40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 207) 

After going well below the total in the first two games, the Cavs and Warriors eclipsed the mark set of 206 in Game 3 with a 210 points. That was with Cleveland scoring 120 points. Golden State simply didn't show up to play and basically threw in the towel in the 2nd half of that contest. I look for a completely different Warriors team to take the floor after getting embarrassed by 30-points. Keep in mind they held Cleveland to just 89 points on 38.1% shooting in Game 1 and 77 points on 35.4% shooting in Game 2. The defensive intensity is going to be there for both teams tonight and I wouldn't be shocked if we saw the lowest scoring game of the series so far. Either way the total is too high. Give me the UNDER 207! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (OVER 205)

Each of the first two games in this series have gone well below the total. As a result, oddsmakers have adjusted. The total for game 1 was 211.5 points, now it's just 205. The key here is we are getting a change of scenery with the series shifting to Cleveland. The Cavaliers were pathetic on offense in Golden State, but I look for them to come to life at home. Golden State's offense travels well and the defensive intensity for the Warriors isn't going to be as strong on the road, especially with a 2-0 lead in the series. Forget who will cover the spread. Give me the OVER 205! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

I'm expecting a pitchers duel in the nightcap of today's double-header between the Mets and Pirates. New York will give the ball to Jacob deGrom, who has a 2.62 ERA in 9 starts and is in good form with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Pirates counter with Juan Nicasio. He's got a less than impressive 4.25 ERA overall, but has a dominant 2.54 ERA in 5 home starts. Look for both teams to rest some regulars in this one, making it that much easier on these two starters. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Under 218) 

The UNDER is worth a look in tonight's highly anticipated Game 7 between the Thunder and Warriors. So far the UNDER has cashed in 4 of the 6 games. These two teams are very familiar with one another buy now and we know we are going to get a max effort here defensively. Golden State has adjusted and started playing a bigger lineup, which takes away from their offense. Add in the pressure of a Game 7 and the potential for Golden State to turn this into a blowout and I see big time value here with this high total. Give me the UNDER 218! 

40* MLB Late Night Total Annihilator (OVER 7.5) 

I really like the OVER in tonight's contest between the Astros and Angels. Houston's Michael Fiers comes in with a solid 3.37 ERA over his last 3 starts, but all 3 of those outings came at home. He's not been so good on the road, where he has a 5.25 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 2 starts. LA will send out Matt Shoemaker, who is coming off a rare good start last time out against the Orioles. Even after throwing 7 scoreless innings against Baltimore, Shoemaker still has an awful 8.31 ERA and 1.731 WHIP at home. Give me the OVER 7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Dominator (OVER 196.5) 

Typically when we get this deep in a series the value is with the UNDER, but I don't believe that's the case at all in Game 6 tonight between the Raptors and Cavaliers. I know Cleveland struggled offensively in their two previous games in Toronto, but when locked in they have picked apart the Raptors defense. I look for the Cavs to have no problem eclipsing the 100-point mark in this one and Toronto should provide enough here offensively playing at home to push this well over the mark set. Give me the OVER 196.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total No Brainer (UNDER 222)

I was on the OVER when it cashed in Game 3, but the value is now with the UNDER. This is arguably the biggest game of the series for both teams and that's going to lead to an all out effort on the defensive side of the floor. If the Warriors win, they take back control of the series. If the Thunder win, they have a commanding 3-1 lead, needing just 1 more win to advance to the Finals. Golden State isn't going to let OKC go off like they did in Game 3 and this one should be on line with Game 1 and 2, which saw 210 and 209 combined points. Give me the UNDER 222!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (OVER 220.5) 

Each of the first two games in the series have gone under the mark and we have seen the total drop considerably since Game 1 closed at 225. I believe that's created some value here on the OVER in Game 3, as the series shifts to OKC. The Warriors are going to get there's offensively and the Thunder should have a much easier time keeping pace on their home floor, where they are averaging 109.0 ppg on the season. OVER is 19-4 in the Warriors last 23 off a home win by 20 or more points and 8-2 in the Thunders last 10 after failing to cover their last game. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

The UNDER is worth a look here, as we should have a low-scoring game this afternoon between the Nationals and Marlins. Washington will send out Max Scherzer, who is looking more and more like his old self with each start. Scherzer followed up his 20 strikeout performance with another great outing, allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits with 10 K's in 6 1/3 innings at New York. Miami will counter with Adam Conley, who has a respectable 3.40 ERA in 8 starts and a 2.94 ERA over his last 3. UNDER is 9-1-2 in Scherzer's last 12 starts during game 3 of a series and 16-5 in Washington's last 21 road games against a team with a losing home record. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 198.5) 

Game 2 was fortunate to go UNDER the total and that's going to have most looking to take the OVER in Game 3, but I think this will be the lowest scoring game of the series. With Toronto down 0-2 and returning home for the first time in the series, we can expect the Raptors to lay everything on the line and that means all out defensive effort. Cleveland is due for a bad showing offensively and with complete control in the series, I look for the Cavs offense to stumble a bit here. At the same time, Cleveland seems to be locked in defensively in the postseason and I expect another strong effort from them on that side of the ball. Give me the UNDER 198.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

I really like the value we are getting with this total between the Rays and A's on Sunday. Oakland will have their ace Sonny Gray on the mound, who is coming off back-to-back bad outings. That is definitely playing a part in this high total, but I believe he poised for a big bounce back performance. He's definitely got the stuff and he's pitched well against the Rays in his career, posting a 2.81 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 5 starts. Tampa Bay will give the ball to Matt Moore, who has pitched well for the most part this season. Moore has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 5 of his 7 starts. UNDER is 12-1 in the Rays 13 games this season after a win, 16-4 in their last 20 against a right-handed starter and 14-5 in their last 19 at home. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Crusher (Under 8) 

I'm taking the UNDER in Thursday's total between the Padres and Brewers. The books have simply set the mark too high for today's pitching matchup. San Diego will send out their ace James Shields, who despite a 1-5 record has a 3.60 ERA with 5 quality starts in 7 appearances. Milwaukee will give the ball to their ace in Jimmy Nelson, who has been especially tough to score on at home. Nelson is 7-2 with a 2.90 ERA in his last 12 outings at Miller Park. It's also worth pointing out that the UNDER is 10-1 in the Padres last 11 after playing 2 or more consecutive games on the road. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB Over/Under Total Dominator (UNDER 7) 

Today's matchup between the Rays and Mariners has a pitchers duel written all over it. Tampa Bay will send out their ace Chris Archer, who has been lights out of late. Archer has a 0.96 ERA and 0.911 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Seattle's Taijuan Walker has been dominant in the early goings of 2016. Walker owns a 1.97 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 6 starts. Walker has yet to allow more than 2 earned runs in an outing this year. UNDER is 15-3 in the Rays' 18 games this season against a right-handed starter and 5-0-1 in Walker's last 6 starts. Give me the UNDER 7! 

