4* Major Saturday Night NBA Bailout on Warriors -3.5
Bottom Line: I'll take the rested Warriors laying a small number at home against a tired Detroit team that lost a tough one at Denver last night. It will be extremely tough for the Pistons to get up for this one after playing so hard last night only to come up short. The Pistons are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Pistons are just 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings at Golden State. Take the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pacers -3
Bottom Line: Joakim Noah doubtful. Bulls tired coming off an OT win last night. Pacers fresh with a day's rest. Pacers extremely motivated having lost 3 times to the Bulls already this season. Indiana has won 23 of L30 at home against Bulls. Need I say more? Just love this situation tonight. Pacers step up and paste the Bulls tonight.

4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on 76ers/Lakers UNDER 198.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 6-1 Under their last 7. They allowed Dallas over the century mark Wednesday after 6 straight games of holding their opponents to 98 or fewer points. I expect the Lakers to really clamp down defensively tonight. The Under is 5-0 in the Lakers' last 5 games as a favorite and 24-10 in their last 34 games following a S.U. loss. The Under is 8-1 in the 76ers' last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Friday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pistons +9.5
Bottom Line: We'll fade the Nuggets tonight as they will have a very difficult time getting up for this one after playing a late one last night at Golden State and with the Lakers on deck. The Pistons have covered 5 straight in this series. The Nuggets are a lousy 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite and just 12-23 ATS in their last 35 games after playing a game as a road favorite. The Nuggets are also just 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing with zero day's rest. We'll take the Pistons and the points tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Bulls -3
Bottom Line: The Blazers find themselves in a tough spot tonight playing their third road game in 4 days. Because of that, I'll lay the small number with the Bulls, which are 7-2 SU & ATS their last 9. The Bulls have been strong at home all season at 18-9 and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Year on Cavs -2
Bottom Line: Even if Paul Pierce was expected to play Thursday, which he is not, I love the Cavs laying this small number on the road tonight. If you remember, Cleveland lost 95-89 at home in the very first game of the season on TNT. I know the Cavs have not forgotten. We cashed in on the Celtics in that game, but I expect the Cavs to return the favor in Boston tonight. The Celtics have struggled against top notch competition this season, and as a result, they are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Celtics have lost to the Hawks 4 times this season. They have also dropped 3 of 4 to Orlando. Boston is just 16-9 SU and 6-18-1 ATS in home games this season. In fact, the Celtics are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. After just losing on the road to Orlando, the Cavs will be very hungry tonight. This one may be close for a while, but I expect the Cavs to pull away in the 4th. Lay the points.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Lakers/Mavs UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The Lakers are a perfect 7-0 UNDER as an underdog this season and we are only seeing an average of 187.2 total points scored in these games. The Lakers are also 10-1 UNDER off a road win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons and the Mavs are 14-5 UNDER when revenging a loss vs. an opponent this season. Dallas has had this one circled since it lost by 5 at home to the Lakers last month. While I would lean toward Dallas getting the job done tonight, I feel the UNDER is the stronger play as the Mavs have been very good defensively in revenge games. Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Bulls UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days against a tired opponent - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, are 19-5 the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 2-0 already this season. With Danny Granger not expected to play, points will likely he hard to come by for the Pacers tonight. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Total of the Year on Suns/Thunder UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games are 42-9 the last 5 seasons, 30-6 the last 3 seasons and a perfect 8-0 this season. The average total posted in these games was 204 points and teams have only combined to score 196.2 on average. With Nash out, I just can't see the Suns scoring enough to push this one Over. Pound the Under.

