Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-02-24 | BC v. Saskatchewan -3.5 | Top | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Playoff Dominator. B.C. was one of the early dominant teams in the CFL and looked to be the one team to take down Winnipeg in the West Division after its run of dominance. The Lions opened 5-1 but things went south as they went 4-8 straight up and against the spread in their final 12 games and closed the season with quarterback issues, not something you want heading into the postseason. B.C. does bring in some momentum following a win in its regular season finale against Montreal but the Alouettes were resting players as they had nothing to play for. This is a horrible first round matchup for the Lions on both sides. The inconsistency at quarterback is the biggest issue and B.C. goes up against the biggest ball-hawking defense in the CFL as the Roughrider led the league in takeaways. Saskatchewan was riding a four-game winning streak heading into its season finale last week against Calgary but rest was more important as it did not go full strength so while B.C. is coming off its bye week, the Roughriders are essentially on the same path with the rest factor. The defense has the edge against the B.C. offense and Saskatchewan also has the edge on offense. The Roughriders had offensive line struggles throughout the season but it has shored up down the stretch in front of quarterback Trevor Harris who played only 12 games but finished at the top of the league with a 108.4 passer rating. This is bad news for the Lions which have the worst passing efficiency defense in the CFL. 10* (424) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-14-24 | Ottawa v. Montreal -4.5 | Top | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Afternoon Dominator. Montreal is coming off a loss at Toronto which concluded a 1-1-1 roadtrip and it is now back home for the first time since September 6. That last home game resulted in a loss against B.C. which was only its second home loss of the season so the Alouettes are going to be motivated Monday afternoon on this Canadian Thanksgiving Day game. Montreal has already clinched the East Division but it will not be sitting back waiting for the postseason which is still a month away. The concern here and the reason for the shorter than what it should be line is that quarterback Cody Fajardo will miss this game due to the birth of his child but his absence is not a concern for us. Davis Alexander will making his fourth start as he filled in for Fajardo earlier in the season as well as coming into the game before those and he has won all four games while throwing for 972 passing yards on 73-102 passing with six touchdowns and one interception. Ottawa has clinched a playoff spot thanks to a great midseason run but the Redblacks have struggled of late with three straight losses, all coming by at least 12 points. Two of these have been on the road where they are 2-4 compared to 6-1-1 at home and they are dealing with a slew of injuries. Notably, starting quarterback Dru Brown, who is listed as the third-stringer for Monday, is expected to miss his second straight game with an ankle injury. Also, leading receiver Justin Hardy is out with an ankle injury. Ottawa has been bad on the road on the other side of the ball as they allow 34.1 ppg. 10* (784) Montreal Alouettes |
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10-04-24 | Winnipeg -3 v. Hamilton | Top | 31-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. After a horrible start to the season, this might have been an afterthought but Winnipeg is back where it belongs, riding a seven-game winning streak and having a chance this week to rule the division once again. The Blue Bombers can clinch first place in the West Division for the fourth straight year with a win over Hamilton and if the Roughriders lose to Edmonton in their game on Saturday. Winnipeg opened the season 0-4 and many thought the dominance was over but it was just a matter of time until former MOP quarterback Zach Collaros got his footing back. He is coming off a career-high six touchdown passes in a 55-27 win over Edmonton and while he has no chance of the award again, his resurgence and efficient play has put the Blue Bombers in this position. A bigger piece has been running back Brady Oliveira who leads the league with 1,107 yards and has had at least 100 scrimmage yards in nine of his last 10 games and goes up against the third worst rushing defense in the CFL. Hamilton has also had a huge turnaround as after a 2-9 start, the Ti-Cats have won four straight games behind the arm of Bo Levi Mitchell who is actually the current MOP favorite, just ahead of Oliveira. The Ti-Cats run has been a little different however as three of the recent wins have come by a combined eight points including an overtime win over B.C. last time out with the lone blowout win coming against slumping Ottawa. The offense has been able to outscore the opposition over this stretch as the defense remains the worst in the league and now that offense goes up against the best defense in the league in both yards and scoring with the Blue Bombers allowing just 18.4 ppg during its winning streak. This is the spot where the real cream rises to the top. 10* (771) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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09-07-24 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg -2.5 | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. This is the second game of a home-and-home between Saskatchewan and Winnipeg in the Banjo Bowl with the Blue Bombers coming away with the two-point victory last week. The game seemed to be getting out of reach but Winnipeg quarterback Zach Collaros was knocked out of the game after a shot to the head but he is now fine and will start with the Blue Bombers coming in with a little extra juice because of that. The Blue Bombers opened the season 2-6 but they are playing like the team we expected as they have won four straight games. While Collaros has been inconsistent, he is still one of the top quarterbacks in the CFL and other factors are making up for it. The running game has been solid, averaging 109.5 ypg, which is second in the CFL and running back Brady Oliveira will again be a big part of the game plan. Second, the defense has been able to make up for the surprisingly average quarterback play as the Blue Bombers have the number one unit in the league, allowing just 326.9 ypg. Saskatchewan continues to struggle as the Roughriders have not won a game since July 19, dropping five of their last six games with the other game resulting in a tie. They are a respectable 2-3-1 on the road but those two wins were at the start of the season against Edmonton and Hamilton, the two worst teams in the league. Taking away eight home losses from Edmonton and Hamilton, home teams are 33-10-1 in the league this season. The Roughriders have relied on taking the ball away as their defense is not in a good spot again as they do have a solid rushing defense but they are allowing 302.2 ypg through the air. Saskatchewan was able to move the ball on offense last week but it will be different on the road and making it worse is that it is missing four starters along the offensive line. 10* (776) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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09-06-24 | BC v. Montreal -3.5 | Top | 37-23 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is a chalky play but the spot is ideal for Montreal to build upon its league-best 10-1 record. The Alouettes remain home following a win over Edmonton and then a bye week so they come in rested with time to heal up and this dame at a great time mostly for quarterback Cody Fajardo. He missed five games after going on the IL but was able to return against the Elks and while it took him a half to shake some rust off, he produced a great game, going 22-34 for 336 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. It certainly was not his best effort but it was a good spot to get back in the groove and now he has an even better matchup. He leads the CFL in passing efficiency and faces a Lions defense that is last in the league in opponents passing efficiency while sitting second to last in total defense and yppl allowed. B.C. snapped a five-game losing streak with a 38-12 win over Ottawa last week and have the big disadvantage playing a team off a bye and having to travel across the country. The Lions have struggled to a 2-5 record on the road as they have defeated Winnipeg, which was early in the season when the Blue Bombers were not right, and Hamilton which is the worst team in the league at 3-9. They were able to sign quarterback Nathan Rourke and he has made three starts, all of which have gotten progressively better. He threw for 325 yards on 21-30 passing with three touchdowns and one interception against the Redblacks but now he faces the second best passing defense in the league. 10* (772) Montreal Alouettes |
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09-01-24 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan -2.5 | Top | 35-33 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. Winnipeg has started to turn its season around as it has won three straight games to move to 5-6 on the season but this is still far from the same team that has dominated the West Division the last few seasons. The Blue Bombers have been horrible on offense as quarterback Zach Collaros has regressed considerably with a bad offensive line being partially the problem. He has only six touchdowns while throwing 12 interceptions and his pass efficiency rating of 82.5 is worst in the entire league. They have relied on a strong running game but have a bad matchup here similar to the most recent meeting where Winnipeg mustered only 65 yards on 14 carries. Saskatchewan has a strong rushing defense as it had one poor effort against Edmonton but in its other 10 games, it has allowed 54.7 ypg on 3.7 ypc. They have allowed more than 30 points just three times this season and only once in the last six weeks. Additionally, the Roughriders have 33 takeaways and can take advantage of the mistake prone Blue Bombers. Saskatchewan is going in the opposite direction as the Roughriders are 0-4-1 over their last five games after starting the year 5-1 and need to right the ship. Quarterback Trevor Harris has been one of the best quarterbacks in the CFL when he is healthy, putting up a 91.1 passing grade this season that ranks second in the league and he is looking for a bounce back effort after a poor performance against Toronto. Over this poor stretch, they lost by 11 points against Edmonton but in the other four games, their overall scoring differential has been only -8 points. It is time for a bounce back and keep their hold on first place in the West Division. 10* (782) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-31-24 | Ottawa v. BC -2.5 | Top | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. The Redblacks are rolling and while we missed playing against them last week, we are going against them here. The Ottawa run has been the best in franchise history and has been the most fortunate of many recent runs. Ottawa has not lost a game since July 5 as it is 5-0-1 but it has benefitted from playing some poor teams and some that have been dealing with injuries on offense and now faces the same team again in a week. Their defense is a big reason for them to have the success they have had but they have been exposed in four of the six recent games and it continues here as this team is getting crushed with injuries. Three more key players will miss significant time as starting wide receivers Jaelon Acklin and Bralon Addison, plus starting middle linebacker Jovan Santos-Knox were all forced out of the game last week. The return of quarterback Nathan Rourke, who left B.C. for a year and a half to try and make it in the NFL, has not gone well for the former OPOY as he has yet to throw a touchdown in two starts while tossing three interceptions. We are coming back with him on Thursday in a great buy low spot which is not only on him but on the entire two teams. Ottawa is playing just its second road game over its last seven while B.C. is doing the opposite in its home games after having gone on the road in four of its last five games. 10* (780) B.C. Lions |
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08-24-24 | BC -1.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. B.C. came up small last week against rival Winnipeg as it was unable to get its revenge from a 25-0 loss and the Lions have now lost four straight games following a five-game winning streak. The return of quarterback Nathan Rourke, who left B.C. for a year and a half to try and make it in the NFL, could not have gone any worse as he went 8-25 for 126 yards and two interceptions. It was his first game back and even though he knows the system, it was not the prudent play which we were guilty of. We are coming back with him on Saturday though as he has that game under his belt and faces a team that continues to overachieve. He has had a full week of practice, which should help him play better as he develops chemistry with his receivers. Ottawa has not lost a game since July 5 as it is 4-0-1 but it has benefitted from playing some poor teams and some that have been dealing with injuries on offense. Their defense is a big reason for them to have the success they have had but they have been exposed in three of the five recent games. On offense, quarterback Dru Brown will be back under center after missing last week and he has been decent yet unspectacular as through eight games, he has 1,936 passing yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions in his first season with the team. This has been a special run for the Redblacks as they are 4-0-1 in its last five games, the longest unbeaten run within the same season in Redblacks history but that comes to an end tonight. 10* (775) B.C. Lions |
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08-22-24 | Saskatchewan +3 v. Toronto | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Toronto is going to be a very public play tonight as quarterback Chad Kelly is returning from his nine-game suspension. The Argonauts lead the league in rushing and that is due to that is all they could put together as the passing game with Cameron Dukes and Nick Arbuckle was not good. While Kelly should give them a spark, it will take him some time to get back in the groove but it is the other side of the ball that is a real concern for the Argonauts. Saskatchewan killed us last week in a three-point loss against Montreal as it missed four field goals as it dominated, outgaining the Alouettes 433-336. The Roughriders offense was a potent unit early in the season but then quarterback Trevor Harris went on the six-game IL but he came back last week and was solid. It was his first start since Week Three which is the second straight season he has missed time with an injury as last season, he missed the final 13 games with a knee injury on the other side. Over the past two seasons, the Roughriders are 6-3 with him in the lineup and 5-13-1 without him. He went 31-39 for 355 yards with two touchdowns and no picks. Additionally, running back A.J. Ouellette made his return from the injured list after missing the last three games with a hip injury. Harris should go off again against a Toronto defense that is No. 7 in the CFL in opponent passer rating (104.6) and passing yards per game (296.2) while allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 72.3 percent of their passes. Injuries have played a big role as Toronto will still be without linebacker Wynton McManis and defensive tackle Jared Brinkman. 10* (771) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-18-24 | Winnipeg v. BC -2.5 | Top | 20-11 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Division Game of the Month. After starting the season 5-1, the Lions have lost three straight games, including an embarrassing 25-0 loss against the Bombers earlier this month. During that stretch, BC has been outscored 83-40 and managed just three touchdowns. Quarterback Vernon Adams, Jr. was hurt in that game and they could get nothing going against Edmonton last week in another embarrassing loss 33-16. Now it is a homecoming for quarterback Nathan Rourke as during the 2022 season with B.C., he completed 255 of 325 passes for 3,349 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions in 10 games while rushing for 304 yards and seven touchdowns and was named the 2022 CFL Most Outstanding Player. He then made the move to the NFL where he was with Jacksonville most of last season but released in December and was claimed by New England where he was eventually released in May and then after short summer stints with the Giants and Falcons, he has returned to the Lions in what will be a seamless transition. Winnipeg is coming off a bye week following that shutout victory and it probably came at the wrong time because it killed any momentum it might have gained in what has been a rough season. The Blue Bombers are now 3-6 and are back on the road where they are winless at 0-4. The Winnipeg defense limited the Lions to just 129 total yards and four first downs but again, Adams went down with an injury so they were cooked anyway. Winnipeg has struggled with turnovers and this is a bad spot to come into and try and curb that as this is a big revenge game for B.C. and one that Rourke will want bad in his return. 10* (788) B.C. Lions |
