3* NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 204.5
Plays under on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 22-6 the last 5 seasons. We only saw 175 points scored between the teams in LA in the X-mas game and I expect another low number here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Rivalry GOTY on Celtics -6
This is a huge revenge game for Boston after the Christmas Day loss in LA and the Celtics catch LA in a great spot. LA has played a lot of games in not very many nights and this one will be played back-to-back. The loss of Bynum also hurts LA against a Celtics team with superior interior depth. Garnett will be rested up and ready to make a statement after missing the last 2 games. Defensively, Boston has been at its best against the best in the NBA and you will see that again tonight. The Lakers are 0-8 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 12-2 ATS in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Bet Boston!

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pistons -4
Detroit has lost back-to-back games to two of the best teams in the NBA and has had 3 days to think about it. The Pistons will wash the sour taste of defeat out of their mouth in a big way tonight. Detroit has won 5 straight against the Heat and it will be hungry for another big win tonight. The Heat are 13-32-3 ATS in their last 48 games following a SU win and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Pistons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Wednesday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. I have hit all 3 of my NBA GOTM plays this season, so let your books have it with #4.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Clippers/Magic UNDER 198
The Clippers have not scored over 95 points in their last 6 games and they face a team allowing only 91.4 ppg at home this season tonight. Also, the loss of starting Magic PG Jameer Nelson affects this offense greatly. Don't expect the Magic to really be running up the score of many opponents with their engine out. Orlando is 9-1 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Both matchups at Orlando the past 3 seasons have gone Under as well. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Fool's Gold of the Month on Bucks +4.5
I'll fade the Nets at home tonight catching too many points. Yes, the Bucks lost Redd for the season, but forward Charlie Villanueva is more than picking up the slack. NJ is banged up as well with Vince Carter not at 100% and Yi, Bobby Simmons, and Najera won't play. NJ has owned this matchup and that is why this line is inflated, but Milwaukee did beat the Bucks back on January 9th and that gives them a bunch of confidence heading into this one. NJ has been fool's gold at home as it is just 9-15 SU and ATS. Milwaukee is 29-20 ATS in all games and 16-11 ATS on the road. Here's the key: NJ is 3-14 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 94.4 to 101.2, and 1-8 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog this season, losing by an average score of 95.2 to 140.3. Bet the Bucks.

4* Major NBA Big Market MONSTER on Knicks +6
New York can score with the best of the teams in the NBA and it has already showed it can hang with LA this season, playing the Lakers to a 2-point game in Tinsel Town. The Lakers bigs were instrumental in that win and without Bynum tonight, LA loses a big part of that edge. The Knicks are playing their best ball of the season, going 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. The Lakers are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 6-21 ATS in their last 27 vs. Eastern Conference. The Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Take NY!

4* Major Saturday Night NBA Bailout BLOWOUT on Blazers -9
Portland is one of the best home teams in the league and it takes on a banged up Jazz team that is playing back-to-back and has lost 8 of its last 9 on the road! Portland is 14-2 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons, 11-2 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and 13-3 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Portland is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS at home versus the Jazz the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.

3* SUREFIRE on Nets/Hawks OVER 196.5
Great overs spot here. NJ has played its best ball on the road this season and Atlanta is very hungry for a win following 3 straight losses. Both teams are athletic and I expect to see a lot of points go up on the board tonight. 5 of the last 6 meetings in this matchup have gone over. Atlanta is 15-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score totals 209.5 in these spots. Also, Atlanta is 13-4 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score totals 212.5 in these spots. Take the over.

4* Major NBA Underdog Shocker on Wizards +10.5
First off, the 76ers are being overvalued here. This is a .500 team and not a .660 team. Washington deserves to be a larger dog against Philly than it was at Portland a few nights back. Secondly, I really like the Wizards in this spot. They are hungry for a win and they just got it handed to them by division rival Miami. Washington is 10-1 ATS in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 95.0 to 92.6 in these spots. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night NBA Game of the Year (ESPN) on Celtics -5.5
Boston is rolling like it was early in the season, and let's face it, Detroit was no longer a threat in the East as soon as it traded away Billups. These teams have already met twice this season and Boston won each by 12 and 18 points respectively and I won't listen to any of the third time's a charm talk. Detroit has dropped 7 of 10 SU and ATS while Boston has won 9 straight and is 8-1 ATS in those games. Detroit is only 13-9 SU and 7-15 ATS in home games this season. The Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Detroit and the Road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Pistons are also 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. Pound the Celtics tonight!

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT BLOOD BATH on Suns -1.5
This is a huge statement game for the Suns to prove that they can still play with the best in the west. The Suns are rested and back at home off two huge confidence-boosting blowout road wins. The Spurs have played a lot of games on the road over the last week and a half and that catches up with them tonight against a Suns team that will look to push the tempo. The Spurs are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win, and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win. Take Phoenix.

4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Blazers -9
Off an emotionally and physically draining double OT win in LA last night, there's no way they Bobcats will be able to get up for this one against a Blazers team that is 16-5 at home this season. Portland has beaten each of its last 2 opponents by double digits while scoring big points and that puts them in a very nice system tonight. Portland is 12-1 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 105.2 to 91.3. Lay the points!

