Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-11-21 | Rangers +1.5 v. Giants | 2-4 | Loss | -144 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
EARLY RANGERS @ GIANTS MLB BOOKIE BOMBER | 3:45 PM ET START I think we're getting a great price taking the Texas Rangers on the runline at San Francisco Tuesday night. Texas righty Jordan Lyles (1-2, 7.09 ERA) has had a rough start to the year, but his last outing was decent as he fanned seven through five innings of three-run ball at Minnesota. The Giants turn to righty Logan Webb (1-3, 5.34 ERA) who was tagged with six runs in just 3 2/3 innings at Coors Field in his last start. The Giants are only 7-6 against the runline as a home favorite. The Rangers are 12-6 against the runline on the road as a dog. 8* play on Texas Rangers +1.5. |
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05-08-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE MONTH | TOP-RATED 10* AL CENTRAL *BEST BET* White Sox right-hander Lance Lynn has been one of the best starters in the league in 2021 with a 1.82 ERA over four starts and a 29/4 K/BB ratio over 24 2/3 innings of work. He fanned 11 through a complete game shut out agianst the Royals on April 8. Kansas City counters wtih Daniel Lynch (0-0, 5.79 ERA) for his second start in the big leagues. Lynch gave up three runs and walked four through 4 2/3 innings of an 8-6 Royals loss to Cleveland in his debut on Tuesday. The White Sox are hitting left-handers hard (.298 AVG in 2021), and they are 20-1 SU and 18-3 against the runline against left-handed starters since the start of last season. 10/10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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05-05-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Cubs | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Dodgers dropped both games of a doubleheader against the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday. They've now lost eight of their last 10, and we just have to see a reaction soon. I think we'll see some fire from the Dodgers tonight, as they get to tee off vs. Adbert Alzolay (1-2, 4.71 ERA) who, in my opinion, is due for regression. We can also note Alzolay's 5.59 ERA in two home starts on the season. Dodgers' righty Walker Buehler (1-0, 3.16 ERA) was charged with five runs in 6 1/3 innings against Cincinnati last time out, but he also recorded 10 strikeouts. Buehler has 19 Ks over his last two starts, and the Cubs have one of the worst strikeout rates in the league in 2021. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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04-30-21 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Rangers | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Boston Red Sox were held to just three hits in a 4-1 loss to Texas on Thursday. I like the Red Sox to have more success against Rangers righty Kohei Arihara (2-2, 4.03 ERA). In his last start, Arihara was lit up for five runs on six hits and four walks in only two innings at Chicago White Sox. Red Sox rigthy Nathan Eovaldi (3-2, 3.77 ERA) has been roughed up in back-to-back starts, despite not pitching all that bad. He has a 13-1 K/BB ratio over a total of 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts. Eovaldi allowed only four runs Over his first three starts. I think the Red Sox will come out fired up for this one and not only win, but also cover the runline. 8* play on Boston Red Sox.
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04-27-21 | Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* TUESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The 9-13 New York Yankees are a massive favorite in this one, despite the 10-12 Baltimore Orioles having a better record. I trust the bookies here and expect to see a reaction and fire from the Bronx Bombers after dropping the opener of this series 4-2 on Monday. Yankee righty Corey Kluber (0-2, 5.40 ERA) is coming off a decent outing when he held Atlanta to two earned runs on two hits and four walks while striking out two across 4 2/3 innings. Walks have been a big issue for Kluber, but note that Baltimore is among the worst teams in the league (25th) at getting to the base on balls. Additionally, only three Orioles hitters have seen Kluber before, for a combined eight at bats. The Orioles counter with 26-year old southpaw Bruce Zimmermann (1-2, 4.57 ERA) who will make just his seventh career major league appearance (sixth start), and he will take on the Yankees for the first time. I can see him getting lit up but a motivated Yankees team. 10/10* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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04-24-21 | Phillies -1.5 v. Rockies | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PHILLIES @ ROCKIES SATURDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BU$TER SIDE Coors Field is known as a hitters park, but the bookmakers are of course also aware and know casual bettors will take the over no matter the line. Note that under is 8-3-1 in Rockies home games with a total of 9 or higher this season. Philadelphia right-hander Aaron Nola (1-1, 2.19 ERA) knocked out 10 through nine scoreless innings of two-hit ball last time out. Rockies' Antonio Senzatela (1-3, 5.40 ERA) has allowed only two runs through 14 innings in his last two starts at Coors. Last season Senzatela posted a 2.10 ERA in five home starts. The two teams combined for nine runs in the series opener on Friday. I think we'll see even fewer runs here in Game 2. I don't see the Rockies getting to Nola, but Phillies should be able to put some runs on the board. I like the visitors to cover the runline. 8/10* play on Philadelphia -1.5. |
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04-13-21 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | 14-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Atlanta Braves look good to bounce back from a pair of setbacks, the most recent a 5-3 loss to Miami on Monday. They had only four hits on the day, but I expect the Braves to get to Pablo Lopez (0-1, 1.54 ERA) tonight. Note that Miami has lost both of Lopez's first two starts in 2021. Atlanta hands the ball to Max Fried (0-0, 9.00 ERA) who is still without a decision, win or loss, despite giving up five runs in two innings at Washington last time out. Atlanta won the game 7-6 in extra innings. The Braves bats are among the best in the league, and Fried is too good of a pitcher to not bounce back from a rough outing. 8* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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04-13-21 | Padres -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The San Diego Padres defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 6-2 on Monday, and I expect them to win big again in Game 2 of the series. Padres' lefty Blake Snell (0-0, 1.86 ERA) has allowed only six hits while recording 16 Ks through his 9 2/3 innings on the mound in 2021. Pittsburgh righty Chad Kuhl (0-1, 6.43 ERA) struggled with his command at Cincinnati last time out and gave up five runs (four earned) on two htis and five walks in four innings of an 11-4 loss. This one is simple, back the team with the better bats and the better pitcher on the runline. 10* play on San Diego Padres -1.5. |
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04-03-21 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | 2-5 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY MLB RUNLINE RIPPER Cleveland righty Zach Plesac has great career numbers against the Tigers. He pitched 7 2/3 shutout innings with 11 strikeouts against Detroit last season after holding them to one run in 10 innings in 2019. Tigers hand the ball to Julio Teheran who was 0-4 with a 10.05 ERA in 10 games with the Angels last season. Teheran is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA in one career appearance against Cleveland. 8* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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10-15-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves | 2-10 | Loss | -139 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
DODGERS VS BRAVES 8* THURSDAY NIGHT RUNLINE RIPPER The Los Angeles Dodgers came flying out of the gates on Wednesday and scored 11 runs in the first inning. They went on cruise control after that to earn a 15-3 victory, and I like the hungry Dodgers to tie the series at two apiece with another win tonight. The Dodgers will have a huge edge in this contest as they hand the ball to left-hander Clayton Kershaw (2-0, 1.93 ERA in the 2020 postseason) who is 5-0 with a 1.78 ERA in 11 career starts against the Braves. Atlanta counters with rookie right-hander Bryse Wilson (1-0, 4.02 ERA) who has just six big-league appearances under his belt, two starts. He owns a 15/9 K/BB ratio over 15 2/3 innings of work and I think the Dodgers will hit him hard and early, just like they did with Kyle Wright yesterday. 8* play on LA Dodgers -1.5. |
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10-14-20 | Dodgers v. Braves +1.5 | 15-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
DODGERS VS BRAVES NLCS GAME 3 RUNLINE RIPPER The Atlanta Braves are just two victories away from a spot in the World Series. They can set up for a sweep of the series with a win tonight, and even if the Braves don't win this one outright I like them to cover the runline. Dodgers southpaw Jose Urias (3-0, 3.27 ERA) posted a 4.67 ERA in four starts outside of Dodger Stadium during the regular season. Urias is a stud, but can he cool down Atlanta's red hot bats? The Braves counter with Kyle Wright (2-4, 5.21 ERA) who was 2-3 with a 5.63 ERA in five away starts during the regular season, but note that he's been red hot lately, allowing only two runs on six hits with 17 strikeouts over his last three starts covering 19 innings of work. Wright is backed up by relievers that have combined for a 2.22 ERA in the playoffs (only a total of seven earned runs conceded, six of them yesterday) while the Dodgers bullpen's ERA of 3.23 is a full run higher than the Braves'. All in all, this is a great price getting a run and a half on the team with all the momentum. 8* play on Atlanta Braves +1.5. |
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10-12-20 | Astros +1.5 v. Rays | 2-4 | Loss | -159 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
ASTROS VS RAYS MLB BOOKIE BU$TER The Tampa Bay Rays opened the ALCS with a 2-1 win. I think Game 2 will be another close one and my numbers say the best value is taking the Houston Astros on the runline. Tampa Bay right-hander Charlie Morton (2-2, 4.74 ERA) is 4-6 with a 6.28 ERA in 11 starts against the Astros who counter with Lance McCullers Jr. (3-3, 3.93 ERA). This will be McCullers first career start against the Rays, which should give him an edge. The Astros bats have been hot in the postseason, they outhit the Rays 9-6 in Sunday's contest. Expect a better payoff for the Astros today. 8* play on Houston Astros +1.5. |
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09-20-20 | Yankees -1.5 v. Red Sox | Top | 2-10 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) - TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER MAJOR WAGER The New York Yankees are riding a season-high 10-game winning streak and they have covered the runline in all but two of those games. They put an 8-0 beating on the Red Sox on Saturday and here they'll get to tee of versus right-hander Tanner Houck (1-0, 0.00 ERA) who will make just his second career start. While Houck did a good job shutting down Miami through seven frames in his debut, taking on the Yankees is just a whole different animal. Rookie right-hander Deivi Garcia (2-1, 3.28 ERA) will take the ball for the Yankees, coming off back-to-back seven inning outings. The Yankees have won three of his previous four starts, covering the runline in all wins. 10* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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09-19-20 | Yankees -1.5 v. Red Sox | Top | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
SATURDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The New York Yankees are riding a nine-game winning streak after coming back from a four-run deficit to defeat Boston in extra innings on Friday. They have covered the runline in all but two of those nine triumphs and I like them to win big Saturday. Yankees southpaw J.A. Happ (1-2, 3.96 ERA) is 12-4 with a 2.95 ERA in 26 outings (25 starts) against the Red Sox. He held them to one run on three hits through 5 2/3 innings of a 4-2 Yankees win back in August. Chris Mazza (1-1, 5.57 ERA) will take the ball for Boston for his fifth career start. He faced the Yankees twice in the Bronx back in August, allowing a total of four runs on nine hits over 5 2/3 innings of work. Boston lost both games, 5-2 and 4-2. 10* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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09-18-20 | Yankees -1.5 v. Red Sox | 6-5 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER - NO BRAINER The New York Yankees are red hot, heading into this contest riding an eight-game winning streak and they have covered the runline in all but one of those games. Additionally, they're going for their 11th consecutive win over the Boston Red Sox. Red Sox left-hander Martin Perez (3-4, 4.33 ERA) is 0-3 with a 5.48 ERA in his four home start on the season and 2/3 with a 9.85 ERA in six career starts against the Yankees. New York left-hander Jordan Montgomery (2-2, 4.76 ERA) is 1-0 with a 3.42 ERA in five career starts against Boston. The Red Sox are just 3-14 SU and 5-12 against the runline as home underdogs. 8* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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09-16-20 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 | 2-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE NO BRAINER The New York Yankees have found their rhythm. They have outscored opponents 48-11 through a six-game winning streak, and I think they'll make it seven on the bounce tonight when hosting Toronto at Yankee Stadium. Yankee right-hander Gerrit Cole (5-3, 3.20 ERA) held Baltimore to two hits through a complete game (seven innings) of a 6-0 win last time out. A much needed solid outing for Cole who had been roughed up in several starts prior to that. Cole is 3-1 with a 2.27 ERA in five home starts on the season while Baltimore has averaged only 3.8 runs per game over its last five games. Tanner Roark (2-1, 5.60 ERA) will toe the slab for Toronto. Roark has allowed 10 runs on 17 hits while serving up five homers over 13 1/3 innings in his last three starts combined. His last outing, he gave up a couple of solo homers in four innings of a 7-2 home loss to this very Yankees team. 8* play on NY Yankees -1.5. |
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09-16-20 | Pirates v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The Cincinnati Reds are riding a four-game winning streak and are going for the sweep of this four-game series on Wednesday. While they are making a series push for a playoff spot, the NL Central-worst Pittsburgh Pirates are heading in the opposite direction, entering this contest off seven consecutive losses. Cincinnati right-hander Luis Castillo (2-5, 3.44 ERA) is coming off a nine-inning complete game while allowing just two hits in a 3-1 win at St. Louis. He owns a 3.00 ERA in nine career starts against the Pirates who hand the ball to J.T. Brubaker. Brubaker (1-1, 5.34 ERA) was lit up for seven runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings of an 8-1 loss to Chicago White Sox last time out. This will be his first start against the Reds, who have scored 26 runs over their last four games. 10* play on Cincinnati Reds. |
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09-15-20 | Dodgers v. Padres +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
TUESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers have split eight meetings on the season. The Friars defeated the Dodgers 7-2 on Monday to move just 1 1/2 games back of the National League West leaders. I like the value we get on the Padres to keep it close and perhaps even edge out an outright win tonight. Dodgers right-hander Tony Gonsolin (0-1, 1.57 ERA) has cooled off since a hot start to the season. The Dodgers have lost each of his last two starts 5-2 with Gonsolin allowing five runs (four earned) on nine hits over 11 innings of work. San Diego counters with Zach Davies (7-2, 2.48 ERA) who has held opponents to 12 runs (eight earned) over 32 2/3 innings through a five-game winning streak. Davies owns a 3-2 career record with a 2.08 ERA against the Dodgers, and I like him to keep the Padres well in this game. 8* play on San Diego Padres -1.5. |
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09-14-20 | Braves -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 1-14 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The Baltimore Orioles have dropped five of the bounce while the Atlanta Braves have won four of their last five. Braves' righty Touki Toussaint (0-1, 7.89 ERA) has admittedly had a poor start to the season, but note that Baltimore has scored just three runs over its last four games. Also, I think Toussaint will get plenty of run support from a motivated Braves lineup looking to make sure the team holds on to their lead in the NL East division. The Orioles on the other hand are pretty much out of the playoff race, sitting second to last in the AL East, 9.5 games behind leading Tampa Bay. Right-hander Jorge Lopez (1-0, 6.38 ERA) is struggling and gave up five runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Mets last time out. Here he'll face an Atlanta side that is hitting .277 against right-handers on the season. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games and 12-2 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Orioles are 2-10 in their last 12 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Atlanta Braves -1.5. |
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09-12-20 | Orioles +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY ORIOLES @ YANKEES MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The New York Yankees swept a doubleheader against the Baltimore Orioles on Friday. Still, they've won only five of eight meetings on the season and I like the value we get backing Baltimore on the runline on Saturday. The Yankees have lost each of left-hander Jordan Montgomery's last three starts. Montgomery (2-2, 5.72 ERA) allowed nine runs (eight earned) over nine innings in those games, and while not many Baltimore hitters have seen Montgomery before, note that they are hitting a solid .275 off southpaws on the season. The Orioles counter with rookie right-hander Dean Kremer (1-0, 1.50 ERA) who will make his second career start. He held the Yankees to one run with seven Ks through six innings of a 5-1 win on September 6. The Yankees offense is inconsistent with designated hitter Giancarlo Stanton on the 10-day IL with a hamstring injury and right fielder Aaron Judge out with a calf injury. 10* play on Baltimore Orioles. |
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09-11-20 | Tigers v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The Detroit Tigers split a couple of games at St. Louis on Thursday. They're in a tough spot here following a double-header, and they'll face a White Sox side which will send its ace Lucas Giolito to the mound. Giolito (4-2, 3.29 ERA) has not been at his best in his last two outings, but note that the White Sox have won his last four starts and covered the runline each time. He faced the Tigers last month and held to three hits through seven scoreless innings of a 9-0 win. The Tigers counter with rookie right-hander Casey Mize (0-1, 6.75 ERA). This will be his fifth career start overall and second against the White Sox. Back on August 19, Mize was tagged wtih three runs on seven hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-3 loss to the White Sox. This is the third time the White Sox are a home favorite of -200 or more this season. They won the previous two games 10-3 and 4-0. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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09-10-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT MLB NO BRAINER Arizona southpaw Madison Bumgarner has solid career numbers against the Dodgers, but he's having an absolutely abysmal year and this will be just his second start since returning from the 10-day injured list with a back injury. Bumgarner (0-4, 8.44 ERA) has made five starts on the season, with the D'backs losing them all, and four of them by two or more runs. Right-hander Dustin May (1-1, 2.88 ERA) will take the ball for the Dodgers. The team has won six of his eight starts on the season, covering the runline in all but one of the wins. Arizona has dropped 10 of its last 11 overall and has covered the runline in only three of those 10 losses. 8* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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09-09-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT MIDWEEK MASSACRE - MLB TOP PLAY The 31-12 Los Angeles Dodgers have a +99 run differential on the season while the 15-28 Arizona Diamondbacks have a -43 run differential. D'Backs righty Taylor Clarke (1-0, 2.96 ERA) gave up three runs on two hits and one walk in three innings of an 11-2 loss to the Dodgers back in August. Clarke owns a weak 27-15 K/BB ratio on the season while Dodgers' left-hander Clayton Kershaw owns a 41-6 K/BB ratio. Kershaw (5-1, 1.50 ERA) has held the D'Backs to four hits over 11 2/3 scoreless innings across two starts on the season and the D'Backs are batting only .213 against southpaws. The Dodgers have won all but one of Kershaw's seven starts in 2020, and they have covered the runline in all those wins. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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09-06-20 | Tigers +1.5 v. Twins | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
TIGERS VS TWINS FREE PICK SEPTEMBER 6, 2020 The Minnesota Twins are riding a five-game winning streak while the Detroit Tigers have dropped four in a row. The last two games of this four-game series have however been one-run games, and I expect the Tigers to keep it close again here in the series finale on Sunday. Tigers 23-year-old righty Casey Mize's (0-1, 6.75 ERA) rookie numbers are not pretty overall, but note his 13 Ks over 10 2/3 innings of work and that the Twins are hitting just .241 (19th) vs. right-handers on the season. Twins left-hander Rich Hill (1-1, 3.94 ERA) gave up two runs on three hits and four walks in 3 1/3 innings of an 8-5 team loss to the White Sox last time out. The Tigers are one of the best teams in the league at hitting southpaws and Miguel Cabrera is 5-for-12 with a homer and three RBIs against Hill. Free pick on Detroit Tigers +1.5. Mike Lundin's premium pick subscribers will see action across MLB & NBA & NHL on Sunday. Sign up for a premium pick subscription to get access to all active plays and more posted plays as they are released. |
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09-05-20 | White Sox -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) - TOP RATED MAJOR WAGER The Chicago White Sox are 10-1 SU (9-2 against the runline) as road favorites in 2020. They defeated the Kansas City Royals 7-4 Friday night and I like the White Sox to get another win Saturday. The Royals are losers of five straight and the team has lost each of tonight's starter, left-hander Kris Bubic's (0-4, 5.46 ERA), six starts on the season. He'll face a White Sox side that has the second-best batting average against left-handers this season (.304). The White Sox counter with Lucas Giolito (3-2, 3.14 ERA) who has recorded 34 Ks through 21 innings of work over his last three starts, all Chicago wins. Giolito owns a 6-2 record and 2.75 ERA in 12 career starts against Kansas City. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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09-04-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT RUNLINE RIPPER MLB TOP PLAY The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 16 of their past 17 home games against the Rockies and Colorado right-hander Antonio Senzatela (3-1, 3.22 ERA) was lit up when the team lost 11-3 to LA here at Dodger Stadium last month. Senzatela is 2-3 with a hideous 7.04 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts) against the Dodgers who counter with right-hander Dustin May (1-1, 2.83 ERA) who held Colorado to one run on two hits in five innings on Aug 22. The Dodgers are 8-2 SU (7-3 against the runline) as home favorites of -200 or more when facing a right-handed starter. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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09-02-20 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY I like the Houston Astros to win against the runline as a sizable home favorite over the Texas Rangers on Wednesday. Texas left-hander Kolby Allard (0-3, 6.50 ERA) has lost each of this last three starts with a total of 12 runs allowed over just nine innings of work. He figures to be in for another tough one here as the Astros have a .282 batting average (7th) off southpaws on the season. Cristian Javier (3-1, 3.77 ERA) will take the ball for Houston. The team has won four of his six starts, and three of those four by at least two runs. He's been lights out home at Minute Maid Park, compiling a 2-0 record with a 1.96 ERA over four outings (three starts). Rangers are 3-12 in their last 15 overall and 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 43-14 in their last 57 games vs. a left-handed starter and 51-17 in their last 68 games as a home favorite. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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08-31-20 | Indians -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
MONDAY MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Cleveland Indians had won four on the bounce before closing out last week with a 7-2 loss at St. Louis. Bounce back time for the Tribe here against the Kansas City Royals who have dropped three of their last four and six of their last eight. Kansas City right-hander Brad Keller (3-1, 2.08 ERA) had three starts of the scoreless variety before getting lit up for five runs in four innings of a 9-3 loss at St. Louis last time out. Are the wheels about to come off after his sensational start to the year? Either way, outdueling Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber (6-0, 1.35 ERA) won't be an easy task, and it's worth noting that Bieber has been even more fierce on the road (1.30 ERA) than at home (1.50 ERA). Bieber punched out 14 through six scoreless innings against the Royals July 24, and I think he'll lead the Tribe to a comfortable win tonight. 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
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08-31-20 | Braves -1.5 v. Red Sox | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB BANKROLL BUILDER The Atlanta Braves dropped two of three against Philadelphia over the weekend, but they closed out the series with a 12-10 win. Here they'll get a shot at Red Sox right-hander Colten Brewer (0-2, 4.57 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on five hits (three homers) in 3 2/3 innings of a 9-1 loss to Toronto last time out. Atlanta counters with Max Fried (5-0, 1.35 ERA). The left-hander leads the National League in ERA and he has allowed just 26 hits in 40 innings over seven starts. Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. 8* play on Atlanta Braves -1.5. |
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08-30-20 | Pirates v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 0 m | Show | |
SUNDAY AFTERNOON MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 16 runs through the first two games of this series. Today they get a chance to tee of versus Pittsburgh left-hander Steven Brault (0-1, 4.80 ERA) who gave up four runs on five hits in three innings last time out. He'll be opposed by Milwaukee right-hander Brandon Woodruff (2-2, 3.19 ERA) who's having a solid year and punched out eight through six innings of two-run ball against Cincinnati last time out. 8* play on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5. |
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08-28-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rangers | 2-6 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Los Angeles Dodgers are a major leagues best 24-9 on the season. They should have no trouble to take care of business here in the opener of a three-game interleague series with the lowly Texas Rangers who are one of the worst teams at 11-19. Dodgers righty Dustin May (1-1, 2.79 ERA) is having a solid season and the team has won five of his six starts. Last time out, May limited the Rockies to one run on two hits over five frames. Texas left-hander Mike Minor (0-5, 6.75 ERA) on the other hand is having a disastrous year. Last time out, Minor gave up four runs on five hits (three homers) in a 4-1 loss at Seattle. 8* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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08-26-20 | Pirates v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
EARLY PIRATES @ WHITE SOX MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Chicago White Sox came through for us as a runline favorite on Tuesday as they opened this three-game series with a 4-0 win. They have now won eight of their last nine and covered the runline each of those wins, and I like the White Sox to do it again today with Dallas left-hander Keuchel on the mound. Keuchel (4-2, 2.65 ERA) is coming off eight innings of one-run ball at Wrigley Field in a game where the White Sox routed the Cubs 10-1. Only a handful of players on the current Pirates roster have any experience against Keuchel who has been excellent at Guaranteed Rate Field this season, giving up only five runs in three home starts. Trevor Williams (1-4, 3.70 ERA) takes the ball for Pittsburgh. The team has lost four of his five starts on the season and failed to cover the runline in each loss. To be fair, Williams has not been all that bad, but the Pirates' bullpen is unreliable at best and has posted a 5.25 ERA on the season. Jose Abreu is 3-for-5 off and Tim Anderson is 2-for-5 with a home run off Williams who has posted a 5.40 ERA in three road starts on the season. Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom of the league for runs scored while the White Sox have a top 10 offense. Let's roll with the white hot White Sox for a second straight day. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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08-25-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Giants | 8-10 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
TUESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The Los Angeles Dodgers are 11-3 SU and 9-5 against the runline as road favorites in 2020. Tonight they hand the ball to Julio Urias (2-0, 2.74 ERA) who has had a solid start to the year, and the left-hander owns a 1.48 ERA in 14 games against the Giants who counter with Johnny Cueto (2-0, 4.35 ERA). Cueto gave up four runs on two hits and three walks in 5 2/3 innings at Dodger Stadium earlier this month. The Giants are riding a six-game winning streak, but the Dodgers are not much worse off having won four in a row and 11 of 12. The Dodgers will be looking to distance themselves from their division rivals, and I expect to see a fully focused LA side in San Francisco tonight. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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08-23-20 | Tigers v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY - RUNLINE RIPPER The Cleveland Indians have won 21 of the last 22 meetings with the Detroit Tigers. They've covered the runline in their two triumphs in this series and I expect another blowout win for the Tribe in the series finale on Sunday. Tigers' southpaw Tarik Skubal (0-1, 18.00 ERA) made his major leagues debut earlier this week, as he gave up four runs on seven hits in only two innings of a 10-4 loss to the Chicago White Sox. Cleveland right-hander Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 3.71 ERA) has struggled with his command in recent outings, but he owns solid career numbers against Detroit (11-8, 3.56 ERA, 29 appearances). 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
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08-21-20 | Rockies v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER This is a big series for both the LA Dodgers and the Colorado Rockies. The Dodgers sit top of the division with the second-place Padres four games back and the Rockies five games back in third place. The Rockies are coming off a 10-8 loss to Houston and have now dropped seven of their last eight games. I think they'll struggle to turn it around tonight as starter Jon Gray (1-2, 5.74 ERA) has allowed 11 runs on 14 hits in 10 1/3 innings over his last two starts. He has posted a 1-4 record with a 6.35 ERA in five career starts at Dodger Stadium. Dodgers' Walker Buehler (0-0, 5.21 ERA) has not had the start to the season he would've wished for either, but the team has won three of his four starts and the Rox's bats are cold. 8* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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08-19-20 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Mariners | 4-6 | Loss | -144 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER After a couple of games in Los Angeles, the Dodgers and the Seattle Mariners will continue their four-game home-and-home set with a pair of games at Seattle. The Dodgers have won seven straight and took both games in LA while the Mariners are losers of eight straight. Seattle hands the ball to Taijuan Walker (1-2, 4.05 ERA) missed almost all of last year following Tommy John surgery. He has had an inconsistent start to the season and has been knocked around by both LA Angels and Houston, and here he'll face arguably the best bats in baseball. Left-hander Julio Urias (2-0, 2.53 ERA) gets the nod for the Dodgers. He has held his opponents to two runs or fewer in each of his four starts on the season, and the Dodgers have won his last three outings by a combined 23 runs. Of the current Seattle lineup, only Dee Gordon has any experience of Urias with two at bats. 8* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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08-18-20 | Mariners v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Seattle Mariners 11-9 on Monday. I think runs will come fast and easy for both teams again here in Game 2 of the series. Mariners' left-hander Marco Gonzales (2-2, 3.97 ERA) gave up four runs on seven hits in five innings at Texas last time out. I don't like his chances of slowing down a Dodgers team that has averaged 8.2 runs per game through a six-game winning streak. The Mariners have struggled to score runs this season but yesterday's outing was promising. Here they get a look at Tony Gonsolin (0-0, 0.00 ERA) who has yet to allow a run this season, but that's over a small sample of 8 2/3 frames. Over is 9-2-1 in Mariners last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Additionally, just like yesterday, I expect the Dodgers to score the majority of the runs and I like them to cover the runline. 8* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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08-17-20 | Mariners v. Dodgers -1.5 | 9-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
LATE MARINERS VS DODGERS NIGHTCAP The Seattle Mariners have dropped six in a row while the LA Dodgers are heading into the new week riding a five-game winning streak. They have covered the runline in all but one of those wins, and I think we'll see an easy Dodgers win tonight. Mariners rookie right-hander Justin Dunn (1-1, 4.85 ERA) is coming off the best outing of his young career, but it's a big difference between holding the Rangers to two runs over six innings and taking on this LA team. Also, note his worrying 8-10 K/BB ratio over 13 innings. The Dodgers counter with right-hander Ross Stripling (3-1, 3.97 ERA) who'll be poised to bounce back from a subpar outing in a loss to San Diego. The team had won Stripling's previous three starts on the season and he owns a solid 20-6 K/BB ratio over 22 2/3 innings of work. 8* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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08-17-20 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Minnesota Twins are a sizable favorite here in the opener of a four-game set against the Kansas City Royals. They are a big favorite for good reasons though, and I expect the Twins to run away with this one fast and easy. Twins righty Matt Wisler (0-1, 1.80 ERA) will make his first "start" of the season. He probably won't eat a lot of innings though as this most likely will be a bullpen game for the Twins. Their bullpen has proven itself more than capable of shutting down opponents in the first third of the season, boasting a 3.43 ERA which ranks seventh in baseball. More importantly though, I don't see the Twins having any trouble putting up runs on the board against KC starter Kris Bubic (0-2, 5.40 ERA). The rookie left-hander will make just his fourth MLB start, and last time out he gave up two homers and was tagged with five runs on seven hits in five innings at Cincinnati. 8* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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08-16-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -124 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Houston Astros are riding a four-game winning streak and had covered the runline in three straight before coming up just short in Saturday's 2-1 win over Seattle. I predict a bigger Astros win today when their top 10 offense get to hit off Justins Sheffield (1-2, 5.27 ERA) who has been roughed up in two of three starts on the season. As for Houston righty Lance McCullers Jr. (2-1, 6.10 ERA), while he's been inconsistent, not that Houston has won three of his four starts. Additionally, he's coming off a really sharp outing when he held San Francisco to one hit over seven scoreless innings of a 6-4 win. 8* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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08-15-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) - TOP RATED MAJOR WAGER ALERT The Houston Astros have come alive with wins in three of their last four games. They've scored boatloads of runs during that stretch, and here they get a chance to tee off versus Nick Margevicius (0-0, 3.24 ERA), who has done the majority of his appearances this season as a reliever. Cristian Javier (1-1, 4.02 ERA) will take the ball for Houston. He was roughed up by Oakland last time out, but had back-to-back solid starts under his belt prior to that. Javier's 16-4 K/BB ratio over 15 2/3 innings is impressive, and I think he'll do enough versus this inconsistent Seattle side. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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08-11-20 | Braves +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
TUESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY I think we are getting terrific value on the Atlanta Braves (11-7) on the runline as an underdog when they visit the New York Yankees (10-6) Tuesday night. The Bronx Bombers are not playing good baseball at the moment, coming off back-to-back losses and dropping four of their last five. Tonight they'll hand the ball to left-hander Jordan Montgomery (1-1, 5.59 ERA) who gave up five runs in four innings of a 5-4 loss to the Phillies last time out. Atlanta starter Touki Toussaint (0-0, 6.08 ERA) is coming off a couple of solid outings since getting lit up in his season debut. Last time out he struck out nine through 6 2/3 innings of three-run ball against Toronto. The Braves are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter and I think they'll get to Montgomery. 8* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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08-08-20 | Orioles v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
SATURDAY NIGHT BALLPARK BLOWOUT TOP PLAY The Washington Nationals musted only four hits when they took an 11-0 beating by the hands of the Baltimore Orioles on Friday. The defending World Series champions have had a disappointing start to the year, but I think they'll bounce back with a big win in Saturday's matchup with the O's. Tom Eshelman (0-0, 2.70 ERA) will take the ball for Baltimore. This will be his first start after tossing 3 1/3 innings out of the bullpen in a 4-0 loss to Miami on August 5. Last season, Eshelman posted a 6.50 ERA through 10 appearances (four starts) covering 36 innings of work. The Nats counter with Austin Voth (0-1, 3.60 ERA) for his second start of the season after giving up three runs (two earned) in five innings against Toronto in his season debut. Last season, Voth posted a solid 3.30 RA through nine outings (eight starts) with 44 Ks through 43 2/3 frames. That includes six innings of one-run ball in an 8-1 Nationals victory over Baltimore. While Voth is far from an ace, this is just a good spot to back the Nats to bring their bats to get the job done following Friday's beatdown. 10* play on Washington Nationals. |
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08-06-20 | Rangers v. A's -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 125 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
RANGERS VS ATHLETICS RUNLINE - SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The Oakland Athletics have scored a total of 22 runs through their last three games. I don't see them having any trouble scoring off Mike Minor (0-2, 5.91 ERA) who was tagged with 16 runs through 16 innings of work against Oakland last season. When Minor has had enough, he'll hand over the ball to the worst bullpen in the American League (6.75 ERA). As for the A's starter, right-hander Mike Fiers (0-0, 5.40 ERA) made four starts against Texas last season and allowed 11 runs on 16 hits through 20 2/3 innings of work. Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 overall and 9-2 in their last 11 games as an underdog. The A's bats are red hot, and I think they're going to put up the majority of the runs in this game and enough to cover the runline. 8* play on Oakland -1.5. |
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08-06-20 | Twins -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TWINS @ PIRATES BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY The Pittsburgh Pirates are going nowhere slow as they enter the finale of this three-game series with a 2-10 record. I think they'll continue to mail it in here against a white hot Minnesota Twins team that has compiled the exact opposite record of 10-2. Twins' righty Kenta Maeda (2-0, 1.64 ERA) has had a terrific start with the Twins, recording 12 strikeouts with just five hits and two runs allowed over 11 innings of work. The Pirates counter with JT Brubaker (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for his first start of the season, in place of Mitch Keller who is on the injured list. It's tough to know where we have Brubaker as a starter. He has tossed five scoreless innings as a reliever on the season, but I don't see him slowing down the Twins' hot bats. Pittsburgh has scored more than three runs only once during its current seven-game skid, and I expect the Twins to win this one comfortably. 10* play on Minnesota Twins -1.5. |
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08-05-20 | Cubs -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY The Chicago Cubs are winners of five on the bounce and eight of their last nine. They have covered the runline in the majority of those triumphs, and I like them to put a big beating on the Kansas City Royals tonight. Royals' right-hander Kris Bubic (0-1, 4.50 ERA) has just major league start under his belt when he gave up three runs (two earned) in four innings of a loss to the White Sox on August 1. He'll be opposed by Cubs' lefty Yu Darvish (1-1, 2.70 ERA) who knocked out seven through six scoreless innings of two-hit ball against Pittsburgh last time out. In five career starts against the Royals, Darvish is 2-1 with a 2.34 ERA. The Cubs are top 10 in the major leagues with their 5.20 runs per game while Royals are in the bottom third with 3.64 rpg. I'm counting on the red hot Cubs obliterate the Royals in this one. 10* play on Chicago Cubs -1.5. |
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08-04-20 | Pirates v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY PIRATES @ TWINS - BREAKFAST BANKROLL BUILDER The Minnesota Twins finished a run short of covering the runline in a 5-4 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday. Tough game as they put themselves in a situation where they had to battle back from a four-run deficit, but I think they'll come through with a more decisive win today. Pittsburgh righty Joe Musgrove (0-2, 4.76 ERA) has allowed three runs through 5 2/3 frames in each of his first two starts in 2020. He has already served up a total of four homers, which could turn into a big issue here against a Twins team that ranks third in the league with 16 home runs on the season. Jose Berrios (0-2, 7.00 ERA) will take the ball for the Twins for his second start. He pitched five innings of two-run ball Thursday in a loss to the Indians and I have no doubt he'll be able to shut down a Pirates team that averages only 3.33 runs per game. 10* play on Minnesota Twins -1.5. |
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08-03-20 | Mets v. Braves +1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER I love the Atlanta Braves in this Monday night matchup with the NY Mets. Sure, Mets' right-hander Jacob deGrom (0-0, 1.64 ERA) is one of the best pitchers in the major leagues, but Mets' bullpen and ranks near the bottom of the leagues with its 6.69 ERA. Braves' righty Mike Soroka (0-0, 1.59 ERA) is also a terrific pitcher, and Atlanta is averaging 5.83 runs per game which can be compared to the Mets' 3.89 runs per game. This is the series finale of a four-game set of which Atlanta has won the first three. While I do like their chances of winning this one outright, I think we're getting an insurance run at a cheap price. 10* play on Atlanta Braves +1.5. |
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08-02-20 | Red Sox v. Yankees -1.5 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
RED SOX @ YANKEES SUNDAY NIGHT MLB MAIN EVENT The New York Yankees got the job done on the runline as our MLB Game of the Week on Saturday. I'm happy to back them to win by at least two balls again in this contest with James Paxton (0-1, 27.00 ERA) on the mound. The left-hander had an ugly season opener where he was tagged with three runs on five hits in just one inning of a 9-2 loss to Washington. I expect a big rebound game here as he is 5-1 with a 2.88 ERA in eight career starts against Boston. Austin Brice (0-0, 7.71 ERA) will take the mound for the Red Sox. The 28-year-old right-hander has made four appearances out of the bullpen and is expected to go only a few innings in this one and then hand over the ball to a Red Sox bullpen that has posted a 4.04 ERA on the season. 8* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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08-02-20 | Rays v. Orioles +1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 112 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY RAYS @ ORIOLES RUNLINE RIPPER The Baltimore Orioles came into the season with little to no expectations, but they've quietly accumulated a 4-3 record following back-to-back wins over the Rays. I think they'll complete the sweep of the three-game series Sunday. Yonny Chirinos (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will take the ball for Tampa Bay while Tommy Milone (0-1, 12.00 ERA) will take the ball for Baltimore. While Milone was knocked around in his season opener, expect a better performance here against a Rays team that has struggled at the plate lately. As for Chirinos 0.00 ERA, it is through just one inning and here he'll face a Baltimore team that has scored 11 runs so far in the series. The Rays have dropped four in a row, and I expect their struggles to continue for at least another game. 8* play on Baltimore Orioles +1.5. |