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08-16-24 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan +2.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Earlier in the week, it looked as though Montreal would be the recipient of having positive injury news but leading up to the game tonight, it is Saskatchewan that has gotten the better news. Roughriders quarterback Trevor Harris is making his first start since Week Three which is the second straight season he has missed time with an injury as last season, he missed the final 13 games with a knee injury on the other side. Over the past two seasons, the Roughriders are 6-2 with him in the lineup and 5-13-1 without him. Additionally, running back A.J. Ouellette also makes his return from the injured list after missing the last three games with a hip injury. Saskatchewan is coming off a tie in Ottawa which snapped a two-game losing streak and it now sits at 5-3-1 heading home where it is 3-1 and looking to recover from a bad loss against Edmonton. Montreal has won three straight games to improve to 8-1 on the season and it was hoping to get quarterback Cody Fajardo back this week after participating in practice the last two weeks as he has now missed three games. The Alouettes as mentioned have won all of those games but they would prefer their veteran in the lineup. However, on Thursday morning the Alouettes announced that Davis Alexander would get the start with Fajardo serving as backup. Although the Roughriders are allowing the most passing yards in the CFL at 306 ypg, they have been making up for it with interceptions as in nine games, they have 14 interceptions, just one short of their totals for the 2023 and 2022 seasons. This number was 1.5 on Wednesday and while we thought it would go up thinking Fajardo would be starting, it has still gone up despite the opposite happening. 10* (874) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-15-24 | Ottawa v. Calgary -3.5 | Top | 31-29 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Calgary is coming off a home-and-home split with Toronto, losing the second meeting 39-25 in Toronto last week and it heads back home for a pair of games in Calgary wrapping around a bye week. The home team has dominated Stampeders games this season, going 9-0 and that is a reason this line has gone up from the opener but there is more to it than that. They have a huge edge at quarterback tonight as Jake Maier is having a great season, completing 71.9 percent of his passes and posting a 100.2 rating after completing just 62.8 percent of his passes with a 85.2 rating last season. He leads all quarterbacks with 11 touchdowns in the red zone. Ottawa counters with Jeremy Masoli who is seeing his first action of the season due to injuries and this is just his sixth start since the start of 2022 due to his own injuries. Ottawa has had a favorable schedule of late. In Week Eight, the Redblacks hosted Calgary, which was playing on four days of rest, then they had their bye week before hosting Saskatchewan last week which was also playing on four days of rest. Overall, they have played three straight games at home with that bye week peppered in their so they have not left Ottawa in a month and now have to travel across Canada to play a revenge-minded Stampeders team. The Redblacks have been great at home with the defense allowing 16.6 ppg on 293.5 ypg but on the road, they are giving up 35.3 ppg on 395.7 ypg. They are off to their best start since coming back to Ottawa as the Redblacks in 2014 and their best start off all Ottawa franchises since 1978 and this due to playing the easiest schedule in the CFL thus far. 10* (782) Calgary Stampeders |
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08-10-24 | Hamilton v. Montreal -6.5 | Top | 23-33 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We normally do not like playing big favorites in this league but this is dominating spot for Montreal. With quarterback Cody Fajardo off the injured list, Davis Alexander still got the start last week and will again this week after completing 70 percent of his passes, converting 52.6 percent of second downs and finishing with 381 total yards of offense. In six quarters since taking over at halftime in Week Eight, he has gone 34-45 for 440 yards with three touchdowns and just one interception. For the Alouettes to repeat as Grey Cup champions, they likely will need Fajardo to also repeat his past endeavors, but Alexander is showing he can quarterback in this league and his first start came against the third worst defense in the league which he will see again. defense has not been able to create turnovers, as they have a league-low four interceptions. We talked up Hamilton quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell last week as he looked to be coming back into his old form but he struggled with two interceptions before he was pulled late in the game in favor of backup Taylor Powell and that is never a good sign for any veteran to be taken out and he now has to hit the road. The ability of the secondary to close downfield against Shemar Bridges and Tim White is critical and the second best defense in the CFL can accomplish that again. The Alouettes have won eight straight games against the Ti-Cats overall with the average margin of victory being 11.5 ppg. 10* (778) Montreal Alouettes |
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08-09-24 | Calgary v. Toronto -2 | Top | 25-39 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is the second game of a home-and-home between Calgary and Toronto as the Stampeders scored 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to knock off the Argonauts 27-23 on Sunday. They improved to 4-0 at home following the comeback victory but they are 0-4 on the road and the Stampeders have just one win in their last 10 games away from McMahon Stadium and have not recorded a back-to-back sweep of the Argonauts since 2008. The offense was lifeless through three quarters as Calgary managed only two field goals with quarterback Jake Maier struggling but he woke up as the Toronto defense wore down but we are expecting the early struggles to carry over here on the road where he has just five touchdowns to go along with four interceptions and his quarterback rating in the last three games is 84.8, 92.9 and 68.5. Toronto returns home where it is 3-1 with the lone loss coming against reigning Grey Cup Champion Montreal. This is the final game that quarterback Chad Kelly will miss after being suspended for nine games so this one is big to come away with a winning record in his absence and with a bye week on deck. The backup situation here in Toronto has not been good with Cameron Dukes struggling but he likely miss this game with a leg injury and Nick Arbuckle has been named the starter. After seeing only eight touches last week, the Argonauts will feature running back Ka'Deem Carey as he is averaging 5.2 ypc with a league-leading 14 carries of 10 yards or more and he will be going up against a Calgary defense that is allowing a league-worst 6.2 ypc. Why he saw only eight touches last week is a question mark but we will see a heavier dose and could ultimately be the difference. 10* (776) Toronto Argonauts |
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08-08-24 | Saskatchewan +3 v. Ottawa | Top | 22-22 | Win | 100 | 35 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Saskatchewan is coming off a bad loss against the then winless Elks as they were down one point heading into the fourth quarter but allowed 22 points and lost 42-31 which was their second straight loss. The Roughriders will be a fade again this week from the public with quarterback Trevor Harris still on the shelf but while we played against them last week, we are backing them this week with this inflated line. They have relied on their defense but were embarrassed last week and the chip on their shoulder will have them ready to go. The defense has been excellent in creating turnovers throughout the season and they face an Ottawa team that has struggled with taking care of the ball. Ottawa opened the season 0-3 but has won five of its last seven games including three straight to get to .500 for the first time this season. This is another reason the RedBlacks will be publicly backed, along with the fact they are coming off a bye, but it is unwarranted as the run they have been on has had a lot to do with who they have played. A win over Calgary was a decent one but the other four wins have come against Edmonton twice, a Winnipeg team early in the season which was not right at the time and 2-6 Hamilton. Ottawa is No. 3 in both total offense and total defense but again, we are not sold based on the schedule. This is a contrarian league and this is another contrarian spot to take advantage of. 10* (773) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-04-24 | Toronto v. Calgary -3.5 | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. Toronto is coming off a win over Winnipeg last week but it was far from pretty as the Argonauts needed two quarterbacks to combine for 124 yards passing and they needed a defensive touchdown and overtime just to get to 16 points. Cameron Dukes will get the start again at quarterback but he is on a short leash and Nate Arbuckle will likely see time as well. Toronto has the top ranked rushing offense in the CFL led by Ka'Deem Carey who will be facing his former team for the first time so he will be highly motivated but that can only go so far against a team that will be loading the box to stop the run and force the Argonauts to beat them through the air which will be a challenge. Calgary is coming off its worst loss of the season as it was hammered at Ottawa 33-6 as it too failed to score an offensive touchdown. The Stampeders dropped to 3-4 on the season but they are back home and laying a higher than expected number, just the second time they have been favored this year but we are laying it with Toronto being the public play. Calgary is 3-0 at McMahon stadium this season and it has outscored Toronto 49-9 in their last two meetings at home, including a 20-7 outcome a year to the date which was one of just two regular season losses for the Argonauts last season. We expect the offense to bounce back as it was playing well up until last week and Toronto will be without superstar linebacker Wynton McManis, who has been placed on the six-game injured list. 10* (786) Calgary Stampeders |
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08-03-24 | Edmonton Elks +4 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 42-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. This is a stinky line with 5-2 Saskatchewan hosting the winless Elks and yet are laying a short price and any public CFL bettors will be all over the Roughriders. Saskatchewan is coming off a loss at Montreal which wax their second in three games and while they are facing the worst defense in the league, their offense has stalled with Shea Patterson at quarterback. They have averaged just 18.3 ppg over this three-game stretch and while Patterson has put up decent yardage, the has not been able to do it when it counts as he has only two touchdowns since taking over for Trevor Harris. They did put up 30 points in his first start but that was largely due to the defense coming away with five takeaways. Edmonton is off to another awful start as it is 0-7 and now hits the road following its worst loss of the season but going on the road is not a bad thing as the home fans have been ruthless. The Elks trailed 41-8 in the fourth quarter last week against Hamilton and benched starting quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson in favor of Tre Ford who will be making the start after looking very good in relied. The fact it took this long is surprising considering how he rallied Edmonton last season. Ford is a duel-threat quarterback and while the Roughriders have the best run defense in the league, allowing 47.6 ypg on 3.6 on the ground, this is a different situation as it is not straight ahead running. Prior to last week, the Elks lost five straight games by one possession including four straight by three points so they have been close and this line is telling us they get it done on Saturday. 10* (783) Edmonton Elks |
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08-02-24 | Montreal v. Hamilton +4.5 | Top | 33-16 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Montreal is the consensus play tonight, similar to B.C. last night as a significant road favorite and we saw what happened there. The Alouettes are coming off a 19-16 win over Saskatchewan last week after trailing 16-3 at halftime as quarterback Davis Alexander came off the bench to lead Montreal in the comeback victory. Even though quarterback Cody Fajardo was activated from the six-game injured list and cleared to practice, he will not be playing as the Alouettes are going to give him more time which is the right move as they sit at 6-1. The defense has been spectacular of late as in the last three games, Montreal has allowed fewer than 300 net yards but all of those were at home. They are 3-0 on the road but has not had a challenge as they rolled over Winnipeg which had not gotten back to itself until last night, narrowly defeated 0-7 Edmonton and beat a Toronto team without its starting quarterback. Hamilton opened the season 0-5 but has won two straight games and this offense can pose a problem for Montreal as it leads the league in total offense. Bo Levi Mitchell was one of the best quarterbacks in the league through 2019 but his last three seasons have been underwhelming. However, he is back to an elite status as leads the league with nine 20+ yard touchdowns and he set a career-high with five touchdown passes in a game last week. Additionally, he has five 300+ passing yards games after having just four in the previous three seasons combined. The defense is middle of the league but facing a quarterback making his first start is ideal. 10* (782) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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08-01-24 | BC v. Winnipeg +5.5 | Top | 0-25 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Contrarian plays in the CFL have been the way to go for years and this game sets that scenario up perfectly with everyone on B.C. in this matchup. Winnipeg is coming off a tough 16-14 loss in Toronto last week but got the cover by a half-point and now the Blue Bombers are getting twice as many points at home. It has been an awful start for Winnipeg which is 2-6 but both of those wins have come at home. Of their two losses, one came against B.C. in Week Three by two points so there is revenge in play but the Blue Bombers are more concerned about getting right no matter which team they are playing. The best offense in the league last season has taken a complete 180 as Winnipeg has not been able to get anything going as it is now the worst offense in the CFL. Winnipeg has averaged just 11.5 ppg over their past two games and are dead last in the CFL with just 20.4 ppg per game this season. They are moving the ball but just not converting because they have turned it over 19 times which is most in the league. B.C. is coming off a tough loss as well as it fell to Calgary 26-24 and is coming off a bye week so the Lions have the rest advantage which is another contrarian angle. The Lions have the top offense in the CFL, leading the league with 29.4 ppg, 406.6 ypg and 7.24 yppl but the blue Bombers defense has not been all that bad as they are ranked No. 3 in points allowed and No. 4 in yards allowed. This number opened between 2.5 and 3.5 and has gone up considerably but this could be the turning point of the season for Winnipeg. 10* (780) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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07-27-24 | Winnipeg +3 v. Toronto | Top | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Winnipeg opened the season 0-4 and started to right the ship with a pair of wins over Ottawa and Calgary but fell flat against Saskatchewan last week as it went down 19-9. The offense has been horrible as the Blue Bombers were ranked No. 1 last season but are now ranked No. 8. That power ranking takes a lot into account but the offense really is not that bad as Winnipeg actually leads the league with 7.33 yards per play but the scoring production is down due to a league worst 14 turnovers. Stupid mistakes will hurt any team and just avoiding those will turn this season around as the Blue Bombers are clearly better than what their record shows. Toronto opened the season 2-0 but has dropped three of its last four games and the three losses are already more losses than they had all of last year in the regular season. Their issue has been at quarterback. Cameron Dukes has been the starting quarterback for Toronto because of the suspension of Chad Kelly and he has been regressing instead of getting better with experience. He has averaged 179 ypg and 6.4 ypa over his last four games and he was replaced by Nick Arbuckle last week against Hamilton and it will not be surprising to see both tonight. The duo is facing a defense that has allowed the most big plays (22) of any team in the CFL this season but they do not have the ability even against this struggling defense. 10*- (775) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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07-25-24 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal -3.5 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Divisional leaders square off on Thursday with Montreal having the edge at home. Saskatchewan is 2-1 on the road with the loss coming against a very good B.C. team with the wins coming against Hamilton and Edmonton which are a combined 1-11. Montreal has a scheduling edge as it is coming off its first loss of the season, a 37-18 setback against Toronto where quarterback Cody Fajardo went down so the Alouettes completely lost their gameplan. They are coming off a bye week which gives them extra time to get their backup quarterback ready as opposed to being thrown right into action. Caleb Evans will be getting the start over Fajardo and he will face an opportunistic defense that has forced 19 turnovers including 12 interceptions which is a concern but the Roughriders have allowed the most passing yards in the league with 328.2 ypg. Shea Patterson will be making another start for Saskatchewan and he has been decent with a 2-1 record but he just two touchdowns and one interception but this will be a test. The Alouettes have the second-best turnover ratio (+6) in the league and is the best at defending the pass, allowing just 223.3 ypg. Montreal does give up the second-most rushing yards at 109.0 ypg but AJ Ouellette is out for Saskatchewan. Montreal had its 13-game winning streak snapped and will be out for some retribution and we are catching a low number to get it done. 10* (772) Montreal Alouettes |