40* MLB Late Night Total No Brainer (Mets/Dodgers UNDER 7.5) 

The books have set the total too high for tonight's matchup between the Dodgers and Mets. New York will send out one of their talented youngsters in Jacob deGrom, who has a 1.99 ERA in 4 starts. The Dodgers will give the ball to Alex Wood, who is keeping this total higher than it should be. Wood has a 5.18 ERA and 1.485 WHIP overall in 6 starts, but owns a 1.29 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his 2 starts at home. The Mets are also scoring just 2.2 runs/game against left-handed starters this season. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (UNDER 199.5) 

The Cavaliers exploded for 123 points in Game 2, pushing the combined total well over the mark of  196. I believe that has created some great value here on the UNDER in Game, as the series shifts to Atlanta. Cleveland simply couldn't miss from the outside in Game 2, as they hit a NBA Playoff record 25 3-pointers. Over half the Cavs shots (45 of 87) were from long-distance and that's simply not a recipe for success, especially on the road. You also have to factor in that Atlanta is going to lay everything they have on the line defensively to avoid falling behind 0-3 in the series. I don't think Cleveland's defensive intensity will be lacking either. The Cavs are a team on a mission in the postseason. Give me the UNDER! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total No Brainer (UNDER 198.5) 

Game 1 of the Hawks/Cavs series went UNDER the total, as the two teams combined for 197 points. I expect an even lower scoring game in Game 2, as the Hawks know they have to slow down the tempo to have any chance of evening up the series at 1-1. These are two of the better defensive teams in the league when they want to be and now that they have an understand of what the other team wants to do offensively, I look for both offenses to struggle even more than they did in the series opener. UNDER is 10-1 in Cleveland's last 11 when playing only their 5th game in 14 or less days, 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 off a SU loss and 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 100+ points. Give me the UNDER 198.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total No Brainer (Red Sox/White Sox UNDER 8) 

Two of baseballs most efficient starters will face off on Tuesday in Chicago and my money is on this one going UNDER the mark set by the books. Boston's Steven Wright has a 1.37 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 4 starts, while the White Sox's Jose Quintana has a 1.47 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 5 starts. Quintana has yet to allow a run at home this season and has given up zero runs in his last 2 starts overall. UNDER is 25-9 in Chicago's last 34 home games after a win and 14-2 in Quintana's last 16 starts after 2 or more wins. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 8) 

The fact that this game is being played at Toronto's Rogers Centre has created some great value here on the total, as the books have inflated this line because of where the game is being played. What matters is the starting pitching matchup and we have a good one here with Jose Quintana going up against Marco Estrada. Quintana has a 1.82 ERA and 1.094 WHIP over 4 starts and Estrada enters with a 2.50 ERA in 3 starts and has yet to allow a run at home. UNDER is 12-3 in Estrada's last 15 starts after a loss and 13-2 in Quintana's last 15 starts after 2 or more wins. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Crusher (OVER 9) 

There's a reason the books have set a big number here on the total in the series finale between the Orioles and Royals. The wind is expected to be blowing out to left at around 20 mph. Normal pop flies are going to turn into home runs and I look for both teams to put big numbers on the scoreboard. It certainly helps that we have two offenses that are more than capable of scoring runs in bunches. Baltimore comes in averaging 6.0 runs/game on the road and have power hitters littered throughout their lineup. The Royals on the other hand should be able to take advantage of the Orioles' Mike Wright, who comes in with a 5.73 ERA and 1.364 WHIP. Wright has made one career start against KC and allowed 4 runs in just 5 innings of work. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Annihilator (UNDER 201.5) 

These two teams combined for just 171 points in Game 2 and I look for a similar low scoring contest in Game 3. The loss of Avery Bradley is big on the defensive end, but it's even bigger on the offensive end. Boston has shot 36.3% and 31.8% from the field in the first two games. Atlanta hasn't been much better at 40.7% and 39.0%. I look for the Celtics offensive woes to continue and with them down 0-2 in the series we can expect a max effort on the defensive side of the floor. Give me the UNDER 201.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 8) 

I really like the value here with the total in Tuesday's series opener between the Royals and Tigers. Detroit's Shane Greene was sharp in his first outing, allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits with 7 strikeouts in 6 innings at Pittsburgh and has a 0.69 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Royals. Kansas City will send out Yordano Ventura, who has a 2.45 ERA in 2 starts, allowing just 3 runs on 6 hits in 11 innings of work. In Ventura's last two starts against Detroit, he's allowed just 1 run on 7 hits with 19 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 199.5)

I'm expecting a very low scoring game here between the Hornets and Heat in Game 1 of this opening round series. Both of these teams rank inside the Top 10 in defensive efficiency and are each in the bottom half of the league in pace. With the way teams turn up the intensity on the defensive side of the ball in the playoffs, points are going to be hard to come by for both teams. It's also worth noting that 3 of the 4 meetings between these two teams resulted in a combined score of 198 or less. Give me the UNDER 199.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 7.5) 

While this isn't a high-profile pitching matchup, I don't expect a lot of runs to be scored in this one. The Phillies will be sending out Jerad Eickhoff, who didn't have his best stuff and still only gave up 2 earned runs in 5 innings of work. Keep in mind Eickhoff allowed just 3 earned runs over his final 4 starts of 2015 and pitched at least 7 innings in all 4 outings. He takes on a San Diego offense that has already been shutout 4 times this season. The Padres give the ball to Colin Rea, who was tagged for 5 runs on 6 hits and 4 walks in his first start, but that came at Coors Field against the Rockies. I look for a big bounce back performance here from Rea against the soft-hitting Phillies. Philadelphia has scored 3 runs or less in 6 of their first 8 games and are hitting just .224 as a team. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 7) 

I look for a low scoring game here between the Rangers and Angels. Both teams will send out their aces in this one. Both pitched well in their first start, but the real key here is how they have dominated the opposing team in this series. Cole Hamels has a 2.81 ERA and 0.688 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Angels, while Garrett Richards has a 2.98 ERA and 1.237 WHIP over 14 starts against the Rangers. Give me the UNDER 7! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 207.5) 

I'm expecting both teams to come out extremely motivated, as this is a statement game for both teams. There's a good chance that these two teams meet in the playoffs, so each will be looking to send the other a message. When Cleveland decides it wants to play, they can be a dominant defensive team and Atlanta has been playing exceptional on the defensive end for quite an extended stretch. The Hawks have held 5 straight opponents to 45% or worse from the field and are only giving up 97.6 ppg at home. UNDER is 17-7 in Cavs last 24 as a road dog and 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 7-2 in Atlanta's last 9 at home and 4-0 in their last 4 at home against a team with a winning road record. Give me the UNDER 207.5!

40* NBA No-Doubt Total Annihilator (UNDER 202)

I'm not expecting either team to crack 100-points in this one, making this any easy play on the UNDER with the total sitting over 200. New York is really struggling on the offensive end right now, as they have scored 93, 91 and 89 over their last 3 games. That doesn't figure to get any better with Kristaps Porzingis not expected to play. New York may also be without point guard Jose Calderon. Brooklyn will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights, so the legs simply aren't going to be there on the jump shots and should also have them looking to slow down the pace. New York doesn't like to push the pace either, so possessions will be limited. Give me the UDNER 202! 

50* NBA Sharp Money Vegas Top Play (UNDER 209)

The books have set the bar way too high for tonight's matchup between the Pelicans and Nuggets. It's well known that New Orleans is missing basically their entire starting lineup and then some due to injuries. That's had a huge impact on their offensive production, as they are averaging a mere 93.0 ppg over their last 5, well below their season average of 102.6. Denver isn't a great defensive team, but I do expect them to play hard, as they continue to cling on to the slim hope that they can make the playoffs. At the same time, Denver figures to play at a much slower tempo than normal. The Nuggets are not only playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but this will be their 4th game in the last 5 days. I know this total has dropped quite a bit, but I still recommend the UNDER at the current line of 206.5 and will continue to recommend it unless noted here. Give me the UNDER 209! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 211) 

Both the Raptors and Thunder have been playing well on the defensive side of the ball coming into this game. Oklahoma City is allowing just 99.6 ppg over their last 5, while the Raptors are only giving up 97.0 ppg in their last 5. Both teams should bring the defensive intensity, given this is a big time matchup between two of the top teams in the league. UNDER is 15-5 in OKC's last 20 after scoring 110+ points in 3 straight games and 19-9 in their last 28 against the east. UNDER is 12-2 in the Raptors last 14 after a combined score of 105 or more in 2 straight games and 12-3 in their last 15 home games after 2 straight games where they made 9 or more 3-point shots. Give me the UNDER 211! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Over 214)

