Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-23-22 | Bulls v. Bucks -7 | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has won 6 of the L/7 meetings vs Chicago and 5 of those wins have come by DDs with the smallest margin of victory coming by 7 points which is what we are being asked to coincidently cover here by backing the Bucks tongiht. From a power ranking and SRS perspective we actually have value backing the home side here. I know the Bulls are off an impressive win vs Boston last time out, but now Im betting a letdown scenario taking hold and for the Bucks not to be caught looking ahead and primed to crush a division competitor. Milwaukee ranks 7th in the league with a 3.28 mark and Chicago ranks 12th with a 1.37. Adding in my own power ranking adjustments this line should be closer to -9 giving us enough room for a full possession cover. There -6 available. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Budenholzer is 49-20 ATS vs. division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13. CHICAGO is 39-56 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 13-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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11-23-22 | UMass Lowell v. Brown UNDER 145.5 | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UMASS-LOWELL) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 38-8 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average of 135.6 ppg scored. Play on the under |
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11-23-22 | Maine +1 v. Central Connecticut State | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Maine made easy work of the Columbia Lions last Friday and carried off a 93-70 win. Maine is now 3-1 while Central Connecticut State sits at 0-5. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MAINE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 31-5 SU L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MAINE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT def ense (36.5% or more ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 31-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate! Play on Maine to cover |
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11-23-22 | Kansas v. NC State +9 | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC State 4-0 so far this season behind, head coach Kevin Keatts who has led the Pack to nine wins over ranked opponents in his tenure here and and his team should not be underestimated in their ability compete vs Kansas on a neutral court. NC STATE is 12-3 ATS L/15 as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 12 points . CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NC STATE) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, team that had a losing record last season are 22-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CBB team (NC STATE) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ ATS losses in last 10 games against opponent first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 7+ wins in last 8 games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NC State to cover |
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11-22-22 | San Diego State +1 v. Arizona | 70-87 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona played a hard fought run and gun Tourney affair with Cincinnati yesterday and could easily be vulnerable to a down effort here today in a letdown spot on short rest. SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (ARIZONA) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 20-51 ATS L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate! Play on San Diego State to cover |
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11-22-22 | Kings v. Grizzlies +2 | 113-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
After a slow start to their season Sacramento has peeled off 6 straight wins, while their opponents tonight Memphis has shown flashes of brilliance and unexpected collapses like they suffered last time out where they fell apart in the 4th quarter vs Brooklyn losing by a 127-115 count on the road as 8 point dogs. That was the Grizzlies 3rd straight road loss. However at home the Grizzlies have played their best hoops winning 6 of 7 overall with the lone loss coming the Boston Celtics by a 109-106 count. With that said Im betting on home court advantage for the Grizzlies being the difference maker. MEMPHIS is 7-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons and 3-0 L/3 at home in this series. MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 20-5 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-2 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 12-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-22-22 | Bradley +13 v. Auburn | 64-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The #13 Auburn Tigers will square off against the Bradley Braves at 6 p.m. ET on Tuesday at Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya. Pearl is 0-11 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games as the coach of AUBURN. CBB team (AUBURN) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 62 or more shots/game, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 6-24 ATS 26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bradley to cover |
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11-21-22 | Jazz v. Clippers -3 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won five of seven since they lost to Utah earlier this season and with Kawhi Leonard back in the rotation they are strong candidates to get revenge here and notch a win. UTAH is 3-19 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - excellent shooting team (47% or more) against an terrible defensive team (47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4! NBA Road teams (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games are 13-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate. Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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11-21-22 | Mississippi State v. Marquette +3.5 | 58-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons Marquette to cover |
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11-21-22 | Knicks +2.5 v. Thunder | 129-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
After winning the first two games on their current road trip, the Knicks have dropped back-to-back games and are ready for a bounce back effort vs a Oklahoma City side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Note: NEW YORK is 18-6 ATS L/24 in road games off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more . NEW YORK is 38-18 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 41-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate! Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-21-22 | Loyola Maryland +13.5 v. Clemson | 41-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Loyola Maryland to cover |
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11-21-22 | Nevada v. Tulane UNDER 145.5 | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this line closer to 140 which gives us two full possession advantage. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TULANE/NEVADA) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 45-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with. combined average of 133.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-20-22 | Grizzlies +7.5 v. Nets | 115-127 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Memphis snapped a losing streak by earning a 121-110 win over the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday when Jaren Jackson Jr. scored 25 in his second game back from right foot surgery and Im betting despite of Brooklyn playing some strong hoops at this time will be primed and ready compete. BROOKLYN is 7-33 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 9-29 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 1-13 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 32-19 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 5-0 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits to Brooklyn. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-20-22 | Colorado v. Boise State +2 | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Boise states hoops program prides itself on its fitness and ability to compete . So here on short rest must not be underestimated in their ability to run and gun the floor. Meanwhile, Colorado after a huge output last time out is vulnerable to major regression . Note: Boyle is 2-9 ATS after scoring 95 points or more as the coach of COLORADO. BOISE ST is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOISE ST is 15-4 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (COLORADO) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in November games are 17-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-20-22 | UCF v. Santa Clara +3 | 57-50 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCF upset Oklahoma state in OT last time out and will be in a huge letdown spot here vs a quality San Clara basketball program. UCF is 4-13 ATS L/17 in road games off an upset win as an underdog. SANTA CLARA is 12-3 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons.SANTA CLARA is 17-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (UCF) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 92-156 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Santa Clara to cover |
