Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-21-23 | Pirates +180 v. Angels | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The promising start to the season for Pittsburgh ended abruptly and the Pirates have gone through the typical young roster struggles but are catching a good number following a win over Cleveland to close their homestand. Pittsburgh is down just two units on the road. The Angels continue to fight as they are back over .500 following a sweep over the Yankees but that momentum is gone following a day off. Los Angeles is nine games behinds Texas in the American League West and while only five games out of the Wild Card, it will be a tough road. Shohei Ohtani is laying a big number because of who he is and not what he has produced of late. He posted a 0.64 ERA in his first five starts and while he has some great starts since then, he also has six games where he has allowed four or more runs and has a pedestrian 4.66 ERA in his last 13 outings. Johan Oviedo has some very average numbers with a 4.53 ERA but he has been very good in the majority of his games as he has allowed two runs or less in 11 of his 19 starts. After some needed rest during the all Star break, he is coming off his best start, allowing one run over seven inning while striking out a season-high 10. 10* (929) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-21-23 | White Sox +144 v. Twins | Top | 4-9 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The White Sox avoided the sweep in New York with a series ending 6-2 victory on Thursday against the Mets and continue their length road trek back to the American League. After getting shutout 9-0 against Atlanta to open this roadtrip, Chicago has won three of its last five with the offense averaging 6.2 rpg. The Twins won five of their first six games out of the break but were shutout 5-0 on Thursday in Seattle. Minnesota maintains its lead in the National League Central at two games over Cleveland but comes in severely overpriced tonight. After an incredible start to the season where he posted a 2.21 ERA through his first 10 starts but Joe Ryan has come back down to earth as he has put up a 5.61 ERA over his last nine outings. He produced eight quality performances in those first 10 games but has just four since then. Lance Lynn has been all over the place this season as anther below average performance has pushed his ERA over 6.00 as the long ball has killed him the entire season. He negates that with missing bats as he has 133 strikeouts which is tied for fifth most in baseball while the Twins lead the league in strikeouts with 1,002. 10* (915) Chicago White Sox |
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07-20-23 | Orioles +166 v. Rays | Top | 4-3 | Win | 166 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Tampa Bay has come back down to earth as it is not in first place in the American League East by itself for the first time since Opening Day. After starting the season 29-7, the Rays are 31-32 since then including a 3-11 record in July yet are still priced as the dominant team. Baltimore salvaged the series finale against the Dodgers with an 8-5 win on Wednesday and got into a first place tie with the Rays, leading by percentage points. The Orioles had won eight straight games wrapped around the All Star Break before two straight losses but are catching a great number today. Tyler Glasnow will be very important for the Rays stretch run as he has made only nine starts since coming back in late May and has been very solid with eight of those starts allowing three runs or less but the one blowup came against the Orioles at home where he allowed six runs over 4.1 innings and faces the very tough lineup again. Kyle Gibson had a rough outing against Miami in his first start after the break but he has been solid for the most part and his 1.34 WHIP in 20 starts shows that. He has allowed only 10 home runs in 115 innings and has been excellent on the road with a 2.84 ERA over his last six road outings. 10* (963) Baltimore Orioles |
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07-20-23 | White Sox +140 v. Mets | Top | 6-2 | Win | 140 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. It has been a disaster of a season for Chicago from the start. The White Sox did steal two games in Atlanta over the weekend at big prices but have dropped the first two games of this series following a 5-1 loss last night as they managed only three hits, one of which was a home run that accounted for the lone run. The Mets have underachieved as well but they have won three straight games to get back to six games under .500 but need a massive finish to the season to contend for a playoff spot. New York is well out of the division race while sitting seven games out of the Wild Card positions with five teams to pass. Jose Quintana was one of the best pitchers in baseball last season with a 2.93 ERA over 32 starts and is finally making his season debut after rib surgery. He built up to 4.1 innings and 78 pitches in his fifth rehab start where he posted a 4.60 ERA and will be limited and is in a tough spot for his first start to be a very early first pitch. Michael Kopech has been the talk of trade rumors as he has been dependable but has lost some usage of late that should be returning back. He has not made it through five innings in five straight starts but could be on an upswing now as he has tossed only 18 innings the last 40 days. 10* (969) Chicago White Sox |
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07-19-23 | Brewers +170 v. Phillies | Top | 5-3 | Win | 170 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Philadelphia has now won four straight games following a 4-3 series opening win last night and the Phillies have been on a long-term heater as they are 27-10 over their last 37 games and have taken over second place in the National League East, albeit 8.5 games back. They are third in the wild Card Standings, however. Milwaukee had its four-game winning streak snapped with the loss on Tuesday but remains in first place in the National League Central and the lead actually increased to 2.5 games after the Red were swept yesterday. The Brewers have also been on a hot streak, going 17-8 over their last 25 games to take over that lead. Colin Rea is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed five runs in 4.2 innings against the Reds but this will be his first start in 11 days so the rest came at a good time. His ERA of 4.63 is nothing great but he has a 1.18 WHIP which is a better indication of how he has pitched. Cristopher Sanchez has been a great addition to the rotation as he has posted a 3.26 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in six starts, five of which have come since he re-entered after one outing in April. He has not been nearly as good at home however and the Phillies are just 1-3 in his four home starts. 10* (903) Milwaukee Brewers |
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07-19-23 | Dodgers v. Orioles +132 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 132 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Dodgers have won the first two games of this series and have been playing well since before the all Star break as they are 16-6 over their last 22 games. Los Angeles has taken over first place in the National League West as it has a 1.5-game lead over the Giants and a 2.5-game lead over the Diamondbacks. Baltimore was cruising along with eight straight wins prior to this series which halted a 1-6 stretch but the Orioles have not lost any ground in the American League East as they are still only one game behind Tampa Bay and they have a 4.5-game lead in the Wild Card Standings. Dean Kremer opened the season with some struggles as he allowed four or five runs in five of his first six starts but has been a different pitcher since then. He did have a pair of bad outings against the Twins and Brewers but has allowed three runs or fewer in his other 11 starts including two runs or less eight times. Julio Urias is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed no runs on just one hit in six innings against the Mets which was a rare quality road start as he has struggled away from home. In his previous six outings on the road, he posted an 8.44 ERA covering just 26.2 innings. 10* (924) Baltimore Orioles |
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07-18-23 | Nationals +153 v. Cubs | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The road success continues for Washington as it jumped ahead 5-1 and held on for a 7-5 win last night and we will back the Nationals again at an unfair price. The win snapped a two-game slide and Washington remains solid on the road at 23-24 and up over 17 units of profit. The Cubs have now lost two straight games and are 3-5 over their last eight with the pitching being a big problem, allowing 5.8 rpg over that stretch. The Cubs fell to 43-50 which puts them 8.5 games out in the National League Central as well as in the Wild Card Standings. Patrick Corbin has been up and down of late but it has been mostly the former as he has had a couple blowups but has allowed three runs or less in six of his last eight starts and he is fine as long as he avoids giving up the long ball as he has six games of allowing multiple home runs. Jameson Taillon is coming off his best start of the season as he did not allowing a run on just one hit over eight innings against the Yankees, his former team, but that is now 11 days ago and prior to that, he had allowed four runs or more in eight of 10 starts for a 7.71 ERA. 10* (959) Washington Nationals |
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07-18-23 | Marlins +133 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami has hit a small bump with four straight losses to come out of the break following a 6-4 loss last night in the series opener despite outhitting the Cardinals. The Marlins are still nine games over .500 but are 10 games behind the Braves in the National League East yet remain in one of the three Wild Card spots. St. Louis has caught a little fire with three straight wins and having gone 6-2 over its last eight games but it is too little, too late. The Cardinals are still 12 games under .500 and 11 games out in both the division and the Wild Card standings. Edward Cabrera is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed five runs on just four hits over four innings but allowed two home runs at Seattle. Prior to that, he had allowed three runs or fewer in 11 of his first 13 starts while posting a 2.93 ERA in his previous five outings. Jordan Montgomery has had a very solid season with a 3.23 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 18 starts but the Cardinals are just 6-12 in those games. His numbers increase at home where he has made half of those starts and St. Louis is 4-5 and down close to six units because he continues to be overpriced. 10* (957) Miami Marlins |
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07-17-23 | Nationals +130 v. Cubs | Top | 7-5 | Win | 130 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Washington came up small for us yesterday as they won the opener in St. Louis but allowed 17 runs over the final two games to take the losses yet Washington remains solid on the road at 22-24 and up nearly 16 units of profit in a good bounce back spot. The Cubs lost their series with Boston following an 11-5 loss on Sunday which was not even that close as Chicago scored the final five runs over the last two innings. The Cubs fell to 43-49 which puts them eight games out in the National League Central as well as in the Wild Card Standings. Mackenzie Gore went just 1.3 innings in his last start because of a rain delay and while he has been up and down this season with a 4.42 ERA in 18 starts, he has allowed three runs or less in 13 of those where his ERA is a solid 2.56 so when he avoids the occasional blowup, he has been efficient. Drew Smyly counters for Chicago and he has been on a similar path as Gore with some recent bad starts tossed in with some good ones but he has been more inconsistent of late. Over his last eight outings, he has posted a 6.75 ERA and in four starts over this stretch where he has allowed three runs or less, only one has been quality. 10* (905) Washington Nationals |
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07-16-23 | Astros v. Angels +130 | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Angels lost the series opener on Friday for their sixth straight loss and were looking like it was going to be seven straight defeats but they rallied from 9-3 and 12-9 deficits to send it to extra innings which they eventually won in 10 innings to provide some massive momentum. Houston closed the first half on a 1-3 run before the Friday victory and the loss last night was a huge kick in the teeth with their best starter on the hill and now go into Sunday with a depleted bullpen. The Astros fell to three games behind the Rangers in the American League West. Tyler Anderson got off to a horrible start this season with a 7.20 ERA through his first four starts but then settled down with five straight starts of allowing three runs or less before hitting another small rough patch. He has bounced back again though, posting a 2.81 ERA over his last three outings and looks to keep that rolling here. Christian Javier opened the season as one of the most consistent starters in the rotation as he had a 2.84 ERA over his first 12 starts, allowing a total of 22 earned runs but he has allowed that same combined amount over his last five outings to put up a 9.14 ERA in just 21.2 innings. 10* (970) Los Angeles Angels |
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07-16-23 | Nationals +170 v. Cardinals | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After winning the first game Saturday in the continuation of the Friday suspended game, Washington lost the nightcap 9-6, erasing a 4-0 deficit at one point. The Nationals are a very respectable 22-23 on the road and have won over 16 units in the process and catch another good number here. The Cardinals have a long second half road ahead of them as they remain 14 games under .500 including eight games under .500 at home. St. Louis is down over 18 units in those home games which shows the overpricing that continues today as it looks to crawl out of the division basement. Fresh off his All Star appearance, Josiah Gray makes his first start since the break and it has been a breakout season. He has a 3.41 ERA through 18 starts which includes a 2.39 ERA in 11 road starts and has a good matchup here despite the Cardinals hitting him hard earlier this season, so he will be out for retribution from his worst start of the season. Jack Flaherty was all over the place early in the season and after some time off, he came back with a pair of shutout starts prior to the break, as he went six and 6.2 innings after allowing 12 runs in his previous two outings before then but we cannot be sold that he is back to his form from a few years ago. 10* (959) Washington Nationals |
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07-15-23 | Astros v. Angels +143 | Top | 12-13 | Win | 143 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Angels were in a good spot last night with Shohei Ohtani on the hill but he allowed four earned runs in five innings before leaving with a hand issue and they lost the opener 7-5. Los Angeles has lost six straight games going back to before the break. Houston closed the first half on a 1-3 run and the victory last night kept the Astros two games behind Texas in the American League West. The line has flipped from last night but the Angels are not at a big disadvantage in this one. Reid Detmers is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed seven runs in 3.1 innings against the Dodgers but he had allowed more than three runs only three times in his first 15 starts while posting a 1.42 ERA in his last five outings before that last start. Framber Valdez has been solid all around with a 2.51 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 17 starts which is the reason for the big road price but the Astros are an average 10-7 in those games. After solid command early, his strikeout numbers are down and his walks are up. Here, we play on American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season and with a WHIP of 1.00 or better over his last five starts. This situation is 44-21 (67.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (920) Los Angeles Angels |