I don't see either team bringing the defensive intensity in this one. Washington comes in giving up 105.0 ppg on the road. I look for them to come out flat after a 2-day break and having to travel across the country for this matchup. Portland on the other hand will be returning home after a 6-game road trip and have a huge game on deck at Golden State. The Blazers have allowed 100+ in 10 of their last 12, including 116 or more in each of their last 3. OVER is 21-7 in the Wizards last 28 games when playing with 2 days of rest and 11-5 in their last 16 road games against a team with a winning home record. OVER is also 10-4 in the Blazers last 14 after a SU loss, 8-1 in their last 9 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 214! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 210) 

Portland scored just 93 points at Boston last time out and I look for the offensive struggles to continue. The Trail Blazers simply don't have any gas left in the tank, which is going to force them to play at a slower tempo than normal. Portland will be playing their 5th road game in the last 7 days. Keep in mind Toronto only gives up 96.6 ppg at home. I look for the intensity defensively to be there for both teams, which should have this going well below the mark. UNDER is 36-16 in the Raptors last 52 home ames with a total of 210 or more and 8-3 in the Blazers last 11 against the Eastern Conference. Give me the UNDER 210! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (UNDER 204) 

These two teams just played on 2/10, which the Hornets won 117-95 to send the game over the posted total of 201.5. Keep in mind that was the final game before the All-Star break for both teams and defense wasn't a priority with the long layoff on deck. Prior to giving up 114 in a loss to the Cavaliers last time out, Charlotte was allowing just 94.8 ppg over their previous 8 games. Indiana is a more than capable team defensively when they want to be and I'm confident the Pacers bring the intensity in this one. The average combined score in the Pacers last 93 games when revenging a home loss of 10 or more is 190.6. Give me the UNDER 204! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total CRUSHER (Nets/Suns OVER 208)

Both the Nets and Suns are simply playing out the season at this point, as the two combined have an overall record of 29-85. There's ZERO motivation here for either team to exert themselves on the defensive end and that should have this game flying over the total. Brooklyn comes in allowing 103.6 ppg and the Suns are even worse, giving up 107.4 ppg. Key here is both offenses are playing well at the moment. Nets are averaging 100.8 ppg over their last 5 and Phoenix is averaging 101.0 ppg over their last 5. Give me the OVER 208! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Pacers/Heat U 199) 

I think we are seeing a big overreaction with the total here. Both teams have scored 100+ points in each of their first two games back from the All-Star break and not one of their games saw a combined score less than the 199 total we see here. These two teams combined for 203 points in the  most recent meeting, but that game went into overtime. The total for that game was just 193.5 and was also played in Miami and keep in mind that both teams shot under 40% from the field. With both teams playing their 3rd game in 4 days and the Heat potentially without Dwayne Wade (already missing Chis Bosh), I look for both offenses to struggle and this game to turn into a defensive showdown. UNDER is 38-15-1 in the Heat's last 54 when facing an opponent who scored 100+ points in their previous game and 35-15-1 in their last 51 after they scored 100+ in their last game. Give me the UNDER! 

40* NBA --Late Night TNT Total Crusher-- (UNDER 214) 

I think we are seeing an inflated total here due to the fact that the Rockets have gone OVER the total in 6 straight games and this figuring to be a highly bet game in the second matchup of tonight's TNT double-header. Phoenix isn't exactly an opponent to get excited about playing and I just don't see the Rockets being all that motivated in this one. At the same time, the Suns are a limited offensive team right now with Bledsoe and Knight both out and know they can't get into a shootout with the Rockets. I look for Phoenix to bring the defensive intensity in a rare primetime home game on TNT. Keep in mind Phoenix has scored 100 or less in 4 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall. Also, only 1 of those 9 games finished with more than the total set here and that was 216 points on the road against the 76ers. Give me the UNDER 214! 

50* NBA --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Pistons/Nets UNDER 202) 

I think we are seeing some great value here with this total. Detroit is coming off back-to-back high-scoring games against the Cavaliers (106-114) and Raptors (107-111), both of which resulted in losses. I look for the Pistons to come out with a different mentality on the defensive end in this one and they should have no problem keeping a mediocre at best Brooklyn offense in check. The Nets scored 103 against the Pelicans last time out, but that's only the 5th time in their last 15 games they have eclipsed the century mark (scored just 79 the previous game against Dallas). UNDEr is 18-4 in the Nets last 22 off a loss by 6 or less and 20-9 in the Pistons last 29 road games after playing their previous game on the road. Give me the UNDER! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (Under 205) 

The Celtics and Magic just played in Boston on Friday and the two teams combined for 207 points, barely eclipsing the total of 205.5. Now they meet again in Orlando with a similar total of 205, which I feel is a big mistake by the books. I don't see the Celtics being as interested in this game after just beating Orlando, while I look for the Magic to come out as motivated as we have seen them all season. Both teams understand what the other is trying to do offensively and the more familiar an opponent is with a team the bigger the advantage for the defense. UNDER is 9-1 in the Magic's last 10 home games after going over the total in their last game and 15-5 in their last 20 when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points. Give me the UNDER 205! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (Magic/Bucks UNDER 196.5) 

Orlando is a team that has continued to play hard despite their poor stretch here of late and are coming into this game off back-to-back heartbreaking overtime losses to the Hornets on Friday and Grizzlies last night. The Magic are a team that doesn't like to play fast as it is and simply won't have a choice but to slow the tempo way down given their tired legs. At the same time, I look for Milwaukee to come out with a strong defensive intensity at home after back-to-back losses on the road, but they too are limited offensively and like to play at a slow pace. UNDER is 23-9 in the Magic's last 32 road games after allowing 105 points. Give me the UNDER 196.5! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 206.5) 

The books have set the bar too high for today's total between the Nets and Thunder. Oklahoma City will be playing their 6th game in 10 days, so the energy isn't going to be there when it comes to pushing the pace. Brooklyn also isn't a team that gets opposing teams excited to play. I look for the Nets to come out motivated off an ugly 22-point home loss to the Jazz. Key here is that even with Brooklyn coming to play, they still have little to no chance of keeping this game close and simply don't have the offensive fire-power for this one to end up being a shootout. Give me the UNDER 206.5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Panthers/Cardinals UNDER 47.5) 

So much attention is being paid to Cam Newtown and Carson Palmer with these two high-powered offenses, but I believe it will be the defenses that take over this game. Keep in mind these are two of the best defenses the NFL has to offer. Arizona ranks 7th in scoring defense (19.6 ppg) and 5th in total defense (321.7) ypg). Carolina is 6th in scoring defense (19.3 ppg) and 6th in total defense (322.9 ypg). The pressure of knowing that a trip to the Super Bowl is on the line will likely have both offenses a bit jittery early in this one and keep in mind that conditions are going to be less than ideal. UNDER is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 against a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the UNDER 47.5! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (Clippers/Knicks UNDER 205) 

I believe we are seeing an inflated total here in tonight's matchup between the Knicks and Clippers due to recent results. The Clippers have seen 3 straight games go well over 210 points and each of the Knicks last 2 have eclipsed 225. I just don't see that kind of pace being their for both teams. LA will be playing their 2nd straight on the road after last night's big game at Cleveland and New York has played 3 overtime periods in their last two games. This is a game both teams want to win. LA wants to rebound from a loss and the Knicks want to extend a 6-game home winning streak. It's also important to note that 6 of the last 7 meetings in this series have ended with 191 or fewer points. Give me the UNDER 205! 

40* NFL --Playoffs Situational Total Crusher-- (UNDER 44)

These are two of the best defenses in the league. Seattle finished the season 1st in scoring defense, allowing just 17.3 ppg and Carolina was 6th at 19.3 ppg. You also have to factor that the Seahawks defense was better on the road (14.6 ppg), while the Panthers defense was better at home (17.0 ppg). I know these two teams combined for 50-points in their regular season game, but neither could stop the opposing tight end. This time around Seattle is without Jimmy Graham and the Seahawks will have Bobby Wagner (didn't play in earlier meeting), who is their top linebacker at covering tight ends. Points are going to be hard to come by for both teams and it wouldn't surprise me at all if these two combined to score 20 or less. Give me the UNDER 44! 

50* NBA --Non-Conference Total of the Month-- (UNDER 203)

The Cavaliers played a huge game last night at San Antonio, which they lost 95-99. They now must go on the road to face the Rockets on no rest. It's a very similar scenario from a few weeks back when Cleveland had to play on no rest at Portland after playing the previous day at Golden State. That game against the Trail Blazers saw a combined 181 points in a 76-105 loss. I'm expecting a similar type of outcome tonight, as the Cavs simply won't have the energy needed to put up a big number offensively. It's also worth mentioning the Rockets have been playing better defense of late, allowing just 96.6 ppg over their last 5, compared to the 105.0 ppg they are giving up for the season. UNDER is 20-9 in Cleveland's last 29 as an underdog, 21-9 in their last 30 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and a perfect 11-0 after playing their previous contest against a Western Conference team. Give me the UNDER 203! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 200.5)

The Jazz have seen each of their last 3 games finish UNDER the total, including last night's game at Portland where the two teams combined for just 184 points with a total of 193. Utah's held each of their last 3 opponents under 100 points and a big reason for that is the return of star defensive center Rudy Gobert. I look for Utah to come out motivated off a loss on their home floor and the Kings to also bring the intensity off back-to-back losses. Utah is going to slow the pace way down and both teams aren't going to be looking to run playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. UNDER is 10-2 in Kings last 12 with a line of +3 to -3 and 4-1-1 in their last 6 off a double-digit loss. UNDER is also 22-8 in Utah's last 30 home games against a team with a losing road record and 10-4 in their last 14 after failing to cover the spread. Give me the UNDER 200.5! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Under 50.5)

I don't see a ton of value with the spread, but I do think we are seeing an inflated total that presents some great value on the UNDER. Both of these teams took advantage of great matchups in the semifinals. Oklahoma couldn't stop Clemson's ground attack and Alabama took advantage of a weak Michigan State secondary. That clearly won't be the case in this matchup and I look for both offenses to struggle to sustain drives and finish off the ones they do put together with touchdowns. UNDER is 33-14 in Crimson Tide's last 57 against strong rushing teams that average 200+ yards/game on the ground and 16-6 in Clemson's last 22 against strong run defenses that allow 2.75 or less yards/carry. Give me the UNDER 50.5! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 193.5)

Memphis comes into this game scoring 92.4 ppg and allowing just 91.2 ppg over their last 5. While I expect the defensive intensity to be there, the offense figures to struggle more than normal with both Mike Conley and Courtney Lee both out with injury. Boston is a strong offensive team, but are struggling of late. Celtics have lost 4 of 5 overall which is a good sign that we can expect max effort on the defensive end to get back in the win column. Give me the UNDER 193.5!

40* NBA --Situational Total Crusher-- (Over 206.5)

It's taken a little longer than some expected, but the Bulls are finally starting to look like the offensive juggernaut that many expected to see when Holberg took over as the head coach. Chicago has scored 100+ points in 9 straight games. The first time that has happened since 1995. I don't see the streak coming to an end against the Hawks, who are allowing 104.8 ppg over their last 5 and 100.5 ppg on the season. Key here is the Bulls aren't the same defensive team on the road as they are at home. Chicago is allowing 103.8 ppg on the road and will be facing a very capable Atlanta offense that averages 102.5 ppg. Give me the OVER 206.5! 

50* NBA --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Pacers/Heat UNDER 193.5)

With this game being played on NBA TV, I'm expecting both teams to bring the defensive intensity. Anytime Miami is playing at home you have to be thinking UNDER, as the Heat only score 97.2 ppg and allow just 95.4 ppg on the road. Indiana is a strong offensive team, but figure to struggle to reach their season average of 102.5 ppg. Big key here is the Pacers are getting after it defensively right now, allowing just 95.8 ppg over their last 5. These two teams have played twice already this season and combined for 177 and 179. Give me the UNDER 193.5! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Over 204.5)

I'm expecting a very high-scoring game this afternoon between the Celtics and Nets. Each of the last 2 games in the series have seen a combined score of 112 or more. Brooklyn has allowed 100+ in 10 straight games and the Celtics have scored 100+ in 6 of their last 7. Brooklyn also comes in averaging 104.6 ppg over their last 5. Over is (58-28) 67% over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 200 or more, where you have a team off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off a home loss. Give me the OVER 204.5! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 194.5)

I really like the value we are getting here with this total. Cleveland is one of the better defensive teams in the NBA and will rely on their defense in this one. The Cavaliers are a tired team and will be playing their 4th straight on the road and 4th game overall in the last 5 days. Denver's offense will struggle here, as they are expected to be without leading scorer Danilo Gallinari and point guard Emmanuel Mudiay. I don't see either offense going off in this one. Give me the UNDER 194.5! 

40* NFL --Situational Total Crusher-- (OVER 42) 

With both of these teams out of the playoff picture and just playing out the season, I look for this to be a high scoring game that easily goes over the total posted here. I was really impressed with what I saw last week from Kellen Moore against a stingy Jets defense and look for the Cowboys offense to get going against a Bills defense that has struggled of late. Buffalo has allowed at least 20 points in 5 straight games and I expect that trend to continue. Dallas' defense played hard last week against New York, but the Cowboys still had an outside shot at the NFC East division. With Dallas no longer in the mix, I think the Bills are going to have their way with Dallas' defense. Buffalo has been moving the ball well the last few weeks. They have had at least 390 total yards in 3 straight games with over 400 in each of the last 2. OVER is a perfect 6-0 in the Cowboys last 6 non-conference games and 5-0 in the Bills' last 5 following a SU loss. Give me the OVER 42! 

50* NBA --Cavs/Warriors NBA Guaranteed Top Play-- (UNDER 210)

This has been arguably the most anticipated game of the regular season and I'm expecting both of these teams to bring the defensive intensity in this one. All 6 games in the Finals last year finished with 208 or fewer points. We are simply seeing an inflated total here due to this being such a big game and the books inflated the total knowing the public will be all over the OVER. Both teams are also well-rested and that's been a strong indicator for both of these teams to go UNDER. In fact, the UNDER is 15-5 in Cleveland's last 20 road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. UNDER is also 14-3 in Golden State's last 17 when playing 5 or less games in 14 days. Give me the UNDER 210!

40* NFL --Thursday Night Total Crusher-- (Over 46)

Normally I like to look to take the UNDER in division games, as they tend to be lower scoring than expected. However, I don't think that's going to be the case tonight. Both of these teams are out of playoff contention and can't exactly be thrilled about having to play on Christmas Eve. To top it off, they have had a short week of rest to work with. I don't see the intensity being there on the defensive side of the ball in meaningless game, and these two offenses are more than capable of putting up points. Chargers have struggled to score of late, but this is a good matchup with Philip Rivers going up against a horrible Oakland secondary. Keep in mind these two teams combined for 66 points  and over 800 combined yards of offense earlier this season. Give me the OVER 46! 

50* NBA --Non-Conference Total of the Month-- (Under 203)

Portland is expected to be without their top two scorers in this game, as Damian Lillard has been ruled out and C.J. McCollum is doubtful. These two combine for over 44 ppg, which is nearly half of the Blazers entire offensive output (101.4 ppg). I just don't see them being able to do enough offensively for this game to be high-enough scoring to eclipse this total. New Orleans should be able to jump out to an early lead and they will be more than happy to coast down the stretch of this game with a road game against Miami on Christmas coming up. Give me the UNDER 203! 