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08-01-20 | Red Sox v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) - RED SOX @ YANKEES MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The New York Yankees have as expected been one of the best teams in baseball and enter this contest with a 5-1 record. For this one, they'll hand the ball to former ace Masahiro Tanaka (2019: 11-9, 4.45 ERA) for his season debut and I think he should be able to shut down a Red Sox side that has averaged only 3.4 runs per game since putting up 13 in its season opener. The Red Sox hand the ball to Zach Godley (2019: 3-5, 6.39 ERA) who struggled through most of last season. Godley is coming off four scoreless innings of relief versus the New York Mets, but this stacked Yankee lineup is a completely different animal than the Mets. The Yankees won the series opener 5-1 and I think they'll win this one by at least two runs as well. 10* play on the NY Yankees -1.5 |
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07-31-20 | Red Sox v. Yankees -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The New York Yankees are coming off a pair of dominant wins over Baltimore and I think they'll keep rolling here in the opener of a three-game series with the Boston Red Sox. Boston right-hander Ryan Weber (0-1, 14.73 ERA) was lit up for six runs through 3 2/3 innings of work in his season debut. The Yankees counter with left-hander Jordan Montgomery (2019: 0-0, 6.75 ERA) who will make his first start of the season. Injuries have limited Montgomery over the last couple of seasons, but he looked sharp in summer camp and Boston has averaged just 3.8 runs per game since putting up 13 in their season opener. 8* play on New York Yankees -1.5. |
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07-30-20 | Mariners v. Angels -1.5 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY I like the LA Angels to win this one in dominant fashion. Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (0-1, 6.23 ERA) was knocked around for four runs (three earned) in 4 1/3 innings of work against Houston in his season debut. Mike Trout is 12-of-28 off Gonzales and the Angels are 6-1 in their last seven home games vs. a left-handed starter. Dylan Bundy (1-0, 1.35 ERA) takes the ball for the Halos, looking to build on a solid season debut when he held the A's to one run on three hits with seven Ks through 6 2/3 innings of a 4-1 win. Only five players on this Seattle roster has seen Bundy before, and he has held them to a combined .228 batting average over 34 at bats. Additionally, we have seen a total of 29 runs through the first two games and I think we'll see plenty of fireworks in this one as well. 10* play on LA Angels -1.5. |
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07-29-20 | Mariners v. Angels -1.5 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -111 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER TOP PLAY The Los Angeles Angels put a 10-2 beating on the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday. I expect another blowout win for the Halos here in Wednesday's matchup with Andrew Heaney (0-0, 1.93 ERA) on the mound. The left-hander has already made one start this year as he held the A's to one run on two hits and with six Ks in 4 2/3 innings on Opening Day. The Mariners hand the ball to Justin Dunn for his first career big league start. The Mariners are 6-20 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter and I think they'll struggle to solve Heaney in this one. 10* play on LA Angels -1.5. |
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07-27-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
MONDAY AFTERNOON MLB BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY I expect to see an extremely motivated Houston Astros team here after taking a 7-6 defeat to the Seattle Mariners on Sunday. The setback ended a 15-game winning streak in the series, which surely can't sit right with the back-to-back-to-back American League West champions. Tonight, the Astros hand the ball to Josh James (2019: 1-5, 4.70 ERA) who posted a 3.52 ERA in six appearances against Seattle last year. James was dominant as a reliever last year, and I'm sure he'll come in focused to make the most of his opportunity as a starter in 2020. As for the Mariners, they turn to right-hander Kendall Graveman (2018: 1-5, 7.60 ERA) who missed all of 2018 after undergoing Tommy John surgery. I'm counting on the Astros' bats to take full advantage of a rusty Graveman early before he even gets a chance to settle. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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07-26-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -160 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
SUNDAY AFTERNOON MLB RUNLINE RIPPER - EARLY START The Houston Astros are a monstrous favorite over Seattle Mariners Sunday afternoon. It should come as no surprise though after winning 15 straight head-to-head matchups and the first two games of this series by a 15-4 run differential. Today the Astros send out Zack Greinke (2019: 18-5, 2.93 ERA) to the mound. Greinke is 7-1 with a 1.85 ERA in 14 outings (12 starts) versus the Mariners who counter with Yusei Kikuchi (2019: 6-11, 5.46 ERA). The 29-year-old left-hander will make just his second season in the majors. In four career starts against the Astros, Kikuchi is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.40 and I think this will be another tough outing for the Japan native. 8* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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07-26-20 | Orioles v. Red Sox -1.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
RUNLINE RIPPER 3-PACK This is a terrific spot to back the Boston Red Sox as they're coming off an embarrassing 7-2 loss to the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday. Here they'll get to hit off Wade LeBlanc (2019: 6-7, 5.71 ERA) who was tagged with six runs (four earned) on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings in his first career start against Boston last year. The Red Sox counter with Ryan Weber (2019: 2-4, 5.09 ERA) who has put up decent performances in spring training and summer camp, but we're really betting on Boston's bats to do damage off LeBlanc here. 8* play on Boston Red Sox -1.5. |
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07-26-20 | Tigers v. Reds -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
RUNLINE RIPPER 3-PACK I love the Cincinnati Reds to bounce back from a 6-4 loss to Detroit on Saturday. Here they'll come up against Tigers righty Spencer Turnbull (2019: 3-17, 4.61 ERA) who was charged with more losses than any other pitcher last season. This will be his first career start against the Reds who counter with Trevor Bauer (2019: 11-13, 4.48 ERA). While no superstar, Detroit's bats are hardly world-beaters either and I expect the Reds sticks to give Bauer plenty of run support hitting off a struggling Turnbull. 8* play on Cincinnati Reds -1.5. |
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07-25-20 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -123 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
MLB LATE AFTERNOON ANNIHILATOR To say that Cleveland Indians' Mike Clevinger (2019: 13-4, 2.71 ERA) has dominated the Royals throughout his career would be an understatement. The right-hander is 9-0 with a 1.93 ERA in 13 career contests (12 starts) versus KC and here he'll come up against a Royals side that counters with a pitcher who'll make his MLB debut. KC's Brady Singer might be a talented 23-year-old, but he would have to really pull a rabbit out of a hat to outduel Clevinger. I don't see it happening, and I like Cleveland on the RL. 8* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
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07-25-20 | Tigers v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) - SATURDAY NIGHT MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Cincinnati Reds put a 7-1 beating on Detroit in the season opener. I think they'll come through with another big win here in Game 2 of the series on Saturday. Cincinnati right-hander Luis Castillo finished last season with a 15-8 record behind a 3.40 ERA. This will be his first career start against the Tigers, a situation that usually favors the pitcher. As for Detroit, it is expected to be one of the worst teams in the league this season and right-hander Ivan Nova is 5-7 with a 4.24 ERA in 12 career starts versus the Reds. Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite. Tigers are 13-41 in their last 54 games as a road underdog. 10* play on Cincinnati -1.5. |
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07-25-20 | Orioles v. Red Sox -1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY MLB RUNLINE RIPPER - 01:35 PM FIRST PITCH The Boston Red Sox have won 14 of the last 20 meetings with the Baltimore Orioles at Fenway Park following a 13-2 rout in the season opener. I predict another easy Boston win here in Game 2 of the series. Boston left-hander Martin Perez is certainly no superstar and he owns a 5.00 ERA in nine career starts vs. Baltimore, but I think he'll be hyped up for his Red Sox debut. Anyhow, he should be able to outperform Orioles right-hander Alex Cobb who will make his first start since having season-ending surgery since April 2019. What the Red Sox lack on the mound, they more than make for at the plate and I expect their bats to turn this into another one-sided affair. 8* play on Boston Red Sox -1.5. |
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07-24-20 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
MARLINS @ PHILLIES MLB BOOKIE BLA$TER It's hard not to like the Philadelphia Phillies here in their season opener against the Miami Marlins. The visitors hand the ball to Sandy Alcantara who was 6-14 with a 3.88 ERA last season. That he's the best the Marlins have to go with says more about the Fish than about Alcantara who is far from an ace. I have way more trust in Phillies right-hander Aaron Nola (2019: 12-7, 3.87 ERA) and Philadelphia has the better bats by a mile. While they couldn't get things to click last season, they have enough talent to beat Miami. 8* play on Philadelphia Phillies. |
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07-23-20 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
10* |
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10-29-19 | Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S WORLD SERIES GAME 6 BEST BET The home team has yet to win a game in this series with Washington opening the World Series with a couple of wins here at Minute Maid Park before their bats went silent to get outscored 19-3 in three games home at Nationals Park. The Astros are just one game away from clinching the trophy, and I think they'll get it done with a convincing win at their own ballpark. Nats' righty Stephen Strasburg (4-0, 1.93 ERA) is obviously a tremendous pitcher, but he'll have to outduel Justin Verlander (1-3, 4.15 ERA) and the visitors' bullpen has been an issue for them all season long. Verlander's career record in the World Series is nothing to brag about (0-5 with a 5.73 ERA in six starts), but the Nats' bats have gone missing at the worst possible time. Astros are 20-5 in Verlander's last 25 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game and 20-6 in his last 26 starts with 5 days of rest. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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10-22-19 | Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
