4* Major Regular Season Finale (ESPN) on Mavs +1
I like the Mavs at home in this regular season finale tonight as they have a chance to keep the Rockets from a division title and to move up to a No. 6 seed. Houston has played just .500 ball on the road this season while the Mavs are a healthy 31-9 at home. The Rockets are just 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Mavericks are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss. Bet Dallas tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on 76ers -5.5
Boston has no incentive to win this game with the No. 2 seed already in the bag. Philly has a huge incentive to win, however, as it looks to end a 5-game losing streak to gain some momentum heading into the playoffs. The Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Hawks -7.5
I've spotted another double digit blood bath in the making in the Heat/Hawks matchup tonight. The Heat will be without a good amount of scoring tonight with Jermaine O'Neal expected to sit. Wade is expected to sit as well to rest up before the playoffs and the Heat have no chance without him on the floor. Even if he plays, his minutes will be limited. This is Atlanta's last home game of the season and it will be looking to send a message to the Heat tonight as they will face them in the first round. The Heat will gladly give up the decisive loss to rest its banged up players and to let the Hawks think the series will be a cake walk. The Hawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit BLOOD BATH of the Year on Rockets -8
Houston is tied with the Spurs for the top spot in the Southwest so they have plenty of motivation to win tonight. This is Houston's last home game of the season and they will be playing it with 3 days rest while the struggling Hornets just played yesterday. Houston has been unstoppable at home this season at 32-8. The Hornets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 while the Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. The public is all over the Hornets in this one, but they are failing to take into consideration how big of an edge Houston has in the fresh legs department and also how much teams get up for their last home game of the season. Total blowout tonight. Lay the points!

4* Major Sunday NBA Double Digit BLOOD BATH on Heat -6.5
Off back-to-back defeats, I expect the Heat to be out for blood Sunday. Adding to the strength of this play is the fact that the Knicks are coming off a big double digit win over the Magic as a double digit dog so we find them in a letdown spot today. Miami has plenty to play for as it is looking to pin down the No. 5 seed to avoid Boston or Orlando in the playoffs. Lay the points in this situation.

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Opinion Game of the Year on Magic -5.5
After a terrible performance against the Knicks last night, the public will be expecting the Magic to bounce back strong tonight and I have to agree with them 100 percent. This team has not been playing very well its last 4 games since crushing the Cavs and last night's loss to a non-playoff team was the wake up call the Magic needed. New Jersey is just 7-17 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 12.6 points in these games. New Jersey is 0-8 ATS in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 90.3 to 106.5. Lastly, Orlando is 10-1 ATS in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 108.2 to 95.5. The defensive intensity picks up for the Magic tonight and I expect them to take the ball much more aggressively to the hoop instead of settling for so many threes and the result will be a double digit win.

3* SUREFIRE on Spurs -3
The Spurs have won 19 straight at home against the Jazz and after a poor performance at home against the Blazers last game, I expect the Spurs to get back on track tonight. Not only have the Jazz lost these 19 straight road games to the Spurs, but they have lost them by an average of 16.1 ppg. Utah has struggled on the road all season and we will continue to fade them away from home.

4* Major NBA Underdog of the Month on Knicks +11
The Knicks have played the Magic to within 7 points in each of their 3 games against each other this season. Having lost all 3 of those games and coming off a terrible performance against the Pistons will have New York very motivated tonight. We'll play on any team after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against an opponent after a combined score of 160 points or less as this system is 23-5 ATS (82.1%) over the last 5 seasons. Great spot to back the Knicks tonight.

3* NBA on TNT Prime Time Punisher on Lakers -9
The Lakers own the Nuggets at home and they will be very motivated tonight for a couple reasons. First off, they are fighting with Cleveland for home court advantage throughout the playoffs. Secondly, they will be looking to pay Denver back after an embarrassing 79-90 defeat at Denver the last time these teams faced off. LA is 6-1 SU and ATS at home versus the Nuggets the last 3 seasons and 23-2 SU and 17-6-2 ATS at home against the Nuggets since 1996. In all, the Lakers are 10-4 SU and ATS versus Denver the last 3 seasons. The Lakers are 15-5 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season while the Nuggets are 5-16 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA GOTY on Hornets -2.5
The Suns are done. We saw it when they laid down against the Mavs in a must win game last time out and got spanked 116-140. The Hornets have owned the Suns, going a perfect 8-0 ATS against them the last 3 seasons and they will be ready to roll tonight at home as they look to try to snatch the No. 4 seed in the West by season's end to lock up home court in the first round. Phoenix is 6-14 ATS as a road underdog this season, losing by an average score of 106.5 to 115. The Hornets are 23-10-2 ATS in their last 35 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day and 33-16-3 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 0 days rest so don't expect the back-to-back to give them much trouble, especially with as bad as the Suns have been defensively. Lay the points!

3* Public Massacre of the Grizzlies +7
The public is all over the Blazers here, but Memphis has shown that it is not about to roll over, going 4-0 SU and ATS in its last 4 games. Memphis was just thumped by 20 points in Portland on March 28th and I expect the Grizzlies to take exception to that tonight. The Underdog is 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Bet Memphis at home!

