Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-18-22 | Braves -160 v. Cubs | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Chicago Cubs 2:20 EDT, June 18, 2022 4% best bet on the Braves on the money line I like a combination wager of betting a 3% best bet on the money line and then a 1% best bet on the run line. Either strategy is valid, and this play will be graded on the money line. Atlanta had its’ 14-game win streak snapped in a 1-0 loss to the Cubs Friday and had the bases loaded with two outs in the top of the ninth inning. A loss is a loss. A strong team remains a strong team even after a shutout loss. Teams that have won 12 of their last 15 games, coming off a shutout loss, and now favored by -175 or more on the money line have gone 15-3 for 79% winners and 11-5 on the run line for 30% ROI and 69% winners going back to the 2004 season. Plus, 8-0 and 6-2 on the Run Line since 2016. |
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06-17-22 | Rangers +105 v. Tigers | Top | 7-0 | Win | 105 | 2 h 34 m | Show |
Texas vs Detroit 7:10 EDT, June 17, 2022 4% bets bet on the Texas Rangers on the money line Rangers are an outstanding 14-9 making 12.5 units when facing an AL SP that has an ERA under 3.00 in games played over the last two seasons. Detroit is a miserable 3-11 in home games taking on a foe that averages 3 or fewer walks per game this season. Betting on AL underdogs starting a pitcher with an ERA of 4.75 to 5.75 and facing a foe that has posted a .310 OBP over his last 20 games and scoring 4.2 or fewer RPG has earned a 36-18 record for 67% winners and has averaged a very descent +135 underdog bet. |
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06-17-22 | Cardinals v. Red Sox -110 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
St. Louis vs Boston 7:10 EDT, June 17, 2022 4% best bet on the Boston Red Sox on the money line Bet on teams in a game lined between a -125 favorite and a 125 underdog that is taking on an opponent that is coming off a loss to a divisional rival and was priced as a -150 or greater favorite and is a matchup of winning record teams has produced a 42-26 record good for 62% winners and has produced a 24.3% ROI over the last five seasons. |
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06-17-22 | Phillies -106 v. Nationals | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
Philadelphia vs Washington Game-2 4% best bet on the Phillies on the money line Washington is 9-32 as a home underdog of 125 or more in games played over the last two seasons and 19-39 in home games after losing four or five of their last 6 games in games played over the last two seasons. This will be the third game of a rare five-game series featuring divisional foes. As a result, emergency starters are used and that may not be that urgent if they are coming out of the bullpen as a long reliever or even as an opener. The Phillies Bailey Falter is that guy and he makes the start tonight. He has made two starts this season and has posted a 3.52 ERA on a small sample size, but he has the tools to be an effective pitcher at this level going up against a very weak hitting and just terrible team in the Nationals. Paolo Espino makes the start for the Nationals and he is making his second start after being brought up June 12. He averages 89 MPH with his fastball and is not going to overwhelm any batter at this level, especially a Phillies lineup that ranks 4th in MLB averaging 4.91 RPG and third averaging 1.31 home runs per game. |
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06-09-22 | Diamondbacks +130 v. Reds | Top | 5-4 | Win | 130 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
Arizona vs Cincinnati 12:35 PM EST, June 9, 2022 4% best bet on the money line with the Arizona Diamondbacks The following betting system has earned a highly profitable 25-19 record good for 72% winning bets over the last five seasons for a profit-producing 29.31% ROI spanning the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road underdogs that have lost five or six of their last seven games, has won 45 to 49.9% of their games on the season (one-game under 0.500) and facing a team with a losing record. This points solidly to backing the Diamondbacks in this early after game Thursday. |
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06-08-22 | Warriors +3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics 8:00 EDT, June 8, 2022 5% MAX Best Bet on the Warriors plus the points Let’s get right to it. The Warriors are the best team in the NBA coming out of the half with Coach Kerr making the correct adjustments based on the first half of action and then anticipating the adjustments that his opponent will make for the second half. That was quite evident in Game-2 and Game-1 as well before the Warriors fell flat in the fourth quarter. Playoff teams, like the Warriors that have outscored their opponents by 25 or more points in the third quarter and are coming off an ATS cover by at least 3 points are 21-10 SU and 20-11 ATS for 65% winning bets. Warriors are 10-5 ATS over the last five playoff seasons and 5-1 ATS over the last three playoff seasons coming off two consecutive home games. Kerr is 44-26-1 ATS following a game in which his team allowed 90 or fewer points. From my predictive models, the Warriors are expected to score at least 111 points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past regular and playoff season games under Kerr, the Warriors are 284-28 straight-up and 223-82-7 ATS for 73% winning bets; 42-4 SU and 33-13 ATS for 72% winning bets in playoff games. Bet the Warriors plus the points. If they are trailing at the half, consider an optional 1% wager betting the in-game line on the Warriors, which should be higher than 3.5 points if the Celtics are winning at the half. |
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06-06-22 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Colorado vs Edmonton 8 EDT, June 6, 2022 4% best bet on the Puck Line –1.5 Colorado +175. Edmonton is a terrible 3-15 ATS in Game-4 of a playoff series L20 playoff seasons and 1-5 ATS last 5 playoff seasons. Avalanche is 26-6 money line, 23% ROI and 19-11 ATS, 35% ROI following five consecutive games with at least 30 shots on goal in each of the five games plays this season; 5-2 money line 11% ROI and Puck line (ATS) 101% ROI over the past 5 seasons. |
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06-05-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 4-5 | Win | 130 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Detroit Tigers vs NY Yankees 11:35 AM EST, June 5, 2022 3% best bet on the Detroit Tigers on the run line and a 1.5% best bet on the Money line. I will be discussing the handicapping concept of regression each on the Full Count Show this week as well as my 2-minute quick-hitting free pick MLV videos airing M-F on the Predictive Playbook channel. Bes uyre to tune in for more in-depth analysis of this profitable strategy. So, home teams favored by –175 or more that have outscored their opponents by 100 or more runs in games played in the month of June are horrid ones to back with your money. They have earned a 49-30 record for 62% wins, BUT have averaged a –225.3 favorite and the result is a massive loss of $2,.115 wager just $100 per game played on these juggernaut teams. Fading these powerful teams has averaged a +205 underdog bet, making $1570 per $100 wagered for a solid 23% return-on-investment (ROI). If our favorites are lined on the –1.5 run line at =140 or more (more negative, more favored), then the run line record has been 7-8 betting against them, producing a 25% ROI averaging a +140 +1.5 run line wager on our barking underdog. |
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06-02-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche -163 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
Edmonton vs Colorado 8 EDT, June 2, 2022 4% best bet on the Colorado Avalanche using the money line Here is an alternative betting strategy that you can consider for tonight’s game. Bet 75% pre-flop (before the game starts) and honestly hope that Edmonton scores first and then add the 25% available amount on the live in-game line, which I anticipate will be at -150 and possibly lower. Bet on home teams in the second half of the season including the playoffs that is taking on a foe that is scoring an average of 2.85 or more goals per game and that has scored 5 or more goals in three consecutive games has earned a solid 37-17 record for 68% winning bets over the last 25 NHL seasons; 15-4 on the money line producing a highly profitable 48% ROI over the last five seasons. |
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05-27-22 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Miami vs Boston 4% best bet on the Miami Heat plus the points. Now that we are up to 9 points, this becomes an attractive best bet opportunity regardless of who plays and who does not play for the Heat. We saw the St. Louis Blues wins two consecutive games against the Colorado Avalanche after getting hammered in two home games to make the series 3-2. So, why not the Heat, who positively cannot play worse than they have over the past two games. Not all the analytics side with the Celtics. Playoff teams that are coming off a home loss in the conference and NBA Finals are 54-41 SU and 51-42-2 ATS for 55% winning wagers including a 41-53-1 Over-Under record. Since 2017, these revengers are 15-8 SU and 16-7 ATS for 70% winning bets including a 21-11 Over-Under record. In the 2021-22 playoffs this series accounts for two of the three previous situations with the Heat winning Game-3 after losing at home in Game-2 and the Celtics winning in Game-4 after losing in Game-3. The other game saw the Dallas Mavericks defeat the Golden State Warriors in Game-4 after losing at home in Game-3. These three situations have combined for a 3-0 SU and ATS record. Playoff teams, like the Heat, that are coming off a double-digit home loss in the conference and NBA Finals are 15-15 SU and 17-12 ATS for 59% winning bets including a 17-13 Over-Under record spanning the last 20 seasons. I see at least 3-points in value betting on the Heat and somehow, they are going to will their ways to force a Game-7. |
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05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors 9:00 EDT, May 26, 2022 4% Best Bet on the Golden State Warriors Let’s get right to it. The Warriors won the first three games and lost in Game-4 on the road in this Western Conference best-of-seven finals. Teams, like the Warriors, that have won the first three games to start a conference or NBA finals and failed to get the sweep in their previous game go on to a 15-3 straight-up record and a 13-5 ATS record for 72% winning bets including 9-8-1 Over-Under spanning the last 20 seasons. If installed as a home favorite, they are 12-3 SU and 10-5 ATS for 67% winners. The Warriors are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS at home this postseason, with an average winning margin of 118-103 and have covered the spread by an average of 7.8 PPG. They have never lost Games 4-5 consecutively after taking a 3-0 lead. |
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05-21-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 35 h 51 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics 8:30 EDT, May 21, 2022 5% MAX Best Bet on the Miami Heat plus the points No. 1 seeds in the NBA playoffs are 51-37 ATS when coming off a home loss, 16-10-1 ATS for 62% winning bets when coming off a home loss and taking to the road for Game-3 of any round. Top seeds are 21-11 ATS for 65.6% winners when coming off a double-digit home loss and 14-5 ATS in the Eastern Conference. No.1 seeds are 12-6-1 ATS for 67% winners when having allowed 47.5% or higher 3-point shooting in their previous game and are priced as the underdog including pick-em and if playing in the Conference Finals or the NBA Finals has gone 9-4-1 ATS for 69.2% winning bets. Teams in the conference finals or finals that are averaging 13 or more made 3-pointers and coming off a game in which they made 17 or more 3-pointers are just 3-11 SU and ATS in the next game and 2-5 ATS for 29% winning bets in favored in that next game. My predictive models are calling for the Heat to score 108 or more points, have more rebounds and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio in Game-3. In past playoff games, teams that have met or exceeded these projections are 304-25 SU and 288-38-3 ATS for 88% winning bets. If these teams are road dogs, they have produced a 40-11 SU and 45-6 ATS for 88% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and 13-5 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last five playoff seasons. |
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05-20-22 | Rangers +156 v. Hurricanes | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
NY Rangers vs Carolina Hurricanes 8 EDT, May 20, 2022 4% Best Bet on the NY Rangers on the money line Betting on any team on the money line revenging a loss in which they scored no more than 1 goal and has a win percentage between 60 and 70% of their games in the current season has produced a 193-114 record for 63% winning record over the last five seasons and has made 51 units per unit wagered. If the game occurs in the second half of the season and the playoffs the record has been a 104-50 for 68% winners. Rangers are 27-14 when facing above average offensive teams averaging 29.5 or more shots on goal per game in the second half of this season and playoff games. |
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05-20-22 | Fever +14 v. Sun | Top | 85-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun 7 EDT, May 20, 2022 4% best bet on the Indiana Fever plus the points Here is a highly profitable betting system that has produced a 92-50 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Bet on road underdogs that have allowed 70 or more points in five consecutive games and is facing an opponent that is coming off a game in which they scored 90 or more points. This system has gone 25-14-1 ATS for 64% winning bets over the last five seasons. If our DOG is a double-digit dog, then they have produced a 21-11-1 ATS record for 65.6% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Take the Indiana Fever and the very generous number of points. |
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05-13-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Memphis vs Golden State 4% Best bet on the Warriors minus the points. Betting on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won between 60 and 75% of their games, that are facing a foe that has covered the spread in four or five of their last six games and sports a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season has earned an outstanding 60-26-1 ATS for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. Warriors are 17-5-1 ATS evening a road loss this season. Plus, the Warriors have lost 6 of their last 7 ATS. Playoff teams that have lost 6 of their last 7 to the spread and are priced as a home favorite of at least 4.5 points have earned a 40-6 straight-up record and a 29-16-1 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Playoff teams that have failed to cover the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games and have 3 series wins exact are a solid 31-15-1 ATS for 67% winners over the last 20 playoff seasons, |
