Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-27-22 | Seton Hall +7.5 v. Marquette | Top | 69-83 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SETON HALL PIRATES for our CBB Tuesday Star Attraction. This is an important stretch for Seton Hall. Including the game at Xavier a week ago prior to the holiday break, the Pirates are in a stretch where five of seven games are on the road and after a 0-2 start in the Big East, this game alone is huge. Prior to the rest, Seton Hall lost to Providence and Xavier by four and three points respectively and going back, three of its last four losses have come by five points or less. The Pirates are still a game over .500 and the strength they bring is their defense as they are ranked No. 35 in defensive efficiency and have one of the best perimeter defenses around, ranking No. 15 in three-point shooting defense. In the last game at Xavier, Seton Hall held the Musketeers, one of the top offensive teams in the country, to their lowest three-point shooting percentage this season at 25 percent and their second-lowest point total of the season with 73 points. Marquette has opened 1-1 in the conference and in eight games against teams from major conferences, the line the Golden Eagles are laying here is tied for the highest with the other being against Georgia Tech and Seton Hall is rated much higher than the Yellow Jackets. Marquette is 7-1 at home including 2-1 against those major conference teams and while that includes a win over Creighton, the Bluejays have been in a major slump. The Golden Eagles have a very solid offense and will be facing a test here and we can see this game playing out just like the game against Xavier for Seton Hall as the game is shortened which significantly favors the sizeable underdog. 10* (601) Seton Hall Pirates |
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12-27-22 | Lakers +4.5 v. Magic | Top | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Ultimate Underdog. The Lakers have lost four straight games and eight of their last 11 and while this would typically be a contrarian play by playing against a Los Angeles team, it is contrarian by playing them here. They have failed to cover five straight games and the injury bug has hit once again with Anthony Davis once again on the shelf for at least a couple weeks so basically it has been LeBron James as the only production from the starting five. Los Angeles has fallen into No. 13 in the Western Conference with a lot to make up to get back into the playoff mix. The Lakers are ranked No. 7 in scoring offense and No. 9 in shooting offense and that has still held true during this losing skid and now faces a below average defense. Orlando is still well out of the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference but it has narrowed the gap after an awful start as the Magic have gone 8-1 over their last nine games with the lone loss coming against Atlanta by just one points after nearly coming back from a late 13-point deficit. The Magic have covered 10 straight games and that is part of the contrarian aspect along with the straight up victories as the value is starting to turn with this being their third straight game as favorites and only the fifth time all season they have laid points. Orlando is now 9-9 at home and the Lakers visit will always bring extra energy for the home team but the Magic are in a tough spot. Here, we play on underdogs allowing 114 or more ppg on the season, after three straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Los Angeles Lakers |
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12-27-22 | Utah State +7.5 v. Memphis | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH ST. AGGIES for our CFB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. A pair of underwhelming teams square off in Dallas and that typically favors the underdog, especially one that is getting a significant amount of points. Utah St. had its three-game winning streak snapped in a fluky loss at Boise St. to close the regular season as it was down by just five points midway through the fourth quarter before the Broncos scored on a 91-yard touchdown run and then on a 48-yard interception return for a score to close the game. It was an excellent run to close the season after the Aggies opened 1-4 and while the top level stats show weaknesses, digging deeper does show some edges in key areas. They possess an underrated defense where it is ranked No. 22 in Stuff Rate and No. 32 in Passing Success Rate so it can slow this Memphis offense down whose own top level numbers are inflated. Memphis also finished 6-6 and closed the season with a loss against SMU which snapped its own two-game winning streak. The Tigers beat the teams it should have but struggled against the rest of the slate as they went 1-6 against bowl teams. The Tigers passing game is solid but as mentioned, they will be facing a strong pass defense. Memphis does not run the ball well at all and it is ranked No. 84 in ERA per rush and No. 104 in line yards and that goes right up against the Utah St. strength along the line of scrimmage. Their defense is overrated as while they are No. 63 in total defense, they are No. 77 in EPA per play and No. 88 in Success Rate and the passing defense is a real weakness as the tigers are No. 95 in EPA per pass and No. 109 in Passing Success Rate and Utah St. can take advantage. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that have been outscored by opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 76-38 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (239) Utah St. Aggies |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts +4 | Top | 20-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. Since winning against La Vegas in the first games for interim head coach Jeff Saturday, the Colts have lost four straight games and were outgained in all four of those. The new coaching staff has not been ideal at making halftime adjustments as the Colts have been outscored 72-9 in the second half and in overtime over the last two games which has obviously been the difference. The offense has done nothing as they have averaged only 306.0 ypg. Quarterback Matt Ryan has been a lawn chair and he has now been benched for a second time this season in favor of Nick Foles and this is the jumpstart this offense needs. We have already seen it a few times this season when a new starter enters and the team is energized. The absence of Jonathan Taylor is a big one at running back but Indianapolis will be facing a defense that has underwhelmed on the road, allowing 24 and 27 points over the last two games at Arizona and at Las Vegas. The Chargers have won three of their last four games and have a chance to clinch a playoff berth but they have underwhelmed this season. Of the eight victories, seven have come by one possession including five by a field goal or less. The Colts defense has been playing solid when using their normal schemes and they have a chance to disrupt Justin Herbert here. He has been pressured 201 times this season, which trails only Kirk Cousins and the Colts tied at No. 7 in sacks so this is where they sloe this offense down. While the Colts second half woes have been a problem, it should not carry over here as Los Angeles has no third-quarter touchdowns in its last nine games and has been outscored 175-109 in the second half and overtime this year. Defensively, Los Angeles has looked better the last two weeks and the matchup looks to be in its favor but in seven road games, it has allowed 24 or more points five times. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in the last two weeks of the regular season. This situation is 60-27 ATS (69 percent) since 1983. 10* (482) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-26-22 | Pacers v. Pelicans -6 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Monday Star Attraction. New Orleans has put a halt to a four-game losing streak with a pair of wins at home against San Antonio and on the road at Oklahoma City and it heads back home for the start of a three-game homestand. It is 13-4 at home this season which includes an 8-1 run the last nine games and it has been dominant by outscoring opponents by eight ppg in those 17 games while covering six of nine games against teams with a winning record. The Pelicans are one game behind Denver for first place in the Western Conference and the recent two-game winning streak is even more encouraging considering they were without Zion Williamson in those games because of an illness but he will be back in the lineup tonight. Indiana is coming off a pair of upset road wins the last two games which puts it into a go against situation. The Pacers improved to 17-16 on the season which has them in a tie with Atlanta for No. 7 in the Eastern Conference yet prior to the recent winning streak, they went 3-8 over their previous 11 games. The Pacers have not been able to put any sort of winning streak together as they have gone 1-6 in their last seven games following a win and it has not been pretty for the most part, losing those games by an average of 11 ppg. They do own an impressive six wins over teams ranked within the top ten but this is not the spot for that to continue. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 57-22 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (512) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-26-22 | New Mexico State +4 v. Bowling Green | Top | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO ST. AGGIES for our CFB Monday Enforcer. Bowling Green closed the season winning four of its last six games to earn a trip to a bowl game for the first time since 2005 but this is not a good team. The Falcons are ranked No. 97 or worse in six of the eight statistical categories including No. 105 in total offense and No. 106 in total defense and in its 12 games, Bowling Green has been outgained nine times. Despite a 5-3 MAC record, the offense scored 17 or fewer points five times and the Falcons will be facing a pretty strong defense. Quarterback Matt McDonald is coming off one of his worst games of the season and has been inconsistent throughout and keeping him clean will be a problem as he has been sacked three times or more in each of the last seven games. While this game is being played closer to home for Bowling Green, any advantage of having a home crowd on its side is minimal as there will be no one at this game. New Mexico St. had to play a non-scheduled game against Valparaiso of the FCS to get a special bowl waiver since two of its victories were against FCS teams but nonetheless, the Aggies are bowling for the first time since 2017 as head coach Jerry Kill has done an outstanding job in his first season, taking a program to the postseason that had not finished better than 3-10 since 2018, going 8-30 over that stretch. They have played a softer schedule but face an opponent right at their level and getting a favorable number. The Aggies are ranked No. 37 in the country in Points Per Opportunity which is based on getting inside the opponents 40-yard line and the Bowling Green defense has struggled defending that as it is ranked No. 100 in defensive Points Per Opportunity. Here, we play against teams after allowing 37 points or more last game going up against an opponent after two straight wins by 28 or more points. This situation is 131-69 ATS (65.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (235) New Mexico St. Aggies |
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12-25-22 | Bucs -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. This is going to be a very public play which we despise but they do come through at times and we are giving Tampa Bay another shot this week after it blew a 17-0 lead against the Bengals as turnovers and penalties at the wrong time led to Cincinnati scoring 34 unanswered points to pull away. The Buccaneers did outplay Cincinnati from a statistical standpoint as they won the yardage battle by 159 total yards but not many teams are going to win when turning the ball over four times. This line has shot up considerably since opening at 3.5 but that is not a concern with this play as we are finally expecting that break out Tampa Bay game that we have really yet to see this season with the biggest two wins coming in the first two weeks of the season. Last week, the Bengals made the adjustments with the most notable applying more pressure to Tom Brady and it worked and with Cincinnati ranked No. 9 in pressure rating, Tampa Bay has faced three straight teams ranked No. 15 or better in pressure and that will be far from the case here with Arizona near the bottom of the league in that category. The Cardinals have completely bottomed out as the loss of Kyler Murray three plays into the New England game was their last shot to be competitive. They have lost four straight games and last week at Denver proved that as they allowed 24 points to the Broncos which was just the fourth time Denver has surpassed 20 points this season and the offense was absolutely useless. Arizona managed just 240 yards of offense and while that was one of the better defenses in the NFL, it will be facing another one here. Trace McSorley came in for an injured Colt McCoy and was ineffective and while he is getting a full week with the first team at practice in prep for this game, he will be outmatched again. Tampa Bay is No. 7 in total defense and they bring in the No. 10 ranked pressure rate and can easily keep this offense in check. Here, we play on teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 68-35 ATS (66 percent) since 1983. 10* (479) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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12-24-22 | Raiders v. Steelers -2 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 54 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Dominator. The Raiders were on the fortunate side of that Patriots game as they completed an improbable win on the last play of the game to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. This is a very tough spot coming off that victory with a long travel assignment and Las Vegas has struggled on the road as it is 2-6 and both of those wins easily could have been losses as they both came in overtime. That is part of three of their last four wins being walk off victories so the 6-8 record could be even worse but to their credit, they also possess some close defeats. The offense is ranked No. 11 both overall and in scoring but has a tough task here facing a defense that is playing its best on the season. The Raiders own defense is an issue as they are ranked No. 24 overall and No. 23 in scoring and while not facing a great offense here, they have allowed even worse offenses to look good against them at times earlier this season. The Steelers are coming off a win at Carolina to match the Raiders 6-8 record to keep their own playoff hopes alive and their road is a lot easier as they have Baltimore and Cleveland left after this. It has been a good turnaround as Pittsburgh is 4-2 in its last six games following a 2-6 start and the overall record is more impressive considering the Steelers have played the No. 1 ranked schedule in the league. Five of their eight losses came by one possession and two other losses came at Buffalo and at Philadelphia. The return of T.J. Watt has changed this defense completely as they are now again able to apply a lot of pressure and that will be the difference here as they have allowed only 16.3 over their last four games. 10* (474) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-24-22 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. San Diego State | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Two fairly even teams square off on Christmas Eve in Hawaii and we are getting value in this line with the Blue Raiders. Middle Tennessee St. closed the season with three straight wins to finish 7-5 and while those came against some weak competition, it matches up well here. The offense was middle of the pack as the passing game led the way. Quarterback Chase Cunningham completed 67.4 percent of his passes for 2,920 yards with 19 touchdowns and nine interceptions to lead a passing attack that is ranked No. 31 in the country. Now while they face a San Diego St. defense that has only allowed 206.6 ypg which was good for No. 35, those came mostly against teams in the MWC that had no semblance of a passing game with five teams ranked in the bottom 15 in the country in passing offense. A passing game that has an edge even though the stats do not state that from the top line is even better when that teams is a significant underdog. San Diego St. also finished the season 7-5 with just two solid wins against Toledo and San Jose St. as the other four FBS wins came against teams a combined 12-37. The offense was one of the worst in the country as the Aztecs averaged 321.8 ypg and 21.3 ppg, No. 117 and No. 109 in the country respectively and while it did improve over the second half of the season with a quarterback change, it was not overwhelming. Jalen Mayden, who is a converted safety, completed 62.3 percent of his passes for 1,721 yards with 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions so he did not light it up and actually regressed after teams got film on him. He was sacked 15 times in seven games and will be facing a solid Middle Tennessee St. defensive line that registered 34 sacks and while the defense was next to last in passing defense, there is not much worry here and the strength of the San Diego St. offense will be negated by the Blue Raiders No. 27 ranked rushing defense. 10* (233) Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders |
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12-24-22 | Texans v. Titans -7 | Top | 19-14 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Game of the Year. Give Houston credit for having a chance to win its last two games against Kansas City and Dallas but came up just short in both and that puts the Texans in a bad letdown spot. They lost in overtime against the Chiefs but it was definitely misleading as Houston was dominated, getting outgained by 282 total yards as the offense managed only 219 total yards and 15 first downs. This came after a last possession loss against the Cowboys where it was outgained there as well and it has now been five straight games where the Texans have been outgained with the offense going over 300 total yards just once and have averaged just 237.4 ypg over that stretch. Houston possesses the worst total offense in the league and is ranked No. 27 or worse in seven of the eight major statistical categories. This includes being dead last in rushing defense which is not ideal in this spot as it should get pounded on the ground. They are getting outgained by over 72 ypg on the road including close to 67 ypg on the ground. Houston is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games against teams allowing 90 or fewer rushing ypg. Tennessee looked to have the AFC South wrapped up not too long ago but has lost four straight games which has brought Jacksonville right back into the mix as the Titans are in first place by just one game over the Jaguars. The schedule was in their favor early on but during this four-game skid, all have come against teams currently sitting in definite or possible playoff spots and that does include a loss against Jacksonville two weeks ago which could make the Week 18 matchup at Jacksonville for the division. The Titans need this game for that reason especially with a home game against Dallas on deck and with the recent struggles, there is no chance to take Houston lightly. This offense has struggled all season but this is the best matchup it has seen over its last eight games going back to the first meeting with Houston where it outgained the Texans by 193 total yards which made that seven-point win a deceiving one as well with the Texans scoring a meaningless touchdown with 17 seconds left. The Titans are ranked No. 5 in offensive touchdown red zone percentage and that is important here to pull this game wide open. The Titans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing record. 10* (464) Tennessee Titans |
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12-24-22 | Lions v. Panthers +2.5 | Top | 23-37 | Win | 100 | 47 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. The run of Detroit is one of the top stories in the NFL as after a 1-6 start to the season, the Lions have won six of their last seven games while covering all of those games with the only outright loss coming against Buffalo on Thanksgiving by three points. Now, the Lions are in unfamiliar territory as they are laying points on the road for the first time this season and for the first time since 2020, a span of 20 games on the highway. It has not been a very dominating run however as Detroit has been outgained in four of these seven games including two of the three games that have been on the road. The offense was humming along with 31 or more points in four of five games before scoring just 20 points last week against a solid Jets defense and Detroit will face another good defense this week. The NFC South is a mess and Carolina is right in that mess as the Panthers are still alive for the playoffs despite their 5-9 record. It is plain and simple as if they win out, they win the division with an 8-9 record with next week being the real deciding game when they go to Tampa Bay but they are certainly not looking past this game. Carolina has gone 3-2 over its last five games to get into this situation and it needs to be emphasized that the two losses came against Pittsburgh and Baltimore, two defenses that have been playing at a high level and that is something that Detroit cannot claim. The Panthers offense has been bad all season but against this defense, quarterback P.J. Walker and the solid running game have the possibility for a big game, similar to what they did against the Falcons in both meetings that have taken place over their last seven games. 10* (458) Carolina Panthers |
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12-24-22 | Bengals v. Patriots +3 | Top | 22-18 | Loss | -104 | 47 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Saturday Ultimate Underdog. New England cannot be coming off a worst loss as it look like it was going to actually win before a controversial scoring call and then that lateral debacle on the final play. That is tough to recover from but the Patriots are still in the playoff hunt and a return home should get them energized again. They have the toughest remaining stretch of any team vying for a playoff spot as the combined record of their three final opponents is 29-13 so it is going to take their best mini stretch of the season along with getting some help. New England has lost three of four but two of those games could have and should have gone their as two really bad calls went against them. The Patriots defense is what needs to keep them into this game and it should as the unit is ranked No. 6 in total defense and No. 8 in scoring defense while sitting in the top ten both against the run and pass. Cincinnati keeps rolling along following a win over the Buccaneers last week to improve to 10-4 which put the Bengals a game up on the Ravens atop the AFC North and they have been one of the hottest teams in the league. They have won 10 of 12 games following a 0-2 start and they are 11-1 ATS over that stretch which is easily the best run in the league. Following back-to-back home wins against the Chiefs and a divisional win over the Browns, and then the come-from-behind win against Tampa Bay last week, this is an awful spot but the public still obviously loves them. The Bengals are laying the same number they did last week which is flawed as the Patriots are a better team than the Buccaneers but it is based on recency bias and the linemakers had to put the line this high. 10* (460) New England Patriots |
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12-23-22 | Pacers v. Heat -6.5 | Top | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Friday Three Pack. Miami had its four-game winning streak come to an end on Tuesday with a 10-point home loss against Chicago to fall back to .500 on the season. The Heat were without Jimmy Butler because of a stomach issue but he will be back tonight which will help the offense that has been inconsistent the entire season and they will also be facing a below average defense. Miami is 9-7 at home which is nothing spectacular and while it is an average 7-7-1 ATS following a loss, this is a much better situation than when coming off a win where the Heat are 3-13 ATS. They are the worst ATS team in the league but are catching value here as they were favored by 3.5 points at Indiana in their last meeting less than two weeks ago so the line difference based on venue shift is way off. Indiana snapped a two-game losing streak with a big win at Boston on Wednesday as it got a huge game from Tyrese Haliburton as he scored 33 points but is questionable tonight with a wrist injury so he might not be close to 100 percent if he goes. The Pacers have not been able to put ant sort of winning streak together as they have gone 0-6 in their last six games following a win and it has not been pretty for the most part, losing those games by an average of 11 ppg. Playing at a quick pace is the plan here but not a good plan against this team. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 80-44 ATS (64.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) Miami Heat |
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12-23-22 | Bucks +2.5 v. Nets | Top | 100-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Friday Three Pack. Milwaukee is coming off a loss at Cleveland on Wednesday to snap a two-game winning streak and the Bucks have gone just 3-3 over their last six games. But the one thing they do not do is lose consecutively as they are 7-1 this season following a loss and this is the first of two straight games against the top of the Eastern Conference with Boston on deck Christmas Day. Milwaukee is now a half game ahead of the Celtics for first place in the conference and while there is a ton of basketball left, these early games do go a long way. The Bucks defense remains the strength as they are No. 2 in opponent shooting and No. 3 in points allowed and can challenge this Nets team that has been overachieving because of the opposition they have faced which has not been very good. Brooklyn is playing its best basketball of the season as it has won seven straight and 11 of its last 12 with a home loss against Boston being the lone blemish. Taking a look at this recent 12-game run shows the Nets have played hardly anyone with wins over Portland and Indiana being the only victories against teams that are currently in a playoff spot and they are both in the No. 8 spot in their respective conferences. The offense remains the best shooting team in the league but this is their biggest test. Here, we play against favorites after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (559) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-23-22 | Raptors v. Cavs -4 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS as part of our NBA Friday Three Pack. Toronto came through for us on Wednesday as it won in New York to snap the Knicks eight-game winning streak but we are fading the Raptors as they are facing one of the top defenses in the league and will not be able to get the same 52-point game from Pascal Siakam that they got against the Knicks. Toronto is just 4-12 on the road and while it was in a great contrarian spot in its last game, it is time to fade the Raptors on the road on another short price. The Raptors are four games under .500 and have no offensive consistency as they are one of the worst shooting teams in the league at No. 28 overall and No. 30 from long range. Cleveland is coming off a big win against Milwaukee to make it five straight wins and after a little bit of a lull, the Cavaliers are creeping up in the Eastern Conference as they are now in the No. 3 spot, one game behind Milwaukee for first place. Cleveland is ranked No. 1 in the league in points allowed and No. 5 in defensive shooting and we know who they will be keying in on here. The offense is slowly improving and the Cavaliers are now No. 7 in shooting as they have shot 47 percent or better in six of their last seven games and will be going up against the No. 29 ranked shooting defense so they are again projected to go well above 50 percent tonight. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging two straight losses going up against an opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. This situation is 60-24 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (564) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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12-23-22 | Wake Forest -2 v. Missouri | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Wake Forest was a ranked team in late October but it closed the season with losses in four of its last five games to finish the regular season 7-5. It will be out to close the season strong and the roster is fully on board as it is just a little more intact with no optouts and quarterback Sam Hartman is the key piece as he easily could have to get ready for the NFL Draft but chose the noble move to end his five-year career here and play in the final bowl game. Wake Forest has the No. 10 ranked passing offense and will be facing a strong Missouri defense but it will be down heading into this game. The defense was shredded many times this season but those were against alite offenses and that will not be the case here. Missouri has momentum in its favor, having won its last two games to clinch a bowl berth but it struggled for the most part against good teams, going 1-4 against FBS teams with a winning record. Missouri was not hit too hard with the transfer portal but did lose top receiver Dominic Lovett which will hurt an already anemic passing offense and the Tigers will also be missing some key pieces on the defensive line. While dual-threat quarterback Brady Cook will be difficult to contain, if this game turns into a shootout, his throwing ability will not be able to keep up. The Missouri defense struggles when facing off against elite slot receivers and Wake Forest has two of the best in the ACC in Taylor Morin and Ke'Shawn Williams. Here, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 55-22 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (231) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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12-23-22 | Iona -8 v. Seattle University | Top | 83-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the IONA GAELS for our CBB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Iona is coming off a bad loss in the first round of the Diamond Head Classic as it fell to SMU by four points as a 9.5-point favorite and the Gaels are now laying fewer points today against a worst team. This was the second straight loss for Iona as it lost at New Mexico by eight points before heading to Hawaii but that was not a shocker as the Lobos are off to a 12-0 start to the season. The Gaels opened 7-2 with solid wins over St. Louis, St. Bonaventure and Princeton and they will be out for a big bounce back here and want to close the tournament strong before heading into MAAC play where they are the heavy favorite to win the conference. Seattle is also coming off a loss as it fell to Utah St. 84-56 and is not in a good spot in the second game of the tournament. The Redhawks are off to an 8-3 start which looks good on paper but underneath that record tells a different story. Seattle has won only one game season when not favored and that was a win at Portland as a 3.5-point underdog. In the other three games as underdogs, which were all losses, the Redhawks were not competitive as they lost by 11, 15 and 28 points. They are 5-0 at home against cupcakes which has inflated the record and overall, the Redhawks have played the No. 285 ranked schedule in the country. Here, we play on neutral court teams averaging between 74 and 78 ppg going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74, after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more. This situation is 31-6 ATS (83.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (879) Iona Gaels |
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12-22-22 | Southern Miss v. UNLV -8 | Top | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the UNLV RUNNIN' REBELS for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Southern Mississippi is off to a very surprising 11-1 start but a win at Vanderbilt is its only notable win and the last three victories have come as favorites of 13.5 points or more and now they go into a place at the wrong time. Three of those victories have come against non-Division I teams while four others have comes against teams ranked in the 300 range as the overall schedule is ranked No. 323 in the nation so this is easily its first real test of the season. The Golden Eagles overall numbers are excellent but it is due to the schedule they have played and every strength they have goes up against every strength UNLV has on the other side. UNLV opened the season 10-0 but lost last time out against a very good San Francisco team by a bucket as a six-point chalk and are only laying a couple points more against a team not nearly as strong as the Dons. The Rebels have not played the toughest of schedules either but it is ranked 100 spots higher and this is a get right game before MWC season gets underway. They are now 5-1 at home and outscoring opponents by over 20 ppg and bring in a top 50 defense in both scoring and shooting and can lock this Golden Eagles offense down. One key stat not to overlook is the fact that Southern Mississippi in ranked No. 303 in free throw shooting. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points averaging 76 or more ppg and after three straight wins by 10 points or more going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg. This situation is 68-31 ATS (68.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (858) UNLV Runnin' Rebels |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars v. Jets -1.5 | Top | 19-3 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. We were waiting for the official news of Jets quarterback Mike White to see what sort of line would be established and the Jets are in good shape to snap its three-game losing streak and remain in playoff contention. Currently, New York is tied with New England on the outside looking in at 7-7, one game behind the Chargers and Dolphins so this has turned into a must win with this being the last home game and two games remaining on the road against playoff contenders Seattle and Miami. Zach Wilson was inserted back into the lineup last week and while he was far from great, he was not horrible, throwing for 317 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. He gave the Jets the lead but the defense allowed the game-winning 51-yard touchdown pass with 1:49 remaining. That defense is still extremely solid as they are ranked No. 3 overall, No. 4 in passing, No. 11 in rushing and No. 5 in scoring so now it is up to the offense to get going and this is a good spot to do so. Jacksonville was a winner for us last week as the Jaguars scored on a pick six in overtime to defeat Dallas and keep their division hopes alive. They have won four of their last six games with both of those losses coming on the road where they are 2-5 and while their offense is starting to peak, they have a tough road test here. Trevor Lawrence has come into his own recently as five of his last six games has seen him post a passer rating of 106 or higher while throwing for 14 touchdowns and just one interception. He will have problems here though, especially playing on a short week with travel involved. The Jacksonville defense has been the liability as it is ranked No. 27 overall and No. 21 in scoring and its passing defense has been the real issue with a No. 29 ranking so this is the spot for White. Here, we play on teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 68-34 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (452) New York Jets |
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12-22-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans -7.5 | Top | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost four straight games since ascending to the top of the Western Conference and bad news came across Wednesday. Zion Williamson has been declared out for this game with an illness which puts New Orleans now out with its two stars as the Pelicans also will be without Brandon Ingram for at least two more games. Williamson has averaged 28.6 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 6.0 apg and 1.5 spg in the 11 games with Ingram out so his absence will be big but even when he was in the lineup, the Pelicans have been slumping. That being said, the line has dropped significantly and the New Orleans roster is still better than San Antonio even with those two out and there are plenty of options to step in, namely Jonas Valanciunas and CJ McCollum. This is a typical spot where a superstar goes out and others pick it up in the first game of the absence. San Antonio opened the season pretty strong by going 5-2 but then lost 16 of its next 17 games before finally getting into the win column with three straight victories. The Spurs then lost two more but came back with an upset win over Houston, if you can call it that, by 19 points as a 4.5-point underdog. Now they are getting only three more points. Not nearly enough. They are a respectable 5-8 on the road but three of those came during that early run. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 79-44 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-22-22 | Air Force +3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Air Force comes into Thursday following four straight victories to close the regular season and finished in a three-way tie for second place in the MWC Mountain Division. A win over Baylor would give the Falcons a 10-win season for the second consecutive year and the fifth time over the last 16 seasons which is saying something for a service academy program. Air Force is 9-3 with the three losses coming against Wyoming, Utah St. and Boise St., all bowl teams, all by one possession and two of those being true road games. The solid record shows in the stats as the Falcons possess the top ranked rushing game in the country as they cause fits for most teams and will do so here against a team that fired its defensive coordinator at the end of the regular season. The flexbone offense has three productive backs so defenses cannot key on one particular player while getting confused by the numerous counters and fakes. Baylor has lost three straight games, albeit all against ranked teams, so it comes in with little momentum and after high expectations coming into the season, it has been a disappointing one at 6-6. The Bears have an above average offense led by quarterback Blake Shapen who has been wildly inconsistent especially down the stretch. Over his last four games, he has three touchdowns and five interceptions and none of those games came against a defense ranked in the top 50. Now, Baylor goes up against the top ranked defense in the country and the Falcons are great at both levels as they are No. 1 against the pass and No. 3 against the run and while this can be attributed to facing the fewest snaps by far, they are still No. 13 in yards per play allowed. Because of leading the country in time of possession, the defense is fresh throughout the game which leads to its great success. 10* (227) Air Force Falcons |
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12-22-22 | Wright State -1.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 88-80 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Wright St. is coming off a 52-point win over Northwestern Ohio but that cupcake victory was needed for the Raiders after having lost four straight games coming into that. A favorite in the Horizon League, they started 0-2 and then had another pair of losses in nonconference play against Western Kentucky and Akron, two very good teams and both on the road, and while they now hit the road again, they have a great matchup here to keep the momentum going before getting back into conference action next week. This is one of the best shooting offenses at No. 15 in the country going up against one of the worst defenses in the nation as the Raiders look to finally get back to over .500. Miami Ohio is coming off an upset win over an excellent Bellarmine team on the road as a 7.5-point underdog and it has now won four of its last six games. Two of the others came against two awful teams and the other against a non-Division I team. Two of the RedHawks five wins have come against said non-Division I teams so that Bellarmine win was a shock and now they come back down to earth. They are ranked No. 328 in scoring defense and No. 345 in shooting defense and while the offense is better, it is not nearly good enough to keep up. Here, we play on road teams as a favorite or pickem with a +3.5 to +8 ppg scoring differential and after scoring 95 points or more going up against teams with a +/- 3.5 ppg scoring differential. This situation is 63-25 ATS (71.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (821) Wright St. Raiders |
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12-21-22 | Denver v. Oregon State -7.5 | Top | 52-57 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CBB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Oregon St. has won two straight games following a 1-6 run to get it back to .500 on the season and it closes out its three-game homestand in solid spot to get back over .500 after starting the season 3-0. The Beavers have already doubled their win total from all of last season so the improvements are already showing and there will be no lack of motivation here as they will want to roll into Pac 12 action on a inning streak with three straight conference road games on deck. Oregon St. is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games after having won two of their last three games. Denver is off to a solid 9-4 start but it has beaten no one as its best win is a victory at Idaho St. by a point as a 3.5-point underdog. Overall, the Pioneers have played a schedule ranked No. 360 out of 363 division I teams and have played just one team from a major conference which resulted in a 23-point loss at UCLA and while Oregon St. is not on the same level as the Bruins, we are not asking them to win by 23 points so this is still la big step up in class for Denver. The Pioneers lost at Nebraska-Omaha by 17 points as a slight favorite on Monday and is in a tough travel spot. Here, we play against underdogs averaging 53 or less shots per game on the season, after two straight games making 50 percent of their shots or better. This situation is 48-23 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (748) Oregon St. Beavers |
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12-21-22 | South Alabama v. Western Kentucky +4.5 | Top | 23-44 | Win | 100 | 51 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. South Alabama is coming off its best season since entering the FBS in 2012 as it posted its best winning percentage after going 10-2 with the two losses coming by a combined five points against UCLA and Troy so it is no surprise the Jaguars come in as the favorite. Half of its wins came by one possession so things could have gone worse as the Jaguars have the No. 12 ranked Luck Factor Rating so deep analytics can tell a different story. They have a good but not great offense as they are ranked No. 40 or worse in all categories and while facing a below average defense, the Hilltoppers improved immensely on that side of the ball over the second half of the season. The Hilltoppers closed the season with wins in three of their last four games with the only loss at Auburn and they won the yardage battle in all of those contests. Western Kentucky was on the other side of the Luck Factor Ratings as they have been unfortunate coming in ranked No. 117. South Alabama comes in with a with a very solid defense but the one liability is the passing defense where it allows 215.8 ypg which is ranked No. 52 and while not horrible, it has a horrible matchup. The Hilltoppers bring in the No. 2 ranked passing offense and they are fortunate to be at full strength. They are led by transfer quarterback Austin Reed who was named C-USA Newcomer of the Year after throwing for 4,249 yards and 36 touchdowns, which are ranked No. 2 and No 4 in the country respectively. They are fortunate as Reed initially entered the transfer portal in hoping to go to Louisville but has since reversed course and will be playing with a chip on his shoulder. The rushing offense is not as good but the passing game has done enough to bring in the No. 10 ranked total offense and No. 18 ranked scoring offense. The Jaguars earlier faced Georgia Southern who came in with the No. 6 ranked passing offense and they were lit up by quarterback Kyle Vantrease yet escaped with a 14-point come-from-behind win. 10* (226) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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12-21-22 | Raptors +1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 113-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. Here, we have two teams heading in complete opposite directions and the short number is putting the majority on the Knicks. New York has won eight straight games including a 38-point blowout against Golden St. last night to move to 18-13 on the season and the Knicks are currently in the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference. This was the first victory for New York over the Warriors at home since 2013 so that was certainly a statement victory which spells a letdown tonight. This is typically not a good situational spot for the Knicks as they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Toronto meanwhile has lost six straight games and has the complete opposite record of the Knicks at 13-18 as the Raptors have fallen completely out of the playoff picture as they are now 2.5 games out of the final spot in the Eastern Conference. Four of those six losses came by four points or less which includes an overtime loss against Philadelphia on Monday so this skid could be a complete flip if the bounces went differently. The Raptors are only 3-12 on the road so looking at the broad numbers makes New York the easy side here but a line like this is what makes this a great contrarian spot. Here, we play on road underdogs off a close loss by three points or less to a division rival going up against an opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (539) Toronto Raptors |
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12-21-22 | Texas-Arlington v. California -4 | Top | 51-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. California is the only team remaining in all of Division I that has yet to win a game and it comes into Wednesday as the favorite which is putting the public on the Mavericks. The Golden Bears are 0-12 and having no wins is clearly not a good thing but they have played a very tough schedule and they are in a great scheduling situation here. They are coming off a road loss at Santa Clara on Sunday and return home where they are 0-7 which includes four losses as slight favorites and here they are again in their final nonconference game before Pac Ten action resumes next week. California is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in two straight games. We played on UT-Arlington as our free play for Monday as it went into San Francisco and defeated the Dons by five points as a 15-point underdog which snapped a three-game losing streak. That could provide momentum heading into tonight or it could bring a letdown and we are banking on the latter. The Mavericks have covered three of their last four games and it was their defense that got the job done the other night and they now face one of the worst offenses in the country so it looks inevitable that they are going to smother another opponent but the short travel turnaround could pose an issue after having nine days off prior to the last game. 10* (700) California Golden Bears |
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12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets +1.5 | Top | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Denver is coming off a win over Charlotte on Sunday to make it four wins in its last five games and with the victory, the Nuggets improved to 18-11 on the season, which has them tied with the Suns for the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference. They trail Memphis by one game so a win here gets Denver into a first place tie and tonight the Nuggets are getting points at home for the first time this season. They are 9-3 at home with the three losses coming by a total of six points including the last two where they shot 50 percent or better from the floor and the first defeat came with no Nikola Jokic in the lineup. He is listed on the injury report along with Jamal Murray, which is the likely reason this line is what it is, but both are listed as probable and are good to go. Memphis had its seven-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Oklahoma City on Saturday and in those seven victories, six were at home while the other one was at Detroit. The Grizzlies are 13-2 at home but just 6-8 on the road where they are anywhere between 3-9-2 and 3-11 ATS and even if this game flips back to Denver being favored, that is fine as Memphis is 0-4 ATS as a road underdog. Their defense remains No. 3 in efficiency but this will be a test facing the No. 3 ranked team in offensive efficiency as they are 2-5 this season against teams ranked in the top six in that category. Two contrarian situations favor Denver tonight. First, we play against road teams covering eight or more of their last 10 against the spread, playing six or less games in 14 days. This situation is 39-17 ATS (69.6 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on teams failing to cover six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 131-83 ATS (61.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Denver Nuggets |
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12-20-22 | Fresno State -5.5 v. CS Bakersfield | Top | 56-48 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS as part of our CBB Tuesday Three-Pack. Fresno St. opened the season 1-5 before a pair of much needed wins but it has lost two straight coming into this game, both as favorites, and this is the final tune-up before Mountain West Conference opens up at the end of the month. Those early five losses came against some very good teams where they were underdogs in all of those with the exception of one-game where it was favored by a point against San Francisco. Fresno St. has been really close to a much better record as every loss have come by single digits as the defense has been really good as the Bulldogs are No. 54 in points allowed and has a great matchup here facing one of the worst offenses in the country. CSU Bakersfield is just 4-6 with two of those wins coming against non-Division I teams but what really stands out has been the losses. The Roadrunners have lost three straight which came against Dartmouth, San Jose St. and Abilene Christian. The schedule has been a challenge based on playing a lot away from home but in three home games, they are 2-1 with the two wins coming against those aforementioned non-Division I teams. This is a bad spot with a team with no proven win and with low expectations coming into the season that has been pegged near the bottom of the Big West Conference. Here, we play against home teams as an underdog or pickem after scoring 60 points or less in three straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season. This situation is 100-59 ATS (62.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (643) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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12-20-22 | Illinois-Chicago +16 v. Northwestern | Top | 54-92 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS-CHICAGO FLAMES as part of our CBB Tuesday Three-Pack. Northwestern is off to a surprising 8-2 start considering the Wildcats have been picked to finish No. 13 in the 14-team Big Ten Conference. They do have a quality win at Michigan St. but nothing else except for that as the rest of the schedule has been soft. Northwestern has relied on a very strong defense that is No. 7 in points allowed and No. 3 in opponent shooting but the issue in games like this is the fact the offense is putrid as the Wildcats are No. 313 in scoring and No. 355 in shooting. Trying to cover a number this high against a very good team makes it difficult because of that as the Wildcats have laid double-digits four times, going 1-3 ATS with the only cover coming against Chicago St. which is ranked No. 327 in the country. Illinois-Chicago is 8-4 which includes wins in three straight games while covering four in a row. The Flames also have a very strong defense which means this looks like a low scoring game which is evidenced by the fact this is the sixth lowest total on the entire card tomorrow of 42 games in total. The schedule has not been great but in 11 lined games, the Flames have been underdogs in five of those and have covered both when getting double digits. Here, we play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points shooting 73 percent or better from the free throw line and allowing a shooting percentage of 33 percent or less going up against teams shooting between 65 and 69 percent from the free throw line. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (631) Illinois-Chicago Flames |
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12-20-22 | Air Force v. Northern Colorado -1.5 | Top | 67-65 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN COLORADO BEARS as part of our CBB Tuesday Three-Pack. Northern Colorado comes in two and a half games worse than Air Force as it is just 5-6 including a 1-2 record at home and the line flipped early going to the Bears being the favorite and it makes sense and we are on it. The Bears were on a 4-1 run before going to Colorado on Saturday and losing by 11 points but covered the 15.5 points and that game ended a stretch of six straight games away from home. This is their first home game in 29 days and Northern Colorado wants to get some retribution on its home floor after losing to non-Division I Colorado Christian by a point. The defense has been awful of late but that was all on the road and now face a team not accustomed yet to feel it on the road. Air Force is 8-4 thanks to possessing one of the softest home schedules in the country where the Falcons are 8-2 that includes five straight covers and six straight overall and that is bringing the public into play. They have shot great over this stretch but all of the good ones were at home and in the two games they have been on the road, where they are 0-2, they have shot just 40 percent. The shooting defense has been solid as well but all at home again and while they have allowed only 50 percent shooting once, that was in one of the road games. Here, we play against road teams after beating the spread by more than six points in three consecutive games going up against an opponent after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) since 1997. 10* (618) Northern Colorado Bears |
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12-20-22 | Eastern Michigan v. San Jose State -3.5 | Top | 41-27 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. San Jose St. comes in as a relatively short favorite hear which is based on its 0-6 ATS stretch to close the season as the public rides those streaks while those are the ones we go against. San Jose St. comes in with two key edges in the quarterback matchup and the defensive advantage. Quarterback Chevan Cordeiro, an All-Mountain West second-team selection has thrown for 2,885 yards with 20 touchdowns and just four interceptions. The offense overall has not been great but it has been efficient as the Spartans are No. 4 in the country in turnover margin as they have only turned the ball over six times all season while the defense has grabbed 18 takeaways. Corderio has led an offense that is No. 34 in passing and while facing a tough passing defense, he should be just fine here. The Spartans are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a winning record. Eastern Michigan brings in a similar offense overall but it is way down the ranks in both rushing and passing so it does not flourish in any one area. The Eagles are No. 86 in passing offense and No. 74 in rushing offense and they have a bad matchup here. Defensively, the Spartans are No. 25 overall and No. 22 in points allowed as they are a great pressure team and have the ability to get into the opponent backfield. San Jose St. in ranked No. 5 with 36 sacks on the season, led by defensive linemen Viliami Fehoko and Cade Hall which will be playing on Sunday in the near future, and the Eagles are ranked No. 85 in pass protection after giving up 30 sacks. Expect San Jose St. to be under pressure all day with quarterback Taylor Powell under duress. The Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 55-21 ATS (72.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (222) San Jose St. Spartans |
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12-19-22 | Rams v. Packers -7 | Top | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. The Rams are coming off a big come-from-behind win over Las Vegas last Thursday as Baker Mayfield propelled Los Angeles despite being with the team for just two days. Now that he has had time to get into the playbook, many will expect a good effort on that side of the ball but there is still very little to work with because of numerous players out. The offense has managed to average only 266.3 ypg over their last three games and we cannot see them keeping up here. Even with the extra time off, the Rams defense also continue to be plagued with injuries. Defensive lineman Aaron Donald (ankle), defensive tackle Marquise Copeland (ankle), linebacker Travin Howard (hip) and defensive back David Long Jr. (groin) have all been ruled out. The Rams are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Green Bay is coming off its bye week which came later than it would have liked but it was good timing for its quarterback situation as Aaron Rodgers was a full participant in practice this week for all three practices, a first since his thumb injury against the New York Giants. The Packers are back home the first time in a month following a pair of road games prior to the bye where they are 3-2. The offense has struggled to score points consistently but Green Bay is still ranked in the top half of the league in total offense, rushing offense and passing offense and facing a depleted defense is just what it needs to cure the scoring woes. The weather is in their favor as according to PFR, the Rams have played five games with a kickoff temperature of 15 or colder in their whole existence, the last coming in 1992. Green Bay is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 home games after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. 10* (332) Green Bay Packers |
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12-19-22 | North Dakota v. St. Thomas -7 | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. THOMAS TOMMIES for our CBB Monday Supreme Annihilator. North Dakota is coming off a non-Division I victory over North Central-MN which snapped a four-game losing streak that included three road losses all of which were by double-digits. Those defeats dropped the Fighting Hawks to 2-4 on the road and they hit the highway for their conference opener Tuesday. They will be in for a struggle this season as two of their six wins came against non-Division I teams and they have been underdogs in 10 of their 11 lined games. This is a game St. Thomas has had circled since last season as it went 4-14 in the Summit League which was its first season at this college level and now coming off a disaster of that that, it knows it is better and wants to get out strong. The Tommies were picked No. 8 in the preseason poll but there was not much separation between them and the No. 4 spot so this team could surprise as they are already just one win shy of their total from all of last season. Head coach Johnny Tauer has two of his three double-digits scorers back from year one in Riley Miller and Parker Bjorklund and both are in double-digits again joined by freshman guard Andrew Rohde to head an offense that is No. 93 in total offense and No. 59 in shooting offense. Additionally, St. Thomas is one of the best free throw shooting teams in the country (No. 12) against one of the worst (No. 322). Here, we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem in a game involving two teams shooting 36.5 percent or better from long range, after a game where they made 50 percent of their three-point shots or better. This situation is 62-32 ATS (66 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (816) St. Thomas Tommies |
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12-19-22 | Magic v. Hawks -7.5 | Top | 125-126 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. This is a ripe spot for Orlando to get blown out as the Magic are coming off another win at Boston to sweep the back-to-back on the road, both coming as double-digit underdogs. That made it six straight wins for Orlando with the first four coming at home where it was an underdog in all of those as well. The two wins in Boston moved the Magic to just 3-11 on the road which makes this an awful spot staying on the road for a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. Orlando is 0-4 in the second game of a back-to-back this season and now after covering seven straight games, we are getting value based on that as the last five road games, they were getting 10 or more points. It has been a rough stretch for Atlanta as it has gone 4-8 over its last 12 games but did snap a two-game slide with a blowout win at Charlotte on Friday. Sitting at 15-15, the Hawks are in the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference and while injuries have been a slight issue, Trae Young is back healthy and playing well as he is close to averaging a double-double with 27.0 ppg and 9.9 apg and his assist numbers have surged and has helped the rest of the roster. One of the recent losses was an 11-point loss at Orlando two games back so immediate revenge is in store and Atlanta is 27-14 ATS in its last 41 home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss of 10 points or more, playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 62-33 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Atlanta Hawks |