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07-12-24 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -4.5 | Top | 37-41 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Winnipeg picked up its first win of the season with a 25-16 win over Ottawa last week and that was with quarterback Zach Collaros being absent. The former MOP has gotten off to an awful start with a 69.5 passer rating through four starts, including no touchdown passes and four interceptions but he is going to get back into form and the time off will help. Last week, they used a strong running game led by Brady Oliveira but he is out this week so Collaros will be relied upon. The defense remains stout as the Blue Bombers are ranked No. 1 in opponent completion percentage (64.1) and second in passing yards allowed (251.0). Calgary is off to a 2-2 start including a win in this first matchup and the Stampeders are 3-1 against the number which is keeping this price down along with the Winnipeg struggles. Quarterback Jake Maier threw for 591 yards and four touchdowns to one interception in his first two games but in the last two, he has thrown for 345 with two touchdowns and a pair of interceptions. Calgary did beat Winnipeg in Week Four but Maier averaged only 5.6 yards per pass for 239 yards and we see the struggles continue. This is definitely a statement game for Winnipeg and laying a short number gives us a bigger opportunity in a buy low situation. 10* (774) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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06-29-24 | Winnipeg -3 v. Calgary | Top | 19-22 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We are rolling with Winnipeg again this week as the Grey Cup favorites coming into the season are now 0-3 and a win is desperately needed. The Blue Bombers have been hurt with injuries which has limited quarterback Zach Collaros who has completed just over 61 percent of his passes while not throwing a touchdown. He has a great matchup here against a Calgary defense that has allowed 410.5 ypg and 7.8 yppl which are both dead last in the league. The Stampeders have also posted only one sack so Collaros, who has been seeing huge pressure, will finally have some time. Winnipeg is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games after getting outgained by 90 or more yards in their previous game. Calgary is 1-1 and coming off a bye but an early bye is not as big of an edge when it comes later in the season. The Stampeders lone win was against Hamilton where they were outgained 468-369 so the eight-point win was a skewed final score. They have had stability as quarterback but the results have not been there as Jake Maier will make his 30th consecutive, which is the longest by any Stampeder quarterback since 2011. However, he is just 14-18 all time when starting and this includes five losses to Winnipeg, the only team he has never beaten and while the Blue Bombers may seem vulnerable, facing a desperate team is not ideal. 10* (775) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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06-27-24 | Edmonton Elks +7.5 v. BC | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. The Elks are off to a 0-3 start which we have been accustomed to as they have been the worst team in the CFL over the last few years with Ottawa giving them a run for that futile honor. But records can be meaningless at times if the play on the field does correlate with that. Going back to last season, Edmonton started off 0-9 which put them on a 7-34 run going back to the start of the 2021 season but the play got better as they went on a 4-1 run before dropping their final four games. While they are winless now, they should have won their opener but gave up a 21-8 fourth quarter lead and lost the last two games by a field goal including a last second one last week. The offense is clicking with quarterback McLeod Bethel Thompson who is completing 73 percent of his passes and has put up 978 yards through the air while the 67 first downs are first in the league. B.C. is 2-1 but it is a fortunate 2-1 as the defense has not been good which has been a common theme going back to last season. The passing defense has been poor, allowing a league worst 77.8 percent completion clip and also a league worst 70 first downs. The offense has been consistent scoring 26, 26 and 27 points but the Lions are not going off and quarterback Vernon Adams, Jr. is dinged up which does not bode well. Coming off a massive win over rival Winnipeg, this is a letdown spot and an inflated number. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (771) Edmonton Elks |
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06-21-24 | BC v. Winnipeg -2 | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Winnipeg is off to a 0-2 start as it failed to get its revenge from a Grey Cup loss against Montreal in the season opener and then was embarrassed on the road at Ottawa last week. This is now a big test to avoid the 0-3 start but we fell this is the statement game to show they are still the best team in the West Division. It really starts at the pivot with quarterback Zach Collaros who has not looked like himself and currently is ranked dead last among quarterbacks with a 56.5 overall grade according to PFF. He has yet to throw a touchdown and has been picked off three times while overall, the Blue Bombers are -4 in turnover margin. This is the first time Winnipeg is two games under .500 since July of 2016 and it has not started 0-3 since 2012. B.C. started their season with a loss to the Argonauts and got all they could handle from Calgary before pulling away in the fourth quarter last week. The Lions have crept up in the West Division to become the second best team and they obviously have a goal in mind but this is not the spot for the Lions show they can overtake Winnipeg as the top division team. 10* (790) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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06-16-24 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton +1.5 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. Hamilton is coming off a season opening loss at Calgary in a balanced game on offense it should have won. The 468 total yards from Hamilton were the most of any team in the league but 10 of their first 17 points were from the kicking game as there were not a lot of clutch plays when needed. Bo Levi Mitchell has been one of the best quarterbacks in the CFL over the last few years, when healthy as he has started only 26 games over the last three seasons. Since it is early, he is in fine health and he is coming off a great opening week where he went 27-38 for 300 yards with one touchdown and one interception. On the flip side, Saskatchewan won a game it probably had no business winning as Edmonton was the better team on the field but there was no execution. The Roughriders gave up 336 passing yards to Edmonton, and while they allowed just 39 yards rushing, that was due to the effectiveness of the Elks passing game as they ran the ball only 12 times. This is right in line with they did on defense last season so we can expect Mitchell and the Ti-Cats to explode yet again in their home opener. Here, we play against road favorites off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (786) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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06-13-24 | Winnipeg -6.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 19-23 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Winnipeg failed to get its revenge from the Grey Cup loss to Montreal as it jumped ahead 3-0 but were outscored 27-1 and the Alouettes spoiled its home opener. Last season, the Blue Bombers lost four regular season games and followed all of those up with victories by 14, 14, 45 and 10 points and we expect more of the same on Thursday. It was a sloppy game for Winnipeg as it had three turnovers and the defense was soft, missing numerous tackles and the best offense in the league last season was held to just 301 total yards. Quarterback Zach Collaros threw for just over 200 yards on 20-33 passing, did not find the end zone and was intercepted and we can expect a bounce back tonight. Ottawa was a force when it formed in 2014 and while the inaugural season resulted in a 2-16 year, the Redblacks won the East Division three of the next four years and captured the Grey Cup in 2016. It has been a quick descent as Ottawa has not won more than four games in any of the last four seasons, going 14-54, easily the worst four-year stretch in the CFL. It could be a rough start with quarterback Jeremiah Masoli still recovering from injury and Dru Brown, a former Blue Bomber, will be the starter to open the season and there is no running game to help ease him in as starter Devonte Williams is out for the season. Despite hitting the road, Winnipeg is laying nearly the same number against the worst team in the league as it did against the reining Grey Cup Champion so there is value. 10* (779) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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06-09-24 | BC -5.5 v. Toronto | Top | 27-35 | Loss | -110 | 150 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. Week One concludes on Sunday with a matchup of the losers from the Division Finals. Toronto finished last season with the best record in the CFL at 16-2 but lost to eventual Grey Cup champion Montreal in the East Division Final. The Argonauts were expected to be contenders once again, and while that is still possible, they will be without reigning CFL Most Outstanding Player quarterback Chad Kelly for the first nine games of the season because of a suspension. Bryan Scott and Cameron Dukes, who took most of the preseason snaps threw only 17 passes all of last season so this is not as experienced group. Obviously, this line has been adjusted because of that but it still should not be enough. British Columbia has finished 12-6 each of the last two seasons but has been unable to get over the hump, losing to Winnipeg in the West Division Finals both times. Getting past Winnipeg will not be east but the talent remains to make another run. It starts at quarterback with Vernon Adams, Jr. who was the highest graded quarterback last season per PFF, ahead of Kelly and Blue Bombers Zach Collaros, and he likes to sling it down field. He faces a Toronto defense that was only No. 6 in yards allowed and are now without three starters from the secondary, lost a lot of depth and will be breaking in a new defensive coordinator. Toronto was perfect at home in the regular season last year but the Lions were a formidable 6-3 on the road. 10* (777) B.C. Lions |
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06-06-24 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -6 | Top | 27-12 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Winnipeg has been the best team in the CFL over the last two combined seasons but all it has to show for it is two losses in the Grey Cup so this is going to be a motivated team from the start after bringing home the cup the previous two seasons. Adding to that in Week One is the fact the Blue Bombers host the team they lost to in the Grey Cup after blowing a 17-7 halftime lead. The big surprise from that game was the fact two-time Most Outstanding Player quarterback Zach Collaros was held without a touchdown and was outdueled by fellow veteran Cody Fajardo. Winnipeg has the shortest odds to win it all and we feel this is a great motivational spot as well as attacking it with a great number as they are favored by less than what they were favored by in the Grey Cup last season despite that being on a neutral field. Montreal was nothing but an average team midway through the season but caught fire at the right time as the Alouettes won their final eight games on over that span, Fajardo led the league with an 82.6 percent adjusted completion percentage. The problem heading into this season is that he lost his best receiver with Austin Mack, who led the team with 1,339 receiving yards, off to the NFL and running back William Stanback, who led the team with 985 rushing yards, off to British Columbia. The defense was the catalyst to the ending run but will have a test right out of the gate at a raucous road environment. Revenge complete. 10* (772) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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11-19-23 | Winnipeg -7.5 v. Montreal | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Game of the Year. Montreal went into their semifinal game against Toronto with a 12-7 record and the record was pretty straight forward as it depended upon who they were playing. Toronto, Winnipeg and B.C. were the only other teams that finished with a winning record and Montreal went 0-7 in those games but it went 12-0 against every other team. The Alouettes broke that streak by defeating Toronto last week to make the Grey Cup but it was a very misleading final. They were outgained 385-244 but benefitted from five Argonauts turnovers including two interceptions returned for touchdowns, one of them for 101 yards that opened the scoring, and also returned a kickoff for a touchdown that broke the game open in the fourth quarter. Winnipeg defeated B.C. to make its fourth straight Grey Cup and while it benefitted from a 4-0 turnover advantage, it still dominated by holding the Lions to just 189 total yards. Winnipeg led the CFL with 431.4 ypg and 33.0 ppg and was led by the most balanced unit in the league. The Blue Bombers have the best quarterback/running back combo in the league with Zach Collaros and Brady Oliveira so they can come at with you both ways. It will face a tough Montreal passing defense but the balance will keep that defense off balance. As for their own defense, the Blue Bombers can dominate again and they have given quarterback Cody Fajardo fits as they have held him to three touchdowns and 12 interceptions the last 12 meetings. Somewhat of a big number but right around the same as both meetings this season that Winnipeg both by a combined 64-20. 10* (441) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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11-11-23 | BC v. Winnipeg -4.5 | Top | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. The four best teams in the CFL are vying for a shot to go to the Grey Cup and the two best teams in the West Division square off in Winnipeg. B.C. came away with a 41-30 win over Calgary last week to advance and while it was a solid performance on offense, the defense did not look good again which has been the case for a while now. The Lions have allowed 30 or more points in six of their last 10 games with an average of 31.6 ppg given up over that stretch and have gone just 6-4 in those games. This is not good news against the best offense in the league. Winnipeg led the CFL with 431.4 ypg and 33.0 ppg and was led by the most balanced unit in the league. The Blue Bombers have the best quarterback/running back combo in the league with Zach Collaros and Brady Oliveira so they can come at with you both ways. Those offensive numbers are even better at home for the Blue Bombers which went 8-1 here and going back to last season, they are 17-2 at home and the scoring margin has been 17.2 ppg this season. One of the losses came against B.C. but the Blue Bombers avenged that loss and are catching a good line to get back to the Grey Cup. 10* (274) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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11-04-23 | Hamilton v. Montreal -3.5 | Top | 12-27 | Win | 100 | 46 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL 1st Round Game of the Year. Montreal and Hamilton meet for the second straight week although the game last week was meaningless that was still won by Montreal to make it a three-game season sweep. The Alouettes finished a solid 11-7 to earn a first round home game and this came after a 2-3 start and it had to withstand a four-game midseason losing streak. The record was pretty straight forward as it depended upon who they were playing. Toronto, Winnipeg and B.C. were the only other teams that finished with a winning record and Montreal went 0-7 in those games but it went 11-0 against every other team, winning those games by an average of 14.5 ppg so it should have no issue continuing that trend here. Cody Fajardo did not have the most efficient season but two of his three highest passing games came against Hamilton where he threw for 318 and 292 yards while completing 76 percent of his passes. This comes as no surprise as the Ti-Cats finished with the fourth worst passing defense in the league. On the other side Bo Levi Mitchell is a veteran signal caller ho has been here before but he has been dealing with a second half injury and played in only six games this season. He faces the second best defense both overall and against the pass and the Alouettes allowed the lowest opposing QBR in the CFL at 81.1. Montreal has 15 takeaways over its last five games where it was +11 in turnover margin. 10* (438) Montreal Alouettes |
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10-20-23 | Calgary +8.5 v. BC | Top | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 38 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Game of the Month. The playoff picture is nearly complete in the CFL with five of six spots claimed and this game has big implications in deciding that sixth spot. Calgary is in jeopardy of missing the postseason for the first time since 2004 but despite a 5-11 record, the Stampeders remain alive. They are coming off a win last week against Saskatchewan in a game they had to win which snapped a three-game losing streak and they are in another must win spot. Calgary still needs help if its wins as it needs the Roughriders to lose Saturday against Toronto which would make next week another must win for the Stampeders but first things first, they need to get it done here. The good news is that they are getting a huge number here so even an outright loss can cash our ticket. Of their 11 losses, seven have been by fewer points than what they are getting here. B.C. is playing for something as well as it needs to win and hope Winnipeg losses out to claim the top spot in the West Division and the latter seems unlikely at this point with the Blue Bombers hosting Edmonton on Saturday. The Lions are 5-1 in their last six games but only one of those wins was by more than eight points and the defense has struggled going further back. They have allowed 30.4 ppg over their last 11 games and while the Calgary offense has been spotty, they can find success here and keep it competitive. 10* (681) Calgary Stampeders |
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10-14-23 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks +2 | Top | 35-21 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Montreal would have been the more motivated team here had Hamilton won last night but with the Ti-Cats loss, the Alouettes clinched the No. 2 spot in East Division and have earned a first round home game. With nothing to play for, it will not be surprising to see Montreal rest starters after a few series in this game to remain healthy. The Alouettes have dominated the bottom of the league teams this season but this is the first time where winning does not matter and making matters even more tough is the fact they are playing on just four days of rest following their Monday win against Ottawa and have to travel west. Edmonton opened the season 0-9 before it finally got into the win column and has gone 4-3 over its last seven games which is a solid turnaround for a team that has found victories few and far between over the last couple years. A major factor in this turnaround is a better offense that averaged 14.9 ppg during the opening losing streak but has averaged 26.7 ppg over the last seven games. The insertion of quarterback Tre Ford has been the difference and while he has not put up a tom of passing yards, the duel ability he brings has kept defenses off balance. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 54-25 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (676) Edmonton Elks |