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11-20-22 | Virginia v. Illinois +1.5 | 70-61 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. No. 19 Illinois moves on to face #16 Virginia on Sunday in the Championship of the Continental Tire Main Event (2 p.m. CT, ESPN). Illinois is making its seventh trip to Las Vegas, and fifth for a multi-team event. Illinois won its first three MTE's in Vegas, claiming titles at the 2001 Las Vegas Invitational and 2004 Las Vegas Holiday Classic held at Valley High School, and the 2014 Continental Tire Las Vegas Invite at The Orleans. Illinois is 9-3 SU all-time in games played in Las Vegas and looks for its fourth MTE title in Las Vegas on Sunday vs. Virginia in the championship game of the Continental Tire Main Event. Virginia played a lights out big time game last time out taking out Baylor with some extraordinary down town shooting hitting treys in the 2nd half of the game. After making just one 3-pointer in the first half, the Cavaliers went 8-for-12 from deep in the final 20 minutes to knock off No. 5 Baylor (3-1) 86-79 Friday evening. No in a regressionary letdown situation Im betting their vulnerable. Illinois' win last time out over No. 8 UCLA improved the program to 11-5 in their last 16 games versus top-10 teams during the Underwood era. ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 19 or more assists over the last 3 seasons. ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VIRGINIA) - slow-down team from last season averaging 53 or less shots/game, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better are 12-42 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois to cover |
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11-19-22 | Wolves v. 76ers +2.5 | 112-109 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers Im betting have a great chance at remaining perfect on their five-game home-stand on Saturday, playing the second leg of a back-to-back when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves. This version of the Sixers is well conditioned and I have confidence they will perform at a high level tonight as they carry the momentum of late nights victory over Milwaukee into this tilt against another viable side. I know Maxey may not play tonight for the Sixers but Shake Milton is a fine replacement if that indeed is the case. Also the Wolves are on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game tonight. Advantage Philly Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Timberwolves are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings.Timberwolves are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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11-19-22 | The Citadel v. Butler UNDER 143.5 | 42-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . My projections make this total closer to 140 giving us a full possession edge on this number to the under. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (THE CITADEL) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combine score clicking in at 135.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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11-19-22 | Providence +3 v. Miami-FL | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . The lines-makers expect this game to be close between Providence and Miami Fl. Note: The Friars finished 11-3 in games decided by five points or less in 2021-22 and were 3-0 in OT games. This screams of tenacity and a never say die attitude implemented by HC Cooley. PROVIDENCE is 7-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons.PROVIDENCE is 10-0 ATS (versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.PROVIDENCE is 6-0 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12 plus points/game over the last 2 seasons. PROVIDENCE is 9-1 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Larranaga is 21-32 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game as the coach of MIAMI. CBB Neutral court teams (PROVIDENCE) - an explosive offensive team (76 or more PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 105-59 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Providence to cover |
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11-19-22 | Maryland +4 v. St. Louis | 95-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Both theses sides are undefeated but the difference maker today will come via the superior D of the Maryland Terps and their ability to muscle their way to a win or cover here from a physical perspective. The Big 10 is a league that focuses alot on gritty play and that will dictate alot of the action here today, which benefits Maryland. Dont get me wrong Saint Louis is fine mid major hoops program but just betting they get kicked around on the inside and of they win it wont come easily or without some pain. With that said , Im recommending we take the points. MARYLAND is 6-0 ATS after a win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. SAINT LOUIS is 17-37 ATS L/52 in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or les turnovers/game . CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, team that had a losing record last season are 22-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Maryland to cover |
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11-18-22 | Celtics v. Pelicans +2.5 | 117-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The visiting Celtics are looking for their ninth consecutive victory, while the Pelicans shoot for their fourth consecutive win. From a SRS perspective the Celtics are ranked No.1 with a 6.92 mark while the Pelicans are ranked 4th with a 4.35 . But when factoring in home court obligatory advantage of around 4 points i this game should see the home side favored by -2. But thanks to the the huge brand name respect attached to one of the oldest and most respected NBA franchises we get to take points here with the up-trending home side, which screams value. Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 11-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-18-22 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Northern Arizona +9 | 54-63 | Win | 100 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . N.Arizona has lost 3 of 4 games they have played but the three losses are against Mich State, Utah Valley State and Arizona State and they were competitive each time out and covered over hyped numbers. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 5-14 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. CBB team (N ARIZONA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games against opponent first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 8+ wins in last 10 games are 20-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate! N.Arizona (Late Steam) |
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11-18-22 | Bellarmine +12 v. Clemson | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BELLARMINE is 20-9 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-34 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. BELLARMINE to cover |
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11-18-22 | Buffalo v. Drake UNDER 156 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. U.S. Virgin Islands Paradise Jam - Sports and Fitness Center - Saint Thomas BUFFALO is 11-1 UNDER on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 26-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 144.6 ppg. Play under |
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11-17-22 | Pistons +9.5 v. Clippers | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