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07-15-23 | Giants v. Pirates +150 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. San Francisco rallied from a 4-3 deficit with three runs in the seventh inning to take the series opener and the Giants have won three straight games going back to before the break. San Francisco improved to 50-41 and are now just 2.5 games behind Arizona in the National League West. The Pirates early good fortunes have gone away as they are now 9-23 over their last 32 games and have fallen nine games under .500. They are 8.5 games behind Milwaukee and Cincinnati but are still sitting at .500 at home and catch a good contrarian number here. Alex Cobb is having a great season with a 2.91 ERA and 1.34 WHIP overall but his success has mostly come at home where he has a 1.24 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in seven outings compared to a 4.50 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in nine starts. The All Star break came at a good time for Johan Oviedo who allowed 13 runs over his final two starts. He was rolling along with a 2.96 ERA in his previous nine outings so the consistency is there and some added rest should get him back. Here, we play on home teams starting a pitcher who allowed five or more runs in his last two outings and batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games. This situation is 37-18 (67.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (906) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-14-23 | Yankees v. Rockies +179 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 179 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Yankees limped into the All Star Break with losses in four of their last five games and they have fallen into fourth place in the American League East, eight games behind Tampa Bay. They are just two games over .500 and are severely overpriced here. Colorado closed the first half on a bad run as well as it went as it went 1-6 over its last seven games but most of those were on the road where the Rockies are 14-33. They are just four games under .500 at home which is far from great but loaded with value here. Carlos Rodon made his first start of the season a week ago and it was solid as he allowed two runs on four hits in 5.1 innings against the Cubs. He has more extended break which is not a bad thing but now heads to Coors Field for his first road start. Austin Gomber easily could have been taken out of the rotation as he put up some horrible starts but he also mixed in some good ones and he closed the first half with a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last three outings, allowing two runs in each. Here, we play on National League home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season and who walked one or fewer hitters each of his last two outings. This situation is 32-16 (66.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (980) Colorado Rockies |
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07-14-23 | Guardians +132 v. Rangers | Top | 4-12 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Texas survived the first half as it entered the break leading the American League West by two games over Houston. But it was a bad finish as the Rangers are just 5-11 over their last 16 games while going only 12-19 over their last 31 games. Cleveland closed with a loss but finished the first half on a 13-7 run in its last 20 games to take over first place in the American League Central. Granted, it is only a half-game lead and the Guardians are right at .500 but still a quality team. Aaron Civale made two early starts before getting put on the shelf for nearly two months and has been great since. He has a 2.48 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in his seven starts since his return and he has been sensational on the road with a 1.25 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in four outings. Jon Gray counters for Texas and after an average start, he put together six straight starts of allowing one run or less but he has been inconsistent since then. Over his last four outings, he has a 6.98 ERA and 1.76 WHIP and Texas has lost four of his last five starts. Here, we play against American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game and with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better. This situation is 32-17 (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (961) Cleveland Guardians |
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07-14-23 | Toronto v. Montreal +6 | Top | 35-27 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Friday Enforcer. The reigning Grey Cup Champions Argonauts are off to a 3-0 start after rolling over previously undefeated B.C. last time out but that was an ideal spot with the Lions coming off a massive road win at Winnipeg. Toronto has covered all three games as well, winning all by double-digits which puts value on the other side. The one advantage Toronto seems to have here is rest as it is coming off a bye week, already its second this season, but that could be a detriment as the early season momentum could come to a halt. Montreal opened the season with a pair of wins over Ottawa and Hamilton sandwiched around a bye but has followed that up with two blowout losses. However, those were against the two top teams in the West Division and now the Alouettes are back home. They have been outgained only twice in their four games and those were by a combined 13 total yards. It is a short week for Montreal but coming off those two losses makes that a good spot to put those defeats behind them right away. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a turnover margin of +0.75 per game or better on the season, after two consecutive games where they forced three or more turnovers. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (684) Montreal Alouettes |
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07-13-23 | Hamilton v. Edmonton Elks +1.5 | Top | 37-29 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Edmonton came through for us last week as it covered against Saskatchewan by losing by just a point yet it is still seeking its first victory of the season. The Elks head back home after a two-game roadtrip at 0-5 and this is the best opportunity to date to seize that first victory. The Elks have been outgained in all five games but only one of those was overly lopsided, including just one yard last week, and they have been outgained by only an average of 65.8 ypg in the other four games. Hamilton was in a similar spot last week as it came into its home game against Ottawa with a 0-3 record and defeated the RedBlacks 21-13 for its first victory of the season. It was far from dominant as the Ti-Cats won the yardage battle by only 15 yards and while it was their third straight game of outgaining their opponents, the total yardage has only been +23 yards combined. Hamilton is in a tougher spot here as it is playing on two fewer days of rest and now travels west for the first time since opening week when it was shellacked by Winnipeg, getting outgained by 233 yards. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) since 1996. 10* (682) Edmonton Elks |
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07-09-23 | Royals +220 v. Guardians | Top | 4-1 | Win | 220 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Kansas City pulled off a pair of home upsets over the Dodgers in it series with Los Angeles but this roadtrip has not been kind as they have lost the first six games following a 10-6 loss last night as it was another team that fell behind early and could not catch up. Cleveland has won three straight games and six of its last eight to get back to .500 on the season and pull within a half-game of the Twins in the American League Central. It is rare to find close to a 2.5-1 favorite that is sitting at .500 but here it is as the value is on the other side. Shane Bieber is the big reason for the huge line as he is the ace of the staff but has been anything but of late as over his last four starts, he has a 5.09 ERA, allowing four runs or more in three of those outings. His overall numbers are decent but Cleveland is just 7-11 in his 18 starts. The Royals go with Ryan Yarbrough who is making his first start since early May after getting struck in the head with a line drive that caused skull fractures. In four rehab appearances, he has posted a 2.55 ERA across 17.2 innings, allowing only five runs while striking out 20. 10* (913) Kansas City Royals |
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07-09-23 | A's +155 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Oakland lost its third straight game on Saturday in a 10-3 loss as it fell behind 5-0 after the first two innings and it was game over after that. The Athletics had won four of their previous five games and have a good matchup today to head into the break with a victory. Boston has won four straight games and seven of its last eight games as prior to this series, it pulled off the sweep in Toronto and backed that up with a series win against Texas. Nonetheless, the Red Sox will enter the break in last place in the American League East. J.P. Sears is a big reason for this play as he is coming off his best start of the season, allowing no runs on five hits and no walks in 7.1 innings. A rough late April and early May hurt his start to the season but since then he has been great, posting a 3.14 ERA over his last 10 starts, allowing two runs or less eight times. Tayler Scott counters for Boston as the will be the opening starter in a bullpen game with Chris Murphy likely taking over to manage a bulk of the innings after that. It is not an ideal situation for the Red Sox and they are overpriced based on uniform name. 10* (911) Oakland Athletics |
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07-08-23 | Braves v. Rays +131 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Tampa Bay is in the midst of its worst stretch of the season as it has lost six straight games including the opener of this series 2-1 despite allowing only two hits. The Rays have seen their lead in the American League East shrink to three games over the Orioles. Atlanta has won two straight games following a rare recent loss as going back, the Braves are 19-2 in their last 21 games. The win last night came via a two-run home run and that was the 24th straight game Atlanta has hit a home run. The Braves now have a 9.5-game lead in the National League East. It will not get any easier for the Rays with Spencer Strider on the hill who has been solid over his last three starts but he did show some inconsistencies prior to that and faces a great offense that has simply been mired in a slump. He has a 4.54 ERA in his last six road starts. Taj Bradley was off to a great start to his Major League career as he had a 3.85 ERA through his first 10 starts but struggled over his last two outings, allowing 11 runs in 7.1 innings but both of those were on the road and looks to feed off his most recent gem at home against the Orioles. 10* (978) Tampa Bay Rays |
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07-08-23 | Rangers v. Nationals +167 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 167 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Texas remains in first place in the American League West with the lead now being three games over Houston following a 7-2 wins last night but the Rangers have been very average after a great start to the season. They are just 5-9 over their last 14 games as the consistent offense has tailed off. Washington was on a solid run as it went 6-2 over an eight-game stretch but has dropped its last five games since then that included a four-game sweep at the hands of the Reds prior to last night. The Nationals have struggled at home but that is being factored into this big number. Jake Irvin gets the ball for Washington and after a rough stretch in his first seven starts to begin his career, he has been pretty solid by allowing three runs or fewer in each of his last four outings and most important, his command has been sharp as he has posted a 1.15 WHIP over that stretch. Andrew Heaney counters for Texas and he has been fairly consistent all season. He is coming off a solid outing where he allowed no runs over five innings against Houston but that lowered his ERA to just 4.12 and the Rangers are just 9-7 in his 16 starts this season. 10* (976) Washington Nationals |
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07-07-23 | Calgary +8.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 11-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Winnipeg is off to a 3-1 start as after suffering its first loss of the season against B.C. two weeks ago, it took care of Montreal last week 17-3. While the Blue Bombers held the Alouettes to just three points, they gave up 363 yards with bad weather being the biggest attribute to a low scoring game. Winnipeg rolled in its opener against Hamilton as it outgained the Ti-Cats by 233 total yards but the Blue Bombers have been outgained in each of their last three games and now come in favored by the most they have been and against a quality opponent. Calgary is 1-2 to start the season but is trending in the right direction and is in a good situational spot here. The Stampeders struggled against B.C. in their season opener as the offense managed only 15 points and 271 total yards but bounced back big the next two weeks as they put up 442 and 410 total yards against Ottawa and Saskatchewan respectively. Now, Calgary is coming off a bye week and facing a Winnipeg team playing on short rest and coming back from the east coast. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (673) Calgary Stampeders |
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07-07-23 | Orioles +141 v. Twins | Top | 3-1 | Win | 141 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Minnesota is coming off a sweep of Kansas City to start the week and the Twins have maintained their lead in the American League Central which is now at three games over Cleveland. They are overpriced in this series opener with that mostly based on pitching but is not a huge advantage. Baltimore is coming off a 14-1 win over the Yankees to force a series split and the Orioles have won consecutive games for the first time in nearly two weeks as they came in on a 1-6 run prior to these two recent wins yet are still just four games behind Tampa Bay. Bailey Ober has been great with seven straight starts of allowing three runs or less and the price says that. He is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed no run on just two hits and no walks while striking out eight and while that came against the Orioles, Baltimore has the offense that can adjust. Cole Irvin had a poor start in April against Oakland and was sent down to the Minors to work things out and it rejuvenated him as he has made four starts since coming back, posting a 3.12 ERA and he could be stretched out more should the success continue. 10* (919) Baltimore Orioles |
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07-07-23 | Phillies v. Marlins +116 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Philadelphia comes in as a road favorite and that is for two reasons. The Phillies have been playing some great baseball of late as they have won 22 of their last 29 games which includes 13 straight road wins as well as the fact Zack Wheeler is on the hill, who has been overpriced all season long. Miami took the first three games against St. Louis before losing the finale last night 3-0 as they could not get to Jack Flaherty. The Marlins are still on top of the Wild Card standings and have a three-game cushion of staying in and falling out into fourth place. This is a big home series prior to the All Star break. Wheeler does have decent numbers overall and the Phillies are 11-6 in his 17 starts but he has been the beneficiary of solid run support and he has not looked great of late, allowing nine runs in 10.1 innings over his last two starts. He has allowed four runs or more in seven of those 17 games. Sandy Alcantara has had a very disappointing season after winning the Cy Young Award last season as he has posted a 5.02 ERA in his 17 starts but a lot of those runs have been inherited as he possesses a solid 1.26 WHIP which drops to 1.19 in eight home outings. 10* (902) Miami Marlins |
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07-06-23 | Pirates +212 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Pittsburgh won the opener of this series on Tuesday in dramatic fashion and was on pace last night with a 4-0 lead but allowed six unanswered runs to take the loss. The Pirates fell 7.5 games behind the Reds who remain red hot and a big weekend before the All Star break could do wonders. The Dodgers have won two of three but they have been nothing special over the last month, going 14-17 over their last 31 games and they are again a massive home favorite with the linesmakers having no choice. The remain 1.5 games back in the National League West. Julio Urias is back after a long stint on the IL and his first start back was not good as he allowed five runs in three innings against the lowly Royals, which raises big questions. He was decent prior his injury but still had a couple blow up starts and he is a huge risk at a number this large. Jose Oviedo has quietly gone about his business and we catch him coming off his worst start of the season where he allowed eight runs against the Brewers and that is playing into this number. In 17 starts, he has allowed two runs or less 10 times. 10* (959) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-06-23 | Edmonton Elks +8 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 11-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Edmonton was pegged to be one of the worst teams in the CFL once again and that prediction is already looking true as the Elks are off to a 0-4 start and have failed to cover any of those games. That brings in line value this week especially. Edmonton lost to Ottawa last week by 19 points as a 1.5-point underdog and while Saskatchewan is a better team than the RedBlacks, this is too big of a line move. The Elks have been outgained in all four games but only one of those was overly lopsided and they have been outgained by only an average of 87.3 ypg in the other three games. Saskatchewan is 2-1 to start the season and it is coming off a bye week following an upset win in overtime at Calgary. The Roughriders opened the season with a win at Edmonton which was just a four-point victory and we are now seeing a 10-point line swing which is too much based on the venue switch. While Saskatchewan has won the yardage battle in all three of its games, it has been by only 39, 52 and 26 total yards so it has been far from dominant and that will not get it done in trying to cover a line this big. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (671) Edmonton Elks |
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07-06-23 | Cardinals +118 v. Marlins | Top | 3-0 | Win | 118 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami was swept by the Braves last weekend which put a big gap between it and the Braves in the National League East but the Marlins have won the first three games of this series go get some momentum back. Miami still sits atop the National League Wild Card. The Cardinals remain in a funk and going nowhere quickly as they have now lost three straight games and six of their last eight to fall 18 games under .500 and 12.5 games behind Cincinnati in the National League Central. The preseason favorites hope to get their pitching back in order tonight. Jack Flaherty is just the guy to do that as he was rolling along with a 2.06 ERA in six starts starting late May but was hammered for six runs in consecutive games against the Nationals and Giants but bounced back with a gem against the Yankees and brings in a 3.73 ERA in nine road starts. Eury Perez is the future and after an incredible start to his career, he finally got taken to the shed, allowing six runs on seven hits while getting just one batter out against Atlanta. His first test of adversity comes here against a very capable and potentially potent lineup. 10* (955) St. Louis Cardinals |
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07-05-23 | Cubs v. Brewers +135 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Cubs were able to sneak out a 7-6 win in extra innings on Tuesday as they nearly blew a 6-2 lead by allowing four late runs but defense came up big with Ian Happ throwing out two runners in the extra frames. The win snapped a three-game skid and a 1-7 slide. The Brewers had a three-game winning streak snapped with the loss and they lost for just the fourth times in their last 12 games. Milwaukee is now one game behind Cincinnati in the National League Central and it comes in as a home underdog tonight. That is mostly due to the pitching of Justin Steele for the Cubs as he is coming off another gem as he tossed 6.1 shutout innings against Cleveland to lower his ERA to 2.43 which actually leads the National League. It is solid but nothing extraordinary to top the league. Adrian Houser is making another spot start after a quality outing against the Mets and two solid outings out of the bullpen. He has made five starts with mixed results and the three good starts were very good and now he faces a Cubs offense that is ranked No. 20 in both wOBA and slugging percentage. 10* (906) Milwaukee Brewers |
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07-05-23 | Royals +224 v. Twins | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. We lost with the Royals yesterday afternoon but will come back with them here with a great price. Kansas City pulled off a pair of home upsets over the Dodgers in it series with Los Angeles but lost the opener of this series 8-4 prior to the 9-3 loss on Tuesday. Minnesota has now won two straight games and has retook the lead the lead in the American League Central and the Twins are back over .500 on the season. Stringing wins together has been an issue as they are just 8-12 in their last 20 games following a victory while going 3-10 in their last 13 games following consecutive wins. The first season in Minnesota started great for Pablo Lopez who had a 1.73 ERA in his first four starts but he has been very inconsistent since then, posting a 5.09 ERA over his last 13 outings, allowing two runs or less only five times. He brings in a 5.93 ERA in eight home starts. Alec Marsh did not have a good Major League debut but it came against the Dodgers where he allowed five runs on six hits including a pair of home runs from Mookie Betts so other than that, we was not that bad and takes a big step down in class here. 10* (917) Kansas City Royals |
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07-04-23 | Pirates +192 v. Dodgers | Top | 9-7 | Win | 192 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Dodgers had won four straight games and seven of nine games to close June but they have been nothing special over the last month, going 13-16 over their last 29 games and they are again a massive home favorite with the linesmakers having no choice. The remain 2.5 games back in the National League West. Pittsburgh strung together a four-game winning streak but has lost its last three games including a 5-2 loss in the series opener last night. The Pirates prior tow losses were important ones against the Brewers and they are now 6.5 games behind Cincinnati and Milwaukee in the National League Central. Luis Ortiz is coming off a not so great start against the Padres as he allowed four runs over 4.2 innings but that was only the second time in nine starts he has allowed more than three runs with the other also being only four runs. In those other seven starts, he has a 3.31 ERA. Emmet Sheehan is a top pitching prospect in the organization and he has shown his qualities as he has posted a 2.65 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in his first three starts but his first start was the best. His last two outings produced a 4.09 ERA with teams getting more film on him. 10* (959) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-04-23 | Royals +174 v. Twins | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Kansas City pulled off a pair of home upsets over the Dodgers in it series with Los Angeles but lost the opener of this series yesterday 8-4 as a 3-3 game was opened up by the Twins with five runs in the eighth inning. Despite a rough season overall, the Royals are 7-8 over their last 15 games. Minnesota retook the lead the lead in the American League Central with the victory coupled with the Guardians loss and the Twins are back to .500 on the season. Stringing wins together has been an issue as they are just 7-12 in their last 19 games following a victory. Zack Greinke hits the road following a quality outing against Cleveland and while he has struggled in his last two road starts, those were against Tampa Bay and Miami. His command remains solid as he has a 1.28 WHIP overall and a 1.29 WHIP on the road. Kenta Maeda is making his third start since returning to the rotation and the first two have been solid as he has allowed a total of two runs over 10 combined innings. Both were on the road and in his two home starts this season, he has struggled to a 14.00 ERA and 2.33 WHIP. 10* (965) Kansas City Royals |
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07-03-23 | Braves v. Guardians +144 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our Interleague Game of the Month. The Braves are coming off a perfect 6-0 homestand with sweeps over the Twins and Marlins to extend their winning streak to eight games and now they hit the road with a nine-game lead in the National League East. They are non-surprising big road favorites but have a test in the opener. Cleveland is coming off a successful roadtrip where it went 4-2, winning both series against the Royals and Cubs. The Guardians are tied with Minnesota atop the American League Central but they still possess a losing record at one game under .500. Gavin Williams did not have a good entrance into the Majors as he struggled in his first career start against Oakland but made up for it in his second turn as he allowed only one hit and no runs in seven innings against Kansas City. Bryce Elder opened June with a pair of bad outings against the Mets and Nationals but has recovered with three straight quality starts, posting a 1.42 ERA in those games. He has been great for the majority with a 2.44 ERA in 16 starts which is a main factor in this price. 10* (916) Cleveland Guardians |
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07-03-23 | BC v. Toronto +3 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. British Columbia is coming off a huge win last week as it rolled over Winnipeg 30-6 to plant an early seed as the team to beat in the West Division. That was the second road win of the season over a quality opponent as the Lions defeated Calgary in their season opener and after staying our west for the first three weeks of the season, they head to the other side of the country in a tough spot. The 24-point win over the Blue Bombers was a blowout based on the score but they outgained them by only 24 total yards as they benefitted from clutch plays on defense including seven sacks. Toronto is off to a 2-0 start in defending its Grey Cup as it defeated Hamilton in its opener and then rolled past Edmonton last week in a game that was not as close as the 43-31 final score indicates. The 31 points allowed seems like a lot for a stout defense but two of the Edmonton touchdowns were scored in garbage time during the final three minutes of the game. The Argonauts improved their defense in the offseason on a unit that carried them to the championship a season ago. The line is wrong here as the Lions are getting a little too much credit for the early success. Here, we play against favorites of a field goal or more off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 34-12 ATS (73.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Toronto Argonauts |
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07-02-23 | Marlins +189 v. Braves | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami went into Boston and swept the Red Sox but that momentum did not move forward as it has dropped the first two games of this series by a combined score of 23-4. The Marlins are now catching their biggest number of the series with the reigning Cy Young winner on the hill. Atlanta continues to roll along as it has now won seven straight games to move eight games ahead of Miami in the National League East. We should expect to see some starters rest today before Atlanta hits the road for a six-game roadtrip prior to the All Star break. Sandy Alcantara has not performed up to his standards this season but he is coming off one of his best starts of the season as he limited Boston to one run on six hits over seven innings which was his third quality start in his last four road games. He has avoided damage by allowing only eight home runs all season. Spencer Strider is the reason for the big number and he is coming off a pair of quality outings following a rough stretch where he posted a 6.47 ERA over his previous six starts. The wins have been coming but has been vulnerable at home with a 4.11 ERA and has a tough counterpart today. 10* (951) Miami Marlins |
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07-02-23 | Nationals +216 v. Phillies | Top | 5-4 | Win | 216 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After three straight wins and victories in five of their previous six games, the Nationals gave it back yesterday in a 19-4 blowout loss but are in a good spot to bounce back at a price that does not make sense. Washington is just two games under .500 o the road and has brought in +13.7 units of profit. The Phillies were rolling with four straight wins before the 2-1 loss on Friday but certainly made up for it Saturday. Philadelphia is 19-6 over its last 25 games which has gotten them six games over .500 and back into the Wild Card mix where they are currently 1.5 games back. The Phillies are overpriced with Ranger Suarez on the hill and while he has pitched great of late, he has not been more than a -150 favorite since his return into the rotation. He has allowed one runs or less in five straight starts but brings in a 5.21 ERA in four home starts. Trevor Williams has quietly had a very good season as he has accounted for nearly 25 percent of the Nationals overall victories this season. In 16 starts, he has allowed three runs or fewer in 12 of those including four straight on the road with games at the Braves and Dodgers mixed in there. 10* (955) Washington Nationals |
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07-01-23 | Dodgers v. Royals +195 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 195 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Royals have been in a funk all season at 23-59 and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games that included a pair of wins over Tampa Bay. Kansas City has been equally as bad at home as it has on the road but it is catching a strong number today. The Dodgers had won four straight games and are 7-2 over their last nine games but they have been nothing special over the last month, going 12-14 over their last 26 games and they are again as a massive road favorite with the linesmakers having no choice. Julio Urias is back in the rotation after extended time away as he was placed on the IL way back on May 20 because of a hamstring issue and it took a while to recover. He struggled prior to the injury as he posted a 6.25 ERA over his last six starts. Daniel Lynch was late into getting into the rotation but he has looked very good. He had one poor outing against the Reds but has a 2.76 ERA in his other five outings which includes two straight quality outings where he allowed only one run over 13 innings. Here, we play against National League teams hitting .250 or worse and starting a pitcher who is working on seven or more days rest going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 38-16 (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (926) Kansas City Royals |
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07-01-23 | Marlins +151 v. Braves | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami had its five-game winning streak snapped last night with a 16-4 loss which was a statement for the Braves showing how much better they potentially are but it was a bad pitching matchup and that changes Saturday. The Marlins are now seven games back in the division. The Braves are running hot with six straight wins and the victory last night gave them twice as many wins as losses at 54-27. Atlanta improved to 28-15 at home but at just +5.5 units, the Braves are a very overpriced team here and this is the case tonight. Eury Perez is the real deal as he has come into the big leagues and dominated with a 1.34 ERA and 0.98 WHIP through nine starts. He has not allowed a run in his last three outings and five of his last six. He has given up just one home run in his last seven games. Charlie Morton continues deal despite his age as he has not gone three straight starts of allowing three runs or less but he has not gone deep as his control is becoming a real issue as proven by his 1.48 WHIP that includes 39 walks. Here, we play against National League teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg and after a game where they committed three or more errors going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better. This situation is 40-12 (76.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (909) Miami Marlins |
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06-30-23 | Astros +145 v. Rangers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 145 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The first big series in the American League West starts Friday with a four-game set between the Astros and Rangers. Houston has won two straight games and five of its last eight games to pull within five games of Texas in the division and this is a huge series to keep the Astros within striking distance. Texas split its series with Detroit following an 8-5 loss on Thursday and since a late-April to early-June run where they went 26-9 over a 35-game stretch to create some space in the division, the Rangers have struggled considerably. Texas is only 9-12 over its last 21 games with the potent offense cooling off. That is good news for Ronel Blanco who is making his fifth start since entering the rotation as the start of the month. He has been solid with the exception of one bad start against Cincinnati as his other three outings have produced an ERA of 3.63 including two quality starts. Jon Gray has been great all season as he has allowed more than three runs only twice in 14 starts as he has a 2.89 ERA and 1.04 WHIP overall. Both of those poor outings were at home however and against two potent offenses in Toronto and Arizona and he faces yet another one here. 10* (965) Houston Astros |
