Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-17-22 | Flames +106 v. Lightning | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Nonconference Game of the Month. Calgary opened the season by winning five of its first six games and then fell off the cliff in a big way with seven consecutive losses but the Flames have bounced back with a pair of one goal wins at home. They are back on the road where they have played only four games so they have had a favorable schedule thus far but this is a good spot at a good price to keep this small stretch of momentum rolling. Calgary is 1-2-1-0 on the highway and those two regulation losses came at the tail end of that losing skid against New Jersey and Boston which are a combined 24-2 over their last 14 and 12 games respectively so they ran into two of the worst spots possible. The Flames are 20-7 in their last 27 games playing on two days of rest. Tampa Bay also hit a slump albeit much smaller as it dropped three of four games but it has additionally bounced back with a pair of home wins, a rout over Washington and an overtime win over Dallas on Tuesday. The Lightning are 5-2-0-1 at home with the offense leading the way with an average of 4.0 gpg but they run into a tough defense here that limits opportunities as the Flames are No. 5 in the league in shots allowed and Tampa Bay averages just 29.5 shots per game at home so their scoring chances should be quelled tonight. The Lightning are 1-5 in their last six games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 off a home win against a division rival, playing with two days of rest. This situation is 26-4 (86.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (49) Calgary Flames |
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11-15-22 | Red Wings -110 v. Ducks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT RED WINGS as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. Detroit has lost three straight games as it lost both games of a two-game homestand and opened its four-game roadtrip with a 4-3 loss at Los Angeles on Saturday. The Red Wings are still a solid 7-5-2-1 on the season which is good for a tie for third place in the Atlantic Division with three other teams at 17 points. They bring in a 2-3-1-0 record on the road which is nothing special but all four losses have been against teams with at least seven regulation wins and they do not have to worry about that here. This is the perfect get right game against a struggling team on both sides. The magic number is three as Detroit is 14-7 in its last 21 games when it scores three or more goals. Anaheim has also lost three straight games and it is now 4-10-0-1 on the season and those nine points are tied for the worst in the NHL. All three of those losses were at home where the Ducks are 2-4-0-0 and overall, the defense is worse in goals allowed and shots allowed and the offense is not much stronger at No. 24 and No. 24 respectively. One of the losses this season was a 5-1 defeat at Detroit but we do not have to worry about the revenge factor for Anaheim in this game as it is 0-15 in its last 15 games against the money line revenging a blowout loss of four goals or more including 0-10 in its last 10 games at home revenging a road loss of two goals or more. Here, we play against home underdogs against the money line after allowing three goals or more in five straight games going up against an opponent after allowing four goals or more. This situation is 49-14 (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (37) Detroit Red Wings |
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11-15-22 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -103 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. Columbus has lost six of its last seven games including an overtime loss at the Islanders last time out but it has been a very tough stretch of games with five of those coming against the Islanders, Devils, Bruins and Avalanche twice where the Blue Jackets were sizable underdogs in all of those games. They are now 3-5-0-0 at home which is nothing great but better than their 1-4-1-0 road record and the iffy home record is a factor of them being a small underdog here. This is a very good matchup though as while the defense is second to last in scoring and shots per game they face an offense that has not done much this season. The Columbus penalty kill has been solid this season and it has allowed only three power play goals over the last six games. Philadelphia has struggled nearly as bad as it has dropped three straight games and six of its last eight to fall to 7-6-2-0 after a very promising start to the season. The Flyers have been outscored 14-4 over their last three games as both sides have been abysmal and one recurring issue has been the power play as they have gone 0-10 over their last four games and 4-32 over their last 10 games and their 16 percent on the power play is No. 28 and that is even skewed because of a good start. The Flyers are 9-30 in their last 39 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game while going 3-21 in their last 24 games after allowing four goals or more in two straight games. Here, we play against teams against the money line scoring 2.55 or fewer gpg on the season, after three straight blowout losses by three goals or more. This situation is 44-7 (86.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (32) Columbus Blue Jackets |
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11-15-22 | Canucks v. Sabres -111 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO SABRES as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. The Sabres let us down in their last two games as sizable underdogs and now they remain home against another struggling team where home ice should conquer. They have now lost five straight games but four of those were against Carolina, Tampa Bay, Vegas and Boston, three of the top six teams in the Eastern Conference and the best team in the Western Conference. The power plays remains solid for Buffalo as after going 0-4 against Seattle, the Sabres are 11-34 in the man advantage over their last nine games and have scored at least one power play goal in all but one which was against the Bruins. This is a strong offense that is still ranked No. 7 in the NHL and can give the worst defense in the league some problems. The Sabres are 9-2 in their last 11 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. Vancouver has lost three straight games to open this roadtrip with this being the concluding game. The Canucks have allowed 13 goals over the three games on this trek and the defense is now third last in the league, allowing 4.1 gpg while the penalty kill is dead last at 61.8 percent and it is worst by a significant amount by allowing a league high 21 power play goals. The Canucks are 4-9-2-1 overall which includes big struggles on the road as they are 2-6-2-0 and getting outscored by 1.1 gpg. The offense has been top ten but has averaged only 2.0 gpg in their last three games. Here, we play on favorites against the money line coming off two or more consecutive home losses going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 84-31 (73 percent) since 1996. 10* (28) Buffalo Sabres |
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11-12-22 | Bruins v. Sabres +169 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO SABRES for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Buffalo opened the season red hot by winning seven of its first ten games but has lost four straight and this is the middle game of a tough three-game stretch at home. Losses at Carolina and Tampa Bay were certainly not bad but the Sabres returned home and put up a stinker against Arizona with a 4-1 loss as a -230 favorite. We played on the Sabres Thursday against Vegas but were ambushed in a 7-4 loss and face another tough opponent and are catching an even bigger number. The power plays remains solid for Buffalo as after going 0-4 against Seattle, the Sabres are 11-31 in the man advantage over their last eight games and have scored at least one power play goal in each. This is a strong offense that is ranked No. 2 in the NHL and can give the Boston defense some problems. Boston lost in Toronto last Saturday but has bounced back with a pair of home wins to improve to 12-2-0-0 and the Bruins remain in first place in the Eastern Conference, two points ahead of New Jersey and three points ahead of Carolina. They are a perfect 6-0-0-0 at home but are 4-2-0-0 on the highway where the defense has been not so great, allowing 3.00 gpg compared to just 1.75 gpg allowed at home. To their credit, they have allowed only one power play goal on the road but the Sabres power play is ranked No. 7 in the league at 29 percent. The Boston offense is scoring 4.33 gpg but it averages just 32.8 shots per game so it has been efficient and Buffalo will be looking for a better effort from goalie Eric Comrie who gave up six goals against the Golden Knights. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after allowing one goal or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after allowing five goals or more. This situation is 29-14 (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (66) Buffalo Sabres |
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11-10-22 | Golden Knights v. Sabres +155 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO SABRES for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. We played against Vegas on Tuesday and it was another fast start for the Golden Knights which eventually prevailed into an overtime victory. Vegas is on an absolute role as it has won eight straight games and this is the fifth game of a seven-game roadtrip that has opened 4-0 with a pair of overtime wins and another one goal victory. The Golden Knights have done it on both sides as they are ranked in the top ten in scoring and shots per game on each end which is obviously a great combo to have and they can thank this to great starts as they are outscoring opponents by close to one goal per game in the first period compared to a +.28 goal per game in the second and third periods combined. Buffalo opened the season red hot by winning seven of its first ten games but has lost three straight and this is the start of a tough three-game stretch at home. Losses at Carolina and Tampa Bay were certainly not bad but the Sabres returned home and put up a stinker against Arizona with a 4-1 loss as a -230 favorite. The power plays remains solid for Buffalo as after going 0-4 against Seattle, the Sabres are 9-28 in the man advantage over their last seven games and have scored at least one power play goal in each. This is a strong offense that is ranked No. 2 in the NHL and can give the Vegas defense some problems. The Sabres are 9-1 in their last 10 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. In the four years of the Golden Knights existence, the home team has won seven of the eight meetings with Buffalo taking the last three by two goals each. Here, we play on home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line in non-conference games, off a home loss by three goals or more. This situation is 23-9 (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (38) Buffalo Sabres |
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11-08-22 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs -117 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -117 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Revenge Game of the Month. Vegas is on an absolute role as it has won seven straight games which started with a home win over Toronto back on October 24 so we are a solid home revenge spot for the Maple Leafs. The Golden Knights have done it on both sides as they are ranked in the top ten in scoring and shots per game on each end which is obviously a great combo to have and they can thank this to great starts as they are outscoring opponents by close to one goal per game in the first period compared to a +.39 goal per game in the second and third periods combined so Toronto needs to slow them down early and they will be fine. Of their 13 games, only two have come against the top ten ranked teams in the power rankings. That loss to Vegas last month was the start of a four-game losing streak for the Maple Leafs so that adds to the revenge factor here. Following that skid, the Maple Leafs have won three straight games including an impressive win over Carolina on the road Saturday 3-1 and they are now 3-1 against teams ranked in the top ten with that lone loss coming against the Golden Knights. They are 5-1-0-0 at home as the defense has led the way by allowing only 2.17 gpg in those six games while outshooting opponents by over 11 shots per game. the Maple Leafs are 6-0 in their last six games when their opponent scores five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on home favorites against the money line after a three or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive wins. This situation is 67-23 (74.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (12) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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11-07-22 | Oilers -139 v. Capitals | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -139 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Edmonton closed its three-game homestand with a pair of losses against New Jersey and Dallas to fall to 7-5-0-0 which puts the Oilers into fourth place in the Pacific Division and sixth place overall in the Western Conference. The offense remains potent as Edmonton is No. 4 in scoring and No. 10 in shots per game and one of the biggest advantages has come from special teams. The Oilers are ranked No. 2 on the power play at 31.9 percent as their 15 power play goals lead the NHL. The defense has not followed suit as Edmonton is near the bottom in scoring allowed, shots given up and the penalty kill but face a poor offense tonight to get that right. The Oilers are 35-16 in their last 51 games after allowing five goals or more in their previous game. Washington has dropped four straight games including the last two as a favorite and the Capitals are now 5-6-1-1 on the season. The Capitals 12 points puts them at No. 6 in the Metropolitan Division and has then well out of the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference and while the season is still very young, there have been some consistently bad traits. Their defense has been okay enough to keep some of their games within reach to win but the offense has struggled as they are averaging only 2.7 gpg on 28.5 shots per game, No. 28 and No. 29 in the league respectively. They have scored two goals or less in five of their last six games. The Capitals are 1-7 in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on road favorites against the money line after two or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after four or more consecutive losses. This situation is 106-48 (68.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (69) Edmonton Oilers |
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11-03-22 | Bruins v. Rangers -121 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -121 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month. We lost with the Bruins on Tuesday as they rallied from a 5-2 deficit and defeated Pittsburgh 6-5 in overtime to improve to 9-1-0-0. Boston still leads the Eastern Conference by four points over the Rangers and Devils and its four-game roadtrip continues after a 2-0 start to move to 3-1-0-0 on the highway. They are the highest scoring team in the league with 4.4 gpg and that goes up to 5.0 gpg in those four road games despite only averaging 34.75 shots per game. They will be facing another tough defense on home ice although that did not pan out for Pittsburgh but this is a whole different test against one of the top goaltenders in the league. The Bruins are 2-5 in their last seven games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. The Rangers have won three straight games following a four-game losing streak and are now 6-3-1-1 on the season including a 3-1-1-1 record at home. The offense has not been scoring much as they are averaging only 2.9 gpg but it has not been because of lack of opportunities as they are averaging 36.5 shots per game which is No. 5 in the NHL so they have not caught the breaks and found the holes. This will eventually come around and it very well could be here as the Bruins are allowing 3.5 gpg on the road which is ninth most in the NHL. Defense has been the story for New York and it starts between the pipes. Reigning Vezina Trophy winning goalie Igor Shesterkin has been great as he is allowing just 2.22 gpg and has a .921 save percentage and that is the sixth highest save percentage for a goalie that has made at least 200 saves and fifth best percentage among goalies that have seen at least 227 shots. The Rangers are 11-1 in their last 12 home games off a win against a division rival. Here, we play on home favorites against the money line after three or more straight wins going up against an opponent after five or more straight wins. This situation is 67-22 (75.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (6) New York Rangers |
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11-01-22 | Ducks v. Sharks -120 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE SHARKS as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. Both San Jose and Anaheim have gotten off to poor starts and the home team has the edge here at a good price. The Sharks opened the season 0-3 but have gone 3-3 over their last six games by alternating wins and losses and coming off a one-goal loss to Tampa Bay last time out, the pattern continues. The San Jose defense will be the difference here as it has played well by allowing 3.1 gpg which is No. 17 and have limited opposing shots to 29.7 per game which is No. 9 in the league. Additionally, the Sharks are ranked No. 3 in the penalty kill with a .938 percentage and face the second worst offense in the NHL. San Jose is 14-6 against the money line in its last 20 home games after allowing three goals or more in three straight games. The Ducks picked up a 5-4 in overtime against Seattle in its season opener but then went on to lose seven straight games before an improbable 4-3 overtime win over Toronto on Sunday at home. Anaheim now hits the road where it is 0-5-0-1 and has averaged 1.5 gpg on away ice, getting outscored by 3.0 gpg. The Ducks have been outshot by over 10 shots per game both over and on the road which has led to an offense ranked No. 31 at 2.2 gpg and is only one spot higher in shots. In that first game against the Kraken, they scored two power play goals but since then, they have gone 0-23 on the power play while on the other side they have allowed 12 power play goals. Anaheim is 0-10 against the money line in its last 10 games coming off a home win by one goal. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage of .300 or less off a home loss by one goal, playing a team with a losing record in the first half of the season. This situation is 115-86 (57.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (64) San Jose Sharks |
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11-01-22 | Devils v. Canucks +114 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the VANCOUVER CANUCKS as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. Vancouver opened the season 0-5-2-0 but after the seven-game losing streak, the Canucks have won two straight games including an impressive 5-1 win over Pittsburgh on Friday in their last game. This is some positive momentum they can keep going here against one of the hottest teams in the NHL yet the line is telling us different as they were a +170 underdog against the Penguins last time out and are no where near that tonight despite the nearly opposite records. Special teams have played well after a slow start as Vancouver is 6-12 on the power play over its last four games which is important facing one of the penalty kills in the league. The Devils opened the season 0-2 with a pair of identical 5-2 losses against Philadelphia and Detroit but they have responded with wins in six of their last seven games. New Jersey is tied with the Rangers for first place in the Metropolitan Division with 12 points and it does bring in some impressive numbers. New Jersey has been the most impressive team when it comes to opportunities as it leads the league in both shots per game and shots allowed per game with a differential of over +18 per game. That has translated into a positive scoring differential but not by much as the Devils are outscoring opponents by only 0.8 gpg and while the defense has allowed only two power play goals, the offense has scored only five goals in the man up edge. New Jersey is 1-9 against the money line in its last nine games off a win against a division rival. Here, we play against teams against the money line after allowing one goal or less in their previous game going up against an opponent after scoring five goals or more in two straight games. this situation is 46-21 (68.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (60) Vancouver Canucks |
