Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48 | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 302 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Super Bowl to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
02-04-18 | Wisconsin v. Maryland UNDER 132.5 | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WIS@MD to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers are really struggling, coming off back to back home losses to Nebraska and Northwestern. They only scored a combined 115 points in those games, and they barely hit over 50 percent of their free throws in the loss to the Cornhuskers. Maryland comes into today's games as losers of five of their last six, and the Terps have failed to reach the total in five straight. Both teams have averaged less than 70 points per game over their last five, and both teams have played well defensively during that stretch. Wisconsin has only managed to score 56.6 points per game on the road this year. Maryland is still the favorite at home, despite their leading scorer battling injury, and the status of several other starters in question. The under is 9-4 in Maryland's last 13 home games, and the under is 6-2-1 in Badgers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-31-18 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 208 | 73-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYK@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 221 | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on POR@LAC to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers host the Blazers in their first game without Blake Griffin. The Blazers come in as winners of five of their last six, and during that span they gave up an average of just over 102 points per game. They rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, surrendering just over 103 points per game this season. The Clippers had been playing some high scoring games with Griffin in the lineup, but they will be shorthanded here tonight, with Avery Bradley injured and Tobias Harris unlikely to play. These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last 10 heat to head meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Only one of the previous 10 meetings in this series saw as many as 220 combined points. The under is 17-7-1 in the Trail Blazers last 25 games following an ATS win. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Heat v. Mavs UNDER 197 | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
01-29-18 | Iona v. Fairfield OVER 154 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on IONA@FAIR to go OVER the total.
The Fairfield Stags scored just 65 points in a loss at Iona earlier this season, but I expect them to have more success offensively here at home tonight. Fairfield is averaging over 80 points per game in five games since the loss to the Gaels. During that span they have allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game as well. The Gaels are scoring their fair share op points, averaging just shy of 80 points per game over their last five. The most recent head to head meetings between these two teams went under, but they had gone over in four straight previously. Tonight's total is lower than it was in any of those previous five meetings. The over is 10-4 in the Gaels last 14 visits to Fairfield, and the over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 road games. Don't be surprised if this turns out to be a high scoring game that goes right down to the wire. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Richmond v. Davidson UNDER 144 | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
01-28-18 | Oakland v. Wright State UNDER 148.5 | 51-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OAK@WRST to go UNDER the total.
I bet on Oakland as a big underdog on the road at Northern Kentucky on Friday, and they won outright by a score of 83-70. Here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The Oakland Grizzlies finished in first place in the Horizon League last year, and they won more than their fair share of road games in the process. They were 10-2 on the road last year, and they have won three of four road games in the Horizon League so far this season. The Grizzlies are on the road at North Kentucky tonight, looking to avenge a home loss to the Norse earlier this season. Oakland led 47-41 at halftime in that game, but the Norse pulled away in the second half, winning by a score of 87-83. The Grizzlies had won and covered in each of the previous three meetings, including a 79-70 win at Northern Kentucky last January. Oakland comes in averaging over 85 points per game over their last five, which is 10 points more than the Norse have averaged during the same span. Northern Kentucky may be 7-1 in the Horizon League, but only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record, and that was their win at Oakland." Now just days later, they are a favorite (or pickem) on the road at Wright State, the Horizon Conference leader. Wright State already won at Oakland earlier this year by a score of 86-81 in OT (142 points in regulation). Wright State is 10-1 at home, and they have allowed opponents to average 57.3 points in those games. The under is 10-1 in the Raiders last 11 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Kentucky v. West Virginia UNDER 149 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UK@WVU to go UNDER the total.
The Kentucky Wildcats are 3-2 in their last five overall, with losses to Florida and South Carolina. Three of those five games went over the total, but not one of those games saw enough combined points to reach tonight's total. The Wildcats are on the road at West Virginia, playing in the BIG12/SEC Challenge. The Mountaineers have lost three of their last four overall, and they have averaged just 70.6 points per game over their last five. Both these teams are known to be defensive powerhouses in their respective conferences, and they have a long history of playing low scoring games. In five meetings dating back to 2005, none of those games saw more than 146 combined points. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine road games, and nine of their last 10 versus the BIG12. The under is 5-2 West Virginia's last seven games, and their last home game was an 86-51 win over Texas. I expect both teams to have to work hard for every point tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-25-18 | Sabres v. Canucks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
|
|||||||
01-25-18 | Lightning v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TB@PHI to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
01-24-18 | Celtics v. Clippers UNDER 218 | 113-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BOS@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Celtics are playing their second game of a back to back in LA after losing to the Lakers last night. The bookmakers are expecting tonight's game against the Clippers to be a high scoring affair. The total seems a little too high considering Boston boasts the leagues top defense. The last time these two teams played the total was set at 218, and it ended up a push with the Clippers winning 116-102 at home last March. A lot has changed since then, and this Boston team rarely plays such high scoring games these days. Boston has failed to reach the total in four of it's last five when playing the second game of a back to back. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings at the Staples Center, and the under in 19-9 in the last 28 meetings overall. This number looks to be a bit inflated. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-24-18 | NC State v. Pittsburgh UNDER 141 | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NCST@PIT to go UNDER the total.