3* NBA Side of the Night on Lakers -5
The Lakers are well rested having not played since the 18th, and they are also expected to have both Kobe Bryant and Andrew Bynum on the floor tonight. The Lakers started the month of February by losing in Memphis so they should have a little extra motivation to take it to the Grizz here. The fact that LA is coming off an upset loss to Boston actually puts us in nice position as plays on road favorites revenging a loss vs. an opponent, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 89-48 ATS since 1996, including 4-1 ATS this season. We'll lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Mavs UNDER 208.5
Bottom Line: Thanks to Dallas' new additions from Washington, it is a much better defensive team. In fact, Dallas' four opponents since the break are averaging only 93.0 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Indiana is 14-5 UNDER when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season and we are only seeing 198.6 points on average in these spots. Dallas is 19-9 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing 196.9 points on average in these spots. Indiana really struggles on the road, scoring just 99 ppg away from home this season. So with Dallas' renewed defensive focus, I expect this one to finish under the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year (ESPN) on Blazers +1
Bottom Line: Portland has lost all 3 prior meetings to Utah this season with all 3 of those losses coming by double digits. Plus, Portland is coming off one of its worst performances of the season, scoring only 76 points in a blowout loss to Boston last game. These things should add up to one of Portland's most inspired efforts of the season. The Trail Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points so this is a strong bounce back team. The Trail Blazers are also 31-14 ATS in their last 45 games as a home underdog, which gives us another reason to take them seriously tonight. Lastly, the Jazz are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Portland. Bet the Blazers.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Hawks/Warriors UNDER 213.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against an opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 28-6 since 1996. Plus, the Under is 7-3 in the Hawks' last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. We'll bet the Under here.

3* SUREFIRE on Suns -9.5
Bottom Line: The Kings are really struggling offensively after shipping out scorer Kevin Martin and I expect those struggles to continue in Phoenix this evening. The Kings are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Pacific. Phoenix is 17-5 ATS versus terrible defensive teams allowing 103+ points/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, beating these team by 11 points on average. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers +8
Bottom Line: I don't trust the Rockets laying this many points tonight, especially with all the new players that are expected to make their debut with the team. It's almost impossible for a team to operate smoothly after making so many changes and I just don't see it happening here. The Rockets are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. With these things in mind, the Pacers should not be catching this many points, even if they did play last night. Indiana keeps this one within the number.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Thunder/Knicks UNDER 204.5
Bottom Line: With all the changes that the Knicks have made, further disrupting an already disrupted team, I don't expect them to get anywhere near the 103.5 ppg they average at home tonight. It also plays to our favor that OKC isn't typically a high-scoring team. In fact, OKC is 8-0 UNDER in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing an average of 190.2 points scored in these spots. We'll take the Under here.

4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Suns -4
Bottom Line: Expect the Suns to roll tonight at home against a Hawks team that has struggled on the road all season. Plus, Phoenix will be hungry to payback Atlanta for a 1-point defeat last month. The Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points while the Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Suns.

5* ESPN Total of the Year on Mavs/Magic UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Dallas is 17-6 UNDER in road games where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Orlando is 10-1 UNDER when playing on Friday night this season and 16-6 UNDER in its last 20 overall. With Dallas coming off a big win over Phoenix and with Orlando set to take on Cleveland next, this is a flat spot for both teams which should result in the Under.

3* SUREFIRE on Spurs/76ers OVER 192
Bottom Line: Each of these teams have played to the Under in so many games recently that we are seeing a very low number here, especially since the Over is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia. Also, plays Over on any team (SAN ANTONIO) after a game where both it and its opponent scored 90 points or less, against an opponent that scored 35 points or less in the first half last game, are 24-7 the last 3 seasons. Bet the Over.

5* NBA on TNT Total of the Month on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are begging for action on the Over with this line and they are getting it as the public is hitting the Over hard. But we won't bite. Both Boston and LA are playing some exceptional defense right now. As a result, both of these teams have played to the Under in 4 straight. We only saw a total of 179 points when these teams played in Boston late last month and I expect another low-scoring, defensive battle here. The Under is 30-14 in the Celtics' last 44 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 8-2 in the Lakers' last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +7
Bottom Line: Expect an inspired performance out of the Nuggets tonight after learning that head coach George Karl has been diagnosed with cancer. Meanwhile, expect the Cavs to struggle following the trade of Zydrunas Ilgauskas, especially since it's doubtful that the guy they got for him, Antawn Jamison, will play tonight. The Nuggets are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Hawks/Clippers OVER 196
Bottom Line: The Clippers have played to the Over in 3 straight and 12 of their last 18 as they are really struggling defensively. Those defensive struggles are only going to get worse without Camby on the team anymore. The Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in this matchup and 6-0 in the Hawks' last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Bet the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Suns +4
Bottom Line: Dallas was really struggling as it entered the All-Star break, and those struggles continued last night in its first game after the break. The Mavs have some new personnel to adjust to so these struggles will likely continue. Meanwhile, Phoenix is rolling, having won 6 of its last 7 SU & ATS. It's hard to think that Dallas should be laying this many points at home, if any at all, when you consider that it is just 5-21 ATS in its last 26 games as a home favorite. Furthermore, Dallas has struggled with uptempo teams like Phoenix, going 0-10 ATS in home games versus uptempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season. Dallas is also 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 93.3 to 98.7. Take the Suns.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Mavericks/Thunder UNDER 195
Bottom Line: With the Mavs shipping some guys out and getting some new guys in, it's going to take some time for them to gel. With that in mind, odds makers have set this number too high. Plus, Dallas is 18-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons and OKC is 11-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City/Seattle. Pound the Under.