I know the Detroit Pistons have not played well this season, but they will face a inconsistent Los Angeles Clippers, side operating at less than 100% with key injuries .Considering the Clippers propensity under HC Lue to take nights off vs sub standard sides like the young men from Motown it will not be a hard decision to grab points here. Note: Lue is 3-14 ATS in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) in all games he has coached. DETROIT is 34-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 35-19 ATS off a home loss over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 16-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-55 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-17-22 | Colorado State +1.5 v. South Carolina | 85-53 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colorado State is known for their top tier offense, but their defense is under rated. Im betting they have decent success here from an output perspective vs a strong South Carolina D, but that their own /D will do enough to keep the Gamecocks sub par attack from consistent offensive production. Medved is 10-2 ATS L/12 after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half in all games . CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S CAROLINA) - after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 15-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado State to cover |
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11-17-22 | Furman +2.5 v. Penn State | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Furman ha a lot of top tier offensive talent and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete against any Big 10 conference side including Penn State. Play on Furman to cover |
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11-16-22 | Bulls +4 v. Pelicans | 110-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
New Orleans played a physical game last night against Memphis and prob do not have enough proverbial gas left in the tank to compete as needed against a revenge minded Bulls group on a few days rest. These teams just played a few days ago with the Pelicans squeaking out a 115-111 victory. The Bulls than came out in their next game and looked tired and demoralized , and got blasted by Denver in a DD loss. But now with redemption and revenge combo now in play are in my betting opinion solid underdog wagers. CHICAGO is 17-4 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 39-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74/5 conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-16-22 | Texas Southern v. Houston OVER 134 | 48-83 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Houston scored more than 80 points in in first three trips to the hardwood, and will dictate a faster paced event here that will help us eclipse this offered total. TEXAS SOUTHERN is 16-4 OVER L/20 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game with a combined average of 145 ppg. CBB teams against the total (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 32-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 157.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (HOUSTON) - dominant team from last season - outscored opponents by 12 or more points/game, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games over a 45 game sample size dating back seasons has seen a combined average of 139.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-16-22 | Michigan -8.5 v. Pittsburgh | 91-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Legends Classic - Barclays Center - Brooklyn, NY My own numbers suggest Michigan should be 10 or more favs here thus giving solid value with this current line offering. Play on Michigan to cover |
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11-15-22 | Spurs +8.5 v. Blazers | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Portland has won nine of its first 13 games , but according to my specific power rankings should not be this big a favorite vs the Spurs. I know the Spurs are not playing well overall at least from a W/L perspective but do matchup well here according to my head to head player personnel data.PORTLAND is 9-20 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. PORTLAND is 14-30 ATS versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Spurs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Spurs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games. NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 80-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-15-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Duke | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Gainbridge Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN The seventh-ranked Blue Devils face sixth-ranked and reigning national champion Kansas on Tuesday night in Indianapolis for the Champions Classic. Defending national champion Kansas is 3-1 straight up in the past four against Duke and get the nod again. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 104-58 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas to cover |
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11-15-22 | Fairfield +19 v. Xavier | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The price for playing a strong College basketball brand like Xavier gives value to the underdog number being offered here. Young is 13-5 ATS in road games after a non-conference game as the coach of FAIRFIELD. Young is 11-3 ATS in November games as the coach of FAIRFIELD. FAIRFIELD is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. CBB favorite (XAVIER) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament from prior season who won their last 3 games, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 4-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fairfield to cover |
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11-15-22 | Clippers v. Mavs -7 | 101-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Dallas has played their best hoops at home this season winning 5 of their 6 tilts , with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under +8. My power ranking suggest -8 is the correct line here favoring the host thus giving us an edge on this current line offering especially with the visitors playing short handed ie (Kawhi Leonard and John Wall) and now playing back to back nights. Luka Doncic scored at will against the Los Angeles Clippers last season and Im betting he will once be the catalyst in this contest. Note: Doncic scored 96 total points vs the Clippers in two games that were 48 hours apart. Doncic, leads the NBA ins coring averaging 34.3 points per game on 49.6 percent shooting. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Mavericks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. LA CLIPPERS are 5-21 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 9-65 L/5 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 18-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the |
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11-15-22 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Pelicans | 102-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis is off a DD loss last time out at Washington but have proven resilient under those circumstances in bounce back opportunities and have also played well against top tier teams in a groove like the Pelicans. MEMPHIS is 12-0 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 32-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are fade material here laying points against a quality opponent that does not take kindly to having lost last time out. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-15-22 | USC Upstate +21.5 v. Clemson | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC Upstate |
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11-14-22 | Hornets +1.5 v. Magic | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Charlotte is in desperate need of a win after 8 straight losses, and will primed to get a victory and revenge at the same time for a 113-93 loss they suffered to the Magic back on Oct 28th of this season. CHARLOTTE is 19-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Hornets are 46-16-2 ATS in their last 64 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. CHARLOTTE is 22-9 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. The Magic have had a long history of crapping the bed vs sub .500 opposition. Magic are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.ORLANDO is 25-41 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, in November games are 88-48 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 63-107 L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-14-22 | Raptors v. Pistons +5.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Both Toronto and Detroit are a bit banged up entering this tilt with some nagging injuries through each lineup and key players out.Toronto has lost three of its last four games and four of its last six. Forward Pascal Siakam is out and they look like vulnerable road favs here vs a side they have failed to cover 6 straight times against. I know Motown is not playing all that well , but from a long term perspective DETROIT is 33-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. TORONTO is 13-31 ATS L/44 after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent . Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-14-22 | Richmond v. College of Charleston +3 | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. North Carolina Tar Heels were tested by the College of Charleston program this past Friday night in Chapel Hill. Charleston held a 50-43 halftime edge against the nation's top-ranked team while outrebounding the Tar Heels 35-32 to put the country on notice . The Cougars are now well prepared and obviously talented enough to give defending league champs a run for their money tonight on home court. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 12-4 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team vs. the money line (RICHMOND) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RICHMOND) - team that had a winning record last season, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 7-26 ATA L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 3-0 against the spread versus RICHMOND since 1997. Play on college of Charleston |
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11-14-22 | Princeton -5 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 94-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PRINCETON is 15-2 ATS off a close road loss by 3 points or less which was the case last time out. MD-BALT COUNTY is 4-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Princeton to cover |
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11-13-22 | Nuggets v. Bulls +1.5 | 126-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
When Zach Lavine is in the lineup and healthy the Bulls are dangerous opponent for all comers. He is expected to play this evening vs Denver, and with the Bulls on 3 days rest the home side will be fresh and ready to perform. Note: Chicago swept the season series from Denver last season behind solid play from LaVine, who averaged 34 points in the two games, and Im betting he will be the difference maker yet again. CHICAGO is 22-9 ATS after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 18-31 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-13-22 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Mississippi State UNDER 138.5 | 47-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MISS VALLEY ST) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, team that had a losing record last season are 34-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. |
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11-13-22 | Eastern Kentucky v. Cincinnati OVER 143.5 | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. E KENTUCKY is 12-1 OVER in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 160.3 ppg scored.Hamilton is 10-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of E KENTUCKY with a combined average of 158 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-12-22 | St Bonaventure v. Canisius +7 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Witherspoon is 19-5 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1997 CBB road team (ST BONAVENTURE) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Canisius to cover |
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11-12-22 | Jazz v. Wizards +3.5 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Playing without a couple of key players, the Wizards showed positive chemistry en route to a 113-105 victory over the Dallas Mavericks last time out and have the ability with this group to do the same to the visiting Jazz. I know Utah has played exceptionally well despite of key off season departures, but tonight after slugging it out non stop early this season against some strong opponents a letdown could be in order as was the case earlier this season when they lost too the young Houston rockets. . Washington has covered 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 and must not be underestimated as home dogs. Wizards are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. WASHINGTON is 18-4 ATS in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. UTAH is 25-44 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 3-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 13-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 46-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Washington to cover |
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11-12-22 | Northern Arizona +9.5 v. Utah Valley | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, with all five starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 52-19 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate! Northern Arizona to cover |
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11-12-22 | SIU-Edwardsville v. IUPU Ft Wayne -10 | 76-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Fort Wayne took it on the chin vs Michigan in their opener, but now after they rude awakening vs a top tier side, this contest will seem like a walk in the park. SIU EDWARDSVL is 2-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. IUPU-FT WAYNE is 3-0 against the spread versus SIU EDWARDSVL since 1997 at home. IUPU-FT WAYNE is 5-0 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL since 1997 at home. Fort Wayne to cover |
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11-12-22 | St. Peter's +17 v. Seton Hall | 44-80 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ST PETERS is 8-0 ATS ( after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half since 1997. ST PETERS is 24-10 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Saint Peters to cover |
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11-11-22 | Cavs v. Warriors -1.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
After 8 straight wins the Cleveland Cavaliers have now lost 2 straight, and with this being their 5th straight road game Im betting their on tired legs and vulnerable to defeat here again tonight vs a Warriors team that have defeated them in each of the past 10 regular-season meetings in this series. I know Golden State has been erratic to start the season, but still owns an impressive 9-1 ATS in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons and are on extended rest. Warriors are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Friday games.Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. . Meanwhile,CLEVELAND is just 19-39 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons and their conditioning according to some charts Ive kept on them is suspect.CLEVELAND is also 18-37 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less are 18-52 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 93-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
My own projections make this total closer to 223 giving us a full possession value on a over wager. (The Bucks are the 2nd best ppg defensive team in the league at the moment while the Spurs are the worst). Im betting the Spurs here on their own home court behind a 5th ranked pace try to get the Bucks out of their comfort zone and turn this game in to a more wide open affair. This Im betting results in this total being eclipsed. Both these sides have a hsitroy of higher scoring non conference affairs. SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 OVER in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 41-23 OVER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg going on the score board. Budenholzer is 27-14 OVER against Southwest division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 45-25 OVER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. with a combined average of 235.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-11-22 | Nuggets v. Celtics UNDER 231.5 | 112-131 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Boston brings a 21st ranked pace into this tilt against the Nuggets. The Celtics FG conversion rate has been above average to start the season, and thats why in part their output has been near the top of the league, but regression should start to rare its ugly head at some point, and according my projections based on their expected offensive production dip in this tilt, this totals offering is a tad high and should be closer to 228-- giving us value on the under. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. BOSTON is 37-23 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.7 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Play UNDER |
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11-11-22 | Michigan State v. Gonzaga UNDER 146.5 | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Armed forces Classic being played on deck of USS Abraham Lincoln - San Diego, CA- Winds expected in the 8 mpg range, which will effect shooting and offensive production because of more passing and in close physical basketball in the key. Play UNDER |
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11-11-22 | Detroit +9 v. Boston College | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Aside from its four top-100 players out of high school, the Titans have seven players that previously played in high-major leagues that generally send multiple teams to the NCAA Tournament. BC HC Grant is 9-23 ATS in home games in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-10-22 | Northern Arizona v. Arizona State -14.5 | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Sun Devils are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 season.Hurley is 11-2 ATS after a game where their opponent was called for 27 or more fouls in all games he has coached. NBA Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 28-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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11-10-22 | North Dakota v. Creighton -27.5 | 61-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Creighton’s offense is going to be explosive again this season and here against a North Dakota hoops program ranked in the bottom-five nationally on defense last season. Play on Creighton to cover |
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11-10-22 | 76ers v. Hawks -1.5 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Atlantas Trae Young had a ugly outing last night, but Im betting now with the rust off after a injury lay off he will be in rebound mode tonight. This is a well conditioned Hawks team that my own power rankings suggest matchup well vs the Sixers. It will be Atlanta's second back-to-back of the season. The Hawks split the first one on the road, beating Detroit and losing to top tier Milwaukee which can be forgiven. 76ers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.76ers are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 road games. Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. ATLANTA is 47-31 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 44-28 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 3-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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11-10-22 | Western Carolina v. Maryland UNDER 143.5 | 51-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Maryland top tier D, that allowed 49 points against Niagara last time out will be key here to this total not being eclipsed. Willard is 61-35 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 131.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MARYLAND) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference are 45-18 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate with a combined average of 136.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-09-22 | Bellarmine +10 v. Louisville | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-09-22 | Pelicans v. Bulls +2 | 115-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Chicagos super star Zach Lavine despite of some nagging injuries is expected to play tonight against visiting New Orleans . With him in the lineup, the Bulls offense will be alot more balanced and thanks to improved defensive play this season, the Bulls look like viable bets here on their own home court.Green is 2-11 ATS in road games in November games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.Donovan is 32-18 ATS in the first half of the season as the coach of CHICAGO. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bulls are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBAl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 9-32 ATS 26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season is 8-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-09-22 | UMKC v. LSU UNDER 142.5 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams against the total (MISSOURI-KC) - off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 30-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-09-22 | Knicks v. Nets -135 | 85-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knicks hit a season-high 19 3-pointers in a victory at Minnesota on Monday and now regression is on the agenda . Thats fortunate for a Brooklyn side that struggled against downtown shooting. Meanwhile, the Nets have won 3 of their L/5 and have shown upward momentum and competitiveness as was the case in a loss last time out to Dallas by a 96-94 count. I like their chances here vs a NYK side they dominated from a SU perspective in recent seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 3-22 L/5 seasons for ago against 88% conversion rate for bettors. BROOKLYN is 7-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons and 4-0 L/4 at home in this series. Play on the Moneyline - Brooklyn Nets |
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11-09-22 | Davidson v. Wright State +4.5 | 102-97 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Retooling with a young group in Davidson makes them vulnerable to a top tier Wright State side from the Horizon league. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DAVIDSON) - team that had a winning record last season, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 6-25 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team (DAVIDSON) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 7-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wright State to cover |
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11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue UNDER 144.5 | 53-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-07-22 | Celtics v. Grizzlies UNDER 231.5 | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
I know both these sides can pour down points, but when need be both are solid defensively as well in this battle of top tier sides, Im betting on a more physical type of tilt that will result in a slower pace than the pundits and lines-makers expect based on overall data. the Celtics own the 21 ranked pace in the NBA while Memphis ranks 14th. MEMPHIS is 24-13 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 41-23 UNDER in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival with a combined average of 194.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-07-22 | Celtics v. Grizzlies +3.5 | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Two top tier teams, play tonight as Boston visits Memphis. Im betting home court advantage with a team that went 30-11 SU as hosts last season and are already 3-0 straight up at home this season offers up value . Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Celtics are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. MEMPHIS is 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 33-17 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons. Jenkins is 101-75 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game as the coach of MEMPHIS. MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-12 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 27-4 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Take the points with Memphis to cover |
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11-07-22 | Murray State v. St. Louis -13 | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-07-22 | Morgan State +23 v. Xavier | 73-96 | Push | 0 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Musketeers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games overall. Musketeers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games. CBB favorite (XAVIER) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 3-24 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate. Play on Morgan state to cover |
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11-07-22 | Rockets v. Magic -4.5 | 134-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Orlando has played well at home this season beating Charlotte and Golden state and playing closely contested tilts vs Boston and Sacramento. Meanwhile, Houston has lost 6 straight, with 5 of the 6 losses by 8 or more points and 9 of their L/10 games overall this season, and all 7 road tilts they have played. Advantage to Magic. HOUSTON is 14-27 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 21-48 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47% or more ) against a terrible defensive team ( 47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's). are 30-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Home teams (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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11-07-22 | Tarleton St +15 v. Arizona State | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TARLETON ST is 7-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA ST is 1-8 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Tarleton to cover |
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11-07-22 | The Citadel +18.5 v. Clemson | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Tigers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 Monday games. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Citadel to cover |
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11-07-22 | South Dakota State +4 v. Akron | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. South Dakota State to cover |
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11-06-22 | Jazz v. Clippers -4 | 110-102 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
The Jazz have played alot better hoops than many had expected after some departures in the off season. However its still early, and Ive noticed the Jazz have played a lot of run and gun hoops on a heavy schedule, so they are on tired legs and vulnerable entering this tilt vs a Clippers side that has won 3 straight games behind a solid D. With that said, Im recommending we ride the momentum of the Clippers at Staples today. UTAH is 8-18 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 9-21 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season. UTAH is 15-31 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Jazz are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Jazz are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 2-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS line. Jazz are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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11-05-22 | Pelicans v. Hawks UNDER 233 | 121-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans and Atlanta Hawks go head to head Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Both of these teams have been taking part in some high scoring events, but my projections tell me that is offered total is a little over blown considering the Pelicans played last night and are on tired legs. The Hawks are much fresher, but Im betting the Pelicans try to slow this game down to a manageable tempo which will in turn help us stay under this offered number. Under is 5-2 in Pelicans last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 17-2 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg going on the board. ATLANTA is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.3 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-05-22 | Pelicans v. Hawks -2 | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
New Orleans played last night in a win vs Golden State and will now be on tired legs against a well rested Atlanta Hawks side that is built to take on bigger teams like the Pelicans. ATLANTA is 29-15 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons. Pelicans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Pelicans are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games. Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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11-05-22 | Celtics v. Knicks +4.5 | 133-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Last time out -The Knicks came back from a 12-point deficit , in the fourth-quarter Friday to edge the host Philadelphia 76ers 106-104. The Celtics are off a hard fought victory Chicago Bulls to take a 123-119 event. Both teams are now ion tired legs, but the Knicks under HC Thibodeau has proved themselves to well conditioned. Note: Thibodeau is 18-7 ATS when playing on back-to-back days as the coach of NEW YORK. Knicks are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest. Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. BOSTON is 14-30 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 10-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. The Knicks have won the L/3 meetings SU at home in this series. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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11-05-22 | Nets v. Hornets +5.5 | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is off a much needed win last time out playing a complete game vs the Washington Wizards. by a 128-86 count. But now Im betting on regression, vs a Charlotte side that is desperate for some positive results after 3 straight losses.Note: BROOKLYN is 9-25 ATS (after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.Udoka is 1-14 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game in all games he has coached. BROOKLYN is 10-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 18-43 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 17-30 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 27-17 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Im not recommending we make this a ML bet, but giving an example of a possible outright upset that makes taking points a very viable option. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-04-22 | Warriors v. Pelicans -4 | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Golden State took part in a back and forth event last night with the Orlando Magic losing 130-129 and are now on tired legs headed into this tilt against Zion Williamson and company and at a disadvantage after losing 4 straight games, thanks to a shoddy D, that ranks last in the league in ppg allowed (122.2). Im betting on the Pelicans who will be prepared as hosts to take advantage of an opponents not operating on all cylinders.GOLDEN STATE is 5-16 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 22-34 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 11-22 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 11-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -4.2. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-03-22 | Warriors v. Magic UNDER 227 | 129-130 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Orlando ranks 29th in offensive output, and 12th in ppg allowed and rank 18th in pace. Meanwhile, Golden state is almost the complete opposite, running and gunning behind a fast paced attack. The clashes of these opposites bodes well however, according to my projections for seeing a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. The Magic dont have the overall talent or system to push back hard on the Warriors, and the visitors Im betting after a grueling start to their campaign may treat this like a defacto game off and make a it a more pleasure orientated trip to Disney. Grinder on board. GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 UNDER in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE L/12 road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a terrible team (25% or worse) playing a team with a losing record are 65-35 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -5.5 | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Utah despite of supposedly being in a rebuilding or remodeling mode have played well this season. However, now with opponents aware of the Jazz grit and top tier play to begin the season will now have zero surprise factor working for them, and will face a Dallas side prepared to play them. Also after falling asleep at the wheel in a loss vs the Orlando Magic last time out the Mavericks will be primed for a bounce back effort. Jazz are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 road games.Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Mavericks are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA team (UTAH) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 7-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas is 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 at home in this series vs Utah. Play on Dallas to cover |
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11-02-22 | Clippers v. Rockets UNDER 222 | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Houston continues to be inconsistent offensively and tonight against a banged up Clippers side, Im betting this total will not be eclipsed as both teams flow issues lean towards a lower scoring affair. LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.8 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 UNDER as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.4 ppg.
NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS/HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 30-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston. Play on the UNDER |
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11-02-22 | Pistons +11.5 v. Bucks | 91-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Milwaukee pulled off a 110-108 win in the first game of this 2 game set in Wisconsin with the visiting Detroit Pistons. The Pistons showed alot of fight and grit in that above mentioned tilt and Im betting they're not going down without a fight tonight. Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record DETROIT is 30-13 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 29-16 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - team that had a winning record last season, after 4 or more consecutive wins are 8-29 ATS L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival are 22-6 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
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11-01-22 | Wolves +5.5 v. Suns | 107-116 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves (4-3) head to The Valley on Tuesday night to take on the Phoenix Suns (5-1) at Footprint Center.
Williams is 15-34 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more in all games he has coached MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games are 6-25 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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10-31-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 235 | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Jazz grabbed a 124-123 win vs Memphis last time out , and once again face the Grizzlies for the second time in three nights Monday in Salt Lake City. Memphis shot 56.8 percent, but Utah countered by hitting 51.7 percent of its shots. It was a wide open event, but now Im betting on offensive regression. Previous to the Jazz last tilt they saw 3 straight unders, and Im betting on this combined score failing to eclipse this offering. UTAH is 24-13 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games. Under is 19-7-1 in Jazz last 27 games following a straight up win. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%). are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 52-19 UNDER L/26 for a 73% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 93-37 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-30-22 | Wolves v. Spurs UNDER 235.5 | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The teams spilt the two previous contests in Minneapolis, with the Spurs winning 115-106 on Monday and Minnesota getting the job done in a 134-122 victory on Wednesday. Im now betting on regression from a offensive perspective here in game 3 after the last explosion and for this combined score to more closely mimic the first meeting. Note: Minnesota enters after a 111-102 win at home over the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday with their D being the big difference maker and nothing changes here today as this looks to be a recipe for success. SAN ANTONIO is 13-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNDER |
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10-30-22 | Wolves v. Spurs +6 | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
These teams spilt the two previous contests in Minneapolis, with the Spurs winning 115-106 on Monday and Minnesota prevailing 134-122 on Wednesday. With that said, I run here with a regular season zig zag theory and support and recommend we bet the upstart Spurs at home with crowd advantage on their side. Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Spurs are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Spurs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. Spurs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Spurs are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Road favorites (MINNESOTA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, on Sunday games are 7-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 26-4 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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10-30-22 | Warriors v. Pistons UNDER 230.5 | 114-128 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
I know both sides have played some fast paced wide open affairs, but both sides are openly speaking about playing better D. Based on my projections this line should be closer to 227 thus giving us value with a full possession edge on an under wager. GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 UNDER against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored.
Under is 35-16-1 in Warriors last 52 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. DETROIT is 18-4 UNDER L/22 after allowing 130 points or more with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored. Under is 6-1 in Pistons last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DETROIT) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (118 or more PPG are 34-12 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-29-22 | Hawks v. Bucks -4.5 | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Bucks are a solid defensive side ranking 1st in the NBA in ppg allowed . The Bucks have become very physical in nature, and Im betting they matchup well here vs a run and gun offensive structure that Atlanta utilizes. ATLANTA is 5-20 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.7. ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. McMillan is 9-22 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game as the coach of ATLANTA. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or better of their free throws, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 25-2 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good 3 point shooting team from last season - made 36% or better of their attempts, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 23-4 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Milwaukee is 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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10-28-22 | Rockets +5.5 v. Blazers | 111-125 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Damian Lillard averaged 33.3 points during the Trail Blazers' 4-0 start, shooting 50 percent overall and 40 percent on 3-pointers while playing 37.1 minutes per game. He was injured last time out in the Blazers first loss of the season. He is a key cog for this teams offensive flow and Im betting it effects them here tonight vs a young under rated Houston team that almost always plays a all out brand of hoops on young legs. Houston has covered their L/4 trips to Portland and get the nod again tonight. Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games dating back to last season, and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. PORTLAND is 18-36 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasonsTrail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Trail Blazers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. Play on Rockets to cover |
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10-28-22 | 76ers +1.5 v. Raptors | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The 76ers lost the first game in this 2 tilt set in Toronto on Wednesday, but now I expect the Philadelphia 76ers to answer back in the rematch on Friday night. Philadelphia are going to make adjustments. It's almost like the playoffs, where you do something in Game 1, and the other side adjust to it. I know the 76ers have struggled so far , but its early and they are more than capable behind Doc. Rivers tutelage of a bounce back beginning here tonight vs the Raptors. Note: TORONTO is 0-9 ATS in home games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 23-9 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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10-28-22 | Pacers v. Wizards -4.5 | 127-117 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Washington (3-1) matches up well against Indiana as was the case in their opening game of the season winning by. a 114-107 count as road dogs. With Indiana (1-4) playing horrendous D, early on this season ranking dead last in the league in ppg allowed ( 122 ppg) they are fade material. INDIANA is 4-14 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.4. INDIANA is 2-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - excellent defensive team (42% or less) against a struggling defensive team (47% or more ) are 30-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Washington is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 meetings in D.C. Play on Washington to cover |
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10-27-22 | Clippers v. Thunder UNDER 218 | 110-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Clippers have gone under in 4 straight games to begin their season, rNKING DEAD LAST IN OFFENSIVE out , and 17th in pace and ranking 8th in ppg allowed and 6th in defensive rating. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City has gone under in 3 of their L/4 overall with a 22nd ranked offensive output despite of a fast pace. The Clippers will be out to slow down the Thunder especially after taking ti on the chin vs Thunder last time out. Im betting on a grinding affair. LA CLIPPERS are 27-14 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.8 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 UNDER in road games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored. ( Oklahoma City upset them last time out) NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 45-13 UNDER L/L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - a terrible offensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 125-75 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-26-22 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
Los Angeles has been solid on the defensive end so far this season, and will be primed to slow down their opponents in physical fashion. The Nuggets have run and gun with wreck-less abandon so far this season, but Im betting they will have to start to pay attention in transition, or continue to be blown off the court as was the case vs the Trail Blazers last time out in a 135-110 loss that featured allowing 80 points in the second half . I can guarantee you the coaching staff of the Nuggets will be focused on playing better defense immediately and that will help see this combined score stay on the low side of the offered number. LA LAKERS are 51-31 UNDER in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots. DENVER is 43-20 UNDERL/63 in home games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 30-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 24-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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10-26-22 | Heat -1.5 v. Blazers | 119-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
Portland is on a big run to begin their season winning all 4 of their contests, while the Heat have looked lethargic at times and lost 3 of their first 4 games. It must be noted , however, that MIAMI is 8-0 ATS in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons and are a resilient group with top tier chemistry and work ethic so staying in a down mode wont be permanent. Miami has won their last two visits to Portland and Im betting number 3 is right around the corner. PORTLAND is 11-26 ATS L/37 off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival . The Blazers had a 135 point output last time out against Denver in a DD win ( 135-110) so now a regressionary offensive output against a Heat side that can play a strong brand of D wont come as a surprise. Note: Portland hasn't won at least five in a row to start a campaign since the Clyde Drexler-led squad won its first eight in 1992-93. MIAMI is 22-8 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 30-18 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Miami has won the last three meetings overall against the Blazers. Play on Miami to cover |
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10-26-22 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Giannis Antetokounmpo is up-trending in his scoring average to nearly 30 points a game last season and is off to another quick start and averaging 32.5 ppg entering this tilt. He averaged 31.9 points per game against the Nets in the 2021 Eastern Conference semifinals and matches up very well against this current group and will be key for me in backing the Bucks to win and cover tonight against a Nets team with early season defensive problems. Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 23-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after allowing 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 45-4 L/26 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Nets are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee. Nets are 16-35-1 ATS in the last 52 meetings. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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10-25-22 | Pistons v. Wizards -5.5 | 99-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
This is Detroits 3rd straight road game and they have lost the previous two by 24 and 9 points respectively and now Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Wizards side that are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. note: Pistons are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington. The L/4 meetings here in DC have been won the Wizards by DD margins and a rinse and repeat situation is projected here. NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - excellent defensive team (42% or less ) against a struggling defensive team (47% or more ) are 29-4 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.5 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 1-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.2 . Play on Washington to cover |
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10-24-22 | Jazz v. Rockets +2 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
After losing key players in the off season it was expected that the Jazz could easily find themselves as lottery picks by the end of this campaign. Well for now they have dispelled some of the pundits predictions, after some early season wins including a hard fought OT victory vs the Pelicans last now. However, now on tired legs and offering up less than deep bench Im betting they are vulnerable to being upset by their hosts the Houston Rockets this Monday night. Jazz are 16-35-4 ATS in their last 55 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Jazz are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 road games. Jazz are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.Jazz are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (118 PPG or more ), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are just 11-30 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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10-24-22 | Magic v. Knicks UNDER 220 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these teams NYK and the Magic took part in run and gun fast paced games last time out, and Im betting on tired legs and offensive regression taking its toll here tonight in what will see this combined score fail to see this offered number from the lines-makers being eclipsed. Under is 5-0 in Magic last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Thibodeau is 16-4 UNDER versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game as the coach of NEW YORK with a combined average of 202.6 ppg. NEW YORK is 42-25 UNDER as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209 ppg. Under is 14-4 in Knicks last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 6-2-1 in Knicks last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 20-7-1 in Knicks last 28 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. The L/4 meetings in this series have not eclipsed this offered total. Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 22-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-23-22 | Suns +2.5 v. Clippers | 112-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
After a hard fought win vs the Dallas Mavs (107-105) in their opener the Suns had a letdown performance in game 2 of their campaign against Portland and lost 113-111 , but will now be prepared in a big way for a bounce back against the Clippers tonight. Note:
Williams is 48-31 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PHOENIX. PHOENIX is 26-12 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
NBA Home favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - off a win against a division rival, first half of the season are 42-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (PHOENIX) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 47-20 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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10-22-22 | Cavs -1.5 v. Bulls | 128-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Donovan Mitchell is a game changer for the Cleveland Cavaliers and Im betting he will be the difference maker here tonight in Chicago. I know LaVine is expected to make his debut tonight for Chicago after sitting out so far with a nagging injury, but he is still less than 100% and may not play as much as is expected by the pundits. Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Bulls are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off a road loss are 33-82 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (CHICAGO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cavaliers to cover |
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10-22-22 | Pistons -1 v. Pacers | 115-124 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Both these teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, but my special power rankings suggest the Pistons are more well conditioned than the Spurs . Considering how tanked the Pacers looked at the end of their last game which was a back and forth event vs San Antonio last night that saw them lose by a 137-134 count, I feel confident the Pistons finding. a way to get the W tonight and keep Indiana winless on the season. Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Pistons are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 5-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 6-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |