Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-27-16 | Titans v. Bears +5 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Chicago as they take on Tennessee in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 130-40 since 1983 (16-3 L5 seasons) good for 76.5% winners and made a HUGE 59.5 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - in non-conference games, off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tennessee is a poor 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons; 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fox is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game in all games he has coached since 1992. Chicago is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points Chicago plays better at home where they've earned both of the wins this season and allow 17.5 PPG against. Tennessee is a losing team on the road. This play screams contrarian. Chicago LB Danny Trevathan has recorded 11 or more tackles in two straight games. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan State v. Penn State -11 | Top | 12-45 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Michigan State in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by at least 16 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is an amazing 112-37 ATS (+71.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. MSU is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Lions. The red-hot Nittany Lions take on Sparty today, and if Michigan loses to Ohio State, a win here will put Penn State in the Big 10 Championship Game. The Nittany Lions have played well with a balanced offense and strong running game led by Saquon Barkley who has 12 TD's and averages over 6 yards per carry. Penn State also has the better Defense and special teams in this one. Michigan State QB O'Conner has struggled this year and had 13 interceptions, the Spartans also have been bad on the road this year losing at both Maryland and Illinois. The Spartans left a lot on the field against Ohio State last week after a big day by running back Scott and most likely are ready for this season to end, and the Nittany Lions will oblige today. Take Penn State as they roll today and keep their playoff hopes alive. |
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11-26-16 | Auburn +17.5 v. Alabama | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on Auburn as they take on Alabama in the IRON BOWL in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will lose this game by fewer than 13 points and actually has a shot to win this game. If you have access to a money line for this game, I would highly recommend adding a 3* play using that line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play against a home team (ALABAMA) after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Alabama is just 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders.' Auburn is a solid 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points In the battle of the Iron Bowl we are taking the Auburn Tigers with the points at Alabama based first on the SIM Algorithm grading. There is also a volume of fundamental matchups we see as a neutralizing force against one of the ‘Bama teams in their school history. Auburn comes into the game with an 8-3 record and Alabama has yet to lose. The Tide has delivered in all the big games this year, and when the game was relatively close, they exerted their will and pulled away in the fourth quarter. Alabama QB position has been average through the air in these closer games but delivered running the football. The Auburn QB has been efficient all year with 11 TD's and only two picks completing close to 70% of his passes. The Tiger defense has also been stingy this year and has already faced an athletic QB in Deshaun Watson earlier this year. Auburn's defense, however, allowed only 15 touchdowns in 11 games, limited opponents to about 118 rushing yards per game, and allowed an average of 334.5 yards in total offense, which is 18th-best in the country and fifth in the SEC. The Tigers (8-3, 5-2) can also to put pressure on opposing passers (25 sacks, 82 quarterback hurries) and when they can't get to the quarterback, they have a knack for batting the ball down at the line of scrimmage. Defensive linemen Montravius Adams, Marlon Davidson, Dontavius Russell, Maurice Swain and Derrick Brown, have combined for ten pass breakups. Only two teams have scored in the mid 20 point range against the Tigers this year, and we are getting 17 plus points today. Also in this rivalry game, both teams and players know each other well, so there will be a few wrinkles in the offensive schemes. This is where Auburn, with an incredibly accurate QB, will be the offsetting difference. We believe strongly that his accuracy will eventually spread the Auburn defense and open up running lanes between the tackles. QB Sean White was not under center and got valuable rest after reinjuring his shoulder in the Georgia game. Johnson was under center last week against Alabama A&M and OC Rhett Lashlee said either could start and was intentionally very vague answering press questions yesterday. Gamesmanship? Of course, it is, but it does force ‘Bama staff to prepare for both QB in varying down and distance situations. No Auburn players will be in awe of Alabama, and they have nothing to lose playing in Tuscaloosa.. Take Auburn and the points today. Go War Eagle! |
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11-26-16 | Notre Dame v. USC -17 | Top | 27-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on USC as they take on Notre Dame in NCAA Gridiron action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game by at least 21 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 47-17 ATS mark good for 73.4% winners since 1992. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (USC) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points. The SU record of this system is an incredible 61-4 and 48% of ALL plays made covered the spread by 7 or more points. So, 45 of the 67 ATS wins covered the spread by more than 7 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards over the last 3 seasons; 28-8 ATS (+19.2 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play. Fundamental Discussion Points The red hot Trojans take on the Irish in the annual clash. Norte Dame has had some long days in the Colesium throughout its history and we look for another one today. USC QB Sam Darnold has been real good lately completing over 68% of his passes with 24 Touchdowns, and the Norte Dame secondary will struggle again against an athletic bunch of receivers. The Irish start strong and once adjustments are made the coaching staff does not have an answer. Look for Ju Ju Smith and the Trojan receivers to be running freely all day and the Norte Dame offense will struggle to keep pace today. USC will not want to let up in this one and will keep the pedal on the gas. Look for the Trojans to win this easily today. Fight On! |
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11-26-16 | Florida International v. Old Dominion -13.5 | Top | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
50* graded play on Old Dominion as they take on Florida International in action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ODU will win this game by at least 17 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 98-53 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1992. Play against a road team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog and is now facing an opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FIU is just 21-58 ATS (-42.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt; 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play; ODU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards this season; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Old Dominion. The Monarchs have been perfect in the win column and against the spread at home this year, and we look for more of the same today. ODU has a good offensive line and a strong running game with both Running Backs Larry and Cox averaging 6 yards per carry and 20 rushing TD's on the season. We look for the more of the same today as FIU gives up to close to 200 yards per game. The Monarchs control the line of scrimmage and game in this one. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Michigan in BIG TEN action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is a nice and tidy 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play; 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) versus excellent rushing teams averaging >=230 rushing yards/game; 51-21 ATS (+27.9 Units) vesus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/carry; 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6.25 yards/play. Fundamental Discussion Points Big game this week as this is an elimination game for the college playoff contenders. Two real good teams with great coaching in this one today. Losing Wilton Speight a couple of weeks ago will really hurt the Wolverine offense this week and the Horeshoe is not the place to go with backup O' Korn as the Quarterback. There was a reason he was a backup before transferring to Michigan and then a backup coming to Ann Arbor.The Buckeyes have experience at the QB position with JT Barrett and also have a strong running game and match up with Michigan in the trenches. Barrett completes over 63% of his passes including 24 TD's and can also hurt the defense equally in the running game. Should be a classic battle today, but the inexperience at QB will eventually hurt Michigan and Brutus will finally control this one as the game moves on. Take the Buckeyes as they look to claim one of the top four spots in the College playoffs today. |
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11-25-16 | Warriors v. Lakers +13 | Top | 109-85 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Lakers as they take on Golden State in Western NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers will lose this game by less than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-17 since 1996 (6-4 L10 seasons) good for 73.8% winners and made 29.3 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points (LA LAKERS) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or less on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Lakers are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons; 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. GS is a poor 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and they are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific. Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The last time the Golden State Warriors lost a game was at the Los Angeles Lakers on Nov. 4. The Lakers are 5-3 overall and ATS at home. This spread is far too wide. Take the Los Angeles Lakers. |
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11-25-16 | North Dakota v. North Florida +2 | Top | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
25* graded play on North Florida as they take on North Dakota in CBB action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that N Florida will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 102-56 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.6% winners and made a HUGE 58.2 units/unit wagered. Play on neutral court teams (N FLORIDA) - after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. North Florida 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. North Dakota is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Jones is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season as the coach of N Dakota. Fundamental Discussion Points Stats show UNF has advantages in PPG, FG %, FT %, rebounding, and bench scoring. Take North Florida. |
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11-25-16 | Arkansas -7.5 v. Missouri | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arkansas as they take on Missouri in SEC action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arkansas will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-17 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 2010. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSOURI) and is a struggling team winning between 25% to 40% of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record, in conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arkansas is a stout 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Razorbacks. We look for the physical and balanced Arkansas offense to put up some points today as the Tiger Defense has not recovered from the Florida and LSU back to back games earlier this year and have allowed for teams to control the ball and run at will as of late. The Tiger offense has been strong but can't keep up plugging the leaks by the Defense. Arkansas is looking to finish strong heading to a bowl game and we feel the Tigers want to get their disappointing season completed. Arkansas QB Allen has played well this year and the boys in the trenches favor the Hogs today. We look for a little Pig Sooey today as we will take Arkansas and lay the 8 points. |
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11-24-16 | Hurricanes +150 v. Canadiens | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Carolina (rotation 3) as they take on Montreal in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Carolina can win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-19 mark and has made 30.9 units/unit wagered since 1996. Play against any team against the money line (MONTREAL) off a close loss by one goal to a division rival, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games in the first half of the season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Hurricanes. The line opened this morning at Montreal -165 and quickly moved to -175. However, our team agrees that you will see this line settle lower in the 140 to 145 area. So, be sure to get this play loaded in as soon as you can get the action. |
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11-24-16 | Redskins v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dallas as they take on Washington in NFC East Thanksgiving Day action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 335-236 since 1983 that made a HUGE 75.4 units/unit wagered and is 5-2 this season. Play against road teams (WASHINGTON) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dallas is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game this season; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins this season; 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Garrett is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games as the coach of Dallas. Redskins are a poor 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Fundamental Discussion Points The Cowboys are the class of the NFC at this point. They are a balanced and well-performing, consistent team. I don't think the Redskins can say the same. "Road teams have a disadvantage on Thursday night" is a popular topic for articles for a reason. Even better Washington played Sunday night and are playing late afternoon on the road on Thanksgiving Day. Take them Boys and lay the points. |
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11-24-16 | Vikings +111 v. Lions | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota (107) as they take on Detroit In Thanksgiving Day action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 52-20 mark good for 72% winners over the past 10+ seasons. Play on road teams (MINNESOTA) after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they allow 75 to 100 rushing yards over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by |
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11-24-16 | Temple +10 v. Florida State | Top | 89-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on Temple as they take on Florida State in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a reasonable chance to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is a solid 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game; 90-51 ATS (+33.9 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