5* Wiseguy NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on Bobcats -4.5
The Cats are still alive in the playoff race and after 3 straight losses, I expect a very motivated performance at home tonight. Charlotte has had Philly's number, going 4-1 SU and ATS at home over the last 3 seasons against the 76ers and 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS at home in the last 8 meetings in this matchup. The Home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings. The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Atlantic and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less. Bet the Bobcats at home tonight. Good Luck!

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference GOTM on Rockets -4
Expect the Rockets to bounce back strong at home tonight after enduring back-to-back road losses. The Blazers have won 4 in a row, but they meet their match tonight as none of their last 4 opponents are even close to as good as Houston is defensively. Houston is 30-8 at home this season, winning by an average score of 100.3 to 92.0 in those games. The Rockets have also won 4 of the last 5 at home in this series. Also, plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 115-66 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points!

3* SUREFIRE on Jazz +3
Utah's lack of success on the road is well documented, but the Jazz will be ready to go tonight after losing 3 in a row, including a terrible loss as a double digit favorite at home against Minnesota last game. The Hornets struggle in this matchup as Chris Paul has a tougher time going against the bigger, stronger Deron Williams. In fact, Utah has taken 7 of the 9 meetings over the last 3 seasons. We'll call on an interesting system which tells us that Utah will bring the defense tonight. Utah is 9-0 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 105.0 to 87.0. Bet the Jazz.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Hawks +2.5
With Orlando coming off a huge win over Cleveland last night, it's going to be very difficult for the Magic to get up for this one. It will be no problem for the Hawks, who have lost two in a row and were drilled by the Magic the last time these teams squared off. The Hawks are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 home games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. The Magic are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the Hawks!

3* SUREFIRE on New Orleans Hornets -3.5
Plain and simple, the Warriors do not have enough healthy horses to compete with Chris Paul and company tonight. Stephen Jackson and Corey Maggette will both be out along with several other key contributors. New Orleans has rattled off 3 straight wins and I look for it to keep rolling here against one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. Plus, Golden State's thrilling win last time out against the Kings sets it up for a terrible letdown here as it is 0-10 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Friday Night BLOWOUT on Jazz -13
Off back-to-back double digit losses to division rivals Portland and Utah, expect the Jazz to take their frustrations out on lowly Minnesota tonight. I would like the Jazz going against the Wolves at this number even if Minnesota was at full strength, but the Wolves will be without Al Jefferson, Corey Brewer, and likely Randy Foye and Craig Smith as well. Utah is 20-8 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. The Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. This one is going to be ugly. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference GOTM on Boston Celtics -4.5
Boston has its eye fixed on securing the No. 2 seed in the East as it has won 7 of its last 8 games. Boston is an unbelievable 31-6 at home this season and I like the Celtics laying a relatively small number against a Hawks team that is just 14-23 on the road. Doubt is starting to set in by now for the Hawks, which have played the Celtics tough 3 times this season but have came away empty handed in each time. Boston always takes this matchup very seriously after the Hawks took it to 7 games in the first round of the playoffs a season ago. Boston has widened its margin of victory each time it has played the Hawks this season, winning by 6 points in Atlanta on March 27th. I like Boston by double digits tonight an Atlanta team which has now lost 4 straight on the road. Atlanta is 3-12 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, losing these games badly by an average score of 88.5 to 106.4. Pound the Celtics!

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Month on 76ers -7.5
Milwaukee is just 3-11 SU and ATS in its last 14 games and there's no way the Bucks will be able to get up for this one after en emotionally draining performance against the Lakers last night. Philly is playing out the regular season to lock up home court in the first round of the playoffs so it has every reason to take care of business. The Bucks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Lay the points and this one gets ugly!

4* Major NBA Dog of the Week on Kings +8.5
The Warriors are laying too many points when you consider the injury problems they have been plagued with. The Kings beat Phoenix and then played New Orleans to a 1-point game and will have no problem scoring against one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA tonight. Plays against home teams in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (>=102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 36-18 ATS since 1996. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Odds Maker Error on Grizzlies -2.5
The Wizards are really banged up and will be without a lot of fire power tonight. That gives Memphis a big edge at home against a Wizards team which has lost 9 of its last 10 on the road. Washington has just 5 wins on the road all season. The Wizards are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Memphis and the Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Also, the Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Southwest and 5-14-2 ATS in their last 21 road games. Grizzlies should be laying a few more points here so we'll take advantage of this soft line. Pound the Grizz!