4* Major NBA Odds Maker Miss on Memphis +7.5
I know Memphis has lost 10 in a row, but the Thunder don't deserve this kind of respect on any court against anyone. Memphis knows it can compete with the Thunder and it will get up for this game to end its skid. OKC has been a covering machine, almost entirely as an underdog. It has been favored now in 3 of its last 4 games, losing 2 of those SU and ATS. Plays On Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 8 or more consecutive losses are 25-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA First Half Total of the Year on Hawks/Knicks OVER 207
The Knicks push the tempo at home, averaging 107.3 ppg, but they are also giving up 106.8 and the Hawks are an athletic team that will be able to run and gun right along with them. Atlanta has lost 2 straight and is coming off a game where it scored just 79 points so I'm expecting an offensive explosion. Atlanta is 14-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. The Over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings and 20-6 in the Knicks last 26 Wednesday games. Pound the OVER!

5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge GOTM on Utah Jazz -1.5
The Jazz are a little banged up but they have every incentive to lay it all on the line here to end a 3-game skid. Utah is one of the best home teams in the NBA at 17-5 and they are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 home games against the Spurs. Overall, the Spurs have lost 4 straight regular season games in Salt Lake City. The Home team is a dominant 17-4 ATS in the last 21 meetings. The Spurs are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog while the Jazz are 50-24-2 ATS in their last 76 games as a home favorite. Lay the points tonight!

5* Wiseguy NBA Southeast Division GOTY on Atlanta Hawks +4
I love the Hawks in the dog role today. Atlanta is 14-4 ATS as an underdog this season and 12-4 ATS as a road underdog this season. Miami is just 6-21 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and 3-12 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Miami is also 0-9 ATS in home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons, losing these games outright by 6.3 ppg. In addition, that win being over division leader Orlando puts the Heat in an even bigger letdown spot. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Lakers -6.5
The Lakers have had this one circled since they were beaten by 1-point on a buzzer beater in San Antonio on January 14th. I have LA getting its revenge in a big way today. The Lakers are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in home games against the Spurs the last 3 seasons. The key here is that LA's offense will be too explosive for the Spurs to keep up with. LA averages 109.2 ppg at home this season while the Spurs score only 94.3 on the road. The Lakers are 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season, winning these games by an average score of 103.8 to 94.6. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Favorite of the Year on Jazz -2.5
There's no way a short handed Cavs team can bounce back after last night's barn burner and beat one of the best teams in the NBA in a big bounce back spot. The Cavaliers are 11-27-3 ATS in their last 41 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. The Jazz are 51-25-2 ATS in their last 78 home games. Utah is 11-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons and 16-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Jazz are 17-4 at home this season and I like them big tonight!

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Massacre of the Year on Warriors +6.5
The public is heavily on the Cavs here but they are betting blindly. While Cleveland is 20-0 at home, it has struggled on the road, especially of late because of its depth issues being exposed by injuries to Big Z and Delonte West. The Warriors plays much faster than Cleveland would like to play and they will be out for blood tonight after a 1-point loss to lowly OKC. Golden State is 19-6 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by 5.5 points on average. Golden State is 20-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons and 21-5-2 ATS in their last 28 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5. The Warriors are getting too many.

4* Major NBA Bounce Back Game of the Week on Pacers +1.5
The Pacers have won 3 straight at home and with TMAC and Artest out, the Rockets won't have the horses to win in the uptempo style that Indiana plays. Indiana has already won at Houston earlier this and it is in a prime bounce back spot tonight. Indiana is 13-4 ATS off a road loss this season and 12-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. The Pacers are also 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the Pacers.

3* NBA on TNT Prime Time TOTAL on Wizards/Lakers UNDER 208
With both of these teams playing last night, tired legs keep this one under the number. The Lakers have a rematch against San Antonio in a couple days and that is more their focus than the lowly Wizards tonight. Washington hasn't went over the century mark in back-to-back games in over a month, so expect the Wizards to have a letdown tonight. Washington is 12-2 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. Pound the Under!

5* Wiseguy East Coast GAME OF THE YEAR on Celtics +5
The books are giving Boston too many points tonight. The Celtics come in red hot, having won 6 straight, and have been deadly in the underdog role, going 12-2 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points the past 2 seasons. This series has been neck and neck over the past 6 games with each team winning 3 games but the Magic have failed to win any of those games by more than 3 points. This is a huge statement game for Boston to show that it is still the team to beat in the East. The Celtics have more beef inside than most teams in the NBA and that will help keep Dwight Howard in check and will get Boston the cover. Take the points!

4* Major Vegas Line Mistake of the Week on Knicks +6
The Suns do not deserve to be this big of a favorite on the road against a more than capable offensive team and yet the public continues to back them. The Suns are just 13-25 ATS this season. They are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games. The Suns are the most overvalued team in the NBA and we will take advantage here. Phoenix is 3-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Take the points!

