5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Warriors/Spurs OVER 194.5
Bottom Line: The over is showing tremendous value tonight considering the total was 204.5 in Game 2. I know we've seen 194 total points or less in the last 3 games, but these are good offensive teams and they won't continue to miss open shots. The biggest reason I like the over here is because the Warriors really struggle defensively on the road where they give up 103.5 points on average. Their defensive struggles on the road are nothing new. They are a big reason why these teams have combined for at least 196 points in 13 of their last 15 meetings in San Antonio.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Spurs -7
Bottom Line: The Spurs are yet to play well at home in this series, but I don't see that trend continuing. The Spurs are 38-7 at home on the season and have won 30 of their last 31 at home versus Golden State. Under coach Popovich, the Spurs are an impressive 54-29 ATS following an upset loss of 10 points or more. They have won by an average of 8.0 points in this situation so I feel very comfortable laying the 7.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks +5.5
Bottom Line: I expect the Knicks to bounce back tonight. They have lost consecutive games only once since March 18. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder +4.5
Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to pull the trigger on a Thunder squad that is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 road games and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road games verses teams that have winning records. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two, and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. I expect Kevin Durant to be the best player on the floor tonight, and for the Thunder to come out on top.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Bulls +7.5
Bottom Line: This is a do-or-die game for Chicago, which knows it needs this game to have a shot at winning the series. Chicago is an awesome 24-8 ATS following a home loss under Thibodeau, including 13-4 ATS in this situation this season. The Bulls are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit home defeat.

4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Heat/Bulls UNDER 186
Bottom Line: The Chicago defense has been lacking the past two games as its allowed Miami to shoot 50% or higher in each. You can bet a Bulls team that has had two days to recoup will put forth maximum effort at the defensive end tonight. Chicago is on a 30-15 UNDERS streak following 2 consecutive games where its allowed foes to shoot 50% or higher. Also, Miami is on a 34-16 UNDERS streak following 2 consecutive games where it shot 50% or higher from the field.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Warriors +2
Bottom Line: I like the Warriors to come storming back in Game 4 even if Curry isn't able to go. Golden State is 8-1 ATS in all playoff games this season, and there's no way it will shoot as poorly as it did in Game 3. The Warriors have shot nearly 47% at home on the season. The Spurs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win while the Warriors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss. The Warriors have still won 2 of 3 at home against the Spurs this season.

4* Major "Total" DOMINATOR on Spurs/Warriors OVER 198
Bottom Line: The last two games of this series have gone under, but San Antonio shot 39.3% in Game 2 and Golden State shot the same percentage in Game 3. These teams just don't have bad shooting nights very often. The Spurs are shooting 48% on the season, and the Warriors are shooting 46%. We've typically seen high-scoring games between these two at Golden State, where the Warriors have had success in making it an uptempo game. I think they'll do a better job of controlling the tempo in this one and for the game to finish over the total as a result. The Over is 15-6-1 in the last 22 meetings between these teams at Golden State.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers -4
Bottom Line: I'll gladly lay this small number with the home team tonight. The home side is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings with the wins coming by 8, 12, 5, 34, 10 and 26 points. The Pacers are a perfect 3-0 in their last 3 at home versus New York and have won each of these by 5 points or more.

4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Thunder +5
Bottom Line: The Thunder aren't getting the respect they deserve on the road where they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. They are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA (ranked #2 in field goal % defense during the regular season) and won 2 of 3 in Houston without Westbrook in round 1. The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Memphis, and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Best Bet *BAILOUT* on Spurs +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Spurs to bounce back at Golden State where they've won 7 of their last 9. I'll gladly take the bucket-and-a-half here as one of those was an overtime defeat. The other one came in a game in which The Big Three (Duncan, Parker, Ginobli) and Leonard did not participate. You want to wager on teams that are looking for revenge for a home defeat when the line is +3 to -3 as long as they are playing 3 of fewer games in 10 days. That's because doing so has produced a 43-19 ATS mark the last 17 years.