3* NBA Side of the Night on Suns -1
Bottom Line: After back-to-back losses to the Grizzlies, expect the Suns to break through tonight. The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games while the Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and only 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Phoenix is also 23-6 ATS versus poor defensive teams, with a shooting pct defense of >=46% in 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 120.7 to 108.2. Take the Suns.

4* Major NBA Side of the Night on Spurs +6
Bottom Line: Expect the Spurs to show up tonight and give the Nuggets all they want and more after a really embarrassing effort against the Lakers last game. The Spurs have a lot in their favor tonight when you consider that the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Plus, the Nuggets are just 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite. We'll take the Spurs in the dog role tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT "Total" Blowout on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 206
Bottom Line: 5 straight and 21 of the last 22 meetings between these teams have finished below this number. The Under is a perfect 7-0 in the Spurs' last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Also, plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games are 74-37 since 1996, including a perfect 6-0 already this season. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Clippers/Warriors OVER 212
Bottom Line: The Over is 32-14 in the Warriors' last 46 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 5-1 in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Over is also 9-3 in the Clippers' last 12 games vs. Western Conference. The Warriors feel this is a great opportunity to snap their long losing streak so I expect them to really push the tempo tonight and the "Over" should be the result.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Jazz/Clippers OVER 201
Bottom Line: Utah has it going on the offensive end of the floor right now so we'll gladly take the Over here, especially since the Jazz are 9-1 Over in road games off a home win in which they scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The Over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 road games and 8-3 in the Clippers' last 11 vs. the Western Conference. We'll pound the Over here as these two well rested teams get out and run tonight.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Warriors OVER 218
Bottom Line: We just saw these two teams combine for 211 points in Dallas last week, but with this game now being played at Golden State, we can expect the tempo to be faster and more points to be scored. In fact, the last 3 meetings at Golden State have gone over with these teams combining for an average 227.3 points in those games. Pound the Over.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on 76ers +5
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. The 76ers are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Houston. Meanwhile, the Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pistons/Pacers UNDER 200.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 7-3 Under in their last 10 overall, and we have found a strong correlation between the Under and the Pacers being favored. In fact, the Under is 10-3-2 in the Pacers' last 15 games as a favorite and 9-2-2 in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Also, the Under is 7-2 in the Pistons' last 9 overall and 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -2
Bottom Line: With Brandon Roy still expected to be out, but with Tony Parker expected to be back, I have to give the edge to the Spurs tonight. Plus, revenge should also play a major factor here. The Spurs lost to the Blazers as a 13-point favorite in late December to set up a very strong situation tonight. In fact, San Antonio is 11-1 ATS when revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of 7 or more points over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 106 to 94.3. Take the Spurs.

4* Major NBA on TNT Line Mistake on Heat +9.5
Bottom Line: 7 of the last 8 meetings between the Cavs and the Heat have been decided by 9 or fewer points so I feel like we are getting pretty good value with the Heat catching 9.5. The road team has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 meetings, and the Heat will be especially motivated tonight after enduring a 1-point home loss to the Cavs in late January. I feel odds makers have made a mistake, spotting the Heat a few too many points.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Nuggets -7
Bottom Line: The home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings, the favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and the Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Denver. Also, the Suns are just 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 47-18-2 ATS in their last 67 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. After getting a scare by lowly Sacramento, expect the Nugs to show up focused tonight. Plus, it won't hurt that Carmelo Anthony is expected to return for Denver tonight. We'll lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bobcats/Lakers UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team (LA LAKERS) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days against a tired opponent - playing its 3rd road game in 5 days, are 49-18 since 1996. Teams in this spot are only combining to score 186.9 points on average. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy 53-0 ATS NBA Underdog of the Month on Warriors +6
Bottom Line: The Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Rockets are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. They are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 day's rest, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. The last 3 meetings in this matchup have been decided by 4 or fewer points. Take the Warriors and the points tonight.

4* Major NBA Line Mistake on Pacers +1
Bottom Line: Witth DeMar DeRozan and Hedo Turkoglu expected to miss, look for the Pacers to avenge Sunday's loss to Toronto. The home team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss. Plus, the Pacers only got 8 points from Danny Granger Sunday so he will be especially focused tonight. Take the Pacers.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Lakers/Grizzlies UNDER 208
Bottom Line: The Lakers won't have much left tonight as this is the very last game of a grueling road trip. But this is an experienced team, which isn't going to lay down either. Expect LA to slow the pace of this game down to give itself a chance to win. In turn, this one should stay under the number. Memphis is a good home team; we're talking 17-6 on the season. So when the Grizz are in the home underdog role, odds makers aren't expecting them to score many points. In fact, Memphis is 11-1 UNDER as a home underdog of 3 points or less since the beginning of last season, and we are only seeing an average of 184.9 points scored in these games. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Thunder UNDER 215.5
Bottom Line: System Play: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a loss by 10 points or more are 31-13 the last 5 seasons. Plus the Warriors are 5-0 Under in their last 5 road games with the Thunder. Bet the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pacers +9
Bottom Line: Expect the Pacers to bounce back strong this evening after getting embarrassed by the Lakers and the Cavs this week. Toronto has been playing well, but not well enough to warrant this much respect, especially when you consider that the Raptors are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Plus, the Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Take the Pacers and the points as they take the Raptors right down to the wire with a chance to pull off the upset in the end.

4* Major National TV Game of the Week on Celtics +1
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Lakers as they are nearing the end of a gruesome road trip. Boston has dropped a pair of tough ones to Orlando and Atlanta, but I expect it to rise to the occasion against a tired Lakers team this afternoon. In addition to Kobe's broken finger, he now has a bum ankle, and that should only help Boston put the clamps on him defensively. The Lakers are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Take the Celtics.

5* NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Hawks/Magic UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The last 3 meetings between these two division rivals have all finished under this number and I fully expect this trend to continue. Atlanta was crushed by Orlando earlier this month, and that defeat plays right into our hands here. In fact, Atlanta is 17-5 Under revenging a road loss of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing this situation produce 183.1 total points. We'll pound the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA East Coast Game of the Year on Celtics +4
Bottom Line: Boston could not be more motivated in this spot. Not only will the Celtics be looking to avenge 3 straight losses to the Hawks this season, but they will be further motivated by blowing a double digit lead and losing to Orlando last night. Here's the key: Boston is 10-1 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 103.2 to 88.5. Take the Celtics and the points.

4* Major "Total" Blowout on Lakers/76ers UNDER 202.5
Bottom Line: Philly has been an Unders machine this season. In fact, the 76ers have played to the Under in 5 straight and 8 of their last 9. Because of the slower pace that the 76ers play, only teams that get to the free throw line a great deal, scoring with the clock stopped, have had good success in pushing their games over. So here's the key: Philly is 7-0 Under in home games versus poor foul drawing teams attempting 24 or less free throws per game this season. We are only seeing 181.1 points on average in these games. Take the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT MONSTER BEST BET on Mavs +2.5
Bottom Line: It really makes sense to fade Phoenix here when you consider that plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 21-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Dallas has won 3 straight against the Suns and 5 of the last 6. Plus, the Suns are really struggling right now, having lost 7 of their last 9 games, and things will likely only get tougher with all the Amare Stoudemire trade talk and with Leandro Barbosa out with injury. Lastly, the Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and the Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Take the Mavs.

4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Punisher on Magic -3
Bottom Line: The Magic will be out for revenge here tonight after falling to the Celtics at home on Christmas Day. The Celtics have lost 5 in a row ATS and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. We'll grab Orlando at home tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Favorite of the Month on Spurs -3
Bottom Line: After 3 straight defeats, expect a Spurs team that is 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games against the Hawks to be motivated enough to get the job done tonight. The Spurs recent struggles have been as much to do with poor shooting as anything, but they are on a 17-4 ATS run in home games after 3 straight games where they made 42% of their shots or worse, winning in these spots by an average score of 98 to 84.3. Plus, Atlanta is just 3-15 ATS in road games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 87.6 to 105.8. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Dog of the Night on 76ers +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for the more rested 76ers to pull the upset here against a Bucks team that just had a tough one in Dallas last night. Philly has owned the Bucks, going 7-1 SU & ATS the last 3 seasons, including 3-0 SU & ATS at Milwaukee during that span. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Bucks +7
Bottom Line: Dallas is 13-7 at home but only 5-15 ATS in those games. Plus, the Mavs have struggled with up-tempo teams. In fact, Dallas is 0-7 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game this season, winning these games by just 2.1 ppg. The Mavericks are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Take the points.