4* Major NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on Bulls -3.5
Atlanta has already beaten Chicago twice this season but the third time will be a charm for the Bulls. To add fuel to the fire, the Bulls are off back-to-back losses and will be very hungry for a win on their home floor where they are a respectable 13-8 this season. The Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Hawks are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings and 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Eastern Conference and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Chicago gets the Hawks in a vulnerable spot by double digits here.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Lakers -4.5
After going down to the Spurs and Magic in back-to-back games, expect the Lakers to take care of business tonight. The Cavs have struggled on the road of late, losing 3 of their last 4 road contests. Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less against an opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 33-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Lakers are dangerous at home and they will be looking to pay back the Cavs for 4 straight losses over the last 3 seasons. Pound the Lakers!

3* NBA Early Upset Special on Bobcats +4.5
The public money is pouring in on the Spurs and that was the intention of the odds makers here as they like the Bobcats in this position and so do I. Charlotte has won 3 in a row SU and ATS while the Spurs have not looked particularly good on the road, getting crushed by Philly and struggling against the Bulls in their last two. SA is just 8-21 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons, losing outright in these spots by an average score of 93.3 to 95.4. It is also 13-24 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons, losing outright in these spots by an average score of 92.6 to 94.8. Charlotte is 15-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Taking the points is the right side!

3* Sunday NBA BEST BET on Raptors +3.5
The public is all over Phoenix here so we will gladly go against the grain once again, just like we did yesterday when the Bobcats came through for us with an outright win. The Suns have lost 2 in a row SU and 4 in a row ATS. Toronto has dropped 4 in a row SU and it will be hungry for a win today before going out on a long road trip. Phoenix is just 3-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season, 2-10 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games this season, and 13-24 ATS in all games this season. The Suns are down and odds makers are using that against the public this season. Take the Raptors!

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night UNDERDOG MONSTER on Bobcats +2.5
The Bobcats are at home and well rested and I have them taking a tired Blazers team to the cleaners Saturday night. Portland is young and therefore has not been mentally tough enough to blossom into a good road team yet. The Trail Blazers are only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Bobcats are a strong 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog period. In addition the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series. Take the Bobcats!

3* ESPN Game of the Week on Lakers -4
There's no doubting how good the Magic have been on the road this season but LA is 20-2 at home and this is a huge revenge spot for the Lakers after losing by 3 down in Orlando earlier this season. LA has won 10 of the last 11 at home in this matchup and I think we'll see a letdown from the Magic tonight as they come up against a better team on its home floor. Plays Against - Road teams (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, in non-conference games are 23-5 ATS since 1996. Pound LA!

3* SUREFIRE on Cavs -3
This line has dropped because of Delonte West's injury but I'm still going with the Cavs here as they are yet to lose at home this season. Lebron did not play particularly well last night and he will be that much more focused here as he looks to avenge an earlier season loss at New Orleans. The Cavs are 15-4 ATS at home this season and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss. Take the Cavs!

5* Eastern Conference GOTM on Wizards -2.5
Revenge is the huge factor weighing into my decision here as NY just beat the Wizards 2 days ago at MSG to mark the third times this season that they have edged out Washington by 6 points or less. Washington is overdue for a win and for one against the Knicks and they will leave it all on the floor to make it happen tonight. Washington wants to give its home fans a win and tonight presents the best opportunity before heading out on the road for four games following this one. NY is only 6-14 on the road this season and only 9-24 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The Knicks are also only 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Washington is 24-10 ATS after 6 or more consecutive losses since 1996. Pound the Wiz!

5* Wiseguy NBA Cold Hard REVENGER on Suns +1.5
Both the Lakers and the Spurs shot out of their butts last night to cost us as well as the sportsbooks as our money was on the right side. Now, it's time to get revenge and this is just the play to do it. The Suns win this game straight up so I'll gladly take any points the books give to us here. The big key here is the absence of Carmelo Anthony. The Suns have started to push the ball again and are daring teams to try to outscore them and that's just not going to happen without Melo's 20+ ppg in the lineup. Also, with Marcus Camby no longer a Nugg, the Suns have a huge advantage in the interior with both Shaq and Stoudemire. Shaq is playing as well as he has since winning a title with the Heat. Denver is just 7-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, losing by 6.2 ppg on average in these spots. Bet the Suns!

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Year on Lakers/Spurs UNDER 201.5
I liked this one when it opened and now the overs-loving public is giving us even better value by driving the line up. These teams have not exceeded a total score of 199 points in any of their last 11 matchups and with this game being played in San Antonio, where the Spurs always control the tempo, I can't see this one coming close to the number tonight. The Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in San Antonio and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The Under is 15-4 in Spurs last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 12-2 in Spurs last 14 vs. NBA Pacific. The Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 games as a road underdog. Pound the Under!