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10-13-23 | BC v. Hamilton +3.5 | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Playoff implications are on the line for both sides and we are getting a great home number here. B.C. had its four-game winning streak snapped with a loss to Winnipeg last week which put it one game behind the Blue Bombers. The Lions can still win the division but has to win out here and against Calgary next week while Winnipeg has to lose its final two games against Edmonton and Calgary which seems unlikely. The offense remains solid but the defense has been an issue and this is not a good matchup for that. The Lions have allowed 30.4 ppg over their last 10 games and catch a healthy Hamiton offense. The Ti-cats started their turnaround with their Week 12 win over the Lions and have now won five of their last seven games with the only two losses coming against 13-2 Toronto. They can host a playoff game should they win here and then in the season finale in Week 21 against Montreal. The T-Cats beat Saskatchewan last week as they welcomed back quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell who played sparingly but is being eased back and along with Matthew Shiltz, who is also back after stint on the IL, the position is as best as it has been in a long time. Here, we play against teams with an offense averaging 7.5 or more yppl, after gaining 8.0 or more yppl in three consecutive games. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (672) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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09-29-23 | Toronto v. Winnipeg -7.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Toronto is 12-1 and has clinched the East Division following a win over Hamilton last week despite some starters resting. The Argonauts will rest starters on a rotating basis for the rest of the regular season and this week that includes quarterback Chad Kelly who leads the best offense in the CFL. In the lone loss this season for Toronto, he left the game early with an injury and was replaced Cameron Dukes who did not play well and will get the start tonight. The defense is expected to be down as well with their secondary taking the brunt with injuries coming in and this could lead to a big night for the Winnipeg offense. The Blue Bombers are coming off a loss at Hamilton in their last game but have the luxury of coming off a bye week with a lot on the line. They are tied with B.C. at 10-4 for the best record in the West Division with a meeting against the Lions next week so staying tied is imperative with two games remaining after that. Winnipeg is 6-1 at home and the home/road splits are big on both sides especially with the defense that is allowing just 17.6 ppg and 261.9 ypg. This is also a revenge game for the Blue Bombers after losing to Toronto by a point in the Grey Cup last season. 10* (672) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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09-23-23 | Hamilton +10 v. Toronto | Top | 14-29 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. The Ti-Cats have turned their season around and not only looking for a playoff spot, but one taking place at home. Hamilton has won three of its last four games to move to 6-7 and it has eased quarterback Taylor Powell into a spot where he has found success. He got off to a rough start but has come into his own as the Ti-Cats have let him open up the offense. Over his last five starts, he is 109-149 (73.2 percent) for 1,298 yards with eight touchdowns and just two interceptions and he is clearly becoming more comfortable. Toronto remains the top team in the CFL and is coming off a crazy win over Montreal that included everything down the stretch. The last two minutes saw a key interception that led to the game winning field goal as well as a blocked field goal to secure the 11th win of the season with just the one clunker loss in Calgary. Motivation is the tough part now as the Argonauts could have a tough time staying focused with no meaningful games coming up. This is a rivalry game and Toronto has dominated with three wins this season by 18, 16 and 13 points so we have Hamilton in revenge mode and with a new outlook. 10* (687) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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09-22-23 | BC -6 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 39 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Once the doormat of the CFL after a 0-9 start to the season, Edmonton has made strides of late to come out of the basement after winning four of its last five games. The offense has picked it up over this stretch and the Elks have scored 30 or more points in three of their last four games but those were all against losing teams as have the four wins during this recent run. One teams they have not been able to solve is B.C. as they have dropped both meetings this season while not scoring a point, getting shutout by a combined score of 49-0. B.C. went through a bit of a rough stretch where it lost three of four games but has since won its last two games to get to 9-4 on the season, which is just a half-game behind Winnipeg in the West Division. The Lions have some momentum on their side as they were up against the ropes last week, trailing Ottawa 37-18 entering the fourth quarter but scored 23 unanswered points in a 41-37 win. B.C. failed to cover for the third time in four games and are catching value here and the goal is to get to Week 18 with a shot to overtake Winnipeg in their final meeting of the season. 10* (683) B.C. Lions |
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09-16-23 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +6.5 | Top | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We won with Winnipeg last week in its revenge game against Saskatchewan in a 51-6 blowout victory and now the Blue Bombers are in a letdown spot in a long travel week. This is clearly one of the top teams in the CFL and the lines have reflected that and they again come in as a big road favorite with the public all of them again. Winnipeg is one of the top teams because of its offense but the defense has been a letdown, namely on the road. In seven home games, the Blue Bombers have allowed just 261.9 ypg but in six road games they have allowed 372.2 ypg and have allowed at least 28 points to three teams that have started rookie quarterbacks. They face another one today in Hamilton quarterback Taylor Powell who got off to a rough start but has come into his own as the Ti-Cats have let him open up the offense. Over his last four starts, he is 89-123 (72.4 percent) for 1,062 yards with seven touchdowns and just one interception and his yards per game has gone up in each game. The Ti-Cats are 5-7 and fighting for a playoff spot and while they have struggled at home this season, they are now better equipped to improve and with the offensive line back to full strength, they should keep that going. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 in the second half of the season. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (676) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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09-15-23 | Toronto v. Montreal +6.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is the second game of a home-and-home between Toronto and Montreal with the Argonauts coming off a 39-10 win last week. Since losing to Calgary last month, Toronto has won four straight games to improve to a league-best 10-1 with the offense scoring at least 39 points in all of those victories. It was gifted last week with four Montreal turnovers while the Alouettes also committed nine penalties so their 316 yards of offense was for naught. Cody Fajardo had his best game of the season as he went 21-24 for 236 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions. Following a four-game winning streak, Montreal have dropped its last three games to fall to 6-6 with the defense needing a big effort here. Chad Kelly had an efficient game but did not find the endzone and while the points have come, he has not been great. He has completed 68 percent of his passes in his last three games but has tossed four interceptions to go along with five touchdowns. Three of the four wins have come at home where they are a perfect 6-0 with the lone road victory coming at Hamilton. We are seeing only a three-point line swing from Saturday which is giving us solid value with the Alouettes. 10* (672) Montreal Alouettes |
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09-09-23 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg -8.5 | Top | 6-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We won with Saskatchewan in this matchup last week as it kicked a field goal to force overtime and then eventually claimed the victory on a missed two-point conversion attempt for Winnipeg. It was a great situation for the Roughriders and for quarterback Jake Dolegala who has taken over the starting job. He threw for 239 yards and three touchdowns against B.C. in Week 11 before passing for 326 yards but did not find the end zone against Winnipeg. The reason for the good situation was that Saskatchewan was coming off a bye before facing Winnipeg and now it hits the road for the first time in a month. The loss for the Blue Bombers snapped a five-game winning streak and they remain one game ahead of B.C. in the West Division. Winnipeg has revenge on the mind at home where it is 5-1 and outscoring opponents by 13.3 ppg. Turnovers could be key here as the Roughriders averaged 2.8 turnovers per game through their first eight games but have not turned it over in the last two games during their winning streak and now they again face the most opportunistic defense in the CFL with 30 takeaways. 10* (686) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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09-08-23 | Hamilton v. Ottawa -3.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. The two worst teams in the East Division square off to open Week 14 and we are presented with a great scheduling spot. Ottawa has lost five straight games and is coming off a needed bye week but three of those were on the road and the two home losses were by a combined five points. That includes a four-point loss against Hamilton but that was when Bo Levi Mitchell was still at quarterback for the Ti-Cats and he is done for the season. Quarterback Dustin Crum has been inconsistent this season and is coming off an uneven performance against Edmonton prior to the bye. However, he has strung together some great games and three stick out where he picked up wins against Calgary and Winnipeg and another in a loss against Toronto. Hamilton has lost three of its last four games since Taylor Powell has come in at quarterback and he has not been horrible but just inconsistent as well and now he has just three days to prepare for this one after playing on Monday. 11 times this season, a team has played with less than five days of rest and those teams have gone 2-9 straight up and against the number. This is the perfect spot for Ottawa to get back into the win column. 10* (682) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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09-04-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary -3.5 | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. Don't look now but Edmonton is on a winning streak as it has won two straight games after opening the season with nine consecutive losses. The Elks were able to break their 22-game home losing streak last week with their 10-point win over Ottawa and that is cause for a letdown spot but the sudden resurgence has brought this line down. The offense has taken a step up since quarterback Tre Ford has taken over the starting spot as they have averaged nearly 27 ppg over their last three games and despite a poor showing last week against Toronto, the Calgary passing defense has been looking good. The Stampeders have dropped three straight games to fall to 3-8 and each game going forward is huge especially with Saskatchewan winning last night. Calgary played well last week on the road in Toronto, a team it had previously beaten and that was the third straight road loss as well. The Stampeders are back home where they are 1-4 but the last three losses were by a combined six points with the other coming against B.C. that opened the season. Quarterback Jake Maier has been inconsistent but is coming off a massive performance, throwing for 387 yards and four touchdowns and now faces one of the worst defense in the league. 10* (678) Calgary Stampeders |
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09-03-23 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +7.5 | Top | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. Winnipeg remains the best team in the CFL as it is 9-2 and slightly ahead of Toronto in the power rankings. The Blue Bombers have won five straight games following a 2-2 stretch and now in a rivalry game it has dominated over recent seasons again has them significant favorites. Winnipeg has won eight straight meetings, the last three being blowouts including a 45-27 win here in Week Two and the line is reflecting that adding to the recent run it has been on. It is not a good scheduling spot especially with the fact the Blue Bombers have failed to cover their last three road games. Saskatchewan is coming off an upset win over B.C. last time out which snapped a 1-4 slide and the Roughriders are back at .500 and in good position to make the playoffs. They are coming off a bye week after playing for seven straight weeks so not only does the rest help but the offense should benefit even more. Quarterback Jake Dolegala will be making his second straight start as he takes over for Mason Fine. He came in relief in Week 10 and did not look good but he was thrown into the fire. After a week of practice with the first team, he was on point going 18-29 for 239 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions and now he has had even more time to work with the offense. 10* (674) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-24-23 | Montreal +9 v. Winnipeg | Top | 17-47 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Winnipeg still sits atop the CFL in rankings but by the slimmest of margins at this point and while still the class of the league, the Blue Bombers are getting a little too much respect here. A week ago, Winnipeg rallied from 22 down on the road without their quarterback to win and last week against Calgary, the game of inches ended in its favor. This line opened at -7 and has moved in the Bombers direction mostly because quarterback Zach Collaros is returning after his brief injury but the same thing is taking place on the other side and seems to be ignored. The Alouettes won their fourth straight game in thrilling fashion, rallying down two scores late in the fourth quarter to defeat Ottawa behind backup quarterback Caleb Evans but starter Cody Fajardo is back tonight. He is fourth in the league in average yards per pass attempt and quarterback efficiency rating and it helps being behind the top rated offensive line in the league. The defense is the key factor though as the Alouettes defense is flying under the radar as they are ranked No. 1 total defense, yards per play and opposing quarterback rating while sitting No. 2 in rushing defense, passing defense and scoring defense. Expect a much closer game than what this line is telling us. 10* (681) Montreal Alouettes |
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08-20-23 | BC v. Saskatchewan +10.5 | Top | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. Saskatchewan is coming off a bad loss at Montreal and it has lost four of five and trending the wrong way but we are catching an overreaction line tonight. The quarterback situation has been tough for Saskatchewan as starter Trevor Harris is out and now his backup Mason Fine had to leave last week with a hamstring injury forcing Jake Dolegala to come in and he did not look very good. Dolegala will get the start Sunday and the line has risen because of it but this is a different scenario as he is not being thrown into a game with no preparation as he has practiced all week and a gameplan has been put in place. The Saskatchewan offense will benefit from the return of receiver Kian Schaffer-Baker, who will be making his 2023 debut. B.C. has established itself as one of the top teams in the CFL and it is coming off a big bounce back win against Calgary last week and while the Lions are the better team, they are getting a little too much credit laying this number on the road against a rival. The Roughriders are 2-1 in their last three home games, the only loss coming by two points against Calgary. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after one or more consecutive losses against the spread. This situation is 26-4 ATS (86.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (678) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-18-23 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +4.5 | Top | 19-18 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Winnipeg is riding a three-game winning streak and remains tied with B.C. for first place in the West Division at 7-2. The Blue Bombers are coming off a big rally to defeat the Elks last week, scoring 21 unanswered points to end the game. It did come with a price though. Quarterback Zach Collaros was injured last week and Dru Brown will get the start for Winnipeg. Coming in relief last week, he passed for 307 yards and four touchdowns. He was 10-of-15 on 10+ yard attempts, including 5-for-6 on 20+ yard attempts with two touchdowns but this was against Edmonton which allows the highest quarterback passer rating in the league. Calgary got smothered by B.C. last week 37-9 which came after a solid win over then undefeated Toronto and the Stampeders have found themselves in a situation it is not too familiar with as it is 3-6 and looking at missing the playoff for the first time since 2004. The Stampeders are back home where they are 1-3 but the last two losses were by a combined five points with the other coming against B.C. The offense is the strength as they are No. 3 in total offense with 339.3 ypg and Jake Maier will be looking for more production down field. Here, we play against teams with an offense averaging 7.5 or more yppl, after gaining 8.0 or more yppl in three consecutive games. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (674) Calgary Stampeders |
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08-17-23 | Edmonton Elks +5.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Edmonton remains the only winless team in the league and last week almost provided the biggest upset this season as the Elks had Winnipeg on the ropes with a 12-point lead late in the third quarter but allowed the final 21 points and another defeat. Four losses have come against B.C. and Winnipeg and in the other five defeats, two were against Saskatchewan where they were outgained by a total of just 40 yards, two against Ottawa and Toronto where they were not totally dominated and the last against Hamilton where they actually outgained the Ti-Cats by 103 yards. One positive last week was the quarterback play of Tre Ford who made his first career start and was pretty solid if unspectacular but that one game is a good building block and he now faces the worst defense in the league not named Edmonton. Hamilton is coming off a bye week following a loss against Montreal. That was the second start for rookie Taylor Powell who looked lost at times and was just 20-31 for 202 yards and two interceptions. This line opened at -4 and has been bet up which is no surprise and all it has done is added value to a very winnable game for the Elks. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a home loss against a division rival. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (671) Edmonton Elks |
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08-12-23 | Calgary v. BC -6 | Top | 9-37 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We won with Calgary last week as it handed Toronto its first loss of the season in what was a very bad spot for the Argonauts with a bad line on top of it but we will fade the Stampeders here. They snapped a two-game skid with the victory but now they are back on the road against an opponent that will be more than ready. Calgary quarterback Jake Maier has struggled most of this season, throwing a league-high 11 interceptions and averaging just 7.5 passing ypa. The Lions went into last week at 6-1 but faced a revenge-minded Winnipeg team playing at home and B.C. got lit up 50-14 as it was outgained by 324 total yards. The Lions want to rebound from that and they will do so with quarterback Vernon Adams, Jr. back under center as he has not played since July 22. He leads the league in completion percentage and is No. 3 in passing efficiency. B.C. won the first meeting by 10 points but it was more lopsided than that as the Lions won the yardage battle by 171 total yards so while Calgary is out for revenge, we want no part of road revenge. Here, we play on teams coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 116-71 ATS (62 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) B.C. Lions |
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08-11-23 | Saskatchewan +5.5 v. Montreal | Top | 12-41 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. We won with Montreal last week as it rolled an overmatched Hamilton team that has no answer at quarterback but we are going against the Alouettes this week as they are an overpriced favorite. Montreal has won two straight games to move to 4-3 on the season but will be facing a much tougher defense this time around. While Cody Fajardo had a strong 318-yard performance, he did throw two interceptions and only managed one touchdown as the offense continues to struggle and has been inefficient. Saskatchewan squeaked out a win over Ottawa 26-24 thanks to a late 54-yard field goal by Brett Lauther. The victory snapped a three-game losing streak for the Roughriders as they are now 4-4 overall with the defense clamping down of late as they have allowed 261, 212 and 266 yards over their last three games. on the other side, quarterback Mason Fine is coming off his best game of the season in three starts and is now averaging 294 passing ypg. Here, we play on teams after allowing 325 or less total yards in three consecutive games going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 120 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (683) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-05-23 | Montreal -3 v. Hamilton | Top | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We are making a rare move and going with the steam in this matchup as Montreal opened as an underdog and the line has shifted to the Alouettes being favored and for good reason. Montreal snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Calgary last week and it should be moted that those three losses came against the top three teams in the league. The Alouettes have a huge edge at quarterback with Cody Fajardo having a great season in his first one with the Alouettes as he is No. 3 in the CFL in passing yards and No. 4 in passing efficiency. He is also working behind the best offensive line in the league. It was bad news for Hamilton last week even though it defeated Ottawa to make it three wins in its last four games. The Ti-Cats lost starting quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell even though he played the entire game as he has been placed on the IL with a leg injury. Rookie Taylor Powell will make the start and while he looked good in his most extensive action in Week Seven, it was a dump off performance as he will have a tough time getting the ball downfield against this defense that is coming off a strong effort against Calgary. Montreal signed Shawn Lemon, the defensive player of the year from the West Division last season, this week to shore up the defensive line. 10* (675) Montreal Alouettes |
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08-04-23 | Toronto v. Calgary +9 | Top | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. After winning the Grey Cup last season, Toronto could not have asked for a better start this season as it is 6-0 while covering all six of those games with only one game being decided by single digits. The Argonauts are in a tough spot heading west for just the second time this season and despite the great start, the defense has issues. Toronto is giving up a league-high 321.7 passing ypg while allowing a CFL-high 70.8 percent completion percentage. Calgary has found itself in a situation it is not too familiar with as it is off to a 2-5 start following a pair of losses to East Division teams. The Stampeders are back home where they are 0-3 but the last two losses were by a combined five points with the other coming against B.C. The offense is the strength as they are no. 4 in scoring offense at 23.4 ppg with the passing attack leading the way with 276.5 ypg. After not finding the endzone last week, expect a much difference performance here. Great value in this overpriced line. Here, we play on home teams after failing to cover the spread in five or six out of their last seven games, with a losing record. This situation is 86-48 ATS (64.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (674) Calgary Stampeders |
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07-22-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | Top | 9-19 | Push | 0 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Saskatchewan took a blow last week with starting quarterback Trevor Harris going down with a knee injury and he is out for the season. This is not a horrific situation for the Roughriders however as backup Mason Fine came in last week and threw for 122 yards and two touchdowns. He knows this system as it was built around him coming into the season since Harris remained unsigned so this transition should be seamless. Saskatchewan has been involved in close ones as four of their five games have been decided by four points or less. B.C. bounced back from its first loss of the season against Toronto as it rolled two a home win over Montreal going into a bye last week. The Lions are arguably the best team in the CFL with Winnipeg stating its case but this is a big overreaction line which we can take advantage of. After two dominating performances to open the season, B.C. has outgained its last three opponents by only 41.7 ypg. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems coming off two straight division games going up against an opponent off a non-division game. This situation is 78-38 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (675) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-14-23 | Toronto v. Montreal +6 | Top | 35-27 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Friday Enforcer. The reigning Grey Cup Champions Argonauts are off to a 3-0 start after rolling over previously undefeated B.C. last time out but that was an ideal spot with the Lions coming off a massive road win at Winnipeg. Toronto has covered all three games as well, winning all by double-digits which puts value on the other side. The one advantage Toronto seems to have here is rest as it is coming off a bye week, already its second this season, but that could be a detriment as the early season momentum could come to a halt. Montreal opened the season with a pair of wins over Ottawa and Hamilton sandwiched around a bye but has followed that up with two blowout losses. However, those were against the two top teams in the West Division and now the Alouettes are back home. They have been outgained only twice in their four games and those were by a combined 13 total yards. It is a short week for Montreal but coming off those two losses makes that a good spot to put those defeats behind them right away. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a turnover margin of +0.75 per game or better on the season, after two consecutive games where they forced three or more turnovers. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (684) Montreal Alouettes |
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07-13-23 | Hamilton v. Edmonton Elks +1.5 | Top | 37-29 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Edmonton came through for us last week as it covered against Saskatchewan by losing by just a point yet it is still seeking its first victory of the season. The Elks head back home after a two-game roadtrip at 0-5 and this is the best opportunity to date to seize that first victory. The Elks have been outgained in all five games but only one of those was overly lopsided, including just one yard last week, and they have been outgained by only an average of 65.8 ypg in the other four games. Hamilton was in a similar spot last week as it came into its home game against Ottawa with a 0-3 record and defeated the RedBlacks 21-13 for its first victory of the season. It was far from dominant as the Ti-Cats won the yardage battle by only 15 yards and while it was their third straight game of outgaining their opponents, the total yardage has only been +23 yards combined. Hamilton is in a tougher spot here as it is playing on two fewer days of rest and now travels west for the first time since opening week when it was shellacked by Winnipeg, getting outgained by 233 yards. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) since 1996. 10* (682) Edmonton Elks |
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07-07-23 | Calgary +8.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 11-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Winnipeg is off to a 3-1 start as after suffering its first loss of the season against B.C. two weeks ago, it took care of Montreal last week 17-3. While the Blue Bombers held the Alouettes to just three points, they gave up 363 yards with bad weather being the biggest attribute to a low scoring game. Winnipeg rolled in its opener against Hamilton as it outgained the Ti-Cats by 233 total yards but the Blue Bombers have been outgained in each of their last three games and now come in favored by the most they have been and against a quality opponent. Calgary is 1-2 to start the season but is trending in the right direction and is in a good situational spot here. The Stampeders struggled against B.C. in their season opener as the offense managed only 15 points and 271 total yards but bounced back big the next two weeks as they put up 442 and 410 total yards against Ottawa and Saskatchewan respectively. Now, Calgary is coming off a bye week and facing a Winnipeg team playing on short rest and coming back from the east coast. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (673) Calgary Stampeders |
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07-06-23 | Edmonton Elks +8 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 11-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Edmonton was pegged to be one of the worst teams in the CFL once again and that prediction is already looking true as the Elks are off to a 0-4 start and have failed to cover any of those games. That brings in line value this week especially. Edmonton lost to Ottawa last week by 19 points as a 1.5-point underdog and while Saskatchewan is a better team than the RedBlacks, this is too big of a line move. The Elks have been outgained in all four games but only one of those was overly lopsided and they have been outgained by only an average of 87.3 ypg in the other three games. Saskatchewan is 2-1 to start the season and it is coming off a bye week following an upset win in overtime at Calgary. The Roughriders opened the season with a win at Edmonton which was just a four-point victory and we are now seeing a 10-point line swing which is too much based on the venue switch. While Saskatchewan has won the yardage battle in all three of its games, it has been by only 39, 52 and 26 total yards so it has been far from dominant and that will not get it done in trying to cover a line this big. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (671) Edmonton Elks |
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07-03-23 | BC v. Toronto +3 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. British Columbia is coming off a huge win last week as it rolled over Winnipeg 30-6 to plant an early seed as the team to beat in the West Division. That was the second road win of the season over a quality opponent as the Lions defeated Calgary in their season opener and after staying our west for the first three weeks of the season, they head to the other side of the country in a tough spot. The 24-point win over the Blue Bombers was a blowout based on the score but they outgained them by only 24 total yards as they benefitted from clutch plays on defense including seven sacks. Toronto is off to a 2-0 start in defending its Grey Cup as it defeated Hamilton in its opener and then rolled past Edmonton last week in a game that was not as close as the 43-31 final score indicates. The 31 points allowed seems like a lot for a stout defense but two of the Edmonton touchdowns were scored in garbage time during the final three minutes of the game. The Argonauts improved their defense in the offseason on a unit that carried them to the championship a season ago. The line is wrong here as the Lions are getting a little too much credit for the early success. Here, we play against favorites of a field goal or more off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 34-12 ATS (73.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Toronto Argonauts |
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06-25-23 | Toronto v. Edmonton Elks +7 | Top | 43-31 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Game of the Month. This one may look easy for the public but that is not the case. The reigning Grey Cup Champions opened their season with a bye week before finally hitting the field last week in front of their home fans to celebrate and defeated Hamilton 32-14. The Argonauts were actually outgained in that game so the final score was a bit misleading and coming off that triumphant victory against a rival no less and now having to travel cross country with less rest puts them in a very tough spot and yet the linemakers are forced to inflate this line with the public fully behind Toronto. Edmonton has been a bottom feeder in the league but this team should be a big improvement this season as it was a goal line stand away from a win in Week One against Saskatchewan before getting shutout last week against B.C. One positive to take from last week is that the defense allowed only one touchdown and the spot is great here in both the situation and the line. The Elks were getting basically the same number on the road last week as they are at home this week and this comes against two teams that are not far off from each other and that presents huge value. Here, we play against favorites off a win over a division rival, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (678) Edmonton Elks |
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06-22-23 | BC +6.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 37 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. It is early in the season but this has the makings of one of the top games thus far to the start of the campaign. Winnipeg has been the class of the league for a few years now with two Grey Cup wins and other trip to the final last season and with that, the Blue Bombers will continue to be overpriced. They easily defeated a pretty poor Hamilton team in their opener and while they followed that up with a win over Saskatchewan last week, Winnipeg was actually outgained by 63 yards in that game but benefitted from three Roughriders turnovers while returning a punt for a touchdown. British Columbia is also off to a 2-0 start as it rolled passed Calgary on the road in its season opener, outgaining the Stampeders by 166 total yards, and then pitched a home shutout against Edmonton last week 22-0 as it won the yardage battle by 279 total yards. Still, they were not at their best as they had just one touchdown and had to settle for five field goals. The Lions obviously take a step up in class here but they are getting too many points in a game that can easily go either way. This is a statement game for the Lions to show that they belong in the conversation as the best team in the West Division. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (671) British Columbia Lions |