WORLD SERIES GAME 1 BOOKIE BREAKER *TOP PLAY* I like the Houston Astros to come through with a multiple-run win here in Game 1 of the World Series. Astros righty Gerrit Cole (3-0, 0.40 ERA) has been straight up dominant in the postseason with 32 Ks and just one run allowed covering 22 2/3 frames over his three postseason starts. While Nats' starter Max Scherzer (2-0, 1.80 ERA) has had a strong postseason of his own, I find it more impressive of Cole to shut down American League powerhouses and Houston also has a bullpen advantage. It's also quite possible that Washington's week off since sweeping the NLCS did more harm than good. Astros are 23-3 in Coles last 26 home starts and I'm happy to back the home team on the runline at this price. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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10-08-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Rays | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -137 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED ASTROS @ RAYS SIDE The Tampa Bay Rays fought off elimination with a 10-3 win in Monday's Game 3, but I think they'll come up well short here in Game 4. The Houston Astros watched the Yankees sweep the Twins last night, and they'll be looking to close this series ASAP to avoid a rest disadvantage for the ALCS. Houston ace Justin Verlander (1-0, 0.00 ERA) knocked out eight through seven innings of a 6-2 Astros win in the opener of this series, and he is 6-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 10 career starts at Tropicana Field. As for the Rays, they'll open with Diego Castillo who had little success as an opener during the regular season (6.15 ERA in six outings). The Astros was 12-3 against the runline as a road favorite of -220 or more during the regular season. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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09-26-19 | Indians -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -127 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER Wednesday's 8-3 loss to the Chicago White Sox put the division title out of reach for the Cleveland Indians. They still have a shot at making the postseason, but can not afford another slip-up as they enter Thursday trailing the wild card-leading Rays by two games and Oakland by 1 1/2 games for the second wild card. Tonight Cleveland hands the ball to right-hander Aaron Civale (3-3, 1.82 ERA) who's having a great rookie season. He has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his nine career starts and limited Detroit to one run on four hits in 7 2/3 innings last time out. As for White Sox starter Dylan Cease (4-7, 5.79 ERA), the right-hander has not had quite as an impressive rookie season as Civale, and he was tagged with four runs through 6 2/3 innings when he took on Cleveland earlier on September 3. Every game is a must-win game for the Tribe down the stretch, and I expect a big win for the visitors in this one. 10* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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09-25-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
TOP RATED WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Minnesota Twins could clinch an American League Central Division championship with a win over Detroit and a Cleveland loss to the Chicago White Sox. I expect a motivated Twins team to do their part of the equation. Minnesota rookie right-hander Randy Dobnak (1-1, 2.01 ERA) has made just four career starts and covered 22 1/3 innings overall this season, but he's been solid. The 24-year-old held KC to one run on three hits over 5 1/3 innings his last time out for his first career win. As for Detroit starter Daniel Norris (3-13, 4.58 ERA), the left-hander has worked just three innings in seven consecutive starts. That's likely to be the case here as well, and then he'll hand over the ball to Detroit bullpen that has an ERA that ranks in the bottom third of the major leagues. Tigers are 15-61 in their last 76 games vs. a right-handed starter and 5-21 in Norris' last 26 home starts. Twins are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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09-22-19 | Giants v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
TOP RATED MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY This will be the Atlanta Braves' final home game of the regular season, and I think they'll be amped up and ready put on a show for the home town crowd. San Francisco starter Logan Webb (1-2, 6.51 ERA) has made just six career starts, and the 22-year-old rookie is 0-2 with a 10.22 ERA over his last three. As for Atlanta starter Dallas Keuchel (8-6, 3.63 ERA), the veteran southpaw had allowed just four runs during a 5-0 six-game stretch before being tagged with five runs in a 5-4 loss against Philadelphia last time out. Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter and Keuchel owns a solid 2.72 ERA in nine home starts on the season. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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09-21-19 | Pirates v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED SAT NIGHT RUNLINE The Milwaukee Brewers have won 13 of their last 15 after putting a 10-1 beating on the Pittsburgh Pirates Friday night. Still, every remaining game is a must-win game for the Brewers down the stretch as they look to hang on to one of the wild cards in the National League, and I expect a focused Brew Crew side to get the W here. The Buccs are losers of six straight games and have not covered the runline in any of those contests. Here they'll start 26-year-old rookie right-hander James Marvel (0-2, 9.00 ERA) who has just two career starts under his belt, and his hideous ERA should tell you how they went. As for Milwaukee starter Zach Davies (10-7, 3.70 ERA), the Brewers have won and covered the runline in each of his last four starts with the right-hander allowing only five earned runs through 19 innings of work. 10* play on Milwaukee Brewers. |
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09-20-19 | Nationals -1.5 v. Marlins | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
TGIF MLB 3-PACK The Miami Marlins are averaging 3.76 runs per game on the season, and here they'll face a hot pitcher in Anibal Sanchez (9-8, 3.86 ERA) who is coming off seven scoreless innings against Atlanta. Under is 5-2 in Sanchez's last 7 road starts and he owns a solid 3.31 ERA in three starts against the Marlins this season. As for Miami starter Robert Dugger (0-2, 3.95 ERA), the 24-year-old righty owns a 1.80 ERA in two starts home at Marlins Park on the season and he has three quality starts in five tries overall this season. Miami's season ended a long time ago while the Nats are trying to hold on to one of the wild cards in the National League. While I don't think we'll see a ton of runs scored between the two teams, the Nats will put up enough to win this contest by at least two runs. 8* play on Washington Nationals. |
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09-19-19 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Minnesota Twins' bats took the night off and generated just one run on three hits in a loss to the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday. I expect them to come back in full force here and put a beating on the Kansas City Royals. The Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, and here they'll face a Royals team that is just 27-50 on the road. The visitors hand the ball to left-hander Mike Montgomery (3-9, 4.70 ERA) who has an ugly 7.85 ERA through 36-plus innings of work on the road this season. He has served up 12 homers over those frames, and Minnesota leads the majors with a single-season record 289 home runs ... Minnesota counters with Kyle Gibson (13-7, 4.76 ERA) who will make his second start and third appearance since returning from a 12-day stint on the injured list. Gibson has not been sharp in recent starts, but a matchup with KC could be just what the doctor ordered as he is 2-0 with a 3.26 ERA in three starts against the Royals this season. 8* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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09-18-19 | Royals v. A's -1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
TOP RATED MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY (EARLY START) The Oakland Athletics have plenty on the line down the stretch as they're in a tight race with Cleveland and Tampa Bay for the two wild cards in the American League. I like them to come away with a comfortable win here, facing a KC team with left-hander Danny Duffy on the mound. Duffy (6-6, 4.55 ERA) is coming off a pair of solid outings, but he's still struggled with his command and issued six walks across those two games. Duffy has also had trouble with the long ball, serving up seven homers over his last five starts, and that could spell big trouble here against the A's who are one of the home run happiest team in baseball. As for Oakland starter Homer Bailey (13-8, 4.76 ERA), the 33-year-old righty has been sharp in recent months and held opponents to two or fewer runs in five of his last six starts. Bailey is 3-0 with a 2.93 ERA in five starts at Oakland Coliseum on the season, with Oakland winning four of those contests. 10* play on Oakland Athletics. |
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09-17-19 | Mets -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED TUESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE MAJOR WAGER The Colorado Rockies defeated the NY Mets 9-4 in Monday night's opener of this three-game set. The Mets will now enter Tuesday five games behind the Chicago Cubs for the second wild card in the National League with just 12 games remaining. I do not think they're ready to give up on the season just yet though, particularly not with Marcus Stroman on the mound Tuesday night. Stroman (8-13, 3.35 ERA) is coming off six-plus innings of one-run ball against Arizona and the team has won five of his eight starts since coming over from Toronto. The losses came against Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia x 2, two teams far stronger than the 66-85 Rockies. As for Colorado starter Tim Melville (2-2, 5.16 ERA), the 29-year-old right-hander has just nine major league starts under his belt, and he has allowed 10 runs on 12 hits (five homers over his last five innings here at Coors Field. Mets are 15-5 in their last 20 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 15-6 in their last 21 Tuesday games. Rockies are 1-10 in their last 11 Tuesday games. 10* play on New York Mets. |
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09-17-19 | White Sox v. Twins -1.5 | 8-9 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK Huge edge for the Minnesota Twins here as they continue their quest on locking up the American League Central crown. White Sox left-hander Ross Detwiler (2-5, 6.79 ERA) has an ugly 6.43 ERA in four games (two starts) against the Twins this year while Twins left-hander Martin Perez (10-7, 4.89 ERA) held the White Sox to three runs in six innings in his lone meeting with the team. White Sox are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Twins are 52-20 in their last 72 vs. a team with a losing record and they've won nine of the last 11 encounters with the White Sox here at Target Field. 8* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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09-16-19 | White Sox v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
