Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-02-21 | Rangers v. Canucks +109 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 109 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the VANCOUVER CANUCKS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. We have won with the Rangers in their last two games but we are going against them here. New York opened its roadtrip with a 3-1 win at Seattle on Sunday despite getting outshot 32-18. They were able to stop all four Seattle power plays and that has been the difference to their turnaround as during their 6-1 run, they have allowed only one power play goal, going 22/23 on the penalty kill. The Rangers are 5-1 on the road despite getting outshot by over seven shots per game and this is something that is not going to stand up. Eventually the offense is going to have to step up but New York is averaging just 2.44 gpg which is ninth lowest in the NHL. The Rangers are 6-16 in their last 22 games against the Pacific Division. Vancouver opened the season with six straight road games and it held its own with a 3-2-0-1 record. Heading home has not been a good thing though as the Canucks are 0-3 through the first three games of this seven-game homestand. All three of those losses have come by just one goal and all against teams with winning records. Vancouver has played the No. 9 toughest schedule in the league and obviously, it will not get any easier here but it could catch the Rangers in a bit of a lull. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after two straight wins by two goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring two goals or less in three straight games. This situation is 141-94 (60 percent) since 1996. 10* (80) Vancouver Canucks |
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11-02-21 | Braves +119 v. Astros | Top | 7-0 | Win | 119 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Game of the Month. Atlanta had a chance to close out the World Series at home in Game Five and after taking a 4-0 lead, things were looking good but the Astros kept chipping away and eventually won 9-5 to send the series back to Houston. The nine runs scored were just two fewer than the first four games combined so the offense can either carry that momentum forward or regress to where it was in three of the first four games, scoring a total of four runs. The Braves have not lost consecutive games since dropping four straight from Sept. 14-18 and the lineup gets a boost with the DH back in play. The Braves have the pitching matchup advantage with Max Fried pitching on extra rest as he looks to bounce back from a pair of poor outings. He had a tough outing in Game Two, giving up five runs in the first two innings but he was not hit hard as the damage came on ground-ball singles. Expect to see the pitcher we saw that posted a 1.74 ERA during the regular season after the All Star Break. Things are different on the other side as Luis Garcia will start on three days of rest in Game Six. He threw 72 pitches in Game Three and he will not be stretched too far here, putting a lot of pressure on the Houston bullpen that has logged a lot of innings in this series. The Braves are 6-0 in their last six games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (961) Atlanta Braves |
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11-02-21 | Heat v. Mavs +2 | Top | 125-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Miami has won and covered four straight games and with the Chicago win and New York loss on Monday, the idle Heat are a half-game out of first place in the Eastern Conference. The Heat are one of five teams in the early going that are ranked in the top ten in both offensive and defensive shooting and they lead the way in the latter at 39.1 percent while allowing a league-low 97.0 ppg. Miami has held the last four opponents to under 42 percent shooting in each game while giving up an average of 39.2 percent shooting across those. This is nearly unheard of where the NBA is heading but the hard work is paying off. Following three straight wins, Dallas got thumped at Denver by 31 points before bouncing back with a win against Sacramento on Sunday. The Mavericks have picked up their game defensively as well as after allowing 119.5 ppg in their first two games, they have given up 101.0 ppg over their last five games on 43.4 percent shooting. Additionally, they are ranked No. 9 in opponent true shooting percentage which is a measure of shooting efficiency that takes into account field goals, three-point field goals, and free throws. While going 1-2 on the road, Dallas is 3-0 at home and going back, the Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play against road teams that are allowing opponents to shoot 41 percent or better on the season, after 4 straight games allowing 42 percent or less from the floor. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) since 1996. 10* (554) Dallas Mavericks |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan v. Toledo -8.5 | Top | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Toledo is coming off an upset win over Western Michigan to move into a tie for second Place in the MAC West, two games behind 4-0 Northern Illinois. Catching the Huskies is unlikely as they lost the meeting but getting bowl eligible is the goal now and they are two wins away. The 4-4 record could be a lot better as three of those losses came by three, two and three points against Notre Dame, Northern Illinois and Central Michigan respectively and those three teams are a combined 17-7. The strength for the Rockets is their defense as they are No. 25 overall and No. 15 in scoring. Toledo is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 home games after a win by 17 or more points. Eastern Michigan is ranked fifth in the MAC and No. 79 in the country in total defense, allowing 393.3 ypg. The Eagles have been good against the pass but their rushing defense has been horrible as they allow 184.1 ypg which is No. 101 in the nation and they allowed 17 rushing touchdowns which is near the botto4 across all teams. The offense has been below average as they are No. 90 in total offense and No. 109 in rushing offense. Eastern Michigan is dead even in turnover margin at 10-10 while Toledo is 11-4 and that +7 differential is tied for No. 11 in the country. The Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games, off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Toledo Rockets |
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11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Kansas City has lost two of its last three and four of its last six games to fall to 3-4 overall which has the Chiefs in last place in the AFC West. They have struggled within the conference but at 2-0 against the NFL, both coming against NFC East team Washington and Philadelphia and by a combined score of 73-43 and this is a statement game to close the first half on a positive before hitting a tough stretch of three straight games against division leaders. The offense has not lost a step but turnovers have been an issue. They led the NFL in total offense in 2020, averaging 414.7 ypg and this year, they are averaging 419.3 ypg, third in the NFL behind Dallas and Tampa Bay. The defense has been dreadful but in the four losses, Kansas City has faced offenses ranked No. 4, No. 5, No. 11 and No. 12 and the Giants are well below those rankings. New York continues to be ravaged with injuries at the wide receiver position so it will be hard pressed to take advantage of the Chiefs defense. They did put up 25 points against Carolina last week but managed only 302 total yards and while the defense played well, it came against the Panthers which have the eighth worst offense in the NFL. The Giants had a top-10 defense last season under coordinator Patrick Graham but this year, they were a bottom 10 unit and are allowing 25.7 ppg. The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The Giants are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 1-8 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. 10* (278) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-01-21 | Senators v. Blackhawks -118 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Chicago is one of two teams in the NHL that remain winless along with Arizona but this should be the spot to get into the win column. The Blackhawks have played a brutal schedule as they have played the No. 5 toughest slate in the league as six of their nine games have come against teams ranked in the top 16, second most in the NHL. They are averaging just 1.89 gpg which is third lowest in the league but one positive has been the power play as they have scored nine power play goals which is tied for second in the NHL and they have a top ten percentage. This is a good matchup for that as Ottawa is in the bottom third of the league in penalty killing. Conversely, the Blackhawks are No. 6 when down a man as they have allowed only four power play goals. Ottawa is coming off a win over Dallas on the road which snapped a three-game losing streak. They have struggled on the road getting shots off as the Senators are averaging only 22.5 spg on the road with this being just their third road game of the season. Chicago goalie Marc-Andre Fleury bounced back with a solid night on Saturday against the Blues as he stopped 36-of-37 shots for a .973 save percentage. The Senators are 13-38 in their last 51 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line off a loss by one goal to a division rival, winless on the season. This situation is 41-7 (85.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (64) Chicago Blackhawks |
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11-01-21 | Raptors v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Atlantic Game of the Month. New York has won three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and it holds a one-game lead over Philadelphia in the Atlantic Division. The Knicks are ranked second in the NBA in scoring at 117.0 ppg while their 46.5 percent shooting is good for No. 5 in the league. They are one of only two teams that are shooting more than 40 percent from long range. When looking more at the analytical side, New York is No. 2 in effective field goal percentage after finishing sixth worst last season. While the offense is humming, the defense is playing at a high level also as the Knicks are ranked No. 9 in effective field goal percentage defense and their 42.3 percent shooting allowed is No. 5 in the league. The Knicks are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. The Raptors are starting to turn the corner but we are not sold on them. Toronto is now 4-3 on the season following three straight wins but the early schedule has played a big role in this. The four wins have come against Boston, Orlando and Indiana (twice) and those three teams are a combined 4-16 while the three losses are against teams a combined 14-4. The defense has been playing well but the offense is No. 22 in scoring and No. 24 in shooting percentage. The Raptors are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage of .75 percent or better off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. 10* (540) New York Knicks |
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10-31-21 | Rangers -115 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. The Rangers and coming off a 4-0 shutout win over Columbus on Friday and now they hit the road for a four-game west coast roadtrip. New York is 4-1 on the road and after winning five of its last six overall, it is now in third place in the Metropolitan Division. The Rangers are allowing only 2.0 gpg on the road which is tied for fourth in the NHL and their overall special teams have improved. The Rangers struggled with the power play but scored twice against Columbus and have made a huge jump up. They have been solid on the other side and after allowing four power play goals in their first two games, they have allowed only one in their last 18 chances, good for a 94.4 percent penalty kill. The Rangers are 15-6 in their last 21 games against teams with a losing record. Seattle has won two straight games following four straight losses and its weakness falls into the strength of the Rangers defense as the Kraken 1-20 in their last 21 power play opportunities. Here, we play on road favorites of -200 or less against the money line off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the first half of the season. This situation is 58-20 (74.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (59) New York Rangers |
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10-31-21 | Blazers -1 v. Hornets | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start to the season following a 15-point loss at Miami on Friday. The Hornets do own a solid win over Brooklyn but overall, their four wins have come against teams that are a combined 8-19. They still lead the league in scoring offense at 117.5 ppg but the defense remains a work in progress as Charlotte is No. 27 in scoring defense, giving up 115.7 ppg while allowing opponents to shoot 47.9 percent from the floor which is second highest in the league. While the perimeter defense has been good, the Hornets are allowing a league worst 59.7 percent from inside the arc. The Hornets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog. Portland has won two straight games to move over .500 on the season and it has done so with a solid defense, allowing just 43.3 percent shooting which is No. 9 in the NBA. They are No. 8 in defensive rating compared to finishing No. 29 last season and have gone up against good offenses that includes three teams that finished in the top 10 in offensive rating last season. The offense is a notch below from last season and a lot of that is due to the slow start from Damian Lillard who is off to a slow start but is coming off his most complete game of the season. The Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. Here, we play against home underdogs off a road loss, that had a winning percentage between .400 and .499 last season. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (525) Portland Trailblazers |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -1.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our AFC South Game of the Month. Tennessee is coming off its second straight big win as it followed up its win against Buffalo with a victory over Kansas City last week. Both were far from dominant as the Titans outgained Kansas City by just 35 yards and were outgained by Buffalo by 55 yards. Both of those were at home and Tennessee has struggled on the road. They are 2-1 on the highway, with two games going into overtime and the third being a win over Jacksonville where they were actually outgained by 86 yards. The Colts defense has been playing at a high level with the exception of late in the game against Baltimore. Tennessee is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. The Colts have won two straight games to move to 3-4 to get back into the playoff picture. While the defense has been playing better, quarterback Carson Wentz is again playing at a high level. He has posted four straight games with a passer rating of 106.3 or better with last week being the most impressive against a tough 49ers defense in awful weather and he has tossed eight touchdowns and no interceptions over this stretch. The Colts are 1-2 at home but the two losses came early in the season when they were banged up and both were one possession games. Four of the previous five games were on the road and with the Jets and Jaguars on deck at home, getting to 6-4 is more than likely. Indianapolis 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games against teams averaging 350 or more ypg. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (258) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-30-21 | Wild +145 v. Avalanche | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Minnesota opened its three-game roadtrip with a win at Vancouver but lost the second game 4-1 at Seattle but that is a bit skewed as two of those goal came with an empty net over the last minute. The power play continues to struggle as the Wild were 4-9 (44.4 percent) through their first three games but over the last four games, they have gone 0-13 and that needs to change. Despite the recent loss, Minnesota is still 3-1 on the road and while the scoring has been down, the defense is allowing just 2.25 gpg which is good for No. 8 in the NHL. The Wild are 4-0 in their last four games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. The Avalanche are coming off a win against St. Louis, handing the Blues their first loss of the season. It has been a slow start for Colorado which is 3-4 overall and has yet to win consecutive games. Colorado has scored just three power play goals in 27 opportunities and that 11.1 percent is fourth lowest in the league and put them on home ice and the Avalanche are 0-9. The Avalanche could be without a key player once again as Mikko Rantanen did not practice Friday after missing the St. Louis game Thursday. The Avalanche are 1-5 in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play against team against the money line off a road win against a division rival, with a losing record in the first half of the season. This situation is 116-59 (66.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (45) Minnesota Wild |
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10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans +5.5 | Top | 123-117 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. New York has won two straight games to move to 4-1 on the season to remain in a tie for first place in the Eastern Conference with three other teams. The Knicks have been doing it with offense as they are third in the NBA in scoring, averaging 115.8 ppg but a lot of that is due to pace as they are just No. 15 in shooting at 45.6 percent. This is the second of a back-to-back set for New Orleans as it looks to continually improve as the season progresses without the services of Zion Williamson. The Pelicans 1-5 record does not look great, but their performance Wednesday following their first win of the season marked progress compared to how they played in their first three games when they looked out of sorts in a blowout home loss to the Sixers and road losses to the Bulls and Timberwolves. They lost Friday to Sacramento but it was another solid effort and the free throw line made the difference. They have been solid defensively, allowing 108.2 ppg and their 44.1 percent shooting defense is good for No. 8 in the NBA. New Orleans is 3-1 ATS as an underdog of five or more points and going back, it is 5-0 ATS in its last five games playing with no rest. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games in the first six games of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight ATS losses. This situation is 37-16 ATS (69.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) New Orleans Pelicans |
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10-30-21 | Saskatchewan +1.5 v. Montreal | Top | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
his is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. We won with Saskatchewan last week as it defeated Calgary, snapping a two-game losing streak against the Stampeders. The Roughriders now have a game and a half lead over Calgary for second place in the West Division and this is a big stretch for them. A winnable game against Montreal is followed by a back-to-back set against 2-7 Edmonton so this is a good shot at getting some breathing room. They can actually lock up a playoff berth this week as a win here coupled with losses by either the B.C. or Calgary combined with a loss by Edmonton. The Roughriders are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Montreal has won four straight games to improve to 6-4 which is good for a tie for first place in the East Division with Toronto although two of those came against the worst team in the CFL. 2-9 Ottawa. It will be strength against strength. The Alouettes lead the CFL in rushing yards with 1,553, rushing attempts at 261 and with 6.0 ypc. The Roughriders have held teams to a league-low 738 rushing yards, fewest rush attempts at 168 and lowest average gain per rush with 4.4 ypc. The Alouettes are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive straight up wins, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (675) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-30-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -19 | Top | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 70 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Game of the Year. This might be considered a steep number but Oklahoma should come out with a huge sense of urgency. The Sooners defeated Kansas last week and they clearly did not show up as they trailed 10-0 at halftime and while they rallied to win by 12 points, it was their worst game of the season. The Sooners dropped in the ranking because of their uneven effort and with games against Baylor, Iowa St. and Oklahoma St, all of which are ranked and are right behind the Sooners in the Big XII, this is a big game to get right. The Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Red Raiders have dropped three of their last five games, including a 25-24 home loss to Kansas St. last week where they were held scoreless after halftime. That led to a change on the sideline as Sonny Cumbie was named the Red Raiders interim coach Monday after Matt Wells was fired in the middle of his third season at the helm. Texas Tech has won two road games on the season but those came against West Virginia and Kansas which are a combined 1-7 in the conference. The Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg after a loss by three or fewer points going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (188) Oklahoma Sooners |
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10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves -109 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Friday World Series Winner. The Astros avoided a 2-0 deficit as the bats got going in Game Two but now the series shifts to Atlanta as the Braves do not want to give home field back. We feel they are in a good spot with the starters and at a good price on top of that. The Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning record and their lone loss during that stretch occurred on Oct. 1, a day after they clinched the NL East. Houston snapped a five-game home losing streak in the World Series and while the Astros have the momentum, they are just 4-10 in their last 14 games as a road underdog. So far in the World Series, starters have accounted for 14.1 innings, while relievers have logged 20.2 so it will be up to Ian Anderson to log some innings, especially with a bullpen game likely for Game Four tomorrow. Anderson has been solid since the All Star break and in the postseason as the Braves have won his last seven home games and he has posted a 1.47 ERA through seven career postseason starts. Luis Garcia counters for the Astros and while he is coming off a solid effort against Boston, he is hard to be trusted. He is 1-1 with a 9.64 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in three postseason starts and the Atlanta bats can get revved up again in this matchup. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 having won 15 or more of their last 20 games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 48-31 (60.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (956) Atlanta Braves |
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10-29-21 | Hornets v. Heat -6 | Top | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Southeast Game of the Month. Miami is coming off a 13-point win to move to 3-1 on the season, the lone loss coming in overtime at Indiana. The Heat made themselves stronger in the offseason with the additions of Kyle Lowry and P.J. Tucker and already an excellent defensive team, they have upped it even more. Miami leads the NBA in scoring defense at 95.0 ppg and shooting defense at 39.2 percent and it is second in three-point shooting defense at 28.6 percent. This would typically be a game the Heat could look past but Charlotte has their attention and they will keep their momentum rolling here. Lowry did miss that game against Indiana and while he has struggled offensively out of the gate, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo have made up for it, averaging a combined 63.6 ppg. This will be their biggest test on offense. The Heat are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Hornets are off to a surprising 4-1 start and they have been clicking on offense led by Myles Bridges who is averaging 26.2 ppg which is over double of his career high in a season. The schedule has not been very imposing as their four wins have come against teams a combined 7-13. While the offense has been solid, the Hornets are allowing 116 ppg which is No. 27 in the NBA. The Hornets are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. here, we play against road underdogs averaging 114 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after allowing 100 points or fewer in two straight games. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Miami Heat |
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10-29-21 | Navy v. Tulsa -10.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Tulsa opened the season 0-3 including a questionable loss against Cal Davis in its first game but the other two losses came against Ohio St. and Oklahoma St., both on the road, and the Golden Hurricane were outgained by just seven yards against Ohio St. and actually outgained Oklahoma St. by 34 yards. They have won three of their last four games and while the last victory was by just a point over South Florida, they outgained the Bulls by 267 total yards but three turnovers kept it close as South Florida returned an interception for a touchdown and on top of that, returned a kickoff 100 yards for another score. Going back, the Golden Hurricane are 16-2 ATS in their last 18 games after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. Coming off a bye, they will be fresh and ready to go. Navy is coming off one of its best games of the season as it left it all on the field in a tough seven-point loss against No. 2 Cincinnati. Obviously this was its biggest game of the season and that will be tough to recover from and now the Midshipmen have to travel a good distance for just their third road game of the season. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 16 and 21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 28 and 34 ppg. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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10-29-21 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers -175 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. After four straight road wins, the Rangers returned home for just the second time this season and lost to Calgary 4-1 to remain in a tie for third place in the Metropolitan Division. New York is 0-1-1-0 at home and is the only team in the Eastern Conference without a home win, not counting the Islanders which are on the road for the first few weeks due to arena renovations. The Rangers have struggled with the power play as they are just 3-26 for 11.54 percent, which is fifth worst in the league. They have been better on the other side and after allowing three power play goals against Washington in their season opener, they have allowed only two in their last 17 chances, good for an 88.2 percent penalty kill. Rangers are 4-0 in their last four games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. Columbus finished 2-1 on its most recent homestand and this is just its second road game of the season. The home team has won five of the six Columbus games with the lone exception being a loss to Carolina at home. The Blue Jackets are getting outshot by over seven gpg and the Rangers have to take advantage of opportunities when they come. The Blue Jackets are 7-22 in their last 29 games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play against teams against the money line off a home win by two goals or more going up against an opponent off a home loss by three goals or more. This situation is 56-35 (61.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (20) New York Rangers |
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10-28-21 | Sabres v. Ducks -130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the ANAHEIM DUCKS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Buffalo is off to a surprising start at 4-1-1-0 which includes a huge upset in its last game against Tampa Bay where it defeated the Lightning 5-1. Five of the Sabres first six games came at home so the schedule has been in their favor and now they head out west for a three-game roadtrip beginning tonight in Anaheim. They opened the season 3-0, all games coming at home and against teams that are currently a combined 4-14-0-2 so that certainly has played a role in the early success. The defense has been the story as Buffalo is second in the league, allowing just 1.83 gpg while giving up only two power play goals in 16 penalty kill opportunities which is good for a tie for sixth. Going back, the road has not been kind as the Sabres are 11-40 in their last 51 games as a road underdog while going 3-18 in their last 21 road games following a win in their previous game. Anaheim is coming off a one-goal loss against Winnipeg to make it four straight losses after a 2-1 start. The five losses have come against Minnesota (twice), Winnipeg (twice) and Edmonton and those teams are a combined 13-4-1-0 and while Buffalo could feasibly be put into that group, the strength of schedules remain the difference. The Ducks are 1-2 at home, both losses coming by one goal, and the defense has played well in those games, allowing 2.33 gpg. Overall, they have been solid with the penalty kill at 84.6 percent, stopping 22 in 26 attempts. Here, we play on home teams against the money line with a winning percentage of .300 or worse off a home loss by one goal, playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season. This situation is 23-10 (69.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (10) Anaheim Ducks |
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10-28-21 | Spurs +6 v. Mavs | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. After a season opening loss against Atlanta by 26 points, Dallas has won its last two games over Toronto and Houston and it has a half-game lead in the Southwest Division over Memphis. The Mavericks have struggled on offense as they are ranked No. 26 in scoring offense and have had issues shooting the ball as they are dead last in the NBA at 40.4 percent and from long range, they are hitting just 30.5 percent from behind the arc which is No. 28. While listed as questionable, power forward Kristaps Porzingis is expected to miss the game against the Spurs due to a back injury. The Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Despite a 1-3 record, the Spurs have been efficient with the ball as they have a 2.07 A/TO ratio which is second best in the NBA while their 47.6 percent shooting is tied for second in the league. The backcourt duo of Dejounte Murray and Derrick White is very underrated and Murray is coming off one of the best games for a Spurs players as he had 21 points, 15 assists and 12 rebounds as he became the first player in San Antonio history with 20 or more points, 10 or more rebounds and 15 or more assists in a game. The Spurs are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on teams after two or more consecutive losses in the first six games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost six or more of their last eight games. this situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (557) San Antonio Spurs |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 58 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Publisher. Green Bay has won six straight games to keep pace in the NFC and this could be a preview of the NFC Championship. The Packers have covered all six of these games, winning their lone game as underdogs and this number has gone up which is adding value even though the offense looks like it could be down a key player. The Green Bay offense took a hit early in the week as Davante Adams tested positive for COVID and is likely out but could be in the lineup as long as he registers two negative tests 48 hours apart. The return of Marquez Valdes-Scantling would be huge in case Adams is definitely out. Aaron Rodgers has thrown multiple touchdown passes in every game this season except the season opener against the Saints and on the season, he has 15 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Arizona is the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL as it is off to a surprising 7-0 start with both sides of the ball playing great. The Cardinals are No. 4 in the league in scoring offense and No. 7 in total offense and tied for first in scoring defense and No. 4 in total defense. Quarterback Kyler Murray has 17 touchdown passes this season to go with five interceptions and is a mid-season MVP candidate. The Cardinals are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (107) Green Bay Packers |
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10-28-21 | Troy +18.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 77 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. Troy is 4-3 this season following a pair of close wins in its last two games. The Trojans are coming off a bye week which is a huge edge here to prepare for this big game against a team playing on a short week and they come into this game part of a four-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt East Division. The first loss came against Liberty by eight points, the second came against ULM but turnovers did them in as they outgained the Warhawks and the third came against South Carolina from the SEC. On the season, it has been favored five times and the two times it has been an underdog, it was by single digits so we are not only playing the situation, but the number as well. Coastal Carolina is coming off its first loss of the season as it went down at Appalachian St by a field goal but the game was not that close as it was outgained by 229 yards and was able to keep it close thanks to four Mountaineers turnovers. The Chanticleers will come out to avenge that loss last week and while the offense is potent, they will be facing the No. 7 ranked defense in the country and that will be a big part for Troy in covering this big number. Coastal Carolina and Troy have played the No. 143 and No. 140 ranked schedules respectively. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (109) Troy Trojans |
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10-27-21 | Kings v. Suns -8 | Top | 110-107 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. It has been a slow start for Phoenix after its run into the NBA Finals last season and it got a bad break by having to play in a 3-4 situation to open the season. The Suns lost to Denver in their season opener but rebounded with a 10-point upset against the Lakers on the road only to get blown out at Portland by 29 points a night later. They will be seeking their first home win after shooting just 41.4 percent in their lone home game against the Nuggets. No player scored more than 16 points and all five starters finished with a negative +/-. They are struggling on both ends of the floor and currently have the worst defense in the league, allowing 49.1 percent from the floor. The Suns are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games following an ATS loss. Sacramento opened the season with a win at Portland but dropped its last two games at home. and it is in a tough spot here. The offense has been showing flashes but the defense is still a liability after posting a 116.5 defensive rating last year, the worst in the league and the highest in in the NBA ever. They are currently ranked No. 26 in defensive efficiency so this is a perfect situation for the Suns to get the offense going and play with more consistency. Sacramento is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games after two or more consecutive losses. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a game committing 13 or more turnovers than opponent. This situation is 71-30 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (544) Phoenix Suns |
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10-27-21 | Golden Knights v. Stars -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS STARS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Vegas snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Colorado on Tuesday as a +165 underdog. This is the Golden Knights first back-to-back of the season and it is also their third game in four nights. They have struggled on offense, averaging just 2.17 gpg and they have the third worst shooting percentage in the NHL at 6.25 percent. Special teams is a major concern as Vegas went 0-3 last night against the Avalanche and is now 0-14 on the season, being the only team in the league that is without a power play goal. The Golden Knights received another strong outing from Robin Lehner who has had one of the best starts to the season by any goalie but we might see him sit tonight after stopping 26 shots. The Golden Knights are 2-6 in their last eight road games. Dallas is coming off a 4-1 loss to Columbus on Monday as the offense once again struggled, scoring two goals or fewer in regulation in all six games. The schedule has not been in their favor as five of their first six games have been on the road where they are 1-17 on the power play compared to 2-4 in the lone home game. The defense remains the strength as they have allowed 2.50 gpg. Dallas is 11-0 against the money line in its last 11 home games against teams scoring on 14.5 percent or less of their power play chances. Here, we play on teams against the money line after six or more consecutive unders and are getting outscored by their opponents by 0.3 or more gpg. This situation is 20-7 (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (78) Dallas Stars |
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10-27-21 | Braves +107 v. Astros | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our World Series Game of the Month. Atlanta grabbed Game One of the World Series last night and they look to take a commanding 2-0 lead behind an offense that has been solid from top to bottom with only catcher Travis d'Arnaud struggling. The Braves have not let down against quality opposition as they are 15-3 in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. The Houston bats have been hot and cold and the latter is an issue with two of the big hitters going ice cold. Jose Altuve is 3-for-29 since the start of the ALCS, and Alex Bregman is 3-for-19 in his last five games. The Astros have now lost five straight World Series home games. After the injury to Charlie Morton last night and the Astros turning to their bullpen for significant innings, the Braves are going to need innings from Max Fried, who had a 1.47 ERA from Aug. 3 through his Game One outing against the Dodgers and while he struggled in Game Five, we should see a bounce back here. After going four straight games without issuing a walk, he had two last Thursday and he also allowed two home runs after allowing just one in his previous five games. He has pitched just as good on the road as he has at home so this should not be an intimidation. Jose Urquidy gets the ball for the Astros and he had a good season but his last game was a disaster. His lone playoff start this year was in Game Three against the Red Sox as he allowed six runs on five hits in 1.2 innings in Boston. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 having won 15 or more of their last 20 games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 49-30 (62 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (953) Atlanta Braves |
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10-26-21 | Braves +121 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 121 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our World Series Game One Winner. The Braves took out the favorites to win the World Series and now will be looking for their first championship since 1995. They start off on the road where they are 2-3 in the postseason but only one of those losses were by more than one run. The loss of Ronald Acuna Jr. before the All Star Break could have killed the Braves, but instead they reloaded by adding Eddie Rosario, Adam Duvall, Joc Pederson and Jorge Soler and we have seen the results and they will get Soler back after having to sit because of COVID. The Astros will be seeking their second ring since 2017 and they have the firepower on offense but could get handcuffed here. Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves and he is a great candidate for the Game One starter. He has a ton of experience, he is well rested and has plenty of knowledge of pitching at Minute Maid Park when he pitched with the Astros and then the Rays. Morton is well rested and has familiarity with the opposing ballpark, having played for the Astros during the 2017 and '18 seasons. Framber Valdez will counter for the Astros and he is coming off the best start of the postseason where he allowed just one run over eight innings but he is vulnerable. He allowed four runs in 4.1 innings in Game Two of the ALDS and three runs, two earned runs in 2.2 innings in Game One of the ALCS. He has a 4.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP during the three starts. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 having won 15 or more of their last 20 games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 48-30 (61.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (951) Atlanta Braves |
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10-26-21 | 76ers v. Knicks +1.5 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Philadelphia has won the last 15 meetings in this series as the last win for New York came back in April of 2017 and that was by just a single point. This is a different team however even though the Knicks are coming off a horrible loss against Orlando on Sunday s they lost by six points as a 12-point favorite. This after winning at Orlando by 25 points two nights earlier which shows anything can happen on any given night. It was a miserable offensive showing for New York as it shot just 37 percent from the floor and while the defense was solid overall, allowing Orlando to shoot only 41 percent, giving up 36 points in the fourth quarter is not going to win any games. New York is 19-3 ATS in its last 22 home games when the line is +3 to -3. Philadelphia is coming off a 12-point win at Oklahoma City to move to 2-0 on the road but those were against two teams a combined 0-6. The Sixers never trailed even though they were outshot by the Thunder and this is a tough travel spot. The Sixers are still without Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid is listed as questionable with right knee soreness and while he likely will go, he might not be 100 percent which is a not so good thing as they are averaging just 43 rpg. Andre Drummond missed the Sunday game with a sprained ankle and is likely not to go again. Philadelphia is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 road games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. 10* (520) New York Knicks |
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10-26-21 | Lightning v. Penguins +127 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PENGUINS for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month. It has been a slow start for Tampa Bay which is 2-4-0-1 as they have lost all three homes and while the Lightning are 2-1 on the road, both wins came in extra time. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has gotten off to a slow start as he has a 3.12 GAA, which is bottom third in the league and his .893 save percentage is second worst in the NHL among qualified leaders that have started at least five games. While the sample size is small, he has never had a GAA of more than 2.76. Tampa Bay is 11-28 against the money line in its last 39 road games in the first half of the season when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750. Pittsburgh is 3-0-1-1 and when not going into overtime or a shootout, the Penguins have outscored opponents by a score of 18-5. Defense has been the story as they are allowing just 2.2 gpg which is tied for fifth in the NHL and that average drops to 1.3 gpg at home. They upset Tampa Bay 6-2 on the road in the season opener for both teams and while the Lightning will be out for road revenge, that is a tough angle to back, especially with full arenas back in the mix. Pittsburgh is 19-4 against the money line in its last 23 games after playing two consecutive home games. Pittsburgh is just 3-17 on the power play this season while Tampa Bay has been slightly worse, going 3-20 with a man advantage. The edge here goes to the Penguins which have allowed just one power play goal this season in 13 attempts and that 92.3 percent penalty kill is tied for first in the league and best in the Eastern Conference. Tampa Bay meanwhile is at 84.2 percent. 10* (58) Pittsburgh Penguins |
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10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks +4.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans is off to a 3-2 start following a win over Washington and the Saints are coming off a bye which means they could get some key pieces back. But they are still banged up in some key areas and this line has risen since opening which is more fading Seattle because of no Russell Wilson. New Orleans did beat Green Bay in its season opener 38-3 but the Packers simply did not show up and since then, the Saints have been outgained in each of their last four games and by an average of 96.8 ypg and that is not a favorable differential heading out against a desperate team in need of a win. The Saints have failed to cover four of their last five Monday night games and are an overpriced favorite here. Seattle is coming off a big second half against the Steelers to send the game into overtime before losing by three points. The Seahawks were getting 5.5 points in Pittsburgh and are now getting roughly just a point less at home and that line differential makes no sense as the value is clearly on the home underdog. This will be the second game for Geno Smith to have a full week of preparation and he was pretty good with the exception of a lost fumble as he went 23-32 for 209 yards and a touchdown with no picks. The Seahawks are 34-15-4 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up loss. 10* (474) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-25-21 | Pelicans +6 v. Wolves | Top | 107-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. New Orleans and Minnesota square off for the second time in three nights at the Target Center in a strange scheduling situation but that is an edge for the Pelicans as they did not have to travel. New Orleans has lost three straight games to open the season, the first two being blowouts and then a closer game in the first game of this back-to-back. The Pelicans are still without Zion Williamson but this is still a talented roster but they could not shoot on Saturday as they shot just 35 percent from the floor on 31-89 shooting including only 22 percent from long range. Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Minnesota is off to a 2-0 start with wins over the Rockets and Pelicans. The Timberwolves shot just 41 percent from the floor against New Orleans after a 48 percent effort against Houston. The big two of Karl-Anthony Townes and Anthony Edwards have gotten off to great starts and while D'Angelo Russell is chipping in 17 ppg, he has not been taking great care of the ball. The Timberwolves are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 from last season playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 from last season. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) New Orleans Pelicans |
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10-25-21 | Stars v. Blue Jackets +120 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Columbus opened the season with a 3-0 record at home but that came to a screeching halt on Saturday as it lost to Carolina, one of only four remaining undefeated teams in the NHL, and the Blue Jackets are now 3-2 on the season. After allowing one power play goal in its first 12 penalty kills, they gave up three in six chances against the Hurricanes and that is near impossible to overcome. Columbus is still allowing just 2.5 gpg at home as it gave up a total of only five goals in those three wins before giving up that same amount on Saturday alone. Columbus is 63-46 in its last 109 games after a loss by four goals or more in their previous game. Dallas is coming off a pair of wins last week but one came in overtime while the other came in a shootout. Offense remains a huge concern for the Stars as they are averaging just 2.00 gpg which is third lowest in the NHL and the road, they average only 1.75 gpg where their shooting percentage is a mere six percent. Dallas has attempted 28 or fewer shots in four of five games including just 23 shots on goal against Los Angeles last time out where it escaped with that overtime win over the Kings. It took extra time to win both games on the road. The Stars are 7-17 in their last 24 games when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams allowing 2.55 or fewer gpg on the season, after two straight wins by one goal. This situation is 25-8 (75.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (44) Columbus Blue Jackets |
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10-24-21 | Islanders v. Golden Knights -138 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -138 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Vegas opened the season with a win over Seattle in the inaugural game for the Kraken but since then, the Golden Knights have lost three straight games including their first two on this three-game homestand. Defense has been a big issue as they have allowed 4.25 gpg which is second worst in the NHL. That has not been the only problem as the power play has not come through. In four games, Vegas has had only nine power play opportunities and it has come up empty in all nine chances. The Golden Knights are the only team in the league that has not converted, going 0-9 in the man-up advantage. Going back, the Golden Knights are 6-0 in their last six games against the Eastern Conference. The Islanders continue the longest road trip in franchise history as this is their sixth game of this 13-game trek. New York is coming off a 3-0 shutout against Arizona on Saturday as Ilya Sorokin stopped all 26 shots but he likely will not go again tonight. An Islanders goalie has not started both ends of a back-to-back since March 23-24, 2019, so we could see Cory Schneider in his first action of the season. The power play has not been good for the Islanders either as they are at 14.29 percent which is seventh worst in the NHL. The Islanders are 0-5 in their last five games as a road underdog. 10* (42) Vegas Golden Knights |
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10-24-21 | Celtics -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. It has not been a good start to the season for Boston as it opened with a loss to the Knicks in overtime and then fell to Toronto by 32 points. And that was on their home floor which is not exactly how you want to start in front of your fans. The Celtics shot just 39 percent from the floor including 32 percent from long range and they went to the free throw line only 11 times. They certainly did not take care of the ball as they had 25 turnovers compared to 19 assists and no team can overcome that. They hit the road again and against an opponent where they should be able to bounce back and the next six games are all very winnable where they should be favored in all of those games. Houston bounced back from an 18-point loss to Minnesota with a 33-point win over Oklahoma City on Friday. The Rockets never trailed, jumped out to a 32-point lead at halftime and won every quarter. Looking at that would make you think that Houston looks like a good team but in reality, it is not because Oklahoma City is just that bad with its first two losses coming by more than 20 points. Houston shot 51 percent from the floor after shooting 45 percent against Minnesota and turnovers have been issue as the Rockets are averaging 20.5 tpg through the first two games. Houston is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a home underdog of six points or less. Here, road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 29-5 ATS (85.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (573) Boston Celtics |
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10-24-21 | Bengals +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 92 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC North Game of the Month. The Bengals are 4-2 on the season with both losses coming by just three points each. The Ravens were able to fluster Justin Herbert last week but while he struggles versus the blitz, Joe Burrow flourishes against it as he is second in the league in passer rating (136.8) against the blitz. Cincinnati has built its offense around Burrow, which produced significant ripple effects. He has four touchdown passes of 30+ air yards this season, most in the NFL. The Bengals can also beat teams on the ground, as running back Joe Mixon ranks fourth in the league with 480 rushing yards. Baltimore has won five straight games but three of those have been decided by a total of nine points and this will not be a dominant win like it has been recently in this series. Statistically, these two match up pretty well as the Ravens are seventh in the league at 28.3 ppg while the Bengals 11th at 24.7 ppg. On the other side, Cincinnati is fifth in the NFL with 18.5 ppg allowed and Baltimore seventh with 20.5 ppg allowed. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record while the Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. Here, we play against home teams outgaining their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (451) Cincinnati Bengals |
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10-23-21 | Canucks v. Seattle Kraken -124 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -124 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE KRAKEN for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. The moment has finally arrived for Seattle as it will be making its home debut after playing its first five games on the road. It was not a horrible roadtrip despite going just 1-3-1-0, as the Kraken lost by just one goal twice, including one in overtime and the other coming against Vegas. They seemed to tire at the end of the trip as they were outscored 10-3 in the final two games but they have had three days off prior to the Saturday night game in front of a raucous crowd. One clear positive for Seattle has been its penalty kill as it has allowed just one goal in 10 man down situations. That 90 percent is tied for sixth in the NHL and it just needs to improve in the 5-on-5. Vancouver also started with five straight road games and this will be the sixth in a row before heading home for its opener against Minnesota. The Canucks are 2-2-0-1 and after outshooting their first three opponents, they have been outshot the last two games and they have struggled with their penalty kill with a 71.4 percent success rate which is fifth worst in the league. Going back, the Canucks are 0-7 in their last seven games following a win. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage of .300 or worse when the money line is -100 to -150 after having lost four of their last five games, a playing a team with a losing record in the first half of the season. This situation is 70-26 (72.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (34) Seattle Kraken |
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10-23-21 | Saskatchewan +2.5 v. Calgary | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
his is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan and Calgary are set to meet for the third time in four weeks and this will be the third straight game against the Stampeders for Saskatchewan which is coming off a bye last week. The Roughriders have dropped the last two meetings by a possession each but are getting some big help on offense this week as two receivers are ready to open it up as Shaq Evans will be back after missing the last seven games with a broken foot and Duke Williams is expected to be available for his first game this season. Saskatchewan is 24-7 ATS in its last 31 games revenging two straight close losses by seven points or less. Calgary has now won three straight games following a 39-10 victory over B.C. last week but it won the yardage battle by just 40 total yards as they benefitted from a kickoff return for a touchdown as well as an interception return for a touchdown as well. The Stampeders are now 5-5 on the season and have moved into second place in the West Division. The Stampeders are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss as a favorite. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (667) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-23-21 | Dodgers -154 v. Braves | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers took Game Five in dominating fashion as they won 11-2 to force the series back to Atlanta and we like the momentum on their side heading into Game Six. Los Angeles was in the same situation a year ago, trailing 2-0 and 3-1 in the NLCS before coming back to win it and while that was on a neural field, the true road atmosphere should not hurt them here. Max Scherzer was originally scheduled to take the mound for Game Six on Saturday, but he was scratched due to arm fatigue so Walker Buehler will be taking his place and we have seen a significant line move as Los Angeles has a much shorter price based on the change. Buehler was dominant in the regular season with a 2.47 ERA and struck 212 in 207.2 innings. He was not sharp last time out but with everything on the line, he will step up as Saturday night will be his 15th career postseason start and that goes a long way. The Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Ian Anderson has put together a solid season but he is catching some hot Los Angeles bats and he struggled in his first start against the Dodgers. He allowed two runs on three hits and three walks in just three innings and the pressure is on to keep the Braves in this and avoid an elimination Game Seven. 10* (923) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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10-23-21 | Mavs -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS as part of our NBA Saturday Trifecta. Dallas is coming off a clunker, literally, as it lost its season opener in Atlanta by 26 points. The Mavericks shot just 33 percent from the floor including only 30 percent from long range on 13-43 shooting. The big two of Luke Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis scored 18 and 11 points respectively and they were surprisingly dominated down low, getting outscored 46-26 in the paint. Dallas was outrebounded 55-50 but have a better matchup here against a smaller Toronto lineup. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Following a blowout loss at home against Washington in its season opener, the Raptors took their frustrations out on the Celtics last night as they dominated Boston leading by as many as 36 points in a 32-point win. Not much is expected from Toronto this season with the loss of defensive stalwart Kyle Lowry and the shoulder injury to Pascal Siakam, who has averaged 22.2 ppg and 7.3 rpg the last two seasons, as he will be out until next month. Last night, they shot only 42 percent from the floor including 29 percent from long range which was pretty much the same as Boston but the Celtics committed 25 turnovers. The Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (557) Dallas Mavericks |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State v. Air Force -3.5 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -108 | 83 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our MWC Game of the Year. This is definitely the game of the week in the Mountain West Conference as 6-0 San Diego St. travels to Colorado Springs to take on 6-1 Air Force. The Falcons have won and covered four straight games, following its lone loss of the season, a 49-45 defeat against Utah St. Air Force brings in the top ranked rushing offense in the nation, averaging 336.4 ypg and this triple option is a tough offense to defend. The Saturday 24-17 victory over Boise St. on the Blue Turf made the Falcons the winningest team in the Mountain Division, where Colorado St. and Utah St. are the only other teams with winning conference records. The Falcons are averaging 37 minutes in time of possession, second only to Army. The Falcons are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Diego St. remained unblemished but got a scare against San Jose St. last week as it won in overtime and was actually outgained by 105 total yards, the third time in six games it has been outgained. The Aztecs have the best defense in the country against the run so something will have to give. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset win as a road underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (406) Air Force Falcons |
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10-22-21 | Kings v. Stars -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS STARS for our NHL Western Conference Game of the Month. Dallas is off to a 2-2 start to the season, with the two wins coming in overtime and in a shootout, and that .500 record is not ideal but all four of those games came on the road and this is the home opener for the Stars. Scoring has been an issue as they are averaging only 1.75 gpg but they are making up for it with another solid defense that is allowing only 2.25 gpg. Braden Holtby has been excellent as he has a .947 save percentage and should be even better at home in front of the home fans for the first time in forever. The Kings scored just one goal in their first road game of the season and scoring away from home was the issue last season and was with playing in front of no one. They surprised Vegas in their season opener with a 6-2 win as they fired 47 shots but it has dried up since then as they have only 57 shots on goal over their last two games combined. The defense has been solid with a 2.33 GAA and part of that has been discipline as they have had to defend only four man down situations, which is fewest in the league, allowing only one power play goal. The Kings are 6-18 in their last 24 games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game while the Stars are 6-2 in their last eight games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. 10* (6) Dallas Stars |
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10-22-21 | Pelicans +7 v. Bulls | Top | 112-128 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We won with Chicago as it took down Detroit on the road by six points thanks to a huge game from Zach LeVine who finished with 34 points on 11-17 shooting including going 11-11 from the free throw line. Other than LeVine, the Bulls looked pretty average and they got just 10 points from their bench. Overall, Chicago shot just 43 percent from the floor including 30 percent from long range so there is not a whole lot to be excited about just yet with newcomers DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic and Lonzo Ball still trying to get into a rhythm. New Orleans got thumped at home by 20 points against Philadelphia and will look to rebound from that effort. The Pelicans were tied at halftime before Philadelphia broke it open in the second half. After three solid season in Memphis, Jonas Valanciunas could not get anything going inside against the Sixers interior as he finished with just nine points on 3-19 shooting. Two bright spots were Brandon Ingram who scored a team high 25 points and second year guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker chipped in 23 points after coming on strong late last season. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games in first six games of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight ATS losses. This situation is 36-15 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (545) New Orleans Pelicans |
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10-22-21 | Red Sox +103 v. Astros | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Game of the Week. The Red Sox are on the brink of elimination as they will have to take the next two games on the road to advance to the World Series. It will not be easy in Houston but we like their chances in Game Six. This series could be in their favor as the Red Sox had a chance to win Game One but squandered a 3-1 lead and lost, 5-4, creating urgency for Game Two the next day which they won with the same pitching matchup going tonight. The bats have gone ice cold for Boston as after scoring 25 runs through the first three games, it has plated just three runs the last two games and a 2-1 series lead has turned into a 3-2 deficit. Meanwhile, the Houston offense has come back to life, scoring nine runs in each of the last two games to squarely put the pressure on Boston. The Red Sox have been here before though so they are not feeling it. Nathan Eovaldi gets the ball for Boston and he is exactly what the Red Sox need. He has given his team at least five innings in all three starts, something not many starters have done this October. As a starter in the postseason, Eovaldi is 2-0 with a 3.45 ERA, holding opponents to a .200 average. Houston counters with rookie Luis Garcia, who lasted just one inning in his Game Two start before leaving with a knee strain so who knows how effective he is going to be. In his first start of the postseason against the White Sox, he allowed five runs in just 2.2 innings so his 24.54 postseason ERA is not exactly a confidence builder. 10* (921) Boston Red Sox |
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10-22-21 | Memphis v. Central Florida -2 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UCF KNIGHTS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Memphis snapped a three-game losing streak with an 18-point win over Navy this past Saturday to move back over .500 on the season. The Tigers are just 1-2 on the road compared to 3-1 at home and they are now catching a pissed off team Friday night. This is a solid team on offense but the one thing that they do not do is utilize the legs of its quarterback which has hurt a few times this season for the UCF defense as it has struggled against mobile quarterbacks. The focus is now the big play receivers. The Tigers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. UCF is coming off a blowout loss at Cincinnati on Saturday which was its third loss in four games and the Knights have now failed to cover four straight games. They are 3-0 at home which includes an impressive win over Boise St at the start of the season. The Knights are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (320) UCF Knights |
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10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns -3.5 | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Denver has come back down to earth following a 3-0 start as the Broncos have lost their last three games, all as favorites. They have actually been favored in all six games this season so this marks their first game as underdogs. It has to be noted that those three wins to open the season came against the Giants, Jaguars and Jets which are a combined 3-14 and none of which have more than one victory. To their credit, the defense has been playing at a high level overall but that success is during those first three games where they allowed an average of 8.7 ppg but Denver has allowed an average of 28.0 ppg over its last three games. The Browns opened 3-1 both straight up and against the number, but they have dropped two straight against playoff bound teams. Injuries are mounting for Cleveland as the list keeps getting longer but come Thursday, they should be in better shape. Running back Nick Chubb has been ruled out so the running game is thin but Baker Mayfield said after the loss Sunday that he expects to play through his injury and be ready for Thursday. Instead. Case Keenum will get the start which is actually the better move. The defense has been a huge disappointment over the last two games but those offenses are both ranked in the top 11. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams forcing 1.25 or fewer tpg, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns |
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10-21-21 | Bucks v. Heat +3 | Top | 95-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Miami opens the season at home against the defensing NBA Champions and the Heat will be fired up for some revenge. The Bucks swept the Heat pretty easily in the playoffs last year in the first round and Miami has higher expectations this season. They averaged just 95.4 points per 100 possessions, the worst mark for any team in any series in the last five years. Miami has been one of the best defensive teams over the past decade and it should be better this season with the addition of Kyle Lowry and P.J. Tucker who will be facing his former team. Milwaukee opened the season with an easy win over Brooklyn which was without Kyrie Irving and now the Bucks hit the road to begin a three-game roadtrip. They are the favorites to win the Eastern Conference and will be facing a slightly different Miami team and one that will matchup well. Jrue Holiday exited the game on Tuesday early, so if he is unable to go, that would be a huge benefit for Miami as well. Obviously, Milwaukee will have the bulls-eye on its back when hitting the road and even more so in this case with the Heat looking for some payback. 10* (530) Miami Heat |
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10-21-21 | Rangers v. Predators -105 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the NASHVILLE PREDATORS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Nashville opened the season by losing its first two games but came back on Monday with a 2-1 over Los Angeles. Both losses were by one goal so it has been some tough luck for the Predators as they have outshot all three opponents and by an average of 5.7 gpg. They are averaging just 2.3 gpg but the shots are there and they will be out to even up this homestand before hitting the road to face Winnipeg and Minnesota in back-to-back nights. The Rangers are just 2-16 on the power play and that 12.5 percent is the worst in the league among teams that have scored at least two power play goals. The offense has been awful beyond that as well as they are averaging just 2.0 gpg which is tied for third lowest in the NHL. Through four games, they are averaging only 26 shots per game, second fewest in the league and you cannot score if you do not shoot. The Rangers are 1-5 in their last six games when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game while Nashville is 14-3 against the money line in its last 17 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against road teams against the money line allowing 2.55 or fewer gpg on the season, after a win by one goal in their previous game. This situation is 81-52 (60.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (78) Nashville Predators |
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10-21-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -140 | Top | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers are on the brink of elimination, again. With a 9-2 win over the Dodgers on Wednesday, Atlanta has a 3-1 lead in the NLCS, the same situation it was in a year ago against Los Angeles and eventually lost the series. The difference this time around is that the Braves will have the final two games at home should Los Angeles force a Game Six as opposed to playing on a neutral field last year. Despite the Wednesday loss, the Dodgers are 61-25 at home and have won seven of their last 10 home playoff games. Corey Knebel will get his third start of the postseason. With no bulk pitcher available, it will be a traditional bullpen game for the Dodgers. This is not ideal for an elimination game but the Dodgers had the second best bullpen during the regular season with a 3.16 ERA along with the second best bullpen in the postseason with a 2.74 ERA. Max Fried has had a great second half to the season so the Dodgers bats will once again have a challenge after he allowed two runs on eight hits over sin innings, definitely a good start but not one his best. The Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams after a game where they hit four or more home runs, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.50 over his last five starts. This situation is 36-23 (61 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (920) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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10-21-21 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte +6 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -103 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start halfway through the season and after a winning season and a bowl game in 2019, the 49ers went just 2-4 last season, the third fewest games in the conference because of cancellations. Charlotte is 3-0 at home which includes a season opening win over Duke and while the Blue Devils are not a good team, they are still from a Power Five conference so it is still an impressive victory. This year, the 49ers have covered each of their two games as underdogs of 5.5 points or more. Florida Atlantic is 3-3 following a blowout loss against UAB and the home team has won all six games the Owls have played. The defense has been up and down and has allowed 27.7 ppg over their last three games. While Florida Atlantic brings in the most experienced team in C-USA, it has no Preseason First Team players and while it has three Second Team C-USA players, that is the same as Charlotte. Here, we play against road teams off a road loss against a conference rival going against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 41-11 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. 10* (316) Charlotte 49ers |
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10-20-21 | Blues v. Golden Knights -120 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. After an opening night win over Seattle, Vegas got humbled in its second game as it went down in Los Angeles 6-2, getting outshot 47-24 and allowing two power play goals in two instances. Las Vegas has had five days off to stew about that loss which was its worst regular season defeat since March 25 and then bounced back to win two straight games. The Golden Knights are considered title contenders again and they have the experience to put that loss behind them and take care of business against a formidable opponent. Vegas is 14-3 against the money line in its last 17 games off a road loss by three goals or more including a 13-2 record if that loss was within the division. St. Louis is off to a 2-0 start with wins over Colorado and Arizona. The task will be tougher tonight and the time off for Las Vegas came at a perfect time with some key injuries that allowed the replacements to get some good practice time. The Blues are 1-5 in their last six games as a road underdog. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after two straight wins by two goals or more going up against an opponent after a loss by three goals or more in their previous game. This situation is 69-38 (64.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (64) Vegas Golden Knights |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +4 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 54 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Appalachian St. got boat raced by Louisiana last Tuesday, losing 41-13 while getting outgained in the process by 244 total yards. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong side of that one but even though the opposition is better this week, a return home should get things pointed in the right direction. The Mountaineers are 2-0 at home and while they failed to cover those games as favorites, they outgained both opponents and by a total of 406 yards. Obviously, they take a step up in class here but they are getting a good number and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight. games as an underdog. The Chanticleers are a perfect 6-0 but it might be slightly flawed. Coastal Carolina has rolled in its last three games, outscoring opponents 164-29 but those three opponents are a combined 5-13. The other two wins against FBS competition were against teams with a losing record so they have not been really tested yet. Overall, they have played a schedule ranked No. 159 in the nation. Here, we play against road favorites after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning. This situation 35-15 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (308) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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10-20-21 | Bulls -3 v. Pistons | Top | 94-88 | Win | 100 | 80 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Chicago will be aiming for the playoffs this season after falling two games short a year ago. The Bulls added two key players in Lonzo Ball and DeMar DeRozan so this is now a legit starting five as those two join Zach LaVine, Patrick Williams and Nikola Vucevic. Williams will be replaced by Derrick Jones Jr. for the first few weeks. LaVine is coming off of a career-high in scoring at 27.4 ppg, while DeRozan has averaged over 20 ppg in eight consecutive seasons so with Ball being the true point, they should flourish. Things will be getting better in Detroit but not anytime soon. No. 1 pick Cade Cunningham takes his place on a Pistons team that has some good young pieces but it will take a while for this team to come together, if they ever do. Isaiah Stewart and Saddiq Bey showed promise as rookies last season and while the future does and while the future does look bright, they are a few years away. Detroit finished with the worst record in the NBA last season and will be in the hunt again for that dubious spot. 10* (507) Chicago Bulls |
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10-20-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -120 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Boston bats finally went cold as after scoring two runs in the bottom of the first inning, the Red Sox did not score over the final eight innings of Game Four and the series is now tied at two games apiece. The momentum is on the side of the Astros after tying the game in the eighth and then busting out for seven runs in the top of the ninth but it is a different day and Boston is in a good spot to take the series lead before heading back to Houston. With another home run in Game Four, the Red Sox have hit 21 home runs in their first nine games of the postseason which is the second most in a nine-game postseason stretch in MLB history. Chris Sale has definitely been struggling with an 8.73 ERA over his last four starts but all of those came on the road. This will be the first time Sale has pitched at Fenway Park since Sept. 22, and he went 5-0 with a 2.48 ERA in six home starts this season. Framber Valdez will counter for Houston and he struggled in Game One, allowing three runs on six hits and three walks in just 2.2 innings. He has struggled of late with a 4.66 since the start of September. Despite the win last night, the Astros are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record and despite the loss, the Red Sox are 7-1 in their last eight playoff home games while winning four straight games following a loss. 10* (916) Boston Red Sox |
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10-19-21 | Nets v. Bucks +1 | Top | 104-127 | Win | 100 | 103 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. This is a rematch of the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals from last season which Milwaukee took in seven games. The Bucks are coming off their NBA Championship season with high hopes as they improved themselves with some solid offseason moves. The Bucks are hoping Semi Ojeleye can replace what they lost with P.J. Tucker defensively with his physical stature and a knack for guarding elite players. Another big offseason signing was George Hill who replaces Jeff Teague in the second unit. Milwaukee traded for Grayson Allen and he should make an immediate impact with Donte DiVincenzo who is out with a foot injury. There is a lot of drama in Brooklyn heading into the regular season as the Nets will not allow Kyrie Irving to play or practice with them until he is vaccinated. While they still have superstars Kevin Durant and James Harden, the absence of Irving is a big one and he always has to potential to put up 30 or more points on any given night. He missed the final three games of the series against Milwaukee and his absence was notable although Harden missed time as well. This will be an electric atmosphere as this will be first time fans will have seen their team in a year and a half. 10* (502) Milwaukee Bucks |
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10-19-21 | Panthers +120 v. Lightning | Top | 4-1 | Win | 120 | 26 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA PANTHERS for our NHL Atlantic Game of the Month. The Tampa Bay Stanley Cup hangover seems to remain in full force as after an opening game loss against Pittsburgh 6-2, it took overtime to win its last two games. Penalties have killing the Lightning over the last two games but they have done a great job of killing those short-handed opportunities as they have one goal in 10 man down spots but that is certainly not sustainable. They had only 24 shots against Washington on Saturday but still managed a 2-1 overtime win after pummeling Detroit with double that amount two nights earlier. Tampa Bay is 8-15 against the money line in its last 23 games after winning their previous game in overtime. Florida is off to a 2-0 start including an impressive 5-1 win over a tough Islanders team on Saturday. This is the Panthers first road game of the season but they will be sky high after getting eliminated in the first round of the playoffs last season against Tampa Bay in six games. The Panthers are 5-0 in their last five games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams against the money line off a home win by three goals or more going against an opponent off two consecutive road wins by one goal. This situation is 21-9 (70 percent) since 1996. 10* (47) Florida Panthers |
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10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -168 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. With the 5-4 loss on Sunday, the Dodgers are now in a 2-0 hole in the NLCS for the second consecutive season. It did not bother them last season however as they rallied from that as well as a 3-1 series deficit to win and go on to the World series. They are back home in a must win situation and two walk off wins, the Braves are in a tough spot to maintain that on the road. Walker Beuhler did not have his most electrifying stuff in his last start on Tuesday as he went just 4.1 innings and threw only 71 pitches but he was pitching on short and now he is rested and ready to go a week later. While his 3.38 ERA this postseason is still decent, he has been dominant in the postseason posting a 1.89 ERA in 2020 and a 0.71 ERA in 2019, covering 31.2 innings. Charlie Morton is also pitching on the same amount of rest after coming off an average effort as well where he tossed 69 pitches in just 3.1 innings. The Braves are only 8-8 in his 16 road starts. The Dodgers are 70-34 in their last 104 games against the money line after a game where they had four or fewer hits while going 40-13 in their last 53 games as a home favorite. The Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog. 10* (914) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo will be out for road revenge following a 42-16 loss last season and while the Bills are better this season, this is a tough spot following a 4-1 start including a big road win last week at Kansas City. They have covered all four games and they have not been close as the cover margins have been +31.5, +14.5, +21.0 and +20.5. in the loss last season, Bills quarterback Josh Allen finished 26-41 for 263 passing yards, throwing for two touchdowns and two interceptions. Buffalo has done a good job of limiting Derrick Henry over the last three matchups but he could be due for a breakout. Henry leads the league with 640 rushing yards, seven rushing touchdowns and 34 rushing first downs. Last year, the defense limited Henry to only 57 rushing yards but allowed touchdowns on all six red zone possessions. In addition to having the 10th best total offense averaging 389.2 ypg and 10th best scoring offense averaging 26.4 ppg, Tennessee is averaging 25.4 first downs per game which bis good for third in the NFL. Here, we play against favorites with an offense averaging 385 or more ypg, after gaining 450 or more ypg over their last three games. This situation is 29-7 (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Tennessee Titans |
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10-18-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -115 | Top | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The ALCS heads to Boston as the Red Sox and Astros split the two games in Houston with the Red Sox now possessing the home field edge with three of the next five games taking place at Fenway Park should the series go that far. Boston used a pair of grand slams in the first and second innings to jump out to a big lead and take Game Two and the Red Sox became the first team ever with two grand slams in a postseason game. Boston has the hottest hitter on the planet right now and if Kiki Hernandez can keep it going, the Red Sox offense will continue to flourish. In his last five games, he is 15-for-25 with four doubles, five homers and nine RBIs. Eduardo Rodriguez gets the ball for Boston. He faced the Astros twice this season and was hammered both times with nearly identical stat lines as he allowed six runs in 4.2 innings both times. He was having trouble with his changeup back then and he has been much more consistent recently, posting a 2.89 ERA over his last seven games. He came through in a big spot for Boston in clinching Game Four of the ALDS, holding the Rays to two runs over five innings. This will be the first action for Jose Urquidy since October 3rd and while his arm is rested, the time off in a concern. The Astros are 1-6 in their last seven road games against a team with a winning record while the Red Sox are 7-0 in their last seven games against right-handed starters. 10* (910) Boston Red Sox |
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10-18-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Flyers -141 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA FLYERS for our NHL Non-Conference Game of the Month. The Flyers have played only one game this season and that resulted in a home loss against Vancouver in a shootout. Philadelphia allowed two power play goals, one on a two-man advantage, in four attempts so it needs to shore up that aspect of its game. The Flyers played good for the majority of the game but while allowing just 13 shots in the second period, they allowed four goals in the frame and had to play catch-up before losing 2-0 in the shootout period. This is a big game for Philadelphia which has Boston on deck and it really does not want to open winless through three games. Seattle has played very well in its first three games in its inaugural season as it is 1-1-1 and that limited success is keeping this number down for the favorite Flyers. The Kraken have been outshot in their last two games and in their two losses they have gone a combined 0-4 on the power play. All three games have been decided by one goal so it has been considered a success thus far for Seattle but its shots on goal have declined each game, going from 31 to 26 to 20. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after losing their previous game in overtime going up against an opponent after playing a game where eight or more total goals were scored. This situation is 69-29 (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (34) Philadelphia Flyers |
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10-17-21 | Dodgers v. Braves +167 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 167 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Braves were able to take Game One of this series with a dramatic 3-2 win as Austin Riley hit a walk-off single in the bottom the ninth inning to jump out to a 1-0 series lead in the NLCS. They do have a much more daunting task on Sunday but are catching a solid number with the Dodgers being a very popular play. Ian Anderson gets the ball for Atlanta and he put together a very solid season with a 3.44 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 25 starts. He was nearly flawless against the Brewers as he tossed five scoreless innings, allowing just three hits and no walks while striking out six. He has been great at home, going 6-1 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 12 starts with the Braves going 10-2 in those starts. Max Scherzer counters for Los Angeles and he picked up the save in Game Five of the NLDS. He has gone 0-1 in two postseason starts and while he pitched well, he received just two runs of support. He had two starts against the Braves, one good and one bad and in the latter, he allowed four home runs. The Braves hit 269 home runs this season, third most in baseball so that could be an issue as the long ball has plagued him throughout his career. The Dodgers are 7-15 in their last 22 League Championship road games while the Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. 10* (908) Atlanta Braves |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -121 | 96 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. New England snapped a two-game losing streak with a less than impressive effort against Houston as it held on for a three point win as an eight-point road favorite. Now, the Patriots return home as a home underdog and justifiably so but we feel the spot is good as early money has been pouring in on Dallas and has already moved this line two points. The Patriots are 0-3 at home and the road team is 5-0 in their five games and the streak looks to be broken this week. The Cowboys have won four straight games following an opening loss against Tampa Bay and they are a perfect 5-0 against the number and that is a contrarian spot we love to go against. The offense has been rolling, averaging 40.3 ppg over their last three games, all coming at home. They will be facing a sneaky good defense as the Patriots are ranked No. 5 in total defense and No. 5 in scoring defense. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog while the Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) New England Patriots |
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10-16-21 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP +7 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 97 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our C-USA Game of the Month. UTEP has won and covered three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and are now two wins away from bowl eligibility as one of those victories came against Bethune Cookman of the FCS. The Miners finished 3-5 last season and had two close losses and were close to being a .500 team. While not much was expected this season, they are very experienced with every starter back on offense and eight starters back on defense. They are a sizeable home underdog here as many are still not trusting UTEP based on what transpired the prior three years from last season where it went 2-34. UTEP is 16-5 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Louisiana Tech is coming off a bye week following a solid effort at NC State where it lost by a touchdown. The Bulldogs are expected to contend in the C-USA West Division but we are not sure about laying this number on the road against a very confident team. The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams (off a road loss going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (206) UTEP Miners |
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10-16-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators -103 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
This is a situation on the NASHVILLE PREDATORS for our NHL Central Game of the Month. We won with Carolina on Thursday as it dominated the Islanders but that game was at home where the Hurricanes are now 21-3-5 at home dating back to last season. The Hurricanes outshot New York 41-28 and scored two power play goals on five attempts while going 3-3 on the penalty kill. Carolina was playing in front of its first full-capacity crowd (18,680) at PNC Arena since February 2020 so the Hurricanes fed off of that to open the season with a convincing win. Carolina now hits the road to face the Predators in a rematch of the first-round playoff series from last year. Nashville lost that series 4-2 so it gets some early season revenge on home ice. Speaking of home ice, the Predators lost their home opener 4-3, giving the Seattle Kraken their first ever franchise win. They outshot Seattle 30-25 but allowed two back-to-back power play goals, both in the first period. Bounce back time. The Predators are 20-6 in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Here we play on home teams with a winning percentage of .300 or worse off a home loss by one goal, a playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season. This situation is 23-9 (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (20) Nashville Predators |
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10-16-21 | Dodgers v. Braves +116 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 116 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Braves and Dodgers will be facing each other in the NLCS for a second straight season and last year was epic with the Dodgers rallying from a 3-1 deficit to win three straight and make it to the World Series. We will going with the home team in Game One. Max Fried gets the ball for the Braves and has been sensational. He posted a 3.04 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over 28 regular season starts. He backed that up with six shutout innings while allowing just three hits and striking out nine and walking none in a 3-0 win over the Brewers. He faced the Dodgers twice, posting a 2.25 ERA and 0.83 WHIP, striking out 13 and waking one. Corey Knebel will open Game One tonight, with Tony Gonsolin expected to provide bulk innings at some point in the game. This bumps Max Scherzer to start Game Two on Monday. Gonsolin has not pitched this postseason but in 2020, he posted an 8.68 ERA in three starts over 9.1 innings. Here, we play on National League home teams between +125 to -125 with a slugging percentage of .430 or better starting a pitcher on 5 or 6 days of rest going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or better. This situation is 43-16 (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (906) Atlanta Braves |
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10-16-21 | Calgary v. BC -1 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan came into Week Nine with a 5-2 record but lost two games against Calgary which improved to 4-5 on the season to get back into the playoff race. B.C. is a half-game ahead of the Stampeders so this is a big game for the Lions to gain some space. Both teams are in a battle for third in the West, but a Lions win could see them pull into a tie with Saskatchewan for the No. 2 seed. The Lions possess the number two scoring defense in the West Division while Calgary has the second lowest scoring offense in the league. Calgary backup quarterback Jake Maier has COVID-19 and he will be in isolation until further notice so Michael O'Connor will back up Bo Levi Mitchell until his return to the roster and while it should noy be an impact, an injury to Mitchell would be catastrophic for Calgary. B.C. is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while the Stampeders are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 68-32 ATS (68 percent) since 1996. 10* (676) B.C. Lions |
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10-15-21 | Wild -148 v. Ducks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Friday Breakaway. Minnesota has made the playoffs in eight of the last nine seasons but has nothing to show for it as the last time Minnesota made it beyond Round One of the playoffs was in 2014-15, and they had to score 17 goals in the first round to do it. The Wild did not really make any major moves in the offseason so they have to shore up somethings that held them back last season, namely shots and the power play where they finished No. 28 and No. 24 respectively. That completely made the offense non-existent at times and put a lot of pressure on the defense. They plan to be more aggressive this season and will be looking to jump out to a big start to open the season. Anaheim opened the season with a 4-1 win against Winnipeg at home. Anaheim finished with the second fewest points in the league last season with 43 and while it was competitive on the road, the Ducks were just 6-18-4 at home so getting off to a 1-0 start was pretty big but we do not them sustaining that here. The Wild are 37-18 in their last 55 games as a favorite while the Ducks are 5-21 in their last 26 games as a home underdog. 10* (83) Minnesota Wild |
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10-15-21 | Red Sox v. Astros -135 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Astros and Red Sox meet for the third time in the postseason since 2017 so these teams are very familiar with each other which should make for a very competitive series. Houston was the more dominant team in the ALDS as it outscored the White Sox 31-18 while averaging 7.8 rpg with pretty much the same lineup. Houston has a better overall pitching staff with a 3.78 season ERA compared to 4.26 for Boston. Framber Valdez will likely get the start for the Astros as he has been pushed back because of the Game Three rainout and he has posted a 3.14 ERA while going 11-6 in 23 games. Chris Sale will get the Game One start which is a bit surprising because of his recent struggles as he has recorded just 10 outs over his past two starts, lasting only one inning in Game Two of the ALDS against the Rays. Houston is 16-4 in 20 home games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .540 and .620 while the Red Sox are 6-15 in their last 21 games as an underdog. Here, we play against road teams with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or fewer hits per start, after two straight games where their bullpen blew a save. This situation is 151-86 (63.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (902) Houston Astros |
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10-15-21 | Clemson -14 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Clemson has gotten off to a rough start as it is just 3-2 with two of those wins coming by just six points each. The Tigers have been horrible on offense but the good news is that they are coming off a bye week to try and get things straightened out which they should be able to do with the talent on this roster. Because of the slow start, Clemson is 0-5 against the number but this is a great spot with great value to put an end to that. The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Syracuse is coming off a brutal loss as it fell to Wake Forest in overtime by three points in overtime. That puts the Orange in a tough spot here not only because of that but because they are on a short week and playing a powerhouse off a bye. They have been competitive but they are getting Clemson at the wrong time. Syracuse has covered four straight games which is also adding to the value in this number. Syracuse is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games off a loss by seven points or less to a conference rival. Here we play on road favorites with a first half defense allowing 8.0 or less, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (115) Clemson Tigers |
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10-14-21 | Dodgers v. Giants -104 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 35 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our NLDS Game of the Year. The Dodgers avoided elimination with a 7-2 victory in Game Four, forcing a winner take all Game Five Thursday in San Francisco. This series, along with the regular season series, has shown how close these teams are as the Giants own a combined 12-11 lead in the 23 meetings this season. At basically even odds, we give the nod to the Giants which finished six games better at home than the Dodgers did on the road and while the starting pitching looks like a toss-up, we do give the edge to the Giants here. The Dodgers announced on Thursday that they were starting right-hander Corey Knebel and then turn to Julio UrĂas who was sensational with a 21-3 record to go along with a 2.93 ERA and 1.01 WHIP over 33 starts. The Giants will counter with Logan Webb who quietly put together a great season. He struck out 10 over 7.2 scoreless innings in Game One and will be pitching on five days of rest. The Giants are a perfect 13-0 in his 13 starts at Oracle Park, where he is 7-0 with a 1.78 ERA. Here, we lay on National League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a slugging percentage of .430 or better, starting a pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days of rest going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or better. This situation is 43-16 (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (972) San Francisco Giants |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 59 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFC Thursday Primetime Punisher. Philadelphia sits at 2-3 following a 21-18 win at Carolina on Sunday. The Eagles have actually played better than the record shows as they have outgained three opponents and the two games in which they were outgained, they were just by 10 and 13 yards against Kansas City and Dallas respectively. The Philadelphia passing defense has been very average but came up big against the Panthers as they held Sam Darnold to just 177 passing yards, with three interceptions and three sacks. Darnold is no Tom Brady but after coming off his best game of the season, expect some regression here. Tampa Bay has been rolling with a 4-1 record but two of those wins came by just two points apiece. Since the start of last season, the Buccaneers are 4-6 ATS with just a +4.3 cover average. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. While the Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites averaging 385 or more total ypg, after averaging 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent over the last five seasons. 10* (110) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 76 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama opened the season 3-0 but has dropped its last two games. The Jaguars could easily be 5-0 though as the two losses came by two points each including a loss at Texas St. in overtime this past Saturday. They have outgained their opponent in four of five games including two times of over 100 total yards. Part of the success has been the offensive line where four of five starters returned and overall, they bring back 17 starters to go along with key transfers at quarterback, running back and tight end. The Jaguars are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. Georgia Southern is 2-4 halfway through the season and it has covered three straight games which gives some value to South Alabama here. The Eagles are 0-3 on the road while getting outscored by 12.4 ppg and they are averaging just 13.3 ppg on offense. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or less tpg, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (112) South Alabama Jaguars |
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10-14-21 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -120 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA HURRICANES for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Carolina took the Central Division last season by one point over Florida and while taking out Nashville in six games in the first round, it lost in five games to eventual Stanley Cup Champion Tampa Bay. While the team retained the majority of its core, the Hurricanes were one of the more aggressive teams to take that next step. While there are some new faces to get used to the system, with the core of the team returning, the Hurricanes should see early success and growth along the way. Carolina went 20-3-5 at home last season and those three regulation losses were the fewest in the league. Goaltending should improve and the offense will be potent. The Islanders finished fourth in the East Division with 71 points but made a run in the playoffs as they took the Hurricanes to seven games before losing out at a chance at the Stanley Cup Finals. The roster remains mostly intact and this is the first of 13 straight road games to start the season as their new arena is not available. Goalie Semyon Varlamov posted a 19-11-4 record, a .929 save percentage and established new career bests with his 2.04 GAA and seven shutouts which tied for most in the NHL but he is out on Thursday. 10* (68) Carolina Hurricanes |
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10-13-21 | Rangers v. Capitals -115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 57 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our Metro Division Game of the Month. Last season, the Rangers finished 27-23-6 good for just 5th place in the East Division and they did not make the playoffs. They shook up the front office in the offseason as well as replacing their head coach and they made some moves to become a tougher team that will not be pushed around as much. That might be a good thing but they sacrificed a lot. The New York rebuild was going to focus on skill but the new management decided to go in an entirely different direction and sacrifice skill to go after toughness and at a high price. Early on, the Rangers will be hard pressed to find their identity. Washington had a tough ending to last season as it won the first two games against the Bruins only to go on and lose the next four games in the first round of the playoffs. The Capitals are still a legitimate Stanley Cup contender, even after three consecutive First Round exits. They have star power up front and the goaltending should improve after a down year. The Rangers are 9-24 in their last 33 games as an underdog while the Capitals are 23-6 in their last 29 games as a favorite. 10* (52) Washington Capitals |