Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-20-19 | White Sox v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 4-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER We lost with the Minnesota Twins as a premium pick yesterday as the Chicago White Sox claimed the opener of this series 6-4 as a rather sizeable underdog. The Twins are still 11-3 against the runline as a home favorite of -200 or more this season, and I expect them to bounce back in a big way Tuesday night. Note that while the Twins may have scored fewer runs than the White Sox in the series opener, they still out-hit their opponent 15-8. Here they'll get a look at righty Reynaldo Lopez (7-10, 5.29 ERA) who is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in three career starts at Target Field. As for Twins starter Michael Pineda (8-5, 4.20 ERA), he owns a solid 3.08 ERA in six career starts against the White Sox and he is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two starts versus the club this season. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
|||||||
08-19-19 | White Sox v. Twins -1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Twins will return home to Twin City from a productive 5-1 road trip with stops at Milwaukee and Texas. They're still desperate for wins with Cleveland breathing down their neck in the AL Central standings, and I don't think they'll have any trouble to take care of business as a sizeable home favorite Monday night. Right-hander Ivan Nova (8-9, 4.51 ERA) will toe the slab for the visitors. Nova has posted an 0.49 ERA over his last five starts and tossed a complete game in a 4-1 victory over Houston last time out. However, if anything that makes it even more likely that a bad start is just around the corner for the 32-year-old who's earned run average for the season still is on the high side. Facing the Twins at Target Field is never easy, and Nova will not only have to silence their bats but also outduel Kyle Gibson (11-5, 4.28 ERA) who is 2-0 behind a commanding 1.38 ERA in two starts against the White Sox on the season. 8* play on Minnesota Twins. |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Mets -1.5 v. Royals | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The New York Mets and the Kansas City Royals combined for just five runs in Game of this series Friday night. I expect to see a low-scoring pitchers duel here in the second game on Saturday. Mets' righty Jacob deGrom (7-7, 2.68 ERA) is having a spectacular year and has held seven straight opponents to fewer than three earned runs. As for Royals' righty Jakob Junis (8-10, 4.80 ERA), he has allowed only three runs over 12 innings of work in his last two starts combined and under is 5-2 in Junis' last 7 starts overall. We can also note that this will be Junis' first career start against the Mets while deGrom has not faced KC since the 2015 World Series, with unfamiliarity usually favoring the pitcher. Under is 12-3-1 in Mets last 16 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 13-3 in Royals last 16 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Additionally, we can note that the Mets are 6-3 against the runline as a favorite of -200 or more this season, covering four straight. 8* play on NY Mets -1.5. |
|||||||
08-06-19 | Marlins v. Mets -1.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
The surging New York Mets have won 11 of their last 12 games and are one of several teams battling for the two wild cards in the National League. They had no trouble to take care of business in Monday's doubleheader with the Miami Marlins, and I expect the Mets to keep rolling here. Miami hands the ball to right-hander Jordan Yamamoto (4-2, 3.94 ERA) who has been lit up for 15 runs through his last three starts. The Mets counter with Zack Wheeler (8-6, 4.45 ERA) who tossed seven innings of shutout ball in Thursday's 4-0 win at the Chicago White Sox. Wheeler is 6-2 with a 1.95 ERA in 12 career starts against the Marlins and the Mets are 6-1 in his last seven home starts. Edit: the Marlins have now announced Hector Noesi as the starter. I still like the Mets to win easily. Marlins are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings at Citi Field. 10* play on NY Mets -1.5. |
|||||||
08-05-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Tampa Bay Rays look like a solid home favorite against American League East rival Toronto Blue Jays Monday night. The Rays have won six on the bounce following a dominant 7-2 triumph over the Miami Marlins on Sunday. Here they'll get a look at Toronto's rookie right-hander Jacob Waguespack (2-1, 4.60 ERA) who they've already reached for six runs (five earned) over nine innings. The Rays will counter with right-hander Charlie Morton (12-3. 2.78 ERA) who is 2-0 with a 1.82 ERA in four career starts against Toronto. 8* play on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5. |
|||||||
08-04-19 | Mets -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 13-2 | Win | 120 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The red hot New York Mets had recorded seven straight victories before taking a loss in the second game of this series with the Pirates Friday night. They bounced back with a 7-5 triumph on Saturday, and I think they'll close out this series with another win behind Noah Syndergaard (7-5, 4.10 ERA). The 26-year-old right-hander had a poor first half of the season, but he has really stepped up his game since and owns a 1.91 ERA in four starts since the All-Star break. Syndergaard has posted a 1.77 ERA in three career starts against the Pirates who counter with righty Joe Musgrove (8-9, 4.23 ERA). Musgrove was rocked by the Cards his last home start and owns a 4.52 ERA in 12 outings (11 starts) at PNC Park on the season. Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Mets are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. 10* play on New York Mets -1.5. |
|||||||
08-03-19 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Houston Astros put a 10-2 beating on the Seattle Mariners in the opener of this three-game series Friday night. Here they'll get a look at Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (12-8, 4.21 ERA) who is 0-3 with a 7.58 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) against the Astros. We can also note that Astros are 15-3 in their last 18 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Houston meanwhile hands the ball to right-hander Aaron Sanchez (3-14, 6.07 ERA) for his team debut since joining as part of a four-player trade with the Toronto Blue Jays. Sanchez is 2-0 with a 1.31 ERA over six appearances (three starts) against the Mariners. 8* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
|||||||
08-02-19 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros are coming off a 7-1 victory at Cleveland on Thursday look like a good home favorite with left-hander Wade Miley (9-4, 3.06 ERA) on the mound. They're 6-1 SU (5-2 against the runline) in his seven starts as a home favorite this season and Miley himself was a red hot 3-0 with a 2.03 ERA in five turns in August. The Mariners counter with lefty Yusei Kikuchi (4-7, 5.21 ERA). He limited Detroit to two runs on seven hits over 6 2/3 innings as a home favorite last time out, but the team is 0-5 SU and 1-4 against the runline in his last five starts closing as an underdog. Kikuchi took on Houston on June 29 and was tagged with five runs (three earned) on six hits and three walks over five innings. Astros are 14-3 in their last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Mariners are 2-9 in Kikuchi's last 11 starts. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
|||||||
07-27-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Cardinals | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
SATURDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The AL West-leading Houston Astros had won seven of eight before taking a 5-3 loss to the NL Central-leading St. Louis Cardinals in the opener of this three-game series at Busch Stadium Friday night. I think this looks like an excellent spot to back the Astros to bounce back in the middle game. Tonight, right-hander Gerrit Cole (11-5, 3.03 ERA) will toe the slab for the visitors. He is undefeated through his last 11 starts and has limited six of his last seven opponents to one or fewer runs while reaching double-digits Ks in four of those outings. Cole owns a solid 3.09 ERA in 14 career starts versus the Cardinals who counter with Daniel Ponce de Leon (1-0, 2.82 ERA) for his seventh start of the season. Ponce de Leon held Pittsburgh to one run over three innings last time out, but gave up three hits and four walks. He rarely goes deep into the games and I expect the Astros powerful lineup to get the better of him. 8* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
|||||||
07-21-19 | Rockies v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The reeling Colorado Rockies are losers of six straight, but the New York Yankees have shown no mercy over the first couple of games in this series and I don't see Sunday's finale being any different. The Yankees hand the ball to left-hander James Paxton (5-4, 3.94 ERA) who has posted a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts. Paxton allowed just two runs in six innings against the Tampa Bay Rays his last time out and owns a 3.52 ERA in three career starts against Colorado. The Rockies turn to German Marquez (8-5, 5.12 ERA) who is winless in his last three starts and has posted a 7.55 ERA over his last seven. Bad time to take on a Yankees team that is raking at the moment with 38 runs scored over its last five games, all wins straight up and against the runline. 10* play on New York Yankees. |
|||||||
07-20-19 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Orioles | 17-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Baltimore Orioles put an 11-2 beating on the Red Sox Friday night. I think the Red Sox will return the favor roúting the O's in a high-scoring contest here on Saturday. Boston hands the ball to Rick Porcello (7-7, 5.37 ERA) who's had a poor year. The veteran righty has been tagged with six and four runs in his last two starts, but his teammates bats bailed him out both times with a pair of 10-run performances. The Orioles turn to Tom Eshelman (0-1, 5.06 ERA) for his third start in the big leagues. Eshelman was tagged with four runs on five hits (two homers) in 5 2/3 innings of a loss to Tampa Bay last time out, and I don't see him being able to slow down the World Series defending champions. Over is 12-3-2 in Red Sox last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 10-3-1 in Orioles last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 6-2 in Porcello's last 8 road starts. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. 8* play on Boston Red Sox -1.5. |
|||||||
07-16-19 | Nationals -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Nationals have been of the hottest teams in baseball in recent weeks despite coming off a tough 4-3 walk-off defeat in Philadelphia on Sunday. They're 4-0 in their last four games following an off day and look good to bounce back here against Baltimore. The Orioles have the worst record across the major leagues. They've lost both of right-hander Asher Wojciechowski's (0-2, 6.10 ERA) starts in 2019 with the right-hander allowing seven runs over 9 2/3 combined innings of work. The Nats hand the ball to Austin Voth (0-0, 5.52 ERA) who has had little success through his first three starts this season. He is, however, coming off six scoreless innings for Harrisburg in the minors and should have little to fear from an Orioles side that averages just 4.15 runs per game. Washington is 11-3 SU (9-5 against the runline) as a favorite of -180 or more this season. 10* play on Washington Nationals -1.5. |
|||||||
07-15-19 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -1.5 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT NO-BRAINER The Toronto Blue Jays have been held to two runs or fewer in five of their last six contests, and they should not stand much of a chance here against a high-powered Red Sox team. 8* play on Boston Red Sox. |
|||||||
07-15-19 | Tigers v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Cleveland Indians have won seven of their last nine to move 6 ½ games behind Minnesota Twins who still sit top of the AL Central. Tonight the Tribe host the worst team in the division, and I think they'll handle Detroit with ease. Adam Plutko (3-1, 4.95 ERA) will toe the slab for Cleveland. The 27-year-old righty has made just seven appearances (six starts) in 2019, but most have been of the better variety. He fanned six over six solid innings of a 13-4 win over Detroit on June 14 and owns a 26/4 K/BB ratio on the season. The Tigers counter with Daniel Norris (2-8, 4.96 ERA). They've lost eight of the left-hander's last 10 starts and he was tagged with six runs in five innings of a 7-5 loss to the White Sox last time out. He also gave up six runs in an 8-3 loss at Cleveland on June 23. The Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Tigers are 3-9 in Norris' last 12 road starts. 10* play on Cleveland Indians. |