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06-30-23 | Nationals +161 v. Phillies | Top | 2-1 | Win | 161 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Phillies swept their series against the Cubs to make it four straight wins and they have been playing some better baseball of late, going 18-5 over their last 23 games which has gotten them six games over .500 and back into the Wild Card mix where they are currently 1.5 games back. Washington has won two straight games and has started this nine-game roadtrip with a pair of series wins over San Diego and Seattle. The Nationals are firmly in last place in the National League East but have been a very good road team where they are 19-21 and are +12.9 units. Josiah Gray is coming off his second start of the season where he allowed no runs as he tossed 5.1 shutout innings against the Padres and it was the 11th time in 16 outings he has allowed two runs or fewer. His ERA is now 3.43 which includes a 2.48 ERA in 10 road starts. Christopher Sanchez is making just his fourth start of the season and only his third since coming back into the rotation after a spot start in April. He has been decent as he allowed no runs in four innings against lowly Oakland and then gave up three runs in five innings against the Mets on Saturday. 10* (951) Washington Nationals |
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06-29-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies +185 | Top | 14-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Colorado rallied from a 6-4 deficit last night with five runs in the sixth inning and held onto a 9-8 win to make it a 3-2 homestand thus far. The Rockies are horrible on the road at 13-29 but are a different team at home with a 19-21 record and are again seeing value here. The Dodgers had won four straight games but have dropped two of their last three and they have been nothing special over the last month, going 10-13 over their last 23 games but here they are again as a massive road favorite despite being just one game better on the road than Colorado is at home. Emmet Sheehan has made two career starts and both have been solid as he has allowed just two runs over 12 innings including six no hit innings against the Giants. He does not miss many bats though as he has just seven strikeouts and this is his first career road start and it comes at the worst venue possible. Chase Anderson was rolling along with a 3.16 ERA in his first six starts this season before getting tagged by the Braves for seven runs in three innings on the road and followed it up being part of that 25-1 debacle where he allowed nine runs against the Angels. That could affect some, but he is a veteran that can easily erase it. 10* (908) Colorado Rockies |
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06-29-23 | Brewers +170 v. Mets | Top | 3-2 | Win | 170 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. We won with the Brewers last night and will back them again at another great price. Milwaukee has won two of the first three games of this series and the win last night kept it in second place behind Cincinnati in the National League Central by a half game. The Brewers have now won eight of their last 12 games to get to four games over .500. The Mets have now lost eight of their last 11 games as the season has gone sideways since a 14-7 start as they have gone 22-37 since then. New York is eight games under .500 overall and trail the Braves by a 17 games in the National League East. No one will question the heart of Max Scherzer but word came out yesterday he is willing to waive his no trade clause so just how vested is he here? He is coming off a pair of quality outings but he has allowed five runs or more in four of 13 starts and the home run is a problem with five allowed the last four games. Adrian Houser will get a spot start after two solid outings out of the bullpen. He has made four starts with mixed results and the two good starts were very good and now he faces a Mets offense that is bottom third in OPS and slugging percentage. 10* (903) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-28-23 | Phillies v. Cubs +115 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Phillies took the series opener last night 5-1 to make it two straight wins and they have been playing some better baseball of late, going 16-5 over their last 21 games which has gotten them four games over .500 and back into the Wild Card mix where they are currently three games back. Chicago has dropped two straight games following an off day on Monday following the trivial London two-game series and now are back on regular time. The Cubs are 3.5 games behind Philadelphia in those Wild Card standings but more importantly, they are 3.5 back in the National League Central. The overpricing of Aaron Nola continues as he is again a road favorite despite below average pitching throughout the season. He is coming off a solid outing against the Braves as he allowed two hits and no runs over six innings but still has a 4.38 ERA that balloons to 5.17 in nine road outings with the Phillies going 3-6 in those games. Drew Smyly has been very consistent as he is also coming off a shutout performance over five innings to lower his ERA to 3.59. Take away three poor starts, two against the Reds and one against the Pirates and his ERA drops to 2.29 in his other 12 starts where the Cubs have gone 8-4. 10* (956) Chicago Cubs |
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06-28-23 | Brewers +135 v. Mets | Top | 5-2 | Win | 135 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Milwaukee took the opener of this series but gave it back last night to snap a two-game winning streak and it is back in second place behind Cincinnati in the National League Central by a half game. The Brewers have now won seven of their last 11 games to get to three games over .500. The Mets are coming off a rare win as they have lost seven of their last 10 games with both the offense and pitching nor being able to show any signs of consistency. New York is now seven games under .500 and trail the Braves by a massive 16 games in the National League East. Wade Miley opened the season strong with a 2.31 ERA through his first six start before getting hit hard by the Dodgers before an early exit next game showing something was wrong. After a stint on the IL with a lat strain, he has made two starts, not allowing a run over 11 combined innings. Kodai Senga has been the go to starter as he leads the team in ERA at 3.52 following a decent performance at Philadelphia but he still does not consistently go deep in games which is an issue with the poor bullpen behind him. His command is an issue still as he has a 1.34 WHIP in part due to 44 walks. 10* (953) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-27-23 | Padres v. Pirates +170 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 170 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Pittsburgh was the big story in baseball a month ago when it took the lead in the National League Central but it has been a rough stretch as the Pirates are 1-12 in their last 13 games to fall seven games under .500 but are still just 5.5 games out of first place. San Diego has been a disappointment all season long as it has not come close to meeting expectations. The Padres have lost two straight games and are just 4-7 over their last 11 games to remain four games under .500 yet are massive favorites despite being just 1.5 games better than Pittsburgh. The reason is Yu Darvish being on the hill but that should mean nothing at this point as he has been pitching awful. He had a couple uneven outings early on but posted a 3.16 ERA through his first seven starts but in seven starts since then, he has a 6.75 ERA. Rich Hill allowed three runs or fewer in seven of his first nine starts before putting up a pair of rough outings to end June against the Giants and Reds but has gotten back to better form as he has posted a 3.32 ERA over his last four starts, allowing no more than three runs in any outing. Here, we play on teams batting .175 or worse over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or worse over his last five starts. This situation is 43-20 (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (902) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-27-23 | Reds +126 v. Orioles | Top | 3-1 | Win | 126 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Following a 12-game winning streak, the Reds have lost their last three games following a series opening loss last night which came after a pair of tough 7-6 losses against the Braves. Cincinnati has a strong, young nucleus and the confidence is still there. Baltimore has won three straight games after taking the final two games against Seattle over the weekend prior to the 10-3 victory last night. The Orioles are 11-5 in their last 16 games to remain four games behind the Rays in the American League East and are a huge public bet tonight. Tyler Wells in a cause for that as he has quietly put together a sensational season with a 3.42 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 14 starts as he has allowed more than three runs only three times and has allowed two runs or fewer in five straight starts. The Reds meanwhile are getting this number somewhat low because of Andrew Abbott who was called up in early June and posted three straight starts of allowing no runs covering a total of 17.2 innings. His last start was his worst but it was still a quality outing as he allowed three runs, all solo home runs. Here, we play on National League teams hitting between .255 and .269 and with a starting pitcher whose strikes out five or more batters per start going up against an American League starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better. This situation is 44-20 (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (917) Cincinnati Reds |
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06-26-23 | Twins +182 v. Braves | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Minnesota won in extra innings against Detroit on Sunday to win the series and has now won three of four to take a two-game lead over Cleveland in the American League Central. The Twins are big underdogs tonight and worth the take with an elite pitcher on the hill. Atlanta also took two of three over the weekend as it won the final two games against the Reds but they were not easy as the Braves won both by identical 7-6 scores. They maintained their lead in the National League East by six games over Florida. Sonny Gray has been sensational and one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball as he has a 2.44 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 15 starts. He has not allowed more than three runs in any start and has allowed than many runs only three times with two being against Cleveland. The Braves are heavy favorites because of how good they are playing and having Spencer Strider on the hill. He is one of the best in the game but he has been inconsistent as after a 1.80 ERA in his first five starts, he has a 5.10 ERA over his last 10 outings and while his strikeouts remain up, his hits and walks allowed are up as well. 10* (959) Minnesota Twins |
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06-26-23 | Brewers +163 v. Mets | Top | 2-1 | Win | 163 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Milwaukee took two of three in Cleveland over the weekend following a 5-4 extra-inning win on Sunday and has now won six of its last nine games to get to three games over .500. The Brewers have closed the gap to a half-game behind Cincinnati in the National League Central. The Mets are one of the most disappointing teams in baseball along with the Padres and Cardinals as they are coming off another loss on Sunday and have lost six of their last eight games. New York is now seven games under .500 and trail the Braves by a massive 15 games in the National League East. The Mets are huge favorites because of the name pitcher on the hill as Justin Verlander still warrants these prices despite an inconsistent start to the season. He has a 4.50 ERA through nine starts with the Mets going 3-6 in those games and his strikeout numbers are way down with his 7.6 K/9 rate is his lowest since 2015. Colin Rea has been decent yet far from spectacular as through 12 starts, he has allowed three runs or less in half of those while allowing four runs in the other half. The good news it that is has been no more than four and overall he still has a very strong 1.23 WHIP. 10* (951) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-25-23 | Astros +119 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-5 | Win | 119 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Houston has lost the first two games of this marquee series, both by just a single run, and going back, the Astros have dropped seven of their last nine games and have fallen 6.5 games behind the Rangers in the American League West. They are getting a good price with the best pitcher on their side in this series so far. The Dodgers have won four consecutive games to keep pace in the National League West as they are two games behind Arizona but have been jumped by San Francisco to fall into third place. They are 10 games over .500 but are down in profits and have a tough matchup here. Hunter Brown is a top young prospect that has already made some noise. He is coming off his worst game of the season but in his other four outings after allowing four or more runs, he has bounced back strong. It is hard to argue his stuff when he has four outings of seven inning and allowing no runs. Tony Gonsolin is also coming off his worst start of the season as he was lit up by the Giants for seven runs in 5.2 innings after opening the season with nine starts of allowing three runs or less. A bounce back is expected here as well but this lineup will be another big challenge. 10* (929) Houston Astros |
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06-25-23 | Toronto v. Edmonton Elks +7 | Top | 43-31 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Game of the Month. This one may look easy for the public but that is not the case. The reigning Grey Cup Champions opened their season with a bye week before finally hitting the field last week in front of their home fans to celebrate and defeated Hamilton 32-14. The Argonauts were actually outgained in that game so the final score was a bit misleading and coming off that triumphant victory against a rival no less and now having to travel cross country with less rest puts them in a very tough spot and yet the linemakers are forced to inflate this line with the public fully behind Toronto. Edmonton has been a bottom feeder in the league but this team should be a big improvement this season as it was a goal line stand away from a win in Week One against Saskatchewan before getting shutout last week against B.C. One positive to take from last week is that the defense allowed only one touchdown and the spot is great here in both the situation and the line. The Elks were getting basically the same number on the road last week as they are at home this week and this comes against two teams that are not far off from each other and that presents huge value. Here, we play against favorites off a win over a division rival, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (678) Edmonton Elks |
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06-25-23 | Diamondbacks +116 v. Giants | Top | 5-2 | Win | 116 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. San Francisco remains red hot as it has taken the first two games of this series and has now won 12 of its last 13 games to move into second place in the National League West, just a game and a half behind Arizona. The offense has rolled to an average of 7.3 rpg and that includes getting shutout in that lone defeat but this output is not sustainable. Arizona has remained in first place for a while now but the deficit has obviously shrunk and after going on a 12-2 run, the Diamondbacks are 5-7 over their last 12 games with this being a big game for momentum and breathing room with a series against Tampa Bay on deck. Ryne Nelson has been mostly good as he has allowed three runs or less in nine of 15 starts and his success is on the road. At home, he has a 7.09 ERA in eight starts but in seven road starts, his ERA is 3.41 and that drops to 2.18 when taking out his Coor Field outing. Anthony DeSclafani has been much more inconsistent no matter the venue as he has a 4.38 ERA in 15 outings which includes a 4.80 ERA in nine home starts. His command is becoming an issue as after five walks through eight starts, he has issued 13 over his last seven. 10* (909) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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06-24-23 | Angels v. Rockies +141 | Top | 25-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. We won with the Rockies last night and will come back with them again tonight as the Colorado 7-4 victory last night snapped an eight-game losing streak with the last seven coming against Atlanta and Cincinnati which had won a combined 19 straight games at the time. The Angels have dropped three straight games with the offense mustering only four total runs following a 6-2 run that got them into second place in the American League West for a short time but they are now seven games behind the Rangers in the division. Griffin Caning goes for the Angels and he has been very solid as he has gone six straight starts of allowing three runs or fewer but now hits a tough road environment where he already brings a 4.28 ERA in six road starts where he has allowed seven home runs. Chase Anderson got his season off to a great start as he put up a 3.16 ERA in his first six starts after entering the rotation in mid-May but he was lit up in his outing as he allowed seven runs in just three innings but that was against the Braves in Atlanta. He brings in a solid 2.57 ERA at home in four starts. 10* (980) Colorado Rockies |