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05-09-22 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 212.5 | Top | 116-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Boston vs Milwaukee 7:30 PM EDT 4% Bet on the Under In certain situations, the market does speak to the possible best bet for a total play. The Celtics are on the road and they have averaged 112 PPG in their road games this season. The Bucks have averaged 110 PPG in their home games. If the combined score of the road team and home team is greater than or lower than the posted total by 2.5% we have one of the conditions met. Why would the market price a matchup lower than what the teams average in their respecive home or road situation? Well, it points us to the Under because there must be some team circumstances, player injuries, uncertain player availability, and recency bias. The total is 4.5% or 10 points lowr than the combined score of the Celtics average road game and the Bucks average home game. Plus, we need the road team coming off a loss to the current opponent and the home team having seen the OVER win at least 45% of the ome games played in the current season. This matchup has all those conditions and situations met and the Under has earned a 125-79-2 record for 61.3% winning bets over the last 10 regular and playoff seasons. If the game identified is a playoff game and the rtoad team is a dog of 2.5 points and includes Pick-em the Under has gone 9-2 for 82% winners over the last 10 playoff seasons. |
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05-08-22 | Suns -128 v. Mavs | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks 3:30 PM EST, May 8, 2022 4% Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns on the money line. The Suns suffered a miserable loss by their standards trailing by as many as 18 points in their eventual 9-point loss to the Dallas Mavericks in Game-3. Despite the loss they outrebounded the Mavs 45-36 and are the Association-best 43-3 straight-up record for 93.5% wins during the regular season and playoffs when winning the battle of the boards. They are 30-16 ATS for 65% winning bets in games they won the boards. The Grizzlies were a dominating rebounding team this season having played 68 games in which they got more rebounds than their opponents and produced a 56-12 SU and 53-15 ATS record for 78% winning bets. The Sus are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS following a loss in which they won the boards this season and 21-13 SU and 20-13-1 ATS for 61% winning bets over the last three seasons including playoffs. Chris Paul tied his career-worst in Game-3 with 6 turnovers. For his career, Chris Paul and the teams he has played for are 13-3 SU and 10-5-1 ATS for 67% winning bets following a game in which he committed 6 or more turnovers. The Mavs made 13 3-pointers in Game-3 and have made 139 3-pointers through their first 9 playoff games, which is the third most in NBA playoff history. These previous teams that made 135 or more 3-pointers over their first nine games (All since 2016) had gone just 3-12 SU and 4-11 ATS for 27% winners in the following game. Bet the Suns on the money line |
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05-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 212.5 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks 3:30 PM EST, May 7, 2022 4% Bet Under the posted total Here is a highly profitable betting system that has produced a 83-51-3 Under record for 62% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet the Under with home teams that are coming off two consecutive games in which the games played Under the posted total by 20 or more points and with the team having won 60% or more of their games. Plus, in playoffs games and the home team seeded lower than their opponent, the Under has gone 7-3 for 70% winners. Moreover, the Under in regular and playoff seasons with a total of 210 or more points and meeting the criteria above has gone 24-12-2 for 67% winners. The markets pricing the Bucks as 2-point favorites and the total of 213 points implies a Bucks 107.5-105.5 win. My predictive models are projecting that the Bucks and Celtics will both score fewer than 105 points. In past games played in the second half of each of the last three seasons the Bucks have seen the Under go 22-1 for 96% winners when scoring fewer than 105 points. The Celtics have seen the Under go 25-2 for 93% winning bets. |
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05-06-22 | Heat -3 v. 76ers | Top | 79-99 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers 7 EDT, May 6, 2022 5% MAX Best Bet on the Miami Heat minus the points and I like them even at –4.5 points. The 76ers were priced as 8-point road dogs in Game-2 after losing Game-1 as a 7-point road dog. The line opened for this Game-3 matchup with the 76ers favored as single-point favorites and has moved to making the Heat a 3-point road favorite on the news that center Joel Embiid is OUT for this game. This is one of the largest line moves in the playoffs spanning the last 20 seasons and underscores how the betting community has now vastly overpriced the Heat. Being overpriced does not by itself result in an ATS win or loss either, but we are getting paid handsomely to assume the risk and uncertainty with how the 76ers will play. Over the past 20 playoff seasons, and a line difference of 9 or more points between the current game and the previous game, with the team, in this case the 76ers having been and road underdog in the previous game and now priced as a home underdog has seen the road favorite, Heat, perform quite well producing a 110-51 SU record for 68% money line winners and 97-62-2 ATS record for 61% winning bets. If the game is taking place in the Eastern Conference with the dog being a 4-seed or worse, the road favorite has earned a 47-17 SU mark for 74% winning bets and 41-22-2 ATS for 65% winning bets over the last 20 playoff seasons and 16-2 SU and 15-2-1 ATS for 94% winning bets since 2015 playoff season. |
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05-03-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 227.5 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Golden State vs Memphis 9:30 PM EST, May 3, 2022 4% Best Bet Under the Total Warriors are 43-28-1 Under when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons. Grizzlies are versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists per game this season. Betting the UNDER in a game with a total of 220 or more points, is playing their 4th game over the past 10 days and in a game involving two of the playoff contenders or playoff teams sporting win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season has earned an outstanding 75-30-3 Under record good for 71.4% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and a 45-16-3 Under record for 74% winning bets over the last three seasons. If in the playoffs spanning the last three seasons, the UNDER is 23-5-3 for 82% winning bets. |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 222 | Top | 117-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors 4% Best Bet OVER the posted total, currently at 220.5 and is valid up to and including 224.5 In Game-1 of an NBA Playoff series from Round two through the Finals the OVER is 20-12 for 63% wins when the home team is playing on just one day of rest and in round two Game-1's, the OVER has earned a 15-7 Over record for 68.2% winning bets. Plus, 9-3 OVER run spanning the last 10 playoff seasons. Grizzlies are on a 10-2 OVER run when having faced a team allowing 108 or fewer points I the second half of this season. Warriors are on a 23-12-1 OVER run in the second half of this season when taking on an opponent. From my predictive models, Warriors are 15-4 Over for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons in regular season and playoff games in which they and their opponents attempted 190 or more field goal attempts. The Grizzlies are 22-6-1 Over for 79% winning bets. The models alspo project that 27 or more 3-pointers will be made by these two teams. In past home games that the Grizzlies and their opponents made 27 or more 3’s and combined for 180 or more FGA, the OVER has gone 43-4-3 for 92% wins and when the Grizzlies have met or exceeded these under same projections, the OVER has gone 52-10-1 for 84% wins. |
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04-30-22 | Mariners v. Marlins UNDER 7 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Seattle vs Miami 5% MAX Bet on the Miami Marlins on the money line The Miami Marlins is hot having won 6 straight games and coming off a sweep of the Washington Nationals. Seattle had been nearly as hot having won four straight games and 7 of the past 8 games until losing the last two games of a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Marlins have tremendous pitching depth, and it has shined during their current 6-game win streak. Tow left-handers will do battle in this matchup with Robbie going for the Mariners and Jesus Luzardo going for the Marlins. In 8 career starts against the Marlins, Ray has amassed a 4-3 record (5-3 team record) with a strong 2.08 ERA and a 1.007 WHIP. Even more impressive is that he has allowed just 5 earned runs over his last six starts. Luzardo is one of the only pitchers on the Marlins roster to be struggling somewhat sporting a 3.77 ERA and a 1.256 WHIP in three starts. However, he is coming off impressive road win over Atlanta in which he completed 5 innings, allowed 1 earned run with 4 walks and 8 strikeouts. I see that solid outing carrying over to this start as well. The Marlins are batting just 0.180 and scoring 2.7 runs per game in 4-games against left-handed pitchers this season. Over the past 3 seasons, the Under has earned a 15-3 record for 83.3% winning bets when the Marlins have faced a left-handed starter and were priced as home dogs. The Marlins is 13-3 Under when facing American League teams allowing 4.4 or fewer runs per game in games played over the last two seasons. From my predictive models expect the starters in this matchup to complete 11.33 or more innings of work. Marlins are 35-16 Under for 70% winning bets over the last 15 MLB season and 7-2 Under over the last three seasons. |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves UNDER 229 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
Memphis vs Minnesota 4% 8-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total The following NBA betting system has earned a 31-9 Under record for 78% winning bets over the last 5 NBA seasons. Bet Under with games lined with a total of 220 to 229.5 points in games played in the second half of the season and playoffs, with a team scoring an average of 114 to 118 points, that team is coming off a loss of six or fewer points and is facing a defensive team allowing an average of 110 to 114 points per game. Memphis is 14-4-1 Under when facing an opponent that is averaging 15 or fewer forced turnovers per game in games played over the last two seasons. From my predictive models, both teams are projected to shot 45% or lower. The Under has earned an outstanding 64-12-5 record for 84% winning bets over the last five seasons in games in which they and their opponent shot no better than 45% from the field. |
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04-28-22 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 210.5 | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Dallas vs Utah 4% Best bet UNDER the posted total Betting the Under with a total of 205 or more points in a game involving a team that went Under the total by 25 or more points in their previous game and both teams have wo a minimum of 55% of their games on the season has earned a solid 31-15-4 Under record good for 67.4% winning bets over the last 10 NBA playoff seasons. Plus, over the past three NBA playoff seasons, this system has earned a highly profitable 17-7-4 Under record for 71% winning bets. |
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04-28-22 | Suns -130 v. Pelicans | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Phoenix vs New Orleans 4% best bet on the Phoenix Suns minus the points. No. 1 seeds, as are the Suns, playing in Game-6 of an NBA playoff series are 17-8 ATS for 68% winning bets over the last 10 playoff seasons. If favored, these No. Seeds have gone 9-4 ATS for 69.2% winning bets over the the last 10 playoff seasons and is a road favorite 8-2 ATS for 80% winning bets. |
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04-28-22 | 76ers -120 v. Raptors | 132-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors 4% bet on the 76ers using the money line, currently –125 and like this bet a lot up to and including –135. Playoff teams that won the first three games of a 7-game series, then lost two straight game are 8-2 straight up and 7-3 ATS for 70% winners in Game-6 priced as a road favorite. Betting on teams revenging a SU loss as a home favorite of seven or more points in the regular season and playoffs has earned a highly profitable 40-12- ATS record good for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on any team that is coming off two upset losses installed as favorites in the playoffs has earned a 36-20-2 ATS record good for 64.3% winning bets over the last 10 playoff seasons. NBA 4% Best Bet |
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04-27-22 | Bulls v. Bucks OVER 217.5 | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
Chicago vs Milwaukee Game-5 5% Best Bet Over the posted total. This betting algorithm has produced a 45-18 record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on teams that led by 15 or more points at the half of their previous game, the game involved has a total of at least 200 points, and the previous opponent scored 43 or fewer points in the first half of that previous game. 56% of these games played Over the posted total by a minimum of 7 points. Here are a few more situational angles supporting the Over bet. Bucks are 12-2-1 Over following two consecutive double-digit wins over divisional opponents and 44-22 Over following two consecutive wins in games played over the last two seasons. Bucks head coach Budenholzer is 49-29-1 Over following two double-digit wins. From my predictive models we are expecting the Bucks to shoot at least 48% from the field and to score at least 115 points. In past games played over the last five seasons, the Bucks are 123-30-8 for 80.4% winning bets when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. |
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04-26-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies UNDER 232 | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Memphis 4% OVER the posted total Memphis is 31-22 UNDER when taking on an opponent that is a good passing team averaging 23 or more assists per game this season. Memphis is 19-8-1 Under when facing teams that are forcing 15 or fewer turnovers per game in games played over the last two seasons. From my predictive models we are expecting Minnesota to score 108 or fewer points and shoot less than 45% from the field. In past games in which the Wolves met or underperformed these performance measures has seen the UNDER go 42-12 for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons and when the total has been 230 or more points, the Under has earned a 15-4 record for 79% winning bets. |
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04-23-22 | Celtics v. Nets -3 | Top | 109-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Boston vs Brooklyn 4% bet on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points. Betting on teams that are in a game lined between a 3.5 points dog and a 3.5-point favorite and facing an opponent that has outscored their opponents by 6 or more points per game on the season and with that opponent having played three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored in each one has gone 46-15 ATS for 75.4% winning bets and 44-17 SU for 72% wins over the last five seasons. If this game is taking place in the playoffs our team has gone 9-4 ATS for 69.2% ATS winners over the last 10 playoff seasons. From my predictive models, we are looking for the Nets to score 115 or more points and score at least 20 fast break points in this game. The Nets are 13-2 SU for 87% wins and 11-3-1 ATS for 79% winning bets in games where they met or exceeded that pair of performance measures. |
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04-22-22 | Suns -2 v. Pelicans | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
Suns vs Pelicans 4% Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns minus the points and consider the money line as an option if it is priced at –125 or better. The Suns have won 26 more games than the Pelicans on the season and including this series. NBA Playoff games in a matchup where the Dog is coming off an upset win and with the opponent having won 25 or more games on the season has seen the DOG go 2-11 ATS for 15% winning bets. No. 1-seeds that are coming off a loss in game they were favored are 35-26-2 ATS for 57.4% winners dating back to the 2003 season. Plus, if the game is in the first round, they are 12-7 ATS for 63% winners. Favorites in the NBA playoffs that are coming off a loss priced as a 7 or greater favorite have earned a 72-15 SU record and a 55-33-1 ATS mark good for 62% winning bets dating back to the 2003 season and 22-5 SU and 19-8 ATS for 70.4% winning bets over the last five playoff seasons. Plus, if our revengeful-minded team is favored by no more than 2.5 points have earned an 8-4 ATS mark for 67% winning bets. Bet the Suns |
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04-18-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
Toronto vs Philadelphia 7:30 PM EST, April 18, 2022 4% best bet on the 76ers minus the points I am certainly in the camp that does not see the Raptors responding to the dominating loss they endured to the 76ers in Game-1. Maxey scored 38 points and will more than likley not reach even 28 tonight, but Embiid had 15 boards and a very quiet performance and now I believe it will be his turn to take advantage of the matchup opportunities he will enjoy. The media has you thinking that Harden is becoming a problem on the court. Nothing falser could ever be stated. When he is the conductor of the offense, the 76ers ball movement and distribution is near perfection and he had a huge game-1 distributing the ball to the correct player at the correct time and his experience are invaluable to say the least. Betting on 3.5 to 9.5 point favorites in the month of April that have won three or more consecutive home games has earned an outstanding 49-18 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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04-17-22 | Pelicans v. Suns -10 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
New Orleans vs Phoenix Suns 5% Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns minus the points In the playoffs in game 1 or 2 betting on the No.1 seed priced as a double-digit favorite has produced a 60-6 straight-up record and 37-28-1 ATS mark good for 57% winning bets. Plus, if these No.1 seed favorite is priced between 8.8 and 11.5 points, they have produced an 8-1 ATS record in game 1. The Suns are far too good to get overconfident and full of themselves and underestimate a surging Pelicans team. Must admire New Orleans’ resilience under HC Willie Green, as the Pelicans have been scrapping for weeks to get to the playoffs. McCollum’s presence certainly made a difference when the Pels came to Phoenix and inflicted a 117-102 defeat on the Suns on Feb. 25 for 1 of those 9 Footprint losses. McCollum outscored Booker 32-30 and made 11 of 18 shots and the Pelicans destroyed the Suns on the boards, posting a 53-37 rebounding edge with Valanciunas grabbing 17 of those boards. What is missing is the fact that Chris Paul did not play in that game that truly had little meaning for the Suns, who had already moved far ahead in the standings. Game-1 of the first round of the playoffs playing at a packed and raucous house will be a completely different environment for the Pelicans and one that I think will be more than just intimidating. OK. Playoff favorites that have been defeated by the spread by a combined total of 47 or more points over their last 7 games (can extend back into the regular season) has produced a 15-2 SU record and 13-4 ATS mark for 77% winning playoffs bets over the last five seasons. Plus, 9-0 ATS if the favorite is playing the current game with more rest than the current opponent. |
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04-16-22 | Jazz -4.5 v. Mavs | Top | 99-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks 1:00 EST, April 16, 2022 4% best bet on the Utah Jazz minus the points Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following situational betting system that has earned a highly profitable 29-16 ATS record good for 64.4% winning bets over the last five playoff seasons. Bet on road favorites that made more than field goals in their previous game then what they averaged for the regular season. That is all there is to it. Luka is out and may not even be available for Monday’s Game-2 and Dallas is a team that is solely dependent on his super star caliber of play. One LIVE betting strategy that may happen in this game would allow for an excellent price on the Jazz during the first half of action. I always expect a home team just like Cleveland last night, to come out the gates flying high. Dallas will certainly have the home crowd behind them, and it is possible they get out to a 10-point lead. So, bet 50% of your 4% betting amount pre-flop and then look for the fast start by Dallas to add the other 50% amount at –1 or pick-em and try not to pay more than –115 vig. Be patient and allow the market to come to you and not force the bet and pay too much vig. LIVE odds are highly volatile, and they will move often enough, especially during a time out situation, allowig you to get the price YOU WANT. |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans v. Clippers | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
New Orleans vs LA Clippers 4% Best Bet on the Pelicans as a –1 point favorite and is good to go up to and including 3.5 points. Clippers are just 5-17-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in the past five days this season. Betting on road favorites (now that the Pelicans have become the favorite) after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games has earned an outstanding 24-10 mark over the last three seasons and 40-16-1 ATS record over the last five seasons for 71% wining bets. |
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04-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Denver vs Memphis 9:00 PM EST, April 7, 2022 4% Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets minus the points Betting on teams that are facing a strong opponent that is outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG on the season, in a game lined between the 3’s, and with the opponent coming off three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored in each one has earned a 44-17 ATS record for 72.1% winning bets over the last four seasons. Memphis (55-24) is locked into the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference and won't know who it will face in the first round until the play-in tournament gets started. The fact that it possibly could be the Nuggets is a little surprising. Denver (47-33) had a chance to clinch at least the No. 6 seed with a home win over San Antonio on Tuesday night but was blown out by the Spurs. The Nuggets need a win in one of their last two games to avoid the play-in tournament, and they can end the drama when they host the Grizzlies on Thursday night. |
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04-07-22 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 220.5 | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Toronto 4% bet on the UNDER The Raptors defeated the Atlanta Hawks 118-108 Tuesday, which secured a playoff berth and avoids the dreaded Play-In Tournament. The victory was the 12th of their last 15 games for the Raptors, who have won two of the first three meetings against the 76ers this season. However, the 76ers are in a log jam for the 2-seed among three other teams and need this win far more than the Raptors. If the season had ended yesterday, the 76ers would be the 4-seed and would hot the 5-seed Toronto Raptors in the first round of the playoffs. The 76ers have a 3-game lead over the Raptors and have the cellar dwelling Pacers and Pistons up next to conclude the regular season. The Boston Celtics is 50-30 for the season and clinging to a ½ game lead over the Milwaukee Bucks and 76ers, both with 49-30 records. So, I fully expect this game to have a defensive playoff-type atmosphere tonight. The line opened at 215.5 points and has steamed its’ wat to a current price of 220 points with a few rogue 221 numbers appearing. I like waiting till after noon EST to see where this line may top out, which I believe will be at the 221.5 points area. My recommendation is to bet 50% of your normal 4% best amount at 221.5 points and then look to add 25% more at 222.5 points and the remaining 25% at 223.5 points. 76ers are 23-13 Under when facing a team that is allowing an average of 108 PPG in games played this season. The Raptors are 22-12-1 Under when facing a great passing team, like the 76ers, that are averaging 23 or more assists per game in the second half (after game number 41) of this season. |
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04-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 121-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Boston vs Milwaukee 7:30 EST, April 7, 2022 4% bet on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points Betting on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a matchup of excellent teams sporting win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season and with the visitor having covered the spread in four or five of their last six games has earned an outstanding 55-25 ATS result good for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. Celtics are just 1-10 ATS following two consecutive ATS wins priced as a favorite in games played over the last two seasons. |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
UNC vs Kansas 4% Best Bet on North Carolina plus the points and a 1% bet on the money line. I like North Carolia to be leading at the half and to win the game at +700 at betMGM What Villanova lacked in length to defend Kansas’ McCormack, UNC has more than enough length, and I see them minimizing McCormack throughout the entire game. Then Agbaji, the stud Kansas leader is going to have to be far more involved and creative and I see the UNC starters and depth off the bench getting that minimized as well. Simply said, I see UNC as the better team and the fact that they are the underdog again, will allow them to play lose and free and at full strength. I know that the last four and 11 of the last 16 Champions have been 1-seeds, but this UNC team is vastly different than any other non-1-seed team, especially seeds greater than 4, in Tournament history. Supporting the upset, UNC is 7-1 against the money line (making +6.7 Units per Unit wagered) when they make 31% to 37% of their three-point shot attempts in a game this season, 11-2 against the money line (+10.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last two seasons, and 8-2 against the money line (+11.5 Units) in games where both teams score 75 or more points this season. Thank you to every one of you that supported me and long hours of research to provide you the absolute best sports betting research possible. Every season I feel a tremendous need to give thanks to and be 100% grateful for every one of you. Next Sports up is MLB, so make certain you get the 75% discounted season-long package on my profile page this week. |
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03-30-22 | Heat +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
Miami vs Boston 7:40 ET, March 30, 2022 5% MAX Bet (10-UNITS) on the Miami Heat plus the points. If Miami remains the underdog in this matchup, this 5% MAX Bet (10-Units) is good to go. In the Eastern Conference there are four teams, Miami, Philadelphia, Boston, and Milwaukee, that are within 1.5-games of each other for the race to the top-seed for the playoffs. Miami and Boston square off in this matchup with Miami the current No.1 seed and Boston the 3-seed in the playoff standings. Milwaukee is in the 2-seed position and would take on the winner of the 7-seed vs 8-seed Play-In Tournament matchup between the Cavaliers and the Nets. The winner of that matchup becomes the 7-seed in the playoff bracket and would face the 2-seed, while the loser of that game would face the winner of the 9 vs 10-seed matchup, which is currently Charlotte vs Atlanta. My predictive models point to Miami in this matchup and a sprinkle of no more than 0.75% (0.75 Units) on the money line. Both Celtics stars Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum will be on the court tonight. So, we are looking for the Heat to score 111 points, have 13 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a 20-3 SU, 22-1 ATS record for 96% winning bets. They are also 14-0 ATS over the last 10 seasons when installed as a road dog of not more than five points, scoring 111 or more points with 13 or fewer turnovers. The following betting system has earned a 95-43-1 ATS record good for 69% winning bets since 1995, 24-9 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. If the game is taking place after game number 41, the record is 65-30-1 ATS for 68.4% winning bets since 1995, and 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. Among the 25 seasons, there have been 22 seasons that this betting algorithm has made profits. The 3 losing seasons were 1-game under 0.500 in two of those season and 2-games under 0.500 ATS in the third. The requirements for this betting system/algorithm is to be on any team in a matchup of two teams that have won 60% to 75% of their games in the current seasons and with the team we are betting against, Boston, coming off a straight-up loss, but covered the spread |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State OVER 137 | Top | 48-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Southern Utah vs Fresno State The Basketball Classic Semifinals 4% bet OVER the posted total FSU head coach Hutson is 9-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in four of their last five games, 35-20-1 ATS following a home game, and 16-6-1 ATS following two consecutive home games. From my predictive models, we learn that FSU is 8-0-1 Over when scoring 70 or more points and making at least 12 free throws in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State -7 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Southern Utah vs Fresno State The Basketball Classic Semifinals 4% bet OVER the posted total FSU head coach Hutson is 9-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in four of their last five games, 35-20-1 ATS following a home game, and 16-6-1 ATS following two consecutive home games. From my predictive models, we learn that FSU is 8-0-1 Over when scoring 70 or more points and making at least 12 free throws in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8.5 | Top | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
St. Peters vs North Carolina 4% best bet on North Carolina minus the points The St. Peters Peacocks have become the first 15-seed to ever make the Elite-8 Round and will most assuredly be the topic of a documentary movie down the road – and a well-deserved one. However, my models, which do not have any pulse rate or the heart that the Peacocks team has put on display and is arguably the best example of why we love March Madness, indicate that their run is going to end here against no-less than an 8-seed North Carolia Tarheels team. The media, including Lunardi, mocked the ACC Conference and what they missed in a big way was the fact that the top teams in that loop were not having off years, because NC State, Georgia Tech, and other were having of years. If there is one huge take-away from this post season is to be careful when assigning a ‘off season’ discount to any of the Major-6 Conferences. I even heard. Rumor that Loyola-Chicago's biggest fan Sister jean had entered the transfer portal to join St. Peters. (Ha Ha) Betting on favorites after beating the spread by 45 or more points in total spanning their last seven games and now facing an opponent that has beat the number by a total of 55 or more points over their last 10 games has earned a highly profitable 49-16-2 ATS for 75% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and is 14-1 ATS for 93.3% winning bets over the last three seasons. UNC is 10-2 ATS in the second half of each of the last three seasons when taking on winning record foe and 9-1 ATS when taking on a foe that is outscoring their opponents by at least 4 or more points per game in games played over the last two season. What UNC has that Purdue did not is the perimeter threat from many players on the floor. Purdue failed to penetrate the crowded paint are and then move the move the ball swiftly to the perimeter for wide-open shots. When they did, the shots were not made. I think UNC will exploit this from start to finish and force St. Peters to stop packing the paint area and spread them out across the court to defend perimeter shooters. UNC will force St. Peters to expend ton of energy trying to cover the side-to-side ball movement. Eventually, when they wear down and are reduced to a defender running at an open shooter, that shooter will fake the shot and drive to the rim. Nothing at all at the greatest and accomplishments of St. Peters, but this is North Carolina. |
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03-24-22 | Texas Tech -1 v. Duke | Top | 73-78 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs Duke 4% Best bet on Texas Tech minus the single point, if this line moves to –1.5 to –2.5, then bet this game using the money line. When I write just a few of incredible accomplishments that Coach K has achieved, it becomes even more incredible just seeing it in black and white – if that makes any sense. The Duke basketball program is in the Sweet 16 for the 28th time and Coach-K is looking for his 100th NCAA Tournament victory. He has won a record 1,200 overall games in 47 seasons (42 at Duke) as he heads down the home stretch of his career. How coincidental are these achievements that are at exactly century and multi-century marks. He is also two victories away from reaching his 13th Final Four. I do remember that the number 13 has some scary connotations. This is a matchup that I see focused on ball handling where Duke is ranked 2nd in the nation sporting a 1.644 assist to turnover ratio against a Texas Tech defense that ranks 9th with a 0.690 defensive assist to turnover ratio. Then on the other side of the court, we have a Texas Tech offense that ranks 166th with a 1.006 assist to turnover ratio going up against a conservative Duke defense ranking 315th with a poor 1.249 defensive assist to turnover ratio. Plus, Tech ranks 6th in scoring defense allowing 60.2 points per game. Duke will look to increase the pace of play while Tech will look to get this game in the mud and to be as physical as the referees will permit. So, teams in the Sweet-16, Elite-8, and Final-4, are the favorite, and have a defense allowing 60 to 65 points per game on the season have gone on to a 45-26-2 ATS record good for 63.4% winning bets over the last 15 NCAA Tournaments. Using this simple betting system, you would have made profits in each of the past 7 events, and this is the first one of this event. |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova UNDER 135.5 | Top | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
Michigan vs Villanova 7:29 PM EST, March 23, 2022 4% best bet Under the posted total The last time these two programs met in San Antonio on the basketball court was in the 2016 NCAA Championship game won by Villanova. The Wildcats look to be poised for another Championship run here in San Antonio and credit goes to head coach Jay Wright for having the courage to load up the front end of the season with top-rated superior teams. That ‘seasoning’ is now going to pay off for the remainder of their Tournament run starting tonight. When away from Ann Arbor, Michigan is 7-0 Under after two consecutive games attempting 10 or fewer shots than the opponent and 31-15 Under following two consecutive games where the opponent was called for five or more fouls than they were called for. Villanova is on a 7-1 Under run when playing in a neutral court settling and installed as the favorite. For his entire career at Villanova, Jay Wright is 45-27-2 Under when facing a marginal winning team sporting a win percentage not higher than 60%, 32-20-3 Under when playing against a winning record team with a win percentage not higher in than 60% in the second half of each season (after game number 15) From my predictive models, we are expecting to see a well-played matchup within a slower than average pace of play. The spread and total are telling us that Villanova will win 70.25-64.75 or 70-65. They are also projected to make no higher than 37% from beyond the arc OR not make more than 11 3-pointers in total and not score more than 75 points. In past games when not playing at home, the Wildcats have gone 5-14-2 Over-Under for 74% wining bets when not scoring more than 75 points and not making more than 11 3-pointers in games played since 2019. Michigan is 5-10 Over-Under for 67% winning Under bets in games where they did not make more than 6 3-pointers and did not score more than 70 points. |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +9.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
Arkansas vs Gonzaga 7:09 PM EST, Thursday, March 24, 2022 Playing the LIVE in-game betting lines and taking advantage of the scoring volatility that this game is likely to have through the 40 minutes of play gives rise to the following strategy that I have used hundreds of times. Consider betting Arkansas pre-flop (before the tip) getting the +9.5 points for a 50% amount of your 4% betting amount (Or a 2% betting amount), the look to add 25% more (1% best bet) at Arkansas +11.5 and +14.5 points during the first half only. This is one of the best NCAA Basketball money line betting systems and has earned a 32-21 straight-up record for 60% winning bets over the last five seasons and has made the $1,000 bettor a profit of $40,500 by averaging a whopping +190.3 money line wager. Bet on a solid defensive team allowing 40 to 42.5% shooting on the season and is now facing a team that has posted four consecutive games making at least 50% of their shots and is also making 47.5% of their shots on the season. So, I like to call this money line betting system the “Mother of all Regression Betting Systems”. Arkansas is 13-2 straight-up when facing a team that is making at least 45% of their shots on the season in each of the last two seasons and has made the $1,000 bettor a profit of $13,700 in this role. Arkansas is 8-2-1 ATS when facing teams that attempt an average of at least 21 3-point shots per game over the last two seasons. Gonzaga is 1-9 ATS following back-to-back games forcing just eight or fewer turnovers in each of the two games. Arkansas is 12-3-1 ATS after winning two of their last three games and a perfect 7-0 ATS after allowing 50 or fewer points spanning the last three seasons. |
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03-22-22 | Clippers +7 v. Nuggets | Top | 115-127 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Clippers vs Denver 10:00 PM EST, March 22, 2022 4% Best Bet on the Clippers plus the points Clippers are solid 3-point shooting team that is making 36% of those long-range shots on the season. The Nuggets are just 1-9 ATS when facing a team that ids making at least 36% of their 3-pointers in games played this season. From my predictive models, we are looking for the Clippers to score at least 114 points and have 12 or fewer turnovers. When the Clippers have met or exceeded these performance measures in road games they have gone to earn a 18-6 SU record, 18-7 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the last three seasons. |
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03-22-22 | Bulls +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-126 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Bulls vs Bucks 8:00 PM EST, March 22, 2022 4% best bet on the Bulls plus the points, currently at +6 points and is a valid bet down to and including 4.5 points. The Bulls are coming off a significant win over the Eastern Conference rivals Toronto Raptors I do see the Bulls carrying the positive momentum over to this game against the Milwaukee Bucks, who are just 1-11 ATS when facing a team with a win percentage between 50.1 and 60% this season (at least one-game over 0.500) and just 10-20 ATS when playing against a team that is at least one-game over 0.500 this season. Here is a tremendous money line betting system that has earned a 51-30 straight-up record for 63% winning bets and has made the $1,000 bettor a $43,000 profit by averaging a +145-underdog bet. Bet on home teams using the money line in a matchup of teams that are allowing 108 to 114 points per game on the season and playing against the team that is one that allowed 130 or more points in their previous game. If both teams allowed 130 or more points in their previous game, then this system is void. Milwaukee was dominated by the Minnesota Timberwolves 139-119 in their previous game Saturday. If the game from the algorithm above is in the second half of the regular season (after game number 41) it has done even better sporting a 37-15 straight-up record for 70% winning bets averaging a +160-money line wager and has made the $1,000 bettor a $42K profit. Just this season, it has achieved a 7-6 SU result, but has made $8K in profits for the 1K bettor. |
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03-22-22 | Hawks -2.5 v. Knicks | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Atlanta vs NY Knicks 7:30 PM EST, March 22, 2022 4% bet on the Atlanta using the first half betting line 0.5% Trae Young Over points + assists You can bet that the Knicks faithful will out to boo Trae Young at every opportunity tonight at Madison Square Garden as the Hawks look to avoid a season4-0 sweep to the Knicks. He took a bow at center court last Spring when he and the Hawks eliminated the Knicks from the playoffs and the fans have not forgotten this fact. Young is at times a polarizing figure in the NBA and he does respond well to haters when playing on their court. Betting the first half line with a road team that is allowing an average of 108 to 114.5 points per game on the season and facing a host that is averaging just 104 to 108 points per game on the season and is coming off a double-digit loss has earned a solid 120-61 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last 25 NBA seasons and most of it coming recently due to the increase in scoring over the past 25 years with a 66-31 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last three season. |
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03-19-22 | Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 245 | Top | 119-138 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Minnesota 5:10 ET 4% bet UNDER the posted total, currently at 244.5 points after opening at 242.5 points. I like this bet at 244.5 points and higher. Bucks are 7-0 Under when facing teams who attempt 39 or more 3-point shots per game on the season, 8-0 Under when facing teams who make 14 or more 3-point shots per game on the season, 14-2 Under in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Here is an awesome NBA Betting algorithm that has produced a 55-17 Under record good for 76% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet Under Play Under with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 and with a well-rested team, Milwaukee, playing 4 or fewer games in 10 days, and is an excellent team winning 60% to 75% of their games playing a team with a winning record. It has produced a 24-6 record good for 80% winning bets over the last three seasons and 46-14 Under record good for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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03-18-22 | Delaware v. Villanova UNDER 133.5 | Top | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Delaware vs Villanova 2:45 PM EST, March 18, 2022 The total for this game is 133.5 points and has not moved from that opening price. One live in-game strategy worth considering and one that I will look to execute is to bet 50% of your 4% betting amount pre-flop and then hope to see a faster than expected pace at the start of the game. If that happens look to add the remaining 50% at 139.5 points during the first half only. To bet in-game in the second half has a significantly reduced ROI simply because there is less time to be correct. The worst case is that 139.5 is not made available during the first half of play which implies that we are correct on the 4% Under bet looking good to cover. You can also bet 80% pre flop and look to add 20% at 139.5 points. Send me a Direct Message on Twitter @JohnRyanSports1 if you have any questions. Betting the Under in the first round of the NCAA Tournament in a matchup of teams that have won 60 to 80% of their games on the season has earned a 67-29-1 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. Delaware is 8-2 Under when playing against a team with a win percentage between 60 and 80% this season. Nova is 6-0 Under as a favorite on a neutral court this season and 13-4 Under coming off a win of six or fewer points in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-18-22 | Montana State +15 v. Texas Tech | Top | 62-97 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
Montana State vs Texas Tech 1:45 PM EST, March 18, 2022 4% bet on the Montana State Bobcats plus the points. The line opened making the Bobcats a 15-point underdog and has remained at this level amid balanced betting action. My predictive models point to the fact that the betting community is paying too much (almost like a tax) for the privilege of betting the Texas Tech Red Raiders. The Bobcats won the Big Sky Tournament earning their ticket as a 14 seed. Texas Tech reached the Big 12 tournament final, where it fell to Kansas 74-65. Last season, the Bobcats lost in the conference final, and it has turned out to be a blessing. Third-year head coach Danny Sprinkle had three seniors form that squad exercise their COVID option for a fifth season. As expected, the trio are the leaders of the Bobcats. Xavier Bishop tops Montana State in scoring (13.9 points per game) and assists (4.3). Jubrile Belo is averaging 13.0 points per game and tops the team in rebounds averaging 6.8 per game, and blocks averaging 1.8 per game. Abdul Mohamed contributes 7.8 points per game and 6.6 boards per game. The Bobcats are 11-2 ATS when facing solid rebounding teams averaging four or more rebounds per game than their opponents in games played over the last three seasons. Texas Tech is 0-6 ATS in road games when facing teams averaging 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season. The Bobcats are 10-2 ATS in road or neutral settings after playing a game as a favorite, 9-2 ATS in road or neutral settings coming off two or more consecutive wins, and 10-2 ATS in all tournaments games over the last three seasons. |
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03-18-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Ohio State +1 | Top | 41-54 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
Loyola vs Ohio State 12:15 PM EST, March 18, 2022 4% best bet on the Ohio State Buckeyes The seventh-seeded Buckeyes (19-11) and 10th-seeded Ramblers (25-7) will meet in Pittsburgh at the PPG Paints Arena on Friday in a first-round game set to tip-off at 12:15 PM EST. Loyola is on a roll winner of three straight to win their second consecutive Missouri Valley Conference Title and are making their third appearance of the past five seasons in the NCAA Tournament. Ohio State is not on a roll and were upset by a surging Penn State squad in the opening round of the Big Ten Tournament. Last year while on the LIVE Manny’s Irish Pub Show, Rob Veno kept me informed of the last 1:50 of last year’s Ohio State vs Orla Roberts game. I got Oral Roberts at +950 on the money line trailing by just two points with 1:50 left and knowing that they were the best free throw shooting team in the nation. I sometimes cannot watch a game feeling I may jinx and hope of winning such a bet, so Rob Veno of WagerTalk kept me apprised during our show and man alive that was some great fun I will never forget. Ohio State was a 2-seed and there was immense pressure on them to win. However, this season they are not under the media spotlight and come into this game as one of the more underrated teams in the event. An early loss in the Big Ten tourney might be a blessing for the the Buckeyes, who had to make up two games late in the season and played seven games in 16 days to end the regular season March 6. Then followed by the loss to Penn State four days later. Everyone loves Loyola and their great story and I do as well, but I cannot bet that way as a pro bettor. The value here is certainly with Ohio State and I believe they come away with the win. OSU is 9-1 ATS in road games when facing solid shooting teams that are making 45% or more of their shots in the second half, after game number 15, of each of the past two seasons. They are 8-0 ATS in the second half of each of the past two seasons when facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points per game. Loyola is just 10-23 ATS in the second half of each of the past three seasons when facing a team that is averaging 21 or more 4-points hot attempts. |
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03-16-22 | Notre Dame v. Rutgers UNDER 132 | Top | 89-87 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
Notre Dame vs Rutgers 9:10 PM EST, March 16, 2022 4% Best Bet Under the posted total Notre Dame and Rutgers will be the participants in the last “Play-In” game prior to the March Madness Insanity begins in earnest Thursday. I thought Rutgers had earned a spot in the bracket by virtue of how well they did play down the stretch. This reflects that the committee only looks at quality of wins and the full-season body of work to give a team a thumbs up or thumbs down vote. I’d like to see more weighting for those teams that played hot down the stretch that would then bump out the teams that finished the regular season in a stumbling manner. The former Big East Conference rivals ended up earning two of the last four at-large bids into the 2022 field and will play each other in a First Four game Wednesday night at Dayton, Ohio. The winner will earn a No. 11 seed and move on to play sixth-seeded Alabama on Friday. This Under bet is backed by a simple to use betting system that has earned a 200-276 Over-Under record good for 58% winning Under bets spanning the last 15 seasons and is on a 19-42 Over-Under record for 69% winning Under bets spanning the last two seasons. The requirements are to bet the Under in games played in March with a team that allowed 85 or more points in their previous game. Plus, a subset that filters out only the games played with a total between 130 and 135 points that has earned a 17-33 Over-Under record good for 67% winning Under bets over the last 15 seasons. |
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03-16-22 | Blazers v. Knicks -12 | Top | 98-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Portland vs NY Knicks 7:30 ET 4% best bet on the NY Knicks minus the points Portland is 9-23 ATS when facing teams allowing 108 or fewer points per game this season. NY is 23-11-1 ATS in home games which playing a team with a losing record over the last two seasons. Portland is 3-12-1 ATS when playing their sixth game in the past 2 weeks (14 days). Knicks are 12-2 ATS after covering the spread in four or more consecutive games over the last two seasons. |
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03-13-22 | Iowa v. Purdue UNDER 152 | Top | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Iowa vs Purdue 3:30 PM EST, March 13, 2022 4% bet on the UNDER in this Big Ten Championship matchup. Iowa’s offense was quite good at the beginning of the season, but now is monumentally better right now than the first time these two teams met. They play fast ranking 5th nationally averaging 64.6 shots per game and the nation’s best ball handling team sporting 1.74 assists to turnover ratio. However, now the betting total has been overpriced by the betting community and both teams are prone to scoring below their average score per game. Betting the Under in a game being played on a neutral court, with a total between 150 and 159.5 points, after the 15th game of the regular season including Tournament action, and two teams that are allowing 42.5% to 45% shooting on the season has earned an insanely profitable 32-4 Under record good for 89% winning bets over the last five seasons. For March Madness moving forward, totals in the month of March ranging between 150 and 159.5 points, in games being played on a neutral site have gone 176-128-6 Under for 58% winners since 2006. In April games, the Under is 5-1. |
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03-12-22 | Bucks v. Warriors UNDER 236.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Golden State 10-Unit “Total of the Year” UNDER the posted total. This line opened at 231.5 points and has moved up to 234.5 points making this a terrific betting opportunity for all of us. I emphasize betting opportunity, not a LOCK, or guaranteed to win nonsense. These plays hit at 65% to 70% over the course of a calendar year in All Sports and that means that they lose 30 to 35% of the time. So, as I always conclude my shows and I sincerely mean this, “bet with your head and not over it”, is mandatory. Stay disciplined and allow the wins to grind your building profits over the course of the season and not just one single day. Bucks are 24-6-1 Under when playing against a playoff-type team that is winning more than 60% of their games spanning the last two seasons. Betting the Under in games lined at 230 or more points, with a team coming off a road win and a matchup in which both teams have won 60% to 75% of their games in the current season has produced a 27-3 Under record for 85% winning bets and is a perfect 15-0 Under record spanning the last three seasons. 24 of the games bet over the last five seasons has gone Under the total by at least seven points. |
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03-08-22 | Canisius +3.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 50-72 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Canisius vs Fairfield 4% best bet on Canisuis This matchup involves a first-round game in the Metro Atlantic Tournament being held at the Boardwalk in Atlantic City, NJ. Canisius is 6-0 ATS when facing teams who are attempting an average of 21 or more three-point shots per game on the season and after the 15th game of the regular season. Fairfield is 3-13 ATS After a combined score of 115 or fewer points were scored. In games played over the last three seasons. They are also 3-15 ATS after A game in which they made 20% or worse, of their three point shot attempts in games played over the last three seasons. Take Canisius as a 4% Best Bet |
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03-08-22 | Rider -1 v. Manhattan | Top | 79-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
Rider vs Manhattan 4% best bet on the Rider Broncos at pick-em or better This is a first-round matchup in the Metro Atlantic Tournament being contested on the Boardwalk in Atlantic City. Rider is 7-1 ATS after three straight games in which they forced the opponents to commit 14 or fewer turnovers in games played this season. Manhattan is 6-18 ATS after three consecutive conference games have been played in each of the last three seasons. Rider is 17-6-1 ATS After playing two consecutive games. Installed as an underdog in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-08-22 | NC State +5 v. Clemson | Top | 64-70 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
NC State vs Clemson Here is a highly profitable betting system that has earned a 62-25-2 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a straight up loss to the current opponent and werepriced as a favorite and with that opponent coming off two consecutive wins by five or fewer points to conference rivals. Clemson is 3-14 ATS in road games in road games after three consecutive games where the opponent grabbed 31 or fewer rebounds. |
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02-28-22 | Wolves -1.5 v. Cavs | Top | 127-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Cleveland 7:10 PM EST 5% best bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves The Minnesota Timberwolves will look to continue their climb in the Western Conference standings with a win over the Eastern Conference Cleveland Cavaliers set to tip-off at 7:10 PM EST at the Rocket Mortgage Field House. Cleveland has relied on their defense that ranks best in the Association allowing an average of 102.3 points per game. The Wolves have the 6th best scoring offense in the league averaging 113.1 points per game. The problem I have with the Cleveland defense is that it is based on slowing the pace of play to a crawl. They rank 30th in the league averaging 84.8 shot attempts per game so the defensive points allowed per game would be higher based on 100 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the NBA allowing 106.4 points per game per 100 possessions per game. Cleveland is an average defensive rebounding team and this is where the Wolves have a major advantage and will have many more second chance scoring opportunities than the Cavaliers. The Wolves rank 4th in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.2% on the season. Cavaliers are just 33-50 ATS when facing good teams like the Wolves that are averaging at least 23 assists per game and 12-28 ATS when facing teams shooting 24 or fewer free throws per game in the second half of each of the last two seasons. Plus, they are a dismal 3-16 ATS after failing to cover four or more consecutive games over the past two seasons and 0-8 ATS following a game in which they were called for 10 or fewer fouls than their opponent. From my predictive models, I am expecting the Wolves to attempt 90 or more shots and will overcome the Cavaliers attempts to slow the pace of the game. As road favorites including pick-em, the Wolves are 11-3 ATS for 79% winning bets when attempt 90 or more shots. Take the Minnesota Wolves for a 5% best bet. |
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02-27-22 | Mavs +4 v. Warriors | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Dallas vs Golden State 7:30 ET 4% best bet on the Dallas Mavericks plus the points The Warriors had limped into last week's All-Star break having lost four of five games to fall 6 1/2 behind first-place Phoenix. But Golden State returned to action in top form Thursday with a 132-95 road win over the Portland Trail Blazers. Mavs are on a 9-1 ATS win streak when coming off a loss. The Warriors Thompson is listed as questionable, and it appears he will not be in this game tonight. If he does suit up the line may move by as much as three points. I like the Mavs no matter what Thompson’s status becomes. So, a suggested strategy is to bet 50% of your 4% bet size now and then wait till the game is within 30-minutes of tip-off and add the remaining 50% amount. Mavs are 21-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons. Here is an excellent betting system that has earned a 26-8 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on road underdogs in the second half of the season (after game number 41) that are making 33 to 37% of their three-point shots, are coming off back-to-backgames in which they made at least 15 3-pointers and now taking on an opponent that allows 33 to 37% 3-point shooting. |
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02-27-22 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 137.5 | Top | 93-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Nebraska vs Penn State 7 ET 4% Best Bet on the Under the posted total PSU is 31-14 Under when playing a game in the second half of the season (after game number 15) and taking on a team with a losing record and 23-9 Under when playing a struggling team with a win percentage between 20 and 40% on the season. They are 16-3 Under as a double-digit home favorite and 12-3 Under in the month of February, 11-3 Under after allowing 30 or fewer points in the first half of each of the last two games, and 7-1 Under following four consecutive games committing 14 or fewer turnovers and 6-0 Under following five games. |
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02-27-22 | 76ers v. Knicks OVER 219 | Top | 125-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs New York 4% best bet OVER the posted total RJ Barrett will look to build off a career-high performance when the Knicks host James Harden and the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday at Madison Square Garden set to tip at 1:00 EST. RJ Barrett's career-high 46 points weren't enough on Friday for the host Knicks, who dropped a 115-100 decision to the Miami Heat. Having him back in the lineup does make the Knicks a much better offensive team. The presence of James Harden has been impressive despite being just a 1-game sample size. Still, I think the 76ers are a team that is one of the best offensive ones in the NBA and are capable of averaging 120+ points when Jarden is in the lineup. Betting the Over in a game lined between 210 and 219.5 points after going over the total by 35 or more points in their last five games (Knicks), and has a losing record on the season has earned a 85-39 Over record for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. 76ers are 43-242 Over for 64% in road games and coming off a 20+ point blowout win over the past 25 seasons, and when priced as a road favorite are 21-11-1 Over for 66% winners. |
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02-25-22 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Columbus vs Carolina 4% best bet on the Puck Line This play is an opportunity to sprinkle the money line with a 0.5%-unit amount. The Puck Line is currently at +100 at most sportsbooks and few +110’s appearing. The bet is reinforced by a super sensational betting system that has produced an exceptional 20% ROI since the 2015 season and 37% ROI for the current season while going 7-9 SU for 44% winning bets. Obviously, we are playing on significant underdogs and these dogs have averaged +155 this season and a +135 since 2017. Bet on underdogs that have a winning record on the season and is facing an opponent that is coming off a road win against a divisional foe and sports a winning record of at least 55% on the season. When the puck line for our beloved road team is getting plus money (underdog on the +1.5 Puck Line) they have gone an incredible 12-3 for 80% winners. |
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02-23-22 | Sabres -101 v. Canadiens | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Buffalo vs Montreal 4% (8-Unit) best bet on the Buffalo Sabres using the money line Montreal is 3-17 using the money line when facing a team with a losing record and 0-7 using the money line when playing against a team with a win percentage between 25 and 40% this season. |
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02-21-22 | West Virginia v. TCU UNDER 134 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
West Virginia vs TCU TCU is 82-48 Under for 63% winners coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe and if suffering this double-digit loss on the road they are 52-30 Under for 64% winners. Even just coming off a double-digit loss regardless if a conference foe or not or site location, they have produced a 91-60 Under record for 60% winning bets. Over the last three season, TCU is 16-6 Under for 73% winners after losing by double-digits to a conference for in their previous game. The month of February is when the contenders seperate themselves form the pretenders and head coaches look to start coaching more aggressively and with more inspiration for his players. West Virginia’s skipper Huggins is this type of coach and his teams have a tendency every season to play their best in the month of February – and that starts on the defensive end. Huggins is 31-19 Under in games played in February and 77-53 Under when facing a team on the road that is forcing 14 or fewer turnovers on the seasons. |
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02-16-22 | Nets +4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs New York 7:30 PM EST, February 16, 2022 5% 10- UNIT best Bet on the Nets plus the points and is valid bet if the Nets are at least a 3-point underdog. 0.5% (0.5 units) As hard as it is to believe, the Nets have not had two consecutive wins in over a month. I obviously believe that sickening trend will end tonight is MSG. There is always the chance for an ATS win, but SU loss when the bet is on a dog, but when the dog is 4.5 or fewer points, an ATS win generally translates to a SU win. In the Nets 109-85 win over the Sacramento Kings as a 2.5-point home underdog they never trailed in the game. The highlights of the postgame press conference comments were about how the chemistry in the locker room radically changed to “Everyone likes each other”. Whether intentionally stated or not, this change in culture is a major positive factor that has the potential to propel the Nets to the World Championship. Anyway, this research is about this game and the 5% grading. So, let’s get to it right now. The following is a highly profitable betting algorithm that has produced consistent results for many seasons. It has earned a 17-9-1 ATS record over the last three seasons and 36-15-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams that have lost five or six of their last six games, has a winning record on the season, and is taking on a losing record team. Plus, if that team (Nets) played a home game in their previous game, their record soars to 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. 5% 5-UNIT NBA Game of the Month JR is nailing the NBA and is on a 73% ATS win streak and his last 5% was a Big-Time winner when the 76ers favored by 6.5 points defeated the Spurs 119-100 and that was his only 5% release in the NBA. This one is reinforced by a highly profitable betting system that has hit 70% winners and includes a subset that is a remarkable 20-5 ATS for 80% winners spanning the last five seasons. Brooklyn vs New York 7:30 PM EST, February 16, 2022 5% best Bet on the Nets plus the points and is valid bet if the Nets are at least a 3-point underdog. 0.5% (0.5 units) As hard as it is to believe, the Nets have not had two consecutive wins in over a month. I obviously believe that sickening trend will end tonight is MSG. There is always the chance for an ATS win, but SU loss when the bet is on a dog, but when the dog is 4.5 or fewer points, an ATS win generally translates to a SU win. In the Nets 109-85 win over the Sacramento Kings as a 2.5-point home underdog they never trailed in the game. The highlights of the postgame press conference comments were about how the chemistry in the locker room radically changed to “Everyone likes each other”. Whether intentionally stated or not, this change in culture is a major positive factor that has the potential to propel the Nets to the World Championship. Anyway, this research is about this game and the 5% grading. So, let’s get to it right now. The following is a highly profitable betting algorithm that has produced consistent results for many seasons. It has earned a 17-9-1 ATS record over the last three seasons and 36-15-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams that have lost five or six of their last six games, has a winning record on the season, and is taking on a losing record team. Plus, if that team (Nets) played a home game in their previous game, their record soars to 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +4.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 57 m | Show |
The LA Rams vs Cincinnati Bengals 5% Best Bet on the Cincinnati Bengals plus the points. I also like. Placing a 1% or one unit. Wager on the Bengals using the money line. Take advantage of the Super Bowl to Super Bowl special for just $699 that saves you $600 over the regular 365-day subscription. This gives you All Access to Every pick I release in every sports including the 5% (5-Unit MAX Bets). There is a terrific and highly profitable betting angle or algorithm if you will that has earned a 30-6-1 ATS since 1980. This algorithm has also gone undefeated at 7-0 ATS over the last ten seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3 1/2 to 10 points after posting four consecutive games with a turnover margin off +1 or better and are now facing an opponent coming off a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers. Remember too, that is NOT the game to “Go For It” - nor is any game. I am betting my 5% amount and a 1% on the money line and then 0.5% (0.25-units) on the 10 prop bets that follow below. It is a fact that I am 18-5 ATS for 77% winning bets over my career and there were 4 Super Bowls that I did not wager on the side or the total. The thrill of winning is terrific, but the agony of waking up Monday with the thoughts of “why in the world did I do that” is far worse. The first prop that I like here on the DraftKings sportsbook betting odds board is Cincinnati Bengals total field goal yardage. DraftKings has it lined at over 60.5 yards paying minus 115 vig if you like the under 65 yards you're getting minus 110 vig. I'm taking the over in this prop bet. The Cincinnati Bengals has an excellent rookie kicker in Evan McPherson who is 5 foot 10 and weighs 195 pounds and played for the University of Florida. In his rookie NFL season, he played in 16 games made 28 of 33 field goal attempts and made 46 of 48 extra point attempts. In road games this season he was spectacular, and the Bengals were 5-2 in those road games. He converted 20 of 21 extra points for 95% and made 100% going 14 for 14 in field goal attempts. In the seven road games he accounted for 62 points. From long range, those field goals of 50 or more yards McPherson made 11 of 13 attempts on the season. So, let's see what other prop bets are attractive for this Super Bowl. McPherson OVER 7.5 pts -135 Mcpherson is lined at 7 1/2 points. Betting the over in the number of points he will be accountable for does cost minus 135 vig but I think he will kick at least two field goals and make two extra points that right there is eight points in total, so I like over 7 1/2 points coming from Evan McPherson of the Cincinnati Bengals. Ja’Marr Chase +900 to score first TD of the game Another player prop is involving touchdowns scored. I like Ja’Marr Chase wide receiver for Cincinnati at plus 900 to be the first player to score a touchdown. I also like him at plus 900 to score the last touchdown of the game. Odell Beckham, Jr. is a wide receiver and one of the many weapons on the Rams offense. He is lined at plus 600 to be the first scorer of a touchdown by the Rams offense. Game Alternative Line Prop Bets Kupp and Higgins anytime TD + under 54.5 points +725 Kupp, Chase, Mixon, and Beckham, Jr. All score anytime TD +1250 Joe Mixon Rushing yards greater than the 4th Round score of the Winner of PGA Waste Management Phoenix Open Event –110 From the predictive models, we are expecting the Bengals to score 24 or more points and have the same or fewer number of turnovers. In past games over the last three seasons, the Bengals are 16-3 ATS for 84.2% winning bets and when they have been the dog they are 8-2 SU, 10-0 ATS for 100% winners. Good Luck and TY for a terrific season on the NCAAF + NFL gridiron. |
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02-12-22 | Arkansas v. Alabama -4.5 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Arkansas vs Alabama 4% Best Bet on Alabama minus the points This is a matchup in which the market has overvalued Arkansas and undervalued Alabama. Arkansas has won 9 straight games and are 8-2 ATS over the last 10 games. The Tide is 156-9 on the season and have covered 9 of those games while losing 14 and are just 2-8 ATS over their last 10. Arkansas is coming off a program hallmark in defeating then No.1 Auburn 80-76 on their home floor as 1.5-point underdogs. So, an overall performance regression is likely for Arkansas. Tide was ranked 14th in the preseason polls and as high as No. 6 in the poll released the week of December 13. They have not been ranked in the past 4 weeks and are a team that has all the strengths and talent to regain a ranking in the polls in the weeks ahead. Arkansas is 5-16 ATS off an upset win installed as a home underdog. |
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02-12-22 | St. Joe's +3 v. Massachusetts | Top | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
St. Joes vs UMASS Noon EST SJU is 7-0 ATS in the second half of each of the last two seasons when facing an opponent that is forcing an average of 14 or fewer turnovers per game. They are 11-3 ATS when facing teams that are committing an average of 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. SJU head coach Lange is 9-1 ATS following a game in which his Hawks had two or fewer steals. |
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02-12-22 | Texas +6.5 v. Baylor | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Texas vs Baylor Noon 4% best bet on Texas plus the points Texas is 8-1 ATS in road games following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throws in games played over the last three seasons. They are also 13-3-1 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival in games played over the last three seasons. Baylor head coach Drew is just 26-42 ATS after winning 15 or more of his Bears last 20 games. Texas skipper Beard is 13-3 ATS in road games in the second half of the season (After Game number 15) facing opponents averaging 16 or more assist per game. |
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02-07-22 | Northern Arizona v. Northern Colorado -10 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Northern Arizona vs Northern Colorado NCU is 14-3 ATS when taking on an opponent that is averaging 14 or fewer forced turnovers per game in games played in the second half of each of the last three seasons; 27-14 ATS for full seasons. NAU is just 1-7 ATS this season in games lined between 140 and 149.5 points and 80-112 ATS over the last 25 seasons when playing their second game in three days. NAU head coach Burcar is a money-burning 9-18 ATS with the total between 140 and 149.5 points and just 12-22 ATS playing with revenge. This past Saturday NCU took to the road and defeated NAU 74-71, but failed to cover the number as 5.5 point-favorites. |
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02-07-22 | Arizona -13 v. Arizona State | Top | 91-79 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
Arizona vs Arizona State 4% best bet on Arizona minus the points. I believe the market is more likely to see bets being placed on ASU getting double digits following their shocking triple overtime win over then-No.3 UCLA Saturday. So, consider betting 50% of your normal bet size right away and then look at the market after 5 EST and add the remaining 50%, hopefully at a lower price tag. ASU is 8-21 ATS when taking on an excellent ball handling team that is averaging 14 or fewer turnovers per game over the last two seasons. ASU is 5-14 ATS in games lined with a total between 140 and 149.5 points. Arizona is 8-1 ATS in games lined with a total between 140 and 149 points this season. ASU is 25-44 ATS when priced as a double-digit underdog over the last 25 seasons. |
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02-07-22 | Suns v. Bulls +7.5 | Top | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Phoenix vs Chicago Bulls are coming off a 119-108 home loss to the 76ers, in which Embiid scored 40 points. He was not the high scorer in the game as DeMar DeRozan scored 45 points including 9 rebounds and 7 assists. The Bull have been playing without forward Zach Levine, who is suffering from back spasms. I do expect the Bulls to bounce back from the loss Sunday and get the ATS win tonight. They are 19-7 SU, 17-9 ATS for 65% winning bets in their home games this season. Here is a highly profitable and consistent NBA betting system that has earned a 74-40 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Bet on teams that have exceeded the total by at least 6 points in each of their last five games and now facing a conference opponent. Plus, if our team (Bulls) is playing on back-to-back nights, they improve to 13-6 ATS for 68.4% winning bets. |
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02-07-22 | Heat v. Wizards +6.5 | Top | 121-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Miami vs Washington Wizards are 43-22 ATS 67% in home games taking on a guest that is averaging at least 23 assists per game in games played over the last three seasons. Wizards are a perfect 8-0 ATS after allowing 95 or fewer points in their previous game in games played over the last two seasons. On Saturday, the Wizards lost badly 95-80 as 8-point dogs to the juggernaut Phoenix Suns. From the predictive models there is a high probability that the Wizards will get at least 48 rebounds. In past games, the Wizards are 7-2 ATS this season and 31-13 ATS the last three seasons when they have had 48 or more boards. |
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02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 225.5 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Toronto vs Charlotte 4% best bet OVER the Total Raptors are 29-18 OVER when facing teams that are averaging fewer than 21 free throws per game this season. Betting the OVER with a team that is coming off two or more consecutive OVER games, is a solid defensive team allowing 104 to 108 PPG and now facing an opponent that is a poor defensive team allowing 114 to 119 PPG has earned a 57-29 OVER record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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02-07-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -7.5 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington vs Hofstra Hofstra is 25-12 ATS for 68% winning bets when taking on an opponent with a winning record in games played over the last three seasons. They are 26-12 ATS following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throw attempts and 33-16 ATS coming off a home win and scoring 85 or more points. |
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02-06-22 | Bucks -4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 137-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs LA Clippers 4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points This simple to use NBA betting system has earned an outstanding 37-12 for 77% winning bets ATS record over the last 25 seasons and has not lost ATS over the past five seasons. Bet on road favorites in a non-conference matchup that is facing a host that is coming off a win of not more than three points over a divisional foe. Over the last 10 seasons, this betting angle has produced an incredible 13-2 ATS record good for 87% winning bets. |
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02-06-22 | Hawks +2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Dallas 4% bet on the Atlanta Hawks plus the points. The following is a money-making betting system that has earned a 55-28 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on losing record teams that have won five or six of their past seven games and in a matchup with the line between the 3’s. Plus, if our team involved in this matchup is the road team, they improve to 11-2 SU and ATS for 85% winning tickets. Here is a second supporting algorithm that has done quite well over the last five seasons sporting a 50-30 ATS record and 64% winning tickets. Bet on teams that are lined within the 3’s and are coming off a double-digit road loss and now taking on a host that they defeated in their last matchup. |
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02-06-22 | Monmouth -3.5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Monmouth vs Quinnipiac Betting on road favorites including pick-em that are coming off win of three or fewer points and facing a shot that has allowed 75 or more points in three consecutive games has earned a 42-19 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. Monmouth is 7-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record this season. Quinnipiac is 5-17 ATS in the second half of each of the last 10 seasons when facing an opponent with a win percentage between 60 and 80%. Quinnipiac’s defense has fallen completely apart over their last three games. They allowed 87 points in a 94-87 win over Marist, then lost their two previous games on the road 85-76 to Sienna and then 83-74 at St. Peters. |
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02-05-22 | UCLA v. Arizona State OVER 129.5 | Top | 84-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
UCLA vs Arizona State 4% best bet OVER the posted total Betting the OVER involving a home team that allowed 33% or worse opponent shooting in their last two games and in a matchup of two teams average at least 60 shots per game has earned a highly profitable 31-7 OVER record good for 82% winning bets over the last 25 seasons, 16-4 OVER for 80% winners the last five seasons, and 12-3 OVER for 80% over the last three seasons. UCLA is 8-1 OVER when facing an opponent that is making 42% or fewer of their shots. From the predictive models, UCLA is projected to score at least 75 points and in past games over the last three seasons when they have scored 75 or more points has seen the OVER go 14-2 for 78% winning bets. When ASU has allowed 75 or more points, the OVER has gone 15-5 for 75% winning bets spanning the last 3 seasons. |
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02-05-22 | Nebraska-Omaha +3.5 v. North Dakota | Top | 85-92 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
Nebraska- Omaha vs North Dakota Nebraska is 6-0 ATS over the last two seasons facing solid free throw shooting teams making 72% or more and when the game occurred after game number 15. Nebraska is 15-5 ATS facing a suspect defense allowing opponents a 48% or higher shooting percentage. North Dakota is 0-6 ATS when facing a team with a losing record this season and 1-8 ATS the past two seasons facing a foe that is allowing 77 or more PPG. |
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02-05-22 | Towson v. Northeastern +5.5 | Top | 53-58 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Towson State vs Northeastern 2:00 EST 4% on Northeastern plus the points Betting on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have been beaten by the spread by 42 points in total spanning their last seven games and taking on a host that has been beaten by the spread by 18 or more points in total over their last three games has earned a 63-25 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the last 25 seasons, 22-9 ATS over the last five seasons, and 10-5 over the last three seasons. Take the Northeastern Huskies |
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02-05-22 | Fordham +5.5 v. St. Joe's | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
Fordham vs St. Joes 1:00 EST Betting on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that has seen their last seven games play under by a total of 48 or more points and is now facing an opponent after their last three games went over the posted totals by a combined 30 points has earned a 74-41 ATS record for 64% winners over the last five seasons. Fordham is also 7-0 ATS in the second half of each of the last three seasons facing a team that averages 12 or fewer forced turnovers per game. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
Cincinnati Vs. Kansas City 5-UNIT (5%) Best Bet on the Bengals plus the points Yep, after poring through mountains of analytics, fundamental matchup analysis, and the projections produced from my machine learning models, the pick is on the Bengals. Moreover, they have an excellent opportunity to extend their post season for one more game, Super Bowl LVI. A sprinkle of not more than 1-UNIT on the money line is recommended. At BetMGM, I like the alternative spread and total parlay betting the Bengals +3.5 and UNDER 55.5 points returning +375 for 0.5-Units. Plus, a second one., which is obviously a bit bolder taking the Bengals –3.5 and UNDER 55.5 points returning +850 for 0.5 Units. The Bengals placekicker, McPherson, has made 11 of 13 field goals from beyond 50 yards this season. He is lined at extra points made 2.5 over-under and the over is +105. The Bengals team total is 23.5 points. OVER 2.5 extra points reflects the fact that the Bengals score three or more TD’s and is a much alternative to bet on, then to bet OVER the Bengals team total. So, put me down for 0.5 units OVER 2.5 extra points made by McPherson. The Benglas have significant advantages with their receiver corps going up against an underwhelming cornerback group and the backend of the Chiefs defense is below average and that is being kind. Plus, safety Tyrann Mathieu remains listed as questionable and must get through the concussion protocol to be eligible for this game. Burrow is three years removed from taking the LSU Tigers to the National Championship, so the bright lights of this AFC Championship game is not in any way going to be an overwhelming one for him. This season on 1st and 10 situations, he has completed 73.3% of his 170 pass attempts gaining 1557 yards including 9 TDs. On third and needing more than 10+ yards to move the chains he completed 77.8% of his passes for 475 yards. His bets situation this season has been on second and needing 7 to 9 yards to move the chains in which he completed 73.6% of his passes for 484 yards including 5 TDs and a sky-high 132 quarterback rating. Burrow ranked best in the NFL throwing 82.8% of his passes on target. Surprisingly, the 49ers Garoppolo was second-best at 81.5% accuracy. Burrow led the NFL with a 10.7% bad throw percentage while Mahomes ranked sixth-worst throwing 18.8% bad throws. The Chiefs ran the third-most play action pass plays on the NFL with 147. The Bengals do not need to use play action because of the elite group of receivers and with Burrows being the most accurate ball thrower in the NFL. They ran almost half as many play action plays, with 75, then the Chiefs did, and they have the more mobile quarterback. Over the last three games the Chiefs averaged 37.3 PPG while the Bengals have been in slugfests and averaging 20.3 PPG. Playoff favorites that are averaging 15 or more PPG on offense over their last three games than their opponent is just 7-6 SU, 3-10 ATS for 23%. Reid is 1-10 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards over his last three games as the coach of the Chiefs. The Bengals have covered the spread in 6 consecutive games and teams on a 5+ ats win streak in the playoffs are 19-8 SU and 16-11 ATS for 59% and if the DOG the UNDER is 8-2. |
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01-29-22 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 80-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Kentucky vs Kansas 10-UNIT game of the Month on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points. There are monumental traditions in this matchup starting with the head coaches. Calipari got his start in NCAA coaching at Kansas under Larry Brown, even met his wife at Kansas. Bill Self has been the head coach of Kansas for 19 seasons and got his start as a graduate assistant the year after Calipari left Kansas. How fate sometimes knows exactly what IT is doing. Now, the two winningest programs in Division-1 history face off with only a three-game deficit separating Kentucky (2,343-732) and Kansas (2,340-873) Jayhawk OchaiAgbaji has established himself as one of the nation's top threats and is coming off a career-high 37 points in a double-overtime win Monday against No. 13 Texas Tech. He presents all sorts of matchup problems for the Wildcats tonight. Agbaji averages 21.3 points, and Christian Braun chips in 15.3. No other Jayhawks average double figures, which reflects their significant depth, a strength Self taps using different combinations. The many different combinations that Self uses throughout any game is impossible for an opposing coach to match even if they do have a strong bench. Wildcats are just 7-22 ATS in road games with a posted total ranging between 150 and 159.5 points and 5-15 ATS following three consecutive conference games. Jayhawks are 32-15-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in six or seven of their last eight games and 68-36 ATS following a game in which they allowed 80 or more points and 33-16-1 ATS after allowing 85 or more points. Moreover, they are 42-24-2 ATS following a game in which both teams scored 80 or more points. In their previous game Kansas needed overtime to defeat Texas Tech 94-91. From my predictive models the following angles represent the projections for this game. Kentucky is just 24-55 ATS in road games allowing the host 47% or better shooting; 4-30 ATS 12% in road games allowing 80 to 86 points and 9-48 ATS 16% allowing 80 or more points in a road game. Kansas is 18-4-1 ATS 82% when scoring 80 or more points. |
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01-23-22 | Rams v. Bucs -2.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
LA Rams vs Tampa Bay Bucs 3:00 EST, Divisional Playoff Round 10-UNIT best bet on the Tampa Bay Bucs minus the points I do believe there is one tremendous fact that provides the ultimate motivation for any team led by Tom Brady, who is 44 years old and is older than the three other NFC teams head coaches. Brady still has a year left on his contract, however, there is reason to believe that he would retire with another Super Bowl win. Imagine being a teammate knowing you can be part of that history. Bucs are 11-2-1 ATS in the second half of each of the last two seasons when facing a team that has completed 64% or more of their past attempts and 10-2 ATS facing teams averaging at least 250 passing yards per game and 7-0 ATS facing a team gaining at least 7.5 or more yards per pass attempt. Rams are 1-7 ATS after having won five or six of their last seven games over the last three seasons; 2-11 ATS in road games after allowing 200 or fewer total yards in their previous game. Bucs head coach Arians is 9-2 ATS when facing the elite NFL offenses that are gaining at least six yards per play in the second half of each season. From my predictive models, the Bucs are expected to score 27 or more points and have fewer turnovers than the Rams. In past games since Brady arrived in Tampa, the Bucs are 21-1, 20-1-1 ATS, and 11-10-1 over-under when scoring 27 or more points and winning the turnover battle. |
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01-22-22 | Pacers v. Suns -12 | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Indiana vs Phoenix This is the 4th road game of their scheduled 5-game travel through the Western Conference. They defeated the Lakers 111-104 as 5.5-point dogs on Wednesday and then defeated the Warriors, who had almost all starters given the night off, 121-117 as 13.5-point dogs. The status of those starters was announced just prior to the tip and the market had a very small window of time to adjust. I think Phoenix will not bench any starters and will not overlook the Pacers tonight. Pacers are just 20-35 ATS facing teams that are making at least 37% of their three-point shot attempts spanning the last three seasons. Also, betting against underdogs that are coming off back-to-back upset wins has earned a 196-133-6 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and if the dog is playing their third or more consecutive road game installed as a double-digit underdog has seen our favorite earn a highly profitable 22-10 ATS record good for 69% winning bets. |
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01-22-22 | 49ers +6 v. Packers | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Packers 8:15 PM EST, January 22, 2022 5% Best Bet on the 49ers plus the points and a 3-UNIT bet UNDER the posted total. The 49ers and the Bucs are the two highest rated teams in my current power ratings. Despite being the first playoff team to ever play a game with 6-days of rest and having to face a team coming off the BYE, the 49ers are playing so extraordinarily well it just will not matter in thi matchup. I also think the media and others are over hyping the game-time temperatures. All of these professional players have played several games in their college and pro careers in even worse conditions then they will experience tomorrow night. In recent weeks, the Packers defense cannot stop the run and are being gashed period. In fact, they are allowing more than 5.0 yards per rush in their home games this season. Did you know that playoff home teams that allowed 5 or more rushing yards per attempt are 5-10 SU, 6-8-1 ATS, and the UNDER is 10-5. So, this works in favor in the UNDER and modestly against the Packers. Over the last 10 regular and playoff seasons, betting the UNDER in road games with the #6 seed has earned an amazing 25-6 UNDER record good for 81% winning bets with 58% of the bets going UNDER the total by at least 7 points. SF is 15-3-1 UNDER for 83% winning bets when facing teams that average 32 or more minutes in time of possession in games played after the halfway point of the season and includes the playoffs. From my predictive model, the 49ers are expected to pass for a minimum of at least 8 yards per pass attempt and will gain at least 380 total yards. In past road games in which the 49ers met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to 32-14-2 ATS record for 69% winning bets. Playoff road teams that gain 380 or more yards and pass for 8 or more yards per pass attempt have earned a 17-5 ATS record good for 77% winning bets. |
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01-22-22 | Bengals +4 v. Titans | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs Tennessee 4-Unit Best Bet on the Bengals and 1.0-Unit Best Bet parlay using the Bengals money line and the OVER. 0.5-unit alternative line parlay Bengals –3.5 and OVER 50.5 points I am on the Bengals in this matchup and believe they all the pieces in place to earn a historic franchise road win for their frenzied fans. Let’s look at a betting angle that has been highly profitable over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on the OVER involving a game in which a team is coming off a win but failed to cover the spread (they were favored) and now facing an opponent that is coming off a home win. That simple set of parameters has earned an outstanding 46-13 OVER record good for 78% winning bets. Tennessee is the team coming off the no-cover home win and if that team is coming off BYE or the is the first seed in the playoffs earning the week off has led to a terrible 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS mark for 17% winners. Betting on underdogs that had no more than one turnover in each of their last two games and facing an opponent coming off a game in which they forced zero turnovers has earned a 65-40 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the last 10 seasons including playoffs. Over the last 20 playoff seasons, teams that come into the game on a four-game turnover streak committing not one turnover are 5-1 SU and ATS. |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals v. Rams -3.5 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Arizona vs LA Rams 4% best bet on the Rams minus the points. My models give the Rams the second-highest power rating of the 14 playoff teams and only the Bucs are higher – not the Packers. The models also project that the Rams will gain at least 6.2 yards per play and score at least 27 points. In past games in which the Rams scored 27 or more points and gained at least 6.2 YPPL, they went on to an 83-20 SU record and 67-31-5 ATS mark for 68.4% winners over the last 15 seasons. |
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01-11-22 | Rutgers v. Penn State -126 | 49-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Rutgers vs PSU However, the Nittany Lions may have had the more impressive of the two performances, both of which took place Saturday. Penn State rallied from a 13-point second-half deficit at home against No. 3 Purdue to take a one-point lead with 3:42 left only to falter in the final stages of the game in a 74-67 loss. Rutgers, which has won four consecutive games since returning from a COVID-19 pause, blew out conference doormat Nebraska at home, 93-65. But this will be the Scarlet Knights' first foray on the road since Dec. 12, when they lost to Seton Hall, 77-63. Rutgers is 0-4 this season away from its cozy, on-campus arena. Betting on any team in a game lined between the 3’s in a matchup two solid rebounding teams that are outrebounding their opponent by 3 or more boards per game, with our team a solid shooting team making between 45 and 47.5% of their shots on the season and taking on a defensive-minded foe that is allowing between 40 and 42.5% on the season has made a 55-24 record good for 70% winners and $30K for the Dime Bettor. |
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01-10-22 | Georgia -3 v. Alabama | Top | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
The College Football Championship 2021 5% Best Bet on Georgia minus the points over Alabama The Georgia defense ranks among the all-time best units in over two decades. Yes, they allowed 41 points in the SEC Championship loss to Alabama, but they still managed to post a 26.9 yards per point allowed ratio for the season. Only seven teams in the past 20 seasons have ever finished a season at 25 or higher and prior to the Tide loss sat at 32 yards per point. By comparison, there were three other teams at 20 or higher and they were Clemson (20.6), Texas A&M (20.5), and Penn State (20.5). The difference between Georgia’s 26.7 YPPT ratio and the next three-best teams is monumental and cannot be underestimated. What is underestimated is the fact that Georgia, despite their plodding, sometimes boring, offensive schemes evolved into one of the most efficient units in the nation. They rank 5th in the nation of 130 teams with a 11.4 yards per point offensive ratio. The differential between Georgia’s offensive and defensive yards per point ratio is the widest by any team since at least 1980 and one of the dominant reasons I see Georgia winning this game and potentially by double digits. Bet OVER Georgia SACKS of the Alabama quarterback Here is a great betting system sporting a 48-21-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons, 27-10-3 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past three seasons and is 11-2 ATS for 85% winning bets over the past season. Bet on any team from Week 8 on out including bowl games and the CFP that is averaging 200 to 249.9 rushing yards per game, allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards in their previous game, and facing an opponent that averages 150 to 200 rushing yards per game on the season. OVER is well supporting by the fact that Alabama is 11-1 OVER following a game in which they allowed three or fewer points spanning the last three seasons and 9-1 OVER following a game in which they allowed nine or fewer points. From my predictive models Georgia is 8-4 ATS this season, 15-8 ATS the past three seasons and 137-63 ATS since 2000 when they scored 28 or more points. The OVER is 114-50 since 2000 in games that Georgia scored 28 or more points. Alabama is 1-3 ATS this season, 1-6 ATS the past three seasons, and 12-27 ATS the past 20 seasons when they have allowed 9 or more yards per pass attempt and the OVER in these games has gone 4-0 this season and 7-0 the past three seasons. |
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01-09-22 | Bulls -1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 99-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks Bet on road favorites that are taking on a host that led at the half of their last game by 20 or more points. This simple set of parameters has earned an outstanding 98-46-2 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the last 25 NBA seasons and is 12-6 ATS for 767% winners over the last five seasons. Dallas has been a money-losing 9-22 ATS in home games after winning their previous game on the road spanning the past three seasons. They are also a weak 4-15 ATS in home games and have covered the spread in five or six of their last seven games in games played over the last three seasons. |
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01-09-22 | Patriots -6 v. Dolphins | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
New England vs Miami Here is a sensational betting algorithm that has systematically earned a 49-19 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that allows 95 to 125 rushing yards per game and is facing an opponent that averages only 75 to 99 RYPG and with that opponent coming off two consecutive games rushing the ball for less than 100 yards in each game. This angle has earned an 18-6-1 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last three seasons. Under Belichick the Patriots are 14-3 ATS in road games and revenging a same loss of three or fewer points. |
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01-09-22 | Saints v. Falcons +4 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
New Orleans vs Atlanta 4% bet on the Falcons plus the points Here is terrific betting algorithm that has produced consistent winning bets on a home team using the money line that is coming off two or more UNDERS and now facing an opponent that is also coming two or more unders has produced a 26-12 record for 68.4% winning bets over the past five seasons and is 48-23 for 69% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. If home team is an underdog of not more than 6.5 points, they start really barking to the tune of an 11-5 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The Saints committed no turnovers while forcing two turnovers in their 18-10 win over Carolina last week. They are 0-4 SU following a game in which they had a +2 or better turnover margin this season. |
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01-09-22 | Colts v. Jaguars +14.5 | Top | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville 4% bet on the UNDER Betting on these ugly dogs have been solid money-making opportunities over the last 30 seasons. This ugly dog betting angle has produced an 11-4 ATS record over the last three seasons, 11-4 ATS over the past five seasons, and 24-11 ATS over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are getting outscored by 10 or more points per game and allowed 40 or more points in their previous game. Supporting the UNDER wager is an outstanding betting system that has earned a 63-26 record for 72% winners over the last 10 seasons. Bet the UNDER with a team that is coming off a road blowout loss of at least 21 or more points and has a losing record for the season and the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season. |
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01-09-22 | Colts v. Jaguars UNDER 43.5 | Top | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville 4% bet on the UNDER Betting on these ugly dogs have been solid money-making opportunities over the last 30 seasons. This ugly dog betting angle has produced an 11-4 ATS record over the last three seasons, 11-4 ATS over the past five seasons, and 24-11 ATS over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are getting outscored by 10 or more points per game and allowed 40 or more points in their previous game. Supporting the UNDER wager is an outstanding betting system that has earned a 63-26 record for 72% winners over the last 10 seasons. Bet the UNDER with a team that is coming off a road blowout loss of at least 21 or more points and has a losing record for the season and the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season. |
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01-07-22 | Spurs v. 76ers -6.5 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Spurs vs 76ers The 76ers are back to full strength and appear to have the COVID-19 problems that inflicted the team a month ago in their rearview mirrors. They have won five consecutive games and will looking to make it six straight tonight against the Spurs at the Wells Fargo Arena. Embiid, who recently was named the Eastern Conference Player of the Month, has at least 30 points in all five wins. The Spurs are one of the fastest paced teams in the NBA, but this style works against them in a big way having to defend Embiid in the paint or out beyond the arc. Embiid has a complete all-around game going for him and his teammates and is simply unstoppable. The Spurs, Dejounte Murray came off the COVID-19 list and produced 22 points in the Spurs' 99-97 win over the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Murray had been out for 10 days, including five games. The Spurs lost four consecutive games and failed to cover the spread in three of the four losses, while Murray was out. With Murray back in action, the market is giving us the opportunity to ’buy’ the 76ers at a cheap price and I see them winning this game by double-digits. From my predictive models, the 76ers are expected to score at least 110 points and have 14 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which the 76ers met or exceeded these measures, they went on to earn a 72-26 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons and when installed as a 4.5 to 9.5 point home favorite has produced a 37-1 SU record and 30-8 ATS record for 79% winning bets. Take the 76ers. |
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01-04-22 | LSU v. Kansas State -7.5 | Top | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
LSU vs Kansas State I do not see how in the world the Tigers will be able to be competitive after all of the players that have entered the transfer portal. The Tigers (6-6) have an interim head coach, offensive line coach Brad Davis, and they're still not sure who will play quarterback against the Wildcats (7-5) in the final bowl game of this season. After Tuesday, only the CFP National Championship Game remains. Starting quarterback Max Johnson has transferred to Texas A&M, and LSU has yet to reveal the NCAA's ruling on the team's appeal for freshman Garrett Nussmeier to not lose his redshirt season if he plays in the bowl game. LSU also will be without two of its top defensive players, who opted out to focus on the NFL draft in linebacker Damone Clark and defensive lineman Neil Farrell Jr. From my predictive models that account for all the missing players on the LSU roster, there is a high probability that K-State will score at least 28 points in this game. In past games in which K-State scored at least 28 points they are 5-1 ATS this season, 15-3 ATS the past three seasons, and 142-60 ATS over the past 25 seasons. |