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11-01-22 | Bruins v. Penguins -105 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PENGUINS as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. Boston is off to a great start as it is 8-1-0-0 and leads the Eastern Conference by four points over the Rangers and Devils and its four-game roadtrip continues following a 4-0 win over Columbus and now it gets tough with the Penguins, Rangers and Maple Leafs to close it out. This is just the fourth road game of the season for the Bruins which is where their one loss occurred at Ottawa 7-5. They are the highest scoring team in the league with 4.22 gpg and that goes up to 4.67 gpg in those three road games despite only averaging 33 shots per game. they will be facing a tough defense on home ice that will be out for blood. Boston is 2-8 against the money line in its last 10 games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game. The season started great for Pittsburgh as it went 3-0-1-0 in its first four games that included a 3-0-0-0 record at home but then it hit the road that started well and closed horrible. The Penguins defeated Columbus 6-3 to open the trek and then closed with four straight losses where they were outscored 18-6. They finally return home where they are outshooting opponents by close to three shots per game while outscoring them by over four gpg. This is obviously their toughest opponent to see here but the line reflects that based on the Bruins red hot start and their own four-game skid and this is where to get right. Goalie Tristan Jarry will be back between the pipes after an off day Saturday and after two poor road starts, he is back home where he has allowed five goals in three games. Here, we play against road teams after two straight wins by three goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. this situation is 40-16 (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (48) Pittsburgh Penguins |
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10-31-22 | Kings v. Blues -114 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Monday Breakaway. St. Louis opened the season 3-0 but has now lost its last four games and none have been close as the Blues have been outscored 20-7 in those four defeats. This comes after giving up five combined goals in those three wins. Goalie Jordan Binnington was responsible for six goals allowed on Saturday against Montreal and we can throw that one out the window as he allowed 1.75 gpg in his previous four starts before that. After allowing no goals on the power play in their first five games in 11 chances, they allowed three in five opportunities over the last two. The offense has also been a disappointment as the Blues are ranked No. 29 in scoring and No. 24 in shots per game and that should change here against a bad defense. St. Louis is 14-4 in its last 18 home games after two straight blowout losses by three goals or more. Los Angeles had a solid 2-1 homestand with the two wins coming against Tampa Bay and Toronto by identical 4-2 scores and are back on the road where they re 3-2-0-0 and that winning record is working in our favor with the number. The Kings have scored four goals or more in six of their last eight games while averaging 3.5 gpg overall which is No. 8 in the league. The aforementioned defense has been a different story as they are allowing 4.1 gpg, No. 29 in the NHL, and they have given up 10 power play goals in 45 chances so they are giving the opponent too many open opportunities on special teams. The Kings are 2-6 in their last eight games playing on one day of rest. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing four goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring three goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 165-89 (65 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (40) St. Louis Blues |
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10-29-22 | Oilers v. Flames -140 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Edmonton is riding a three-game winning streak going into the second meeting in the Battle of Alberta where the Flames claimed the victory in the first matchup. The Oilers will be out for revenge from that but that is not an angle to be playing on the road especially in this run they are on as they are playing their third road game in four nights. The Oilers won at St. Louis, 3-1, on Wednesday and followed that up with a 6-5 victory at Chicago on Thursday that featured 17 penalties which resulted in five power play goals between the two teams. Edmonton has recorded 38 or more shots in only three games while staying under 30 shots in four games so it has been an inconsistent stretch to start the season. The Oilers were outshot 42-29 in the first meeting and the Oilers are 3-7 in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. The Flames are in the midst of an eight-game homestand and while the schedule has been home heavy, they have played some tough competition. Calgary has played just six games and has won five of those including two in a row. The Flames defeated Colorado, the road win over Edmonton and home wins over Vegas, Carolina and Pittsburgh with the only loss against surprising Buffalo. The Flames are averaging 3.67 gpg while outshooting opponents by close to nine gpg so they are playing at a high level and while they already got their revenge on Edmonton after getting bounced by the Oilers in the playoffs last season, they want some home revenge after losing the series clincher here in overtime. The Flames are 5-2 in their last seven games when their opponent allows five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play against underdogs against the money line after having won four or five of their last six games, playing six or more games in 10 days. This situation is 132-54 (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (22) Calgary Flames |
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10-28-22 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets +140 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. Boston won on Thursday over Detroit 5-1 to move to 7-1-0-0 on the season and it has the early lead in the Atlantic Division by five points over Toronto and Florida and hits the road for the start of a four-game roadtrip. The Bruins have played a very favorable schedule as six of the first eight games were at home including the last four and they have played the second easiest schedule in the NHL which is part of the reason Boston is just No. 8 in the updated power rankings after last night. The Bruins possess the No. 2 scoring offense in the NHL with 4.25 gpg while putting up over 35 shots per game and this includes scoring five goals in each of the first two road games where they are 1-1 as the defense has allowed 4.50 gpg. The one strong aspect of that defense is the special teams and on the penalty kill, Boston has stopped 28 of 30 shots and that .933 save percentage is tied for second best in the league. Going back, the Bruins are 1-5 in their last six games playing on no rest and that includes the one loss in this situation this season. Columbus is off to an average start as it is 3-5-0-0 but is has gone 3-2 following a 0-3 start and have had a couple days to recover from its bad 6-3 loss to Arizona on Tuesday as more than a 2-2 favorite. Despite the loss against the Coyotes, the Blue Jackets got a big piece back as they activated Patrik Laine off injured reserve Tuesday, getting the winger back in the lineup for the first time since their season opener and while he did not produce a point, he had a team high five shots and he was third on the team last season with 56 points. This is an excellent spot catching the Bruins in the second of a back-to-back and Columbus is 8-4 against the money line in its last 12 games off a home loss by two goals or more. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .700 or better after having won five or six of their last seven games playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 43-31 (58.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (76) Columbus Blue Jackets |
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10-27-22 | Wild -120 v. Senators | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. It has been a slow start for Minnesota as it is 2-3-0-1 but is coming off a win at Montreal to get some confidence rolling in the second game of this five-game roadtrip. The Wild opened the season with three straight losses at home as they allowed 20 goals which is basically unwinnable but the defense has stepped up over their 2-0-1-0 stretch by allowing just eight goals, seven in regulation. While that is a big boost, the offense has been consistent throughout the season, averaging 3.67 gpg on over 34 shots per game. They have outshot five of six opponents and the power play has been efficient as they are scoring at a 32 percent clip which is fourth best in the league and catch a team that has overachieved thus far. The Wild are 21-9 in their last 30 games against teams from the Eastern Conference. Ottawa opened the season with a pair of losses against Toronto and Buffalo but has responded with four straight wins as the offense has exploded. After scoring only three goals in those first two games, the Senators have scored 22 goals during their four-game winning streak all of which have come at home and despite that, they are the slight underdog here which is correct. They are catching a hot goalie as Marc-Andre Fleury who has picked it up over his last three starts after a rough opening to the season and he can slow this offense down. The Senators are 33-73 in their last 106 games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play against home underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line off a home win scoring four or more goals going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 36-9 (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (53) Minnesota Wild |
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10-26-22 | Oilers v. Blues +105 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Edmonton benefitted from a favorable early schedule as it opened the season with six consecutive home games and this is its first road game of the season, the last team in the league to head out on the highway. It has not been a great start as the Oilers are 3-3-0-0 but to their credit, they have played some tough opposition including a pair of games against Calgary, a game against Pittsburgh and a game against St. Louis. The game against the Blues resulted in a 2-0 shutout loss so there is revenge in play here but we all now how we feel about road revenge. Edmonton got the offense going against Pittsburgh in its last game as it recorded 47 shots while tacking on six goals to tie a season high and while the defense allowed just one power play goal in five opportunities, the Oilers have allowed at least one in every game and their .741 penalty kill percentage is tenth worst in the league and their 27 penalties are tied for fourth most. The Blues are back in St. Louis for only their second home game of the season following a three-game roadtrip where they went 2-1 and are off their first loss of the season in a 4-0 shutout at Winnipeg on Monday. The Blues have yet to outshoot an opponent in four games this season which is a concern especially against a team like Edmonton that can pepper the net on any given night but the blueline did a great job as they allowed only 23 shots on goal. The power play has gone 2-9 as they have not had many opportunities and based on the matchup, they should get more chances here. St. Louis has yet to allow a power play goal in nine man-down situations and Jordan Binnington will be back in goal after having Monday off as he has allowed just five goals in his three starts. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after a blowout win by three goals or more going up against an opponent after a blowout loss by three goals or more in their previous game. this situation is 175-121 (59.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (46) St. Louis Blues |
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10-25-22 | Sabres v. Seattle Kraken -115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE KRAKEN for our NHL Nonconference Game of the Month. Buffalo has been an early season surprise as it is off to 4-1-0-0 start with all four wins coming as an underdog including huge upsets at Edmonton and Calgary. The Sabres are 3-0-0-0 on the road and have netted 5.6 units and it has not even been close as they have outscored their three opponents 15-5. They come in an underdogs once against albeit much smaller and they will be getting a lot of public action on Tuesday and that is an oxymoron for Buffalo as it has been one of the worst road teams in the league over the last few years. They have been doing it a very unconventional way as they have yet to outshoot an opponent and are getting outshot by close to 10 gpg but the special teams has been the edge as in the four wins, they have allowed only one power play goal in 12 chances and the offense has converted 30 percent of their opportunities over their three-game winning streak. Seattle is 2-3-2-0 and is coming off a loss on Sunday against Chicago 5-4 as it blew a two-goal lead going into the third period. The Kraken have yet to win at home as they are 0-2-1-0 and the issue has been the penalty kill where they have allowed four goals in 12 chances while mustering only two power play goals on offense. Unlike Buffalo, they have had more opportunities and they have outshot five of seven opponents including two of three at home and overall they are outshooting opponents by over five gpg. The goaltending needs to get better as they are allowing 3.86 gpg and have a .860 save percentage and whether it is going to be Martin Jones or Phillipp Grubauer, they should be fine. Here, we play on home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing four goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring three goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 164-89 (64.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (38) Seattle Kraken |
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10-24-22 | Penguins v. Oilers -120 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. We lost with Edmonton on Saturday as it was shutout against St. Louis and while it has another tough matchup on Monday, the price is right here for a shot to recover. Edmonton outshot the Blues 23-21 which was a small positive but it been outshot in three of their five games which is surprising considering the fast paced offense with great puck movement that they possess. The offense has been unable to find a consistent rhythm as the Oilers are averaging 3.2 gpg which is not typical of this team after averaging 4.1 gpg through all of last season. Another positive from Saturday was the defense which was struggling but allowing only 21 shot was solid as the blueline finally settled down and avoided allowing so many quality looks. The Penguins are off to a great start as they are 4-0-1-0 while outscoring the opposition 26-11 and they lead the Metropolitan Division early on. They rolled at Columbus on Saturday with a 6-3 win and it was efficient with just 39 shots on goal and going 0-3 on the power play. They are averaging 5.2 gpg while allowing 2.2 gpg so they have been dominating but are facing their toughest opponent of the season based on the short line as they have been favored by a minimum of -163 in all five games. The lone loss came on the road at Montreal as it blew a 2-0 lead to lose 3-0 in overtime and this clearly the toughest place it has travelled to thus far. Pittsburgh is 3-9 against the money line in its last 12 road games after scoring four goals or more in two straight games. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after two straight wins by three goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. This situation is 39-16 (70.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (18) Edmonton Oilers |
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10-22-22 | Blues v. Oilers -145 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Edmonton bounced back with a win over Carolina on Thursday following a pair of home losses against Carolina and Buffalo. The Oilers have been outshot in three of their four games which is surprising considering the fast paced offense with great puck movement that they possess. Defense has been the issue early on as the Oilers have allowed 14 goals over their last three games and the Edmonton blueline needs to settle down and avoid allowing the opposition so many quality looks as the breakout passes need to be more efficient and then defensive zone coverage needs to be better. Edmonton is 13-1 against the money line in its last 14 home games off an home win scoring four or more goals. The Blues are off to a 2-0 start but have played two games against a pair of weak opponents as they won their first game of the season last Saturday by a score of 5-2 over the Blue Jackets and they beat the Kraken in overtime on Wednesday. This is a loaded offense with scoring potential at all four lines and so far, seven different Blues have already scored a goal after having nine different forwards reach the 20-goal plateau last season. This is a game where Edmonton can get to goalie Jordan Binnington. Here, we play on home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing four goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring three goals or more in two straight games. this situation is 163-89 (64.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (60) Edmonton Oilers |
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10-20-22 | Predators -125 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the NASHVILLE PREDATORS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Columbus opened the season 0-3 with all three losses by three goals but bounced back last time out as it won 4-3 in overtime against Vancouver on Tuesday for its first points of the season. The offense scored one fewer goal against the Canucks than the first three games combined so while that was a positive step, this offense is in bad shape. The season could not have started better for winger Patrik Laine who scored a goal 11 seconds into the first game of the season but went down with an injury and is gone for a while and he will be missed after registering 56 points last season in just 56 games. the offense has not capitalized on special teams as the Blue Jackets are 0-10 on the power play. Nashville opened the season with a pair of wins over San Jose in Europe but it has been a disaster since then as it has dropped its last three games, a pair of losses against Dallas by a combined score of 9-2 and most recently, a loss against Los Angeles at home in a shootout. Both offense and defense have been inconsistent but we expect both to be better here. Goalie Juuse Saros, who finished last season with a 38-25-3 record before getting injured prior to the playoffs and finished third in voting for the Vezina Trophy opened great against the Sharks but has disappointed the last three games and we expect a bounce back. On offense, a similar special teams problem exists as the Predators are 1-21 on the power play so the opportunity has been there and they have the offense that can overcome. Here, we play against home underdogs of +100 to +200 after allowing three goals or more in four straight games going up against an opponent after allowing four goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 31-5 (86.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (27) Nashville Predators |
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10-19-22 | Blues -136 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Western Conference Game of the Week. Seattle is 1-2-1 to start the season including a pair of blowout losses at home in its last two games. The Kraken do have an advantage based on the schedule as being four games in against a team with just one game in is a definite edge and early money looks to be taking that into consideration with the line and that is helping us here as there are greater factors more than a scheduling edge. The goaltending has been awful as Seattle is allowing 4.0 gpg and it has been a mix of bad between Martin Jones and Phillipp Grubauer. The latter will be on the ice and he has allowed five goals in both of his starts while tossing in a shutout period of relief of Jones against Vegas. Seattle had 48 shots in its first game against Anaheim but has put up only 26 shots per game in the next three games and that will not get it done here. To their credit, they are 6-18 on the power play and have scored at least one power play goal in each game but that is offset with the penalty killing as the Kraken have allowed seven goals in 17 chances. St. Louis has just the one game played which resulted in a 5-2 win over Columbus and making it most impressive is that those five goals were scored on only 25 shots. That shooting percentage will obviously not sustain itself but quality shots with great puck movement will be a nightmare for Seattle. This is one of the deepest offensive teams in the league as last season, the Blues had nine different players that scored 20 or more goals and only lost one of those in the offseason and while David Perron is a big absence, there is plenty to make it up. Goalie Jordan Binnington stopped 23 shots and one of the goals was a power play and the Blues hope they get the playoff Binnington from last season where he had a 1.72 GAA and he should be fine in this spot. Here, we play against teams outscored by their opponents by 0.65 or more after allowing five goals or more in two straight games. this situation is 99-32 (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (21) St. Louis Blues |