Pittsburgh is 0-7 in the ACC, and tonight's home game against the NC State Wolfpack will be one of just a few realistic chances for this team to pick up a win in conference play. The Wolfpack are 0-3 on the road, and they have scored an average of just 57 points in those losses. The Panthers offense has been dreadful, even at home where they have scored just 67.4 points per game. They aren't too bad defensively though, giving up just 68.7 points per game at home, and 70.8 points per game overall. The Wolfpack have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight road games, while Pittsburgh has gone under in 13 of it's last 16 at home. The Panthers have failed to score 60 points in six of their last seven, and they have gone under in seven of their last eight overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-24-18 | Chelsea v. Arsenal UNDER 2.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
01-23-18 | Cavs v. Spurs UNDER 208.5 | 102-114 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@SA to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Wisconsin v. Iowa UNDER 142 | 67-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WIS@IOWA to go UNDER the total. The Hawkeyes and the Badgers have a recent history of playing close, low scoring games. They have gone under in three of the last four meetings, but had gone over in six straight prior to 2015. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. The most noticeable difference with these two teams since they played to 59-57 Hawkeyes win at Madison in the last meeting, is that Wisconsin's offense has really dropped off. The Badgers were in the middle of the pack in the BIG10 last year, but they come into tonight's game dead last in scoring in the conference averaging just over 68 points per game. They have scored just 54.2 points per game on the road, and have averaged just 63 points over their last five games. Their defense however remains formidable, ranking 3rd in the conference in opponent's scoring average. They have failed to reach the total in 31 of their last 43 road games, and tonight's number is higher than it was in all but four of those contests. The last time the Badgers played at Iowa they won by a score of 67-59, which is 15 points fewer than the projected total for tonight's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-23-18 | Ball State v. Kent State UNDER 147 | 80-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play BALL@KENT to go UNDER the total.
I bet on the under in Kent State's home win over Ohio a few weeks ago, and I expect another low scoring game here is they host Ball State. Here is what I said prior to the game against the Bobcats: "You don't see a lot of high scoring games in the MAC, and previous games between Kent State and Ohio have been low scoring. They have failed to reach the total in seven of the last nine meetings, but the listed total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous contests. The Golden Flashes are coming off an 80-69 loss at Miami-Oh, and their leading scorer Jaylin Walker only played 13 minutes, suffering an undisclosed injury. His status for tonight's game remains in question. Ohio is 1-2 in conference play, failing to reach the total in all three games. The Bobcats have averaged just 69.3 points per game on 38.7 percent shooting while losing all three of their home games. Ohio has gone under in six straight MAC games, while the Flashes have gone under in nine of their last 12 within the conference." Both the Golden Flashes and the Cardinals have struggled offensively in recent games. Ball State has scored just 66 points per game over their last five, and they are coming off a 71-53 loss to Miami-Oh. Kent State has failed to reach the total in 12 of it's last 15 MAC games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-22-18 | West Virginia v. TCU UNDER 160 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
01-22-18 | Bulls v. Pelicans OVER 225 | 128-132 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHI@NO to go OVER the total. The Bulls are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, coming into New Orleans as winners of four of their last five. They scored an average of 115 points in those games, and they rank 4th in the NBA in scoring since the New Year. They will play at New Orleans tonight, and both these teams are more interested in scoring than they are about playing defense. The Pelicans have won four of their last five, and have scored over 112 points per game during that span. History tells us that these two teams have scored a ton of points in previous meetings, especially in New Orleans. The over is 11-3-1 in Chicago's last 15 visits to The Big Easy. Chicago has gone over in eight of it's last 10 road games, and 15 of it's last 20 overall. The Pelicans have gone over in 20 of their last 28 home games, and 12 of their last 16 when coming off an ATS loss. Another high scoring game at the Smoothie King Arena seems inevitable tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-21-18 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 199 | Top | 94-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@SA to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
01-21-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Valparaiso UNDER 137.5 | Top | 70-54 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on L-IL@VALPO to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
01-20-18 | Pittsburgh v. Duke UNDER 153 | 54-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PIT@DUKE to go UNDER the total. The Duke Blue Devils are one of the biggest favorites on the board today, but I have my sights set on the total here in their home game versus Pittsburgh. These two teams played at Pittsburgh just over a week ago, and Duke won by a score of 87-52. The game fell well short of the total of 155, and these two teams haven't combined to score 150 points in any of the last six meetings dating back to 2007. The Panthers can't score, they come into this game averaging just 53.8 points over their last five games. As bad as they are offensively, they are actually above average defensively. They have allowed an average of 72 points per game on the road, and they have actually given up fewer points than Duke over the last five overall. Not one of Pittsburgh's last 10 games has seen a combined 150 points, and that includes blowout losses at Virginia Tech, Louisville and Syracuse. The under is 23-6 in Pittsburgh's last 29 road games. Take UNDER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-19-18 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 218 | 108-100 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
01-19-18 | Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 137.5 | 50-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
01-19-18 | Iona v. Monmouth OVER 153 | 76-73 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
01-18-18 | Minnesota v. Maryland UNDER 150 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MINN@MD to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
01-18-18 | Denver v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 152 | 80-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DEN@NEOM to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
01-18-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 89-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
|
|||||||
01-17-18 | Valparaiso v. Missouri State UNDER 139.5 | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on VALPO@MOSU to go UNDER. |
|||||||
01-16-18 | Oklahoma v. Kansas State UNDER 164 | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on OKLA@KSU to go UNDER the total.