40* NCAAF --GoDaddy Bowl Total Crusher-- (Over 64)

With both teams having lost their head coaches prior to this matchup, I look for the offenses to reign supreme in a game that features to dynamic offensive teams. Bowling Green averages 43.4 ppg and Georgia Southern isn't too far behind at 34.7 ppg. I don't see the intensity being there defensively without their head coaches patrolling the sidelines and even if that wasn't the case, I don't think these two defenses would be having much success against the opposing offense. Bowling Green has a dynamic passing attack that averages 376 ypg and will be facing an Eagles defense that allows 7.3 yards pass attempt. On the other side, Georgia Southern has the nations best rushing attack at 356 ypg and will be facing a Falcons defense that allows 4.0 yards/carry. Give me the OVER 64! 

40* NFL --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 51.5)

Both of these teams are eliminated from playoff contention and that's going to take away from of the edge defensively for both teams. At the same time, it should have both teams taking a lot more chances than they normally would, would should lead to a lot of big plays. The Saints last 4 home games have been extremely high scoring, with all 4 seeing 52 or more combined points, including a 79 point outburst against the Panthers and 101 points against the Giants. Look for a lot of offensive fire-works in this one, as the OVER is 18-6 in the Saints last 24 home games against teams who struggle to run the ball (90 or less yards/game). Give me the OVER 51.5! 

40* NFL --TNF Over/Under Winner-- (Under 41)

I don't see a lot of offensive fire works taking place in this one. Tampa Bay has scored 23 or less in 6 of their last 7 games and the Rams are only giving up 19.0 ppg at home. On the flip side of this, St Louis' offense is dreadful right now. The Rams had scored 18 or fewer in 6 straight before scoring 21 last week agains the Lions and 7 of those points came on a defensive touchdown. On the season St Louis is scoring just 16.2 ppg and will struggle to move the ball here with Tampa Bay being stout against the run and the Rams not having any threat of a passing attack. UNDER is 10-1 in St Louis' last 11 games in December and 12-3 in the Bucs' last 15 in the 2nd half of the season. Give me the UNDER 41! 

50* NBA --Hardwood Guaranteed Total Top Play-- (Under 196)

Whenever a quality team is coming off a blowout loss in their last game, more times than not that leads to an inspired defensive effort in their next contest. It just so happens that we have two teams facing off against each other in this spot. Toronto lost 90-106 at Indiana in their last contest, while the Hornets got embarrassed 98-113 at Orlando last time out. Look for both of these teams to bring the intensity on the defensive side of the ball tonight and their season numbers definitely support this play. The Raptors are only giving up 95.9 ppg on the road and the Hornets are allowing just 96.4 ppg at home. Give me the UNDER 196! 

50* NBA -Hardwood Guaranteed Total Top Play-- (Under 202)

The Cavaliers turned in one of their best defensive efforts of the season in their last game, as they held the Magic to 76 points or 38.9% shooting. No surprise that this performance came in the return of defensive specialist Iman Shumpert. With Cleveland having had 3 full days of rest before this game and Boston off 2 days of rest, I look for both teams to bring the defensive intensity in a game that will be televised on NBATV. Keep in mind that 7 of the last 11 in the series have gone UNDER the total. We also find a strong system in play, as the UNDER is 39-14 (74%) over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 200 or more with a team off an upset win as underdog against an opponent off a road win by 10 or more points. Give me the UNDER 202! 

40* NFL -- MNF Over/Under Winner-- (Over 47)

I'm expecting a high-scoring game tonight between these two teams. As we have two defenses that are struggling. The Dolphins are giving up 26.0 ppg at home, while New York is allowing 25.7 ppg on the road. We are simply seeing some good value here due to the fact that the Giants have gone under the total in 2 straight, while the under is 3-1 in Miami's last 4. OVER is 29-14 in Giants last 43 road games off 2 or more consecutive unders, 4-1 in Giants last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record and 5-2 in Miami's last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 47! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (OVER 45.5)

Arizona has one of the most well-rounded offenses in the NFL. The Cardinals lead the league in both total offense (419.5 ypg) and scoring offense (31.8 ppg). I look for Arizona to put up a big number here against a Vikings defense that has been hit hard with injuries. Minnesota won't have starting defensive tackle Linval Joseph, linebacker Anthony Barr and safeties Harrison Smith and Antone Exum. They also are without backup safety Andrew Sendejo and backup safety Robert Blanton is questionable. Inexperience in the defensive backfield is going to result in a lot of big plays for Arizona and I see no reason why they don't eclipse their season average in this one. Vikings should be able to score enough (may not be till garbage time) to push this well over the mark. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 202)

I think we are seeing an inflated total here due to the fact that the Clippers come into this game having scored 100+ in 5 of their last 6. The key thing to keep in mind with this stretch is 5 of those 6 games came at home and the lone road game came against a poor defensive team in the Timberwolves. Milwaukee has won 4 straight at home and during this stretch have allowed 88, 74, 91 and 88 points. The Bucks only average 95.5 ppg offensively and know they can't get into a shootout with the Clippers, so look for them to slow this game way down. You also have to factor in that LA has a nationally televised game against the Bulls on TNT tomorrow, so they aren't going to want to waste their energy against a team like Milwaukee. Give me the UNDER 202! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 198)

Orlando comes into this game off a 101-103 loss at the Clippers, which snapped a streak of 5 straight games where they had allowed 95 or fewer points. The Nuggets have won 2 straight with a 106-105 win at Toronto and 108-105 win at Philadelphia. Prior to those two games Denver had allowed 99 or fewer in 4 straight and scored 94 or less in 5 consecutive games. I believe we are seeing an inflated total based on the recent performances of these two teams. UNDER is 10-1 in the Magic's last 11 road games off a close loss by 3-points or less and 24-9 in the Nuggets last 33 games in the month of December. Give me the UNDER 198! 

40* NFL --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (OVER 43.5)

These two teams combined for 46 points in Cleveland a few weeks back and that was with Manziel starting at quarterback for the Browns. This time it will be Austin Davis under center and I think it's a big upgrade for Cleveland and give them a chance to keep this game competitive. Davis came in for McCown against the Ravens and completed 7 of 10 for 77 yards with a touchdown. He should be able to lead at least a few scoring drives and get the Browns right around the 20 point mark. On the flip side of this, Cincinnati's offense should have it's way once again against Cleveland, especially playing at home, where they are averaging 28.4 ppg. The Browns give up an average of 26.8 ppg on the road and have allowed 30+ in each of their last 4 games. Give me the OVER 43.5. 

40* NCAAF --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 67)

I don't think either defense is going to be able to do much from keeping the opposing offense from racking up yards and finishing drives with touchdowns. Clemson is averaging 37.9 ppg and 502 ypg against teams that only allow on average 25.1 ppg and 371 ppg. North Carolina has put up similar type numbers, as they average 41.2 ppg and 496 ypg against teams that allow 29.4 ppg and 397 ypg. The key thing here is that the defensive numbers of both of these teams are drastically inflated due to the cupcake offense that make up the ACC. I think both teams eclipse 35 points and wouldn't be surprised if we saw a final somewhere around the 41-38 range. Give me the OVER 67! 

50* NBA --Eastern Conf Total of the Month-- (UNDER 193)

I'm expecting a very low-scoring matchup tonight between these two Central Division rivals. The Bucks come into this game off an ugly 70-95 loss at San Antonio. That should have Milwaukee highly motivated to bounce back and that's now 3 straight games where they have allowed 95 or fewer points. Detroit is coming in off a 127-122 overtime win at home against the Suns, which followed a 116-105 win at home against the Rockets. Those two results are a big reason we are seeing a total as high as we are. Even with those outcomes, Detroit is only giving up 97.9 ppg and scoring 98.2 ppg. The Bucks only average 95.3 ppg and just 90.5 ppg on the road. UNDER is 19-7 in Pistons last 26 home games after playing 2 straight games where both teams scored 100+ points. Average final score in these games have been 189.8. Give me the UNDER 193! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 202.5)

The Pistons are coming off a 116-105 home win over the Rockets in their last game and I believe that has the total inflated here. Even with Detroit allowing 105 to Houston, they are still giving up just 93.9 ppg at home. I look for their defense to be on point tonight against the Suns, who are coming in off a 91-point effort last night at Brooklyn. Phoenix won't be looking to push the tempo like normal playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. It's also worth noting that these two teams combined for just 192 points in Phoenix back on 11/6 and that was with a 58-52 second half surge. UNDER is 13-4 in the Suns last 17 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 and 8-1 in the Pistons last 9 with a total set at 200 to 209.5. Give me the UNDER 202.5! 

50* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 190)

The Spurs have seen the under go 11-5-1 in their 17 games so far this season and 5-1 in their last 6 overall. The Bulls have seen the under go 11-3 in their 14 games with each of the last 6 finishing under the mark. San Antonio is allowing just 89.7 ppg and have not given up more than 90 points in 5 straight. The Bulls are allowing just 95.7 ppg at home and really seem to pick up their intensity at home when facing a quality opponent. Their 3 biggest home games to day have been against the Cavs, Thunder and Pacers, all 3 of which finished UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 190! 

50* NCAAF --PAC-12 Total of the Year-- (Over 69.5)

Oregon won't be playing in the Pac-12 Championship Game and aren't a factor for the college football playoff, but I strongly believe that this is one of the best teams in the country right now. Since Adams has returned to the lineup at full strength, Oregon's offense has looked like the offense we have grown so accustomed to seeing the previous years. They put up 65 on Arizona State, 44 on Cal, 38 on Stanford and 48 last week against USC. All 4 of those games finished with a combined score of at least 72 points. Last week Oregon State gave up 52 points at home to Washington, who is one of the more limited offensive teams in the Pac-12 the previous week they gave up 54 to Cal and the week prior 41 at home to UCLA. I'm confident the Ducks will eclipse 50 points in this game and wouldn't be shocked if they scored well into the 60's. The key here is that while Oregon's offense is dynamic and poised for a huge game, the Ducks defense is average at best. Given this being a rivalry game and Oregon State having nothing to lose at 2-9, I look for the Beavers to pull out all the tricks they can think of to try and put points on the scoreboard. This one should fly over the total. Give me the OVER 69.5! 

40* NCAAF --Black Friday Total Crusher-- (Under 45.5)

Missouri will be playing with a lot of emotion in this game. The Tigers need to pull off the upset to become bowl eligible and this will also be the last regular season game, potentially the last game ever, for head coach Gary Pinkel. The Tigers will give everything they have in this game and I look for their defense to keep Arkansas in check. Missouri is 23rd against the run and 11th against the pass and have allowed more than 21 points just once all season. On the flip side of this, I don't expect Missouri's offense to do much of anything. The Tigers are 125th in the country in total offense and Arkansas comes in with the 19th ranked run defense. Razorbacks should be motivated off a heartbreaking loss to Mississippi State in their home finale, as they can secure their first winning record inside SEC play since 2011. Also, conditions aren't expected to be great for this game (99% chance of rain throughout the game). Give me the UNDER 45.5! 

40* NCAAF --Thanksgiving Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 73)

Rivalry games tend to be a lot lower scoring than the statistic would suggest. That's definitely been the case in this series, as each of the last 3 and 5 of the last 6 have finished UNDER the total. I think we are going to see that trend continue. The Longhorns are better defensively than they get credit for and have not allowed more than 24 points in 6 straight meetings against Texas Tech. It's not so much that Texas will shutdown the Red Raiders offense, but keep them off the field. The Longhorns don't have a great offense and are fairly one dimensional with the running game. I look for a lot of long methodical drives that eat up clock and there's no guarantee they come away with points. Give me the UNDER 73! 

50* NBA --Eastern Conf Total of the Month-- (UNDER 196)

I think we are going to see a very low-scoring game here between the Knicks and Magic. Neither of these teams shoot well from the field. Orlando comes in at 42.7% on the season and the Knicks are even worse at 41.5%. I also look for both teams to come out motivated defensively after a blowout loss. New York lost 78-95 at Miami in their last game, while the Magic fell 103-117 at Cleveland. Out of the 4 meetings last year, 3 finished with 182 or less points, with the highest output in Orlando being 172. UNDER is 47-18 (72%) over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 190 to 199.5 where the home team is off a loss by 10 or more points and road team off a loss by 15 or more. Give me the UNDER 196! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 201.5)

The Bulls come into this game averaging 100.5 ppg with an even better 103.7 clip on the road. While Chicago's offense has put up more points away from home, so has their defense. The Bulls are giving up 103.2 ppg on the road and will be facing a Portland team that averages 103.8 ppg at home and gives up 102.5 ppg. Both these teams like to play with a lot of tempo and the Bulls will be full go after a much-needed 3-day break. OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Portland and 11-4-1 in the last 16 overall. OVER is 6-2 in Blazers last 8 vs the Eastern Conference and 7-3 in their last 10 off a SU win by more than 10 points. Give me the OVER 201.5! 

50* NFL --SNF Total of the Month-- (UNDER 44.5)

I don't see a whole lot of value here with the spread, but I absolutely love the value we are getting with this total set at 44.5. I think there's a ton of value here with the UNDER. While Seattle's offense has struggled, their defense has been very good since Kam Chancellor returned to the lineup. I expect the Seahawks stop unit to deliver a big time performance here at home in a nationally televised game. At the same time, I don't think Seattle's offense snaps out of their funk against the Cardinals. These two division rivals have a history of low-scoring games when playing in Seattle. In fact, 6 of the last 7 have gone UNDER the total and the last two have seen combined scores of 27 and 22 points. It only adds value here that both teams are coming off a bye. Give me the UNDER 44.5! 

40* NCAAF --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Under 51.5)

These two teams have a history of playing low-scoring games. In fact, you have to go back to 1997 to find the last time these two teams combined for more than 50 points. That's 17 straight with a combined score of 50 or less and I see the streak continuing here. Alabama is clearly one of the best defensive teams in the country, but the key here is that we have an underrated Mississippi State defense playing at home in a night game in a huge revenge spot. Bulldogs are only giving up 3.9 yards/carry agains teams that average 4.5 an Alabama's offense needs to have success on the ground to get their offense going. They only managed 19 points against Tennessee with 117 rushing yards and 27 against Arkansas with 134. Last year they held the Tide to just 124 yards on the ground. I think both teams struggle to sustain drives and settle for field goals in the red zone. Give me the UNDER 51.5! 

50* NCAAF --Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Under 52.5)

I think we are going to see a low scoring game here between the Hokies and Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech is fighting for their season, as they have to win out make a bowl, while Virginia Tech also comes in highly motivated knowing that this is Beamer's last run. While the Hokies are familiar with the Yellow Jackets and their triple-option attack, they get the added bonus here of coming off their bye. UNDER is 21-8 in Georgia Tech's last 29 games played on Thursday and 13-4 in their last 17 home games with a total of 52.5 to 56 points. UNDER is also 26-13 in Virginia Tech's last 39 with a line of +3 to -3 and 6-0 in their last 6 conference road games. Give me the UNDER 52.5! 

40* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (UNDER 74)

These two teams only combined for 40 points last year at Bowling Green with a total of 67.5. While both offenses look capable of going off here, I think we are going to see both defenses play well. Western Michigan is only allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 56% of their attempts and it's no secret the passing game is the strength of the Falcons. The Broncos have a balanced attack but want to be able to run the ball (avg 40 attempts a game). Bowling Green is only giving up 141 rushing yards/game inside MAC play. Key here is we are expecting heavy winds, which is going to force both teams to pass less, which is going to keep the clock moving. This game also means a lot for both teams. Bowling Green playing with revenge and Western Michigan trying to hold on to their slim lead in the West. Give me the UNDER 74! 

