6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hawks -7.5
The Key: Off back-to-back narrow defeats to the Nets and Spurs, and further fueled by a 5-point loss at Minnesota earlier this month, the Hawks will be extremely hungry when they hit the floor this afternoon. The T-Wolves enter off an upset win over Houston but are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Minnesota is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games overall and has struggled on the road where it is on a 0-4 SU and ATS slide. These 4 losses have come by an average of 16.8 points. Prior to losing to a very good Spurs team in its last home game, Atlanta had rattled off back-to-back home wins over Utah and Brooklyn by 8 and 14 points, respectively. Lay the number.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +1.5
The Key: The Nuggets were embarrassed at Oklahoma City Wednesday, and they allowed that poor performance to carry over into a 112-108 home loss to the Wizards Friday. After these disappointing efforts, I fully expect Denver to be ready to go this evening. The Nuggets are one of the best teams in the NBA at home where they are 15-3 on the season. The
Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The Nuggets are a rock solid 115-92 ATS under coach Karl when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent. It is also significant that the Thunder enter off a 3-point OT win in Dallas as they are on a 5-15 ATS slide following a road win of 3 points or less and on a 10-23 ATS skid after a close win by 3 points or less. Bet Denver.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Trailblazers -4
The Key: Having had 2 days to gear up for this game, I fully expect the Blazers to bring their 4-game skid to a screeching halt. They have been embarrassed the last two times they faced Milwaukee so this is a game they want badly. The Blazers were upset by Cleveland last time out but they are 9-1 ATS in home games off an upset loss over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average score of 101.8 to 87.4 in this situation. The Bucks check in off a 4-point win at Phoenix but are 0-7 ATS after a win by 6 points or less this season. They have lost by an average of 15.0 points in these games. Lay the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Bobcats +7.5
The Key: Charlotte will be the fresher team tonight as it has had one day of rest more than Orlando. It will also be the hungrier team as it looks to bounce back from Tuesday's embarrassing 27-point loss to the Pacers and goes after revenge for last month's 9-point loss to the Magic. Prior to that defeat, the Bobcats had won or played the Magic to within 7 points in 3 straight matchups. Orlando is a poor 3-13 ATS when playing the last 2 seasons when matched up against teams that have won 25% of their games or less. It has actually lost to these teams by an average of 2.5 points. The Magic are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Timberwolves +5
The Key: The Timberwolves have lost 4 in a row but each of those came on the road. They have been a much better team at home where they are 10-5 on the season. In fact, Minnesota is 7-2 in its last 9 home games with neither of the losses coming by more than 5 points. It has a win over Oklahoma City during this stretch. The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Also, the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hawks -4
The Key: Off back-to-back defeats, including an ugly 97-58 loss at Chicago in their last game, expect the Hawks to come alive tonight. The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points. It is also significant that Brooklyn played last night as it is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing without a day of rest. The home team is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the Nets are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. The Hawks have won 5 in a row versus the Nets with each of these 5 wins coming by at least 5 points. Lay the number.

7* NBA Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +2.5
The Key: The Magic have lost 11 of 12, but they have been very competitive. 7 of these losses have come by 4 points or less or in overtime. They have a win over the Clippers and have played the Nuggets, Blazers, Bulls, Heat and Jazz right down to the wire during this stretch. The Pacers just played last night and this will be their 4th game in 5 days. The Magic have had a days' rest and this is a game they want badly as they were knocked out of the playoffs by the Pacers last season. The Pacers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a win. Also, teams tend to be overvalued following a dominant performance like the one the Pacers had last night. They murdered Charlotte on the boards and only allowed them 4 offensive rebounds. However, Indiana is 0-8 ATS after a game where it gave up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. It has actually lost by an average of .2 points in this situation. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +7.5
The Key: The Raptors have lost the season's first two meetings but only by 7 and 6 points, respectively. With this in mind, I believe Brooklyn is getting a little too much respect here. The Raptors lost by 11 at home to Milwaukee their last time out but are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 10 points. It is also significant that Brooklyn enters off a big 11-point win and cover against Indiana. That's because the Nets are 4-17 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

6* NBA "Total" *CA$H COW* on Clippers/Grizzlies Under 184
The Key: It is significant that Memphis is checks in off a 104-83 upset loss at Dallas. That's because it is 8-0 Under following an upset loss on the road over the last 2 seasons. We have seen just 179.1 total points scored on average in these games. The Grizzlies are also 7-0 Under after scoring 85 points or less this season. We have seen only 175.7 total points scored in these contests. We saw these teams combine for 193 points in the season's first meeting. However, they didn't score more than 178 total points in any of the 3 previous matchups. Bet the Under.

6* NBA "Total" Bailout on Thunder/Trailblazers Under 199.5
The Key: Plays "under" on any top-caliber team that outscores its opponents by 9 points or more per game, after a blowout win by 15 points or more, are 70-41 the last 5 seasons. We have seen just 189.3 total points scored in this situation. The under is 4-1 in the Thunder's last 5 overall and 5-2 in their last 7 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Trailblazers last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games. We only saw 198 total points scored in the season's first meeting when Oklahoma City shot 51.3% from the field. I don't see them lighting up the hoop like that in Portland where the Blazers are a much better defensive team. Bet the Under.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Warriors -7
The Key: Expect a letdown from the Trail Blazers as they head out on the road following last night's come-from-behind win over the defending champs. The Warriors, meanwhile, will be very hungry following back-to-back defeats (SU and ATS). The Warriors are 19-8 ATS all-time under coach Jackson following 2 or more consecutive losses. They are 12-2 ATS under Jackson after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. The Trail Blazers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games following an ATS win, 13-27-1 ATS in their last 41 games following a SU win and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. In addition, Portland is 0-8 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Blazers have lost by an average of 16.1 points in this situation. Lay the points.

6* Never Lost NBA *CA$H COW* on Hawks -4
The Key: The Jazz can't be trusted on the road against quality competition. They are 8-18 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons and have lost these games by an average of 9.6 points. It is significant that Utah enters off a road win at Charlotte in its last game because it is 0-10 ATS all-time under coach Corbin in road games following a road win. It has lost these contests by an average of 10.6 points. Lay the number.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Kings -2
The Key: I don't expect Dallas to have enough legs in this one. It just played in L.A. last night while the Kings have had two days to rest up and prepare. You can bet this is a game the Kings want badly as they were embarrassed 119-96 at Dallas a month ago. Sacramento has won 4 of its last 5 and 6 of its last 8 at home. These wins have come against the likes of Boston, New York, Portland and Golden State so it's not as if the Kings have been playing cream puffs. Dallas has lost 4 in a row and 10 of 11. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Also, the home team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Mavericks +10.5
The Key: Plays on road underdogs that have lost 8 or more of their last 10 games and are up against a team that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 62-27 (69.7%) ATS the last 5 seasons. The Mavs are also on an impressive 43-25 ATS run as an underdog of 10 or more points. Dallas is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Warriors -1.5
The Key: Plays on all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent, provided they are extremely well rest playing 3 or less games in 10 days, are 39-15 ATS since 1996. This system is a perfect 2-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Also, Golden State is 10-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. It is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season and 9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers -1.5
The Key: The Nets, who are coming off a blowout win and cover against the Kings, are 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20 games following a win of more than 10 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Nets are just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The 76ers enter off a double-digit loss to San Antonio but are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Nets are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +8.5
The Key: The Bulls have been overvalued at home all season and are 3-14 ATS in home games as a result. They are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season and have won these contests by only 2.5 points on average. The Bulls are also 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Also, the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Raptors +8
The Key: The Raptors were embarrassed by 20 points at Oklahoma City in the season's first meeting, but they are an impressive 9-1 ATS the last 2 seasons in home games when out for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more. They have won these contests by an average score of 96.4 to 84.2. The Raptors lost at home to the Kings in their last game but are also an impressive 11-2 ATS in home games following a home loss over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average score of 98.1 to 92.6 in these spots. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +6.5
The Key: The Magic have lost seven in a row but four of these defeats came by four points or less so they have been competitive. The Knicks are coming off a big win over the Spurs but are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams that have a losing record. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee Bucks pk
The Key: I'm not hesitating to get behind the Bucks at home in this highly motivated spot. Milwaukee has lost its last 2 but is an impressive 33-16 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Skiles. It has won these contests by an average of 5.6 points. The Rockets are just 5-8 on the road and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet the Bucks.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on New York Knicks pk
The Key: I'm on the Knicks as a pk but still like them laying a point, which is currently the line at some books, because the edge they have in terms of freshness. Plays on home favorites that are well rested - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days - and are up against an extremely tired team - playing their 4th game in 5 days - are 32-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. The "play on" team has won by an average of 12.7 points in this situation. It is also worth noting that NY is 23-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons and has won these games by an average of 6.4 points. The Knicks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss and 30-11 ATS in their last 41 home games. The Spurs are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Knicks have really made strides defensively under Woodson. As a result, they are even 8-0 ATS under his watch versus good passing teams like the Spurs that averaging 23 assists or more per game. They have defeated these teams by an average 8.7 points. Take the Knicks.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +10
The Key: Oddsmakers are undervaluing the Hornets here. New Orleans lost by 9 to Atlanta last night, but it has played the Pacers, Spurs, Warriors and Thunder to within 7 points recently. Plus, it has defeated the Rockets or lost to them by 7 points or less in 11 straight meetings. Now, that's an 11-0 trend I can get behind. New Orleans is 29-15 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons and 22-9 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