The Sooners can move into a first place tie with Kansas if they win tonight in Manhattan. The Wildcats are just 2-3 in the BIG12 so far, but they are 8-1 at home. Oklahoma comes into tonight's game as winners of back to back home games against TCU and Texas Tech. Trae Young scored 43 points in the win over the Horned Frogs on Saturday, and he looks like he is getting better as the season goes on. Kansas State won't be able to keep up with the Oklahoma offense, the Wildcats are averaging just 75 points per game over their last five. They are one of the better defensive teams in the BIG12 though, allowing just 61.1 points per game at home. An injury to their top playmaker isn't going to help, Kamau Stokes is the team's assist leader, and third leading scorer. The junior guard has missed the last two games with a foot injury, and he's listed as (out indefinitely). The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the last 10 head to head meetings between the two schools. In fact, not one of the last 10 head to head meetings saw enough points to reach tonight's total. The Sooners have failed to reach the total in two of their last three, and the exception was an overtime game against TCU. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-16-18 | Wisconsin v. Purdue UNDER 137 | 50-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WIS@PURDUE to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers are struggling, just 9-9 overall and 2-3 in the BIG10. Their problem isn't their defense, they are allowing opponents to average less than 65 points per game. They have allowed less than 65 points in five of their last six overall. Purdue has picked up right where it left off last year, sitting at the top of the conference standings with a 6-0 record. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the country, and they have held opponents to just 58.5 points per game at home. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings. The Badgers have only averaged 55 points per game on the road, and they have gone under in six straight road games. Purdue has gone under in five straight versus BIG10 teams, and I expect another low scoring battle here tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 229 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total.
The defending champion Golden State Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 115 points per game. They have scored 120+ points in seven of their last 10 overall, and they have scored 120+ points in seven straight with Steph Curry in the lineup. The Cavs are also one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, however they rank near the bottom of the league in points allowed. They have given up 120+ points in three of their last four overall, and they have lost three straight. The Warriors have dominated this series, winning six of the last seven meetings. While the most recent meeting was a low scoring game with the Warriors winning 99-92, Steph Curry did not play in that game. The previous four games in this series all went over the total, and Curry played in all of those games. The Warriors have gone over in seven of their last eight overall, and six of their last eight at Cleveland. The Cavs have gone over in four of their last five home games, and the over is 9-0 in their last nine home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-15-18 | Minnesota v. Penn State UNDER 148 | 95-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Minnesota vs Penn State Free Pick January 15, 2018.
I bet against the Gophers in their last game, and they lost by a whopping 34 points at home versus Purdue. Here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "The Gophers are coming off a home loss to Indiana, and they have lost two of three on the road so far. The Wildcats have won five of the last seven in this series, and they won their last home game against Minnesota by a whopping 24 points. The Gophers will miss two starters tonight, with guard Amir Coffey and center Reggie Lynch both out indefinitely. The pair have averaged over 24 points and 12 rebounds per game combined this season." Granted that Penn State is a step down in competition from their previous two games against Ohio State and Purdue, the Gophers haven't shown any evidence that they can compete in the BIG10 with their current roster. Since the injury to Coffey, they have averaged less than 60 points per game. The total for tonight's game looks a little high, it's in fact higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between these two schools. Penn State has failed to reach the total in nine of it's last 11 home games, while the Gophers have gone under in five straight overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-15-18 | Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 205 | 118-107 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHA@DET to go UNDER.
The Pistons have been great at home this season (13-5), and they host the struggling Charlotte Hornets in an early game on Martin Luther King Day. The Hornets are coming off a home loss to Oklahoma City by a score of 101-91. They have lost five of their last six against the Pistons, and they are just 5-13 on the road this season. Detroit beat the Hornets by a score of 102-90 in the most recent meeting at the Palace in their season opener back in October. The Pistons have won five straight home games, and they have beaten some of the league's top teams during that stretch (Spurs and Rockets). They rank 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 101.5 points per game. The Hornets have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall, while the Pistons have gone under in six of their last eight at home. The under is is 12-5-1 in the Pistons last 18 versus teams from the Eastern Conference. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. I like the Pistons to win a low scoring game here at the Palace. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-14-18 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Liverpool vs MNC to go OVER the total. The two highest scoring teams in the Premier League will meet at Anfield on Sunday, and both Liverpool and Man City are undefeated in their last five matches. Both teams are coming off four wins and a draw, and they have both filled the net during that time. City has scored a whopping nine goals in it's last three matches, and 14 goals in it's last six matches. The Reds have scored 14 goals in their last five matches, and nine goals in their last three home matches. As good as Liverpool is at scoring goals, defending isn't a strength for the Reds. They have conceded 25 goals in 22 matches, and five of those came in a 5-0 loss to City in December. Neither team has posted a clean sheet in it's last three league matches, and I expect both teams to score here at Anfield. This should be a high scoring game, and I wouldn't be surprised if it ends in a 2-2 draw. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-12-18 | Rockets v. Suns OVER 226.5 | 112-95 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@PHX to go OVER the total.