4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Heat/Bulls UNDER 187
Bottom Line: 193 total points were scored in Game 2, but the Bulls uncharacteristically allowed Miami to score 115 points on 60% shooting. We're talking about a team that ranked 3rd in scoring defense (92.9 ppg allowed) and 9th in field goal % defense (44.3% allowed) during the regular season. Chicago will bring the "D" tonight. However, I expect the Bulls to remain offensively challenged with Hinrich and Deng expected to miss another game. Miami is on a 72-35 UNDERS run after a game where it made 55% of its shots or better. It is also on a 66-35 UNDERS run off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. Chicago is 18-5 UNDER since Thibodeau took over when looking for revenge for a double-digit road loss. Plus, the UNDER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Chicago.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Warriors/Spurs UNDER 205
Bottom Line: Game 1 flew way over the total even at the end of regulation as both teams went nuts from 3-point range. However, I expect a much better defensive performance from both sides tonight. They had combined for 197 total points or fewer in each of the 3 previous matchups in San Antonio. You want to play the UNDER on home teams that have a winning record on the season and have gone over the total by 42 combined points or more in their last 5 games as long as the total is 200 to 209.5 points. Doing so has produced a 72-30 record the last 5 seasons, including 12-4 this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -12.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Heat to come storming back after a flat performance in Game 1. The Heat are 6-0 SU & ATS in their last 6 games following defeat, winning by an average of 18.3 points in this spot. All 6 of these wins came by 15 points or more except 1.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Knicks -6/Grizzlies +2.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks lost Game 1, but I fully expect them to come storming back in Game 2. The Pacers have struggled on the road throughout the season and had lost 3 in a row in New York by double digits before winning Game 1.

The Grizzlies blew and excellent opportunity to steal away OKC's home-court advantage but don't expect them to feel defeated heading into Game 2. They won their first round series after falling into an 0-2 hole. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games and haven't lost by more than 2 points during this span.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Knicks -6/Grizzlies +2.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks lost Game 1, but I fully expect them to come storming back in Game 2. The Pacers have struggled on the road throughout the season and had lost 3 in a row in New York by double digits before winning Game 1.

The Grizzlies blew and excellent opportunity to steal away OKC's home-court advantage but don't expect them to feel defeated heading into Game 2. They won their first round series after falling into an 0-2 hole. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games and haven't lost by more than 2 points during this span.

4* Major on Spurs -9
Bottom Line: The Spurs are the fresher, more experienced and deeper team. They have won 29 straight at home against the Warriors with the majority of those wins coming by double digits. They are 14-4 in their last 18 home games versus Golden State. Also, the favorite is 19-6-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings.

4* Major on Heat -11.5
Bottom Line: The beat-up Bulls have had just one day of rest following a grueling series with the Nets. That puts them at a disadvantage against the defending champs, who have had a week off. With Deng out and Hinrich at less than 100 percent, the Bulls will have a tough time generating any offense. The Bulls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.

5* Wiseguy *PUNISHER* on Knicks -5.5
Bottom Line: The home team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings, winning by an average of 13.8 points. The Knicks are 3-0 in their last 3 at home versus Indiana, winning these by 10, 12 and 15 points. Indiana lost its first two road games in Atlanta badly before pulling out Game 6. The Knicks are far superior to the Hawks and should take care of business at MSG in Game 1.

4* Major *SUREFIRE* on Grizzlies +3.5
Bottom Line: OKC has won by more than 3 points just once in its last 5 games. Plus, it lost 2 of 3 to Memphis during the regular season. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Week on Bulls/Nets UNDER 181.5
Bottom Line: You want to bet the Under in a playoff series that's tied as doing so has produced an 82-48 mark the last 5 seasons. You also want to take the Under in a playoff series that is tied if the total is between 180 and 189.5 points as doing so has produced a 100-58 result since 1996. Defensive intensity will be at a series-high in this winning take all Game 7.

4* Major on Thunder +1.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Also, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. OKC closes out the series tonight.

5* Wiseguy on Clippers +6
Bottom Line: The Clippers won't go quietly as this is a team that felt it had a serious shot to contend in the West. I don't see them losing by more than 6 points in this win-or-go-home contest. The Clippers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit defeat at home.

4* Major on Hawks -1.5
Bottom Line: The home team is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings. The Hawks are 13-0 in their last 13 at home versus the Pacers.

4* Major on Knicks -2
Bottom Line: Despite losses in the last 2 games, the Knicks are still 6-2 in the last 8 meetings with 3 wins at Boston during this span. Knicks close out the series tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Nets/Bulls UNDER 184
Bottom Line: When these teams are fresh, they typically bring the defense. The Nets are 19-7 UNDER this season when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. The Bulls are 13-5 UNDER this season when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. With Chicago looking to close the series out tonight, and Brooklyn trying to live to see another day, I expect an intense, defensive battle. Nothing motivates the Bulls to play defense like a poor defensive performance. They are 20-7 UNDER after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons, 30-13 UNDER when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 11-2 UNDER after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Pound the UNDER!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNSIHER* on Pacers -7
Bottom Line: The home team is 4-0 in this series and has won these games by at least 11 points. The home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with 6 of these wins coming by 9 points or more. The home side is also 13-1 in the last 14 meetings with 11 of these wins coming by 9 points or more. Look for home court to prevail again.

4* Major NBA *Crunch Time Bailout* on Clippers -5
Bottom Line: Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 112-67 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this system have been favored by 5.7 points on average but have won by 8.1 on average. This system is 28-13 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, the Clippers are 18-6 ATS when out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent. L.A. is 6-0 in its last 6 at home and has won these by an average of 15.7 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Opening Round Game of the Year on Nuggets -7.5
Bottom Line: I love Denver tonight at home where it is 24-1 in its last 25. Denver has taken care of business at home all season, even against quality competition. It is 17-6 ATS this season in home games when playing against a team with a winning record and has won these contests by 8.9 points on average. The Nuggets are also 54-37 ATS under coach Karl as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and have won these games by an average of 9.9 points. They are 41-26 ATS under Karl in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that scored 110 points or more on them and 58-38 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more. The Warriors are just 4-15 ATS under Jackson in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Pound Denver.

4* Major "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Nuggets UNDER 213
Bottom Line: After 3 consecutive Overs, I expect this one to come in well Under the total as Denver really picks up the "D" in an attempt to stave off elimination. Plays Under on home teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 are 27-5 since 1996 if they are out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 or more points and their opponent is off an upset win by 10 points or more. This system is a perfect 3-0 the last 3 seasons. Also, Plays Under on road teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 are 25-5 since 1996 if they are off an upset win of 10 points or more. This system is 4-0 the last 3 seasons.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Rockets +1.5
Bottom Line: The home team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Plus, Houston is 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +1.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. The Pacers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Bulls/Nets UNDER 180.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 30-14-1 in the Bulls' last 45 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 6-1 in their last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Under is 5-2 in the Nets' last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Nets -5.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a game in which they covered the spread.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -1.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games versus a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Golden State is 8-18 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

4* Major on Nuggets/Warriors UNDER 212.5
Bottom Line: Denver is 17-6 UNDER when out for revenge for a close loss of 3 points or less to an opponent. We have seen just 200.2 total points scored on average in these contests.

4* Major on Lakers +11.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a win and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games when playing on 1 day of rest.

4* Major on Spurs/Lakers UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: The UNDER is 8-2 in the Spurs' last 10 road games. The UNDER is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings between these teams, including 9-3 in the last 12 in L.A.

4* Major on Bucks +9
Bottom Line: The Heat have had 3-0 leads in the first round the last 2 years - Philadelphia in 2011 and the Knicks in 2012 - but lost Game 4 each time. Milwaukee is on a 114-79 ATS run following 3 or more consecutive defeats.

4* Major on Celtics +2.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics won't roll over. This veteran team has way too much pride. Boston is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival the last 3 seasons. Teams headed up by Mike Woodson are 3-14 ATS in road playoff games.

4* Major on Knicks/Celtics OVER 180.5
Bottom Line: Plays on the OVER on any team (NY in this case) that held its last opponent to 80 points or less and is up against a team that has scored 90 points or fewer in 4 straight games are 75-36 since 1996.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks -2
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 0-11 in their last 11 games in Atlanta with these defeats coming by nearly 11 points on average. All of these losses came by at least 3 points. The home team has won 6 straight and 11 of the last 12 meetings. Pound the Hawks!

4* Major NBA Bailout on Lakers +5.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 6-0 in their last 6 and 13-1 in their last 14 home games. The Spurs are 0-7 in their last 7 on the road. Even with all of LA's injury issues, I like its chances of keeping this one within the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Knicks/Celtics OVER 183.5
Bottom Line: The Over is 7-3 in the Celtics' last 10 home games and 10-4 in their last 14 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game. Plays Over on any team (NY in this case) after a blowout win by 15 points or more that is matched up against an opponent that has scored 80 points or less 2 straight games are 10-2 the last 5 seasons.

4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Celtics -2.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics are 14-4 in their last 18 home games and 13-2 in their last 15 home games versus the Knicks. The Knicks are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game while the Celtics are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Grizzlies -4.5
Bottom Line: Memphis has dropped the first two games of the series, but I expect it to get back in the series tonight at home where it is 14-1 in its last 15 games. The Grizzlies are an outstanding 25-12 ATS following 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. They are 45-24 ATS when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. They are also 26-11 ATS in their last 37 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 179.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 4-0 in Memphis' last 4 home games, and we've see just 156, 178 and 169 total points scored in the last 3 of these. The Under is also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Memphis. We haven't seen more than 178 total points scored in these with three of them at 172 or less. Memphis is at its best defensively at home and should get enough stops to send this one comfortably under the number.

4* Major Game 3 *SUREFIRE* on Bucks +7.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks will put forth their best effort of the series tonight in front of their home fans. They won't be lacking any confidence as they have a 19-point win over the Heat in Milwaukee this season. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 1 day of rest.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs First Round Total of the Year on Hawks/Pacers UNDER 187
Bottom Line: These two combined for 197 points in Game 1, but Atlanta shot 50.0 percent from the field, and the Pacers were 30 of 34 from the foul line. I don't see the Hawks shooting the ball as well in Game 2 versus the NBA's top defensive team. I also don't see the Pacers living at the foul line the way they did in Game 1. They only average 24 trips per game. The Hawks have been a terrific unders bet in the first round of the playoffs, going under the number in 12 of their last 16 conference quarterfinal games. They have also been known to ratchet things up defensively following a blowout defeat, going 6-2 Under in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Road teams when total is between 180 and 189.5 points that are playing 6 or less games in 14 days and have failed to cover the spread in at least 8 of their last 10 games are 57-26 since 1996. Pound the Under!

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Nuggets -8
Bottom Line: The Nuggets won Game 1 at home despite not playing very well. I expect a stronger performance from them here against a Golden State squad that will be without All-Star forward David Lee. The Nuggets have won 24 straight at home and are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games. They are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games versus Golden State. Pound Denver.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: The Celtics blew an excellent opportunity in Game 1 by laying an egg in the 4th quarter, but I expect this veteran squad to bounce back strong. The C's have won or lost by less than 7 points in 22 of their last 27 on the road in this matchup. Take the points in what should be a close contest.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Knicks OVER 185.5
Bottom Line: Neither team played very well offensively in Game 1, but that should change tonight. Plays "Over" on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (NY in this case) that are off a win against a division rival, a well rested team playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, are 259-173 since 1996. That's a long-term 60% system. The total was 185.2 on average in these contests, but we have seen teams combine for 189.1 points on average. I expect this game to be very physical as well, which means plenty of trips to the foul line for both teams. Points being scored with no time running off the clock in an over-lovers dream.