4* Major Tuesday NBA Blowout on Knicks -5.5
Bottom Line: After getting completely embarrassed by the Mavs at home Sunday, look for the Knicks to bounce back strong against a T-Wolves team losing by an average of 13.1 points in road games this season. The Knicks are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Look for the Knicks to win by double digits tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Pacers +4.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers just fell at home to the 76ers Saturday, but I expect them to return the favor tonight. The team that loses the first game of these home and home matchups usually bounces back with a solid effort, and I expect no less from Indy here. Philly is just 5-16 ATS in home games this season, losing by an average score of 95.2 to 98.3. The 76ers are also just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win. The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 day

4* Major NBA Early Cash Cow on Mavs -3
Bottom Line: Dallas is 12-1 ATS on the road after an upset defeat over the last two seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 100.4 to 92.2. Look for the Mavs to bounce back from Friday's upset loss to Philly today.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Pacers -3
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Rockets/Spurs UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (HOUSTON) revenging a loss where they scored less than 85 points against an opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 34-9 the last 5 seasons. We have seen an average posted total of 193.9 in these spots with the average total score coming in at just 185 points for a nearly a 9-point under the total margin of victory. 17 of the L24 games played in San Antonio in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL. Bet the Under.

3* ESPN Prime Time Pounder on Knicks +6
Bottom Line: The Lakers haven't played many games on the road this season, and it will be especially difficult for them to find a rhythm tonight after such an emotionally and physically draining defeat last night in Cleveland. The Knicks will be the much fresher and better prepared team having not played since the 18th. Plus, they will be plenty motivated to stop Kobe Bryant after allowing him to score 61 points in his last visit to MSG. The Knicks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 26-12-1 ATS in their last 39 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Lakers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Opinion Game of the Year on Mavs -2.5
Bottom Line: The Mavs are 15-7 SU & 14-8 ATS on the road this season while the 76ers are just 6-14 SU & 4-16 ATS at home. Naturally, the public is all over Dallas in this spot, and I'm going to have to agree. Dallas needed a game-winning shot to post a 2-point victory over the 76ers earlier this season, but keep in mind that the Mavs held an 11-point 4th quarter lead in that game. They'll learn from that game tonight by not letting off the gas pedal. We can't ignore the fact that Philly is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog this season, losing these games by an average score of 91.4 to 102.7. Take the Mavs.

3* NBA on TNT Bailout on Nuggets -9
Bottom Line: Eric Gordon will either not play for LA tonight, or he will play but not at 100%. Either way, without him at 100%, it's going to be very difficult for the Clippers to keep this one close tonight. Denver is 18-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons and 13-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons. The home team is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. With this being a back-to-back for both teams, the edge has to go to a Nuggets team that is 18-3 at home and winning by an average of 10.1 points in those games.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +3.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers were embarrassed at home by the Cavs on Christmas Day so they will be plenty motivated to return the favor tonight. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Lakers are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 games as an underdog. The Cavaliers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Expect L.A. to win round two tonight. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month (ESPN) on Utah Jazz +6.5
Bottom Line: Utah has won 3 straight over the Spurs and has lost by 6 or fewer points in the last 5 meetings. While the road struggles of the Jazz have been well documented, they haven't had those struggles of late, and they have showed up on the road against quality competition. In fact, the Jazz are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The thing I really like about Utah is that it is a great bounce back team. Following a loss to the Nuggets, I expect the Jazz to give the Spurs all they want and more tonight. The Jazz are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss. While the Spurs will be out for revenge here, they are just 5-17 ATS when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent over the last 2 seasons, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 97.5 to 99.1. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Southwest Division Game of the Week on Grizzlies +4
Bottom Line: Memphis is one of the hottest teams in the NBA, having won 4 in a row and 12 of its last 15, and I'll ride the Grizz here tonight. New Orleans is a good home team at 15-4 on the season, but it has not proven that it can be trusted laying points. The Hornets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. The Grizzlies are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy Tuesday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers +6.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are a completely different team than they were when they were crushed by the Heat just before the New Year as they now have their best player, Danny Granger, back in the lineup. Right away you have to like Indy's chances of covering this number when you consider that road teams revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more are 29-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the underdog is 20-6-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings. You also have to love the fact that the Heat are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. We'll take the points tonight.

4* Major NBA Super System of the Week (TNT) on Suns +2
Bottom Line: This is an extremely motivated spot for the Suns, who have lost 3 in a row and were embarrassed by Charlotte in their last game. Plus, the Suns will be especially hungry tonight as they were defeated at home by the Grizzlies 128-103 earlier this month. Now it's pay back time. Plays on road teams (PHOENIX) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, are 25-3 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is already off to a 2-0 start this season. Take the Suns.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year (TNT) on Magic +6.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back embarrassing losses, expect the Magic to finally show up tonight in a big way against the team that defeated them in last year's NBA Finals. Plays on any team (ORLANDO) off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest, are 26-5 ATS the last 3 seasons. The rest seems to be the key here as the Magic are 14-3 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons. But motivation is clearly a key as well, as the Magic are 16-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. We'll take the points.

4* Major "Total" Blowout on Kings/Bobcats UNDER 196.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, are 84-47 since 1996. This system is also 22-10 the last 3 seasons. The Kings have now played to the Under in 7 straight and I expect them to again tonight in this fatigued spot.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -6.5
Bottom Line: A couple things really stand out here. The first is the Jazz are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5 to 10.5 points. The second is the Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing with 3 or more day's rest. With Utah having just played Saturday, I look for a fresh Nuggets team to run the Jazz off the court tonight. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats -2
Bottom Line: I'll take the Bobcats at home, where they are 15-4 on the season, against a Suns team that has lost 9 of its last 10 on the road. Plus, the Suns are coming off s heartbreaker in Atlanta last night which will make it very difficult to get up for this one. Playing the back-to-back should hurt a Suns team which relies on an uptempo offense far worse here. In fact, the Bobcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Also, the Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Cats.

3* Friday Night NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Magic -4.5
Bottom Line: The reason why we are seeing this line is because Brandon Roy is listed as doubtful for the Blazers, and rightfully so, as I give the banged up Blazers no shot without him healthy tonight. The Magic will be very hungry in this spot following an embarrassing loss to Denver. The Magic are 60-28-1 ATS in their last 89 games following a loss and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games when following a loss of more than 10 points. The Magic are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series. Take Orlando.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Suns +5
Bottom Line: I think Atlanta is the better team, but it has struggled with the Phoenix and its uptempo game. In fact, Atlanta has lost three straight to Phoenix and nine of the last 11 meetings. The Suns enter Atlanta as motivated as ever, too, after blowing a 24-point lead and losing to the Pacers in their last game. I expect Phoenix's defense to be much better tonight after that performance and history would agree with me. The Suns are 13-3 ATS after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 112.3 to 105.5. The Suns are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. This is a gut check game for the Suns, and I believe they will rise to the occasion.

4* Major Line Mistake on Kings +3
Bottom Line: The Kings lost by 10 points at home to the 76ers on Dec. 30th, but Tyreke Evans and Kevin Martin did not play in that game. Martin, who averaged 30.6 points in five games before injuring his left wrist, is expected to return to action tonight. I expect a big game from Evans tonight, playing close to where he grew up in Chester, PA. He is averaging 20.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.0 assists. Philly is 1-9 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season, losing to these teams by an average score of 96.2 to 102.5. Take the points.

3* NBA on TNT Bailout on Utah Jazz +1
Bottom Line: The Jazz are rolling with back-to-back blowout wins over Dallas and Miami and I like them to get past the Cavs at home tonight. The Jazz are an impressive 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points (Utah listed at -1 at some books), 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games period, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. Utah is one of the toughest places in the NBA to win, and the Cavs will find that out first hand tonight. Take the Jazz.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Bulls +7
Bottom Line: I really like the Bulls tonight. Chicago is quietly playing much better basketball and has covered the spread in 8 of its last 9 and 11 of its last 14 as a result. The Bulls will be especially motivated here because they have been crushed by Boston twice already this season. The shorthanded Celtics, who are playing without Kevin Garnett and Rasheed Wallace, just played last night, and it is worth mentioning that the Celtics are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without any rest. The Celtics are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Bulls haven't played since the 11th so they'll be ready to go here, but the Celtics have been playing a lot of basketball in few days. In fact, Boston is on a 5-16 ATS slide in home games when playing its 5th game in 7 days, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 94.5 to 95.7. Take the Bulls.

4* Major NBA Underdog of the Week on Spurs +2
Bottom Line: I know the Spurs are coming off a big win over the Lakers last night, but I expect no letdown tonight as they look to pay the Thunder back for handing them a loss earlier this season. Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO), an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more, are 27-6 ATS since 1996. Take the Spurs.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 200.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers are 12-4 Under versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season and 14-5 Under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season (line opened at 199). The Under is also 11-4 in the Grizzlies' last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. The last 2 meetings have both came in Under this number with the teams combining for just 186 points in the last. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Side of the Night on Bobcats -2.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Charlotte is 13-4 at home this season and I look for it to continue its strong play on its home floor tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Suns -8.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks were crushed 95-77 by the Lakers last night to fall to 4-12 on the road this season. Now, they get a rested and motivated Suns team that is 14-4 at home on the season. The Suns haven't played since the 8th and they will be motivated to get back in the win column following a home loss to Miami in their last game. Phoenix has flat out had Milwaukee's number, having won 21 straight home games against the Bucks. To make matters worse, the Bucks are expected to be without starting guard Michael Redd who continues to have problems with his knees. Take the Suns.

4* Major Sunday NBA Blowout on Lakers -8.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back defeats, expect the Lakers to roll at home tonight against a Bucks team that is only 4-11 on the road this season. The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and we'll lay the points in this highly motivated spot.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Magic -3.5
Bottom Line: Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 1 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 73-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. Look for the Magic to get the cover here as they improve to 5-0 SU & ATS in their last 5 games against the Hawks.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Grizzlies -3
Bottom Line: Memphis is 7-0 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs. an opponent this season, winning these games by an average score of 108.7 to 98.6. Utah really crushed the Grizzlies in Utah on Wednesday, but Memphis had just played a tough one in Portland the night before. The Grizzlies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and I look for them to bounce back strong here.

3* SUREFIRE on Hawks -3
Bottom Line: Boston is not the same team without Kevin Garnett and that's why Atlanta gets the nod laying a small number at home here. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the Celtics are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Plus, the Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games as a home favorite period. Lay the number.

3* SUREFIRE on Magic -7.5
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight losses, expect the Magic to bounce back strong with a big win over the struggling Wizards. Washington is just 4-17 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 87.0 to 97.2. Take the Magic.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Miami UNDER 188
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team, Boston in this case, playing with 3 or more days rest, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 84-44 the last 5 seasons. Expect a well rested Boston team to really tighten the screws on the defensive end tonight to keep this one Under.

3* NBA Side of the Night on Pistons +8.5
Bottom Line: The fact that the Pistons have lost 9 in a row SU & ATS has forced odds makers to undervalue them. Detroit hasn't played since December 31st so it will be well rested and well prepared for this one. While Dallas is 11-5 at home this season, it is just 5-11 ATS in those games. Plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 8 or more consecutive losses, with a losing record, are 30-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

4* NBA "Total" Blowout on Bulls/Bobcats UNDER 187
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 40-15 the last 5 seasons. The average posted total in these games has been 185.8 and we are seeing an average combined total score of just 181.4. This system is already 1-0 this season. This one gets the nod as a "Total" Blowout because I like it to finish at least 10 points Under the number. In fact, the last time these two teams faced off in Charlotte, we saw just 176 total points scored. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hawks pk
Bottom Line: Both teams have lost 3 in a row so motivation will not be an issue on either side, but I'll side with the better team in this spot, which has had an extra day to rest. The Hawks have won 4 of the last 5 games in this matchup with those 4 wins all coming by 10 points or more. Plus, the Heat are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. We'll take the Hawks.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Spurs -1 (still like it up to -4)
Bottom Line: The Spurs have already defeated the Raptors by 7 points this season in a game that Duncan and Parker didn't play in. Both are expected in the lineup today, and with that in mind, I feel San Antonio should be laying more than 1-point here. Toronto is on a 1-12 ATS slide versus very good shooting teams making >=48% of their shots over the last 3 seasons and on a 1-6 ATS skid when playing on 0 day's rest. Take the Spurs again today.

4* Major Saturday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -5.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs have defeated the Wizards 8 straight times by at least 7 points, and I expect this trend to continue tonight. Washington is in disarray on and off the court while the Spurs are playing their best ball of the season, winning 10 of their last 12 with 9 of those 10 wins coming by at least 7 points. Take the Spurs.

5* NBA Blowout of the Month on Spurs -8
Bottom Line: Tough spot for Miami here after losing a tough one in New Orleans last night, especially since it is going up against a Spurs team playing its best ball of the season. San Antonio has won 9 of its last 11 games, and it has owned the Heat at home, winning 10 of its last 12 against them in San Antonio. The Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Southeast. Look for them to drop the hammer on Miami tonight.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hawks +6.5
Bottom Line: It's normally good practice to take the team that lost in the first game of a home-and-home in the second, and that's what we'll do here as Cleveland is clearly being overvalued against a Hawks team hungry to avenge last night's loss. Plus, the Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division GOTY on Pacers +7
Bottom Line: I think the Bulls are getting too much respect with this line against a Pacers team extremely motivated to win after suffering 6 straight defeats. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, the Bulls are 2-10-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite, and just 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Wizards +6
Bottom Line: We'll play against any team (Memphis) off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog against an opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite as this situation is 31-8 ATS since 1996. This system in 12-3 ATS the last 5 seasons and already 2-0 ATS this season. Washington isn't getting enough respect here. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Nuggets UNDER 209
Bottom Line: This matchup has seen 4 straight play to the Over, which has driven this number up, to create value in taking the Under. The public is all over the Over here which is precisely where the books want it to be. We'll go against the grain to cut into the house profits today. Consider that George Karl's teams are 22-7 Under in home games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1996 with the average combined score totaling just 194.5 in these spots. Expect Denver to do a better job of digging in defensively tonight. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on LA Lakers -5.5
Bottom Line: I know the Lakers are playing back-to-back here, but they were embarrassed last night by the Cavs. Expect them to be extremely hungry in this spot against a team they defeated by 18 points the last time they visited. Here's the key: Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 31-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take LA.

4* Major Christmas Day Marquee Matchup (ABC) on Cavs +5
Bottom Line: This is a statement game for Cleveland to show that it belongs in the title discussion. The Cavs will especially be hungry to hand LA a loss here after losing both meetings last season. I expect Shaquille O'Neal to especially play with a chip on his shoulder as he goes up against his former team. The public is all over the Lakers here, but they have dropped 5 of their last 7 ATS. Plus, Cleveland is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 against LA. And lastly, the Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Cleveland.

4* Major Wednesday NBA BLOOD BATH on Nuggets -3.5
Bottom Line: I'll back a rested Nuggets team at home, where it is 12-1 this season, in a highly motivated spot off back-to-back losses against a Hawks team that just played last night. Plus, Atlanta crushed Denver by 25 in Atlanta earlier this season and you can bet the Nuggets haven't forgotten. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take Denver.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Wizards/Bucks UNDER 202
Bottom Line: Washington is 12-1 UNDER in a road game where the total opens between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The average total score in these games is 186.6. Plus, the UNDER is 4-1 in the Wizards' last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Pound the Under tonight.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Thunder +9.5
Bottom Line: OKC is a perfect 10-0 ATS after a game where it failed to cover the spread this season. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. Plus, they will be looking to avenge a 16-point loss in LA last month. Expect OKC to keep this one close.

4* Major Monday NBA "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Suns UNDER 209
Bottom Line: The Suns have played to the Under in 9 of their last 11 games and I expect this trend to continue as odds makers continue to set the bar too high. Plus, plays Under on any team (CLEVELAND) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-12 since 1996. This system is also 11-2 over the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Friday NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Hawks UNDER 206.5
Bottom Line: Atlanta has been an Overs machine at home this season, but much of that is because of a favorable home slate to this point. Consider that Atlanta is 16-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons, with the average combined score totaling just 179.9 points in these games. The last 3 meetings in this matchup have gone Under and we'll ride that wave again here.

4* Major NBA on TNT Game of the Week on Blazers -2
Bottom Line: Portland is 9-4 at home this season and I expect it to defend its home court tonight. The Blazers have been dominant in the small chalk at 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. The Suns have lost 5 in a row on the road and are actually allowing 2.2 more points on the road than they are scoring while the Blazers are outscoring their opponents by 7.2 ppg at home. Take Portland.