50* (MLB) - Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) 

I absolutely love the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's late night action that has the Rays visiting the Mariners. There's a lot to like with both starters going in this one.

Tampa Bay's Rich Hill has a strong 3.37 ERA in 13 stats, but has been even better than that of late with a 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. It's also worth pointing out that in Hill's last 4 road starts he's given up a whopping 1 run on 9 hits in 22 innings of work. 

Justin Dunn will counter for Seattle and he's quietly having a strong season. Dunn has a 3.91 ERA in 10 starts. He's also been lights out at home with a 2.95 ERA and 1.265 WHIP in 4 home starts. Not only is Dunn throwing well, but TB's hitters may be a bit off here with the travel from Chicago all the way out west to Seattle. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Wednesday's NL Central clash between the Brewers and Reds. These two offenses couldn't get anything going yesterday, as they headed to extra innings without a run on the board. Cincinnati wound up winning 2-1 in 10 innings with the two teams combing for just 6 hits. 

When you look at the starting pitching matchup for today's game, it's hard to see either offense getting back on track. The Reds' Tyler Mahle has been a beast when he's not having to start at home at hitter friendly Great American Ball Park. Mahle has a 1.44 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 8 road starts. Milwaukee counters with Freddy Peralta, who has been great from the get go. Peralta has a 2.32 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in 12 starts with a 1.45 ERA and 0.563 WHIP in 6 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's series opener between the Rangers and Astros. I just feel like it's asking a lot for these two teams to put up 9 runs in a game that will feature two of the AL's better starters. 

Texas will give the rock to Kyle Gibson, who has a sensational 2.14 ERA and 1.005 WHIP in 12 starts. He's shown no signs of slowing down. In fact, he's got an even better 1.56 ERA in his last 3 starts. 

Houston will counter with Lance McCullers Jr. He's got a similarly strong 2.96 ERA and 1.161 WHIP in 9 starts. He too is trending right with a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. 

These two also have a great track record against the opponent. Gibson has a 2.49 ERA in 11 career starts against the Astros, having allowed just 5 runs (35 innings) in his last 5 starts vs Houston. McCullers has a mere 3.88 ERA in 11 starts vs Texas, but has allowed just 3 runs in his last 4 outings vs them. He's also now allowed more than 3 ER in 10 of the 11 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (NBA) - 76ers/Hawks VEGAS INSIDER (Over 225.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 225.5 in Game 4 between the 76ers and Hawks. These two flew past the total (224.5) in Game 3, combing for 338 points in Philly's 127-111 win. I just think we are going to see a similar type of game that should easily get to the 230s. 

The size advantage the 76ers have is really making things easy for them offensively. Philadelphia has shot 55%, 53% and 58% from the field in the 3 games. There's only been one playoff game this year where they shot worse than 50%. That's not going to change in this series with all the easy looks they are getting inside. 

Atlanta's only choice is to outscore them and they definitely got the fire-power to do that on their home floor. Hawks have shot 51%, 46% and 48% in the series, so it's not like they aren't getting good looks. They had 111 points in Game 3, despite shooting just 6 of 23 (26%) from behind the 3-point line. Give me the OVER 225.5!

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9.5) 

We have cashed the OVER in each of the first two games in this series between the Reds and Rockies. The two combined for 16 runs in the series opener on Friday and for 13 in yesterday's matchup. With another hot day at Great American Ball Park (heat index in the mid-upper 90s), I see no reason why they won't reach double-digits on Sunday. 

Reds could eclipse this total on their own. Cincinnati has done the heavy lifting in this series, scoring 11 and 10 runs in the first two games. Colorado has allowed 10 or more now in 3 straight and starter Antonio Senzatela comes in with an ugly 6.75 ERA and 1.903 WHIP in 4 road starts  this season. 

Reds are starting Tony Santillan, who will be making his first ever big league start. While Santillan has pitched well in the minors, chances are he struggles in the tough pitching conditions today. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* (MLB) Saturday SHARP MONEY Top Play (OVER 9) 

We cashed the OVER 9 in Friday's series opener between these two teams as they combined for 16 in Cincinnati's 11-5 win. That's now two straight games Colorado has given up 11 runs and the 6th time in their last 8 games they have allowed 6 or more runs. 

I know we got two decent starters going in German Marquez and Wade Miley, but it's going to be absolute brutal pitching conditions today with the heat index pushing 100 degrees and little to no wind (4 mph). Add in how the ball already flies out of Great American Ball Park, and it just doesn't seem like much for these two teams to hit double-digits. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 222.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 222.5 in Game 3 between the Suns/Nuggets. Usually I lean towards the UNDER the deeper the series goes, but 222.5 just doesn't feel like near enough. These two teams combined for 227 in Game 1 and 221 in Game 2. That's with the Nuggets only scoring 105 and 95. 

Nuggets are scoring 117.9 ppg on their home floor this season. Last time they were home was Game 5 in their first round series with Portland and they put up 147 in a game that saw 287 combined points. Both Game 1 and Game 2 in Denver got to the 230's. 

Key here is that while I think the Nuggets will get a big boost offensively at home, I don't think the Nuggets defense is going to have any better luck trying to slow down this Suns offense. Phoenix really got whatever they wanted. As long as they don't go ice cold, this thing should fly past the mark. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* (MLB) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Over 9) 

I will take my chances with the OVER 9 in Friday's MLB matchup that has the Reds visiting the Rockies. With the way the ball flies out of Great American Ball Park, especially this time of year where it's 80+ degrees with some humidity, 10 runs really isn't a lot to ask for. 

You also got to like the pitching matchup for runs. Colorado's Kyle Freeland has a 6.23 ERA and 2.077 WHIP in 3 starts, giving up 19 hits and 8 walks in 13 innings of work. Reds' Tyler Mahle has a strong 3.18 ERA in 12 starts overall, but owns a 7.23 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 4 home outings. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 10.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 10.5 in Thursday's game between the Yankees and Twins. These two combined for 12 runs in Game 1 of this series and 15 in Game 2 yesterday. I see no reason not to expect another high scoring affair tonight. 

Yankees will be starting Michael King, who has given up 8 runs on 9 hits in 7 2/3 innings over 2 starts. I think it's also worth pointing out that King had a 7.75 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 9 appearances (4 starts) last year. 

Twins will counter with J.A. Happ, who has a 5.61 ERA and 1.325 WHIP in 10 starts with a 6.19 ERA and 1.437 WHIP in his last 3 outings. 

Also doesn't hurt that it's going to be in the mid 90's during this game with little to no wind. The heat could lead to both starters wearing down quick, as well as help the ball carry a little further. Give me the OVER 10.5! 

40* (MLB) Late Night Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 9 in Wednesday's late night action between the Angels/Royals. Both teams could be in store for a big day offensively in this one. KC is sending out Brad Keller, who has a 5.50 ERA and 1.707 WHIP in 12 starts. He's also facing a LA lineup that has scored 33 runs in their last 4 games. 

Angels' will counter with Griffin Canning, who probably should be demoted. Canning has a 5.71 ERA and 1.537 WHIP in 9 starts. He's only had one start all season where he's completed 6 innings. He's also got an 8.74 ERA and 1.853 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Play the OVER 9! 

50* (MLB) - Wednesday MAX UNIT Top Play (OVER 8.5) 

I love the OVER 8.5 in Wednesday's game between the Twins/Yankees. Minnesota will have Randy Dobak on the mound. After not giving up a run in 6 innings in his first start at Cleveland, Dobak has allowed 9 runs on 17 hits and 3 walks in his last 2 starts. 

Yankees will have Gerrit Cole on the mound. While Cole is a big nam,e and has been pretty good so far in 2021, he just gave up 5 runs in 5 innings in his last start. I think his struggles could be part of him stopping using whatever illegal substance he was using. He's also facing a hot Twins lineup that has racked up 10+ hits in 4 of their last 5 games. Play the OVER 8.5! 

50* (NBA) - Monday MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 220.5) 

I'm going to take my chances with the UNDER 220.5 in Game 1 between the Nuggets/Suns. These two teams played 3 times in the regular-season. Suns won 106-103 in the first meeting, Denver won 130-126 in overtime and 120-112 in double-overtime the next two. 

So while it looks like 2 of the 3 were high scoring, the game that ended with 156 had 28 points scored after regulation (tied 114-114) and in the game that had 132 there were 36 scored in extra time (tied 98-98).  Denver has also lost two starters since the last time they played in Jamal Murray and Will Barton. 

I think there's value with this total due to the Nuggets coming off a high-scoring series against the Blazers. Phoenix and Portland are actually tied (4th) in offensive efficiency at 114.9. The big difference is defense. Suns are 9th in defensive efficiency at 108.8 and the Blazers are 29th at 113.4. Phoenix is also tied with Denver in pace at 26th, where Portland was tied for 16th in pace. Give me the UNDER 220.5! 

40* (NBA) - Mavs/Clippers Game 7 NO-BRAINER (UNDER 212) 

I'm going to take the UNDER 212 in Game 7 between the Mavs and Clippers. UNDERs are always a strong way to look in any Game 7. There's a lot more than just winner takes all that keeps these games lower scoring.

You have to keep in mind these teams have played each other 6 times in a little over a  week now. Both teams know what kind of adjustments the other team is going to make and they know how to defend them. You also got tired legs, which can lead to poor shooting. Lastly, the pressure of a Game 7. 

These two haven't combined for more than 205 in each of the last 3 games in the series. I don't see them breaking that trend in this one. Give me the UNDER 212! 

50* (NBA) - Suns/Lakers MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 207.5) 

I like the UNDER 207.5 in Game 6 tonight between the Lakers and Suns. I'm torn on whether or not LA can win this game, but I am pretty confident that it will be low scoring. I think the Lakers are not only desperate facing elimination, but also embarrassed from that ugly loss in Game 5. The level of intensity they are going to have at home with their backs against the wall is going to be really high. 

At the same time, I don't think the Suns are feeling good about things. Sure they like that AD is hurt, but this thing can flip in a hurry if he comes back. Chris Paul knows to not like his team take this game lightly, just because they got a Game 7 at home if needed. I expect Phoenix to be just as motivated here to finish this thing off. I just don't think there's going to be enough pace and shot making to get this to the 210 range. Give me the UNDER 207.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 219) 

I don't play a ton of OVERs in the NBA playoffs, but the OVER 219 in Wednesday's Jazz/Grizzlies game is one I just can't help myself with. These two combined for 221 in Game 1 and that was with neither team shooting great.

The Jazz were especially off their game, shooting 42.0% from the field and 25.5% from behind the 3-point line. Utah in the regular-season shot 47% from the field and 38.8% from behind the 3-point line at home, where they averaged 117.2 ppg. 

I think the Jazz were sleep walking a bit after the week layoff and it definitely didn't help matters that star player Donovan Mitchell was a late scratch. He's expected to play in Game 2, but either way Utah will be more mentally ready if he can't go. 

I could see the Jazz eclipsing the 220 mark in this one and confident we are going to get enough from Memphis to cash this ticket. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* (NBA) - Nets/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER (Under 229.5) 

I think the UNDER 229.5 is worthy of a play in Game 1 Saturday between the Nets and Celtics. People are just assuming Brooklyn can't be stopped with the Big 3 of Durant, Irving and Harden all healthy. They also see Boston just score 118 in their win over Washington on Tuesday. 

I'm not about to say the Nets won't lethal on offense, but let's not forget they didn't a lot of time together in the regular-season. I also don't trust the Celtics offense without Jaylen Brown. Tatum put up 50 in that game against the Wizards and they still only had 118. 

What I think people are sleeping on is the Nets defense. They got better and better on that side of the ball as the season went on. I also think all 3 of the Big 3 have the ability to take their defense to a different level. They just don't need to play hard on that side of the ball in the regular-season. I think they make it really tough on Tatum and the Boston offense. I just don't think they get to 230. Give me the UNDER 229.5! 

50* (NBA) - Grizzlies/Warriors MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 221) 

I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 221 in Friday's Play-In matchup for the No. 8 seed between the Warriors and Grizzlies. While we just watched the Wizards/Pacers fly past the total last night, the UNDER has hit in 3 of the 5 play-in games with the only two OVERs coming in games that involved the Pacers. 

The Grizzlies/Spurs matchup on Wednesday went UNDER the total of 225 by 29 points, as the Grizzlies won that game by a final of 100-96. The Warriors/Lakers game stayed UNDER the total of 217 by 14 as LA won 103-100. 

Both of these teams were exceptional on the defensive end, as Memphis held the Spurs to just 35% shooting, while Golden State held the Lakers to 40.7% from the field. If you go back it's nothing new. Grizzlies have held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 44% or worse, while the Warriors have held 7 of their last 10 under that mark. These two played late in the regular-season and only combined for 214 points and that was with GW shooting 49%. Give me the UNDER 221! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 11) 

I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 11 in Friday's series opener between NL West rivals Colorado and Arizona. The ball figures to be flying out of Coors Field tonight. Not only will temps by in the high 70s, but the wind will be blowing out to right center at close to 15 mph. 

We also got a subpar pitching matchup with Arizona sending out Seth Frankoff and the Rockies turning to German Marquez. Not to mention both offenses will be happy to see Coors Field. Dbacks just played a 4-game series at the Dodgers and the Rockies played 3 in a row at San Diego. Both of those parks heavily favor pitching. Play the OVER 11! 

40* (MLB) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 8.5) 

I like the UNDER 8.5 in Friday's MLB matchup that has the Yankees hosting the White Sox. I just don't see a lot of runs being scored in this one. The ball doesn't figure to be carrying all that great at Yankee Stadium tonight and we got two quality starters going. 

Chicago will send out Carlos Rodon, who I think is poised for a big bounce back performance after not having near his best stuff in his last start against the Royals. Rodon gave up 4 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in 5 2/3 innings, yet he still comes into this game with a 1.47 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in 6 starts. 

New York will counter with Jordan Montgomery. While Montgomery has a 4.75 ERA in 8 starts, he has a very strong 1.152 WHIP in those 8 outings. He's also got a strong 3.98 FIP and 3.85 xFIP. His numbers have been more true at home where he has a 3.50 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in 3 starts. Play the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I like the UNDER 8 in Thursday's NL East showdown between the Marlins and Phillies. I think this total should be 7.5 if not 7. Miami's Sandy Alcantara had a really bad start last time out, but that was on the road against the Dodgers. In his previous 4 starts he hadn't allowed more than 2 runs, throwing 6 or more innings in 3 of those 4 outings. Alcantara also owns a strong 2.82 ERA in 6 career starts against the Phillies. 

Vincent Velasquez will get the start for Philadelphia. He's off to a great start to the 2021 season. Velasquez owns a 2.84 ERA and 1.184 WHIP in 5 starts with a 1.59 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last 3 outings. I just don't see either offense doing much in this one. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 7.5) 

I like the UNDER 7.5 in Wednesday's Royals/Brewers interleague showdown. KC won the opener 2-0 in an extremely low scoring affair on Tuesday. UNDER is now 6-1 in Royals last 7. Brewers managed just 3 hits in the loss yesterday, second time in their last 3 games they have held to a mere 3 hits. Brewers have also now scored 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 11 games. 

Milwaukee's struggles on offense are why I'm not worrying too much about the poor numbers for Royals starter Brad Keller. Note that while Keller has a 6.75 ERA in 8 starts, he's coming off two strong outings, as he's allowed just 5 runs with 13 K's in 11 innings over his last 2 starts. Brewers will have Corbin Burnes on the mound, who has been one of the NL's best early on. Burnes has a 1.57 ERA and 0.641 WHIP in 6 starts. Play the UNDER 7.5! 

40* (NBA) - Wizards/Celtics Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Under 233) 

I will gladly take the UNDER 233 in Tuesday's Play-In game between the Wizards and Celtics. I just think the total here is way too high for a game of this magnitude. The intensity for a winner take all game is massive and people forget just how much better the defenses get in the postseason. 

We saw that in the Wizards matchup with Charlotte in the regular-season finale, where they winner got to the No. 8 seed. That game had a total of 231 and finished with 225. Both these teams are better defensively than what they showed in the regular-season. Play the UNDER 233! 

40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 7.5) 

I like the UNDER 7.5 in Tuesday's NL Central showdown between the Pirates and Cardinals. Really underrated starting pitching matchup here with St Louis' John Gant facing off against Pittsburgh's J.T. Brubaker. 

Gant has a 1.84 ERA in 7 starts with the UNDER cashing in 6 of those. Brubaker has a 2.58 ERA in 7 starts with 5 of those staying UNDER the mark. I just don't see these two getting to 8 runs tonight. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I'll take a shot here with the UNDER 8 in Friday's series opener between the Braves and Brewers. I know this doesn't look like a top tier pitching matchup, but there's reason to be optimistic that both starters perform well here. 

Drew Smyly gets the ball for Atlanta. He's got an ugly 6.12 ERA and 1.480 WHIP, but he's coming off by far his best start of the season. Smyly didn't give up a ER in 6 innings at the Nationals. He really took advantage of a bad Washington offense. He gets a similarly poor offense in this one.

Milwaukee is bottom 10 in the league in runs scored They are averaging 2.0 runs/game and hitting .180 as a team in their last 7. They also are scoring just 2.8 runs/game this season vs left-handed starters. 

Brewers will send out Adrian Houser, who has a respectable 3.44 ERA and 1.227 WHIP in 7 starts. He too is off a strong outing, as he allowed just 2 ER on 5 hits with 10 Ks in 6 innings at Miami. That's two straight starts he's went 6 innings and allowed only 2 ER. He also could be catching a huge break here with Ronald Acuna Jr questionable after leaving yesterday's game with an ankle injury. GIve me the UNDER 8! 

50* (MLB) - Late Night *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 7.5) 

I love the UNDER 7.5 in Thursday's late night action on the west coast that has Indians at the Mariners. Neither of these teams are great offensively. Cleveland has scored 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 and Seattle has scored 4 or fewer in 3 straight. 

You also got a great starting pitching matchup with Indians' Zach Plesac against Mariners' top prospect Logan Gilbert. Plesac has been outstanding of late with a 1.27 ERA and 0.7500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He hasn't allowed a run in his last two starts. Gilbert is a kid that has elite level stuff and I really like him to pitch well against this Indians lineup. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 7.5) 

I just think there's a ton of value with the OVER at 7.5 in Wednesday's matchup between the Braves and Blue Jays. OVER is 12-5 in Atlanta home games this season with an average combined score of 10.7 runs/game. Toronto is averaging 5.9 runs/game over their last 7 and the Braves are scoring 5.1 runs/game at home and 5.6 runs/game in night games this season. 

Hyun-Jin Ryu has a 3.31 ERA in 6 starts, but a 4.15 ERA on the road and a 5.27 ERA in his last 3 outings. Max Fried has a 8.44 ERA and 2.062 WHIP in 4 starts. I could see both teams going over this number. Give me the OVER 7.5! 

50* (MLB) - NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8) 

I love the UNDER 8 in Tuesday's NL showdown between Miami and Arizona. Two of the hottest starters in the game will be facing off in this one. Marlins' Pablo Lopez has a 2.04 ERA in 7 starts and a 0.50 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Diamondbacks' Madison Bumgarner had a bit of a rough start to 2021, but has a 1.00 ERA and 0.389 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

These two starters squared off against each other in Miami last week (5/6) and the game finished with just 4 runs, as the two starters combined to pitch 11 innings, giving up just 1 ER on 5 hits. UNDER is also a strong 13-3 in Marlins last 16 road games after 2 straight games scoring 2 or fewer runs. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) 

I really like the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's AL matchup between Boston and Oakland. That's because I love the starting pitching matchup with the Red Sox sending out Nathan Eovaldi and the A's countering with Chris Bassitt. 

Eovaldi has a not so great 4.39 ERA with a solid 1.205 WHIP in 7 starts, but has really been unlucky with a .342 BABIP. That shows in his amazing 2.05 FIP and strong 3.26 xFIP. Bassitt has a 3.70 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in 7 starts with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 outings. 

I know the wind is going to be blowing out slightly to right, but it's as big a concern with these two guys on the mound. Eovaldi has not allowed a HR this season and Bassitt has allowed just 3. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO BRAINER (Over 228.5) 

I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the OVER 228.5 in Sunday's game between the Magic and Timberwolves. A lot of people will just stay clear of this game as both of these teams are out of the playoff picture. 

That's where I feel the value lies. There's zero incentive for either of these teams to play defense. That's definitely how Minnesota likes it, as the Timberwolves are scoring 124.6 ppg and giving up 124.2 ppg in their last 5. Magic should be able to keep pace and I could see this thing flying past the total and into the 240s. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* (MLB) - Situational Total ANNIHILATOR (Under 7.5) 

I will gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 7.5 in Sunday's AL Central showdown between the Royals and White Sox. There just doesn't figure to be a lot of scoring opportunities in this game. 

Chicago will have ace Lucas Giolito on the mound. He's not been as dominant as expected early on, but has definitely pitched better than his numbers. The only thing that's killing him is the long ball. Something he doesn't figure to have to worry about much today with the wind blowing in from left field at close to 15 mph and temps expected to be in the mid 40's. 

Those conditions will also make life easier on KC starter Mike Minor. While Minor's numbers are also not great so far, he's owned Chicago with a 3.18 ERA in 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* (NBA) - Early Bird VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 221.5) 

I think there's some decent value with the UNDER 221.5 in Sunday's early matchup between the Celtics and Heat. This is the first of two straight games these two teams will play, as they will square off in Miami again on Tuesday. 

These two games could very well decide which of these two teams finish as the No. 6 seed and get next week off and which finishes No. 7 and is forced to earn a spot in the postseason in the play-in tournament. 

I just think with how much these games mean, it's going to have a playoff-like feel to it. Look for both teams to turn up the defensive intensity and for this to stay well below the mark set by the books. Give me the UNDER 221.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 235) 

I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 235 in Thursday's NBA matchup between the Raptors and Wizards. OVER has cashed in 3 straight and 6 of 8 overall for Washington. Easy to see why when you look at how good this team is playing offensively and how much they struggle defensively. Washington has shot at least 47% from the field in 13 of their last 14, including each of the last 8 games. They have allowed 125, 141 and 135 in their last 3 games. 

Raptors are a team that relies more on their offense to win games than their defense. Toronto has allowed each of their last 5 opponents to shoot 47% or better from the field. There's just going to be no defense played in this game. Give me the OVER 235! 

50* (NBA) - Tuesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 215.5) 

I really like the UNDER 215.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Heat and Mavs. These two teams are in similar spots down the stretch, as both are fighting to avoid the play-in tournament. Right now both are safe, but not by much. 

Mavs sit 6th, just 0.5-games ahead of 7th place Portland. Miami is 6th in the east, but are just 1-game up on 7th place Boston. Every win is huge for these two teams and I think with both teams having Monday off, we are going to get a big defensive effort. 

Both teams also figure to be without two of their top offensive playmakers, as the Mavs aren't expected to have Kristaps Porzingis and the Heat are going to be without Tyler Herro. Note Miami is also still without Oladipo and may not have the services of Iguodala. Give me the UNDER 215.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9) 

I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 9 in Tuesday's MLB matchup between the White Sox and Reds. The OVER is a pretty easy play when Cincinnati is at home. OVER is 12-3 in Reds' home games this season with an average combined score of 13.4 runs/game. 

I know the two starters going, Dylan Cease and Jeff Hoffman have been decent early on, but both of these teams are scoring a lot of runs when these two are on the mound. OVER has cashed in 4 of Cease's 5 starts and is a perfect 5-0 in Hoffman's 5 starts. Neither of these teams have a good bullpen, so if either starter struggles we could see one of these teams eclipse the mark on their own. Give me the OVER 9! 

50* (NBA) - Friday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 219) 

I absolutely love the UNDER 219 in Friday's huge Western Conference showdown between the Suns and Jazz. The winner of this game will be in the drivers seat for the No. 1 seed in the west, as Utah comes into this matchup just 1-game up on the Suns with both teams having just 9 left on the schedule after this contest. Phoenix has the tiebreaker, so if the two finished tied they get the top spot. 

I think the defensive intensity is going to be very high on both sides. You also got Utah playing this game without Donovan Mitchell or Mike Conley. So while these two did combine for 230 in their last meeting, that was with Mitchell carrying the Jazz with 41 points. Conley was also in double-figures with 11. Give me the UNDER 219! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO BRAINER (Under 8) 

I will take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Friday's series opener between AL Central rivals Kansas City and Minnesota. Two really good starters will be on the mound for this one. Kansas City will send out Brady Singer and the Twins counter with Michael Pineda. 

Singer has a 2.95 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in 4 starts. He's really been exceptional since giving up 5 runs in 3 1/3 in his first outing of the season. In his 3 starts since, he's posted a 1.00 ERA and 0.833 WHIP with 20 K's in 18 innings of work. 

Pineda has been equally impressive early on. He's got a 2.42 ERA and 0.896 WHIP in 4 starts. He too has had just one bad outing this year. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I will take the UNDER 8 in Thursday's early MLB matchup that has the A's and Rays finishing up their 4-game series in Tampa. There's been little to no offense in the first 3 games of this series. In fact, the two teams have combined to score a mere 12 runs in the series. 

I just don't think the total should be 8 with the way these two are swinging the bat. Big reason why there's value here is the Rays are sending out a relatively unknown starter in Shane McClanahan. His only MLB action came in the playoffs last year. While he didn't pitch great in the postseason, this is not only one of Tampa Bay's best prospects, it's one of the top pitching prospects in the game. He's got big time swing and miss stuff. 

On the flip side, the A's will be sending out Chris Bassitt, who has a strong 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts. Bassitt has allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings with 8 K's in each of his last two starts. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR (Under 222.5) 

I will take my chances with the UNDER 222.5 in tonight's late game between the Suns and Clippers. This game could very well decide home court if these two were to meet in the second round, as Phoenix is in the No. 2 spot, 1-game up on the Clippers. 

I think because of what is at stake, we get a strong effort defensively from two teams that can really excel on that side of the ball. Clippers are also going to be without one of their top scorers in Leonard and the Suns are in a big flat spot off that grueling 5-game road trip that had them playing the Bucks, 76ers, Celtics, Nets and Knicks. Give me the UNDER 222.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 228.5) 

I like the OVER 228.5 in Wednesday's game between the Nuggets and Pelicans. These are two of the better offensive teams in the league with New Orleans averaging 115.0 ppg and Denver at 115.5 ppg. 

Pelicans had a rough stretch recently with a lot of guys out, but they are back to full strength and have shot extremely well over their last 4 games. They hit 56% against the Nets, 56% against the Magic, 47% against the Spurs and 54% against the Clippers. Nuggets are also giving up 114.4 ppg in their last 5. Pelicans defense can't be trusted, especially on the road. NO gives up 116.0 ppg on the road and Nuggets average 117.1 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* (NBA) - Suns/Knicks NBATV Vegas STEAMROLLER (Under 215)

We didn't get there with the UNDER in Sunday's Suns/Nets game, but it's not going to keep me from playing the UNDER here. Phoenix is playing on no rest and will be finishing up an absolutely brutal 5-game road trip that has seen them play the Bucks, 76ers, Celtics and Nets away from home over the last week. 

Knicks are a team built on energy and defense and couldn't come into this game with more momentum on their side. There's a buzz in New York about this team and for good reason, as they have won 9 straight games. This is another chance to prove to themselves they are for real against one of the hottest teams in the league. Give me the UNDER 215! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 228.5) 

I will take the UNDER 228.5 in Monday's matchup between the Spurs and Wizards. Bradley Beal is listed as probable after suffering a leg injury late in yesterday's win over the Cavs. While it would be better if Beal wasn't playing, I definitely think he could struggle playing here at less than 100%. It's also going to be tough for Washington here to play with a ton of pace in the second of a back-to-back. 

I know the let the Cavs shoot 51.3% yesterday, but the Wizards defense has really been playing better of late. Prior to that game Washington had held 5 straight opponents to 44% or worse from the field. Spurs just shot 43.5% in their last game and have shot under 44% in 3 of their last 4 now. UNDER has cashed in 6 straight games for the Spurs. Play the UNDER 228.5! 

40* (NBA) Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 232) 

I think we are going to see a lower scoring game than what most expect in Sunday's huge matchup between the Suns and Nets. These two teams know there's a chance they meet up in the Finals. Brooklyn is arguably the team to beat if they get their Big 3 all healthy. Phoenix is quietly sitting out west 1.5-games back of No. 1 Utah. They just haven't got the love the deserves, as it feels like they are still viewed as the 4th or 5th best team in the west. Most see it Lakers/Clippers and then the Jazz before even thinking Phoenix. 

With the Nets expected to have 2 of their 3 with Durant and Irving, I think the Suns are going to treat this like it's a "test" to see where they really stand in the NBA hierarchy. I think with Phoenix playing their 4th straight on a grueling road trip that has already been to Milwaukee, Philly and Boston over the last week. 

Nets can light it up, but they have also shown they can turn it up defensively when they want to. I think they will match the Suns intensity in this one and this finds a way to stay UNDER 232! 

50* (MLB) - AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) 

I love the UNDER 9 in Thursday's AL West showdown between the Astros and Angels. I just don't see either offense going off with the two starters that will be taking the mound in this one. Los Angeles is sending out Alex Cobb, while Houston counters with Cristian Javier. 

Cobb comes in with a not so great 4.63 ERA in 2 starts, but the advanced stats say that's a big fluke, as he owns a 2.04 FIP and exceptional 1.67 xFIP. His 17 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings really speaks to how well he's thrown the ball. 

Javier hasn't had as many swing and misses, but does have a very respectable 11 K's in 8 2/3 innings. Javier owns a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP. With a 1.57 FIP, there's every reason to believe he's been as good as the numbers are showing. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* (NBA) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 221) 

I will take a shot with the UNDER 221 in Wednesday's big non-conference clash between the Suns and 76ers. Phoenix doesn't get near the respect they deserve in the Western Conference. This has arguably been the best team for over a month now. Suns are 15-3 in their last 18 games. They just won at Milwaukee on Monday. 

While the game against the Bucks saw 255 combined points, both teams shot lights out. This here will be a matchup of two teams that both rank in the Top 5 in defensive efficiency. 76ers should be motivated off a rare home loss and could be without two of their top scores here with Harris and Simmons questionable. Not having Simmons would also slow down the pace even more for Philly. I also think Suns will be fine playing slower in the second road game in 3 days, especially knowing they got to play at Boston tomorrow. Give me the UNDER 221! 

40* (MLB) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Over 8.5) 

I will take a shot with the OVER 8.5 in Wednesday's interleague showdown between the Braves and Yankees. The two starters going, Ian Anderson and Corey Kluber are both well respected starters, but both are struggling. Anderson has a 4.70 ERA and 1.435 WHIP in 3 starts. Kluber is even worse with a 6.10 ERA and 2.227 WHIP in 3 starts. 

While the two two teams did manage to combine to score 4 runs in Tuesday's series opener, I think we could see a big number on the board for both teams today. That's because there will be a 17+ mph jet stream blowing streak out to right field. Should be multiple HRs hit in this game. Give me the OVER 8.5! 

50* (NBA) - Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 237.5) 

I love the OVER 237.5 in Tuesday's game between the Timberwolves and Kings. I just don't see any defense being played between these two Western Conference bottom feeders. Neither plays much defense as it is. Both certainly haven't been playing much of late, as Minnesota is giving up 121.8 ppg on 50% shooting in their last 5, while Sacramento has allowed 119.4 ppg on 51% shooting in their last 5. 

Key here is that both of these teams can score. I don't think it will take much for both of these teams to reach 120 points. Also, I think the fact that these two are scheduled to turn around and play each other again in Sacramento tomorrow night, gives that much more incentive to not try defensively in this first meeting. Give me the OVER 237.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

We cashed the UNDER 7.5 in Game 1 of this series on Monday and I see more of the same value with the UNDER 8 in Game 2. I know the numbers aren't great for today's two starters Rich Hill and Brad Keller, but it's just a matter of time before Hill gets on track and Keller is coming off a great start at home against the Angels, where he allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 2/3 innings. 

The even bigger factor here is the weather. While we won't have 15 mph winds blowing straight in from left like we did yesterday, it won't be blowing out tonight and the temps are expected to start in the high 40s and end in the low 40s. It's just far from ideal conditions for scoring runs. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Under 7.5) 

I will roll the dice with the UNDER 7.5 in Monday's game between the Rays and Royals. Tampa Bay will send out Josh Fleming for his second start and he was impressive in his first outing, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 innings. Keep in mind Fleming pitched extremely well for the Rays in limited action last year. 

Danny Duffy will take the mound for the Royals and he's been outstanding to start 2021. Duffy has allowed just 1 run in 12 innings over his first 2 starts. Duffy has also owned Tampa Bay, posting a 2.68 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Rays. 

Lastly, the conditions aren't expected to be ideal for scoring. Temp's are expected to be in the low 50s high 40s with close to a 15 mph wind blowing straight in from left field. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 225.5) 

I really like the UNDER at 225.5 in Monday's big NBA matchup between the Warriors and 76ers. The spread for this game looked way off with the 76ers sitting as a 9-point favorite, but now that we see Steph Curry listed as questionable it makes more sense. The line tells me that Curry isn't likely to play. 

Even if he does, I think the 76ers will come to play, as Curry and Embiid are two of the top choices right now for MVP. I also think the scoring in this game could be hindered by the fact that Philadelphia has two key guys listed as questionable with Seth Curry and Tobias Harris. Those are two big losses, as both are shooting over 40% from 3. 

Neither Curry played in the first meeting between these two and that game ended with a mere 206 points. Give me the UNDER 225.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 223.5) 

Give me the OVER 223.5 in Friday's game between the Rockets and Nuggets. I just feel like this total should be closer to 230 with the way Houston is defending. Houston has allowed at least 125 in each of their last 4 and 118 or more in 9 of their last 10. If the Rockets can simply put up 110 in this one at home, this thing should fly past the total. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 212) 

I'll take my chances her with the UNDER 212 in Thursday's TNT late night matchup between the Celtics and Lakers. It doesn't matter who is available to play, when these two franchises face off, they are going to treat it a little differently. Add in the fact that it's on TNT and I think we get a really strong defensive effort from two really good defensive teams. 

UNDER has also been a really strong play for both of these teams of late. UNDER has cashed in 8 of the last 10 for Boston and 10 of the last 15 for LA. UNDER is also 9-1 in Boston's last 10 as a favorite and 6-0 in the Lakers last 6 at home. Give me the UNDER 212! 

50* (MLB) Thursday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 8.5) 

I love the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's matchup between the Nationals and Diamondbacks. I know Arizona's Merrill Kelly has a 8.10 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in his first 2 starts, but his two starts have come on the road against the Padres and Rockies. It should be much easier here against a sub-par Nationals offense that has already been shutout 3 times in the early going. 

Same can be said for Washington starter Pat Corbin, who had a rough first start at the Dodgers. He really just had one bad inning, giving up 5 of his 6 runs in the 2nd inning. He should be much better and the Dbacks are only scoring 3.6 runs/game and hitting .209 as a team on the road this season. 

The last big factor here is the weather. Temps are expected to only be in the mid 50s with close to a 15 mph wind blowing straight in from left field. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (OVER 229)

I will take my chances with the OVER 229 in Monday's game between the Bulls and Grizzlies. Both of these teams have been strong OVER plays of late. OVER has cashed in each of Chicago's last 3 games and the last 4 for the Grizzlies. 

The Bulls have been a team that played in a decent amount of high scoring games, but I feel they are even more offensive-minded after the moves they made at the trade deadline. They gave up defense for offense by getting Vucevic and it also strengthened their bench. They got a lot more fire-power on the bench than they had early in the year. 

Memphis has scored 110 or more points in 12 of their last 13 games. Even the game where they didn't that contest still had 218 points scored. With Bulls on no rest and playing their 5th and final game of their road trip, I don't see them playing a whole lot of defense in this one. Give me the OVER 229! 

50* (MLB) - Monday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 8.5) 

I love the UNDER 8.5 in Monday's AL Central clash between the Indians and White Sox. Cleveland is the definition of an UNDER team. They struggle to score runs, but don't necessarily need to with their rotation and bullpen. UNDER has cashed in 6 of their 8 games this season. 

Triston McKenzie will be taking the mound for Cleveland and while he is making his first start, he pitched 3 2/3 innings out of the pen and was really good. He only gave up 1 run on 2 hits. In his brief career start last year, McKenzie has a 3.16 ERA and 0.97 WHIP with opponents hitting just .180 against him. 

White Sox will counter with Carlos Rodon, who tossed 5 scoreless innings with 9 K's in his first start at Seattle. Rodon has kind of had his way with Cleveland, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.122 WHIP in 15 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Over 231.5) 

I like the value here with the OVER 231.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup that has the Pacers visiting the Grizzlies. The OVER has cashed in 3 straight for Memphis and this Grizzlies offense has been on an absolute tear for a few weeks now. Memphis has scored 116 or more in 5 straight and 110 or more in 11 of 12.

They should be able to put up a big number here against a Pacers team that is without their best interior defender in Myles Turner. It's just not the same defense without one of the league's best shot blockers on the floor. Key here is the Pacers should be able to keep pace offensively with Memphis. This is a game I think we could see both teams eclipse 120 points. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

Colorado's offense has really struggled in their first two games away from Coors Field, as they have managed just 4 runs in their two games at San Francisco. I don't see them getting the offense going against Giants starter Anthony Desclafani, who was sharp in his first start at San Diego, limiting the Padres to just 1 run in 5 innings.

Rockies will counter with German Marquez. He's got a 3.60 ERA in two starts, both at home against the Dodgers and Dbacks. He should have no problem shutting down one of baseball's worst offenses. In his two starts against the Giants last year, he allowed just 3 run with 12/2 K/BB ratio in 13 1/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 227) 

The OVER 227 is definitely a play for me tonight in the Pelicans/76ers matchup. New Orleans has been one of the worst defensive teams all season and are really playing poorly on that side of the ball right now. Pelicans are giving up 123.6 ppg on 50% shooting over their last 5 games with all 5 opponents scoring at least 115 points. 

With the 76ers playing at close to full strength and coming in fresh off 2 days of rest, I would be shocked if they don't put up at least 120 in this game. If they do that, this should fly past the mark, as the Pelicans are averaging 116.7 ppg at home. I also don't think Philadelphia will be laying it all on the line defensively like they did in their last game at Boston. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night Total NO-BRAINER (Under 225.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 225.5 in tonight's big Western Conference showdown between the Suns and Jazz. These two own the two best records in the NBA, as Utah is 38-12 and the Suns are 35-14. 

Both are playing extremely well coming in as both have gone 9-1 SU over their last 10 games. I just think the intensity level is going to be turned up a notch in this game and we are going to see both teams come out looking to defend at a high level. 

That's what they do, as Utah is 3rd in the league in defensive efficiency and the Suns are 6th. Also adding to this, both teams like to slow it down and play a little more in the halfcourt. They also played once earlier this season back on Dec. 31 and the two combined for a mere 201 points with a total of 219. Give me the UNDER 225.5!  

50* (NBA) - Wednesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Over 231) 

I love the OVER 231 in tonight's game between the Pelicans and Nets. While Brooklyn won't have the services of James Harden for a while, they are expected to get back Kevin Durant. The duo of Durant and Irving with all the role players they got is more than enough. 

I look for the Nets to have a field day offensively against an awful Pelicans defense that is giving up 117.6 ppg over their last 5. They didn't even try to defend the 3-point line in last night's 107-123 loss to the Hawks, as Atlanta went 20 of 31 (64.5%) from deep. They give those Nets the same looks and Brooklyn could easily score 140+

The key here is I think the Nets aren't going to be all that locked in defensively. They got a lot of new pieces and it's going to take some time before they are a cohesive defensive unit. New Orleans is also a very strong offensive team. Give me the OVER 231! 

50* (NBA) - Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 225.5) 

I love the OVER 225.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Pelicans and Hawks. I think we are getting a discount on the total due to the fact that New Orleans could be playing again without Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram. Both are listed as questionable, but there's been no indication that they will play. If they do that's great, but I don't think they need them to eclipse this number. 

In the Pelicans last 4 games they have combined for 124 with the Celtics, 125 with the Magic, 129 with these same Hawks and 137 in their last game with the Rockets. Going back even further, NO has seen a combined score of at least 120 in 7 of their last 8. 

Add that with how the Hawks have been playing and this is a no-brainer. In Atlanta's last 5 games they are scoring 117.8 ppg on 49% shooting and giving up 117.2 ppg on 48% shooting. Give me the OVER 225.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 9.5) 

I like the value with the UNDER 9.5 in Monday's AL East showdown between the Rays and Red Sox. The biggest factor here is the conditions, as it's expected to be around just 50 degrees at game-time with the wind blowing in from right field at close to 15 mph. 

Another factor is the Red Sox offense. Boston was only able to manage to score 5 runs total in their 3 games at home against the Orioles to start the season. Rays have a much better starting staff than Baltimore and I got high hopes for Tampa Bay starter Michael Wacha, who posted a 0.60 ERA and 0.73 WHIP over 15 innings in Spring Training. 

Little more concern with Nick Pivetta, but given the conditions, I think he can keep the Rays in check enough to keep us well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 9.5!

50* (MLB) Sunday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Over 11.5) 

Not a lot I can say that I haven't said the last 3 days, as we take the OVER for a fourth straight day in the Rockies/Dodgers series. We cashed the OVER in each of the first two and ended with a push in Game 3. 

Each of these teams have scored a minimum of 5 runs in each of the 3 games they have played and with temps expected in the low 80s for this one, the ball figures to be flying out of the park. The Dodgers are capable of eclipsing this total on their own and with Austin Gomber on the mound for the Rockies they just might. I know Julio Urias has been solid, but he's got a 6.25 ERA and 1.426 WHIP in 7 career starts against Colorado. Give me the OVER 11.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 11) 

We have played and cashed the OVER in each of the first two games of this series. We go again with the OVER on Saturday. These two went for 13 combined runs in the series opener Thursday and have 14 combined runs in the bottom of the 7th in Friday's game as I write up this analysis. The Rockies didn't even have a hit in the first 6 innings of that game. 

The play is every bit on the way the ball flies out of Coors Field and the ridiculous offense that the Dodgers have. They can hit this total on their own, but I don't think they will have to. Both starters that will go on Saturday performed poorly in Spring Training. 

The Rockies Jon Gray had a 9.90 ERA with a 1.80 WHIP, giving up 11 runs in 10 innings of work. Dodgers will counter with Walker Buehler, who had a 7.94 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and allowed 16 runs in 17 innings. Give me the OVER 11! 

50* (NBA) - Friday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (UNDER 224) 

I absolutely love the UNDER 224 in Friday's game between the Pelicans and Hawks. I just don't see these two coming anywhere close to this total given the circumstances. 

For Atlanta, they will be in the 2nd game of a back-to-back after a grueling 134-129 OT win at San Antonio last night. A game in which 4 different Hawks' players logged 35 or more minutes. On top of that, this is Atlanta's 8th and final game of a brutal 8-game road trip. 

As for the Pelicans, they might be extremely short-handed here, as Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram and Lonza Ball are all questionable. Given that the line for this game is right around a pick'em that tells me there's a good chance at least two of these guys aren't suiting up and maybe all 3. Give me the UNDER 224! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 11.5) 

We cashed in the OVER 11 in Thursday's season opener between the Rockies and Dodgers, as the two combined for 13 in Colorado's 8-5 win. With the fire-power that LA has on offense and the game being played at one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the league in Coors Field, chances are there are going to be a number of runs scored. 

The key here for me is I think the Rockies can keep pace and even outscore the Dodgers again on Friday. Trevor Bauer was a great pickup for LA, but he didn't have the best spring with a 4.24 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Coors just isn't the place to work out those kinks. 

Colorado will send out Antonio Senzatela, who has a 5.80 ERA and 1.563 WHIP in 8 starts against the Dodgers. In those 8 starts, the fewest combined runs in a game has been 9. Give me the OVER 11.5! 

40* (MLB) - Opening Day TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 11) 

I won't be playing a lot of OVERs early in the season, but I do think the OVER 11 is worth a look in Thursday's Opening Day matchup between the Rockies and Dodgers. Even though the ball isn't going to jump off the bat like it will here soon, it's still going to carry well in the thin air of Coors Field. 

It's not crazy to think the Dodgers can eclipse this total on their own. LA's going to have one of the best offenses, if not the best, in baseball. I think it could be a short day of work for Rockies starter German Marquez, who had an ugly 5.68 ERA and 1.84 WHIP, while allowing opponents to hit .338 against him in 19 innings of Spring Training ball. 

The key here is I think the Rockies are going to do their part and put up some runs. Dodgers will be sending out Clayton Kershaw, who looked to be a bit out of form in Spring Training with a 10.22 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in 12 1/3 innings of work. Give me the OVER 11! 

30* (MLB) - Opening Day EARLY BIRD SHARP PLAY (Under 7.5) 

I will take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Thursday's Opening Day matchup between the Tigers and Indians. I know the wind is going to be blowing out to center at close to 15 mph, but the game time temp is expected to be a mere 31 degrees. The ball just isn't going to carry in these conditions. 

You als have what I think is going to be two of the worst offensive teams in the majors facing off against two really good starters. Detroit's Matt Boyd posted a 2.45 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 18 1/3 innings in spring training. He's flashed some potential in the past and I think he's more than capable of keeping this Indians offense in check. 

Cleveland will counter with Shane Bieber, who also had an impressive spring with a 3.12 ERA. Bieber also had 24 K's in 17 1/3 innings of work. He's owned the Tigers in his career with a 2.13 ERA and 0.779 WHIP in 6 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* (CBB) - NCAA Tournament 'Elite 8' SHARP PLAY (UNDER 153.5) 

I'm going to take the UNDER 153.5 in Tuesday's Elite 8 matchup between USC and Gonzaga. This will be the fourth straight game featuring the Bulldogs with a total north of 150. Only one has gone over and that was their second round game with Oklahoma and it barely got there (total 156, finished at 158). 

I just think the OVER is inflated in Gonzaga games because of how good they are offensively. I don't know that you can stop them, but I think USC can at least make it difficult. Based on KenPom's numbers, USC is No. 4 in the country in defensive efficiency and No. 6 in effective FG%. They counter Gonzaga's No. 1 rated 2P% offense with the No. 1 2P% defense. Trojans also do a really good job of not fouling and limiting their opponents free throw attempts. 

I also think Gonzaga's offense is so good that people fail to realize how good this team is defensively. Gonzaga is No. 7 in defensive efficiency and one thing they do really well that counters a USC strength is keep their opponents off the offensive glass. I think USC's awful free throw shooting (No. 327 at 64.6%) could really hurt them in this game. Give me the UNDER 153.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 224.5) 

I really like the OVER 224.5 in Monday's game between the Bulls and Warriors. Chicago added Nikola Vucevic at the deadline and he really gives the Bulls a legit second option to pair with Zach LaVine. It no doubt makes the bulls a better offensive team. The problem is they got worse defensively and weren't a good defensive team to start with. Not to mention there's going to be a drop in their defense adding in new players, as the chemistry just isn't there. 

It's why I'm not concerned with the Warriors offensive struggles of late. There's also a chance here that Golden State could be getting Steph Curry back from injury, which would definitely make this an even stronger play if he suits up. Either way I look for this game to easily get into the 230's. Give me the OVER 224.5! 

50* (CBB) - NCAA Tournament 'Sweet 16' MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 143) 

I love the UNDER 143 in Sunday's Sweet 16 clash between Florida State and Michigan. I know the Wolverines put up 82 in their first game against Texas Southern and 86 in the Round of 32 against LSU, but that was to be expected. Texas Southern ranked 211th in defensive efficiency and LSU ranked 124th. 

It won't be nearly that easy against Florida State. The Seminoles ranked 31st in defensive efficiency and were one of the toughest teams in the country to score inside on (No. 10 in 2P % defense). Just look what they did to Colorado in the Round of 32. The Buffaloes scored 96 points against Georgetown in the 1st round and then were only able to manage 53 against FSU. 

Factor in Michigan is also an elite defensive team and one that likes to play the game in the halfcourt, I don't see these two teams reaching 140. Give me the UNDER 143! 

40* (CBB) - NCAA Tournament 'Sweet 16' TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 139) 

I'm going to take the OVER 139 in Saturday's Sweet 16 matchup out of the South Region between No. 1 seed Baylor and No. 5 seed Villanova. I just think the total here should be pushing 150. Baylor is lethal on the offensive side of the ball. 

They shot lights out from deep in the first two games, hitting 11 of 33 against Harford and 8 of 17 against Baylor. They didn't play close to their best against Wisconsin and still put up 76 points. That game with the Badgers saw a combined 139 points, which again is why I think the total here should be much higher. Vilanova is a much better offensive team than the Badgers and probably a little worse. I think people see that the Wildcats rank near the bottom in the country in pace, but they just haven't seen an offense like Baylor. 

I know it was over a year ago, but these two played last season on a neutral court in late November. Baylor won that game 87-78 for a combined score of 165. That game's total was 139. 

OVER has cashed in 11 of Baylor's last 14 road games vs a team that averages 8 or more made 3-pointers/game and 11 of their last 14 after 15+ games when facing a good team that is outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game. Give me the OVER 139! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 219.5) 

I really like the UNDER 219.5 in Friday's matchup between the Blazers and Magic. I know Portland is coming off a 125-122 win over Miami that flew past the total of 215.5, but I just don't see them wanting or needing to push the pace in the 2nd of a back-to-back. 

A big reason for that is this could get really ugly for Orlando. The Magic were big time sellers at the trade deadline, parting ways with three of their best players in Vucevic, Gordon and Fournier. Cole Anthony is still out with an injury and they have lost Fultz and Isaac for the season. They added Otto Porter Jr, Wendell Carter Jr, and Gary Harris, but unlikely they play this game. Simply put the Magic are going to be playing a bunch of scrubs in this one and might struggle to score 90. Give me the UNDER 219.5! 

40* (NBA) Over/Under Total MASSACRE (Over 229) 

I like the OVER 229 in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Mavs visiting the Timberwolves. Dallas is in a groove offensively right now. The Mavs just scored 132 points on 56% shooting from the field in a 132-92 win over the Blazers. That's 3 straight games now where the Mavs have shot 50% or better from the field. 

Unless they don't show up at all, you can pretty much bank on them extending that to 4 straight against the Timberwolves. Opponents are shooting 48% against the Timberwolves on the season. Key here is Minnesota has got their offense going. In the 7 games since they returned from the All-Star break they are averaging 116.9 ppg. Mavs defense has been better, but it's still not great and this feels like a game they won't put forth a big effort on that side of the ball. Give me the OVER 229! 

40* (CBB) - March Madness 1st Round TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 138) 

I like the UNDER 138 in Friday's South matchup between No. 8 North Carolina and No. 9 Wisconsin. This game to me has a defensive battle written all over it. Both of these teams are very good defensively. Wisconsin ranks 12th in the country in defensive efficiency and North Carolina is right on their heels at 14th. 

The Tar Heels do like to push the pace offensively, but few are better at slowing down the tempo than Wisconsin. The Badgers finished 326th in adjusted tempo. One reason they can control it, is they don't turn it over often. Wisconsin ranked 2nd in the country in TO %. 

In the Badgers last game they lost to Iowa, but were able to make it their style with the Hawks winning by a final of just 62-57. I just don't think these two will sniff 140. Give me the UNDER 138! 

40* (CBB) - March Madness 1st Round TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 131.5)

I will take my chances with UNDER 131.5 in Friday's First Round action out of the South Region that has No. 6 seed Texas Tech taking on No. 11 seed Utah State. I just think the UNDER is worth a look at anything over 130, as you have two outstanding defensive teams that just don't give up a lot of easy looks. 

Texas Tech's identity is to grind opponents down with a stingy defense and methodical pace. The Red Raiders ranked 24th in the country in defensive efficiency and 316th in adjusted tempo. Utah State is a little higher up there in tempo at 153rd, but are 8th in the country in defensive efficiency. They are 4th best in 2-Pt % defense. I think that spell trouble for a Texas Tech offense that only averages 6 made 3-pointers a game. This game to me feels like it's going to be a race to 60 and I wouldn't be shocked if neither team got there. Give me the UNDER 131.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 230) 

I think we are getting a great price with the OVER at just 230 in Thursday's NBA game between the Wolves and Suns. It's tempting to take the big number with Minnesota in this game, but after how they burned me on Tuesday against the Lakers, I'm gonna pass. 

Thing is, while there's likely value with the Timberwolves right now, I think there's more value on the OVER. Minnesota is playing better right now because they are scoring points. A team that only averages 109.4 ppg on the season is scoring 118.6 ppg on 49% shooting in their last 5. 

The other key here is that while the offense is improved, the defense has remained a weakness. Minnesota is giving up 120.0 ppg on the road this year and 122.8 ppg in their last 5. Suns have shot worse than 47% from the field once in their last 18 games and will have fresh legs here having been off the last 2 days. Give me the OVER 230! 

50* BLAZERS/WOLVES NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 233.5) 

I really considered take the Timberwolves as a home dog here, but I think the real value in this game is the OVER 233.5. Minnesota looked like a different team out of the break, as they went on the road and crushed the Pelicans 135-105. Timberwolves shot 53.7% from the field in that game and while some of that was New Orleans subpar defense, it's not like the Blazers are a good defensive team. Portland just allowed the Suns to shoot 59% from the field in a crushing 121-127 loss at home on Thursday. 

I think there's a good chance that Minnesota carries over that strong offensive showing and I definitely don't trust this Timberwolves defense to slow down a potent Blazers offense. This is one of those games where it feels like both teams could easily get into the 120s and it wouldn't shock me if it got way up there with both in the 230s. Give me the OVER 233.5! 

40* RAPTORS/HORNETS NBA TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 230.5) 

I like the OVER 230.5 in Saturday's NBA matchup that has the Raptors visiting the Hornets. Toronto has a bunch of guys out right now in Quarantine and I think it has them a bit undervalued on the offensive side. Toronto has not slowed down at all offensively, they played short-handed at Boston right before the break and put up 125 and then came out of the break with 120 at home against the Hawks. 

Thing is, they have to score like that because all those guys out is really hurting them defensively. Raptors are giving up 121.8 ppg on 49% shooting in their last 5. I just feel like with the current form of Toronto and the Hornets being a very capable offensive team with a sub-par defense, this game will easily get into the 230's. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* CAVS/PELICANS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 228.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 228.5 in Friday's NBA game that has the Pelicans hosting the Cavs. I'm expecting a big bounce back game offensively for New Orleans after they stunk it up last night against the Timberwolves, scoring just 105 points on 43% shooting. This is just too good of an offensive team to play that poorly and the Cavs are definitely a team that can be exposed on the defensive side. 

The big key here is the Pelicans just aren't a good defensive team at all. They just let a depleted Minnesota team put up 135 points on 54% shooting. Clearly some of that is effort, but more of it is just they don't have the pieces to be any good on that side of the ball. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* CELTICS/NETS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 234.5) 

I'm going to take the OVER 234.5 in Thursday's game that has the Boston Celtics visiting the Brooklyn Nets. I know 234.5 might seem like a big number for a total, but it feels like a discount to me given the teams involved. 

The Nets are simply the ideal team to back the OVER with and the books have had a hard time setting the bar high enough. The OVER has cashed in 24 of Brooklyn's last 31 games. 

Even though they aren't the offensive juggernaut they would be if Kevin Durant was healthy, they got more than enough offensive fire-power with the duo of Kyrie Irving and James Harden. Nets have scored 124 or more points in 7 of their last 10 games and Durant only played in 1 of those games. 

Boston in years past has been known for their defense, but they have had their struggles on that side of the ball this season. They are giving up on average 110.8 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 47% from the field. They are expected to get back one of their top defenders in Marcus Smart, but he hasn't played since the end of Jan. I just think given the rust and lack of conditioning, he's not likely to have a huge impact in slowing down this Nets offense. 

This is just one of those games where I think both teams have a really good shot at reaching 120 points. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* SPURS/MAVS NBA OVER/UNDER DESTROYER (Over 222.5)

I'll take my chances with the OVER 222.5 in Wednesday's NBA showdown between the Mavs and Spurs. I just think this total should be closer to 230 than 220. Dallas has really come alive of late. They won 9 of their last 11 games before the All-Star break. A big reason they surged is they got healthy and their offense starting producing close to the level it did last year when it was one of the best the league has ever seen. 

This is a team that can score 120 points and not even play well. Thing is they almost have to score that much because of how bad they are defensively. San Antonio is healthy and got most of their guys back after playing short-handed for most of February because of Covid. I think this a better offense than they are getting credit for right now. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NEBRASKA/IOWA NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Over 152.5) 

I really like the OVER 152.5 in Thursday's Big Ten matchup that has Nebraska visiting Iowa. The Hawkeyes haven't had an offensive outburst for a while now. After scoring 88 at Michigan State on Feb. 13th, they have gone 4 straight games failing to reach the 80-point mark. I know 80 is a lot of points, but were talking about an Iowa team that averages 84.7 ppg (88.4 ppg at home). 

There is reason to explain their recent scoring slump, as 3 of their last 4 were on the road against Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio State. It's going to feel like a breeze for the Hawkeyes offense against the Cornhuskers defense. Not only is Nebraska giving up 76.7 ppg on the road, but the Cornhuskers have no answer for Luka Garza down low, which is going to open up everything. 

The key here is I don't think it will just be Iowa's offense that has a big game. Nebraska has really come alive offensively, scoring 70 or more in each of their last 4 games. Keep in mind they hadn't scored 70 or more in more than 2 straight games all season prior to this stretch. Hawkeyes defense has been better, but I don't think Iowa will be as invested as they have been given the opponent and the fact that they are fresh off that huge road win over Ohio State on Sunday. Give me the OVER 152.5! 

40* BUCKS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 234.5) 

I know the UNDER has hit in each of the Grizzlies last 5 games and the last 2 for the Bucks, but I can't help myself with the OVER when these two face off tonight. I know it's been better here of late, but the Grizzlies are not a good defensive team. They have allowed 9 of their last 14 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. 

After scoring a mere 97 points on 40.5% shooting in Tuesday's ugly 31-point loss to the Nuggets at home, I feel really good about the Bucks offense showing up in a big way in this one. I could easily see Milwaukee scoring 130 in this one. 

I also think the Grizzlies could put up a big number here. Memphis has scored 120+ in 3 of their last 5 and are as healthy as they have been all season. Bucks are also not a great defensive team. They have given up 110 or more in 10 of their last 12 and are allowing 115.1 ppg on 47% shooting in road games this season. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* HORNETS/WOLVES NBA TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 232)

I will gladly take my chances here with the OVER 232 in tonight's game between the Hornets and Timberwolves. The OVER has been free money during Charlotte's current 6-game road trip. Each of the first 5 games on this trip have gone OVER the total and all 5 have seen a combined score of at least 234 points with 4 of the 5 going for more than 240. 

I think the only reason this total isn't closer to 240 is because the Timberwolves are coming off a game against the Suns at home where they only scored 99 points. That's just not a big concern for me when you factor in how bad the Hornets have been defensively of late. Charlotte has allowed at least 121 points in all 5 games on this trip and all 5 teams have shot 51% or better from the field. Minnesota also plays no defense, having allowed 118 or more in 4 straight with 3 of those teams going for 128 or more. Give me the OVER 232! 

40* JAZZ/76ERS NBA TOTAL MONEYMAKER (Over 227.5) 

I just can't help myself here with the OVER with a total of just 227.5 in Wednesday's game between the Jazz and 76ers. These two teams just played on Feb. 15 at Utah and combined for 157 points in a 134-123 win for the Jazz. Neither team had an answer for the opposing offense, as both teams shot 50% or better from the field. Philadelphia also got to 123 points despite only making 8 of 23 from long-distance (avg 12 made 3's at home). 

I just don't think it's asking a lot for these two teams to each hit 114 points in this game, as that would be enough to cash the OVER right there. Utah hasn't scored fewer than 112 in 11 straight games and the 76ers are averaging 117.7 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 227.5! 

40* HORNETS/BLAZERS NBA LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Over 233) 

I like the OVER 233 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Blazers and Hornets. The OVER has been cash money in games with Charlotte as the road team. The Hornets have played 16 games away from home and 12 have gone OVER the total. Charlotte is averaging 114.1 ppg on the road and giving up 117.3 ppg. In just the last 5 games the Hornets are scoring 116.8 ppg and giving up 121.8 ppg. 

Key here is the Blazers figure to get back on track offensively after really struggling on that side in their 4-game skid. Portland just ran out of gas playing short-handed. They should have their legs back under them in this one, as they have had the last 2 days off. Prior to losing 4 straight, Blazers had scored at least 115 in 5 straight and I think they easily get there in this one. In fact, I see both teams reaching 120. Give me the OVER 233! 

40* CLIPPERS/BUCKS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Under 237)

There's no denying that these are two of the better offensive teams in the league, but the total here suggests that neither of these two teams will play any defense. I know the defensive numbers aren't great at times for either of these teams, but I think a lot of that is these two teams have a tendency to play defense when they want. I think both can be elite on that side of the ball if they so choose. 

I think both of these teams are going to treat this game a little different. I see it more as a final statement for each team before the All-Star break. I also think the unusual 3:30 EST start time will have both teams a little bit out of their comfort zone on the offensive side of the ball. Give me the UNDER 237! 

40* MAVS/NETS NBA TOTAL STEAMROLLER (OVER 238.5)

I know we have had hit a bit of a rough stretch here with the OVERs in Brooklyn games, as the UNDER has cashed in 3 of their last 4, but I'm not ready to jump off the ship just yet. I think we are actually getting some decent value here, as my numbers suggest that this total should be closer to 245. 

I just think the fact that Dallas is coming off a game where they score just 97 points at Philly and the Nets off a game where they held the Magic to 92, has this total much lower than it should be. Brooklyn is still scoring at an elite level and the Mavs when right are one of the best offensive teams in the league. Key here for me is I think Porzingis will be back for Dallas, as he practiced on Friday. I also think Doncic should be able to expose Harding and Irving, as neither of those like to play defense. I see both teams in the 120s. Give me the OVER 238.5! 

50* MAGIC/NETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 228) 

If you have been following my NBA picks this year, you knew that the OVER in tonight's Brooklyn/Orland game was going to be on the board. I just don't know the books can make the numbers high enough for these Nets games.

I definitely will be a little more cautious with the OVER going forward when Brooklyn plays a top tier team, as we did just see the UNDER cash in their two games with the Lakers and Clippers, but no way am I not taking the OVER when they are playing a sub-par team like Orlando. 

The Nets are so good offensively, even without Durant, that they know they don't have to play all that hard on the defensive end to win games. I definitely don't see them being interested in giving that extra effort against the Magic and it's not like we need 240 in this one, we just need to get to 230. These two combined for 137 in a recent meeting on Jan. 16 and that was with them only reaching 102 at the half. Give me the OVER 228! 

40* KINGS/NETS NBA TOTAL STEAMROLLER (Over 242)

We have lost with the OVER in each of the Nets last two games against the Lakers and Clippers and looking back it probably wasn't the best move to take the OVER in those two games given just how badly the Nets wanted to beat those two teams. We are still way in the profit with the OVER in Brooklyn games this season and will take another shot with the OVER here against the Kings. 

I got a good feeling that the Nets are going to revert right back to their sluggish defensive ways now that they are facing a bad team in the Kings. You also have to factor in that these two teams just played roughly a week ago and combined for 261 points in a 136-125 Brooklyn win. I wouldn't be shocked if we saw a very similar score in the rematch. Give me the OVER 242! 

50* HORNETS/JAZZ NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 229) 

I love the OVER 229 in today's game between the Jazz and Hornets. These two teams played earlier this month (Feb. 5) and combined for a ridiculous 259 points as the Jazz won 138-121 on the road. Now I'm not expecting them to approach to 260 again, but I don't think getting to 230 is asking a lot. I wouldn't be shocked at all if Utah score 130 on their own in this one. 

The big key here being how good a 3-point shooting team Utah is and how bad the Hornets are at defending it. Jazz are shooting 39% and averaging 16 made 3-pointers on the season. Charlotte is allowing opponents to shoot 40% from deep with an average of 16 made 3-pointers on the road. 

The other thing here is because the Jazz figure to have such an easy time scoring, are fresh off two grueling games against the Clippers and have a big home game on deck against LeBron and the Lakers, I don't see them really investing a lot of energy on defense in this one. Give me the OVER 229! 

40* GRIZZLIES/MAVS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231.5) 

I will take my chances here with the OVER 231.5 in Monday's NBA matchup between the Mavs and Grizzlies. Dallas might not be on the same level as the Nets in terms of an OVER team, but they aren't far off. Mavericks are exceptional on the offensive side of the ball and really have no choice but to try and outscore their opponents with how much they struggle defensively. 

The OVER has cashed in each of the last 7 games for the Mavs and 12 of their last 15 overall. Every game during this 7 game OVER streak has seen at least 235 combined points. This play becomes even easier to make when you look at how Memphis has been playing. Grizzlies consistently have been in high-scoring games as they too are clicking offensively and struggling defensively. OVER is 7-1 in their last 8 and 10-2-1 in their last 13. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* NETS/CLIPPERS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 237) 

We didn't get there with the OVER in Brooklyn's last game against the Lakers, but I'm confident we will see a shootout here in LA against the Clippers. I think both of these teams are going to have a hard time bringing their "A" game on the defensive side of the ball. The Nets just played as good a defense as they could in their last game against LeBron and the Lakers. Same thing for the Clippers, who laid it all on the line in their revenge game against Utah. 

With Leonard and George back in the mix for the Clippers, they should really score at will against this Nets defense. Same thing for Brooklyn's offense with Harden and Irving. I got both teams hitting 120 in this one. Play the OVER 237! 

40* PISTONS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 220.5) 

I will gladly take my chances here with the OVER 220.5 in tonight's NBA game between the Pistons and Grizzlies. Memphis is just one of those teams that you almost have to take the OVER blindly right now. The OVER has cashed in 6 straight and is 9-1-1 in the Grizzlies' last 11 games. The average combined score in Memphis' last 5 games is 238 and all we need here is 221. 

I think the only reason the total here isn't more is because the Pistons aren't a great offensive team, but they are going to score against this Memphis defense. Grizzlies have allowed 7 of their last 9 opponents to shoot 50% or better and given up 110 or more in 9 straight. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

40* SUNS/PELICANS NBA TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 231)

I got no problem taking a shot with the OVER 231 in tonight's matchup between the Suns and Pelicans. The OVER has cashed in each of New Orleans' last 6 games. The Pelicans have scored 124 or more in 4 of their last 6 and at least 110 in 9 straight and 14 of their last 15. Hard to see them not scoring 120+ in this one, as the Suns are slipping on defense right now, having allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. 

Thing is the Pelicans have to score a lot because they are not a good defensive team. New Orleans is giving up 114.5 ppg on 47% shooting on the season and in their last 5 games are allowing 126.8 ppg on 54% shooting. That defense will have to work tonight without big man Steven Adams, so don't expect this to be the game they turn it around. Give me the OVER 231! 

50* BULLS/76ERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 230.5)

I really like the OVER 230.5 in tonight's game between the Bulls and 76ers. The OVER had cashed in 3 straight games for Chicago before Wednesday's low-scoring game with Detroit, where both teams had an awful quarter that kept it UNDER. With the way Chicago can score and their limitations on defense, this is team that should be in a lot of high-scoring games. 

I definitely think that's the case here. The 76ers are really clicking on offense. Philadelphia has scored at least 111 points in 6 straight and 9 of 10 overall. They also have allowed 110 or more in 8 of their last 9. With the uptempo style the Bulls like to play and their lack of defense, I could see this flying past the number here. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* NETS/LAKERS NBA TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 235.5)

We are back at it again with another OVER in a game involving the Nets. After flying past their total of 226.5 in their last game at Phoenix (won 128-124) the OVER is now 21-3 in the Nets last 24 games. 

While Durant is out for Brooklyn, they still figure to score at will in this game with the duo of Kyrie Irving and James Harden. As for the Lakers, they won't have AD. I think his loss hurts them a lot more defensively in this matchup. Offensively the Lakers should be just fine here, as Brooklyn has no one that can defend James. I think both teams have a very good shot at getting to 120 in this game. Give me the OVER 235.5! 

50* PISTONS/BULLS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 220)

I love the value here with the OVER 220 in Wednesday's game between the Bulls and Pistons. This is a late addition to the slate, as the league threw this game together last minute after both teams had their original schedule opponents unavailable to play. 

I believe it's going to lead to a more high-scoring game than what me night normally see between these two division rivals. Detroit went from suppose to playing the Spurs at home last night and the Mavs in Dallas tonight to traveling to Chicago. I just don't see them being locked in, especially on the defensive side of the ball. 

Chicago is scoring 114.8 ppg over their last 5 games and really matchup well here. Bulls are a great 3-point shooting team, hitting 38.3% as a team and will be facing a Detroit defense that is allowing opponents to shoot 39% from deep. 

As for the Bulls defense, it's one of the worst in the league. Chicago is giving up 116.0 ppg on 48% shooting. Pistons aren't known for their offense and are only averaging 108.9 ppg on the season, but are averaging 115.4 ppg in their last 5. A stretch that has seen them eclipse 120 on 3 different occasions. If either team hits 120 (both are more than capable) this should fly past the mark. Give me the OVER 220! 

40* NETS/SUNS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231.5)

If you have been following me of late, you shouldn't be the least bit surprised that I'm taking the OVER 231.5 in Tuesday's game between the Suns and Nets. At this point, it's going to take quite a bit for me to get off the OVER bandwagon in Brooklyn games. The OVER has cashed in 20 of the Nets last 23 games. To no surprise, given how good Brooklyn is offensively and how bad they are defensively. 

I don't have many concerns with the Nets offense, as long as they got at least 2 of their big 3 in action. As for their defense, I think they could be in for a long night here against a red-hot Suns team, especially given Brooklyn is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and have massive road games against the Lakers and Clippers looming. I think at least one of these teams will hit 130 points and could see both eclipsing 120. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* PELICANS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 231.5)

I will gladly take my chances here with the OVER 231.5 between the Pelicans and Grizzlies. You will be hard pressed to find two teams playing worse on the defensive side of the ball going into a matchup than what we have here. 

In the Pelicans last 3 games they have allowed 129 to the Bulls, 143 to the Mavs and 123 to the Pistons. All 3 of those teams shot at least 54% from the field and all 3 games saw at least 235 points. Note that that while the defense has been sloppy, New Orleans is playing great offensively, averaging 121.2 ppg in their last 5. They have scored 109 or more in 13 straight games. 

As for Grizzlies, they have allowed 5 straight opponents and 6 of their last 7 to shoot 50% or better from the field. Memphis has allowed 110 or more points in 7 straight games. Give me the OVER 231.5!