TOP RATED MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Minnesota Twins look like a good favorite here in the opener of a three-game series with the Chicago White Sox in Minneapolis. Twins righty Jose Berrios (12-8, 3.63 ERA) is coming off seven scoreless innings of two-hit ball in a 5-0 win against Washington. Berrios is 10-2 with a 2.40 ERA in 13 career starts against the White Sox, and he has limited them to 16 runs over 27 innings of work (3.00 ERA) this season. As for White Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez (9-13, 5.35), the right-hander is 1-3 with a 5.30 ERA in six career starts against the Twins. The White Sox have dropped four of their last five games and should not stand much of a chance here against an amped up Twins team who will be looking to take one step closer to the division title. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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09-12-19 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Orioles | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Los Angeles Dodgers have the division wrapped up, but they still can't be happy with yesterday's 7-3 loss to the Baltimore Orioles. I like the Dodgers to bounce back with a big win here on Thursday. Baltimore righty Dylan Bundy (6-13, 5.06 ERA) has been tagged with nine runs (eight earned) on 14 hits through 12 innings of work in his last two starts. He has served up three homers during that stretch and 28 homers in 144 innings on the season, which could spell trouble against the homer happy Dodgers. As for LA starter Rich Hill (4-1, 2.55 ERA), the left-hander will make his first start since June 19, having recovered from a flexor tendon injury. He was 3-0 in his last four starts (all Dodgers wins) with only five runs allowed over 20 innings of work before going on the IL, and the team cover the runline in all those games. In addition to the Dodgers to cover the runline, I also think this contest score will fly over the posted total. 8* play on LA Dodgers. |
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09-12-19 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY (RUNLINE) The Colorado Rockies have won the first two games of this series by identical 2-1 scores, but I think the St. Louis Cardinals look like a solid road favorite here in the finale of a three-game series. The Rockies hand the ball to 29-year old right-hander Tim Melville (2-1, 3.66 ERA) who has made just four starts on the season. He gave up five runs on seven hits in just two innings of an 11-4 loss to Pittsburgh his last time out here at Coors Field. As for Cardinals' starter Miles Mikolas (8-13, 4.25 ERA), the righty has pitched very well lately allowing a total of only five runs on 11 hits while covering 17 innings over his last three starts. 10* play on St. Louis Cardinals. |
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09-12-19 | Yankees -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
WEDNESDAY TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Detroit Tigers claimed Tuesday night's matchup 12-11, but I like the Bronx Bombers to bounce back with a big win here on Wednesday. CC Sabathia (5-8, 4.93 ERA) will come off the injured list and take the ball for the Yankees. He got through a bullpen session on Monday without any issues. "This is way better than I thought," Sabathia told reporters. "I didn't think I was going to get to this point, not with this knee. I think we knew coming into this season, it was going to be a battle. To still be able to have a chance to make starts is all I wanted." Sabathia may not go all that many innings, but we can note that the solid Yankee right-hander Domingo German (17-4, 4.21 ERA) is expected to be the first reliever out of the bullpen. As for Detroit starter Matthew Boyd (8-10, 4.57 ERA), the left-hander has struggled since the All Star break and he has surrendered eight runs on 16 hits (four homers) over 12 1/3 innings of work in his last two starts alone. The Yankees are 8-2 SU (7-3 against the runline) as a favorite of -190 or more and coming off a loss. 10* play on New York Yankees. |
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09-08-19 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY *BIG BET ALERT* The Los Angeles Dodgers have the division more or less wrapped up, but they should be triggered and motivated for this one after getting blanked on Saturday to make it back-to-back losses to the Giants. Dodgers left-hander Julio Urias (4-3, 2.55 ERA) owns a 1.47 ERA over 30 2/3 innings of work versus San Francisco who counters with Dereck Rodriguez. Rodriguez (5-8, 5.15 ERA) has been rocked in previous meetings with the Dodgers and don't let his seven innings of one-run ball (a solo homer) at St. Louis last time out fool you; the 27-year-old righty had allowed 11 runs on 14 hits (four home runs) over just nine innings in his last two starts prior to that. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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09-07-19 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -123 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
SATURDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE *TOP PLAY* The San Francisco stunned the LA Dodgers with a 5-4 win on Friday. I expect the home team to bounce back with a multiple-run triumph on Saturday. Dodgers rookie right-hander Tony Gonsolin (2-1, 2.89 ERA) has made just six major league appearances (five starts), but apart from his debut, they've all been solid. He has allowed just one run on four hits over 11 innings of work over two starts at Dodger Stadium, beating the Cards and the Yankees. As for San Francisco starter Tyler Beede (3-9, 5.61 ERA), the team has lost each of the 26-year-old right-hander's last eight starts and has not covered the runline once during that stretch. Beede himself has surrendered at least three runs in all those starts while not making it through the fifth inning once. 10* play on LA Dodgers. |
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09-06-19 | Tigers v. A's -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -137 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Oakland Athletics are in a dogfight with Tampa Bay and Cleveland for the two wild cards in the American League, so they must look forward to pick up an easy victory against the lowly Detroit Tigers Friday night. Detroit righty Spencer Turnbull (3-14, 4.45 ERA) has lost 10 straight decisions and he has been rocked for 15 runs over 12 2/3 innings in his last two starts alone. He made his first career start against the A's back in May, a game the Tigers lost 17-3 ... As for Oakland starter Homer Bailey (12-8, 4.96 ERA), the right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.36 ERA in four career starts against Detroit and he has held it to just two runs and nine hits in 12 innings on the season. 8* play on Oakland Athletics. |
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09-05-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB BALLPARK BLOWOUT The Tampa Bay Rays look like a solid home favorite over Toronto Blue Jays Thursday night, and I expect the home team to win by at least a couple of runs. Blue Jays righty Trent Thornton (4-9, 5.34 ERA) was tagged with four runs (three earned) over five innings of a 7-4 loss to Houston last time out. Thornton is 0-1 with an 11.12 ERA in three starts against the Rays who counter with Austin Pruitt. While Pruitt (2-0, 4.78 ERA) has made just one start this season, he has also made 10 relief appearances. Pruitt tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win over the Cleveland Indians last Friday, and he is 2-0 with a 4.29 ERA in eight career appearances (one start) against the Blue Jays. Every game matters for the Rays who enters Thursday as the owner of the top wild card in the American League while Toronto is just playing out the season. Let's go with the motivated home side. 8* play on Tampa Bay Rays. |
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09-05-19 | White Sox v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER *MAX PLAY* The Cleveland Indians have won two of the first three games of this series following an 8-6 triumph Wednesday night. They've covered the runline in each of their last nine wins, and I expect an easy win for the Tribe here Thursday afternoon. Cleveland righty Zach Plesac (7-5, 3.61 ERA) is a dominant 5-1 behind a 3.09 ERA home at Progressive Field on the season, and the Indians have won each of his last seven home starts. As for Chicago starter Reynaldo Lopez (8-12, 5.41 ERA), the 25-year-old right-hander was tagged with six runs on as many hits in two-thirds of an inning at Atlanta last time out to fall to 3-7 with an ugly 6.18 ERA in 14 road starts this year. The Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and we can also note Lopez's 5.40 ERA in five career starts against Cleveland. 10* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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09-04-19 | White Sox v. Indians -1.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Chicago White Sox have won eight of 14 meetings this season, but I like the Cleveland Indians to bounce back from a 6-5 loss and not only win but also cover the runline Monday night. Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber (12-7, 3.27 ERA) was 2-3 in August despite a solid 2.83 ERA, and I think his teammates will make sure to give him more support tonight. We can also note his 2.84 ERA in four career starts against the White Sox. Chicago right-handed starter Ivan Nova (9-11, 4.48 ERA) owns a 3-2 mark with a 3.29 ERA in six career encounters with Cleveland, but he has struggled on the road lately and was tagged with five runs (four earned) on eight hits in four innings of a 10-7 loss at Atlanta last time out. Cleveland is in a tough battle in the AL wild-card race and enters this contest just outside of the playoff picture, currently losing the tiebreaker with Oakland. The Indians NEED a win here, and they'll get it. 8* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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09-03-19 | Mariners v. Cubs -1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
TUESDAY NIGHT RUNLINE RIPPER The Chicago Cubs are a sizable home favorite over the Seattle Mariners Tuesday night, but I don't think they'll prove well worth the money as they shouldn't have any trouble to run up the score. Mariners right-hander Felix Hernandez (1-4, 6.02 ERA) was tagged with four runs on eight hits in six innings here at Wrigley Field back in April, and he is still without a win against the club throughout his career. As for Cubs starter Jon Lester (11-9, 4.36 ERA), the left-hander struck out eight through seven scoreless frames in an 11-0 win at Seattle back in May. The Mariners are dead last in the American League West standings while the Cubs are trying to hunt down the Cardinals who sit top of the NL Central standings, or at the very least hold on to a wild card. The motivation factor certainly favors the home team. Let's roll with the Cubbies. 8* play on Chicago Cubs. |
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09-03-19 | Blue Jays v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
TUESDAY NIGHT MLB BIG HITTER *TOP PLAY* The Atlanta Braves made it five wins in a row (straight up and against the runline) with a 6-3 triumph over the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday. They've scored 41 runs during that stretch and look good to pick up another easy win here in the finale of this two-game series. Braves righty Mike Foltynewicz (4-5, 5.59 ERA) is not having a great year, but the Braves have won each of his last eight starts and Foltynewicz went 2-0 with a 3.90 ERA in five starts in August. He closed out the month with 4-plus innings of two-run ball in a 9-4 win at Toronto. As for Toronto's pitching situation, Wilmer Font (3-3, 4.22 ERA) will most likely serve as the opener, but who will follow is still unclear. T.J. Zeuch will follow Font as the bulk reliever, and I don't think the red hot Braves will have any trouble producing runs against anyone from the Jays' pitching staff. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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09-02-19 | White Sox v. Indians -1.5 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB MASSACRE The Cleveland Indians sit just one-half game ahead of Oakland for the second wild card in the American League, so they're no doubt in desperate need of stringing a couple of wins together after getting swept in three games at Tampa Bay over the weekend. Here the Tribe will host a Chicago White Sox team coming off six straight losses, and the visitors' starter Ross Detwiler (2-4, 6.45 ERA) has struggled all season long. Detwiler has been particularly poor on the road (0-2, 11.05 ERA) and Cleveland is a solid 41-27 home at Progressive Field. As for Cleveland starter Aaron Civale (2-3, 1.96 ERA), he may have made just six big league starts, but the 24-year-old rookie's earned run average speaks for itself. We can also note his 30/6 K/BB ratio over 36-plus innings of work. Cleveland took an 8-2 beating at Tampa Bay on Sunday, but the team is 25-10 SU (22-13 against the runline) following a loss where it scored two or fewer runs in 2019. 8* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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09-02-19 | Blue Jays v. Braves -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY DAYTIME DESTROYER (RUNLINE) The Atlanta Braves look good to pick up an easy win as they host the Toronto Blue Jays Monday afternoon. The Jays were no-hit by the Houston Astros' Justin Verlander on Sunday, and here they'll come up against Braves' righty Mike Soroka (10-3, 2.44) who has one of the lowest ERAs in baseball this year. Soroka held Toronto to two runs in six innings last Tuesday, a game the Braves still somehow managed to lose 3-1. I expect his teammates to make up for it and then some today against Jacob Waguespack (4-2, 3.93 ERA) who was tagged with five runs (three earned) on six hits over three innings against the Braves last Wednesday. Atlanta is a red hot 12-2 in its past 14 contests and has covered the runline in three of its last four as a home favorite of -200 or larger. 8* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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09-02-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -137 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