The Suns leading scorer Devin Booker is back, and since his return Phoenix has a winning record, and has won three straight home games. The Rockets leading scorer remains out, and Houston has lost four of it's last six on the road. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard, and tonight's game should be a fast paced, high scoring affair. These two teams have gone over in seven straight, and nine of the last 10 meetings. The Rockets have failed to cover in five of their last seven on the road, and eight of their last 11 overall. Phoenix is a solid 5-2-1 in it's last eight home games, and is coming off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. Booker, Bender and Warren all scored over 20 points in the victory. I think the Rockets should be content to run and gun with Phoenix, and without Harden they might find it difficult to pull away. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-12-18 | Jazz v. Hornets OVER 206.5 | 88-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@CHA to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
01-12-18 | Ohio v. Kent State UNDER 153.5 | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OHIO@KENT to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
01-10-18 | UNLV v. Air Force OVER 150.5 | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNLV@AFA to go OVER the total. The UNLV Rebels are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 88 points per game. That is a huge improvement from last season, but their defense still has a long way to go. They rank 255th nationally allowing over 75 points per game. They have given up more than 80 points in three of their last four, and the one exception was an 82-76 win over San Jose State. The Spartans are the cellar dwellers of the Mountain West, and that 76 point total is their best this season against a team from their own conference. Air Force isn't known as an offensive powerhouse by any means, but they scored 75 points in a home loss to Nevada their last time out. These two teams have gone over the total in eight of the last nine meetings, and the number of 150.5 seems way too low. I can't see either of these two teams scoring less than 75 points. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
|||||||
01-07-18 | Knicks v. Mavs OVER 207 | 100-96 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYK@DAL to go OVER the total. The Mavs are one of the worst teams in the Western Conference, but they are on a bit of a roll, winning four of their last six overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last four games. The Knicks are really struggling, they have lost seven of their last eight overall. They allowed an average of 107 points in those losses, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. The total for tonight's game appears to be a bit low, as the Knicks have gone over the number in four of their last five, while Dallas has gone over in four straight. The Mavs have gone over in five of their last six versus Eastern Conference teams, and with not a lot at stake here between a couple of teams in the midst of a rebuild, don't expect to see a defensive battle. The Mavs are coming off a 127-124 loss to the Bulls, and Chicago shot over 56 percent from the field in the game. I expect to see a similar flow to tonight's game. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-07-18 | William & Mary v. Drexel OVER 154.5 | 85-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM@DREX to go OVER the total. The CAA is not a conference known for it's defense, and two of the worst defensive teams will meet when Drexel hosts William and Mary today. I bet on William and Mary in their win over Hofstra, and here is what I said before the game: "The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. They come into tonight's home game against Hofstra with a perfect 5-0 home record." They won that game despite giving up 87 points to a pretty average opponent. They have since won back to back road games, scoring an average of 87 points in those victories. Both these teams have given up well over 80 points per game in their last five, and they have both scored almost that many during that span. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points lower than it was in the last two meetings, and the Dragons have gone over in five straight versus CAA teams. The over is 18-4 in William and Mary's last 22 conference games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
|||||||
01-06-18 | Ducks v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ANA@CAL to go UNDER the total.
The Flames lost an Anaheim last week, and I bet on the Ducks in that game. The loss was just the latest in a historically one sided rivalry. The Ducks are 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they have won four straight at Calgary. The majority of those games were low scoring, as these teams have only scored more than five goals once in the last seven meetings. Calgary ranks 20th in the league in scoring, and they don't score many goals on special teams. The same can be said of the Ducks, but Anaheim is one of the top teams in the league on defense, ranking 7th in goals against. The Ducks also boast a Top 10 penalty killing unit. The Flames have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, while the under is 19-7-1 in the Ducks last 27 overall. With these teams each fighting for one of the last playoff spots in the West, we can expect another gritty defensive battle here in Cow Town. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-06-18 | North Carolina v. Virginia UNDER 137.5 | 49-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC@UVA to go UNDER the total. The last game between these two teams saw a combined 96 points. I bet the under in that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Virginia Cavs had lost four straight before busting loose and scoring 70 points in a win at North Carolina State Saturday. They return home to host the red hot UNC Tar Heels, in this season's second meeting between the two teams. North Carolina won at home in the previous meeting, despite scoring a season low 65 points. The Tar Heels might be hard pressed to score that many here in the rematch, as the Cavs have held opponents to just 51.1 points on 36.7 percent shooting at home. The Cavs lost 54-48 in overtime at home to Miami, and lost 65-55 to Duke. They crushed Louisville by a score of 71-55, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Tar Heels have already clinched at least a share of the ACC Title, and even if they lose tonight's game, they can clinch with a win at home versus Duke on Saturday. This looks like a bit of a let down spot for the Tar Heels, and they could also get caught looking ahead to that game against Duke.The under is 20-6 in Cavaliers last 26 games as a home underdog, and 7-1 in Tar Heels last 8 games as a favorite." The total for today's game is actually higher than it was this time last year, despite all the trends pointing toward another low scoring game. The Cavs have held opponents to an average of 50 points at home this season, and they rank 1st nationally in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 52.7 points per game overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-02-18 | Penguins v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PIT@PHI to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis OVER 66 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 602 h 60 m | Show |
|
|||||||
12-26-17 | Bulls v. Bucks OVER 211 | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on CHI@MIL to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
12-26-17 | Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 208 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
12-26-17 | Raptors v. Mavs UNDER 209 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on TOR@DAL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-26-17 | Utah v. West Virginia UNDER 56.5 | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
12-24-17 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 47 | 16-37 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on BUF@NE to go UNDER the total.
The Patriots are coming off a massive win in Pittsburgh, but Tom Brady didn't exactly light it up in the victory. Brady threw for 298 yards with a TD and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in Pittsburgh. He's looked a little off the last few weeks, throwing just two TD passes and four INTs in his last three starts. One of those was a 23-3 win over the Bills in Buffalo, and he threw for just 258 yards and an INT on 21-30 passing in that game. The Pats ran the ball for 191 yards and a pair of TDs, and we could see Bill Belichick lean on the run here in a cold weather game at Foxboro this week. The Bills come in as winners of three of their last four, and they allowed an average of just 11 points in those three wins. The Bills beat New England by a score of 16-0 in Foxboro last year, and the under is 3-0 in Buffalo's last three visits to New England. The under is 9-2 in the Bills last 11 games on fieldtur, while New England has failed to reach the total in five straight games in the month of December. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-24-17 | Dolphins v. Chiefs UNDER 43.5 | 13-29 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on MIA@KC to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
12-23-17 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 206 | Top | 92-117 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
12-23-17 | Connecticut v. Auburn UNDER 149 | 64-89 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
9* |
|||||||
12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida OVER 65.5 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TTU@USF to go Over the total. |
|||||||
12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming OVER 45 | Top | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CMU@WYO to go OVER the total. The most intriguing story for this year's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl will be the showcase of one of the country's top ranked quarterbacks. Josh Allen is expected to be a first round pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, and this game will give him a chance to improve his draft stock. Allen missed the last two games of the regular season, and Wyoming lost those two games scoring a combined 24 points. The Cowboys were a different teams when Allen was healthy, winning six of seven games against Group of Five teams. He threw for 13 TDs and four INTs in those games. Central Michigan finished the season riding a five game win streak, and starting quarterback Shane Morris lit up the scoreboard during that span. Morris threw 1,141 yards with 14 TDs and just two INTs. All five of those games saw 55 or more combined points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in five of their last six against teams from the MAC, and their last game against Central Michigan was a 32-20 loss. I expect to see both teams score 20+ points her in this bowl game, and with an extraordinarily low total, the value lies with a play on the over. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-21-17 | Montana State v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 156.5 | 71-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on MTST@NEOM to go OVER the total.
The Nebraska Omaha Mavericks opened the season with an 89-90 loss to Montana State. They host the Bobcats in a rematch tonight, and I expect to see another high scoring game. I bet on the Mavs in their home win over Arkansas State, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Mavericks only have one win, but that came in their only previous home game against Drake. To their credit, the Mavs have had a tough schedule. They've played four games against Power Five schools (Louisville, Washington, TCU and Oklahoma) and seven of their 11 games have been true road games. They have won nine of their last 13 at home in Omaha. They have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games, and they are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall." They just barely hung on to win that game by a score of 77-74. Scoring isn't a problem for the Mavs, but they have been downright terrible defensively, allowing 87.8 points per game over their last five. These two teams have played three times since 2015, and they went over in all three of those games. Tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in any of those previous three meetings. The over is 7-0 in the Mavs last seven versus Big Sky teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-21-17 | Rangers v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-21-17 | Bowling Green v. Green Bay UNDER 161 | 81-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on BGRN@GB to go UNDER the total. The Bowling Green Falcons have been involved in some high scoring games lately, and the same can be said for Green Bay. The two teams will play in Wisconson tonight, and the bookmakers have set the total sky high. Last year the Falcons lost to Green Bay by a score of 77-61, failing to reach the listed total of 157. Actually they have fallen well short of that number in each of the last four head to head meetings, but tonight's game has a total far higher than that. While both these teams are terrible defensively, giving up a lot of points, neither team shoots for a particularly high percentage. The Falcons have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, and Green Bay has gone under in eight of it's last nine versus teams from the MAC. The Falcons have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 5-0 in their last five versus teams from the Horizon Conference. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-20-17 | St. Joe's v. St. John's UNDER 146.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on JOES@SJU to go UNDER the total.
The St. Joseph's Hawks are coming off a 72-59 win over Maine, but had lost back to back games to Villanova and Temple prior to that. They will be an 8-point underdog here against the Red Storm in Connecticut. St. Johns is one of the top defensive teams in the country, allowing just 61.9 points per game so far. They held the Hawks to just 61 points in a 63-61 win the last time these two teams met. The Red Storm have been even better defensively over their last five games, holding the opposition to just 59.8 points per game on 35.3 percent shooting. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight games played at a neutral site. St. Johns has gone under in five straight overall, and seven of their last eight when listed as a favorite. I am predicting the Red Storm win this game by a score of 71-62 (or in that neighborhood). I expect the winner to score less than 75, and the loser to score less than 70. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-16-17 | Oregon v. Boise State OVER 59.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BSU@ORE to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
12-13-17 | Raptors v. Suns UNDER 217 | 115-109 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@PHX to go UNDER the total.
The Suns have lost four straight, and leading scorer Devin Booker has missed the last three games. Booker (averaging 24.3 points per game) is expected to miss the next 2-3 weeks with a groin strain. Without him the Suns have averaged just 97 points per game in their last three overall, and all three of those games went under the total. The Raptors come to town as winners of six of their last seven, but they scored just 91 points in a loss to the Clippers on Monday. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six road games, and six of it's last seven road games against teams with a losing record. The Suns are a team that is normally associated with high scoring basketball games, but that doesn't seem applicable when Devin Booker is out of the lineup. Toronto has allowed fewer than 100 points in three of it's last four road games. I expect this game to be a blowout, and if that's the case it's going to be hard to see enough scoring to reach a high total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-13-17 | Villanova v. Temple UNDER 150.5 | 87-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Villanova vs Temple Free Pick December 13, 2017. |
|||||||
12-12-17 | Nuggets v. Pistons UNDER 210.5 | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
12-10-17 | Gonzaga v. Washington OVER 153 | Top | 97-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GONZ@WASH to go OVER the total. The Huskies are coming off an impressive upset win over #2 ranked Kansas, but they are a significant home underdog in tonight's game against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs have dominated this series, winning three straight and nine of the last 10. History tells us that we can expect a high scoring game, as four of the last five have meetings have gone over. The total for tonight's game is almost 10 points lower than it was in all five of those previous meetings. Both teams come in averaging over 80 points per game, and Gonzaga has allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game as well. The Huskies have scored at least 70 points in all nine of their games so far, and they are averaging 83.7 points per game at home. The over is 17-8 in the Huskies last 25 non-conference games. Gonzaga has gone over in four straight non conference games, and seven of their last 10 when coming off a loss. The Huskies lost last year's game versus Gonzaga by a score of 98-71, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-09-17 | Army v. Navy OVER 45 | Top | 14-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARMY@NAVY to go OVER the total.
Last year's Army vs Navy game saw the Black Knights end a 14-game losing streak in the annual event. This season I expect another long standing trend to come to an end. These two teams have failed to reach the total in 10 straight meetings, and that has bookmakers coming with an ultra low number here this year. The total of 45 is lower than it has been in any of Navy's games this season, and only three of 11 of Navy's games saw less than 45 combined points. Army also hasn't seen a total lower than this so far in 2017, and they have seen at least 45 combined points in seven of their 11 games. Their last game was a 52-49 loss to North Texas, and they ran for a whopping 534 yards and seven TDs in that contest. The Midshipmen are coming off a pair of losses to Houston and Notre Dame. Their last win came against SMU, and they ran for 559 yards and six TDs in the victory. While Navy is the favorite once again this year, this game is expected to be closer than it has in recent years. Both these teams should put some points on the board, and a competitive game could easily lead to enough points to push this number over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-07-17 | Hurricanes v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
|
|||||||
12-07-17 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 53.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 33 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NO@ATL to go UNDER the total.
I bet on the over in New Orleans home win over Carolina on Sunday, winning that bet with the final score of 31-21. I also bet the over in the Falcons loss to Minnesota, but lost that bet as Atlanta lost 14-9. Neither of those games saw enough combined points to reach tonight's total, and I believe that both teams may come in looking to run the ball on a short week. The Saints duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara have combined to run for over 1500 yards and 16 TDs. Kamara is also a serious threat in the passing game, ranking second on the team with 59 receptions for 614 yards and four TDs. The Falcons have two of the league's best backs in Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. While history tells us that these two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, both teams are far better defensively than they have been in previous seasons. Atlanta ranks 6th in the NFL in pass defense, allowing just 208 yards per game. The Saints rank 11th, allowing just 217 yards per game. That's a huge improvement for a New Orleans team that had ranked dead last in pass defense the last few years, and got off to a terrible start again this year. Last week they held Cam Newton to 183 yards and two TDs on 17-of-27 passing. The under is 6-2 in the Saints last eight at Atlanta. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-07-17 | Lakers v. 76ers UNDER 221.5 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Sixers beat the Lakers by a score of 115-109 in LA in November, and the Bookmakers are expecting another high scoring game here in Philly. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four games at Philly, and the one exception was a 113-111 Lakers win in overtime back in 2015. The Lakers have gone under in six straight road games against teams with a winning record. The Sixers have gone under in five of their last seven home games, and four of their last five overall. Lonzo Ball scored just 2 points on 1-of-9 shooting in 21 minutes in the last meeting. The Lakers have scored an average of 103.8 points per game in their last 10 losses. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule. |
|||||||
12-06-17 | Flyers v. Oilers OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on PHI@EDM to go OVER the total. The Edmonton Oilers finished near the top of the Western Conference last year, and they had an impressive run in the playoffs. They were supposed to "take the next step" this season, but instead have taken two steps backwards. Edmonton comes into tonight's home game against Philly as the seventh best team in the Pacific Division. They rank 27th in the league in goals against, and they own the league's worst penalty killing unit. An injury to starting goaltender Cam Talbot won't help matters. Backup netminder Laurent Brossoit has surrendered a whopping 18 goals in his last four starts. The Flyers have gone over the total in four straight games at Edmonton, and the over is 10-1 in their last 11 versus teams with a losing record. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-06-17 | Kings v. Cavs OVER 210.5 | 95-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@CLE to go OVER the total. The Cavs can tie a franchise record with their 13th consecutive win when they host the Sacramento Kings tonight. As easy as that may sound, the Kings have actually won two of their last three on the road, averaging 107 points in those games. One of those games was a 110-106 win at Golden State. The Cavs have scored more than 110 points in four of their last five games, and they've allowed over 100 points in 17 of their last 22 overall. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in each of the last four head to head meetings. The total in all four of those games was much higher than it is tonight. The Kings have gone over in 18 of their last 24 games versus Eastern Conference teams. The over is 8-1 in Cleveland's last nine games against the Western Conference. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-03-17 | Panthers v. Saints OVER 47.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 149 h 52 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
