Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-23 | James Madison v. Coastal Carolina +6.5 | 73-66 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
02-11-23 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +3.5 | 78-55 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Oklahoma has lost 3 straight overall and 5 straight conference games and are in desperation mode . Considering how well they played overall in a close 4 point loss in Lawrence earlier this season I can see them being competitive once again. OKLAHOMA is 10-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS is 6-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 season. Play on Oklahoma to cover |
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02-10-23 | Cavs -2 v. Pelicans | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
Cleveland took the first meeting between these two sides earlier this season by a 113-103 count and a rinse and repeat situation here on the road is high probability outcome once again. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NEW ORLEANS is 10-20 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on both the SU/ ATS offering. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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02-10-23 | Jazz v. Raptors -6.5 | 122-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Raptors having won 3 straight while the Jazz have lost 3 straight. With Westbrook being traded , the Jazz are at a disadvantage vs a side playing at home with momentum. UTAH is 0-7 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 5-35 L/27 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.9 ppg. Play on Raptors to cover |
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02-10-23 | Knicks v. 76ers -5 | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The 76ers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Knicks in NY last week. Im betting home court advantage and the motivation of getting redemption gets us a cover with the Sixers. PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season. Rivers is 30-16 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 76ers are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (Philadelphia ) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on both the SU/ ATS offering. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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02-10-23 | Spurs +4 v. Pistons | 131-138 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
This is one of the few teams that the Spurs matchup well against. The Spurs beat the Pistons on January 6th by a 121-109 count and Im betting will be primed for a rare win here in Motown tonight. Pistons are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. DETROIT is 1-18 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. NBA road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - ice cold team - having lost 18 or more of their last 20 games against opponent cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games are 48-19 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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02-10-23 | Suns +2 v. Pacers | 117-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Suns are finally starting to live up to their talent base and have now won 9 of their L/12 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Indiana has lost 13 of their L/15 overall and are very much fade material in their current form even here at home. Suns are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Indiana and get the nod to cover here again tonight. Williams is 28-11 ATS when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in all games he has coached . INDIANA is 10-25 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 62-106 L/27 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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02-10-23 | Robert Morris v. Cleveland State OVER 134.5 | 55-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CLEVELAND ST is 24-12 OVER against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147 ppg scored.CLEVELAND ST is 6-0 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 152.5 ppg scored. CLEVELAND ST is 12-1 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 149.5 ppg scored. Toole is 8-1 OVER off a home loss by 10 points or more as the coach of ROBERT MORRIS with a combined average of 138,8 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (CLEVELAND ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 90 points or more are 87-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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02-10-23 | Xavier -6.5 v. Butler | 67-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Xavier has revenge on board for being knocked out in the donkey round of last year’s Big East tourney, by a 89 -82 score and Im betting they come here spitting bullets. BUTLER is 2-11 ATS as an underdog this season. BUTLER is 4-11 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. Play on Xavier to cover |
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02-10-23 | VMI +10.5 v. East Tennessee State | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. E TENN ST is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season. E TENN ST is 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons. E TENN ST is 1-8 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (E TENN ST) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are just 6-28 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on VMI to cover |
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02-09-23 | Arizona v. California +19 | 85-62 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona took out California by 15 points at home last time out, and my projections estimate a similar diff here which gives us an almost 2 full possession value with taking points here. CALIFORNIA is 18-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 22-12 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. Fox is 18-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of CALIFORNIA. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (ARIZONA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. |
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02-09-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State +15 | 62-47 | Push | 0 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCLA is 1-8 ATS in road games after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 3-12 ATS after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half over the last 2 seasons. Cronin is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997. OREGON ST is 9-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 2 seasons.OREGON ST is 32-19 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (UCLA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 11-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Oregon state to cover |
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02-09-23 | Middle Tennessee +1.5 v. Western Kentucky | 89-93 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MTSU has won three straight and seven of the last 11 matchups vs W. Kentucky and Im betting they turn the trick again. MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-3 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. MIDDLE TENN ST is 15-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-1 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on Midd Tennessee state to cover |
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02-09-23 | Nuggets v. Magic +6.5 | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is the second meeting between these two sides, with Nuggets getting the narrow win at home on Jan. 15 when Nikola Jokic hit a 3-pointer in the final seconds. Orlando proved in that game they matchup well vs the Nuggets. note: The Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. ORLANDO is 15-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season. ORLANDO is 14-6 ATS in non-conference games this season. DENVER is 1-9 ATS in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season. DENVER is 4-13 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - off a blowout win by 30 points or more over a division rival, in February games are 8-21 L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 136 points or more are 31-10 L/5 seasons for. a 76% conversion rate. Play on Orlando to cover |
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02-08-23 | Wolves +5.5 v. Jazz | 143-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
When these teams met on Jan 16th the Jazz got by the Wolves by a 126-125 count, and Im betting on another closely contested affair here again tonight. UTAH is 11-28 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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02-08-23 | UCF v. Wichita State -125 | 72-67 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Wichita state is moving up in my power rankings while UCF has moved down after 5 straight losses.Some injury issues have been hampering the Knights. The Knights remain without their starting big man in the middle, Michael Durr, and have been 1-5 in his absence since being diagnosed with a thumb injury after the contest against SMU on Jan. 8. Since then, UCF has allowed an average of 83 points per game, including 76.2 points in regulation. Prior to Durr's injury, the Knights were ranked top 25 in the country in scoring defense, allowing 60.3 points a contest. Both teams are hungry, but Im betting on the home side prevailing. Wichita State is 5-0 SU all time at home vs UCF. UCF is 0-7 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last 2 seasonsUCF is 1-10 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Wichita State to cover |
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02-08-23 | Spurs +11 v. Raptors | 98-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Toronto pounded the Spurs 143-100 in San Antonio on November 2. It was an embarrassing event for Popovich and company and now Im betting he has this group ready to compete in a revenge mode here this Wednesday night. NBA Road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less. are 28-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. TORONTO is 3-13 ATS L/16 in home games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game - 2nd half of the season . Play on San Antonio to cover |
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02-08-23 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +4 | 75-62 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Seton Hall is out looking for revenge after an ugly 22 point blowout loss to the Blue Jays on the road earlier this season. Creighton is a fine team, but away from home seem average at best . Note: Since that loss the Pirates have won 7 of their L/8 overall are 8-3 at Prudential Center this season and their average margin of victory in Newark coming by 21.4 points per game. Im betting it will be Seton Halls top tier D, that is the difference maker tonight. Seton Hall has one of the top defenses in the country as it ranks 14th in KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency and it tops the BIG EAST in scoring defense (64 ppg), field goal percentage defense (40.4 pct) and three-point field goal defense (29.4 pct). Seton Hall has played one of the most difficult schedules in the country as KenPom ranks the Pirates' slate as the 15th toughest in Division I and its NET SOS ranks 21st. Holloway is 20-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) in all games he has coached since 1997.Holloway is 39-21 ATS ) as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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02-08-23 | Hofstra v. Northeastern OVER 142 | 72-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-07-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 235.5 | 112-146 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 giving us a two possession edge on this current offering. Denver runs at a slow 20th ranked pace while Minnesota ranks 20th in ppg offense and have gone under in 8 of the L/9 . MINNESOTA is 7-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 45-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - vs. division opponents, off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 91-57 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-07-23 | Cincinnati v. Tulane UNDER 153.5 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a total closer to 148 giving us a full two possession plus advantage to the under on this offering. TULANE is 36-20 UNDER in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game with a combined average of 133.5 ppg in that 56 game sampling size.
