4* Major Sunday Night Baseball *BLOOD BATH* on Dodgers -1.5 +100

Bottom Line: I'm going to ride the hot hand of Kershaw tonight.  The Dodgers are 8-0 in Kershaw's last 8 starts, winning them by 4.4 runs on average.  They are 4-0 in his last 4 road starts, winning them by 4.5 runs on average.  Additionally, the Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games after suffering defeats in the first 2 games of a series, winning by an average of 4.2 runs in these contests.  Bet the Dodgers on the run line.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Tigers -134

Bottom Line: The Indians are 1-5 in Tomlin's last 6 starts, 0-4 in his last 4 starts during game 4 of a series and 2-7 in his last 9 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  The Indians are 4-13 in their last 17 road games versus a left-handed starter and 16-35 in their last 51 in Detroit.  The Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 games following defeat in the first 3 games of a series and 11-5 in their last 16 game 4's of a series.  Cleveland hasn't swept a series in Detroit since Aug 25-27, 2008, and it has never recorded a 4-game sweep there.  Pound Detroit.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog Game of the Week on Marlins +107

Bottom Line: The Marlins are showing tremendous value in the home dog role with Alvarez on the rubber.  They are 8-0 in his last 8 home starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home underdog, 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus winning teams, 6-0 in his last 6 starts during game 2 of a series and 6-0 in his last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Alvarez has a 1.19 ERA in his last eight home starts and his 1.56 season ERA at home ranks second in the majors.  San Francisco's Tim Hudson has gone 0-4 with a 6.07 ERA in his last 5 starts with the Giants losing 4 of those.  Pound Miami.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Tigers -140

Bottom Line: The Indians can't be trusted on the road, where they are 16-36 in their last 52 versus clubs with winning home records, especially with Bauer on the hill.  The right-hander is 0-3 with a 5.47 ERA in five road starts with the Indians losing four of those.  The Tribe has also dropped six of its last seven series openers.  Cleveland is 3-13 this season in road games versus AL clubs starting a pitcher with an ERA of 4.00 or lower.  Sanchez certainly fits into that category with a 3.04 ERA on the season.  He also has a 2.34 ERA in 8 career starts versus the Indians.  The Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 series openers, 7-1 in their last 8 division games, 5-1 in Sanchez's last 6 starts, 10-4 in his last 14 division starts and 4-1 in his last 5 starts versus Cleveland.  The Indians are 15-37 in the last 52 meetings in Detroit.  Pound the Tigers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on A's -140

Bottom Line: Oakland is 9-2 over the last 3 seasons following 2 straight road losses to a division opponent.  It is 21-8 over the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for 2 straight losses in which it was held to 2 runs or less.  Seattle is 8-24 over the last 2 seasons after allowing 2 runs or less in 2 straight games.  The A's are on a 7-2 run in the third game of the series, are 52-19 in their last 71 as a favorite and are 40-15 in their last 55 Sunday contests.  They are 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts, 5-0 in his last 5 Sunday starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game and 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The A's are also 8-1 in his last 9 division starts and 6-1 in his last 7 as a road favorite.  Gray is 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus Seattle while giving up only 2 earned runs in 18 innings.  Pound Oakland in this double revenge spot.

4* Major MLB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Rangers +160

Bottom Line: Weaver has struggled on the road where he has a 4.72 ERA.  He's also struggled in Arlington, where he has a 4.84 ERA in 18 career starts.  The Angels are 2-8 in their last 10 meetings at Texas and 4-12 in Weaver's last 16 road starts versus the Rangers.  Texas is struggling, but it has a great track record versus Weaver and is showing great value at this price because of it.  The Rangers are a lot more familiar with Weaver than LA is with Mikolas and that plays to their advantage.  Look for Texas to pull off the shocker.

5* Wiseguy MLB Line Mistake of the Month on Phillies +120

Bottom Line: The Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 overall, and I like them to keep right on rolling behind Hamels, who has a 2.87 ERA on the season.  He's a stellar 15-6 with an ERA of 2.58 in 28 career starts versus Washington.  The Phillies are 15-3 in his last 18 starts versus the Nats, including 3-0 in his last 3.  They are also 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus the Nats.  Strasburg has a 5.13 ERA in 8 road starts this season.  That's not an aberration, it's a trend.  The Nationals are 1-4 in Strasburg's last 5 road starts and 18-39 in the last 57 meetings in Philadelphia.  Pound Philly.

4* Major MLB Run Line Blowout on Rockies -1.5 +125

Bottom Line: The Rockies are 18-4 in De La Rosa's home starts since the beginning of last season and have won them by 2.0 run on average.  His clubs are 24-5 lifetime in his home starts as a favorite of -150 or more and have won them by 2.9 runs on average.  Colorado is 5-0 this season in his home starts this season versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game, and it has won these by 5.0 runs on average.

5* Wiseguy AL East Game of the Year on Rays -130

Bottom Line: The Blue Jays have been really struggling since early June, and I expect their struggles to continue versus a Tampa Bay club that is rounding into shape.  The Rays lost last time out but are 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss, 9-3 in their last 12 and 5-0 in their last 5 division contests.  They are also 4-0 in their last 4 versus lefty starters.  Buehrle got out of the gate strong but has cooled off.  The Jays are 1-5 in his last 6 starts, including 0-3 on the road during this stretch.  They are also 0-4 in his last 4 starts when he gets the ball following a team loss.  The Blue Jays are 1-8 in their last 9 road games, 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 0-5 in their last 5 road games versus a right-handed starter and 0-6 in their last 6 road games versus a team with a losing home record.  Archer has quietly been sizzlin' since mid-May, holding the opposition to 2 earned runs or less in 9 of his last 10 starts.  The Rays are 9-3 in Archer's last 12 starts as a home favorite.  He's 2-0 with a 2.22 ERA in 5 starts versus the Blue Jays.  Buehrle, on the other hand, has given up 4 runs or more in 5 of his last 7 starts versus Tampa Bay.  The Blue Jays are 16-45 in the last 61 meetings in Tampa Bay.  Pound the Rays.

5* Wiseguy NL Central Game of the Month on Pirates +105

Bottom Line: Look for Pittsburgh to avoid being swept behind a gem from Volquez, who is 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA over his last 3 starts.  He's given up just 1 run in his last 2 starts in 13 innings of work, and this is a very positive sign.  His teams are 13-3 lifetime in his starts when he's given up 1 or no earned runs in his last 2 outings.  The Cardinals are 0-4 in Miller's last 4 starts while he's posted a 7.32 ERA.  Pound Pittsburgh.

4* Major NL East *SUREFIRE* on Braves +108

Bottom Line: Look for the Braves to break through and salvage a game in this series.  NY is 4-27 the last 2 seasons when it checks in with 5 or 6 wins in its last 7 games.  The Mets are 2-14 the last 2 seasons after allowing 1 run or none in a win over a division opponent.  They are 1-11 the last 2 seasons in home games after a game where they stranded 3 or less base runners.  Bet the Braves.

5* Wiseguy Battle of the Bay *BEST BET* on Giants +110

Bottom Line: The A's are 0-3 in their last 3 road games and 1-5 in their last 6 road games versus winning clubs.  They are 17-41 in their last 58 interleague road games versus a team with a winning record and 2-12 in the last 14 meetings in San Francisco (86% trend in favor of the Giants).  The Giants are 37-16 in their last 53 interleague home games, 26-8 in their last 34 interleague home games versus a right-handed starter and 7-3 in their last 10 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.  Hammel is making his first start since coming over from the Cubs and hasn't pitched in this ballpark since 2011.  Cain has given up 1 earned run or none in each of his last 5 starts versus the A's.  Pound San Francisco.

4* Major ESPN Wednesday Night Baseball *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pirates +121

Bottom Line: Pittsburgh has had Lynn's number.  He has a 5.64 ERA in 11 starts against the Pirates and has been rocked for 20 runs in his last 4 starts against them spanning 19 2-3 innings.  The Cards are 0-3 in Lynn's last 3 starts versus the Pirates and 4-9 in their last 13 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.  Cumpton has been in great form over his last 5 starts with the Pirates going 4-1 during this stretch.  He gave up no runs on 3 hits in 7 innings of a 6-0 win in his lone start against St. Louis last season.  Bet Pittsburgh.

4* Major NL Dog of the Day on Rockies +102

Bottom Line: The Padres haven't proven to be worthy of this much respect on the road.  They are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road favorite and 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Colorado.  The Padres are 1-5 in Ross' last 6 starts and 4-9 in his last 13 road starts.  He has a 4.18 ERA on the road and will have a tough time silencing a Colorado club that is batting .314 at home. Morales has a 0.75 ERA in a pair of starts versus the Padres, who are batting just .200 versus lefty starters.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Week on Tigers -110

Bottom Line: Verlander is starting to come around with a 2.84 ERA over his last 3 starts, including a win over the A's - arguably the best team in baseball - in his most recent start.  Verlander has been a gold mine in interleague play. He's 22-2 with a 2.56 ERA in 29 career starts versus the NL, including an 11-0 mark with a 1.78 ERA in his last 13.  He's an unbeaten 13-0 with a 1.83 ERA in 14 career interleague home starts.  Ryu is just 2-2 with a 4.23 ERA in six career interleague starts.  Pound the Tigers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Nationals -173

Bottom Line: Books are begging for underdog money with this line, but Washington is this large of a favorite for a reason.  Baltimore's Tillman has a 6.00 ERA in 8 interleague starts, including a 6.52 ERA in a pair of starts versus Washington.  He also has an ugly 5.53 ERA on the road.  Strasburg has been brilliant at home where he has a 2.35 ERA on the season.  He's 1-0 with an ERA of 1.80 in his lone start versus Baltimore.  The Orioles are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games versus a team with a winning record while the Nationals are 9-1 in their last 10 interleague home games versus a team with a winning record.  The Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record, 4-0 in their last 4 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.  The Nats are 14-3 in their last 17 games as a home favorite, 13-3 in their last 16 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200, 4-0 in Strasburg's last 4 starts versus the American League East, 7-2 in his last 9 home starts and 5-2 in his last 7 interleague starts.  Pound the Nationals.

4* Major NL West *BLOOD BATH* on Dodgers -138

Bottom Line: The Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss, 7-1 in their last 8 games versus a left-handed starter and 10-2 in their last 12 road games versus a left-handed starter.  They are also 4-0 in Beckett's last 4 road starts.  The veteran right-hander has been dealing on the road where he has a 1.86 ERA.  The Rockies are 15-37 in their last 52 overall, 28-61 in their last 89 Sunday games, 0-6 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game,0-7 in their last 7 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher and 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.  The Dodgers are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.  Bet LA.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Astros +1.5

Bottom Line: The Angels are being grossly overvalued with Santiago on the mound.  He's winless on the season with a 4.32 ERA in 10 starts, and his clubs are a weak 2-12 in his last 14, 6-19 in his last 25 and 8-24 in his last 32 starts. His clubs are 0-8 the last 2 seasons in his starts as a favorite of -110 or higher and have lost these by an average of 5.1 runs.  Feldman has a 3.92 ERA in 14 starts this season, including a 2.73 ERA in 6 road starts.  The Astros are 10-4 on the run line in his starts, including 4-0 on the run line in his last 4.  Feldman's teams are also 10-4 lifetime against the run line in his starts versus the Halos.  Houston is 12-3 against the run line in all games at the LA Angels the last 3 seasons.  Pound Houston on the run line.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -148

Bottom Line: The Cards are showing a lot of value as a medium-priced favorite against a club that is just 27-62 in its last 89 road games versus winning teams.  The Marlins are on a 0-7 skid versus winning ball clubs.  The Cards are 77-33 in home games versus losing teams under manager Matheny.  They are also 22-4 in July home games under Matheny and 90-38 in home games versus NL clubs with a batting avg. of .255 or worse under his watch.  Eovaldi has an ERA of 6.00 over his last 4 starts, and I expect the struggles to continue after throwing a season-high 113 pitches last time out.  Lynn took it on the chin in his last start, but that was an aberration.  He had posted a 0.82 ERA in his previous 3 outings.  The Marlins are on a 0-5 slide in St. Louis.  Pound the Cards.

4* Major MLB *SUREFIRE* on Rangers -114

Bottom Line: Look for Darvish to bring Texas' road losing streak to an end tonight.  The Rangers are 14-4 in his last 18 starts.  Playing AL favorites of -110 or higher has resulted in a 36-8 record the last 5 seasons if they are starting a pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or lower and are matched up against a pitcher with a winning percentage of 70% or higher.  This system is 20-4 the last 3 seasons and 2-0 this season.  Bet Texas.

4* Major MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Yankees -137

Bottom Line: The Yankees hold the advantage with Tanaka on the bump.  He has recorded a quality start in each of his first 16 outings, and I expect no different tonight.  Tanaka is 11-3 with an ERA of 2.10 and a WHIP of 0.951.  The WHIP is noteworthy because the Twins are 4-18 this season versus AL starters with a WHIP of 1.300 or lower.  Though the Yankees have been struggling, they are 7-0 the last 3 seasons in road games following losses in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.  The Yanks are 6-1 in Tanaka's road starts.  He should be able to outduel Hughes, who has given up 10 runs in his last 2 starts.  The Yankees are 73-27 in the last 100 meetings.  They are 14-3 in their last 17 in Minnesota, including 5-0 in their last 5.  Bet the Yanks.

4* Major MLB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Cardinals -137

Bottom Line: Playing against home underdogs of +125 or more with a bullpen that has an ERA over 7.00 over the last 5 games and a starting pitcher working on 5 or 6 days' rest has resulted in a 51-11 record the last 5 seasons.  Wainwright was rocked at home by the Giants at the end of May and will be very focused here as a result.  That performance was clearly an aberration as he has held the Giants to 2 earned runs or less in each of his previous 7 starts against them.  Vogelsong has been bit hard in each of his last 2 starts versus the Cardinals, giving up 9 runs in 11 2-3 innings. The Giants are 4-10 this season in home games versus NL starters who have an ERA of 3.50 or better.  Bet the Cards.

4* Major MLB *PUBLIC MASSACRE* on Astros +105

Bottom Line: After blowout victories by Seattle in the first 2 games of this 3-game set, the public is piling on the Mariners.  That's a decision that I believe will get you burned.  Seattle's Chris Young hasn't been the same pitcher on the road where he has a 4.50 ERA.  The Mariners are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus teams that have a losing record.  Houston's Peacock has a 3.97 ERA at home where the Astros are 4-1 in his last 5 starts.  He's allowed 3 runs or less in 6 straight starts, and the Astros are 2-0 in his last 2 starts versus Seattle.  The Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage greater than 60%.  Bet Houston.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Year on Red Sox -165

Bottom Line: The Cubs took Game 1, but I'm confident they won't get Game 2.  The Cubs are 18-44 in their last 62 games following a win, including 1-11 this season in road games following a win.  Edwin Jackson has a 6.70 ERA on the road and a 5.59 career ERA versus Boston.  The Cubs are 6-20 in Jackson's last 26 starts.  And, Jackson's clubs are 0-6 lifetime in his starts at Fenway.  He has a 7.84 ERA ERA in these six starts.  The Red Sox are 13-4 under manager Farrell when out for revenge for a shutout loss to an opponent.  They've won 10 of their last 13 at home and are 80-32 in their last 112 interleague home games.  Buchholz looked great from the 3rd inning on in his first start since spending a month on the DL.  He should enter this one with renewed confidence and should benefit from facing hitters that aren't familiar with his stuff.  The Red Sox are 7-1 in Buchholz's last 8 interleague starts.  Pound the Red Sox.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Reds -117

Bottom Line: I'll back the red-hot Reds against a San Diego club that is last in the majors in batting average (.212) and scoring averaging (3.0).  The Padres are batting only .130 over their last four games.  They'll have trouble generating offense against the former Padre Latos, who has a 2.99 ERA in 33 starts at Petco.  The Reds are 41-20 in Latos' last 61 starts, 34-16 in his last 50 starts as a favorite and 7-0 in his last 7 Monday starts.  The Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 overall, 6-0 in their last 6 versus the National League West and 4-0 in their last 4 games versus a right-handed starter.  Hahn has performed well for the Padres, but he's yet to face a lineup as potent as the one he'll see tonight.  Pound the Reds.