4* Major Game 2 *SUREFIRE* on Bucks +14.5
Bottom Line: The Heat rolled in Game 1, but the odds are stacked against them winning by 15+ tonight. That's because the Bucks have lost to Miami by more than 13 points just 2 times in the last 16 meetings. We'll bet the Bucks behind this 14-2 trend.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Grizzlies +5.5
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have lost their last two against the Clippers but are 30-16 ATS when playing with double revenge the last 3 seasons. Also, Memphis is 16-5 ATS lifetime under coach Hollins when out for revenge for a loss of 20 points or more to a foe. It has won by an average of 4.0 points in this situation.

4* Major NBA Total Dominator on Grizzlies/Clippers UNDER 181.5
Bottom Line: Memphis is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA so it will be out to prove that tonight after letting LA get whatever it wanted in Game 1. Memphis' defense is a big reason why it is 17-4 UNDER in its last 21 versus Western Conference foes. It's also worth mentioning that the Grizzlies are 11-3 UNDER this season when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +5
Bottom Line: Chicago bounces back in Game 2. The Bulls won 3 of 4 with the Nets during the regular season. They split in Brooklyn, but the loss came by just 4 points. The Bulls have lost to the Nets by more than 4 points only twice in the last 12 meetings. Pound Chicago!

4* Major NBA Total Dominator on Bulls/Nets UNDER 183.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Bulls to pick up the "D" following a poor defensive effort in Game 1 and for this one to come in under the total because of it. They are 29-14-1 UNDER in their last 44 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 8-3 UNDER in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points.

4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME POWER PLAY* on Bucks +13.5
Bottom Line: The defending champs are being overvalued in their series opener with the Bucks. Milwaukee has lost to Miami by more than 13 points just 1 time in the last 15 meetings. We'll bet the Bucks behind this 14-1 trend.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Spurs -8.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs lost their regular-season finale at home, but you won't catch me fading them here. They are 10-1 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons and have won by an average of 12.1 points in this situation. San Antonio is also 10-1 ATS at home the last 2 seasons in games played in the 2nd half of the schedule versus teams that have won between 51-60% of their games. They have defeated these teams by 14.2 points on average. Pound the Spurs.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Grizzlies +5
Bottom Line: The Clippers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Grizzlies are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Also, the road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Grizzlies have lost to the Clippers by more than 4 points just 3 times in the last 12 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets -4.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in off 2 or more consecutive home wins in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of 51% to 60% are 45-21 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting these parameters have been favored by 5.4 points on average but have won by 7.7 points on average. This line is a little soft. Bet Brooklyn.

4* Major Early *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: The road team has been the play between these two as it is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Plus, the Celtics are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings at New York.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Rockets +2.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers rose to the occasion with a win and cover versus San Antonio in their first game without Kobe but are an awful 8-22 ATS under coach D'Antoni following an ATS win. They have lost in this situation by an average of 1.5 points. Houston still has a chance to earn the sixth seed but could also drop to the eighth position with a loss so it definitely wants to take care of business here to avoid Oklahoma City in the first round. The Lakers will struggle tonight without Kobe against a motivated team.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -8.5
Bottom Line: All indications are the Spurs will play their big guns as they look to gain some momentum before the playoffs. They should have little trouble with an overmatched Minnesota squad as they are 16-0 in their last 16 at home in the series, winning those by 13.2 points on average.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Raptors +6
Bottom Line: The Hawks have been overvalued at home all season and that remains the case here. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. The Hawks are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. The Raptors are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 with a pair of wins over Chicago and a win over Brooklyn. They're clearly looking to finish the season strong. Pound Toronto.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats pk
Bottom Line: The Knicks have wrapped up the #2 seed in the East and are now content with calling off the dogs until the postseason begins. Carmelo Anthony, among other key players, is expected to sit this one out. The Bobcats are trying to build some momentum for next season and definitely want to notch their 20th win of the season. While the road has been hard on them all year, they have won 6 of their last 8 at home. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus Atlantic division opponents. Also, the Knicks are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Spurs/Lakers OVER 196.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to the Kobe Bryant injury as these two have combined for 213, 218 and 203 total points in 3 of the last 4 meetings. The Lakers are 4-0 OVER in their last 4 and have scored at least 100 points in 9 of their last 11 games. The Spurs have given up an average of 98.5 in their last 4 games. I like L.A. to score enough to push this one over even without Bryant.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +5
Bottom Line: The Suns will be out for some serious revenge for a 31-point home loss they were handed by Minnesota last month, and they should from having the last 2 days off. Minnesota, meanwhile, will have taking the floor for the second time in as many nights and the fourth time in five days. History shows you should play against home favorites that have lost 4 of their last 5 games if they are in the second game of a back-to-back because doing so has turned in a 50-22 ATS result the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting these parameters have laid an average of 5.0 points, but they have won by only 1.3 points on average.

4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Trailblazers +10
Bottom Line: Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games that are matched up against a team that has covered the number in at least 6 of their last 8 are 38-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Blazers are clearly being undervalued because of their losing streak and have a good opportunity to earn a cover against a fatigued OKC squad that is playing its 3rd road game in 4 days.

4* Major on Hornets +9
Bottom Line: The Hornets have lost 2 straight to the Clippers since winning the first meeting of the season, but they are 34-20 ATS the last 2 seasons when playing with double revenge.

4* Major on Bucks +6.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks can't be trusted laying this many points at home where they are 14-23 ATS on the season and 0-5 ATS in their last 5. Also, Atlanta is a soft 36-55 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major on Cavs +5
Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Knicks, who just lost a tough overtime game in Chicago last night. They'll have a very tough time bouncing back here against a much fresher Cleveland club. NY is a soft 2-14 ATS in road games after having won 6 or 7 of its last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Year on Pacers -5.5
Bottom Line: With an opportunity to lock up the No. 3 seed in the East, I fully expect the Pacers to have their revenge against the Nets. The Nets have won this season's two prior meetings but you want to fade underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won 2 consecutive games against an opponent if they check in off an upset win in division play. That's because teams fitting these parameters are just 8-54 SU & 17-44-1 ATS the last 17 seasons. The Pacers have had 2 full days to gear up for this one. They are at home where they are 30-9 on the season, and they are the fresher, more motivated side. Pound the Pacers!

4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Warriors +4
Bottom Line: Golden State isn't getting the respect it deserves at home where it is 27-12 on the season, especially since the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Warriors won the season's prior home meeting by 5 points and lost by just 3 points the previous time they hosted the Thunder. The Warriors are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600.

4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +5
Bottom Line: Bulls have won 4 straight against the Knicks by 4 or more, including all 3 meetings this season, and aren't about to lay down here after an ugly home loss to Toronto. Nothing has ignited the Bulls like losing on their home floor. They are 22-8 ATS all-time under Tom Thibodeau following a home defeat, winning in these spots by an average of 10.0 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Knicks/Bulls UNDER 191
Bottom Line: After a stretch where the Bulls held 4 straight opponents to 94 points or less, they have given up 99+ the last 2 games and lost them both as a result. They gave up 101 at home to Toronto last game which is uncharacteristic considering the Bulls have allowed an average of only 90.3 at home this season. Their recent losses actually play in our favor as Chicago is 19-6 UNDER since Tom Thibodeau took over at home if its enters with losses in 2 of its last 3 games. The Bulls have held their opponent to 88.0 points on average in these spots. We've seen total scores of 178 and 184 in the last two matchups between these teams in the United Center, and I expect another low-scoring one tonight in a game that should have a playoff feel.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 204.5
Bottom Line: With both teams well-rested and both playing for home court advantages in the playoffs, I expect to see a very intense playoff atmosphere that greatly favors the under. The Spurs have really picked up the "D", especially on the road where they are 6-0 under in their last 6. The under is also 2-0-2 in the Spurs' last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. It's also worth noting that the under is 3-0-1 in the Nuggets' last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and 7-0-1 in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. We saw only 199 total points scored when these two last met March 27, and I expect this meeting to be lower scoring with the stakes ramped up even more. Pound the Under!

4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Jazz +3.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz will want this game just a little bit more as they are in a dog fight for the 8th and final playoff spot in the West. They are 29-10 at home this season and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. They have also won their last 2 at home versus OKC by 7 and 15 points. Home court has been huge in this series as the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +9.5
Bottom Line: Off one of its biggest wins of the season and with a big showdown against the Bulls on deck, New York won't give Washington its full attention. Plus, the Knicks are being overvalued here due to their 12-game winning streak. I'll grab the points with a Washington team that continues to compete as it is 12-4 ATS on the road as an underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET *BAILOUT* on Trailblazers +3.5
Bottom Line: Dallas really can't afford any losses the rest of the way as it trails the Lakers by 3 games for the last playoff spot in the West. While the Mavs will be motivated, this is a tough spot for them as it's their 3rd game on the road in 4 days. The Blazers will be fresher, and I expect them to give Dallas all it wants and more. It has lost to the Mavs at home by more than 3 points only once in the last 7 meetings. Dallas is on a 24-37 ATS slide after covering the number in 2 of their last 3 games while Portland is on a 28-14 ATS run in home games after failing to cover the number in 2 of their last 3. Bet the Blazers.

4* Major NBA *MOTIVATIONAL MISMATCH* on Pacers -3.5
Bottom Line: While last night's 22-point home loss to Oklahoma City is motivation enough, the Pacers can clinch their first Central Division title in nine years with a win. That's where the true motivation lies. The Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Pacers are 9-0 in their last 9 versus Washington with these wins coming by an average of 9.8 points. It's also worth mentioning that the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Trailblazers +5.5
Bottom Line: The underdog is on a 6-1-1 ATS run in the series, and I expect this trend to continue. The Blazers have been without LaMarcus Aldridge, but he's expected to return tonight and I believe he'll give them a big lift. The Rockets have been overvalued against losing teams and are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games versus teams that have a losing record as a result. They have also failed to cover the number in 5 of their last 7 on the road.

4* Major on Suns +8
Bottom Line: Phoenix is 13-2 in its last 15 home games versus Golden State. Both of the losses came by only 2 points so the Suns are showing value here. Golden State is only 3-10 in its last 13 on the road and hasn't been on the road for a couple weeks so this is a difficult spot for the Warriors.

4* Major on Kings -2
Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for Dallas which blew a 4th-quarter lead and lost by a point at Denver last night. It will be mighty tough for the Mavs to picks themselves back up from that one. The Mavs have won the season's first 3 meetings but Sacramento is an impressive 112-78 ATS when playing with triple revenge since 1996.

4* Major Marquee Matchup on Pacers -2
Bottom Line: The Pacers have a big advantage in terms of fresh legs as they have had the last 3 days off while OKC played last night. The Pacers are a terrific 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. Indiana is 29-8 at home which is worth mentioning since the Thunder are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks +7.5
Bottom Line: I love the Bucks catching a generous number as they have won or lost by 7 points or fewer in 19 of the last 23 meetings in the series. Now that's a 19-4 trend I can get behind. The Bucks still haven't clinched a playoff spot but can do so tonight with a win and a little help so I expect them to be the more motivated side.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +7
Bottom Line: The Mavs aren't getting nearly the respect they deserve here considering how badly they need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. Plus, the road team has absolutely dominated this series, going 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The road team has won 7 of these SU with one of the losses coming by a single point. Dallas has won its last 2 in Denver by double digits, and I expect it to give the Nuggets a game tonight.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Clippers -16
Bottom Line: This may seem like a lot of points, but the Clippers have lost 3 in a row and will be ready to take out their frustrations on the Suns. Phoenix actually won the most recent meeting, but LA is 14-6 ATS this season when out for revenge for a defeat. The Clippers will be further motivated by an opportunity to set a franchise record for regular season wins. They can also clinch their first division title with a win and a loss by Golden State. Phoenix has packed it in. It's giving its young guys more minutes as it is already focused on next year.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Celtics -7.5
Bottom Line: The C's will be out for blood against a Pistons team that has defeated them 4 straight times. The Pistons enter off a road win, but they have been awful on the road this season. Consider that they are 1-8 ATS off a road win this season, losing in this situation by an average of 14.1 points. Plus, Boston is 20-9 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent. Pound Boston!

4* Major Home Court *POWER PLAY* on Raptors -3.5
Bottom Line: Major home court advantage in play here as the home team is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. Toronto is 5-1 in its last 6 home meetings in the series.

4* Major NBA BEST BET *BAILOUT* on Mavs +3
Bottom Line: Dallas has been playing better basketball down the stretch, and I don't see LA getting enough stops to get the job done here. The Mavs are 12-3 ATS the last 2 seasons in the second half of the season versus poor defensive teams that give up 99.0 ppg or more. The Lakers are constantly overvalued at home, especially against teams that have losing records. They are just 3-15 ATS in home games in the second half of the season versus teams with a losing record the last 3 seasons.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Clippers -4
Bottom Line: The Clippers won and covered easily at Indiana in the season's first meeting and are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 versus Central division foes. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Indiana is only 4-12 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. It has lost these by an average of 6.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Blazers +9.5
Bottom Line: This is a big time bounce back spot and revenge spot for Portland, which lost Friday to Utah and was crushed Saturday by Golden State. Plays on road underdogs that are coming off a lopsided defeat of at least 20 points and are matched up against a team that has hit the century mark in 4 straight games are 50-26 (66%) ATS since 1996. These teams have faced an average line of 9.8 points but have lost by only 6.6 on average. Looks like this number is about 3 points off the mark.

4* Major Atlantic Division *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: The Celtics are being undervalued here considering they have won or lost by fewer than 7 points in 18 of the last 20 meetings in the series. Now that's an 18-2 trend I can get behind. They've lost the last 2 in the series and were embarrassed in Boston Tuesday so they will be motivated to say the least. Take the points as the Celtics take the Knicks down to the wire.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs pk
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Heat, who will be playing their 4th road game this week. That's a lot of ball and a lot of travel without much rest. The Spurs have been home since last Sunday night and have played only 2 games this week. They will be the fresher side. San Antonio will be lacking no confidence following back-to-back wins over the Nuggets and Clippers. The Spurs have beaten just about everyone at home where they are an impressive 32-4 on the season. They are 12-1 in their last 13 at home against the Heat, winning the last 2 home meetings in the series by 30 points. Pound San Antonio!

4* Major on Suns +10
Bottom Line: The value lies with the Suns as home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in at least 8 of their last 10 games are 68-34 ATS (67%) since 1996 if they're matched up against a team that has covered the number in at least 5 of its last 7 games. This system is surefire evidence of the way oddsmakers over inflate lines for hot teams against cold ones.

4* Major on Nets +4.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade the Jazz. They have won 3 in a row and have covered the number in each of their last 6, but they take a big step up in competition tonight. Plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have successfully covered the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season, are 31-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is 16-4 ATS the last 3 seasons and 5-1 ATS this season.

4* Major on Rockets pk
Bottom Line: I locked in the Rockets on the money line but would not be surprised at all if they end up as a small home dog by the time this one closes. I like Houston here regardless because I feel this is a flat spot for LA as it is coming off a tough loss in San Antonio and is playing its 4th game in 5 days. In case the Rockets ended up catching points, I should mention that they are 10-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. I should also mention that the Clippers are 2-10 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Mavericks -4
Bottom Line: Look for the Bulls to fall flat on their faces here after an epic win over Miami. The Mavs will be out for blood after getting pummeled by the Pacers. They need this game because they are 1.5 games out of the #8 spot in the West. The Mavericks are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Pound Dallas.

4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Trail Blazers -3
Bottom Line: Utah can't be trusted on the road where it has lost its last 9. The Jazz are 1-8 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season, losing by an average of 10.0 points in this situation. The Jazz lost the most recent meeting in Portland by 6 and are 9-21 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to and opponent the last 2 seasons.