3* SUREFIRE on Bobcats +9
The Bobcats are going after the final playoff spot in the East hard and I like their chances tonight against a Boston team playing without KG and Leon Powe. The Bobcats just beat the Lakers last night and that win is going to give them an added boost of confidence. Charlotte has played its best basketball against the best teams and already has a win over the Celtics this season when Boston was at full strength. Charlotte is getting too many. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on 76ers -1.5
Expect a letdown from the Hawks tonight after a big win over the Lakers as they go out on the road against a hungry 76ers team off back-to-back defeats. The 76ers have already dropped one double digit defeat on the Hawks this season so this system becomes significant as play against underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 123-76 ATS since 1996. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA REVENGE GAME OF THE WEEK on Lakers -5.5
After losing by 10 points to the Hawks and only scoring 76 points, expect LA to bury the Bobcats tonight as it fights with Cleveland for home court advantage throughout the playoffs. Charlotte beat LA by 7 in Tinsel Town earlier this season so the Lakers will be out for additional revenge tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season, winning these games by 11 points on average. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy 31-0 ATS NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Nets -4.5
There's no question about it, the Bucks have packed it in for the 2008-09 season, dropping 10 of their last 12 SU and 11 of their last 12 ATS. To add insult to injury, Milwaukee is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 meetings in New Jersey and 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings overall. Milwaukee has been miserable away from home this season at just 11-27. The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. I like the Nets to bounce back strong after a very disappointing loss to Minnesota. Lay the points!

5* NBA "TOTAL" Blowout of the Month on Spurs/Hornets OVER 177.5
Both of these teams are solid defensively so that drives this number down. Plus, the Hornets have gone under in 8 straight games so that drives the number down even more. New Orleans has lost back-to-back games and it knows it will need to speed up the tempo to beat the Spurs tonight. With the Spurs back at full strength with Ginobli back in the lineup, I expect to see a better San Antonio offensive as well. The Over is 8-1 in Spurs last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 4-0 in Spurs last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Also, plays over on teams where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games are 94-38 (71.2%) since 1996. Bet the Over!

3* Late Night NBA Bailout on Grizzlies +13
Off a huge blowout win over the Suns and with Utah up next in a big division game, expect the Blazers to get caught overlooking the Grizzlies tonight. Memphis did just play last night, but it got a big win over the Kings and any win is a huge confidence booster for this team. This season, Memphis has played Portland to 4 and 11 point games so I have no doubt the Grizzlies can keep this one within the number as well. Memphis is 17-5 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, losing by just 1.0 points in these games. Take the points!

4* Major NBA Double Digit BLOOD BATH on Bobcats -6.5
NY is just 10-24 on the road all season and stands no chance tonight playing back-to-back in a letdown spot after an upset win over the Hornets. Charlotte played last night as well, beating Philly on the road, but expect no letdown from the Bobcats as they continue to fight for the final playoff spot. The Bobcats are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic. We'll lay the points.

4* Major Friday Night NBA BEST BET on Bobcats +5.5
The Bobcats have had a day to regroup after losing to lowly Washington and they'll be ready to go tonight. Every game from here on out is a big one with the Cats trying to play their way into the postseason. The Bobcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The 76ers are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games, 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing SU record, and 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. We'll take the points.

4* Major NBA Deadly Dog of the Week on Nuggets +4.5
The Hornets are being overvalued tonight. I'll take the points with the better team here. The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 while the Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. New Orleans is not playing as well as the wins and losses indicate as they have had a very soft schedule of late. Denver wins this one outright!

3* NBA Playoffs Preview on Celtics +3.5
The Celtics have endured some injury problems but they are getting healthier. I believe Boston is still the better team in this matchup and they will be out for revenge after losing by 7 at home to the Magic earlier this month. Boston is 12-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and 14-4 ATS in road games revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. The Magic are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Take Boston.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Jazz -5.5
The Jazz were an 8.5-point favorite when they played the Rockets at home 20 days ago. The Jazz won that game by 7 points. With the number now set 3 points lower, I'll jump all over the Jazz here against a Rockets team coming off a highly emotional win against rival San Antonio. Utah is 18-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 106.4 to 95.5 in these spots. We'll lay the points with the Jazz at home.

3* SUREFIRE on San Antonio Spurs -10.5
I expect the Spurs to take out their frustration over back-to-back losses out of the Warriors tonight. Golden State is a terrible 6-29 on the road this season, allowing 111.9 ppg in these contests. The Spurs are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS at home against the Warriors the last 3 seasons, which includes a 123-88 win at home earlier this season. The Warriors are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Favorite is 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Home team is 18-6-1 ATS in the last 25 meetings. The Warriors are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in San Antonio. Bet San Antonio in this bounce back spot.

4* Major Monday Night NBA BEST BET on Hawks -11.5
The Cleveland Cavaliers ended Atlanta's 7 game winning streak and now the Hawks will be out for blood against a Timberwolves team which just played yesterday. Because of the injuries to key players, the Wolves have had to live and die by the 3 and that will not treat them well tonight as Atlanta is 8-0 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Hawks are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Lay the points.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Magic -12
The Knicks have been slaughtered each of their last 2 games and they have a fresh Magic team waiting for them tonight. The Magic have all the motivation in the world to put the hurt on NY here as they chase Boston for the second best mark in the East, which would give them home court if they were to meet in the playoffs. Orlando is 14-3 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season. We'll lay the points.

3* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Timberwolves +11.5
I like the Wolves to give the Rockets a run for their money tonight with a chance to win this game so I will take the points. Houston has a revenge game with the Spurs on deck so I expect them to be looking ahead here while the Wolves are playing with triple revenge against Houston this season so they will be playing to avoid being swept. The Timberwolves are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater, 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games, and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Rockets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Rockets are overvalued. Take the points!

4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Blazers/Cavs UNDER 185.5
I would already expect a defensive battle in this one, but with Portland wearing itself out last night, I like the Under even more. Plain and simple, plays under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (PORTLAND) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 58-28 under the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH on Thunder -2
With the Bulls coming from behind to beat the Celtics last night, I don't think they'll have anything left when they head out on the road to face a Thunder team that has won 4 straight at home. And it's not as if the Thunder has just been beating powder puffs. 3 of those 4 wins are against quality opponents - the likes of Dallas, Philly, and San Antonio. The Bulls are just 10-26 on the road this season and in a terrible letdown spot. I like the Thunder by double digits!

3* NBA DOG OF THE NIGHT on Pacers +2
Hungry for a win, I like the Pacers to get the job done against a Blazers team that has struggled on the road all season. With Cleveland tomorrow night, I think you'll see the Blazers get caught looking right past the Pacers. Indiana has been no push over at home at 19-12 this season. The Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana and 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take the Pacers.

3* NBA Public Massacre on Bulls +2.5
The Celtics have lost 8 of their last 9 ATS and are really struggling without KG. Chicago is 20-11 at home this season and sniffing the playoffs. It will get up for this one like you haven't seen before this year. The Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Celtics are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing SU record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. We'll take this 24-0 ATS Angle to the bank!

4* Major NBA Underdog of the Month on Kings +12
Off a blowout win over the Blazers and with a big game against the Mavs coming up, the Hawks have no incentive to blowout a Kings team that is quietly playing very well right now. The Kings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games. They have a win over Denver and a 3-point loss to Cleveland during the stretch. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Pacific. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Odds makers have horribly undervalued the Kings here and they will keep this one within single digits.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference GOTY on Hornets -3.5
With a chance to move into second place in the NBA Southwest to creep that much closer to San Antonio, I like the Hornets to get the job done here. The Hornets return home from a 4-game road trip out for blood after getting crushed 79-97 by the Bulls. This matchup is all about home court as both teams have 9-point wins at home this season. In fact, the Home team is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and New Orleans is 4-1 SU and ATS at home against Houston the last 3 seasons. The Rockets are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Southwest. The Hornets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. New Orleans is 9-0 ATS in home games in March over the last 2 seasons and 19-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Lay the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on Hawks -4.5
The Hawks are rolling having won 4 in a row and they are an outstanding 24-7 in home games this season. The Blazers are only 13-18 away from home and have dropped 6 of their last 7 road games. The Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Trail Blazers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Spurs +2.5
Off a loss a loss to the Lakers, I look for a fresher Spurs team to bounce back tonight against a Rockets team which just played in Charlotte last night and then had to travel back home. Also, the Spurs will be out to avenge an embarrassing 84-103 loss when they visited here earlier in the season. The rest factor is crucial as Houston is just 1-8 ATS in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. Another thing to look at is how solid the Spurs have been on the road, going 20-12 SU and 18-13 ATS this season. The Spurs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. We'll bet San Antonio in this one.

4* Major NBA BAILOUT GOTM on Warriors -1
With Dallas looking ahead to the Lakers, look for the Warriors to jump up and bite the Mavs tonight. Golden State is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS at home against the Mavs the last 3 seasons as they have had a terrible time with Golden State's uptempo offense. The Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Mavericks are 2-12-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Golden State and 7-22-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings. All Warriors here!

4* Major NBA on TNT BEST BET on Suns +5
The Suns have now lost 5 straight and are seeing their playoff hopes slip away. They can't afford to drop another game tonight so we can expect to see maximum effort from this team. The public is all over the Cavs and that only makes me like Phoenix more tonight as Cleveland has lost each of its last 2 ATS on the road. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix and the Home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Cavaliers are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. The Suns are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. I really like the Suns to pull off the upset tonight so I'll take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Lakers +2
This is a statement game for the Lakers after getting crushed by Portland last time out. LA has now lost its last 3 road games and this is a situation where Kobe puts the team on his back and grinds out a "W". Not having Odom in the lineup doesn't affect the Lakers at all tonight as he is usually non-existent in physical games anyhow. Look for LA to get out in transition to take Yao out of the action as much as possible. The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Houston and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Plays on road teams (LA LAKERS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 31-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take LA!

5* Wiseguy NBA Super System Play of the Month on Knicks/Pistons UNDER 206.5
The Knicks just played a tough, emotionally draining triple revenge game last night so it is going to be hard for them to run all over a very good defensive Pistons team which will be out for some revenge against them. Detroit is 10-0 Under revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite this season. Detroit is also 17-5 Under revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. When it comes time for revenge the Pistons turn up the intensity on defense. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings, 4-0 in Pistons last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 4-0 in Pistons last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take the Under!