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06-24-23 | Nationals +172 v. Padres | Top | 2-0 | Win | 172 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. San Diego broke open a close game last night by scoring six runs in the fifth inning and rolled to a 13-3 win to make it two straight wins following a three-game losing streak. The Padres are still a disappointing two games under .500 and do not deserve this price with an unknown on the hill. Washington has dropped two straight games and is 1-7 over its last eight games and despite the defeat last night, they have been a much better road team than at home as they are just five games under .500 while netting +6 units in profit. Josiah Gray is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed a season high in runs and hits with six and nine respectively but we should see a bounce back. Overall, he has a solid 3.64 ERA and in nine road starts, that ERA drops to 2.73 where he has allowed two runs or less seven times. Matt Waldron will be making his Major League debut and a rare appearance from a knuckleball pitcher that has become almost non-existent. He posted a 7.02 ERA in 66.2 innings at AAA so while he could baffle the Nationals at times, the outcome does not look promising. 10* (961) Washington Nationals |
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06-24-23 | Twins v. Tigers +142 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 142 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Minnesota has won three straight games to move back over .500 which is a pretty sad state for a team leading their division. It is now two games over Cleveland in the American League Central and despite the 4-1 win last night, this is a below average road team three games under .500 that does not deserve a price this big. Detroit opened June with a nine-game losing streak but has turned it around since then by going 6-5 over its last 11 games and in this division, the Tigers cannot be counted out as they are only 5.5 games behind the Twins and look to bounce back here. The first season in Minnesota started great for Pablo Lopez who had a 1.73 ERA in his first four starts but he has been very inconsistent since then, posting a 5.48 ERA over his last 11 outings, allowing two runs or less only four times. Reese Olson has a 6.91 ERA through his first three Major League starts but that can be attributed to one bad outing against the Braves as he has allowed three runs or less in his other two starts including a quality outing last time out against the Royals. A much better indicator is his overall WHIP of 1.19. 10* (974) Detroit Tigers |
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06-24-23 | Pirates +140 v. Marlins | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our Saturday Free Play. Pittsburgh snapped its 10-game losing streak with a 3-1 over Miami last night as it scored all three runs in the top of the ninth inning which is a huge momentum boost for the Pirates. They remain 5.5 games behind Cincinnati in the National League Central. Miami is 1-3 in its last four games following a five-game winning streak and a 17-5 run in its previous 22 games and it now sits six games behind the Braves in the National League East. Pitching has been the strength but that should not be the case tonight. Osvaldo Bido is making his third start of the season and after a decent Major League debut where he allowed one run on four hits across four innings against the Cubs, he faced Chicago against and tossed a quality outing over six innings and has compiled 13 combined strikeouts. Bryan Hoeing made a pair of starts in April and the results were not good as he allowed six runs in 8.2 innings and he got back into the rotation last week and it was a solid return. He did not allow a run and gave up just three hits against Toronto but he was limited to only four innings. Play (959) Pittsburgh Pirates After a miserable run in baseball, Fargo turned the corner Friday with wins on the +140 Rockies and +130 Brewers for a +$2,700 night and he carries that into today. MLB Underdog Triple Play 3-0 SWEEP for Saturday! |
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06-23-23 | Angels v. Rockies +142 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 142 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After opening its 10-game roadtrip with a pair of wins in Boston, Colorado brings home an eight-game losing streak with the last seven coming against Atlanta and Cincinnati which have won a combined 19 straight games. The Angels dropped their two games against the Dodgers by identical 2-0 finals following a 6-2 run that momentarily got them into second place in the American League West. They are now six games behind the Rangers in the division. Patrick Sandoval was coming two awful starts where he allowed 11 runs on 18 hits in 8.1 innings against the Astros and Mariners but bounced back with a solid effort against Kansas City. Still, his ERA is now 4.08 with a 1.42 WHIP and his command is off as his K:BB ratio is just 54:29. Kyle Freeland is coming off his worst start of the season but in his defense that was in Atlanta where he allowed seven runs on nine hits over 4.1 innings. His road numbers are not good but that is due to three starts against three of the best teams in baseball, Atlanta, Arizona and Texas. Here is back home where he has a solid 3.19 ERA. Here, we play on home teams after a loss by two runs or less going up against an opponent after scoring two runs or less in two straight games. This situation is 87-43 (66.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (926) Colorado Rockies |
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06-23-23 | Brewers +131 v. Guardians | Top | 7-1 | Win | 131 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Milwaukee was off on Thursday following a series loss against Arizona at home and it has not been a great run as the Brewers have lost eight of their last 12 games. Coupled with the Reds 11-game winning streak, Milwaukee has fallen into second place in the National League Central, 1.5 games behind Cincinnati. Cleveland has won four straight games after a sweep of Oakland. The Guardians are still two games under .500 but are in second place in the American League Central, one game behind the Twins. The Guardians are significant favorites because of Shane Bieber on the hill and he has been very good with a 3.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP across 15 starts but Cleveland is just 6-9 in those games. Wade Miley came off the IL after missing a month with a lat strain and pitched great, allowing no runs on two hits over five innings against Pittsburgh and now has a 3.28 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in nine starts, allowing three runs or less eight times. Here, we play on National League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a slugging percentage of .400 or worse and batting .215 or worse over their last five games going up against an American League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 or better. This situation is 34-18 (65.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (923) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-22-23 | BC +6.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 37 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. It is early in the season but this has the makings of one of the top games thus far to the start of the campaign. Winnipeg has been the class of the league for a few years now with two Grey Cup wins and other trip to the final last season and with that, the Blue Bombers will continue to be overpriced. They easily defeated a pretty poor Hamilton team in their opener and while they followed that up with a win over Saskatchewan last week, Winnipeg was actually outgained by 63 yards in that game but benefitted from three Roughriders turnovers while returning a punt for a touchdown. British Columbia is also off to a 2-0 start as it rolled passed Calgary on the road in its season opener, outgaining the Stampeders by 166 total yards, and then pitched a home shutout against Edmonton last week 22-0 as it won the yardage battle by 279 total yards. Still, they were not at their best as they had just one touchdown and had to settle for five field goals. The Lions obviously take a step up in class here but they are getting too many points in a game that can easily go either way. This is a statement game for the Lions to show that they belong in the conversation as the best team in the West Division. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (671) British Columbia Lions |
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06-22-23 | A's +168 v. Guardians | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. After winning seven straight games, Oakland has given all of those back with seven straight losses but is still +5.6 units over the .500 stretch because of the big prices and it is seeing another one today. The Athletics were up 6-4 going into the seventh inning last night but gave up three unanswered runs. Cleveland has won three straight games after the first two wins in this series following salvaging the series finale in Arizona over the weekend. The Guardians are still three games under .500 but are in second place in the American League Central, just one game behind Minnesota. JP Sears has put together a great start to his season as he was up and down early but has posted a 2.97 ERA over his last seven starts despite allowing four runs against the Phillies last time out. He gave up just four hits but three were home runs and overall, he has a 1.06 WHIP in 14 starts. Logan Allen got his career off to a solid start as through his first eight starts, he posted a 2.76 ERA but he has struggled over his last two outings, allowing ten runs in just nine innings and his overall WHIP has ballooned to 1.46. Here, we play on American League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher who strikes out five or more batters per start. This situation is 45-20 (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (957) Oakland Athletics |
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06-21-23 | Rangers v. White Sox -105 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Non-Division Game of the Month. The White Sox rallied last night for a 7-6 win by scoring three runs in the bottom of the eighth inning in what ended up being a controversial ending but provides them with some momentum heading into the series finale. It snapped a two-game slide and a 2-7 run for the White Sox. Texas had its three-game winning streak snapped with the loss and after a monstrous run where the Rangers went 26-9 over a 35-game stretch in late April, the Rangers are just 5-8 over their last 13 games. They still possess a five-game lead in the American League West. Michael Kopech has been on a great run after a somewhat slow start as he posted a 5.97 ERA through his first seven starts but in his seven starts since then, he has put up a 2.01 ERA, allowing two runs or less in six of those including three shutout efforts over 20 combined innings. Martin Perez has been the opposite as he started the season with a 2.41 ERA in his first six starts but he has struggled since. Despite coming off a quality outing in his last starts, he has posted a 6.18 ERA in his last eight outings. His splits have been significant with a 1.71 ERA at home but a 6.50 ERA on the road. Here, we play against American League teams averaging 5.9 or more rpg on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better over his last 10 games. This situation is 38-17 (69.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (924) Chicago White Sox |
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06-20-23 | Rockies +152 v. Reds | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. The Reds continue to surge as they have won nine straight games, their longest winning streak in nearly 11 years, to move into first place in the National League Central. It has been some timely wins but those will eventually catch up. Colorado nearly pulled it out for us last night as it blew a late inning lead, outhit the Reds and left nine players on base which did them in but the Rockies are catching another big number. The Rockies have twice as many losses as wins on the road but this is a favorable matchup again despite the one run loss Monday. Kyle Freeland is coming off his worst start of the season but in his defense that was in Atlanta where he allowed seven runs on nine hits over 4.1 innings. His road numbers are not good but that is due to three starts against three of the best teams in baseball, Atlanta, Arizona and Texas. Ben Lively opened the season great with three solid starts where he allowed just four runs over 17.1 innings but was then lit up in consecutive starts against Milwaukee and St. Louis where he gave up 12 runs in 13.2 innings before rebounding against Kansas City last time out but still allowed a season high ten hits. 10* (957) Colorado Rockies |
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06-20-23 | Cubs v. Pirates +115 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Chicago was on a great run with five straight wins and a 7-1 stretch before losing on Sunday but got it back last night in the 8-0 victory. The Cubs are still four games under .500 including a 14-21 record on the road. It was not a good roadtrip for the Pirates which were swept at Chicago to open the week and followed that up by getting swept by the Brewers over the weekend prior to the loss last night. They have completely turned the corner by giving up their lead in the National League Central to now being three games back. Marcus Stroman is having a resurgence as he has been outstanding with a 2.45 ERA and 1.04 WHIP through 15 starts. He has allowed two runs or less in six straight starts which have all been Chicago wins with the offense giving him a to of runs and the bullpen allowing just one run. Johan Oviedo is coming off his first bad start since early May as he allowed four runs in 4.1 innings against Chicago after going six consecutive starts of allowing three runs or fewer for a 2.62 ERA over that stretch. He is back home where he has been rock solid with a 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in seven outings. 10* (954) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-20-23 | Cardinals v. Nationals +131 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. St. Louis took the opener of this series last night as it has now won three straight games and is again a favorite that we will go against after rallying from a 5-0 deficit in the 8-6 victory. The Cardinals had a six-game losing streak prior to this and remain dead last in the National League Central. Washington was swept at home against Miami with all three games being attainable as it was tied or within one run late in each contest and this was the case again last night as they had the same number of hits, 11, as St. Louis but the home runs were the difference. Jordan Montgomery has been favored in all but one start this season and is overpriced again. Despite pitching well with a 3.91 ERA in 14 starts, the Cardinals are only 3-11 in those games while winning just one of seven on the road. Mackenzie Gore backed up his worst start of the season with his best as he did not allow a run over 5.2 innings while allowing just four hits at Houston. He has better overall numbers than Montgomery but comes in as a home underdog because of the name on the front. 10* (956) Washington Nationals |