CINCINNATI in their L/149 road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) have seen a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored.
CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TULANE) - after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more, with all five starters returning from last season are 45-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (CINCINNATI) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread against opponent hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread are 60-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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02-07-23 | Toledo +2.5 v. Akron | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Toledo has won 10 of its last 13 meetings vs. Akron but dropped a 70-62 decision to the Zips in last year's MAC semifinals and now have some extra motivation with revenge on board . TOLEDO is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.TOLEDO is 11-3 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.TOLEDO is 11-3 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Toledo to cover |
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02-07-23 | Rutgers +4.5 v. Indiana | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Rutgers and Indiana will meet for the 16th time, with RU leading the series, . RU has ran its winning streak against the Hoosiers to six straight and eight of the past nine game and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. Pikiell is 13-3 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached since1997. Its going to be Rutgers extremely strong defense that gets us the cover. Note:Rutgers has been moving upward this season thanks to an outstanding defense. The Scarlet Knights are 16-1 when holding its opponent to 65 or fewer points and 8-0 when doing so in Big Ten games. Rutgers has allowed 65 points or fewer in all but 3 games this year.Scarlet Knights are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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02-06-23 | Weber State v. Northern Colorado OVER 141.5 | 54-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WEBER ST is 23-7 OVER L/30 versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse after 15+ games with a combined average of 152.9 ppg scored. N COLORADO is 8-1 OVER in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored. N COLORADO is 21-8 OVER l/29 as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick with a combined average of 150.8 ppg scored. Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WEBER ST) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 74-25 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.9 ppg. Play over |
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02-06-23 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 236 | 114-141 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Without the injured Curry in the lineup Im betting the Warriors offensively flow will be negatively effected which will also effect this totals offering to the low side . The Thunder have seen 6 of their L/9 games stay on the low side of the Total. Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 road games.Under is 7-2 in Thunder last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER ( in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 62-23 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings. Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Golden State. Play UNDER |
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02-06-23 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 222.5 | 124-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Nine of the L/10 meetings in this series have not seen todays offered number eclipsed and Im betting nothing changes today. The L/4 most recent matchups have seen a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored. Note: Dallas ranks 29th in pace in the NBA and 8th in ppg allowed, and will look to slow down a Jazz side that ranks 14th in pace, and that has gone over the offered total only twice in their L/7 games overall. Im betting on the Mavs putting us to sleep here and for this to be a slow grinding affair. Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 home games. Play UNDER |
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02-06-23 | Idaho State +3.5 v. Northern Arizona | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After a heart breaking OT loss last time out, Im betting Idaho state will be out looking for quick redemption and who better to get it against other than a N.Arizona program they have defeated in their L/3 visits here. CBB underdog (IDAHO ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 5 points or less are 103-59 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Idaho State to cover |
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02-06-23 | Cavs v. Wizards +3.5 | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Cleveland played yesterday and grabbed a road win vs the Indiana Pacers, but are now on tired legs . Note: The Cavs are 1-11-1 ATS as a road favorite with no rest. Meanwhile, the Wizards are rested and desperate to get back into the win column after suffering 2 straight losses, after a 6 game winning streak. Washington has held their own against the Cavaliers of late winning 3 of the L/4 here in DC as hosts and once again have an advantage taking points.Bickerstaff is 9-22 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of CLEVELAND and is 19-35 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of CLEVELAND.CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Washington to cover |
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02-06-23 | Duke +4 v. Miami-FL | 59-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. These teams have a recent history of playing closely contested games. Duke defeated Miami fl 68-66 earlier this season at home, and the three previous meetings have been decided by 4. 2, 2 points and Im betting on another. tight affair , with getting points being golden . It must also be noted that the Canes are off a hard fought win on the road vs Clemson last time out, and getting up and putting out the needed energy here as this game progresses may be a problem.MIAMI is 1-8 ATS in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. CBB Home teams where the opening line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 20-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Duke to cover |
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02-05-23 | Stanford v. Colorado -4.5 | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colorado plays their very best hoops at home and are averaging 73.0 points , nearly eight points per game more than on the road (65.3 ppg). The Buffaloes have enjoyed a plus-12.4 scoring margin at home. Colorado is shooting 46.7 percent at home, compared to 40.4 percent in road games. The Buffaloes are holding opponents to 60.6 points on 40.6 percent from the field at home compared to 72.1 points and 45.7 percent in road contests. I know Stanford has won 5 straight, but all good and bad runs must come to end . The Buffaloes have won five straight and 15 of the last 17 over the Cardinal and as hosts here in Boulder have won the last eight. Rinse and repeat. Play on Colorado to win |
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02-05-23 | 76ers v. Knicks +4.5 | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The Knicks lost a heart breaker in OT ot the Clippers last night, but are one of the leagues better conditioned sides and Im betting they find the energy to compete against tonight at home vs the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Knicks are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games playing with no rest. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, in February games are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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02-05-23 | 76ers v. Knicks OVER 224 | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day which was the case in the OT loss to the Clippers last night. Over is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Philly is 6-0 over a division road fav last two seasons. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points which was the case last time out in a 137-125 win vs the Spurs. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record like the Knicks. . Knicks have gone over in 7 straight division tilts. PHILADELPHIA is 29-11 OVER as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW YORK) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 32-9 OVER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBAl teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game. are 40-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-05-23 | Houston -10.5 v. Temple | 81-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Houston Cougars were home chalk vs Temple in their first meeting this season and lost by a 56-55 effort. It was a sleepy effort for a Cougars team that was considered one of the strongest in the nation. Now in redemption mode Im betting we really see the Cougars bring the heat here today in a what Im betting is a one way contest favoring the Cougars. Houston is 8-0 ATS on the road this season. Note: Temple when they lose SU at home vs a revenging opponent are 0-38-1 ATS. HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 3 seasons.HOUSTON in their L/ 58 games as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons have seen a average ppg diff click in at +22.6 ppg. Play on Houston to cover |