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10-18-22 | Golden Knights v. Flames -150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. A pair of undefeated teams take the ice on Tuesday as Vegas goes to Calgary where it concludes a short two-game roadtrip. Vegas has been stuck in the Pacific Northwest for five days so while there is no travel disadvantage, being in the same place away from home for a lengthy amount of time is trying. The Golden Knights are 3-0 but the last two games came against teams that are unlikely to sniff the postseason and this is by far the biggest test of the young season. They were decent on the road last season with a 21-16-2-2 record but will playing in one of the tougher environments in the NHL. The Golden Knights are 5-11 in their last 16 games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. We won with Calgary on Saturday in the Battle of Alberta against Edmonton on the road which was an early season statement and one that will stick for a short period of time as Edmonton comes to town later this this month which is part of an eight-game homestand for the Flames. They already have one impressive home victory as they defeated reigning Stanley Cup Champion Colorado 5-3 although it was not an upset as Calgary closed at -140 and while this line is and should be higher than that, it is not much of a difference which indicates some value on the home side. The Flames were 25-9-6-1 at home last season, one of only three Western Conference teams to possess single-digit regulation losses at home. The Flames are 21-8 in their last 29 games playing on two days of rest. 10* (12) Calgary Flames |
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10-17-22 | Penguins v. Canadiens +210 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 210 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL CANADIENS for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Week. We often talk about overreaction in football based on early results and recent history and it also goes into other sports. Montreal opened the season with a big underdog win against Toronto and the market adjusted in the next game but it was the start of two straight losses by a combined 6-1 and now the market has shifted back. The Canadiens are back home and despite going 11-26-3-1 at home last season, there is value to be had here against a team in a letdown spot even though it is early. The power play has gone 0-10 through the first three games which not helped an offense that is bottom of the barrel in shooting with only 24.7 spg on goal but could have a favorable matchup here. The Penguins have started 2-0 with a pair of 6-2 blowout victories, the first a rather unimpressive one against Arizona but the second was against Tampa Bay on Saturday which is the letdown aspect. They have dominated all around except for special team and this being the first road game, that could be a problem. Getting the opportunities at home to take advantage of is important and Pittsburgh has been vulnerable in that early on as three of its four goals allowed has come by way of the power play. Here, we play on home teams against the money line after scoring one goal or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring five goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 31-12 (72.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (60) Montreal Canadiens |
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10-15-22 | Flames +118 v. Oilers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 118 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Pacific Game of the Month. We typically do not factor in road revenge with NHL home ice being as strong of an edge as it is but we will put it in play here as a partial angle. Calgary had home ice against Edmonton in the second round of the playoffs last year and after winning Game One 9-6, things were looking good but the Oilers won the next four games including the series clinching win in Calgary in overtime. The Flames got the season off to a good start with a win at Colorado to spoil the season home debut for the reigning Stanley Cup Champions and that does not signify a letdown with this heated Battle of Alberta rivalry matchup. Jacob Markstrom is expected to start between the pipes and has his own personal revenge as the Oilers lit him up in that series as he finished allowing over five gpg and a poor .850 save percentage. Calgary will be up for the test. Edmonton is also coming off a season opening win as it defeated Vancouver 5-3 after falling behind 3-0 early in the second period which obviously showed the firepower of this team. The Oilers were 28-12-0-1 during the regular season a year ago at home which were the third most home wins in the Western Conference but Calgary countered that with a 25-12-3-1 record on the road and those 25 wins were tied for the most in the entire league so there is no issue with the Flames winning here. Edmonton was outshot 36-25 but stopped seven of eight power play opportunities as goalie Jack Campbell settled down after the poor start. Now, it is a different story for him as he makes his debut in the Alberta rivalry after spending the last two-plus seasons with the Maple Leafs. 10* (53) Calgary Flames |
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10-14-22 | Rangers v. Jets -114 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG JETS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. The Rangers did not waste a lot of time on Thursday as they scored just over four minutes into the game and eventually built a 3-0 lead right before the first period horn and never looked back. New York backed up its solid home opening win over Tampa Bay and remains on the road for its first back-to-back of the season. Reigning Vezina Trophy winning goalie Igor Shesterkin made 26 saves against the Lightning and 33 saves against Minnesota after getting that 3-0 lead but the good news is he will not be in goal tonight so Friday will mark Jaroslav Halak's Rangers debut, his seventh team, after coming over from Vancouver where he had his worst save percentage in 11 seasons. The Jets take the ice for the first time with a team that is relatively the same from last season with the biggest change being on the bench as Rick Bowness takes over as the new head coach. He did not do a whole lot to the roster but in the offseason, his goal was to recharge a franchise that has been stuck in neutral and looks to be doing it the old school way as the roster is pretty solid despite the finish last season. The Jets were 39-32-7-4 as they stumbled on the road but were solid at home with a 23-15-2-1 record at home. Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor and Nikolaj Ehlers make up the Jets new top line, one that could easily generate 100 goals or more while defensively, Josh Morrissey and Dylan DeMelo will start on the blue line as the two top stoppers. Winnipeg went 4-1-0-1 in the preseason and while it does not tell us a whole lot, the aggressiveness was there as it scored four or more goals in the four wins including five goals three times. 10* (26) Winnipeg Jets |
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10-13-22 | Rangers v. Wild -134 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -134 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. The Rangers took a 2-0 lead against Tampa Bay in the NHL Eastern Conference Finals last season only to go on to lose the next four games to miss out on a chance for the Stanley Cup. New York hosted the Lightning on Tuesday and got its revenge in a 3-1 win where it outshot Tampa Bay 39-26 and killed five of six power play attempts. Reigning Vezina Trophy winning goalie Igor Shesterkin made 26 saves as he started right where he left off but we expect a big letdown here as the Rangers hit the road for the first time in what will be a very electric environment. New York lost eight of its 10 road games in the playoffs last season and the Rangers will see a playoff atmosphere tonight. Minnesota is coming off a great season as it accumulated 113 points in 53 wins which was the best regular season in the history of the franchise. The season ended abruptly however as the Wild lost to St. Louis in the first round of the playoffs in a 4-2 series loss so the mission continues going into this season. Minnesota returns pretty much every key part from last season including the top line of Kirill Kaprizov, Ryan Hartman and Mats Zuccarello that was sensational as the trio combined for 105 goals and 252 points. In 11 regular season games after coming over via a trade, goalie Marc-Andre Fleury was 9-2-0-0 with a 2.74 GAA and .910 save percentage after splitting time between the pipes and is the full time starter heading into this season. 10* (12) Minnesota Wild |
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10-12-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Ducks -114 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the ANAHEIM DUCKS for our NHL Game of the Week. Anaheim opens the season at home on Wednesday and then it goes on a big five-game roadtrip on the east coast so this first game of the year is a pretty big one. Last season, the Ducks missed the postseason for the fourth straight time finishing with a 31-37-9-5 record and 76 points which put them in seventh place in the Pacific Division, ahead of just their opponent for tonight as Seattle had 60 points in it inaugural season. The Ducks bring in a great group of forwards with Trevor Zegras, Troy Terry, and Mason McTavish and this young group is expected to carry the team to end the playoff drought. Zegras finished second in Calder voting and scored 23 goals, and 38 assists and he will be a big part of the offense this season. Seattle is coming off a solid 4-2 postseason that included three shutouts but did lose the last two and it opens the season with a pair of back-to-back road games which is not ideal. The Kraken were 11-27-2-1 on the road last season and this is a very young team with not a lot of expectations heading into their second year. They acquired forward Andre Burakovsky from the Avalanche in July and he will be a big part of the offense that scored only 216 goals last season. The number is not nearly as big as it should be even with the poor season from Anaheim last year but there are more expectations for the home team and getting off to a solid start could give us value with the Ducks going forward as well. The Kraken closed last season 7-21 in their last 28 road games. 10* (80) Anaheim Ducks |
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06-26-22 | Avalanche -115 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO AVALANCHE for our NHL Game of the Week. Tampa Bay staved off elimination with a 3-2 win on Friday to send the series back home for Game Six and while momentum is on its side, this matchup has not been even though it possesses two wins. The Lightning are 35-9-3-4 at home including a win and an overtime loss in this series and the defense has led the way, allowing 2.41 gpg overall at home but after outshooting Colorado in Game Four, they were outshot yet again Friday but got away with it. Tampa Bay is one win away from tying this series up and it has stayed in it in an unconventional way as it is tied with Colorado with 12 goals apiece at even strength as it has not been able to keep up on special teams, going just 2-18 on the power play while allowing six power play goals in 15 man down chances and that could doom them here. Colorado continues to pepper goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy as it has at least 30 shots in all five games and has done so in 12 straight playoff games, averaging 38.6 shots on goals. This has been a dynamic spot for the Avalanche as they are 30-8 on the season following five straight games where they had at least 30 shots so the game plan is simple to use their speed and forecheck to get some easy opportunities. Andrei Vasilevskiy has picked up his game after two bad games to open this series and while the word due can be overused, he could be due with all of the shots he has encountered. The Avalanche are 42-10 in their last 52 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play on road favorites of -200 or less against the money line in the second half of the season scoring on more than 19 percent of their power play chances after five straight games with 30 or more shots on goal. This situation is 53-20 (72.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (31) Colorado Avalanche |
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06-24-22 | Lightning +155 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-2 | Win | 155 | 35 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Friday Breakaway. A great Game Four between Colorado and Tampa Bay ended in controversy as the Avalanche won in overtime but it was proven after that they has too many men on the ice during the game winning goal. Colorado now enjoys a 3-1 series lead with two home games remaining should the Lightning extend the series to a full seven games. We all know how tough Colorado is at home as it improved to 39-6-3-2 at home after the Game Two win and has won four straight following a pair of losses against St. Louis and this is a very similar matchup. This will be the seventh meeting this season and while Colorado has won all three at home, two were by just one goal and four of the six overall meetings were decided by a single goal, three in extra time. Many expected this series to go the distance and now it is up to the Lightning to steal a game on the road and head back home to make that happen. A positive for Tampa Bay from Game Four is that it outshot Colorado for the first time in this series and it registered its most shots on goal with 39 with equaled the amount from the first two games in Colorado combined so that is something to build on. We have backed Tampa Bay numerous times this postseason and pointed out how the experience is a big factor and never more so than here. The Lightning are 91-27 in their last 118 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line after having lost three of their last four games going up against an opponent having won eight or more of their last 10 games. This situation is 37-24 (60.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (29) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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06-22-22 | Avalanche -102 v. Lightning | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 35 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO AVALANCHE for our NHL Game of the Week. Coming into Game Three, Tampa Bay was 7-1 at home in the postseason, including seven straight wins, while Colorado was 7-0 on the road in the playoffs so something has to give and it was the Lightning that kept its streak alive. Colorado struck first with a goal midway through the first period but the Lightning pinned their ears back and ran off three straight goals and when the Avalanche made it a one goal game, Tampa Closed with three more unanswered goals. Tampa Bay is one win away from tying this series up and it has stayed in this series in an unconventional way as it is tied with Colorado with eight goals apiece at even strength as it has not been able to keep up on special teams, going just 1-12 on the power play while allowing five power play goals in 11 man down chances. Colorado continues to pepper goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy as it has at least 30 shots in all three games and has done so in 10 straight playoff games, averaging 38.9 shots on goals. This has been a dynamic spot for the Avalanche as they are 29-7 on the season following five straight games where they had at least 30 shots so the game plan is simple to use their speed and forecheck to get some easy opportunities. The Avalanche are now 31-15-3-0 on the road and while the away numbers are down on the highway compared to at home, this style of play is going to derail the Lightning. The Avalanche are 21-5 in their last 26 games following a loss of three or more goals. Here, we play on road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 in the second half of the season that are allowing a penalty kill of 17.5 or more and having gone five straight games with 30 or more shots on goal. This situation is 57-17 (77 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (27) Colorado Avalanche |
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06-20-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning -105 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 34 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Monday Breakaway. We lost with Tampa Bay in Game Two as it forgot to show up and now faces a must win game at home on Monday to avoid a 3-0 series deficit. The Lightning could not handle the speed and forecheck of the Avalanche in Game Two as they turned it over constantly which led to open space and too many shot opportunities for Colorado. It was the second straight game Tampa Bay allowed three first period goals and while it was able to come back to tie it up in Game One, it was unable to do so on Saturday. The turnovers in Game Two killed the offense as the Lightning managed only 17 shots and led to 30 shots for Colorado which was down from the 38 shots in Game One. Tampa Bay is 34-9-2-4 at home this season including a 7-1 record in the playoffs where it is riding a seven-game winning streak. The Lightning are 18-2 against the money line in its last 20 home games revenging a loss where opponent scored four or more goals. Colorado has shown its speed and athleticism can even take down one of the top defensive teams but carrying that over into Game Three on the road can be a challenge against a desperate team that was in this same spot in the last series. The Avalanche are 31-14-3-0 on the road which is solid but they are not nearly as effective on away ice as they are at home. This will be their toughest test of the postseason thus far and they do fall short. Here, we play on home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing three goals or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring four goals or more in four straight games. This situation is 40-12 (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (26) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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06-18-22 | Lightning +141 v. Avalanche | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Non-Conference Game of the Year. Tampa Bay nearly pulled off the comeback in Game One as it fell behind 3-1 after the first period but shutout the Avalanche the rest of the way in regulation but lost in overtime on a goal within the first two minutes. It was a tough loss for the Lightning but this has been a very lucrative spot during the Stanley Cup run. In Game Two of the Eastern Conference Finals, the Lightning came off their first loss following a loss in the postseason in three years after winning 16 straight games in that situation but bounced back with a win in Game Three and are now 17-1 in the postseason over the last three seasons following a loss. Tampa Bay is 29-19-2-1 on the road including a 5-5 record in the playoffs that includes three losses by one goal. Tampa Bay is 30-9 against the money line in its last 39 games revenging a loss where opponent scored four or more goals. Colorado had nine days off prior to the Stanley Cup opener and there was no rust as it scored three first period goals but slowed down considerably despite outshooting the Lightning 22-14 over the final two periods. The Avalanche improved to 38-6-3-2 at home and have won three straight following a pair of losses against St. Louis and this is a very similar matchup as this was the third meeting this season, all won by Colorado, but all were won by one goal, two coming in extra time. Colorado is 68-83 against the money line in its last 151 games after two straight games where both teams scored three goals or more. Here, we play against teams against the money line after winning six or more consecutive games, playing three or less games in 10 days. This situation is 67-44 (60.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (23) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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06-15-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche -156 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 80 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO AVALANCHE for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Tampa Bay rallied from a 2-0 series deficit to win four straight games and eliminated the Rangers to make it to its third straight Stanley Cup final after winning the last two. The Lightning have ridden the outstanding play of goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy as over the last four games, he allowed only five goals with a .955 save percentage but more impressive is that only one of those was at even strength where he made 100 saves on 101 shots for a .990 save percentage. He will be facing a whole different animal now however and this total defense will be put to the test. Tampa Bay is 4-10 in its last 14 games against the money line after having won eight or more of their last 10 games. Colorado has rolled into the finals as it went 12-1-1 in its first 14 playoff games and while it will be nine days between games, that will not hurt the Avalanche as the rest will only benefit this high flying offense. In the four-game sweep over Edmonton, Colorado tallied 47, 40, 43 and 42 shots and that is hard to overcome as the Avalanche averaged 5.5 gpg in the series. St. Louis was the only team to keep the offense somewhat in check as it allowed 3.7 gpg to Colorado on 37 shots per game but that has been right around the season average. The Avalanche are averaging 4.15 gpg at home, the same average as during the regular season which was No. 2 in the league. Colorado is 13-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 this season. Here, we play road underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line after allowing one goal or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring three goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 123-54 (69.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (12) Colorado Avalanche |
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06-11-22 | Rangers +163 v. Lightning | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 10 m | Show |
06-09-22 | Lightning -130 v. Rangers | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 36 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. The Rangers had Tampa Bay on the ropes as they led Game Three 2-0 in the second period but allowed three unanswered goals and then lost 4-1 in Game Four as the momentum has now completely shifted in this series. This will be considered a great bounce back spot for New York by some but the confidence of the team is shook and even though it is back home with home ice remaining but this is not a good spot. New York is 34-10-2-3 at home which is outstanding but faces a top road scoring offense that has averaged nearly four gpg in their last eight road games. The Rangers are 3-8 in their last 11 games as an underdog. It was a very efficient Game Four for the Lightning as they only had 31 shots on goal and went 0-3 on the power play but still managed three goals against Igor Shesterkin and have now outscored New York 7-1 over the last four and a half periods. Tampa Bay has shown how its playoff experience can take over as staring at the brink of a 3-0 series deficit did not affect them at all. Tampa Bay goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has gotten stronger as the series has gone along by decreasing the goals allowed and increasing his save percentage in each game. The Lightning have allowed 31.8 shots per game which is right around their series average on the road and they are 36-15 in their last 51 games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play on road favorites of -200 or less against the money line in the second half of the season averaging three or more gpg on the season, after allowing two goals or less in two straight games. This situation is 79-42 (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (49) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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06-07-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -170 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Tampa Bay found itself in a tough spot on Sunday as it fell behind 2-0 in the second period of Game Three and was staring at a 3-0 series deficit before reeling off the final three goals including the game winner with less than a minute remaining in the game. The Lightning have newfound life and carry that momentum into Game Four at home which is another must win before going back to New York. Tampa Bay was excellent on offense despite just the three goals scored as it took 52 shots and that is the style needed to defeat the best goaltender in the league. The Lightning are 32-9-2-4 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by over one gpg as both ends have played at a high level. Limiting the New York power play is vital as on the season, Tampa Bay is 19-8-3-0 when committing fewer penalties than its opponent. Tampa Bay is 16-1 against the money line in its last 17 home games after having lost two of their last three games. The Rangers remain on the road where they are 27-19-3-0 and outscoring opponents by just 0.04 gpg as the defense has been above average while the offense has been the opposite, averaging just 2.90 gpg mainly due to the lack of shots with only 27.5 per game. The Rangers are 1-6 in their last seven games as a road underdog. 10* (46) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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06-06-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers +116 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Western Conference Game of the Week. Edmonton finds itself in a nearly insurmountable hole as it is down 3-0 in the Western Conference Finals and will look to become only the sixth team in NHL history to win a series down 3-0. The Oilers are 32-14-1-1 at home, winning 20 of their last 27 games in Edmonton and things were looking good early in Game Three as they scored in the first minute of the game but were unable to sustain the momentum in the eventual 4-2 loss. The bad news for the Oilers is that Evander Kane was suspended for Game Four on his hit against Nazem Kadri but that is offset with the latter also missing the game because of the injury he sustained. The Oilers are 62-30 in their last 92 games playing on one day of rest. Colorado is in great position to make its first Stanley Cup Final since 2001 and certainly history is on its side but the Oilers will not go down without a fight. The Avalanche won the shots battle for the third straight game but have gone just 2-14 on the power play and that will be key for Edmonton to keep that going. The Colorado defense has stepped up over the last two games, allowing just two goals total thanks to backup goalie Pavel Francouz who has made 51 saves on 53 shots. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after two straight wins by two goals or more going up against an opponent after a loss by two goals or more in their previous game. this situation is 126-84 (60 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (44) Edmonton Oilers |
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06-05-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -169 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Week. The Lightning have their work cut out for them after dropping the first two games of this series and they are coming off their first loss following a loss in the postseason in three years after winning 16 straight games in that situation. A return back to Tampa is much needed as it is 31-9-2-4 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by over one gpg as both ends have played at a high level. The Lightning are averaging 3.52 gpg on offense at home, where they finished No. 9 during the regular season, while allowing 2.48 gpg, coming in at No. 4 in regular season action. The Lightning are 37-15 in their last 52 games as a home favorite. New York has been playing its best hockey right now as it has won four straight games and six of its last seven against two of the very best teams in the league. The Rangers hit the road where they are 27-18-3-0 and outscoring opponents by just 0.7 gpg as the defense has been above average while the offense has been the opposite, averaging just 2.92 gpg mainly due to the lack of shots with only 27.5 per game. The Rangers were outshot in the first two games but goalie Igor Shesterkin has been great by allowing only two goals each in the first two games. The Rangers are 2-6 in their last eight games as an underdog. Here, we play against road teams against the money line off two or more consecutive home wins going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 238-149 (61.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (42) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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06-04-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers +116 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Western Conference Game of the Month. Through the first two games, Edmonton has not been able to show its typical firepower that has been on display all season as it has managed six goals and while all of those came in Game One, the shots are down as well. The Oilers have averaged 30.5 shots per game which is well below its average and a return home, where they average 36 shots per game can get them back in this series. Edmonton had averaged five gpg in its previous five games and on the other side, it has to play smarter and not allow seven power play chances like in Game Three. The Oilers are 32-13-1-1 at home, winning 20 of their last 26 games in Edmonton and this is the first home game since May 24th so it will be electric. Colorado did not budge at home as it scored 12 goals, 10 at even strength, while putting up 43.5 shots per game in the first two games. The Avalanche improved to 37-6-3-2 at home and they have been much more vulnerable on the road where they are 29-14-3-0 which is still great but this will be a tough spot against a veteran team desperate not to go down 3-0 in the series. The defense has been just as strong at home but they do allow 3.04 gpg on the road with a strong power play that has been inconsistent over its last 10 games but has gone 4-13 in its last four home games compared to 3-16 in its last six road games. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season against the money line coming off a road loss where they were shut out, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 42-18 (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (38) Edmonton Oilers |
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06-03-22 | Lightning -122 v. Rangers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Friday Breakaway. The one concern we had with Tampa Bay going into Game One was the extended time off and the start was not horrible as it was a 2-2 game midway through the second period but then the Rangers ran off four unanswered goals to close the game. Now, the Lightning need Game Two to avoid a 2-0 deficit and this is just where we want them. Tampa Bay knows how to rebound as it has gone 16-0 in the playoffs during its two Stanley Cup runs plus this postseason following a loss and its offense has the power for another big rebound game which we have become accustomed to. The Lightning are 40-12 in their last 52 games following a loss of three or more goals. The Rangers have the momentum on their side but not the best of a matchup based on the Lightning ability to bounce back, especially after a loss that big. New York is 34-10-2-3 at home which is outstanding but faces a top road scoring offense that has averaged four gpg in their last seven road games. Goalie Igor Shesterkin was outstanding again as he allowed just one full strength goal but we expect the tide to turn here. The Rangers are 2-6 in their last seven games as an underdog. Here, we play on road favorites of -200 or less against the money line in the second half of the season revenging a blowout loss of three goals or more, with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. this situation is 33-7 (82.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (35) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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06-01-22 | Lightning -121 v. Rangers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -121 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The Rangers have had an interesting postseason as they have come back from a 3-1 deficit against Pittsburgh and then against a 3-2 deficit against Carolina. They were able to gain home ice for the Eastern Conference Finals but will be facing a proven team with experience that is riding a six-game winning streak. New York is 33-10-2-3 at home which is outstanding but faces a top road scoring offense that has averaged over four gpg in their last six road games. The Rangers are 1-6 in their last seven games as an underdog. The time off for the Lightning is a concern but this is a core team that has been here before and their time off is actually a benefit. Tampa Bay won its first two road games against Florida in the semis and has won three straight on the road with Andrei Vasilevskiy allowing just one goal in each of those games. The Rangers have their own top level goaltender in Igor Shesterkin who will win the Vezina Trophy and is coming off a great series against Carolina and while going 3-0 against Tampa Bay this season, he saw just 23.7 gpg in the three meetings. The Lightning are 22-8 in their last 30 playoff games as a favorite. Here, we play against teams against the money line off a road win against a division rival going up against an opponent off a home win where they shut out their opponent. This situation is 23-4 (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (31) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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05-31-22 | Oilers +163 v. Avalanche | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. This is a great matchup in the Western Conference Finals with two of the higher scoring teams in the league led by two incredible top lines. The Oilers have won six of their last seven playoff games since facing elimination in Game Six in the first round against Los Angeles. Edmonton has been great on the road including two straight wins in Calgary and while this test is arguably bigger, it matches up well. The Oilers have scored at least five goals in six of their 12 games this post-season and during the regular season, it went 1-0-1-1 with an overtime loss being the only blemish on the road. Edmonton is 18-6 against the money line in its last 24 games off a win by one goal over a division rival. Colorado had to go six games against St. Louis where the road team won the final five games of the series. The Avalanche have been tough to beat here but have dropped two straight here to make it 11 losses at home and while the favorite price is lower than it has been, it is for a good reason yet there is still value on the road team. The Avalanche are 7-0 this post-season when they have 37 or more shots on goal and Edmonton has allowed fewer than that in five of its last seven games. Here, we play against home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 having won eight or more of their last 10 games. This situation is 36-23 (61 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (27) Edmonton Oilers |
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05-30-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -142 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA HURRICANES for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Week. The home team has dominated this series with all six games being won on home ice. The Rangers controlled Game Six by scoring the first three goals and not looking back but it was the special teams that won it. New York scored on two of its five power play opportunities while shutting down the Hurricanes on their three chances. Overall, the Rangers were outshot 39-25 which was the fourth time in this series that they were outshot with another being 21-21. The Rangers are 1-5 in the postseason on the road and going back, the Rangers are 0-5 in their last five games as a road underdog. The Hurricanes are 7-0 at home in the playoffs to improve to 36-8-2-2 at home on the season and they bring in the best defense in the NHL with the fewest goals allowed and they have been spectacular here. Carolina has allowed only 12 power play goals at home and its 92 percent save percentage is the best in the league but it is the other side that needs to cash in. Carolina has gone 1-14 on the power play in this series and of course a lot of that has to do with having the best goalie in the game but we expect the chances to come here. The Hurricanes are 28-8 in their last 36 playoff games as a favorite. 10* (22) Carolina Hurricanes |
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05-28-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers -106 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. The Rangers have been here before as they fell behind 3-1 against Pittsburgh before coming back to win three straight games to take the quarterfinal series and once again find themselves in a hole needing to win two straight games. They are back home following a 3-1 loss in Game Five at Carolina and they can take this one to go back for another Game Seven. A return home will help and New York is catching a good number with the best goalie in the game as the Rangers are 32-10-2-3 at home where they are allowing only 2.30 gpg. Special teams has been a big part of this series as New York has allowed only one power play goal in 11 opportunities while converting on its own power play in three straight games. The Rangers are 39-13 in their last 52 games as a favorite. The Hurricanes have a great defense as well but they are not as strong on the road as at home where they are giving up 2.9 gpg and an issue is the penalty kill. They have allowed 30 power play goals on away ice and while the percentage is decent, it is because they have faced 168 man down opportunities and that is a problem. The Hurricanes are 0-5 in their last five road games. Here, we play on favorites against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 revenging a loss where it scored one or less goals. This situation is 89-32 (73.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (14) New York Rangers |
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05-27-22 | Avalanche v. Blues +155 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Friday Breakaway. St. Louis got a little bit of payback as after watching Colorado come back from early deficits in Games Three and Four, the Blues rallied from a 3-0 deficit in Game Five to eventually force overtime and win to keep their slim hopes alive. The Blues are dangerous at home as they are 28-13-4-1 even though it has lost the two games here in this series. St. Louis has a significant +1.0 gpg scoring differential at home and special teams has led the way as evidenced in this entire series as the Blues have stopped nine of 11 power play opportunities while scoring four goals in 11 chances on offense. Goalie Ville Husso has been solid if unspectacular in taking over for Jordan Binnington. The Blues are 36-17 in their last 53 games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. The Avalanche took Game One at home in overtime and since then, the road team has won the last four games in this series and that is putting the public behind Colorado in this possible close out game. Colorado is 28-14-3-0 on the road which is very solid but its numbers drop significantly on road ice as the scoring is down by close to a goal per game while the defense allows close to the same more on the road than at home. Colorado can score in bunches as we have seen the last three games and the St. Louis defense has to counter which it did at the end of Game Five. The Avalanche are 9-19 in their last 28 Conference Semifinals games. Here, we play on home teams against the money line after allowing four goals or more going up against an opponent after losing their previous game in overtime. This situation is 131-85 (60.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (72) St. Louis Blues |
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05-26-22 | Oilers v. Flames -145 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Calgary came into this series as the significant favorite and now finds itself down 3-1 but it does have the edge of two more home games should the series go the distance. The Flames are 29-11-6-1 at home including a win in the series opener 9-6 before the string of three straight losses and the defense needs a big push. They have allowed an average of five gpg through the first four games and while the offense gets the most pub, this defense allowed 2.51 gpg during the regular season which was third fewest in the NHL and that drops to 2.39 gpg at home, which was also third in the league. Goalie Jacob Markstrom has been a disappointment and his season 2.22 GAA will be more on display tonight. The Flames are 7-3 in their last 10 games after allowing five goals or more in their previous game. Edmonton is showing how dangerous it can be when the offense is clicking but it has accomplished this with limited shots as the Oilers have attempted an average of 33.8 shots per game which is a healthy amount on average but not many for the amount of goals they have scored. Edmonton comes in with a 24-17-5-0 record on the road and the Game Two victory is the only road win in the eight meetings this season. The Oilers have stepped up the penalty kill as they have allowed only two goals in 17 opportunities and this is another ongoing issue with the Flames going back to the Dallas series. The Oilers are 7-15 in their last 22 games as an underdog. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing three goals or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring four goals or more in four straight games. This situation is 25-3 (89.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (68) Calgary Flames |
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05-25-22 | Blues +235 v. Avalanche | Top | 5-4 | Win | 235 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Central Division Game of the Month. We lost with St. Louis in both Game Three and Game Four and both were nearly identical as the Blues jumped out to 1-0 leads in both games and then were outscored 3-0 in Game Two and 4-0 in Game Four and could not recover in either game. The Blues are in a tough hole now as they have to win three straight including two on the road but they have shown they can do it here. Overall, the Blues have accounted for two of the six home Colorado defeats as it won the first meeting of the season and Game Two of this series and St. Louis is 2-4-1 in the seven meetings with four of those being on the road. St. Louis is 10-3 in its last 13 road games playing with double revenge while going 10-2 in its last 12 games after allowing six or more goals. The Avalanche have taken control with an offense that is one of the best in the NHL and after accounting for 11 goals in the two games in St. Louis, they have some momentum heading back home and the line is accounting for that. Colorado is 35-6-2-2 at home and have absolutely dominated but this is the matchup that has given it the most trouble. Despite the record difference, the offensive and defensive splits are extremely similar and St. Louis have been very good in these spots this season even though this is a much different and important situation. Colorado is just 1-8 in the power play in this series and this is where the Blues have to continue to control. Here, we play on road teams against the money line off two consecutive losses of two goals or more to division rivals going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road wins. This situation is 22-9 (71 percent) since 1996. 10* (63) St. Louis Blues |
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05-24-22 | Flames +104 v. Oilers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Western Conference Game of the Week. This is a huge game for Calgary after losing a big lead in Game Two and then falling behind 4-0 in Game Three and could not recover. A win here and the Flames get home ice back heading back to Calgary and getting a win here will not be easy as it has dropped all three games in Edmonton this season but none have been this important. They have gone only 2-12 on the power play which is way down from their series average but they have upped their penalty kill by allowing just one goal in 15 man down opportunities. Calgary is 26-15-3-1 on the road and the Flames are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss of three or more goals. Edmonton used its momentum from Game Two to jump out to a big start in Game Three and the offense shows what it is capable of by scoring four goals in 12 minutes. That was it though as the Calgary defense shut the Oilers down for their other 37 shots on goal and the Flames need to avoid those spurts. Edmonton has been great at home but its defense was hardly challenged against one of the best offenses in the NHL as the Flames managed only 33 shorts which is pretty good for a lot of teams but not for this one as Calgary put up an average of 45.7 shots on goal in its previous seven games. The Oilers are 4-9 in their last 13 playoff games as a favorite. Here, we play on road teams against the money line in the second half of the season scoring on more than 19 percent of their power play opportunities after five straight games with 30 or more shots. This situation is 116-72 (61.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (57) Calgary Flames |
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05-23-22 | Avalanche v. Blues +145 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Colorado regained control of the series and is 27-14-3-0 on the road which is very solid but its numbers drop significantly on road ice as the scoring is down by close to a goal per game while the defense allows close to the same more on the road than at home. Colorado can score in bunches as we saw in Game Three and the St. Louis defense has to counter that in order to stay in this series as going back to Colorado down 3-1 will be nearly impossible to overcome. The Avalanche are 8-18 in their last 26 Conference Semifinals games. St. Louis got exactly what it wanted as it gained home ice with the two-game split in Colorado but did give it back in Game Three. The Blues are dangerous at home as they are 28-12-4-1 that includes a pair of wins over a tough Minnesota team as they clinched the series with three straight wins to close out. St. Louis has a significant +1.0 gpg scoring differential at home and special teams has led the way as evidenced in the first three games of this series. They lost goalie Jordan Binnington early in Game Three and that was a big loss. He is out for the series and while that is a concern, Ville Husso was great this season with a 2.56 GAA and being thrown into the fire was a tough spot but will be better off knowing he is the starter. Here, we play against road teams against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after having won four of their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. this situation is 176-115 (60.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (54) St. Louis Blues |
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05-22-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers +105 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Week. New York has its back up against the wall once again and if it plans to steal a game to get back in the series, this is it. The Rangers fell behind three games to one against Pittsburgh only to rally with three straight wins to close out the first round win and now they are down 2-0 to the Hurricanes after an overtime loss to open the second round and a 2-0 loss on Friday. A return home should help and New York is catching a good number with the best goalie in the game as the Rangers are 30-10-2-3 at home where they are allowing only 2.30 gpg. The Rangers are 8-1 against the money line in its last nine games revenging a shutout loss. Carolina improved to 35-8-2-2 at home and it hits the road where it is a much more pedestrian 25-15-4-0 which is still very good but not quite a spot to come in as the favorite. The Hurricanes have a great defense as well but they are not as strong on the road as at home where they are giving up 2.9 gpg and an issue is the penalty kill. They have allowed 28 power play goals on away ice and while the percentage is decent, it is because they have faced 162 man down opportunities and that is a problem. Carolina is 1-6 against the money line in its last seven road games after allowing one goal or less in two straight games. Here, we play on underdogs against the money line off a road loss where they were shut out, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 31-13 (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (46) New York Rangers |
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05-21-22 | Avalanche v. Blues +150 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Colorado is coming off a home loss in Game Two, just its sixth home regulation loss of the season, and the public is all over the Avalanche despite the hefty price on the road. Colorado is 26-14-3-0 on the road which is very solid but its numbers drop significantly on road ice as the scoring is down by close to a goal per game while the defense allows close to the same more on the road than at home. Overall, the Blues accounted for two of those six defeats as it won the first meeting of the season and St. Louis is 2-2-1 in the five meetings with four of those being on the road so this is a sticky matchup for Colorado. The Avalanche are 7-18 in their last 25 Conference Semifinals games. St. Louis got exactly what it wanted as it gained home ice with the two-game split and has some huge momentum following the 4-1 victory as a +200 underdog. The Blues are dangerous at home as they are 28-11-4-1 that includes a pair of wins over a tough Minnesota team as they clinched the series with three straight wins to close out. St. Louis has a significant +1.0 gpg scoring differential at home and special teams has led the way as was the case in the first two games. There is the playoff revenge narrative as well as the Blues were swept in the first round last season including a pair of home losses by a combined score of 10-3. The Blues are 10-3 in their last 13 games when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after having won four of their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. this situation is 176-114 (60.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (42) St. Louis Blues |
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05-20-22 | Oilers +158 v. Flames | Top | 5-3 | Win | 158 | 35 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Pacific Division Game of the Month. If you like offense, Game One between Edmonton and Calgary had all of that and then some. The Flames jumped out to an early 1-0 lead just 26 seconds into the game and then made it 2-0 15 seconds later. Calgary eventually made it a 5-1 lead and then a 6-2 advantage midway through the second period only to see the Oilers score four unanswered goals to tie the game early in the third period before Calgary capped it off by scoring the last three goals in a wild game. Goalie Mike Smith was pulled after he allowed three goals on 10 shots in 6:05 so at least he will be rested. Even though it was a loss for the Oilers, they have to come away with some confidence as they showed a lot of fight in not quitting and are in a great position to tie this up at a great price. Edmonton is 11-2 against the money line in its last 13 road games off a road loss by two goals or more. Calgary should have some confidence as well by pulling away for the win but it too has issues that it needs to shore up. The Flames are 29-10-6-1 at home this season and the success has come on both sides as they are outscoring opponents by close to a goal and a half per game and while the offense was on points, the defense was awful and Edmonton can score in bunches as well as proven on Wednesday. Calgary stopped all four power play attempts and that has been a strength all season but face a solid team in the man advantage as Edmonton finished third in the regular season with a 26 percent success rate in the power play. The Flames are 2-7 in their last nine games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. 10* (39) Edmonton Oilers |
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05-19-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -155 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -155 | 32 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA PANTHERS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Game One played out as expected with the postseason experience of Tampa Bay being the difference as it fell behind 1-0 before scoring four unanswered goals in the Game One upset. The Lightning have won three of five road playoff games pushing their record to 27-17-1-1 on the road and will rely on its potent offense that averaged 3.5 gpg on away ice during the regular season which was fourth most in the league and it faces a defense that has been inconsistent that allowed 3.0 gpg on the season. This is not really a letdown spot but Tampa Bay knows it has grabbed home ice which puts the higher motivation on the other side. Tampa Bay is 10-15 against the money line in road games against teams averaging five or more assists per game this season. This number is approaching the one that we saw in the series opener so we are catching some early value with Florida. The Panthers have already been in this position as they lost Game One against Washington at home only to bounce back in Game Two with a convincing 5-1 victory. Florida is now 36-9-0-0 at home and it will have to do a better job on special teams after going 0-3 on the power play while allowing three goals in six chances on the penalty kill and that clearly was the difference. The Panthers have averaged 4.53 gpg at home and while the defense is under pressure, the offense is not far behind. Florida 26-3 in its last 29 games against the money line after allowing three goals or more in three straight games. Here, we play on favorites against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 revenging a loss where they scored one or less goals. This situation is 86-29 (74.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (34) Florida Panthers |
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05-18-22 | Rangers +150 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 47 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The Rangers advanced to the second round in a very unconventional way as they fell behind 3-1 and did not even make it easy in any of the elimination games. They fell behind in Game Five and Game Six by two goals before big rallies in each for ultimate 5-3 wins and then in Game Seven, they trailed on two different occasions including late in the third period before winning in overtime. This could spell a big letdown especially with the final win coming at home but an extra day off can definitely put that behind them. New York is 26-16-2-0 on the road and the defense has led the way, not including Game Three and Four where they allowed seven goals in each game, as they are allowing 2.91 gpg on the highway. The Rangers are 6-2 in their last eight games playing on two days of rest. Carolina was also taken the distance in the first round as it won the decisive Game Seven on Saturday at home. All seven games were won by the home team with the final game being the only one decided by fewer than two goals so it was not a great series unlike the Penguins/Rangers series. The Hurricanes finished as the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference and have one of the best all around teams in the league, especially on the defensive side where they are No. 1 in goals allowed, shots on goal and penalty kill and they did a great job against the Bruins at home but New York brings in a stronger offense than the Bruins. Here, we play on road teams against the money line after six or more consecutive overs, outscoring their opponents by 0.3 or more gpg. This situation is 84-42 (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (27) New York Rangers |
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05-17-22 | Lightning +147 v. Panthers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 147 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Atlantic Division Game of the Month. Tampa Bay showed a lot in the series against Toronto as after losing the first game 5-0, the Lightning won four of the final six games including three of the last four as experience prevailed. The two-time defending Stanley Cup champions know how to win and this is not an easy environment to head into but there will be no intimidation. Tampa Bay is 26-17-1-1 on the road and will rely on its potent offense that averaged 3.5 gpg on away ice during the regular season which was fourth most in the league and it faces a defense that has been inconsistent that allowed 3.0 gpg on the season. The Lightning are 11-3 in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog. The Panthers are -150 favorites to win the series and while they should be favored and can win the series, Game One is the most vulnerable one for them which we also saw in the opening series when they fell to Washington in Game One. Florida went on the win the final three games to win the series 4-2 so while it has momentum heading into the Eastern Conference Semifinals, the value goes the other way. Florida is 36-8-0-0 at home and its 68 home points during the regular season was tied for the most in the NHL and of those eight losses, one was against Tampa Bay in the final regular season meeting. Florida is 21-32 against the money line in its last 53 home games after two straight games where both teams scored three goals or more. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season when the money line is -100 to -150 allowing three or more gpg on the season, after two straight games where both teams scored three goals or more. This situation is 95-60 (61.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (19) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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05-15-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -133 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Week. New York avoided elimination with a win in Game Five to cut the Pittsburgh series lead to 3-2 as they trailed 2-0 but scored three unanswered goals in a span of less than three minutes then added two in the third to pull away. The Rangers duplicated that in Game Six as they once again fell behind 2-0 and scored three straight goals in the second period and then pulled away with two goals in the third period. While the momentum going into Game Six was good enough, the momentum is even stronger here. New York is 29-10-2-3 at home where it is allowing only 2.30 gpg and the Rangers are 22-9 in their last 31 games as a home favorite. The Penguins are 24-14-2-4 on the road and have struggled scoring on the highway of late and again face a strong defense that obviously will be out to a avoid another 2-0 early deficit. Louis Domingue allowed two goals in Game Four but faced only 26 shots and headed back to New York where he allowed five goals in Game Two and four goals in Game Five and then another four goals in Game Six at home. Sidney Crosby missed the last game and is still questionable for Game Seven so he is pretty vulnerable if he hits the ice. The Penguins are 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play against underdogs against the money line after scoring three goals or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring five goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 60-19 (75.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (6) New York Rangers |
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05-14-22 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -120 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Tampa Bay was able to win Game Six in overtime to force a Game Seven on the road. That victory was not a huge surprise as the Lightning have been unbeatable in those spots. Tampa Bay knows how to rebound, going 16-0 in the playoffs during its two Stanley Cup runs plus this season following a loss but now they are off a win and hitting the road where they are 25-17-1-1 while outscoring opponents by just a quarter goal per game. They have been outscored 12-8 in the three games in Toronto and special teams has been part of the issue as the Lightning are just 1-10 on the power play in the two losses here. The Lightning are 0-4 in their last four games following a win. It certainly will be a big task for Tampa Bay as the Maple Leafs are now 33-9-2-0 at home which is the fourth best home record in the NHL and they have dominated here, averaging 3.75 gpg while allowing 2.59 gpg for one of the best scoring differentials at home across the league. Toronto can get the offense rolling here as Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has allowed 21 goals over six games, while his save percentage (.885) and goals-against average (3.37) are among his career worse numbers. The Maple Leafs are 25-10 in their last 35 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play on teams against the money line after a loss by one goal in their previous game going up against an opponent after three straight games where both teams scored three goals or more. This situation is 47-29 (61.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (76) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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05-13-22 | Rangers -118 v. Penguins | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. New York staved off elimination with a win to cut the Pittsburgh series lead to 3-2 and the Rangers bring in some solid momentum as they trailed 2-0 in Game Five but scored three unanswered goals in a span of less than three minutes then added two in the third to pull away. The Rangers are 25-16-2-0 on the road and the defense has led the way, not including Game Three and Four where they allowed seven goals in each game, as they are allowing 2.91 gpg on the highway and a better effort on the road is expected here. Rangers goalie Igor Shesterkin was not great but gave up just three goals including just one over the last 32 minutes. The Rangers are 64-27 in their last 91 games as a road favorite. Pittsburgh got off to a great start on Wednesday but let it slip away and that can be a delating defeat. The Penguins are vulnerable now and hockey is so much different than the NBA when it comes to teams coming from behind from a big deficit. They have been good at home but nothing dominant as they are just 5-4 in their last nine games in Pittsburgh. Louis Domingue has been a great story in this series but he has been inconsistent as he allowed two goals on Monday but faced only 26 shots and gave up four goals on 33 shots in Game Five. The Penguins are 3-8 in their last 11 games as an underdog. Here, we play against home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line in the second half of the season allowing 2.85 or more gpg, after scoring three goals or more in three straight games. This situation is 49-17 (74.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (65) New York Rangers |