5* Wiseguy MONSTER BEST BET on Knicks +3.5
The Knicks have been dominated by the Bucks this season, losing all 3 meetings with the last 2 coming by double digits. There's no doubt that the Knicks will be motivated by those defeats against a Bucks team which will no longer have Michael Redd and Andrew Bogut in the lineup. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite while the Knicks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog. Lastly, NY is 18-6 ATS revenging a home blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more since 1996, winning these games by an average score of 97.5 to 96.0. Knicks win outright tonight!

3* SUREFIRE on Nuggets -3.5
We took the Nuggets in a good spot last night, but it was a sad performance for the Nugs as they were handled by the Kings. Coming off one of their worst defeats of the season, in terms of how they played in relation to the importance of the game, puts Denver in an even better spot tonight against a Rockets team that has really struggled away from home, losing 5 of its last 6. Denver sees its name outside of first place today and that is going to really get this team going tonight as it knows it is in for a battle the rest of the way out. Denver returns home after 2 consecutive road games and this situation has been a very profitable one. Off back-to-back road games, the Nuggets exploded to a 16-point win at home over Portland last Thursday and we were all over it. In fact, Denver is 24-9 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Houston is just 4-15 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 seasons. We'll lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Wizards +4
The Wizards will get up for this one as they know it is a game they can win. We'll play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. This system is 32-9 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Magic/Pistons UNDER 187
Double System Dagger: Plays under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (ORLANDO); an extremely tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. This System is 55-26 the last 5 seasons.

Also: Plays under on home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (DETROIT) after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 46-19 the last 5 seasons.

These teams haven't totaled more than 178 points in 2 prior meetings this season. With Orlando in a letdown spot after playing at Boston Sunday, I can't see the Magic putting up big numbers and the Pistons haven't done much scoring all season! Bet the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Month on Nuggets -7
The NBA Northwest is heating up with the Nuggets leading by just half a game in the division. With Utah coming on strong, the Nuggets know they cannot afford to take a night off. The road has not treated Denver well lately and this is a spot where the Nuggets will prove to themselves that they can win on the road and I expect it to be an explosive effort. Denver already has 2 blowout wins against the Kings this season and I have them collecting a third Sunday. The only thing you could say the Kings have going in their favor is that they are well rested, but that hasn't worked out well for them as they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Kings are also 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog and the road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Cavs -9.5
I don't expect the Cavs to sit and sulk over last night's loss to Boston, especially LeBron James who had a rough night. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest while the Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Cavaliers are 25-6 ATS in their last 31 home games and I'll keep riding the Cavs at home tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Pistons +3
It's all clicking for the Pistons right now, having won 4 in a row and 5 straight against the number. These weren't just any wins as this run includes victories over the Magic, Celtics, and Nuggets. The Hawks are struggling, having lost 6 of their last 8. This is a huge revenge game for the Pistons who have lost 2 close ones to the Hawks already this season. The Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Bet the Pistons!

3* SUREFIRE on Rockets -5.5
The Rockets are 10-0 SU and 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 home games and I'll lay the points with Houston again tonight. This is a game where the Suns will really miss Amare Stoudemire as you figure that Shaq and Yao will play to a standstill, if Yao doesn't even gain a bit of an advantage. With no other consistent scoring presence inside for the Suns, I expect a confident Rockets team to take care of business. The Rockets already have a 12-point road win over the Suns this season and Phoenix is 0-7 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite this season, losing by 12.0 ppg in these situations. Lay the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Finals Preview on Boston Celtics -1.5
The home team has won each of the last 14 meetings between these 2 teams and I don't see that trend ending here, even without Garnett in the lineup for Boston. This is a statement game for the Celtics, who were crushed 98-83 at Cleveland in the last meeting. This is a situation where Boston can prove that it is the best team in the East with or without one of its stars. Boston is 19-9 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 96.1 to 90.5 in these games. Home court is huge in this matchup and I'll take the Celtics at home tonight.

4* Major NBA Letdown Game of the Week on Nets +9
The Nets have covered 5 in a row and I love them tonight against a Magic team that will be more worried about its next game with the Celtic. New Jersey will be very much worried about this game though as it was embarrassed 101-84 the last time these teams faced off. Expect a letdown from the Magic in this look ahead spot.

4* Major NBA on TNT BEST BET on Nuggets -5
With the Blazers having to fight from being double digits last night to squeak out a win, they will be physically and emotionally spent against a hungry Nuggets team. Denver is 23-9 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons and plays against road teams; a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 40-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. This is just a bad spot for Portland.

3* SUREFIRE on Jazz -8.5
I really like the red hot Jazz at home tonight against a Houston team which just played last night and is struggling on the road. Utah is 15-4 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 103.4 to 91.6. Lay the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA SW Division GOTY (ESPN) on Mavs -1.5
We'll take the Mavs in the perfect spot tonight. Dallas had this one circled since it was crushed 76-93 in San Antonio on Feb. 24. Tim Duncan did not play in that game and will be back tonight, but the Mavs wouldn't have it any other way as they look to prove they can beat the Spurs at their best. Only they're not, as Ginobli remains out. Josh Howard's status is uncertain for Dallas, but Jason Terry is back and playing well. What fuels Dallas' fire even more tonight is the fact that it was caught looking ahead and lost to lowly Oklahoma City last game. Play On - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 42-13 ATS since 1996. Pound the Mavs!

4* Major NBA Point Spread Blowout on Knicks pk
The Hawks run out of gas playing their 3rd game in 4 days tonight against the run and gun Knicks. Atlanta has struggled with the Knicks this season going 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS. NY won at home by 8 in late January to improve to 19-5 L24 home games against the Hawks. NY has lost 3 straight and that makes the Knicks very hungry tonight!

3* SUREFIRE on Kings +2.5
The Pacers are just 7-25 on the road this season and I'll fade them here in a letdown spot coming off a big win over the Nuggets. The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this series. The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. Bet the Kings tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Rockets -8
The Rockets have won 9 straight at home while the Raptors have lost 6 of their last 7 on the road. The Raptors have been crushed by the Suns and the Mavs their last 2 games and while they would like to bounce back tonight, it's just not in the cards as the Rockets will be playing to avenge a terrible 21-point loss to Toronto in January. The Raptors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Rockets are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Take the Rockets tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Nets +4
The public is going to get crushed by taking the Bucks tonight. The Nets are 17-11 ATS on the road this season and have owned the Bucks to the tune of 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Nets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or less and 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Nets!

3* SUREFIRE on Thunder +5
The Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Thunder are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Southwest, 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog, 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games, and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. With the Mavs looking ahead to San Antonio next, we'll take the Thunder at home.

5* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Atlanta -4
Off a 1-point loss to Cleveland, don't expect a letdown from the Hawks here. Rather, expect an offensive explosion against one of the worst teams in the league as the Hawks look to get right back in the win column. The Hawks just beat the Wiz easily by 21 points back on Feb. 10 for their 4th straight win against them. Washington is 0-12 in division games this season while Atlanta is 9-3. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington and the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Wizards are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Take Atlanta.

4* Major NBA Letdown Game of the Month on Pacers +2.5
Off a double digit win over the Lakers, expect a major letdown out on the road from the Nuggets tonight. Indiana is playing good ball, having covered the number in 4 of its last 5 and 7 of 11. The Pacers are 18-11 at home this season and have won 5 straight at home. Two of these recent home wins have come against the Cavs and the Magic. Indiana lost by 20 at Denver in January and the Pacers will be looking to pay the Nuggets back here. Indiana is 17-5 ATS revenging a same season loss this season. Take the Pacers.

3* SUREFIRE on Nets +4
New Orleans has really struggled away from home all season long as it is just 10-16 ATS. It has struggled even more lately and finds itself at 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Nets are a very profitable 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog of 4.5 or less points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Public is all over the Hornets here and will fry for it.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Bulls +1.5
Bulls are coming off a bad loss against lowly Washington and will be out for blood tonight against a Rockets team that has lost 3 in a row on the road to the likes of Milwaukee, Memphis, and NY. This is a letdown spot for Houston as well after a dominant performance against Cleveland. The Bulls are playing their best ball of the season with the playoffs well within reach. Take the Bulls at home.

3* SUREFIRE on Oklahoma City +10
Odds makers have overvalued the Mavs tonight. The Thunder are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games overall, 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games as an underdog, and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Thunder are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Mavericks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Northwest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Year on Portland -6
The Blazers have struggled on the road this season, but expect them to explode against a team they have dominated tonight. The Blazers have won 10 of 12, including six straight and three in a row at the Target Center. Portland won by 5 in Minnesota back in November, but that was back when the Wolves still had Al Jefferson. The Wolves have now dropped 6 of 7 since their leading scorer and rebounder went down. The loss of Jefferson was a big blow, one that has the Wolves packing it in. They have now lost 7 straight at home, and I expect this one to get ugly tonight as Brandon Roy looks to rebound from a poor 14 point effort in Wednesday's loss to the Spurs. The Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Trail Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Bet the Blazers!

4* Major Underdog Shocker on Wizards +5.5
Yes, the Wizards are awful, but they were just called out by interim coach Ed Tapscott about being mentally prepared for games and his words were echoed by both Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison. Expect to see the most motivated Wizards team you have seen in a while tonight. The Bulls are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Southeast and still can't be trusted as a heavy favorite as they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Bet the Wizards!

3* NBA on TNT Side of the Night on Rockets +3.5
The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Houston. The Rockets are 10-2 SU and 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games against the Cavs, including 2-0 SU and ATS the last 2 seasons with blowout wins of 15 and 18 points in those games. The Cavaliers are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games while the Rockets are 25-9-3 ATS in their last 37 Thursday games. Houston is 23-6 at home this season and they'll look to send a message not to sleep on them tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Cavs/Rockets UNDER 186
I love the under in this matchup tonight as we have a pair of strong defensive teams which have upped their play of the defensive side of the ball even more of late. When these teams get together, it is a battle and the stats support it as the Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston. The Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less and 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Cavs have held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 80 and the Rockets have held 4 of their last 5 under 88. Houston is 18-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Bet the UNDER.