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06-19-23 | Rockies +145 v. Reds | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. The Reds are the talk of baseball right now as they have won eight straight games to move into second place in the National League Central, just a half-game behind Milwaukee. The pitching and bats have both turned it up at the same time but this is not a sustainable run. Colorado is certainly not a big threat as it has lost five straight games to possess the second worst record in the National League but this is a great price against a newfound public darling. The Rockies have twice as many losses as wins on the road but this is a favorable matchup. Austin Gomber has some gaudy numbers but Coors Field has been his nemesis where he has a 9.40 ERA but that is cut by more than half on the road. Overall, he has allowed three runs or less in seven of his last 10 starts including all four on the road where the ERA is 3.20. Brandon Williamson has been serviceable but far from dependable and after being favored by his biggest number at -110, he is now a heavy favorite for the first time ever. He has a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in six starts and those jump to a 5.94 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in three starts at home. 10* (905) Colorado Rockies |
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06-19-23 | Cubs v. Pirates +109 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Chicago was on a great run with five straight wins and a 7-1 stretch before losing on Sunday to the Orioles 6-3 in a game that was not even that close as it was outhit 14-3. The Cubs are still five games under .500 including a 13-21 record on the road. It was not a good roadtrip for the Pirates which were swept at Chicago to open the week and followed that up by getting swept by the Brewers over the weekend. They are back home to regain their home where they are 18-16 and now four games back in the National League Central. Osvaldo Bido is making his second start of the season and he is coming off a decent Major League debut, allowing one run on four hits across four innings with six strikeouts. He limits hard contact with his four-seam and slider, averaging in the mid-80s in exit velocity most of the time. Drew Smyly opened the season with a rough start against the Reds then was fantastic, posting a 2.13 ERA over his next nine starts. He has struggled since then as over his last four outings, he has a 6.05 ERA and 1.75 WHIP with the Cubs going 1-3, being bailed out by the offense in the lone victory. 10* (904) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-19-23 | Cardinals v. Nationals +131 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. St. Louis and Washington are a game apart from each other, with the home and road numbers being pretty similar, but the line is telling us different as this is based solely on name. The Cardinals took the final two games against the Mets to snap a six-game losing streak. Washington was swept at home against Miami with all three games being attainable as it was tied or within one run late in each contest. The Nationals have struggled at home overall but this price is too big in the overall scheme and the pitching matchup. Josiah Gray is having a very strong season with a 3.19 ERA and 1.35 WHIP through 14 starts and the latter is inflated because of his lack of command at times but he is coming off a start where he did not issue a walk, the first time that has happened all season. He has allowed one run in three of five home starts. Jack Flaherty had a solid run of six straight starts of allowing three runs or less come to an abrupt end as he allowed six runs over 4.1 innings against the Giants last time out. Overall, he has a 4.64 ERA and 1.59 WHIP, numbers that give no confidence laying this price. 10* (902) Washington Nationals |
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06-18-23 | Rays +133 v. Padres | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Tampa Bay offense got handcuffed last night which was a rarity as it was only the fourth time the Rays have been shut out this season as they managed only three hits in the 2-0 loss. Now they come in as a pretty sizable underdog, the biggest since May 16 where they were +145 against the Mets and won. The Padres snapped a two-game slide with the victory and San Diego is on a modest 6-3 run following a rough 10-18 stretch that knocked it well under .500 and where they currently remain. The Padres are stuck in fourth place in the National League West, 8.5 games behind first place Arizona. Joe Musgrove is the main reason for this price and while he has been good, he has not been overly dominating with a 4.37 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in nine starts since coming off the IL. The Padres are just 3-4 in his last seven starts while going only 1-3 on the season in four home outings. Yonny Chirinos had made only four starts since 2019 before this season and he has looked pretty solid in his first two starts this season as he has a 3.27 ERA and 1.09 WHI. Both starts were at home but his first road outing does come in a pitcher friendly park. 10* (979) Tampa Bay Rays |
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06-18-23 | Pirates +150 v. Brewers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. After getting swept in Chicago against the Cubs, the Pirates are on the verge of getting swept against the Brewers following their 5-0 loss last night which makes this a pretty big game for Pittsburgh. The Pirates are just a game and a half out of first place but a two-game swing with a win is important. Milwaukee has taken over first place and it is holding off the red hot Reds by a half game as the Brewers have taken the first two games of this series following a six-game losing streak. Milwaukee is still down units at home where it has been nothing special and is overpriced today. Luis Ortiz does not have great numbers overall but he has kept the Pirates in games but has gotten no help. He has received only 2.8 rpg of support and while he has given up only 15 earned runs in six starts, the bullpen has not aided him, allowing 23 runs after his exits. Freddy Peralta started the season pretty well by allowing two runs or less in five of his first seven starts but has done so just once in his last six outings and he has posted a 6.67 ERA over this recent stretch. The long ball has hurt as he has allowed nine in those six starts. 10* (957) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-18-23 | Angels v. Royals +109 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Momentum can go a long way and Kansas City finally has some on its side. The Royals trailed last night 8-2 in the bottom of the seventh inning but rallied for eight runs over the final three innings including a walk off single in the bottom of the ninth inning which snapped a 10-game losing streak. That was a tough loss for the Angels which were riding high on a 10-2 run that included a big 3-1 series win in Texas but a loss like that can sting for a while. Los Angeles is now 4.5 games behind the Rangers in the American League West, tied with the Astros. Tyler Anderson had a rough start to the season with a 7.20 ERA in his first four starts but then put together a run of five consecutive outings where he allowed three runs or fewer but he has regressed. Over his last three starts, he has a 9.00 ERA where he has allowed four, five and six runs. Zack Greinke has been up and down as well but it has mostly been good as he has allowed three runs or fewer in 10 of 14 starts including six of seven at home. He has a 3.32 ERA in Kansas City to go along with a 1.08 WHIP and that latter number has been solid throughout, sitting at 1.12 overall. 10* (964) Kansas City Royals |
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06-17-23 | White Sox +138 v. Mariners | Top | 4-3 | Win | 138 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The White Sox lost the opener of this series 3-2 last night to make it two straight losses and add to a 1-5 skid that has put them into fourth place in the American League Central but Chicago is still just 5.5 games behind the Twins. Seattle is back to .500 following the victory on Friday as it has been an average run by going 3-5 over its last eight games after a five-game winning streak. Being in the much more difficult American League West, the Mariners are 7.5 games out of first place. Lucus Giolito has been a name being thrown around in trade talks and he has what it takes to a top level starter as he has had one bad game this season and taking that away, he has a 2.91 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in his other 13 starts that includes two straight quality gems. Logan Gilbert started the season pretty average but had a nice stretch in May where he had a 3.06 ERA over five starts but he has struggled of late as he has posted a 7.71 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in his last three outings. Seattle is just 1-4 in five home starts, the only win coming against Oakland. Here, we play against American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better on the season and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better over his last 10 games. This situation is 63-46 (57.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (917) Chicago White Sox |
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06-17-23 | Marlins v. Nationals +141 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami has won two straight games and it has been on a lengthy roll since late May as the Marlins are 14-5 over their last 19 games and are doing their best to keep pace with the Braves but that is a tall order as they remain five games out in the National League East. Washington had a solid run going before series against Philadelphia, Arizona and Atlanta where they went on a six-game losing skid and while going 2-3 over their last five games, two of those losses have been by one run including the 6-5 loss last night. Braxton Garrett is not going to be an easy out hence being the favorite as he has put together a great start with a 4.01 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 12 starts and that does include one big blowup against the Braves as he has allowed two runs or less in nine of 12 starts. Jake Irvin has not had the same fortunes as he has been all over the place but has faced some potent lineups along the way. His command has been an issue but he faces a poor hitting team today as he looks to snap the five-game team losing streak in his starts. Here, we play against National League road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than five innings per start. This situation is 54-38 (58.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (902) Washington Nationals |
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06-16-23 | Phillies v. A's +126 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Oakland showed some signs of life last week as it rode a seven-game winning streak with every price being +155 or higher but the Athletics did lose their two most recent games albeit against Tampa Bay. Now we are seeing a much lower price with the public all over the Phillies. Philadelphia is priced lower than expected following a three-game run at Arizona and a 10-2 streak going back to early June but the line is telling. The Phillies are now back over .500 on the season but are still eight games behind the Braves in the National League East. A big story in baseball has been the resurgence of Taijuan Walker who had his moments early in the season but was roughed up a bunch. He has now posted a 1.93 ERA over his last five starts and we do not see this continuing even though he is facing a below average lineup but one that has improved immensely. JP Sears has also been on a solid run but unlike Teheran, he is a solid prospect not past his prime. He has put together a run of impressive starts, allowing two or fewer earned runs in all of his last six outings for a 2.53 ERA. Most impressive, four were on the road and the two at home were against Atlanta and Texas. 10* (978) Oakland Athletics |
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06-16-23 | Angels v. Royals +137 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Los Angeles is coming off a huge series win against Texas where it took three of four games including pulling ahead late last night in the 5-3 victory. The Angels are now 4.5 games behind the Rangers in the American League West and this first game presents a letdown. Kansas City has had it rough all season and it is in the midst of a nine-game losing streak following three straight sweeps against Miami, Baltimore and Cincinnati. The day off could not have come at a better time and have a decent pitching matchup going into this series. Brady Singer had a very rough start to the season where he allowed five runs or more in five of his first seven starts including eight runs twice but he has settled down. He is coming off a tough outing at Baltimore but prior to that, he gave up two runs or less in four of his previous five starts. Patrick Sandoval was coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed six runs over 3.1 innings against the Astros and he backed that up in his last outing by allowing five runs on 10 hits in five innings against Seattle. His ERA is now 4.52 with a 1.45 WHIP and his command is off as his K:BB ratio is just 48:25. 10* (966) Kansas City Royals |
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06-15-23 | Nationals +183 v. Astros | Top | 4-1 | Win | 183 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Washington had a solid run going where it went 8-5 over a 13-game stretch but has hit a tough part of the schedule and the Nationals are 1-8 over their last nine games. The Nationals fell to five games under .500 on the road which is not horrible for +5.2 units. The Astros were on a similar roll and even bigger by going 18-5 over a 23-game stretch and despite two straight wins, they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games. MacKenzie Gore is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed five runs over five innings, just the third time he has allowed four or more runs. In six previous road start, he had a 3.18 ERA and 1.18 WHIP so he has been extremely solid. Christian Javier is also coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed four runs in five innings at Cleveland which ended five straight starts of allowing two runs or less. Now, he is favored by his biggest amount since his second start of the season. Here, we play on National League teams hitting between .255 and .269 and with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 42-19 (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (915) Washington Nationals |
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06-15-23 | Angels +133 v. Rangers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 133 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Angels look to take this series after winning the first two games to open but they come off a 6-3 loss last night and a win here can go a long way as it would cut the deficit in the American League West to just 4.5 games behind the Rangers. Texas had dropped three straight and five of its last six games prior to last night as the offense scored six or more runs for just the third time in seven games. The Rangers are well down in offense over this stretch, averaging just 4.5 rpg and hitting a mere .229. They now face Shohei Ohtani who is usually a take when an underdog which he is here. He has had a couple poor outings this season but has mostly been dominant as he has allowed one runs or less in seven of 13 starts. Keep it in the park and he is fine. Nathan Eovaldi is coming off a rough outing at Tampa Bay which halted a stretch of nine straight starts of allowing three runs or less. He has another tough matchup against an Angels lineup that is top five in all major categories. Here, we play against American League teams averaging 5.9 or more rpg on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better over his last 10 games. This situation is 37-16 (69.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (913) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-14-23 | Marlins +177 v. Mariners | Top | 4-1 | Win | 177 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami fell behind early again last night and was blown out for a second straight game to open this series as it has been outscored 17-4. The Marlins had won eight of their last nine games to keep pace in the National League East, now three and a half games behind Atlanta. Despite the win, the Mariners continue to be unable to string anything together as they are now 5-8 over their last 13 games to sit right at .500 which puts them eight games behind the Rangers in the American League West. The Marlins turn to Eury Perez who has been great since entering the rotation as he has posted a 2.17 ERA through his first six starts and he has allowed only one run over his last three outings for a 0.60 ERA covering 15 innings. Luis Castillo has been solid throughout as he has a 2.70 ERA in his first 13 starts but he has regressed since April with a 3.43 ERA over his last seven outings and Seattle has gone 2-5 in those games. Here, we play on National League teams hitting between .255 and .269 and with a starting pitcher who strikes out five or more batters per start going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 42-18 (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (975) Miami Marlins |
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06-14-23 | Brewers +153 v. Twins | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. After getting swept by Oakland, the Brewers lost this series opener as it had a 5-3 lead going into the ninth inning but gave up four runs to make it five straight losses. The Brewers are now one game behind the Pirates in the National League Central. Minnesota won for just the third time in its last nine games as it climbed back over .500 and increased its lead in the American League Central to 2.5 games over the Guardians. The Twins have been better at home but do not deserve this price. Colin Rea has now made 10 starts and has not been blown up in any as he has posted a 4.35 ERA and 1.16 WHIP and was impressive in his last start, which was his best as he tossed five shutout innings while allowing just three hits and striking out eight. Bailey Ober is one start shy of Rea and has been more impressive with a 2.61 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over nine starts but he is now laying a huge number against a quality opponent and he is 1-2 when laying -155 or higher. Here, we play on National League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with an OBP of .310 or worse and batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games going up against an American League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or better. This situation is 35-21 (62.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (965) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-13-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +120 | Top | 15-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Philadelphia is starting to finally play better as coming into last night, it had won seven of eight games but it could not hold off Arizona in the series opener. The Phillies fell to 13-23 on the road and remain eight games behind the Braves in the National League East. Arizona has been on a better run and yet are underdogs once again. The Diamondbacks have won six straight games and are 12-2 over their last 14 games to increase their lead to four games over the Dodgers in the National League West. Since re-entering the rotation, Zach Davies has been pitching very well and has gotten stronger in each of his three starts most recently allowing two runs over 6.2 innings at Washington while striking out a season high eight. Zack Wheeler is the recent for the big price and he is coming off a one-hit, 7.1 inning performance but that was against the struggling Tigers. While he has a great 2.93 ERA in seven home starts, that ERA jumps to 5.18 in six road outings. Here, we play against National League road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than five innings per start. This situation is 54-37 (59.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (906) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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06-13-23 | Marlins +137 v. Mariners | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Miami feel behind early against Seattle on Monday in the series opener and did not have the offense to forge a comeback as it was held to only one hit. The Marlins had won eight of their last nine games to keep pace in the National League East, now three and a half games behind Atlanta. Despite the win, the Mariners continue to be unable to string anything together as they are now 4-8 over their last 12 games to sit one game under .500 which puts them nine games behind the Rangers in the American League West. The overall numbers for Edward Cabrera as nothing special but he has been fairly consistent as he has allowed three runs or less in 11 of 13 starts and has been on a roll of late, posting a 2.93 ERA over his last five starts. George Kirby has been close to the same, allowing three runs or less in nine of 12 starts but he has been blown up twice over his last three outings, giving up 12 runs over 16.1 innings and that includes eight shutout innings against New York. Here, we play on National League teams hitting between .255 and .269 and with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 42-18 (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (925) Miami Marlins |
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06-13-23 | Guardians +152 v. Padres | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Cleveland is playing some of its best baseball of the season which is not saying a lot because it has been a rough start but the Guardians are 6-2 over their last eight games and despite being three games under .500, they are just 1.5 games out of first place in the American League Central. San Diego comes in with an identical 31-34 record and remains one of the biggest disappointments this season. The Padres are 11-8 over their last 19 games which is an improvement but nothing good enough to be making them a big favorite here. Joe Musgrove is the reason for that as after a rough start to his season, he has been great over his last three starts with a 1.04 ERA and 0.98 WHIP but we have to see this continue at this price. Not to be outdone is Tanner Bibee who has quietly been great as well. After allowing four runs against Detroit in early May, he has posted a 2.43 ERA over his last five starts and now faces an underachieving lineup in a pitchers park. Here, we play on American League road teams averaging 4.2 or fewer rpg and starting a pitcher who gave up one or less earned runs last outing going up against a National League starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 5.20. This situation is 40-24 (62.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (927) Cleveland Guardians |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 89-94 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. With the Miami loss on Friday, the Heat are all but done in this series despite what they have accomplished prior to the NBA Finals as teams down 3-1 in a series have come back to win it just once in 36 tries and needing to win two more games in Denver will be next to impossible. Denver won both games in Miami by nearly identical scores and after each game, the Nuggets are showing how much bigger and athletic they are in this matchup and scrappiness can take Miami only so far. Denver was 9-0 in the postseason at home prior to the Game Two loss so it will be out to not only make up for that, but to close this series out tonight at home where it would capture its first ever NBA Championship. Miami got beat handily in the opener here and after getting accustomed to the high altitude after a six-day stint here, Miami was able to take Game Two on its best shooting night of the series but now after being away for a week, the Heat are right back where they started. The venue chance has given Miami no value as the line could be shaded even higher but it is another manageable one for the Nuggets. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 when trailing in a playoff series. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (522) Denver Nuggets |
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06-12-23 | Giants v. Cardinals +117 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. St. Louis is coming off another series loss as it dropped two of three games against Cincinnati and has now gone six straight series without a series win. The Cardinals have fallen 12 games under .500 and are now eight games behind the Pirates in the National League Central. The Giants salvages their series finale against the Cubs and they two have not been playing great as they are 6-7 over their last 13 games following a 10-2 run and they are just one games over .500 which is good for third place in the National League West, seven games behind Arizona. Matthew Liberatore is making his fourth start of the season and it has been a mix and while he is coming off a pair of outings where he allowed four runs in each, those were on the road and in his lone home start, he tossed five shutout innings against the Brewers and the Giants are not an upgrade from Milwaukee. The only thing making them the favorite is Logan Webb who is having a very good season with a 3.09 ERA but is coming off a poor start at Colorado and while he has a 2.04 ERA in six home starts, that ERA nearly doubled to 4.03 in seven road outings. 10* (952) St. Louis Cardinals |
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06-12-23 | Rockies +229 v. Red Sox | Top | 4-3 | Win | 229 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Colorado was able to take the series finale against the Padres on Sunday 5-4 as it hit two home runs in the ninth inning around a long rain delay to snap a six-game losing streak. The Rockies hit the road where they have not been great for sure but this line is completely overpriced. The Red Sox took the series in New York against the Yankees and that can no doubt produce a letdown heading into this series and Boston is favored tonight by the biggest it has been all season as it has been favored between -150 and -170, the highest all season, five times, going 1-4 in those games. James Paxton is part of it but he is still not the Paxton of old although he has shown signs of coming back to life with more velocity and he has tossed two straight solid outings after getting hit hard by the Angels. Connor Seabold entered the rotation in May and it did not get off to a great start as he had a 6.50 ERA through his first four starts but has settled down nicely as he has a 3.37 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in his last three starts including his first quality outing last time out. He will have extra juice as he comes back to Fenway after a disaster here last season in a small stint with Boston. 10* (961) Colorado Rockies |
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06-11-23 | Red Sox +113 v. Yankees | Top | 3-2 | Win | 113 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Divisional Game of the Month. After losing the series opener on Friday, the Yankees got it back with a 3-1 win last night to even the series and move back to 10 games over .500. New York still trails Tampa Bay by 8.5 games in the American League East because of a rough recent stretch of 3-5 over its last eight games. Boston fell back under .500 with the loss last night and it too has struggled recently, going 4-9 over its last 13 games and 6-13 over its last 19 games following a four-game winning streak in mid-May. The Red Sox are still on the plus side in units on the road. Brayan Bello opened the season with a rough outing against the Angels but has a 3.16 ERA in his eight starts since then. He has allowed three runs or less in all eight of those outings with three of his last five resulting in quality starts. Clarke Schmidt has been pitching well since getting hammered by Tampa Bay five starts back but does not have much to show for it as the Yankees have dropped his last three starts with no run support, scoring only three runs total in those three games. Overall, New York is 4-9 in his 13 starts including going 2-6 in eight home games. 10* (915) Boston Red Sox |
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06-10-23 | Mariners +133 v. Angels | Top | 6-2 | Win | 133 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Divisional Game of the Month. The Mariners lost the series opener last night to make it two straight losses and Seattle is just 2-7 over its last nine games. The Mariners have fallen two games under .500 on the season which puts them 10 games behind the Rangers in the American League West. The Angels have won five straight games as they avoided a sweep in Houston with a series finale winner there and then swept the Cubs before the Friday victory. Los Angeles has moved five games over .500 but still trail the Rangers by 6.5 games. Top prospect Bryan Woo made his Major League debut a week ago against Texas and it did not go well as he allowed six runs on seven hits over two innings but with that opener out of the way, he can settle down here. In the Minors, he posted a 2.05 ERA in nine starts while winning the Mariners Minor League Pitcher of the Month for April and May. Patrick Sandoval is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed six runs over 3.1 innings against the Astros and he has been very up and down. His ERA is now over 4.00 with a 1.40 WHIP and his command is off as his K:BB ratio is just 40:25 including 9:9 over his last three outings. 10* (973) Seattle Mariners |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The headline after the Game Three loss for Miami was effort which is hard to believe when it comes to the NBA Finals but sadly that was the case as the energy levels on both sides were near opposites. The Heat had Denver right where they wanted them as they stole home court and showed a way to defend the Nuggets that many teams have been uncapable of and completely regressed on Wednesday. If the Heat want to win Game Four, they are going to need more scoring from Jimmy Butler even though he had a team high 28 points in Game Three nut more importantly, they need to get their physical nature back. The scrappiest team in the NBA lost the battle for loose balls and arguably the best postseason team on the boards got outrebounded 58-33, the most lopsided margin in an NBA Finals game in more than 40 years and over half of those Miami boards came from one player. In the playoffs overall, four different Heat players have averaged at least five rebounds per game but in Game Three, only one, Bam Adebayo managed that many. The task is not easy against the sizable Nuggets but effort does go a long way. 10* (520) Miami Heat |
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06-09-23 | Rangers +146 v. Rays | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The two top teams in the American League, both that we did not see coming, square off this weekend as Texas heads to Tampa Bay coming off a 1-0 loss on Wednesday which snapped a five-game winning streak. The Rangers remain atop the American League West by five games over the Astros. Tampa Bay swept the Twins to begin the week to make it six straight wins and the Rays have increased their lead in the American League East to 6.5 games. The recent run has been impressive as they were trending down with an 11-2 run prior to this. Andrew Heaney has been one of several starters to pitch above what was expected as after opening with a dud against the Orioles, he has a 3.09 ERA in his last 10 starts, allowing three runs or less in nine of those including five straight. Tyler Glasnow opened the season on the IL and is making just his third start as the Rays are pushing him along lightly. He went from 4.1 to 5.1 innings and certainly will not be stretched much more, especially against the best offense in baseball. Here, we play on American League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 allowing 4.4 or less rpg on the season, after allowing one run or less. This situation is 42-28 (60 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (913) Texas Rangers |
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06-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Tigers +131 | Top | 11-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Detroit is back home following a brutal loss on Thursday against the Phillies as it took a 2-1 lead into the ninth inning only to lose 3-2. It was the sixth straight loss for the Tigers but they are still in the mix in the American League Central, just 3.5 games behind the Twins. Arizona had its game at Washington postponed yesterday following wins in the first two games to improve to 37-25 overall which is good for a game and a half lead in the National League West over the Dodgers. Michael Lorenzen got into the rotation late and has pitched very well with a 3.21 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in nine starts with just a pair of road starts hurting him overall. He has a 2.66 ERA in four home starts where the Tigers are 4-0 in those games. Merrill Kelly gets an extra day off and he has nearly identical numbers with a 3.06 ERA and 1.08 WHIP across 12 starts with three below average outings tossed in there. He is overpriced here though as his last road start at Pittsburgh had him as a -115 chalk. Here, we play against National League teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg and after a win by four runs or more going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 81-45 (64.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (926) Detroit Tigers |
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06-08-23 | Mets +156 v. Braves | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. After getting swept in Toronto, the Mets have dropped the first two games of this series to make it five straight losses and they now trail the Braves by 7.5 games in the National League East. New York was back on track for a while but has dipped back to two games under .500 after allowing 19 runs the last three games. Atlanta has won four straight after taking the weekend series in Arizona prior to the two wins here that included another comeback last night which was won in the eighth inning. It has not been an overall great run for the Braves as they are just 12-13 over their last 25 games. Justin Verlander has been a Wild Card this season but is worth the take at this price. In six starts, he has allowed six runs in two of those, one of those in Colorado and the other against Tampa Bay, but he has allowed just one run in his other four outings. Spencer Strider is one of the top pitchers in baseball but after cruising through April with a 1.80 ERA in his first five starts, he has not been that great since, posting a 3.86 ERA in his last seven starts. Strider has had his struggles against this lineup with a 5.19 ERA in four starts. 10* (957) New York Mets |
