eight innings in a 3-2 home win over the Blue Jays his last time out. He's struggled since the All Star break, posting a 5.40 ERA while going 2-2 in seven starts.
These teams went over the total last night, something they hadn't done in eight straight meetings. Oakland had failed to reach the total in seven straight prior to last night.
Take UNDER
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-23-16 |
Tigers v. Twins OVER 9.5 |
Top |
8-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@MIN to go OVER the total.
The over is 53-24-4 in Minnesota's last 81 overall, and I expect another slugfest at Target Field tonight.
Anibal Sanchez will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's coming off a solid performance. Sanchez (6-12, 5.94 ERA) struck out eight while tossing seven scoreless innings in a no decision versus the Royals his last time out. That was at home, and he's 2-7 with an 8.12 ERA in 14 appearances on the road.
The Twins hand the ball to Kyle Gibson, who has not looked sharp in recent starts. Gibson (5-7, 4.90 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits and three walks, going the distance in a 10-3 win at Atlanta his last time out. He was rocked for six runs on 10 hits and two walks in five innings in a loss to the Royals in his last home start. He hasn't fooled the Tigers, they are hitting .302 with four home runs in 129 at bats in previous meetings.
The over is 5-1 in Twins last six home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-22-16 |
Indians v. A's OVER 7.5 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-106 |
13 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@OAK to go OVER the total.
The Indians will be in Oakland tonight, and their big bats might get a chance to tee off against an inexperienced pitcher.
Andrew Triggs will get the nod for the A's, making just his fourth career major league start. The 27 year old is 0-1 with a 4.98 ERA in 21 appearances, with most of his work coming out of the bullpen. He's allowed four runs on seven hits over 9 2/3 innings in his last two outings.
The Indians hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco, who hasn't been sharp lately. The right-hander gave up five runs on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings in a home loss to the White Sox his last time out. He's 1-2 with a 6.66 ERA in his last four starts, and he has an ERA of 4.12 in a dozen starts under the lights in 2016.
The weather in Oakland tonight is expected to favor hitters, with the wind howling out to center.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-22-16 |
Dodgers v. Reds UNDER 9 |
Top |
18-9 |
Loss |
-125 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAD@CIN to go UNDER the total.
The Dodgers won Game 3 of this series by a score of 4-0, and they look to salvage a split in the finale this afternoon. This looks like a good spot for both pitchers, and I expect another low scoring game.
Homer Bailey will toe the rubber for the Reds, and he's been great since coming off the DL. Bailey (2-1, 3.66 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits, striking out six in five innings in a home win over Miami his last time out. He's had plenty of success against the Dodgers, going 4-3 with a 3.84 ERA in nine career starts against them. The LA lineup is hitting just .228 with 22 strikeouts over 101 at bats during that span.
LA will hand the ball to Scott Kazmir, who has owned the Reds in recent meetings. Kazmir (10-6, 4.41 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on eight hits over five innings in a win at Philadelphia has last time out. He owns a 6-0 record in 11 starts on the road in 2016, and he allowed just one run on four hits in six innings in a win over the Reds.
The under is 9-1 in Homer Bailey's last 10 starts.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-21-16 |
Mets v. Giants OVER 7.5 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
23 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
08-20-16 |
Yankees v. Angels OVER 8.5 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-120 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYY@LAA to go OVER the total.
Most had written off the Yankees after they traded Carlos Beltran, Aroldis Chapman and Andrew Miller at the trade deadline. They've surprised everyone by winning six of their last nine overall, and youngsters Gary Sanchez and Aaron Judge have given the offense a boost. Sanchez was 3-for-4 in last night's win over the Angels, and he's hit five home runs and driven in 11 runs in just 14 games.
Ricky Nolasco will toe the slab for the Halos tonight, and he's been hit hard in previous meetings with New York. Nolasco (4-10, 5.13 ERA) surrendered three runs on eight hits and three walks over 5 1/3 innings in a home loss to Seattle his last time out. He's given up 11 runs on 21 hits, including four home runs in 17 1/3 innings in three starts at Angels Stadium in 2016. The Yankees are batting .350 with 11 home runs in 163 at bats versus the veteran.
New York will turn to rookie right-hander Luis Cessa. The 24 year old will make his first start of the season, after getting roughed up in eight appearances out of the bullpen. He's surrendered five home runs in just eight relief appearances.
There have been a total of eight home runs in the last two games played at Angels Stadium.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-20-16 |
Mets v. Giants OVER 8 |
Top |
9-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYM@SF to go OVER the total.
The Giants are back in front in the NL West, after winning back to back home games versus the Mets. Both the first two games of this series have been high scoring, and I expect another slugfest with the wind blowing out at AT&T Park this afternoon.
Bartolo Colon will toe the slab for the Mets, and he's coming off a string of poor performances. Colon (10-7, 3.38 ERA) allowed five runs on nine hits over just four innings in a 10-6 loss at Arizona his last time out. He's surrendered a dozen runs on 23 hits over his last three appearances on the road. San Francisco has given him all sorts of trouble, the Giants are hitting .341 over 82 at bats in previous meetings.