50* NFL --MNF Gridiron Total Top Play-- (UNDER 49.5)

This would be an okay total if both teams were coming into this game at 100%, but that's not the case at all. Each is missing star players. Chicago will be without running back Matt Forte, who is not only their leading rusher but a huge part of the passing game. San Diego will be without wide out Keenan Allen, who has been Rivers' go-to guy. I look for these injuries to play a big role in the red zone, as I look for both teams to have to settle for field goals. Give me the UNDER 49.5! 

40* NBA --No Doubt Total Crusher-- (Over 214)

I have no problem backing the over with this high total in tonight's game between the Rockets and Kings. Both Houston and Sacramento have been awful defensively to start the season. The Rockets are giving up 112.0 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 50.4% from the field, while the Kings are giving up 109.0 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 48.7% from the field. The fewest points either of these teams have allowed this season 103. Adding value is the OVER is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. Give me the OVER 214! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Over 51)

This all comes down to the situation. Temple is well known for their defense, but we aren't going to see their best effort on that side of the ball in this spot. The Owls put everything they had into last week's game against Notre Dame and simply aren't going to be able to bounce back with that same kind of effort on the road against a SMU team that likes to play fast. If we simply get 20 points here from the Mustangs at home, we would need just 32 from Temple to cash the over. Considering SMU has allowed at least 38 in 6 straight, that should be a problem. Give me the OVER 51! 

50* NFL --Browns/Bengals Total Crusher-- (Over 45.5)

The perception here is the Browns won't be able to score with Manziel at quarterback, but I don't think there's as big a drop off from McCown to Manziel as most people think. I look for Cleveland to provide their fair share of points in this one and that should have this game flying over the total. Cincinnati's offense is loaded with weapons at the skill positions and the Browns are awful defensively. They can't stop the run and their secondary is depleted with injuries to corner Joe Haden and safety Donte Whitner. It's not out of the question the Bengals cover this total on their own. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

50* NBA --No Doubt Total Top Play-- (OVER 202)

The Celtics are coming off a game against the Spurs where the two teams combined for just 182 points and the Pacers playing last night against the Pistons in a game where 176 points were scored, which raises a big red-flag when you see a total for this matchup at 202. The books are basically telling you that this will be a much-higher scoring game than expected an I agree with them. Indiana's defense wasn't very good in their first 3 games and they really got after it last night to get their first win of the season. I look for them to relax on that side of the ball in the second game of a back-to-back set. Boston had scored 100+ in each of their first two before shooting 35.7% against San Antonio. They come in off 2 days rest and will be looking to push the tempo. Give me the OVER 202! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Dominator-- (Over 207.5)

Neither of these are any good and I just don't see either side playing with much energy on the defensive side of the ball. Denver is dealing with some key injuries inside that will limit their defense and the Lakers are a team that can score the basketball, as they come in averaging 106.0 ppg, despite only shooting 40.1% from the field. At the same time, Los Angeles is vulnerable on defense, as they are allowing 115.7 ppg and opposing teams are making 48.0% of their attempts. Denver's offense is poised for a big showing here and I see both teams eclipsing the century mark without much problem. Give me the OVER 207.5! 

40* NFL --Sharp Money Total Knockout-- (Under 44)

These two teams combined for just 33 points last year at New York and I'm expecting another low-scoring game here with both teams coming off big division road games. The Jets defense has played exceptional well outside of last week's game against the Patriots and matchup well with the Raiders offense, which relies on it's passing game. New York ranks 4th in the league against the pass, allowing just 211.7 ypg. The Jets offensively need their running game to be effective and that plays into the strength of the Raiders defense, which ranks 3rd in the league against the run, allowing 84.3 ypg. Both offenses will be taken out of their comfort zone and this should lead to a lot of empty possessions and struggles when they do find the redone. Give me the UNDER 44! 

50* NFL --NFC Total of the Month-- (Over 49)

I look for both offenses to have a lot of success in this one, as we have two of the better quarterbacks in the league going up against two defenses that are not playing well inside the perfect conditions of the Superdome. The Giants are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66.7% of their passes, which is a nightmare scenario against Drew Brees and the Saints are giving up 4.9 yards/carry and 7.9 yards/pass attempt. Over is 6-2 in the Giants last 8 against the NFC, 6-2-1 in the Saints last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 3-0 in the last 3 meetings with the lowest combined score during this stretch being 73 points. Give me the OVER 49! 

40* NFL --No Doubt Total Dominator-- (Over 48)

These two teams combined for just 44 points in their last meeting, but that came in Week 17 last year with both teams dealing with some nagging injuries on offense. In the previous meeting that season they combined for 63 points and the time before that they combined for 50. With Roethlisberger back from injury, I look for Pittsburgh to have their way with an overrated Cincinnati defense that is giving up 4.9 yards/carry and allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 68.6% of their pass attempts. At the same time, I look for the Bengals to have a lot of success offensively in this one. Cincinnati's offense is the real deal and they will be well prepared for this game coming off their bye. Give me the OVER 48 in a what should be an AFC North shootout! 

40* NCAAF --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 57)

This total has jumped from 53 to 57 and for good reason. While we missed out on the better number, I'm still extremely confident this once eclipses the mark. Tennessee's offensive has feasted on lesser defenses this season and Kentucky is certainly no juggernaut on that side of the ball. The Wildcats struggled to do anything good defensively last week against dual-threat quarterback Dak Prescott, as they gave up 42 points and over 580 yards of offense to an average Bulldogs offense. Tennessee has a pretty good dual-threat of their own in Josh Dobbs, so plenty of reason to expect the Volunteers to put up a big number. Key here is Tennessee isn't great defensively and I certainly don't expect max effort on that side of the ball after laying it all on the line last week against Alabama. Give me the OVER 57! 

50* NCAAF --Gridiron Total of the Month-- (UNDER 51)

This may seem like a low total given Clemson just hung 58 on the road last week at Miami, but I think this game has a defensive battle written all over it. Clemson is 4th in the country in total defense and NC State is 3rd. Wolfpack offensively were held to 13 points in their only two games against a legit opponent in Louisville and Virginia Tech, so don't expect much from them. The key is I think their defense will keep Watson and the Tigers in check. We saw Clemson only score 20 on the road against a good Louisville defense and NC State seems to play above their potential on this side of the ball when hosting a ranked opponent. Give me the UNDER 51! 

40* NCAAF --Gridiron Total Crusher-- (Over 61)

We have seen this total drop from 67 down to 61 and I believe now is the time to strike on the OVER at the low mark. Louisiana Tech has a dynamic offense that comes in averaging 37.7 ppg and 481 yards of total offense. The Bulldogs will be going up against a Rice defense that is allowing 36.9 ppg and 446 yards/game. It's also worth noting the Owls are allowing a staggering 7.2 yards/play, which means we should see a lot of big plays from the Bulldogs. Rice is averaging 30.6 ppg and 436 yards/game. Louisiana Tech is allowing 39.0 ppg and 421 ypg on the road, while allowing 6 yards/play. These two combined for 107 points last year in the Bulldogs 76-31 win and it was the 3rd time in the last 3 years these two teams combined for at least 66 points (at least 1 team has scored 50+ in all 3). I see no reason why both teams don't reach at least 30 points. Give me the OVER 61! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Over 197.5)

The Hawks lost a huge part of their defense when Carroll left in free agency to sign with the Raptors and right out of the gate we see this team allow an uncharacteristic 106 points at home in a 94-106 loss to the Pistons. Atlanta managed 94 points despite an awful shooting night from behind the 3-point line. This is still a very talented Hawks offense and one that will be ready to go off that loss. The Knicks are a much-improved team, especially offensively. They are playing at a much faster pace and it showed with their 122-points on 93 attempts in a blowout win at Milwaukee last night. Atlanta will gladly turn this into a shootout and the pace here should have this one finishing well over the mark set. Give me the OVER 197.5! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Under 55)

First place in the ACC Coastal division will be up for grabs (Pitt currently sits at 4-0 in ACC with Duke and UNC both at 3-0) tonight when the Tar Heels visit the No. 23 ranked Panthers. I don't see much value in the line at basically a pick'em, but I do think we are seeing an inflated total based on previous matchups. No surprise that these two teams have been great defensively in 2015. Pitt brought in former Michigan State defensive coordinator Pat Nartduzzi as their new head coach, while the Tar Heels landed Gene Chizek as their new defensive coordinator. The Panthers come in ranked 16th in total defense (308.3 ypg) and North Carolina is 36th (349.9 ypg). The impressive thing with Pitt's defensive numbers is they have played 5 of their first 7 on the road. Their defense should be even better at home, especially in this big time environment of a nationally televised game. The Tar Heels on the other hand have allowed 17 or less points in all but one game, the exception being against Georgia Tech and their triple-option attack. Both offenses like to run the football and I see this one being a defensive battle all the way. Give me the UNDER 55! 

50* MLB --World Series Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (UNDER 7)

I think the best value here in Game 1 is to the total and for this one to finish under 7 combined runs. This has a pitcher's duel written all over it with Matt Harvey taking the mound for New York and the Royals countering with Edison Volguez. Harvey has allowed just 2 earned runs in each of his postseason starts and will have an advantage here with this being the first time he's gone up against Kansas City. Volquez hasn't been great in 2 road starts during the postseason, but was lights out in his only home start against the Blue Jays, allowing just 2 hits over 6 shutout innings. With both offenses having not faced live pitching in at least 3 days, I look for Harvey and Volquez to have the upper hand in this one. Give me the UNDER 7! 

50* NFL --MNF Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 48.5)

I don't think the books have set the mark high enough for this matchup. The Ravens come into this one with the 9th ranked offense and are 10th in the league in passing at 258.3 ypg. Arizona has the 4th ranked offense and 6th ranked passing attack at 284.2 ypg. Both teams will be looking to throw the ball early and often, which should lead to a lot of big plays and quick scoring drives. It also figures to lead some turnovers, which should also lead to some quick scores. Baltimore's defense has allowed at least 25 or more points in 4 of their last 5, while Arizona has scored 40+ points 3 times this season and are averaging 33.3 ppg at home. OVER is 9-3-1 in Ravens last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record and 4-1 in the Cardinals last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 48.5!

50* NFL --NFC East Total of the Month-- (UNDER 46)

These two teams combined for 53 points in the Cowboys 27-26 miracle win at home in Week 1. The total for that game was 52 and now we see these two teams facing off in the rematch at New York with a total of 46. I don't believe 6 points is a big enough adjustment, given what Dallas has lost offensively and what they have gained defensively. At the same time, we can expect max effort here from the Giants defense coming off that ugly loss to Philadelphia and wanting revenge from the game they gave away at AT&T Stadium earlier this year. You also have to factor in playing outdoors compared to playing in the dome in Dallas. I think these two teams will be lucky to score 20 points a piece. Give me the UNDER 46!

40* NCAAF --SEC Total Crusher-- (Over 52)

Since giving up 43 points to Ole Miss at home, Alabama has allowed 0, 10, 14 and 23 points over their last 4 games. I believe it's created some great value here with the over for their game against Tennessee. The Volunteers have a lot of talent on offense and we have already seen them score 27-points on the road against a dominant Florida defense. Last year Tennessee scored 20 on the Crimson Tide and they are a much stronger offensive unit in 2015. On the flip side of this, for as much negative talk that goes on with Alabama and their offense, the Crimson Tide come into this game averaging a solid 35.6 ppg against teams that are only giving up 23.8 on average. Alabama should have no problem moving the ball here against a Tennessee defense that ranks 87th in the country in total defense and giving up 4.6 yards/carry. Alabama could potentially cover this number on their own, but I'm expecting both teams to score here. I think this total is a good 5-7 points lower than it should be. Give me the OVER 52!

50* NCAAF --ACC Total of the Month-- (Over 55)

The books have set a low total here due to the perception that Clemson has a dominant defense. While I'm not saying the Tigers aren't a good defensive team, they have benefited from a soft schedule in terms of teams they have had to face who can spread you out and beat you with both the run and the pass. The only legit offense they have faced is Notre Dame and they gave up 437 yards, including 321 through the air. Miami has a ton of speed and one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country in Kaaya. At the same time, the Hurricanes aren't going to offer up much resistance defensively. I think both teams score into the 30's here. Give me the OVER 55!

40* MLB --Playoffs Total Crusher-- (UNDER 7.5)

This will be starting pitching rematch of Game 2, which the Royals won 6-3. While that game finished with 9 runs, more than the total set here, it was a 3-0 game going into the bottom of the 7th inning before David Price allowed 5 runs after giving up 1 run in the first 6 innings. With the series moving back to KC, where they will play in pitcher-friendly Kauffman Staduium, I don't see either team putting up a lot of runs in a crucial Game 6. UNDER is 22-9-3 in the Royals last 34 home games against a team with a winning record. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Annihilator-- (Under 42)

In previous seasons this matchup would have me looking to back the under, but these are not the same two dominant defenses from years past. The 49ers are clearly not the same with all the players they lost in the offseason, to go along with the departure of head coach Jim Harbaugh. Seattle's still got a lot of the same players on defense, but I think they are really missing the guidance of former defensive coordinator Dan Quinn. We have already seen the 49ers give up 30+ points in 3 games this season and Seattle's offense is certainly capable of putting up a big number here. The Seahawks defense just allowed 27 points at home to the Panthers and aren't typically as strong on this side of the ball on the road. I also expect Seattle to take advantage of Kaepernick's poor decision making and create some turnovers that lead to quick scores. I see this being a 27-17 type of game with the potential to creep up towards 50. Give me the OVER 42!

40* NFL --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (Broncos/Browns U42.5)

I don't see a lot of points being scored in this one. Denver's offense hasn't looked good at all this season. Their 5-0 start is a direct result of their defense. I expect more of the same here from the Broncos with the defense carrying them on the road against the Browns. Cleveland's defense hasn't been great, but they matchup well with Denver's offense, which can't run the ball. The Browns offense looked good last week against the Ravens, but I don't see that carrying over against this Denver defense. Give me the UNDER 42.5!

40* NCAAF --SEC Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Alabama/Texas A&M O52.5)

While I think Texas A&M is worth a look on the spread, I think the real value in this game is on the OVER. It's well known that the Crimson Tide struggle defensively against spread offenses and that's exactly what they will face here with the Aggies. Alabama's only game so far against a spread offense was their loss 31-41 loss at home to Ole Miss, where they gave up over 430 yards of total offense to the Rebels. I think Texas A&M is just as good, if not better, offensively than Ole Miss. Alabama's offense is also better than it gets credit for. Last week's game against Arkansas was the first time this season they scored fewer than 34 points, as they finished with 27. Texas A&M's defense is improved, but I don't see them keeping the Tide from putting up a big number. I think this game goes well past 60 points, as we should see a lot of big plays that lead to quick scores from both teams. Give me the OVER 52.5!

50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 8)

While these two teams have combined for 8 or more runs in 3 of the first 4 games of this series, I just think there's too much value here on the UNDER 8 to pass up. Cole Hamels and Marcus Stroman will be facing off in Game 5, which is a rematch from Game 2 in Toronto. Only 5 earned runs were scored in regulation of that game, but 3 unearned runs and 2 more in extra innings pushed the final score to 10. Both Hamels and Stroman pitched well in that game, which is no surprise given how they finished the season. With all the pressure that comes in a deciding Game 5, I'm not expecting a ton of offense in this one. Give me the UNDER 8!