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02-05-23 | California v. Utah OVER 127.5 | 46-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After losing two straight games Im betting Utah will out of frustration play a start to finish game here today and really bring the heat in a more wide open tilt that the pundits might expect. These teams played a very low scoring sleeper the last time they met earlier this season with Utah winning by a 58-43 count. Note: CALIFORNIA is 9-1 OVER in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored. CALIFORNIA is 9-2 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 133.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.CALIFORNIA is 7-0 OVER after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average off 144.2 ppg scored. UTAH is 25-12 OVER L/37 in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-05-23 | DePaul +11 v. Seton Hall | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SETON HALL is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Stubblefield is 14-2 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days as the coach of DEPAUL.DEPAUL is 6-0 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. DePaul to cover |
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02-04-23 | Gonzaga +3.5 v. St. Mary's | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This may not be one of Gonzaga's best teams, but they are still explosive offensively eclipsing the 100 point plateau 6 times this season behind one of College Hoops top players, Drew Timme. They must not be underestimated, vs a strong Saint Marys side, that is coming off a grueling game against USF last time out that seen them win late with a hard to believe shot. This is a huge letdown situation for the Gaels at an inopportune time. Few is 51-37 ATS as an underdog as the coach of GONZAGA with the average ppg diff clicking in at -2.9. Advantage Gonzaga . ST MARYS-CA is 17-35 ATS L/52 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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02-04-23 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | 113-119 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Dallas behind the 29th ranked pace in the league and 7th best ppg D, will be primed to slow down the run and gun Golden State Warriors tonight as road underdogs. This results in a lower scoring game than many of the pundits might expect. On the flipside the Warriors viable 3 point D, will also highlight this lower than expected combined score. GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-04-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 221.5 | 115-123 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Miami has defeated the Bucks twice already this season in physical lower scoring altercations, and Im betting nothing changes today. Miami won 108-102 and 111- 95 and a rinse and repeat type of score is being projected by me for this spot play. MILWAUKEE is 13-3 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE is 8-1 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER against Central division opponents this season with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 209.4 ppg scored. MIAMI is 8-1 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.MIAMI is 18-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-04-23 | Clippers v. Knicks +3.5 | 134-128 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
The Knicks defeated the Miami Heat last time out, and now with momentum on their sides Im betting they will be competitive once again here tonight vs a Clippers side on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game. Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Clippers are 1-5 ATS in 1/1 rest situations vs non-conference opposition. Knicks are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NEW YORK is 46-28 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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02-04-23 | Stony Brook +15 v. Hofstra | 58-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Hofstra is lazy around the rim and are often outworked which is not a good omen against a side like Stoney Brook who are exact opposite around the basket with the height to get the job done. Im betting on the visitors to smash and grab their way to a cover on a bloated line. Play on Stoney Brook to cover |
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02-04-23 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -1.5 | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Home court advantage will be Im betting the decisive edge between two evenly matched sides.Clemson owns. a perfect 12-0 100% record this season at Littlejohn Coliseum. Meanwhile, Miami is 0-12 SU playing in this venue since becoming an ACC member. CLEMSON is 13-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +5.4 ppg.CLEMSON is 12-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +3.6 . Clemson to win |
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02-04-23 | Miami-OH v. Ohio OVER 151.5 | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 155 points giving us a almost full 2 possession edge on this number. MIAMI OHIO is 9-2 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 164.9 ppg scored. OHIO U is 7-0 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 160.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (MIAMI OHIO) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 30-4 OVER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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02-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State +2 | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kansas barley got by Iowa State at home in their first meeting this season 62-60 , but will now be hard pressed to get a cover here on the road vs a Iowa State program that is 5-0 ATS L/5 opportunities with same season revenge from a loss of 20 points or less. Also Kansas has played a tiring schedule of late against top tier opposition and now could easily find the grind very rough vs a tenaciously physical Iowa State side that has won the rebound battle in 8 straight tilts. Iowa State is a perfect 12-0 this season at the Hilton Coliseum and Im betting will hit lucky 13 here today vs the visiting Jayahwks. IOWA ST is 13-5 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +2.3 . Play on Iowa State to cover |
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02-03-23 | Air Force +11.5 v. Nevada | 52-72 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Nevada because of a perfect 11-0 home record are being over priced here according to my own projections that make this line closer -9 for the home side, thus giving us a full possession advantage taking points. Nevada beat air force by 6 on the road earlier this season, but it must be noted that AIR FORCE is 10-3 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season. Scott is 41-24 ATS as a road underdog of 10 or more points in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Air Force to cover |
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02-03-23 | Kent State +2.5 v. Akron | 55-67 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Zips took the 2022 MAC Championship defeating Kent State 75-55 at Rocket Mortgage center. Now its redemption time for Kent State . I know Akron is undefeated at home this season, but Kent State snapped Akron's 30-game home-court winning streak at the JAR and swept the regular season series last season and are capable of pulling an upset tonight. KENT ST is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.KENT ST is 6-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game this seasonKENT ST is 9-0 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 season. KENT ST is 10-1 ATSversus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.KENT ST is 9-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on Kent State to cover |
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02-03-23 | 76ers v. Spurs UNDER 237 | 137-125 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
The Spurs offense is struggling mightily of late averaging just 107 .4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court. This team as a whole looks winded and Im betting things wont get much better tonight vs a 76ers side that ranks 4th in ppg allowed in the league behind a deliberate 23red ranked pace. Note: The Spurs upset the 76ers way back in Oct of this season, but now with redemption at hand Im betting Philly will be wide awake here and ready to play a top tier brand of hoops tonight. Rivers is 35-19 UNDER ( in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 201.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 UNDER in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg going on the board. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 10 or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 62-27 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNDER |
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02-03-23 | Magic +5.5 v. Wolves | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Orlando has revenge on board for a home loss they suffered on Nov 16th this season and will now have revenge on board. Orlando has won their L/2 visits to Minnesota, and are 8-0 ATS overall when seeking same-season revenge vs the Wolves. Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Magic are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. ORLANDO is 10-2 ATS versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game this season.ORLANDO is 23-13 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season.ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. Magic are 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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02-03-23 | Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 241.5 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
These two struggling teams see this as an opportunity for a rare win, so Im betting on this being a very physical hard fought affair that stays on the low side of the number. Under is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games. DETROIT is 28-14 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 56-31 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two struggling defensive teams ( 118 or more PPG) are 50-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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02-02-23 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 224 | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
New Orleans has lost 9 straight behind a struggling offense that has averaged just 105 ppg in their L/5 overall trips to the court.On the flipside the Mavs have picked up their defensive game of late and allowed just 102.7 ppg in their L/3 tilts overall. today Im betting the Pelicans offensive struggles to persist and for the Mavs to continue to ramp up defensively. Kidd is 10-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 206 ppg scored. DALLAS is 40-25 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. DALLAS is 10-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 season with a combined average of 198.5 ppg scored. DALLAS is 23-8 UNDER in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.3 ppg. ORLEANS is 25-13 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-02-23 | Lamar v. McNeese State OVER 139 | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Mcneese has averaged over 77 points in offensive production at home this season while LaMars D has allowed over 81 ppg in offense while on the road (11 games)/ and their most recent 5 road games have allowed more than that average . Im betting on McNeese eclipsing their season average at home in offense while Lamar doing enough damage offensively to get us over this offered total. MCneese has won the two most recent meetings- Note: LAMAR is 9-1 OVERwhen playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.7 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LAMAR/ MCNEESE ST) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 32-4 OVER with a combined average of 161.3 ppg scored. Play over |
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02-02-23 | Lamar v. McNeese State -8 | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MCNeese to cover |
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02-02-23 | Kennesaw State v. Bellarmine OVER 132.5 | 90-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two different types of hoops systems are employed by these sides. Kenn state is very aggressive and efficient offensively as is evident by eclipsing the 81 plus point offensive plateau in 7 of their L/9 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Bellermaine is a D, first team. However, tonight against a very efficient offense , their slow down tactics could see them have to open up or handily lose. HC Davenport in 6 home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts as the coach of BELLARMINE has seen a combined average of 138 ppg go on the board. My projections also estimate a combined score of 137 points giving us a full 2 possession edge to the over on the current total offering. KENNESAW ST is 6-0 OVER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 155.4 ppg scored. KENNESAW ST is 12-1 OVER in February games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.8 ppg scored. KENNESAW ST in their L/28 games when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored. BELLARMINE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 135.7 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (KENNESAW ST) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 53-19 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-02-23 | Kennesaw State -3 v. Bellarmine | 90-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KENNESAW ST is 6-0 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season. BELLARMINE is 0-6 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. Kennesaw State to cover |
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02-02-23 | Lakers -1 v. Pacers | 112-111 | Push | 0 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Indiana dropped its third straight and 10th in the last 11 games when it lost 112-100 in Memphis on Sunday and are fade material in their current form. The Lakers meanwhile, after a victory vs New York last time out, are now 6-0 ATS L/6 vs Eastern conference foes and get my support to cover as short favs here vs a side they matchup well against. LA LAKERS are 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season NBA Road favorites (LA LAKERS) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 70-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Lakers to cover |
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02-02-23 | NC-Greensboro v. Mercer +3.5 | 69-49 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. These two teams met in Greensboro on January 21 where UNCG narrowly edged Mercer in a defensive battle.UNCG and Mercer are the best defensive teams in the conference currently, allowing only 63.5 PPG and 68.3 PPG, respectively. Im betting on another close contested tilt with home court advantage being the difference maker and a prime cover opportunity for the host getting points. Mercer has won 7 of 11 home games vs Greensboro. Jones is 7-20 ATS as a favorite as the coach of UNC-GREENSBORO. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MERCER) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercer to cover |
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02-01-23 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 231 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Sixers let a 21-point lead disappear as they lost 119-109 to the Magic on Monday. Now in the rematch game, Im betting the Sixers D, will be ready to rebound after the lazy effort they put forward in their last game . note: The Sixers ranks 23rd in pace and 4th in ppg defense. ORLANDO is 17-7 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 33-19 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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02-01-23 | Georgia v. Auburn OVER 140.5 | 73-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My totals projection comes in at 146 giving us a full two possession edge to the over on this totals offering. AUBURN is 8-0 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147.9 ppg scored.AUBURN is 20-8 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.9 ppg scored.Pearl is 17-7 OVER in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of AUBURN with a combined average of 151.4 ppg scored. GEORGIA is 14-5 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.6 ppg going on the board.GEORGIA is 8-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 156.5 ppg scored.GEORGIA is 12-4 OVER as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Road teams against the total (GEORGIA) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 149.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play over |
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02-01-23 | Army v. Lehigh -1.5 | 71-69 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Army defeated the Lehigh Mountain Hawks 80-78 in their last meeting on Dec. 30. Lehigh has however claimed the last two meetings inside Stabler Arena, the recent one coming in the Patriot League Quarterfinal where the Mountain Hawks came out on top, 91-77. Im betting on Lehigh getting revenge here tonight and to notch their 10th straight win overall. CBB underdog (ARMY) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 4-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Lehigh to cover |
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02-01-23 | Tennessee v. Florida +5.5 | 54-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Florida Gators, despite of a 64-50 loss at fifth-ranked Kansas State in SEC/Big12 competition , have won five of six in league play and deserve respect here at home vs Tennessee.Florida has held 11 of its previous 13 opponents to under 40-percent shooting, including seven of its eight SEC opponents and Im betting it will once again be their defense that keeps them competitive against this top tier Vols program. FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS after scoring 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons. TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Play on Florida to cover |
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02-01-23 | Albany +14 v. UMass Lowell | 50-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Albany despite of a sub par record matches up well against Umass -Lowell beating tem January at home by a 89-63 count. I know revenge is now on board for the home side , but it must be noted UMASS-LOWELL is 0-7 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.7. ALBANY is 34-16 ATS in road games against conference opponents.ALBANY is 19-6 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (UMASS-LOWELL) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 8-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Albany to cover |
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01-31-23 | Fresno State +4.5 v. Wyoming | 62-85 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Fresno State is second in the MW in scoring defense in conference play (65.22 points allowed per MW game) Im betting it will be the Bulldogs D, that makes life difficult for the Wyoming Cowboys. Also in a game that the linesmkaers have pegged to be closely contested Fresno State top tier charity stripe shooting will give them a needed edge. Bulldogs enter this tilt having made 73.7 percent of its free throws (205-278), which has a chance to track down the school record for single-season free throw percentage (74.2 percent, 484-652, 1991-92). WYOMING is 0-6 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game this season. Fresno State defeated Wyoming 58-53 in both teams' MW opener back on Dec. 28 at the Save Mart Center- Wyoming's L/11 revenge opportunities have seen an average 1.1 ppg diff. Four of the last five games in the series have been decided by five points or fewer. Play on Fresno State to cover |
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01-31-23 | Clippers v. Bulls OVER 225.5 | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
The Clippers enter this game playing alot of fairly high scoring affairs as their usually staunch defense fails them. Only 1 of their L/8 games has stayed on the low side of the total and they have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The clippers have gone over the set total in 18 of their 27 road games this season. The Clippers are coming off Sunday's 122-99 loss at Cleveland, which snapped a season-best five-game winning streak, but now Im expecting a more aggressive offensive attack will highlight their bounce back effort, forcing Chicago into opening up in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this offered totals number. My. projections estimate both sides will at least hit 114 points in production. Note: CHICAGO is 13-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 251.9 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with 232.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 OVER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 OVER in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 235.7 ppg scored. CHICAGO L/ 43 non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored with their L/5 non conference home games eclipsing the offered total. Play over |
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01-31-23 | Kansas State v. Kansas -6.5 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Revenge and redemption on board for Kansas tonight at home after a 83-82 loss on the road earlier this season in these rivals only meeting. The Kansas Jayhawks are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 opportunities when seeking same-season revenge against the Kansas State, with every victory coming by by double-digit margins.Self is 26-12 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of KANSAS with the average ppg margin clicking in just around under 10 ppg. Kansas is No. 8 in the NET Rankings through games played on Jan. 29. Kansas is No. 1 in NET Strength of Schedule and its eight Quadrant 1 wins are the most in NCAA Division I. Play on Kansas to cover |
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01-31-23 | Akron -2 v. Buffalo | 81-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. AKRON is 8-1 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Whitesell is 1-10 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. Akron to cover |
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01-30-23 | Hawks v. Blazers OVER 236.5 | 125-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Atlanta continues to play one way run and gun basketball with a combined average 243.2 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the court. My projections estimate both Portland and Atlanta will eclipse a 114 team scoring plateau which gives credence to a over bet here as ATLANTA is 17-2 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 249 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 51-21 OVER L/26 seasons for 70% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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01-30-23 | Alabama State v. Florida A&M UNDER 127 | 58-69 | Push | 0 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Alabama State has the fourth-best scoring defense in the SWAC, allowing 66.4 PPG. The Rattlers have one of the best defenses in the SWAC, allowing 64.5 PPG (2nd best). CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (ALABAMA STATE/FLORIDA A&M) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 32-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-30-23 | Jackson State v. Southern -8 | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Southern matches up very well here at home vs visiting Jackson State. This season Southern is 6-0 vs common opponents winning by an average of 11.7 ppg. My projections are estimating a DD win for the hosts, giving us a viable edge on this line offering. Woods is 12-0 ATS n home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or worse after 15+ games as the coach of SOUTHERN U with the average ppg diff clicking at +19. Woods is 10-0 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more as the coach of SOUTHERN U which was the case last time out with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.5/ Woods is 9-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of SOUTHERN U with the average ppg diff clicking in at +21.1 . Play on Southern to cover |
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01-30-23 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech +1.5 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Tech's 34-point loss in Ames is its biggest margin of defeat this season and came after the Red Raiders beat ISU by 31 (72-41) in the Big 12 Championship quarterfinals last season. Iowa State got their revenge, but now its payback time for the Raiders in the rematch. Quote:"We've got payback on Monday," Obanor said. "It's the second half of Big 12 and it starts over. It's an 18-round fight and is truly exciting to see what we can do and what we can become. February is when players become players. The season is not over and I'm excited to show the world who we are and what we can become." End Quote. Tech had a 29-game home winning streak end with its first Big 12 home game this season after going 8-0 at home in non-conference play…. Its a prime opportunity to end a 4 game home losing streak here tonight vs a side that has lost 5 of 9 road games this season and in a look ahead situation to playing Kanas in their next tilt. Note: Iowa State is 3-22 SU L/25 away prior to facing Jayhawks. IOWA ST is 20-39 ATS L/59 on the road when the line is +3 to -3 . CBB home team (TEXAS TECH) - good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better are 92-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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01-29-23 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Bucks | 110-135 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
From an SRS perspective the Pelicans despite of their current sub standard form are being under rated here in the underdog role vs a the powerful Milwaukee Bucks. New Orleans ranks 8th with a 1.88 SRS -While Milwaukee ranks 11th with a 1.60 mark. Adding him home court advantage still gives us adequate value with the road pup. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games. are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Road teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 40-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-29-23 | Detroit v. Youngstown State -8.5 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Youngstown State led the nation as the highest team offensive efficiency rating, per teamrankings.com. The Penguins ranked first with 1.145 points per possession. Over the last three games. The offensive efficiency of Youngstown State was 1.150 points per possession and its obvious to me that they matchup very well against a Jesuit group that is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.2. This is Detroit Mercy's 2nd road game in 3 nights and fatigue could easily set in here this tilt progresses. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more are 19-52 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.1 ppg. Play on Youngstown State to cover |
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01-29-23 | Oakland v. Robert Morris OVER 140 | 63-68 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 145 giving us a full 2 plus possession cushion to the over on the offered number. ROBERT MORRIS is 7-0 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 155 ppg scored. OAKLAND is 32-18 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the scoreboard.OAKLAND is 9-1 OVER after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 160.5 ppg scored.Kampe is 21-8 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of OAKLAND. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ROBERT MORRIS) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 93-38 OVER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-29-23 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | 61-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Michigan State has won nine of its last 12 games and enters the game on Sunday with a 14-7 overall record, including a 6-4 mark in Big Ten play and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here this afternoon vs streaking Purdue. The Spartans, have played one of the nation's toughest schedules to open the season, having faced the No. 1 toughest slate of opposing offenses in the country, the 19th-toughest slate of opposing defenses and rank No. 3 overall in strength of schedule. They are battle tested and get my backing to cover . MSU is 3rd in the B1G in scoring defense (64.10 ppg), 2nd in FG% defense (41.3%) and 1st in 3-point defense (28.5%).Tom Izzo is 28-22 in his career against Purdue.Spartans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. PURDUE is 4-12 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Purdue is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season. Boilermakers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Boilermakers are 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MICHIGAN ST) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive close wins by 5 or less over a conference rival are 79-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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01-28-23 | Suns v. Spurs UNDER 232.5 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The Suns have played teams like the wreck-less Spurs with a tough defensive mind set and nothing will change tonight as the home side continues to try to play a more physical type of game which is bucking the new wide open trend in the league. the suns have held their L/2 opponents to under 100 points and have gone under in 4 straight tilts. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering. PHOENIX is 11-2 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 220.5 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Suns last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-3 in Suns last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-2 in Suns last 7 Saturday games.Under is 9-4 in Suns last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 37-18-1 in Suns last 56 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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01-28-23 | Utah v. Oregon -4 | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Oregon matches up very well vs Utah and beat them by 10 points on the road a few weeks ago and have are 22-2 SU overall record against Utah under Coach Altman including winning 10 in a row against Utah. I know Oregon despite of alot top tier talent does not always play up to expectations, but are more than capable of a big game here vs the Utes at home. UTAH is 0-6 ATS in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.UTAH is also 2-9 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team (UTAH) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 279-399 L/26 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oregon to cover |
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01-28-23 | Rockets v. Pistons UNDER 236.5 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Pistons got involved in a consecutive high scoring games while scoring an astounding 130 points in both tilts and are now on tired legs and ready for immediate regression on offense. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Under is 5-2 in Pistons last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 120 points or more are 36-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 26-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Play under |
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01-28-23 | Knicks v. Nets UNDER 224.5 | 115-122 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Im betting on a hard fought affair between big apple rivals today in a game my projections estimate to go under the set total. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering. BROOKLYN is 9-0 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. BROOKLYN is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Under is 4-0 in Nets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings. Play UNDER |
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01-28-23 | Chattanooga +3 v. East Tennessee State | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. E TENN ST is 0-9 ATS in home lined games this season.E TENN ST is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season. E TENN ST is 0-6 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. UT-CHATTANOOGA is 7-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chattanooga to cover |
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01-28-23 | Northern Colorado +2 v. Northern Arizona | 73-83 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. N.Arizona has lost 9 of their L/10 with their lone victory coming by 1 point, and they are a sub 500 side. I know N.Colorado may not inspire bettors either, but according to my power rankings matchup well here overall, and have won 2 of their L/3 games, while showing passing discipline. N COLORADO is 10-0 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. .N ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.N ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on N.Colorado to cover |
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01-28-23 | Illinois -1.5 v. Wisconsin | 61-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Illinois has won five in a row over Wisconsin and Im betting on the 6th in a row comes here today.
Illinois has won its last two road game by an average margin of 22.0 points. Illinois leads all Big Ten teams with 22 road wins in league play over the last four years and are more than capable of turning the trick here again in this key Big 10 showdown. In its five Big Ten wins, Illinois is averaging 75.4 points while holding opponents to 61.0 points. Underwood is 6-0 ATS in road games versus sub par foul drawing teams - attempting 15 or less free throws/game as the coach of ILLINOIS. Play on Illinois to cover |
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01-28-23 | Alabama v. Oklahoma +6.5 | 69-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Oklahoma has lost 3 straight and have struggled in Big 12 competition against some of the best teams in the nation, while Alabama is streaking the other way winning 9 straight tilts . But from a matchup perspective the Sooners have the capabilities to slow Alabama down and to use the crowed noise to their advantage. The Sooners have nine players on the roster average 10 minutes or more so their depth will help them. Oklahoma is about the same offensively and defensively nationally in efficiency per 100 possessions. I know Sooners dont look remarkable, while the Tide have opened eyes with their fast paced take no prisoners style, but like I said the Sooners can compete. Oklahoma plays at about the same pace as Mississippi state which Alabama barley got by last time out with a late 3 pointer. ALABAMA is 1-9 ATS L/10 after 8 or more consecutive wins since 1997. OKLAHOMA is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA is 13-3 ATS L/16 in home games against SEC opponents. ALABAMA is 4-16 ATS L/20 in road games against Big 12 conference opponents. Oklahoma is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. Oklahoma to cover |
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01-28-23 | Stetson v. Queens NC OVER 154.5 | 65-71 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projection's make this total closer to 158 giving a 2 possession edge to the over. Queens is averaging just under 90 points per game on offense at home this season, and will attack again with wreck-less abandon at a fast pace, and force Stetson into opening up. This Im betting results in a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. QUEENS U - CHAR is 6-0 OVER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 169.2 ppg scored. STETSON is 6-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (STETSON) - in a game involving two sub standard defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 44-12 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 161.5 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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01-27-23 | North Dakota v. North Dakota State OVER 140 | 75-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these teams have eclipsed the offered total in their L/4 games and Im betting on another higher scoring affair than the Totals number being offered. North Dakota State has allowed just under 77 points on the road this season while N.Dakota has averaged 77 points on offense in their home games, and Im betting that this aggregate average continues with the visitors doing more than enough damage offensively to get us over this number. Sather is 12-4 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 149.6 ppg scored. Sather is 6-0 OVER in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 151.3 ppg scored. N DAKOTA ST in their L/7 home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N DAKOTA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 32-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-27-23 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 239 | 141-131 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The Bucks rank 18th in offense in the NBA and 6th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating behind a 15th ranked pace. The Bucks Bobby Portis is expected to be out tonight and their offensive flow could easily be off here without his chemistry in the lineup, thus limiting the Bucks explosiveness .After a successful defensive display by the Bucks against Denver in a 107-99 win last time out, a similar defensive formula Im betting will used to slow down the run and gun Pacers who despite of decent offensive output rank just 24th in offensive efficiency. Advantage under. Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games following a straight up win. Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 22-8 in Bucks last 30 road games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 111-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Indiana. Play UNDER |
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01-27-23 | Bucks v. Pacers +9 | 141-131 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Bucks will be playing with Portis tonight and Im betting their offensive flow will be interrupted which will see the Bucks play a more defensive brand of slow down hoops that will turn this game into a grinding affair . That Im betting results in a closer margin than the lines-makers are estimating. I know the Bucks plowed down a 132-116 offensive beatdown of the Pacers back on Jan 15th but now I expect the Pacers to be in big time revenge mode and very ready to compete on. a physical more conservative level . INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. MILWAUKEE is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Indiana to cover |
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01-27-23 | Detroit +1 v. Robert Morris | 77-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This will be just the seventh all time meeting between the two schools as the Titans are 6-0 all-time, 5-0 since the Colonials joined the Horizon League including a 87-75 win at home this season . Im now betting behind the nations top scorer at 26.4 points per game, graduate senior (Antoine Davis) will be the difference maker for the road side.The Titans have shot over 50.0% as a team in each of the last five meetings against Robert Morris posting 50.8%, 50.9% and 55.6% in 2021, 50.9% last year and 52.7% in the match-up two weeks ago. Rinse and repeat on the agenda. ROBERT MORRIS is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. Play on Detroit Mercy to cover |
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01-27-23 | Manhattan v. Niagara -5.5 | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Niagara was upset by Manhattan as road favs back on Jan 8th and will now be in revenge and redemption mode and ready for payback on their own home floor tonight. NIAGARA is 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.3 ppg. Niagara has momentum after a win last time out, - beating St.Peters by a 59-57 count - NIAGARA is 6-0 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff clicking in at +13 ppg. Play on Niagara to cover |
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01-26-23 | Arizona -5.5 v. Washington State | 63-58 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona has revenge on board for a embarrassing loss to Washington State at home 74-61 earlier in league play this season as 12 plus point chalk. Now with redemption at hand you can bet the Wildcats will be wide awake in the rematch and ready to lay down a beating of mammoth proportions. Arizona is 9-1 ATS L/10 at Wash State, and Im betting on another cover this evening by the powerful visitors. It must also be noted that the Cougars are off a another tepid offensive showing last time out and Im expecting more output issues against this type of shut down D.WASHINGTON ST is 0-8 ATS in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The Cougars have averaged 63.1 ppg in their L/5 games and that just wont get the job done tonight against a side that will be flying in transition. Play on Arizona to cover |
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01-26-23 | Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 233 | 100-138 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Spurs will be on tired legs tonight after suffering a loss last night to the LA Lakers and their 3rd road game in 5 nights. With that said, Im betting on a muted offensive output against a viable D that ranks 3rd in the league in ppg allowed as well as 25th in pace , and that will contribute to a score that does not eclipse this total. Note: Clippers in their L14 conference games as hosts have seen only one game eclipse the total. LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 18-3 UNDER ) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. LA CLIPPERS are 20-4 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 9-0 UNDER in home games after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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01-26-23 | Tennessee State v. SE Missouri State OVER 153.5 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My totals projections come in at 157 which gives us a two possession edge on this total being eclipsed. SE MISSOURI ST is 9-2 OVER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 159.1 ppg going on the board. TENNESSEE ST is 8-0 OVER after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 29-4 OVER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 164.1 ppg scored. Play over |
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01-26-23 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Tennessee Tech +2 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SIUE comes into this road matchup following back-to-back home defeats last weekend.. The Cougars dropped a 67-58 decision to Morehead State last Thursday before falling to Southern Indiana in an 82-72 contest on Saturday and lack momentum at a critical time vs a Tennessee Tech side that has revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to SIUE on the road. Tenn Tech has won 5 of their L/6 overall, and have owned this series at home winning 6 of the L/7 matchups.Im betting home court advantage prevails in a cover opportunity. SIU EDWARDSVL is 0-6 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. CBB team (SIU EDWARDSVL) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 6-23 L/5 seasons for. go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee Tech to cover |
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01-25-23 | Spurs +7 v. Lakers | 104-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
The Lakers are off a rivalry game agains the LA Clippers last night that ended in a DD loss and are on tired legs vs a Greg Popovich group that triple revenge on board vs LAL .Spurs head coach Greg Popovich is 8-0 ATS in his last eight opportunities when seeking same-season triple revenge.LA LAKERS are 3-11 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season. Play on San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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01-25-23 | Indiana v. Minnesota OVER 136.5 | 61-57 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 141 giving us a full 2 possession value to the over on the current offering. Ben is 8-1 OVER in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored.Ben is 8-1 OVER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.8 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 51-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-25-23 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -4 | 79-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Auburn’s 28-game home win streak is the longest in the nation and Im betting it continues tonight against Texas A&M as the home side has revenge for a loss they suffered in the SEC tourney last season. Note: Auburn has cashed 8 of their L/9 ATS revenge scenarios from a SEC tourney defeat. Tigers beat Texas A&M at home last season 75-58 . AUBURN is 9-2 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Play on Auburn to cover |
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01-25-23 | Nuggets +7.5 v. Bucks | 99-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have been playing top tier hoops in the NBA since early December. Denver has won 20 of 24 to move within a half-game of Boston for the best record in the NBA and deserve respect here as underdogs.Meanwhile, the Bucks are coming off a 150-point performance in a win at Detroit on Monday night and now go into a natural regressionary state at an inopportune time as the streaking Nuggets come to town. Note: Nuggets won last night 99-98 , - Denver is 6-1 ATS on the road with no rest vs non-conference opposition. Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bucks are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 9-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Denver has won and covered the L/2 meetings in Denver. – Series visitor 4-0 L4 ATS. Play on Denver to cover |
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01-25-23 | Wolves v. Pelicans -2 | 111-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Pelicans are struggling but their opponents have a way of falling apart against lower tier teams or those that are not at the top of their game as is evident by recent losses to Houston and Detroit. I know the Pelicans played last night but they are a well conditioned group and now in desperation mode at home and Im betting will come up with a strong covering effort as short favs. Green is 26-13 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate . NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 13-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-25-23 | Pacers v. Magic OVER 232.5 | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Pacers played last night and are now on tired legs. Indiana 7-0 OVER with no rest vs conference opposition and that will Im betting once again be the case tonight. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. Meanwhile, Orlando dominated the NBA-leading Boston Celtics on Monday, 113-98, behind a balanced offensive effort and stifling defensive performance and now in a regressionary state will find it hard to muster up as much physicality as last time which Im betting results in mucho chances for their opposition in transition. Over is 6-0 in Magic last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Magic last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.INDIANA is 18-5 OVER in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg scored in those 23 tilts. INDIANA is 27-14 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play over |
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01-25-23 | Houston v. UCF OVER 127 | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Temple upset Houston last time out, and now Im expecting Houston to be in full blown redemption mode , and to open up their offense in more aggressive fashion after a grinding 56-55 defeat. This will force a capable UCF offense into opening up or be blown off the court. When these teams met back in the end of the December the Cougars took a 71-65 victory and a rinse and repeat type of offensive output by both sides is expected Sampson is 12-4 OVER in a road game where the total is 129.5 or less as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 133.4 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored. CFB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UCF) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 39-13 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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01-25-23 | Lehigh -2 v. Holy Cross | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Lehigh has won 6 straight games and enter this tilt with momentum. According to my power rankings the Mountain Hawks matchup well here. The Mountain Hawks claimed the first meeting inside Stabler Arena on Jan. 11 (76-58) and are a viable short fav to earn the season sweep of the Crusaders.Lehigh had won four straight matchups before falling to the Crusaders last year in the Hart Center on Jan. 28, 2022 (67-65) to split the season series a year ago.LEHIGH is 7-1 ATS against conference opponents this season.LEHIGH is 7-0 ATS versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.LEHIGH is 6-0 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games this season. Play on Lehigh to cover |
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01-24-23 | Air Force v. San Jose State OVER 126 | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. AIR FORCE is 8-2 OVER after playing a game as an underdog this season with a combined average score of 139 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (AIR FORCE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 38-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SAN JOSE ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 41-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-24-23 | Georgia Tech +11 v. Clemson | 51-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned The last three meetings between Tech and Clemson at Littlejohn Coliseum have been decided by a total of eight points. The game-winning winning points were scored with 15, 1 and 14 seconds on the clock, respectively. Mark Twain once said that “History never repeats itself, but it does often rhymes. Note:Tech leads the ACC in three-point defense, allowing 29.2 percent from distance this season in all games and Im betting it is this that will help them stay within the number tonight. GTech to cover |