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05-12-22 | Wild -102 v. Blues | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Minnesota took two of the first three games of this series but has dropped the last two by identical 5-2 score and now has its work cut out hitting the road needing to win to send it back home for a decisive Game Seven. The Wild are 23-15-2-3 on the road and the offense has been solid by averaging 3.35 gpg on away ice and we should see that offense bounce back after those two-goal games after scoring 11 goals in the two games prior. Special teams defense has been good all season but the Wild have allowed a power play goal in all five games and have given up six in total compared to the Blues shutting them out in three of the five games. The Wild are 20-8 in their last 28 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. St. Louis looks to be in good shape here as it is back home for the possible clinching game and the short price has the public on them here. The Blues are 27-11-4-1 at home and their offense has been good here but the defense will have its hand full as they allowed five or more goals in four of their previous five games prior to the final two wins. The Blues are 2-7 in their last nine playoff games as a favorite. Here, we play on teams against the money line revenging a home loss of 3 goals or more, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season. This situation is 82-38 (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (59) Minnesota Wild |
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05-11-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -129 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. After splitting the first two games in New York, Pittsburgh has seized control of this series following a pair of blowout wins at home by a combined score of 14-6. The Penguins are 24-13-2-4 on the road and have struggled scoring on the highway of late and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win. The power play has been the big issue as they are scoring on just 16.5 percent of their man advantage opportunities. Louis Domingue allowed two goals on Monday but faced only 26 shots and he heads back to New York where he allowed five goals in Game Two. Pittsburgh is 9-20 against the money line in its last 29 road games after scoring four goals or more in a win over a division rival. The Rangers have to win the final three game and it will be up to the defense to step up after the last two games. New York is 28-10-2-3 at home where it is allowing only 2.30 gpg and the goaltending has to get better. Igor Shesterkin was bad again as he allowed six goals on 36 shots after allowing four goals on 19 shots in Game Three and we should see a big improvement here as he is back home where he allowed only two goals on 43 shots which came after his 83-save performance in triple overtime in Game One. The Rangers are 9-2 against the money line revenging a road loss this season. Here, we play against road underdogs of +200 or less against the money line off two consecutive home wins by two goals or more going up against an opponent off a road loss. This situation is 94-35 (72.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (48) New York Rangers |
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05-10-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -139 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA HURRICANES for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Week. The home team has held serve through the first four games of this series as Carolina won the first two games at home by a combined score of 10-3 while Boston rebounded over the weekend with a pair of wins by a combined 9-4. The Hurricanes are back home where they are 31-8-2-2 and the big turnaround needs to come from the top lines from both sides. For Carolina, the top line of Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov and Seth Jarvis managed just eight shots and did not register a point. Conversely, the Boston top line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Pastrnak combined 10 points in the two home wins so this has to turn around for Carolina. The Hurricanes scored five goals each in the first two games at home where they are averaging 3.37 gpg but it is the defense that can take over this one as they lead the league in goals allowed, shots allowed and penalty kill and all of those averages are even better at home. Carolina is 17-4 this season as a favorite of -150 or less. Boston is a solid 25-15-1-2 on the road where it is outscoring opponents by just a quarter of a goal per game. the Bruins power play is at 16.1 percent on the road which is seventh worst in the NHL and they face a Hurricanes defense allowing a penalty kill of 92.4 percent at home which is top ss in the league. Boston is 10-15 in its last 25 road games after allowing two goals or less in two straight games. Here, we play against road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line off two consecutive home wins by two goals or more going up against an opponent off a road loss. This situation is 94-35 (72.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (46) Carolina Hurricanes |
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05-09-22 | Rangers -102 v. Penguins | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. After losing the series opener in overtime, the Rangers bounced back in Game Two but allowed seven goals in Game Three including a pair of power play goals so they need to win here to get home ice back. New York has allowed seven goals three times this season and following the first two with wins the next time out including a 5-1 win over Pittsburgh back in March. The Rangers are 25-15-2-0 on the road and the defense has led the way, not including Game Three, as they are allowing 2.81 gpg on the highway and a better effort is expected here. Likely Vezina Trophy winner Igor Shesterkin struggled in a backup role in Game Three and that gets better here. The Rangers are 9-1 against the money line revenging a loss t as a road favorite this season. Pittsburgh has the edge playing at home with a chance to go up 3-1 in the series but piecing together wins has been an issue of late as the Penguins are 2-7 in their last nine games following a win. They have been good at home but nothing dominant as they are just 4-4 in their last eight games in Pittsburgh. Goalie Louis Domingue was spectacular in Game One as he made 17 saves and no goals after coming into the game in the second overtime but he has allowed nine goals over the last two games and the Rangers can take advantage. The Penguins are 1-5 in their last six games when their opponent allows five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on road favorites of -200 or less against the money line in the second half of the season revenging a loss of three goals or more, good team, with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. This situation is 31-6 (83.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (33) New York Rangers |
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05-08-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -113 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Tampa Bay was able to snag home ice with a split in Toronto but gave it back to the Maple Leafs in Game Three in a 5-2 loss. The lightning are now 27-8-2-4 at home but were on the wrong side on both ends on Friday despite an even amount of shots and both teams scoring a power play goal. Tampa Bay knows how to rebound as it has gone 14-0 in the playoffs during its two Stanley Cup runs following a loss, including the Game Two victory and its offense has the power for another big rebound game which we saw prior. Tampa Bay is 10-0 against the money line in its last 10 home games revenging a loss as a home favorite. Toronto came out strong in Game Three as it scored an early goal within the first five minutes and built a 3-0 lead early in the second period and was able to score two very late goals to make it a little bit of a deceiving final. The Maple Leafs improved to 23-13-4-1 on the road as the offense added to its 3.88 gpg average on road ice and the defense came up strong with just the two goals allowed. However, they are allowing 3.56 gpg on the highway so we can expect Tampa Bay to get back to scoring at a high rate. The Maple Leafs are 3-7 in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 off a home loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off a win by three goals or more over a division rival. This situation is 65-26 (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (26) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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05-07-22 | Avalanche v. Predators +205 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NASHVILLE PREDATORS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Of the four games on Saturday, Nashville is the lone team that is in a 2-0 hole and getting a solid price at home to stay alive in this series. Nashville was completely dominated in Game One as it lost 7-2 while getting outshot 45-25 and while the Predators were outshot 51-26 in Game Two, the goaltending was a lot better as they fell in overtime 2-1. Goalie Connor Ingram made 49 saves after filling in for David Rittich who allowed five goals on 13 shots and a return home will help. Nashville is 25-14-2-0 at home and those 52 points are one point more than the Avalanche have on the road which extends the value here even more. The Predators are 29-14 in their last 43 games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. Colorado is arguably the class of the NHL right now but getting the Avalanche away from home is the way to strike as they are averaging nearly a goal per game less than at home while attempting six fewer shots per game. Nashville has been a much better defender at home and their solid .803 penalty kill percentage will play a big role here and they bring in the momentum of stopping all four power plays in Game Two. Colorado has averaged only 1.75 gpg in its last four road games and all of those resulted in losses. Here, we play against road favorites against the money line off two consecutive wins against division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 44-24 (64.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (14) Nashville Predators |
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05-06-22 | Oilers -135 v. Kings | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. Edmonton bounced back from a Game One loss against Los Angeles as it shutout the Kings 6-0 on Wednesday behind 30 saves from goalie Mike Smith. The Oilers lost home ice with the split but can get it back here on the road where they are catching a good number as they look to continue dominating this series after having won six of the last eight meetings. Edmonton is 21-15-5-0 on the road and as no surprise, the offense leads the way by averaging 3.27 gpg and 32.2 shots per game and their special teams has a big edge here as they have the advantage in both the power play and penalty kill and the differential is even bigger overall. Edmonton is 13-1 against the money line after allowing one goal or less in their previous game this season. Los Angeles pulled off the big upset as a +167 underdog but it has been solid on the road with a better record than it has at home. The Kings came into the postseason with a 5-0-1-0 run so momentum was in its corner but the Oilers came in with much better recent form and that dominating performance in Game Two was not that much different than in Game One as shooting differential, power play and penalty kill were all very similar and it just came down to Smith making saves which we expect again here. Los Angeles is 4-13 against the money line in its last 17 home games after playing two consecutive road games. Here, we play on road favorites of -200 or less against the money line in the second half of the season averaging 29.5 or more shots per game after five straight games with 30 or more shots on goal. This situation is 70-29 (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (7) Edmonton Oilers |
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05-05-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -150 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL First Rd. Game of the Year. Through the first eight series openers, we have seen just one overtime game and it was an epic start to the postseason. The Penguins took Game One in the third overtime as they overcame some late adversity where they were put in a tough spot. They lost goalie Casey DeSmith late in the second overtime and Pittsburgh had to bring in Louis Domingue, who made all of two starts this season, and he shut down the Rangers with 17 saves. It was an impressive finish especially after overcoming a 2-0 deficit but they will be facing a fired up Rangers team on Thursday that has to tie this series up. Pittsburgh is 9-19 against the money line in its last 28 road games after scoring four goals or more in a win over a division rival. The Rangers let the opener get away as they had a chance to open it up early but were outshot 25-8 in the second period and allowed the Penguins to hang around long enough and could not close while an overturned goal did not help but it was the correct call. New York is now 27-10-2-3 at home where it is allowing only 2.31 gpg and despite the loss, likely Vezina Trophy winner Igor Shesterkin was outstanding as he was peppered for 83 shots and of the four goals allowed, the tying goal was on a power play and the winning goal was on a deflection. The Rangers are 16-6 against the money line after allowing four goals or more this season. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 against the money line after having lost four or five of their last six games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 46-17 (73 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (72) New York Rangers |
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05-04-22 | Lightning +118 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 5-3 | Win | 118 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Toronto easily dominated Game One against Tampa Bay in a 5-0 victory to get the upper hand but we expect the two-time defending champions to tie it up before heading home. The Lightning were outshot 32-24 and that is seven shots less than its season average on the road and while it would not have made a difference Monday, they need more attempts. They also need special teams to step up after going 0-5 on the power play. As mentioned in the Game One analysis, the defense has struggled on the road and that showed but it gets better here. Tampa Bay is 31-6 against the money line in its last 37 games after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. It certainly will be a big task as the Maple Leafs are now 32-8-2-0 at home which is the fourth best home record in the NHL and they have dominated here, averaging 3.76 gpg while allowing 2.52 gpg for one of the best scoring differentials at home across the league but Tampa Bay knows how to rebound as it has gone 13-0 in the playoffs during its two Stanley Cup runs following a loss and its offense has the power for a big rebound game. Toronto is 44-56 against the money line in its last 100 games after a four-game unbeaten streak. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season against the money line revenging a loss of four goals or more, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .700. this situation is 28-12 (70 percent) since 1996. 10* (63) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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05-03-22 | Capitals +195 v. Panthers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 195 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Florida coasted this season as it won 10 of its first 11 games and while there were some back and forth moments early on, the Panthers had control of the conference for the majority of the season. They finished with 122 points overall and were 34-7-0-0 at home, the only team in the NHL not to lose past regulation at home. They have clearly been dominant here, outscoring opponents by nearly 1.8 gpg and this is a tough first round matchup as Washington took them to the end in all three meetings that were won by the home team which included two Florida wins by identical 5-4 finals, one which was in overtime, and the difference being the power play in the season series with Florida outscoring the Capitals 4-0 in the man advantage. The Panthers had a 13-game winning streak between late March and late April but lost three of their last four heading into the postseason. Washington comes in riding a four-game losing streak which is not good for momentum heading into the playoffs but the Capitals were never in jeopardy of missing the playoffs. They are 25-10-5-1 on the road and those 56 points are the most in the NHL so they are definitely a live dog in this series and going should they pull off the massive series upset where they are +260 according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Their defense will play a big role in the outcome as they are allowing a great 2.80 gpg on the road. Washington is 31-13 in its last 44 games against the money line after allowing three goals or more in three straight games. Here, we play on road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line off a road loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off a loss by four goals or more to a division rival. This situation is 23-11 (67.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (45) Washington Capitals |
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05-02-22 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -115 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. There are some excellent first round series in the NHL playoffs but it will be hard to find one better than this. Toronto earned the No. 3 spot in the Eastern Conference with 115 points and home ice should play a big role in this series. The Maple Leafs are 31-8-2-0 at home which is the fourth best home record in the NHL and they have dominated here, averaging 3.73 gpg while allowing 2.59 gpg for one of the best scoring differentials at home across the league. Toronto is 15-3 against the money line as a home favorite of -200 or less this season. Tampa Bay won five of its final six games to hold off Boston by three points in the Atlantic Division to avoid Florida in the first round but there is not a big gap between the Panthers and Maple Leafs. The Lightning were solid on the road with 24 wins but defense has been an issue away from home as they are allowing 3.07 gpg which is middle of the pack and facing the No. 6 scoring offense at home will be a challenge so the offense will have to try and keep up against the No. 3 penalty kill team in the league at home. Tampa Bay is 3-10 against the money line in its last 13 games against teams outscoring their opponents by 0.3 or more gpg. Here, we play on favorites against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 revenging a loss where it scored one or fewer goals. This situation is 82-28 (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (38) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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04-29-22 | Lightning v. Islanders +185 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. The rough Islanders season comes to an end on Friday as they started out playing on the road for the first month of the season and could not recover. They close out at home looking to play spoiler as the Lightning, Rangers and Bruins are all playing tonight for the No. spot in the Eastern Conference and their win could mess it up for Tampa Bay which currently holds the tiebreaker. New York is 20-15-2-3 at home and has been one of the best on defense as it allows just 2.48 gpg and that defense will be a big factor here. The Islanders are 5-0 in their last five games when their opponent allows five goals or more in their previous game. Tampa Bay gave away a big opportunity last night as it went to Columbus as a -262 favorite and walked out with a 5-2 loss. The Lightning had won four straight and six of its last seven prior to that but five of those were at home and they remain on the road where they have been solid but are overpriced here because of the situation at hand and the public will be behind them here. The offense has held the edge but their defense is a concern here just like last night as they are allowing 3.08 gpg on the road. Tampa Bay is 6-10 against the money line in its last 16 road games against teams with a power play percentage of 17.5 percent or better this season. Here, we play on home teams against the money line off two consecutive wins against division rivals, playing eight or more games in 14 days. This situation is 69-21 (76.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (16) New York Islanders |
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04-28-22 | Flames v. Wild -108 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Western Conference Game of the Week. There is not a lot of drama heading into the final couple games of the NHL regular season as there are no playoff spots up for grabs as Vegas was officially eliminated last night with a shootout loss in Chicago. The only thing on the line for some is seeding and there is a big one out west tonight with Calgary and Minnesota sitting one point apart for second place in the Western Conference with St. Louis lurking. The Wild are a point behind Calgary for second place and are tied with the Blues with 109 points and avoiding fourth place is huge as that means missing Colorado until the Western Conference Finals should all of the top teams advance. Minnesota is coming off a brutal home loss to Arizona on Tuesday as a -588 favorite and that certainly did not help its chances with two games left including the finale against Colorado so this has turned into a big game. the Wild are 29-8-1-1 at home, which is the fourth best home record in the NHL and they are Wild are 7-0 in their last seven games against teams from the Pacific Division. Calgary has won three straight games to move into that second place spot and it has a great road track record by going 25-11-2-1 while averaging 3.41 gpg on away ice. The Wild average nearly a goal per game more at home and not only want to avenge that bad loss to the Coyotes but will be out for revenge following a 5-1 home loss to Calgary last month. The Flames are 2-6 in their last eight games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on teams against the money line revenging a home loss of four goals or more, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. this situation is 37-18 (67.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (72) Minnesota Wild |
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04-27-22 | Kings v. Seattle Kraken +151 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE KRAKEN for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The inaugural season for Seattle is coming to a close and while it is a disappointing 26-47-5-1 overall, there have been some positives the Kraken can carry over into next season. They have lost three straight games and are back home for their final two home games before closing the season at Winnipeg. Seattle is 15-21-3 at home and is catching a solid number here against a team that is overpriced based on still playing for seeding. The Kraken are 4-1 in their last five home games. Los Angeles has won four straight games to move into the No. 6 spot in the Western Conference, a point ahead of both Nashville and Dallas. The Kings are 22-11-4-2 on the road but that record is deceiving as they are averaging just 2.56 gpg on away ice and they have been outscored overall with a -0.11 goal differential. They are coming off their final regular season home game as they close with two straight road games and going back, the Kings are 1-4 in their last five games playing on three or more days of rest. Here, we play on home teams against the money line off a blowout loss by three goals or more to a division rival going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 41-18 (69.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (60) Seattle Kraken |
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04-23-22 | Maple Leafs +145 v. Panthers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
04-22-22 | Capitals v. Coyotes +322 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
This is play on the ARIZONA COYOTES for our NHL Friday Breakaway. As the NHL regular season winds down, we are getting to the point where lines are being posted that heavily skew the team that needs to win or some cases, the team that needs to win more to set up a better future situation. Of the 11 games last night, only two favorites failed to win and that is only going to add to the value of these late season underdogs. Washington was off last night and is coming off an overtime loss at Vegas on Wednesday to grab a point and it now has 97 points which trails sixth place Boston and seventh place Pittsburgh by two points each. The Capitals are 24-8-5-1 on the road which is solid but certainly not at this price. The Capitals are 1-4 in their last five games against teams from the Western Conference. Arizona has lost eight straight games and its 50 points are the fewest in the entire league. The Coyotes are clearly the inferior team but we have seen these upsets take place the last couple weeks and this is a great opportunity against a team that has nothing to play for as the Capitals cannot move into a home ice situation in the playoffs. Arizona needs to be disciplined on defense to keep it close early to have a shot at the big upset. Arizona is 10-4 against the money line in its last 14 games off two or more consecutive home losses. Here, we play on home teams against the money line after allowing four goals or more going up against an opponent after losing their previous game in overtime. This situation is 130-81 (61.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (58) Arizona Coyotes |
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04-21-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -110 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. As the NHL regular season winds down, we are getting to the point where lines are being posted that heavily skew the team that needs to win or some cases, the team that needs to win more to set up a better future situation. Tampa Bay is coming off a loss against Detroit on Tuesday as a -461 favorite and while it was a bad loss based on who it lost too but the timing was awful. The Lightning are in fifth place in the Eastern Conference as they are six points out of third place and eight points out of second place with six games left so there is work to do but it is within reach still. Tampa Bay is 24-8-2-4 at home and it is 22-3 against the money line in its last 25 home games revenging a loss as a favorite. Toronto is riding a four-game winning streak with three of those coming at home and the road win came against a putrid Ottawa team. The Maple Leafs have caught the Rangers and Hurricanes to overtake second place in the Eastern Conference by two points over those teams with five games left on the schedule and this being the start of a brutal three-game roadtrip that includes games at Florida and Washington on deck. They are a solid 22-12-3-1 on the road and they possess one of the top road offenses in the league but are facing one of the best home defensive teams in the NHL. Toronto is 2-8 against the money line in its last 10 road games after a four-game unbeaten streak. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing three goals or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring four goals or more in four straight games. This situation is 23-3 (88.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (42) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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04-20-22 | Capitals v. Golden Knights -121 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Washington defeated Colorado on Monday to clinch the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference so now it is a run for the seedings as the Capitals can feasibly move up to the No. 5 spot but that is likely the ceiling. They handed Colorado just its eighth home loss of the season and with the postseason in hand, this could be a tough letdown spot. They are 24-8-4-1 and that solid record is keeping this number down before a winnable game at Arizona followed by two straight home games. Washington is 20-22 against the money line against teams allowing 2.85 or more gpg in the 2nd half of the season over the last three seasons. Vegas has lost two straight games including a loss on Monday at home against New Jersey as a -322-fovorite. The Golden Knights have some work to do still as they are tied for ninth place in the Western Conference, trailing Dallas by four points with five games remaining and this is the second to last home game of the season. They are 21-15-2-1 at home while averaging 3.33 gpg so they have the offense to keep up here and they have averaged 4.3 gpg over their last seven home games. Vegas is 16-5 against the money line after allowing three goals or more in two straight games this season. Here, we play against teams against the money line revenging a loss of one goal, off two or more consecutive road wins. This situation is 72-44 (62.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (26) Vegas Golden Knights |
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04-19-22 | Panthers v. Islanders +180 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. As the NHL regular season winds down, we are getting to the point where lines are being posted that heavily skew the team that needs to win or some cases, the team that needs to win more to set up a better future situation. This is where we cane get some great value on underdogs on some prices that would not have existed a month ago. This late in the season with some teams eliminated from playoff contention, motivation is a big factor to take into account as long as we can find in and for the Islanders, it is no problem. They lost the first two meetings on the road by scores of 6-1 and 5-1 so the home revenge situation is a big motivator which keeps the New York attention at hand. The Islanders are coming off a loss at Toronto and they have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games with all four losses coming on the road against playoff teams. They are 19-13-1-3 at home and most recently, the Islanders are 8-1 in their last nine home games. Florida has taken over first place in the Eastern Conference by a significant amount as it leads second place Carolina by eight points with seven games remaining. Three of those games are against the three worst teams in the Atlantic Division so while the Panthers have not clinched first place yet, they will in a matter of time. They are 22-9-2-4 on the road which is very solid but not at this price as it is the same as their game at Buffalo a couple weeks ago. Here, we play on road teams after two straight wins by three goals or more going up against an opponent after a loss by two goals or more in their previous game. this situation is 50-22 (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (10) New York Islanders |
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04-18-22 | Capitals +185 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-2 | Win | 185 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. As the NHL regular season winds down, we are getting to the point where lines are being posted that heavily skew the team that needs to win or some cases, the team that needs to win more to set up a better future situation. We thought we had one on Saturday with Carolina and its NHL No. 1 defense heading into Colorado but the Avalanche just toyed with the Hurricanes as they jumped out to a 4-0 lead and never looked back. This line is telling us that Colorado is the far superior team with what seems to be with a lot on the line but that is hardly the case as it has a 14-point lead over second place St. Louis and the Avalanche can just coast into the postseason. Colorado is 57-51 against the money line after scoring three goals or more in three straight games and based on the big underdog scenarios, it is a very profitable go-against. Washington is coming off a win over Montreal on Saturday and the Capitals are still in eighth place in the Eastern Conference and while they are not in jeopardy of falling out of the playoffs, they still have the ability to move up as they are just six points out of the No. 5 spot. Washington is 23-8-4-1 on the road and those 51 road points are the most in the Eastern Conference and tied for second most in the entire league. The Capitals rely on a similar gameplan as Colorado as they use a strong offense to outscore their opponents. Washington is 13-3 against the money line in its last 16 road games after two straight games where both teams scored three goals or more. Here, we play on road teams against the money line after six or more consecutive overs, outscoring their opponents by 0.3 or more gpg. This situation is 83-38 (68.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (71) Washington Capitals |
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04-17-22 | Blue Jackets +127 v. Ducks | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Columbus is coming off a 2-1 loss to the Kings on Saturday where it was outshot 38-22 which kept Los Angeles in eighth place in the Western Conference. The loss snapped a two-game winning streak for the Blue Jackets which are just playing out the season at this point and remain on the road where they are 16-19-2-0 overall. The issue has been the defense where they allow 3.78 gpg but are facing a bad offense that has put up more than a goal per game less than that at home. Columbus is 10-1 against the money line in the second half of the season against teams outscored by their opponents by 0.3 or more gpg this season. Anaheim has lost three straight games and 10 of its last 12 to fall 18 points out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference so its season is all but done as well. The Ducks are back home where they are 16-17-4-1 While the offensive numbers do drop some for Columbus on the road, they are strong enough to take advantage and this has been a nightmare matchup of late for the Ducks as Anaheim is 0-13 against the money line in the second half of the season against teams averaging three or more gpg this season. Here, we play on road teams against the money line with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 playing three or less games in 10 days, playing a losing team. This situation is 30-10 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (67) Columbus Blue Jackets |
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04-16-22 | Hurricanes +125 v. Avalanche | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA HURRICANES for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Colorado is the big consensus favorite here based on the better record and the short price but we are going contrarian here. The Avalanche have won eight straight games to retain first place in the Western Conference with 114 points, which is 15 points better than second place Calgary. They have one of the best home ice advantages in the NHL as they are 30-4-2-1 which is the best home record in the NHL. The offense leads the way as Colorado averages 4.11 gpg at home which is tops in the league. Carolina is coming off a home loss against Detroit as a -342 favorite, falling 3-0 which was its fourth loss over its last seven games. The Hurricanes have 104 points which keeps them in second place in the Eastern Conference and while they are eight points behind first place Florida, they are just two points ahead of the Maple Leafs and Rangers so keeping hold of this spot is pretty big. Carolina is 21-11-4-0 on the road and they can slow down this offense as it is ranked No. 1 in the NHL in goals allowed, shots per game and penalty kill percentage. Carolina is 22-7 against the money line in non-conference games this season. Here, we play on road teams against the money line in the second half of the season outscoring their opponents by 0.65 or more gpg, after playing a game where four or fewer total goals were scored. This situation is 60-24 (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (49) Carolina Hurricanes |
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04-15-22 | Islanders -140 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. The Islanders are coming off a home-and-home split with Pittsburgh after losing last night 6-3 on the road. They are stuck at 77 points and the playoffs are a pipedream at this point but they continue to fight and who know what could have been if not for the massive roadtrip they had to play to open the season. This is the seventh road contest in eight games for New York and it has been adequate this season with a 15-17-2-3 record on away ice and while the offense has slowed, facing this defense will right the ship. New York is 24-12 against the money line in its last 36 games revenging a home loss and the Islanders are 22-7 in their last 29 games as a favorite. Montreal has lost three straight and seven of its last nine games with only two of those losses coming by one goal. It has been a rough year for the Canadiens with both ends of the ice to blame as they are ranked No. 29 in scoring offense and No. 32 in scoring defense. Montreal is 10-21-3-1 at home which is the worst home record in the Eastern Conference. The problem has been the defense as the Canadiens have allowed 3.57 gpg at home which is fifth most in the NHL. Montreal is 8-25 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season and the Canadiens are 17-50 in their last 67 games as an underdog. 10* (27) New York Islanders |
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04-14-22 | Wild -115 v. Stars | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Minnesota has won two straight games and is now in a tie for third place with St. Louis in the Western Conference with 96 points. The Wild are 19-14-1-3 on the road as they rely on a strong offense that is averaging 3.30 gpg on away ice which is ninth most in the NHL. They have a favorable schedule to end the season with six of their last 10 games taking place at home. Minnesota is 28-6 against the money line after playing a home game this season. Dallas is coming off a 1-0 over Tampa Bay to also make it two straight wins and it has a lot less room for error. The Stars are tied with Los Angeles for seventh place in the Western Conference and they are just three point ahead of Vegas for ninth place. Dallas is 23-10-2-0 at home but are outscoring opponents by just over 1/4 gpg and are in another tough matchup here. Dallas is 1-7 against the money line in its last eight games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game. Here, we play on road favorites of -200 or less against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 revenging a loss of three goals or more. This situation is 28-6 (82.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (15) Minnesota Wild |
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04-12-22 | Lightning -142 v. Stars | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Tampa Bay snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Buffalo on Sunday and the Lightning have some work to do as the regular season winds down. They are four points behind the Maple Leafs and Rangers for third and fourth place yet are also just two points out of seventh place so they need to put something together as they have a five-game homestand upcoming. Tampa Bay is 22-13-1-1 on the road and the strength is the offense as it is averaging 3.43 gpg on road ice which is sixth highest in the NHL. Tampa Bay is 13-1 in its last 14 games against the money line after having lost three of their last four games. Dallas defeated Chicago on Sunday to snap a two-game slide and the Stars are sitting in seventh place in the Western Conference as just three points separates sixth place and ninth place. Dallas is 22-10-2-0 at home so this will be a test for the Lightning but they also have the defense to back up the offense. Dallas is 10-18 in its last 28 games against the money line after a road game where both teams scored three or more goals. Here, we play against teams against the money line off a road win against a division rival going up against an opponent off a home win where they shut out their opponent. This situation is 23-3 (88.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (63) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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04-11-22 | Jets -136 v. Canadiens | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG JETS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Winnipeg snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Ottawa on Sunday and while it was a rather unimpressive 4-3 victory, it righted the ship for the Jets. They are in the No. 11 spot in the Western Conference with 79 points as they trail No. 8 Los Angeles by seven points with nine games remaining. They are 15-13-5-3 on the road and these are the games they have to take advantage of. Winnipeg is 18-9 against the money line after allowing two goals or more in the third period last game this season. Montreal is coming off a loss on Saturday at Toronto and it has now lost nine of its last 13 games overall including four of five at home. The Canadiens are just 10-20-3-1 at home and overall, they have struggled on both sides, ranked No. 29 in scoring offense and No. 31 in scoring defense. They are averaging just 2.56 gpg at home as they have managed only 17 power play goals. Montreal is 4-13 against the money line in home games after allowing three goals or more in three straight games this season. Here, we play on road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after failing to cover three of their last four games against the spread, in April games. This situation is 90-45 (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (39) Winnipeg Jets |
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04-10-22 | Predators +161 v. Penguins | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NASHVILLE PREDATORS for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Pittsburgh has lost four straight games including a 6-3 loss to Washington on Saturday. The Penguins are currently No. 7 in the Eastern Conference with 92 points and they are most likely not to be able to finish higher than fifth in the conference. They are just 19-12-2-3 at home which is very average but are priced as though they have been more dominant at home than they really are. Pittsburgh is 2-8 against the money line when playing their 3rd game in four days this season. Nashville is also coming off a loss on Saturday as it fell at home 4-1 against Florida which snapped a 4-1 run. The Predators are No. 6 in the Western Conference and are still within reach of the No. 4 spot which will come with home ice in the first round of the playoffs. They are 19-14-2-2 on the road which is similar to the Penguins record at home but are not getting any respect here. Nashville is 13-2 against the money line after two consecutive non-conference games this season. Here, we play against home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after having lost five or six of their last seven games, playing a winning team. This situation is 31-15 (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (27) Nashville Predators |
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04-09-22 | Islanders v. Blues -130 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. St. Louis has won four straight games to force a tie for third place in the Western Conference. The Blues are coming off a win over Minnesota last night and they are 24-9-3-1 at home and they are outscoring opponents by over one gpg on home ice as they are ranked No. 4 in scoring offense and No. 8 in scoring defense. The Blues are 17-5 in their last 22 games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. The Islanders are coming off a big win at Carolina last night but they are still in ninth place in the Eastern Conference and they trail eighth place Washington by 11 points so there is a lot of work left. New York has won four of its last five road games but it is just 15-15-2-3 on the highway and this is a tough situation as it has struggled against top competition as it is 9-24 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Here, we play on favorites against the money line off two or more consecutive home wins, playing eight or more games in 14 days. This situation is 64-14 (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (18) St. Louis Blues |
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04-08-22 | Wild v. Blues -101 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Friday Breakaway. St. Louis has won three straight games and five of its last six to move into fourth place in the Western Conference, one point ahead of Edmonton and it has a chance to jump over Minnesota for third place with a win on Friday. The Blues are 23-9-3-1 at home and they are outscoring opponents by over one gpg on home ice as they are ranked No. 4 in scoring offense and No. 8 in scoring defense. St. Louis is 10-4 against the money line when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 this season. Minnesota won its first two games of this four-game roadtrip but lost at Nashville on Tuesday and overall, it has won nine of its last 11 games. The Wild are 19-14-0-3 on the road and while the offense has been solid, the defense is allowing 3.14 gpg on road ice which is in the bottom half of the league. Despite the solid run, there is little room for error and they are in a tough spot here. Minnesota is 2-7 against the money line revenging a loss where opponent scored five or more goals this season. Here, we play on home teams against the money line off two or more consecutive home wins playing eight or more games in 14 days. This situation is 46-10 (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (84) St. Louis Blues |
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04-07-22 | Maple Leafs -140 v. Stars | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Toronto is coming off a crazy game against Florida at it lost 7-6 in overtime after blowing a 5-1 lead by allowing five straight goals before tying it back up which sent it into overtime. The Maple Leafs are tied with the Rangers for third place in the Eastern Conference and they are just two points behind Carolina for second place. They are 20-12-3-1 on the road where they are averaging 4.00 gpg and that is easily the most on the road. Toronto is 17-4 against the money line after having won four of their last five games this season. Dallas is coming off a win over the Islanders and it has gone 7-2 over its last nine games. The Stars are in eighth place in the Western Conference as they are only four points out of fifth place but are just one point ahead of Vegas for ninth place. They are 22-9-1-0 at home which is keeping them in the mix and while they bring in a strong defense, this is obviously their biggest home test of the season. The Stars are 1-4 in their last five games when their opponent scores five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play against home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line after having won four or five of their last six games, playing six or more games in 10 days. This situation is 40-12 (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (69) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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04-06-22 | Canucks v. Golden Knights -155 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Vegas has won five straight games and now has 82 points but is still on the outside looking in as it is in ninth place in the Western Conference, one point behind Dallas and two points behind Nashville. The Golden Knights are 20-13-2-1 at home where they are averaging 3.36 gpg which is No. 11 in the league and this is with a pretty average power play. The remaining schedule is not easy with six of their final nine games taking place on the road so they have to take care of home ice. Vegas is 33-9 against the money line in its last 42 games off a win by one goal over a division rival. Vancouver has lost three straight games and is nine points out of the final playoff spot in the conference. The Canucks are 18-14-2-2 which is not horrible and it is strong enough to keep this number in range. They have a below average power play and their penalty kill on the road is fifth worst in the league at 73.7 percent. This is a revenge game as they lost 3-2 at home against Vegas on Sunday but we want no part of road revenge. The Canucks are 1-5 in their last six games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after having won four or five of their last six games, playing a losing team. This situation is 122-42 (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (54) Vegas Golden Knights |
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04-05-22 | Islanders v. Stars -120 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS STARS for our NHL Non-Conf. Game of the Month. Dallas had a three-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Seattle on Sunday but is in a good bounce back spot here at a very good price. The Stars are 21-9-1-0 at home and have a huge edge with the power play where they are converting 23.3 percent of their chances. They are now in ninth place in the Western Conference as they trail Vegas and Nashville by just one point. Dallas is 10-3 against the money line revenging a loss where opponent scored four or more goals this season. The Islanders have won four straight games but they are still in ninth place in the Eastern Conference and they trail eighth place Washington by 11 points so there is a lot of work left. New York has won three straight road games but it is just 14-14-2-3 on the highway and this is a tough situation as its last nine games have come against Eastern Conference teams and it has struggled against top competition as it is 8-23 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Here, we play on home teams against the money line with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after having won three of their last four games, playing a losing team. This situation is 88-29 ATS (75.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (44) Dallas Stars |
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04-04-22 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets +218 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Columbus has lost six straight games but five of those were on the road and the other was a one-goal loss against the Islanders. The Blue Jackets are 15 points out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference so they have been eliminated and now it is all about pride. That pride will be on display in this second game of a back-to-back set after losing in Boston on Saturday 5-2. Columbus is 18-14-1-2 at home and the Blue Jackets are 7-1 against the money line in its last eight home games after three or more consecutive losses. Boston has won two straight and six of its last seven games but still sits in the No. 7 spot in the Eastern Conference. There is a lot of hockey left and the Bruins are just three points out of third place in the conference with 14 games remaining. Following a five-game homestand, they are 21-9-1-2 on the road and that is another reason for this big price. Boston is allowing just 2.36 gpg on the but does face a strong home offense as Columbus is averaging 3.43 gpg at home. Boston is 0-4 against the money line in its last four games after four or more consecutive overs. Here, we play on home teams against the money line after allowing four goals or more two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring four goals or more in four straight games. This situation is 38-19 (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (20) Columbus Blue Jackets |
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04-03-22 | Golden Knights +100 v. Canucks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
04-02-22 | Kings v. Jets -120 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG JETS for our NHL Western Conf. Game of the Month. Winnipeg had won three straight games and five of its last six but is coming off a 7-3 loss at Toronto yet remain in the playoff hunt. The Jets are in the No. 10 spot in the Western Conference and are just four points out of the No. 8 position. They are 19-13-1-1 at home where they are averaging 3.74 gpg which is tied for No. 8 in the league. Winnipeg is 18-7 against the money line after allowing two goals or more in the third period last game this season. Los Angeles is coming off a win at Calgary which snapped a two-game losing streak and the Kings have gone 0-5 in their last five games following a win. The Kings are in the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference but they do not have a lot of room for error as they are just five points out of the No. 9 position. They have been solid on the road where they are 19-9-4-2 and is keeping this number down which gives value to Winnipeg. The Kings are 0-5 in their last five games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play against teams against the money line revenging two straight losses by one goal, off a road win by one goal. This situation is 23-5 (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (68) Winnipeg Jets |
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04-01-22 | Blues v. Oilers -140 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. Edmonton has won two straight games and is on a solid run where it has gone 8-2-1-0 over its last 11 games. The Oilers are in seventh place in the Western Conference and still have a chance to move up as they are only three points out of fourth place. They also do not have a lot of room for error for moving down as they are just three points out of ninth place. The Oilers are 22-12-0-0 at home and are in a great spot as Edmonton is 10-0 against the money line in home games off a home win this season. St. Louis is also coming off a pair of wins following a rough stretch where it lost five of its previous six games and going down in eight of 11 games. The Blues are in fifth place in the Western Conference and they will relinquish that with a loss here. They are a solid 16-11-3-2 on the road but do allow 2.97 gpg on away ice while giving up a .906 save percentage, both of which are very average and face an Edmonton offense that is averaging 3.59 gpg, good for No. 7 in the league. Here, we play on home teams against the money line off two or more consecutive home wins, playing eight or more games in 14 days. This situation is 45-10 (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (58) Edmonton Oilers |
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03-30-22 | Jets -155 v. Sabres | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG JETS for our NHL Non-Conference Game of the Month. Winnipeg has won two straight games and four of its last five to remain in the playoff hunt. The Jets are in the No. 10 spot in the Western Conference and are just three points out of the No. 8 position. They are 13-12-5-3 on the road and are in a great matchup here. Winnipeg is 15-7 against the money line after playing two consecutive home games this season. Buffalo is coming off a crazy win over Chicago where a bouncing puck won the game. The Sabres are at 58 points and have to shot at the playoffs as they trail Washington by 26 points for the final spot in the Eastern Conference and while they have been playing better by going 6-1-2 over their last nine games, this is not a good opportunity to keep it going. The Sabres are 4-11 in their last 15 after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on teams against the money line in the second half of the season revenging a home loss of two goals or more, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 playing a losing team. This situation is 36-14 (72 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (19) Winnipeg Jets |
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03-22-22 | Rangers v. Devils +150 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 150 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW JERSEY DEVILS for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month. The Rangers are coming off two huge upset wins over Tampa Bay and Carolina on the road and are now tied for third place in the Eastern Conference with Pittsburgh. There is very little room for error as New York is just two points up on Boston for seventh place. The Rangers are 20-12-2-0 on the road but the scoring differential is not big as they are outscoring opponents by just +0.11 gpg on away ice. The Rangers are 0-4 in their last four games when their opponent allows five goals or more in their previous game. New Jersey has lost three straight games but all of those were on a West Coast roadtrip and it has won four of its last five home games. The Devils are 14-14-0-3 at home and that is playing into this number and we have to respect their 3.03 gpg scored at home. The Devils are 4-1 in their last five home games. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after allowing two goals or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after playing three straight games where eight or more total goals were scored. This situation is 30-10 (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (48) New Jersey Devils |
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03-20-22 | Jets -128 v. Blackhawks | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG JETS for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Winnipeg is coming off a home loss against Boston on Friday which snapped a 4-1-0-0 run and the Jets hit the road in a good revenge spot. They are on the outside looking in with 66 points which is six points out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Winnipeg is 12-12-5-3 on the road and have won three of their last four games on the road. Winnipeg is 15-7 against the money line after allowing two goals or more in the third period last game this season. Chicago has dropped two straight games including a 3-1 loss at Minnesota last night. The Blackhawks are back home where they are 11-15-4-1 and averaging just 2.55 gpg which is fifth lowest in the league and they have a shooting percentage of just 8.4 percent which is ranked No. 6 in the NHL. Chicago is 9-27 against the money line against teams scoring on 19 percent or better of their power play chances this season. Here, we play on teams against the money line revenging a home loss of two goals or more, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 35-14 (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (31) Winnipeg Jets |
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03-17-22 | Panthers v. Golden Knights +158 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 158 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Vegas returns home following a five-game road losing streak and it now sits in eighth place in the Western Conference with not much room as it is just a point ahead of Dallas and Vancouver. The Golden Knights now have to take advantage of home ice where they are 16-13-2-1 which is certainly nothing great but the line reflects that. The Golden Knights are 14-5 in their last 19 games following a loss of three or more goals. Florida lost to Los Angeles in the first game of this seven-game road trip but bounced back with a 3-2 win over San Jose on Tuesday. The Panthers are still the top team in the Eastern Conference with 88 points which is one-point ahead of Carolina. The Panthers are 15-7-2-4 on the road which is respectable but not good enough to warrant a price like this. The Panthers are 1-4 in their last five games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road teams against the money line in the second half of the season after having won four of their last five games with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 170-109 (60.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (72) Vegas Golden Knights |
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03-15-22 | Stars v. Maple Leafs -140 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Toronto is back home following a road loss at Buffalo and it has gone 2-4 over its last six games and it has been over a -200 favorite in all of those games which makes tonight a bargain. The Leafs are 20-7-2-0 at home and they have an offense that is averaging 3.52 gpg at home which is No. 6 in the NHL. They are now No. 5 in the Eastern Conference and just three points out of third place Tampa Bay. The Maple Leafs are 5-1 in their last six games when their opponent allows five goals or more in their previous game. Dallas has also lost two straight games following a four-game winning streak and comes in with a 12-14-0-2 record on the road. The defense has been good but they are averaging just 2.39 gpg on the road which is third worst in the league. The Stars are 3-8 in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on teams against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 after having lost four or five of their last six games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 36-11 (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (30) Toronto Maple Leafs |