4* MAJOR ESPN2 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on UConn +5

Bottom Line: Look for UConn to bounce back strong off a loss at Tulsa. The Huskies were upset at home by Stanford last season and will draw added motivated from that defeat. The Huskies are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. They're also 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons in road games that occur 15 games or more into the season versus teams with a win percentage of 60-80%, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 9.0 points.

5* WISEGUY SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Missouri pk

Bottom Line: Missouri was buried Tuesday at Kentucky, but it is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 following a loss, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 following a loss of more than 20 points and 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 at home. The Vols are a poor 3-11-1 ATS on the season, including 1-4-1 ATS in road/neutral court games. They're also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games. These teams have met 3 times since Missouri joined the SEC and the home team is 3-0. Pound the Tigers.

5* WISEGUY ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH on Thunder +2.5

Bottom Line: It's gut check time for the Thunder, and I expect them to respond. They have been really good at home where they are 4-0 in their last 4 and 9-2 in their last 11. 1 of the 2 losses came by 2 points and the other came in OT so based on this number, the Thunder are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games. Now that's a trend I'll gladly get behind. Golden State is 0-2 in its last 2 and 1-3 in its last 4 on the road. Also, since the Super Sonics moved to Oklahoma City and became the Thunder, they are 10-2 at home versus Golden State. Pound OKC.

4* MAJOR *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Raptors +1

Bottom Line: Atlanta is getting too much respect on the road because it has won its last 10 games while going 9-0-1 ATS in these contests. I believe the streak comes to an end tonight as it has not been able to figure out the Raptors. Toronto has won the season's first 2 meetings and is 3-0 in the last 3. The 3 wins came by 10, 7 and 11 points. The Raptors are also 3-0 in their last 3 home games versus the Hawks with the wins coming by 12.7 points on average. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

4* MAJOR BOUNCE BACK *BLOOD BATH* on Nets +10

Bottom Line: I like the Nets to bounce back strong tonight. They are 11-2 ATS after 2 straight losses of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons and have won by an average of 8.7 points in this situation.

5* WISEGUY PAC-12 PUNISHER OF THE WEEK on Arizona State +5

Bottom Line: I like ASU catching points at home in a motivated spot against an overvalued Utah squad that I expect to show some rust following a 7-day layoff. Playing home dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off a cover where they lost straight up as an underdog has resulted in a 24-6 ATS record the last 3 seasons if they are up against an opponent that's off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. The home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with an average winning margin of 11.4 points. ASU's 4 home wins during this stretch have come by an average of 4.8 points so I have no problem taking the points in a game it should have a chance to win outright.

4* MAJOR BIG 10 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN2) on Wisconsin -14.5

Bottom Line: Nebraska is off back-to-back double-digit wins at home but things haven't gone as smoothly for the Huskers on the road. They are 1-8 ATS in road games after a win of 10 points or more under coach Miles. They also catch Wisconsin at a bad time. The Badgers are off a bad loss at Rutgers and will be out for blood as a result. I expect an inspired performance from Frank Kaminsky in his return and for Bronson Koenig to step up for the injured Traevon Jackson. The Cornhuskers are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. They are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.

4* MAJOR NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Thunder +1.5

Bottom Line: The fresher team has a huge advantage, and the Thunder will be the much fresher team tonight. OKC has had the last 5 days off while the Rockets played in Orlando last night and are playing their 13th game in 19 days. They were on the road 6 of their last 8 games, which adds to the fatigue. The Thunder lost by 4 at home when these teams met earlier this season but Westbrook and Durant weren't available for that one. With both active here and with OKC much fresher, I like the Thunder to have their revenge. Playing on teams when the line is +3 to -3 that will be playing just 3 times or less in 10 days and are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 51-20 ATS record since 1996.

4* MAJOR CBB *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Florida Atlantic +4

Bottom Line: FAU isn't getting the respect it deserves at home. The Owls have won 4 of the last 6 meetings with only 1 of the defeats coming by more than 4 points. This has been a highly competitive series in which the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Owls are 5-1 at home on the season with the lone loss coming by just 2 points. WKU hasn't been on the road since Dec. 13 and is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 road games.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nuggets -2.5

Bottom Line: This is a favorable spot for Denver, which has had the last 4 days off to rest up and prepare for this contest. The Mavs, meanwhile, are off a tough OT game in Sacramento last night and now head to the thin Denver air with tired legs. The Mavericks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 versus Western Conference foes and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Nuggets are 30-11 ATS in their last 41 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST  BET* on Bulls -5.5

Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Bulls, who were defeated 102-86 at Washington last week. The Bulls are 19-7 ATS when out for revenge for a double-digit defeat since the start of last season. Additionally, playing home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a double-digit road loss has produced a 121-73 (62.4%) ATS record the last 19 years, provided both teams carry win percentages of 60-75%. Pound Chicago.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets +7

Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are being overvalued here considering their road struggles. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9. The Nets have lost their last 6 but were competitive in all of those until they were dealt a double-digit defeat by Houston last game. However, the Nets are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss of more than 10 points.

5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK on St. John's +3

Bottom Line: The Red Storm has lost 3 in a row but has had a week off to get right. I expect them to right the ship tonight. The Johnnies were pathetic defensively last game, allowing Villanova to shoot 55.7%. Rest assured the defense will be much better here. St. John's is 10-0 ATS in road games after allowing a shooting percentage of 55% or higher since 1997, and it has won these games by an average of 6.7 points. Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3 for a Wednesday game, playing against teams off 2 consecutive close wins of 5 points or less over conference opponents has resulted in a 22-5 (81.5%) ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound St. John's.