3* SUREFIRE on Nets -1.5
The Bulls are playing their best basketball of the season but I don't think they'll be able to hang with New Jersey in tonight's spot. We took them to beat the Magic last night, and that they did, but that win puts Chicago in a letdown spot here. Couple that with the Bulls playing back-to-back nights and I really like the Nets. NJ has dominated this series at home, going 4-1 SU and ATS the last 3 seasons and 17-6 SU and 16-7 ATS since 1996. Chicago is 1-9 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and 5-18 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the Nets!

4* Major NBA BEST BET on Washington Wizards +5
Philly has lost 4 in a row and is 0-5 ATS in its last 5. The injuries are starting to really hurt the 76ers. The Wizards scored just 67 points in an embarrassing home loss to the Spurs last game. They've had 3 days to prepare for this one and I promise you they'll be ready to hit Philly in the mouth. Here's the angle: Plays on home teams (WASHINGTON) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 32-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points!

3* SUREFIRE on Thunder +8
The Thunder played the Lakers to a 7-point game on the road 2 weeks ago and I like them to give LA an even bigger scare tonight. LA has not won by more than 8 in any of its last 3 wins and I expect the Lakers to coast with a back-to-back spot coming up. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5, 11-1 ATS in their last 12 Tuesday games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog. The Lakers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points!

4* Major NBA BEST BET on Bulls +3
The Bulls are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games, playing their best ball of the season. I like them at home tonight catching a tre as they look to pay the Magic back for a lopsided defeat at the United Center back on Dec. 31. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Bet the Bulls at home tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Massacre of the Month on Kings +8.5
The Hornets are being overvalued here and we will most certainly take advantage. The public expects the Hornets to bounce back tonight following a double digit loss at Utah Saturday, and they could, but not by this large of a margin. The Hornets have dropped 5 of their last 6 road games, which include losses to lowly Minnesota and Memphis, with their only win during that stretch coming by just 2 points over the lowly Thunder. Kings have played a ton of road games, more than anyone else in the Western Conference, and that makes their record look worse than it should be. Coming off a blowout loss on the road at Dallas, I like the Kings to bounce back strong at home tonight as they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. The home team is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings and the Hornets are just 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Sacramento. In fact, the Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Kings have dominated at home winning 13 of the last 15 SU. Bet the Kings tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division GOTY (ESPN) on Pistons +9
Detroit has lost 5 in a row. This is a veteran team, and I can assure you that they would rather die then let the Cavs embarrass them today. The Pistons need this one to end their skid and to give them a confidence boost and I love them to give the Cavs a run for their money. The rest leading up to this one is important for the Pistons as it puts them in a great spot today. Detroit is 9-0 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons. The Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Odds makers have inflated this line knowing that the public would be all over the Cavs. We'll take the points!

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Jazz -7
No way New Orleans can rebound tonight after playing a tough OT game in LA last night. Utah is rolling and has had New Orleans' number. The Hornets are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Utah is 14-4 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 103.4 to 91.8. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Road Warrior of the Week on Nuggets -2.5
We'll play on a team where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after a win by 10 points or more. This system is 30-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. s Denver is 12-3 ATS as a road favorite this season and the Nuggets will be good for this number tonight against a Bulls team dealing with personnel changes.

3* NBA "TOTAL" Dominator on Kings/Grizzlies OVER 206
The Kings went down to Memphis 94-109 earlier this season, so the angle we play on here is revenge. Sacramento is 20-6 OVER revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The average total score in these games was 212.6. Take the Over.

5* Wiseguy ESPN GAME OF THE YEAR on Rockets -3
Houston is 20-6 at home this season, but one of those home losses have been to the Mavs, and that spells revenge here. We'll play on favorites (HOUSTON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This system is 31-8 ATS since 1996. In addition, Houston is 24-5 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 10.7 points in these spots. No McGrady for Houston tonight, but the Mavs are also without Jason Terry so I don't see any advantage for Dallas there. The key here is Houston's defense at home and revenge. Dirk struggles against stiff defenses and Houston will make him take more shots than he wants to to get his points. Take Houston at home.

3* NBA on TNT BEST BET on Spurs +1
The Pistons won the first meeting in San Antonio by 12 points back in December. These teams have gone 2 completely different directions since then and I look for San Antonio to have its revenge tonight. The Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Off a bad loss at NY, the Spurs will be ready to bounce back strong tonight!

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Nets +8
The Nets are catching way too many points here. They have already gotten their feet wet since the break while Dallas will be a little rusty in its first game back. The last time Devin Harris faced his former team he dropped 41 on them and I expect him to show them what they've been missing again tonight. NJ is 8-0 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog this season, winning by an average score of 100.1 to 95.3. Dallas is just 1-8 ATS in home games in non-conference games this season, losing by an average score of 98.6 to 98.8. The Nets will have an excellent shot to win this one outright. Take the points!

4* Major NBA BEST BET on T-Wolves/Wizards UNDER 202.5
Washington is not the same high scoring team it has been in the past but that has yet to sink in for the public. The books are begging for overs wagers tonight but we won't bite. When teams are well rested, they play better defense and the Under is 6-1 in the Timberwolves last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Washington is 16-6 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season and Minnesota is 16-6 UNDER in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Under tonight.

4* Major NBA "TOTAL" Bailout on Blazers/Warriors UNDER 217.5
This line has been jacked up because of Golden State's 144-point performance last time out but the Warriors are playing a Blazers team tonight that only allows 96.8 points per game on the road this season. The Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings and 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Golden State. The Under is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 overall, 5-2 in Warriors last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, and 6-2 in Warriors last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is 7-3 in Trail Blazers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference GOTM on Jazz +3
With tired legs having played last night, I like the Jazz, which are 20-6 at home this season and 57-10 over the last 2, to take down the Lakers. A terrible road loss at Golden State prior to this one will fuel Utah's fire. We'll play on a home team (UTAH) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest. Teams are 49-14 ATS in these spots the last 5 seasons. Take the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA Letdown GOTY on Knicks +4.5
I will fade the Warriors in a huge letdown spot tonight. The Warriors are coming off a huge win over Utah and will fall victim to a hungry Knicks team which has now lost 4 straight close games. NY plays the run and gun style and was able to beat the Warriors at home 138-125 earlier this season. I expect a similar result here. NY is 14-3 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog this season and 8-1 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog this season. Let the letdown systems begin: Golden State is 4-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 1-8 ATS off a home win scoring 110 or more points this season, and 1-10 ATS off a home win this season period. Bet the Knicks!

3* SUREFIRE on Nets +5.5
The Nets played the Spurs to a 3-point game on the road on January 23rd and they have an excellent opportunity to get the outright win tonight. The Nets will be in bounce back mode off a bad loss at Orlando while the Spurs find themselves in a letdown spot following a big win over Boston. The Spurs are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference and 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic. The Nets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Bucks +6.5
This one is all about the numbers. Houston struggles on the road, mostly because of its methodical style of play which does not puts teams away. Because of that, the Rockets have not won a game on the road by more than 4 points since before Christmas. The Bucks are a solid 14-9 at home and will be up to the challenge tonight. The Bucks are a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. the NBA Southwest while the Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. We'll take the points!

3* SUREFIRE on Memphis -2
Memphis has won 3 of 4 SU and ATS and I like its chances again at home tonight with CP3 and Tyson Chandler out of the New Orleans lineup. With New Orleans taking on Boston next, we'll catch them looking ahead here. The Hornets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the Grizz at home.

3* SUREFIRE on Clippers +1.5
The Clippers are in an upswing while the Bobcats in a downswing. We'll take the team on the up here. The Bobcats have lost 5 straight and now must play back-to-back against a team that has punished each of its last 2 opponents. Charlotte is only 3-8 straight up in the second of back to back games this season and the road team is on a 7-0 ATS in this series. Take the Clippers!

3* Late Night NBA Bailout on Warriors +1.5
The Jazz are a terrible road team and they will not win back-to-back games on the road here against a Warriors team that has no trouble scoring the rock. Utah is 11-23 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons and 4-16 ATS in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Golden State is 22-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons and 10-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Take the points!

4* Major NBA Monster Line Mistake on Kings +7
The Thunder do not deserve to be this large of a favorite, especially not in this letdown spot after beating the Blazers. OKC has only been a favorite this large one other time this season and Memphis tied them at the end of regulation. The Grizz were burnt in OT but my point is that the books were 7 points off with that line. The Kings have an excellent shot at winning here and I'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA National TV GOTY on Cavaliers -4
It's been a great run by the Lakers on this road trip but they will finally run out of gas today. LA won round won at home, but it will not take road two where the Cavs are 23-0 SU and 18-5 ATS this season. Cleveland is one of the few teams in the NBA that has had great success against the Lakers going 4-1 SU and ATS in the last 5 and a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at home during the span. In the first meeting with LA this season, the Cavs were playing short handed. They are back at near full strength now and this will be a completely different game. The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Pound the Cavs!

4* Major NBA Total of the Month on T-Wolves/Rockets UNDER 200.5
Houston plays exceptional defense at home and after losing on the road to lowly Memphis it will be lock down city tonight to keep this one under. Houston is 41-26 UNDER in home games over the last 2 seasons and 12-3 UNDER in home games after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons, holding its opponents to just 85.9 points in these spots while scoring just 97.1. Pound the Under.

4* Major ESPN Late Night MONSTER on Warriors +9.5
The Warriors just beat the Suns by 12 points at home two days ago. While Phoenix is in a bounce back spot, odds makers are asking the Suns to lay too many. The Suns have lost 8 of 12 and are only 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games and yet this team continues to be overvalued. The Warriors are not scared of Phoenix because its defense is bad and that allows them to score at will. The big key here is Golden State's ability to knock down three point shots. Phoenix is 5-15 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season, actually losing against these teams by 2.4 points on average. Phoenix is also 3-15 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. Take the points!