4* Major Sunday Night Baseball *BLOOD BATH* on Yankees -104

Bottom Line: The Red Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win, 5-13 in their last 18 road games and even 2-11 in their last 13 road games versus a team with a losing home record.  The Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 versus Boston and 6-2 in Whitley's 8 starts.  I expect him to have success against a Boston lineup that isn't familiar with his stuff.  The Yankees are very familiar with Lackey, touching him for 4 runs or more in 6 of his last 8 starts against them.  Bet New York.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Giants -112

Bottom Line: The Giants are 6-0 in their last 6 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.  This trend should be extended given the edge they have on the mound with Hudson.  The veteran right-hander has a 2.61 ERA in 14 starts this season, and this number drops to 2.59 at home.  Cincy's Bailey has a 4.80 ERA on the season that rises to 5.47 on the road.  The Giants are 5-0 in Hudson's last 5 starts on regular rest (4 days).  His clubs are a perfect 14-0 the last 2 seasons in his home starts when the total is 7 to 8.5.  His teams are 9-0 the last 3 seasons in his starts versus teams with a winning percentage of 51-54%.  The Reds are 4-12 in Bailey's last 16 starts as an underdog and 3-9 in his last 12 road starts versus a team with a winning record.  Pound San Francisco.

4* Major Run Line Play of the Day on Rockies +1.5 -132

Bottom Line: The Rockies are showing value catching runs at this price with De La Rosa on the hill.  They are 30-15 in his starts since the beginning of last season, including 16-6 in his last 22 starts.  They are also 10-1 in his day starts since the beginning of last season.  Colorado is 3-0 in his last three starts versus Milwaukee.  The Brewers are 1-7 lifetime Gallardo's starts versus the Rockies.  Bet Colorado on the run line.

4* Major Early *SUREFIRE* on Blue Jays -136

Bottom Line: Buehrle's knowledge of the hitters in his former division has really paid off as he's 8-0 on the money line versus AL Central opponents since joining the Blue Jays.  The White Sox are 32-69 in their last 101 road games, 0-5 in their last 5 games versus a left-handed starter and 6-21 in their last 27 road games versus a left-handed starter.  Bet Toronto.

4* Major MLB Saturday Night Bailout on Giants -114

Bottom Line: Great price to back the Giants at home with the more experienced starter on the bump.  Simon has come out of nowhere, and I don't see him sustaining his 1st-half form.  Cain has held the Reds to 3 earned runs or less in 6 of his last 7 starts against them.  He's a battler and won't fold just because he's had a couple bad outings in a row.  San Francisco is on a 20-9 run in the 3rd game of a series and is on a 7-2 run after dropping the first 2 games of a series.  Teams with a good bullpen (3.75 ERA or lower on the season) are 37-16 the last 3 seasons if their starting pitcher was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings.  This system is 3-0 this season.  Bet San Francisco.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Dodgers -139

Bottom Line: I'll gladly hop on Greinke at home at this price.  His clubs are 29-8 in his home starts over the last 3 seasons.  St. Louis has a low .311 on-base %, which dips to .304 on the road.  This bodes well for us as Greinke's clubs are 20-3 all-time in his home starts versus NL teams with an on-base % of .315 or worse.  He is also 6-0 in his last 6 home starts versus St. Louis.  Pound the Dodgers.

4* Major *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Tigers -144

Bottom Line: Detroit has the big advantage with Scherzer getting the ball.  The Tigers are 37-14 in his last 51 starts and 43-14 in his last 57 starts as a favorite.  The Astros are 2-11 in Oberholtzer's last 13 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 home starts versus a team with a winning record.  The Tigers are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.  Bet Detroit.

4* Major MONSTER MISMATCH on A's -157

Bottom Line: Miami played a 14-inning game yesterday that really took a toll on its pen.  That's not a good sign with Desclafani getting the nod as he averages just 5 1-3 innings per start.  It's also not a good sign that he has a 9.39 ERA in 3 home starts.  Way more often than not, the A's have been worth the price.  They are 37-14 in their last 51 games as a favorite of -151 to -200, 52-19 in their last 71 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200 and 30-7 in their last 37 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200.  They are 110-51 in their last 161 interleague games as a favorite and 93-45 in their last 138 games versus a team with a losing record.  Oakland Chavez has a 2.98 road ERA on the season.  The A's are 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 6-0 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a losing record and 7-0 in his last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Bet the A's.

5* Wiseguy NL Game of the Week on Braves -134

Bottom Line: Following yesterday's loss to Houston and 3 consecutive home losses to the Phillies last week, the Braves will be hungry.  They also catch Philadelphia at the perfect time.  The Phillies played a 14-inning game yesterday that taxed their bullpen.  Philly is 1-10 in home games after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings over the last 3 seasons.  Plus, the Braves put the better starter on the mound with Teheran, who has given up just 1 run in 17 innings against the Phillies this season.  The Braves are 14-4 in Teheran's last 18 starts versus a team with a losing record, 7-1 in his last 8 road starts versus losing clubs, 9-2 in his last 11 division starts, 6-0 in his last 6 Friday starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.  The Phillies are 5-13 in Kendrick's last 18 starts as an underdog and 1-5 in his last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  Pound the Braves.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Giants -114

Bottom Line: Yesterday's 4-0 win over San Diego gives the Giants some much-needed confidence and momentum heading into this series.  The Giants are an amazing 73-36 in home games after shutting out an opponent since 1997.  Vogelsong has been at his best at home where he has a 3.33 ERA.  The Giants are 8-3 in his last 11 starts and 14-6 in his last 20 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.  The Giants are also 4-0 in Vogelsong's last 4 starts versus the Reds, and he's held them to 2 runs or less in each of his last 3 starts against them.  Leake has given up 4 runs or more in 4 of his last 5 starts, and the Reds are 4-8 in his last 12 starts.  He's lost 2 of his last 3 starts versus the Giants, given up 5 runs in each of the defeats.  Pound San Francisco.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Reds -117

Bottom Line: Great price to back the Reds, who are 30-12 versus the Cubs the last 3 seasons, including 20-5 at Wrigley during this span. The Cubs won yesterday but have had trouble stringing together victories.  They are 33-64 the last 2 seasons after a win, including 9-25 during this stretch if the win came by 4 runs or more.  I don't trust Chicago's Edwin Jackson.  The Cubs have lost 10 of his 15 starts this season while he's compiled a 5.12 ERA.  They are 7-19 in his last 26 starts, 5-16 in his last 21 starts as an underdog and 2-8 in his last 10 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  He has a 7.47 ERA over his last 3 starts.  The Reds have already seen Jackson twice this year, and that's to their advantage now that they're in rhythm.  The Cubs haven't seen Latos since last season, and they don't want to see him (1.98 ERA in his L6 starts against them).  Bet the Reds.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies -105

Bottom Line: The Cardinals 8-0 victory over the Rockies Monday handed Colorado a 7th straight defeat.  However, the Cards are just 4-13 the last 2 seasons following a win of 8 runs or more.  I fully expect the Rockies to get back in the win column tonight.  They are 16-4 in De La Rosa's home starts the last 2 seasons, and this mark tightens up to a near-perfect 9-1 if they're up against a team with a winning record.  Additionally, Colorado is a jaw-dropping 18-2 the last 2 seasons in De La Rosa's starts following a team loss.  Pound the Rocks.

4* Major MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Giants -155

Bottom Line: The Giants are no doubt worth the price here given the edge they have on the bump.  Despaigne is set to make his major league debut, but hasn't shown me he has the stuff to shut down the Giants.  He went 1-3 with a 7.61 ERA in 5 Triple-A starts before getting the call up.  The Padres are 1-8 in their last 9 road games, 24-49 in their last 73 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600 and 19-40 in their last 59 road games versus a right-handed starter.  The Padres are batting only .209 on the road and will have trouble getting to Cain, who has a 1.28 ERA in his last 6 starts versus them.  The Giants are 4-1 in Cain's last 5 starts versus the Padres and 21-7 in their last 28 home games versus the Padres. 

5* Wiseguy ESPN Sunday Night Baseball *BEST BET* on Rangers -119

Bottom Line: The Rangers have the clear advantage with Darvish getting the ball.  His 2.39 ERA through 13 starts is over a run lower than the ERA Shoemaker has posted through 6 starts.  The Rangers are 6-0 in Darvish's last 6 starts as a road favorite, 9-0 in his last 9 starts on regular rest (4 days), 5-0 in his last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game and 4-0 in his last 4 Sunday starts.  The Rangers are also 5-0 in Darvish's last 5 starts versus the Angels and 5-0 in his last 5 road starts against them.  Pound Texas.

4* Major World Cup Total of the Week on Portugal/USA UNDER 2.5

Bottom Line: Even with Portugal missing a couple key defenders, the United States will have a difficult time attacking the goal without Altidore.  The big, physical forward is the USA's best at showing for the ball and holding it to find overlap opportunities, etc.  We saw how difficult a time the US had possessing the ball against Ghana once Altidore left, and I expect the difficulties to continue.  Ronaldo isn't 100%, and that bodes very well for our cause.  Plus, the US defense performed well against Ghana despite being under frequent duress, and that gives me plenty of confidence that they can hold up here.  4 goals were scored in Portugal's opener and 3 were scored in the Unites States'.  So with a line of 2.5 odds makers appear to be begging for the over.  I won't bite as I expect a 1-1 draw or 1-0 victory.

4* Major Run Line *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Angels -1.5 +112

Bottom Line: I'm riding Weaver at home.  The Angels are 39-14 in Weaver's last 53 home starts and a perfect 11-0 in his last 11 home starts versus the Rangers.  These 11 victories have come by an average of 2.7 runs.  Texas' Martinez has a 9.45 ERA over his last 3 starts and will have a tough time slowing down LA's star-studded lineup.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* Blowout on Royals -168

Bottom Line: Royals have the bats going and should have no problem getting to Young (5.18 road ERA).  Vargas is in a groove, coming off 5 consecutive strong efforts.  Plus, he's 3-0 over his last 3 starts versus the Mariners and has given up a total of only 3 runs in those starts.  The M's are a soft 50-105 in their last 155 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200.  The Royals are 10-2 in their last 12, 5-1 in their last 6 as a favorite and 6-0 in their last 6 in the 2nd game of a series.  Playing against American League road dogs of +150 or more that are starting a pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or better has resulted in an 80-16 (83%) record the last 5 seasons if they are up against an AL opponent whose starting pitcher has a WHIP of 1.300 or better.  Pound the Royals.

5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on Cardinals -160

Bottom Line: The Cardinals lost the series opener, but they are an impressive 71-35 following a loss over the last 2 seasons.  They are also a dominant 22-5 in home games versus NL East foes during this span.  Burnett is a lousy 12-35 lifetime against the money line as a road dog of +125 to +175.  The Phillies have won their last 4, but Burnett has been a cooler, going 0-6 the last 2 seasons when taking the mound following 3 or more consecutive team wins.  It's been ugly for Burnett at Busch Stadium where he's given up at least 5 earned runs in 3 straight starts.  Garcia has a neat 2.86 ERA in 7 starts versus the Phillies, which comes as no surprise considering how rough left-handed starters have been on them.  Philadelphia is sticking just .225 versus southpaw starters this season. The Cardinals are 62-25 in their last 87 home games versus a right-handed starter and 44-18 in their last 62 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.  Pound the Cards.

4* Major NL East *BLOOD BATH* on Marlins -138

Bottom Line: The Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 road games, 3-14 in their last 17 during game 2 of a series and 1-7 in their last 8 road games versus a right-handed starter. They'll get nothing easy versus Alvarez.  The Marlins are 6-0 in Alvarez's last 6 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 home starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts during game 2 of a series, 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record and 4-0 in his last 4 division starts.  The Mets are just 1-5 in their last 6 meetings in Miami.  Bet the Marlins.

4* Major MLB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on A's -157

Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Boston, which made the long trip to Oakland following last night's extra-innings win.  I expect the Red Sox to be emotionally and physically drained here.  They'll have to lean on Peavy to keep them in this one, and I don't see him coming through (5.40 road ERA this season).  The Red Sox are 0-4 in Peavy's last 4 road starts, 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus teams with a winning record, 0-7 in his last 7 road starts when the total set at 7.0-8.5, 0-8 in his last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game and 0-8 in his last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.  The Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games versus left-handed starters, and they'll have their hands full with Kazmir (1.45 home ERA this season).  The Athletics are 5-0 in his last 5 starts on regular rest (4 days), 5-0 in his last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game and 10-0 in his last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.  The Red Sox are 9-26 in their last 35 meetings in Oakland, including 1-8 in their last 9.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rays -150

Bottom Line: The Rays are 61-29 in their last 90 home games versus a team with a losing record while the Astros are 24-60 in their last 84 road games versus a team with a losing home record.  Archer has been a force at home, and the Rays are 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a home favorite.  Tampa Bay's record isn't as good as Houston's, but the Rays are the better club.  We saw that recently when the Rays took 2 of 3 in Houston.  The Astros are 18-45 in their last 63 versus American League East foes and 3-12 in their last 15 versus the Rays.  Pound Tampa Bay.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners -126

Bottom Line: Felix Hernandez is having a special season, and I don't see the struggling Padres having an answer.  They are batting .214 on the season and have managed just 1 run in each of their last 3 games.  They have been held to 3 runs or fewer 8 times during a 1-8 stretch.  They'll have a tough time getting anything off Hernandez, who has a 2.14 ERA on the season and a 1.21 ERA over his last 3 starts.  The Mariners are 6-0 lifetime in his starts at pitcher-friendly Petco where he has a 1.54 ERA.  The Mariners are also 4-0 in Hernandez's last 4 road starts, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.  The Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games, 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite and 4-0 in their last 4 road games versus a right-handed starter.  Andrew Cashner will have a tougher time slowing down a Seattle lineup that has been at its best on the road where it is averaging 4.7 runs while batting .258.  Cashner has a solid 3.29 ERA over his last 7 starts but is winless during this stretch as his light hitting club hasn't provided him with much support.  He was easily outdueled by Hernandez in San Diego last May.  The Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games.  Pound Seattle.

5* Wiseguy World Cup GAME OF THE WEEK on Spain -151

Bottom Line: I fully expect Spain to bounce back strong after getting embarrassed in its opener.  They have the superior squad and are not lacking in motivation. Slow starts in big tournaments are nothing new for this team.  They lost to Switzerland in their 2010 World Cup opener and went on to hoist the trophy.  This is a must-win game for the defending World Cup and European champs, and I'm confident they'll rise to the occasion.  Pound Spain.

4* Major NL Run Line Play of the Day on Braves -1.5 +130

Bottom Line: Philly won a 13-inning battle yesterday while holding the Braves to a single run, but it is 3-13 against the run line the last 2 seasons after allowing 1 run or none in a win over a division opponent.  It has lost by 2.5 runs on average in this spot.  Additionally, favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 are 41-10 since 1997 if they draw an average of 3 walks or less per game and are off 3 straight games of 12 hits or more.  Teams fitting this system have won by 2.7 runs on average.  Bet the Braves on the run line.

4* Major AL Run Line Play of the Day on Tigers -1.5 +140

Bottom Line: The Tigers are 15-4 against the run line the last 2 seasons off an upset loss at home to a division foe.  They have bounced back to win by an average of 3.4 runs in this spot.  The Tigers are also 16-6 against the run line in Scherzer's home starts the last 2 seasons, winning them by 3.0 runs on average.  Scherzer is off a complete game shutout, which is noteworthy before the Tigers are 9-1 against the run line the last 2 seasons in his home starts after giving up 1 or no earned runs in his last outing.  They've won by an average of 4.2 runs in this spot.  Bet Detroit on the run line.

5* Wiseguy AL *BEST BET* on A's -165

Bottom Line: The Rangers have been a bad investment on the road in this price range going 65-134 in their last 199 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200.  The A's, on the other hand, are 82-38 in their last 120 games as a home favorite of any price.  Texas scheduled starter Colby Lewis has an ERA of 6.02 at night and a 7.47 ERA over his last 3 starts.  Oakland's Drew Pomeranz has a 1.65 ERA at night and a 1.88 ERA in all starts.  The A's are 3-0 this season in Pomeranz's home starts.  The Rangers are 0-3 in Lewis' last 3 starts in Oakland.  The A's have seen Lewis a lot over the years, but the Rangers don't have much familiarity with Pomeranz.  Advantage Pomeranz.  Pound the A's.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals GM 5 *BEST BET* on Heat +6

Bottom Line: The two-time defending champs won't go down without a fight.  I expect them to take San Antonio right down to the wire with a chance to pull out the victory in Game 5.  Miami is 29-13 ATS when out for revenge for a same season loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons, 13-3 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons and 24-9 ATS in road games off a loss of 20 points or more since 1996.  The Heat know they have to do a better job on the boards.  A big reason why they won Game 2 is because they won the rebounding battle.  They came up with just 35 boards last game but are 9-0 ATS the last 2 seasons in road games after a game of 35 rebounds or less.  They have won by an average of 12.9 points in this spot.  Lastly, the Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days' rest.  Pound the Heat.

4* Major AL Run Line Play of the Day on Mariners -1.5

Bottom Line: Playing against road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more has resulted in a 45-7 record since 1997 if they are off a win of 2 runs or less and up against an opponent that has scored 3 runs or less in 4 straight games.  This system has won by 2.9 runs on average.  Bet the Mariners.

5* Wiseguy NL Run Line Game of the Month on Giants -1.5

Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs of +175 to +250 that have an on-base percentage of .375 or better over their last five games has resulted in a 75-14 record since 1997 when they are up against an opponent starting a pitcher who has an ERA of less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts.  This system has won by an average of 2.6 runs.  Additionally, this system is 17-0 the last 5 seasons.  Playing against road underdogs of +175 to +250 that are batting .315 or better over their last 5 games are 50-6 since 1997 when they are up against an opponent starting a pitcher who has walked 1 batter or less in each of his last 2 outings.  This system has won by 2.7 runs on average, and it is a perfect 9-0 the last 5 seasons.  Pound the Giants.

5* Wiseguy AL Central GAME OF THE YEAR on Tigers -180

Bottom Line: I'm confident the Tigers are worth the price here.  They were upset yesterday but are 18-3 the last 2 seasons following a loss to a division foe as a favorite of -150 or higher.  They have bounced back to win by an average score of 5.7 to 2.7 in these games.  Additionally, home favorites of -150 or higher that are out for revenge for a loss as a home fave of -150 or higher are 45-7 since 1997 if they have a win percentage of 51-54% and are playing a team with a win percentage of 46% to less than 50%.  This system is a perfect 12-0 the last 5 seasons.  Detroit has a huge advantage on the pitcher's mound with Sanchez, who has a 2.24 ERA on the season and a 1.27 ERA over his last 3 starts.  Deduno has a 5.25 ERA on the season and a 7.43 ERA over his last 3 starts.  Deduno also has a 6.83 ERA in 5 starts versus the Tigers while Sanchez has a 2.42 ERA in 8 starts versus the Twins.  Pound the Tigers.

4* Major AL Play of the Day on Red Sox -137

Bottom Line: Boston is 6-0 in its last six at home and 7-1 in its last 8 home games versus the Indians.  Lackey is having a terrific season, and the Red Sox are 8-0 in his last 8 home starts versus teams that have a losing record.  Cleveland's Masterson has a 5.35 ERA on the road and is 0-2 in his last 2 starts at Fenway, giving up 11 runs in 12 innings during them.  Bet Boston.

5* Wiseguy NL *BEST BET* on Marlins -116

Bottom Line: Miami is crushing the ball at home this season, batting .279 and averaging 5.1 runs per game.  It's also crushing southpaw starters, batting .296 and scoring an average of 5.8 runs per game off them.  Going back to last season, the Marlins are 26-11 in their last 37 home games and 13-4 in their last 17 games versus a left-handed starter.  Pittsburgh's Locke has struggled, and the Bucs are only 2-8 in his last 10 starts. He's also struggled against the Marlins, who are batting .338 in the 3 games he's started against them.  Pittsburgh is just 7-15 in its last 22 games as a road underdog, and it is batting only .232 and averaging 3.4 runs per game on the road this season.  Miami's Eovaldi has a 2.49 ERA at home, and his teams are 7-2 in his last 9 home starts.  Pound the Marlins.

4* Major NBA Finals GM 4 "Total" Line Mistake on Spurs/Heat UNDER 197.5

Bottom Line: Despite historic first-half shooting from the Spurs (59.4% for the game) and 51.6% shooting from Miami, we saw only 203 total points scored in GM 3. That's less than 2 3-pointers more than the number we are getting here.  I'm willing to bet my hard-earned money that neither teams shoots nearly as good in GM 4 with the law of averages kicking in and the defenses ratcheting it up a notch.  The UNDER is 12-5 in the Spurs' last 17 games following a win of more than 10 points and 7-3 in the Heat's last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points.  Plays UNDER on road teams when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points that have a win percentage of 60-75% on the season and have beaten the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games has resulted in a 26-8 record the last 3 seasons.  Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Heat -5

Bottom Line: Miami played well in Game 3, the Spurs just happened to set a Finals record for first-half shooting.  Because the Heat were playing catch-up from the start in Game 3 and because they know this is basically a must-win game, they will come out with the type of fury we are used to seeing from them following a loss.  The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, and they have an average winning margin of 9.6 points in these games.  Additionally, Miami is 13-2 ATS following any home loss over the last 2 seasons and has won by an average of 13.4 points in these games.  The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.  Miami lost its first home game against the Spurs in last year's Finals and then won its next three.  2 of those wins came by 7+ points.  Pound the Heat.