EARLY MLB PLAY OF THE DAY *MAX BET* The Minnesota Twins put an 8-3 beating on the Detroit Tigers on Sunday, and I think they'll come through with another blowout win here in the finale of this four-game series Monday afternoon. Twins righty Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.55 ERA) is 3-0 with an outstanding 1.93 ERA in four career outings at Comerica Park and the Twins are 6-0 in his last six starts versus the Tigers. Detroit right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (1-9, 6.24 ERA) meanwhile is 0-6 with a 7.38 ERA in eight home starts on the season and 4-5 with a 6.89 ERA in 10 career starts against the Twins. They smacked him around for five runs on eight hits in just three innings back in April ... The Twins are 9-3 against the runline as a road favorite of -170 or larger this season. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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09-01-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S SUNDAY AFTERNOON RUNLINE *TOP PLAY* The Minnesota Twins saw their six-game winning streak come to an end with a 10-7 loss here at Detroit Tigers on Saturday. They're 7-1 SU (6-2 against the runline) as a -200 favorite or more off a loss this season, and I have no doubt they'll bounce back with an easy win here. The Twins have won five of right-hander Michael Pineda's last six starts, covering the runline in each of the last four wins. Pineda (10-5, 4.16 ERA) is coming off five innings of one-run ball at Chicago White Sox and has allowed three or fewer runs in eight of his last nine appearances. As for Tigers starter Spencer Turnbull (3-13, 4.18 ERA), the team has lost his last 12 starts, 11 of the losses by at least two runs. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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08-31-19 | White Sox v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 5-11 | Win | 105 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
MLB RUNLINE RIPPER *TOP PLAY* The Atlanta Braves came through with a 10-7 triumph over the Chicago White Sox Friday night. I expect this to be another easy win for the red hot Braves who are 9-2 in their last 11 games. For this one Atlanta hands the ball to Dallas Keuchel (5-5, 3.78 ERA). He has allowed just one run in 19 innings of work over his last three starts overall and the 31-year-old left-hander is 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA in six home starts on the season. As for Chicago starter Reynaldo Lopez (8-11, 5.08 ERA), he is 3-6 with a 5.48 ERA in 13 road starts on the season. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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08-30-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Blue Jays | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Houston Astros are coming off an 8-2 homestand, and should be well up for this trip to Toronto looking to better their recent road record (1-5 last six). The Astros hand the ball to left-hander Wade Miley (13-4, 3.13 ERA) who is having a great year and an undefeated 7-0 over his last 12 starts. Miley owns a pedestrian 4.47 ERA in 10 career starts against the Blue Jays, but this will be the first matchup of the season. As for Toronto right-hander Trent Thornton (4-8, 5.34 ERA), Toronto has lost his last four starts and he was tagged with four runs (three earned) on nine hits over four innings of a 7-4 loss at Seattle last time out. Thornton tossed 6 2/3 shutout innings against Houston on June 16, but note his ugly 6.90 ERA in seven starts since the All Star break. 8* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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08-29-19 | A's -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE *PLAY OF THE DAY* The Kansas City Royals earned a come-from-behind 6-4 win Wednesday, a big blow for the Oakland Athletics who are trying to hold on the second wild card in the American League. I think the motivated Athletics look primed to bounce back and win the series finale Thursday afternoon. The pitching matchup is in massive favor of the visitors. Note that Oakland righty Chris Bassitt (9-5, 3.59 ERA) is 2-0 with a 2.05 ERA in his past five starts while KC righty Glenn Sparkman (3-9, 5.52 ERA) has gone 0-4 with a 7.50 ERA in his past seven starts. Royals are 3-13 in Sparkman's last 16 starts and 2-9 in their last 11 home games. The A's are 21-5 in their last 26 games following a loss and 10-3 in the last 13 meetings with the Royals in Kansas City. 10* play on Oakland Athletics. |
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08-29-19 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY MLB *DAYTIME DESTROYER* The Cleveland Indians look to continue their domination of the Detroit Tigers as they go for the sweep of this three-game series Thursday afternoon. Cleveland righty Mike Clevinger has held opponents to two or fewer runs in eight of his last 10 starts. The Tribe won eight of those, covering the runline in all wins. Clevinger struck out 12 while limiting Detroit to one run in six innings of a 7-2 Cleveland win on July 17. As for Tigers' starter Daniel Norris (3-10, 4.70 ERA), the 26-year-old southpaw is coming off a pair of solid outings, but he's 1-6 with a 5.29 ERA home at Comerica Park on the season. We can also note that Cleveland has smacked him around for 11 runs on 16 hits over 12 2/3 frames in 2019. 8* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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08-28-19 | Yankees -1.5 v. Mariners | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The New York Yankees put a 7-0 beating on the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday, and I expect another easy win for the Bronx Bombers in the finale of this three-game series Wednesday afternoon. The Yankees are a perfect 5-0 in left-hander James Paxton's (10-6, 4.43 ERA) last five starts and covered the runline in all but one of those contests. This will be Paxton's first career start against the Mariners, the team he spent his first six seasons of his career with. As for Seattle starter Justus Sheffield (0-0, 6.43 ERA), this will be his second career start and fifth major-league appearance. Sheffield was tagged with three runs on seven hits and three walks in just four innings against Toronto on August 24, and this could get ugly as he will face a Yankees team that has scored 28 runs over its last five games. 8* play on NY Yankees -1.5. |
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08-27-19 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 10-1 | Win | 105 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
100% PERFECT TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Cleveland Indians are battling for on the American League Wild Cards and need to get back on track ASAP following a 9-8 loss to Kansas City on Monday. The Indians have won 12 of 13 matchups with the Tigers in 2019 and Detroit righty Spencer Turnbull (3-12, 4.05 ERA) is 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA in four starts versus the Tribe this season. As for Cleveland starter Adam Plutko (5-3, 4.54 ERA), the right-hander has an ugly 5.56 ERA in two starts against Detroit this year, but he's had a solid month (3.86 ERA in four starts) and the team is 11-4 in Plutko's last 15 starts. The Indians are 9-4 in their last 13 games following an off day and 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss. The Tigers are 0-7 in their last 7 games following an off day and 1-10 in Turnbull's last 11 home starts. 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
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08-25-19 | Angels v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
100% PERFECT TOP RATED MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros came through with a 5-2 win over the LA Angels Saturday night. They've won six of their last seven straight up and covered the runline in four of those victories. Angels' righty Jaime Barria (4-6, 6.35 ERA) is 0-2 with a monstrous 9.00 ERA in eight appearances (six starts) on the road in 2019. As for Houston starter Framber Valdez (3-6, 5.58 ERA), the left-hander had been roughed up over several starts before getting sent down to Triple-A Round Rock to recalibrate. The 25-year-old Dominican should be eager to prove himself here, and we can note that his 4.23 ERA home at Minute Maid Park is significantly better than his 7.25 ERA away from home. Houston is one of the absolute best hitting teams in baseball and should have no trouble to bail out Valdez if he can't deliver the goods. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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08-24-19 | Angels v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
100% PERFECT TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros look good to pick up an easy win against the Los Angeles Angels with a pair of southpaws taking the mound Saturday night. Note that Houston ranks third in baseball with a .285 batting average against left-handers this year while the Angels are among the worst, hitting just .242 as. Angels left-hander Dillon Peters (3-1, 3.92 ERA) has a 4.13 ERA in five appearances (three starts) on the road this season. His last start away from home was an ugly one, as Peters was five runs (four earned) on seven hits and four walks in four innings of an 8-7 team loss at Texas on August 19. As for Houston starter Wade Miley (12-4, 3.18 ERA), the veteran southpaw is 6-1 with a dominant 2.25 ERA in 11 starts home at Minute maid Park on the season. Additionally, Miley is 2-0 with a 2.28 ERA in two starts against the Halos in 2019. The Astros have been a profitable bet against the runline as large home favorites all season, and I like them to get the job done here. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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08-23-19 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The Cleveland Indians head home to Progressive Field with a chip on their shoulder after opening the week with an 0-3 trip to New York. While they couldn't beat the Mets at Citi Field, the Tribe should come through with an easy win here against the lowly Kansas City Royals. KC right-hander Jakob Junis (8-11, 4.78 ERA) is 1-3 with an ugly 6.52 ERA in four starts against the Indians this season while Cleveland righty Zach Plesac (6-4, 3.53 ERA) has held the Royals to four earned runs over 15 2/3 innings of work. We can also note that Cleveland is 22-10 over its last 32 games overall and 22-6 in its last 28 after scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game (it was shut out Thursday night). 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |