40* S CAROLINA/FLORIDA NCAAF STEAMROLLER (Over 56.5) 

I don't think the books have set the total anywhere close to enough for Saturday's SEC East showdown between Florida and South Carolina. The Gators flashed some serious potential last year when Kyle Trask took over as their starting QB midway through the season. 

That experience in 2019 looks to be paying off, as Florida's offense couldn't have looked much better in their first game. Gators racked up 642 yards on their way to hanging 51 on the road against Ole Miss. Trask was a big part of that, as he went 30 of 42 for 416 yards and 6 scores. 

The Gamecocks just gave up 31 to Tennessee at home in their opener and I just don't see them being able to contain this Gators attack on the road. 

Key here is that while Florida figures to go up and down the field on offense, the Gamecocks should be able to have their own success moving the ball. While the offense was great against the Rebels, Florida's defense was torched for 613 yards and 29 first downs. They gave up 170 on the ground and 443 thru the air. Last year these combined for 65 in a 38-27 Florida win and I think we could see a similar, if not higher scoring, game this time around. Give me the OVER 56.5! 

40* REDS/BRAVES MLB (EARLY) MASSACRE (Under 7.5) 

I don't see a lot of offense in this one. The Reds were one of the worst teams in MLB history to make the playoffs with a mere .211 team batting average. They only averaged 3.5 runs with a .204 average on the road. 

With a guy like Trevor Bauer on the mound, I just think there's decent value with the total north of 7. Bauer was one of the best pitchers in the game. He finished up with a 1.73 ERA and 0.795 WHIP in 11 starts. 

Atlanta will have a pretty good starter of their own going in Max Fried, as he posted a strong 2.25 ERA and 1.089 WHIP in 11 starts. Not to mention the Braves have a great bullpen. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* PANTHERS/CHARGERS NFL VEGAS INSIDER (OVER 43.5) 

I see some decent value here with the low total set for this game. I think the assumption here is that the Panthers won't be able to move the ball without Christian McCaffrey. I don't think that's going to be the case. Despite only scoring 17 points in their WK 2 loss to the Bucs, they an impressive 427 total yards (outgained TB by almost 100 yards). 

McCaffrey only had 59 rushing yards and 29 receiving yards against the Bucs. Teddy Bridgewater went 33 of 42 for 367 yards. DJ Moore had 8 catches for 120, Robby Anderson had 9 for 109 and Mike Davis caught 8 for 74. 

As for the Chargers, I didn't make this a play until it was clear that rookie Justin Herbert was going to start over Tyrod Taylor. Herbert made big throw after big throw against the defending champs and did so not even knowing he was going to start until right before the game. 

Carolina's defense is one of the worst in the league. I think Herbert and the Chargers are going to score at will, which will keep Bridgewater and the Panthers in a pass-heavy attack. Give me the OVER 43.5! 

50* CELTICS/HEAT NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 213.5)

As much as I want to fire back on the Heat at +3.5 after cashing on them in Game 4, I'm going to take the UNDER 213.5. Game 4 ended up going over the total by 9 points, but the OVER didn't look good for the majority of that game. We got a 35-33 4th quarter (a lot of late scoring). I get it happens, but I don't see Game 5 coming close to this number. 

Miami wants to finish this thing off and the Celtics are facing elimination. We haven't seen a lot of games go OVER the total since the first round completed, especially late in the series like we are here. Give me the UNDER 213.5!  

50* DOLPHINS/JAGUARS NFL *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 47.5) 

I don't want anything to do with the side in this game. I know we didn't get the best number, but I still love the OVER 47.5. I'm a big OVER guy in these Thursday games on short rest, especially early in the season. Add in how much more scoring we are getting in 2020 because of the shorten offseason and no fans and these two should hit 50 with ease. 

Keep in mind everyone was calling for the UNDER last Thursday between the Browns and Bengals and that thing went flying past the total. As bad as these teams are, Fitzpatrick and Minshew are two guys that can sling it. They will both be up against an awful pass defense. Give me the OVER 47.5! 

40* CUBS/PIRATES MLB SHARP STAKE (Under 9) 

We cashed a free pick on the Cubs/Pirates UNDER 8.5 on Monday and see no reason not to take the UNDER again on Tuesday. You simply have two offenses that are not swinging the bats well. Pirates are scoring 2.4 runs/game and hitting .165 in their last 7 games. 

Cubs are a little better in their last 7 at 4.0 runs/game and .217 average, but that's far from impressive. Also, important to note that Pittsburgh is sending out lefty Steven Brault. Chicago is only scoring 3.0 runs/game and hitting .187 vs left-handed starters this season. Brault also owns a great 1.59 ERA and 0.838 WHIP in 5 home starts. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* PATRIOTS/SEAHAWKS *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 44.5) 

I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the total in this one. I got nothing but respect for Bill Belichick and his ability to coach. He's going to get the most out of what he can. It's why one of my biggest plays in Week 1 was on the Pats -6.5 at Miami. 

I'm not saying Russell Wilson is going to shred this NE defense, but I do think Seattle will be able to move the chains early and often. I know Atlanta is not a top tier defensive team, but putting up 38 on the road in Week 1 against a team like that is saying something. 

The other big thing that I think might be getting overlooked is we saw Seattle throw the ball a lot more on early downs. Something so many have been begging them to do for years. It puts the ball in Wilson's hands more and that's huge. I don't think they do that in Week 1 and just go back to pounding the rock in Week 2.

On the flip side of all this is Cam Newton. Everything so far has been positive with Newton and I thought he played really well in Week 1. He was an efficient 15 of 19 passing (no interceptions). He also showed he's willing to run (75 yards on 15 attempts), which is how he won the MVP a few years ago. 

Seattle's defense isn't what it once was. They gave up over 500 yards to the Falcons in Week 1. Atlanta had 3 different players catch 9 passes and all 3 had over 110 yards. I think Newton shows out in Prime Time and this thing turns into a bit of a shootout. Give me the OVER 44.5! 

40* FALCONS/COWBOYS NFL SHARP STAKE (OVER 52.5) 

I'm a little bit surprised this number isn't higher. These are two explosive offenses that want to air it out to all their big playmakers at receiver. Dallas has a great back in Zeke, but Dak is not shy about letting it fly. 

I know the Cowboys/Rams game went way UNDER in Week 1. A lot of that was the Rams playing ball control offense. LA rushed it 40 times (Dallas only ran it 27). Atlanta isn't going to play ball control offense. Falcons put up over 500 yards in Week 1 and only 72 of those came on the ground. Should be enough possessions to push this game well past the mark. Give me the OVER 52.5! 

50* BENGALS/BROWNS NFL *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 43.5)

If you have been following my NFL for awhile, you know that I'm pretty big on the OVER in these Thursday night games. People just haven't caught on to how much the lack of rest impacts the play on the defensive side of the ball. 

Factor in how bad the Browns and Bengals looked offensively in Week 1 and I think we are getting big time value with the total at 43.5. I know Cleveland has Garrett, but the Browns defense is no where near as good as the front Cincinnati last faced in the Chargers. Burrow also flashed some in that game and you have to like a guy that makes plays when it matters late. 

As for the Browns poor showing, they just went up against a really good Baltimore defense. Cleveland was able to run on the Ravens and should move the chains on the ground against a Bengals defense that won't have their best guy up front in Geno Atkins. Cleveland also has a bunch of guys hurt on defense. Play the OVER 43.5! 

40* METS/PHILLIES MLB VEGAS INSIDER (Under 7.5) 

I just can't help myself with this one. There's a really high probability that we see this game finish UNDER the total of 7.5. Two of the NL's best will be on the mound in this one. Mets send out ace Jacob deGrom against former Met starter Zack Wheeler. 

Not a lot needs to be said about deGrom. The guy is in the mix for another Cy Young in 2020. He's 4-1 with a 1.67 ERA and 0.870 WHIP in 9 starts. He has not had a start this season where he's given up more than 2 earned runs and enters this one on a streak of 5 straight allowing 1 or less. 

Wheeler is 4-0 with a 2.47 ERA and 1.098 WHIP in 8 starts. He's in even better form than that right now, as he owns a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's also been much better at home than on the road with a 1.97 ERA in 5 home starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* STEELERS/GIANTS MNF MASSACRE (Under 45)

I really like the UNDER 45 in the early Monday Night Football matchup between the Steelers and Giants. 

We know the Steelers defense is going to be good. It carried them last year and just felt like it kept getting better. They were outstanding against the run and should be again. They tied with NE allowing a league-low 7 rushing touchdowns. I think they can take away Barkley and I don't see Daniel Jones having a big day behind an offensive line that has 3 new starters. 

As for the Steelers offense, there's a lot of optimism with the return of Big Ben. I just don't think he's going to be sharp in his first game back. I certainly don't think they are going to be looking to air it out.

I also think people could be sleeping some on the Giants defense. Most just remember how bad it was last year. They added 3 big pieces, including corner James Bradberry and defensive back Logan Ryan. Give me the UNDER 45! 

40* INDIANS/TWINS MLB SLAUGHTER (Under 8.5) 

Easy play on the UNDER 8.5 in Sunday's AL Central showdown between the Indians and Twins. Getting to 9 runs will be a challenge with the two guys starting in this one. Cleveland's Triston McKenzie has a 2.57 ERA and 0.762 WHIP over 4 starts, while Minnesota's Michael Pineda has been dominant in two starts back from his suspension with a 2.77 ERA and 0.923 WHIP. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* COLTS/JAGUARS NFL NO-BRAINER (Over 44.5)

I was a bit shocked that this total wasn't closer to 50. The Jaguars have decimated their defense of all their top players over the last two seasons. Right before this year they traded away their star pass-rusher in Yannick Ngakoue, as well as corner A.J. Bouye and defensive lineman Calais Campbell. This team isn't stopping anyone. 

I look for Philip Rivers to make quite the debut with his new team in Indy. This might be the best offensive line he's been behind in a decade. Colts are going to have balance with the run game and got playmakers on the outside. 

I got a lot of respect for the Colts defense, but I think Gardner Minshew will be able to get the Jaguars into the endzone. I think Jacksonville is going to air it out even more in 2020 under new offensive coordinator Jay Gruden. I also don't think we need a ton from the Jags to push this OVER the mark. Give me the OVER 44.5! 

40* BEARS/LIONS NFL STEAMROLLER (OVER 42)

I think the public perception with Chicago is that this is an UNDER team given their strong defense and lackluster QB play with Mitch Trubisky as their starter. Thing is, Trubisky has had a lot of success against Detroit since Matt Patricia took over. In fact, he's averaging 288.7 ypg with 9-1 TD-INT ratio over 3 starts. 

As for the Bears defense, they will be without one of their better players in DE Robert Quinn, star linebacker Khalil Mack is also questionable. I just think with Matthew Stafford at the helm, Detroit is going to able to score, especially at home. People forget just how good this Lions offense was before Stafford tweaked his back last year. 

Another thing to note, OVER has casheed in 12 of the last 13 Week 1 games involving Detroit. OVER was also 6-1 in their last 7 at home in 2019. I just feel like there's a good chance both teams eclipse 20 points and all we need is 43 combined to cash this ticket. Give me the OVER 42! 

40* UL-LAFAYETTE/IOWA ST NCAAF NO-BRAINER (Over 56.5)

I look for both offenses to have a ton of success in this game. While ISU only has 5 starters back and didn't exactly have a ton of practice time because of Covid, they should be in good shape with one of the best quarterbacks in the country in junior Brock Purdy. 

Purdy is coming off a sophomore season in which he threw for nearly 4,000 yards with a 27-9 TD-INT ratio. ISU also gets back their top running back, who was 2nd-Team All-Big 12 as a true freshman last year. They also have one of the best TE groups in the nation. 

UL-Lafayette only gave up 19.7 ppg last year, but that's a bit misleading given all the crap teams they play. They gave up 38 points and nearly 500 yards of offense in their opener against Mississippi State. 

ISU has been one of the better defensive teams in the Big 12 under head coach Matt Campbell, but they are more built to stop the pass. The Ragin' Cajuns averaged 257 rushing yards on 6.3 yards/carry last year. They got their stud RB back and also have a very underrated QB in Levi Lewis. They are going to score points. Give me the OVER 56.5

40* CHIEFS/TEXANS NFL VEGAS INSIDER (Over 54.5) 

I don't get the vibe at all that KC is going to suffer any kind of Super Bowl hangover. I follow this team closely and they are 100% locked in. While I think they cover the big number, I'm not really interested in laying that in Week 1. 

However, I do see some decent value here with the OVER 54.5. I just think Mahomes and this Chiefs offense are going to be almost impossible to stop. They got all their big weapons back and added in Clyde Edwards-Helaire at RB (absolute perfect fit). I think they will be every bit as good and if not better than the 35.3 ppg they put up in Mahomes MVP season in 2018. 

Keep in mind the continuity the Chiefs offense has should benefit them even more this season with all the offseason time missed because of Covid. 

I don't think the defense will be bad, but they are going to give up points and you got a big time talent at QB on the other side in this one in Watson. They simply get to 20 and I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 54.5! 

40* REDS/CUBS MLB SHARP STAKE (UNDER 6.5) 

You don't see many totals this low in baseball anymore, but the low number is not going to scare me away from what I feel is a strong play. I just don't see much offense at all from either side in Wednesday's game between the Cubs and Reds. 

Two of the best starters in baseball will be facing off against each other. Cubs send out Yu Darvish, who has to be the frontrunner right now for NL Cy Young. Reds counter with Trevor Bauer. Darvish has an NL best 1.44 ERA and Bauer is No. 4 at 2.05. Bauer on the other hand has a NL best 0.86 WHIp and Darvish is T-2nd at 0.88. 

These two just faced off against each other a couple weeks ago and the final score was 3-0. With the wind blowing in close to 15 mph at Wrigley and cooler than normal temps for September, I see a very similar type of score in this one. Give me the UNDER 6.5! 

40* CARDINALS/CUBS MLB VEGAS INSIDER (Under 8)

I love the UNDER 8 in Friday's big NL Central rivalry game between the Cubs and Cardinals. Two really good starters take the mound in this one. St Louis will send out Jack Flaherty, who has a 1.93 ERA and 0.803 WHIP in 4 starts. Chicago will counter with Yu Darvish, who is even better with a 1.47 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 7 starts. 

Flaherty has a 2.84 ERA in 10 career starts against the Cubs. Darvish has held the Cardinals two 3 or fewer runs in at least 6 innings in his last 4 starts against them. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* ROCKETS/THUNDER NBA NO-BRAINER (Under 216.5)

There's really no choice here but to take a shot with the UNDER in Game 7 between the Rockets and Thunder. With the Nuggets/Jazz going well under the total last night (combined for just 158 points with a total of 215.5), UNDERS are now a perfect 7-0 in Game 7s going back to the start of last postseason. 

The Rockets have been such a high-scoring team this season that I just think people have a hard time taking the UNDER. Thing is playoffs are a different beast and the Thunder matchup really well with them on the defensive side. UNDER has cashed in each of the last two in the series. Give me the UNDER 216.5!

40* METS/ORIOLES MLB SHARP STAKE (OVER 10) 

The numbers suggest there's a high probability that we will see more than 10 runs in this matchup. You got two really bad starters going in Baltimore's John Means and New York's Michael Wacha. You also got an ideal day for hitting. Wind will be blowing out to center at close to 10 mph, humidity is expected to be around 70% and a heat index of 95+. 

Means has been Baltimore's worst pitcher (starter or reliever) in terms of WAR (-0.3). There's nothing fluky about his 8.59 ERA, as his FIP comes in at 7.99. He's given up a staggering 3.68 home runs/9 innings and he's got a fortunate .233 BABIP. 

Wacha has a 7.41 ERA and while his 4.50 FIP suggests he's not that bad, that's still not very good. He too has struggled to keep it in the park with a 2.2 HR/9. You also have to factor in how well Orioles are swinging the bat right now. Give me the OVER 10! 

40* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Over 238) 

I want to take Dallas and the points, but I try to stay clear of public dogs. Wouldn't surprise if they did cover. With that said, I feel the better bet is on the OVER. The Clippers made easy work of the Mavs defense in Game 4. They put 154 points on 63% shooting. I just don't think Dallas will be able to slow them down. They seemed to come out with a different fire in Game 4 and I don't see that going away. Key here is Luka and the Mavs will not go down without a fight and with Luka the Mavs are going to score. Give me the OVER 238! 

40* INDIANS/CARDINALS MLB NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I just feel that these two teams are going to have a hard time scoring runs with the talent that each team will send out to the mound. Indians Aaron Civale has a 3.15 ERA and 1.025 WHIP in 6 starts. Big positive here is he's got an even better 2.89 ERA and 0.893 WHIP in 4 road starts this season. Adam Wainwright will go for St Louis. He's got a 2.88 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 4 starts. He also owns a 1.64 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in 2 day starts this season. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MARINERS/ANGELS LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Under 8.5) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER 8.5 in tonight's late action between the Angels and Mariners. Great pitching matchup in this one, which is going to make it tough for these two to combine for 9 or more. 

Mariners will send out Justus Sheffield, who is one of the top young arms in the game. He had a rough first two starts, but has completely turned it around. He's got a 1.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Dylan Bundy will go for the Angels. He's got a sensational 2.58 ERA and 0.887 WHIP in 6 starts. Bundy also owns a strong 2.45 ERA and 0.716 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Mariners. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 234.5)

I wanted to take the points with the Mavs and might have a little side action on them, but I believe the real value in this game is the OVER. These are two of the best offenses the NBA has to offer. Mavs have shot 50% or better from the field in 3 straight games. Luka Doncic has taken his game to another level and this Dallas team is oozing with confidence after winning Game 4 on a buzzer beater. There's just too much star-power and great shooters on the floor. I think this total should be closer 240. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* NUGGETS/JAZZ NBA NO-BRAINER (Over 219)

I think we are getting a steal with the total sitting less than 220 for Game 5 between the Nuggets and Jazz. Utah has Denver's defense figured out and I don't think there's anything they are going to implement in this one that will change the outcome. Jazz have scored at least 124 points in all 4 games to this point. They have shot 51% or better in the last 3, including 58% in Game 4, a game Denver had to have. Nuggets have allowed 50% or better shooting in 6 of their last 7 overall. It is what it is at this point. All we need is for Denver to not have a horrible night shooting and this thing should fly past the number. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* TWINS/INDIANS MLB SHARP MONEY (Under 8.5) 

I will take my chances with the UNDER 8.5, as we got a big time pitching matchup going down in Cleveland with the Indians Aaron Civale taking on the Twins Kenta Maeda. Civale has a 2.91 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in 5 starts. His great pitching combined with the Indians lackluster offense has resulted in the UNDER cashing in 4 of his 5 starts. 

Maeda has been equally impressive for Minnesota, as he has a 2.27 ERA and 0.632 WHIP in 5 starts. He was spectacular in his last outing, allowing just 1 run on 1 hit with 12 K's in 8 innings against the Brewers. 

Also important to note, both teams have strong bullpens to keep this thing in check late. Twins relievers own a 3.44 ERA and 1.203 WHIP, while Cleveland's pen has a 2.73 ERA and 1.039 WHIP. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* NUGGETS/JAZZ NBA NO-BRAINER (Over 217) 

I see a ton of value here with the OVER 217 in Game 4 between the Nuggets and Jazz. These two flew past the posted totals in Game 1 and Game 2. They combined for 160 in Game 1 and 129 in Game 2. They did go for just 211 in Game 3, but that was with the Nuggets scoring just 87 points on a miserable 38% shooting. Denver had shot 52% and 46% in the first two games. Utah has scored at least 124 in all 3 games. I see this easily getting to 220 and wouldn't be shocked if it eclipsed 230. Give me the OVER 217! 

50* ANGELS/A'S AL WEST PLAY OF THE WEEK (Under 9) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER 9 between the A's and Angels. I think we are getting some value with the number here as we got a couple of strong starters coming off a poor start last time out. Dylan Bundy gave up 4 runs in 4 innings against the Giants, while Frankie Montas allowed 9 runs in just 1 2/3 innings at Arizona. Bundy still owns a stellar 2.47 ERA and 0.796 WHIP in 5 starts overall and Montas has a sensational 1.69 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in 3 home starts this season. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* BLAZERS/LAKERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 225) 

The books keeping dropping the total, but I don't think they have adjusted enough for Game 3. The Lakers/Blazers combined for just 193 points in Game 1, which had a total of 234. They then had just 199 in Game 2 with a total of 227.5

The Lakers defense has completely shut down the Blazers offense. Portland shot a mere 39% in their win in Game 1 and hit only 40% in Game 2. Lakers had a great offensive game and still only had 111 points. LA shot 48% from the field and connected on 14 3-pointers after making only 5 in Game 1. 

I just think we are going to see more of the same from the Lakers defense. With how inconsistent the Lakers shooting has been, they likely regress from their strong Game 2 performance. Give me the UNDER 225! 

40* BLUE JAYS/RAYS MLB STEAMROLLER (Under 9)

I really like the value here with the UNDER 9 in Friday's AL East matchup between the Rays and Blue Jays. I just think that Toronto plays in such a hitter-friendly home park that there's going to be value on the UNDER when they hit the road. Note the Blue Jays are scoring 4.6 runs/game and hitting .252 on the season, yet are only averaging 3.9 runs/game with a .231 average on the road. 

Blue Jays starter, Matt Shoemaker, is 4-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Rays. Two of those coming this season. Ryan Yarbrough will start for Tampa Bay and he's also made 2 starts against the Blue Jays. He's thrown 8 1/3 innings and has not allowed a run. Give me the UNDER 9! 

100* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5)

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER 8.5 in tonight's NL Central showdown between the Cardinals and Reds. Cincinnati will have ace Sonny Gray on the mound, who is 4-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.913 WHIP in 5 starts. Gray also owns a sensational 1.08 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 3 career starts (all last season) against the Cardinals. 

St. Louis will turn to veteran Adam Wainwright. While he's only made 2 starts, he's been exceptional in both, posting a 1.64 ERA and 0.818 WHIP. He just hasn't been able to start cause the Cardinals missed so many games. I think more rest definitely helps him perform better at this stage of his career. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* PHILLIES/BLUE JAYS EARLY BIRD NO-BRAINER (Over 8.5)

I don't care that this is only a 7-inning game. I still see a ton of value with the OVER 8.5 in Game 1 between the Blue Jays and Phillies. The ball is absolutely flying at Sahlen Field. I think people are starting to catch on, but I don't know that the books have quite adjusted. 

With Spencer Howard on the mound for Philadelphia and Chase Anderson toeing the rubber for Toronto, I think both offenses have a shot here of eclipsing the total on their own. Either way, they should have no problem combing for at least 9 runs. Give me the OVER 8.5! 

40* TIGERS/WHITE SOX MLB STEAMROLLER (Under 9)

I really like the value here with the UNDER 9 in Wednesday's AL Central matchup between the White Sox and Tigers. We are getting a great price because of both teams sending out a guy making his first career start. Thing is, these are two highly touted prospects that are ready for the spotlight. This also figures to be a great day to pitch, as the wind will be blowing in at Guaranteed Rate Field and temps will be in the mid to low 70s. Look for both offenses to struggle to get going in this one. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 229.5) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER at 229.5 in Game 1 between the Clippers/Mavs. I know Dallas didn't play great defense in their 8-game bubble restart, but you have to keep in mind they really had nothing to play for. They were all but locked into the No. 7 seed in the west. I think the intensity goes up a lot for the Mavs. As for the Clippers, they are a top tier defensive team, but I feel they got another level they can take it to. Play the UNDER 229.5! 

40* PADRES/DBACKS MLB NO-BRAINER (Over 9)

When you factor in how bad Arizona starter Robbie Ray has been and the recent rate at which the Diamondbacks offense has been producing, I think the OVER is definitely worth a shot on Sunday. 

Over their last 5 games the Diamondbacks are averaging 7.4 runs/game. They are hitting .312 as a team with a .356 OBP and .492 SLG during this stretch. 

Ray has made 4 starts for Arizona and if it wasn't for what he's done in the past, I don't think he would still be in the rotation. Ray has a 10.58 ERA and 2.116 WHIP in 4 starts. He's allowed at least 5 runs in each of his last 3 outings. He can't locate the ball. He's given up 7 HRs and walked 14 in 17 innings. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* RAYS/BLUE JAYS OVER/UNDER VEGAS INSIDER (Over 9.5)

The ball simply is flying out of Sahlen Field, which is where the Blue Jays are playing their home games this season. Toronto just played their first two games at Sahlen Field against the Marlins and the two teams combined for 34 runs on 43 hits (11 HRs) in those two games. Now you got a Rays offense that is scorching coming to down. Tampa Bay just put up 42 runs in their 4 game series at Boston with at least 8 runs in each game. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* CUBS/INDIANS MLB TOP PLAY (Under 8) 

I absolutely love the value with the UNDER 8 in this one. I correctly predicted that the Cubs would be the first team all season to score 5 or more runs against the Indians in yesterday's 7-1 win. I don't feel so confident with them doing it two games in a row. 

In fact, I wouldn't be shocked at all if they struggled to score a mere 3 runs. Cleveland will have Carlos Carrasco on the mound, who has a 2.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 3 starts. 

Cubs will counter with Kyle Hendricks. While Hendricks is normally a guy I look to fade on the road, Cleveland's offense is so bad that I like him to pitch well here. It doesn't hurt that the wind will be blowing in from right. Give me the UNDER 8. 

50* SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL PLAY OF THE MONTH (Under 7.5) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER 7.5 between the White Sox and Indians. Two really good starters will take the mound in this one. Lucas Giolito is coming off a breakout 2019 season. He had a rough first start, but has been outstanding in his last two, giving up just 2 runs on 8 hits with 15 strikeouts in 12 innings. Definitely helps that he's facing a Indians offense that struggles to score runs. His second start was against Cleveland and he threw 6 shutout innings. 

Cleveland will have Shane Bieber on the mound and he's been lights out in 2020. Bieber is 3-0 with a 0.83 ERA and 0.692 WHIP in 3 starts. He's absolute mowing people down, as he's got a ridiculous 35 strikeouts (only 3 walks) in 21 2/3 innings. Bieber has a 3.08 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 6 career starts against Chicago, while Giolito has a 2.56 ERA and 1.074 WHIP in 5 career starts against Cleveland. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 7.5)

Easy play on the UNDER at 7.5 for me. Two of the top NL starters take the mound in this one. The Reds will send out Sonny Gray, who has been outstanding. Gray is 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.696 WHIP in 3 starts. Dating back to last season he's posted 13 straight starts where he's allowed 3 or fewer runs (18 of his last 19 overall). 

Milwaukee will turn to Brandon Woodruff, who has a strong 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 3 starts this season. He's only given up 4 runs in 17 1/3 innings with 21 strikeouts. He faced Cincinnati twice last year and allowed just 4 runs with 18 K's in 13 innings of work. Gray has a 2.29 ERA in 6 career starts against the Brewers. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB NL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 7.5)

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER 7.5 between the Padres and Diamondbacks. Neither offense could get much of anything going in the series opener last night, as San Diego pulled out a 3-0 win with the two teams combing for a mere 9 hits. It figures to be more of the same on Saturday with the two starters we got going. 

Diamondbacks will send out Merrill Kelly, who has a 2.63 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in his first 2 starts of 2020. Both of which were quality starts. Padres will counter with the highly underrated Chris Paddack, who is one of the best starters in the game right now. Paddack has a 2.65 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in his first 3 starts. Dating back to last year, Paddack has now gone 7 straight starts where he's allowed 3 or fewer runs. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 9.5) 

I look for the Twins/Royals to have no problem combining for at least 10 runs on Saturday. While this might look like a good pitching matchup with Kansas City sending out Danny Duffy and Minnesota giving the rock to Jake Odorizzi, conditions will not be in favor of the pitchers in this one. 

It's going to be incredibly humid for this game. While temps are expected to be in the high 80's, the humidity is going to be close to 80%, which is going to result in a heat index approaching 110 degrees at the start of this game. On top of that the wind will be blowing straight out to left field. Ball figures to be flying out of the park in this one. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) 

I just feel like this price is too good to pass up given how bad these two teams have been offensively. I get that Detroit starter Matt Boyd hasn't been great in his first two starts and Chad Kuhl will be making his first start since 2018 for Pittsburgh. 

These two offenses are atrocious. Tigers have played 10 games now and are hitting a pathetic .205 with a team OBP of just .265. Pirates are even worse at .191 and .253. Detroit has scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4. Pittsburgh has been held to 3 or less in 6 of their last 8. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 222.5) 

I see a ton of value here with the OVER 222.5. Last time out the Magic played a very low scoring game against the Raptors, which ended at 208 with a total of 222. However, each of their first 3 games had gone over the total. All 3 seeing at least 229 and all 3 the Magic gave up 116 or more. 

While the 76ers won't have Ben Simmons for this game, I think that could play to our advantage. It gets another guy who can hit a 3-ball on the floor. I actually think the loss of Simmons hurts them more on the defensive side and the 76ers defense has stunk in the bubble so far. I could easily see both teams hitting 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

50* AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) 

I absolutely love the value with the UNDER 9 in Thursday's AL West showdown between the Mariners and Angels. I really like both starters in this one. LA is sending out Dylan Bundy, who looks to be having a breakout season. Bundy has a 2.84 ERA and 0.710 WHIP in his first 2 starts. What really stands out to me is how he's getting guys to miss. He has 15 strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings of work. 

Mariners will give the rock to Taijuan Walker. He had a tough first start on the road against a loaded Astros lineup. As expected, he bounced back in a big way in his next start. He held the A's to just 1 hit with 8 K's in 7 shutout innings at home. Last time he faced the Angles (Sept. 2019), he pitched a 3 hit complete game shutout. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 8)

I see some decent value with the UNDER 8 on the total for Wednesday's game between the Indians and Reds. Cleveland's offense is struggling to say the least. The fact that they have scored a mere 10 runs in their last 7 games says it all. 

I get we don't know just what the Reds have in today's starter Tejay Antone, but we can be pretty confident he pitches well against this Indians offense. As for Cincinnati's offense, they too figure to have a hard time scoring runs against Cleveland starter Mike Clevinger. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 8)

I really like the UNDER 8 between the White Sox and Brewers. It's all about the starting pitching matchup. White Sox will send out Lucas Giolito, who is coming off a breakout 2019 season. Giolito did struggle in his first start of 2020, but was outstanding in his last start against the Indians, giving up just 4 hits in 6 shutout innings. 

Brandon Woodruff will go for Milwaukee and he's quietly had a great start to this season. Woodruff gave up just 2 runs in 5 innings at Chicago in his first start and then allowed just 1 hits over 6 shutout innings at Pittsburgh. He's also got a strong 15 K's in 11 1/3 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER VEGAS STEAMROLLER  (Under 8) 

There's no reason to overthink this one. The UNDER 8 is a no-brainer given the two guys that will be starting this game. Everyone knows how good the Mets Jacob deGrom is. For those that don't know, Atlanta's Mike Soroka is just as good. 

Soroka had a 2.68 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 29 starts last year, which was his first full season at the big league level. He's opened up 2020 by posting a 1.59 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in his first 2 starts. deGrom has a 1.64 ERA and 0.545 WHIP in his first 2 starts. Soroka has a 2.27 ERA in 6 starts vs the Mets and deGrom has a 1.90 ERA in 22 starts against the Braves. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 9) 

I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER 9 in Saturday's AL Central showdown between the Twins and Indians. Two really good starters take the mound in Minnesota's Kenta Maeda and Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco. Both guys pitched well in their first start of the season. Maeda gave up just 2 runs with 6 strikeouts in 5 innings, while Carrasco allowed 2 runs with 10 strikeouts in 6 innings. I look for both offenses to struggle to get going in this one. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* MLB LATE NIGHT OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 8) 

I like the value here with the UNDER 8 in Wednesday's late night action between the Giants and Padres. San Diego will have one of the best young starters in the game going in Chris Paddack. Last year Paddack posted a 3.33 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 26 big league starts (first year in the majors). He didn't miss a beat in his first start of 2020, throwing 6 shutout innings against a good Dbacks lineup. Johnny Cueto goes for the Giants and while he only made it 4 innings in his first start, he did hold a loaded Dodgers lineup to just 1 run on 5 hits. I think Cueto is a guy to watch out for going forward. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) 

I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the total. Washington will have ace Max Scherzer on the mound, who i'm confident is going to have a monster start after a less than stellar first outing. Scherzer did strikeout 11 of the 17 batters he retired. Toronto also doesn't have near the offensive fire-power as the Yankees. The value here stems from Blue Jays starter Nate Pearson, who is making his big league debut. Pearson is a legit top tier prospect. He can light up the radar (100 mph fastball) and more importantly is facing a Nationals lineup that has really struggled to get anything going in 2020. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 9) 

I will gladly take my chances here on the UNDER 9 with the total in Sunday's matchup between the A's and Angels. I really like the pitching matchup here with Ohtani going up against Fiers. Ohtani was impressive in the limited time we saw him as a starter back in 2018 and Fiers is one of the more underrated starters in the game. These two scored 10 runs in the opener, but that was only cause they went to extra innings (tied 3-3 after 9). They then combined for just 5 runs on Saturday, which is about what I expect here. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 9) 

I'm not concerned with the lack of offense we saw in Friday's opener between these two teams. That had everything to do with the starting pitching matchup, as we had two of the games best starters on the mound in deGrom and Soroka. Most are aware of how strong this Atlanta offense can be, but I don't think the majority realize the potential this Mets offense has this year. Factor in the wind blowing out and the heat index in the low 90s and I think we are going to see a bit of an offensive explosion in this one. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 8.5)

I see a ton of value here with the total at 8.5 for tonight's NL West showdown between the Padres and Diamondbacks. Arizona will send out Madison Bumgarner, who I think is going to have a big year and get back to being one of the best pitchers in the game. On the flip side, San Diego gives the rock to Chris Paddack, who has had the Giants number in his brief career. Paddack has faced Arizona 3 times (all last year) and posted a 1.08 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in those 3 outings. All 3 of those starts saw a combined score of 5 or less. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA action that has the Raptors visiting the Jazz. I just don't see either team looking to push the pace all that much in this one. Toronto is playing their 5th straight on the road in about as bad a spot as you can get, playing in Utah on no rest after a game last night in Sacramento. As for the Jazz, they had Sunday off, but had to play back-to-back on the road Friday/Saturday to close out a 4-game east coast trip. Another thing here is Utah has won 5 straight and will be highly motivated for revenge from a 20-point loss at Toronto earlier this season, where they gave up 77 in the 1st half to the Raptors. 

UNDER is 15-5 in Utah's last 20 home games when they are on a win streak of 4 or more and 6- 1 in their last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 222) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222 in Sunday's NBA action that has the Spurs hosting visiting the Cavs. We see totals in the 230's on the reg in the NBA now a days and I just feel with how bad these two are playing defensively this should be closer to 230 than 220. Cleveland has allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 54% or better from the field. San Antonio has allowed each of their last 4 to shoot 47% or better, including 53% last time out at Brooklyn. Cavs give up 115 ppg at home and Spurs allow 117 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 222! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 246.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 246.5. This might seem crazy, but I actually think there's value here. Minnesota is playing absolutely zero defense right now. They have allowed 126 or more in each of their last 4 road games, all of which saw a combined score of 244 or more, with 3 of those going for 250+. Pelicans are built for a shootout, as they are scoring 118.2 ppg and giving up 117.0 ppg in their last 5. I think both teams easily hit 120 with New Orleans going for 130+. Give me the OVER 246.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 230.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's matchup that has the Rockets visiting the Knicks. These two teams just played on Feb. 24th and combined for 135 points in a 123-112 Rockets win. I think we are going to see even more offense in this one. 

I'm pretty confident Westbrook and Harden will be motivated to show out at Madison Square Garden. They only get to play their once a season. Houston's small ball has them scoring a ton here lately. Only the Celtics have been able to keep them under 120 points since the break. 

As for the Knicks offense, they have been shooting really well. New York has hit 50% from the field in 3 straight games. Coming off a big road game at Boston on Saturday and a huge home game against the Clippers looming on Thursday, plus having just beat the Knicks, I don't see Houston being overly invested on playing defense in this one. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 144.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 144.5 between Nebraska and Ohio State. The Buckeyes put up 80 on the Cornhuskers at home earlier this season and with the free fall that Nebraska is on right now, I could see them topping that mark in this one. Cornhuskers are allowing 81.2 ppg on 47% shooting in their last 5. Last two at home they have allowed 86 to Michigan State and a staggering 81 to Wisconsin. 

Other big key here is Ohio State's defense has really regressed over the season. Buckeyes are 11th in the Big Ten in defensive efficiency and 12th in effective field goal defense. Nebraska is due for a big offensive night and all we need is for them to flirt with 70 to cash. Give me the OVER 144.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 214) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 214 between the Nuggets and Pistons. I just think with the trade of Drummond Detroit has went into full on rebuild mode. The defense has not been good and they are going up against a Denver offense that just shot 59% while scoring 128 at home against the Wolves. That was the 4th time in 5 games the Nuggets shot 50% or better from the field. Pistons can score and should be able to hit at least 105. I think the total here should be closer to 225. Give me the OVER 214! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 210)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 210 between the Hornets and Pacers. I just think we are getting big time value here on the OVER due to how awful these two teams just played offensively in their last game. Charlotte scored just 86 at home to the Nets and Indiana managed just 81 on the road at Toronto. Both teams did allow 115+ in those losses. Pacers score 110 ppg at home and Hornets allow that same number on the season. I think we see Indiana get to 120 and that means we need a mere 91 from Charlotte to cash. Give me the OVER 210! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 136.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 136.5 between Xavier and DePaul. These two teams played once already and combined for just 126 points, staying UNDER the mark of 139. Given how much both offenses struggled to score, especially inside, I see no reason to not take UNDER at this price. 

Also, Xavier is playing to a lot lower scoring games right now. Over the last month they have basically started 3 big men. That's bad for offense and great for defense. It also slows the game way down. Give me the UNDER 136.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 151.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 151.5 between Michigan State and Iowa. The Spartans have made a switch to a smaller lineup and the offense really responded well to the new look with 86 points on the road at Nebraska. I think there's a really good shot they put up at least 85 in this one. Iowa's defense is not good and it's really bad on the road. 

The one thing with the small ball lineup for the Spartans is that is does make them vulnerable inside on defense and Iowa has an absolute star in Garza. I think all we need is for the Hawks to hit 70 points for an easy cash. Give me the OVER 151.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 226) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 226 in Friday's NBA clash that has Boston visiting Minnesota. I think we are getting some value here with the OVER due to a couple big names sitting this out. Kemba Walker won't play for Boston and Karl-Anthony Towns is out for the Wolves. 

Celtics got more than enough offensive fire-power to score a bunch against this awful Minnesota defense. It's going to be a big struggle on that side of the ball for the Wolves with all the new pieces. 

I like the offensive weapons a little more after the moves. Not having Towns is huge, but I also think him not playing really makes it hard for Boston to show up thinking they need to play hard defensively to win this game. Give me the OVER 226! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 236) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 236 between Washington and Cleveland. No doubt this is a big number, but it's really not when you factor in the two teams that are playing. Wizards and Cavs are atrocious on the defensive end. Wizards combine their lack of defense with an uptempo offensive attack and I'm confident they control the tempo here on their home floor and they should be really looking to push it given the long layoff and fresh legs. 

I also think Cavs are a better offensive team with the addition of Drummond and will be a little more explosive offensively now that head coach Beilein is gone. The players simply didn't like him or his ways of coaching. They are going to want to show out now that he's gone to make him look even worse. Give me the OVER 236! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 135) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Thursday's Pac-12 clash between UCLA and Utah. Unless you stay up late or follow the Pac-12 real close, chances are you aren't aware of how much better the Bruins are playing down the stretch. Most expected a smoother transition under first year head coach Mick Cronin, but it just didn't happen. 

Players have bought in. UCLA has won 7 of their last 9 and are quietly sitting just 1-game back of 1st place in the Pac-12. Their defense, as you would expect under Cronin, has gotten better and better. I think that's why there's so much value with the total here. UCLA has allowed under 60 points 5 times in their last 8 games. Utah only averages 63.6 ppg in Pac-12 play and a mere 58.8 ppg in their last 5. Give me the UNDER 135! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 134) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 134. These two teams played earlier this season and combined for just 118 points. Both teams shot poorly, but part of that for Baylor was they couldn't force turnovers. Oklahoma, who is really good at protecting the ball, only turned it over 8 times. Bears are also a team that likes to play slow, so if they aren't getting transition looks, they are eating up clock. 

Oklahoma only lost by 4 in that first meeting, so you have to believe the will go with a similar game-plan and hope their defense, which has been much better at home, can make a few more stops. Scoring on Baylor's defense won't be easy. Bears don't need to force turnovers to keep an opposing team in check. Give me the UNDER 134! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 128.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 128.5 between Baylor and Texas. These two teams already played once this season at Baylor and the Bears won that contest 59-44 for a combined total of just 103 points. I just don't think it's going to be a whole lot different in the rematch. 

Note that Baylor has played two Big 12 teams twice so far this season and both times the second meeting was almost a mirror image of the first. Bears beat Iowa State 68-55 at home and then later won at ISU 67-53. They also beat Oklahoma State 75-68 on the road and then won 78-70 at home. 

I just don't know how Texas is going to be able to score, especially if Kai Jones and Jase Febres (both questionable) can't go. Keep in mind Baylor plays at the slowest tempo in the Big 12 and the Longhorns are 7th out of 10 in tempo. Give me the UNDER 128.5! 

50* NCAAB C-USA TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Over 133) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 133 in tonight's C-USA matchup that has North Texas visiting Middle Tennessee. The Mean Green are the most efficient offense in C-USA with offensive efficiency rating of 115.0. The next best is Louisiana Tech at 108.8. They are shooting 56% on 2-pointers, 42% from deep and 79% from the free throw line. They have scored 70 or more in 6 of their last 8 and should easily hit that mark against the Blue Raiders, who have allowed 80 or more in 4 of their last 6. 

As for Middle Tennessee's offense, they play at the 5th fastest tempo in the conference and are a much better 3-point shooting team than they are inside. Defending the 3-ball has been a struggle for North Texas, as they are 13th out of 14 in 3-pt % defense. Middle Tennessee is also 4th in free throw rate and Mean Green are 10th in defensive free throw rate. They just scored 83 at UTSA and are averaging 75.3 ppg at home. I could see both teams eclipsing 70 and all we need is for 67 each to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 133! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 138) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 138 between Texas Tech and Oklahoma. I think we are getting a great price on the total here because of how high scoring some of these last few games have been for the Red Raiders. Big part of that is their last 3 have come against Kentucky, West Virginia and Kansas. All of which rank in the Top 45 in offensive efficiency. 

The other big key is Tech has lost 3 of 4 and I believe we can count on them really locking in defensively at home in this one to get back on track. Oklahoma's offense has really slowed down in Big 12 play and in their last two road games they managed just 53 points at K-STate and 57 at Baylor. The only time they have scored more than 62 on the road in Big 12 play is at ISU, who is arguably the worst defense in the conference. Give me the UNDER 138!  

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 146.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 146.5 between Alabama and Tennessee. The Crimson Tide are going to put up points, especially at home. Alabama has a tempo rating of 75.9 in SEC play and the next best is South Carolina at 73. There's been just one SEC game out of 8 that they have failed to score at least 76 points and the fewest they have scored at home in conference play is 77. 

Thing is with the loss of Herb Jones the Tide are not nearly as strong defensively and simply must win shootouts. Tennessee is 3rd in the SEC in effective field goal percentage and come in having shot 48% from the field in their last 5. I'm confident the Vols can keep pace here and give us at least 70, which is all we should need to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 146.5. 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 131.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 131.5 in Monday's Big 12 showdown between Texas and Kansas. These two played to a combined score of just 123 a couple weeks ago and the total for that was 129. I think it says a lot that that game went under and yet we are seeing the total even higher in the rematch. 

I couldn't agree more. Kansas is a much better offensive team at home and while Texas' offense struggles on the road, I don't think they can do much worse than scoring 57 points on 40% shooting. Also, both teams shot awful from deep in that first meeting, going a combined 8 for 30 (26%). Considering both teams are shooting 35% from deep on the season, we should see a nice up tick in scoring from a few more 3's made. On top of that, KU was just 67% from the free throw line and Texas was 56%. Give me the OVER 131.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 139.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 139.5 in Saturday's Big 12 matchup that has ISU at Texas. Cyclones play at one of the fastest tempos in the Big 12 are the worst defensive team in the conference. A perfect recipe for a high-scoring game and I think there's value with the total here due to the fact that the Cyclones are coming off a very low scoring game at home against Baylor, where they managed just 53 points and combined for 120. 

It was the second time ISU has had to play Baylor in their first 7 conference games. They have also played games against two other great defensive teams in KU and Texas Tech. Their othre 3 games against TCU, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State all saw a combined score of 149 or more. Texas ranks in the bottom half of the league in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. I see both teams easily scoring 70 points. Give me the OVER 139.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 222.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222.5 between the Raptors and Pistons. I played and won on the OVER last night with Toronto in their game at Cleveland. I thought that total was way too low given how good the Raptors have been offensively and how bad the Cavs defense had been playing. It's basically the same story here. Since Toronto has got healthy their offense has been lights out. Pistons are giving up 118.4 ppg on 48% shooting in their last 5. Toronto will be on no rest, but I think that will impact them more on defense and actually adds value to the over. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (OVER 221.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 221.5 between the Raptors and Cavs. With how good Toronto has been offensively of late and how bad Cleveland has been defensively, I don't know how you don't take a shot on this OVER at this price. 

Raptors have scored 110 or more in 7 of their last 8 games and 5 times during this stretch have scored 122 or more. If they hit that mark, we would only need Cleveland to chip in 100 to cash a winner. Cavs have allowed 7 of their last 9 opponents to shoot 51% or better from the field. They have also scored 106 or more in 6 of their last 7 and this isn't a great spot for Toronto to be shelling out a ton of effort on defense. Give me the OVER 221.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 222.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222.5 in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Knicks hosting the Grizzlies. I think we are seeing a big overreaction with this total because of how much the UNDER has been hitting for both of these teams. UNDER is 7-1 in Memphis' last 8 games and 7-1 in New York's last 8 games. 

Why take the OVER? Both of these teams will be playing on no rest and I just don't see either team being all that locked in defensively. The Knicks especially, who have been downright awful defensively playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. OVER is also 6-1 in the Grizzlies last 7 when playing on no rest. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 135) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 135 in Monday's Big Ten showdown between Iowa and Wisconsin. I just think this is too low a total to pass up a play on the OVER. The Hawkeyes aren't just the best offensive team in the Big Ten, they are No. 3 in the country in offensive efficiency.

Last time out they hosted a Rutgers team who in a lot of ways is similar to Wisconsin with how they like to ground out wins with their defense. That game ended with a 165 points, flying past the total of 138. Opposing teams are shooting lights out from 3 against the Badgers and there's simply no slowing down Luka Garza inside, so I see no reason not to expect Iowa to score close to their season average of 80.2 ppg (79.5 ppg in Big Ten). 

Iowa's fast pace forces teams to play a little faster than they would like and I think the Badgers will be able to get a lot of clean looks from deep, as they got guys 1-5 who can knock it down from 3. Give me the OVER 135! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 218.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in Monday's NBA contest that has Detroit hosting the Cavs. These two teams played a home-and-home earlier this month and both games saw a combined score of at least 227. 

Detroit is dealing with some injuries, but it's not slowed them down. Pistons are averaging 117.2 ppg in their last 5. They will be facing a Cleveland team that is playing no defense right now. Cavs have allowed each of their last 7 opponents to shoot 48% or better with 6 of those going for at least 51%. 

Detroits' defense hasn't been much better in their last two, giving up 125 to the Grizzlies at home and 121 to the Nets. You have to go back to Dec. 3rd to find the last time the Pistons held a team under 100 points. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 224.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 224.5 in Saturday's big Western Conference matchup that has Utah facing off against Dallas. The Mavs are one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league and just got back one of their biggest offensive weapons in Porzingis. Dallas comes in having scored 120 or more in 4 of their last 5 games. 

Dallas is also vulnerable on defense and even more so right now with the recent loss of big man Dwight Powell. Utah is known for their defense, but they are winning games more with their offense this year. The Jazz come in having scored 118 or more in 6 straight games. I could see both teams scoring 120+ in this one and we likely need just one to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 224.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 230) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 230 in tonight's NBA action that has the Grizzlies visiting the Pistons. Memphis ran into a buzz-saw last time out at Boston scoring just 95 points. However, the fact that they got to 95 is impressive, given they had just 17 points in the 2nd quarter and only 19 in the 3rd quarter. 

Prior to this game the Grizzlies had scored 110 or more in 15 straight games. Defense is always going to be a problem for Memphis and Detroit comes in off a 127 outburst at home against a Kings team that was pushing the tempo. Pistons are averaging 117.8 ppg in their last 5. The return of Reggie Jackson is huge as it allows them to keep the pace up with him and Derrick Rose. Give me the OVER 230! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 228)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 228 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Nets. Since Kyrie Irving has returned from injury the Nets have gone just 1-4 with their only win at home against a Hawks team that was down their best player (Trae Young).

In their 4 losses they have allowed no fewer than 117 points and three of those they allowed the opposing team to shoot 50% or better. After going through the motions last night at the Knicks, I expect a much more aggressive LA offensive attack in this one. 

A big reason for that is Irving is back on the floor for Brooklyn, as I don't think there's a guy LeBron enjoys beating more than Irving after what he did to get out of Cleveland. I think the Lakers could score 130 with ease in this one. 

I also think Brooklyn will score here as we just aren't going to get anything close to a max effort defensively from LA playing on no rest in their 4th straight on the road, especially with a big game at Philly on deck Saturday. Give me the OVER 228! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 135.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 135.5 between Wake Forest and Clemson. We have seen the Demon Deacons get torched on several occasions in conference play, as they are giving up 78 ppg. Recently giving up 80 at home to Va Tech and 90 at Duke. 

Clemson is coming off a horrible shooting night at NC State, where they managed just 54 points on 38% shooting, which I think is playing into the favorable number here. Prior to that the Tigers had scored 79 or more in 3 straight. 

The other big thing here is tempo. Wake Forest is playing at the 2nd fastest tempo in the ACC, behind only Duke. I think Clemson will be just fine playing up tempo with how easy it's going to be for them to score. I think that pace will allow the Demon Deacons to contribute enough to push this well over the mark. Give me the OVER 135.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 221) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 221 in Monday's matchup between the 76ers and Nets. Since losing Embiid to injury Philadelphia has really slowed things down. In the 6 games without him they have a pace rating of just  95.42 which is 29th slowest in the league and well below their season average of 101.1. 

The offense without Embiid has been especially bad on the road, scoring just 91 at Dallas, 95 at Indiana and 90 at New York. It's why I'm not concerned at all about the fact that these two teams just combined for 223 points in their meeting last week at Philly. If anything the fact these two teams just played each other adds more value to the UNDER. Give me the UNDER 221! 

50* NCAAB PAC-12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 137) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 137 in Saturday's Pac-12 showdown between Stanford and USC. Stanford, Washington and USC are in a class all of their own in terms of defensive prowess in the Pac-12. The gap between them and the next best team is very noticable. 

Cardinal are No. 1 in defensive efficiency and No. 3 in effective field goal defense. USC is No. 3 in defensive efficiency and No.1 in effective field goal defense. This total is basically for both teams to score 70 and I have a hard time seeing either side get to 65.

UNDER is 30-15 in USC's last 45 conference games and 10-2 in their last 12 at home as a favorite of 6 or less. Give me the UNDER 137! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 225.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 225.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Jazz and Pelicans. Really hard to not like the over when you look at just how good these two teams have been on the offensive side of the ball of late. 

Utah is averaging 122.0 ppg and shooting 52% from the field over their last 5 games, while the Pelicans are scoring 118.8 ppg in their last 5. New Orleans also averages 115.7 ppg at home and have scored 112 or more points in 9 of their last 10. 

Utah is perceived as a great defensive team, but the Jazz have a tendency to not show up on that side of the ball away from home. In their last two road games against the Wizards and Nets, they let both shoot 50% from the field. Give me the OVER 225.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Over 135.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 135.5 for tonight's C-USA clash between Marshall and Charlotte. I just think this total is way to low. Marshall is a team that likes to play fast and aren't afraid to light it up from deep. The Herd did manage to score just 50 in their last game at UAB, but the Blazers are one of the better defensive teams in the conference. 

Key here is just that whenever these two teams play it turns into an offensive game. In the last 8 meetings they have combined for no fewer than 159 points. Marshall simply has a way of making the 49ers play to their preferred uptempo style and I expect that trend to continue, especially with the game on the Herd's home floor. Give me the OVER 135.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 218) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 218 between the Nets and 76ers. The highest combined score in the 76ers last 3 games without Embiid is 207. They are clearly playing at a slower pace too, which is evident by the fact the Mavs only put up 109 points despite making 11 3-pointers and shooting 51% from the field. Nets are T-9th in defensive efficiency and opposing teams are only shooting 43.3% against them, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Give me the UNDER 218! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 228.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 228.5 in Tuesday's NBA clash between the Suns and Hawks. I think there's come value here due to the fact that Phoenix is off a couple of lower-scoring games against the Magic and Hornets, who are also two of the slowest paced teams in the league. In their last game against Charlotte they shot 50% from the field but yet only had 100 because of the pace. Hawks managed just 86 in their last game, but that was with Trae Young sidelined and he's cleared to go for this one. Neither of these teams are great defensively and both can light it up offensively. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

50* NCAAB A-10 TOTAL PLAY OF THE MONTH (Over 136) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 136 as Davidson will host Richmond. The Spiders have really picked up the pace this season compared to last year and while it's early they are playing with the 3rd fastest tempo in the A-10. Davidson might not always play fast, but they are capable of speeding things up as they got the No. 4 ranked offense in the conference. 

Another big thing is that both of these teams can light you up from long distance. Both teams are shooting better than 35% from deep and rank among the tops in the country in percentage of shots from deep. Davidson's 3 conference games have seen an average score of 144.6 and the Wildcats are averaging 88.7 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 136! 

50* CLEMSON/LSU CHAMP GAME PLAY OF THE YEAR (UNDER 68.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 68.5. I was all over the UNDER in the Clemson/Ohio State semifinal matchup and I see this as a very similar matchup, yet we are getting almost a touchdown more to work with as that total was 62. 

I think the 16 days off between games is a big advantage for the defenses, especially when you factor in the two outstanding defensive coordinators that these two teams have. Not to mention the talent on the defensive side for both sides. 

Another thing that I think gets overlooked is the pressure of this game and how the nerves can play into the outcome. I think both teams will be cautious to make a mistake early and they really can't afford any letdowns to eclipse a total like this, as they have average more than 17 points a quarter to eclipse this mark. Give me the UNDER 68.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 218.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Hornets. For starters, the average combined score in Phoenix' home games this season is 230.1 ppg, as they are scoring 115.3 ppg and giving up 114.8 ppg. 

Hornets allow 111 ppg and are giving up 112.4 ppg in their last 5, so we can expect to see Phoenix at least hit their average. Charlotte is coming off a game at Utah where they only scored 92, but that was with them scoring just 13 first quarter points. They averaged 26.3/quarter over the final 3. Hornets had also scored 104 or more in their previous 4 and if they simply get to 100 I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 224) 

I'll take my chances here on the OVER 224 in Saturday's NBA showdown between the 76ers and Mavs. Even though Dallas is playing on no rest after last night's ugly loss at home to the Lakers, they should be ready to go here as the starters didn't have to play big minutes because of the lopsided score.

Note that Dallas shot a mere 40.6% from the field and still put up 114 points against LA. This team is just so explosive on offense and play at such a quick pace that more times than not they will find themselves in shootouts. 

76ers are without leading score Embiid, but his loss actually hurts them more defensively than it does offensively. Philadelphia shot 49% and put up 109 points against Boston without him in their last game and the Celtics are a way better defensive team than Dallas. Give me the OVER 224! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Over 146.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 146.5 between Iowa and Maryland. Hawkeyes are just built for high-scoring games, as they come in 5th in the country in offensive efficiency and 99th on defense. In Iowa's 4 Big Ten games the average score for those games has been 159.7, as they are averaging 79.7 ppg and giving up 80.0 ppg. 

Last time out they only scored 70 at Nebraska, but that's pretty impressive if you factor in they shot just 42% from the field and were a dreadful 4-33 (12%) from deep. They should shoot much better at home in this one, as they are shooting 48% from the field and 36% from deep at Carver this season. 

Maryland averages 74.8 ppg and have done so against a tough schedule. This will be only 7th time they have faced at eam outside the Top 85 in defensive efficiency. They have scored 80 or more in 4 of the 5 with the only exception being in a 74-55 blowout win over Fairfield. Give me the OVER 146.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 224) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 224 in tonight's matchup between Portland and Minnesota. If you look at the overall resume of these two teams the OVER might seem like the obvious play here. However, both teams are dealing with serious injuries and tough scheduling spots, which I think make the UNDER the clear choice. 

Portland is playing their 5th and final game of a brutal 5-game road trip and in their last 6 games rank a mere 23rd in pace of play at 97.2. As for Minnesota, they have really been a different team without Karl Anthony Towns. In the 11 games he's missed the Timberwolves have the 29th worst offensive rating and the best defensive rating. I just think given the circumstances there's a ton of value here. Give me the UNDER 224! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 216) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 216 in Thursday's big matchup between the 76ers and Celtics. I'm just not sure why the total is this high. I get the Celtics just gave up 129 points at home to the Spurs last night and will be on no rest, but I'm convinced that was more of a lack of effort than anything, as they had their eyes set on this matchup. 

On top of that, the 76ers won't have their best player, as Embiid is out with a dislocated finger. That's a massive blow for Philadelphia's offense. He's by far their best offensive threat and he was the main reason that the 76ers won in Boston earlier this season, as he scored 38 points on 12 of 21 shooting. 

Key here is that I do think those that will be playing for Philadelphia are going to give a max effort here with Embiid sidelined and that's going to come on the defensive end. Also, while I expect a much better effort from Boston, I do think they will be playing at a slower pace than normal with their tough schedule of late. Give me the UNDER 216! 

50* NCAAB AAC TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Over 140.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 140.5 in tonight's big matchup between Memphis and Wichita State. I just don't think the number here is anywhere close to high enough with the fire-power these two teams have on offense and the likely pace of play we are going to see. 

Memphis comes in playing at the 9th fastest tempo in the country. Tigers on average shoot the ball in 14.9 seconds, which is the 7th fastest mark. While Wichita State's defense has been great, opponents shots have gone up in 16.4 seconds which is 38th fastest. 

Also the Shockers defensive numbers have been greatly skewed by who they have played. Memphis is 68th in offensive efficiency. It will be the first team Wichita State will have faced that ranks in the Top 125 (9 of their 14 opponents have ranked outside the Top 200). 

Memphis also has great defensive numbers, but in their two games against good really good offensive teams they gave up 82 to Oregon and 78 to NC State. I think both teams hit 70 points no problem. Give me the OVER 140.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 215.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 215.5 between the Jazz and Knicks. I originally liked Utah at -11, but the line has gotten out of control and in turn see a lot more value on the OVER. Knicks played last night in LA and are giving up 120 ppg when playing on no rest this season (124.3 ppg if it's against a team with a winning record). 

Utah is known for their defense, but they are quietly transitioning into a more offensive team. Jazz are 11-1 in their last 12 games and in this stretch have scored 109 or more points in 9 of those games. I also don't see them being all that focused defensively against a bad Knicks team. Note that while New York did score just 87 in last night's loss to the Lakers, they had scored 112 or more in each of their previous 3 games. If they can simply get to 100 I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 215.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MONEYMAKER (Over 220.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 220.5 between Boston and San Antonio. OVER has cashed in 11 of the Spurs last 15 games as they continue to show signs of progress offensively, while continuing to struggle on the defensive end. In the Spurs last 5 games they are scoring 120 ppg and giving up 112.4 ppg. 

Celtics are a good defensive team, but I don't think we see them play up to their potential on that side of the ball tonight, as they will have a hard time not holding back for tomorrow's huge division game against the 76ers. Also 4 of the last 5 meetings in the series have gone OVER, including a game earlier this season where they two combined for 250. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT OVER/UNDER SLAUGHTER (Over 226) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226 in tonight's late action between the Kings and Suns. No one has been playing at a faster pace in their last 3 games than Sacramento and the Suns have been a consistent Top 10 team all season in pace of play (3-points higher at home). I not only think these two teams eclipse the mark, but I think they fly past it. 

In the Kings last 5 games they are giving up 112.6 ppg and scoring 111.2 ppg. In the Suns last 5 they are scoring 115 ppg and giving up 115.2 ppg. Take that combined with the pace of play and both teams have a realistic shot of scoring 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 226! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 132)

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs and Ramblers going OVER the total of 132. UNDER has cashed in 3 straight and 7 of Loyola's last 9 games, which I think is playing into this small total. Drake can light it up, as they have scored 72 or more in 4 straight, eclipsing 80 in 3 of those. All 4 games saw a combined score of 152 or more. 

Last year both meetings between these two combined for at least 150, going off for 159 in the game at Drake. OVER is 7-0 in Drake's last 7 home games after a game that went OVER the total and 9-0 in their last 9 at home after allowing 75 or more in 3 straight games. Give me the OVER 132! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 220) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 220 in tonight's matchup that has Toronto hosting Portland. I just think the number here is way too high given the circumstances for both teams. For Toronto they just can't catch a break. Already down Siakam, Powell and Gasol, they are now going to be missing VanVleet. That's a big loss, as he's a big scorer for them right now and also a guy that gets people easy shots. 

Raptors have also slowed the pace way down with all these injuries. Since losing all those guys in that game at Detroit back on 12/18 their pace of play rating is a mere 24th and figures to drop even more without VanVleet. 

Blazers have been in a lot of high-scoring games of late, but this will be their 4th straight game on the road in a span of just 7 days, as they have had to go from New York, to Washington, to Miami to Toronto. They too are decimated with injuries and I think they will be happy slowing things down and playing at Toronto's new slow pace. Give me the UNDER 220!