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12-19-22 | Connecticut v. Marshall -11 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CFB Monday Enforcer. In their first season under of head coach Jim Mora, the Huskies are back in a bowl for the first time since 2015 and have a chance for their first winning season since 2010. There is a ton of motivation for this program but this is not a good matchup. We played against Connecticut in its final game of the regular season and while it won the overall yardage battle, Army controlled the game with its rushing attack as it gained 320 yards on 5.5 ypc. Connecticut is ranked No. 88 in rushing defense and while the Marshall running game is a difference scheme than that of the Black Knights, it is still a powerful one. The Thundering Herd are No. 21 in rushing offense led by Khalan Labon and his 1,423 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns while freshman quarterback Cam Fancher has done a solid job taking over for an injured Henri Colombi and has led a balanced attack where he has also utilize his legs. On the other side, the Huskies rely solely on their running game as they are a solid No. 32 in rushing offense but have no passing game to speak of and that is a problem here. The Thundering Herd have the No. 5 rushing defense in the country so Connecticut will have a hard time getting anything going on the ground and relying on freshman quarterback Zion Turner is a problem as he has not been as effective as his counterpart as he has thrown for only 1,242 yards on the entire season while throwing just nine touchdowns and seven interceptions. It has been a nice story for the Huskies but playing a soft Independent schedule helped as they are ranked just No. 132 in the current ratings and are ranked below many teams with losing records. This will be a boring game with a lot of running on both sides with Marshall having the ability to control the line of scrimmage from start to finish. 10* (220) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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12-18-22 | Nets v. Pistons +7 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Brooklyn is rolling along with five straight wins including the first three of this four-game roadtrip and going back it has won nine of its last 10 games but this is a very common trip up spot. The Nets are now 8-7 on the road with the scoring differential just about dead even at +0.4 ppg with a big reason being its poor perimeter defense. They are allowing opponents to shoot 38 percent from long range which is slightly above the season average allowed that checks in at No. 29 in the NBA. Detroit has certainly had its share of problems this season at 8-23 overall but the Pistons do have a winning record against the number because of inflated numbers like this one. The Pistons are coming off a loss to Sacramento on Friday to make it four losses over their last five games as they still possess the top ranked schedule played in the NBA which has obviously played a role in the overall record but this is an excellent spot against a team not fully focused here. The Pistons are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after two consecutive covers as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) Detroit Pistons |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs +4 | Top | 34-23 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Cincinnati keeps rolling along following a win over the Browns last week to improve to 9-4 which kept the Bengals tied with the Ravens atop the AFC North but are now a half-game up following the Baltimore loss Saturday and they have been one of the hottest teams in the league. They have won nine of 11 games following a 0-2 start and they are 10-1 ATS over that stretch which is easily the best run in the league. Following back-to-back home wins against the Chiefs and then a division rival, this is an awful spot against a team no one wants to touch. Cincinnati is 4-3 on the road which includes no quality win. That begs the question is Tampa Bay a quality team? The Buccaneers are coming off a brutal loss against San Francisco following a last second win over the Saints and an overtime loss against Browns so they are stuck in a bad place but this still one of the better rosters in the league. The offense has not been able to get much going with Tom Brady but they have been so close and they are facing a passing defense that has struggled as the Bengals are No. 20 in the NFL in passing defense. Get some sort of rushing game going and they will be good. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems committing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game and after three consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against a team with forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (328) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars +4 | Top | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. Dallas is a massive public favorite this week based on the short line and who it is playing based on name which makes this another great contrarian spot. The Cowboys are on a four-game winning streak that includes three straight home wins and that alone is a tough spot playing on the road for the first time in a month. Dallas is 7-1 at home and get that extra home game based on the new schedules and get the Eagles there next week but come in only 3-2 on the highway with two of those wins coming against the overrated Giants and Vikings and the other against the hapless Rams. We cannot count out Jacksonville just yet. With a 2-1 record over its next three games coupled with a 1-2 Tennessee run in its next three games means a Week 18 showdown will decide the division based on the head-to-head tiebreaker. The Jaguars got into this spot with a 36-22 win over Tennessee last week on the road and while up and down, they are coming together when it counts with a 3-2 record over their last five games which followed a five-game losing streak but those were all decided by one possession so their record could be flipped right now. Here, we play on home teams in non-conference games, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (322) Jacksonville Jaguars |
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12-18-22 | Eagles v. Bears +9 | Top | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We are going contrarian here with the Bears as they are coming off a bye week which makes them in a healthy spot, notably quarterback Justin Fields who was at one point possibly to have been shut down for the season and he is capable of another big game here. The Bears have lost six straight games but won the yardage battle in half of those including a +52-yard edge in the last game against Green Bay and it knows how to play to it strength which is in the running game. Chicago has the No. 1 rushing offense in the league and Fields is a big part of that and that can be exploited here against an Eagles defense that allows 6.8 ypc against opposing quarterbacks which is worst in the NFL and getting that to go along with a significant home underdog to shorten a game is ideal. The Eagles suffered their first loss of the season against Washington and followed that up with poor effort at Indianapolis but they have rebounded with three straight dominating wins and are pretty much locked in for the top seed in the NFC. This is a tough spot coming off a big divisional win against the Giants with the Cowboys on deck and they have not been exactly dominating on the road of late and getting out of here healthy with a vanilla win, especially with this being the second of three straight road games. Here, we play against favorites outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yppl, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 58-18 ATS (76.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (318) Chicago Bears |
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12-17-22 | Fresno State -4 v. Washington State | Top | 29-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Fresno St. had a rough start to the season as it opened 1-4 due to the loss of starting quarterback Jake Haener but his return brought a resurgence as the Bulldogs closed the season with six straight wins as the defense also picked it up late. Haener has thrown for 2,616 yards on 72.6 percent completions while throwing 18 touchdowns and only three picks and has an ideal matchup here. This line has done a big flip but justifiably so with the Cougars taking a big hit with absences. Washington St. is down some key players and personnel heading into its bowl game. Wide receivers De'Zhaun Stribling and Donovan Ollie and middle linebackers Francisco Mauigoa and Travion Brown went into the transfer portal. But the biggest one is outside linebacker Daiyan Henley, an All-Pac-12 first-team selection, opted out of the LA Bowl to declare for the NFL draft. Additionally, defensive coordinator Brian Ward left for Arizona St. early this month while offensive coordinator Eric Morris left the team to take over the head coaching job at North Texas. The transfer portal has done a number on a bunch of teams and Washington St. has been one of the most affected and scrambling in an early bowl game makes it more demanding. The Cougars had won three straight games before getting pummeled by Washington in the Apple Cup to close the regular season. Here, we play on teams after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 17 or more points. This situation is 54-25 ATS (68.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (211) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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12-17-22 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. The Vikings had their run come to an end last week against the Lions but it has not been a good run overall despite all of the winning. While going 3-2 over its last five games, Minnesota was outgained in all of those games and while the public will be all over them here in a bounce back situation, this is a tram that cannot be trusted. The Vikings have been outgained by over 60 ypg which is unheard of for a team that is 10-3 and the NFL Luck Factor ratings are still led by Minnesota and by a wide margin and the scoring differential tells the real story as its -1-point scoring differential is the lowest by any 10-win team in NFL history. The defense is horrible as Minnesota is ranked dead last overall and in passing yards allowed. Indianapolis won in Las Vegas in the coaching debut of Jeff Saturday but has lost three straight since then but it has not been awful as the Colts have been outgained by only 46.3 ypg during this losing streak. Following their 33-point defensive meltdown against the Cowboys, the Colts had their bye week and while the roster seems depleted, having that week off got a lot of players back in the rotation. Matt Ryan has been a lawn chair but he is facing by far the worst defense he has seen since back as the starting quarterback and this is a game we should see Jonathan Taylor get his third 100-yard rushing performance this season. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having won eight or more out of their last 10 games. This situation is 24-7 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (307) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-16-22 | Knicks v. Bulls -2 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Knicks have won five straight games including at win at Chicago on Wednesday in overtime to improve to 15-13 on the season which has out them into sixth place in the Eastern Conference. The victory against the Bulls was just their fourth against a top 16 team this season which is the second fewest for a top 16 team, ahead of only the Clippers who have three victories against this group. Additionally, New York has 10 losses against the top 16 which is the most in the top half of the NBA and while that is tied with the Bulls, Chicago has double the amount of wins. The Knicks have won three straight road games but the other two came against Detroit and Charlotte which are a combined 15-43 on the season. Chicago has lost two straight games with the first coming in Atlanta in overtime as well on a last second shot. This is a great spot to bounce back to remain above .500 at home. And they have a solid edge in offense as their efficiency in No. 3 in the league over the last three games and they go up against a Knicks defense that is middle of the road in defensive efficiency. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 79-41 ATS (65.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (544) Chicago Bulls |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 21-13 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFC West Game of the Month. The early opener for this game was San Francisco -1 and has quickly gone to -3.5 with all of the early money coming in on the 49ers and this line will likely only go up more from here as there is not a more public betting team in the NFL right now with Cincinnati a distant second as San Francisco has been all over the national limelight. The 49ers improved to 9-4 after an absolute rout of Tampa Bay in the first start for Brock Purdy to make it six straight wins but the schedule could not have been more favorable. The streak opened with a win at the hapless Rams on October 30 and that has been the last true road game they have played as four of their last five games have been at home with the other coming in Mexico City. Purdy now makes his first road start in one of the toughest environments in the league against a team in need of keeping its season alive. San Francisco has the No. 1 total defense, scoring defense and rushing defense and is the real deal but will have a road test here. The Seahawks have taken a step back with losses in three of their last four games but all three of those losses were winnable as all were by one possession and this has turned into a big game at the wrong time with the recent 49ers domination. Seattle has fallen back from being a likely playoff team to now having to deal with the Giants, Commanders and Lions for the final two spots in the NFC with those four teams separated by a game and a half. Seattle remains home where it is 3-3 and does have two more home games after this so the schedule in in its favor with nine home games and just seven road games with a neutral game mixed in there. The Seahawks are on a 0-4 run against the number so we cannot ask for a better spot especially with Pete Carroll on the sidelines as he has thrived here in Seattle going 20-8 ATS as a home underdog, 17-5 ATS at home revenging a loss and 14-3 ATS against teams 3.5 or less ypc. Historical trends are typically meaningless but these are something to definitely take into account. 10* (302) Seattle Seahawks |
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12-14-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 88-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. The Clippers are coming off a 20-point win over Boston and while we were on the wrong side of that, we are fading Los Angeles here in what is close to an 11-point line shift and no matter good the Celtics may be, they are not separated by this many points against a competent that sits right around the .500 mark. The Clippers got the best game of the season from Kawhi Leonard as he scored 25 points to go along with nine rebounds and six assists and they need this the rest of the season to make any long playoff run but that is something that cannot be counted on yet. The Clippers are just 8-6 at home and could be in for a lookahead spot here with Phoenix on deck tomorrow. Minnesota has lost two straight games, both in Portland to from a game over .500 to a game under .500 which came after a mini run of 3-1 as it still plays in the absence of Karl-Anthony Towns. The Timberwolves are a respectable 6-7 on the road and like the Warriors, they are a top ten team overall in shooting on both sides of the floor which makes them dangerous any night and especially in betting aspects of getting a number this big. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off a home win scoring 110 or more points, playing a losing team. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (519) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-14-22 | Warriors -1 v. Pacers | Top | 119-125 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. We played against Golden St. last night as it was able to build an early lead but that did not last long as it fell behind as many as 26 points in the 16-point loss against Milwaukee. The road struggles are evident as the Warriors fell to 2-12 on the highway and this is a good spot to bounce back in the midst of this six-game roadtrip that gets tougher after this. Despite a .500 record, the Warriors are a top ten team in both offensive and defensive shooting , effective field goal percentage and three-point shooting. Indiana has lost its first two games of this three-game homestand and has lost six of its last eight games as the overachieving start has started to catch up. This is no great home court advantage like the Warriors have gone against for most of the season as the Pacers are 8-6 with half of those wins coming against Orlando (twice), Detroit and Washington. While the Warriors are top ten in the aforementioned shooting rankings, the Pacers are ranked in the bottom half of the league in all of those with the exception of offensive three-point shooting. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 90 points or less. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (501) Golden St. Warriors |
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12-14-22 | Hawks -2.5 v. Magic | Top | 124-135 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. Atlanta is coming off a 25-point loss at Memphis on Monday to make it four losses over the last five games. After a great start to the season where the Hawks opened 10-6, they have lost eight of their last 10 games with the inconsistency of Trae Young being in the lineup being a big issue with that. He missed the last game against the Grizzlies with a back issue and comes into this game questionable but will likely be in the lineup in the start of a get right stretch of six straight games against teams with a losing record. Orlando has turned a corner with wins in three straight games, all at home and all as an underdog of at least 6.5 points but this corner cannot last very long. The return of some key injured players have started to show some bright signs recently but prior to this run, the Magic lost nine straight games which included a home loss by 17 points against Atlanta where they were getting 6.5 points. Now they are getting just 2.5 points and they are 1-4 ATS this season when getting three of fewer points with the lone win and cover coming against 7-20 Charlotte. Here, we play on favorites with a scoring differential of +/- 3 ppg going up teams with a scoring differential between -3 and -7 ppg, after a loss by 15 points or more. This situation is 38-14 ATS (73.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (503) Atlanta Hawks |
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12-13-22 | Texas-San Antonio +23.5 v. Utah | Top | 70-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS for our CBB Tuesday Ultimate Underdog. UTSA comes into Tuesday after falling to undefeated New Mexico on the road this past Saturday to fall to 5-4 on the season and while facing its biggest test of the season, it is also getting the most points it has seen. The Roadrunners got off to a slow start against the Lobos but hung in and kept it very respectable in a very tough environment and we expect the same here against an opponent in a tough spot. The offense had had their struggles this season and will be facing a tough defense but the Roadrunners do have some edges on the other side as they have a very strong perimeter defense that can combat the outside shooting of the Utes. The Roadrunners are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Utah comes into the game riding a four-game winning streak that has been highlighted by an 81-66 win of then-number-four Arizona at the Huntsman Center. The Utes are now 8-2 and while one of the losses was a quality one against Mississippi St. by just three points on a neutral floor, the other came against San Houston St. by 10 points at home so focus could be an issue again. A big reason for that is the fact Utah travels to rival BYU in its next game and will be out for revenge following an 11-point loss to the Cougars at home so they have had that game circled. The Utes have covered five straight games so this line is inflated due to that as we have this line well below that based on the most recent power ratings. A low scoring game is expected which favors the underdog especially one that is this big. 10* (619) UTSA Roadrunners |
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12-13-22 | Warriors v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This situation is MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We played against Milwaukee on Sunday as it went into Houston and lost outright as a 10-point favorite and now it is back home in the second part of the proverbial sandwich where the Bucks won at Dallas Friday and has the Rockets in-between the two games which possibly caused the letdown, lookahead situation. The loss kept the Bucks a game and a half behind Boston for first place in the Eastern Conference and they head into Tuesday where they are 12-3 at home and look to get back on track following a 7-1 previous to Sunday. The Bucks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record. Golden St. snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Boston on Saturday as it avoided a Celtics pursuit of getting revenge from the NBA Finals from last season. The Warriors moved back to a game over .500 on the season which has been a major disappointment following their championship last year. Golden St. improved to 12-2 at home but now hit the road where it has been a disaster with a 2-11 record with the only wins coming against Houston and Minnesota on the highway and it has lost two straight since that most recent win against the Timberwolves. The Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play on home teams after two or more consecutive unders, that have a scoring differential between +3 to +7 ppg going up against teams with a scoring differential of +/- 3 ppg. This situation is 87-40 ATS (68.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-12-22 | Celtics -3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Nonconference Game of the Month. Boston opened this roadtrip with three wins including a solid 27-point win over then-Western Conference leading Phoenix where it built a 45-point lead but suffered a loss at Golden St. on Saturday by 16 points which was its worst defeat of the season. The Celtics are now 21-6 and after the previous five losses, they won four of their follow up games and by an average of 11.5 ppg and are in another good spot to bounce back from the most recent loss. Boston remains in first place in the Eastern Conference as the offense still is tops in the league in scoring, three point shooting and free throw shooting while sitting No. 4 in overall shooting. The Clippers return home from a four-game east coast roadtrip where it went 2-2 and they are 15-13 overall showing nothing special along the way. They are just 7-6 at home and are still barely ranked in the top 20 in the power rankings as their schedule has been very easy, ranked No. 28 in the league as their wins have come against the poor teams in the NBA. Los Angeles is 13-5 against teams ranked outside the top 16 and just 2-8 against the top 16 that includes a 1-5 record against the top 10, one of only three teams in the entire league that has only one win against a top ten team, their being a two-point win against Cleveland. The Clippers do have a tough defense but the offense does not have enough to keep up. Here, we play on road favorites coming off a road loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 39-12 ATS (76.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (563) Boston Celtics |
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12-12-22 | Creighton -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. After a 6-0 start to the season, the Bluejays have lost four straight games and have fallen outside the top 25. The four losses were not bad ones as they were against Arizona, Texas, Nebraska and BYU, all of which have winning records so no real harm there especially when three of those were by five points or less and all away from home. Creighton is still ranked No. 27 in the latest ratings as the schedule has been a difficult one which is ranked No. 52 in the country and it was shorthanded last game with Ryan Kalkbrenner sitting out which was confirmed just one hour before the game so they had to change on the fly and it clearly did not work out and he should be good to go Monday. Arizona St. is 9-1 to open the season which does include a win over Michigan but there has not been much besides that with a schedule that is ranked No. 185. The Sun Devils are a quality team with a defense that has led the way, allowing 34.4 percent shooting from the floor which is No. 4 in the country, including 25.8 percent shooting allowed from long range which is No. 8. This is a good thing because the offense has struggled despite the soft schedule as Arizona St. is bottom third in the nation in overall shooting and shooting from behind the arc. Creighton finally gets that bounce back win after three straight failed efforts. 10* (811) Creighton Bluejays |
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12-12-22 | Patriots v. Cardinals +1.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. The season is on the line for both teams here and despite the recent struggles for the Cardinals on their home field, they are in a good matchup with both sides of the ball having edges where they count. Arizona is 4-8 including a 1-5 record at home and going back it is 1-10 in its last 11 games at home but this season, the Cardinals have outgained three of six opponents here and two of those that they did not were against Kansas city and Seattle. One big edge on offense is Kyler Murray as there is one problem that Bill Belichick's defenses have struggled with for a while and that would be defending quarterbacks that can run. That has been the case this season as they have struggled against Lamar Jackson, Justin Fields and Josh Allen which resulted in losses to Baltimore, Chicago and Buffalo respectively and those were all on their home field. Defensively, the Cardinals are excellent against the rush as they are No. 11 and Rhamondre Stevenson was ineffective last week against the Bills and could struggle again here. The passing defense has not been as good but Arizona applies a lot of pressure on the quarterback and that is a big factor here as Mac Jones does not have the ability to make plays when under pressure as he has completed only 43.8 percent of his passes with one touchdown and five interceptions. Overall, the defensive numbers are not great but the quarterbacks they have lost to are Patrick Mahomes, Matthew Stafford, Jalen Hurts, Kirk Cousins, Jimmy Garoppolo, Justin Herbert and Geno Smith. Sorry Mac, you are not close to being in that group. There are a lot of historic numbers, angles and trends that are on the Patriots side but last we looked, Tom Brady is no longer there. Looking at the raw power rankings and with home field added in, the wrong team is favored here. 10* (128) Arizona Cardinals |
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12-11-22 | Mississippi State v. Minnesota +8 | Top | 69-51 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Minnesota is coming off a home loss against Michigan and while it was by 15 points, we have to look at the value here as the Golden Gophers are now getting double that amount tonight which seems way off considering Michigan and Mississippi St. are separated by just a half-point in the power rankings. Minnesota is now 4-5 on the season following four straight losses and bettors are steering clear of the Gophers so the linesmakers hands are tied when setting this number and despite the inflated line, Minnesota is a go against for the majority. Mississippi St. is off to an 8-0 start but it is in a very tricky spot here as the Bulldogs are plying their first true road game of the season and over its last two games on a neutral floor, it resulted in a pair of wins by just three points against Marquette and Utah. Overall, the Bulldogs have played the No. 346 schedule in the country out of 363 teams so while they possess the No. 1 ranked scoring defense in the nation, that is totally skewed and despite the strength of schedule, the offense has been below average in all major statistical categories so if we are expecting a low scoring game, the total is the lowest on the entire Sunday board, that favors the underdog and especially a big one at home. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 28-3 ATS (90.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (788) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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12-11-22 | Dolphins v. Chargers +3.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 52 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. Miami is coming off a poor loss last week against San Francisco as it scored on its first play from scrimmage but was shutdown pretty much the rest of the way as after that 75-yard touchdown, and another 45-yard touchdown, the Dolphins managed only 188 total yards elsewhere. This looks to be a good bounce back spot against a struggling team but it is not going to be as easy as some may think and despite having a two-game better record, Miami could be considered a false favorite here based on power rankings, namely the Sagarin rating that have these teams dead even not taking into account any home field advantage with in fairness, is basically nothing for Los Angeles. The defense is below average and after getting beat up by Brock Purdy, they have a much worse matchup here. This is a tough spot as Miami stayed in Los Angeles which is good for travel but kept them out of their normal routine as far as facilities and familiarity. The Chargers have lost three of their last four games to level out at 6-6 on the season and this is a massive game to stay in the playoff picture not only for the win but the quality victory for strength of wins if it comes down to a tiebreaker. The offense is ranked No. 13 overall and No. 14 in scoring and it is this low because of injuries, namely to wide receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams but both are finally heathy at the same time as this will be just the fourth time all season they will be active and playing together and this is a massive upgrade for the offense. The big weakness of the defense is against the run which happens to be the weakness for the Dolphins offense so the strength of the secondary will make it a tough matchup again for an injured Tua Tagovailoa. Here, we play against favorites with a poor turnover defense forcing one or less tpg, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (120) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-11-22 | Bucks v. Rockets +10 | Top | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. We played against Houston on Friday as it lost at San Antonio in the first game that it has been favored in all season and now heads back home where it is significantly better than it is on the road. The Rockets have been better overall, going 4-4 over their last eight games which includes three straight home wins where they are now 4-5 on the season as opposed to 3-13 on the highway so they have played a very heavy road schedule. This is part of the reason Houston has played the No. 3 ranked schedule in the league and they are catching a huge number at home where they are 4-1 ATS against teams with a winning record including an outright win over Philadelphia in its last game at home. The Rockets will be out for revenge following a 20-point loss in Milwaukee in the first meeting this season which is tied for their biggest loss of the season. Milwaukee is coming off a one-point win at Dallas on Friday to make it four straight wins and victories in seven of its last eight games. That puts the Bucks in a tough situation here as coming off that win and having a game on deck at home against Golden St. leads them into a tough sandwich spot. The runs along with the Celtics loss last night puts Milwaukee now one game behind Boston in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks are 7-3 on the road and they have actually been outscored overall on those 10 road games despite being four games over .500. The Bucks are just 2-5 ATS as favorites of more than seven points. Here, we play on teams coming off an upset loss as a favorite going up against an opponent off a road win by three points or less. This situation is 52-22 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Houston Rockets |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions -2 | Top | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 61 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFC North Game of the Month. We have won and covered the last two games with the Vikings but they have been a team that can take years off your life. From a situational standpoint, they would be the play here by going against the Detroit cover streak but the bounces will eventually betray them and we feel this is that spot. Minnesota is coming off three straight home games and was outgained in all of those and by an average of 175 ypg so the fact it won those last two games is certainly fortunate but we think it is now time to jump ship. The Vikings are 3-1 on the road and were outgained in two of those and in the two they won the yardage battle, it was by 6 and 38 yards. The NFL Luck Factor ratings are still led by Minnesota and by a wide margin and the scoring differential tells the real story as its +10 point scoring differential is the lowest by any 10-win team in NFL history. Detroit has played its way back into the playoff picture in the NFC as it is now 5-7 after wins in four of its last five games with the lone loss coming against Buffalo by just a field goal on Thanksgiving. While Minnesota has won all of the close games, the Lions have been on the opposite side of that as of those seven losses, five have come by four points or less with four of those taking place at home and this is a statement game for Detroit. Those Luck Factor rating are not on their side as the Lions are No. 20 and while these analytics typically only talk about the past and not about future performance, as we all know, things come back to the median to at least a limited degree. The Lions defense remains one of the worst in the league and this is a tough matchup there but the offense makes up for it as Detroit is now No. 7 overall and No. 6 in scoring and if this game is won, the Lions are looing good the rest of the way with the last four games including three losing teams and the Jets. 10* (106) Detroit Lions |
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12-11-22 | Browns +6 v. Bengals | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Cincinnati is coming off a big win against Kansas City last week to improve to 8-4 which kept the Bengals tied with the Ravens atop the AFC North and they have been one of the hottest teams in the league. They have won eight of 10 games following a 0-2 start and they are 9-1 ATS over that stretch which is easily the best run in the league. Both of those streaks along with a high-profile win against the Chiefs is putting the public all over Cincinnati as 73 percent of the money has come in on the Bengals yet the line has not budged. Red flag. They are the No. 5 total offense in the NFL and No. 7 in scoring but are facing a tough defense that brings a lot of pressure which can hurt this offensive line which has done a good job of keeping Joe Burrow upright after a poor start. Cleveland won in Houston last week as Deshaun Watson made his season debut and he was awful but that was expected in his first action in over a season and a half and with the nerves and anxiety out of the way, we should see a much better performance this week. The Browns are just 2-4 on the road which includes a bad loss against Miami but two of those losses were by three points with the other coming against Buffalo in Detroit. We expect another rush heavy gameplan as the Browns possess the No. 4 ranked rushing offense and face off against a rather average rushing defense and an overall average stop unit. The difference in the records are just three games which is not a large enough variance to constitute this line in a divisional game as linesmakers have been forced to inflate it which still is not keeping the public off. Here, we play against home teams (averaging 7.3 or more ypa and after gaining 6.75 or more passing ypa in four straight games going up against teams averaging between 5.9 and 6.7 ypa. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (113) Cleveland Browns |
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12-10-22 | Wolves v. Blazers -5 | Top | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Portland is coming off a brutal home loss against Denver on Thursday as it went down on a last second three-pointer from Jamal Murray which snapped a modest two-game winning streak. The Blazers fell to 5-6 at home as they are one of only three teams in the Western Conference that possess a losing home record with San Antonio and Houston being the others. That being said, they are in a great spot here coming off that loss and facing a team on a back-to-back. Portland is ranked No. 4 in the league in three-point shooting going up against the Timberwolves perimeter defense that is No. 25 in long range shooting allowed which sets up Damian Lillard to have another huge game similar to his outburst against the Nuggets. Minnesota has won two straight games following a 10-point win at Utah last night. This is the Timberwolves fourth time this season playing back-to-back games and while having gone 1-2 against the number in the first three instances and this is the first of the season where both consecutive games have come on the road. The offense has been on a roll but the defense has been dreadful as the Timberwolves have allowed 123 ppg over their last six games. Here, we play on teams coming off a loss by three points or less to a division rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (536) Portland Trail Blazers |
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12-10-22 | Boise State v. St. Louis -5.5 | Top | 57-52 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BILLIKENS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. St. Louis is coming off a bad loss and looks to regroup as it heads back home where it is 5-0 on the season and is in a great situation for a big bounce back. After losing by 22 points at Iona, Boise St. and Drake offer two of their few remaining chances at wins that will display in the NET rankings, which came out this week. That loss to the Gaels dropped the Billikens way down the power rankings to No. 81 so these are the types of games they can ill afford to give up before conference play gets going. The Billikens have been at their best in this spot as they are among the better offensive teams in the country at home. They face a strong defense but one that has yet to see an environment like this. The Billikens have had injury issues early this season but are expected to be fully healthy as they begin their three-game homestand. Boise St. has won six straight games following a 1-2 start and it hits the highway for its first true road game of the season. It has already notched three wins against Power Five opponents, which is the most ever for the Broncos in a single season so that is a concern but they will be facing their first team going through some adversity. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points averaging between 67 and 74 ppg and after two straight wins by 10 points or more going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (716) St. Louis Billikens |
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12-10-22 | Arizona v. Indiana | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA WILDCATS for our CBB Saturday Star Attraction. Two of the best shooting teams in the country square off in Las Vegas. The Wildcats have size, play an up tempo style and are battle-tested this season with wins over Cincinnati, San Diego St. and Creighton all of which came on a neutral floor at the Maui Invitational. Arizona enters the game with the second-best offense and the best effective field goal percentage in the country and the Indiana defense, which has been extremely solid, has not been tested like this. The Wildcats are balanced inside and out and having the fastest paced team in the country is even more potent as their bigs run the floor better than any team in the nation. The Hoosiers are playing away from home for the just the second time in close to three weeks and that one trek resulted in a 15-point loss at Rutgers. Indiana does have the better overall numbers on the defensive side as it has only allowed one opponent to score more than a point per possession in a game this season which was against Xavier as the Hoosiers escaped that with a two-point win. The only other solid win was a 12-point win over North Carolina but the Tar Heels have gone from No. 1 to unranked so that victory has lost a lot of its luster. Here, we play against underdogs shooting 52 percent or better on the season. This situation is 83-48 ATS (63.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (711) Arizona Wildcats |
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12-10-22 | San Diego State -1 v. St. Mary's | Top | 61-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Following a pair of losses against Arizona and Arkansas, San Diego St. has rebounded with three straight wins but you have to go all the way back to November 21 to find the last time the Aztecs have covered a game, a span of five straight contests. They are laying a short number here and while they are the designated road team, this is on a neutral court in Phoenix with this being another opportunity for a quality win similar to the last time they covered against Ohio St. which was also on a neutral floor. St. Mary's snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Missouri St. by 20 points so that bounce back is out of the way and that was arguably their best win of the season as the Gaels have lost to all three opponents that are ranked within the top 100. They have relied on a strong defense but have a test here against a San Diego St. team that is coming off an awful performance against Troy were it won but managed a season low 60 points. Offensively, they have struggled throughout the season as they have shot over 50 percent only once and faces a defense that has allowed 50 percent or higher shooting only once. Here, we play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pickem coming off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. This situation is 73-36 ATS (67 percent) since 1997. 10* (637) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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12-09-22 | Arkansas State v. Air Force -6.5 | Top | 55-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. After a 1-3 start that included a pair of four-point losses including one in overtime at home against Texas A&M-Commerce, Air Force has won five of its last six games including five straight victories at home where the home court advantage is typically pretty sizable. This is a very young teams with 17 of the 20 players on the roster being underclassmen which led to the rough start but now they are coming together especially on the defensive end. Air Force is ranked No. 5 in the nation in three-point shooting defense at 24.0 percent and No. 36 in scoring defense at 61.2 ppg. This is the last game for the Falcons for nine days because of finals which puts some extra importance on this game as well as the fact they will be out for revenge following a 21-point loss at Arkansas St. last season. Arkansas St. stays on the road following a loss at Central Arkansas on Tuesday to fall to 0-3 on the highway and 5-4 overall with that overall record being skewed. Three of those wins came against non-Division I teams Bethel, Lyon and Harding by 25, 24 and 31 points respectively so those have skewed their overall numbers and even the other victories have been suspect. The Red Wolves also have defeated Mississippi Valley St. which is the lowest ranked team in the country at No. 363 and Tennessee Martin which checks in at No. 307 and their own ranking of No. 266 seems inflated with a schedule played ranked No. 350 in the nation. 10* (888) Air Force Falcons |
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12-09-22 | Wizards v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Indiana was on a decent roll where it was on a 9-2 run before heading out on a seven-game roadtrip where it ended up going 2-5 to fall to 13-12 on the season. The Pacers are now back home for the start of a four-game homestand and while they have been playing over their heads based on their power ranking that is in the bottom third of the league, this is a good spot to get back into the win column to get some of that momentum back. They have a mismatch advantage in the backcourt tonight as Tyrese Haliburton, Benedict Mathurin and Buddy Hield are averaging 54.7 ppg to go along with a lot of depth from the bench. Indiana is 7-4 at home and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. One reason for the backcourt disadvantage for Washington is that Bradely Beal is on the shelf again as he is out with a hamstring injury and as mentioned in other scenarios, teams initially tend to step up when a star player goes down but this is now the third game with him out and his absence has been felt as the thin backcourt does not have a reliable scorer to make up for his production. The Wizards have lost four straight games and seven of their last eight to crawl back under .500 for the season and the road has not been kind of late as they have dropped six straight games on the highway. The Wizards are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a loss as a favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This situation is 139-82 ATS (62.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) Indiana Pacers |
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12-08-22 | Rockets v. Spurs +2.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The Spurs have lost 11 straight games and 16 of their last 17 games with 14 of those against potential and current playoff positioned teams and the other three of those against the resurgent Lakers so while losing like this is certainly not good, it has been a brutal stretch. The lone win came against Milwaukee in a fluke and now San Antonio finally catches a break and gets a team on its own level. They have played the No. 8 ranked schedule in the NBA and have faced only four teams at home with a losing record, covering only one but two of the losses were against the Lakers and the other was against Charlotte which was way back in the season opener. Houston has been playing better as it has won four of its last seven games including an overtime win in its last game against Philadelphia and also included an improbable road win at Phoenix three games back. That being said, the recent stretch is a reason along with the Spurs struggles that the Rockets are favorites on the road for the first time this season and for the first time overall as they have gotten points in all 24 games heading into Thursday. That is an automatic play against situation and one that also falls into a contrarian spot as no one will be betting on the 1-16 run of the Spurs. Here, we play on teams allowing 50 percent shooting or worse on the season and averaging 48 or fewer rpg on the season. This situation is 33-14 ATS (70.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (578) San Antonio Spurs |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams +6 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. The Rams have lost six straight games and their season is definitely over but they are now getting value as they covered last week and they are getting nearly the same amount of points this week as they did last week against the Seahawks despite the Raiders being two games worse than Seattle. The loss of Matthew Stafford has certainly hurt the offense as John Wolford was not great against the Seahawks but the second game after getting thrown into the lineup typically goes better and the Raiders do not possess a intimidating defense where they can shut him down. The best outcome last week was Cam Akers having a game after being nonexistent for most of the season and they can rely on him and overall, the Rams rushed for 171 yards on 33 carries (5.2 ypc). The defense should get Aaron Donald back and the unit has still played well as they are No. 14 overall including No. 4 against the rush and can bottle up a resurgent Josh Jacobs. The Raiders were embarrassed at home against the Colts in the coaching debut of Jeff Saturday but they have won three straight games since then but two of those were in overtime and could be in for a letdown following a rival win over the Chargers last week. Their playoff hopes remain intact as Las Vegas is currently in tenth place, two games behind the Jets for the final Wild Card spot. It has been a tough schedule of late as this is the fifth road game over their last seven games and while the distance has not been an issue, it is simply the logistics of traveling. Las Vegas does possess a top ten offense but that goes against the strength of the Rams while the defense is ranked No. 27 overall and No. 26 in points allowed which goes against the Rams weakness so this is not a very favorable matchup where they can be dominant in any one area. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games going up against an opponent after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. This situation is 43-15 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (102) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-08-22 | Iowa State v. Iowa -4 | Top | 56-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CBB Nonconference Game of the Month. The Cyclones lost a ton from last season, most notably their two best backcourt players and leading scorers Izaiah Brockington and Tyrese Hunter who averaged a combined 28.3 ppg, 10.6 rpg and 6.6 apg. Iowa St. has been picked to finish No. 8 in the 10-team Big 12 but has gotten off to a 7-1 start that includes big wins over Villanova and North Carolina. But those were big at the time as Villanova is down under new head coach Kyle Neptune and North Carolina is currently on a four-game winning streak. The Cyclones followed that up by getting hammered against Connecticut and now hit the road for their first true road game. Iowa opened the season 5-0 before a loss against a very good and underrated TCU team and then after a blowout win over Georgia Tech, the Hawkeyes lost by 12 points against Duke, a team that is starting to come around after a pair of early loses, at MSG on Tuesday. The Hawkeyes return home in this rivalry where they are 4-0 and will be out for some big time revenge following a 20-point loss in Ames last season almost to the day. This is a very efficient team that does not give the opponent easy opportunities as Iowa is No. 1 in the country in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.93) and second in fewest turnovers per game. They have one of the top scoring offenses in the country at No. 21 and they have four players that are hitting 50 percent or better from the floor. 10* (876) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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12-07-22 | Celtics v. Suns +2 | Top | 125-98 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. We played against Boston in its last game and once again, the Celtics stepped up late as it turned a close game against Toronto into a runaway thanks to a 35-18 edge in the third quarter before Toronto made it respectable at the end. The Celtics possess the best record in the NBA at 20-5 and still hold a two-game lead over Milwaukee in the Eastern Conference. Boston has won two straight games after a win over Brooklyn on Sunday prior to the Raptors win which closed a 5-1 homestand. The Celtics are a perfect 9-0 against teams outside the top 16 but 11-5 against teams within that and while still good, it is just 4-2 on the road against those top 16 teams with this being the biggest test of the season. The Suns are still atop the highly competitive top portion of the Western Conference at 16-8 and after a 7-1 run, they are coming off a 19-point loss at Dallas on Monday which was their worst loss of the season. Of those eight defeats, five have come by two points or less so a few bounces their way and they could be right with the Celtics for the best record in the league. Phoenix is 12-2 at home with the two losses coming by three points combined and it is getting points here which it should not be based on the power rankings and the fact they are at home. The Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a loss. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road win scoring 110 or more points, playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 51-24 ATS (68 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (574) Phoenix Suns |
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12-07-22 | Connecticut v. Florida +4.5 | Top | 75-54 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our CBB Wednesday Signature Enforcer. Florida had a rough go of it at the Phil Knight Legacy Tournament in Portland as it lost two of three games against Xavier and West Virginia but came home and throttled Florida A&M and Stetson by 40 and 38 points respectively and while we normally take cupcake games like that with a grain of salt, these were big for the Gators and they needed some confidence and momentum back before a brutal stretch coming up starting on Wednesday. They are 4-1 at home and while the one loss was a bad one against Florida Atlantic, the Owls have turned out to be a solid team at 7-1. They match up well here against a team that has been a mismatch for most opponents. Connecticut is 9-0 and has turned into a sleeper national title team at +1800, tied for fifth with Purdue and it comes in ranked in the same position at No. 5 after entering the season unranked. The Huskies do have a good win over Alabama on a neutral floor which has been the only game they have been an underdog in all season which is telling but they do have others on that same floor against Oregon and Iowa St. They have played the No. 140 schedule in the country which is not horrible but they have yet to face a true road game until tonight and it comes against an opponent in need of a quality win over a quality opponent. A big public team should go down here. 10* (706) Florida Gators |
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12-07-22 | Pacers v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. Indiana concludes its seven-game roadtrip tonight in Minnesota and it has not been a good one as the Pacers are 2-4 through the first six games but they are coming off a big upset on Monday as they went into Golden St. and came away with an eight-point win as an 11-point underdog. Indiana is now 6-7 on the road which is respectable for a team not expected to do much but has been outscored by five ppg overall and half of those wins came against bottom-feeding teams in the league. On the season, the Pacers are 4-6 against the much tougher Western Conference and they have a ranking of just No. 24 in the NBA as they are one of only two teams ranked in the bottom third of the league that have a winning record. Minnesota has split its first two games in the absence of Karl-Anthony Towns and looks to bounce back from a home loss against Oklahoma City last time out. The Timberwolves have lost two straight games at home where they are just 6-7 on the season and they have been a money-burning 2-6 ATS over their last eight games but are in a good spot here with their high-powered offense going up against an Indiana team that is ranked No. 17 in defensive efficiency and allow the eighth-most points in the league. Also, they are facing a Pacers team with two of their top three scorers questionable for tonight. The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days of rest. Here, we play on favorites coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 78-41 ATS (65.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (562) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-07-22 | Thunder v. Grizzlies -7.5 | Top | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. Oklahoma City went through a rough stretch where it lost five of six games but it has rebounded with three consecutive wins including a pair of outright wins on the road at Minnesota and Atlanta as sizeable underdogs. The Thunder are two games under .500 which is still very good for a team expected to be near the bottom of the NBA after losing No. 1 pick Chet Holmgren for the season before it even got underway. To their credit, the Thunder have played the No. 9 ranked schedule in the NBA but it has gone as expected as they are a solid 10-5 against teams outside the top ten but have gone just 1-8 against those ranked within that with the only victory coming against Dallas early in the season and have lost seven straight to the top ten teams. Memphis is rolling again after a bit of a lull where it went 1-4 over a five-game stretch but the Grizzlies have won five of their last six games and are positioning themselves in the top part of the Western Conference. They are 15-9 overall which is good for third place in the conference, one game behind Phoenix for first place. Memphis has dominated the teams it should dominate, going 10-2 against teams ranked outside the top 16 in the league and it brings in a 9-2 record at home, the only losses coming against a surprising Sacramento team that the whole league has caught off guard and the Celtics who have the best record in the NBA. Here, we play against underdogs coming off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 196-129 ATS (60.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (566) Memphis Grizzlies |
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12-07-22 | Eastern Michigan +6.5 v. Illinois State | Top | 81-87 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the EASTERN MICHIGAN EAGLES for our CBB Wednesday Ultimate Underdog. Eastern Michigan opened the season with a win over Wayne St. and then went on to lose six straight games but those were against some strong competition as the Eagles were underdogs in five of those games with the exception being a three-point loss against San Diego as a small favorite. They came back with a win against Florida International for their first true road win of the season but gave it back with a 28-point loss last weekend at home against Florida Atlantic. We talk about get right spots and this team is in need of one in a good matchup getting an abundance of points against a team that is struggling just as much. The defense has been a real problem but that will be a no issue here against a team that has scored more than 69 points only once. Illinois St. was riding a five-game losing streak before pulling off a 10-point win over Belmont on Sunday to move to 3-6 overall which is just one game better than Eastern Michigan and the Redbirds are in no position to be laying this number which is the third most they have put down this season. Illinois is just 1-2 at home which included two losses to open the season where it also went 0-6 ATS through its first six games before covering the last two games as underdogs. The Redbirds have one of the worst offenses in the nation as they are ranked No. 329 in scoring and this is against a schedule that is ranked No. 247 in the country. 10* (685) Eastern Michigan Eagles |
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12-07-22 | Brown v. Rhode Island -6 | Top | 59-58 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the RHODE ISLAND RAMS for our CBB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. We played against Rhode Island in its last game against rival Providence and it lost by 14 points as the Rams were abused on the boards which led to not many second chance points and now they have another rival coming into the Ryan Center and this is a perfect get right game. Rhode Island has lost four of its last five games but it has been underdogs in those four losses so they were not too surprising and two of those could have gone the other way. This started as basically a brand new roster and they are still coming together and this starts a very favorable stretch to get a run going before conference season starts. This offense has been putrid from a pace and shooting standpoint but have a good matchup here. Brown is off to a 5-4 start which is about was is expected as the Bears do not have a lot to offer this season as they have been picked to finished No. 6 in the eight-team Ivy League. They do come in on a roll as they have won and covered four straight games after some really bad losses to start the season. The overall issue is the schedule they have played no one as their best opponent has been Massachusetts which was an 11-point home loss and Brown has played the No. 341 ranked schedule in the country out of 363 teams so it has hardly been tested. Despite that, Brown is ranked No. 313 in the nation in scoring and No. 303 in opponent field goal percentage allowed. 10* (678) Rhode Island Rams |
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12-06-22 | Toledo -2.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 83-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS as part of our CBB Tuesday Three Pack. The Rockets are coming off a road loss at George Mason on Saturday which snapped a two-game winning streak and dropped them to 5-3 on the season and 0-1 on the road. Toledo is coming off back-to-back conference titles and consecutive NIT berths the last two seasons and has been picked to finish second in the MAC this season so it know how to win games like this that can go a long way as while it really will not be a quality win, it would be more of a detrimental loss. They do own a solid neutral court win over UAB early in the season which set the tone for a 3-0 start before suffering a pair of poor losses as favorites. The offense remains one of the best in the country and they have a good matchup here. Northern Iowa opened MVC play last week and split its games, losing big at Bradley which was expected and it then rebounded with a 17-point win over Evansville. The Panthers are used to being at the top of the conference but not much is expected this season and they are off to a 3-4 start with the three victories coming against one non-Division I Wartburg and the other two coming as double-digit favorites. Those all came at home and are the only three home games this season so Northern Iowa has yet to be tested here. The Panthers were underdogs in all four losses as they were getting six points or less in each and lost those by an average of nine ppg. 10* (639) Toledo Rockets |
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12-06-22 | Lakers v. Cavs -3.5 | Top | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
12-06-22 | Illinois +4.5 v. Texas | Top | 85-78 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI as part of our CBB Tuesday Three Pack. We played against Illinois on Friday as it dropped its Big Ten opener on the road to No. 22 Maryland, which was its second loss of the season, both coming against undefeated teams, the other being against 7-0 Virginia. This game will be the fourth against a ranked opponent in nine games with the third one coming against UCLA in a nine-point win on a neutral floor so it has certainly been tested and Illinois has 10 wins over top 10 teams since 2019-20, second-most in the NCAA behind Baylor which has 12. This is a raw team that did not bring much back from last season but give head coach Brad Underwood credit for bringing in the transfers that can work together which they have accomplished. Texas has moved up to No. 2 in the country after a 6-0 start and this is not only its toughest test of the season, but it is its longest trip as well. The Longhorns do have one neutral court win but that was against Northern Arizona which took place in nearby Edinburg, Texas so it was hardly a demanding trip. They are coming off a five-point win over Creighton after blowing a double-digit second half lead and that was a game they had a great matchup in with the Bluejays being one of the worst perimeter defenses in the country but now faces a very strong perimeter defense. Texas is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games against teams averaging 77 or more ppg. 10* (607) Illinois Fighting Illini |
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12-06-22 | Georgia v. Georgia Tech -3 | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS as part of our CBB Tuesday Three Pack. Georgia Tech moved to 5-3 on the season with a 81-63 victory over Northeastern on Friday. Two of its losses were on a neutral floor to teams that earned top 10 wins last week with Utah defeating Arizona and Marquette defeating Baylor. The other loss came on the road at Iowa which just missed out on the top 25 this week. The Yellow Jackets are 4-0 at home and while this will be the biggest home test, they have already built a solid overall schedule and Georgia is certainly no powerhouse. Georgia Tech is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games after five straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. Georgia has won three straight games, all at home where it is 6-0 but all of those games came as a favorite of at least nine points. The Bulldogs lost their only true road game at Wake Forest by 10 points and overall, they are 7-0 this season when favored and 0-2 when getting points. To their credit, the Bulldogs have already surpassed their win total from all of last season so things are moving in the right direction in Athens but the schedule has helped. Georgia is the fourth lowest ranked team with seven or more wins in all of Division I, ahead of only Fordham, Towson and Duquesne as it has played a slate ranked No. 353 out of 363 teams at this level. Georgia is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 road games after allowing 60 points or less in two straight games. 10* (614) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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12-05-22 | Saints +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. Tampa Bay is coming off a loss at Cleveland last week and will be a popular play this week in a bounce back spot but in the first two instances this season coming off a loss following a win prior to that, the Buccaneers lost a second straight game so it is no automatic rebound victory. It has been a bad season for Tampa Bay which is pretty apparent as this offense has been inefficient in getting the ball into the end zone. The Buccaneers have scored more than 22 points only once and they are No. 27 in the league in scoring offense. The passing game has been fine but Tampa Bay is dead last in the league in rushing offense and this is not a good matchup against the Saints defense. New Orleans is ranked No. 7 in passing defense and it allowed only 188 yards passing in the first meeting and that is one of seven times this season the Saints have allowed fewer than 200 yards passing. They get a ton of pressure on the quarterback as the Saints are No. 7 in sack percentage and it gets heightened here against an immobile quarterback. New Orleans is coming off a shutout loss at San Francisco last week which is always a good spot to play on in the next game and it will be catching a depleted Tampa Bay secondary as safety Mike Edwards, safety Antoine Winfield Jr, and cornerback Sean Murphy-Bunting listed as doubtful or questionable. Andy Dalton could have a short leash which has already been lengthened way too long. New Orleans is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games against teams averaging 235 or more passing ypg. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having won two out of their last three games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (477) New Orleans Saints |
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12-05-22 | Celtics v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. This is going to be considered a fishy line to some as the 19-5 Celtics, leaders of the Eastern Conference by two games over Milwaukee, are only favored by a point and the majority are already lining up on their side. Boston is coming off a win at Brooklyn on Sunday as it bounced back from an overtime loss against Miami on Friday which closed a 5-1 homestand and this is the second game of a six-game roadtrip that sends them out west after this. This is just the second time this season they have played back-to-back games on the road and the first resulted in a win but non-cover against Orlando. The Celtics are a perfect 9-0 against teams outside the top 16 but 10-5 against teams within that and while still good, it is just 3-2 on the road against those top 16 teams. Toronto bounced back from a pair of road losses with a win against Orlando on Saturday to improve to 9-2 at home as opposed to a 3-9 record on the road so the venue has played a big part in its success. The Raptors elevate when playing against the better teams in the league as they are 10-4 ATS this season against teams above .500 including a 6-1 ATS mark at home. Facing the top ranked offense in the league will be a challenge but the Toronto defense forces a lot of turnovers as over its last 17 games, it has taken it away at least 17 times in 12 of those after not doing so in any of their first six games and Boston has had at least 14 turnovers in eight of its last 11 games. Here, we play against teams in the first half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 118 or more ppg on the season. This situation is 33-13 ATS (71.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (536) Toronto Raptors |
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12-04-22 | Lakers v. Wizards -2.5 | Top | 130-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Lakers have won two straight games and are 7-2 over their last nine games following an upset win over Milwaukee on Friday. It should be noted that three of those wins came against San Antonio which has lost 10 straight games and another against Detroit, one of the worst teams in the NBA. The win over the Bucks was impressive with LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook combining for 87 points but Los Angeles is still just 3-6 on the road with the other two wins coming against the aforementioned Spurs. The Lakers are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games. Washington lost at Charlotte last time out and has now dropped five of its last six games. All five of those losses were on the highway where the Wizards are 3-8 on the season and they head home where they are 6-1 over their last seven games and they will have a big home crowd on their side in this one with the Lakers in town. Washington is now back under .500 but are in a good spot with James not 100 percent with an ankle injury and the Wizards come in with the No. 3 ranked shooting percent defense in the league and can slow down the Lakers offense after 133 points scored against Milwaukee. Here, we play on teams coming off a loss by three points or less to a division rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points. This situation is 35-9 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) Washington Wizards |
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12-04-22 | Chiefs v. Bengals +2.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 70 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The Bengals get to host this rematch of the AFC Championship from last season. Cincinnati has won seven of its last nine games to pull into a tie with Baltimore for first place in the AFC North and it has done so by playing seven of its first 11 games on the road. The Bengals are 3-1 at home with the lone loss coming against the Steelers in Week One as they lost the turnover battle 5-0 with all three wins coming by blowout. The offense gets a huge weapon back as Ja'Marr Chase missed the last four games after a hip injury put him on IR but he returns this week and while the Bengals offense was fine without him, his return only adds to this dynamic offense, one that Kansas City has not seen during its recent five-game stretch. Cincinnati has a very underrated defense that does not get a lot of talk because it lacks any big names but is ranked in the top half of the league in all major statistical categories. Cincinnati is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games against teams allowing 235 or more passing ypg. The Chiefs have won five straight games to remain atop the AFC as they have basically gone through the motions which shows how good they obviously are. Kansas City is ranked No. 1 in the NFL in scoring offense and total offense and will definitely see a different defense than it saw last season but it is the other side that is the concern. During the Chiefs five-game winning streak, they have allowed 18.8 ppg but have not faced an offense of this strength with the 49ers offense being the best of that group as they are currently ranked No. 9 and that is only due to a recent resurgence after playing Kansas City. The Chiefs are 3-17 ATS in their last 20 games after gaining 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. Here, we play against road favorites outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yppl, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (474) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-04-22 | Dolphins +4 v. 49ers | Top | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Miami has won five straight games to improve to 8-3 on the season and have control in the AFC East but there is a lot of football left and this is a very good litmus test with those five recent wins coming against some poor teams. The Dolphins are in a good spot here as if any team is going to come in with a master gameplan, it is them with head coach Mike McDaniel who came over from the 49ers so he knows this team more than any other opposing coach with him just being in San Francisco last season. Tua Tagovailoa has been outstanding since returning from his concussion as in his five starts, he has three games with a passer rating of 135 or higher and in those games overall, he has passed 1,529 yards (305.8 per game average) with 11 touchdowns and no interceptions. And what makes him so dangerous is that he is the best play action quarterback in the league and he can keep the best defense in the league off balance. The Dolphins are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. The 49ers are playing just as good with a quarterback in Jimmy Garoppolo who is playing at a high level as well but like Miami, the schedule has not been overly difficult. Over their four-game winning streak, the 49ers best win came over the Chargers and they won it by only six points against a team that was severely banged up. Speaking of banged up, San Francisco, which was getting healthy once again, is now going through injuries again, namely on offense with Garoppolo, Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and Elijah Mitchell all on the injury report with Mitchell being the only definite player out but none of the other three will be at 100 percent. The Dolphins defense has been playing a lot better since early struggles and they can hold their own here. 10* (469) Miami Dolphins |
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12-04-22 | Utah v. Washington State -4 | Top | 67-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CBB Sunday Supreme Annihilator. This is a tough scheduling spot for Utah as in most Pac 12 weekends, teams host two games one weekend and go on the road for two games the next but in this case, the Utes got a home game against Arizona Thursday and rolled and now have to hit the road for their second conference game which puts them in a bad spot. Utah has played the second easiest schedule in the Pac 12 behind Washington as prior to Arizona, it was favored by double-digits in all four of its home games and it actually lost one of those against Sam Houston St., and it has split its two neutral court games making this its first true road game of the season. The same scheduling situation goes for Washington St. as it played at Oregon and got smacked by the Ducks but now the Cougars return home to make up for that and catch a Utah team at the right time. Washington St. is 3-3 on the season which includes a 2-0 record at home with blowout wins over Texas St. and Detroit and this is a test they will be fired up for. Utah has one of the best defenses in the country, including its perimeter defense but the Cougars counter with the No. 7 ranked three-point shooting team in the nation as they are hitting 42.1 percent from long range. Great spot and great value. 10* (772) Washington St. Cougars |
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12-04-22 | Steelers v. Falcons +1 | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 1 m | Show |
12-04-22 | Jets v. Vikings -3 | Top | 22-27 | Win | 100 | 67 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Minnesota picked up a win on Thanksgiving over New England as it bounced back from that blowout home loss against Dallas and this marks the third straight home game for the Vikings and they have the advantage of playing with extended rest. That game against the Cowboys was just the third time over their last nine games they have scored fewer than 28 points and playing a tough defense has been commonplace of late as they have faced defenses ranked No. 4, No. 7, No. 8 and No. 12 over their last four games and have had success with the exception of that Dallas game. Despite the 9-2 record, the Vikings are not getting the public money here as the Jets are the new public darling and that is keeping this line down and even though the luck factor has been on their side, this is a good spot for that possible breakout game. The Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. A quarterback change did the Jets right as New York replaced Zach Wilson with Mike White and he was outstanding with 315 yards on 22-28 passing with three touchdowns and no interceptions. The came against a depleted Bears defense and now New York hits the road where it is 4-1 on the season but all four wins came against teams that are not going to be seeing the postseason. This will be a tough environment for White and while he will be facing a below average defense, the situation is not ideal. The Jets defense has been sensational of late as they have allowed 14.4 ppg over their last eight games and they have moved to No. 4 in scoring defense and No. 5 in total defense but this will be a major test. The Jets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game while going 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games in the second half of the season against teams allowing 375 or more ypg. 10* (452) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-04-22 | Youngstown State v. Wright State -2.5 | Top | 88-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Wright St. is coming off a humbling loss against Robert Norris in its conference opener and it was not just a loss but the Raiders lost by 21 points as a 12.5-point favorite. We played against the Colonials on Saturday which did not pan out as they did not cover but we expect the Raiders to win this in a blowout. They opened the season with an overtime loss against Davidson but won four straight before a loss against UC-Riverside on a neutral floor and as one of the favorites to win the Horizon League, this has turned into a must win even though it is early in the season. Youngstown St. is coming off that tough loss against Northern Kentucky in overtime and has to hit the road again against a team that is ready for a full effort. The Penguins have no quality wins as four of the victories they were favored in and the other same against a non-Division I team. Thus is the fifth straight game away from home for Youngstown St. over the last two weeks and it’s a trying trek for a team especially coming off that overtime loss that they could have captured in what is a great letdown go against spot. 10* (736) Wright St. Raiders |
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12-03-22 | Clemson -7.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 95 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Clemson came up small for us last week in a 31-30 loss against South Carolina as the passing game was non-existent with just 99 yards through the air which negated another great game from the rushing attack. With that defeat, the Tigers are out of the CFP picture but they would have been out nevertheless as they did not get any needed help from other teams last week. Now, the goal is to regain the ACC Championship title that they held for six consecutive years before Pittsburgh won it in 2021. While the offense struggled through the air, the Tigers rushed for 237 yards against the Gamecocks, the fourth time in the last five games they have surpassed 200 rushing yards. They face a North Carolina defense that is very bad at all levels that will get lit up here. Quarterback D.J. Uiagalelei was just 8-29 through the air but head coach Dabo Swinney gave him the vote of confidence as he will start this week. The secondary gave up over 350 yards passing to South Carolina and that is concerning with Drake Maye and the high-powered Tar Heels offense on deck and we should see a better effort in this rebound spot. Defensive coordinator Wes Goodwin knows getting his group back with the right mindset will be key, and early on he has liked the way the unit has responded. Since claiming the ACC Coastal Division title three weeks ago, and knowing the ACC championship matchup with Clemson was forthcoming, North Carolina lost its final two games of the regular season so that is not the momentum it wants coming into this game. there is not a whole lot to say about this team as it is very transparent with a great offense and an awful defense and both matchups are not in their favor this week especially against a Clemson team out for blood after having its 40-game home winning streak come to an end. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging 4.8 or more ypc and after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game going up against teams allowing between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc. This situation is 34-13 ATS (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (321) Clemson Tigers |
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12-03-22 | St. Peter's v. Fairfield -5 | Top | 55-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the FAIRFIELD STAGS as part of our CBB Saturday Three-Pack. Fairfield is another team that has waited for nearly a month to play its first home game of the season. The Stags are just 2-6 to open the season which includes five true road game losses following a defeat at Manhattan in the MAAC opener on Thursday. That followed a 2-1 showing in Savannah, Georgia at the Hostilo Hoops Community Classic that included a win over a very solid Towson team and a victory against Evansville with the one loss coming against Mercer by a bucket. Fairfield was picked to finish No. 5 in the MAAC preseason poll so this is a team to watch out for and the Red Sea will be energized tonight, part of a sold out arena. St. Peter's was the story of the NCAA Tournament last season as it ran through the field to make it to the Elite Eight following wins over Kentucky, Murray St. and Purdue before losing to North Carolina. It is far from the same team with a brand new head coach and a revamped roster that is not expected to do a whole lot this season. The Peacocks are off to a 4-3 start but the wins have come against no one of significance and they opened conference action against Mount St. Mary's on Thursday which resulted in a 15-point loss against the team picked to finish No 10 in the 11-team MAAC. 10* (696) Fairfield Stags |
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12-03-22 | Bucks -6 v. Hornets | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Milwaukee had its three-game winning streak snapped with a loss to the Lakers last night and they are in a great bounce back spot tonight. It was a bittersweet loss as the Bucks welcomed back Khris Middleton as he took the floor for the first time since the start of the NBA Playoffs last season. He scored 17 points in 26 minutes and he will likely rest tonight in the second of a back-to-back but his return just gives them a spark going forward in pursuit of the Celtics. Milwaukee prides itself on defense as it is ranked No. 4 in points allowed and No. 3 in shooting percentage allowed but last night LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook combined for 87 points and the Bucks allowed a season-high 133 points. Charlotte also played last night and it pulled off the upset against Washington and the Hornets have now won three of their last four games, easily their best four-game stretch of the season. All three of those wins came at home and by just nine points combined after starting the season 1-6 on their home floor and they are getting outscored by close to four ppg which may not seem like much but some of those losses came against some bad teams. Charlotte is just 1-3 following a win this season and those three losses have come by an average of 18 ppg. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 31-5 ATS (86.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (505) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-03-22 | Robert Morris v. Northern Kentucky -6.5 | Top | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN KENTUCKY NORSE for our Horizon Game of the Year. Northern Kentucky opened the season by getting throttled at home against Kent St. but has won four straight home games since then including an upset win over Cincinnati and then opened Horizon League action with an overtime win over Youngstown St. on Thursday. The Norse have yet to play on the road but Northern Kentucky did travel to the Gulf Coast Showcase in Florida and lost all three games against Florida Gulf Coast, UT-Arlington and Toledo prior to the two recent home games. Northern Kentucky was picked to finish in a first place tie with Purdue Fort Wayne in the preseason Horizon League poll. Life in the Horizon League did not start very good for Robert Morris as it went 8-28 in its first two seasons but opened 2022-23 with a bang as it went to Wright St., picked to finish third in the Horizon, and won by 21 points as a 12.5-point underdog so this is a big letdown spot and Northern Kentucky certainly took note of that. It was a surprising win for the Colonials that came in on a four-game losing streak and its only two wins of the season were against non-Division I teams Pittsburgh-Greensburg and West Virginia Wesleyan. That victory is giving the Norse excellent value and should turn into a rout. 10* (688) Northern Kentucky Norse |
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12-03-22 | North Dakota State v. Eastern Washington -4.5 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the EASTERN WASHINGTON EAGLES as part of our CBB Saturday Three-Pack. It has taken about a month but Eastern Washington finally gets to play its first home game of the season after enjoying the first nearly month of the season on the highway. The Eagles are 2-5 with two wins against Mississippi Valley St. and Stony Brook which is not saying a lot but for a team to have to wait to take its home floor for this long will get the juices flowing. The losses have been bad but expected as all five came as underdogs against some notables in Santa Clara, Yale and Washington St. as well as a vacation in Hawaii against the host Warriors and Mississippi Valley St. North Dakota St. has had a very similar schedule as it has been able to sneak in two home games, a loss against Pacific as a favorite and a win over Non-Division I Crown College. The Bison are 0-6 away from home and it has been ugly. To their credit, the first two games were at Arkansas and Kansas and they did cover both but were still blown out in both. The concern is the other five losses as they failed to cover any of those and four results in double-digit defeats. This team should be fine once Summit League play starts but they are going to the wrong place at the wrong time. 10* (676) Eastern Washington Eagles |
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12-03-22 | Providence -5.5 v. Rhode Island | Top | 88-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS as part of our CBB Saturday Three-Pack. We played against Providence in its last game as it hit the road for the first time and got smacked by a very dangerous TCU team by 13 points to fall to 2-3 after a 3-0 start. The two wins over that stretch were anything but solid as the Friars played Merrimack and Columbia and they basically went through the motions as 20-point favorites in both and still won by double-digits in each of those. They did fail to cover those big lines and they head to rival Rhode Island on a 0-5 ATS run with a bitter taste stemming from that TCU beatdown but it is a good spot with that one game on the road under their belt. Rhode Island is a mess. The Rams have only five players returning on the roster with just a combined 37 starts last season between Abdou Samb, Sebastian Thomas, Jalen Carey, Ishmael Leggett and Malik Martin with Leggett accounting for 30 of those so there is very little experience and it has shown in its 2-5 start to the season which includes losses as favorites against Quinnipiac and Texas St. and a non-cover as an 11.5-point favorite against a horrible Stony Brook team that is ranked No. 329 in the country. The best team the Rams have faced is Kansas St., the lowest ranked team in the Big 12, and lost by 20. 10* (677) Providence Friars |
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12-03-22 | Central Florida v. Tulane -3.5 | Top | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 91 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Tulane captured the AAC regular season championship with its victory at Cincinnati last Saturday, snapping the Bearcats 32-game home winning streak, and closed the season with a perfect 5-0 record on the road. They return home where the Green Wave get to host the championship game in looking to add to their 5-2 record at Yulman Stadium. One loss came against Southern Mississippi by three points despite outgaining the Golden Eagles 198 total yards with the difference being allowing an interception return for a touchdown late in the fourth quarter. The other defeat came against these Knights 38-31 in a game Tulane never led so there will be plenty of motivation in addition to its first ever AAC Championship. Head coach Willie Fritz has led the Green Wave to only their second double-digit win campaign in program history that runs 118 seasons so this has been a special one and the fear of him leaving is gone as it was announced Tuesday that he will be around amid rumors he was leaving for Georgia Tech. Tulane is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games against teams averaging 31 or more ppg. Central Florida was in the championship game no matter the result of the Tulane/Cincinnati game as it defeated both and it limped in to end the regular season with a loss against Navy and then a seven-point win against South Florida as a 19.5-point favorite. Going through the motions was probably inevitable and while the Knights come in riding a three-game road winning streak, all of those wins were by one possession and this is a tough travel spot with this being their fourth road game in five weeks. They will expect to see a better defensive effort from Tulane this time around as they put up 336 yards rushing in the first meeting but 67 of those yards came on one play. Central Florida 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after scoring 42 points or more last game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points revenging an upset loss against opponent as a home favorite, off a win by seven points or less over a conference rival. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Tulane Green Wave |
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12-03-22 | Fresno State v. Boise State -3 | Top | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. Boise St. came away with a win last week against Utah St. in one of the craziest endings of the season that got the Broncos the cover and they bring in a three-game winning streak into the championship game. They rolled to an 8-0 record in the conference with all four home wins coming by at least 19 points. Boise St. is 5-1 at home with the lone loss coming against BYU that was decided on an acrobatic catch by the Cougars and played into their victory. Offensively, the Broncos are ranked No. 28 in rushing offense and racked up a season high 316 yards on the ground in the regular season meeting and should go off again against a Fresno St. rushing defense ranked No. 95 that allows 4.9 ypc on the road. The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Fresno St. comes in on a heater as it has won seven straight games to win the MWC West Division by two games over San Diego St. and San Jose St. The Bulldogs went 3-3 on the road with the three wins coming within the conference against teams that finished 3-21 in the MVC. The best news for Fresno St. is that is has a healthy Jake Haener at quarterback as he missed four games but the bad news is the defense they will be facing. Haener faced just two defenses that were ranked inside the top 40 and those resulted in a loss to Oregon St. and a narrow midseason win over San Diego St. were he totaled only four touchdowns and had two of his three interceptions on the season. Boise St. enters with the No. 7 ranked total defense and No. 9 ranked total defense and the Broncos are ranked in the top 5 in four passing defense statistics so they can shut him down. He did not play in the 40-20 loss early in the season. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (316) Boise St. Broncos |
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12-03-22 | Oral Roberts v. Tulsa +3 | Top | 77-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CBB Saturday Signature Enforcer. It has been a slow start for Tulsa as it is 2-4 which does include a solid win against Loyola-Chicago by 19 points as a 7.5-point underdog over in South Carolina. Three of those losses came against Oregon St., Murray St. and Oklahoma St. so nothing horrible there and now the Golden Hurricane return home for the first time in three weeks where they are 1-0 and will be not only looking to snap their 0-3 straight up and ATS run but to provide a better performance at home after a satisfactory first game in a six-point win over Jackson St. as a pretty big favorite. Time to break out for a quality win. Oral Roberts is the top ranked team in the Summit League but we are still not sure about this team quite yet as the Golden Eagles are 5-3 but four of those wins came against non-Division I teams and two of those against Oklahoma Baptist and Rogers St. were far from impressive as they won by just 10 and 11 points respectively. Oral Roberts is 1-3 on the road but to its credit, the three losses were against some good teams in St. Mary's, Houston (elite) and Utah St. but none were close. This cupcake schedule is too good to pass up to go against until we see something good come about. 10* (638) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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12-03-22 | Oklahoma v. Villanova -2 | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
12-03-22 | Fordham v. Tulane -11 | Top | 95-90 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We are getting some excellent value on Tulane as it is 5-2 to open the season but has not been able to cover as it has gone 0-6 ATS over its last six games and both of its outright losses came on a neutral floor against Nevada and Western Kentucky in the Cayman Islands. The Green Wave head home where they are 4-0 but just 1-3 against the number as they have not been tested by laying spreads of 16 or more points in all four games but have still won those all by at least 15 points. They are laying a much smaller number here because of the inability to cover as well as the opponent winning streak coming in. This is a solid team picked No. 4 in the preseason rankings. Fordham opened the season with a win over Dartmouth and then got lambasted at Arkansas but the Rams have responded with six consecutive victories yet they should not get too excited. The Rams finished .500 or better for just the second time since 2007 last season but lost coach Kyle Neptune in the offseason to Villanova and expectations are not high as Fordham is picked to finish No. 13 in the 15-team Atlantic Ten. The six consecutive victories are something to build on but going on the road for the first time in three weeks is not ideal especially when the best win of the bunch is Harvard. 10* (612) Tulane Green Wave |
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12-02-22 | Illinois v. Maryland -1 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
12-02-22 | Utah v. USC -2.5 | Top | 47-24 | Loss | -115 | 97 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our Pac 12 Championship Winner. Utah has a shot to make it to back-to-back Rose Bowl games which would be the first team since Stanford did it in 2013 and 2014 but it will not be easy with this matchup. Last season, the Utes had a big mismatch with Oregon which it also dominated during the regular season and while they have already defeated USC this season, that game was at home and it was far from a domination in a one-point victory. Utah backed into this game as it went down to the fourth tiebreaker between them, Washington and Oregon and it had the edge in conference strength of schedule of the three. The Utes finished 6-0 at home but only 3-3 away from home with all three of those wins coming in the Pac 12 against teams that had losing conference records. This is no doubt an all-around great team as they are ranked in the top 20 on both sides of the ball but the difference here will be its defense will not be able to stop the USC offense similar to where it allowed 556 yards in the regular season meeting at that was at home. The Trojans had a couple scares along the way with one possession wins at Arizona, Oregon St. and UCLA but they won the yardage battle in all of those true road games and the Utah game was the lone game they were outgained this season and that was by only six total yards. This offense has been humming as USC has scored 38 or more points in six straight games while accumulating over 500 yards five times, averaging 551.3 ypg over that stretch and there is no reason for that to end especially against a defense that is has already schooled. Quarterback Caleb Williams has come into his own as he has averaged 353.6 ypg with 20 touchdowns over the last six games after averaging 265.0 ypg with 14 touchdowns in his first six games and he has tossed only three interceptions all season long. The Trojans are back and a win gets them into the CFP as long as there is no Ohio St. bias. 10* (306) USC Trojans |
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12-02-22 | Raptors v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Year. Brooklyn is 12-11 after a 113-107 win over the Wizards on Wednesday to improve to 3-0 on its season-long seven-game homestand. Kevin Durant has carried the offense of late as he has scored 30 or more points in four straight games and while Brooklyn is just 5-7 when he scores at least 30 points, half of those games took place when the Nets lost six of their first eight games and since then, they are 10-5 and becoming more dangerous as the defense has also picked it up. Brooklyn has allowed just 106.5 ppg over that 15-game stretch and will be out to extend its five-game home winning streak. It is safe to say a coaching change has been a great move. Toronto is coming off an 19-point loss at New Orleans on Wednesday which was its sixth loss in its last seven road games to fall to 3-8 on the season on the highway. This is not a good spot to get right as the defense has regressed as the Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 50 percent or higher in six of their last nine games and they are catching a red hot offense that has surpassed 50 percent from the floor in seven of their last eight games. Toronto has had no rhythm throughout the season as it has won back-to-back games four times but was unable to turn that into three straight wins all four times and the Raptors are coming off starting their 12th different lineup and that kills continuity. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having won five or six of their last seven games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550. This situation is 51-17 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Brooklyn Nets |
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12-01-22 | Arizona State v. Colorado -4.5 | Top | 60-59 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Pac 12 action opens this week with Arizona St. heading to Colorado for the opener for both. Colorado is 4-3 to start the season as it has been very uneven as focus and motivation seem to be the biggest issues. After opening the season with a blowout against UC-Riverside, the Buffaloes lost at Grambling by nine points as a 14-point favorite but came back two days later and defeated Tennessee by 12 points as a 15-point underdog. And it goes on. Colorado snuck by Yale in its last game at home by just three points but it was guilty of having a week off after playing a destination tournament in Myrtle Beach and it possesses a great home court edge at altitude where Colorado is 166-34 under head coach Tad Boyle. Arizona St. is off to a 6-1 start that includes big wins over VCU and Michigan on a neutral floor and the Sun Devils hit the road for the second time this season with the first resulting in a one-point loss against Texas Southern as an 11-point favorite. Obviously, this will be a bigger road test and the line giving Arizona St. a lot of credit based on its overall record and pair of quality wins. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are averaging between 67 and 74 ppg and after two straight wins by 10 points or more going up against teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (768) Colorado Buffaloes |
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12-01-22 | Bills -5 v. Patriots | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 59 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our AFC East Game of the Month. This is a big divisional game for both teams, positioning for Buffalo and keeping playoff hopes alive for New England. While the Bills are tied with Miami atop the AFC East, the Dolphins currently own the first two tiebreakers with a head-to-head win and a better record within the division. The Bills are 0-2 in the division so far this season, while the Patriots (2-1), Dolphins (2-1) and Jets (2-2) are all ahead of them so New England has to avoid a loss to drop to 0-3. It has been an up and down stretch for the Bills as they have gone 2-2 over their last four games and while outgaining the opponent in three of those, they were far from dominating performances. Buffalo has shown flashes on offense, defense and special teams over this recent stretch but has not been able to put all three phases together in a single game and what better place to resolve that here. The Bills are still a top five unit in both offensive and defensive scoring and face a very inconsistent Patriots team. New England is also coming off a Thursday road game so there is no rest advantage for the Patriots which had their three-game winning streak snapped against the Vikings. The three wins were typical Bill Belichick productions as his defense allowed an average of 203.7 ypg as they were able to shut down young quarterbacks, Zach Wilson twice and San Ehlinger and of their six wins, the best quarterback they have defeated was Jared Goff as the other two wins were against Jacoby Brissett and Mitch Trubisky. The five losses were against Tua Tagovailoa, Lamar Jackson, Aaron Rodgers, Justin Fields and Kirk Cousins so you can see the pattern here. Offensively, New England did get a big game from Mac Jones against Minnesota but the offense managed 288, 203 and 297 total yards in those three previous victories and he is in a tough spot here. Despite the loss of Von Miller, Buffalo is getting healthy on defense around him as safety Jordan Poyer and cornerback Tre'Davious White are off the injury list while linebacker Tremaine Edwards, who has missed the last two games, will be back this week. 10* (301) Buffalo Bills |