4* Major NL Play of the Day in Giants -142

Bottom Line: The Giants have burned us the last 2 days, outhitting the Nationals in each game but going 2 for 15 with runners in scoring position.  I'll ride them one more time as the numbers remain in their favor.  They are on an 8-0 run in the 4th game of a series, and they are on a 5-0 run following defeats in the 1st 3 games of a series.  SF is 4-0 in Hudson's last 4 starts, 6-0 in his home starts and 4-0 in his day starts.  Washington is 0-3 in Treinen's 3 starts.  Hudson's teams are also 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Nats, and he's given up just 2 earned runs in 21 1-3 innings in these starts.

5* Wiseguy NL Non-division GAME OF THE YEAR on Giants -125

Bottom Line: The Giants have dropped the first 2 games of this 4-game set, but they are 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games and 6-0 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 in a series.  Washington has been a terrible underdog investment in this price range at 15-39 in its last 54 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.  The Nationals are 0-4 in Roark's last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  Cain has had Washington's number in San Francisco.  The Giants are 5-0 in his last 5 home starts against the Nats, during which he's posted a 1.66 ERA.  Pound the Giants.

4* Major NL *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Giants -130

Bottom Line: The Nationals are just 14-37 in their last 51 games as a road dog.  The Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite and 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.  The Giants are 6-1 in Bumgarner's last 7 starts, 10-1 in his last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 4-0 in his last 4 starts on regular rest (4 days).  Fister has been good this season, but Bumgarner has been better.  The lefty has allowed 1 earned run or none in 5 of his last 7 starts and has an ERA of 0.82 over his last 3 starts.

4* Major NBA Finals GM 3 "Total" DOMINATOR on Spurs/Heat UNDER 198

Bottom Line: Miami tightened the screws defensively in Game 2, and the score came in under the number as a result.  We saw 194 total points scored in Game 2, and it would have been even less had the teams not gone off from 3-point land again.  The Spurs are an amazing 25 for 51 (49%) from beyond the arc in the series, but I don't see the hot shooting continuing in Miami.  The Spurs have made an average of just 5.7 3-pointers in their last 3 games in Miami. The UNDER is 25-11 in the last 36 meetings overall and 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in Miami.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals GM 3 *BEST BET* on Heat -4.5

Bottom Line: The Heat are 40-9 at home this season, including 8-0 in the playoffs.  They are 29-5 at home in the playoffs since the start of the 2012 postseason and are 11-0 in their last 11 home playoff games going back to last year's Finals.  These 11 victories carry an 11.6-point average margin of victory.  The Spurs have shown some weakness on the road where they are 2-7 ATS in their last 9.  They've lost 3 of their last 4 on the road in these playoffs with the 3 defeats coming by 11, 9 and 13.  The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a winning road record.  Pound Miami.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Tigers -122

Bottom Line: Porcello has dominated the White Sox.  The Tigers are 12-1 in his last 13 starts against them, including 6-0 in the last 6.  He allowed 3 earned runs or less in each of these 13 starts.  The Tigers are also 6-0 in Porcello's last 6 starts as a road favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.  Noesi is 3-16 with a 5.57 ERA in 28 career starts and has an ERA of 8.30 in 2 starts versus the Tigers.  The Tigers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago.  Pound Detroit.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Sunday Night Baseball Total of the Month on Red Sox/Tigers UNDER 7.5

Bottom Line: I love the UNDER tonight with the way both these starters have been going.  Lackey has a 1.27 ERA over his last 3 starts and Sanchez has an ERA of 1.21 over his last 3 outings.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Lackey's last 6 starts and 2-0 in Sanchez's last 2 starts.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Lackey's last 6 Sunday starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 8-0-1 in his last 9 starts versus American League Central opponents and 4-0 in his last 4 starts when the opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The UNDER is 2-0-2 in Sanchez's last 4 starts when the opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game and 2-0-2 in Sanchez's last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The UNDER is 7-0-1 in Lackey's last 8 starts versus the Tigers and 2-0-1 in Sanchez's 3 career starts versus the Red Sox.  The UNDER is also 4-0 in umpire Adam Hamari's last 4 Sunday games behind home plate.  Pound the UNDER.

4* Major NBA Finals GM 2 *SUREFIRE* on Heat +4.5

Bottom Line: Miami wants a 3-peat just as badly as San Antonio wants revenge, and I'm not hesitating to back the Heat plus the points in this bounce-back spot.  The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following a loss of more than 10 points.  The Spurs are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days' rest.  Playing against home favorites that outscore opponents by an average of 6.0 ppg or more on the season has resulted in a 94-53 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against an opponent that allowed 110 points or more in its last game.  The Heat were going good in Game 1 until LeBron James started having cramping issues.  They'll come storming back here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Spurs UNDER 199

Bottom Line: The Spurs have finished OVER the total in back-to-back games.  The Heat are 4-0-1 OVER in their last five.  These trends are significant because teams that are off 2 or more consecutive OVERS and matched up against an opponent off 4 of more consecutive OVERS are on a 125-69 UNDERS run the last 5 seasons (note: this system excludes pushes).  The UNDER is 11-5 in the Spurs' last 16 games following a win of more than 10 points and 6-1 in the Heat's last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest.  GM 1 would have gone under easily if the Spurs and Heat didn't combine for 25 made 3-point shots.  We hadn't seen more than 18 total 3-point makes in the previous 4 meetings so I definitely don't expect the long balls to fall so often in GM 2.  Additionally, Miami will place a big emphasis on the defensive end after allowing San Antonio to shoot 58.8% from the floor.  Pound the UNDER.

4* Major MLB Bailout Blowout on White Sox -111

Bottom Line: I'll gladly back the White Sox at this price with Chris Sale on the hill.  The White Sox are 6-1 in his starts this season, during which he has posted a 1.59 ERA and 0.596 WHIP.  The Angels are 3-10 this season versus AL starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.20 or lower.  They are also 0-4 in their last 4 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.150, 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog and 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win.  The White Sox are 3-0 in Sales's last 3 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 3-0 in his 3 career starts versus the Angels (0.41 ERA in these 3).  Bet Chicago.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Reds -138

Bottom Line: The Phillies snapped a 6-game skid yesterday, but I'm not hesitating to fade them here as they are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win.  The Reds hold the advantage on the pitcher's mound with Simon, whose home ERA is 1.64 runs lower than Hernandez's road mark.  The Reds are 6-0 in Simon's last 6 starts versus teams with a losing record and 8-0 in his last 8 starts versus NL teams with a batting average of .250 or lower.  Cincy hasn't swung the bat well during its 3-game slide.  However, first half of the season home favorites of -110 or higher that have a batting average of .175 or worse over their last 3 games are 76-37 the last 5 seasons.  Pound the Reds.

5* Wiseguy NL Game of the Week on Braves -110

Bottom Line: The Braves are a steal at this price considering the advantage they have on the mound with Teheran (1.83 on the season, 0.81 ERA L3 starts).  The Braves are 6-0 in Teheran's last 6 road starts versus a team with a losing record, 5-0 in his last 5 Friday starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts in game 1 of a series.  Arizona's McCarthy is having a disaster of a season (5.20 ERA on the season, 5.82 ERA L3 starts).  The Diamondbacks are 1-7 in McCarthy's last 8 home starts, 1-10 in his last 11 starts versus a team with a winning record,  0-4 in his last 4 Friday starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus National League East foes.  The Diamondbacks are 10-25 in their last 35 home games and 4-12 in their last 16 versus the Braves.  Pound Atlanta.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals GM 1 "Total" DOMINATOR on Heat/Spurs UNDER 199

Bottom Line: When the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, playing the UNDER on teams that scored 110 points or more in 2 straight games (San Antonio) has resulted in a 24-6 (80%) record since 1996 if they are matched up against an opponent that scored 60 points or more in the first half last game.  We've seen an average of only 182.9 total points scored in this situation.  This number is off the mark considering these teams have combined for 198 points or fewer at the end of regulation in 3 of the last 4 matchups.  Pound the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals GM 1 PUNISHER on Spurs -4

Bottom Line: Last year's NBA Finals loss to the Heat is all the motivation the Spurs will need in Game 1.  San Antonio has been unbeatable at home in the playoffs.  It is 8-0 in its last 8 home games with a 21.5-point average margin of victory in these contests.  Each of these wins came by at least 6 points.  Additionally, the home team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with an average winning margin of 11.2 points.  Pound the Spurs.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies -123

Bottom Line: Colorado's skid ends tonight with Nicasio on the hill.  The Rockies are 5-1 this season in his home starts, during which he has posted a 3.60 ERA.  Nicasio is a big-time competitor, and the Rockies are 7-1 the last 8 times he's gotten the start following a team loss. 3 of the last 4 times Arroyo has gotten the start at Coors Field, the result hasn't been good.  He's given up 6 earned runs or more in 3 of his last 4 starts there.  Nicasio, meanwhile, has held the Diamondbacks to 2 earned runs or less in 3 of his last 4 home starts against them.  The Rockies are 19-6 lifetime under manager Weiss in home games when out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent.  Pound the Rockies.

4* Major Early *SUREFIRE* on Rays -146

Bottom Line: The Rays hold the advantage with Odorizzi on the hill.  He has a 2.88 ERA at home and has held the opposition to 3 earned runs or less in 5 of his last 6 starts.  Miami's Tuner has given up 4 earned or more in 6 of his last 8 starts.  The Marlins are 35-81 in their last 116 road games, 3-13 in Turner's last 16 road starts and 4-13 in the last 17 meetings with Tampa Bay.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -133

Bottom Line: The Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, and I expect this trend to continue with Wainwright toeing the rubber.  He's been at his best on the road where he has a 1.59 ERA in 7 starts.  He's also 4-0 with a 3.10 ERA lifetime in Kansas City.  The Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright's last 4 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.  The Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 home games versus a right-handed starter.  Wainwright should have no problem outdueling Vargas, who has a 5.26 ERA at home. The Cards are 7-0 in their last 7 at Kauffman Stadium while batting .317 and averaging 7.4 runs.  The Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.  Pound St. Louis.

5* Wiseguy Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Braves -153

Bottom Line: The Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 versus the Braves, and I expect their struggles in the series to continue with Erasmo Ramirez on the mound.  The Mariners are 1-10 in Ramirez's last 11 starts, including 0-5 in his last 5.  They are 0-7 in his last 7 starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-9 in his last 9 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  The Braves are a phenomenal 85-40 in their last 125 home games and 39-12 in their last 51 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.  Scheduled starter Gavin Floyd has a 2.37 ERA on the season, a mark far superior to the 6.00 ERA Ramirez has posted. Additionally, Seattle is batting just .233 versus right-handed starters while Atlanta is batting .260 versus left-handed starters. Pound the Braves.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Indians +108

Bottom Line: Boston has come storming back following a lengthy skid, but I have its 7-game win streak coming to an end tonight.  The Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 home games and 39-14 in their last 53 home games versus clubs that have a losing record.  The Indians are also 8-2 in Masterson's last 10 home starts versus losing clubs, and they are 12-1 the last 2 seasons when he gets the ball following 2 or more consecutive teams wins.  The Red Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a favorite, 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a team with a losing mark and 0-6 in Lackey's last 6 road starts versus a losing club.  Pound Cleveland.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball Game of the Year on Dodgers -167

Bottom Line: The Dodgers busted out the bats in a big way Saturday and now enter this Sunday night contest full of confidence and momentum.  They also have a huge edge on the mound with Greinke, who has a 2.18 ERA on the season and a 1.74 ERA over his last 3 starts. Greinke's clubs are 24-4 the last 3 seasons in his starts as a favorite of -150 or more.  The Dodgers are 10-1 in his last 11 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 17-3 in his last 20 home starts.  The Pirates have really struggled at the plate.  Their .313 on-base percentage is horrid, and the number dips to .292 on the road.  Teams that struggle to get on base have had little luck against Greinke.  His clubs are 20-2 lifetime at home versus NL teams with an on-base percentage .315 or worse.  Volquez has a 5.40 ERA on the road, and his clubs are 0-8 in his last 8 road starts.  Pound LA.

4* Major MLB "Total" Blowout on Angels/A's UNDER 7.5

Bottom Line: We've seen a lot of runs in the first 2 games of this 3-game set, but I expect that to change this afternoon.  Weaver and Gray have both been sensational and should be able to silence the opposition.  The UNDER is 20-2-2 in Weaver's last 24 starts versus the Athletics, including 11-0-1 in his last 12.  We've seen no more than 6 total runs scored in his last 12 starts versus the A's and an average of just 4.8.  Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy GM 6 *BEST BET* on Thunder -158

Bottom Line: I'm taking the Thunder on the money line to rule out any sort of backdoor ATS loss in a game I fully expect them to win.  OKC has complete confidence at home where it is on a 9-0 run versus the Spurs.  All 9 wins have come by at least 6 points.  The Spurs are 0-3 in their last 3 road games, losing these contests by 11.0 points on average.  The Thunder are 4-0 in their last 4 at home, winning these by 8.5 points on average. The home team is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings with all 6 wins combing by 9 points or more.  Pound the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Yankees -1.5 -108

Bottom Line: The Yankees fell 6-1 in the opener, but I'm expecting a big bounce back.  They are 9-1 this season when out for revenge for a loss where they scored 1 run or less and have won by an average of 3.0 runs in this spot.  They're also 9-1 this season after being held to 1 run or less and have won by 2.7 runs on average in this spot.  NY has the big edge on the mound with Tanaka.  They are 8-2 in his starts, during which he's posted a 2.29 ERA.  These 8 wins have come by an average of 4.0 runs.  Minnesota's Correia has a 6.34 ERA through 10 starts, and the Twins are 6-21 in his last 27 starts.  These 21 losses have come by an average of 4.0 runs.  Pound the Yanks on the run line.

4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Pacers/Heat UNDER 182.5

Bottom Line: With all that's on the line for both teams, I expect a tense, slow-paced, defensive-minded game to come in under the number.  We saw only 175 total points scored when these teams met in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals last year.  The Pacers are an incredible 34-15 UNDER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season.

5* Wiseguy GM 6 *BEST BET* on Pacers +7.5

Bottom Line: The Pacers are being undervalued on the road because of what happened in the first 2 games of this series in Miami.  They lost them both by 12 points, but they weren't facing elimination in either.  Teams staring elimination in the face tend to play with desperation.  We saw that from Indiana last game, and we saw it in their first round series against Atlanta.  After losing highly competitive series' to the Heat the past 2 seasons, Indiana made a concerted effort to get home court so that it would have the edge in another playoff series.  It knows its gets a Game 7 at home so it will leave it all on the floor tonight in hopes of getting an opportunity to play a Game 7 in its own building.  Indiana cannot stomach losing in the playoffs to the Heat 3 consecutive seasons so I'm expecting an outstanding effort.  Additionally, the Pacers have started to figure out the Heat.  After allowing Miami to shoot above 50% in the first 3 games, they have held the Heat to 46.4% and 45.3% in the last two.  Indiana has won or lost by fewer than 7.5 points in 6 of the last 9 meetings and 12 of the last 19.  Pound the Pacers.

5* Wiseguy NL Game of the Week on Brewers -155

Bottom Line: I'm not shying away from the Brewers at this price against a Chicago club they have dominated.  The Brewers are an amazing 59-16 in their last 75 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.  They are also 24-6 in their last 30 versus the Cubs at Miller Park.  Estrada has had Chicago's number, especially at home where the Brewers are 4-0 in his last 4 starts against the Cubs.  The Cubs are 37-81 in their last 118 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 8-25 in Wood's last 33 starts versus a team with a winning record.  Pound the Brew Crew.

4* Major MLB Bailout Blowout on Dodgers -102

Bottom Line: I'll back the Dodgers at a very nice price against a Pittsburgh club that is 5-15 in its last 20 road games, 5-17 in its last 22 road games versus right-handed starters, 103-229 in its last 332 road games versus clubs with a winning record and 1-6 in their last 7 road games versus teams with a losing home record.  The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 series openers, and they are 9-0 in their last 9 home games versus the Pirates.  Taking a look back further, the Dodgers are 67-25 in the last 92 meetings and 37-14 in the last 51 home meetings.  Bet LA.

4* Major GM5 *SUREFIRE* on Spurs -4.5

Bottom Line: Look for the Spurs to bounce back strong at home where they are on a 7-0 run in these playoffs.  Each of these 7 wins came by 6 points or more with the last 6 by no less than 17 points.  The home team is a dominant 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings, including a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in the last 5.  Each of these 5 victories came by at least 9 points. 

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Finals Total of the Year on Thunder/Spurs OVER 206

Bottom Line: The last 3 games of this series have come in under the number, and we are catching a very favorable number as a result, especially in San Antonio where these teams have averaged 211.3 points over the past 4 meetings.  The Spurs are 20-7 OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders the last 3 seasons.  They are 18-9 OVER in home games when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.  The Spurs are 6-2 OVER in their last 8 home games and 12-3 OVER in their last 15 games following a loss of more than 10 points.  The Thunder are 5-0 OVER in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points.  Pound the OVER.

4* Major NBA *SUREFURE* on Pacers +3

Bottom Line: Look for Indiana to rise to the occasion and extend this series.  Home court has been too meaningful in this matchup to ignore.  The home team is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings.  Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3, home teams playing with triple revenge against an opponent off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite has resulted in a 69-37 ATS record since 1996. 

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Line Mistake on Heat/Pacers UNDER 185

Bottom Line: We've seen 186 and 192 total points scored in the last 2 games of this series, but both of those were in Miami.  These teams are on a 4-1 UNDERS run in Indiana where they have combined to average just 176.4 points during this span.  Indiana is 19-7 UNDER in home games when the total is 180.0-189.5 this season.  We've seen an average of just 181.1 total points scored in these games.  Expect a slow-paced, defensive war in this elimination game.  Pound the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Month on Cardinals -125

Bottom Line: The Yankees can't be trusted on the road with Kuroda on the mound.  They are 1-9 in his last 10 road starts.  The Cardinals are an amazing 40-15 in their last 55 home games and 10-1 in Miller's last 11 starts as a favorite.  Miller has been lights out at home where he has a 2.19 ERA this season.  St. Louis is batting .269 at home while the Yankees are hitting .246 on the highway.  Pound the Cards.

4* Major NL Play of the Day on Nationals -147

Bottom Line: The Marlins are 33-81 in their last 114 on the road, and their road struggles figure to continue with Henderson Alvarez toeing the rubber.  He has a 4.88 ERA on the road where opponents have hit .350 against him.  Miami is 1-5 in his last 6 road starts, and his clubs are 0-5 lifetime in his starts versus Washington.  While Zimmermann hasn't been as sharp lately, the Nationals have still won 4 of his last 5 starts.  They are 40-18 in his last 58 starts, 23-8 in his last 31 home starts and 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus the Marlins.

5* Wiseguy GM4 *BEST BET* on Thunder -140

Bottom Line: I fully expect the Thunder to cover the 2.5 points, but I'm taking them on the money line for insurance.  The return of Ibaka made a huge difference in Game 3, and his presence will be felt again.  Plus, coach Brooks' decision to play Reggie Jackson alongside Westbrook and to give Steven Adams extended minutes paid off as well.  We'll see more of the same tonight.  After getting Game 3, the Thunder will be lacking no confidence, especially in this building where they are 8-0 SU and ATS in their last 8 versus the Spurs.  They have won these by an average of 10.9 points.  Pound the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers +6.5

Bottom Line: Indiana is a team of response, going 31-17 ATS the last 2 seasons following a road loss.  Recently, the Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following any loss.  They have really responded well following embarrassing double-digit defeats.  In fact, they are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of 10 points or more and have won these contests by 6.0 points on average.  Prior to Game 3, these teams had traded wins in 13 consecutive games which shows how competitive this series has been.  We'll pound the Pacers catching points in this double-revenge spot.

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Finals Total of the Year on Pacers/Heat UNDER 184

Bottom Line: Indiana hasn't been at its best defensively in this series, and it knows it.  That's why it is currently facing a 2-1 series deficit.  After allowing the Heat to connect on 54.4% of their shots in Game 3, the Pacers will tighten the screws tonight.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Indiana's last 6 games following a loss and 7-3 in its last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points.  The Pacers are 34-14 UNDER on the season when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points.  We've seen an average of just 180.8 total points scored in these games.  Miami's defense has been solid the past 2 games, holding the Pacers to just 83 and 87 points.  The Heat are 23-11 UNDER in home games after holding foes to 90 points or less in 2 straight games under coach Spoelstra.  Pound the UNDER.

4* Major MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Blue Jays -141

Bottom Line: The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6, and they should keep right on rolling against a Tampa Bay club that is bringing Bedard to the rubber.  Bedard's clubs are 0-8 in his last 8 starts versus Toronto.  The Jays have hit southpaws well and are 6-0 in their last 6 versus a left-hander starter.  They are 4-0 in their last 4 series openers and 4-0 in Hutchison's last 4 starts series-opening starts.  The Rays have dropped 5 of their last 6 series openers and are 0-4 in their last 4 Monday games.  They are also an atrocious 4-18 as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Thunder -2

Bottom Line: The Spurs have looked unstoppable thus far in the series, but Kevin Durant and company won't go down without a fight.  With the home crowd behind them, the Thunder will come storming back in Game 3.  OKC is 7-0 SU and ATS in its last 7 home games versus the Spurs, winning these by 11.1 points on average.  The Spurs have been unconscious at home lately, but the road hasn't treated them nearly as well.  They are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.  Pound the Thunder.

4* Major Sunday Night Baseball *BLOOD BATH* on Cardinals -143

Bottom Line: Leake has pitched well of late for Cincy, but he's no Wainwright.  The St. Louis righty has a 1.85 ERA on the season, a 1.17 ERA over his last 3 starts and a 0.69 ERA in night starts.  The Cards are a perfect 5-0 in his night starts this season.  The Cards are 41-16 in Wainwright's last 57 starts as a favorite and 17-6 in his last 23 starts as a road favorite.  Cincy is getting on base at a poor .306 clip.  This bodes extremely well for us because the Cards are 21-4 the last 2 seasons in Wainright's starts versus NL clubs with an on base percentage .315 or worse.  St. Louis has won these games by an average of 3.1 runs.  The Reds are 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog, 4-12 in their last 16 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 1-5 in Leake's last 6 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150.  Bet the Cards.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pacers +7

Bottom Line: The Pacers aren't getting the respect they deserve with this number, even if Paul George can't go.  They are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5 road games, winning them by an average of 9.6 points.  They are also 7-0 in their last 7 games following a defeat, winning these contests by 7.1 points on average.  Indiana has won or lost by fewer than 7 points in 5 of its last 6 games versus Miami.  Grab the points.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Mets -118

Bottom Line: Wheeler outdueled Collmenter in Arizona earlier this season, and I expect him to do it again.  The Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games versus teams that have won less than 40% of their games and 6-2 in Wheeler's last 8 starts versus team with a losing record.  The Diamondbacks are 3-10 in Collmenter's last 13 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 road starts versus teams with a losing record.  The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.  Bet the Mets.