12-03-17 | Vikings v. Falcons OVER 47 | 14-9 | Loss | -110 | 149 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@ATL to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Liverpool v. Stoke City OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Liverpool vs Stoke to go OVER the total. Stoke City is only three points clear of the relegation zone, and only Everton has conceded more goals this season than the Potters. They normally do play well at home though, and they are 2-2-2 at BET365 Stadium this season. Their last home match was a 2-2 draw versus Leicester City, and they've scored five goals in their last three matches. Liverpool has scored seven goals in it's last three matches, and they have conceded four. Only the top two clubs (Manchester and Manchester City) have scored more goals this season than the Reds. These two teams have scored a whopping 13 goals in the last three head to head meetings, and I expect another high scoring game here in this game. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Calgary v. Toronto UNDER 53.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNDER in the Grey Cup. The Calgary Stampeders were by far the best defensive team in the CFL this season, and I like their chances of completely shutting down Ricky Ray here in the Grey Cup. The Stamps won both games during the regular season, and they knocked Ricky Ray out of a 41-24 win at Toronto. Calgary won by a score of 23-7 at home just a few weeks later. With freezing temperatures and wind and snow in the forecast, we should expect a low scoring game here in Ottawa. The Stamps have gone under in three of their last four overall, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last six head to head meetings. Calgary has gone under in four of it's last five road games, and six of it's last seven versus a team with a winning record. These two teams ranked 1st and 2nd in quarterback sacks this season. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Broncos v. Raiders OVER 43 | 14-21 | Loss | -110 | 138 h 22 m | Show | |
8* |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Canucks v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on VAN@NYR to go UNDER the total. The Rangers are gunning for an eigth consecutive home win, and netminder Henrik Lundqvist has been dominant during that span. He's 8-2 with a .937 save percentage in his last 10 starts. The Rangers host the Canucks in a matinee in New York Sunday, and Vancouver ranks 24th in the NHL in scoring. Star fowards Daniel and Henrik Sedin are no longer among the league's scoring leaders, and the Canucks are a young team in the middle of a rebuild. After starting the season 6-3-1 in their first 10 games, they have gone 5-6-1 in their last 12. The Rangers are coming off a 2-1 overtime win over Detroit, in a game that was scoreless until late in the final period. I expect another low scoring game here at the Garden this afternoon. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BUF@KC to go OVER the total.
The Buffalo Bills have given up 135 points in three straight losses, and they appear to have given up on this season. They decided to bench starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor in last week's game against LA, and rookie Nathan Peterman threw five INTs in just the first quarter. Taylor came in and threw for 158 yards and a TD and ran for 38 yards and another score, but the Bills lost by a score of 54-24. The Chiefs have lost four of their last five, and rookie RB Kareem Hunt hasn't run for 100 yards since Week 5 at Houston. He should be due for a breakout performance against a Buffalo defense that has allowed an NFL high 16 rushing TDs this season. The Chiefs defense has been questionable all season long, even during their 5-0 start. Kansas City ranks 26th in the NFL in total defense, and injuries to several starting linebackers isn't going to help much. The Bills have gone over the total in five straight overall, and six of their last seven when coming off a loss. I expect both teams to put points on the board here in Kansas City this week. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Notre Dame v. Stanford UNDER 56 | Top | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 17 m | Show |
|
|||||||
11-25-17 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma OVER 67 | 31-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU@OKLA to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Alabama v. Auburn OVER 47.5 | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ALA@AUB to go OVER the total. The Alabama Crimson Tide are still undefeated, but they appear to be about as vulnerable as they have ever been. Two weeks ago against Mississippi State they needed to rally late in a game that they were losing in the fourth quarter. They have been hit hard by injuries to several key defensive players. Not only did they lose a pair of linebackers in the win over LSU a few weeks ago, but they had already lost two star linebackers in Week 1 against Florida State. Minkah Fitzpatrick is hoping to play with a sore hamstring, but he's nowhere near 100 percent. They face an Auburn team that has scored 40+ points in all four games during a four game win streak. That includes a 40-17 home win over #1 ranked Georgia. They gained 488 total yards on the Bulldogs defense, and I like their chances of doing the same thing here against Alabama. The Crimson Tide have been extremely fortunate so far, padding their stats against weak opponents. Their most impressive win was at home to LSU, in a game where they were out-gained 306-299 in total yards. I expect both teams to score their fair share of points in the Iron Bowl. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 50.5 | 31-20 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OSU@MICH to go UNDER the total.
The Buckeyes are a big favorite on the road at Michigan, but this has never been an easy game for Ohio State. We've already seen a few double-digit dogs win outright here in rivalry week (Mississippi and Pittsburgh), and I wouldn't be surprised if this game is a lot closer than some people expect. Last year the Buckeyes won at home in overtime by a score of 30-27. I had the under in that game, and while there were only 34 points scored in regulation, it went over for the fourth consecutive time in this series. This Michigan team doesn't have the same offensive firepower it had a year ago, and the Wolverines were held to just 234 total yards while scoring 10 points in a loss to Wisconsin last week. Backup quarterback John O'Korn threw for just 19 yards on 2-of-8 passing, and he comes into this weeks game completing just over 50 percent of his passes this season with one TD and five INTs in seven appearances (four starts). The Wolverines have only played one game all year that has seen more than 50 combined points scored. The total for today's game is far higher than it was in each of the last two head to head meetings between these teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Missouri v. Arkansas OVER 70 | 48-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIZZ@ARK to go OVER the total.
I bet on Missouri last week in their blowout win over Vanderbilt, and here is what I said before that game: "The Tigers have struggled against the top teams in the SEC, but playing the bottom tier teams has been a cakewalk so far. Missouri is coming off four straight wins, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. They dropped 50 on Tennessee at home last week, and they beat Florida by a whopping 29 points at home a week earlier." They led 35-0 at the half last week, and held on to win 45-17. The Tigers might face a much tougher test here at Arkansas, as the home team has covered in five straight meetings between the two teams. The Razorbacks have gone over in four of their last five home games, and I like their chances of scoring their fair share of points here in their final game of the season. Starting quarterback Austin Allen missed four games due to injury, but he's been solid when healthy. He's thrown for seven TDs and just three INTs in five home starts. As well as Missouri has been playing lately, I still think their defense is vulnerable. Arkansas should be able to score enough points to keep this game interesting. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-23-17 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 62.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 69 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MISS@MISST to go UNDER the total. How good is Mississippi State? Well if you look at their 8-3 record, you see three losses. Those losses came against three teams in the Top 10, who are all currently in the hunt for a playoff spot. They rank 20th nationally in scoring defense, holding opponents to under 20 points per game. The Bulldogs are a big favorite here in the Egg Bowl versus rivals Mississippi, and they are expected to win by three scores. The Rebels have scored plenty of points this season, but not on the road against ranked teams. They scored a total of 26 points in losses at Alabama and Auburn, and they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Only one of the Bulldogs games this season saw more than a combined 60 points, and that was a blowout win over LA-Tech. Rebels quarterback Jordan Ta'amu threw for just 189 yards on 19-of-34 passing in a home loss to Texas A&M last week. I don't expect him to be any more successful here at Starkville. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks OVER 45 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 42 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ATL@SEA to go OVER the total.
The Seahawks have held five of their last six opponents to less than 20 points, but the loss of Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor is likely to hurt their defense. They host the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night Football, and Atlanta is coming off a 27-7 home win over Dallas. Matt Ryan has had an off year, but he has a history of putting up big numbers against the Seahawks. He faced Seattle twice last year, throwing for over 300 yards in both games, including a 26-24 loss at Seattle. The Falcons knocked Seattle out of the playoffs with a 36-20 home win in the first round. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, as six of the last seven head to head meetings have gone over the total. The total for this game is actually lower than it was in each of the last four meetings. The Falcons leading rusher is expected to miss the game due to a concussion, and Seattle has struggled to run the ball all season long. We should expect to see both teams air it out early and often. Russell Wilson ranks 3rd in the NFL in passing yards, and he's thrown for 749 yards and six TDs in his last two home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Redskins v. Saints OVER 51.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-19-17 | Chiefs v. Giants OVER 45 | 9-12 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-18-17 | NC State v. Wake Forest UNDER 63.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 102 h 18 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-18-17 | Arizona University v. Oregon OVER 74 | Top | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 85 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARI@ORE to go OVER the total. The Ducks have been hit hard by injuries this season, especially at quarterback. Starter Justin Herbert was lost for the season, and his backup Taylor Alie has missed the last three games. The senior is hoping to be cleared in time to play here in the Ducks home game against Arizona. Third string quarterback Braxton Burmeister got the start in Oregon's last home game, and he was only asked to attempt a dozen passes. He was 9-of-12 for 47 yards and a TD, leading the Ducks to a 41-20 win over Utah. Royce Freeman and Tony Brooks-James each ran for over 100 yards in the win. The Ducks should be able to put points on the board against this 114th ranked Arizona defense. The Wildcats have played three road games versus PAC12 teams, and they have allowed more than 40 points in all three of those games. They have also scored more than their fair share of points, winning five of their last six and scoring an average of 48.8 points in those wins. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games, Oregon has gone over in 51 of it's last 69 home games. The Wildcats have gone over in 26 of their last 36 overall. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 57 | 44-56 | Loss | -135 | 88 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NEB@PSU to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State OVER 65 | 45-40 | Win | 100 | 88 h 55 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-18-17 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 166 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arsenal vs Tottenham to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
11-17-17 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199 | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total.
The Spurs have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA for decades under head coach Greg Popovich, and nothing has changed this season. San Antonio ranks 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 98.9 points per game. They host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder have become one of the league's top defensive teams in 2017. They rank 2nd in the NBA allowing just 97.1 points per game. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in seven of the last 10 meetings dating back to April of 2016. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio, and the Thunder failed to score 100 points in all five of those games. Oklahoma City has failed to reach the total in 13 of it's last 16 road games, while the Spurs have gone under in four of their last five versus Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-15-17 | Bruins v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -122 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ANA to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 208 | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
10* |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Patriots v. Broncos OVER 46 | Top | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 83 h 49 m | Show |
|
|||||||
11-12-17 | Steelers v. Colts OVER 43.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -115 | 75 h 38 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-11-17 | Arizona State v. UCLA OVER 67 | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-11-17 | Notre Dame v. Miami-FL UNDER 57.5 | Top | 8-41 | Win | 100 | 107 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ND@MIA to go UNDER the total. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Alabama v. Mississippi State OVER 51 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 102 h 33 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
11-10-17 | Heat v. Jazz UNDER 196.5 | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIA@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Heat are playing their fifth game of a five game road trip, coming off a 126-115 win over the Suns. They are 2-2 on the trip so far, failing to score 100 points both losses. They scored just 80 points in a 97-80 loss to Golden State on Monday. The Jazz have lost three straight, and they should be ready to battle for every possession tonight, in an effort to end this losing skid. Their last game was a 104-97 loss to Philly, in a game that saw just combined 90 points scored in the first half. I won with a play on the under in that game, and even though we have a lower number here tonight, I am coming back with another play on the under. These two teams have gone over in four of the last seven meetings, but tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact six of those seven games saw a total of 190 or lower. The Heat have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 road games, while the under is 5-1 in Utah's last six when playing on two day's rest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |