Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-02-17 | BYU v. LSU OVER 47 | 0-27 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAF LATE NIGHT TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 47) I have a good feeling the Tigers are going to surprise some people early in 2017 with how much different they look on offense. LSU made an exceptional hire in offensive coordinator Matt Canada, who just guided Pitt to 40.9 ppg and 447 ypg last year. Keep in mind that was his first year on the job and the season before the Panthers only managed 28.2 ppg and 377 ypg. He's got a heck of a lot more talent to work with at LSU, including a sensational junior RB in Derrius Guice. I think BYU is going to be a bit shell-shocked here with LSU's offense. At the same time, I also think the Cougars put some points on the board. LSU lost a ton on the defensive side of the ball. They have to replace their top 5 tacklers and their best returning defensive player (Arden Key) is doubtful with a shoulder injury. Give me the OVER 47! |
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09-02-17 | Louisville v. Purdue OVER 67.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
50* POWER 5 NON CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR (OVER 67.5) For whatever reason the entire country is sleeping on Louisville and returning Heisman winner Lamar Jackson this season. I know the Cardinals struggled down the stretch, but I believe it was more of the team not being as focused after losing out on their playoff hopes than opposing defenses figuring them out. Petrino has won everywhere he's went and Jackson is only going to be better this year. I love the hire by Purdue with Jeff Brohm, which should pay off on the offensive side of the ball. However, the defense will remain a work in progress. Keep in mind were talking about a Boilermakers defense that allowed 40+ points in 6 games, that includes 50 to Maryland, 44 to Minnesota, 45 to Northwestern and 49 to Iowa. Louisville is on a whole different planet in terms of offensive explosiveness than those teams. I think they score at least 40 and potentially a lot more here, while Purdue adds more than enough to push us over the mark. Give me the OVER 67.5! |
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09-02-17 | Maryland v. Texas OVER 56 | 51-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NCAAF OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 56) I think Herman is the real deal and I’m confident that he’s going to take Texas’ offense to a whole different level in 2017. When Herman took over at Houston he inherited a team that had only 5 starters back from a unit that averaged 29.8 ppg. He guided them to 40.4 ppg. He steps into an even better situation here with Texas, who has 7 starters back on offense, including what looks like a future star in sophomore QB Shane Buechele. Last year Maryland's offense managed 25.8 ppg, despite the fact that they scored 14 or fewer points in 5 of their 13 games. They got some electric playmakers in running back Ty Johnson and Lorenzo Harrison. Johnson average 9.1 yards/carry on 110 attempts and Harrison averaged 7.2 on 88. Wide out D.J. Moore average 15.5 yards/catch. Sophomore Tyrell Pigrome won the starting job and brings a new dynamic with his ability to run the ball. Last year he had 62 attempts for 254 yards and 4 scores in a limited role. I expect them to generate some offense here against the Longhorns. Give me the OVER! |
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08-31-17 | Florida International v. Central Florida OVER 56.5 | Top | 17-61 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
50* CFB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Over 56.5) I think the books have completely missed the mark here with this total. These two teams played last year and combined for 67 points in a 53-14 win by UCF. I think we see a similar scoring output here, giving us all kinds of breathing room. Scott Frost brought Oregon's uptempo attack with him to Orlando and if you recall the Ducks loved to poor it on teams. FIU should be improved under head coach Butch Davis, but will struggle to slow down UCF's offense which has 9 starters back and should get even better play out of sophomore QB McKenzie Milton, who flashed as a true freshman. FIU only averaged 24 ppg last year, but should see a huge uptick in their production under new OC Rich Skrosky. Give me the OVER 56.5! |
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08-30-17 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
50* AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) These two teams continue their series in Tampa Bay, as they had to move it from Houston due to all the flooding. While the two combined for 14 runs yesterday, that was a result of a horrible outing by Houston starter Michael Fiers, who gave up 8 runs in 4 innings. Texas ended up with 12 runs. I don't see them getting anywhere close to that tonight against Astros ace Dallas Keuchel, who is 11-2 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 17 starts. That includes a 5-1 record and 1.51 ERA in 8 home starts. I also don't see Houston doing a lot at the plate here against Rangers starter Andrew Cashner, who has a strong 3.86 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 3.44 ERA in 21 starts overall on the season. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-27-17 | Cubs v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
50* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (OVER 9.5) These two teams should have no problem combining for at least 10 runs with the starting pitching matchup. Cubs send out John Lackey, who has a 5.25 ERA and 1.371 WHIP in 13 road starts and is in similar form with a 5.51 ERA in his last 3 starts. Phillies counter with Nick Pivetta, who has a 6.54 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in 19 starts. Cubs had a rough two games at the plate, but exploded for 17 runs on Saturday. Phillies have been hot of late, scoring 7 or more in 4 of their last 6. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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08-21-17 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5) UNDER is worth a look here in Monday's clash between the Giants and Brewers. San Francisco will send out Chris Stratton, who was sensational in his last start at Washington, allowing just 5 hits with 10 strikeouts in 6 2/3 shutout innings. Milwaukee will send out Zach Davies, who is 7-0 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in 12 road starts this season. This will be the first career start against the opposing team for both starters, giving them an even bigger edge in this one. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-15-17 | Cardinals v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 10) I look for an offense explosion in Monday's series opener between the Red Sox and Cardinals that has this one easily eclipsing the total of 10 runs. St Louis will send out Mike Leake, who has completely fallen off from his great start. After posting a 1.35 ERA in April and 3.09 ERA in May, Leake had a 4.30 ERA in June and 4.76 in July. It's not been any better in August, where he has a 5.73 ERA in two starts. As for Red Sox starter Rick Porcello, it's been a disappointing season from start to finish for last year's Cy Young winner, as he's 6-14 with a 4.63 ERA in 24 starts. He's also got a 5.24 ERA in 13 home starts and 5.40 ERA in his last 3 starts. Both of these offenses are potent and the wind will be blowing straight out to left. Give me the OVER 10! |
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08-13-17 | Angels v. Mariners UNDER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 105 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
50* AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) I think the books have made a major mistake with the total they have set for this one. I don't see this game getting near double-digits with the starting pitching matchup we have going. Angels are sending out Parker Bridwell, who owns a 2.79 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has a sensational 1.80 ERA in 4 road starts. Mariners counter with Ariel Miranda, who has a strong 3.34 ERA and 0.963 WHIP over 11 home starts this season. Not to mention he's 4-0 with a 2.61 ERA in 4 career starts against the Angels. Take the UNDER! |
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08-11-17 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
40* AL EAST TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 9.5) I'm expecting a playoff type atmosphere in New York when the Red Sox and Yankees continue their historic rivalry. Boston currently leads NY by 4.5-games in the AL East standings, so this is a massive series for the Yankees. This starting pitching matchup might not look like one that's going to lead to a low scoring game, but Red Sox starter Eduardo Rodriguez has seen the UNDER go 13-2 when his team is listed as a dog and a perfect 11-0 when his team is coming off 3 straight wins. UNDER is also 12-4 in Yankees 16 games against a winning team in the 2nd half of this season. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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08-05-17 | Brewers v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 105 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 8.5) I don't see either offense doing much in this one. Milwaukee will give the rock to Zach Davies, who is a perfect 6-0 with a 2.80 ERA in 11 road starts this season. He's also throwing the best he has all year, posting a 1.25 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Rays will give the ball to Alex Cobb. He's off a bad start, but that was on the road against the Astros. Nothing to get concerned about given how loaded that Houston lineup is. Prior to that he had allowed just 5 runs in his previous 4 starts and it was his first loss since the first week of July. I'll take my chances he bounces back here, as he owns a 2.58 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in 9 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-04-17 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 8.5) I look for both offenses to struggle to score in this one. This is no where close to the conditions you would expect for early August in KC, as temps are considerably cooler than normal. That makes this pitchers park that much harder to score. Seattle sends out one of the hottest starters in the game in James Paxton, who has a 0.45 ERA in his last 3 starts and has not allowed more than 2 earned run in 6 straight starts. Royals will send out Jason Hammel, who has also turned it on of late, posting a 3.32 ERA and very strong 0.947 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-29-17 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
50* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 8) I easily cashed in on the UNDER in Friday's series opener between the Cardinals and Diamondbacks. I don't see either offense bouncing back with a good showing on Saturday, as we have another oustanding pitching matchup going. St Louis will send out Mike Leake, who after a rough stretch bounced back in a big way in his last outing, cooling off a Rockies offense that was on fire, limiting them to a mere 4 hits (no walks) over 7 shutout innings. Clearly he figured something out and I'll take my chances he carries it over to this outing, which is also at home. On the flip side, Arizona sends out ace Zach Greinke, who is 12-4 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 20 starts this season and owns a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-25-17 | Red Sox v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8) This game has a pitchers duel written all over it. Seattle will send out veteran ace Felix Hernandez, who has regained his dominant form and owns a 1.00 ERA over his last 3 starts. Last time out, he allowed just 1 run on 3 hits in 7 innings against the Yankees. Boston's offense is struggling, so he should be able to keep them in check. Red Sox counter with Drew Pomeranz, who has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts and 1.00 ERA in 3 career outings against the Mariners. GIve me the UNDER 8! |
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07-21-17 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 10.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 10.5) You almost never see a total with the Royals in double-digits, regardless of how bad the starters are. The fact that tonight's total is 10.5 should tell you something. It all comes down the heat index expected to be at 103 when this game starts. The ball flys in these condidtions and pitchers fatigue quickly. We had almost identical conditions yesterday in KC as they combined for 20 runs with the Tigers and that was with arguably both teams starting their best starters in Fulmer and Duffy. Tonight it's James Shields and Ian Kennedy. Easy to see Shields getting exposed and while Kennedy has been solid of late, he is 0-4 with a 4.40 ERA in 8 home start. Give me the OVER 10.5! |
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07-19-17 | Rays v. A's UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 8) Offense figures to be extremely hard to come by in this one. If you haven't had a chance to watch Tampa Bay rookie Jacob Faria, you are missing out. He's now 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in 7 starts since being called up on 6/7. He's pitched at least 6 innigns in every outing and allowed 1 run or less in 5 of the 7, giving up 2 and 3 in the other two outings. Oakland has the red-hot Sonny Gray on the mound, who has been lights out of late. Gray has a 1.35 ERA over his last 3 starts, a stretch in which he's allowed a mere 7 hits and 4 walks over 20 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-15-17 | Rangers v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 9) These two teams combined for 8 runs and finished UNDER the total of 9.5 in yesterday's series opener. I expect an even lower scoring contest in Game 2. Texas will send out Cole Hamels, who really pitched well going into the break, allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits over his final two starts, which spanned an impressive 14 1/3 innings. KC will send out their ace in Danny Duffy, who had some tough luck going into the break, but all of that came on the road. Duffy owns a 2.75 ERA in 5 home starts all of which have finished UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-14-17 | Indians v. A's UNDER 8 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 8) I’m not seeing a lot of offense being generated by either team in tonight’s game between the Indians and A’s. Cleveland sends out Carlos Carrasco, who has earned his paycheck with a 7-1 record and 2.38 ERA in 9 road starts this season. He will go up against Oakland ace Sonny Gray, who was dealing before the break with a 1.71 ERA and 0.619 WHIP in his final 3 starts. Offenses tend to be a bit sluggish out of the break and UNDER is 11-1 in Carrasco’s last 12 road starts when Indians are a favorite of -100 to -150. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-04-17 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 9.5) I was on the UNDER in yesterday's game and suffered a bad break and ended up pushing on the total of 9. The game was 2-1 going into the bottom of the 8th before the Yankees scored 4 to take a 6-1 lead. Still in good shape, the Yankees allowed the Blue Jays to score 2 runs in the top of the 9th. I like the value again here with the total and the UNDER in Tuesday's afternoon slate that has two more quality starters in great form going. Toronto sends out J.A. Happ who has a 2.75 ERA in his last 3 starts and New York counters with C.C. Sabathia, who has a 0.49 ERA and .764 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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07-03-17 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
50* AL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) The books have set the mark too high here for Monday's series opener between the Yankees and Blue Jays. Toronto is sending out their most consistent starter in Marcus Stroman, who is coming off a great start against the Orioles, allowing just 5 hits over 7 2/3 shutout innings. Stroman owns a 2.91 ERA in 10 career starts against the Yankees and a 2.73 ERA in 10 starts in night games. Yankees will send out their ace Masahiro Tanaka, who has pitched very well in his last two starts, giving up just 2 runs on 9 hits with 14 strikeouts in 14 innings of work. I like his chances of keeping it going against a Toronto team in which he owns a 2.65 ERA in 11 starts against. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-02-17 | Nationals v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 7.5) I don't see much offense taking place in this one. Two of the best starters in the game will sqaure off on Sunday Night Baseball, as the Cardinals Carlos Martinez takes on the Nationals Max Scherzer. Martinez has a 2.88 ERA on the season with a sensational 1.85 ERA in 8 home starts. Scherzer has a 2.06 ERA on the season, a 1.62 ERA in 9 road starts and 0.82 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-29-17 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 9.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 9.5) UNDER here is worth a look, especially given it's almost 10 runs. The Marlins will send out one of the more underrated starters right now in Jose Urena. He's 6-2 with a 3.60 ERA in 10 starts, but owns a 3.00 ERA at home and is only getting better with a 1.50 ERA and 0.944 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Mets counter with Seth Lugo, who while he has struggled of late, owns a respectable 3.72 ERA and this Miami offense isn't one to put up a big number. THe Marlins are only scoring 4.4 runs/game at home. UNDER is also a perfect 9-0 in the Marlins last 9 home games when revenging a loss of 6 runs or more. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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06-28-17 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
50* NL OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 9.5) I expect runs to come early and often here when the Diamondbacks host the Cardinals. St. Louis will give the ball to Adam Wainright, who has an atrocious 9.48 ERA and 1.914 WHIP in 7 road starts. In his last 2 road starts, he's allowed 9 earned runs in each. I just don't see him keeping this Arizona offense in check. The Dbacks are averaging 6.3 runs/game at home and have scored 12 runs on 20 hits over their last 2 games. St Louis is also on fire at the plate, as they have scored at least 5 runs (21 total) in each of their last 3 games. The ball flies out of Chase Field and these two should easily reach double-digits. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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06-26-17 | Twins v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* AL OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) Books have set the bar way too high on the total for Monday's clash between the Red Sox and Twins. Boston will send out Chris Sale, who has a 2.85 ERA and 0.904 WHIP in 15 starts, as well as a 2.45 ERA and 0.838 WHIP in 7 home starts. Minnesota will give the rock to Jose Berrios, who has been equally as effective as Sale, but just isn't the known commodity. Berrios is 7-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.907 WHIP in 8 starts. He's got a 2.84 ERA in 4 road outings and 2.53 ERA in his last 3. On top of the strong pitching matchup, both offenses are struggling right now. Red Sox are hitting just .252 over their last 7 games and Minnesota is even in their last 7 at .239. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-25-17 | Blue Jays v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 9) I think we are getting a ton of value here on the UNDER at 9. The numbers don't look great on paper for today's starters, but both are trending in the right direction. Toronto's Francisco Liriano wasn't great in his last start, but it was on the road against a good Texas lineup. Liriano had been throwing it well prior to that in his 3 starts since returning from the DL. I like his chances of rebounding here against an average Royals lineup. On the flip side, KC sends out the surging Jason Hammel, who after a rough start has found his form. Hammel has a 1.74 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I like his chances of keeping it rolling. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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06-22-17 | Angels v. Yankees OVER 9 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 9) New York might eclipse this total on their own. The Yankees put up 8 runs in yesterday's contest and will be facing Angels starter Jesse Chavez, who owns a 6.27 ERA in 7 road starts. Keep in mind that New York on the season is averaging 6.5 runs/game at home. While the Yankees have a top notch starter going in Luis Severino, he allowed 4 runs in his last start and figures to give up at least 2 here, which should be more than enough to push us past the total. Give me the OVER 9! |
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06-20-17 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | 7-9 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER NO BRAINER (Under 9.5) I don't think either of these teams are going to be doing much offensively in this one. Minnesota sends out Ervin Santana, who is 8-4 with a 2.56 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in 14 starts. Santana is comign off a rough outing, where he allowed 5 runs on 9 hits in 5 innings to the Mariners. It was the 4th time that Santana has allowed 5 or more runs. In each of the previous 3 times, he came back in his next start and didn't allow a run, twice throwing a complete game shutout. White Sox are sending out Derek Holland, who has really pitched well outside of a couple outings. In his last 10 starts, he's given up 3 or fewer runs 8 times. He's catching the Twins at the right time, as Minnesota has totaled just 8 runs in their last 4 games combined. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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06-18-17 | Royals v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5) I don't expect a lot of offense in the series finale this afternoon between the Royals and Angels. Kansas City will be sending out Jason Vargas, who has a 2.10 ERA in 13 starts with a 2.45 ERA in 6 road starts and 1.29 ERA in his last 3 outings. Los Angeles will send out J.C. Ramirez, who pitched well in his last outing and has given up 2 or less earned runs in 4 of his last 6 start. He's also facing a Royals offense that has gone cold the last two games, including a mere 2 hits in getting shutout yesterday. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-17-17 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
50* MLB NL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) This is simply too big of a number to pass up on the total and it staying under the mark given the matchup. These two combined for just 5 runs in the Marlins 5-0 win last night and the Braves managed just 4 hits. Keep in mind that just recently Atlanta went on a stretch where they scored 9 runs in 5 games, scoring exactly 1 run in 3 straight. When they struggle it can be ugly offensively. Jeff Locke of the Marlins is more than capable of keeping them in check. Atlanta will send out the vastly underrated Jaime Garcia, who has pitched much better than his 2-5 record would lead on. Garcia has a 3.16 ERA in 12 starts overall, 2.48 ERA in 4 starts at home and 2.08 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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06-16-17 | Cardinals v. Orioles OVER 9 | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 9) I look for a lot of runs to be scored in tonight's matchup between the Cardinals and Orioles. St Louis is sending out Carlos Martinez, who just hasn't been able to make it click on the road. Martinez is 1-4 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 5 road starts. Baltimore should be able to put up a decent number here. St Louis also figures to score early and often. The Cardinals are red-hot right now with a .283 team average over their last 7 games. They will be facing the struggling Kevin Gausman, who has a 6.49 ERA in 14 starts and 7.63 ERA over his last 3 outings. Give me the OVER 9! |
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06-10-17 | Blue Jays v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
50* AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) I'll gladly take the UNDER at 8.5 in tonight's showdown between the Blue Jays and Mariners. This has the making of a great pitching matchup with Marcus Stroman of the Blue Jays against Ariel Miranda of the Mariners. Stroman is 4-0 with a 3.34 ERA in 5 road starts and Miranda is 3-1 with a 2.02 ERA in 5 home starts. Both of these pitched well against the opponent in an earlier series between these two teams in May. Stroman allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings, while Miranda gave up 1 run in 5 innings. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 227 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
50* NBA FINALS VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 227) I would lean Warriors here, but I feel the real value is with the total. Cleveland is saying they aren't going to slow things down and will continue to play fast. I'm not buying it. The Cavs know they can't contain this Warriors offense if they let them get out in transition. They don't have to play at a snails pace, but they have to play slower. The pace of these first two games has been ridiculous. On top of that, we are going to get the very best the Cavs have to offer defensively at home in what I think most agree is a game they have to win if they want any shot at making this a series. At the same time, I don't see the Warriors letting off the defensive intensity after blowing a 3-1 lead last year. Give me the UNDER 227! |
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06-06-17 | Marlins v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 | 2-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 7.5) The wind will be blowing straight in from left field at close to 15 mph and that's a good sign that the offenses are going to struggle in this one. I also think we have a great pitching matchup here with Miami's Jeff Locke facing off against the Cubs Jake Arrieta. Locke was senational in his first start of 2017, allowing just 1 run on 3 hits with 7 strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings against the Diamondbacks. Arrieta on the other hand is starting to show signs of returning to that Cy Young form, as he has a 2.50 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-05-17 | Giants v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5) I just feel the books have completely missed the mark here with this total and there's just too much value on the under. The value is coming from the fact that Giants starter Jeff Samardzija is 1-7 with a 4.62 ERA in 11 starts. However, Samardzija has pitched much better than those numbers would suggest and comes in with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 starts. Milwaukee counters with Junior Guerra, who I also feel is underrated. This guy went 9-3 with a 2.81 ERA in 20 starts last year and has a 1.84 ERA in 3 starts this season (didn't make a start from 4/4 to 5/25 because of injury). It's also no secret the Giants offense is far from potent and the Brewers haven't exactly been crushing the ball of late, scoring just 3.9 runs/game and hitting .213 as a team over their last 7 games. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-02-17 | Twins v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 11-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 8.5) Without Trout in the lineup, it's going to be hard for the Angels to do a lot offensively and that's certainly been the case of late, as they have scored 3 or fewer in 4 of hteir last 5. So while Twins starter Kyle Gibson has some pretty poor numbers, this is an offense he can keep in check. As for Minnesota's offense, I don't see them doing much here either, as LA sends out J.C. Ramirez, who has a 2.67 ERA in 4 home starts and 1.74 ERA in his last 3 outings overall. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-31-17 | Brewers v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | 7-1 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 7.5) Two starters here that are throwing the ball extremely well and I believe it's going to be tough for either offense to get anything going in this one. Milwaukee will send out Junior Guerra, who was sharp in his first start back from the DL, allowing just 1 run on 3 hits in 5 2/3 innings against a good Arizona offense. Mets will send out Jacob deGrom, who has a 2.11 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has a 2.19 ERA in 4 home starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-25-17 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 215.5 | 135-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 215.5) Boston played much better in the two games in Cleveland than they did in the first two at home and I think part of it is they are moving the ball better offensively. They simply can't play as bad as they did in Games 1 and 2 at home, at least offensively. These two combined for 121 in Boston for Game 1 and then just 116 in Game 2 and that was with the Celtics scoring just 86 and shooting 37.2% from the field. I look for a locked in Cavs offense with the chance to close the series and a good enough showing here from Boston to push this over the mark. Give me the OVER 215.5! |
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05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 218 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT TOTAL NO BRAINER (UNDER 218) After letting Game 3 get away from them after building a huge lead and watching the Warriors finish off the Spurs last night, I look for a pissed off and extremely motivated Cleveland team to take the floor here and 100% locked in on the defensive side of the ball. At the same time I also think the fact that Boston was able to get a win in Game 3 keeps them locked in and actually gives them some extra incentive here. I think we see the lowest scoring game in this series by far. Give me the UNDER 218! |
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05-23-17 | Twins v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (UNDER 9) I believe we are seeing a bit of an overreaction here on the total based on the poor outings by both of today's starters. Minnesota's Ervin Santana gave up 5 runs in his last start at home against the Rockies and Baltimore's Dylan Bundy allowed 6 runs at Detroit. Even with those poor performances, Santana has a 2.07 ERA in 9 starts and Bundy has a 2.97 ERA in 9 starts. That speaks volumes to how good both of these starters have been this year. Both of these guys also have a history of bouncing back after a poor start. Santana hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in consecutive starts over his last 27 outings and Bundy has not allowed more than 3 earned runs in his young career as a starter. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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05-22-17 | Tigers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 8.5) Under is worth a good look here, as I don't see a lot of runs being scored in this one. Detroit sends out last year's AL Rookie of the Year, Michael Fulmer, who has continued to throw the ball extremely well. Fulmer enters what will be his 9th start of the season with a sensational 2.72 ERA. He's also stepped up when taking the mound on an opposing team's field, posting a 2.25 ERA in 4 road starts. Houston will give the ball to Brad Peacock, who is making the move from the bullpen to the rotation. He's been excellent out of the pen, posting a 1.10 ERA with 22 stikeouts in 16 1/3 innings of work. He's not going to go deep in this one, but that's no problem, as Houston has an outstanding pen that can take care of the rest. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-20-17 | Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 8.5) I'll gladly play the UNDER at this number in today's game between the Tigers and Rangers. Texas comes in having won 10 straight and are putting up a bunch of runs during this stretch. I believe that's leading to a higher total than what we would normally see in a game with this good of a pitching matchup. Detroit is sending out their ace and in Justin Verlander, who has been lights out at home this season, posting a 0.86 ERA in 3 starts. Texas will counter with A.J. Griffin, who is 4-0 with a 1.38 ERA in 4 road starts and has a 2.37 ERA over his last 3 outings overall. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 218 | 130-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (OVER 218) It came right down to the final seconds of Game 1 before it went over the total and I think that has a lot of people looking to take the UNDER in Game 2. I'm going the other way, as these two just combined for 221 points with the Celtics failing to score more than 20 points in either of the first two periods. They combined for 121 points in the 2nd half, which is a pace of 242. I'm not saying it gets to that mark, but I don't think Boston has any answer for the Cavs offense and can't be as poor as they were on offense in Game 1 at home. Give me the OVER 218! |
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05-19-17 | Royals v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
50* MLB AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 8) I love the value here with the total in this one. While most of the midwest is starting to heat up, it's going to be a chilly 54 degrees when this game tips off and only going to get colder as it goes. Not to mention winds are going to be blowing in from left center at close to 10 mph the entire game. Then we factor in that Minnesota is starting a lefty and the Royals are scoring only 2.8 runs/game against left-handed starters. They are also hitting just .210 as a team on the road. Minnesota's offense is in a slump, averaging just 3.0 runs/game over their last 7 and will be facing a red-hot Nate Karns, who has a 2.08 ERA in his last 3 starts (22 strikeouts in his last two outings). Give me the UNDER! |
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05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 209 | 100-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 209) I feel like the absense of Leonard along with a more focused Warriors team than we saw at the beginning of Game 1, is going to lead to Golden State playing the entire game at their pace. Keep in mind they put up 71 points in the 2nd half in Game 1. Leonard is a big part of the Spurs offense, but the system that Popovich runs is going to produce open shots, especially with the advantage San Antonio has inside. I think this one flies past the total. Give me the OVER 209! |
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05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 211 | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 211) This is all about the magnitude of this being Game 7 with a spot in the Eastern Conference Finals on the line for these two teams. For most of the star players on both sides, this is as far as they have got in the playoffs. I think the pressure started to show itself in Game 6, when they combined for a mere 183 points. Thanks to the public's love of betting the OVER, we are getting a huge total here. Simply too much value for me to pass up. Give me the UNDER 211! |
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05-12-17 | Celtics v. Wizards OVER 216 | 91-92 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* Celtics/Wizards NBA Playoffs Total No Brainer (Over 216) I'm usually an UNDER player in the playoffs, but sometimes you just get a matchup like we have here. Both teams love to get up and down the floor, so there's a lot of possessions both ways, they can each light it up from 3-point range and neither is all that great defensively. Washington had scored 110+ in each of the first 4 games of the series before getting held to 101 in Game 5 (They eclipsed 100 points shooting 38.5% from the field). Only one game in the series has finished below the total set by the books and that was an epic bad shooting night for Boston. I'll take my chances these two eclipse the mark again. Give me the OVER 216! |
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05-12-17 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
50* AL East Total of the Month (Under 8.5) While temps are starting to heat up across the country, it's going to feel like an early April game tonight when the Red Sox host the Rays, as temps are going to be at 50 degrees to start and only get colder from there. Also a slight wind coming in from right. About as good as conditions as you are going to get for a pitcher at Fenway. On top of that we got two starters here that are peaking right now. Tampa's Alex Cobb has a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 starts and Boston's Rick Porcello has a 2.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-11-17 | Tigers v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5) Two under the radar starters take the mound tonight in LA and I think we are getting a great price and number at 7.5 with even money. Detroit is sending out Michael Fulmer, who isn't experiencing any sort of sophomore slump, going 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in his first 6 starts. As for the Angels, they send out J.C. Ramirez, who despite a 1-2 record has a solid 3.45 ERA in 5 starts. Most importantly here is the 1.47 ERA in his last 3 outings and sensational 0.69 ERA in his two starts at home. Not to mention we are getting both offenses coming off a game in which they scored 1 earned on 5 or fewer hits. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-11-17 | Spurs v. Rockets UNDER 214 | 114-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 214) The deeper you get in a series the more familiar each team gets with the other side and what they are trying to do offensively. Houston is known for their up tempo style, but facing elimination, I expect a little more focus on defense and not going quite so fast early in the game, so they have something left in the tank in the 4th quarter. There's always a chance the Rockets could go off with the 3-ball, but San Antonio has held them to 101 or fewer points in regulation in 3 of the last 4 games. Give me the UNDER 214! |
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05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 216 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Over 216) These two teams have combined for 223 or more points in 3 of the first 4 games in the series and the only one that didn't was in Washington, where the Celtics couldn't buy a basket. They shot 35.1% from the field, easily one of their worst shooting performances of the entire season. They shot 51.1% from the field in each of the first two games at home in this series and I expect a big night from the Celtics' offense in this one. Washington has scored now fewer than 111 points in the series. Give me the OVER 216! |
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05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 214 | 107-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (UNDER 214) I absolutely love the under here in Game 5 tonight. I expect to see the same San Antonio team on defense that we saw in Game 2 and Game 3, where they held the Rockets to 96 and 92 points, respectively. These two teams are also starting to get really familiar with one another. UNDER is 13-3 the last 16 times the Rockets played in a Game 5 and 8-3-1 in Houston's last 12 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the UNDER 214! |
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05-09-17 | Indians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) UNDER is worth a look here in today's AL showdown between the Blue Jays and Indians. This isn't your same high-powered Toronto offense from previous seasons, at least not yet, as they are averaging 3.8 runs/game on the season and a mere 3.1 runs/game at home. Won't be easy getting it figured out against the Indians' Carlos Carrasco, who has a 2.18 ERA in 6 starts overall and 1.83 ERA in 3 outings on the road. Mike Bolsinger will make his first start with Toronto this season and I like his chances of throwing well. He posted a 1.46 ERA in Triple-A to start the year and has 18 strikeouts in his 12 1/3 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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05-08-17 | Rangers v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 105 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
50* Interleague Total of the Month (Under 7.5) I love getting more than 7 runs on the total with a Padres home game, especially in night games. The ball just doesn't carry in San Diego at night and today's game the wind will be blowing in from left center at close to 10 mph when it starts, plus it's only going to be in the low 60's. On top of all that, I like this pitching matchup. Cahill for the Padres loves pitching at Petco, as he has a 0.69 ERA and ridiculous 0.538 WHIP in 2 home starts this season. Martinez doesn't have great numbers, but that's because of one bad start on the road against the high-powered Astros lineup. Prior to that he's allowed 4 earned runs over 11 1/3 innings in two starts. He'll benefit from pitching at Petco as well and the Padres are scoring only 3.2 runs/game at home on the season. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-07-17 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total No Brainer (Under 8.5) UNDER is worth a look here in Sunday's series finale between the Angels and Astros. Neither offense is going to come into this one feeling all that great, as the two teams combined or just 3 runs in last night's matchup. I also like this starting pitching matchup, even though the overall numbers of both starters isn't great. Angels starter Matt Shoemaker has a 2.98 ERA in 8 career starts against the Astros and Houston starter Michael Fiers has limited the Angels to 3 runs or less over at least 6 innings in 4 of his 5 starts against them. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-06-17 | Warriors v. Jazz UNDER 208 | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Total No Brainer (Under 208) These two teams combined for 219 points in Game 2 after totaling just 200 in the series opener. I think with the series sitting 2-0 Golden State and it shifting to Utah for Game 3, we are getting some great value here with the total at 208. Utah knows they have to ugly up the game to beat this Warriors team and to do that they have to lock down defensively. They did a pretty good job of it in Golden State and I expect their best defensive effort here, as they know their season is all but over if they fall behind 3-0 in the series. Give me the UNDER 208! |
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05-06-17 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (Under 11.5) Most are going to see these two high-powered offenses facing off in hitter friendly Coors Field and want to take the over, but I feel the value here is with the under given the massive total of 11.5. These two have played 4 times already this season and 3 of the 4 finished under the mark set by the books. Arizona's Pat Corbin has been straight dealing to start off 2017, posting a 2.55 ERA in 6 starts. It hasn't been a great start for Rockies starter Tyler Anderson, but I believe he's a lot better than what he's shown. UNDER is 7-0 in the Dbacks last 7 road games after allowing 4 runs or less in 3 straight games. Give me the UNDER 11.5! |
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05-05-17 | Brewers v. Pirates OVER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 8) I just think the total here is too good to pass up on. The Pirates and Brewers should have no problem combining for at least 8 runs tonight. Keep in mind these two have a history of high-scoring games in Pittsburgh, as 11 of the last 18 have gone OVER the total. The biggest thing here is we have two starters who are struggling right now. Milwaukee's Jimmy Nelson has a 8.62 ERA in his last 3 starts and the Pirates' Chad Kuhl has a 10.03 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the OVER 8! |
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05-03-17 | Indians v. Tigers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5) I like the pitching matchup here and feel we are getting a favorable number on this total given that conditions aren't ideal for a high scoring game. Temps are going to be in the mid to low 50s for most of the game and the wind will be blowing straight in from center. Cleveland sends out Carlos Carrasco, who has a 2.04 ERA and 0.792 WHIP in 5 starts. Detroit will give the ball to Matt Boyd, who has a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP at home this season. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-02-17 | Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 208 | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
40* Jazz/Warriors Late Night BAILOUT (Under 208) Utah is going to try and slow down the pace of this game as much as possible. They aren't going to have the energy to play at Golden State's pace after just playing a Game 7 on Sunday against the Clippers. The Jazz will lean heavily on their defense. While I don't think it will be enough to win the game, I think they keep this from turning into a shootout and put the value here on the under. Keep in mind this Golden State defense is no joke and held the Jazz to just 74 points in a matchup this season. Give me the UNDER 208! |
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05-02-17 | White Sox v. Royals UNDER 8 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 8) I look for a low scoring affair here between the Royals and White Sox. I believe we are catching a big total here due to Quintana's poor numbers overall in 2017 and the fact that Kansas City starter Danny Duffy allowed 6 runs at Chicago back on 4/25. Quintana really pitched well against the Royals in that earlier series and there's a good chance he turns in another strong start. This KC offense is struggling to start 2017, averaging just 2.9 runs/game and hitting a mere .214 as a team. Even with that poor start against the White Sox, Duffy owns a 2.81 ERA in 5 starts and a 1.29 ERA at home. I look for Duffy to get revenge on this Chicago lineup, which is scoring 3.4 runs and hitting only .218 on the road this season. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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05-02-17 | A's v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
50* MLB AL Over/Under Total of the Month (Under 8) Love the pitching matchup tonight in Minnesota, as the Twins host the A's. Minnesota will give the ball to Ervin Santana, who had an epic April, where he went 4-0 with a 0.77 ERA and 0.657 WHIP in 5 starts. That includes a complete game shutout against the White Sox at home. I see no reason to think this will be the start he struggles with. Oakland has scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. A's are sending out Sonny Gray, who is the ace of the staff when healthy. This will be Gray's first start of 2017 at the big league level. Gray dominated in his rehab starts and I look for a strong outing here. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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04-30-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 216 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (Over 216) This might seem like a big total, given the intensity teams play with on defense in the playoffs, but there tends to be a let down on defense when shifting to a new series. Both of these teams just went on the road and closed out their 1st round series in Game 6. Boston's last 4 games in their series were all low scoring, but that was due to the Bulls offense losing Rondo and just not being able to play at the same pace. Both of these teams love to push the pace and I look for this to be an entertaining game that sees these two combine for more than 220. Give me the OVER 216! |
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04-26-17 | Astros v. Indians OVER 9 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total No Brainer (OVER 9) I'm expecting a lot of offense from both sides in this one, as conditions should heavily favor the hitters tonight. Winds will be blowing straight out to left at close to 15 mph. Houston will send out Lance McCullers, who owns a respectable 3.37 ERA in 4 starts, but 3 of those were at home and his lone road outing saw him give up 5 runs on 8 hits in just 4 1/3 innings to the A's. Cleveland is sending out Trevor Bauer, who has a 6.35 ERA in 3 starts and was awful in his lone start at home, giving up 6 runs on 8 hits to the Tigers. OVER is also 32-18 in Houston's last 50 road games when listed as a favorite of -150 or less. and 14-4 in Cleveland's last 18 home games after a loss by 2 runs or less. |
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04-24-17 | Royals v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 1-12 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 7.5) I think we are getting a great number here to back the under in today's total between the White Sox and Royals. Two underrated pitchers will be on the mound in this one. Chicago gives the ball to Miguel Gonzalez, who is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in 3 starts and fresh off an outing at New York where he held the Yankees to just 1 run on 4 hits in 8.3 innings. KC will send out Jason Vargas, who is 3-0 with a 0.44 ERA and 0.774 WHIP in 3 starts. He's allowed just 1 run over 20 and 2/3 innings of work this season. Add in we have two below average offensive teams here and the value is clearly with a low-scoring game. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-21-17 | Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 206 | Top | 104-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 206) I'm not quite ready to count out Chicago without Rondo, but I think his absence has created some great value here on the UNDER. Rondo is a huge part of Chicago's offense and without him there simply won't be as many open shots. He also did a good job of pushing the ball up the floor, so expect a slower pace than we saw in the first two games of this series. You also have to factor in how big a game this is for Boston being down 0-2 on the road. They are going to give everything they got on defense. Not to mention these two teams are getting familiar with each other. Give me the UNDER 206! |
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04-19-17 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (DBacks/Padres U 7.5) The UNDER is always something I look at with games in San Diego, especially at night when the ball really doesn't travel well. Tonight the wind will be blowing in from left, only making it that much harder to score. I also think we have a very underrated pitching matchup here with Greinke going up against Chacin. UNDER is 15-5 in Arizona's last 20 road games and 10-4 in their alst 14 road games against a right-handed starter. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-15-17 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 199.5 | Top | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
50* Bucks/Raptors NBA Playoffs Weekend BEST BET (Under 199.5) This is without a doubt my favorite play on the board in the NBA Playoffs this weekend. Toronto isn't viewed as a great defensive team and they weren't for a good part of this season. The Raptors defensive numbers improved drastically with the additions of Ibaka and Tucker. On the flip side of this, defense was a major part of the Bucks big run down the stretch. Milwaukee's got the size to matchup with anyone and make things difficult on that side of the ball. With the pressure of the playoffs I think we are getting more than 10-points in value here. Give me the UNDER 199.5! |
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04-13-17 | White Sox v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) This isn't going to look like a pitching matchup that would result in a low scoring game, but the total is high enough and the conditions are favoring the under to make this a strong play. The temperature for this game is barely more than 50 degrees and the wind will be blowing straight in from right field. The ball simply isn't going to carry well. On top of that, we have two offenses that aren't swinging the bats well. The White Sox have scored a total of 4 runs in their last 3 games and the Indians have managed just 5 in their last 3. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-12-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB Late Night Total Bailout (OVER 8.5) I'm expecting a lot of offensive fireworks to take place tonight. AT&T Park is known for being a pitchers park, but tonight the wind will be blowing out to left field at close to 20 mph. I believe it's going to favor both offenses, especially with the starting pitching matchup we have going. Arizona will send out Shelby Miller, who gave up 3 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in 5.3 innings at home. Giants will give the ball to Matt Cain, who allowed 4 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in just 4.3 innings. Neither team has a great bullpen, which should have runs coming early and often. Give me the OVER 8.5! |
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04-12-17 | Cardinals v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 6-1 | Win | 105 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 7.5) These two teams combined for 20 runs in Game 1 of the series and 11 more in Game 2, both going well over the total. Each of those games had prime hitting conditions with the wind blowing out. This time it will be blowing in from left field. Not only that, but we have two starters facing off that were both sensational in their first outing of the season. Cardinals' Mike Leake allowed just 1 run in 8 innings and the Nationals' Max Scherzer gave up only 2 runs in 6 2/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-10-17 | Reds v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
50* NL Central Total of the Month (Pirates/Reds UNDER 8.5) This won't look like a big time pitching matchup to a lot of people, but these are two young studs that will be big names for years to come. Cincinnati's Brandon Finnegan is one of the few bright spots on this roster and he was excellent in his first start at home against the Phillies, giving up just 1 hits with 9 strikeouts in 7 shutout innings. He's faced these Pirates three times in his career already and has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings of work (2.03 ERA). Pittsburgh will send out rookie Tyler Glasnow, who has ace-like stuff. PNC Park is a pitchers park and these are two average offenses. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-06-17 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 0 m | Show | |
40* MLB Big Money Total Crusher (OVER 7.5) Not a lot of offense in the first two games of this series. Both teams have scored exactly 5 runs in the first two games combined. I believe there's a decent chance both teams could eclipse the 5 run mark in this one. The first two games of this series featured big time pitching matchups with Lester vs Martinez and Arrieta vs Wainwright. I see a significant drop off here in terms of the starting pitching matchup with Lackey vs Lynn. These are two elite offenses that can produce up and down the order. Conditions here are also supporting a high-scoring game, as the wind will be blowing out strong to right. Give me the OVER 7.5! |
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04-05-17 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
40* MLB Late Night Total Crusher (UNDER 7.5) This total has jumped from 7 to 7.5 and I just think there's too much value to pass up. The Dodgers exploded for 14 runs in their opener and the expectation is they are going to keep putting up big numbers. The ball just doesn't travel well at night at Dodgers Stadium. I also think the Padres could struggle to score more than a couple runs here against the likes of Rich Hill. San Diego gives the ball to Cahill and he's better than he gets credit for and won't be intimidated by the Dodgers lineup. UNDER is 13-3 in Hill's 16 night starts over the last 3 seasons and 11-2 in his last 13 starts as a favorite. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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03-30-17 | Cavs v. Bulls OVER 211.5 | Top | 93-99 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 211.5) I look for the Bulls and Cavaliers to have no problem eclipsing this total tonight. Cleveland comes in off an absolutely miserable offensive performance, scoring just 74 points in a 29-point loss at San Antonio on Monday. There were a lot of factors that played into that awful showing, including the Spurs being an elite defensive team and the Cavs just being tired from a brutal schedule. Prior to that game Cleveland had scored at least 112 points in 4 straight games. Note that they lost 78-108 at Los Angeles (Clippers) and the next game combined for 145 points with the Lakers. Chicago's scored 107 or more in 4 straight and should be able to keep that streak going, pushing us well over the mark here. Give me the OVER 211.5! |
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03-28-17 | Heat v. Pistons UNDER 201 | Top | 97-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
50* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year (UNDER 201) I expect the intensity to be very similar to that of a playoff game tonight, as these two teams are both fighting for the 8th and final spot in the Eastern Conference. Miami currently holds that spot, but they have a mere 1-game lead on the Bulls and 1.5-game lead on the Pistons. Neither team can really afford to lose this game. I believe it's going to lead to max effort on the defensive side of the ball and this one finishing well below the mark. Note that Detroit hasn't scored more than 96 points in each of their last 4 games and aren't expected to have Reggie Jackson for this game. Miami's offense simply isn't the same without Waiters and it doesn't help that Dragic is playing at less than 100%. Both teams are also playing with tired legs. the Pistons are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set after a 4-game road trip and Miami is playing their 2nd straight on the road in a span of just 3 days. Give me the UNDER 201! |
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03-27-17 | Pelicans v. Jazz UNDER 200 | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 200) I'm expecting a playoff type atmosphere here with these two teams. Utah is holding on to a slim 1-game lead for the 4th spot in the west with just 9 games left to play, while New Orleans is clinging onto hope of sneaking in as the No. 8 seed, though they need to make up 4 games with just 9 to play. Unlikely, but with them coming off a 25-point blowout win at Denver yesterday, they aren't giving up just yet. Utah is a dominant defensive team and the Pelicans have been playing really good defense overall of late. I look for this to finish close to 190 than 200. Give me the UNDER 200! |
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03-25-17 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 202.5 | 95-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 202.5) I'm expecting a playoff type atmosphere in LA this afternoon, as the Jazz and Clippers meet for the final time. This game is huge for both sides, as Utah currently has a 1.5-game lead over LA for the No. 4 spot in the west. A win for Utah and they have a 2.5-game with less than 10 to play. The Clippers can not only pull within a 1/2-game, but they would also earn the tie-breaker with a victory, as they have already won 2 of the first 3 meetings this season. These two combined for 122 recently, but had failed to eclipse 165 in the previous two. Given the circumstances, I look for this to well below the total. Give me the UNDER 202.5! |
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03-23-17 | Xavier v. Arizona UNDER 145 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
40* Late Night Sweet 16 Total No Brainer (UNDER 145) This Arizona team is the real deal and I believe their defense is going to be the deciding factor in this one. The Wildcats held a potent St. Mary's team to just 60 points in their last game and I look for them to slow down the Musketeers. Xavier has shot lights out in their first two tournament games, but this Arizona defense is by far the best they have seen. Musketeers are no slouches on defense either, as they have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 66 or less. It's also worth pointing out that neither of these teams like to play at a fast pace, which only adds that much more value here. Give me the UNDER 145! |
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03-20-17 | Hawks v. Hornets UNDER 203.5 | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 203.5) I'm expecting a low-scoring affair tonight. The Hawks are just going through the motions right now and are going to be without two key pieces to the rotation in Millsap and Bazemore. Not to mention Atlanta has scored less than 100 points in each of their last 3 games and just shot a mere 36.4% from the field in their last contest. Charlotte is fighting for their playoff lives and will be locked in defensively at home in this one. Hornets have held each of their last two opponents under 100 points. UNDER is also 15-2 in Charlotte's last 17 home games against a division opponent and 8-1 in the Hawks last 9 road games when revenging a straight up loss. Give me the UNDER 203.5! |
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03-19-17 | Cincinnati v. UCLA UNDER 153.5 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAA Tournament Total No Brainer (UNDER 153.5) UCLA and their high-powered offense leaves the books no choice but to lay a big number on the total, but I think the matchup here with Cincinnati is going to be a lot more lower scoring than most people think. The Bearcats know they can't win this game by trying to trade blows offensively with UCLA in transition offense. Their only chance is to ugly up the game and slow the tempo way down and really bring the intensity on defense. That's the stretch of this Cincinnati team and I think it's going to take the Bruins some time to figure out how to attack the Bearcats defense. Keep in mind this is a Cincinnati team that went on the road and held the likes of Iowa State's high-powered offense to just 54 points. Give me the UNDER 153.5! |
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03-17-17 | Kent State v. UCLA UNDER 162 | 80-97 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 162) I think the smart play here is to take the UNDER. I know UCLA comes in averaging 90.4 ppg, but Kent State is not a team that wants to run with them. In fact, they want to limit the number of possessions and to do that they have to grind it out each time they have the ball and make sure they avoid letting UCLA get out in transition. Easier said than done, but you also have to factor in that the Bruins could come out a bit flat here like a lot of the top seeds have so far in the tournament. There's also much bigger games looming for UCLA, so if they get up big, they aren't going to be looking to run up the score. I also think we are getting an inflated number here with how much the public likes to back the over in UCLA games. Give me the UNDER 162! |
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03-17-17 | Iona v. Oregon OVER 152 | Top | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 152) This one should have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. Oregon can light up the scoreboard, as they come in averaging 79.1 ppg. They will be facing an Iona defense that is awful. Keep in mind they allowed 90+ to both FSU and Nevada early in the year and 80+ in 4 of their last 8 overall, including 103 points to Rider at home on 2/19. The key here is that while the Ducks will be soaring up and down the court, Iona is capable of keeping pace. The Gaels average 80.5 ppg and will be facing an Oregon defense that is minus one of the better defenders in Chris Boucher, who averaged an impressive 2.5 blocks per game. Give me the OVER 152! |
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03-14-17 | 76ers v. Warriors OVER 219 | 104-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA Late Night Total Bailout (OVER 219) It hasn't been pretty for the Warriors of late, as they come in having lost 3 straight and 5 of 7 overall. Three times during this stretch Golden State has failed to score at least 90 points. The big thing to keep in mind is that most of these games came on the road and the scheduling/rest was brutal. Not to mention they were adjusting to life without Durant. They rested their top 4 guys in Saturday's blowout loss to the Spurs and that means all 4 have had a full 3 days to rest up. I see this as a statement game for the Warriors and I just don't think the 76ers will be able to do anything to keep Golden State's offense from putting up 120+ here. Note this is Philadelphia's 4th and final game of a west coast trip that has spanned just 6 days. 76ers give up 110 ppg on the road and the Warriors average 120.3 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 219! |
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03-13-17 | Magic v. Kings OVER 205 | 115-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (Over 205) I like to look towards the OVER later in the season when you get two bad teams that are out of the playoff race. Especially when it's a non-conference matchup and there's no real bad blood or reason for either team to get motivated. I believe that's exactly what we have here with the Kings and Magic. On the plus side, we are getting a favorable number here due to both offenses not being very good, but it's the defense that matters. Neither team has been playing much of it. Magic are allowing 109.5 ppg on the road this season and have allowed 110 or more in 4 of their last 5. Sacramento gives up 106.6 ppg at home and have allowed 100+ in 7 straight. Each of their last 4 opponents have shot 47% or better from the field. Give me the OVER! |
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03-13-17 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 201.5 | Top | 108-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
50* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month (UNDER 201.5) This is a huge game. Utah currently holds the No. 4 seed in the west, but are just 1-game ahead of the Clippers at No. 5. All signs point to this being a 1st round matchup. Getting the No. 4 seed and homecourt in that series is huge. I expect both teams to treat this like a playoff game and that means high intensity on the defensive side of the ball. Note that these two teams have played twice already and both have been extremely low-scoring. The two combined for 163 in a game at LA back in October and 160 at Utah back in February. I don't think it's going to be that low-scoring, but we got 30+ points to work with. Give me the UNDER! |
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03-13-17 | Wizards v. Wolves UNDER 214.5 | 104-119 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total Knockout (Under 214.5) I'm not expecting a lot of energy at all from Washington int this one. The Wizards are playing their 3rd game in 4 days, 5th in the last 7 and all 5 will be on the road. They are coming off back-to-back overtime games on Friday and Saturday. This is a team that likes to get out and run. I just don't see them being up to it tonight. Minnesota has been playing well and a big part of that is their improvement on the defensive side of the ball. The Timberwolves are allowing just 94.4 ppg over their last 5 and have held 9 of their last 11 opponents to 102 or fewer points. I look for Minnesota to dictate the tempo and keep this well below the mark set by the books. Give me the UNDER 214.5! |
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02-28-17 | St. John's v. Creighton OVER 164 | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Total No Brainer (OVER 164) I look for these two teams to have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. Creighton comes in averaging 84.3 ppg at home and will be facing a St. John's defense that gives up 82.1 ppg on the road. The key here is that while the Red Storm can't stop anybody, they are capable of putting up big numbers offensively, as they average a respectable 77.6 ppg. The OVER is 11-4 in St. John's 15 games away from home and a perfect 6-0 after playing a game as a home favorite and 16-3 in Creighton's last 19 home games off 2 straight conference losses. Give me the OVER 164! |
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02-28-17 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 204.5 | 106-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt Total Knockout (UNDER 204.5) Utah has finally got all their key pieces healthy and have been locking down on teams on the defensive side of the ball. Utah has held each of their last 4 opponents to 95 or fewer points and that includes games against some high-powered offensive teams in the Clippers, Blazers and Wizards. The last two coming on the road, where they are tonight. OKC comes in having scored 110 or more in each of their last 3, but it's come against the Knicks, Lakers and Pelicans. All really bad defensive teams. I think they have a hard time adjusting here to the stingy defense of the Jazz. OKC beat Utah on the road and that's worth noting, as the UNDER is 7-0 when the Jazz are revenging a loss as a home favorite. Give me the UNDER 204.5! |
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02-20-17 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech OVER 142.5 | Top | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 142.5) I just don't think there's too much value here on the OVER to pass up. Yes, these two teams combined for just 119 points earlier this season at Iowa State. The thing is, it was about as bad ad both teams could have played offensively. Texas Tech shot 38.6% from the field and 28.6% from behind the 3-point line. Iowa State was 39.6% from the field and 28.6% from long-distance. ISU averages 80.7 ppg and Tech is at 75.4 (80.2 ppg at home). I expect a lot more flow this time around. The Cyclones are limited defensively and come in giving up 76.8 ppg on the road. Texas Tech only gives up 65.4 ppg at home, but I just don't see them locking down on defense playing on just 1-day rest after a crushing double-overtime loss at West Virginia. Five different Red Raiders logged 32+ minutes and only 7 players played more than 6 minutes. OVER is 6-1 in Cyclones last 7 road games and 24-9 in their last 33 as a dog of 6.5 or less. OVER is also 8-3 in Red Raiders last 11 home games and 7-3 in their last 10 as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Give me the OVER 142.5! |
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02-15-17 | Mavs v. Pistons UNDER 200 | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (UNDER 200) These two teams combined for just 180 points in an earlier meeting this season and I'm expecting another low-scoring game in the rematch. Neither of these two teams like to push the tempo, as both rank in the bottom 7 in pace. They also both rank in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency and Top 20 in defensive efficiency. Detroit's gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 and the UNDER is 13-3 in the Pistons last 16 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the UNDER 200! |
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02-14-17 | Kings v. Lakers OVER 216 | Top | 97-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 216) These two teams have played twice this season already. They only combined for 192 points in the first meeting at Sacramento back on 11/10 and then 208 at Sacramento on 12/12. That might lead some to want to take the UNDER here as the total for this game is at 216. Not me. Neither of these teams were playing well offensively in the previous matchups. That's not the case this time. The Lakers come in having scored 100+ points in 6 straight games and have topped 120 in 3 of those games. Kings have scored 100+ in 6 straight and 11 of 12 overall. We also have two teams that don't exactly like to play defense and with the all-star break looming I don't expect much of any to be played tonight. Give me the OVER 216! |
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02-13-17 | Grizzlies v. Nets OVER 210 | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (OVER 210) A lot of people think of Memphis as a defensive juggernaut and that was the case in year's past, but not so much this season, at least on the road. The Grizzlies are giving up 99.6 ppg on the season, but allowing 104.0 ppg on the road, which has translated into the OVER going 20-8 in their 28 road games this season. Brooklyn is a perfect team for a high-scoring game, as they like to push the pace and play little to no defense. The Nets average 105.1 ppg and give up an average of 114.0 ppg. With both teams playing on fresh legs (2 days rest each) I look for this to be a very fast paced game that easily eclipses the total. Give me the OVER 210! |
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02-13-17 | Baylor v. Texas Tech OVER 127 | Top | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big 12 Play of the Month (OVER 127) These two teams played earlier this season and combined for just 126 points with a total of 130.5. I believe that low-scoring game has forced the oddsmakers to over-adjust the total for this contest. That first meeting saw both teams struggle from the field. Texas Tech only hit 41.4% of their attempts and Baylor was a miserable 35.4% from the field. That's uncharacteristic for both teams, as the Red Raiders are hitting 48.3% from the field on the season (51.3% at home) and the Bears are at 47.9% on the season (47.1% on the road). OVER is also 6-0 in Texas Tech's last 6 after playing their previous game as a home dog (hosted Kansas on Saturday). Give me the OVER 127! |
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02-11-17 | Warriors v. Thunder OVER 227.5 | 130-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 227.5) These two teams have gone under the total in each of the first two meetings this season, but both of those came at Golden State and it wasn't the Warriors fault that it didn't go over. Golden State had 122 in the first meeting and 121 in the second. It was the Thunder that couldn't get their offense on track. I believe that changes at home, where OKC is averaging 109.7 ppg. Godlen State's offense travels to any gym and I think we are in store for an epic back and forth game here. Note the Warriors don't figure to be 100% locked in defensively playing on no rest and this also being their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the OVER 227.5! |
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02-10-17 | Lakers v. Bucks OVER 218.5 | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total Crusher (OVER 218.5) I'm taking the OVER here tonight between the Lakers and Bucks. This game doesn't figure to have a whole lot of defense being played on either side and these two teams are capable of putting up a big number. The Lakers haven't played defense all season, as they are giving up 110.5 ppg on the year. It's been even worse than that of late, allowing 114.6 ppg over their last 5. Milwaukee puts up 108.7 ppg at home and could easily hit 120 here. I could see LA reaching that as well, pushing this one well past the posted number. Give me the OVER 218.5! |
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02-08-17 | California v. Arizona State OVER 148.5 | 68-43 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Late Night Total Crusher (OVER 148.5) I'm expecting a much higher-scoring game than what the books are anticipating with this total. The average combined score in Arizona State's 11 home games this season is 171.5, as the Sun Devils are scoring 90.0 ppg and allowing 81.5 ppg. No surprise the OVER is 8-2-1 in those 11 games. Cal is a strong defensive team, allowing just 63.1 ppg on the season, but aren't nearly as strong on the road, where they give up just under 70 ppg. Cal should have no problem scoring 75+ here against the Bears, in fact, I think both teams eclipse that mark, which puts us over the total. OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams at Arizona State. OVER is also 9-2 in the Sun Devils' 11 conference games and 10-3 this season when listed as a dog. Give me the OVER 148.5! |
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02-08-17 | Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 216 | 132-117 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Annihilator (UNDER 216) I'm expecting a lower-scoring game here between the Pacers and Cavs. For starters, we have two division rivals and that normally leads to a little more effort on the defensive side of the ball. Indiana has certainly been locked in on that side of the ball, as they are giving up just 92.0 ppg over their last 5 and held OKC to a mere 90 points last time out. Cleveland comes in off a ridiculous high-scoring overtime game against the Wizards, where the two combined for 175 points. That type of game will be tough to bounce back from and I think we get a flat Cavaliers team tonight. Note that the UNDER is 9-3 in Cleveland's last 12 after allowing more than 125 points. UNDER is also 13-3 in the Cavs last 16 after 3 straight covers as a favorite and 15-4 in the Pacers last 19 home games after covering 2 of their last 3 games. Take the UNDER! |
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02-06-17 | Heat v. Wolves OVER 204 | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (OVER 204) I still think the books are treating the total here like it's the Heat team that started out 11-30 and not the one that enters this game having won 10 straight. Miami has scored 100+ in 9 of those 10 wins, eclipsing 116 or more in 3 of their last 4. They should keep trend going against the Timberwolves, who come in having allowed 100 or more points in 10 straight games. Minnesota's averaging 105.6 ppg at home and Miami's defense isn't nearly as good on the road and it's not like we need them to go crazy. I look for both teams to score 100+ and that should have this one finishing closer than 215 than 205. Give me the OVER! |
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02-06-17 | Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 212 | Top | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 212) I like the UNDER here on the total in the Thunder/Pacers matchup. Indiana has been playing really well of late and are locking down on defense the past few games. The Pacers have allowed 88, 97 and 84 over their last 3 and will be catching a tired OKC team that just played yesterday and are not nearly as potent offensive on the road, which is why the UNDER is 18-8-1 in their 27 road games this season. UNDER is 13-4 in the Thunder's last 17 road games off a home win and 12-4 in their last 16 as a road dog. UNDER is also 21-8 in the Pacers last 29 home games after playing a game at home and 30-9 in their last 39 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the UNDER! |
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02-05-17 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 216 | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 216) I think we are going to see a much lower scoring game than you might think. Toronto will once again be without DeRozan and Kyle Lowry is playing despite leaving yesterday's practice with an illness. Hard to imagine Lowry being at full strength here and I don't see him pushing the tempo either. This is a key game for the Raptors who have really struggled of late, but I just think they do just enough here to get a win. Hard to imagine Brooklyn being all that interested here and the early start time only adds more value to a sloppy game. Give me the UNDER 216! |