Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-29-21 | Hofstra v. William & Mary +14.5 | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-29-21 | Seton Hall +115 v. Providence | 65-70 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Home teams as an underdog or pick (PROVIDENCE) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, playing with 7 or more days rest are 4-23 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. |
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12-29-21 | LSU v. Auburn -4 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LSU) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 7 or more consecutive wins are 3-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Auburn to cover |
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12-29-21 | Long Island v. Sacred Heart -2.5 | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB road team (LONG ISLAND) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 12-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-29-21 | Missouri +20.5 v. Kentucky | 56-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KENTUCKY is 1-11 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.KENTUCKY is 0-9 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite over the last 3 seasons.KENTUCKY is 10-23 ATS ( L/33 in home games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more since 1997. |
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12-29-21 | DePaul v. Butler -120 | 59-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-29-21 | Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 139.5 | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-28-21 | Yale v. St. Mary's -12.5 | 60-87 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. St.Mary's has been dominant at home so far this season going 8-0 with the average ppg diff clicking in at 18.5 ppg. Yale is just 2-5 on the season away, and a long way from home, in a unfriendly environment and at a big disadvantage vs a side that my projections estimate is the superior side. Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (YALE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 154-231 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Marys to cover |
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12-28-21 | Yale v. St. Mary's UNDER 130 | 60-87 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-28-21 | Cavs v. Pelicans +6 | 104-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have been playing better ball of late and just had a 4 game win streak end. Their chances of pulling off an upset are not particularly strong here as they face a superior Cavaliers side, but getting us the cover is however, a strong ;possibility based on their current momentum and team chemistry. Ill also add to that that this is the NBA and upsets are not out of the norm. NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-37 SU L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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12-28-21 | Lakers -5 v. Rockets | 132-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Lakers are in a big time slump after suffering 5 straight losses, and are now very angry and in desperation mode as the media and management are becoming restless. Covid protocols have had an effect but overall team energy seems low. However, considering their predicament I expect the Lakers to dig deep here tonight and take out their frustrations on a Houston side that despite showing some signs of forward momentum are now slumping and back to playing a undisciplined form of hoops. Advantage Lakers. HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more over the last 2 season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 16.1 ppg. HOUSTON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - off a upset loss as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest are 90-49 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 31-9 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Lakers to cover |
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12-28-21 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 210.5 | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Raptors have gone over in 4 straight games, as they are playing a more wide open type of hoops at the moment, and as a result the defensive efforts have looked ugly as was the case last time out as they allowed 144 points in a loss. The Raptors now rank 20th overall in defensive rating at (110.3) and Im betting that wont get much better tonight. Meanwhile, the Sixers despite of their lower offensive output averages, matchup well here vs the Dinos D that is in a down mode at the moment and Im expecting they hit above their season averages. With that said Im expecting a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 5-0-2 in 76ers last 7 games as a road favorite.Over is 4-1-1 in 76ers last 6 road games. Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games as an underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.1 ppg. Play OVER |
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12-27-21 | Grizzlies v. Suns OVER 220.5 | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Memphis is on back to back games here tonight and Im betting they will be on tired legs and not ready to play hardcore defense against a Suns side that did not play well on Christmas day and will come out here spitting bullets in redemption mode. With that said, look for the Suns 4th best league offense, to explode in run and and gun style behind the 6th fastest pace. This will force the Grizzlies 5th ranked offense into having to open up or be blown off the court which will result in a combined score that eclipses this offered total. Over is 8-3 in Grizzlies last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MEMPHIS is 11-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.4 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER in road games off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 243.6 ppg scored. ( they smashed Sacramento last night by a 127-102 count) PHOENIX is 28-14 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 226.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-27-21 | Jazz -6.5 v. Spurs | 110-104 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Jazz have revenge on board for a home loss suffered to the Spurs back on Dec 17th by a 128-126 count and now Im expecting they get their redemption. Previous to the above mentioned defeat the Jazz had won the L/3 meetings in this series by DDs. UTAH is 37-20 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 1-12 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-18 ATS in home games off a home win over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 7-23 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 12-25 ATS against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 18-50 ATS L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-11 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 44-19 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Jazz are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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12-26-21 | Nuggets v. Clippers +4.5 | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Clippers are short handed because of injuries and covid protocols , but still have enough talent to put up a fight here vs the Nuggets and even possibly pull off the underdog victory SU. The Clippers are on three days rest and pulled off a victory as road pups at Sacramento before their rest and must not be underestimated. Note: Denver recently just lost to Oklahoma city and imploded against Charlotte last time out blowing a DD lead going into the final quarter and losing. Clippers are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Clippers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. LA CLIPPERS are 47-33 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 41-89 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clippers to cover |
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12-26-21 | Pacers v. Bulls OVER 217.5 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Indiana is banged up with key players not playing or less than 100%, but still have enough bench strength to be aggressive offensively tonight vs a Chicago side that is also short handed because of covid protocols and a key injury to Zach Lavine. The Bulls are also still capable of attacking but what seems missing of late from the Bulls is their ability to defend as they have allowed 107 or more points in 8 of their L/9 games, including 115, 118, 110, 118 points in their L/4 overall. With that said my projections estimate this line should be closer to 220 giving us a full possession of value to the OVER. Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games.Over is 10-4 in Pacers last 14 overall. CHICAGO is 26-13 OVER after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. Donovan is 113-79 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached with a combined average of 218.7 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 57-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 70-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Play OVER |
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12-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Kings +5 | 127-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Sacramento enters this home game well rested and fresh after 3 days off from the hardwood and Im betting they will present some problems in revenge mode for a Memphis side that has now lost three straight games. Note: Kings are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Memphis put a beatdown, on a tired looking Kings team on the 17th of December which will have the Kings motivated for redemption . Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Play on Sacramento Kings |
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12-26-21 | 76ers v. Wizards +3.5 | 117-96 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The 76ers are consistently weak favorites as is evident by their 0-9 ATS mark in their last 9 games as a favorite and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite. I know the Wizards maybe without Bradley Beal tonight, but the line justification is off according to me making getting points a viable investment option. PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 35-13 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Washington Wizards to cover |
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12-25-21 | Nets v. Lakers UNDER 238 | 122-115 | Win | 100 | 36 h 39 m | Show | |
Covid protocols and injuries will effect this game greatly especially from a offensive standpoint, which Im betting results in a much lower scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. Regardless of GLeague signings Im betting cohesiv-ness will be an issue. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 30-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - being called for 21 or less fouls/game on the season, on Saturday games are 44-18 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-25-21 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 215 | 116-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Im betting on a hard fought play off type defensive affair tonight between two top tier opponents. The Suns are ranked 4th in ppg allowed defense, and the Warriors rank 1st in ppg defense in the league. Golden states road games have seen a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored while the Suns home tilts have seen a combined average of 216.1 ppg go on the board. Considering where this Totals line offering is at and basic math, a combined average score of 212 might be expected , which is what my projections have estimated. Of course its never easy estimating shooting efficiency and vise versa defensive efficiency , but usual average can be considered as well as the importance of the game from a one or more angles (seeding) and the types of systems both sides use. Both have been highly proficient at controlling offenses, and in a tilt that you can bet will be physical to an extent. Note: Matchups with early start times (6 p.m. ET or before) for teams in the Pacific Division have gone 151-107-1 under dating back to the 2005-2006 season for a 58% conversion rate. These teams have gone under in 8 of their L/9 meetings with the two most recent clashes seeing a combined average of 200 and 214 ppg go on the score board. PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 209.8 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 15-3 UNDER L/18 in home games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 210.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 10-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 12-0 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 209.5 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PP are 168-94 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-25-21 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Boston has played Milwaukee tough in the recent past and covered 7 straight meetings including the L/3 here in Wisconsin.note: Celtics are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and despite of some key missing players (ie Horford and Williams) they still have enough bench strength to hang here and get us the. cover. Boston grabbed a 122-113 overtime win at home versus Milwaukee in the teams' first meeting on Nov. 12. Take the points with the Celtics to cover |
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12-23-21 | Spurs v. Lakers | 138-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers have lost 3 straight games, and are short handed, but with Russell Westbrook and LeBron James available to play tonight, Im betting there is still enough talent to put forward a desperate effort from the home side, and subsequent win. -NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are 4-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. (Lakers won both meetings this season home and away and the Spurs are off a 116-92 win vs the Clippers last time out, which has them qualifying on this long term trend) Note: The Spurs are 0-4 ATS L/5 off a ATS win. NBA Home favorites (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 326-223 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate.
