This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. We won with the Phillies on Tuesday as they snapped a four-game losing streak, but they gave it back last night in a 5-4 loss. They are now back to .500 on the season and trail the Braves by four games in the National League East. They are still in good shape to clinch a Wild Card berth with 12 games left. The Mets will need a huge push as they are five games under .500 and would have to pass six teams in order to claim a Wild Card spot. Philadelphia will turn to Aaron Nola who is 5-3 with a 2.40 ERA in nine starts this season. Nola is 1-1 with a 2.19 ERA against the Mets this season. Seth Lugo counters for the Mets and he has been solid with a 2.63 ERA through four starts, but he has made it past five innings only once. Here, we play on home teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg and batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, going up against a National League starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better. This situation is 52-20 (72.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (910) Philadelphia Phillies

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. The Islanders staved off elimination with a 2-1 double overtime win over Tampa Bay on Tuesday to cut the series deficit to 3-2. Though New York played a structured game, it did not generate much offense as the Islanders had just 24 shots in nearly 90 minutes. The New York offense has fizzled in managing just 11 goals against Tampa Bay, including a 5-3 win in Game Three. The Islanders had combined for 28 goals in their previous eight games. If the Lightning feel pressure, they are not letting on that this is the case. Lightning coach Jon Cooper liked the way his team played and thinks they will be just fine if they keep playing that way. Tampa Bay is 20-3 against the money line after scoring one goal or less in their previous game while the Islanders are 1-4 in their last five games following a win. 10* (11) Tampa Bay Lightning

This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Miami overcame a 14-point deficit by outscoring Boston 35-23 in the fourth quarter and eventually won in overtime to take the opener of the Eastern Conference Finals. One favorable takeaway is that Boston outscored Miami 28-16 in the third quarter and held the Heat to their lowest scoring total for a quarter in the playoffs. This is noteworthy because Boston lost every third quarter to the Raptors in the East semifinals. Kemba Walker will be the key for Game Two. He has been extremely inconsistent on offense and while he has played some solid defense in the playoffs, he was bad on Tuesday as NBA tracking had him giving up 22 points on 9-18 shooting. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 103 or more ppg on the season, after a win by 3 points or less. This situation is 143-89 (61.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (702) Boston Celtics

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Cleveland got hammered in its opener 38-6 at Baltimore but the score is a bit skewed. The Browns were outgained by just 71 total yards, had only three fewer first downs and won the time of possession. Four of the six Baltimore scoring drives started at midfield or in Cleveland territory, so field position played a big role. The defense needs to step up and they can do so here against a rookie quarterback. Joe Burrow was decent but unspectacular as he threw for just 193 yards while tossing an interception and having no touchdown passes although he did run for one. The defense played surprisingly well but the Bengals will be facing a more loaded roster this time around. The Browns will be out for revenge as one of the Bengals two wins last season came in the season finale. The Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite while the Bengals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 10* (102) Cleveland Browns