04-03-12 |
New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers -5.5 |
|
104-112 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers -5.5 The Key: Indiana will be out for some serious revenge here after losing to the Knicks on consecutive days last month. The Knicks are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
|
04-03-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Toronto Raptors -9 |
|
87-92 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Raptors -9 The Key: The Bobcats are a poor 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Raptors are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Raptors are the more talented team, they're playing better basketball and they'll be lacking no motivation having lost 6 in a row in the series.
|
04-02-12 |
Utah Jazz +2.5 v. Portland Trailblazers |
|
102-97 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Jazz +2.5 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers cannot be trusted following Sunday's double-digit win over the T-Wolves as they 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
|
04-02-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Dallas Mavericks -4 |
|
94-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Mavs -4 The Key: Dallas is 10-0 in its last 10 home games versus the Clippers, winning those games by 10.7 points on average.
|
04-02-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +8 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
94-88 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies +8 The Key: Memphis is 11-1 ATS the last 2 seasons when matched up against a team with a winning percentage above 70% in the second half of the season. It has won by an average of 3.0 points in this spot.
|
04-01-12 |
Golden State Warriors +10.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
112-120 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Warriors +10.5 The Key: The Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pacific division opponents, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings with the Lakers. The Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.
|
04-01-12 |
Indiana Pacers +4 v. Houston Rockets |
|
104-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers +4 The Key: This is a system play. Road teams (INDIANA) that have failed to cover in 3 of their last 4, an extremely tired team playing 9 or more games in 14 days, are 37-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 5.7 points in average but have only lost by an average of 0.8. Look for the Pacers to take Houston down to the wire.
|
04-01-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Orlando Magic -5 |
Top |
104-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Game of the Week on Magic -5 The Key: The Magic are a team capable of beating anybody or losing to anybody, but I love them at home today. Off consecutive defeats, we can be assured that they'll leave it all on the floor. Plus, the Magic are 13-1 in their last 14 home contests against the Nuggets and those wins have come by over 11.0 points on average. Denver is coming off a win but hasn't won consecutive games since early last month. It is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 contests following a victory.
|
03-31-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Philadelphia 76ers -6 |
Top |
90-95 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers -6 The Key: The Hawks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the Hawks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The 76ers have won the last 4 meetings in this series by an average of 16.0 points and will be very hungry tonight after getting embarrassed by Washington last night.
|
03-30-12 |
New Jersey Nets v. Golden State Warriors -3.5 |
|
102-100 |
Loss |
-111 |
16 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Warriors -3.5 The Key: The Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
|
03-30-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +5 |
|
121-84 |
Loss |
-107 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs +5 The Key: The Cavs have lost 5 in a row and both meetings with Milwaukee this season, so they'll be playing some inspired ball tonight in hopes of stopping the bleeding. The Bucks are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 versus division foes. Also, they are 5-13 ATS this season after failing to cover the number in 2 of their last 3 games. They have lost by an average score of 100.6 to 96.4 in this situation.
|
03-30-12 |
New York Knicks v. Atlanta Hawks -3 |
Top |
90-100 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 60 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hawks -3 The Key: Expect the Knicks to struggle tonight on the road without Amar'e Stoudemire against a physical Atlanta squad that ranks 5th in the NBA in scoring defense with 93.1 ppg allowed. The Knicks have dropped 7 of their last 9 on the highway while the Hawks have won 7 of their last 10 at home. We'll lay the points as I expect the Hawks to be extremely focused after the whoopin' Chicago gave them Wednesday.
|
03-29-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers -105 |
|
102-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Lakers -105 The Key: The Lakers have won 11 of their last 12 at home in this series by over 10.5 ppg on average. The Thunder enter off a double-digit win and cover in Portland but are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Thunder have lost 2 of their last 4 on the road to lesser teams (Hawks, Jazz). This is their toughest road contest to date (in my opinion), and I have them coming up short against an LA squad that is 20-4 at home on the season.
|
03-29-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat -8 |
Top |
85-106 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat -8 The Key: After consecutive double-digit losses, the Heat will be out for blood against the team that took them down in the Finals. History is on our side in a big way as home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team (winning 60% to 75% of their games) playing a team with a winning record, are 41-17 (71%) ATS the last 5 seasons. It must be noted that the Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat of more than 10 points. The Mavs have dropped 8 of their last 10 on the highway with those 8 defeats coming by an average of 10.8 points. Their last 3 road losses have come by an average of 19.0 points. We'll bet Miami.
|
03-28-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Clippers -7 |
|
86-103 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Clippers -7 The Key: The Clippers, who have endured a pair of narrow defeats to Phoenix this month, will be out for some serious revenge tonight. The Suns are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-28-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. New Jersey Nets +5.5 |
|
84-100 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +5.5 The Key: The Pacers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-28-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Toronto Raptors +4 |
Top |
96-105 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +4 The Key: The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of less than 5.0 points and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU victory. The Raptors are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of less than 5.0 points.
|
03-27-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks -1.5 |
Top |
101-108 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bucks -1.5 The Key: The Hawks can't be trusted as a small dog considering they are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of less than 5.0 points. The Bucks have dropped consecutive games but are an awesome 30-15 ATS in their last 45 home contests following 2 or more consecutive defeats. They haven't just covered the number in these games, they've won outright on average by a score of 101.9 to 96.3. We'll grab the Bucks at home in this bounce back spot.
|
03-26-12 |
Denver Nuggets +8 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
108-91 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Nuggets +8 The Key: The Nuggets are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games as an underdog and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog of 5.0 to 10.5 points.
|
03-26-12 |
Utah Jazz v. New Jersey Nets -118 |
Top |
105-84 |
Loss |
-118 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nets -118 The Key: This is a nightmare of a situation for Utah, which is playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back following a brutal 4-overtime loss Sunday. The Jazz, who have struggled on the road, are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of less than 5.0 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. We'll take New Jersey.
|
03-26-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Bobcats +7 |
|
102-95 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +7 The Key: The Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Bobcats and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games when valued as a favorite of 5.0 to 10.5 points.
|
03-25-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +7 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
102-96 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies +7 The Key: Teams playing the second game of a back-to-back are often undervalued due to the fatigue factor. This young Memphis team, however, hasn't looked fatigued in back-to-backs. In fact, it is 25-6 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 99.3 to 95.5. Also, the Lakers 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-25-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 |
|
108-83 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs +3.5 The Key: The Cavaliers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of less than 5.0 points. Also, the Suns are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series.
|
03-24-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +3.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
101-99 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* Mavs +3.5 The Key: The Mavericks are 17-6-1 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog.
|
03-24-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +6 v. New Jersey Nets |
|
89-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +6 The Key: The Nets are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 home games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
|
03-24-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Washington Wizards +3.5 |
|
95-92 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards +3.5 The Key: The Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
03-23-12 |
New Jersey Nets +8 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
84-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +8 The Key: The Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. Atlantic division opponents.
|
03-23-12 |
Miami Heat v. Detroit Pistons +8.5 |
|
88-73 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Pistons +8.5 The Key: The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Pistons are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-23-12 |
Phoenix Suns +3.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
113-111 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Suns +3.5 The Key: The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 5 points or less, and the Pacers are 8-25 ATS in their last 33 games when playing without a day of rest.
|
03-23-12 |
New York Knicks v. Toronto Raptors +5.5 |
Top |
79-96 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +5.5 The Key: The Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite while the Raptors are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
|
03-22-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Sacramento Kings -1.5 |
Top |
103-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings -1.5 The Key: The Jazz are only 6-16 on the road this season and have lost their last 2 in Sacramento by 9 and 7 points. The Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of fewer than 5 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Kings.
|
03-21-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. San Antonio Spurs -9.5 |
|
100-116 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Spurs -9.5 The Key: The Spurs are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-21-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Toronto Raptors +7.5 |
|
94-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Raptors +7.5 The Key: The Toronto Raptors are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games as an underdog.
|
03-21-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Orlando Magic -8.5 |
Top |
93-103 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Blowout Game of the Year on Magic -8.5 The Key: Plays on home teams (ORLANDO) off an upset loss by 15 points or more that are up against an opponent off a road cover where it lost straight up as an underdog are 25-6 ATS since 1996. Teams have won by an average of 12.7 points in this situation. Also, teams coached by Stan Van Gundy are 14-3 ATS all-time after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. The Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite, and the favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Magic have won the last 2 and 4 of the last 5 against Phoenix with those 4 wins coming by 23, 16, 22 and 12 points.
|
03-20-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings +3.5 |
|
110-119 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Kings +3.5 The Key: The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite while the Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
|
03-20-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Indiana Pacers -3.5 |
Top |
89-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pacers -3.5 The Key: The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Pacers have won the two games played in Indy during this stretch by an average of 20.0 points.
|
03-19-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Denver Nuggets -4 |
|
112-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* Nuggets -4 The Key: The Dallas Mavericks have dropped their last 7 away from home with those 7 losses coming by 9.4 ppg.
|
03-19-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +2 v. Golden State Warriors |
|
97-93 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves +2 The Key: The Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
|
03-19-12 |
Boston Celtics +1.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
79-76 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Celtics +1.5 The Key: The Atlanta Hawks are only 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games as a favorite of fewer than 5 points.
|
03-18-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Miami Heat -8.5 |
|
81-91 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Heat -8.5 The Key: Miami is 18-2 at home where it has won by an average of 12.5 points and defeated Orlando by 12 points last month. The Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-18-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 |
|
103-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Cavaliers +2.5 The Key: The Cavs are on an 8-1 ATS run as an underdog of less than 5 points.
|
03-17-12 |
Golden State Warriors +7.5 v. Utah Jazz |
|
92-99 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Warriors +7.5 The Key: The Warriors are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-17-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks -3 |
|
99-106 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Mavericks -3 The Key: The Mavs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against good teams carrying better than a 60% winning percentage.
|
03-17-12 |
Toronto Raptors v. Charlotte Bobcats +2.5 |
|
103-107 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +2.5 The Key: The Raptors are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Bobcats.
|
03-16-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +8 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
92-97 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves +8 The Key: The Timberwolves are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games as an underdog, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games versus Minnesota and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-16-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Sacramento Kings +3 |
|
95-120 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Kings +3 The Key: I like the Kings in the home dog role regardless of whether Tyreke Evans plays tonight. The Celtics are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. The Kings are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.
|
03-16-12 |
Portland Trail Blazers +9 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
100-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Blazers +9 The Key: The Blazers traded away some key players and fired their coach but I still expect them to show up tonight following back-to-back embarrassing losses. Luol Deng's wrist isn't at full strength and Derrick Rose is expected to miss with a groin injury. The Bulls will be much more concerned with tomorrow's game against Philly, which gives Portland an excellent opportunity to cover this number.
|
03-15-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder -1 v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
103-90 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder -1 The Key: The Thunder are 52-24-1 ATS in their last 77 games following a loss, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take OKC.
|
03-14-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. New Orleans Hornets +5 |
Top |
107-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Hornets +5 The Key: The Lakers continues to be overvalued on the road despite continuing struggles away from home and we'll take advantage. L.A. is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games when listed as a favorite.
|
03-13-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. Sacramento Kings -3 |
Top |
115-89 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings -3 The Key: The Warriors are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series.
|
03-12-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +4 v. Phoenix Suns |
|
127-124 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves +4 The Key: The Timberwolves are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. In addition, the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
|
03-12-12 |
Detroit Pistons v. Utah Jazz -7.5 |
Top |
90-105 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -7.5 The Key: Off consecutive defeats on the road, the Jazz are back home where they are 14-6 on the season. Expect them to bounce back strong against a Detroit team that is just 3-15 on the highway this season. The Jazz have won their last 8 at home in this series with those victories coming by an average of 9.0 points. Lay the number.
|
03-11-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Denver Nuggets -6 |
Top |
94-91 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets -6 The Key: Denver has won 8 in a row at home against the Grizzlies and is 18-1 at home all-time against the Grizzlies since they moved to Memphis. 7 of Denver's last 8 home wins against Memphis have come by at least 9 points.
|
03-10-12 |
Indiana Pacers +9.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
91-93 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Pacers +9.5 The Key: As if enduring consecutive losses isn't enough motivation, the Pacers will draw further incentive from losses of 35 and 15 points to Miami in the season's first two meetings. The results of those matchups will cause Indiana to be more focused than it has been all season. The Heat can't help but take the Pacers lightly here with the way they dominated the first two. The fact Miami enters off 2 days' rest is great news considering it has lost 8 in a row ATS when playing on 2 days' rest. It is only winning by an average score of 99.6 to 98.6 in this situation. This is a great spot for a hungry Indiana team against a Miami squad that will be overlooking its opponent.
|
03-10-12 |
Portland Trailblazers -5 v. Washington Wizards |
|
110-99 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* Trail Blazers -5 The Key: Portland is struggling but should be able to get back on track against the lowly Wizards. Washington came from 21 down to beat the Lakers in their last game but are 6-25 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 12.4 points in this situation.
|
03-09-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers +5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
|
120-108 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* Clippers +5 The Key: The LA Clippers have been a solid investment when catching points, covering the spread in 5 of their last 6 as an underdog.
|
03-09-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers -113 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
Top |
105-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers -113 The Key: Following back-to-back losses to lowly teams in which the Lakers blew double-digit leads, look for LA to drop the hammer on the T-Wolves. The Lakers are on a 17-0 run against Minnesota with 10 of those wins coming by 10 points or more.
|
03-09-12 |
New Jersey Nets v. Charlotte Bobcats +1.5 |
|
83-74 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +1.5 The Key: The Nets have been a fool's gold favorite at 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in the role.
|
03-08-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Phoenix Suns +3.5 |
Top |
94-96 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Suns +3.5 The Key: The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less.
|
03-07-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 |
|
106-104 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Bucks +7.5 The Key: Milwaukee is 8-1 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog this season. It has won by an average of 6.9 points in this situation.
|
03-07-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Philadelphia 76ers -6 |
Top |
71-103 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers -6 The Key: The Celtics are on an 0-7 ATS slide on the road, and we'll continue to fade them on the road here.
|
03-06-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Detroit Pistons +6 |
Top |
85-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Public Massacre Game of the Year on Pistons +6 The Key: The Lakers have either lost or won by 5 points or less in all 18 of their road games this season. This creates a powerful 18-0 trend in our favor. The Pistons have either won or lost by 6 points or less in 10 of their last 12 at home. We'll take the points.
|
03-05-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers +3 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
94-95 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* Clippers +3 The Key: The Timberwolves 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of fewer than 5 points.
|
03-05-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 |
|
109-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Cavaliers +2.5 The Key: The Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of fewer than 5 points.
|
03-03-12 |
Detroit Pistons +8 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
83-100 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +8 The Key: The Pistons are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-02-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Toronto Raptors +4.5 |
Top |
102-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +4.5 The Key: Toronto, which is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games, should not be catching this many points against a Memphis team that is just 6-10 away from home. The Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
03-01-12 |
Miami Heat v. Portland Trail Blazers +4.5 |
|
107-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Trail Blazers +4.5 The Key: Plays on home underdogs (PORTLAND) - in non-conference games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, are 45-17 ATS since 1996. This system is a perfect 9-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.
|
03-01-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Orlando Magic +1 |
Top |
105-102 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +1 The Key: Orlando has dominated the Thunder at home. It has won 7 straight at home against the Seattle/Oklahoma City franchise. The last 3 wins came after Seattle moved to OKC and those victories came by an average of 15.3 points. The Magic won last season's home meeting by 23 points. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
02-29-12 |
Portland Trailblazers v. Denver Nuggets -3 |
|
95-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Nuggets -3 The Key: Denver has won 6 consecutive home games against Portland by margins of 8, 16, 12, 17, 18, and 19 points.
|
02-29-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz -2.5 |
Top |
83-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -2.5 The Key: We'll fade Houston tonight as plays against road teams after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, are 26-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, the Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus teams with a losing road record.
|
02-29-12 |
Golden State Warriors +7 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
85-82 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Warriors +7 The Key: The Warriors are an impressive 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-28-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Sacramento Kings -3.5 |
|
96-103 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Kings -3.5 The Key: The Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Jazz.
|
02-28-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
|
97-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Pistons +4 The Key: The Pistons are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games while the 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games.
|
02-28-12 |
Toronto Raptors +10 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
85-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +10 The Key: The Raptors aren't getting the respect they deserve from odds makers this evening and we'll look to take advantage. Houston has been a good home team this season but has won by double digits just once in its last 5 home games. The Raptors have been playing some ball. They are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 with losses to the Heat, Lakers and Spurs (3 legit title contenders) coming by an average of 5 points. Also, none of these 3 won by more than 7 points. The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
|
02-23-12 |
New York Knicks +9 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
88-102 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* (TNT) on Knicks +9 The Key: The Knicks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Heat. NY is an incredible 30-11 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, only losing these games by an average of 1.0 point.
|
02-22-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks +11.5 v. Chicago Bulls |
Top |
91-110 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Bucks +11.5 The Key: The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Also, the Bulls are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater.
|
02-22-12 |
Atlanta Hawks +7 v. New York Knicks |
|
82-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Hawks +7 The Key: The road team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
|
02-22-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Charlotte Bobcats +6 |
|
102-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +6 The Key: The Pacers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-21-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 |
Top |
97-137 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Trail Blazers -3.5 The Key: Last night's loss in LA and last month's loss in San Antonio will have the Trail Blazers jacked up tonight. They have defeated the Spurs 6 straight times at home and are 5-1 ATS in those games. Lay the number.
|
02-20-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors +3 |
|
97-104 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Warriors +3 The Key: The Warriors have been extremely competitive at home where they have only lost by more than 3 points once in their last 10 games. The home team is 18-8-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings, and the Clippers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings at Golden State.
|
02-20-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Utah Jazz +3.5 |
|
106-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Jazz +3.5 The Key: The Spurs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points while the Jazz are10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points.
|
02-20-12 |
Washington Wizards +6 v. Phoenix Suns |
|
88-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards +6 The Key: The Suns are coming off a big win over the Lakers but can't be trusted here. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-20-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Milwaukee Bucks +2.5 |
|
93-90 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Bucks +2.5 The Key: After losing the season's first two meetings with Orlando, expect the third time to be a charm. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and the Magic are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
|
02-20-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Houston Rockets -3 |
|
93-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Rockets -3 The Key: The Rockets have won 10 straight at home versus Memphis, and these wins have come by 12.2 points on average. The Grizzlies are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog.
|
02-20-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +11.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +11.5 The Key: Playing on underdogs of 10.0 points or more that are out to avenge a road loss to a foe, provided the "play on" team is only taking the court for the 2nd time in 5 days, has produced a 120-72 (62.5%) ATS record since 1996. Teams in this situation have been underdogs of 12.2 points on average but have lost by only 9.8 points on average. This system has produced a 16-6 (73%) ATS mark the last 3 seasons. Also, New Orleans is on a 13-4 ATS run when catching 11.0 points or more.
|
02-20-12 |
New Jersey Nets +9.5 v. New York Knicks |
|
100-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +9.5 The Key: Carmelo Anthony's return will likely temporarily interrupt the chemistry the Knicks have developed without him. Plus, the Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
|
02-19-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns +3 |
Top |
90-102 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Suns +3 The Key: The Lakers are just 4-11 ATS on the road this season, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. teams with sub .500 home marks and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games.
|
02-19-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers +1 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
91-92 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* 76ers +1 The Key: The Timberwolves are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and 18-40 ATS in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
|
02-19-12 |
Boston Celtics -5.5 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
81-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Celtics -5.5 The Key: Extra rest should do this veteran Boston team some good. The Celtics are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Also, the Celtics are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings at Detroit.
|
02-17-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Philadelphia 76ers -3 |
Top |
82-75 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on 76ers -3 The Key: The Mavs are expected to be without Rodrique Beaubois, Delonte West and Jason Terry tonight, which means they'll be lacking quality depth against one of the deepest teams in the league. Dallas likely keeps this one close through 3 quarters but runs out of gas down the stretch, opening the door for the 76ers to cover this number. The 76ers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games. Lay the points.
|
02-17-12 |
Miami Heat v. Cleveland Cavaliers +10 |
|
111-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs +10 The Key: The Cavs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
|
02-17-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +7 v. Toronto Raptors |
|
98-91 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +7 The Key: The Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Toronto.
|
02-16-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls -8 |
Top |
80-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -8 The Key: Fading underdogs (BOSTON) off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more, a team winning 51-60% of its games playing a winning team, has produced a 29-8 ATS mark the last 16 years, including a perfect 6-0 ATS record the last 3 seasons. The Celtics have lost 3 of 4 and 2 of those losses came to Toronto and Detroit. With Sunday's loss at Boston fresh in their minds, expect the Bulls to roll at home, where they are 10-1 with a 13.0-point average margin of victory.
|
02-15-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets +4 |
Top |
95-96 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Underdog Game of the Year on Rockets +4 The Key: I love the Rockets catching 4 points at home, where they are 10-3 on the season, in this double revenge spot. OKC has won the first 2 meetings but only won by 3 points at Houston, where it has won by more than 4 points just 1 time in the last 14 meetings. We'll take the points for insurance, but I like Houston to win this one straight up.
|
02-14-12 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +3 |
Top |
105-90 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pacers +3 The Key: Plays against road favorites (MIAMI) that have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 50-17 ATS since 1996. The "play against" side has been favored by an average of 3.7 points in this system but has lost by 1.5 points on average. Indiana will be the fresher team tonight as it has had 2 days' rest while the Heat will be playing their third game in 3 days. The Pacers also hold a motivational edge as they look to avenge a bad loss to the Heat last month. Great spot for Indiana. Take the points.
|
02-13-12 |
Utah Jazz v. New Orleans Hornets +4 |
Top |
80-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +4 The Key: The Jazz, who are just 3-7 on the road this season, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Plus, the Hornets have a huge scheduling advantage tonight. They have had 2 full days of rest and prep time while the Jazz just played yesterday. The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Also, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the points.
|
02-13-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +5 v. Orlando Magic |
|
89-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves +5 The Key: The Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Timberwolves are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-12-12 |
Washington Wizards +6 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
98-77 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards +6 The Key: Detroit hasn't proven it is worthy to be laying this many points. It is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite.
|
02-12-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Boston Celtics +3 |
Top |
91-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +3 The Key: The Boston Celtics are a strong 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 home games when valued as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Chicago Bulls, on the other hand, are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when valued as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The value lies with the home dog here.
|
02-10-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz +1.5 |
|
101-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Jazz +1.5 The Key: The Jazz will be the fresher team tonight and that will serve them well. This will be Oklahoma City's 2nd game in as many days, 4th game in 5 days and 7th game in 10 days. The Jazz have had 2 days to rest and prepare for this contest. The Jazz are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
|