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06-08-23 | Tigers +220 v. Phillies | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. This game was postponed due to the air quality in Philadelphia. The Tigers were swept against the White Sox over the weekend but were in every game as they were Tuesday in the 1-0 loss as the offense has found some struggles along the recent way but can actually bust out here despite what the number says. The Phillies snapped a five-game losing streak with a pair of weekend wins over Washington and has won four straight games to crawl back to three games under .500. They still trail the Braves by nine games in the National League East but are being treated as a contender here. The reason is Zack Wheeler who is very good no doubt but is far from a strong big favorite as the Phillies are 2-4 in games he is favored by -160 or higher. He has a 4.33 ERA on the season after getting shelled by Washington last time out and has allowed four runs or more in five of 12 starts. Reece Olsen got bumped and Tyler Holton gets the start as an opener and we could see Olsen follow. Holton has a 2.32 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 17 relief appearances so he will not go far and Olsen had a strong Major League debut where he did not allow a hit until the sixth inning and ended up allowing only two runs. 10* (973) Detroit Tigers |
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06-08-23 | Giants v. Rockies +168 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. San Francisco took Game Two last night as it rallied from a 4-0 deficit, scoring five runs in the seventh and eighth innings to take the 5-4 win. The Giants have won two straight games to move back over .500. The Rockies have dropped three straight games and are 2-7 over their last nine games but are catching a big number in the series finale in a good pitching spot. Chase Anderson goes for Colorado and he has regained some of early career magic from his days in Milwaukee. He has a 2.08 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in four outings with three of those at Coors Field and the last one in Kansas City resulted in a quality start. Alex Cobb rebounded from his worst outing of the season where he allowed seven runs over four innings at Milwaukee as he tossed 7.2 scoreless innings against the Orioles at home. The issue now is Coors Field where he made two starts last season, posting a 7.50 ERA and allowing 10 hits in each outing. Here, we play on National League home teams hitting between .255 and .269 and with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season going up against a pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or better. This situation is 181-96 (65.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (956) Colorado Rockies |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets v. Heat +3 | Top | 109-94 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Game of the Year. While saying Miami has seized control of this series is a bit of a stretch, the Heat did what they needed to do and that was coming back home with a 1-1 series split following their Game Two victory. Also, while saying Game Two was a must win was 100 percent correct, Game Three is just as important as to not give home court right back to Denver and hand the momentum back to the Nuggets in the very next game. The three factors that Miami needed to accomplish, they did so in Game Two as they actually went to the free throw line, making 18 of 20, shot better from long range where they were 17-35 and got better production from their role players. Now Miami heads home where it has the momentum and gets the Nuggets out of Denver where they are a totally different team. The Nuggets are 23-25 on the road which includes a 4-3 record in the postseason and while that does include three straight wins, those all followed previous victories so they had that momentum in their corner. Miami is 34-17 at home and while it has really struggled to cover as a favorite, it has gone 6-3 ATS in its nine games as a home underdog and there is value in this number based on the venue switch. The Heat are live dogs once again in what is one of their biggest games of the season. 10* (518) Miami Heat |
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06-07-23 | Cardinals +135 v. Rangers | Top | 1-0 | Win | 135 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. St. Louis came up short last night and following a weekend sweep in Pittsburgh to make it five straight losses, it has lost nine of its last 12 games to fall to 12 games under .500 which puts it in last place in the National League Central. Texas remains red hot as it has won five straight games and the Rangers have won 14 of 17 games to extend their lead in the American League West which is 4.5 games over the Astros which lost last night. Jack Flaherty was once a top prospect in the St. Louis organization but injuries for the last three years with just 32 combined starts but he is healthy and back in great form. He had a horrible start against the Angels to open May but has a 2.48 ERA over his last five starts. Jon Gray has been as consistent as they come as he has posted a 2.51 ERA through 11 starts so he will not be an easy go against but the line reflects this. He has pitched well at home but not close to his road numbers. Here, we play against American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better and averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season. This situation is 27-13 (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (927) St. Louis Cardinals |
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06-07-23 | Royals +165 v. Marlins | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Kansas City started strong Monday as it jumped out to a 4-0 lead before allowed nine unanswered runs in a 9-6 series opening loss and then fell 6-1 last night. Miami has been playing excellent and after the win last night, the Marlins have won five straight and nine of their last 11 games to remain in second place in the National League East, three games behind Atlanta. Now they are reaching some unchartered waters with these numbers. We are going against the ultimate streak here as Jordan Lyles is coming off a solid start against Colorado where he allowed one run over five innings but got nothing for it and the Royals fell to 0-12 in his 12 starts this season, a streak that is not going to hold up. Edward Cabrera has been good this season but not great with a 4.50 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 12 starts and while his home ERA is much better, his WHIP is not as his command has been bad with 36 walks. Here, we play on American League road teams averaging 4.2 or fewer rpg and starting a pitcher who gave up one or less earned runs last outing going up against a National League starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 5.20. This situation is 39-23 (62.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (923) Kansas City Royals |
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06-06-23 | Cardinals +138 v. Rangers | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. St. Louis was swept at Pittsburgh over the weekend and then lost the series opener Monday in a walk off defeat and has lost eight of its last 11 games to fall to 11 games under .500 which puts it in last place in the National League Central. Texas remains red hot as it has won four straight games and the Rangers have won 13 of 16 games to maintain their lead in the American League West which is 3.5 games over the Astros which also won on Monday. Dane Dunning did not enter the rotation until May and he put together a great month, posting a 2.28 ERA and 1.19 in five starts but four of those were away from hitter friendly Globe Life Field and Texas is just 2-3 in his outings. Matthew Liberatore has made only two starts for the Cardinals with mixed results as he opened with five shutout innings against the Brewers before getting tagged for four runs in five innings against Cleveland. Here, we play against American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season, averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game. This situation is 27-13 (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (975) St. Louis Cardinals |
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06-06-23 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals +134 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Arizona was rolling along with six straight wins but lost the final two games against Atlanta over the weekend to conclude a 6-4 homestand that has the Diamondbacks in a first place tie with the Dodgers in the National League West. Washington had won two straight games before losing ins final two games against Philadelphia over the weekend but the Nationals continue to be a profitable team on the season as they are +5.1 units, one of only eight teams in the National League on the plus side. Tommy Henry was going along with some inconsistent starts before putting together his best of the season where he tossed seven shutout innings while allowing only two hits against Colorado but he brings in a 5.74 road ERA. Jake Irvin has been up and down in six starts but take away a pair of poor back-to-back games against the Mets and Tigers, and he has a 3.20 ERA in his other four starts. Here, we play on National League home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher averaging between 4.0 and 4.5 rpg and after allowing 10 runs or more going up against a starter with an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20. This situation is 31-15 (67.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (952) Washington Nationals |
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06-06-23 | Twins +162 v. Rays | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Tampa Bay is coming off a series win in Boston where it took three of four games including a 4-1 victory Monday afternoon and has seen its lead increase to 4.5 games in the American League East. The Rays are just 14-12 over their last 16 games, however. The Twins lost their final two games against Cleveland over the weekend for a series split but they still maintain a 3.5-game lead over the Guardians in the American League Central thanks to shoddy play from every other team in the weak division. Louie Varland has been a welcomed addition to the rotation as after two starts, he has turned it on with a 2.67 ERA over his last five starts including seven shutout innings at Houston in his last outing. Zach Eflin has been very efficient in his 10 starts where he has a 3.30 ERA and 1.00 WHIP but he has not been dominant of late as in his last five starts, he has a 4.50 ERA but the offense has been able to bail him out. Here, we play on road teams with a starting pitcher who gives up one or more home runs per start and with a bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games. This situation is 61-27 (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (959) Minnesota Twins |
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06-05-23 | A's +179 v. Pirates | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Pirates have won five straight games to remain a half-game behind Milwaukee in the National League Central. Pittsburgh has been favored by more than -110 once in its last 20 games and that resulted in a loss to Arizona and now the Pirates are favored by their biggest amount the entire season and it is not even close. Oakland itself is the reason the Pirates are big favorites as it has the worst record in baseball and has lost four straight games but there is no major pitching disadvantage here with a ton of value on the Athletics side. Johan Oviedo opened his season poorly as he posted a 5.59 ERA through his first seven starts but he has turned it around with a 2.57 ERA over his last four outings but has turned in only one quality start. It has been a similar run for J.P. Sears, who had some rough mid-season games but has been just as good of late with a 2.42 ERA over his last four starts and was responsible for the victory last time out against the Braves. Here, we play on American League road teams averaging 4.2 or fewer rpg and with a starting a pitcher who gave up one or less earned runs last outing going up against a National League starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 5.20. This situation is 39-20 (66.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (911) Oakland Athletics |
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06-05-23 | Tigers +208 v. Phillies | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Detroit and Philadelphia have nearly identical records yet the Tigers are being treated as the much worse team here. The Tigers were swept against the White Sox but were in every game with each having the potential over going the other way. The Phillies snapped a five-game losing streak with a pair of weekend wins over Washington to crawl back to five games under .500 and now trail the Braves by eight games in the National League East. They have been better at home at 14-10 but not that good to validate this number. Aaron Nola is the reason for it but it could be justified a few years ago when he was really good. He has a 4.70 ERA through 12 starts and has allowed four or more runs in three of his last four. Joey Wentz is also partially the reason for the big number as he has been up and down, allowing five runs or more in five of 11 starts but has allowed three runs or less in the other six including his last outing against Texas. Here, we play on American League road teams averaging 4.2 or fewer rpg and with a starting a pitcher who gave up one or less earned runs last outing going up against a National League starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 5.20. This situation is 39-20 (66.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (907) Detroit Tigers |
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06-04-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Nuggets proved once again it is really hard to win in Denver but the Heat did themselves no favors in the loss. Miami shot just 40.6 percent from the floor including 33.3 percent from long range and those numbers clearly have to improve to even think about sniffing a victory. But the biggest issue was the fact the Heat went to the free throw line two times the entire game, breaking an NBA playoff record for fewest attempts. There was no aggressiveness from the offense and simply put, Miami needs to attack and first and foremost, that comes down to Jimmy Butler who was only 6-14 from the floor and he has shown in the past to be passive and the Heat cannot have that happen. The role players who have made a big difference in the postseason also have to be better as Caleb Martin, Max Strus and Duncan Robinson shot a combined 2-23 (8.7 percent) in the game. For the Heat to win this series, they have to steal a game in Denver and this has to be the one and they do benefit from already having played a game in the altitude and now being here for six days. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg, after scoring 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 49-23 ATS (68.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Miami Heat |
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06-04-23 | Mariners +141 v. Rangers | Top | 3-12 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. We lost with Seattle yesterday but are coming back with the Mariners as rookie sensation Bryan Woo was a disaster through only two innings. The Mariners are back to .500 after losing the first two games of this series. The Rangers have won 11 of 14 games to maintain their lead in the American League West which is 2.5 games over the Astros. The bats broke out with 16 runs but Texas will have a challenge to even come close to repeating that. Rookie sensation Bryce Miller faces his first adversity test after allowing eight runs in 4.2 innings against the Yankees. This came after posting a 1.15 ERA through his first five starts with a 28:3 K:BB ratio. Nathan Eovaldi will be a test for Seattle as he has been solid this season with a 2.42 ERA in 11 starts. The home hitters park has not been as kind as he has a 4.15 ERA in four home starts with Texas going just 2-2. Here, we play against American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season, averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season. This situation is 27-12 (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (969) Seattle Mariners |