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09-05-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton | Top | 28-8 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. Hamilton has lost two straight games, both on the road, to fall to 3-8 on the season and the road has been the ultimate demise. The Ti-Cats are now 0-6 on the highway but are a much more respectable 3-2 at home with the two losses coming by a combined seven points against teams from the West Division. One of those wins came against Toronto in their last home game and the Argonauts got their revenge last week so now it is payback time for Hamilton. Dane Evans will be the starting quarterback again after Matthew Shiltz was hurt after replacing Evans last week so a return home can only do him good after a poor outing against Hamilton. The home team is 7-0 in the last seven games for Hamilton. Toronto improved to 5-5 on the season but it has had a very favorable schedule this far with seven of the 10 games taking place at home and this is the start of six road games over the last seven so things could get ugly down the stretch. The Argonauts are 1-2 on the road with both losses coming by a touchdown or more with the victory being an impressive one over Saskatchewan but they are at the wrong end of the revenge angle this week and one intangible in our favor is a contrarian one. Turnovers have been a big difference for Toronto as after six games, the Argonauts were -10 in turnover margin but over last four games they are +10 in turnover margin and this latter part of the angle cannot be sustainable. Here, we play on favorites after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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09-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +3.5 | Top | 20-18 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Winnipeg bounced back from its first loss of the season with a two-point win over Calgary last week and is back on the road where it is a perfect 6-0. While the Blue Bombers have a 10-1 record, they have not exactly dominated as six of the 10 wins this season have been by seven points or less. Saskatchewan bounced back as well as it defeated B.C. on the road following a home loss to the Lions the previous week to move back over .500 at 6-5, one of four teams in the West Division with a winning record. The Roughriders are just 3-3 at home and that record is partially playing into this number along with the overall Winnipeg record. It was a good sign from quarterback Cody Fajardo last week as he threw for 321 passing yards with two touchdowns while completing 79.2 percent of his passes. This is the first of three meetings in the next four games so Saskatchewan has a chance to make a move with a big September run. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better after one or more consecutive losses against the spread playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 61-31 ATS (66.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-27-22 | Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks -3 | Top | 25-18 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Game of the Month. Football in Edmonton used to be a big deal but it has been some trying times for a while now. The Elks are 3-7 on the season with a playoff berth at least another year away but they have played better of late as all three of those wins came within their last seven games and the four defeats over this stretch have come against teams from the West Division. Additionally, all three wins have come on the road as the Elks are 0-4 at home and they have not won a home game in over 22 months as they are 0-12 over their last 12 home games. Thanks to some improved play over the last two weeks and the back end of a home-and-home series, this one sets up perfectly for the streak to end. Ottawa opened the season with three solid efforts with two games against Winnipeg and a game against B.C. resulting in losses by a combined 12 points but have struggled much more of late with four of their last five losses coming by at least a touchdown and the only victory on the season came at Toronto despite winning the yardage battle by just 26 total yards. The overall numbers are not horrible as Ottawa is ranked No. 5 in total offense and No. 7 in total defense but the quarterback situation remains a mess. Caleb Evans will take a seat and Nick Arbuckle will make the start on Saturday and while he has completed 66.7 percent of his passes in mop up duty, he has not thrown a touchdown while tossing two interceptions. The RedBlacks are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss. 10* (688) Edmonton Elks |
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08-26-22 | Saskatchewan +4 v. BC | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. The B.C. train keeps rolling along as the Lions are 8-1 on the season but they still train Winnipeg by a game in the West Division. They are coming off a win at Saskatchewan last week to make it five straight victories but the near future took a massive hit. Quarterback Nathan Rourke was hurt last week and is out for an undetermined period of time which is a huge loss. He passed for 375 yards in the abbreviated outing in Week 11 for his league-leading 6th game of the season with 300 or more yards and he has multiple touchdown passes in all nine of his starts. This will be the first career start for Michael O'Connor who was 5-5 last week when the game was already out of reach. Saskatchewan has now lost four of its last five games to fall to 5-5 on the season and it hits the road where it is 2-2 and a win here pulls it to within a half-game of Calgary in the West Division. Even without Rourke going for the Lions, this is not an easy matchup and while the value may seem to be on the other side, this is the contrarian side with the public biting on the smaller than anticipated number. The Roughriders will go with Cody Fajardo tonight after he was benched near halftime of the loss last week to the Lions and there is not a more motivational situation than this. The Roughriders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off in two straight division games. This situation is 133-75 ATS (63.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (685) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-19-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan +5 | Top | 28-10 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Edmonton last week and it heads back home trying to out an end to a two-game home losing skid. Injuries have played a role in the Roughriders 5-4 record and the big one has been quarterback Cody Fajardo who continues to play through his nagging knee injury and has done so while wearing a brace which has limited his running ability bit did score twice last week against the Elks. We are getting excellent value in this number as B.C. came here last month with the game listed as a pickem and now the Lions are laying a big number on the road in the second of three meetings in a span of four games. Saskatchewan is 24-11 ATS in its last 35 games against teams averaging 325 or more passing ypg. B.C. continues to play at a high level and it is coming off a thrilling 41-40 win over rival Calgary as it trailed 40-31 with just over two minutes remaining but closed with a pair of scores including the game-winning 25-yard field goal with five seconds remaining. That was a huge victory that kept the Lions within a game of first place in the West Division behind Winnipeg. They are 3-0 on the road including that win here last month and they have dominated in doing so, outgaining the three opponents by an average of 236.7 ypg and that is playing into this number that opened at 3 and has been steamed up to as much as 5.5 in some places. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off two straight division games. This situation is 180-120 (60 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-12-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton +1.5 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. We won with Toronto last week as it defeated Hamilton 34-20 as a one point favorite at home and now comes in as a road favorite and the normal venue switch would make the Argonauts the dog here. Toronto has won three of its last four games and has a sizable lead in the East Division at 2.6 games over Hamilton and Montreal. Five of the Argonauts seven games have been at home and are 1-1 on the road. Toronto benefitted from an interception returned for a touchdown as well as a kick return for a touchdown so the game was closer than the final score indicates as Toronto was actually outgained by 91 total yards. The big reason for the line switch is that Matthew Shiltz will be starting over Dane Evans who is listed as doubtful but he will be facing a Toronto defense that has been vulnerable against the pass, allowing 277.9 ypg through the air. Despite the 2-6 record, Hamilton has outgained five of eight opponents and is +28.6 ypg in differential on the season. On defense, Hamilton is No. 2 in the CFL against the pass and will have to continue to get to the quarterback after registering three sacks last week. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in five or six out of their last seven games, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 45-16 ATS (73.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (684) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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08-06-22 | Hamilton v. Toronto -1.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. After a 0-4 start to the season, Hamilton has won two of its last three games but neither were overly impressive as they came against Ottawa and Montreal by a combined nine points and both of those were at home. The Ti-Cats hit the road again where they are 0-3 while getting outgained by 44.4 ypg. To their credit, all three of those games have come against the much tougher West Division but they do now face the strongest team from the East, albeit a 3-3 squad. Quarterback Dane Evans has put up a decent amount of yards but he is completing only 67.4 percent of his passes and has tossed nine picks to his nine touchdowns and was given off a few series last week which we should see again here. Going back, the Ti-Cats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. Toronto possesses the second best offense in the CFL as it is averaging 376.7 ypg and the problem has been getting the ball into the endzone as well as simply turning it over too much at the wrong times as it is averaging only 19.8 ppg but it is going up against a defense with the opposite effect. Hamilton in second in the league in total defense, allowing 350.0 ypg but is has given up 25.0 ppg which is No. 6 in the CFL and that is where the Argonauts can take advantage, especially at home. Quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson has been solid for the most part as he has thrown for 1,713 yards at a 71.4 percent completion rate but his six interceptions have cost him at times and he needs to cut those down. The Argonauts are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. 10* (696) Toronto Argonauts |
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08-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +5.5 | Top | 35-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALLOUETTES for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. We played against Winnipeg last week as it came from behind to defeat Calgary to improve to 8-0 on the season. The two-time reigning Grey Cup champions have won 10 straight games going back to last season and the Blue Bombers have been far from dominant as they have been outgained in four of their seven games and on the season, they have been outyarded by over 15 ypg as they possess the No. 7 offense and No. 4 defense, which are not typical rankings for a 8-0 team. This is no doubt a letdown spot as after opening with four straight games against the East, the last four have come against the West including a pair over rival Calgary and this is the last of three straight road games and the first cross country trip. Montreal is coming off a loss against Hamilton which was its third in four games to fall to 2-5 on the season. The Alouettes have played better than that record as they have been outgained by just over eight ypg and they bring in the No. 6 ranked offense and defense which is certainly nothing special but they are close to being in the top half on both sides. Five of the first seven games have been on the road so this marks just the third home game of the season after starting 1-1. A one-point loss to Edmonton was not good but a 24-point win over Saskatchewan was a solid victory. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a close win by seven points or less over a division rival, in the first half of the season. This situation is 33-12 ATS (73.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (692) Montreal Alouettes |
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07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +1.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Game of the Month. After a 4-0 start, Calgary is coming off a loss against Winnipeg on the road as it was coming off a bye week and is now coming off another bye and back home playing with revenge. The Stampeders are 2-0 at home and have failed to cover either of those games and that brings some value as does the public love for the opponent. Calgary is ranked No. 2 in total offense while ranked No. 6 in total defense and it has outscored its opponents by close to 10 ppg while winning the yardage battle by 23 ypg. Bo Levi Mitchell has been as solid as always, completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 1,299 yards with seven touchdowns and just three picks. Winnipeg is off to a 7-0 start and the reigning Grey Cup champions have won nine straight games going back to last season. The Blue Bombers have been far from dominant as they have been outgained in four of their seven games and on the season, they have been outyarded by close to 28 ypg as they possess the No. 8 offense and No. 5 defense, which are not typical rankings for a 7-0 team. They have help opponents out of the end zone but have faced a slew of poor offenses and while Calgary managed just 297 yards in the first meeting, expect a bigger effort at home. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Calgary Stampeders |
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07-29-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan +2 | Top | 32-17 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. B.C. opened the season 3-0 before getting thumped at home against Winnipeg but it bounced back last week with a win against Hamilton and comes in as the road favorite which is just its second road game of the season. After dominating their first three games, the Lions have been outgained in each of their last two games and have fallen back into normalcy. They still lead the league in offense as they are averaging 447.2 ypg but have a tough matchup here. B.C. has scored only 39 combined points the last two games, and now faces a Roughriders defense that has allowed the second-fewest yards in the CFL and leads the league in sacks with 26. The Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. Saskatchewan opened the season 4-1 but has lost its last two games as it was swept against Toronto in back-to-back games. The Roughriders are coming off their worst effort in a 10-point loss to the Argonauts as they were outgained by 377 yards and while that is keeping the betting market off of them, they were severely shorthanded as many players were out due to a COVID outbreak. Quarterback Cody Fajardo missed that game with a knee injury and COVID issues but is now listed as probably which is big as Jake Dolegala struggled as his replacement. The Roughriders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .50 or better after one or more consecutive losses against the spread, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 59-30 ATS (66.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (684) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-21-22 | Hamilton +8.5 v. BC | Top | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Hamilton has gone from a team that was a win away from winning the Grey Cup to a team that is off to a 1-4 start but has some momentum on its side following a win over Ottawa last week. Quarterback Dane Evans completed 21 of 28 passes for 342 yards and two touchdowns and that is a big confidence boost. The Ti-Cats have not played as bad as the record shows as two losses have come by a combined seven points and they have outgained three of their five opponents. This is a big contrarian play as reading the Canadians papers shows that everyone loves the Ti-Cats to fall big but momentum is a big thing, especially against a team continuing to be overpriced. Hamilton is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games against teams averaging 325 or more passing ypg. B.C. came back down to earth after a dominant 4-0 start as it lost to Winnipeg by 21 points two weeks ago and while it is coming off a bye week, the real Lions may have finally been exposed. Despite that, they are still being priced as the undefeated team and it is hard to be sold on a team that was so bad last season and has turned it around at the flip of a switch. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win over a division rival, in July games. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (693) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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07-15-22 | Calgary +4 v. Winnipeg | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. While 3 is a key point spread number in football, it does not really pertain to the CFL as much but there is still value in this number as we can give 3 to home field and Calgary is getting value over that and as of this point in the season, it has been the better of the two undefeated teams. The Stampeders are off to a 4-0 start and while the opposition has not been great, that can be said for both sides and they have been more dominant. Calgary is ranked No. 2 in total offense while ranked No. 5 in total defense and it has outscored its opponents by 14 ppg while winning the yardage battle by close to 45 ypg. Bo Levi Mitchell has been as solid as always, completing 69 percent of his passes for 1,112 yards with six touchdowns and just two picks. Calgary is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games as an underdog while going 18-8 ATS in its last 26 games against the West Division. Winnipeg is 5-0 and it has not been overly impressive with the exception of the win over B.C. last time out but the Lions are not the team many think that started off. The Blue Bombers have gotten off to a slow start on offense is they are ranked No. 7, ahead of only Hamilton and Edmonton while the defense is ranked No. 6 in total defense but to their credit, they have kept the points off the board but those were against some anemic defenses. Overall, Winnipeg has been outgained by 34.8 ypg and it still gets the love based on the last two Grey Cup wins and the undefeated start. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win over a division rival, in July games. This situation is 47-16 ATS (74.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (683) Calgary Stampeders |
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07-02-22 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan -4.5 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. This is the second of a home-and-home between Montreal and Saskatchewan after the Alouettes rolled over the Roughriders last week 37-13. Montreal is now 1-2 on the season and has covered all three games as it lost to Toronto by a point and Calgary by a field goal, both on the road. The win last week was deceiving however as the Alouettes outgained Saskatchewan by only five total yards as they returned the opening kickoff for a touchdown and took advantage of two interceptions by Cody Fajardo, one returned for a touchdown. Additionally, the Roughriders did not help their cause by committing 11 penalties for 106 yards. That win was the first this season by a team from the East over a team from the West and on the season, the East is 1-9 against its counterpart division. Saskatchewan opened the season with a pair of double-digit wins against Hamilton and Edmonton and while those are two of the worst teams in the league, Montreal is not that much better and the loss last week can be blamed on the intangibles more than anything. To be fair, Fajardo was not good last week as he threw for only 191 yards to go along with those two picked and had a passer rating of 51.3 after posting ratings of 110.3 and 118.6 in his first two games. The Roughriders are ranked No. 2 in overall defense and No. 1 against the run and they held Montreal to just 60 yards on the ground last week. Expect the defense to come up strong again against either Trevor Harris or Vernon Davis, Jr. Here, we play on home teams that are averaging between 385 and 420 ypg going up against teams averaging between 345 and 385 ypg, after allowing 7.6 or more yppl in their previous game. this situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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06-30-22 | BC v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. B.C. has been the early season surprise in the CFL as it is off to a 2-0 start which is one win shy of its win total from all of last season. The Lions have destroyed both of their opponents by a combined score of 103-18 while winning the yardage battle by an average of 247 ypg but those were against two teams not expected to make much noise this season. B.C. hits the road for the first time this season and are travelling cross country on a short week and while playing another team that is not predicted to do a whole lot, the situation is not a good one. Quarterback Nathan Rourke has shredded the first two defenses he has faced as he has completed an amazing 87.8 percent of his passes while throwing seven touchdowns and no interceptions but we will see what he can do against a defense that has had plenty of time to prepare. Ottawa is off to a 0-2 start but has looked good in doing so if that makes sense. The RedBlacks have played two-time Grey Cup Champion Edmonton twice and shut down the potent Blue Bombers offense both times, allowing only 19 points in each game. They outgained Winnipeg by 152 and 82 total yards and while it is only a two-game sample, they have the No. 2 ranked defense in the CFL and while the results are opposite of B.C., it can be argued their start is just as impressive. The offense has not produced on the scoreboard but quarterback Jeremiah Masoli has thrown for 355 ypg and 9.9 ypa and will test the Lions defense for the first time this season as they have faced Nick Arbuckle and McLeod Bethel-Thompson. Overall, the RedBlacks are ranked No. 2 in total offense so it is up the unit to produce in the clutch which has been the issue. Ottawa is coming off its first bye week which adds to the situational advantage as it has not left home in 19 days. 10* (682) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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06-25-22 | Toronto +5 v. BC | Top | 3-44 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. Both Toronto and B.C. are just one game into the season and while both are 1-0, the results were much different and because of this, we have seen the line climb from 3 to 4.5 and the big value is on the road team. Toronto escaped in its season opener following a bye in Week One as it defeated Montreal by a point, avoiding a loss with the Alouettes missing a field goal in the final seconds. The Argonauts were the top team in the East Division last season and hosted a playoff game but lost to Hamilton and they are coming into this season with some high expectations once again. They have failed to cover six of their last seven games going back to last season and that could also be playing a factor into this number. They have the edge of playing last week while B.C. had some momentum cut short with a week off. The Lions rolled in their season opener over the worst team in the CFL as they defeated Edmonton 59-15 thanks to a huge first half where they scored four touchdowns on four red zone trip while also adding rushing touchdowns of 36 and 21 yards. It was a very impressive victory based on final score and overall production but B.C. takes a big step up in competition here. The Lions were just 5-9 last season and did not do much to improve on the offensive side. They lost veteran Mike Reilly at quarterback who retired and while Nathan Rourke was impressive in his first starts, that was against the Elks and he will have a bigger challenge here against a defense that was average last season and made some strong upgrades. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (697) Toronto Argonauts |
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06-23-22 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal +4 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 34 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Montreal is off to a 0-2 start but both games could have gone either way. The Alouettes opened the season with a three-point loss at Calgary and followed that up with a one-point loss at Toronto last week as they missed a field goal in the last seconds of the game. They are now back in Montreal for their home opener and look to build off those first two impressive performances. Montreal outgained the Stampeders by 31 total yards and were outgained by just 19 total yards against the Argonauts and the season has started like what happened all of last season as the Alouettes lost four of their seven games by five points or less so they have been close to turning the corner. Vernon Adams, Jr. is out at quarterback but that is not a bad thing as Trevor Harris is the best backup in the league and threw for 270 yards in relief last week. The Roughriders are off to a 2-0 start , but those results are a little skewed. They opened the season against Hamilton and it was a close game until they pulled away in the fourth quarter and then last week against Edmonton, they trailed going into the final quarter and ended up with another double-digit win. The defense has carried the team thus far late in games and are at a scheduling disadvantage here. Saskatchewan heads east for the first time and has had two fewer days off than Montreal which is an issue as the shortened turnaround hurts when trying to prep for two quarterbacks as it had to early in the week. Saskatchewan is 5-15 ATS on its last 20 games after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better. Here, we play against teams off a win over a division rival, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (692) Montreal Alouettes |
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06-18-22 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks +8 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan opened the season with a 30-13 win over Hamilton but it was not overly dominant as it outrushed the Ti-Cats by just 49 yards and outpassed them by just 41 yards. The Roughriders benefitted from five Hamilton turnovers and the ones that happened late decided the game as Saskatchewan was up by just a score of 15-13 with less than four minutes left and scored 15 unanswered points over that final stretch. Hamilton also hurt itself by getting in tough situations as on 17 occasions, it faced a second and long and those catch up quickly. Sure, the Roughriders defense can be given some credit on those first down stops but overall, it was a clearly misleading final score as Saskatchewan in now overvalued hitting the road for the first time. The Roughriders are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing record. Edmonton is coming off an awful opening game against B.C. as it lost 59-15 but was outgained by a more respectable 153 total yards which is by no means good, but that does not correlate to the final score. Quarterback Nate Arbuckle was 20-29 for 254 yards but tossed three interceptions and falling behind 42-6 at halftime was an insurmountable deficit. The Elks are coming off a 3-11 season and not much is expected this year as they are +2,500 to win the Grey Cup, easily the longest odds in the league but there are improvements even though they were not fully on display in the first game. The Elks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against favorites after one or more consecutive straight up wins, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (688) Edmonton Elks |
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06-17-22 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa +4.5 | Top | 19-12 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is the second of a home-and-home between Winnipeg and Ottawa with the Blue Bombers escaping with a 19-17 win and it should have not been that close, going the other way. The RedBlacks outgained Winnipeg 441-289 but had some costly penalties and were forced into three field goals and a single as they could not execute deep when needed while ending the first half at the Winnipeg 22-yard line with timeouts remaining but inexplicably let the time run out. Jeremiah Masoli had a big game in his first start for Ottawa as he was 24-34 for 380 yards with a touchdown and an interception and despite losing, Ottawa has to be encouraged in its season opener. The game was decided by a Winnipeg field goal with six seconds left which left the RedBlacks despondent but an early revenge spot at home will have them ready. The RedBlacks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in June. Winnipeg should be better but this is clearly a bad matchup and a big factor here is the line. The Blue Bombers closed as a 6.5-point favorite at home and now they are favored by just a couple points less on the road which is not the typical line swing based on home field. The fact Winnipeg won is the one thing that the common bettor will look at and not take advantage of digging deeper into the game to see exactly what transpired. The Blue Bombers are the team with the bulls-eye on its back and they continue to be overvalued going back to last season as they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite. Here, we play against favorites after one or more consecutive straight up wins, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (684) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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06-10-22 | Ottawa +10 v. Winnipeg | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 81 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Winnipeg is coming off its second straight Grey Cup as it defeated Hamilton last December in overtime, coming back from a 20-10 fourth quarter deficit. The pieces are in place for another run but there has been some turnover in key areas that could take some time early in the season for this team to display its full potential. The Blue Bombers were the class of the West Division last year with an 11-3 record but the division is better and this line is based on the results from last season. Quarterback Zach Collaros had a solid season with Winnipeg last year and carried the Blue Bombers to their second straight Grey Cup but he has lost several key weapons on offense that includes running back Andrew Harris and league-leading wide receiver Kenny Lawler. They led the league in scoring and were by far the best defense in the league but with that repeat championship comes high expectations and every opponent will be out for the upset. Ottawa is the first one on the schedule and the RedBlacks have gone through an overhaul following a disappointing 3-11 record in 2021. The front office has changed and with that came numerous roster changes and many for the good as this is not really considered a rebuild but a retooling that looks much better on paper. Ottawa signed quarterback Jeremiah Masoli in free agency and he is a proven commodity and the RedBlacks also brought back running back William Powell who rushed for 2,389 yards in 2017-2018 before a couple solid years in Saskatchewan. The defense is a concern but holes were filled there too and this could easily be a team on the rise. 10* (693) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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06-09-22 | Montreal v. Calgary -3 | Top | 27-30 | Push | 0 | 58 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Non-Division Game of the Month. The CFL season gets underway Thursday and this will be the first normal season in three years as COVID cancelled 2020 and minimized the schedule in 2021. Calgary plays host to the first game in Week One and while the Stampeders have made the playoffs 16 years in a row, it has been a mediocre last couple years. Last season, Calgary lost to Saskatchewan in the opening round of the playoffs in overtime which resulted in an overall record of 8-7 and things should be better this season. The main reason for the average 2021 campaign was the play of quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell who played through the season with shoulder injuries and managed only 10 touchdowns after averaging over 27 touchdowns in his previous four seasons and had a career low 83 quarterback rating. The good news is that he is fully healthy and has most of his weapons back including running back Ka'Deem Carey, wide receiver Reggie Begelton, and slot back Kamar Jorden. Calgary went just 3-4 at home last season but that changes this year beginning right out of the gate. Montreal went 7-7 during the regular season before losing to Hamilton in the playoffs and the Alouettes are in position to make another playoff run but catch a tough opener. Vernon Adams is back as the starting quarterback after going down with a season ending injury in October and he can be dangerous but faces a tough defense that finished third in the league in points allowed last season at 18.8 ppg. Montreal was just 2-4 against the West Division and will be tested right away against a team that is ready to make it back to the elite status in the CFL. 10* (692) Calgary Stampeders |
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10-30-21 | Saskatchewan +1.5 v. Montreal | Top | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
his is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. We won with Saskatchewan last week as it defeated Calgary, snapping a two-game losing streak against the Stampeders. The Roughriders now have a game and a half lead over Calgary for second place in the West Division and this is a big stretch for them. A winnable game against Montreal is followed by a back-to-back set against 2-7 Edmonton so this is a good shot at getting some breathing room. They can actually lock up a playoff berth this week as a win here coupled with losses by either the B.C. or Calgary combined with a loss by Edmonton. The Roughriders are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Montreal has won four straight games to improve to 6-4 which is good for a tie for first place in the East Division with Toronto although two of those came against the worst team in the CFL. 2-9 Ottawa. It will be strength against strength. The Alouettes lead the CFL in rushing yards with 1,553, rushing attempts at 261 and with 6.0 ypc. The Roughriders have held teams to a league-low 738 rushing yards, fewest rush attempts at 168 and lowest average gain per rush with 4.4 ypc. The Alouettes are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive straight up wins, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (675) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-23-21 | Saskatchewan +2.5 v. Calgary | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
his is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan and Calgary are set to meet for the third time in four weeks and this will be the third straight game against the Stampeders for Saskatchewan which is coming off a bye last week. The Roughriders have dropped the last two meetings by a possession each but are getting some big help on offense this week as two receivers are ready to open it up as Shaq Evans will be back after missing the last seven games with a broken foot and Duke Williams is expected to be available for his first game this season. Saskatchewan is 24-7 ATS in its last 31 games revenging two straight close losses by seven points or less. Calgary has now won three straight games following a 39-10 victory over B.C. last week but it won the yardage battle by just 40 total yards as they benefitted from a kickoff return for a touchdown as well as an interception return for a touchdown as well. The Stampeders are now 5-5 on the season and have moved into second place in the West Division. The Stampeders are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss as a favorite. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (667) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-16-21 | Calgary v. BC -1 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan came into Week Nine with a 5-2 record but lost two games against Calgary which improved to 4-5 on the season to get back into the playoff race. B.C. is a half-game ahead of the Stampeders so this is a big game for the Lions to gain some space. Both teams are in a battle for third in the West, but a Lions win could see them pull into a tie with Saskatchewan for the No. 2 seed. The Lions possess the number two scoring defense in the West Division while Calgary has the second lowest scoring offense in the league. Calgary backup quarterback Jake Maier has COVID-19 and he will be in isolation until further notice so Michael O'Connor will back up Bo Levi Mitchell until his return to the roster and while it should noy be an impact, an injury to Mitchell would be catastrophic for Calgary. B.C. is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while the Stampeders are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 68-32 ATS (68 percent) since 1996. 10* (676) B.C. Lions |
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10-11-21 | Toronto v. Hamilton -4.5 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. Hamilton is coming off a loss last week against Montreal which snapped an 11-game home winning streak but we expect the Tiger-Cats to get back to their winning ways here. They will have had an extra two days to get ready for this game which is important to get Jeremiah Masoli, Bralon Addison and Brandon Banks ready as they are back in the lineup after time off. Toronto has won two straight games to improve to 5-3 and is playing with much shorter rest following the win over Ottawa. The Argonauts are a perfect 4-0 at home but just 1-3 on the road and are in a tough spot with Hamilton coming off that home loss. Hamilton defeated Toronto by 13 points in the first meeting here and while the number was shorter, we expect an easy win and cover on Monday. The Argonauts are 9-22-1 ATS in their last 32 games as a road underdog while the Tiger-Cats are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. 10* (688) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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10-09-21 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan -3.5 | Top | 22-19 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. We played on Calgary last week against Saskatchewan as it won 23-17 but we will be backing the Roughriders this week in the second game of this home-and-home. We are getting great line value here as Saskatchewan was favored on the road by 2.5 points and it is now favored by just a point more at home. Saskatchewan is 4-1 at home this season with the lone loss coming against 7-1 Winnipeg. Calgary is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after gaining 275 or less total yards while going 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after having won two out of their last three games. Expect a motivated and refocused Cody Fajardo to get back on track this week at home in the rematch against Calgary. The Roughriders are 7-1-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. 10* (664) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-02-21 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary +2.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan is coming off a pair of wins to move to move to 5-2 on the season. The Roughriders have outgained opponents by just 164-143 so there is some illusion in this record. The Roughriders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games against the West. Calgary is off to a 2-5 start but that is a bit skewed as four of those losses came by a single possession. They have typically been the favorite in the West so they should be playing with a chip on their shoulder. The Stampeders are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. Here, we play against favorites with a turnover margin of +0.75 per game or better on the season, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (678) Calgary Stampeders |
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08-29-21 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -6.5 | Top | 16-18 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Game of the Month. We won with Calgary last week but we are going against them here on the road. The Stampeders placed quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell on the six-game injured list two weeks ago with a broken fibula. Jake Maier took over and while he threw for 301 yards, he did toss two picks and completed just 55.2 percent of his throws. The Stampeders are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. After a pair of wins to open the season, Winnipeg lost at Toronto last week. It was outgained by 223 total yards but it is cack home now in a great spot. The Blue Bombers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. 10* (686) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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08-21-21 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan -10.5 | Top | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Ottawa is coming off its bye week following a season opening win at Edmonton. I was a skewed 16-12 final score however as the RedBlacks were outgained by 316 total yards and lost the first downs 26-7. The Roughriders are off to a 2-0 start following a 30-8 win over Hamilton and it could have been more of a blowout if they did not commit 20 penalties for 187 yards. This team is stacked on both sides and laying this number is not an issue especially against a team that gained just 127 total yards in their first game. Here, we play on teams after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (678) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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08-20-21 | Montreal v. Calgary +6 | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. The Stampeders placed quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell on the six-game injured list Tuesday with a broken fibula and while that is a big hit, this is a veteran team in a desperate spot. Calgary is off to a 0-2 start which is rare for this team and a bounce back is expected here. The Alouettes are coming off a season opening 30-13 win over Edmonton and while that looks good, it could be considered a fluke. Montreal figures to apply a lot of pressure on the Calgary quarterback after notching four sacks in its season-opening win last Saturday. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite going up against opponent off a road win. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (674) Calgary Stampeders |
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08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks +3.5 v. BC | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Game of the Week. Edmonton has gotten off to a 0-2 stat this season. With four days in between games, the Eskimos are looking forward to getting things back on track Thursday when they travel to Vancouver in search of their first win of the season. B.C. is 1-1 including a win last time out against Calgary last time out and has easily covered both games. This is a great letdown spot and the line is on our side. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (671) Edmonton Eskimos |
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08-14-21 | Hamilton +1.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 8-30 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Week. Hamilton looks to bounce back following a Week One loss against Winnipeg. The six points was the lowest offensive output of any team in Week One while the Roughriders put 33 points on the scoreboard in their season opening victory over the B.C. Lions. In that game, the Roughriders raced into a 31-0 second-quarter lead before hanging on for a 33-29 victory so there are issues. Hamilton will be looking for their first victory not only of the season, but also at new Mosaic Stadium. Here, we play against favorites off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 60-24 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (685) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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11-10-19 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -4 | Top | 35-14 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. The Stampeders are playing a rare semifinal playoff game as Saskatchewan was able to win the West Division and get a first round bye. Calgary has an advantage since it is at home and as healthy as it has been in months. After a 3-2 start, the Stampeders have won their last four games at McMahon Stadium and they have won their last five home playoff games. Reigning Most Outstanding Player Bo Levi Mitchell is justifying a four-year contract extension signed last winter by playing some of the best football of his career. And he has torched the Blue Bombers in 2019 with 344 yards per game. Winnipeg has been up and down to close the season as it lost four of its last six games while getting outgained in five of those. Despite a season ending split with Calgary, the Blue Bombers were outgained both times. Here, we play against road teams after a game where they forced no turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive game where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 35-9 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (824) Calgary Stampeders |
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11-02-19 | Edmonton v. Saskatchewan -9.5 | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. There is a lot on the line in the West Division and Saskatchewan has the advantage of being the first game played. With a victory, the Roughriders would lock up the West Division crown for the first time since the 2009 season. Cody Fajardo is now considered questionable for the game after he reportedly pulled a muscle in his back during a closed practice. If he is unable to play Isaac Harker will make the start. All other starters are going to play with what is at stake. Edmonton already knows its playoff fate as it will be traveling to Montreal in a crossover game. The Eskimos lost their final home game of the season, a 27-24 defeats against Saskatchewan in the first game of this hone-and-home. Quarterback Trevor Harris will likely not suit up in the Eskimos final game of the season against the Roughriders, instead Logan Kilgore will be the projected starter. Many other starters are projected to sit as well in preparation of the postseason. Edmonton is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season while Saskatchewan is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 10* (814) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-26-19 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton +1.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Edmonton clinched a playoff berth as the crossover team in Week 18 and will head to the post-season for the fifth time in six seasons. The Eskimos have compiled a 5-3 record at The Brick Field at Commonwealth Stadium this season, including a 19-6 win over BC when the team last played in Week 18. They got a big boost to the lineup, as starting quarterback Trevor Harris was activated from the six-game injured list on Monday. Harris had completed 71.7 percent of his passes for 3,706 yards and 15 touchdowns against four interceptions through 12 games prior to the injury. Coming off their bye week, the Eskimos are well rested which is a big edge this late into the season. Saskatchewan does have a lot to play for as it still has a chance to claim the top spot in the West Division but the environment tonight will not make it easy. While going 7-1 at home, the Roughriders are just 4-4 on the road. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins against the spread in the second half of the season. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) Edmonton Eskimos |
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10-19-19 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -6.5 | Top | 33-37 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. This is the first game of a back-to-back set with heavy playoff implications as the winner will take a significant step towards first place in the West Division. Calgary was able to snag a playoff spot last week with its win over the Roughriders and it is now 5-1 over its last six games. When you break down the remaining schedules of the Stampeders, Blue Bombers and Roughriders it becomes pretty obvious that Calgary needs to run the table to lock up first in the CFL West Division. Bo Levi Mitchell has looked increasingly better with every game he gets under his belt since returning from injury. He nearly completed 80 percent of his passes for 298 yards and two throwing majors against Saskatchewan last week and this is the perfect time for him to start to peak. Winnipeg is coming off a win for us last week as it defeated Montreal by 11 points which snapped a three-game losing skid. The Blue Bombers are not in a good spot as they are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. Meanwhile, Calgary is 26-8 ATS in its last 34 games against teams allowing 75 or fewer rushing ypg. 10* (688) Calgary Stampeders |
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10-12-19 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -3.5 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Montreal heads to snowy Winnipeg for the second meeting this season and one that the home team is eager to take. There is revenge in play today for Winnipeg from a game it surely has not forgotten about. The Alouettes orchestrated the largest come-from-behind victory in franchise history when they defeated the Blue Bombers 38-37 on a touchdown in the game's final seconds. They overcame a 24-point deficit, the largest comeback in team history. While both teams must play in the snow, the Blue Bombers practiced in it Thursday and Friday, while the Alouettes were experiencing mild conditions in Montreal. Winnipeg has dropped three straight games but quarterback Chris Streveler has played well with the exception of some costly interceptions. He is 76-104 (73 percent) over this stretch so things should have been better. Montreal is coming off an upset win over Calgary but it was outgained by 262 yards. The Blue Bombers are 6-1 at home this season with two games remaining. The last time they posted seven wins at home came in 2007, when they were 7-2. Here, we play on favorites after two consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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10-05-19 | Toronto +9.5 v. BC | Top | 8-55 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. British Columbia has on three straight games, blowing out Ottawa twice and then then narrowly defeating Montreal last week. The Lions are still fighting for a playoff berth but their chances are slim like the Argonauts. Toronto got hammered by Saskatchewan last week which was its first non-cover since August 16 so it has been competitive for the most part despite the poor record. The Argonauts are in the midst of a two-game slide and will be trying for a split of the season series following a narrow 18-17 loss to the Lions in Week Four. The Argonauts are 2-11 but still have a mathematical chance at making the playoffs as it would require a collapse by either Edmonton or Montreal. They got a piece of that last night with Edmonton getting blown out by Hamilton. Their issue has been getting down early and not being able to fight back, On the flip side, the Lions have only led after the opening 15 minutes in five of their 14 games and scored a total of 68 points in first quarters. That makes this line a very juicy one. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense allowing 385 or more total ypg, after being outgained by 70 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (687) Toronto Argonauts |
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09-28-19 | Montreal v. BC -6.5 | Top | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. The Lions season is all but done at 3-10 yet they come into Saturday as significant favorites and we are behind them here. B.C. has won two straight games, albeit against the struggling RedBlacks. Despite that, they were able to hold Ottawa to a single sack over those games while getting to the quarterback six times on defense. The record is deceiving as the Lions have a positive yardage differential overall as they are +17.4 ypg on the season. Montreal has had a surprisingly good season and can clinch a playoff berth with a win here but it will be shorthanded tonight as quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. has been suspended for this game after an altercation against Winnipeg last week. Matthew Shiltz will start at quarterback for the Alouettes which are now in a tough spot. Montreal is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games against teams with a losing record and here, we play on favorites after allowing nine points or less last game. This situation is 94-54 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) British Columbia Lions |
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09-21-19 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +3 | Top | 37-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Game of the Week. Montreal is playing some of the best football in the league despite just a 6-3 record over its last nine games. However, those three losses came by a combined 12 points and the Alouettes won the yardage battle in two of those. Montreal is 3-2 at home and going back, the Alouettes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Winnipeg is coming off a bye week which is good and bad. It kills some momentum from its 4-1 run but did allow quarterback Chris Streveler to get some more work in. Despite the latter, he is no Matt Nichols and despite sitting atop the West Division, the Blue Bombers have been outgained in four of their last six games with the two positive outings being by just a combined 40 yards. Here, we play against all teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins against the spread, good team, in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Montreal Alouettes |
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09-07-19 | Toronto +5.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 46-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Toronto has continued to improve over the last month. Quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson has tossed for 300-plus yards in six of his 10 games this season and he has not been picked off in his last four starts. The Argonauts have outgained four of their last seven opponents and going back, the Argonauts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Ottawa has just one more win than Toronto and has been playing much worse as the RedBlacks have been outgained in their last nine games. The issues is having the worst offense and the seventh worst defense in the league. Ottawa is 5-24 ATS in its last 29 games against teams allowing 300 or more passing ypg while going 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games against teams allowing 430 or more ypg. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 300 or more passing ypg. This situation is 33-6 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (683) Toronto Argonauts |