6* NBA Bailout on 76ers +9
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats and an embarrassing 13-point home loss to the Lakers last month, expect the 76ers to give the Lakers all they want and more tonight. The Lakers are a poor 11-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. They have won by only 3.3 points on average in these games. They are also 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win and 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS win. It is also worth noting that the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets pk
The Key: Expect LA's 17-game winning streak to come to an end in Denver where the Nuggets are 9-1 this season. The Nuggets will be the fresher team having had 2 days to gear up for this one. I also expect them to be the hungrier team as they look to end a 3-game skid in the series. The Nuggets check in off a loss at Memphis but have been terrific in bounce back spots. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus teams that have a winning road record. Take Denver.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers +2
The Key: The Grizzlies have struggled on the road of late. They have lost 4 of their last 6 road contests and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5. It is significant that Memphis checks in with 2 losses in its last 3 games. That's because it is 1-9 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of its last 3 games over the last 2 seasons and has lost by an average of 5.2 points in this situation. The Pacers have been playing well at home where they have won 4 in a row. They check in off a loss but are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat. Take the points.

6* NBA Bailout on Celtics +3.5
The Key: I'm expecting the Celtics to bounce back strong following Thursday's embarrassing loss to the Clippers when in managed only 77 points. Boston is 23-7 ATS in road games off an embarrassing road loss in which it was held to less than 80 points. It is 15-5 ATS in this situation under coach Doc Rivers and has bounced back to win these games by an average of 2.8 points. Also, plays on road teams off a road loss where they were held to less than 80 points, provided they are a well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 24-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been underdogs of 3.8 points on average but have won by an average of 2.2 points. Lastly, the underdog is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Take the points.

7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -6.5
The Key: The Grizzlies will be hungry tonight as they have lost their last two and each of the season's first two meetings with Denver. Besides being the more motivated side, Memphis will also be the fresher team as it has had two days off while Denver will be playing its second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. The Grizzlies are 10-2 ATS when playing against a team that has a winning record this season. It is also 30-13 ATS in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last three seasons. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz +3
The Key: The Jazz lost the season's first meeting to the Clippers at home but only by 1 point. Dating back to 1996, Utah has won 29 of 33 home games against the Clippers. 3 of these four losses came by fewer than 3 points. In other words, the Jazz have won or lost by less than 3 points in 32 of their last 33 home games against the Clipps. Now, that's a 32-1 trend I can get behind. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Celtics +8.5
The Key: Boston has defeated the Clippers or lost to them by 5 points or less in each of the past 9 meetings. With this in mind, I'll gladly take the points. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Clippers have won 14 in a row and are being overvalued because of it.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bobcats +10.5
The Key: This one has letdown written all over it for Miami, which checks in off yesterday's big win over the Thunder. Home underdogs that have failed to cover the number in four of their last five games, provided they are up against a team that has covered the spread in six or seven of their last eight contests, are 29-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers -3.5
The Key: This is a statement game for the Lakers. They have won each of their last four games and will be out to prove that they are going to be a force to be reckoned with this season. The Knicks won the first meeting at home just over 2 weeks ago, but the Lakers didn't have Steve Nash on the floor. They are a much better team with him orchestrating the offense. The home team has won each of the past three meetings by 7 points or more and covered the number in each. Also, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Lay the points.

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Hawks -3
The Key: Atlanta fits into an awesome wagering situation: home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that check in off an upset loss, provided they and the opponent they are matched up against both carry winning percentages of 60-75%, are 53-20 ATS since 1996. Also, the Hawks have been an outstanding play in the second game when playing on back-to-back nights. They are on a 17-5 ATS run in these games and have won them by an average of 6.1 points. The Bulls are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a win. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +3.5
The Key: The Pacers have struggled on the road, and I believe they'll have a tough time getting the job done against a Cleveland team that will be hungry to end a 5-game skid and to avenge a loss at Indiana earlier this month. The Pacers are just 6-20 ATS the last 2 seasons after covering the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. This trend represents how oddsmakers adjust the lines on teams that are covering often. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Also, the Pacers are just 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Cleveland. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Timberwolves +4
The Key: Oddsmakers are begging for the money to roll in on the Thunder, but I'm not gonna bite. The T-Wolves have covered the spread in each of the past five meetings. Plus, they have covered the number in 5 of the last 6 home meetings in the series. Since Adelman took over as head man, the Wolves have been very competitive, even against good teams. In fact, they are 15-4 ATS under his watch versus teams that outscore the opposition by 3+ points/game. 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two in Minnesota have been decided by 4 points or less. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers +7.5
The Key: The 76ers are being undervalued here as oddsmakers have overreacted to their four-game losing streak and the fact they played last night. Philly has won or lost by 7 point or less to the Rockets in each of the last 9 meetings. The 76ers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Houston. It is also worth mentioning that the road team is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings, and the underdog is 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Take the points.

6* NBA Bailout on Bobcats +12
The Key: The Lakers can't be trusted laying big points as they are just 9-21 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Timberwolves +9
The Key: The Timberwolves aren't getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers tonight, and I'll gladly grab the points as they are 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Sacramento Kings +6
The Key: The Kings are a strong underdog play tonight with the Suns coming off a game in which they allowed less than 85 points after a combined score of 215 or more in two straight games. This situation has been very profitable for the opposing team, going 85-50 (63%) since 1996.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on LA Clippers -6.5
The Key: This plays is as much against the Pistons as it is on the Clippers. NBA teams off of a poor home loss in which they scored less than 80 points have been terrible in their next game historically, going just 38-71 against the spread in similar situations. The Clippers also fall into a sweet spot having just won in blowout fashion where teams in similar situations have rolled to a 44-17 record (72.1%) since 1996.

6* *NBA Cash Cow* get in on part of an awesome 30-17 ATS trend backing the Hornets tonight!

6* NBA Ca$h Cow on Denver Nuggets -4.5

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Grizzlies +2
The Key: The Grizzlies have played exceptionally well over the last two seasons against teams that score over 99 points per game, going 13-4 against the spread against those teams in that time frame. They are also one of the best teams in the NBA versus good free throw shootings teams, posting a 60-33 ATS record against them over the past three season combined. Because of their defense, this Memphis team is going to be a tough win all season. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Clippers -4
The Key: The Clippers play thier best against up-tempo teams, in fact, they are 16-6 against the spread versus teams averaging more than 83 shots per game over the last two seasons. They also play extremely well against poor foul-drawing teams like the Bucks (less than 24 free throw attempts per game), going 10-2 against the spread in that situation. This LA team is build on athleticism and the high tempo of this game should lead to an easy victory by the Clippers.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -5
The Key: Play against teams off of an overtime game (the Nets), on no rest against opponents on two days of rest. This very profitable situation has gone 29-17 over the last several years ATS and is one that is worth following in the right situations. In addition to playing in back-to-back nights off of an overtime game, the Nets are also playing their 4th game in 5 days, another great situation that has gone 24-11 in recent seasons in similar situations. Take the Bulls as the best NBA bet of the day.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Cavaliers +3
The Key: The Bucks have won 3 in a row but are on a 45-73 ATS slide after 3 or more consecutive wins. They are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a win and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Cavs played them to a 3-point game on the road in the first meeting, and I expect them to get the job done at home tonight.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +5.5
The Key: The Warriors are being overvalued following a string of 5 straight wins that included a win over the Heat. Orlando defeated the Warriors on the road earlier this month and will have at excellent shot at doing so against here. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the Warriors are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers +6.5
The Key: I'll gladly grab the points with the Lakers as they head to New York off three straight losses looking to show the NBA that they ARE a contender. Kobe loves the big stage, and I fully expect him to deliver in this national TV affair. The Lakers have won or lost by less than 7 points in 17 of their last 18 games against the Knicks. I also believe coach D'Antoni will coach the heck out of this game against his former team and former assistant coach. Teams headed up by D'Antoni are 30-13 ATS lifetime in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses. D'Antoni knows the Knicks and their personnel well and should be able to devise a solid game plan. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +13.5
The Key: Plays on road underdogs, a cold team that has lost 8 or more of its last 10 games against a hot team that has won 8 or more of its last 10 games, are 58-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Hornets are a terrific 41-26 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons and 19-9 ATS in road games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent. Take the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Bobcats +8
The Key: The Clippers are being overvalued because they have won 7 in a row and are coming off a big win over the Bulls. They are on a 19-38 ATS slide after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games and a 37-60 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Clippers covered the number by a point last night but are still only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. LA has especially been overvalued on the road versus teams that have sub .500 records at home. In fact, it is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Bobcats played the Knicks to a 2-point game as an 8-point dog last Wednesday, and I like them to give the Clippers a game tonight.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +5.5
The Key: The Pistons aren't getting the respect they deserve here considering they are 14-1 in their last 15 home games against the Nuggets and considering the Nuggets are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Detroit has been an outstanding home dog in recent seasons at 32-18 ATS in its last 50 games in the role. Also, the Nuggets are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Detroit. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Rockets +5.5
The Key: The Rockets have been solid at home where they have won 7 of their last 9 games. They are also 3-0 in their last 3 and 7-3 in their last 10 home games against the Spurs. Also, Houston is a perfect 8-0 ATS as a home underdog since the start of last season. It has won by an average of 6.3 points in these games.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns -4
The Key: The Magic started off their road trip strong with a pair of wins but have since dropped their last two and I have them going down again here. The Suns got home at a good time yesterday as they played in LA in the afternoon, and they'll be very focused here knowing they have lost 4 straight to Orlando. 3 of those losses, including the last 2, were on the road so home court should make a big difference. The Suns have won 8 of their last 9 home games in the series, and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. It's also worth noting that the favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This trend hasn't lost since Dec. 2008. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bobcats +8.5
The Key: The aging Spurs are being overvalued on the road against a younger Charlotte squad that will fare better than them playing on consecutive nights. The Bobcats fell to Milwaukee both SU and ATS last night but are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Also, the home team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Spurs won by only 4 points the last time they visited the Bobcats. The time before that they lost. The time before that they won by just 2 points. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +7.5
The Key: The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Hornets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. New Orleans is also 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets have won or lost by 7 points or fewer in 17 of their last 18 home meetings against the Grizzlies. Take the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Nets -6
The Key: After going down to the Heat and Thunder - last season's conference champs - in their last two games, the Nets will be primed and ready to run up the score on a lesser opponent tonight. Because Brooklyn lost to the Warriors on the road last month, it will be very hungry and focused here. The Warriors have struggled to a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 Friday games while the Nets are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Friday games. It is also worth mentioning that the Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Atlantic division while the Nets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. the NBA Pacific division. The Nets are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and have wins of 7 and 10 points against the Knicks and Clippers during this stretch. The Nets are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against the Warriors. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Heat -7
The Key: Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won 4 of their last 5 games, provided they have played 8 or more games in 14 days, are 61-30 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 6 points on average but have lost by an average of 9 points. With the Knicks getting taken down to the wire last night, the Heat will be the much fresher side. Miami is on a 10-2 ATS run in games when it has had 1 day of rest. Also, the Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Miami and have lost these 4 contests by an average of 17.3 points. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Jazz -8
The Key: The Magic are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings with the Jazz, and the 4 losses have come by 9 points or more. Look for a hungry Utah squad that has lost its last three to take out its frustrations all over the Magic tonight.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bobcats +8
The Key: I expect the Knicks to get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's showdown with the Miami Heat. Charlotte, meanwhile, wants this game badly. Not only is it looking to end a four-game slide, but it has been embarrassed the last two times it has faced New York. The Knicks have dropped 3 of their last 4 road games and their road struggles will continue tonight.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nets +4.5
The Key: The Thunder are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Brooklyn team that is 7-1 at home. The Nets are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 home games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Also, plays against road favorites that have covered the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, if they have won 75% or more of their games and are playing a team that has a winning record, are 93-52 ATS since 1996. These teams have been favored by 3.5 points on average but have only won by an average of 0.4. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +4.5
The Key: The Hornets have been a strong play when catching this many points. In fact, they are 28-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets have won 10 straight at home against Milwaukee, and they are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings (3 SU wins, 1 loss by just 4 points). Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bulls -6.5
The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Bulls, who were knocked out of the playoffs by the 76ers last season. It works in Chicago's favor that Philly played a tough one last night. The 76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games when playing without a of rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +8.5
The Key: I expect a strong showing from New Orleans tonight following a disappointing performance versus Utah in its last home game. That 12-point loss bodes well for us here as the Hornets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a defeat of more than 10 points. It is also worth mentioning that the Hornets are on an awesome 46-24 ATS run as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They have only lost by an average of 1.3 points in these games. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +4.5
The Key: This is a huge game for the Magic, who are out for revenge for two losses to the Nets this month and who are trying to close out their season-high 5-game homestand with a winning record. It actually bodes well for us that the Magic are coming off a double-digit defeat since they are 8-0 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average of 3.5 points in these spots. Also, teams coached by Avery Johnson are just 9-32 ATS all-time following a road win of 10 points or more. Take the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Magic +7.5
The Key: The Magic has been solid at home where they are 4-3 this season and should be lacking no confidence after taking Boston to OT as a 5.5-point dog last game. Also, Orlando has won 3 of its last 4 home games against the Spurs with the defeat coming by just 2 points in OT. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. This is also a look ahead spot for San Antonio as it takes on the Heat tomorrow night. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +2.5
The Key: The Suns can't be trusted on the road where they are 1-5 this season. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They are also 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Cavs. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -3.5
The Key: The home team has been the play in this series lately. It has won the last 2 and 4 of the last 5. The last 2 wins by the home team have come by 19 and 20 points, respectively. Also, the Jazz have been exceptional at home for years. They are off to a 5-0 start at home this season and are 4-1 ATS in those games. 4 of these wins have come by 9 points or more. Bet Utah.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers -4
The Key: The Suns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a win. They are on a 0-7 ATS slide versus teams that have a winning record and a 0-5 ATS slide after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The 76ers are 3-0 SU and ATS in the last 3 meetings with each of these wins coming by double digits. Also, the favorite is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers -1
The Key: The Lakers will be hungry to tonight as they check in off back-to-back defeats. Losing the season's first meeting with Dallas back on Oct. 30 will add more fuel to the fire. Prior to that loss, the Lakers had won 4 straight in the series. They are a much better team than they were the first time these two met this season, and I fully expect them to have their revenge here. The Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Also, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take LA.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +4.5
The Key: Oklahoma City is getting too much respect on the road this evening as it goes up against a solid Boston squad that will be hungry following back-to-back disappointing performances. Three of OKC's road contests have been close with two of them being decided by only 2 points so I'm loving Boston catching more than that here. The Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus Eastern Conference opponents. They are constantly overvalued against East teams with the exception of Miami. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings +5.5
The Key: The Lakers have lost their last two in Sacramento by 9 and 17 points and will have a difficult time avenging those losses considering how fatigued they are. They played last night and this will be their third game in four days. They are just 20-35 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons and have only won by an average of 2.5 points in these games. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Raptors +5.5
The Key: This is a big revenge game for the Raptors, who lost by 93-83 at home to the 76ers Nov. 10. Toronto is on an awesome 18-8 ATS run when out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent. It's also worth mentioning that Philly is just 68-104 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996. The Raptors are 18-5-2 ATS in the last 25 meetings in Philadelphia, and the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +7.5
The Key: I know Memphis has been rolling and Denver has lost 3 in a row, but the Nuggets clearly aren't getting the respect they deserve here. Denver is 53-35 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons, 42-25 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and 30-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Kings +3.5
The Key: The Nets have really struggled in Sacramento, where they have lost or won by fewer than 3 points in 12 of the last 13 meetings. The home team is on a 5-1 ATS run in the series. Also, the Nets are just 25-51-2 ATS in their last 78 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games versus a team with a losing mark at home and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bobcats +6
The Key: Off three consecutive big wins over Miami, Oklahoma City and New York, I'm expect a letdown from Memphis. The Bobcats have played Memphis tough. In fact, they have won 5 of the last 7 meetings. The Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -5.5
The Key: The Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 1 day of rest. They are also on an 8-0 ATS run versus teams that outscore their opponents by 6+ points/game and an 8-0 ATS run after 5 straight games of committing 14 or less turnovers. The Grizz have taken it to the Heat and Thunder - the two top teams in the NBA last season - in their last two games, and I expect them to hand the Knicks their first loss of the season tonight.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Warriors -1.5
The Key: Golden State has been a quality investment in bounce back spots. It is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a loss. It especially works in our favor that it is coming off consecutive defeats because it is 18-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Lay the number.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +7
The Key: Plays on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that won 45-55% of their games last season are 38-11 ATS since 1996. These teams have won by an average of 0.9 points. This system is already off to a perfect 4-0 ATS start this season. The Magic are being undervalued here, and the above time-tested system supports this claim. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns +5
The Key: This is a big revenge spot for the Suns, who will be out to end a 6-game losing streak in the series. The Suns were pounded at Utah Saturday, but they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They were outrebounded by 23 boards by the Jazz, but they are 11-2 ATS under coach Gentry following a game in which they were outrebounded by 20 or more. They have won these games by an average of 8.4 points. Lastly, the Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games versus Denver.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +6.5
The Key: The Pistons are 0-7 but have played 6 of their games on the road. Back home and hungry to notch their first win of the year, I expect them to take the Thunder down to the wire. OKC won't be as fresh as Detroit as it played yesterday. And, it will be more interested in its next opponent, Memphis, since it just defeated the Pistons by 11 Friday. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the Pistons.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +8
The Key: Orlando will be extremely motivated here after the egg they laid at home against the Nets Friday night. The Magic are on an awesome 6-0 ATS run when checking into a game following a loss of 10.0 points or more at home. Plus, the Nets are on a 0-4 ATS skid when checking into a game off a victory. Prior to Friday's victory, Brooklyn's only other win came by just 7 points at home against the Raptors. Orlando has thumped Denver and Phoenix and played the Bulls to a 6-point game. Take the points as the Magic keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Jazz -8
The Key: The Suns' only road win came against lowly Charlotte. They were blown out on the road by Orlando and Miami. The Jazz have won both of their home games by double digits and they'll be hungry tonight following last night's ugly performance in Denver. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games,1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Western Conference foes and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on no rest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers +2
The Key: Plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points or more per game and are coming off a loss of 6 points or less are 73-33 ATS since 1996. These teams have been underdogs by an average of 0.9 points and have won outright by an average of 1.8 points. Fueled by two straight losses, expect Indiana to bounce back strong against a team it defeated by double digits in both of last season's meetings.

6* NBA Bailout on Trailblazers +1
The Key: Expect the Clippers to come out flat following last night's emotional win over a San Antonio squad that had swept them in the playoffs. The Blazers are rested having not played since Monday, and they'll be the hungrier team here as they look to avenge two straight narrow defeats to the Clippers. The Blazers have won 6 of their last 7 at home in the series. The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.

6* NBA Bailout on Clippers +2
The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Clippers who were swept by the Spurs in last season's playoffs. Following back-to-back defeats, I have no doubt the Clipps will bring passion and energy to the floor tonight. The Spurs are 4-0 but have played 3 of those at home. We went against them in their only road game and earned the cover with the Hornets. They aren't nearly the same team on the highway. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take L.A.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Raptors +6.5
The Key: The Raptors are 11-2 ATS in road games following a road loss under coach Casey. They have only lost these games by an average of 2.3 points. Their success in this situation has stemmed from a combination of the books overreacting to their previous loss and their resiliency. It is also worth mentioning that Dallas is just 19-42 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games under coach Carlisle. They have only won these games by an average of 2.9 points. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -8.5
The Key: One thing you don't want to do is go against the Bulls when they check in off an upset defeat. That's because they are 23-9 ATS all-time under coach Thibodeau following an upset loss. They have bounced back to win by an average of 10.1 points in this situation. Bet Chicago.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings -2
The Key: The Kings will be very motivated as they finally step foot on their home floor following 3 straight road losses to start the season. They won't be lacking any confidence either having played the Bulls and Pacers very tough. The Kings have been exceptional defensively thus far. They rank No. 2 in the NBA in field goal percentage, holding opponents to just 39.2% shooting. They also rank No. 1 in 3-point field goal percentage defense, holding foes to a ridiculous 16.7%. The Warriors haven't shot the ball particularly well in the early going, and I expect them to really struggle from the floor tonight. Take the Kings.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers -3.5
The Key: The 76ers will be very motivated this evening following yesterday's disappointing performance in New York. The Knicks have won each of their first two in impressive fashion as they've shot the lights out but don't expect the shots to fall as easily tonight as they go out on the road for the first time. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss,4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take Philly.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers +4
The Key: The Knicks are being overvalued following their blowout win over Miami. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. The 76ers should feel rested and be very prepared having not played since Wednesday. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the road team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Trailblazers +5.5
The Key: The Rockets are getting a lot of attention with their 2-0 start and the backcourt of Lin and Harden, and they are being overvalued because of it. The Rockets have defeated Portland by more than 5 points just twice in the past 10 meetings. Teams headed up by Kevin McHale are just 3-14 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. His teams are also just 4-16 ATS in home games following an upset win. The Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on no rest. Also, the underdog is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers +1
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to start the season, the Lakers will go after this one with all they've got. I expected it to take some time for LA to jell after adding additions like Dwight Howard and Steve Nash. The offense looked good last game as it put up 106 points, but the defense was the issue as it gave up 116. Following that poor defensive effort, I fully expect the Lake Show to show up on both ends of the floor in front of their fans. The Lakers have won 2 straight and 4 of the last 5 versus the Clippers. It is also significant that the Lakers are listed as the home team tonight because they are on a 9-0 run against the Clippers when that's the case. This run speaks both to the Lakers being the superior team and the boost received from having the crowd behind them.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Spurs -2.5
The Key: One thing you don't want to make a habit of is going against the Spurs at home where they are on a 23-6-1 ATS run. They went 3-1 at home against Oklahoma City last season with each of the 3 wins coming by at least 3 points. The Spurs were pushed to the limit by New Orleans last night, but you can expect them to play even harder here as they look for revenge against the team that knocked them out of the playoffs.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +7
The Key: The Spurs can't be trusted laying this many points on the road against an improved New Orleans' squad. Their two win in New Orleans last season came by a total of five points. The Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games while the Hornets are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games. The home team is on a 19-7 ATS run in this series. Take the Hornets and the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +6.5
The Key: Oddsmakers love to overvalue the defending champ in season openers and have done it yet again here. Fading the reigning champ in season openers is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 6 seasons. This is a game the Celtics want badly as they were defeated by the Heat in last season's playoffs. I expect them to take Miami right down to the wire with an opportunity for an outright win. Take the points.

7* NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder +3.5
The Key: The Thunder could just as easily be up 3-1 in this series. They blew an excellent opportunity to even the series Tuesday night but have no reason to hand their head. Because of the format, which will have Games 6 and 7 in Oklahoma City, the Thunder have to feel like they still have a chance to win this series. The Thunder have lost 3 games in a row just 1 other time this season and rebounded to win by 16 points following the skid. The Thunder are 15-5 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games under coach Brooks while the Heat are 5-15 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games under coach Spoelstra. The Thunder are also 40-18 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses and 20-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses under Brooks. Down 3-1, OKC isn't expected to win this series. That means it can play loose tonight. All the pressure is on Miami. We'll take the points as the Thunder extend the series.

7* NBA Finals Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder +3.5
The Key: After a pair of narrow defeats in the second and third games of this series, I'm confident the Thunder will break through tonight. Oklahoma City is a strong 39-23 ATS following 2 consecutive losses to an opponent under coach Brooks. It has won by an average of 0.6 points in this spot. It is also 40-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses under Brooks, winning by an average of 1.4 points in this spot. The Thunder are a terrific free throw shooting team but were outscored 31-15 at the line in Game 3 as they only connected on 62.5 percent of their attempts. I don't see OKC getting punished at the line like that again. Consider that Miami is only 8-23 ATS in its last 31 home games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots. The Heat have lost to these foes by an average of 4.5 points. Take the points.

7* Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder +4.5
The Key: The Thunder got out very slow in both Games 1 and 2. They were able to earn a come-from-behind victory in Game 1 but fell short in their comeback attempt in Game 2. They quite possibly could have completed another comeback in Game 2 had a foul been called on LeBron James when he was defending Durant's baseline runner. The focus for OKC tonight will be to not dig themselves a hole early. The key will be Westbrook not taking poor shots early in the shot clock during the first quarter. I expect him to make an effort to go to Durant early to get him off. The Thunder are the more explosive offensive team and will have an excellent opportunity to win this game if they can keep it close in the first quarter. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 60-29-1 ATS in their last 90 games following a SU loss. The road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the Thunder are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami.

7* NBA Finals *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder -5.5
The Key: Going back to last season, the Heat are now 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 NBA Finals contests. They are also 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. In addition, OKC is 9-0 at home in these playoffs with those wins coming by an average of 10.7 points. Miami got good production from its role players in Game 1, but it still wasn't enough. The Thunder came back from 13 down despite getting much of anything from spark plug James Harden. I like Harden to be a major factor tonight and for the Thunder to go up 2-0. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder -5
The Key: When the Heat have been deemed an underdog by the books it has been for good reason as they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Thunder, on the other hand, are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Oklahoma City is also 4-0 ATS in its last 4 home games, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win and 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. The Thunder are the more rested team, and they have the advantage at home where they haven't lost in these playoffs.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat -8
The Key: Miami has only lost 7 home games all season and thus far it is an unbeaten 6-0 in its next home game following a home defeat, winning those games by a whopping 20.7 points on average. I fully expect this trend to continue tonight. The Heat are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. LeBron James proved he is the best in the world with his Game 6 performance. Look for him to take over Game 7 as well. Lay the points.