Play on the LA Lakers to win |
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12-23-21 | BYU -5 v. Vanderbilt | 67-69 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BYU is 8-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-23-21 | Hornets v. Nuggets -2.5 | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Charlotte enters this game exhausted as this is their 6th straight road game. Now on tired legs and playing in the Mile High city I can see the Hornets high octane attack sputtering and their usual lack of defence imploding. Meanwhile, Denver is off loss last time out, but this team under Malone does not take losing lightly as is evident by their 5-0 ATS mark in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Advantage Nuggets. Hornets are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Hornets are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Hornets are 22-47 ATS in their last 69 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. CHARLOTTE is 30-54 ATS in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996. DENVER is 54-31 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents since 1996. NBA team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 10-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite are 22-55 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate. Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver. |
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12-23-21 | Wizards -1 v. Knicks | 124-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
NYK and Washington have put forward disappointing seasons so far and both are operating at a low level of consistency. However according to my power rankings the Wizards matchup well against a short handed Knicks side that is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. as well as 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season. NBA Road teams (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Wizards are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in New York. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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12-23-21 | Hawks +9.5 v. 76ers | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The last time these teams met the Sixers took a 98-96 victory back on Dec 3rd and Im betting this tilt will also be fairly close as both play this game short handed because of COVID. Trae Young is expected back tonight for the Hawks, but even if he does not play this line still projects out to be slightly bloated. McMillan is 16-5 ATS off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite in all games he has coached. PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS off a road win this season. PHILADELPHIA is 7-15 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. NBA Road teams (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 45-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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12-23-21 | Fresno State +1.5 v. Weber State | 69-43 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-23-21 | Liberty +2.5 v. Stanford | 76-79 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Haase is 6-16 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games he has coached since 1997. Cardinal are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. |
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12-22-21 | San Diego +9 v. UNLV | 57-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UNLV is 0-7 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-22-21 | Magic +8.5 v. Hawks | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Atlanta is expected to be without Trae Young, the second-leading scorer in the NBA (27.3 points) which will effect the Hawks offensive flow. Meanwhile, Orlando played with a short roster on Saturday in an upset victory vs the Brooklyn Nets, which had 10 players in COVID protocol. The Magic continue to be short handed , but have momentum coming into this tilt. If this contest is not cancelled Im betting this game is much closer than anticipated. Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games. NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - struggling team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or better on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 33-9 ATS L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 44-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.
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12-22-21 | Middle Tennessee v. Chattanooga OVER 139 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-22-21 | Clemson v. Virginia UNDER 120 | 67-50 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-21-21 | Pacers v. Heat +1.5 | 96-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Jimmy Butler is out for Miami tonight, but the Heat according to my power rankings have enough depth to deal with a Pacers team that is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this seasons. Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 26-2 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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12-21-21 | Fresno State v. Utah UNDER 135 | 50-55 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FRESNO ST is 9-2 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 125.5 ppg scored.FRESNO ST is 16-6 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 127 ppg scored. UTAH is 61-37 L/98 UNDER versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game with a combined average of 123.8 ppg scored. |
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12-21-21 | Davidson v. Alabama UNDER 149 | 79-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. DAVIDSON is 32-13 UNDER versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season with a combined average of 142.5 ppg scored. |
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12-21-21 | Manhattan v. The Citadel -2 | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-20-21 | Hornets +11.5 v. Jazz | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
This is Charlottes 5th straight road game and are on back to back games after playing last night in Phoenix in a DD loss . However, the game yesterday seemed like a defacto game off for the run and gun Hornets, and tonight they could easily be more energized after their sleepy effort. Meanwhile, the Jazz have lost two straight, against Washington and San Antonio teams they should have beat. Hey every team slumps from time to time especially sides like the Jazz who go all out from start to finish. Watching exerts of their above mentioned losses you could see tired leg syndrome in full effect and tonight covering against the Hornets may not be an easy proposition with the points here looking golden. CHARLOTTE is 26-14 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 7-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs of 10 or more points (CHARLOTTE) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 35-12 ATS L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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12-20-21 | UMKC v. South Dakota State -12 | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. S DAKOTA ST is 7-0 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 15 or less free throws/game since 1997 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.6 ppg. S DAKOTA ST is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.5 ppg. |
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12-20-21 | Oral Roberts -3 v. South Dakota | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ORAL ROBERTS is 9-1 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-20-21 | Western Carolina v. Georgia -10 | 79-85 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-19-21 | Hornets v. Suns -7.5 | 106-137 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
The Suns are expected to have Devon Booker back in the lineup tonight for this tilt against the high energy run and gun Charlotte Hornets. From my betting perspective a team like Charlotte that is all offense and no defense, will have a problem with. a team like the Suns that can play a extremely strong two way game ranking 6th in ppg offense and 4th in ppg defense. With this being the Hornets 4th straight road game, Im betting their tired legs will not support them in this spot play. Hornets are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog.Hornets are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-42 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.1 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. Play on Phoenix Suns |
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12-19-21 | San Francisco v. Arizona State +3 | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SF has won 10 straight games , but all good and bad runs eventually come to an end. Arizona State has also been playing at high level in their L/3 games defeating Creighton, and Oregon in two of those tilts. Arizona State is 3-0 SU/ATS in this series dating back 23 seasons, and 2-0 SU/ATS at home. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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12-18-21 | Baylor v. Oregon +8 | 78-70 | Push | 0 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Baylor is off a huge win vs Villanova last time out and will now be in a letdown state , making them vulnerable to a less than dominating performance in this spot play. OREGON is 11-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Altman is 26-12 ATS in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game in all games he has coached since 1997. |
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12-18-21 | Cavs v. Bucks UNDER 214.5 | 119-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Bucks are expected to play without Rick Middleton (knee) and star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo tonight vs Cleveland because of covid protocol. The Bucks usually play top tier teams differently than lower tier sides, as they pay special attention to defense out of transition. With these star athletes out of the lineup tonight for the Bucks, their emphasis on a strong defensive game will become even more paramount. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers calling card all season long has been a strong brand of defensive hoops, ranking 2nd in ppg allowed and 3rd in overall defensive rating. **(If Middleton does play Im betting he will see limited action)** The Bucks took out the Cavs a week ago by a 112-104 score. Note: Bickerstaff is 21-9 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of CLEVELAND with a combined average of 209.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 games as a favorite. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. MILWAUKEE is 19-5 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games as a home underdog. CLEVELAND is 14-3 UNDER after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 38-14 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-18-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Celtics | 107-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The Celtics worked hard to compete with the Warriors last night, after falling behind by DD in the first half, and now on tired legs and in a letdown spot in a back to back situation are at a disadvantage vs a hungry Knicks side that has won 8 of 14 away games. Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. BOSTON is 5-22 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 6-17 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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12-18-21 | Buffalo v. Canisius +15.5 | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CANISIUS is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons.Witherspoon is 17-3 ATS ( after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher in all games he has coached since 1997. Whitesell is 10-25 ATS off an upset win as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997 (Won at W.Kentucky last time out) |
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12-18-21 | West Virginia +3 v. UAB | 65-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-18-21 | North Texas +3.5 v. Wichita State | 62-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. N TEXAS is 14-4 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.McCasland is 8-1 ATS in road games after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half as the coach of N TEXAS. |
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12-18-21 | Marquette +10.5 v. Xavier | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Smart is 12-2 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points in all games he has coached since 1997. NBA Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (XAVIER) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 97-156 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate. |
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12-18-21 | Indiana -3.5 v. Notre Dame | 64-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-18-21 | Rockets +1.5 v. Pistons | 116-107 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
The Rockets are currently showing alot more upward momentum than a Pistons side that has lost 13 straight games. The Road team has won the L/3 meetings in this series. Rockets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Rockets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Pistons are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (HOUSTON) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss are 25-5 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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12-17-21 | Spurs v. Jazz -11.5 | 128-126 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have won 8 straight games and 7 of those tilts were by DD deficits. Now the lines-makers want us to lay hefty lumber again. Im not against taking big favs if the situation warrants, and this is one of those times as San Antonio D has looked very inconsistent of late allowing more than 117 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. Considering the kind of groove the Jazz are in and their No1 ranking in ppg offense in the league does warrant this DD line . Also from a SRS perspective: Utah ranks No.1 in the league with a 10.39 mark, while San Antonio ranks 20th with a -1.31 mark. Which gives us a 11.5 point divergence without taking into consideration home court advantage. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 30-1 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.5 ppg. Play on Utah Jazz to cover |
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12-17-21 | San Jose State v. Portland UNDER 144 | 90-78 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-17-21 | UT-Rio Grande Valley +3.5 v. Texas-San Antonio | 68-50 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB home team (TX-SAN ANTONIO) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are 25-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UT Rio Grande Valley |
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12-17-21 | Warriors -3 v. Celtics | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Golden State comes into this game with the NBA's best record at 23-5 SU including 9-3 on the road. After holding New York to 36.1 % shooting (30 of 83), the Warriors are the only team that has not allowed an opponent to shoot 50 % or better from the floor this season and despite of being on the road in a hostile environment matchup very well vs the inconsistent shooting Celtics that have gone down hill defensively of late. GOLDEN STATE is 11-1 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 44-5 L/25 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. Play on Golden State to cover |
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12-17-21 | Warriors v. Celtics OVER 213 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Celtics have struggled defensively of late, allowing an average of 112.4 ppg in their L/5 overall, via a opposition 47% FG conversion rate. Thats not good from to be in vs a Golden State side that averages 111.8 ppg this season on offense while ranking 3rd overall in the league and 9th in pace. If Boston has any chance of victory here tonight, they will have to be aggressive offensively against a strong defensive side, which Im betting sees alot of action in transition and speedier pace than expected. Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 34-9 OVER L/ 5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-16-21 | Dartmouth v. Stanford OVER 131 | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-16-21 | Wizards v. Suns -7.5 | 98-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards are in a deep nose dive entering this game having lost 6 of their L/7 and and 11 of their L/15 overall including failing to cover 7 straight times. The Wizards also enter this tilt against Phoenix on tired legs as this is their 6th road game in their L/7 games spanning just 10 days. The Suns even without Devon Booker in the lineup Im betting will be primed to take down a currently in-cohesive and road weary group here in conclusive fashion. Wizards are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Wizards are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-41 L/25 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12 ppg which qualifies here on this offered ATS line. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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12-16-21 | Knicks v. Rockets +5.5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
NYK has hypothetically crashed burned having lost 7 of their L/8 games. The team as a whole has disappointed and are showing very little resiliency. Meanwhile, Houston has been mostly competitive and recently 7 straight games. The Rockets have cooled off a bit of late losing 3 of their L/4 but the losses came to Memphis Cleveland and Bucks . With that said, the Knicks are no where near the consistency of those sides and in no way shape or form should be this big favorite in their current form especially here on the road where the Rockets have won 6 of their L/7 games as hosts. Note:Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Rockets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Play on Houston to cover |
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12-16-21 | 76ers v. Nets -1 | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Sixers who have lost 2 straight and not been able to breach the 96 point plateau on offense in 3 of their L/4 tilts may or may not have often injured or just exhausted - Joel Embiid in the lineup tonight . If the 76ers star does play he may not get the minutes he usually gets or may not be as effective. Meanwhile Harden is not expected to play for the Nets, but there is still more than enough depth here at home for them to take this tilt. The Nets won the most recent meeting back on Oct 22 this season. PHILADELPHIA is 6-17 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons 76ers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. . NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 38-3 L/25 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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12-15-21 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Blazers | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Memphis is in top form as they look for their ninth victory in 10 games without Jay Morant. The Grizzlies are in a positive flow, while their hosts tonight the Blazers have now lost 5 straight games at home and 6 overall and are in free fall. Considering the Grizzlies have revenge on board for a 116-96 loss back in October here in Portland Im betting they will come in here wide awake and ready for revenge. PORTLAND is 1-8 ATS as an underdog this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 35-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-15-21 | Hornets +3.5 v. Spurs | 131-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The Spurs have been competitive of late, but from a matchup perspective I feel Charlotte has the edge on the spread. I know Charlotte has not exactly been looking cohesive of late, but they continue to be under rated by the lines-makers as they have 12-3-1 ATS L/15 overall behind the 2nd ranked ppg offense in the league. SAN ANTONIO is 4-20 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 29-12 ATS L/39 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams (CHARLOTTE) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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12-15-21 | Lakers v. Mavs +1 | 107-104 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Lakers have been playing decently of late, but are 0-7 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Consistency has been an issue, and tonight Im betting on the Mavs beating out the senior often injured and exhausted group of Davis and James. LA LAKERS and are 2-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons . LA LAKERS are 4-16 ATS ( in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 61-19 L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 50-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-15-21 | Rockets v. Cavs -8.5 | 89-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Houston is playing very competitive ball of late, but this is a young team, that Im betting will find the sledding tough vs a Cleveland team that is also playing at a high level, and well aware of how well their opponents have been performing. Look for a Cavaliers side that will not be caught napping to be in top form tonight vs a up-trending opponent. Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Cavaliers are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest. Cavaliers are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games overall. CLEVELAND is 19-4 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. CLEVELAND is 12-1 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS sub par poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game this season NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 29-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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12-15-21 | Akron +3.5 v. Wright State | 66-48 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-14-21 | Georgia State +10 v. Mississippi State | 50-79 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-14-21 | Sam Houston State +11.5 v. North Texas | 55-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-14-21 | Warriors v. Knicks +5 | 105-96 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Golden State had to work hard for a win last night in Indiana , and now on tired legs as they play back to back games and 3 games in 4nights on the road . With that said, Im betting the Warriors who have played all out for weeks now at a disadvantage in this spot situation vs a desperate and underperforming side that will be looking for some quick fix redemption and momentum going forward. Note: Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win NEW YORK is 18-7 ATS in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.NEW YORK is 35-22 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Kerr is 29-46 ATS against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. Play on NYK to cover |
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12-14-21 | Louisiana-Monroe +12 v. Stephen F Austin | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-14-21 | NC-Greensboro +8 v. Towson | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Skerry is 0-9 ATS in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread as the coach of TOWSON ST. |
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12-14-21 | Miami-OH +8.5 v. Clemson | 76-89 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-13-21 | Cal Poly v. Portland UNDER 131.5 | 77-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CAL POLY-SLO is 12-1 UNDER as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 122 ppg scored. |
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12-13-21 | Wizards v. Nuggets -3.5 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Washington is struggling having lost 4 of their L/5 games , with the one win coming by 3 points vs lowly Detroit. I know Denver has also been less than consistent, but its never easy for opponents to play in the Mile High city and home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker tonight. DENVER is 20-7 ATS L/27 after 3 straight games committing 4+ less turnovers than opponents. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are !6-43 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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12-13-21 | 76ers v. Grizzlies +3.5 | 91-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is off a big upset win vs Golden State last time out, and will now be in a emotional and energetic letdown spot vs a side that plays teams tough at home with or without Jay Morant. Memphis is a tight cohesive group that has won 7 of their L/8 games and deserve respect here at home getting points. 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. 76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win . Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-13-21 | Warriors -3 v. Pacers | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The Warriors are off a loss last time out vs Philadelphia as super star Curry struggled to convert from the field and will now be primed for a bounce back effort this evening in Indiana. Warriors are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 ATS as a favorite this season. INDIANA is 3-13 ATS in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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12-13-21 | Heat v. Cavs -5 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Cleveland has won 3 straight and 7 of their L/9 and are playing at a very high level entering this game and deserve respect here as favs on this line vs a Heat side, that will be playing without Jimmy Butler . CLEVELAND is 18-4 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. CLEVELAND is 11-1 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are 1-35 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff -13.8 ppg which qualifies from ATS perspective. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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12-13-21 | Kings v. Raptors -4.5 | 101-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
The Kings continue to have defensive problems allowing a whopping 116.9 ppg on the road this season and those deficiencies will be their downfall tonight vs a Toronto team that has won 3 of their L/4 games, and defeated this Kings team by a 108-89 score back in mid November. TORONTO is 22-9 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons . TORONTO is 15-5 ATS after a combined score of 195 points or less over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing teamare 61-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. |
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12-12-21 | Magic +11 v. Lakers | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Orlando played the LA Clippers tough yesterday and lost by a 108-106 score as 8.5 point dogs, and today Im betting they are being slightly under rated again and are viable underdogs on this DD offering. Meanwhile, the Lakers have had a habit of taking defacto nights off vs lower tier opponents like Orlando , and Im betting this is one of them. LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 9-23 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 2-15 ATS after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA team (ORLANDO) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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12-12-21 | Rutgers +9.5 v. Seton Hall | 63-77 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. RUTGERS is 6-0 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less over the last 2 seasons.RUTGERS is 7-0 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more points ( Beat Purdue 70-68) Pikiell is 20-7 ATS ( versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game as the coach of RUTGERS. SETON HALL is 15-36 ATS L/51 in home games after a win by 6 points or less. (Beat Texas 64-60) Play on Rutgers to cover |
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12-12-21 | Oregon +1 v. Stanford | 69-72 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-12-21 | California Baptist v. Cal-Riverside UNDER 135 | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-12-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -3.5 | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VILLANOVA) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 7 or more consecutive wins are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-11-21 | Utah Valley +7.5 v. Wyoming | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Wyoming 8-1 on the season, and own the advantage in the high altitudes, of Laramie , but their opponents today Utah Valley already showed their ability to work in the thin air as they covered vs Southern Utah last time out in Cedar City and have proven themselves well conditioned enough to compete and thrive way above sea level. You have to also remember this Utah Valley side beat BYU recently and deserve respect here as underdogs behind a strong defense and top tier rebounding. , and timely shooting on offense behind star Canuck import Fardaws Aimaq who averages 20.4 ppg.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 12-4 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. Play on Utah Valley to cover |
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12-11-21 | Santa Clara +2 v. California | 60-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-11-21 | Warriors v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Philadelphia usually plays their best hoops at home, and tonight is an opportunity to up their game, and take down Western Conference power house Golden State. By pushing on their visiting opponents Im betting on a more aggressive game out of transition by both sides that will then see the combined score pushing upward past this offered totals number. PHILADELPHIA is 23-10 OVER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. - NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 33-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-11-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs +1 | 127-112 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
When these teams played a couple days ago here the Spurs came out on top and showed they matchup well vs the Nuggets. Rinse and repeat. DENVER is 6-18 ATS L/24 revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a losing record are 36-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Spurs to cover |
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12-11-21 | Rockets v. Grizzlies -7.5 | 106-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Houston ranks 27th in SRS: -7.09 and 22nd in ppg offense and 26th in ppg defense. Meanwhile, Memphis is ranked 9th in ppg offense and own a ranking of 12th in SRS at 0.63. Add in the edges for home court advantage and I will not be surprised by a DD victory for the home side. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. HOUSTON is 13-24 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 37-2 L/25 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 ppg which qualifies from a ATS perspective. NBA team (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 72-38 ATS L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Memphis to cover |
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12-11-21 | Boston College v. St. Louis -7 | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-11-21 | Magic +8.5 v. Clippers | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Magic have some offensive momentum coming into this tilt against the LA Clippers, scoring 130 points last time out which is a good omen for those of us who feel taking points here is a good opportunity for profit taking. Note: The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. I know the Magic will not inspire bettors and the Clippers are the superior side, but here in a very early afternoon game in LA the visitors Im betting have the edge, vs a side that could easily over looking them. Note: Lue is 7-19 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) in all games he has coached since 1999. LA CLIPPERS are 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Play on Orlando Magic to cover |
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12-11-21 | Western Michigan +10.5 v. Detroit | 64-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 135.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-11-21 | UL - Lafayette v. Louisiana Tech OVER 148.5 | 69-78 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-10-21 | Cavs v. Wolves | 123-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
The Wolves have lost 4 straight, but are still uptrending in my power rankings charts and deserve respect here when Karl-Anthony Towns is in the lineup , which he is expected to be tonight. The Timberwolves' big man is averaging a team-high 24.2 points and 9.3 rebounds this season, and will be a handful for Cleveland D to defend against. Advantage Wolves. Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. CLEVELAND is 9-28 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons and is 12-33 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more are 8-32 L/25 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread are 146-91 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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12-10-21 | DePaul v. Louisville UNDER 147 | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-10-21 | Green Bay +8 v. UMKC | 55-64 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-10-21 | Knicks v. Raptors -1.5 | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
The Knicks are not living up to their hefty expectations to this point in the season, and have not won back to back games since Oct. The Knicks have lost 4 of their L/5 and are once again looking vulnerable vs a Toronto team that may not be of championship calibre anymore, but are a team to watch with a group of young players that have shown flashes of brilliance and cohesiveness this season. Note:Knicks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Knicks are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Toronto. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 35-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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12-09-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs +1.5 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Denver won last time out, but have not won back to back games since Nov 14 and are fade material here vs a Spurs team that has lost two straight prior to a 4 game win streak. Denver took a 102 -96 win at home back in October, and in their current form I expect a Popovich lead group to that is 30-15 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons to collect the money in this spot play. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Malone is 48-66 ATS against Southwest division opponents as the coach of DENVER. Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 56-26 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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12-09-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +3 | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies looked asleep at the proverbial wheel last night as their five-game winning streak ended vs Dallas in an emotionless effort. After exerting very little effort last night Im betting they will have plenty of energy left in the tank for the second half of a back-to-back against the visiting Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Advantage Grizzlies. MEMPHIS is 17-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS as a favorite this season. LA LAKERS are 2-12 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MEMPHIS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 35-7 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-16 ATS L/15 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-09-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies OVER 222.5 | 95-108 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Lakers enter this road game against Memphis with the 4th best ppg offense the 28th ranked ppg defense behind the 2nd fastest pace in the NBA. Meanwhile, Memphis ranks 8th in ppg offense and 24th in ppg defense behind the 13th fast pace in the league. Tonight Im betting on an all out offensive slugfest behind two sides who attack and rarely play defensively well in transition which will result in a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are expecting. Note: Im expecting a fast pace and alot of shots here tonight by both sides: MEMPHIS is 32-19 OVER in up-tempo games where they attempt 93 or more shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, first half of the season are 55-21 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-09-21 | Detroit v. Kent State UNDER 139.5 | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |