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Matt Fargo NBA Top Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
06-10-26 Spurs v. Knicks UNDER 216.5 Top 106-107 Win 100 12 h 1 m Show

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS/NEW YORK KNICKS UNDER for our NBA Totals Enforcer. We will be playing a rare total here as both the Spurs and Knicks shot the ball above expectations in Game Three and they should come back to the mean. The game easily went over the total after the first two games stayed under and we expect more of a defensive battle with more adjustments being made. The Spurs were successful in slowing the game down and coming off the win, they will use that same blueprint as after having a combined 56 transition possessions in the first two games, they had only 14 in Game Three as less chaos produced better results. While the shooting was better, New York is going to adjust with a priority going against Stephon Castle who erupted for 23 points. We believe we saw the ceiling for San Antonio on offense and with this being a pivotal game for both sides, it will be a vanilla fest to limit mistakes. Historically, these games do stay low as we play on the under in the NBA Finals with a total between 210 and 219.5. This situation is 30-8 (78.9 percent) to the under since 2022. Play (507) San Antonio Spurs/(508) New York Knicks Under

06-08-26 Spurs +2.5 v. Knicks Top 115-111 Win 100 10 h 17 m Show

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Spurs fought back from a 14-point deficit with a huge fourth quarter only to just fall short as a costly turnover and subsequent foul by Victor Wembanyama gave the Knicks the game and San Antonio is now in trouble, down 2-0 and having to hit the road. This is the first NBA Finals game at MSG in 27 years so the crowd energy will be intense but it might not be as intense as it could be with ticket prices being out of control and most of the true Knicks fans cannot attend. The Spurs outshot the Knicks 47.4 percent to 41.6 percent in Game Two but again had trouble scoring in transition as well as scoring easy baskets as their 1.15 points per possession during the regular season has dropped to 0.84 in this series. Second chance points have been an issue as well as they have been outscored 37-23 and a lot of this comes down to being more physical and they have to accomplish that or this series is done if it isn’t already. The Knicks have won 13 straight games and are 12-1 ATS so we are stepping in front of this historical run once again. San Antonio is 15-1 this season after having lost two of its last three games. 10* (505) San Antonio Spurs

06-05-26 Knicks v. Spurs -6 Top 105-104 Loss -110 9 h 35 m Show

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We came up small with San Antonio in Game One as the Spurs shot a miserable 36 percent from the floor including 25.6 percent from long range which was a completely opposite result from their previous two games against Oklahoma City. This is a good bounce back spot historically and we are seeing a two-point jump in the number from Game One as the Knicks are a team no one wants to get in front of right now as they have won 12 straight games while failing to cover all but one of those. Home favorites off a Game One loss that are a top two seed going up against teams that are not a top two seed have gone 27-9 straight up and 21-14-1 ATS after round one so a bounce back is the typical result and this is obviously a must win for the Spurs. San Antonio is 29-7 following a game where it failed to cover the spread this season, Here, we play on home teams off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road wins. This situation is 29-7 (80.6 percent) since 2022. 10* (504) San Antonio Spurs

06-03-26 Knicks v. Spurs -4.5 Top 105-95 Loss -115 58 h 56 m Show

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Playoff Game of the Year. The Knicks have been rolling as they have won 11 straight games in the postseason and have done so in historical fashion as those wins have been by an average of 23.8 ppg with only one of those being decided by single digits. Now what looks like an advantage because of the rest disparity, nine days versus four days for the Spurs, it might be beneficial here. Since 2002 from the second round on, 13 teams have been in this rest situation and while those teams have gone 10-3 straight up and ATS, the caveat is that 10 of those teams opened the series at home. The Knicks open on the road as underdogs despite the never seen 11-game run and this has not been a good spot as since 2005, underdogs in Game One of the NBA Finals are 3-18 straight up and 4-17 ATS and these teams playing with six or more days of rest are 1-10 straight up and ATS. The Spurs obviously had the tougher of the two Conference Finals Series as they had to go seven games similar to what Cleveland endured before facing the Knicks and it ran out of gas but it was playing with only one day off and San Antonio will have had four days off which is plenty to recover from. Here, we play against road teams after successfully covering the spread in six or more consecutive games, playing five or less games in 14 days. This situation is 46-17 (73 percent) since 1997. 10* (502) San Antonio Spurs

05-30-26 Spurs v. Thunder -3 Top 111-103 Loss -115 10 h 6 m Show

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The markets have made big adjustments as Oklahoma City was favored by 7.5 points in the first two games of this series at home and with the split, we saw a big dip down to -3.5 in Game Five with the numbers in San Antonio reflecting the changes as well. The Thunder are again laying that same price in the closeout game for a trip to the NBA Finals and they have responded after the first two losses with wins by 9 and 13 points and we expect another bounce back and comfortable win as this series has been pretty bad to watch since the first game with that nine-point win followed by four double-digit wins. Over the last two years, Oklahoma City is 10-0 straight up and 8-2 ATS after a loss in the postseason the last two years and the Thunder have the intangible edges including that experience and what is still a significant home court edge. Oklahoma City is 34-11 ATS in its last 45 home games revenging a loss which goes back to 2024. 10* (568) Oklahoma City Thunder

05-28-26 Thunder +3.5 v. Spurs Top 91-118 Loss -110 10 h 38 m Show

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. San Antonio is the popular play to win and cover to force a Game Seven as 66 percent of the money and 71 percent of the handle are on the Spurs and we will be on the dog getting more than a possession. Oklahoma City made the proper adjustments in Game Five and it has shot right around 48 percent in three of the last four games and despite losing Game Four, the defense has been outstanding each of the last three games, allowing 42.5 percent, 38.9 percent and 40.2 percent shooting. This is the first game that San Antonio has faced elimination and despite what is a strong home court edge, the Spurs are just 5-3 at home in the postseason and the Thunder has historical edges as road underdogs in Game Six that lead the series have won 38 of the 71 games outright while going 41-29-1 ATS. Here, we play against favorites after having lost three of their last four games going up against an opponent having won 20 or more of their last 25 games. This situation is 20-9 (69 percent) since 1997. 10* (563) Oklahoma City Thunder

05-26-26 Spurs v. Thunder -4.5 Top 114-127 Win 100 11 h 53 m Show

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. San Antonio came out strong in both games at home as it built 15-point leads, 15-0 in Game Three and 23-8 in Game Four and while it gave the first one away in a 15-point loss, the Spurs did not give in Game Four as they won by 21 points with the Thunder leading only once by one point. Oklahoma City shot 33 percent from the floor which was easily its worst performance of the season and while the defense did a great job, the Spurs dominated at the free throw line, points in the paint and fast break points. The Spurs dominated in the backcourt and while the defense can be commended on that Game Four performance, the Thunder did themselves in as they took 23 shots between 22 and 15 seconds remaining on the shot clock so expect adjustments by moving the ball around more to get better looks. Oklahoma City has the best record in the NBA against top ten teams at 23-11 and coming off a postseason loss the last three seasons, they are 10-2 straight up and 9-3 ATS. Here, we play on home teams after scoring 90 points or less against an opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less. This situation is 44-14 (75.9 percent) since 2017. 10* (560) Oklahoma City Thunder

05-25-26 Knicks v. Cavs +3 Top 130-93 Loss -110 10 h 2 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Knicks have now won 10 straight playoff games and no one wants to step in front of them right now but we will as there is value on the Cavaliers as we are seeing a six-point swing from Game Three despite no venue change. Cleveland could completely cash it in kind of like how the Sixers did against New York in the previous series but this one feels different as the Cavaliers have been embarrassed all three games. They could not make a three-pointer in Game Three as they shot 29 percent while going 30-43 on two-point shots and the free throw shooting was horrible once again so this is a game where their shooting can come back to the mean or exceed it. Another question is do the Knicks really want to win this game? They are not going to tank so a full out effort might not happen after seeing the Spurs and Thunder now tied and New York would not be in a bad spot having to play another game and not have nine days off before the NBA Finals. Since 2003, road favorites with a chance to sweep are just 7-11 ATS after round one including 1-3 ATS in the conference finals so there is positive historical validation that these home teams do not completely lay down. 10* (558) Cleveland Cavaliers 

05-24-26 Thunder v. Spurs -2.5 Top 82-103 Win 100 10 h 37 m Show

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We faded the home team in a must win situation last night but we will back the home team tonight in a similar situation. The Spurs could not have asked for a better start in Game Three as they opened the game on a 15-0 run but the Thunder slowly came back and took the lead for good in the second quarter in an eventual rout. They actually outrebounded San Antonio and were efficient from long range while 12 of their 28 made free throws were from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and that has to stop. In the Spurs' three wins over the Thunder this season where Gilgeous-Alexander played, he averaged just 5.7 free-throw attempts per game and if the flopping subsides, the Spurs will have their chance. San Antonio is 27-7 this season after failing to cover the spread and here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games going up against an opponent after going over the total by more than six points in three consecutive games. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 2017. 10* (556) San Antonio Spurs

05-23-26 Knicks +2.5 v. Cavs Top 121-108 Win 100 10 h 15 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Situationally, this is probably the spot for Cleveland to steal a game in this series as the Cavaliers are back home following two bad losses but there is too much value on the Knicks. We are seeing a seven-point swing from the first two games that closed at 5.5 and that is a ridiculous move as we have the Knicks favored by three points on a neutral floor which would make Cleveland a pickem at home if home court is worth three points. Teams that have the home court advantage and go up 2-0 in the conference finals are 60-6 all-time in the series and while Game Three is typically the one that gets away from the leading team to produce the gentleman sweep, the Knicks are not letting Cleveland back in this series. Kudos to James Harden who did not have a turnover in Game Two, just the third time all season long he did not have a turnover, and the Cavaliers still lost by 16 points. The majority of the money and the handle are on the Knicks at close to two-thirds yet the line, while moving up and down in some places, has stayed constant. The Knicks are now 17-3 ATS after two or more consecutive double-digit wins. Here, we play on road teams after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team playing three or less games in 10 days. This situation is 37-17 (68.5 percent) since 2022. 10* (553) New York Knicks 

05-22-26 Thunder v. Spurs -1.5 Top 123-108 Loss -115 11 h 55 m Show

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. San Antonio accomplished its goal of coming out of Oklahoma City with at least a split and have taken over home court advantage. The Thunder are probably fortunate they are not down 2-0 in the series as they have benefited from the Spurs turning the ball over way too much as they have committed 44 turnovers and Oklahoma City has outscored them 55-27 in points off turnovers. San Antonio has outshot and outrebounded the Thunder in both games and those were on the road and the Spurs have a chance to dominate at home that could come with the return of De'Aaron Fox who has missed the first two games of this series. With the possible absence of Jalen Williams for the Thunder, it strips them of a dynamic slasher who can compromise the interior defense of the Spurs which means Victor Wembanyama could be in for a repeat of Game One. The Spurs opened as a slight favorite and will likely close as well which will snap the Thunder’s streak of 33 consecutive playoff games as favorites, dating back to the start of the 2024-25 postseason. This is the third longest favorite streak behind the 1986-88 Lakers and 1995-97 Bulls and it should be noted that those two teams lost that initial game as underdogs. 10* (552) San Antonio Spurs

05-21-26 Cavs v. Knicks -6 Top 93-109 Win 100 12 h 31 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Knicks are coming off one of the biggest comebacks in playoff history as they rallied from a 22-point deficit with under eight minutes remaining to force overtime and pulled away in those final five minutes. It was a very fortunate front door cover but New York proved to be the better team when it counted as its lapse in the second and third quarters can be attributed to actually having too much time off. It was a poor game for New York, its first one in a while, and it still came out on top by margin. Cleveland looks to have a roster that can win the Eastern Conference but as long as James Harden does James Harden things, namely does not play defense and commits more turnovers than made field goals, the Cavaliers will be held back. They are also at a big disadvantage in coaching as head coach Kenny Atkinson did nothing to make adjustments during the late Knicks run and this goes back to the start of the postseason as they have now had to play 15 games. Momentum has been key for New York this season as the Knicks are 25-8 ATS following two or more games covering the spread which includes a 17-3 ATS record at home while going 16-3 ATS after two straight double-digit wins. 10* (550) New York Knicks

05-20-26 Spurs v. Thunder -6.5 Top 113-122 Win 100 9 h 2 m Show

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We were on the wrong side with the Thunder in Game One as we got Wembanyama’d who put up a 41-24 and hit a clutch deep three-pointer. The Spurs have now won five of the six meetings this season so we are going against the team that certainly looks like a horrible matchup for Oklahoma City but we are going with the desperate home team and backing significant historical situations. For the Thunder, they are 8-2 straight up and 7-3 ATS in the postseason following a loss and across the league, No. 1 seeds coming off a Game One loss and coming into Game Two as favorites are 28-7 straight up and 22-13 ATS. The Spurs got it done with a huge rebounding edge and outscoring Oklahoma City 27-16 at the free throw line which negated the fact they committed 23 turnovers leading to 28 Thunder points. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having covered four of their last five games against the spread. This situation is 92-43 ATS (68.1 percent) since 2017. 10* (548) Oklahoma City Thunder

05-19-26 Cavs v. Knicks -6.5 Top 104-115 Win 100 10 h 53 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Obviously, the Knicks have a huge edge with their time off as they have a nine-game rest advantage after sweeping the Sixers while the Cavaliers had to go all seven games to take out the Pistons. Cleveland gets no break as it played that last game on Sunday and has to travel again and while it is not a long trip, just the travel aspect with one day off is taxing. This does not bode well for the Cavaliers defense and especially the transition defense for a team that turns the ball over a ton anyway. The Cavaliers average the second most turnovers per game at 16.6, and enter the series No. 11 in fastbreak points given up per game at 14.4 while the Knicks have the highest points per possession in transition, and are No. 4 in transition ppg this postseason at 22.7. Road underdogs in Game One after a Game Seven are 13-30. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win of 15 points or more as a road underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 41-10 (80.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (546) New York Knicks

05-18-26 Spurs v. Thunder -6.5 Top 122-115 Loss -110 10 h 54 m Show

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma City finished with the best record in the NBA for a second straight season, this one by two games over the Spurs which got them the No. 1 seed again and home court advantage. All the Thunder have been hearing about leading up to this series is how they lost four of five meetings against the Spurs during the regular season so this opener is going to serve as a statement game. The Thunder are 8-0 in the playoffs, winning by an average of more than 16 points per game and they are 22-4 since the All Star Break with only one loss taking place at home which was the season finale where no one played. Jalen Williams had a tough season with injuries and eventually made it back to the postseason to play two games against Phoenix before missing the final six playoff games but he is off the injury report making the Thunder fully healthy. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having covered four of their last five games against the spread. This situation is 91-42 ATS (68.4 percent) since 2017. 10* (544) Oklahoma City Thunder

05-17-26 Cavs +4.5 v. Pistons Top 125-94 Win 100 10 h 36 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The road team has won the last two games of this series after the home team took the first four games and the public will be looking to buck this recent trend but we will grab the road team again as this one has last possession written all over it. We have seen only one close finish thus far in this series and that was the game won by Cleveland here in Game Five in overtime and any abundance of points is a bonus tonight. Game Seven used to heavily favor the home team but that has flipped over the last few years as the road team has had the cover edge as a 62 percent clip and this is due to overaggressive lines. That is definitely the case here as these series clinching games have mostly turned into slow paced defensive games, getting anything over a possession is a big edge. Here, we play on road teams revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival. This situation is 50-20 ATS (71.4 percent) since 2017. 10* (529) Cleveland Cavaliers

05-15-26 Pistons +4.5 v. Cavs Top 115-94 Win 100 9 h 48 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. After winning the first two games of this series, the Pistons now have their backs against the wall as they have dropped the last three games including Game Five in overtime after blowing a 15-point lead and a late seven-point lead. The difference again were the whistles as Detroit was heavily outscored against at the free throw line and over the last two games, the Pistons have been outscored 61-27 as Cleveland has had a 72-32 edge in free throw attempts over these last two games. We thought the advantage in Game Four would either reverse or come back to the mean in Game Five but it clearly did not but we should not see such a big disparity here in Game Six. Detroit is 11-2 in its last 13 games after three consecutive spread losses while going 9-1 in its last 10 games after a home loss while Cleveland is 0-11 ATS in its last 11 games following a road divisional win. Here, we play on teams revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, off two consecutive losses against division rivals. This situation is 28-6 (82.4 percent) since 2017. 10* (523) Detroit Pistons

05-13-26 Cavs v. Pistons -4 Top 117-113 Loss -110 10 h 46 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The home team has held serve in this series, winning and covering all four games and while we want to go against the grain here, the numbers cannot back that up. Cleveland was outshot 50.6% to 43.6% from the floor in Game Four but it outscored the Pistons 30-9 from the free throw line and that can be attributed to playing at home. The Cavaliers also grabbed one more offensive rebound than Cleveland, the first time in four games they won the offensive rebound battle. Detroit has won five straight playoff games at home after dropping the playoff opener against Orlando and on the season it is 13-2 at home when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. Cleveland meanwhile is 0-10 ATS this season on the road after allowing 105 points or fewer. Here, we play against road teams off two or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 41-15 (73.2 percent) since 2022. 10* (518) Detroit Pistons

05-11-26 Pistons +4 v. Cavs Top 103-112 Loss -115 10 h 2 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Detroit took the first two games of this series and had covered four in a row before the Cavaliers pulled away late on Saturday to get back into the series. Cleveland was down late and the game was tied inside three minutes with the Cavaliers taking a 106-104 lead with 2:28 remaining and they were able to hang on. Cleveland shot 58 percent from the floor and still needed a late push to get the win and they are not going to replicate that shooting tonight so they will need to get it done from help in other ways. One that will not happen will be on the glass as the Pistons have outrebounded Cleveland on the offensive end in all three games and by a combined 45-25. The Cavaliers came through for us Saturday and will go the other way with a line that has actually gone down and we will back the fact Detroit is 21-4 this season when playing teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. 10* (509) Detroit Pistons

05-10-26 Knicks v. 76ers +1.5 Top 144-114 Loss -110 6 h 12 m Show

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. There have been 161 teams to trail 3-0 in a series and none have come back to win while 98 of those teams have been swept. 47 of those have forced a Game Five and this is where we feel Philadelphia will end up and this being a gentleman’s sweep. The Knicks won Game Four by 14 points and with 85 percent of the money on them today, the majority thinks it ends today but the last thing the Sixers want is a sweep to their rivals. They were doubled up by the Knicks in free throw attempts 32-16 while getting outscored by 10 points at the line and this should be more in favor of the home team as they need to cut down on the fouls which have been 24, 23 and 25 the first three games. It really is that simple. Additionally, New York cannot keep this shooting pace going as they are hitting 55 percent of their shots. Here, we play on teams revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, off two consecutive losses against division rivals. This situation is 28-6 (82.4 percent) since 2017. 10* (506) Philadelphia 76ers

05-09-26 Pistons v. Cavs -4.5 Top 109-116 Win 100 5 h 50 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Cleveland is one of three teams that lost the first two games of their series with the Sixers now down 3-0 and the Lakers likely following suit so they are the one team that should avoid that 3-0 hole. The Cavaliers outshot the Pistons in Game One but committed 20 turnovers that led to 31 Detroit points and in Game Two, James Harden was the difference as he had a pathetic performance. Cleveland is back home where it won all four games against Toronto in the first round and is now 31-14 on the season which includes a 17-6 record when favored by fewer than double digits. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four of their last five games against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 51-21 ATS (70.8 percent) since 2017 with an averaging scoring differential of +10.4 ppg. 10* (502) Cleveland Cavaliers

05-08-26 Knicks v. 76ers -1.5 Top 108-94 Loss -110 9 h 52 m Show

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Philadelphia put up a great effort in Game Two but fell short and head home down 2-0 in this series and this is the game to take. The Sixers clearly ran out of gas in the fourth quarter as they were without Joel Embiid who was a late scratch and while he is listed as questionable tonight, the line is telling us he is playing. They are 21-23 without Embiid this season while going 24-14 when he is in the lineup so they need him to avoid a 3-0 deficit. Turnovers were the difference in Game Two as New York committed 13 turnovers but forced 18 and ended up with a 23-9 advantage in points off turnovers. Knicks second-leading scorer OG Anunoby is going to be a gametime decision as he hurt a hamstring and he most likely will not go and even if he does, he is not close to 100 percent. Philadelphia is 10-1 ATS this season following a loss of six points or less. 10* (572) Philadelphia 76ers

05-07-26 Lakers +15.5 v. Thunder Top 107-125 Loss -110 14 h 53 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers hung around Game One for a while and had a chance to cover but Oklahoma City hit a garbage three-pointer with both benches in to get the cover. This is a similar situation for the Thunder when they played Phoenix as it won and covered Game One and while it won Game Two on their way to a sweep, they did not cover. The Lakers have shot 42 percent or less their last three games going back to the Houston series and while the Thunder defense is elite, we should see a better performance and we go contrarian with Oklahoma City having won and covered all five meetings this season. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points outscoring their opponents by nine or more ppg going up against an opponent after scoring 90 points or less. This situation is 117-64 ATS (64.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (569) Los Angeles Lakers

05-06-26 76ers +7.5 v. Knicks Top 102-108 Win 100 25 h 4 m Show

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Philadelphia is coming off a 39-point loss in Game One on Monday and is catching an identical number which is going to keep bettors off the Sixers in what is a great bounce back spot. They were unfortunate where they had to play Game One just two days after defeating the Celtics in seven games while the Knicks had four days off so they are both on the same schedule. It was a season series split with the Knicks now having won three straight games and Philadelphia did win both games in New York during the regular season and the Sixers took the final three games on the road in Boston so winning away from home is not an issue. New York is 0-6 on the money line in its last six games after scoring 120 points or more in three straight games. 10* (561) Philadelphia 76ers

04-26-26 Lakers v. Rockets -4.5 Top 96-115 Win 100 10 h 31 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS FOR OUR NBA Signature Enforcer. This series has been a disaster for the Rockets as they are down three 3-0 with the diva being a problem. This is the buy low time going against the Lakers who still have their injury issues. The Rockets were without their leading scorer, Kevin Durant who is of course questionable for Game 4 but the contrarian is there Without Durant, the Rockets started the second-youngest lineup in a playoff game since starters were tracked in 1970-71, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage revenging four or more losses vs opponent in last 2 years playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 138-68 (67 percent) since 1997. 10 *( 558) Houston Rockets

04-25-26 Knicks -1.5 v. Hawks Top 114-98 Win 100 9 h 48 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Atlanta has taken a 2-1 lead in this series but it is fortunate to be in this spot as the two wins have been by one point apiece and this is a good bounce back spot for New York to even up the series and regain home court advantage. In reality the Knicks could be up 3-0 as they opened the series with a 113-102 win when it led by as many as 19 and then was on the way to taking a 2-0 lead on Monday but lost a 13-point lead in the third quarter. Here, we play against home teams off a close home win by three points or less, second half of the season. This situation is 39-11 (78 percent) since 2017. 10* (545) New York Knicks

04-10-26 Clippers v. Blazers -1 Top 97-116 Win 100 12 h 19 m Show

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is a huge game for both sides as Play In Tournament seedings are on the line and we give the edge to the home team. It is simple for Los Angeles as a win here and the Clippers will lock up the No. 8 seed no matter what happens on Sunday. They had a chance to lock it up Wednesday but after a short lived two-point lead over Oklahoma City at home, they were completely overmatched. They come in 19-21 on the road and have not been a good recovery team, going 2-5 ATS in their seven road games following a home loss. Portland does not clinch anything with a win but they stay alive and would also own the tiebreaker, which would make Sunday’s game against the Kings a monumental one but it starts here first. If Portland wins both games, it clinched the No. 8 seed and will open the Play In Tournament against Phoenix with two chances to earn a playoff berth. They are 6-2 ATS as home favorites of six points or fewer. 10* (528) Portland Trailblazers

04-09-26 Celtics v. Knicks -3.5 Top 106-112 Win 100 9 h 25 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Star Attraction. The Knicks are still alive for the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference but the chances are very slim as they have to win out and hope the Celtics lose their final three games so it is highly unlikely. New York is also fighting with Cleveland for the No. 3 spot which could be important for home court in the latter rounds should there be upsets. The Knicks have won three straight while going back have won five straight games at home and they are 11-1 ATS this season at home after covering two or more straight games. Boston has won and covered four straight games and can clinch the No. 2 seed with a win but the line is telling and it comes with the likelihood that Jaylen Brown will be sitting this one out with an Achilles injury with Derrick White also questionable. Here, we play against road teams off two or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 39-14 (73.6 percent) since 2022. 10* (572) New York Knicks

04-08-26 Thunder v. Clippers +7 Top 128-110 Loss -110 12 h 11 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is a huge game for the Clippers as a win here and a loss by the Blazers at San Antonio means their trip to Portland on Friday is likely meaning less as they would hold a two-game lead over the Blazers for the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference which comes with needing to win in the opening in the Play In Tournament to clinch a playoff spot. The likelihood of Portland losing tonight has been downgraded significantly as the Spurs are going to be without Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle so they could be tied going to Portland in two nights. This is a big game for the Thunder as well as they can clinch the top seed in the conference but all it takes is a win and we are concerned about the cover. Oklahoma City is coming off a blowout win at the shorthanded Lakers last night and they are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games on the road following three straight wins by 15 or more points. Here, we play on home teams after two straight wins by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 63 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 29-8 (78.4 percent) since 2022. 10* (566) Los Angeles Clippers

04-07-26 Heat v. Raptors -1.5 Top 95-121 Win 100 10 h 8 m Show

This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Toronto controls its own destiny in staying out of the Play In Tournament as it has a half-game lead over Philadelphia, Charlotte and Orlando with four games remaining, the first two at home against Miami with another home game against Brooklyn to close the season. The Raptors are coming off a loss at Boston on Sunday as they have struggled on the road of late and now have the chance to hold serve on their home floor. Miami has won two of three games after a 1-7 run that essentially has locked it into the Play In Tournament as it will need to win both of these games in Toronto and get some help. The Heat are 10 games over .500 at home but six games under .500 on the road and yet come in as a near pickem after actually opening as the favorite. Here, we play against road teams revenging a same season loss going up against an opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival. This situation is 55-23 (70.5 percent) since 2022. 10* (538) Toronto Raptors

04-06-26 Blazers +8.5 v. Nuggets Top 132-137 Win 100 11 h 38 m Show

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer Denver has won eight straight games and the Nuggets are tied with the Lakers for third place in the Western Conference with both sitting one game ahead of Houston for fifth place so each game is huge in trying to secure home court advantage. That being said, the Nuggets are overpriced in this spot based on their winning streak and basically public perception and they have gone 3-5 ATS in these recent eight games. Portland is playing solid as well as it has won three straight games and eight of its last 10 to move two games over .500. The Blazers are securely in the Play In Tournament and are looking to grab a home game as they are still in line for the No. 7 or the No. 8 spots. Here, we play on teams after three straight wins by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more. This situation is 42-15 (73.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (531) Portland Trailblazers

04-05-26 Hornets v. Wolves +2.5 Top 122-108 Loss -115 9 h 16 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Minnesota has lost two straight games, both on the road at Philadelphia and Detroit and the Timberwolves are back home where they are 25-14 and a win here will all but lock up the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference as they have a four-game lead over Phoenix to avoid the Play In Tournament. Anthony Edwards is on the injury report again and that likely will be the case the rest of the season but he has gone two of the last three games after missing two weeks and the last game against the Sixers was a disaster as he was 3-15 from the floor so he will be itching to make up for that one. Charlotte continues to roll along as it has won three straight games and has moved to a game and a half behind Toronto for the No. 6 spot but it does have the Sixers in front as well. Minnesota is 12-2 straight up and ATS after a game of scoring 105 points or fewer. 10* (512) Minnesota Timberwolves

04-03-26 Hawks v. Nets +17.5 Top 141-107 Loss -115 4 h 28 m Show

This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Star Attraction. We were on Brooklyn last Sunday as they took out Sacramento by 17 points and then gave it right back to Charlotte two nights later in a 31-point loss. The injury situation is more favorable as Noah Clowney has been upgraded to probable which helps the frontcourt depth which is needed against this team. The Nets are now catching a huge number again and they are 15-9 ATS in their 24 games this season after scoring fewer than 100 points. We are going contrarian here in fading the Hawks which are coming off a decisive win over Orlando which came after a revenge win over Boston. This is the sandwich spot as Atlanta has a rough road ahead with the Knicks, Cavaliers and Heat on deck. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games going up against an opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games. this situation is 35-7 ATS (83.3 percent) since 2017. 10* (550) Brooklyn Nets 

04-02-26 Lakers +9.5 v. Thunder Top 96-139 Loss -110 12 h 1 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Star Attraction. The Lakers are obviously playing their best basketball of the season as they have won four straight games, 13 of 14 and 16 of their last 18 games and remain in third place in the Western Conference. They are back on the road where they are 24-14 which is the fifth best road record in the NBA and they are 3-1 both straight up and ATS on the road when coming off a three-game or longer homestand. Going back to last season, the Lakers are 30-13 following a double-digit win. Oklahoma City is also playing at an elite level as it has won 20 of its last 23 games and it has needed this run to stay in front of San Antonio as it has a two-game lead over the Spurs so every game is big as well. The Thunder are overpriced as usual as they are 4-12 ATS over their last 16 games. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 2022. 10* (537) Los Angeles Lakers

04-01-26 Knicks -14.5 v. Grizzlies Top 130-119 Loss -107 9 h 28 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We are at the stage of the season where we are seeing massive lines and while we typically stay away, this is one exception to jump on. The Knicks are on a three-game losing streak to open this roadtrip that ends tonight and they need a get right game before heading home. The stretch has been a tough one with the losses against the upstart Hornets, Thunder and Rockets, the latter being a 17-point loss last night. We saw something very similar in January when they were on a four-game skid and took it out on Brooklyn by 54 points and they have been great in spots like this, going 16-2 in their last 18 games after a loss by 15 or more points. The Grizzlies are down to the bones of their roster as they are playing a nine-man rotation with most of those never having been in these minute spots. Memphis 1-4 ATS in its last five games when getting double-digits in points. 10* (527) New York Knicks

03-31-26 Raptors v. Pistons -2.5 Top 116-127 Win 100 7 h 55 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Raptors have won two straight games including a 52-point win over Orlando on Sunday which included an absurd 31-0 run and Toronto is trying to remain out of the Play In Tournament. The Raptors are currently the No. 5 seed in the Eastern Conference, which would assure them a berth into the first round of the playoffs but they are just a game and a half out of the No. 7 spot and this is the ultimate letdown situation coming off that historical win over the Magic. Detroit lost on Monday in overtime at Oklahoma City and the Pistons will be a popular fade because of that but it should be just the opposite. They did not lose any ground in the Eastern Conference with Boston losing as well as they remain four games ahead of the Celtics. Detroit lost at Toronto just over two weeks ago and the Pistons are 18-4 this season revenging a loss and Detroit is 10-2 this season in the second game of a back-to-back including 6-1 at home. 10* (508) Detroit Pistons

03-30-26 Celtics v. Hawks -1.5 Top 102-112 Win 100 9 h 52 m Show

This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Atlanta had won 14 of 15 games before going to Boston last week and after opening up with a 24-9 lead, the Hawks eventually let it all go and lost 109-102 and there was a 27-point swing involved in there. The Hawks have overtaken the Magic in the Southeast Division as they have a 2.5-game lead after Orlando lost by 52-points and they are currently in the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference. Atlanta is back home for some revenge where it is just 22-16 but has won 11 straight games and overall on the season, the Hawks are 13-2 following a double-digit home win. Boston has won three straight games that included a home win over Oklahoma City prior to the Hawks victory and the Celtics are coming off a 15-point win at Charlotte yesterday. It is a short sample size but Boston is 0-2 ATS on the road following a road win as an underdog. 10* (560) Atlanta Hawks

03-29-26 Kings v. Nets +1.5 Top 99-116 Win 100 6 h 26 m Show

This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We are involved in one of the uglier matchups on the Sunday card and we are backing Brooklyn which is in the much better spot. The Nets have lost 10 straight games but nine of those were against teams heading to the postseason with the lone exception being a loss at Sacramento so it sets up a revenge spot. They are back home following a four-game west coast roadtrip to start a six-game homestand so there should be some extra juice for a team that is much healthier on top of it. The Kings have lost three straight games but covered the last two against Orlando and Atlanta and while they take a step down here, they come in as the favorite. This is just the second time after having lost at Washington last month. Here, we play against teams off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog going up against an opponent off three or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 27-9 (75 percent) since 2017. 10* (546) Brooklyn Nets

03-28-26 76ers v. Hornets -6 Top 118-114 Loss -105 8 h 1 m Show

This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Hornets came through on Thursday and this team is still being slept on. As mentioned, Charlotte opened the season 16-28 but then something clicked and the Hornets have gone 23-6 over their last 29 games. The win over the Knicks coupled with the Atlanta loss to Boston put Charlotte 1.5 games behind the Hawks in the Southeast Division while sitting two games behind Toronto to get out of the Play In Tournament but also have two other teams in front of them. Charlotte is 9-0 ATS this season at home off a home win winning by 19.0 ppg. Philadelphia welcomed back Joel Embiid and Paul George on Wednesday and it resulted in a 20-point win over Chicago as the Sixers put up 157 points, 63 points coming from the aforementioned duo. The issue is they allowed 137 points. Here, we play on teams after three straight wins by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more. This situation is 42-14 (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (530) Charlotte Hornets

03-27-26 Mavs v. Blazers -10.5 Top 100-93 Loss -110 12 h 58 m Show

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Hate to lay a number this big with Portland but this is the spot to do so. The Blazers are back to .500 following wins over Brooklyn and Milwaukee and they did cover big numbers in those two games and right now the incentive is to keep going. They are locked into the Play In Tournament sitting in the No. 9 seed but are just a half-game out of the No. 8 spot and within reach of No. 7, three and a half games behind Phoenix. This is just as much of a fade of Dallas which has been playing well as the Mavericks have lost five straight games but the last three were all competitive, losing against the Clippers and Warriors in overtime and most recently being a seven-point loss at Denver. This can instill confidence but at this stage of the season, it is letdown time. Here, we play on home teams after leading their last two games by 10 or more points at the half going up against an opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 37-11 ATS (77.1 percent) since 2022. 10* (524) Portland Trailblazers

03-26-26 Knicks v. Hornets -1 Top 103-114 Win 100 9 h 26 m Show

This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Charlotte opened the season 16-28 and it looked like another lost season but then something clicked and the Hornets have gone 22-6 over their last 28 games. They are 2.5 games behind the even hotter Hawks in the Southeast Division while sitting two games behind Toronto to get out of the Play In Tournament but also have two other teams in front of them. They are not getting much respect here with the line so there is value in a double-revenge game after losing the first two meetings by 28 and 15 points. Charlotte is 8-0 ATS this season at home off a home win winning by 20.0 ppg. The Knicks have won seven straight games with six of those games against teams not going to the postseason and the other coming against shorthanded Golden St. so it has been a favorable schedule. Here, we play on home teams after a cover as a double digit favorite going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 53-15 (77.9 percent) since 2022 with the average scoring differential +7.5 ppg. 10* (506) Charlotte Hornets

03-25-26 Thunder v. Celtics +2.5 Top 109-119 Win 100 9 h 19 m Show

This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Star Attraction. Oklahoma City and Boston meet for the second time in two weeks and this time around, both teams are fully healthy after Oklahoma City won that first meeting by a bucket. The Thunder have won 12 straight games and have been able to maintain their lead in the Western Conference as it is now at three games over San Antonio. Tonight concludes a five-game roadtrip and they have been awesome on the road, going 28-8 and are favored for that reason. Boston had won four straight games prior to a loss on Saturday and the Celtics remain in second place in the Eastern Conference, five games behind Detroit. They remain home where they are 24-11 and they are 8-4 ATS at home revenging a loss. Here, we play on home teams off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road wins. This situation is 28-7 (80 percent) since 2022. 10* (566) Boston Celtics

03-22-26 Wizards +21.5 v. Knicks Top 113-145 Loss -115 8 h 60 m Show

This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is the sixth straight game that the Knicks have been favored by 12.5 or more points and at this stage of the season when playing below average teams, it gets redundant. They are 2-3 over the previous five games and are now favored by the biggest number over this stretch. New York is coming off a win at Brooklyn which made it 5-0 over this stretch and we can still sell high based on the number. Washington is not good by any stretch as it has lost 15 straight games after a loss to Oklahoma City on Saturday. The Wizards are cashing at a 60 percent rate this season coming off a 20-point or greater loss and Washington is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games coming off two consecutive home losses of 10 points or more. 10* (525) Washington Wizards

03-19-26 Lakers v. Heat -3 Top 134-126 Loss -110 10 h 17 m Show

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami had won seven straight games but then lost a home game against Southeast Division leader Orlando and followed that up with a loss at Charlotte on Tuesday. The Heat are back home where they are 23-12 with this being the third game of a seven-game stretch against current playoff teams so holding serve at home is going to be vital. They are a half-game behind Orlando and sitting in the first spot of the Play In Tournament which they need to get out of. We have faded the Lakers in their last two games and they won both in Houston and we are fading them again in the second of a back-to-back. They now have seven straight wins and covers while going 10-1 straight up and ATS over their last 11 games and the current winning streak in their second seven-game run of the season. Here, we play against road teams allowing 46 percent shooting or higher on the season, after a game where they made 60 percent of their shots or better. This situation is 29-8 (78.4 percent) since 2022. 10* (562) Miami Heat

03-18-26 Lakers v. Rockets -2 Top 124-116 Loss -110 10 h 59 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Houston has a quick turnaround for some revenge after losing to the Lakers here on Monday by eight points. The Rockets have been very average of late as they are 4-5 over their last nine games while going just 2-7 ATS and we are seeing a big line flip as the Rockets actually closed as underdogs on Monday and are slight favorites for now. The Lakers win made it six straight wins and covers while going 9-1 straight up and ATS over their last 10 games. They are in third place in the Western Conference and that victory put them a game and a half ahead of the Rockets so this is now a huge game for Houston. Once again, this is sell high time and at a good price as Los Angeles is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games following three or more consecutive covers. Here, we play on home teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg and after scoring 95 points or less going up against teams allowing between 114 and 118 ppg. This situation is 28-12 (70 percent) since 2022. 10* (550) Houston Rockets

03-17-26 Thunder v. Magic +9.5 Top 113-108 Win 100 8 h 59 m Show

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma City is coming off a 13-point win over Minnesota on Sunday to make it eight straight wins and put an end to a 0-7 ATS skid and the Thunder are again playing like the defending NBA Champions. They are back on the road following a four-game homestand to open a five-game roadtrip and laying a huge number that is inflated due to their current winning streak. Oklahoma City has lost nine of its last 14 road games after allowing 105 or fewer points in two straight games. Orlando is coming off a 12-point loss in Atlanta last night which halted a seven-game winning streak and the Southeast Division is a heated race with the Magic, Hawks and Heat all separated by just a game and a half. The Magic are back home where they are 21-11 and they come in 13-2 on the season following a road loss and this includes a 5-0 record at home both straight up and against the number. 10* (518) Orlando Magic 

03-16-26 Lakers v. Rockets -2 Top 100-92 Loss -110 12 h 8 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Star Attraction. The Lakers came through on Saturday as they defeated Denver in overtime following a huge last second shot to tie it in regulation to make it five straight wins and covers while going 8-1 straight up and ATS over their last nine games. They are now sitting in third place in the Western Conference but are just three games clear of the Play In Tournament and they can fall to the No. 4 spot tonight with a loss as it is Houston right on their heels. This is sell high time and at a good price as Los Angeles is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games following three or more consecutive covers. Houston escaped New Orleans on Friday with a two-point win and the Rockets are just 4-4 over their last eight games but can get back into the No. 3 slot as mentioned. Houston was a slightly above average ATS team last season but it has done a bit of a flip this season as it is just 29-37 ATS after going 42-38-2 ATS last season. All Star Alperen Sengun is questionable but should return after missing Friday. Here, we play against road teams off a close home win by three points or less going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 45-11 (80.4 percent) since 2022. 10* (514) Houston Rockets

03-16-26 Mavs v. Pelicans -8.5 Top 111-129 Win 100 11 h 47 m Show

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Pelicans are coming off a hard-fought loss at Houston by two points on Friday so they have had plenty of time to get over that and they are back home where they have won and covered four straight games. New Orleans has not been favored much this season but it has been laying points much more so lately as it closed as an underdog in 45 of its first 49 games but has been favored in nine of its last 19 games, going 10-3 ATS overall as a chalk including 5-0 ATS when favored by 5.5 or more points. Dallas got blown out at home against Cleveland by 33 points on Friday and then went to Cleveland on Sunday and defeated the Cavaliers by 10 points so now we have the letdown spot playing on a back-to-back. Dallas is 3-10 ATS as an underdog in its last 13 games when getting 6.5 or more points and it has gone 1-5 ATS this season coming off an upset win as an underdog. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season shooting between 45.5 and 47.5 percent and after allowing 50 percent shooting in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 45.5 and 47.5 percent, This situation is 50-17 (74.6 percent) since 2022. 10* (508) New Orleans Pelicans

03-15-26 Blazers -8 v. 76ers Top 103-109 Loss -110 9 h 36 m Show

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Portland has pretty much locked up a spot in the Play In Tournament in the Western Conference as it is 8.5 games clear of Memphis which wants no part of the postseason. That being said, the Blazers still have plenty to play for as they are only two games behind the Clippers for the No. 8 spot which guarantees two games for a chance to win one of those and a spot in the playoffs. Portland is 23-11 in its last 34 games after failing to cover four or five of their last six games against the spread. The depleted Sixers are coming off a win over Brooklyn on Saturday for their third win in their last eight games with the other two wins coming against teams playing for the draft in Utah and Memphis and they go from big home favorite to big home underdog for a reason. Philadelphia is 6-26 in its last 32 games after allowing 105 points or less. Here, we play against teams off a win against a division rival and playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 165-95 (63.5 percent) since 2022. 10* (569) Portland Trailblazers

03-15-26 Wolves v. Thunder -8.5 Top 103-116 Win 100 4 h 47 m Show

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Early Attraction. Oklahoma City has won seven straight games and to its credit, a lot of those were close victories with four coming by one possession or in overtime and because of this and other marginal wins, the Thunder are 0-7 ATS in those seven games. That presents contrarian value and the added motivation is not only keeping distance from San Antonio for the No. 1 spot in the Western Conference but this is a double-revenge game on top of it. Minnesota snapped a three-game losing streak with a 10-point win at Golden St. to improve to 41-26 which puts the Timberwolves one game out of third place and a half-game out of fourth place so there is plenty to play for but this is a tough spot. Anthony Edwards is questionable and they come in just 3-8 ATS on the road coming off a road win. Bet on Oklahoma City is 13-1 in its last 14 games after failing to cover six or seven of its last eight games against the spread while going 18-2 in its last 20 home games when playing with two days of rest. 10* (562) Oklahoma City Thunder

03-13-26 Suns v. Raptors -4.5 Top 115-122 Win 100 5 h 6 m Show

This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Toronto is coming off a loss at New Orleans on Wednesday to make it two straight losses and the Raptors have dropped six of their last eight games. They are going the wrong way as they are now in the No. 7 spot in the Eastern Conference which puts them in the Play In Tournament so they need a turnaround. We were hoping for Scottie Barnes news but it looks now he will be close to a gametime decision with an illness. Phoenix has won four straight games after beating Indiana by 15 points last night and the Suns are in a near similar spot as Toronto as it is No. 7 in the Western Conference and just a game out of avoiding the Play In Tournament. They have been one of the best road cover teams in the league, going 20-11 ATS but this includes an 11-1 ATS record as favorite and they are a pedestrian 9-10 ATS when getting points. Here, we play on home teams off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite going up against an opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins. This situation is 27-7 (79.4 percent) since 2022. 10* (536) Toronto Raptors

03-12-26 Bucks +7 v. Heat Top 105-112 Push 0 8 h 17 m Show

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami has won six straight games following a blowout win over Washington where Bam Adebayo had a historic performance and this is the ultimate sell high spot and even more so since the Heat have covered all six of these games. They have moved into a tie with Orlando for first place in the Southeast Division and are now No. 6 in the Eastern Conference, a half-game out of the Play In Tournament. This is a tough sandwich spot off the noteworthy victory and with a game against Orlando on deck. Milwaukee is trending the other way as it is coming off a 1-4 homestand with the only win coming against Utah and the Bucks are pretty much dead when it comes to the postseason. We will go contrarian however as they are in a buy low spot having gone 1-6 ATS over their last seven games. 10* (519) Milwaukee Bucks

03-11-26 Raptors -1.5 v. Pelicans Top 111-122 Loss -110 12 h 42 m Show

This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Toronto is coming off a 14-point loss to Houston last night as it has lost five of its last seven games with the two wins coming against teams that will not be heading to the playoffs and the five losses coming against teams that all have legitimate NBA title shots. The Raptors remain on the road where they are a solid 19-12 and remain in fifth place in the Eastern Conference and it will be hard to catch Cleveland as they trail by 3.5 games and they have to be wary about not falling into the play-in portion as they are just 2.5 games out of that. New Orleans has been playing better over the last month as it is 8-5 over its last 13 games after an awful start to the season. The Pelicans are 12-21 at home but have really struggled against good teams as they are 4-15 against teams with a winning record. Toronto is 11-1 in its last 12 games in the second half of the season against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. 10* (503) Toronto Raptors

03-10-26 Celtics v. Spurs -3 Top 116-125 Win 100 9 h 9 m Show

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Star Attraction. Boston has won both games since the return of Jason Tatum including an 11-point win at Cleveland on Sunday and the Celtics have won 14 of their last 17 games. They are now just 2.5 games behind the Pistons in the Eastern Conference and now comes another true test. San Antonio has been even hotter as it has won four straight games and 15 of its last 16 games, with the latest win coming by 25 points against Houston on Sunday. The schedule has not derailed them as it has been tough with 12 wins in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record and they lead the NBA with 14 wins against teams ranked in the top ten in the league. The Spurs are 17-3 in their 20 games this season coming off a home win.  Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four of their last five games against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) since 2017. 10* (568) San Antonio Spurs

03-09-26 Nuggets +6.5 v. Thunder Top 126-129 Win 100 7 h 30 m Show

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Star Attraction. We faded Denver on Friday after it took care of the Lakers the previous night and now we are backing the Nuggets against Oklahoma City for the second time in two weeks after they lost that last meeting in overtime. They are off a 39-point loss to the Knicks and in a good bounce back spot and not only avenging the two losses this season but also from getting ousted from the playoffs last year in seven games. Oklahoma City has won five straight games with the most recent win coming against Golden St. but the Thunder have not covered any of those games. Normally that is a play on situation but the situation overtakes that. Here, we play on road teams against division opponents off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 52-21 (71.2 percent) since 2022. 10* (549) Denver Nuggets 

03-08-26 Pistons -1 v. Heat Top 110-121 Loss -110 8 h 34 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami suffered a pair of losses on the road a couple weeks ago but it has won four straight since then and now we can sell high with Norman Powell still out of the lineup. Detroit is coming off one of its worst losses of the season as it lost at home against Brooklyn yesterday as a 13.5-point favorite and this is a great bounce back spot. They were without Cade Cunningham but he is expected to be back. We typically do not back road revenge situations but this is not a typical situation with what happened on Saturday. The Pistons are 17-3 in their last 20 games revenging a loss while going 25-3 in their last 28 games after playing their previous game at home. They fall into a solid revenge situation as we play on road teams revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more. This situation is 23-4 ATS 85.2 percent) since 2017. 10* (531) Detroit Pistons

03-07-26 Clippers v. Grizzlies +6.5 Top 123-120 Win 100 9 h 2 m Show

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers are coming off a tough loss last night as they lost in San Antonio by four points but managed to cover the big number and they have covered five straight games while going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games. Los Angeles now goes from big road underdog to big road favorite for obvious reason and we will be fading the move and the spot following the tough defeat after blowing a 20-point lead. The Clippers are 1-10 this season following a loss by six points or less. Memphis has dropped two straight games after winning two in a row while it has covered all four of those games. The Grizzlies were getting 9.5 points in their last game which was at home against Portland and now they are getting less and that is attracting Clippers money with the line implying some rest possibilities for Los Angeles. Here, we play against road teams after successfully covering the spread in five or more consecutive games and playing their 2nd road game in two nights. This situation is 100-51 (66.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (522) Memphis Grizzlies

03-06-26 Knicks -1.5 v. Nuggets Top 142-103 Win 100 9 h 9 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Knicks are coming off a home loss on Wednesday against Oklahoma City by three points and hit the road for the start of a five-game roadtrip with two games in Los Angeles up next. They have not been as good on the road as they are at home with a 16-14 record on the highway but are in a good spot coming off that loss as they covered which was their fourth straight and they are 12-4 ATS this season coming off three or more consecutive covers. Denver came through for us last night with a seven-point win over the Lakers which got the Nuggets right after a poor three-game stretch but we do not see it continuing here. Last night was also just as much of a fade of the Lakers who have won only five games against the top ten in the league while the Knicks have won 11 which is tied for third most. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season after three or more consecutive unders and allowing between 108 and 114 ppg going up against teams allowing between 114 and 118 ppg. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) since 2022. 10* (509) New York Knicks

03-05-26 Lakers v. Nuggets -4.5 Top 113-120 Win 100 10 h 29 m Show

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Denver defeated Boston 103-84 in its first home game after the All Star Break but it has struggled since then as the Nuggets lost at the Thunder in overtime before losing at home to Minnesota and most recently had a very unimpressive win at Utah by just three points. This is the start of a brutal stretch and a positive start is needed as Denver has the Knicks, Thunder, Rockers. Spurs, Lakers again and Sixers in their next six games after Thursday. The Lakers have won and covered three straight games following three straight losses but the three wins have come against the depleted Warriors, the Kings and the Pelicans. The Lakers five wins against the top ten are tied with the Celtics for the fewest in the league among the league’s top 20 teams. Here, we play against road teams off two or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 38-13 (74.5 percent) since 2022. 10* (578) Denver Nuggets

03-04-26 Hawks v. Bucks -1.5 Top 131-113 Loss -110 9 h 31 m Show

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The return of Giannis Antetokounmpo did not help the Bucks as he returned after missing 15 games and they were throttled by the Celtics by 27 points. This is the bounce back spot as he will be more involved as he was limited to just 25 minutes and Milwaukee has now lost three straight games all by at least 23 points so this is the ultimate buy low time. On the opposite side, the Hawks are playing excellent and are in the sell high position as they have won and covered four straight games all by double digits but all of those were at home and three of those were against Brooklyn and Washington (twice) with the other coming against a better but depleted Portland team. Atlanta hits the road where they are a decent 17-15 but catch Milwaukee at the wrong time. Here, we play on home teams averaging between 108 and 114 and after scoring 95 points or less going up against teams allowing between 114 and 118 ppg, after scoring 95 points or less. This situation is 28-11 (71.8 percent) since 2022. 10* (560) Milwaukee Bucks

03-02-26 Celtics v. Bucks +7.5 Top 108-81 Loss -110 12 h 37 m Show

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston is coming off a primetime TV win over Philadelphia last night as the Sixers sat Joel Embiid which the NBA loved and now the Celtics hit the road for the second of a back-to-back. Boston remains within 5.5 games of Detroit in the Eastern Conference as both teams have gone 5-1 since the All Star Break. The Celtics won the last meeting less than a month ago by 28 points which was at home in the fourth game of a four-game homestand. The Bucks have that revenge as well as bouncing back from an awful 23-point loss in Chicago yesterday and the Bucks return home now sitting three games out of the final spot for the Eastern Conference play-In. Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS at home this season following a road loss. Here, we play on home teams revenging a same season loss and coming off an upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 54-19 (74 percent) since 2017. 10* (526) Milwaukee Bucks

03-01-26 Kings +13.5 v. Lakers Top 104-128 Loss -115 12 h 28 m Show

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers came through last night in a blowout at Golden St. and now we fade as they are getting a one game bump in line inflation because of the victory as the three-game losing streak prior to that is a lost memory. They are back home where they are just 16-12 and only 4-4 ATS when favored by 6.5 or more points while going 3-5 in eight home games when playing their third game in four nights. With it being their third game in four nights, it would not be a surprise to see LeBron James sit this one out. Sacramento is 2-1 over its last three games and that is what we are going off of as it has been a miserable season for the Kings and this is more of a pure fade of the Lakers that are in the classic letdown spot. Here, we play against teams off a road win against a division rival when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. This situation is 85-33 ATS (72 percent) since 2022. 10* (521) Sacramento Kings

03-01-26 Wolves v. Nuggets -2.5 Top 117-108 Loss -120 7 h 40 m Show

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Early Dominator. Denver is coming off a tough overtime loss against the Thunder on the road Friday and the Nuggets are 2-2 out of the break and they have been wildly inconsistent going back further. The home floor has not been dominant as in years past but they have hit in certain spots. Going back, Denver is 20-6 in its 26 games following a loss under head coach David Adelman while going 3-1 ATS this season in four home games off a road win. Minnesota is coming off a pair of wins over Portland and the Clippers to open this three-game road trip and head to Denver at a bad time. Minnesota is 2-8 ATS on the road this season following a road win.  Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 49-17 ATS (74.2 percent) since 2017. 10* (508) Denver Nuggets

02-28-26 Lakers -3.5 v. Warriors Top 129-101 Win 100 9 h 50 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Star Attraction. The Lakers pulled out the narrow win against the Clippers in their first game out of the break and have since lost their last three games, the last two by a combined four points against Orlando and Phoenix. They remain in the No. 6 spot in the Western Conference although they have fallen two games behind Denver and Minnesota for the No. 4 spot. Los Angeles remains on the road where it is 18-12 and those 18 wins are tied for sixth most in the league and they are 6-1 ATS on the road off a road loss. Golden St. continues to compete with mostly reserves as the Warriors are 2-2 since the All Star Break following a win at Memphis last time out. There is revenge in play form three weeks ago but we back the more desperate team in a great spot. Here, we play on teams coming off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite going up against an opponent off a road win by 20 points or more. This situation is 22-6 (78.6 percent) since 2017. 10* (571) Los Angeles Lakers

02-27-26 Nuggets +8.5 v. Thunder Top 121-127 Win 100 13 h 58 m Show

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Star Attraction. Oklahoma St. is getting healthy again and the markets have adjusted but the Thunder do not constitute an adjustment this big. The Thunder are coming off a loss at Detroit as they had four starters out including reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who has missed nine games over a three-week stretch, He is expected back tonight while Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein are both questionable but both should be back the line is reflecting all of this but even when healthy, the Thunder have been pretty pedestrian, going 21-14 over their last 35 games. Denver is coming off a win over Boston and is back on the road where the Nuggets are 21-11 while winning eight of 10 games outright as underdogs. Here, we play against teams off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 107-48 ATS (69 percent) since 1997. 10* (563) Denver Nuggets

02-26-26 Heat v. 76ers -2.5 Top 117-124 Win 100 6 h 2 m Show

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Star Attraction. Philadelphia came out of the break with a pair of losses against Atlanta and New Orleans but has bounced back with two straight wins to get back to remain in the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference. The Sixers are back home which has been a very unfavorable schedule this month as this is just their third and final home game in February, going 0-2 in those first two games and by 49 and 10 points. Miami has won three straight games before going to Milwaukee and carried a six-point lead going into the fourth quarter before getting outscored 39-24 to lose by 11 points to the short-handed Bucks. The Heat are now 14-17 on the road and overall, Miami is 12-19 against the top half of the league. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 115 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after two straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 27-3 ATS (90 percent) since 2017. 10* (536) Philadelphia 76ers

02-25-26 Celtics v. Nuggets -4 Top 84-103 Win 100 8 h 46 m Show

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Star Attraction. Boston is coming off a blowout win last night in Phoenix against a shorthanded Suns team and now they are in the second game of a back-to-back and will likely be short handed themselves. The Celtics were without Jaylen Brown last night and the fact they got the win will likely see him sit again so as to not re-aggravate his right knee injury. The Celtics have won four games in a row, nine of their last 10, and are 12-3 games as they are now 4.5 games behind Detroit for first place in the Eastern Conference. Denver is off a loss at Golden St. on Sunday and has lost six its last nine going back to before the All Star break and are now playing their first home game in two weeks. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having covered four of their last five games against the spread. This situation is 86-41 ATS (67.7 percent) since 2017 with an average scoring differential of +10.2 ppg. 10* (534) Denver Nuggets

02-24-26 Mavs v. Nets +2.5 Top 123-114 Loss -118 10 h 31 m Show

This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Dallas came through on Sunday in a similar position as a small road favorite and was able to snap its 10-game losing streak with a four-point win at Indiana. Now the Mavericks close out a six-game roadtrip that was wrapped around the break and the win over the Pacers was just their sixth on the road this season and they will once again be without Cooper Flagg. Dallas is 1-6 ATS on the road following a win by six points or less. Brooklyn had won two of three games prior to the break but has dropped its first three games coming out of it, all on the road and all against current playoff or play in game teams and now the Nets are back home where they have been more competitive. Brooklyn is 4-0 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. Here, we play against teams shooting between 45.5 and 47.5 percent and after allowing 47.5 or higher percent shooting in five straight games going up against teams allowing 47.5 percent or higher shooting. This situation is 39-19 (67.2 percent) since 2022. 10* (504) Brooklyn Nets

02-24-26 Thunder v. Raptors -1 Top 116-107 Loss -110 9 h 20 m Show

This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma City is coming off a win over Cleveland on Sunday as the Thunder were a rare home underdog being as shorthanded as they are. They hit the road against another quality opponent and they actually opened as favorites but the line has flipped. Three of the top four Thunder players in usage are out with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell all sitting while Chet Holmgren is questionable with a back issue and it would not be a surprise to see him sit as well. Toronto has won its first two games out of the break at Chicago and Milwaukee and while the Raptors take a step up in competition here, they are getting the value having played better on the road than at home. They did win the first meeting in Oklahoma City, road revenge is not in play with a team that is so shorthanded. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 103-43 (70.5 percent) since 2022. 10* (506) Toronto Raptors

02-23-26 Spurs v. Pistons -1.5 Top 114-103 Loss -112 23 h 31 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Detroit has increased its lead in the Eastern Conference to six games as it came out of the break with a huge road win at New York as the Knicks were unable to avenge two blowout losses and the Pistons have won five straight and eight of their last nine games. They are back home for their first home game in 17 days where they have posted a 21-6 record which is tied for second best in the league with their opponent tonight San Antonio. While they have played the easiest schedule in the NBA, the Pistons have gone 11-4 against the top ten in the league. The Spurs have made an amazing turnaround as they are 40-16 as they already have their most wins since winning 48 games in 2018-19 and have won eight straight games so this is the buy low time. San Antonio is 14-3 against the Eastern Conference with two of the losses coming against two of the top teams, New York and Cleveland. 10* (574) Detroit Pistons

02-22-26 Mavs -2 v. Pacers Top 134-130 Win 100 6 h 58 m Show

This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Mavericks are coming off an 11-point loss at Minnesota on Friday and it has been a rough stretch as Dallas fell to 0-4 on the road trip and remained winless over its last 10 games. Despite the struggles, the Mavericks are favored on the road and playing without Cooper Flagg and the line is telling. This could be as contrarian as it gets but it is just as much of a fade of the Pacers that came out of the break with a pair of blowout losses at Washington. Indiana was playing better at the end of January but it has spiraled downward again as injuries are even worse on this side with three starters out and numerous reserves questionable. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 115 points or more in five straight games going up against an opponent after allowing 125 points or more. This situation is 46-14 ATS (76.7 percent) since 2022. 10* (559) Dallas Mavericks

02-21-26 Grizzlies +11 v. Heat Top 120-136 Loss -115 9 h 35 m Show

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami is coming off a blowout win at Atlanta last night in its first game out of the break as it is a game and a half behind Orlando in the Southeast Division. It was a big division win last night and the same energy will not be on display tonight. Memphis opened with a win as well over lowly Utah which is not saying much but give the players on the floor credit for doing what they need to do with an extensive injury list but could get a couple back tonight as Ty Jerome, Cedric Coward and Santi Aldama all sat last night and are listed as probable to questionable. Miami is 2-5 ATS this season in its seven home games following a road win. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 78-37 ATS (67.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (545) Memphis Grizzlies

02-20-26 Clippers v. Lakers -6.5 Top 122-125 Loss -110 13 h 43 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Star Attraction. The Clippers are coming off a win to open the second half and it was a fortunate one as Denver was fouled on a three-pointer with one second left down three but missed the third free throw and the Clippers escaped. They have won four of five games since losing to Cleveland right after the James Harden trade so it has been a solid run despite no Darius Garland as well. The Lakers closed with a win over Dallas following a two-game skid and are close to being back to full health with just Deandre Ayton on the shelf. Luka Doncic will be back after missing the last four games. The Lakers are 11-5 ATS as home favorites this season. Here, we play against road teams off a close home win by 3 points or less going up against an opponent off a home win by 10 points or more. This situation is 31-6 (83.3 percent) since 2022. 10* (536) Los Angeles Lakers

02-20-26 Cavs v. Hornets +6.5 Top 118-113 Win 100 10 h 57 m Show

This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Cleveland and Charlotte tipped off the second half with differing results as the Cavaliers easily took care of Brooklyn at home as expected while Charlotte lost a tough one at home to Houston. The Cavaliers kept their high level of play going as they have won six straight and 11 of their last 12 games but come into a tough spot here. Cleveland is 0-4 ATS on the road after allowing 100 points or less. Charlotte has lost two of three after a nine-game winning streak and look to bounce back after a horrible shooting night. The backcourt of LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller went just 10-36 from the floor and have nowhere to go but up. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread. This situation is 48-25 (65.8 percent) since 2022. 10* (526) Charlotte Hornets

02-19-26 Pistons v. Knicks -4.5 Top 126-111 Loss -105 30 h 22 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Game of the Year. New York opens the second half of the season at home where it is 21-7 on the season and will look to get back to winning at MSG following an overtime loss against Indiana in its last home game. There will be plenty of motivation for this one as the Knicks were on an eight-game winning streak after losing four games in a row and went to Detroit two weeks ago and were throttled by 38 points and they have not forgotten that. The Knicks are 9-3 straight up and ATS at home revenging a loss including 6-1 straight up and ATS revenging a road loss. The Pistons have won three straight and six of seven games to take a 5.5-game lead over Boston in the Eastern Conference. Detroit has been great in this spot this season as it is 6-0 straight up and ATS as a road underdog but the motivational factors for New York negates that. The Piston will be without suspended center Jalen Duren. 10* (510) New York Knicks

02-19-26 Rockets -2.5 v. Hornets Top 105-101 Win 100 30 h 5 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The All Star Break came at a bad time for Charlotte as it closed by winning 10 of 11 games so it lost a good portion of momentum. The Hornets have a tough start coming out of the break with this game and Cleveland on deck so this will be a good test to see if they can actually make a late season run. They are shorthanded Miles Bridges and Moussa Diabate suspended and newly acquired Coby White could still be out with a calf injury. Houston closed with a split with the Clippers and they hit the road for two games with the Knicks on deck but they will not be looking past Charlotte after the Hornets won in Houston by 10 points two weeks ago. The Rockets are 7-2 ATS in nonconference road games. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 2017. 10* (505) Houston Rockets

02-11-26 Pistons v. Raptors +1.5 Top 113-95 Loss -122 7 h 21 m Show

This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Detroit is coming off a big home win over New York on Friday which snapped the Knicks eight-game winning streak then followed it up with a win at Charlotte which snapped the Hornets nine-game winning streak. That latter game was marred by a full out brawl where Jalen Duren and Isaiah Stewart were ejected and Duran could be suspended for this game and while we played on Detroit when he was out against the Knicks, we go against them here. Toronto has been a decent surprise as it is now 10 games over .500 following a pair of blowouts over Chicago and Indiana and in a great spot to close on a three-game winning streak before the All Star Break. Toronto is 9-1 this season in its last 10 games coming off two straight wins by 10 points or more while going 17-4 in 21 games after one double digit win. 10* (538) Toronto Raptors 

02-10-26 Clippers v. Rockets -7.5 Top 95-102 Loss -115 6 h 24 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Star Attraction. Houston snapped a two-game slide with a win at Oklahoma City on Saturday which also snapped a four-game non-cover streak and closes the first half with a two-game home set against the Clippers. The Rockets are back home where they are 17-6 but have lost two straight and three of four here so there is plenty of motivation. There is also motivation from a 20-point loss at Los Angeles right before Christmas. Los Angeles is coming off a win over Minnesota on Sunday and has won two straight since losing to Cleveland after the trade deadline and getting rid of James Harden and Ivica Zubac. The Clippers have lost both games against the number coming off a win as road underdogs while going 5-12 against the top ten in the NBA. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of seven or more against opponent off a road win. This situation is 87-77 ATS (66.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (524) Houston Rockets

02-09-26 Hawks v. Wolves -6.5 Top 116-138 Win 100 10 h 34 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. The Timberwolves came up small on Sunday for us as they were never in it as they fell behind by as many as 28 points for its second straight loss. It has been a stretch of streaks of late as Minnesota went on a 2-6 ATS run before covering four straight games prior to its current 0-4 ATS skid. It did not help committing 21 turnovers against the Clippers and if any more motivation is needed, the Timberwolves lost the first meeting in Atlanta by 24 points and they are 4-0 ATS revenging a 20-point loss this season. Atlanta lost to Charlotte on Saturday which snapped a two-game winning streak and the Hawks have actually showed success on the road with a 16-13 record which helps with the number. Here, we play on home teams revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite. This situation is 66-31 (68 percent) since 2017. 10* (512) Minnesota Timberwolves

02-09-26 Pistons -2.5 v. Hornets Top 110-104 Win 100 9 h 46 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. No one is or should be looking past Charlotte at this point and it will have the full attention of the Pistons. The Hornets have won nine straight games yet are still three games under .500 but have moved into the play-in part of the Eastern Conference playoffs. They have won four straight home games over this stretch but remain two games under .500 at home and on the season, they are just 5-10 against the NBA top ten. Detroit is coming off a win over New York to extend its lead to five games in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are 16-7 on the road while going 21-3 following a home game including 11-1 after a double digit home win. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 playing a team with a winning percentage between .400 and .499, in February games. This situation is 80-36 ATS (69 percent) since 1997. 10* (501) Detroit Pistons

02-08-26 Clippers v. Wolves -8.5 Top 115-96 Loss -110 7 h 17 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Minnesota has lost two of its last three games following a four-game winning streak with the two losses as heavy favorites and after the four-point loss at home against the Pelicans, Rudy Gobert called out certain teammates for a lack of defensive effort. The Timberwolves are in sixth place in the Western Conference and just two games out of third place with the next three games all winnable at home heading into the All Star Break. The Clippers have split their two games since trading away James Harden and Ivica Zubac and the two big pieces in return, Darius Garland and Bennedict Mathurin, remain sidelined with the latter not making his debut until Tuesday. This is the get right spot for Minnesota. Bet against road teams off a road win against a division rival going up against an opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points. This situation is 78-32 (70.9 percent) since 2022. 10* (568) Minnesota Timberwolves

02-07-26 Nuggets -5.5 v. Bulls Top 136-120 Win 100 7 h 16 m Show

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Nikola Jokic returned from missing a month with a victory over the Clippers but the Nuggets have since lost three straight games, all against teams with World Championship aspirations. They get a break here against the reloaded Bulls and they look to avoid a winless roadtrip and despite the last two losses, they are still a potent 19-9 on the highway. The Nuggets are 16-4 in their last 20 games after failing to cover the spread. The new look Bulls struggled in the first game after the trade deadline after revamping a lot of the roster and not necessarily improving it. They lost at Toronto and are also riding a three-game losing streak and the line is staying low due to their decent 15-11 record at home. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 playing teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499, in February games. This situation is 79-36 (68.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (553) Denver Nuggets

02-06-26 Knicks v. Pistons +1.5 Top 80-118 Win 100 10 h 34 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Detroit was guilty of looking ahead to this game as it lost last night as a 16.5-point home favorite against an undermanned Washington team which snapped a three-game winning streak. The Pistons fell to 20-6 at home and still maintains a 4.5-game lead in the Eastern Conference over the Knicks and the Celtics and is in a prime bounce back spot with great value. Detroit is 4-1 ATS following a home loss and is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog. New York suffered through a four-game losing streak in mid-January before a 54-point win over Brooklyn and the Knicks have not looked back, winning and covering eight straight games and this is the sell high time. The Knicks are 2-8 ATS as road favorites of six points or fewer. Here, we play against teams revenging a road loss going up against an opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more. This situation is 50-15 (76.9 percent) since 2017. 10* (532) Detroit Pistons

02-05-26 Hornets v. Rockets -3.5 Top 109-99 Loss -110 8 h 11 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Houston had its three-game winning streak snapped with a 21-point home loss against Boston last night and now it is bounce back time with a great number to cover. The Rockets are still 17-5 at home and the spot is right. Houston is 4-0 ATS this season coming off those previous four home losses winning those games by an average of 18.3 ppg and they are in an exact same situation from last month when they were blown out at home against Oklahoma City and played at home the next night and won and covered against Minnesota. Charlotte is rolling along right now which is obviously playing into the number and that certainly helps. The Hornets have won seven straight games which includes two great wins over Philadelphia and San Antonio but those were at home and overall they are 12-15 on the road. Here, we play on home teams off a double digit loss as a favorite of six points or more, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 48-16 (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (524) Houston Rockets

02-04-26 Pelicans -5 v. Bucks Top 137-141 Loss -110 7 h 31 m Show

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The trade deadline is at 3 ET on Thursday so we have to be careful as trades can happen anytime up to that point and with Milwaukee, Giannis Antetokounmpo is the big target but he remains on the shelf so there is no impact. Milwaukee is coming off a win over Chicago on Tuesday which snapped a five-game losing streak and is in a back-to-back where the Bucks are 3-3 this season. Even though they are facing a bottom team from the Western Conference, they have struggled as they are 4-12 against the West including 1-7 at home and those are both straight up and against the number. The Pelicans are coming off a loss at Charlotte on Monday 102-95 for their second straight loss and they are 5-1 ATS after scoring fewer than 100 points. New Orleans comes in as a rare favorite but this has been the money spot as the Pelicans are 5-0 straight up and against the number when laying points. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a blowout win by 15 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 95 points or less. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 2022. 10* (505) New Orleans Pelicans

02-03-26 Magic +8.5 v. Thunder Top 92-128 Loss -110 7 h 37 m Show

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Star Attraction. We were hoping to get some more information on the injury situation for Oklahoma City but there has been no new news early Tuesday afternoon. Of their top five usage players, two are already declared out with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein all questionable so we could see some sitting for the Thunder. They are just 4-4 in their last eight games following a statement win at Denver and they have a game at San Antonio tomorrow which could further lead to some rest. Orlando is coming off a loss at San Antonio on Sunday and it has been a rough recent stretch as the Magic are 2-5 over their last seven games and getting a lower than anticipated number based on the money coming in and the line continues to rise so this is the buy low time. Orlando is 11-1 this season after a road loss while Oklahoma City is just 8-9 this season against teams with a winning record. 10* (573) Orlando Magic

02-03-26 Knicks v. Wizards +13 Top 132-101 Loss -110 6 h 54 m Show

This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. This line is completely over inflated due to it not only being the Knicks but what they have been up to. Following a five-game losing streak, New York has six straight games including a marquee home win over the Lakers on Sunday for its fourth straight win at home to improve to 20-6 at MSG. Now they have the letdown and hit the road where they are 10-12 while heading back home to face Denver tomorrow night in another marquee game. Washington is coming off a win over Sacramento and has won three of its last four games and while it is a huge step up in competition here, the line reflects that. The Wizards have been horrible on the road but are a much better 9-16 at home while covering 12 of those. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in February games. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) since 1997. 10* (560) Washington Wizards

02-02-26 Rockets v. Pacers +6 Top 118-114 Win 100 12 h 46 m Show

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Pacers are playing a solid stretch of basketball right now as they have won three of four games while going 7-5 over their last 12. Injuries have played a major factor in the overall struggles this season as numerous games have been missed by Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith and Andrew Nembhard and now all three are back together in the lineup for the first time since January 6th. Indiana is 13-7 ATS as a home underdog this season. Houston has won two straight, four of five and eight of its last 11 games following a 1-4 stretch to open January. Six of the eight recent wins have been at home where the Rockets are 17-4 compared to just 13-13 on the road. Kevin Durant has already been ruled out. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) since 2022. 10* (554) Indiana Pacers

02-01-26 Clippers v. Suns Top 117-93 Win 100 9 h 14 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Star Attraction. The Clippers are coming off a loss on Friday at Denver, catching the return of Nikola Jokic who had missed the previous 16 games and put up 31 points, 12 rebounds, and five assists in just over 24 minutes. Los Angeles is still 16-4 over its last 20 games which is the best run in the NBA over the last six weeks and they look to rebound here with their lineup still pretty much fully intact. The Clippers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games off a road loss. The Suns have won three straight games without the services of Devin Booker who remains out with an ankle injury. Phoenix has been great at home at 17-6 including 8-2 as a home underdog but catch the Clippers at the wrong time. Here, we play on road teams against division opponents, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 49-20 (71 percent) since 2022. 10* (545) Los Angeles Clippers

02-01-26 Bulls v. Heat -4 Top 91-134 Win 100 7 h 30 m Show

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Bulls and Heat have split the first two games of this three-game set with the road team winning both of the games following the Chicago seven-point win last night which snapped a three-game losing streak. The Bulls are now 9-14 on the road and they have gotten back to one game under .500 and we will be fading them here coming off that win as they come in 3-8 ATS this season playing their third game in four days. Miami is also hovering around that .500 mark with the Heat now two games over .500 as the Heat are 7-9 in their last 16 games following a four-game winning streak to open the new year. Miami is 3-0 ATS this season at home following a home loss. Here, we play on home teams playing their 3rd game in 4 days going up against an opponent playing their 5th game in 7 days. This situation is 62-26 (70.5 percent) since 2017. 10* (536) Miami Heat

01-30-26 Nets v. Jazz -2 Top 109-99 Loss -110 12 h 17 m Show

This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Brooklyn came through for us last night and we will now be fading the Nets following their second straight four-point loss against playoff teams from the Western Conference. They take a step down in competition but with that comes a big line move as well and this has not been in their wheelhouse as they are 1-3 ATS on the road with a line between +3 and -3. Playing with no rest has been an even bigger liability as Brooklyn is 0-7 straight up and against the number in the second of back-to-back games. Utah has lost four straight games while failing to cover any of those, all of which were at home while getting at least 6.5 points in every game so the Jazz were facing elite opposition. Now the number is in their favor as the Jazz are 5-1 ATS at home with a line between +3 and -3. Here, we play against teams revenging a loss where the opponent scored 100 or more points, off two road covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog. This situation is 27-6 (81.8 percent) since 2022. 10* (516) Utah Jazz

01-29-26 Nets +7.5 v. Nuggets Top 103-107 Win 100 10 h 56 m Show

This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Brooklyn is coming off a 106-102 loss at Phoenix and has lost six straight games and 14 of its last 16 games. The Nets have been competitive following three blowouts over this longer stretch and picking their spots is the way to go and this is one of those. They are 7-4 ATS this season as road underdogs between 6.5 and 12 points and 18-10 ATS going back to last season. Denver has won three straight games against the number, although it did lose outright in its last game against Detroit by a bucket which was its third straight home loss to fall to 12-9. The Nuggets are overpriced again, going 8-14 in their last 22 games against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 17-9 (65.4 percent) since 2022 and note that this is an outright record with an average moneyline of +243 and the Nets are around +240 tonight and with the average scoring differential +1.3 ppg, the spread is the play to be safe. 10* (571) Brooklyn Nets

01-29-26 Bucks -2 v. Wizards Top 99-109 Loss -110 8 h 7 m Show

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Milwaukee is a complete mess right now and we are all over the Bucks in this spot. They have lost three straight games and six of their last seven with all of those losses against legitimate championship contenders when fully healthy. Milwaukee is far from healthy with the big name being Giannis Antetokounmpo on the shelf and he has likely played his last game for the Bucks and his presence of late has been a distraction so him sitting does not hurt. They have been a good bounce back team, going 10-4 ATS this season off a road loss. We won with Washington on Tuesday as it snapped a nine-game losing streak with a win over Portland but that was just as much of a play against the Blazers which were off a great effort against Boston in a tough loss. Washington is 0-4 ATS as a home underdog of six points or fewer. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 where the line is +3 to -3 after being beaten by the spread by more than six points in three consecutive games. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (563) Milwaukee Bucks

01-28-26 Hornets v. Grizzlies +2.5 Top 112-97 Loss -110 10 h 16 m Show

This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Charlotte is coming off a 37-point win at home over Philadelphia and while the Hornets will be facing another short-handed team, coming off that win is not good as they are overvalued and have been awful in such situations. Charlotte has actually posted eight wins by 20 points or more and in the previous seven, they followed those up with losses in six of those games so momentum from the big wins has not been a thing. Memphis has dropped three straight games and will again be without Ja Morant and it is time to put a full game together as the Grizzlies have competed but not for the whole 48 minutes. They have had a double-digit lead in seven straight games but ended up losing five of those. Here, we play against road teams shooting between 45.5 and 47.5 percent and after three straight games shooting 50 percent or better going up against teams allowing between 45.5 and 47.5 percent shooting. This situation is 43-15 (74.1 percent). 10* (554) Memphis Grizzlies

01-28-26 Magic +3.5 v. Heat Top 133-124 Win 100 10 h 1 m Show

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Rivalry Rout. Orlando is coming off a pair of losses to Cleveland and the Magic have struggled since going abroad as they won in Berlin against Memphis but gave it back three nights later in London which started a losing streak that currently sits at four games. The defense has been atrocious as they have allowed 52.7 percent shooting or higher in all four games and we expect that to get better here against a poor shooting offense. They failed to cover any of those four games and remain on the road where there is value coming off a road loss as they are 10-1 outright off a road loss this season. Miami is coming off a 3-2 roadtrip after winning the final two games at Utah and Phoenix and will be the popular play here based on being home where they are 15-7. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) since 2022. 10* (549) Orlando Magic

01-27-26 Blazers v. Wizards +7.5 Top 111-115 Win 100 11 h 13 m Show

This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. As banged up as it is, Portland is holding its own as it remains in the playoff hunt in the Western Conference. The Blazers had won 11 of 14 games but lost to Toronto at home by 12 points before hitting the road and then lost a tough one last night in Boston by eight points despite rallying from a 32-11 deficit after the first quarter. Now it is letdown time and a big move as they go from 8.5-point underdogs to 7.5-point favorites and while it is for obvious reasons, this is not the ideal spot despite being 5-0 in the second of back-to-back games. Washington has dropped nine straight games but has been competitive of late, cashing three of its last four after a 0-5 ATS run. Washington is 5-1 ATS, 3-0 ATS at home, against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. Here, we play on teams off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. This situation is 38-19 (66.7 percent) since 2022. 10* (530) Washington Wizards

01-26-26 Warriors v. Wolves -7.5 Top 83-108 Win 100 13 h 35 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Minnesota has lost five straight games for the first time in over three years and the 111-85 loss on Sunday secured the lowest offensive showing in over six years. It is a quick turnaround for both teams as the game on Sunday was originally scheduled for Saturday but was postponed a day and that could help the Timberwolves in this second of a back-to-back set. The last two defeats have been at home where they are still 15-8 and they have fallen into a tie for the No. 6 spot in the Western Conference. Golden St. snapped a two-game losing streak with the win which followed a four-game winning streak with all of those victories at home, as the Warriors improved to 9-14 and we are seeing a decent line move from Sunday with the anticipation of Steph Curry sitting this one out with a bum knee after playing yesterday coming in as questionable. 10* (528) Minnesota Timberwolves

01-25-26 Heat v. Suns -4 Top 111-102 Loss -110 9 h 4 m Show

This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. It was an average roadtrip for the Suns which went 3-3 which concluded with a loss at Atlanta on Friday and started with a pair of losses that opened with a defeat at Miami so there is the revenge factor coming into tonight. Phoenix is 14-5 at home after remaining .500 on the highway after the split and this is the player bump spot with Devin Booker out for tonight which adds value in the number as bettors tend to steer clear when a star goes down but the first game is the one to back to buy low. The Heat are in a similar spot Phoenix was just in as they conclude a five-game roadtrip and they have split the first four games following a blowout win at Utah last night but they are 0-5 in their last five games following a victory. Only one of those follow-up losses was decided by single digits and that was a home game against the Celtics with three road losses over this coming by 17, 23 and 28 points. 10* (512) Phoenix Suns

01-24-26 Cavs v. Magic -2 Top 119-105 Loss -107 8 h 38 m Show

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Orlando was in Europe last weekend where it split a pir of games with Memphis and had three days off before its next game which resulted in a home loss by 27 points against Charlotte which was its third loss in less than three weeks against teams with a losing record. The Magic are down in seventh place in the Eastern Conference and need to re-establish home floor where they are 13-7 and playing the first of a home-and-home set with Cleveland. The team was called out by Paulo Banchero and rightfully so as taking him and Desmond Bane out of the equation, the other three starters shot 4-22 from the floor against the Hornets. Cleveland is starting to trend the right way as it has won four of five games including three straight on the road. The Cavaliers are coming off an uninspiring win over Sacramento at home last night by only five points and they are back on the road where they are just 3-4 on the second in the second of a back-to-back. 10* (568) Orlando Magic

01-23-26 Nuggets v. Bucks -6 Top 102-100 Loss -110 13 h 22 m Show

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Star Attraction. This game is a similar setup to the Knicks game against the Nets on Wednesday as the players are voicing out for not playing up to their potential. In this case, Giannis Antetokounmpo called out his teammates for not playing hard and playing selfishly following its second straight home loss by 20 points or more sandwiched around a 1-1 road split. The Bucks lost to Oklahoma City on Wednesday as they never led, fell behind by 20 after the first quarter and never threatened. Milwaukee has failed to cover five straight home games as in addition to the blowouts, the Bucks lost to Toronto and Charlotte outright while beating Washington by only one point. Speaking of Washington, the Wizards were the victim last night against Denver as the Nuggets won by 10 points which snapped a two-game losing streak and they have been hanging around despite the numerous injuries. They have been one of the best road teams in the league and this number is going to attract the money and we go opposite with the desperate team. 10* (556) Milwaukee Bucks

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