4* MAJOR CBB BAILOUT (ESPNU) on Boise State -5

Bottom Line: UNLV pounded San Jose State last game, but the Runnin' Rebels are 10-23 ATS off a conference win under Dave Rice, including 4-13 ATS if the win came by 10 points or more. Additionally, 15 games or more into the season in a matchup of teams that commit 14.5 turnovers per game or less, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points are 75-37 ATS the last 5 seasons if they shoot 45-47.5% and are facing a team that hold opponents to 40% or worse shooting.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +8

Bottom Line: The Jazz are being undervalued at home where they have been extremely competitive. They've won or lost by less than 8 points in 7 straight at home. The Warriors haven't played a road game since Christmas so they'll finally be outside their comfort zone. They've lost or won by less than 8 points in each of their last 5 on the road. Pound Utah.

4* MAJOR SEC *SUREFIRE* (ESPNU) on South Carolina -4

Bottom Line: South Carolina has lost back-to-back games since winning 7 straight, and that actually bodes well for us tonight. The Gamecocks are 6-0 ATS in home games after losing 2 straight games or more over the last 2 seasons. They have won these 6 by 8.3 points on average.

4* MAJOR NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Wizards -1

Bottom Line: The Spurs are off an easy double digit win and cover in Minnesota but are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. Washington was kicked by Atlanta last game but is 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 games following an ATS loss. Additionally, the favorite is 20-5-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings.

5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on Tennessee +3.5

Bottom Line: Arkansas has covered the spread in 3 straight. However, it is 0-6 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games under Mike Anderson and has lost these games by 8.7 points on average. Arkansas does an excellent job of sharing the basketball, but Donnie Tyndall's teams are 7-0 ATS all-time in home games versus good passing teams that average 16.0 assists per game or more. They have won these 7 by an average of 15.3 points. Additionally, Arkansas is 15-30 ATS as a road favorite or pickem since 1997 while Tennessee is 30-8 ATS as a home underdog or pickem since 1997. Pound the Vols.

5* WISEGUY CFB CHAMPIONSHIP *BEST BET* on Ohio State +7

Bottom Line: I backed Ohio State as a 10-point dog against Alabama and watched the Buckeyes win outright. The reasoning was simple - Urban Meyer is perhaps the best coach in college football. He had his team ready for the Crimson Tide, and I expect him to have them ready for Oregon. Teams headed up by Meyer are 21-5 ATS all-time in the underdog role. His teams are also 12-1 ATS all-time off an upset victory. Pound Ohio State.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +5

Bottom Line: The Pelicans are off a double-digit win over Memphis while the Celtics are off a double-digit loss to Toronto. However, the Pelicans are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a win of more than 10 points while the Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Additionally, playing against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have covered the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, provided they have a win percentage of 45-55% on the season, has resulted in a 66-33 (67%) ATS record over the last 5 seasons. Also, in a game involving teams with +/- 3.0 ppg differential, playing against a favorite off a double-digit win has resulted in a 132-84 (61%) ATS record the last 5 seasons.

4* MAJOR ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Syracuse -9.5

Bottom Line: Florida State has struggled on the road where it is 0-6 ATS in its last 6. It's off a win and cover against Virginia Tech but is 0-5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS win. Syracuse is a bad matchup for the Seminoles because they are a poor perimeter shooting team. They are shooting only 27.5% from 3-point range on the season. It takes a zone buster to stretch the Syracuse matchup-zone to open up driving lanes and high-post entries, and the Noles have only one outside threat. That makes it easy on the Orange. It's important to note that 15 games or more into the season FSU is just 2-14 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that are outscoring the opposition by 8.0 PPG or more. In other words, they've struggled in conference play against top-notch competition. Bet the Orange.

5* WISEGUY DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS *BEST BET* on Broncos -7

Bottom Line: Indy is 0-6 ATS in road games played in the second half of the season versus teams with a win percentage of 60-75% over the last 3 seasons, and it has lost these games by an average of 24.9 points. Denver is on a 21-10 ATS run as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and a 16-3 ATS run when playing with 2 weeks of rest or more. Pound the Broncos.

4* MAJOR NFC DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS *SUREFIRE* on Cowboys +6

Bottom Line: Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on grass and 6-0 ATS in its last 6 road games when playing with 6 days of rest or less. The Cowboys are 20-9 ATS as an underdog under coach Garrett, including 9-2 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

5* WISEGUY NFC PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR on Seahawks -10.5

Bottom Line: The Seahawks enter the playoffs on a 6-game win streak, which is significant because they are 6-0 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins under coach Carroll.  Seattle is 7-0 ATS the last 2 seasons after 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. It is also 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons after averaging 6.0 yards per play or more in each of its last 2 games. Pound Seattle.

5* WISEGUY NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bucks/Bulls OVER 195

Bottom Line: Milwaukee has finished under the total in 9 straight, which has forced oddsmakers to overadjust the line due to the amount of action the under is getting in Milwaukee games. This provides us with an excellent overs opportunity tonight. Milwaukee's unders run has been directly correlated with how well it has defended, but this will be its 4th game in 5 days and defense is the first thing to go in fatigued spots. The over is 18-6 in the Bulls' last 24 home games, including 5-0 in their last 5 versus teams with a winning road record. The over is 14-4 the last 2 seasons in Milwaukee's games as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points. We've seen 210.4 total points scored on average in these contests. Pound the over.