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11-23-16 | Thunder +2.5 v. Kings | Top | 101-116 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma City Thunder as they take on the Sacramento Kings in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will win this game by more than 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-3 ATS mark good for 90% Winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kings are just 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. OKC is a solid 74-40 ATS (+30.0 Units) when they score 105 to 109 points in a game. Further, we extract from our vast 30-year DB that the Kings are just 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points OKC dominates the stat boards against Sacramento in basically every single category. They want to turn things around and want to rack up points against the Kings here. Take Oklahoma City Thunder. |
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11-23-16 | Raptors +4 v. Rockets | Top | 115-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Houston tin NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Toronto is installed as a 3.5 dog. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 61-27 since 1996 good for 69.3% winners and made a nice 31.3 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - off a road win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. Another proven system supports this play posting a 44-20 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.8% winners and made 22 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams (TORONTO) - after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record; 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game; 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 Wednesday games. Rockets are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Wednesday games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raptors. Harden, like DeRozan, is one of the best in the league at getting to the free-throw line and converting his chances into points, but he missed five free throws down the stretch on Monday and finished 14-of-19 from the line. The key here will be turnovers where Toronto has the huge edge outranking Houston by 24 teams (2nd and 26th respectively in turnovers/play). Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-23-16 | St. John's +7.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 62-73 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Johns as they take on Michigan State in Round 1 of the Battle for Atlantis Tournament taking place at the Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort, Nassau and set to start at 7:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the current line of ST. Johns installed at + 7, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 177-107 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.3% winners and made a HUGE 59.3 units/unit wagered. Play against neutral court teams (MICHIGAN ST) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 85 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. John's is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997. MSU is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Fundamental Discussion Points St. John's ranks among the nation's leaders with seven blocks per game, getting most of that production from a pair of sophomores in Tariq Owens and Kassoum Yakwe, each of whom is averaging 2.7 rejections. They block and steal more than double per game than the Spartans. St. John's play very clean ranking 66th in turnovers/play while MSU ranks 294th. Also as evidenced above MSU doesn't win against the spread very often. Take St. John's. |
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11-23-16 | Colgate v. Penn State -10 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 101 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Colgate in NCAAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by more than 14 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus pathetic teams - shooting 42% or less with a defense of 45% or more since 1997; 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds since 1997; 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Wednesday games; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more with Chambers as their coach. Colgate is a poor 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Nittany Lions. |
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11-23-16 | Michigan v. South Carolina +4.5 | Top | 46-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Michigan in NCAAM action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SC will win this game. Given the current line of SC + 3, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-3 over the last 5 seasons good for 88% winners. Play against a road team (MICHIGAN) - after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Gamecocks are a strong 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten. Wolverines are a poor 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win and 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. SEC. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Gamecocks. South Carolina can overcome the Michigan defense and get enough second chances with their superior rebounding. Take South Carolina Gamecocks. |
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11-22-16 | Wyoming v. Pacific -2.5 | Top | 65-73 | Win | 101 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pacific a as they take on Wyoming in NCAAM action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pacific will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wyoming is a poor 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons; 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Pacific is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997; 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Tigers. Their lone win was also at home when they scored 76 points and held their opponent to 58 points. Take Pacific Tigers. |
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11-22-16 | Indiana -14 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Indiana-Ft. Wayne in NCAAM action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by 15 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-6 ATS for 84.2% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (INDIANA) in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams attempting more than 20/game, after a game shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower to that opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indiana is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games; Coach Crean is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in November games in all games he has coached since 1997. Fort Wayne is a poor 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten. Fundamental Discussion Points Fort Wayne lost 90-65 at Indiana last season in the first meeting between the programs. Fort Wayne is 0-9 all-time against ranked opponents, with each loss coming by double digits. The Hoosiers average 11.7 3-pointers per game – second-most in the nation – with Blackmon leading the way with 4.7 per contest. Take Indiana Hoosiers. |
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11-22-16 | Yale +10.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
25* graded play on Yale as they take on Pittsburgh in NCAAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Yale will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yale is a solid 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game since 1997; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers with Jones as their coach; 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pitt is a poor 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Fundamental Discussion Points Yale had just 17 turnovers total in their two wins. They slow the game down and can use their defense to do that against Pitt. Combining their defense and limiting turnovers they can easily stay within the spread. Take Yale. |
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11-21-16 | South Dakota State v. Idaho -5.5 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho as they take on South Dakota State in NCAAM action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho will win this game by at least 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 159-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.9% winners and made a nice 46.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (IDAHO) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho is a strong 22-3 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997; 65-32 ATS (+29.8 Units) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less since 1997; 2-0 against the spread versus S Dakota ST since 1997; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Jackrabbits are a poor 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky conference teams; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Take Idaho Vandals. |
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11-21-16 | Northwestern +2 v. Texas | Top | 77-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Texas in the Semifinals of the Legends Classic being held at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn and action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NWU will win this game. They are installed as 2.5 point dogs and we expect this line to rise to possibly 3.5 by game time. We also would not be surprised if this becomes a public ‘steam’ move and the line does have the potential to shoot up to 5. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northwestern is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Texas is a poor 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Wildcats. |
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11-21-16 | Celtics -2 v. Wolves | Top | 99-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston as they take on Minnesota in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-20 mark good for 71% winners since 1996. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) terrible defensive team allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 85 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is a solid 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota has been a money burning 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in games where they commit 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Boston. |
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11-21-16 | George Washington v. Georgia -6 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Georgia as they take on George Washington in the Semifinals of the CBE Hall of Fame Classic, in Kansas City, MO, and set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by 10 points or more. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 73.1% winners and made 22.6 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (GEORGE WASHINGTON) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 5 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgia is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons; 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game since 1997; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. George Washington is a poor 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games against SEC opponents since 1997; 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bulldogs. |
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11-21-16 | Columbia v. Quinnipiac +3.5 | Top | 86-78 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Quinnipiac as they take on Columbia in NCAA action action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Quinnipiac will win this game. They are installed as 4.5 point dogs. So, given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.4% winners and made 24.4 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (COLUMBIA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Quinnipiac is 3-0 straight up against Columbia since 1997 and the Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Columbia is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bobcats. |
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11-21-16 | Kent State v. South Dakota +2.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Dakota as they take on Kent State In the First Round of the Florida Gulf Coast Tournament and set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that South Dakota will win this game. They are installed as 2.5 point dogs. So, given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kent ST is a poor 12-48 ATS (-40.8 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997; 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half since 1997; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. South Dakota is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite since 1997; 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Take South Dakota. |
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11-20-16 | Raptors v. Kings +3.5 | Top | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Sacramento as they take on Toronto in NBA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Sacramento will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-11 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 2010. Play on underdogs (SACRAMENTO) after allowing 105 points or more three straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Raptors are a money burning 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a favorite over the last three seasons; 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a home favorite over the last three seasons. |
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11-20-16 | Packers v. Redskins UNDER 49 | 24-42 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
50* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total (currently at 49) in the SNF Green Bay-Washington NFC showdown set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 44 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 ‘under’ record good for 80% Winners since 2010. Play ‘Under’ with any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (GREEN BAY) -after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, the team with a losing record in the second half of the season. Here is a second system that has gone 37-14 ‘under’ for 73% winners since 2010. Play Under - Any team against the total (GREEN BAY) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Green Bay is a perfect 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to play the ‘UNDER’ in this special situation matchup. Green Bay has recorded three straight ‘over’ results, and Washington has gone ‘over’ in three of the last four games they have played. Washington has covered 6 of the last seven games ATS and the principal reason has been the improving ground attack. Washington did not gain over 100 rushing yards until Week 4, but since they have gone over 100 rushing yards in all but two games and have gone over 100 rushing yards in four straight games. Green Bay in a similar fashion has made the adjustments to get the ground game going knowing they simply cannot have Rogers throw 50 times per game and expect favorable results. Both teams rank 8th and 9th in yards per rush, so we expect time to fly off the clock with both teams focused on establishing the run and field position. Take the ‘UNDER.' |
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11-20-16 | Flames +131 v. Red Wings | 3-2 | Win | 131 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
25* graded play on Calgary as they take on Detroit in NHL action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Calgary will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 103-99 for only 51% winners, BUT has made 47 units/unit wagered averaging a 142 dog line. Play on road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (CALGARY) after 1 or more consecutive 'unders,' poor scoring team scoring |
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11-20-16 | Wake Forest v. College of Charleston +3 | Top | 78-61 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charleston as they take on Wake Forest in Final Round action of the Charleston Classic set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charleston will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. COC is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=41% of their attempts. Wake Forest is just 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Charleston and expect them to win this Final Round game in the Charleston Classic. |
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11-20-16 | Eagles v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 52 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Seattle as they take on Philly in NFC action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992; 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Carroll is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games as the coach of Seattle. Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Russell Wilson connected with Doug Baldwin for three touchdown passes versus the Patriots while the former also accounted for three scores (two passing, one rushing) in the last meeting with the Eagles - a 24-14 Seahawks win on Dec. 7, 2014. Jordan Matthews, who is nursing back spasms, has been the lone consistent Eagles wideout with 23 catches for 216 yards in his last three games. The Eagle's wideouts will continue to be poor especially against this Seattle defense. Take Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-20-16 | Jaguars +6.5 v. Lions | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Jacksonville as they take on Detroit in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Jacksonville will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance at the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 86-40 since 1983 (6-2 L3 seasons) good for 68.3% winners and made a HUGE 42 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DETROIT) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season. Another proven system supports this play posting a 74-33 since 1983 (10-5 L3 seasons) good for 69.2% winners and made a nice 37.7 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after a loss by 6 or less points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a poor 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus poor rushing teams - averaging under 90 rushing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 13-35 ATS (-25.5 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 11. Jags are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week; 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points Look for defensive back Jalen Ramsey, who has become a clear favorite in the race for defensive rookie of the year while shutting down a litany of star receivers throughout his first season, to shadow Detroit's Marvin Jones. Neither team has shown any ability to run the ball on the season with the Jags ranking 26th in the league, one spot ahead of Lions. The teams also rank at the bottom of the NFL in forcing turnovers. The Jags are rested and looking to win. Take Jacksonville Jaguars. |
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11-20-16 | Ravens +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Baltimore as they take on Dallas in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will lose this game by less than 5 and have a shot of the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-12 over the last 10 seasons good for 74.5% winners and made 21.8 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BALTIMORE) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Garrett is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a home favorite; 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse; 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season as the coach of Dallas. Harbaugh is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games and he is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season as the coach of Baltimore. Ravens are 4-0 straight up against the Cowboys since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points Baltimore's top-ranked run defense will take aim at rookie Ezekiel Elliott and Dallas' offensive line after holding the Steelers (36 yards on 18 carries) and Browns (33 on 13) to 2.2 yards per carry. Quarterback Joe Flacco is taking more chances down the field under new offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt in the last two games while throwing four touchdown passes. Baltimore has won its last five games against teams starting rookie quarterbacks. Take Baltimore Ravens. |
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11-20-16 | Titans +2.5 v. Colts | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Indianapolis in AFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by seven or more points. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2005. Play against any team (INDIANAPOLIS) off 1 or more straight ‘overs’ against opponent off 6 or more consecutive ‘overs.' The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tenn is a stout 32-8 ATS (+23.2 Units) when they rush for 150 to 175 yards; 65-20 ATS (+43.0 Units) when they rush for 125 or more yards; Indy is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards over the last 3 seasons; 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by |
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11-19-16 | South Dakota State v. Wyoming -3 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Wyoming as they take on S Dakota ST in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wyoming will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 157-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.6% winners and made a HUGE 44.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (WYOMING) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wyoming is 81-36 ATS (+41.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Jackrabbits are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record; 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall; 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Fundamental Discussion Points S Dakota ST rank 100 spots below Wyoming in shooting percentage (250-349) with an awful 28.7%. S Dakota ST is 0-2 on the road while Wyoming is 1-0 at home. Everything stats wise is in favor of Wyoming, so take the Cowboys and lay the points. |
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11-19-16 | Idaho State +11.5 v. Utah State | Top | 51-85 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho State as they take on Utah State in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho ST will lose this game by less than 9 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons; 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons; 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games; 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss. Utah ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons; 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Idaho State has the advantage of an inflated spread and that they outrebound Utah State. The Bengals are solid in Saturday games as the Aggies are horrible in Saturday games (as evidenced above). Take Idaho State Bengals. |
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11-19-16 | Tulsa +1 v. Central Florida | Top | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tulsa as they take on Central Florida in American Athletic Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by at least 4 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-10 ATS mark good for 79% winners since2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TULSA) excellent offensive team averaging >=440 YPG and is now facing an average offensive team gaining between 330 to 390 YPG. Here is a Money Line system that has produced a 118-26 mark good for 82% winners and has made 60 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play on road favorites vs. the money line (TULSA) and is a quick starting offensive team scoring 16+ PPG in the first half and after playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The key metric is the Tulsa ground attack noting they are 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they are outgained by their opponents by 50-100 yards. Fundamental Discussion Points The Golden Hurricanes come into this game after a tough loss to Navy and controlling the option game which most likely cost them any chance of playing for a conference championship. Both squads look similar against their opponents on the year, however Tulsa brings the better offense today averaging over 42 points per game compared to 31 for Central Florida. Tulsa has a big play offense and lots of speed at the skill positions. Top three rushers average over 5 yards per carry to go with a good quarterback completing 58% of his passes with some big play wide outs. Central Florida has competed well, but does struggle to throw the ball which we think they will need to do to keep up with the high-powered Tulsa offense. Look for another big output from the Tulsa offense today and to cover the small number on the road. |
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11-19-16 | Western Kentucky v. Belmont -7 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Belmont as they take on Western Kentucky in College Basketball action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Belmont will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 157-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.6% winners and made a HUGE 44.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (BELMONT) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. W Kentucky is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Ohio Valley conference. Fundamental Discussion Points The last 2 years in November Belmont has won this matchup. Although the season is young, we can use stats to see an obvious deficiency in W Kentucky's turnovers giving up 15 per game. Belmont will be playing with more fire after opening their season with a loss. Take Belmont Bruins. |
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11-19-16 | Heat +4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 75.4% winners and made 27.6 unit/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%). Another proven system supports this play posting a 61-23 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.6% winners and made a nice 35.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home teams (WASHINGTON) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, on Saturday games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast; 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Washington. Spoelstra is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of Miami. Washington is 103-145 ATS (-56.5 Units) in November games since 1996. Fundamental Discussion Points Miami will use their defense to win this game with Hasaan Whiteside leading the NBA in rebounding (16 per game) and ranking second in blocks (2.73). He'll make it very difficult for John Wall or any Wizard to score in the paint or get offensive rebounds. The Heat outrebound, turnover less, and have the better bench. Take Miami Heat. |
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11-19-16 | Jets +145 v. Bruins | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on Winnipeg as they take on Boston in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Winnipeg will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 80-49 since 1996 good for 62% winners and made a nice 36.7 units/unit wagered. Play against any team against the money line (BOSTON) - after a low scoring road game where both teams scored 1 goal or less, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is 1-11 (-16.5 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons; 3-9 (-11.1 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons; 1-8 (-13.1 Units) after getting shutout in their previous game over the last 3 seasons; 4-11 (-11.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Jets are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game and they are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Boston's offense sputtered on their recent road trip as the Bruins scored four goals on 100 shots. Forward David Pastrnak, second on the team in points (14) and among the league leaders in goals (10), did not play Thursday with an undisclosed injury and is day-to-day. Boston is ranked 23rd with only 2.35 goals/game and are an even 3-3 at home. Take Winnipeg Jets. |
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11-19-16 | Washington State v. Colorado -5.5 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Colorado as they take on Washington State in PAC-12 action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington State is a money burning 48-94 ATS (-55.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt; Colorado is a stout 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they gain 9 to 9.5 net passing yards/attempt; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears. Both of these teams can be considered surprise teams and could very possibly meet again in a couple of weeks to Determine the Pac 12 Champions. After losing their first two games Washington State has one eight in a row and sets up to play a game next week against Washington in the Apple Cup for a right to play in the Championship Game. If Colorado wins today the Buffaloes will also be going to the Pac 12 championship game. Colorado has two losses both on the road at Michigan and USC. The Buffaloes put up 35 points per game and have only allowed18. The Buffaloes have won both low and high scoring games this year. Colorado QB Liufau has been very efficient this year completing over 67% of his passes with 10 TD's with only 3 picks. The Buffaloes will need to contain one of this years best QB's no one mentions in Luke Falk who completes 74% of his passes and has thrown 33 passing TD's this year. Colorado's secondary has been good and the red zone defense has been strong this year. Colorado is at home and needs this game more today and we think that will be the big difference today. |
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11-19-16 | Northwestern -3 v. Minnesota | Top | 12-29 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Minnesota in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NWU will win this game at least 7 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 84-43 ATS mark good for 66% ATS winners since 2010. Play on road favorites (NORTHWESTERN) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Northwestern is a stout 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt. Fundamental Discussion Points Minnesota has been in all close games this year but has lost in the big tests against Penn State, Nebraska, and Iowa. Minnesota QB Leitner has struggled this year and the Gophers rely on a power running game with play action passing to go with a fundamentally sound defense. Northwestern QB has heated up since the Wildcats went to an up-tempo offense. Most Big 10 teams don't see this offense and are not prepared for this type of attack. Northwestern becomes bowl eligible with this one and showed they could hold their own on the road going toe to toe with the Buckeyes in Columbus. We also feel Minnesota has a big game on deck with Wisconsin in Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe. The Gophers haven't had the Axe since 2003 and may have more focus on the next game than the Wildcats schemes today. Take the Wildcats and lay the small number today. |
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11-19-16 | Miami (Fla) v. NC State +2 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on NC State as they take on Miami in ACC action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NC State will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-26 ATS mark good for 72% ATS winners since 2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’, good offensive team scoring 31 or more points/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points; 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by |
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11-18-16 | Clippers v. Kings +7.5 | Top | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Sacramento Kings as they take on the Los Angeles Clippers in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Kings will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.7% winners and made 23.5 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Clippers are 73-109 ATS (-46.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game since 1996; 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Rivers is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers as the coach of the Clippers. The Kings are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Kings. Cousins scored 26 points and posted season bests of 17 rebounds and six assists in the loss against the Spurs but it wasn't enough to deliver a victory. The big man has 10 20-point outings - including five in a row. Take the Sacramento Kings. |
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11-18-16 | Ball State +8 v. Alabama | Top | 59-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ball State as they take on Alabama in NCAAB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Ball State will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win SU. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ball ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997 and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Alabama is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite since 1997; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Fundamental Discussion Points Tayler Persons is off to a sizzling start for the Cardinals, scoring more than 20 points in each of the first two games - 26 on 9-of-16 shooting last time out. Franko House was the other star of the game for the Cardinals, scoring 21 to go along with 14 rebounds, and he has drained 5-of-7 attempts from long range overall. Cardinals F Tahjai Teague has had two steals and two blocks in both games this season, adding averages of 7.0 points and 7.5 rebounds. I think bettors are too high on Alabama coming off a close loss to Dayton. Take Ball State Cardinals. |
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11-18-16 | Red Wings +180 v. Capitals | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on Washington in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit can win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-52 since 1996 (19-12, +12.5 units in L5 seasons) but made a HUGE 40.6 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (DETROIT) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is 10-5 (+8.9 Units) in road games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons and they are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Washington is 6-10 ATS overall this season and they are 3-4 ATS at home this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Red Wings. The Red Wings could get defenseman Niklas Kronwall (knee) back Friday. They are due for a win considering they started the season with 6 straight wins. Take Detroit Red Wings. |
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11-17-16 | Saints +3.5 v. Panthers | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Saints as they take on the Carolina Panthers in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Saints will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 71-33 since 1983 (9-3 L5 seasons) good for 68.3% winners and made 34.7 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (CAROLINA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New Orleans is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Carolina. Payton is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a loss by 6 or less points as the coach of New Orleans and he is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game as the coach of the Saints. Carolina is a poor 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Road team is 21-9 ATS in their last 30 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Saints. The Saints' Brandin Cooks enjoyed a career day in his previous encounter with Carolina, highlighting his career-high 173-yard performance with an 87-yard touchdown. New Orleans RB Mark Ingram has recorded four touchdowns in his last three road contests. The Saints are a +2 in turnover ratio while the Panthers are -7 (fourth-worst in NFL). Take New Orleans Saints. |
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11-16-16 | Grizzlies +12 v. Clippers | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Memphis as they take on the LA Clippers in Western NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Memphis will lose this game by less than 8 points and have an outside shot to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made a nice 35.6 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rivers is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents as the coach of Los Angeles. Clippers are 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1996. Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Grizzlies are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The one weakness that can hinder the Clippers so far this season is their 25th ranked free throws of 73.5%. For some reason they seem to always play down to Memphis and let them beat the spread a ton in this match-up. Take Memphis Grizzlies. |
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11-16-16 | Coyotes +130 v. Flames | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Calgary in action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arizona will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Calgary is 4-11 (-9.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game; 1-4 in their last 5 overall; 1-5 in their last 6 home games; 1-6 in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest; 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Coyotes are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Goaltender Mike Smith and Martin Hanzal, who have been sidelined with lower-body injuries since Oct. 18 and 29, respectively, both may return versus Calgary. Radim Vrbata, who leads the team with six goals, is riding a four-game point streak and has tallied in each of his last two contests. Calgary has scored fewer than two goals in six of its last eight contests. Take Arizona Coyotes. |
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11-16-16 | San Francisco v. UC-Santa Barbara -8.5 | Top | 75-63 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on UC-Santa Barbara as they take on San Francisco in NCAAB action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCSB will win this game by at least 12 poits. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 153-95 ATS mark good for 62% winners since 2010. Play on a favorite (UC-SANTA BARBARA) with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SF is a money burning 19-45 ATS (-30.5 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 31-84 ATS (-61.4 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; UCSB is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game; 45-14 ATS (+29.6 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game. |
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11-16-16 | Warriors v. Raptors +6 | Top | 127-121 | Push | 0 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a good chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall; 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest; 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. GS is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games after 2 straight games making 85% of their free throws or better since 1996; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game; 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Raptor's shooting guard DeMar DeRozan leads the NBA in scoring (33.2) and has recorded 30 or more points in eight of Toronto's 10 games. GS can score but also give up over 108 PPG to opponents. Toronto at home is a very solid defensive team only allowing 96.2 PPG to opponents. Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-16-16 | Wizards -4 v. 76ers | Top | 102-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Philadelphia in Eastern NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-13 over the last 5 seasons good for 76.4% winners and made a nice 27.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Philly is 7-17 ATS in their last 24 vs. NBA Southeast. Fundamental Discussion Points Starting point guard Sergio Rodriguez and backup T.J. McConnell combined for six points in Monday's loss and neither did much on the defensive end while going up against Harden. Rodriguez scored in double figures in each of the first four games but went for 10 or more one in the last six contests. Washington took the last six in the series, including three in Philadelphia. Take Washington Wizards. |
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11-15-16 | Bulls +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 113-88 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Chicago as they take on Portland in NBA action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will win this game outright. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made a nice 35.6 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (PORTLAND) - an excellent offensive team (over 102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons; 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games with Stotts as the coach; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game; 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win; 10-4 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The visiting team took both meetings last season, with Chicago earning a 93-88 victory in Portland on Nov. 24. Chicago can win this game with their defense. They are ranked 9th only allowing opponents just over 100 PPG, while the Blazers are 28th letting 111 PPG. The Bulls are best in the NBA in two interesting categories that can play a factor: opponents FTM/game (12) and FTA/game (17). There will not be many free points for Portland. Take the Chicago Bulls. |
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11-15-16 | Oilers +125 v. Ducks | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Edmonton as they take on Anaheim in Pacific Division action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Edmonton will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-25 since 1996 good for 62.1% winners and made 24 units/unit wagered. Play on a underdog against the money line (EDMONTON) - off a home loss by 2 goals or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The road team is 4-1 in the last 5 head-to-head meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Edmonton boasts five players with at least five goals that include lumbering forwards Milan Lucic (five) and Patrick Maroon (team-most six), who was traded to the Oilers last season after spending the first four-plus years of his career with Anaheim. Anaheim is 0-for-12 on the power play over the last three games. This is a contrarian pick because at some point Edmonton will beat Anaheim and that will be tonight. Take Edmonton Oilers. |
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11-15-16 | Hawks -6 v. Heat | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Miami in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-12 over the last 5 seasons good for 77.8% winners. Play against home underdogs (MIAMI) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games. another proven system supports this play posting a 24-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 82.8% winners. Play on road teams (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a bad team (25% to 40%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a poor 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons; 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Fundamental Discussion Points The Hawks are outscoring foes by 11.2 pts per 100 possessions and are giving up only .958 points per possession. The Heat really figure to struggle to score against Atlanta, not only because of the Hawks' defensive prowess, but also due to their own offensive ineptitude as they are 29th in offensive efficiency. All signs and research point to an easy ATS win for the Atlanta Hawks. |
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11-15-16 | Lightning -106 v. Red Wings | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Detroit in Atlantic Division action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 202-115 since 1996 (33-17 in last 3 seasons) good for 63.7% winners and made a HUGE 66.8 units/unit wagered. Play against any team against the money line (DETROIT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals, off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a poor 18-29 (-26.8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons; 5-12 (-14.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons; 1-4 in their last 5 home games; 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-7 in their last 8 vs. Atlantic. The Lightning are are 5-1 in their last 6 Tuesday games; 7-1 in the last 8 head-to-head meetings; 79-36 (+33.6 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days with Jon Cooper as their coach. Fundamental Discussion Points Defenseman Niklas Kronwall, who has been dealing with chronic knee issues this season, is expected to sit out Tuesday's contest. As these teams rank close to each other in Goals Against/game, it's a big advantage the Lightning rank 7th (15 places ahead of Detroit) scoring slightly over 3 goals a game. Take Tampa Bay Lightning. |
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11-15-16 | Raptors +5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Cleveland in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a solid chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 69.8% winners. Play on any team vs the money line (TORONTO) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, playing with 2 days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons; 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games with Casey as the coach; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Cavaliers are a poor 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall; 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games; 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win; 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points The Raptors were within 3 points in their last meeting on October 28th. These two teams rank next to each other in many categories, but Toronto stands out only allowing opponents 99.2 PPG. Toronto C Lucas Nogueira is 15-of-17 from the floor in the last four games. J.R. Smith may not play or if he does will be hindered by his injury. Take Toronto Raptors. |
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11-15-16 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets +125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 125 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
25* graded play on Columbus as they take on Washington in Metropolitan Division action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Columbus will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-8 over the last 5 seasons good for 75% winners. Play on home teams against the money line (COLUMBUS) - poor closing team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Columbus is 16-8 (+13.7 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons; 12-7 (+7.4 Units) in November games with John Tortorella as their coach; 5-0 in their last 5 home games; 5-2 in their last 7 overall. Capitals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Metropolitan. Fundamental Discussion Points The Blue Jackets posted at least eight goals for the second time in five games Saturday in the victory over St. Louis and lead the league in power-play percentage while standing second in scoring. The Blue Jackets have outscored opponents 27-10 during their five-game home winning streak. The Caps have managed only four goals in the last three contests after winning five in a row. Take Columbus Blue Jackets. |
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11-14-16 | Bengals v. Giants | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cincinnati as they take on the NY Giants in MNF action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cincinnati will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-7 over the last 10 seasons good for 76.7% winners. Play against home teams (NY GIANTS) - terrible rushing team - averaging 70 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cincinnati is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons; 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992; Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Giants are 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in November games since 1992; 31-55 ATS (-29.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games; 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record; 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 10. Fundamental Discussion Points The biggest problem for the Giants has been a stagnant running game led by Rashad Jennings that ranks last in the league with a meager average of 68.3 yards per game. Rookie Paul Perkins could see more time this week to help work the clock and protect a defense that yields 277.4 yards passing. Eli threw 3 interceptions last week in a game that the Giants didn't win but that the Eagles lost. Giants are a 1 dimensional team on both sides of the ball and their quarterback is known for throwing interceptions in the regular season. Take Cincinnati Bengals. |
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11-14-16 | Thunder v. Pistons -3 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on OKC in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest. OKC is a poor 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games; 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Fundamental Discussion Points Detroit has been balanced in the scoring department all season with point guard Reggie Jackson still recovering from a knee injury. Tobias Harris led the way with 19 points on Saturday and tops the Pistons at 16.5 overall while Morris is next at 15.2 and inside force Andre Drummond averages 14.9 points to go along with 14.3 rebounds, which rank him second in the league. The Pistons rank fourth in points allowed (97) while OKC allowed an average of 113.7 points in their last 3 games. Take Detroit Pistons. |
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11-13-16 | Packers v. Titans OVER 49.5 | Top | 25-47 | Win | 100 | 52 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on the OVER in Tennessee-Green Bay action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that this game will go OVER 51 points scored. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Green Bay is 41-18 OVER (+21.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 23-9 OVER (+13.1 Units) in road games versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game since 1992; 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) in road games after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992; 23-9 OVER (+13.1 Units) in road games off a home loss since 1992. Tennessee is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games this season; 6-0 over in Titans last 6 games overall; 9-1-1 over in Titans last 11 games on grass; 6-1-1 over in Titans last 8 home games. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The Green Bay Packers are springing holes in their defense as they dropped three of the past four while allowing at least 30 points in each of the losses. Clay Matthews (hamstring) missed practice Thursday and could sit out his third straight game. Marcus Mariota, accounted for four touchdowns and threw for a season-high 313 yards at San Diego, has connected on five scoring passes to Rishard Matthews in the last five games. Rodgers has 10 TD passes and one interception in his last three contests. Take the OVER. |
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11-13-16 | Texans v. Jaguars OVER 42 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
50* graded play ‘OVER’ Jacksonville-Houston in AFC action et to start 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 50 points will be scored in this game. I also have a 25* graded play on Jacksonville and this opens up the rare opportunity to combine the ‘over’ and JAX into a reverse parlay. A reverse bet is essentially just two ‘if’ bets, so it makes sense that we start with looking at what an ‘if’ bet is. An ‘if’ bet is a bet on two or more teams - like a parlay is. The difference between a parlay and an ‘if’ bet, though, is that you have to win all of your games in a parlay or you lose your entire bet, while in an ‘if’ bet you can get some money back if you win just once. So let’s define the outcomes for our game today. We have already placed a $500 reverse parlay bet with JAX and the ‘OVER’. So, if JAX wins ATS and the ‘OVER’ loses we lose $600 factoring in 20% vig. Many books are now going to a 10% vig to encourage more parlays of this type. Next scenario is that the ‘OVER’ wins and JAX does not cover ATS. That too loses $600. If both JAX and the ‘OVER” lose then our worst case scenario is realized with a $1200 loss. If both the ‘OVER’ and JAX win, then the payout is 4:1 and $2,000 is realized. Under a normal parlay, the payout is 13:5, so if both plays win, a gain of $1300 is realized and if either one of the parts of the parlay lose, then a loss of $550 or $600 is realized dependent on the vig percentage. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-18 mark good for 71.4% winners since 2010. Play ‘Over’ with any team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) slow starting offensive team scoring 7 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. Fundamental Discussion Points Houston is not a good team ranking 30th in scoring offense, 30th in yards-per-game, and 32nd in points-per-play. They score just 1.5 TD-per-game ranking dead last at 32nd by a large margin. JAX defense is a solid unit despite playing far too many downs due to the offense struggles and inconsistencies. The defense ranks 6th allowing 5.0 Yards-per-play and 5th in red zone scoring opponent percentage. Houston ranks 32nd in RZ scoring at just 38% of all possessions. Think about that for a minute. That stat means that Houston can’t even execute a FG success in most situations and TD % is pathetic. JAX offense ranks 16th in RZ scoring at 56% of all possessions. JX QB Bortles has done a solid job with the limited talent he is working with and the lack of consistency the skill players have demonstrated. JAX ranks 14th gaining 256 passing yards per game and third in passing attempts, which reflects playing from behind in the majority of their games. Houston run defense is horrid ranking 28th allowing 126 per game. T.J. Yeldon may have a break-out game today and this too would open up play action, which is where Bortles is at his best. So, I am looking for a 31-17 or 35-21 type game. |
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11-12-16 | Michigan v. Iowa +21.5 | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
25* graded play on Iowa as they take on Michigan in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is a stout 23-5 ATS (+17.5 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=230 rushing yards/game; 25-5 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry. Fundamental Discussion Points Iowa +21.5 vs Michigan The Iowa Hawkeyes take on the undefeated Michigan Wolverines. Michigan has only played 2 games on the road this year, one being against an awful Rutgers football team and the other against Michigan St. whom they only beat by 9. The Wolverines don’t have much experience playing on the road this year and we all know home field advantage is big in college football. Iowa will come out and try to slow the game down, run the football effectively and keep the game close and keep Kinnick Stadium rocking against the third best team in the nation. We don’t expect the Hawkeyes to win this one but we do expect them to keep it well within 21 to cover the spread. Take the Hawkeyes as a big home dog. |
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11-12-16 | USC +9.5 v. Washington | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
50* graded play on USC as they take on Washington in PAC-12 action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at upsetting No.4 Washington. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 40* play on the line and a 10* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-9 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2005. Play on a road team (USC) that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 and 390 YPG and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG after 7+ games of the regular season, and after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. Over the L3 season this system has gone an incredible 10-1 ATS. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is in good form noting they are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games. Here is a bonus money line system that is one you truly should archive and keep track of for future qualifying plays. It has gone 23-14 SU for 62% winners and has made 41 units/unit wagered averaging a +240 DOG play since 2010. Play on road underdogs vs. the money line (USC) in a game involving two good rushing teams both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. Fundamental Discussion Points Arguably the two best QB’s in the Conference and possibly the nation square off in this huge PAC-12 matchup. Jake Browning leads Washington with very impressive numbers that are worthy for the Heissman. He has throw for 2,273 yards with 34 TD, and 3 INT, but has yielded 11 sacks. USC has Darnold under center and he has been excellent in his own right passing for 1,874 yards with 20 TD and 4 INT. The key to this game, though is I fully expect the Trojan OL and DL to outperform Washington’s editions. Moreover, I expect USC DL to squash the run and force Browning into third down pass situations where USC has elite speed in either man coverage or zone schemes. USC OL will be strong enough to establish the run and then Darnold will have play action pass where he will have man coverage on the perimeter with highly skilled WR. |
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11-12-16 | South Florida -3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 49-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Florida as they take on Memphis in American Athletic Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SFU will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S FLORIDA) excellent offensive team scoring 35 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SFU is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. Memphis is just 11-32 ATS (-24.2 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards; 13-42 ATS (-33.2 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board South Florida. South Florida -3.5 at Memphis The South Florida Bulls hit the road to take on the Memphis Tigers at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. South Florida enters the game at 7-2 and Memphis enters at 6-3. The big factor in this game is Quinton Flowers, South Florida’s duel threat QB. Flowers has thrown for 1,900 yards and 19 TD’s as well as ran for 921 yards and 10 TD’s. The Bulls average 272 rushing yards per game and the Tigers give up 194 yards on the ground per game. Flowers is the key to the Bulls success offensively and the Tigers will have their hands full trying to just slow him down. The Tigers QB Riley Ferguson is quite the player himself throwing for 21 touchdowns this year. The Bulls secondary must be good in this one and their front 4 will need to get a pass rush on Ferguson. South Florida’s offense will be too much to handle for the Tigers in this one. Take South Florida as a favorite on the road. |
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11-12-16 | Penn State -7 v. Indiana | Top | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Indiana in BIG Ten Conference action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-11 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a stout 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt; 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt; 110-37 ATS (+69.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points In this week’s Big Ten action between 10th ranked Penn State and Indiana, our SIM predict Penn State will emerge victorious once again and cover the spread. Following last week’s defeat of Iowa, many are confident Penn State will be able to win out the rest of their schedule, in the hopes of getting a top bowl game, and potentially playing in the Big Ten Championship. PSU running back Saquon Barkley is surging right now, and the PSU offense in turn is doing well because of him, as he makes a late season push for Heisman contention. He ran for 100 yards in the past 3 out of 4 games, and ran for over 200 in 2 out of those 3 games. The Penn State defense has been progressing throughout the past few games as well, allowing 314 yards per game against Purdue and then 234 yards per game against Iowa. The key for the defense this weekend is to shut down QB Richard Lagow and RB Devine Redding. Once they close down the running lanes and take advantage of mistakes made by Lagow (who is tied for most interceptions in Big Ten), the PSU defense will dominate. PSU has the edge in all of the aspects of this game, including team chemistry, and look for them to beat Indiana handily this Saturday. |
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11-12-16 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -14 | Top | 36-49 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Tennessee in SEC action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by 17 or more points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards; Tennessee is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Volunteers. Tennessee -13.5 vs Kentucky Kentucky (5-4) travels to Knoxville, Tennessee to play the Volunteers (6-3). In this one we look for Tennessee’s offense led by QB Joshua Dobbs to score some points against Kentucky’s defense who gives up 30.4 points per game. Dobbs has thrown for 1,800 yards and 18 touchdowns this season. The key to Tennessee’s success defensively is to stop Kentucky’s running game. Kentucky averages 215 yards per game on the ground. If Tennessee can slow down their running game and keep the ball in Joshua Dobbs hands they should have no problem in this one. Take Tennessee as the home favorite. |
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11-11-16 | Indiana +6.5 v. Kansas | Top | 103-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Kansas in Armed Forces Classic action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Crean is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in November games as the coach of Indiana. Indiana is 9-1 (+8.1 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 2 seasons. Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Jayhawks are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 vs. Big Ten. Fundamental Discussion Points Indiana has a pretty darn good team coming back from an excellent 2015 campaign led by center Thomas Bryant and guard James Blackmon Jr. Sophomore forward OG Anunoby had 25 points in an exhibition and could be a breakout player for the Hoosiers. Take the Indiana Hoosiers. |
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11-11-16 | Stars +143 v. Oilers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 143 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dallas as they take on Edmonton in NHL action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Edmonton is 69-76 (-49.6 Units) against horrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game since 1996; 6-23 in their last 29 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Dallas is 11-2 (+10.0 Units) in road games off a road win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons; 16-6 (+12.0 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons; 13-5 in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Stars are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Edmonton. Fundamental Discussion Points Tyler Seguin notched an assist on Thursday to push his team-leading total to 15 points and has had some success against Edmonton, recording six goals and 10 points in 10 games. Oilers goalie Cam Talbot has surrendered three or more goals in his last four outings. The Stars have at least a point in seven of their last eight meetings (5-1-2) with the Oilers. Take Dallas Stars. |
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11-11-16 | Pacers v. 76ers +5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Indiana in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philly will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their free throws or worse since 1996. Brown is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after a game where they made 50% of their free throws or worse as the coach of the Sixers. 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Indiana is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Fundamental Discussion Points The 76ers left Joel Embiid at home to rest and instead got a standout performance from another belated rookie in Dario Saric, who was drafted along with Embiid in 2014, made his NBA debut this season and recorded his first double-double with 14 points and 12 rebounds on Wednesday against Indiana. Philadelphia SF Robert Covington is 8-of-13 from beyond the arc in his last two games. We are looking for improvement from the last game on the side of the Sixers which they beat the spread and will now have Embiid. Take Philadelphia 76ers. |
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11-10-16 | Utah v. Arizona State +6 | Top | 49-26 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on Utah in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a strong 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992; 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Utah is a poor 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992. Whittingham is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of Utah. Graham is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992. Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Sun Devils are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games. Sun Devils are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Utes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points ASU's sophomore quarterback Manny Wilkins will be back after he missed two of the last four contests, and missed most of one of the other games due to injuries. Junior tailback Demario Richard has a team-best 532 rushing yards and is expected back after missing the last game because of injury. Never underestimate the starting QB and HB in football coming back from injuries to boost the team to a victory. Sun Devils senior K Zane Gonzalez is 20-of-21 on field goals this season and his 93 career field goals are the most in FBS history. Take Arizona State University Sun Devils. |
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11-10-16 | Browns v. Ravens -7.5 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Baltimore as they take on the Cleveland Browns in NFL Thursday Night action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will win this game by more than 13 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland has not done well against struggling passing defenses like Baltimore’s edition this season. They are a terrible 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) vs. poor passing defenses allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons; Cleveland is also just 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.5 or less rushing yards/carry. Fundamental Discussion Points The Browns are yielding 421.7 yards and 30.3 points per game, each ranking 31st in the league. Baltimore's defense came up big in the win over bitter rival Pittsburgh, holding the Steelers to 277 total yards and 36 on the ground to build a 21-0 lead in the third quarter. The Ravens have won 15 of the past 17 meetings. Ravens TE Dennis Pitta had nine catches for 102 yards (both season highs) in Week 2's Cleveland contest. Take Baltimore Ravens. |
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11-09-16 | Blackhawks v. Blues -118 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Louis as they take on Chicago in NHL action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that St. Louis will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 58-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 75.3% winners and made a nice 32 units/unit wagered. Play against an underdog against the money line (CHICAGO) - off a win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Louis is 11-7-0 (+4.3 Units) against the money line versus Chicago over the last 3 seasons. Blackhawks are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings. Quenneville is 25-41 (-21.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals as the coach of Chicago. Blackhawks are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games. Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Central. Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 home games. Fundamental Discussion Points St. Louis RW Vladimir Tarasenko recorded two goals and an assist in the first meeting with the Blackhawks and has collected 16 points (10 goals, six assists) in as many career encounters. St. Louis is 5-1-0-1 at home mainly due to their goals against average at home being a really low 1.57. Take St. Louis Blues. |
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11-08-16 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 201 | Top | 107-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ in the Denver Memphis NBA game set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 200 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 over the last 5 seasons good for 81.6% winners and made 23.3 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) coming off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog. Another great proven system supports this play posting a 140-76 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.8% winners and made a huge 56.4 units/unit wagered. Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - good ball handling team from last season - committed 14 or less turnovers/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Denver is 74-44 UNDER (+25.6 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents since 1996. Memphis is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 overall. Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 14-6 in Nuggets last 20 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Memphis. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Memphis scored over 100 points in each of its first three games but is averaging 87.8 over the last four contests. Combining these teams current points per game the total would be 200 points. Denver is an extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. Take the UNDER. |
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11-08-16 | Kings +102 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 7-0 | Win | 102 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Los Angeles Kings as they take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LA will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-16 mark good for 66% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on an underdog against the money line (LOS ANGELES) and is a struggling team getting outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is an awful 18-44 (-24.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons; 56-87 (-46.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996; 51-86 (-51.0 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996. Darryl Sutter is 24-11 (+13.9 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996. Kings are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Atlantic. Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Maple Leafs are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points The Kings ranked 26th in the league on the penalty kill, but have shored that up as they were 6-for-6 in the last two games. Maple Leafs F Tyler Bozak scored twice Saturday but does not have a goal in eight games versus Los Angeles. Toronto's defense is awful allowing 3.33 goals against per game ranking 26th in the NHL. LA is best in the NHL with only 25 shots against per game as Toronto is 25th with 32.5. Take Los Angeles Kings. |
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11-08-16 | Hawks v. Cavs -8.5 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Atlanta in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-4 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 1996. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) good shooting team making between 45.5 to 47.5% against an average defensive team allowing between 43.5-45.5% shooting, and is a dominant rebounding team posting a +5.5 or more reb/game differential and is now facing an average rebounding team posting a differential of +/-3 reb/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games. Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central. Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Howard hasn't exactly given James or his teams in the past problems before. Cleveland is scoring 3.4 more fastbreak points a game than Atlanta. They can also take advantage of turnovers as Atlanta has 14.6% (23rd) turnovers/play and the Cavs boast an 11.4% (4th) turnovers/play. Take King James and the Cleveland Cavaliers. |
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11-07-16 | Bills +7 v. Seahawks | Top | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Buffalo as they take on Seattle in Monday Night Football action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-23 mark good for 66% winners and has made 23 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play against home teams using the money line (SEATTLE) after 1 or more consecutive losses, when playing on Monday night. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Buffalo is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. For this matchup, it clearly shows solid reasons to get on board the Buffalo Bills. We use numerous statistical measures of efficiencies to identify opportunity. Buffalo ranks 8th in overall offensive efficiency. Seattle, as we saw in their 13 points scored against anemic Saints defense are not nearly as strong. Seattle ranks 18th in overall offensive efficiency and are trending downward in most offensive categories. Both teams have solid defenses with Buffalo given a slight edge with their front seven over Seattle. Buffalo can definitely stop the Seattle ground attack and force Wilson to try then to move the chains with his arm. Seattle’s receivers have not been able to generate space on their routes and have created forced desperate throws by Wilson. Buffalo is the play. |
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11-07-16 | Rockets v. Wizards -1.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 3 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-11 over the last 5 seasons good for 80% winners and made 31.9 units/unit wagered. Play against road underdogs (HOUSTON) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooks is 100-67 ATS (+26.3 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in all games he has coached since 1996 and he is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) after a close loss by 3 points or less in all games he has coached since 1996. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast. Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points A rejuvenated John Wall will be back in the lineup for the Wizards. The Rockets rank in the mid 20s in both forcing opponents fouls and fouls per game, while the Wizards rank in the high teens in both those categories. Early season NBA games can be a toss up, but this is a contrarian pick with the SIM Algo matching this win perfectly. Take Washington Wizards. |
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11-06-16 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 108-119 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Phoenix Suns as they take on the Los Angeles Lakers in NBA action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Phoenix, currently lined at +2 ½) will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-6 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2010. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Lakers are a miserable 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) when they make 25% to 31% of their three-point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. |
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11-06-16 | Broncos v. Raiders OVER 43.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 62 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘OVER’ Denver-Oakland in AFC West action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 49 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 109-55 over the last 10 seasons good for 66.5% winners and made a nice 48.5 units/unit wagered. Play Over - Any team against the total (OAKLAND) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons; 16-6 OVER (+9.4 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better over the last 3 seasons; 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Denver is 117-76 OVER (+33.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992. Del Rio is 30-10 OVER (+19.0 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in all games he has coached since 1992. Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games in Week 9. Over is 10-4 in Broncos last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 45-21-2 in Broncos last 68 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games in Week 9. Over is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games overall. Over is 12-3 in Raiders last 15 games following a straight up win. Over is 17-6-3 in Raiders last 26 games in November. Over is 14-6-1 in Raiders last 21 vs. AFC. Over is 34-15-2 in Raiders last 51 games following a ATS win. Fundamental Discussion Points Carr leads the AFC with 17 touchdown passes while Cooper had 12 catches for 173 yards and a touchdown last week to boost his team-leading total to 52 receptions while Crabtree hauled in his NFL high-tying sixth touchdown catch. Defense has been a nightmare for the Raiders, who are ranked 31st in the league, surrendering a total of 410.4 total yards while being equally generous against the run and pass. If Bradley Roby can get another pick-6 that will also add to the total. Combining these two teams' points/game averages, they will total over 51 points. Take the OVER. |
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11-06-16 | Panthers v. Rams +3 | Top | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 58 h 16 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Rams as they take on the Carolina Panthers in NFC action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-24 over the last 10 seasons good for 69.2% winners. Play against road favorites (CAROLINA) - with a good rushing defense - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rams are 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games versus good rushing defenses - allowing less than 3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992. Fisher is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against NFC South division opponents in all games he has coached since 1992 and he is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play as the coach of the Rams. Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC. Panthers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games. Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Carolina's offense can move with ease, although they've been set back by a league-worst 17 turnovers. Their revamped secondary has turned in a couple of dreadful performances ranking 29th in opponents pass yards/game (286.9). As good as the Panthers are on offense, they have their awful record because of two defensive stats: they allow their opponents more yards/play than their offense gains, and they allow more points/game than their offense scores. Yes, They'll stop the run this game, but so has everyone else against the Rams so it's not an advantage. Take LA Rams. |
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11-06-16 | Eagles v. Giants UNDER 43 | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ NY Giants-Eagles in a huge NFC East game set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 40 points will be scored this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 81-43 over the last 5 seasons good for 65.3% winners and made 33.7 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (PHILADELPHIA) - versus division opponents, off a division game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 vs. NFC. Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games overall. Under is 14-6 in Giants last 20 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Philly and New York are ranked FOURTH and TENTH respectively in fewest points allowed per game. Just looking at their average per game defense stats this game would total 36.8 points. The Giants rank a lowly 26th in offensive points per game, so if we combine both offenses' points stats they should score about 44.6 in total. These two teams are built on defense, so I don't see why they wouldn't lean more towards a 37 point total than a 45 point total. Philly will stab themselves in the foot ranking 30th in both penalties per play and per game nearing almost 9 penalties a game. Despite those great numbers they have, they get in their own way. Take the UNDER. |
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11-06-16 | Lions v. Vikings -6 | Top | 22-16 | Loss | -107 | 55 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Detroit in NFC North action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game by at least 10 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 70.3% winners. Play on favorites (MINNESOTA) - off a road loss, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game over the last 3 seasons; 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons; 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons; 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is 12-35 ATS (-26.5 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Lions are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC North. Vikings are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC. Fundamental Discussion Points Armonty Bryant received a three-game suspension for violating the league's substance abuse policy, so with the Lions will lose his production recording three sacks in four games. Vikings defense is permitting a league-low 14.9 points. Bradford is better in this situation, recording five touchdowns and zero interceptions in four home games. Stafford was sacked seven times in the last meeting by Minnesota, which swept the season series a year ago. Stafford may have his career high in passer rating, but he hasn't faced this defense yet this year. Take Minnesota Vikings. |
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11-05-16 | Clippers +4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 116-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Clippers as they take on the Spurs in NBA action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 since 1996 good for 72.7% winners. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. Another proven system supports this play posting a 101-56 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.3% winners and made a nice 39.4 units/unit wagered. Play against home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Saturday games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rivers is 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots in all games he has coached since 1996. Rivers is 160-108 ATS (+41.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game in all games he has coached since 1996. Popovich is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game as the coach of San Antonio. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Clippers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southwest. Spurs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clippers. Los Angeles has held three of its last four opponents to 88 or fewer points and leads the NBA by allowing just 90.4 per outing.Los Angeles C DeAndre Jordan collected a season-best 21 rebounds against Memphis and is averaging 13.2 per game. San Antonio PG Tony Parker (knee) missed Friday’s game and coach Gregg Popovich said he will be “out for a week or so.” Take Los Angeles Clippers. |
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11-05-16 | Alabama v. LSU +7.5 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -108 | 37 h 58 m | Show |
50* graded play on LSU as they take on Alabama in SEC action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great opportunity to win the game and upset no.1 Alabama. Given this compelling projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 40* play on the line and a 10* play using the money line. We never know when these dogs will win the game. What we do know is that if you we play these dogs as combination wagers it serves to add another 11% in total return to overall profitability spanning an entire season. Every season for the past 8 seasons, we have had a dog of greater than 17 points win the game outright. This year we had Kansas at 28 ½ against TCU and TCU needed a last-minute score to come away with a 1-point win. Although LSU is not a 17-point dog, it is one that certainly qualifies for the combination wager. The key part of this combination wager is that we MUST have a money line => +140 for the ROI to be validated. If ever, you cannot get that line, simply play the dog on the line only. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 1992. Road favorites (ALABAMA) with an excellent rushing defense allowing 2.75 or less rushing yards/carry, after gaining 275 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. Here is a second system that supports LSU and has gone 26-6 ATS for 81% winners since 1992. Play on a home team (LSU) in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games.
Now onto the technical that match the SIM projections for the outcome of this game. · Alabama is just 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points. · Alabama is just 13-39 ATS (-29.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. · Alabama is just 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards. · LSU is a stout 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards. · LSU is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt. · LSU is a solid 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Alabama rolls into Baton Rouge as the top team in the nation again and takes on a hot LSU Tiger team. The Tigers are 5-2 with both losses being on the road by a total of 7 points against Wisconsin and Auburn with a late TD being pulled off the board against Auburn. This should be another classic Alabama and LSU slugfest. Alabama Quarterback has struggled some in big games throwing at least one pick in each of the big games this year, but the Defense has bailed the offense out and the Tide eventually wore down the opponent. Both teams come off a bye and should be fresh in this one. Leonard Fournette is heating up lately and the Tiger ground game has been rolling Fournette is averaging 8 yards per carry and this should keep the Tigers defense off the field and have some legs late in this one. If LSU can keep the Bama defense from scoring this one should be a dog fight all afternoon. Geaux Tigers today. Titan). |
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11-05-16 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 3-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Nebraska in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by at least 21 points. It is rare that you get the public enamored with a DOG, but they are with Nebraska. At first glance, it is natural to think a strong team like Nebraska is getting far too many points and think it is a gift. Only 22% of bets have been on OSU, BUT the line has moved 4.5 points higher. This clearly reflects numerous large bets made on Ohio State that more than offset the public’s irrational exuberance on Nebraska. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is a strong 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they rush for 250 to 300 yards over the last three seasons.; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt over the last three seasons.; 132-44 ATS (+83.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 1.5 to 2 yards/play Fundamental Discussion Points Ohio State -17 versus Nebraska The Buckeyes come off a tough three-game stretch where they were in tight games each week; Nebraska took its first loss last week in Madison against the physical Badgers. We look for Nebraska to come into this one with a little hangover and the horseshoe is not the place for that. Look for the Buckeyes to get the train rolling again this week. JT Barrett comes into this one complete INC 64% of his passes for 272 yards per game, and we look for another strong effort from the Buckeye defense today. Nebraska has not had a signature win as of late, and we look for Tommy Armstrong and the Cornhusker Offense to struggle in Columbus today. Armstrong has 11 TD passes but seven picks to go with that. Ohio State has averaged over 42 points per game, and we look for more of the same as Brutus flexes his muscles today. |
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11-05-16 | Hurricanes v. Predators -164 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -164 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Nashville as they take on Carolina in NHL action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Nashville will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Carolina is 6-18 ATS (-26.6 Units) when they allow their opponents to get 27-31 shots on goal over the last 2 seasons; 2-9 ATS (-8.0 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons; 0-7 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons. Nashville is 155-120 ATS (+283.0 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games since 1996. Hurricanes are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Hurricanes are 2-9 in their last 11 overall. Hurricanes are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Hurricanes are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Predators are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. Predators are 42-13 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. At home Nashville is 9-2 (+7.3 Units) against the spread versus Carolina since 1996 . Fundamental Discussion Points Cam Ward (six games) and Eddie Lack (three) have not been able help the Hurricanes pull out games while turning aside just 87.4 percent of the shots faced. Nashville went into Friday tied for the league lead with 12 power-play goals and stood second in percentage (30.0). Nashville G Pekka Rinne has been outstanding against the Hurricanes with a 6-1-0 record and .940 save percentage in seven games. Take Nashville Predators. |
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11-05-16 | Iowa v. Penn State -6.5 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Iowa in BIG TEN action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is a money losing 19-61 ATS (-48.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; PSU is a stout 109-37 ATS (+68.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points After PSU’s recent rankings, many in the college football community believe they were over ranked, and the Penn State football team has a lot to prove this weekend. Coming off of wins the past four weeks, the PSU squad has a ton of momentum going into this game. Trace McSorley (55.2% completion percent, 12 TD, 3 Int) and Saquon Barkley (888 rush yds, ten rush TD, 213 receiving yds, 1 receiving TD) have been carrying the offense for the team, and will likely be a force again this week against Iowa. Iowa’s offense has been largely inconsistent throughout the year, and might put up a struggle to the PSU defense, but will likely not be able to overpower them. Lastly, the chemistry of the Penn State team gives them an added edge – another white out game under the lights at Beaver Stadium and a team that is clicking on all cylinders with its coach is going to be a force to be reckoned with. Expect PSU to continue their winning streak in this Big Ten action this week versus Iowa. |
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11-05-16 | Devils v. Lightning -165 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
The New Jersey Devils head south Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning. It’s the third and final meeting between these two teams in the 2016-2017 season and thus far they have split 1-1. The Lightning come into the game averaging 3.18 goals per game and the Devils sit at just 2.22 goals per game. The Lightnings Power Play is third best in the league scoring on 26.7 percent of power plays. The Lightning need to get back on track and after a 6 game road trip they finally come home and this is the perfect time for them to do so. Look for the Lightnings high powered offense to get the job done at home today. Take the Lightning at -175. |
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11-05-16 | Oregon v. USC -17 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Southern Cal as they take on Oregon in PAC-12 action set to start at 4:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2005. Play on home favorites (USC) after gaining 575 or more total yards/game over their last two games, with five defensive starters returning. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last three seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points As defined and graded by the SIM we are back with the Trojans taking on Oregon this week. USC has the ground game going lately, and the Duck stop units haven't been seen lately. Oregon is giving up over 42 points per game and the Trojans bring a solid running game, and the passing game has been good as Darnold has completed67.4 % of his passes and has thrown 18 touchdown passes with only three picks on the year. USC has one of the top OL in the nation ranking 19th in our S&P style metrics this season. Note too that when playing against the better offenses Oregon has given up over 50 points per game, and we see more of that today as the Trojans take out some frustrations on the Ducks while they are down. Fight On tonight. |
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11-05-16 | Navy v. Notre Dame -7 | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Notre Dame as they take on Navy in NCAA action set to start at 11:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Notre Dame will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Navy is just 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play; 47-21 ATS (+23.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. ND is a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt. Fundamental Discussion Points This game will be played in Jacksonville and we look for more of what we seen from Navy last week as the Defense gave up 52 points. Notre Dame has too many skilled players and should move the ball with ease today. The strength of the Irish is the run defense which should help today and not put the pressure on the weak secondary. Navy throws for 147 per game but that requires the running game to help the passing game, ND secondary can match up against this class. ND typically wins this one with ease when laying the small number at neutral sites and struggles when laying the big numbers. Look for Deshone Keizer to have a big day with a lot of receivers running free today. The Irish should also be able to control the ground game in this one. |
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11-04-16 | Hornets v. Nets UNDER 206 | Top | 99-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
25* graded play ’UNDER’ Brooklyn-Charlotte in set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 200 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 126-75 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.7% winners and made a nice 43.5 units/unit wagered. Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHARLOTTE) - good ball handling team from last season - committed under 14 turnovers/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooklyn is 56-37 UNDER (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons; 79-49 UNDER (+25.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 since 1996. In Brooklyn 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER the total over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-0 in Hornets last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 6-1 in Nets last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Fundamental Discussion Points “It all starts on the defensive end for us," Zeller told the team's website after the win over Philadelphia. "We had 15 deflections in the first half and 17 in the third quarter alone. Deflections are a big thing in charting our defensive activity. That’s what we’re going to need moving forward." With this defensive focus and a rash of injuries at the point guard spot for the Nets, they won't reach 200 points total this game. Take the UNDER. |
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11-04-16 | Heat +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 87-96 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on Toronto in NBA action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Spoelstra is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of Miami. Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 Friday games. Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Tyler Johnson was injured and then buried behind Joe Johnson and Wade in the playoffs last season but is getting a chance as the sixth man this season and scored in double figures in each of the first four games, including 22 points on 7-of-11 shooting in 32 minutes on Tuesday. Heat G Dion Waiters had his first 20-point outing since joining the team with 20 against the Kings. Take the Miami Heat. |
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11-04-16 | Hawks +2 v. Wizards | Top | 92-95 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-29 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.1% winners and made 30.1 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs (ATLANTA) - horrible foul drawing team from last season - attempted under 21 free throws/game. Another proven system supports this play posting a 309-213 since 1996 good for 59.2% winners and made a huge 74.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites (WASHINGTON) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons. Budenholzer is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) on Friday nights as the coach of Atlanta. Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Wizards are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Hawks are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Dwight Howard played his best game of the early season against LA while posting a team-high 31 points to go along with 11 rebounds. Howard is averaging 15.5 points per game and was tied for fifth in the NBA in rebounding (12.0) through Wednesday. Atlanta leads the league in steals per game (11.3) and ranks second in assists (28.3) entering Thursday. Washington is last in the NBA in opponents’ field-goal percentage (49.8 percent). Take Atlanta Hawks. |
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11-03-16 | UCLA v. Colorado -13 | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Colorado as they take on UCLA in Thursday PAC-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by at least 17 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Colorado is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season. UCLA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 2 seasons. MacIntyre is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games as the coach of Colorado. Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Bruins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Bruins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Buffaloes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Buffaloes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Fundamental Discussion Points UCLA's Fafaul is coming off a wild, up-and-down outing Oct. 22 against Utah in which he threw for 464 yards and five touchdowns while also tossing four interceptions and losing a fumble in a 52-45 home loss. Buffaloes have been particularly tough against opposing passers, notching 11 interceptions while allowing only eight aerial TDs behind a secondary featuring safety Tedric Thompson (Pac-12-most four interceptions) and cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon (Pac-12-most 13 passes defensed). The Buffaloes are getting it done on both sides of the ball, joining Alabama, Ohio State and Louisville as the only teams to rank in the top-20 nationally in total offense and defense at 19th and 12th, respectively. With this all-around strong team against a struggling UCLA, Take Colorado Buffaloes. |
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11-03-16 | Falcons -4 v. Bucs | Top | 43-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Atlanta Falcons as they take on the Tampa Bay Bucs in Thursday NFL action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tampa Bay is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse since 1992 and they are 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992. Atlanta is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992. Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. Buccaneers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass. Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Favorite is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Matt Ryan leads the league in both yards (2,636) and touchdowns (19), has thrown for 1,000 yards and five scores in his last three encounters with Tampa Bay and faces a Buccaneers defense that ranks 23rd in the league (274.7 yards per contest). The Bucs won't have nearly the same offensive lineup they had around quarterback Jameis Winston in the first meeting. Doug Martin and Charles Sims, the team's top two running backs, are injured as is No. 2 receiver Vincent Jackson, Jacquizz Rodgers (another running back), and tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins. This will be Atlanta Falcons' game. |
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11-02-16 | Cubs v. Indians +109 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Cleveland Indians as they take on Chicago Cubs in Game 7 of the 2016 MLB World Series set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win Game 7 and the 2016 World Series. I also like adding a 5* play using the – 1 ½ RUN LINE and also a 5* play using the -2 ½ RUN LINE. So, safe to say the projections call for the Indians to get out fast and never look back. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 66.3% winners and made 36.5 units/unit wagered. Play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is 24-8 (+18.7 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season. Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cubs are 3-7 in Hendricks' last 10 Wednesday starts. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 11-3 in their last 14 games on grass. Indians are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Indians are 13-4 in their last 17 overall. Indians are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League Central. Indians are 15-5 in their last 20 interleague games. Indians are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 16-6 in their last 22 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 24-9 in their last 33 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 46-18 in their last 64 home games. Indians are 5-0 in Kluber's last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 7-1 in Kluber's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 6-1 in Kluber's last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Indians are 6-1 in Kluber's last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 11-2 in Kluber's last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Indians are 22-5 in Kluber's last 27 starts on grass. Indians are 4-1 in Kluber's last 5 Wednesday starts. Indians are 4-1 in Kluber's last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 20-6 in Kluber's last 26 starts. Fundamental Discussion Points There will be at least 40 million viewers for Game 7 and is certainly very good for the sport given the declining viewership in the NFL this season. Kluber is attempting to be the second pitcher to record 3 wins in a single WS and if he does win, he will be the unaminous MVP choice. One situation is certain in this game. The longer Cleveland is in the game and the more likely Cubs will have to use an uncertain bullpen, the better the chances for the Indians. Twitter went ‘nuts’ last night when Chapman entered the game with a 5-run lead. He threw 20 pitches over a 2 inning span, but gave up a 2-run HR to Napoli. It is rare that Maddon ever gets caught with his pants down, but when the HR occurred and he had NO ONE warming up in the bullpen it forced Chapman to throw more pitches. It certainly points to the current lack of confidence Maddon has with his middle relief. Of the available bullpen pitchers, they have combined for a 5.40 ERA and 1.54 WHIP over their last 3 games. Now, its’ Game 7 and all hands will be on deck, but it will be very interesting to see how Chapman is greeted by the Indian hitters if the game is close. There have been 36 winner-take-all World Series Game 7s, most recently two years ago when the Giants defeated the Royals. The National League has the edge over the American League in Game 7s, having won 22, and four of the past five, dating back to 1997. The home team has gone 18-18, but before the Giants won the title at Kauffman Stadium two years ago, the home team had won nine straight dating back to 1982. This would be the second World Series Game 7 for both the Cubs (1945, lost to the Tigers at home) and Indians (1997, lost to the Marlins on the road). Four World Series -- in 1903, '19, '20 and '21 -- were played under a best-of-nine format, and none reached a rubber ninth game. Interesting fun facts for sure. Home field and Kluber will be too much for the Cubs to overcome tonight. I also do not see any significant impact to the Indians with Kluber starting on his third straight short-rest start. The total number of innings with Kluber and Andrews combined will be at least 7 innings with Andrews on full rest. |
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11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5.5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on Portland as they take on Golden State in Western Conference action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 82.8% winners. Play against any team (GOLDEN STATE) - off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Golden State is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games. Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Trail Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Portland will take the floor with some extra motivation after losing to the Warriors in the Western Conference semifinals last spring in five games despite Lillard averaging 31.8 points and 7.6 assists. C.J. McCollum is a strong second scoring option and the Blazers are getting more from center Mason Plumlee in the early going. Portland handed Golden State one of its nine regular-season losses last year with a 137-105 home triumph on Feb. 19 in which Lillard scored 51 points. Take Portland Trailblazers. |
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11-01-16 | Cubs v. Indians +137 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Chicago Cubs in World Series action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game and win the World Series as the SIM Algo stated before game 1. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 81-67 over the last 5 seasons good for 54.7% winners and made a nice 48.8 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - excellent defensive catchers - allowing under 0.35 SB's/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less. Another proven system supports this play posting a 117-86 over the last 5 seasons good for 57.6% winners and made 29.8 units/unit wagered. Play Against road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - good offensive team - scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Cubs are 15-22 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game this season. Cleveland is 25-12 (+16.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game this season; 24-7 (+19.7 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season; 46-17 (+20.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season; 14-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season Tomlin's team's record is 13-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season and they are 17-4 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 11-2 in their last 13 games on grass. Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff home games. Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. National League Central. Fundamental Discussion Points Tomlin surrendered two hits in 4 2/3 scoreless innings in Game 3 and the Indians went on to win 1-0. Tomlin allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last eight appearances going back to the regular season and yielded only one home run in that span. Tomlin is going on three days' rest in Game 6 but only threw 58 pitches in Game 3. Indians SS Francisco Lindor is batting .421 in the World Series and hit safely in four of five games. Both teams' pitching stats remain consistent from throughout the playoffs to the World Series with Cleveland posting a 1.80 ERA and a 1.84 ERA respectively, while Chicago is posting a 3.04 ERA and a 3.27 ERA respectively. Take Cleveland Indians. |