4* Major Western Conference GOTM on Spurs -2.5
After a home loss to Orlando, I expect the Spurs to bounce back strong tonight, sending a message to the Lakers that they will have to get through them to get back to the Finals and it's not going to be easy. The Lakers have been one of the worst covering teams in the league of late, losing 14 of their last 20 against the number. The key here is just how good the Spurs play defensively against the highest scoring teams in the NBA. SA is 18-6 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 102.8 to 91.1. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA REVENGER on Magic -8
One characteristic of bad teams is that they rarely put together good performance in back-to-back games. After a big outright win over Dallas, I expect the Kings to fall flat on their face tonight against one of the best road teams in the NBA. The Kings have not won back-to-back games since early November. The Magic are 26-12 ATS in all games this season and are 14-5 SU and ATS in road games this year. Orlando is playing with tons of confidence right now and it will not allow the Kings to be a road bump. Orlando is 15-4 ATS in non-conference games this season, 15-3 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season, and 14-4 ATS after playing a road game this season. We'll back the Magic tonight.

3* NBA Total of the Week on Hawks/Suns OVER 212
The Suns offense is playing as well as it has all season, scoring 100 or more points in 13 of their last 14 games and breaking the 110-point mark in 8 of those games. Phoenix is 11-1 OVER in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The average score in these games was 113.3 to 108. The Suns have decided to speed up their play again and it is working, but at the same time the defense is allowing more points because of it. I like this one to reach a total of at least 220 so we'll take the over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Year on Bulls +3
I love the Bulls in the home dog role here. Odds makers are extremely confident that Chicago will win this one outright and have given the Bulls a few insurance points as well because they know that the betting public will be all over the Blazers. While Portland has a better record on the season, it is just 8-10 on the road and only 6-12 ATS in those games. The Bulls have struggled away from home but are a strong 12-6 at the United Center. This is an extreme bounce back spot for the Bulls after losing at home to the worst team in the NBA (OKC Thunder). This is also a huge revenge spot as the Bulls were beaten severely, 116-74 in Portland on November 19. The Trail Blazers are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 Monday games while the Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. The Trail Blazers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Bulls are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Bet the Bulls!

4* Major NBA Non-Conference GOTM on Magic +3
I'll gladly take the better team catching 3 points here. Orlando is one of the best road teams in the NBA with a 13-5 SU and ATS record. The Spurs are 14-6 at home but only 8-11-1 ATS in those games. Orlando already has a 12-point home win over the Spurs this season in a game where they held San Antonio to only 78 points. Orlando is 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season, 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons, 14-4 ATS in non-conference games this season, and 12-1 ATS after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less over the last 3 seasons. Take the Magic.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA BLOOD BATH on T-Wolves -1
While Milwaukee has a better record on the season, it's all about what have you done for me lately when capping the NBA. The Wolves have won 4 straight and 6 in a row ATS. They also have the advantage of 3 days rest over a Bucks teams which just played last night. The Wolves have won 9 of the last 12 in this matchup and they will give your bookie a blood bath tonight.

4* Major NBA Road Warrior of the Week on Heat -4
Plain and simple, the best player in the NBA this season, Dwayne Wade, is not going to let his team go down to a Kings team that is 1-10 in its last 11 games. Miami is 4-1 SU and ATS versus the Kings over the last 3 seasons and is 19-4 ATS versus the Kings since 1996. Miami has already crushed Sac 103-77 this season and it will be 8-10 points better tonight. Lay the number.

3* Friday Night NBA Line Mistake on Thunder +7
Plain and simple, the odds makers have undervalued the Thunder yet again because they know the public will continue to fade this team, especially after it was just drilled in its last game. The reality is that the Thunder have covered 8 of their last 10 and 17 of their last 23. The Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Month on Hornets -15.5
The stars have aligned for us here. We get an undermanned Clippers team that just played on the road in San Antonio last night against a Hornets team that will be ready to take out its frustrations over a 26-point loss to Utah two days ago. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Hornets win this one by 30. The Clippers have lost 9 in a row and are struggling mightily without Davis, Kaman, and Randolph as I highlighted yesterday. The Clippers are 1-8 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season. New Orleans is 13-2 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 18-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Pound the Hornets!

4* Major NBA Thursday Night BEST BET on Spurs -13
LA is going without Baron Davis, Chris Kaman, and Zach Randolph tonight, in other words, the majority of their scoring. The only way the Spurs don't embarrass the Clipps tonight is if they are ice cold and I don't see that happening at home. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Pacific and 8-1 ATS after a non-conference game this season. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA GOTM on Jazz -4
This is an exceptional spot to take one of the NBA's best home teams against a Hornets team that is in a major letdown spot following a big win over the Lakers. The Jazz are 13-4 at home this season and have beaten the Hornets 11 times in their last 14 meetings at home. The Jazz are 18-5-1 ATS in their last 24 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 15-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Here's the kicker: NO is 2-12 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1996,losing by 13.7 ppg in these spots. In addition, the Hornets played last night and then had to travel. I'll take the fresher Jazz at home.

4* Major NBA Total of the Week on Bobcats/Cavs UNDER 182.5
This line opened at 178 and is now up 4.5 points. Odds makers hope the over keeps right on getting pounded because they know that the under is the smart money play. In two previous meetings this season, these teams have combined for just 175 and 168 points with the Bobcats scoring in the 70's both times. Both of those were blowout losses for the Cats. Charlotte is 12-4 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season. Here's the bread winner: Cleveland is 229-26 UNDER when they allow 86 or less points in a game since 1996. The average score in these spots totals just 167.7. Take the Under.

4* Major Public Massacre of the Month on Bobcats +9
Boston is in a bit of a funk, having lost 4 of its last 6. While I think the Celtics rebound to get a win here, it won't be easy and they won't come close to covering the number. While Boston has won 6 of 9 meetings between these teams over the last 3 seasons, it is Charlotte that is 7-2 ATS in those games. Boston barely edged out the Bobcats 89-84 in Charlotte in an earlier meeting this season also. The Underdog is a perfect 11-0 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take the Bobcats!

3* Sunday NBA BEST BET on Cavs -9
Cleveland has dropped 3 of its last 4 ATS or we would be laying double digits here. It's time to jump back on the Cavs who are 23-9 ATS in all games this season. Washington played Cleveland to a tough 4-point game on X-Mas day but I expect the Cavs to send a message here. Lay the points.

3* NBA Dog of the Day on Thunder +8
Denver has not been at its best lately, losing 5 of its last 9. The Thunder continue to lose, yet they also cover, as odds makers continue to take advantage of the public fading them. We won't get caught in that trap here. The Thunder have covered the number in 15 of their last 20 and 6 of their last 7. We'll take the points.

3* NBA New Year's Eve Line Mistake on Thunder +3
The wrong team is favored in this matchup. We won't complain, we'll just take advantage. The Thunder may have a terrible record, but is has covered 14 of its last 19 games and faces a Warriors team that is just 4-16 on the road this season. The Warriors are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Non-Conference GOTW on Blazers +4.5
The public is pounding the Celtics which means that odds makers have them right where they want them. Portland has home court and rest in its favor and it will most definitely get up for a Boston team that beat them earlier this month. Recent losses by the C's to LA and Golden State will give the Blazers a little bit more confidence tonight as Boston has not looked so invincible on this road trip. Portland is 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS at home. Portland is 31-14 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons and 20-9 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. You might even be able to get this one at a bit better line as the public pounds Boston, but I'll lock in here to get this one out to you guys. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Fave of the Week on T-Wolves -2
Minnesota has lost 9 straight and the Wolves will leave it all out on the floor to pick up a win against a team they know they can beat. Memphis is only 2-12 on the road this season and 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games as a road underdog. The Timberwolves are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home. We'll lay the points as the Wolves finally break through tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Nuggets -6.5
Denver is 15-3 ATS in home non-conference games over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 113.6 to 99.5 and 15-5 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. Denver is 10-4 at home this season and I look for a well-rested Nuggets team to finally regroup following a stretch where they dropped 4 of 5. With Melo out, we gain additional line value. While he is always missed for this team, it will not matter tonight as the Sixers are playing without their big horse Elton Brand. Make the lay.

4* Major NBA Steal of the Week on Bobcats +4.5
Charlotte is catching too many points on the road this season and why would the odds makers stop now when books are making big cash on the public going against Charlotte. While the Bobcats are only 2-9 in road games, they are 8-3 ATS and 17-12 ATS in all games this season. New Jersey is only 5-10 SU and ATS at home this year. New Jersey is only 4-13 ATS in home December games over the last 2 seasons. The Bobcats have won 3 of 4 and will have an excellent opportunity to steal this one tonight and I think they get the job done. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Rematch on Celtics +2.5
Besides the fact that Boston is playing the best ball in the NBA right now and is on pace to have the best record in NBA history, the Celtics will win this one because they are the superior defensive team. Boston allows 6.1 ppg less than the Lakers. Boston is 18-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 97 to 89.8 while LA is 5-15 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons,losing by an average score of 98.7 to 102.8. LA is also 1-12 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 98.3 to 104.5. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Cavs -7.5
The Cavs will definitely get up for a Houston team that has also been rolling. We'll ride the best covering team in the league tonight as this line appears a little soft. The Cavs are 11-2 ATS at home this season and 21-6 ATS in all games. Cleveland is also 18-4 ATS as a favorite this season. Houston does not play uptempo hoops well and I expect the Cavs to turn this one into a track meet. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Lakers/Grizzlies OVER 203.5
The Lakers have lost back-to-back games and that will be bad news for Memphis tonight. While my lean is with LA on the side, I think the odds makers have set a decent number and where they have missed their mark is with the total. Each of the last 3 meetings in Memphis between these two teams have gone over the total. The Lakers are 9-1 OVER after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons, with these games totaling 220.4 on average. The Lakers are also 13-2 OVER after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons and 15-4 OVER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 5 or more consecutive games since 1996. In other words, the over has been the play when LA is in a bounce back spot. Pound the Over.

5* NBA Favorite of the Month on Memphis Grizzlies -2.5
Charlotte is just 1-9 on the road this season and while it has been a solid road covering team, it won't get the job done tonight against a Grizzlies squad playing good hoops. Memphis has won 4 of 5 and is 4-0-1 ATS in those games. Memphis is 2-0 SU and ATS in this matchup the past two seasons and has won 4 straight home games in this series. Charlotte is just 13-30 ATS against Southwest division opponents since 1996, losing these games by an average score of 87.6 to 98.4. Lay the points.

4* Major on Knicks -3
New York is a solid 7-4 SU and ATS at home this season and has covered the spread in 7 straight games (and 9 of L10). Milwaukee has already beaten the Knicks twice this season so they will be out for revenge here. The Bucks are only 5-12 on the road and 7-17 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NY is 7-0 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog this season and 11-1 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog this season. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on New Jersey Nets +4.5
I like the Nets in this one with Devin Harris showing his former team what they are missing out one. Dallas has lost 5 of its last 6 ATS and is just 8-18 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Dallas is 7-20 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons and only 6-16 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons period. Take the Nets as Harris' speed will be a major problem for Dallas in this game.

4* Major NBA on TNT BEST BET on Blazers -4
Just as the 76ers line moved in our favor last night, this line has as well to strengthen this play. This is a huge revenge spot for a Blazers team which now believes it can beat the Suns. The Blazers have lost 9 straight to Phoenix over the last 3 seasons including a 10-point loss on the road this year and they will be out for blood. Portland is 8-2 at home this season. It is 29-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons and 31-16 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA BEST BET on 76ers -3.5
I liked this one when the line first opened and it has moved nicely in our favor to give us even a little bit better value. First off, Milwaukee has struggled against the Atlantic Division at 13-27 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The 76ers absolutely destroyed the Bucks in the last two meetings of last season, winning 119-97 and 112-69. Odds makers know exactly how often the Bucks have been covering the number this season and that's why they have not given them enough points tonight. Lay the number with Philly.

5* NBA Western Conference GOTM on Clippers -4.5
The Clippers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series and 8-1 ATS in the last 9 road meetings. The Clippers are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NBA Northwest, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Western Conference, and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Thunder are only 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5 and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Clippers are off back to back wins and starting to get something going. Pound LA tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Bulls -2
Charlotte has lost 7 straight, and after going down in Atlanta last night, the Bobcats will not have enough gas left in their tank to come out on top against a well rested Bulls team. The Bulls have won 11 of the last 15 meetings and are 5-2 SU and ATS against the Bobcats the last 3 seasons. The Bulls have won 3 of their last 4 games and can get back to the .500 mark with a win tonight. Take Chicago here.

3* SUREFIRE on Bobcats +7.5
Off its biggest win of the season over an unstoppable Cleveland team, I'll go against Atlanta in a letdown spot tonight. Charlotte has already played the Hawks to a 5-point game on the road this season and will be very hungry for a win after dropping 6 in a row. While Charlotte is just 1-8 on the road, it is 6-3 ATS in those games. Plays against home favorites - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-17 ATS since 1996. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA BLOOD BATH on Kings -2
Sac has won 10 of its last 12 home meetings against the Knicks and is a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at home against NY the last 2 seasons. The Kings have been playing well, splitting a home and home with the Lakers and covering the spread in both. NY is just 3-8 on the road this season and it will fall victim to a hungry Kings squad tonight. The Knicks are only 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5. Take the Kings.

4* Major Home Court Advantage CASH COW on Jazz -4.5

The Jazz are about as solid as a team can be on their home floor with a 47-7 run in tact in their building. They have the huge edge tonight against a Magic team coming in off an emotionally and physically exhausting 1-point loss to Phoenix last night. Dwight Howard left in the third quarter last night with a knee injury and it could keep him out tonight. At the very least, he will not be at full strength against a Jazz team which likes to push it up and down the floor. We'll lay the points.

4* Major NBA Total of the Week on Bulls/Grizz OVER 199.5
I liked this one when it opened and as expected it has moved even further in our favor. Chicago is all "O" and no "D" this season and is giving up 103.8 ppg on the road. The Bulls have scored 117 and 105 in back to back wins while the Grizz have scored 109 and 108 in back to back wins and this number does not account for how well these two teams are clicking right now on the offensive end. The Over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings, 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 overall, 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 8-2 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Pound the Over.

3* SUREFIRE on 76ers +10.5
Philly lost by 8 at home to the Cavs to days ago, but I like them to hang even tougher in this one. Cleveland is as white hot as you can be, but they are banged up and it is very difficult to pull off the sweep in these home and home situations. Philly is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 meetings in Cleveland and 12-3 ATS in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons. I have Cleveland's run of good fortune finally ending tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Jazz -1.5
Utah was among the NBA's best home teams a season ago and it is picking up right where it left off with a 9-3 home mark right out of the gate. Utah has also already played Portland at home this season and was victorious by 7 points. The Blazers have dropped 5 in a row ATS as well. Utah is 18-5 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 104.3 to 91.8. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Punisher on Wizards +10.5
The public is too caught up with the fact that Boston is 20-2 and Washington is 4-15 to realize that the Wizards are quietly playing better basketball. The Wizards have been an underdog in each of their last five games and have covered the spread in all five. This run included a two-point loss to the Lakers and a decisive 13-point win over Detroit. Washington has won 4 straight home games against Boston and the underdog is a strong 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings. And here's the kicker, Boston is only 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a road favorite of 5-10.5 points. Take Washington.

5* Wiseguy NBA GOTM on Raptors -3.5
I love the Raptors at home tonight as they will be looking to bounce back strong following last night's blowout defeat at the hands of the Cavs. Indiana is just 2-8 on the road this season and has lost each of its last 3 road games SU and ATS. The Raptors have had Indy's number. The Pacers are just 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Toronto and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall. The Pacers are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. the Eastern Conference. Expect Bosh to go off tonight after coming off a season-low nine points. We'll take the Raptors big at home.

4* Major NBA Favorite of the Week on Suns -6
The Bucks have lost 20 straight at Phoenix and that streak will not come to an end tonight. The Bucks have been a strong covering team this season but odds makers have not given them enough points tonight. The Suns snapped a 4-game winning streak with a big win over Utah and that win gives them plenty of momentum to blowout the Bucks tonight. The Suns beat Milwaukee by 8 on the road to cover the number in an earlier season contest and I like them by at least 10 here. Lay the points.

4* Major Monday Night NBA BEST BET on LA Clippers +4.5
Now that the Clippers coaching staff has opted to play its solid starting 5 more minutes, the team is playing much better hoops. As a result, the Clipps have covered the spread in five of their last six games. The Clippers have won 4 of the last 5 against the Magic and matchup very well against them this season with Camby now aboard to defense Howard. The Home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the Magic are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles. Also, the Magic have come out of the weekends a little hung over and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Monday games as a result. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Pacers +11
Off a lopsided defeat to Boston, I look for the Pacers to bounce back strong tonight. They have the firepower to score against Cleveland and that will allow them to stay in this game. Indiana has already played the Cavs to a 4-point game in Cleveland this season. Indians is 11-1 ATS after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 109.9 to 103.4. Take the points tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Nuggets -4.5
Denver is rolling, having won 12 of its last 15. The Nugs are a healthy 12-6 against the number in all games this season and 6-2 ATS at home. The Spurs defense is not as good as it has been in year's past and that opens them up for a beatdown tonight. Denver is 11-1 ATS in home games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game since 1996, winning these games by an average score of 102.1 to 91.8. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Boston -13
I love the Celtics in this spot tonight. Indy is coming off of a huge win by 1-point over the Lakers last night and now must play at Boston tonight which will be out for revenge after getting trounced by Indy earlier this season. No way Indy can bounce back after such an emotionally and physically draining game and this line reflects that. The Pacers are only 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings with the Celtics. Boston is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Lay the number.

3* SUREFIRE on Nuggets -6.5
I like the Nuggets at home against the struggling Raptors tonight. Toronto has dropped 5 straight ATS and it takes on a Denver team that has won 11 of its last 14 games. The Raptors are a pathetic 6-24 ATS in their last 30 games playing on 1 days rest, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest. The Nuggets are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Atlantic and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Month on Lakers/Pacers OVER 212
The Lakers are putting up huge numbers, scoring better than 112 points five times during their current 7 game winning streak, and they'll help drive this thing over the number tonight. LA has gone over the number in four straight games and the Pacers have gone over in 4 of their last 5. The Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 vs. Eastern Conference and 13-3-2 in Pacers last 18 vs. Western Conference. Odds makers are begging for us to take the Under here with this line but we won't bite. Pound the over.

3* SUREFIRE on Celtics -8.5
I'll take Boston at home, where they have dominated the Magic, with two of Orlando's starting guards out. The Home team is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings. The Magic are 2-11 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Boston. The Celtics are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning SU record while the Magic are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. We'll lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Magic/Celtics U 189.5
The Under is a strong 17-5 in the Magic's last 22 road games, 21-8 in the Magic's last 29 vs. the Eastern Conference, and 5-1 in their last 6 vs. the NBA Atlantic. Boston is 27-12 Under in home games against Southeast division opponents since 1996 and the Under is also 20-7 in the Celtics' last 27 Monday games. Take the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference GOTM on Thunder +2
I love Oklahoma City in this bounce back spot tonight against another NW Division team that's not worth a lick. The Thunder are coming off their absolute worst performance of the season and that always means better the next time out. Plays on any team after 6 or more consecutive losses, first half of the season are 64-34 ATS the last5 seasons. Minnesota is only 5-17 ATS in road games after a game with 20 or more offensive rebounds since 1996. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Northwest including 2-0 this season. They beat Minnesota at home by 3 earlier this season for their one and only win and that gives them a lot of confidence going up against the Wolves again. We'll take the points.

4* Major NBA Total of the Month on Knicks/Pistons UNDER 209.5
Plays under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 25-6 UNDER since 1996. We'll pound this 80.6% system tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on 76ers -3.5
Philly is 5-2 at home this season and I like them to cool the Magic off tonight. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game while the Magic are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Fade the Magic in this letdown spot.

4* Major NBA Dog of the Week on Knicks +7
The Knicks are 5-2 at home this season and scoring tons of points in MSG (109.4). There new style of play under coach D'Antoni is going to have them playing much more competitive basketball as we have already seen in the early going as other teams are not conditioned to play this uptempo style the entire game. The underdog has brought home the bacon in this series 9 of the last 12 times and the Cavs are only 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Plays against road favorites (CLEVELAND) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record are 39-13 ATS since 1996. Take the Knicks.

3* SUREFIRE on Rockets -3
Houston has been very impressive on the road this season with a 6-3 SU and ATS mark. The Rockets are really playing solid basketball, winning 4 of their last 5 SU and ATS. Houston is also 3-1 SU and ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons in this series. The Rockets have a big advantage on the interior tonight and are also the superior defensive team. That is why you are going to see this team by successful on the road this year and that is why you saw them go on that long winning spree last season. Miami is 3-17 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons and 1-10 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Take the Rockets.

4* Major NBA Road Warrior of the Month on Magic -2
The Magic are on fire, winning 8 of their last 9, and this small number will be no problem for them to conquer tonight. The Magic are now 20-6 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons and I fully expect this trend of early season success to continue because of the great offensive balance that they have. Indians is only 10-22 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. We'll lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Blazers -6
Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO)after 5 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less against an opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 30-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. After coming up short in a great effort against the Lakers, Chicago endures a letdown tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Hawks -7.5
Since winning their first 6 games, the Hawks have dropped 4 in a row. They are back at home tonight and I like them to run the 1-7 Wizards right off the court. Washington is 0-4 on the road this season and 0-3 in division games. The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA BLOWOUT of the Week on Nuggets -8.5
Denver is rolling having won 5 of 6 SU and 7 of 10 ATS this season. Bringing in an unselfish leader in Billups and shipping AI off was a great move for this team. Denver is 18-5 ATS versus Milwaukee over the last 23 meetings and 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS the last 12. Redd is likely to return tonight for Milwaukee but you'll see the rust on him. Big play tonight on the Nuggets at home.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Utah -1.5
The Jazz could be without Williams and Okur tonight, but it won't matter in my book. They have lost three in a row on the road and will return home hungry against a team they have dominated at home. Utah jumped out to a 6-1 start without Williams so this team has proven that it can win without him on the floor. Utah won two of three against Phoenix last season, and has taken six of eight in the series overall and the Jazz are a perfect 4-0 at home this season. We'll play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) off 2 or more consecutive road losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team. This system is 48-21 ATS since 1996. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Oklahoma City +8.5
The Thunder is overdue for a win having lost 7 in a row and I like them to really challenge for one tonight as they return home from a two-game road trip to take on a Rockets team which has been very up and down on the road this season. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Pistons +2.5
Detroit is 11-2 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 3 seasons. The Pistons are 5-1 SU and ATS on the road this season. The Pistons are also 8-4 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games at Phoenix. We'll take the points.

4* Major NBA Beat Down of the Night on Pacers -1
Indiana is 5-2 ATS in all games this season and is rolling having won 3 straight. Indy is also 5-2 SU and ATS versus the Sixers the last 7 meetings. The 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Lay the point.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on New Orleans -1
The Hornets are at home with 4 days of rest under their belts while the Lakers played on the road last night. The jetlagged Lakers will endure their first loss of the season tonight at the hands of the fresh Hornets. The Hornets are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. NBA Pacific, 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 home games, and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Lay the point.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference GOTM on Knicks +3.5
I love the 4-2 Knicks tonight against the 1-4 Spurs without Ginobli and Parker. NY is rolling having won 3 straight and the Spurs will not have the horses to stay with them here. San Antonio is 0-5 ATS this season and odds makers continue to overvalue this team because of the public's perception of it. Coach D'Antoni is 19-5 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher in all games he has coached since 1996, winning these games by an average score of 104.2 to 97.1. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Bulls -3.5
I really like the Bulls at home tonight laying a small number against a Hawks team overdue for a loss. The Bulls have beaten the Hawks 7 straight times at the United Center and I like them to prevail again here. Atlanta is 1-11 ATS in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons, 2-11 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons, and 5-15 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Take the Bulls.

3* SUREFIRE on Memphis Grizzlies +12
The Road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series and the Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss. Plays against home favorites (PHOENIX) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 45-17 ATS since 1996. Phoenix is 4-17 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. Take Memphis.

4* Major NBA Upset of the Week on Pacers +9.5
The Pacers are getting too many points tonight and we'll make the books pay for it. Indiana is an improved team this season but the odds makers haven't bothered to adjust their lines to it yet because they know that the public is still wanting to fade this team. However, Indy is 2-0 ATS vs. the Eastern Conference this season with a blowout win over Boston and it took the Pistons down to the wire on the road. The Pacers also hung with a very good Suns team before letting the game slip away late to lose by 10. Indiana is 19-8 ATS after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Pacers have an excellent opportunity to win this game even as big dogs. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Knicks +6
Washington is 0-3 and will be really gunning for its first win of the year tonight but it is not 6 points better than the Knicks. I see this one going right down to the wire so we'll take the points. Washington is 8-20 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons and 3-14 ATS after a game where their opponent was called for 30 or more fouls over the last 3 seasons. NY has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings and is 3-1 ATS in the last 4 at Washington. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Spurs -4
After getting blown out my rival Dallas last night, the Spurs will buckle down and get their first win of the season tonight. San Antonio is 22-6 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers since 1996, winning these games by 10.1 ppg on average. I like the defensive intensity to pick up a lot tonight and for the Spurs to come out on top by a comfortable margin.