5* WISEGUY Summit League GAME OF THE MONTH on Nebraska-Omaha -1.5

Bottom Line: Nebraska-Omaha is 7-0 ATS lifetime under coach Hansen after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games and has won these by an average of 4.4 points. Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3 plays against road teams that are off a cover as a double-digit favorite and are playing their 3rd game in 7 days has resulted in a 36-11 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is already 2-0 ATS this season. Pound UNO.

4* MAJOR AFC DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS *SUREFIRE* on Ravens +7

Bottom Line: Baltimore has been money in the postseason. It's 6-0 ATS in its last 6 playoff games and 5-0 ATS in its last 5 road playoff games. The road team has been the play in this matchup as it is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New England. Additionally, Baltimore is 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons in road games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.

4* MAJOR BIG EAST *BLOOD BATH* on Butler -2

Bottom Line: We picked up a big win with Xavier Wednesday, but now we'll go against the Musketeers as they head back out on the road where they have struggled. The Musketeers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games while the Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 at home. Butler is off a loss and lost both meetings with Xavier last season so it will be highly focused. The Musketeers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win while the Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss.

5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Cavs +12.5

Bottom Line: The Cavs have struggled with LeBron James out nursing injuries, but there is still a ton of talent on the roster, and I expect them to show up against the best team in the NBA with the bright ESPN lights on. Playing against home teams that are outscoring opponents by 9.0 PPG or more on the season has resulted in a 30-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against an opponent that allowed 105 points or more last game. Pound Cleveland.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Spurs -5

Bottom Line: The Spurs are off an ugly loss at home to Detroit where they blew an 18-point advantage and even led by 3 points with 10 seconds left and couldn't close the deal. All that actually bodes well for us here. San Antonio is 17-6 ATS off an upset loss at home the last 3 seasons and has won these games by 9.8 points on average.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Thunder -11.5

Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs that beat the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game has resulted in a 26-6 ATS record the last 5 seasons, provided they have a win percentage of 25-40% on the season. Utah upset Chicago on the road in its last game but is 2-11 ATS the last 3 seasons in road games following a road win.

4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Nebraska -9.5

Bottom Line: Nebraska has been outstanding in league play in bounce back spots. It is 16-5 ATS off a loss to conference foe over the last 3 seasons, including 9-1 ATS during this span off 2 straight losses to conference opponents.

5* WISEGUY OHIO VALLEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Tennessee Tech +6.5

Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade Murray State, which has won its last 9 games. The Racers are on an 8-19 ATS slide after 9 or more consecutive wins. Murray State put the hurt on Tennessee Tech last season as it was able to control the glass, but this year's Murray State team hasn't been nearly as good on the boards. The Racers are averaging just 33 rebounds per game, and that number drops to 30 in games played away from home. The Golden Eagles, on the other hand, are averaging 38 boards per game. This number goes up to 41 at home where they are 6-0 on the season. Tennessee Tech is 12-1 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams that average 33 or less rebounds per game. Pound Tennessee Tech.

4* MAJOR NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Hornets/Raptors UNDER 199.5

Bottom Line: Toronto was horrible defensively in its last 2 games and will be looking to tighten the screws here. The Raptors have had the last 3 days off to get fresh and prepare for the Hornets, and I expect them to put forth an outstanding defensive effort tonight. Toronto is 19-7 UNDER since 1996 in home games after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games. The UNDER is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings between these teams in Toronto.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Timberwolves +8.5

Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Phoenix, which played a hard fought game in Milwaukee last night and has big games against the Spurs and Grizzlies on deck. I don't see the Suns giving the lowly T-Wolves their complete focus. The Suns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet Minnesota.

5* WISEGUY BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois +2

Bottom Line: This is a big bounce back spot for Illinois following consecutive defeats at Michigan and Ohio State. This is a big letdown spot for Maryland following big wins over Michigan State and Minnesota. Illinois is a perfect 7-0 at home where it is winning by an average of 30.0 points. It has two more Big Ten road games following this one, which makes this game that much more important. Rayvonte Rice is out with a hand injury, but I fully expect this deep, talented group to step up. Pound Illinois.

5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH on Xavier -7

Bottom Line: This is a big bounce back spot for Xavier following a bad loss at DePaul. It's also a big revenge spot for the Musketeers after getting swept by Seton Hall last season. Additionally, this is a big letdown spot for the Pirates who hit the road off back-to-back big home wins over St. John's and Villanova. Xavier is a perfect 8-0 at home where it is winning by an average of 21 points and has notable double-digit wins over Alabama and Georgetown. Pound Xavier.

5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* BLOWOUT on Houston -7

Bottom Line: This is not the night to back Central Florida. The Knights are 0-8 ATS on Tuesday night under coach Jones. Houston, on the other hand, is on an 18-6 ATS run in Tuesday night home games. The Cougars are 10-2 ATS as a home favorite or pickem over the last three seasons. They are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, and the favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Houston.

5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on Troy State +3.5

Bottom Line: Texas-Arlington is 0-8 ATS the last 3 seasons off a home win of 10 points or more and has lost these games by 7.1 points on average. Troy is 6-0 ATS after a blowout loss of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons and has won these games by an average of 2.0 points. Pound Troy State.

5* WISEGUY NBA "Total" BLOWOUT on Wizards/Pelicans OVER 200

Bottom Line: These teams have come in under 200 points in each of the last 9 meetings so it's clear the books are begging for action on the under. However, they have good reason for posting such a high number as the Washington defense is really struggling (gave up over 52% shooting in each of its last 3 games) and it's up against a New Orleans team that is averaging over 108 ppg at home. Washington is 17-7 OVER the last 2 seasons in road games after finishing under the total in its last game. The OVER iis 10-4 in the Pelicans' last 14 home games and 11-4 in their last 15 versus the East.

4* MAJOR on Charleston -3.5

Bottom Line: James Madison is off a strong performance over Towson where it held the Tigers to just 52 points. However, JM is 0-6 ATS the last 2 seasons after holding an opponent to 55 points or less and has lost by an average of 8.4 points in these games.

4* MAJOR on Virginia Military +2.5

Bottom Line: VMI is 3-1 at home while Mercer is 1-5 on the road. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a cover while the Keydets are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS defeat.

4* MAJOR on Towson -3

Bottom Line: I'm fading Elon in a spot it hasn't performed well in. The Phoenix are on a 17-28 ATS slide when playing win one or no days of rest.

4* MAJOR on Fairfield +1

Bottom Line: The Broncs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win. The Stags are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss and 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 versus Metro Atlantic Athletic opponents. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

4* MAJOR on Drexel +5.5

Bottom Line: Playing against road teams that are off a win of 20 points or more in conference play has resulted in a 30-9 ATS record since 1997 if they are up against an opponent that's off an upset loss of 10 points or more at home. This system is a perfect 5-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.

4* MAJOR GODADDY BOWL *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Toledo -3.5

Bottom Line: Arkansas State looked unstoppable on the ground last game when it racked up 469 rushing yards against New Mexico State. It won't be able to run at will against a Toledo defense that ranks 17th in the country against the run with 120.5 ypg allowed. The Red Wolves are on a 0-11 ATS slide following a game where they gained 300 or more rushing yards and have lost by an average of 10.1 points in these games. Bet Toledo.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +4

Bottom Line: The Kings will be hungry as they seek revenge for a home loss to Detroit last month. Playing underdogs that are out for revenge for an upset loss at home has resulted in a 33-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons, provided the team they are seeking revenge against is off 2 or more consecutive road wins. Bet Sacramento.

5* WISEGUY WILD CARD ROUND TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Lions/Cowboys UNDER 49

Bottom Line: When the total is 42.5 to 49 points 8 games or more into the season, playing the UNDER on home teams that average 7.3 yards per pass attempt that are up against a team that allows 5.9-6.7 yards per pass attempt has resulted in a 27-5 record since 1983, provided the team we are playing on has averaged 8 passing yards per attempt or more in its last 2 games. This system is 4-0 the last 3 seasons. The Lions are on a 6-0 UNDER run in road games played on turf and a 7-0 UNDER run in road games versus teams that allow an average of 7 yards per pass attempt or more. Pound the UNDER.

5* WISEGUY WILD CARD ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on Bengals +4

Bottom Line: The Bengals lost 27-0 in Indianapolis in October, but that won't keep me from pounding them given the strong history in their favor. Playing road teams that check in off a road loss and are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent has resulted in a 76-36 ATS record the last 10 seasons. Additionally, the Bengals are 6-0 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss where they were held to less than 9 points under coach Lewis. They have won in this spot by an average of 5.8 points. This Cincy team has failed to make it out of the wild card round each of the past 3 seasons, and that provides added motivation. Pound the Bengals.

5* WISEGUY NFL PLAYOFFS *BEST BET* on Ravens +4

Bottom Line: The Ravens are showing some nice value catching better than a field goal. Prior to each team winning impressively in this season's two regular-season meetings, we had seen 5 straight and 9 of 11 matchups in the series decided by 3 points or less. The Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 wild card games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road playoff games. Pound Baltimore.

4* MAJOR BIG EAST *BLOOD BATH* on Marquette -1.5

Bottom Line: Look for Marquette to bounce back strong against Providence following a tough loss at DePaul. The Golden Eagles are a perfect 7-0 at home versus Providence since they began competing in the Big East Conference. None of these wins have come by fewer than 7 points. Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3 playing against road teams that have beaten the spread by 18 or more points total in their last 3 games has resulted in a 19-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons if they are up against a team that has gone under the total by 18 or more total points in their last 3 games. Bet Marquette.

4* MAJOR NON-CONFERENCE *MARQUEE MATCHUP* (CBS) on Florida -9.5

Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for Florida, which lost to UConn in last season's Final Four. The Gators are an impressive 114-89 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under coach Donovan, including 39-27 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Florida is on a 65-38 ATS run after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

5* WISEGUY BIRMINGHAM BOWL *BEST BET* on East Carolina +7

Bottom Line: ECU concluded the regular season with a disappointing 2-point loss to UCF, but it is 9-1 ATS the last 3 seasons following defeat. The Pirates are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 versus SEC foes. ECU has an explosive offense that put up huge numbers against several power conference schools. I think 7 points is too many for the books to be giving to this explosive offensive team, especially considering how anemic Florida has been offensively. The Gators left it all out on the field in their last game against in-state rival FSU only to come up short. They managed to cover the spread but are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover. The Florida program is in disarray with Muschamp gone and interim D.J. Durkin soon to follow. I think the Florida players just want to forget this season and move on. Pound the Pirates.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +3

Bottom Line: Detroit is being overvalued following 3 straight wins. It is just 1-8 ATS as a favorite this season. The Knicks lost ugly to the Blazers and Clippers in their last 2 but are 26-9 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 points or more since 1996. The Knicks are 8-0 in their last 8 home games versus the Pistons.

5* WISEGUY TAXSLAYER BOWL *BEST BET* on Iowa +3.5

Bottom Line: The Hawkeyes have been an outstanding investment this time of year at 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. I'm not hesitating to take the points as I believe the wrong team is favored. This line has a lot to do with the respect the public gives the SEC, but we have seen in these bowls that the SEC isn't as strong as in years past, and this is a middle of the road team from the weaker division. The Volunteers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games and 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games versus teams with a winning record. Pound Iowa.

4* MAJOR SUGAR BOWL BAILOUT on Ohio State +10

Bottom Line: Urban Meyer is one of the best in the business, and I fully expect him to have his Buckeyes ready to play. His teams are 20-5 ATS all-time in the underdog role and 23-6 ATS all-time when getting 2 weeks of preparation time or more.

4* MAJOR ROSE BOWL *BLOOD BATH* on Oregon -8

Bottom Line: Florida State is undefeated by the skin of its teeth, but it finally meets its match here. Oregon is 9-0 ATS after scoring 50 points or more in its last game under coach Helfrich, 6-0 ATS after a win of 35 points or more under Helfrich and 7-0 ATS after outrushing an opponent by 125 yards or more under their current coach. Florida State has been down early numerous times this season but has been able to claw its way back. I don't see it being able to claw its way back against an explosive Oregon team.

5* WISEGUY BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR on Minnesota +5

Bottom Line: It's a major letdown for Missouri to be playing an unranked opponent in its bowl game after a disappointing performance against Alabama in the SEC Championship. That game against Alabama mattered way more to the Tigers than this one does. Minnesota, on the other hand, sees this game as a great opportunity, and it has been extremely competitive against good teams in recent seasons, going 10-2 ATS versus teams with a winning record the last 2 seasons, including 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games versus such teams. Pound the Gophers.

5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH on DePaul +4.5

Bottom Line: Marquette is 0-7 ATS the last 3 seasons in road games following 2 consecutive double-digit wins and has lost these games by an average of 7.0 points. Additionally, DePaul is 14-5 ATS in home games against teams with win percentages of 60-80% under coach Purnell. Pound DePaul.

5* WISEGUY PEACH BOWL *BEST BET* on Ole Miss +3.5

Bottom Line: The Rebels are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games while the Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 bowl games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Ole Miss is 6-0 ATS versus excellent passing teams that average 275 passing YPG or more under coach Freeze and has defeated these teams by an average of 8.0 points. Pound Ole Miss.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans -1.5

Bottom Line: This is a challenging spot for Phoenix, which will be playing a 3rd road game in 5 days and this one comes after a long cross-country trip from LA. The Suns also have a big revenge game in Oklahoma City tomorrow so they could be peeking ahead to that one. New Orleans has had the last 2 days off so it should be the fresher team. It should also be the hungrier side as it tries to end 4-game losing streak to the Suns. The Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Penn +11.5

Bottom Line: LaSalle is 2-10 ATS since 1997 after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. The Explorers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 versus Ivy League opponents and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. They are 10-24 ATS in non-conference home games under coach Giannini and 27-41 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under their current coach. The road team is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Playing road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are an average shooting team (42.5-45%) playing against a good defensive team (40-42.5%) has resulted in a 70-33 ATS record since 1997, provided the play on team allowed a shooting percentage of 55% or higher last time out.

5* WISEGUY MUSIC CITY BOWL *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +9

Bottom Line: We are getting Notre Dame at a great number because of its poor finish. Having had a month to regroup, I fully expect the Fighting Irish to give LSU a game. Notre Dame is on a 23-10 ATS run in road/neutral field game against teams with a win percentage of 60-75%, and it has won these games by an average of 3.9 points. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Pound the Fighting Irish.

4* MAJOR CBB HOME COURT *SUREFIRE* on Denver -4.5

Bottom Line: After giving Colorado State all it wanted, Denver suffered a letdown and lost to lowly Bryant. It was the kind of loss that gets the blood boiling. The Pioneers lost at St. Joe's by 1 points last season so they will draw added motivation from that. Home court has been good to Denver. It is 56-36 ATS in lined home games under coach Scott, including 23-10 ATS as a home favorites of 6 points or less or pickem. Additionally, Scott's teams are 7-0 ATS all-time in home games following a game where they shot 20% or worse from beyond the arc. They've won these seven by an average of 9.3 points.

4* MAJOR CBB DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH on BYU -10

Bottom Line: This may seem like a lot of points for 10-4 BYU to be laying against 10-3 Portland, but this is a tough spot for Portland. The Pilots are playing their 2nd road game in 3 days. BYU is also playing a 2nd game in 3 days but has been at home the entire time, and that makes quick turnarounds much easier. The Cougars are 12-4 ATS in home games when playing a 2nd game in 3 days under coach Rose, and they have won these games by 23.0 points on average. BYU is 5-0 in its last 5 home games versus Portland with these wins coming by an average of 15.0 points.

5* WISEGUY NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Kings/Nets UNDER 204.5

Bottom Line: Playing the UNDER on a team that has finished over the total in at least its last 2 games has resulted in a 108-58 (65%) record the last 5 seasons if that team is playing an opponent that has finished over the total in at least its last 4 games. Additionally, playing the UNDER on a road team when the total is 200 or higher has resulted in a 72-38 (66%) record since 1996 if the road team averages 102 PPG or more and is playing a team that averages 92-98 PPG, and if the road team allowed 55 points or more in the 1st half in its last 2 games. Pound the UNDER.

5* WISEGUY LIBERTY BOWL *BEST BET* on Texas A&M +2.5

Bottom Line: West Virginia is 0-8 ATS as a neutral field favorite since 1992. It is also 0-6 ATS when playing with 2 weeks of rest or more over the last 3 seasons. Pound the Aggies.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5

Bottom Line: Tough spot for Toronto playing without rest in high altitude. The difficulty of this spot is magnified by the fact it is off a big win and has a bigger game on deck. The Nuggets are 29-10 ATS in their last 39 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Denver is 14-4 ATS at home the last 3 seasons versus very good teams that outscore their opponents by 6 PPG or more, and it has defeated these teams by an average of 1.4 points.

4* MAJOR NFL *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Packers -7

Bottom Line: The Packers do an exceptional job of taking care of the football, and that spells doom for Detroit, which is 0-11 ATS since 1992 in games played in the 2nd half of the season versus teams who average 1 or fewer turnovers per game. It has lost these games by 18.2 points on average. The Lions are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Green Bay is 6-0 ATS in home games versus mistake prone teams that average 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons. It is 6-0 ATS this season after playing its last game on the road. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

5* WISEGUY NFL GAME OF THE WEEK on Panthers +3

Bottom Line: I like the Panthers catching a field goal given how successful they've been in the series of late. They are 3-1 in the last 4 meetings with the loss coming by only 2 points. They are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings with neither loss during this stretch coming by more than 2 points. The Panthers are starting to resemble the team that went 12-4 last season, holding their last 3 foes to 17 points or fewer. Carolina is 58-25 ATS all-time versus teams that allow 24 PPG or more and 56-36 ATS all-time when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent. The Falcons are 12-25 ATS since 1992 in home games following a double-digit victory. The Falcons are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a win of more than 14 points and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Pound the Panthers.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Monmouth -2.5

Bottom Line: Monmouth is coming off a pathetic performance against Saint Francis-New York. However, playing favorites that return all 5 starters and are off a game where they were held to 60 points or fewer has resulted in a 161-97 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Rutgers defeated Saint Francis-NY at home earlier this season by 3 points yet it is an underdog to a team that was just crushed by the same opponent? It appears odds makers are begging for money on Rutgers. Take Monmouth.

4* MAJOR NFL *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Bears +7

Bottom Line: Odds makers have missed the mark. The Bears are 8-2 in their last 10 against the Vikings and haven't lost by more than 7 points during this stretch. Playing against favorites of 3.5 to 10.0 points that check in off a road defeat has resulted in a 28-8 ATS record since 1983, provided they have a win percentage of 40-49% and are playing a team with a win rate of 25-40%. This rare system is 3-0 ATS the last 5 seasons.

4* MAJOR NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Pacers/Nets UNDER 191

Bottom Line: Lionel Hollins is a defensive-minded coach and can't be happy with yesterday's performance in Boston. The Nets got the win but allowed the Celtics to score 107 points on 51.7% shooting. Hollins has been able to make the proper adjustments and motivate his team following poor defensive game. The Nets are 8-0 under his watch after allowing 105 points or more and are holding opponents to only 94.0 in this spot.

4* MAJOR Holiday Bowl *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nebraska +7.5

Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to the firing of Bo Pelini. Nebraska is 25-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of its last 6 games since 1992. USC is 6-17 ATS after any win over the last 3 seasons, 2-11 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons and 1-8 ATS in road/neutral field games after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.

5* WISEGUY PRE-NEW YEAR's BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR on Penn State +3

Bottom Line: Penn State has the edge on the sidelines with James Franklin, and it also has the edge on the field with a stifling defense that ranks No. 1 in the nation against the run. The Nittany Lions match up with Boston College extremely well since the Eagles depend on their run game to move the football. It will be nothing doing on the ground against this stout Penn State defense. The Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 20 points, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 December games. Penn State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 non-conference games. Pound Penn State.

4* MAJOR Military Bowl *BLOOD BATH* on Virginia Tech +3

Bottom Line: Playing on any team 7 games or more into the season that averages 3.5 to 4.3 yards per carry (VA Tech) and is up against a team that allows 4.3 to 4.8 yards per carry (Cincy) has resulted in a 25-4 ATS record the last 5 seasons, provided the play on side allowed 75 rushing yards or less last game. Additionally, the Hokies are 12-3 ATS in road/neutral field battles following a close win of 7 points or less over a conference opponent under coach Beamer.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hornets +6.5

Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from OKC following a big Christmas Day win in San Antonio. The Hornets are playing their best basketball of the season, and they'll be more rested and more prepared for this contest. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a win, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams with a losing record and 4-0 ATS in their 4 road games. Charlotte is 10-1 ATS in December road games under coach Clifford. Pound the Hornets.

5* WISEGUY St. Petersburg Bowl *BEST BET* on NC State +3

Bottom Line: The Wolfpack are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. They are also on an impressive 22-10 ATS run in road/neutral field venues when getting more than the typical week or preparation time. UCF has struggled when playing away from its home turf. The Knights have won by more than 3 points in just 2 of 6 road/neutral field games this season. This included a really bad loss at UConn. Pound NC State.

5* WISEGUY CHRISTMAS *BEST BET* on Heat +5.5

Bottom Line: This line is inflated due to a combination of Cleveland's back-to-back blowout wins and covers and Miami's ugly loss to the 76ers. This will be an emotional game for LeBron James as he returns to the place he won 2 Championships. He struggled mightily in the season opener in his return to Cleveland and I believe his emotions will also get the better of him in this one. I also expect a big effort from the Heat as they look to show LeBron that he would have been better off staying in South Beach. At the end of regulation, Cleveland has won by more than 5.5 points in just 3 of 11 road games this season. Miami has been a great bounce-back team this season at 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following a loss. Pound the Heat.

5* WISEGUY BAHAMAS BOWL *BEST BET* on Central Michigan +4

Bottom Line: This line is inflated due to Western Kentucky's win over Marshall. I'm not sold on the Hilltoppers. Defense wins championships, and Western Kentucky is arguably the worst defensive team in the country. Central Mich is stout defensively, ranking 16th in the land in total defense with 331.3 ypg allowed. CMU is on a 21-8 ATS run versus excellent passing teams like WKU that average 275 ypg or more through the air. The Chippewas are on an 11-3 ATS run versus poor run defenses that allow 4.75 yards per carry or more. The Chippewas are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. The Hilltoppers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games versus teams with a winning record. The Chipps should cover this number behind solid defensively play and a strong running game. Pound CMU.

4* MAJOR POINSETTIA BOWL *PUNISHER* on Navy +3

Bottom Line: Navy is a nasty 71-35 ATS in road games since 1992, including 10-2 ATS during this stretch when catching 3 points or less. SDSU is 1-10 ATS since 1992 after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on T-Wolves +14

Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game of the Cavs, which are off a big blowout win over Memphis and have a Christmas day showdown at Miami on deck. I don't see them giving the lowly T-Wolves their full attention tonight. Playing against home favorites after a game where they shot 60% or better has resulted in a 26-6 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Additionally, Tuesday night double-digit dogs that have a win percentage of 25% or worse on the season are 104-59 ATS since 1996. Pound Minnesota.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Niagara +2

Bottom Line: Off back-to-back wins over Mississippi State and Marshall, Arkansas State will be looking right past a Niagara team it blew out last season. I'm playing the revenge angle here as this is the first home game for the Purple Eagles since Dec. 6, and they'll be ready to get their revenge in front of their home crowd. Arkansas State is 19-36 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite under coach John Brady, including 6-17 ATS the last 3 seasons. 

5* WISEGUY Boca Raton Bowl *BEST BET* on Marshall -9

Bottom Line: The Huskies are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 bowl games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 December contests, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus C-USA schools. All of these trends don't bode well for the Huskies, but here's the clincher: NIU is 0-7 ATS since 1992 in road/neutral field contests versus opponents that carry an average margin of victory of 17 PPG or more on the season. Pound the Thundering Herd.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Miami -1.5

Bottom Line: Look for Miami to bounce back strong following an ugly loss to Eastern Kentucky. The Hurricanes managed only 44 points on 29.3% shooting, but they are on a 13-1 ATS run when playing away from home after a game where they made 33% of their shots or less. They are on a 6-0 ATS run in games played away from home after being held to 55 points or less. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss.

5* WISEGUY MNF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bengals +4

Bottom Line: Cincy has been awesome at home in recent years so the fact it has lost its last 2 home games in blowout fashion isn't sitting well. The Bengals also don't like the fact they've been blown out twice in primetime. I expect them to be the more motivated team tonight as a result. The Bengals are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday Night Football games. Pound Cincy.

5* WISEGUY NBA Pre All-Star Break GAME OF THE YEAR on Rockets -3.5

Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Rockets, who were bounced by Portland in six games in last season's playoffs. What stings even worse is how they lost. It looked like Houston was going to force a Game 7, then Damian Lillard nailed a three-pointer as time expired. You just don't forget losses like that, and this is the first meeting since. Houston will be ready. The Rockets have been a much better play than Portland when facing quality competition. The Rockets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60% while the Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Houston.

4* MAJOR Miami Beach Bowl *BLOOD BATH* on BYU +2

Bottom Line: BYU has better talent and coach Bronco Mendenhall has more experience than his counterpart preparing his team for big games. This is the 10th consecutive bowl appearance for the Cougars while Memphis is playing in its first bowl since 2008. BYU has won 6 of its last 8 bowl games and is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 neutral site games. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. The Cougars are 18-7 ATS under coach Mendenhall when playing against teams with a win percentage of 60-75%. Bet BYU.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on T-Wolves +3

Bottom Line: When the line is +3 to -3, playing a team that has allowed 105 points or more in 2 straight games has resulted in a 28-7 ATS record since 1996, provided their opponent is off a game where 165 points or less were scored. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, teams off 2 straight double-digit defeats are 46-18 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are playing a team that is off a game where both it and its opponent scored 90 points or less. Grab the points.

5* WISEGUY NFL *PUBLIC MASSACRE* GAME OF THE YEAR on Raiders +6

Bottom Line: Playing against any team that is coming off an upset victory at home, provided they have a winning record on the season, has resulted in a 33-13 (72%) ATS record the last 5 seasons. Additionally, playing against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that have won 2 of their last 3 games has resulted in an 83-38 (69%) ATS record the last 31 seasons, provided they have a win percentage of 51-60% and are playing a losing team in the 2nd half of the season. Pound the Raiders.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Georgia State -18.5

Bottom Line: The Panthers will be highly motivated following a loss at Old Dominion, and they'll show no mercy to a So. Miss team they lost to last season. The Panthers have played just 2 home games this season and won both handily. The 24-point win over Wisconsin-Green Bay was very impressive. So. Miss is 0-3 on the road this season and has been smacked by 23 and 20 points in its last 2 road games. The Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

5* WISEGUY DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH GAME OF THE WEEK on Dolphins -6.5

Bottom Line: The Vikings have covered the number in each of their last 4 but 3 of those were at home. They are just 2-5 on the road this season and in a historically bad spot. Consider that they are 6-16 ATS in road games after covering the number in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games the last 22 seasons. After getting taken out being the woodshed the past 2 weeks, I expect Miami to respond at home. Pound the Dolphins.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers +4

Bottom Line: Playing road teams that are out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more to an opponent, provided that opponent checks in off a home win, has resulted in a 41-12 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Off a big win over the Clippers last night, Denver will have a tough time getting past a more motivated and better rested Indiana squad. Pound the Pacers.

5* WISEGUY NFL "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Chargers/49ers OVER 41.5

Bottom Line: Playing the over on home teams that have gained 250 or less total yards in 2 straight games in a matchup of teams with a yards per play differential of +/- 0.4 has resulted in a 41-16 (72%) record the last 31 seasons. This system is 9-1 the last 10 seasons. Additionally, playing the over on teams when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points that are off a home loss by 10 or more points and are up against an opponent that's off a road loss has resulted in a 54-26 (67.5%) record the last 10 seasons. Pound the over.

4* MAJOR New Mexico Bowl *BEST BET* on Utah State -10

Bottom Line: UTEP must be able to run the football to be successful, but it will have a difficult time running the ball on a Utah State defense that ranks 26th in the nation against the run. With extra time to prepare for UTEP's running game, I expect the Aggies to have success slowing it down. I also expect the Aggies to be highly motivated after getting embarrassed at Boise State last game. Utah State is 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons when getting a bye week's worth of time or more to prepare for an opponent. It is also on a 7-0 ATS run in road/neutral field games following any loss. UTEP is 0-7 ATS against teams with a winning record under coach Kugler and has lost to these teams by 30 PPG on average.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Drexel +7

The Key: Penn State is getting a little too much respect in this neutral floor contest. The Nittany Lions have been a terrible investment at 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games overall. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. These teams have played two like opponents this season and had very similar results. Drexel defeated Cornell by 2 points, Penn State defeated Cornell by 1. Drexel lost to USC by 2 points, Penn State defeated USC by 2 points. The results of those games show me this line is being inflated due to Penn State's overall record (10-2) versus Drexel's overall record (2-7). Grab the points.

5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Bulls +6.5

Bottom Line: Memphis is being overvalued following back-to-back big wins over Golden State and San Antonio. The Bulls have been outstanding on the road where they are 11-4, and they are an incredible 17-5 ATS in Friday night road game over the last three seasons. Playing underdogs that are outscoring opponents by 3 PPG or more on the season and are matched up against a team that is coming off a close win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 46-21 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound the Bulls.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Saint Mary's +7

Bottom Line: Look for St. Mary's to give St. John's all it wants and more tonight. The Gaels got caught in a sandwich last game, losing to Northern Arizona, as they were off a big win at Creighton and had this contest on deck. The loss assures us they will be even more motivated. The Gaels are 11-3 ATS off a home loss of 3 points or less under coach Bennett. There is also another factor at play that can't be ignored. St. John's is 3-19 ATS after committing 8 turnovers or less under coach Lavin.

5* WISEGUY NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Titans/Jaguars OVER 40

Bottom Line: The Titans are 9-1 over after scoring 7 points or less in the 1st half in 2 straight games the last 3 seasons. We've seen an average of 57.0 total points scored in this spot. The Titans are 12-2 over lifetime after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. We've seen an average of 53.5 total points scored in this situation. Playing the over on road teams when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points has resulted in a 53-23 (70%) record the last 31 years, provided they are coming off 2 or more straight unders and are a team that has been outscored by 10 PPG or more on the season. We've seen an average of 45.5 total points scored with this system. Pound the over.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on South Florida +6

Bottom Line: Seton Hall is being overvalued here because it is 8-0 ATS in lined games this season. That's the type of streak the public takes notice of and the type of streak the books like to use against the public. The Pirates are 8-1 but have been aided by a schedule that has included just 1 road game to this point. The home team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. It is also 8-2 in the last 10 with neither of the losses coming by more than 5 points. That creates a perfect 10-0 matchup trend given the number we are getting here.