The Giants hand the ball to Matt Moore, who hasn't impressed since coming over from Tampa. Moore (7-9, 4.14 ERA) surrendered five runs on six hits and three walks over six innings in an 8-5 loss to Pittsburgh his last time out. He's walked 14 batters in just 18 innings in his three starts with San Francisco.
Pitcher's have had troubles keeping the ball in the park in San Francisco lately, the over is 6-0-1 in the Giants last seven home games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-18-16 |
Twins v. Royals OVER 9 |
Top |
1-8 |
Push |
0 |
12 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@KC to go OVER the total.
The Twins have been one of the highest scoring teams in baseball since the All Star break, and they are coming into Kansas City off a 10-3 win at Atlanta. The Royals have plated 24 runs during a four game winning streak, and we could see a slugfest here at Kauffman Stadium Thursday.
Dillon Gee will toe the rubber for the Royals, and Kansas City is 1-7 in his last eight appearances. Gee (4-6, 4.78 ERA) allowed five runs on 11 hits, including three home runs in just 5 1`/3 innings in a loss to Minnesota his last time out. The Twins have crushed him this season, he's 0-2 with a 7.94 ERA in three appearances (11 1/3 innings).
The Twins hand the ball to Tyler Duffey, who has won three straight decisions. Two of those three wins came at home though, and he's been torched for 11 runs on 17 hits over 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts on the road. He's 4-6 with a 7.76 ERA in a dozen starts under the lights in 2016.
These teams have gone over the total in five of the last six head to head meetings, and the Twins have seen the total go over at a rate of 10-3-3 in Duffey's last 16 starts.
Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
08-18-16 |
Red Sox v. Tigers UNDER 10 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BOS@DET to go UNDER the total.
The Tigers have scored a total of just three runs during a three game home losing streak. They host Boston in an afternoon game at Comerica Park today, and the Red Sox are just one game behind Toronto in the AL East. I expect to see a pitcher's duel in the Motor City.
Clay Buchholz will toe the slab for Boston, and he's been pretty poor this season. This figures to be a good spot for Buchholz though, as he's been better in day games than he has been at night. He's 2-2 with a 3.90 ERA in 11 appearances in day games this season, and he was 9-3 with a 3.20 ERA in 17 starts in the afternoon the previous three seasons. He's also owned the Tigers, as Detroit's lineup is batting just .212 over 99 at bats versus Buchholz.
Detroit will hand the ball to Matt Boyd, who has been dominant at home. Boyd (4-2, 4.16 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings, allowing just two hits in a 2-0 win at Texas his last time out. He's 3-1 with a 3.06 ERA in five starts at home, and he boasts a 2.45 ERA in 14 2/3 innings of work during the day.
Boston has failed to reach the total in 14 of it's last 18 road games, and the under is 6-2-2 in Buchholz' last 10 road starts.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-17-16 |
Nationals v. Rockies OVER 10.5 |
Top |
10-12 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WAS@COL to go OVER. Both Colorado and Washington have scored at least 25 runs in their last five games each and play at Coors this afternoon in the rubber game of their series. Stephen Strasburg (15-3, 3.07 ERA) toes the slab for Washington and he has really been rocked in his last two starts. He never made it to six full innings in either game, pitching a total of 10 innings while giving up 10 runs and 15 hits. He has a 1-2 record in August with a 6.19 ERA. The Rockies hand the ball to Jon Gray (8-6, 4.55 ERA) who was also rocked in his last two games. He never made it to five full innings in either game, pitching a total of eight innings while giving up 14 run and 16 hits. He has a 1-2 record in August with a 9.69 ERA. In Strasburg's last 29 starts, the over is 20-8-1 overall. Take OVER GL Jesse Schule
|
08-16-16 |
Cardinals v. Astros UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
8-5 |
Loss |
-128 |
18 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
08-14-16 |
Braves v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
1-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@WAS to go UNDER the total.
Weather conditions in the nation's capital have been favorable for hitters this weekend, and we did see three home runs at Nationals Park last night. I think the bookmakers have overreacted with an inflated total for this afternoon's game. Both starters have been dealing, and I expect to see a pitcher's duel in Washington this afternoon.
Tanner Roark will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's coming off a dominant performance. Roark (12-6, 2.88 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings in a 1-0 win over the Giants his last time out. He's 4-1 with a 2.43 ERA since the All Star break, and he's 5-2 with a 1.82 ERA in 10 starts in day games in 2016. He tossed seven shutout innings in a 3-0 home win over the Braves in his only start against them this year.
The Braves hand the ball to Tyrell Jenkins, who has surrendered just two runs over 18 innings during a three game winning streak. The 24 year old allowed just one run on three hits over six innings in a 2-1 win at Milwaukee his last time out.
The under is 6-0 in Jenkins last six starts.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-14-16 |
Astros v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 |
|
2-9 |
Loss |
-121 |
3 h 49 m |
Show
|
The Astros and the Jays have split the first two games of this series at Rogers Center, and both games went under the total. The Jays have failed to reach the total in 11 of their last 13 overall, and six straight versus the Astros.
Marcus Stroman will toe the slab for Toronto, and this looks like a good spot for the right-hander. Stroman (8-5, 4.76 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits over five innings in a loss at Kansas City his last time out. He's 3-1 in 11 starts at home in 2016, although his ERA isn't all that impressive in those games. He's owned the Astros though, holding Houston's lineup to a .194 batting average with 13 strikeouts in 36 at bats.
Houston will hand the ball to Mike Fiers, who has had success against Toronto. Fiers (8-5, 4.46 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits, including three home runs over five innings in a win over the Twins his last time out. He's 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in three career appearances versus the Jays.
Injuries to Jose Bautista and Kevin Pillar won't help a Toronto team that ranks dead last in the majors batting .223 since the All Star break.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-13-16 |
Royals v. Twins OVER 9 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on KC@MIN to go OVER the total.
The Twins have been knocking the cover off the ball, ranking second in the majors in runs scored since the All Star break. They host the Royals tonight, and with a pair of struggling starters, I expect to see a slugfest.
Dillon Gee will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's been torched by Minnesota in previous meetings. Gee (4-5, 4.54 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits, walking four in six innings in a loss to Toronto in his last start. He's surrendered six runs on a dozen hits in six innings of work versus the Twins this year. Minnesota's lineup is batting .356 over a total of 45 at bats in previous meetings with Gee.
The Twins hand the ball to Tyler Duffey, who has been hit hard at home this year. Duffey is 3-4 with a 7.22 ERA in 10 starts at Target Field in 2016. He was torched for five runs on nine hits over 6 2/3 innings in his only previous meeting with Kansas City.
These two teams have gone over in four straight meetings in Minnesota, and the over is 6-1-2 in Duffey's last nine home starts.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-13-16 |
Reds v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
11-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CIN@MIL to go UNDER the total.
This game features two of the lowest scoring teams in the major leagues, and each team will send a quality pitcher to the mound Saturday.
Zach Davies will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he's been extremely consistent all season long. Davies (9-4, 3.58 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits over seven innings in a 4-3 loss to the Braves his last time out. He's 6-3 with a 3.53 ERA in 13 appearances at Miller Park this season, and he's owned Cincy going 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two previous meetings.
The Reds hand the ball to Dan Straily, who is unbeaten in his last five appearances. Straily (7-6, 3.76 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on three hits over six innings in a win at Pittsburgh his last time out. He's 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last five starts, and he held the Brewers scoreless through seven innings in his only game against them this year.
The Brewers have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight home games, while Zach Davies has seen the total go under in five of his last six starts.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-12-16 |
Winnipeg v. Toronto UNDER 50.5 |
Top |
34-17 |
Loss |
-106 |
12 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
08-11-16 |
Montreal v. Edmonton UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
12-23 |
Win
|
100 |
56 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MTL@EDM to go UNDER the total.
The Eskimos didn't have any trouble scoring points in their first four games, but they've been held to a total of 43 points in their last two games. They host the Montreal Alouettes on Thursday night, and the Als have scored the fewest points in the CFL this year. Montreal's defense has been stellar though, only the Lions have allowed fewer points. Edmonton's defense looked awful at the beginning of the season, but has shown some positive signs in recent weeks. Kevin Glenn is just the seventh ranked passer in a nine team league, so this looks like a good spot for Edmonton's defense to shine. Montreal has only scored an average of 16.6 points in their last three meetings with Edmonton, and the under is 17-7 in Alouettes last 24 road games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-11-16 |
Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYY@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Red Sox wasted a fine effort from Dew Pomeranz last night, surrendering eight runs in the seventh and eight innings in a 9-4 loss. I expect another slugfest at Fenway tonight.
Eduardo Rodriguez will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's having a terrible season. Rodriguez (2-5, 5.93 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits over 4 1/3 innings in a loss at LA his last time out. He's 0-3 with a 6.08 ERA in five starts at Fenway this season.
The Yankees hand the ball to Michael Pineda, who has struggled against Boston. The right-hander is 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA in three starts against the Red Sox this season. He's also 2-6 with a 5.34 ERA in 10 starts on the road.
Weather conditions should favor hitters hear at Fenway tonight, with moderate wins blowing out to center field.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-11-16 |
Padres v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SD@PIT to go UNDER the total.
The Pirates were shutout in 4-0 loss to the Padres yesterday, and they rank dead last in the majors in runs scored since the All Star break.
Jameson Taillon will toe the slab for the Bucs this afternoon, and the way he's pitching they might not need a lot of runs. Taillon (2-2, 3.29 ERA) allowed one run on six hits while fanning six in six innings in a 3-2 home win over Cincy his last time out. He's given the Pirates five straight quality starts, and he should have little trouble against a soft hitting San Diego lineup.
The Padres hand the ball to Christian Friedrich, who has been rather hit or miss. The southpaw allowed four runs on five hits over seven innings in a loss to the Phillies his last time out, but prior to that he tossed a gem in a 2-1 win over Cincinnati.
These two teams have gone over the total just once in the last five meetings in Steel Town, and I think we'll see a snoozer here this afternoon.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-07-16 |
Phillies v. Padres UNDER 8 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHI@SD to go UNDER.
Today's total looks a little high for a day game between two of baseball's lowest scoring teams.
Jerad Eickhoff (6-12, 3.68 ERA) toes the slab for the Phillies and he pitched five scoreless innings and gave up two hits in his last game. In his last two away starts pitched 12 innings total and gave up one run and seven hits with nine K's and just one walk.
The Padres hand the ball to Jarred Cosart (0-1, 5.09 ERA) hasn't allowed a run in his last two home starts. he pitched a total of 8 1/3 innings and gave up four hits in those games. He is 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA vs the Phillies over the last 3 years.
The under is 20-8 in Eickhoff's last 28 starts.
Take UNDER
GL
Jesse Schule
|
08-07-16 |
Giants v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SF@WAS to go UNDER The under is 7-2-1 in the Giants last 10 games and 4-1 in Bumgarner's last five starts. Madison Bumgarner (10-6, 2.25 ERA) toes the rubber for the Giants and he had a bad game his last time out but allowed three runs or less in seven of his previous nine starts. He is 3-1 in day games with a 1.39 ERA and over the last three seasons is 1-2 vs the Nats with a 2.81 ERA. Washington hand the ball to Tanner Roark (11-6, 3.02 ERA) who pitched six and one third innings and gave up three runs and seven hits which made it the seventh game of his last 10 that he allowed three runs or less while in three of his last five games he allowed one run or less. In his first meeting with SF on July 28th, he pitched seven innings and gave up one run and four hits in a win. Roark is 5-4 at home with a 2.79 ERA and 4-2 in day games with a 2.04 ERA. Take UNDER GL Jesse Schule
|
08-06-16 |
Angels v. Mariners UNDER 8 |
Top |
6-8 |
Loss |
-115 |
31 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAA@SEA to go UNDER Seattle have held opponents to seven runs total in four of their last six games. Taijuan Walker(4-7, 3.66 ERA) toes the rubber for Seattle and in his last home game, pitched six and one third innings and gave up one run and four hits and has now allowed one run or less in three of his last five starts. in those five games, he struck out 28 batters while walking only three. In three of his last four home starts he allowed one run or less and now has a 3-3 record with a 2.75 ERA at Safeco with batters hitting just .221 off him there. The Angels hand the ball to Tyler Skaggs (1-0, 0.00 ERA) who will be making his third start since 2014 after pitching a total of 121/3 scoreless innings and giving up a total of seven hits in his first two. He has 13 K's and just three walks in those games. Under is 4-0 when Skaggs as five days rest between games. He has a 3.39 ERA in road games his last full season. Seattle has failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games versus a left-handed starter. Take UNDER GL Jesse Schule
|
08-06-16 |
Reds v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CIN@ PIT to go UNDER The Reds have held opponents to two runs or less in five of their last seven games prior to this series. Ivan Nova (7-6, 4.90 ERA) toes the slab for his first start with his new club after allowing just one run in each game in three of his last five starts. He finished July with a 2-1 record and a 3.86 ERA. He will need a good game as the Pirates have scored three runs or less in four of their last six games before this series. The Reds hand the ball to Homer Baily (1-0, 3.18 ERA) who won his first game since 2014 after coming back from surgery. he pitched 52/3 innings and gave up two runs and four hits with one of the runs scoring on a steal of home. Under is 6-0 in Baily's last six road starts and 7-0 in his last seven starts overall. Take UNDER GL Jesse Schule
|
08-06-16 |
Edmonton v. Ottawa UNDER 58.5 |
Top |
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
80 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on EDM@OTT to go UNDER the total.
Two of the highest scoring teams in the CFL will meet in Canada's Capital Saturday, and the bookmakers have set an astronomically high total for this game. The last time these teams met, they scored over 80 combined points in Edmonton in Week 1. There is plenty of reason to think that we'll see a lower scoring game this week. The Redblacks will be without starting quarterback Trevor Harris, who led the league in passing yards, TDs and completion percentage before he was injured. Their offense hasn't been the same with 41 year old Henry Burris under center. Burris was the starter in Week 1 in Edmonton, throwing for 251 yards on 23-of-31 passing with a TD an an INT. He returned to the lineup last week, and threw for just 218 yards with a TD and a pair of INTs. While we saw a shootout in the first meeting, these teams had failed to reach the total in four of the previous five meetings. Edmonton has failed to reach the total in five of it's last seven road game, while Ottawa has gone under in four of it's last five overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
08-05-16 |
Reds v. Pirates UNDER 8 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CIN@ PIT to go UNDER The Pirates have scored 17 runs total in their last six games. Jameson Taillon (2-2, 3.52 ERA) toes the slab for the Pirates and in his last start pitched six innings and gave up two runs and six hits. It was the third time in his last four games he has given up two runs or less and he has allowed three runs or less in six of his eight starts this year. He has struck out 22 batters and hasn't given up a walk in his last four starts. The Reds hand the ball to Anthony DeSclafani (6-0, 2.93 ERA) who pitched six innings and gave up one run and four hits in his last start which was on the road. It was the fourth game in his last six he has allowed two runs or less. He has allowed three runs or less in seven of his 10 starts. Reds pitching have allowed two runs or less in five of their last seven games. Take UNDER GL Jesse Schule
|
08-04-16 |
White Sox v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CHW@ DET to go UNDER The White Sox have dropped six of their last seven games scoring a total of 13 runs in the losses. The White Sox hand the ball to Jose Quintana (8-8, 2.89 ERA) who has allowed one run or less in 4 of his last 5 starts. In his last game against the Tigers he pitched six and two thirds scoreless innings and gave up just 3 hits. He has pitched well on the road this year and has a 2.88 ERA there. He finished July 3-0 with a 1.95 ERA.
Jordan Zimmerman (9-4, 3.95 ERA) toes the rubber for Detroit and he has been very good at home allowing two runs or less in five of his eight home starts. he makes you earn every run as he only allowed two HR's in his last six games and just three walks in his last four games. In his first meeting with Chicago he allowed two runs in five and two thirds innings. Zimmerman is 1-0 against Chicago with a 2.57 ERA over the last three years. Take UNDER GL Jesse Schule
|
08-04-16 |
Giants v. Phillies UNDER 8 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SF@PHI to go UNDER
Philadelphia have scored three runs total in their last four losses.
Vince Velasquez (8-3, 3.32 ERA) toes the rubber for the Phillies and he has been Mr. Consistent. He has allowed two runs or less in seven of his last eight starts and three runs or less in 14 of his 18 starts all year. In his last two home games he pitched a total of 13 innings and gave up three runs and eight hits. He is 4-1 at home with a 1.50 ERA in Philadelphia.
The Giants hand the ball to Matt Moore (7-7,4.08 ERA) who they picked up from Tampa Bay. He has allowed three runs or less in his last six starts and in eight of his last 10 overall. In his last two away games he pitched a total of 13 2/3 innings and gave up three runs and eight hits. He allowed two runs in six innings in his first meeting with the Giants and finished out July 3-2 with a 2.41 ERA.
The Phillies have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11 home games.
Take UNDER
GL
Jesse Schule
|
08-04-16 |
Twins v. Indians OVER 9 |
Top |
2-9 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@CLE to go OVER. Cleveland and Minnesota have played three games in this series so far and between both teams have averaged 17 runs per game. Hector Santiago (10-4, 4.25 ERA) toes the slab for the twins for his first start with his new club. In his last three starts he hasn't pitched a full six innings and has walked 13 batters. In his first meeting with Cleveland he was knocked out in the second inning after he gave up six runs and seven hits. Over the last three seasons, he is 0-1 in four starts against the Indians covering 18 2/3 innings where he gave up 14 runs and 24 hits. The Indians hand the ball to Mike Clevinger (0-1,7.71 ERA) who will be starting his fourth game. His first three were a disaster as he pitched a total of 14 innings and gave up 14 runs and 16 hits with three HR's and seven walks. Cleveland lost two of those three games and at least 10 runs were scored by both teams in each of his starts. Minnesota has scored 35 runs in their last three games. Take OVER GL Jesse Schule
|
08-03-16 |
Twins v. Indians OVER 9 |
Top |
13-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@ CLE to go OVER the total. The Twins have been knocking the cover off the ball here in Cleveland, and I expect another slugfest tonight. Tyler Duffey (5-8, 6.12 ERA) toes the slab for the Twins and in his last start was knocked out in the second inning when he gave up five runs and eight hits. That was the fourth game in his last five starts he had given up at least four runs and the eighth time in his last 10 overall. He is 1-6 under the lights with a 9.69 ERA. The Indians hand the ball to Trevor Bauer (7-4, 3.64 ERA) who had a decent game his last time out when he pitched five and a third innings and gave up two runs and three hits. He didn't have the same results in his previous three games as he gave up at least three runs in each and walked nine batters. In his last two home starts he pitched a total of 11 innings and gave up eight runs and 13 hits while finishing out July 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA. Cleveland have been outscored by the Twins 22-11 in the first two games of this series. Take OVER GL Jesse Schule
|
08-01-16 |
Royals v. Rays OVER 7 |
|
3-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
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This is a Free #MLB play on KC@TB to go OVER the total.
We see an extraordinarily low total in tonight's game between the Royals and the Rays at The Trop.
Chris Archer will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's having a challenging season to say the least. Archer (5-14, 4.42 ERA) allowed three runs on four hit over seven innings in a loss at LA his last time out. He's really struggled in previous clashes with the Royals. He allowed five runs on eight hits and two walks over six innings in a loss at Kauffman earlier this year, and the Royals lineup is batting .373 over 83 at bats against him.
The Royals hand the ball to Danny Duffy, who has pitched quite well of late. Duffy (6-1, 3.22 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits and two walks over six innings in a home win over the Angels his last time out. He gave up three runs on seven hits in a winning effort against the Rays earlier this year.
These teams have gone over the total in eight of the last 10 meetings, and the over is 10-2 in the Royals last 12 versus a team with a losing record. The once mighty Kansas City bullpen has been rather average of late, slipping from first to eighth in ERA by reliever.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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07-31-16 |
Mariners v. Cubs OVER 8 |
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6-7 |
Win
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100 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on OVER. A pitching change here in Chicago could result in a bit of a slugfest. Felix Hernandez (5-4, 3.45 ERA) will toe the slab for Seattle to make his third start after spending nearly two months on the DL. Before getting hurt he was having a very good year as he allowed three runs or less in eight of his first nine starts and had an ERA of 2.86. Currently he is 3-2 on the road with a 3.44 ERA. He looked a little shaky in his first start back, and this is a tough spot against the hard hitting Cubs. The Cubs will hand the ball to Brian Matusz who will be making his first start since 2012. He was with Baltimore and made seven relief appearance this year. In his last start against these Mariners he pitched 1 2/3 innings and gave up four runs and five hits as well as two HR's. His totals for the year are six innings pitched in relief where he gave up eight runs on 11 hits with three HR's and seven walks. The power in the Seattle lineup has clobbered Matusz. Seager is batting .364 with a home run, Can is hitting .343 with a pair of homers, and Cruz is locked in batting .583 with a pair of home runs and five RBIs in just a dozen at bats. Take OVER. GL Jesse Schule
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07-31-16 |
Rockies v. Mets UNDER 7 |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 15 m |
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This is a 10* play on COL@NYM to go UNDER Noah Syndergaard (9-5, 2.45 ERA) will toe the rubber for the New York Mets and he has pitched extremely well this year. In his last start, he pitched six innings and gave up two runs and seven hits which is the seventh time in his last 10 starts he has allowed two runs or less. He is 5-3 at home with a 2.36 ERA and is 1-0 against Colorado in his career. The Rockies will hand the ball to Chad Bettis (8-6, 5.19 ERA) who pitched six innings and gave up two runs and four hits in his last start. He has allowed just three earned runs in his last two starts combined over 12.2 innings pitched and is 3-1 in July with a 3.38 ERA. Syndergaard is 4-1 during the day with a 2.27 ERA. Take UNDER GL Jesse Schule
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07-30-16 |
Phillies v. Braves UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
9-5 |
Loss |
-116 |
16 h 1 m |
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This is a 10* play on PHI@ATL to go under. Atlanta have scored three runs or less in six of their last nine games. Julio Teheran (3-8, 2.71 ERA) toes the rubber and in his last game went four scoreless innings and gave up 3 hits. He has had quite a run in the last month as he hasn't allowed a run in four of his last six starts. In his last two games he pitched 11 scoreless innings total and gave up six hits. Philadelphia hands the ball to Jeremy Hellickson (7-7, 3.65 ERA) who has also had an amazing month as he has allowed just one run in five of his last six starts. He has also been effective on the road giving up just one run total and six hits in 12 innings pitched. He pitched six scoreless innings and gave up one hit in his last start. The Phillies have dropped three of their last four games and scored a total of two runs in the losses. Take UNDER GL Jesse Schule
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07-29-16 |
BC v. Calgary UNDER 49 |
Top |
41-44 |
Loss |
-106 |
66 h 54 m |
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This is a 10* GOW play on BC@CAL to go UNDER the total. The Lions sit in first place in the West, and they own the CFL's best defense. B.C. has only allowed a total of 73 points while winning three of four games so far. One of those wins came at home against Calgary by a score of 20-18. The Stampeders are second in the West, and their 86 points allowed are the second fewest in the CFL behind B.C. The Lions won a blowout in Saskatchewan in their last game, but they had failed to reach the total in five straight prior to that. These teams have failed to reach the total in three straight head to head meetings, and the Under is 9-4-3 in Stampeders last 16 games overall. Prior to the game at Saskatchewan, the Lions quarterback Jonathon Jennings had thrown just one TD pass in three games. He failed to get in the endzone, throwing for 248 yards on 24-of-42 passing when the Stamps visited B.C. earlier this season. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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07-29-16 |
Red Sox v. Angels OVER 9 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
20 h 55 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on BOS@LAA to go OVER the total. Tim Lincecum (2-4, 8.70 ERA) was torched for eight runs and three HR's in his last start. He hasn't pitched into the sixth inning in five straight starts and has given up at least five runs in four of his last five starts. The long ball has also been a problem as he has given up six in his last 12 innings pitched. Boston hands the ball to Rick Porcello (13-2, 3.57 ERA) who wasn't very sharp in his last game. He pitched a total of 6.2 innings and gave up five runs and six hits. He has allowed at least three runs in six of his nine road games and last season went 0-2 with an 8.68 ERA against the Angels. Lincecum is 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA against Boston and Porcello is 4-6 with a 6.82 ERA against the Angels. Take OVER GL Jesse Schule
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07-29-16 |
Astros v. Tigers UNDER 9 |
Top |
6-14 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 0 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on HOU@DET to go under the total. Two second place teams looking to make up ground face off when Houston visits Detroit for the first of three. Collin McHugh (7-6, 4.18) will toe the rubber after turning in back to back six inning gems. In those 12 innings he gave up two runs and 10 hits while striking out 16 batters. He hasn't allowed more than two runs in six of his last seven starts and no more than six hits in five of his last six games. Detroit will hand the ball to Matt Boyd (1-2, 4.63) who has been pitching well. He has allowed just one run or less in four of his last six starts and has a 2.01 ERA at home. In his last two starts he pitched a total of 10.1 innings and gave up one earned run and eight hits. The Astros' pitching staff have allowed three runs or less in six of their last seven games. Take UNDER GL Jesse Schule
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07-29-16 |
Saskatchewan v. Montreal OVER 48.5 |
Top |
3-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 51 m |
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This is a 10* play on SASK@MTL to go OVER the total. The Saskatchewan Roughriders are coming off their first win of the season, but Riders fans shouldn't be overly optimistic heading into Friday's game at Montreal. Last week they barely held on at home, despite facing Ottawa's third string quarterback. The Redblacks came up just short, losing 30-29. The Riders defense has allowed the most points in the CFL by a country mile, and facing a hungry Montreal team on the road isn't going to be easy. The Alouettes offense hasn't gotten off the ground so far this season, but this looks like a good spot for Kevin Glenn to air it out. He should be able to take advantage of this vulnerable Riders secondary. These teams split the season series last year, with the home team winning each matchup. Both games saw more than 50 total points. The Riders have gone over in eight of their last 10 overall, and four of their last five on the road. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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07-27-16 |
Tigers v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
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104 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on DET@BOST to go UNDER the total. Tonight's game features two of the best offenses in the AL but the pitchers on the mound have a knack of shutting people down. Michael Fulmer (9-2, 2.41 ERA) will toe the slab for the visiting Tigers and he has been dazzling in his rookie season. He has allowed one run or less in eight of his last 10 starts while winning six of his last seven decisions. Even more amazing is that he allowed one run or less in six of his last seven road games and in four of those, allowed no runs! Boston will hand the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez (2-4, 6.70 ERA) who has given up a total of three runs in his last two starts over 12.1 innings pitched. He got a late start to the 2016 season because of an injury but last season finished out the year by giving up two runs or less in seven of his last nine starts. Detroit has a 4-1-1 record going under in their last six games vs lefties while the under is 5-2 in Rodriguez's last seven home starts. Take UNDERGL Jesse Schule
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07-26-16 |
Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 9 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
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100 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on CHC@CHW to go UNDER the total. Tonight's game features two pitchers who are in a zone and pitching their best baseball this year by far in the month of July. Kyle Hendricks (9-6, 2.27 ERA) will toe the slab for the Chicago Cubs and he might be pitching the best baseball in his career. He has allowed no earned runs in four straight appearances (made one relief appearance) and five of six overall. He allowed two runs or less in eight of his last nine starts and is 3-0 in July with an ERA of 0.00! In his last two road games he allowed two runs total in 11 2/3 innings. The Chicago White Sox hand the ball to James Shields (4-12, 4.99 ERA) who has turned things around quite nicely since coming to the White Sox. After allowing at least six runs in his first three starts for the Sox, he hasn't allowed more than two runs in his last 5 games. He has posted a 2.10 ERA during this stretch and has pitched at least six innings in each game. The Cubs have gone under in eight of their last 10 games and the White Sox have a 3-1-2 under record in their last six games at home. Take UNDER GL Jesse Schule
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07-25-16 |
Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 32 m |
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This is a 10* play on White Sox@Cubs to go under. Both pitchers are coming off of good starts. Jake Arrieta will toe the slab for the visiting Cubs off a very impressive win. he is 12-4 with a 2.60 ERA and after a rough stretch has righted the ship. he pitched 7 innings and gave up 5 hits and 1 run in his last start and has allowed 3 runs or less in 15 of 19 starts. The white Sox send Miguel Gonzalez out to pitch. he pitched 7 scoreless innings and gave up 5 hits in his last home start. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 games and just 4 HR's over the same period of time. The under is 8-1 in the Cubs last 9 games and 7-2-2 in the white Sox's last 11 games. Take UNDER GL Jesse Schule
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07-24-16 |
Phillies v. Pirates UNDER 8 |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 60 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on PHI@PIT to go UNDER the total.
The Phillies and the Pirates have split the first two games of this series in Pittsburgh, and I think the rubber match will turn out to be a pitcher's duel.
Vincent Valasquez will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's having himself an incredible season. His record of 8-2, 3.15 ERA is even more impressive when you consider that he plays for one of the worst teams in baseball. The 24 year old allowed one run on three hits over seven innings, not factoring in the decision in a 2-1 loss to Miami his last time out. He's 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA in his last three starts.
The Pirates counter with a hot young pitcher of their own in Jameson Taillon. The rookie right-hander has given up just a pair of runs on 11 hits over 12 innings in his last two starts. The Pirates have won four of his last five starts, and he's facing a Phillies lineup that ranks 29th in scoring among 30 major league clubs.
The Phillies have failed to to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall, while the Pirates have gone under in six of their last eight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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07-23-16 |
Padres v. Nationals OVER 7.5 |
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2-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 6 m |
Show
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This is a Free #MLB play on SD@WAS to go OVER the total. The Padres upset Washington in the series opener last night, thanks to a pair of home runs by Matt Kemp. The former Dodger is on fire, with six home runs in his last six games. Kemp and the Padres face Max Scherzer in Game 2, and Kemp is 1-for-27 with nine strikeouts lifetime versus the Nationals ace.
Scherzer (10-6, 2.94 ERA) has pitched well lately, despite the fact that the Nationals have lost four of his last six starts. He went six innings, allowing one run on four hits and striking out 10 in a no decision at San Diego earlier this year, but the Padres went on the win that game by a score of 7-3.
The Friars hand the ball to Edwin Jackson, who has struggled to stay in a major league rotation for the bulk of his 13 year career. Jackson (1-1, 4.76 ERA) walked five batters in 6 1/3 innings, but avoided a disaster giving up just three runs on one hit in a 5-3 win over the Giants in his first start of the season. He faces a Washington lineup with plenty of power, and could be punished if he continues to put men on base.
The Padres bullpen has really been knocked around this year, ranking near the bottom of the majors with an ERA of 4.54.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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07-20-16 |
Indians v. Royals UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
11-4 |
Loss |
-120 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on KC@DET to go UNDER the total. The Tigers have split the first two games of this home series versus Kansas City, but they appear to have a favorable matchup in the rubber match Sunday afternoon.
Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's looking to become a 10-game winner. Fulmer (9-2, 2.11 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over six innings in a win over Cleveland his last time out. The Tigers are 9-1 in his last 10 starts, and he's 2-0 with a 1.04 ERA in three starts at home. He's also been lights out in day games, going 4-0 with a 1.74 ERA in five starts in the afternoon.
The Royals hand the ball to Yordano Ventura, who has pitched well against the Tigers this season. Ventura (6-7, 5.15 ERA) has lost three straight starts, allowing 14 runs on 17 hits over 15 innings in those games. He's 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA in two starts against Detroit this year, but both of those games were at home in Kansas City.
The Royals bullpen boasts an American League best 2.98 ERA. Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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07-19-16 |
Mets v. Cubs OVER 7 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on NYM@CHC to go OVER the total. The Cubs beat the Mets by a score of 5-1 yesterday, and it was the fourth straight game that went under at Wrigley. At first glance, Game 2 of this series would look like a probable pitcher's duel between Jake Arrieta and Noah Syndergaard. Neither ace has been sharp lately though, and I expect to see some runs scored this afternoon. Arrieta (12-4, 2.68 ERA) looked unstoppable until the end of June, but has since allowed 15 runs on 21 hits over 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts. He's surrendered four home runs in those games, along with eight walks. Syndergaard (9-4, 2.56 ERA) gave up three runs on four hits and three walks in just 4 2/3 innings in a home loss to the Nationals his last time out. He was torched for five runs on seven hits in just three innings in an 11-4 loss at Washington in his last start away from Citi Field. The Mets have gone over in four straight when Syndergaard starts on the road, and the over is 6-1 in his last seven starts overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schue
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07-17-16 |
Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
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100 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on KC@DET to go UNDER the total. The Tigers have split the first two games of this home series versus Kansas City, but they appear to have a favorable matchup in the rubber match Sunday afternoon.
Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's looking to become a 10-game winner. Fulmer (9-2, 2.11 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over six innings in a win over Cleveland his last time out. The Tigers are 9-1 in his last 10 starts, and he's 2-0 with a 1.04 ERA in three starts at home. He's also been lights out in day games, going 4-0 with a 1.74 ERA in five starts in the afternoon.
The Royals hand the ball to Yordano Ventura, who has pitched well against the Tigers this season. Ventura (6-7, 5.15 ERA) has lost three straight starts, allowing 14 runs on 17 hits over 15 innings in those games. He's 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA in two starts against Detroit this year, but both of those games were at home in Kansas City.
The Royals bullpen boasts an American League best 2.98 ERA. Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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07-16-16 |
Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9.5 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 57 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on BOS@NYY to go OVER the total.
The Red Sox won 5-3 in the Bronx last night, powered by three home runs (Hanigan, Shaw and Bogaerts). Game 2 goes this afternoon, and with a pair of struggling starters, I am expecting a slugfest.
Eduardo Rodriguez will toe the slab for Boston, and he's been brutal on the road. Rodriguez (1-3, 8.59 ERA) was torched for nine runs on 11 hits over just 2 2/3 innings in a loss at Tampa his last time out. He's walked a dozen batters and given up nine home runs in three appearances this season.
The Yankees hand the ball to C.C. Sabathia, who has shown signs of fatigue. Sabathia (5-6, 3.77 ERA) started off well this year, but has been roughed up in his last four starts. The southpaw has surrendered 22 runs on 30 hits over his last 23 innings of work.
The Red Sox have trended over at a rate of 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games, while the Yankees have failed to reach the total just once in Sabathia's last 10 home starts.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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