Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-16-17 | Bucknell v. West Virginia -13.5 | 80-86 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (West Virginia -13.5) I really like this Mountaineers team and think they could do some serious damage and make a deep run in the tournament. West Virginia's pressure is unlike anything most of these teams have seen, especially a team like Bucknell. It's not just the pressure that makes the Mountaineers such a dangerous team. They score close to 82 ppg on a 46% shooting and allow just 66.3 ppg on 42% shooting. I just don't think Bucknell has the talent to handle the press and keep this game close. Keep in my were talking about a Bucknell team that lost by 20 to Wake Forest and 26 to Butler in non-conference play. Give me the Mountaineers -13.5! |
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03-15-17 | Cal-Irvine +10 v. Illinois State | Top | 71-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
50* Vegas NIT Sharp Money Top Play (UC-Irvine +10) Illinois State was one of the last teams left out of the NCAA Tournament and that's a tough pill to swallow. Some might think they will be out to prove something, but I just don't think they were as good as people think. The Missouri Valley was way down this year and while they finished with the same record as Wichita State in the conference, they also lost by 20+ points to the Shockers twice. I just think the line here is way too too many points, as UC-Irvine is a talented team that is more than capable of winning this game outright. Give me the Anteaters +10! |
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03-15-17 | Akron v. Houston -8 | 78-75 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Houston -8) The Cougars are worth a look here at home against the Zips. Houston was very strong at home this year (13-4) and a big part of that was their defense, allowing just 62.4 ppg at home. I look for the Cougars to take the NIT very seriously and I can't say the same for Akron. The Zips had one goal in mind and that was to make the NCAA Tournament. All was good until they blew it in the MAC Tournament. Keep in mind this is a team that finished a full 3-games better than any other team in the MAC regular season standings. I look for Houston to take control early and put this one away by double-digits. Give me the Cougars -8! |
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03-14-17 | Boise State v. Utah -11.5 | Top | 73-68 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
50* Vegas NIT Sharp Money Top Play (Utah -11.5) The Utes finished 4th in the Pac-12 behind the 3-headed monster of UCLA, Oregon and Arizona with a respectable 11-7 record in league play. This is a very talented Utes squad, they just struggled to win on the road and had some bad breaks in close games. I firmly believe they are a lot better than they get credit for, especially on their home floor, where they finished 14-3 with the 3 losses to the likes of Butler, UCLA and Oregon (all by single-digits). Boise is a decent team that finished 3rd in the MWC, but I just think they are outclassed and Utah is too difficult a place to win. Give me the Utes -11.5! |
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03-14-17 | Valparaiso v. Illinois -8.5 | 57-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Illinois -8.5) I believe the fact that Illinois fired head coach John Groce actually works in their favor for this game. The Fighting Illini didn't play well in their final two games, but I expect this team to show up for interim head coach Jamall Walker at home. That's not even the biggest reason to like Illinois in this one. Valparaiso lost their best player and Horizon Player of the Year in Alec Peters. The kid averaged 23 points and 10 rebounds a game and was the heart and soul of this team. Without him there's not a lot to get excited about and I just don't see the Crusaders showing up for this one. Give me Illinois -8.5! |
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03-12-17 | Arkansas v. Kentucky -7.5 | Top | 65-82 | Win | 100 | 1 h 26 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kentucky -7.5) Most are going to stay away from the Wildcats after failing to cover the spread in each of their first two games in the SEC Tournament, but I like the value here with Kentucky in the title game against the Razorbacks. Arkansas was no match for the Wildcats when these two met in the regular season, as Kentucky rolled to a 26-point win, nearly scoring 100 points (97). Simply put, this is a bad matchup for Arkansas. The Wildcats have played much better now that the games mean something and I expect them to play their best with a SEC title on the line. Give me Kentucky -7.5! |
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03-11-17 | Arizona v. Oregon -2 | Top | 83-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Oregon -2) Arizona is getting some love here after knocking off UCLA yesterday, but I actually think that games gives the edge to Oregon, who had a much easier go of things against Cal. Not to mention I think the Ducks are the best team in the Pac-12, making this a great price to back them. Keep in mind that Oregon absolutely had their way with the Wildcats earlier this season. The Ducks won 85-58 at home. It figures to be a lot closer at a neutral site, but I don't think it's enough to keep Oregon from pulling out the victory. Give me the Ducks -2! |
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03-11-17 | Vanderbilt -2.5 v. Arkansas | 62-76 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer (Vanderbilt -2.5) The Commodores have been playing exceptional basketball in 2017, especially down this stretch run. Vanderbilt is 7-1 in their last 8 and that includes 2 wins over Florida and the only loss coming by just 6-points on the road at Kentucky. As good as Arkansas has been playing, I just don't see them being able to get in the way of the Commodores. Vanderbilt won the most recent meeting by 13 and did so by dominating on both sides of the ball. They shot 52% from the field and held the Razorbacks to just 38%. Arkansas is just 9-22 aTS in their last 31 road games revenging a same season loss. Give me the Commodores -2.5! |
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03-10-17 | California v. Oregon -9.5 | 65-73 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Oregon -9.5) The Ducks are on a mission to win the Pac-12 tournament and hopefully land them a No.1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Oregon absolutely owned Arizona State yesterday and I look for them to do the same here against the Golden Bears. Cal will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days and just won't be able to keep pace. While Oregon only won by 3 points at Cal, they crushed the Golden Bears by 23 at home. I see this one being an easy double-digit win for the Ducks. Give me Oregon -9.5! |
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03-10-17 | TCU v. Iowa State -4.5 | Top | 63-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
50* Conference Tournament Game of the Year (ISU -4.5) This Cyclones team has been flying under the radar in the Big 12 this season and are not getting near enough respect here against an inferior TCU team. The Horned Frogs knocked off No. 1 seed Kansas yesterday, but that was because the Jayhawks didn't have one of their best players. I was a lot more impressed with the way ISU played in their win over a red-hot Oklahoma State team and I think they turn this into a blowout early. The Sprint Center in KC is like a home game for ISU with all the fans that travel down from Ames. Give me the Cyclones -4.5! |
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03-09-17 | Colorado v. Arizona -7.5 | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS Knockout (Arizona -7.5) The fact that Colorado went 9-3 over their last 12 games has this line a lot lower than it should be. There's a big game between the top 3 teams in the Pac-12 (Arizona, UCLA and Oregon) and the rest of the league. During this run by the Buffaloes, only one of those wins came against the Big 3 and that was at home against Oregon, when they caught the Ducks in a bad spot. Arizona is somehow flying under the radar with all the attention to the Ducks and Bruins. I look for them to come out looking to make a statement here. Give me the Wildcats -7.5! |
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03-09-17 | Missouri v. Ole Miss -6 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month (Ole Miss -6) Missouri pulled off one of the more surprising wins yesterday, as they upset Auburn 86-83 as a 7.5-point dog. Keep in mind were talking about a Tigers team that had gone just 2-16 in league play during the regular season. Ole Miss isn't a great team by any means, but they did close out the season strong with a 7-3 record over their last 10 games. They have the edge here with them not playing yesterday and Missouri now on no rest. I think this is going to turn into a blowout in a hurry. Give me the Rebels -6! |
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03-09-17 | Rutgers v. Northwestern -7 | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money ATS Blowout (Northwestern -7) Rutgers was without a doubt the worst team in the Big Ten. They were able to upset Ohio State in the first round of the Big Ten tournament, but that only makes me like the Wildcats more in this one, as I just don't see the Scarlet Knights being able to compete at the same level as they did yesterday on no rest. Northwestern didn't finish the season great, going just 3-6 in their last 9, but injuries played a big part of that. They showed signs of getting back to the dominant form from earlier this season and are going to be extremely motivated to perform well here and that's really all it should take for them to win here by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -7! |
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03-09-17 | California v. Utah -2.5 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Month (Utah -2.5) Great price here to back the Utes in their Pac-12 Tournament opener against the Golden Bears. Utah got a first round bye, while Cal had to battle their way to a 67-62 win over Oregon State yesterday. This is a much bigger edge than people think and the Utes already were the better team. Note that these two didn't play that long ago and Utah won 74-44 at home. I know this is on a neutral court, but I just don't see it being enough to allow Cal to keep this one close. Note that the Golden Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 tournament games and 0-6 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in a span of 3 or less days. Give me the Utes -2.5! |
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03-08-17 | DePaul +10 v. Xavier | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
50* Big East Game of the Month (DePaul +10) It's been a real struggle for Xavier down the stretch run and I just think this is too many points for them to be laying against a team they just played 4 days ago. The Musketeers did beat DePaul 79-65 but played about as well as they could. The books constantly inflate these lines in games where you have a team that just beat the same opponent and covered the spread. DePaul is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 off a loss by 10 or more this season, while the Musketeers are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 after playing a game on the road. Give me the Blue Demons +10! |
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03-08-17 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -9.5 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Virginia -9.5) I look for the Cavaliers to lay a beating on the Panthers tonight. Virginia closed out the regular season on a roll, knocking of NC State, UNC and Pitt all by double-digits. The win over the Panthers was a 25-point blowout victory and I don't think Pitt will be able to get their revenge here. The Panthers are at a big disadvantage having just played yesterday in a hard fought win over Georgia Tech, while the Cavaliers haven't played since Saturday. Virginia's got the best defense in the country arguably and will be able to take advantage of the tired legs of Pitt on the offensive side of the ball. Give me Virginia -9.5! |
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03-07-17 | Boston College v. Wake Forest -12 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wake Forest -12) I know this looks like a big number, but I just think it's the right side here. Wake Forest doesn't get the hype as some of the other teams in the ACC, but this team has been playing it's best basketball going into March and are certainly capable of laying a beating on the Eagles, who haven't won a game since beating NC State at home back on Jan. 11th. Sure Wake Forest only won by 5 at BC back on 1/31, but let's not overlook the fact that was a horrible spot for the Demon Deacons. They had just suffered a heartbreaking 83-85 loss at home to Duke 3 days earlier. I also know Wake wasn't a great road team, but BC was a mere 1-12 away from home, where they lost by an average of nearly 13 ppg. Wake Forest needs to win this game to ensure a spot in the Tournament and I expect them to do so in convincing fashion. Give me the Demon Deacons -12! |
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03-04-17 | California v. Colorado -2 | 46-54 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Colorado -2) The Buffaloes are worth a look here at home against the Golden Bears. Cal has the better record in Pac-12 play, but this one comes down to location and the Bears being in a brutal spot having to play back-to-back road games in a span of 3-days at Utah and then Colorado. Not to mention this is the Buffaloes home finale and they are a very respectable 12-4 at home The Golden Bears are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after a loss, while Colorado is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. Give me the Buffaloes -2! |
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03-04-17 | Kentucky -7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Year (Kentucky -7.5) I think this is a prime spot to jump on the Wildcats. Kentucky has covered the spread in just 1 of their last 4 game and were fortunate to rally to win at home against Vandy last time out. I believe all that has the Wildcats undervalued here against a very mediocre Texas A&M team. The big key here is that Kentucky needs to win this game to ensure an outright SEC regular season title and that's not something they are going to let them by with just one game left. Let's also not forget Kentucky didn't have much trouble against the Aggies at home earlier this season, beating them 100-58. It won't be that bad, but I still see Kentucky winning by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -7.5! |
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03-02-17 | Houston v. Cincinnati -8 | Top | 47-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cincinnati -8) I expect a big time effort here from the Bearcats in their home finale, as they look to rebound from a 49-53 loss at UCF, only their second conference loss of the season. This might seem like a big number for Cincinnati to be laying against a Houston team that has gone 7-1 in their last 8 games, but the Bearcats own a perfect 17-0 record at home. All but two of their home wins at home have come by double-digits, the only exception a 2-point win over SMU, who is right there with them in the ACC elite and a 7-point win over Temple. Note that while the Cougars have played well on the road, they lost by 9 at home to the Bearcats earlier this season. Houston lost by 21 at SMU and by 10 at home to the Mustangs. I mention this because SMU and Cincinnati are a class above the rest of the conference. This is also a tough spot for Houston, who has played a gauntlet of a schedule of late. Their last 3 games have been at home against SMU, home against UConn and @ Memphis. Give me the Bearcats -8! |
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03-01-17 | Marquette v. Xavier -3 | Top | 95-84 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
50* Big East Game of the Year (Xavier -3) The Musketeers come in having lost 5 straight, but injuries have played a big part in that and they just recently got back Bluiett, who after losing Sumner to a season-ending is one guy they can't afford to be without. I think he's poised to lead Xavier to a big win at home against Marquette. Not only will the Musketeers be out to revenge a recent 22-point loss at Marquette on 2/18, but there's a little extra motivation here with this being their home finale. Note that Bluiett didn't play in that 22-point loss and the Golden Eagles don't figure to get another 34-point effort from Howard, who went a ridiculous 9 of 12 from 3-point land. Marquette is also not a great road team at 4-8 on the year. Give me the Musketeers -3! |
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03-01-17 | Michigan v. Northwestern +1.5 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (Northwestern +1.5) The Wildcats have struggle to regain the momentum they had going prior to losing Scottie Lindsey or 4 games. They nearly snapped their funk in their last game, but came up just short in a 62-63 loss at Indiana. I believe they are primed for one of their best efforts here at home against the Wolverines, who are getting a little too much respect given their recent run. The Wolverines are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home and I think they struggle to match the intensity of the Wildcats off that huge home win over Purdue this past Saturday. Give me Northwestern +1.5! |
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02-28-17 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -2 | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Georgia Tech -2) I just don't see Pittsburgh being all that interested in this game. The Panthers only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to somehow win the ACC tournament, as they are just 4-12 in league play. Georgia Tech on the other hand still has an outside shot at sneaking into the field with a couple more wins to close out the regular season and a win or two in the ACC Tournament. Either way, the Yellow Jackets are the only team with something to play for in this one and it only adds more fuel to the fire for Georgia Tech with this being senior night. Note that the Yellow Jackets are a very strong 14-4 at home, while Pitt is a mere 4-8 on the road. Give me Georgia Tech -2! |
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02-28-17 | St. John's v. Creighton OVER 164 | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Total No Brainer (OVER 164) I look for these two teams to have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. Creighton comes in averaging 84.3 ppg at home and will be facing a St. John's defense that gives up 82.1 ppg on the road. The key here is that while the Red Storm can't stop anybody, they are capable of putting up big numbers offensively, as they average a respectable 77.6 ppg. The OVER is 11-4 in St. John's 15 games away from home and a perfect 6-0 after playing a game as a home favorite and 16-3 in Creighton's last 19 home games off 2 straight conference losses. Give me the OVER 164! |
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02-27-17 | Oklahoma +14.5 v. Kansas | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Oklahoma +14.5) I'll gladly take my chances with Oklahoma as a massive road dog against the Jayhawks. I know Kansas is playing their home finale, but they just locked up an outright Big 12 title and have to start thinking about resting up some of their key players for what really matters. For Oklahoma this is a game I believe they will desperately want to win and they will come in confident off an 81-51 blowout win at home over Kansas State. Prior to that they had played well on the road against both Oklahoma State (92-96) and Baylor (54-60), plus they have that earlier road win at West Virginia. I don't think they win here, but I see no reason why they can't keep it within 10 points. Give me the Sooners +14.5! |
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02-26-17 | Butler v. Xavier +2 | Top | 88-79 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Xavier +2) Now is the time to jump on Xavier at home, as they are going to be extremely motivated after losing 4 straight. Injuries played a big part of the Musketeers struggles of late, but they just got back Bluiett in their last game at Seton Hall. Butler won at home over Xavier earlier this season, which sets the Musketeers up for revenge here. This is also a bad spot for the Bulldogs going on the road after that huge road win at Villanova. Give me the Muskeeteers +2! |
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02-25-17 | Iowa v. Maryland -7 | 83-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas ATS Knockout (Maryland -7) This is a huge bounce back spot for the Terrapins, who were just embarrassed on their home floor by 14 by Minnesota. That came after a loss at Wisconsin. Maryland is primed to get back on track here in a big way against the Hawkeyes, who are due for another letdown on the road after a big 96-90 overtime win at home against Indiana. Iowa is just 2-9 away from home on the season and their only road win inside the Big Ten came against bottom feeder Rutgers. Five of their six conference road losses have been by double-digits. Give me the Terrapins -7! |
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02-25-17 | Kansas v. Texas +8.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Dog of the Day (Texas +8.5) The Longhorns covered as a 16-point dog at Kansas earlier this season, as they lost by a final of 67-79. Texas was only down 7 with less than 5 minutes to play, as KU pulled away late to make it look worse than it was. That sets up the Longhorns in a great spot, as they are 10-2 ATS over the last 2 seasons revenging a road loss. They are also 23-10 ATS in their last 33 as a home dog, while KU is a mere 7-15 as a favorite this season and could be in line for a letdown here after securing another Big 12 title last time out against TCU. Give me the Longhorns +8.5! |
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02-25-17 | Mississippi State +8.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 48-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month (Mississippi State +8.5) The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a big dog against the Commodores. Mississippi State is undervalued right now, as they have lost 5 straight, but it's not like they haven't been competitive. All 5 losses have been by 6 points or less. Vanderbilt is getting too much love here after winning 3 straight. Keep in mind that the Bulldogs beat the Commodores 75-74 earlier this season. With a huge showdown at Kentucky on deck for Vandy, I wouldn't be shocked if Mississippi State won this game outright. Commodores are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 and 4-15 ATS in their last 19 home games off a road win by 10 or more points. Give me the Bulldogs +8.5! |
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02-25-17 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -6.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Oklahoma State -6.5) I got no problem laying this number with the Cowboys at home against the Red Raiders. Outside of Kansas, Oklahoma State has been playing the best basketball of any Big 12 team. The Cowboys come in having won 4 straight and 9 of 10 overall. This run includes a 83-64 win at Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are headed in the opposite direction and fresh off a crushing 80-82 home loss to ISU. Texas Tech is also a mere 2-8 ATS away from home this season and 9-26 in their last 35 after allowing 80+ points in 2 straight games. Give me the Cowboys -6.5! |
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02-23-17 | Utah +2.5 v. Colorado | 86-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Late Night ATS Knockout (Utah +2.5) Utah followed up an embarrassing 61-79 loss at Oregon with an even more embarrassing loss at Oregon State just 3 days later. I'm not about to jump off the Utes bandwagon after a couple bad showings. In fact, I think it has Utah in a prime position to win on the road against the Buffaloes. The Utes are the superior team and Colorado isn't exactly feeling good about themselves after a 73-101 loss at Oregon. The Buffs do have a strong home court advantage and a big part of that is teams not use to playing in the thin air of Denver. That's not the case with Utah, who has actually won the last two and 4 of 7 overall at Colorado. Give me the Utes +2.5! |
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02-23-17 | Georgia v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 60-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Alabama -5.5) The Crimson Tide come into this game playing with some confidence after winning their last two. They certainly won't be intimidated by the Bulldogs, who they knocked off 84-64 in Georgia back on 1/25. I know the Bulldogs will want revenge here, but I just don't see it happening. Georgia is off a crushing 77-82 loss at home to Kentucky and will be playing their first game with Yante Maten, who leads the team in scoring at 18.7 ppg and is 2nd in rebounds (6.9) and first in blocks (1.5). The only other player averaging double-figures is J.J. Frazier and you can expect Alabama's defense to lock in on him in this one. Give me the Crimson Tide -5.5! |
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02-22-17 | Connecticut +7.5 v. Houston | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Dog of the Day (Connecticut +7.5) Big time revenge spot for the Huskies, who lost at home to Houston without their best player in Jalen Adamas. On top of that, Connecticut is playing at a whole different level than when these two met up in late December. I'm not saying Houston shouldn't be favored at home, but these are two evenly matched teams. I see this one going right down to the wire and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Huskies won this game outright. UConn has won 7 of their last 8 and are sitting with an identical 9-5 record in the AAC as Houston. Give me the Huskies +7.5! |
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02-22-17 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest -7 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wake Forest -7) The Demon Deacons are worth a look at home against the Panthers. Wake Forest is in a prime bounce back spot playing at home after losing their last two on the road, while Pitt is in a prime letdown spot after a huge 80-66 home win over FSU. The Panthers haven't played on the road since 2/8 and are a 4-7 away from home on the season and 1-5 on the road in the ACC with the only win coming at Boston College. Wake is 9-3 at home with two of those losses at the hands of Duke and North Carolina. Last home game the Deacons crushed NC State by 30 and the time before that they won by 12 over Georgia Tech. Give me Wake Forest -7! |
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02-22-17 | Michigan -8.5 v. Rutgers | 68-64 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Michigan -8.5) I know the Wolverines are just 3-7 in road games this season, but this is Rutgers and they don't have the same kind of homecourt edge as the other teams in the Big Ten. That's evident by the fact that they lost by 20 at home to a young an inexperienced Iowa team. Coming off a 78-83 loss at Minnesota and far from being a lock to make the NCAA Tournament, I expect a big time effort here from the Wolverines and I just don't see the Scarlet Knights being able to keep it competitive. Rutgers is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me Michigan -8.5! |
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02-21-17 | Northwestern -1.5 v. Illinois | Top | 50-66 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (Northwestern -1.5) Northwestern is worth a look here on the road against Illinois. The Wildcats are a team that is going to make the NCAA Tournament for the first time in school history this season. They have hit a bit of a bump in the road of late, but it came with their leading scorer Scottie Lindsey sidelined with mono. He returned in their last game, where they held on for a 69-65 win at home over Rutgers. Only beating the Scarlet Knights by 4 at home doesn't look good on paper, but I believe that's the kind of win that can get this team back to playing at the level they were before Lindsay went out. They were 7-2 in Big Ten play before his injury and are now 9-5. Illinois is a decent team, but not on the same level as the Wildcats and have not played great at home of late. Note that Northwestern has already won at Penn State, Nebraska, Ohio State and Wisconsin. Give me the Wildcats -1.5! |
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02-20-17 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech OVER 142.5 | Top | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 142.5) I just don't think there's too much value here on the OVER to pass up. Yes, these two teams combined for just 119 points earlier this season at Iowa State. The thing is, it was about as bad ad both teams could have played offensively. Texas Tech shot 38.6% from the field and 28.6% from behind the 3-point line. Iowa State was 39.6% from the field and 28.6% from long-distance. ISU averages 80.7 ppg and Tech is at 75.4 (80.2 ppg at home). I expect a lot more flow this time around. The Cyclones are limited defensively and come in giving up 76.8 ppg on the road. Texas Tech only gives up 65.4 ppg at home, but I just don't see them locking down on defense playing on just 1-day rest after a crushing double-overtime loss at West Virginia. Five different Red Raiders logged 32+ minutes and only 7 players played more than 6 minutes. OVER is 6-1 in Cyclones last 7 road games and 24-9 in their last 33 as a dog of 6.5 or less. OVER is also 8-3 in Red Raiders last 11 home games and 7-3 in their last 10 as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Give me the OVER 142.5! |
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02-19-17 | Connecticut +2 v. Temple | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
50* Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Connecticut +2) The Huskies are worth a look here. UConn is playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have won 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall. The only loss coming against Cincinnati, who along with SMU is a class above the rest of the conference. Temple is a quality team, but are just 5-9 in AAC play and don't exactly have a huge home court edge. At least not enough to make up the difference from when these two played at Connecticut. The Huskies won that contest 73-59. They shot 53% from the field and held the Owls to just 36%. They also had a +9 edge in rebounding and +10 advantage in free throws. Last time out the Huskies beat Memphis at home 65-62 and are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 off a close home win by 3 points or less. Give me UConn +2! |
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02-18-17 | Xavier v. Marquette -3.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big East Game of the Month (Marquette -3.5) I think we are still in a position to take advantage of the books not adjusting enough to the injuries that Xavier is dealing with. Sumner is already out for the year and Bluiett is a game-time decision. I would be surprised if Bluiett's ankle is better just 3-days after it was too sore to play against Providence. While the Musketeers are limping into this one, this game means everything to Marquette. If Blueitt doesn't play this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me Marquette -3.5! |
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02-18-17 | Colorado v. Oregon -12 | 73-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Oregon -12) I have no problem laying this big number on the ducks at home against the Buffaloes. Oregon, UCLA and Arizona are clearly a step ahead of the rest of the conference and the Ducks might just be the best of the three. Either way Oregon has been on a mission in Pac-12 play and are 16-0 at home with an average win by 21.1 ppg. The Ducks are also outscoring conference opponents by 15+ ppg. Colorado was able to upset Oregon at home earlier this season, which makes this one mean a little more to the Ducks. I don't see the Buffaloes being able to keep pace with a motivated Oregon team. Give me the Ducks -12! |
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02-18-17 | Florida v. Mississippi State +10.5 | 57-52 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mississippi State +10.5) The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a big home dog. Florida is getting a ton of respect and are overvalued right now. The Gators have won 7 straight and just won 114-95 at Auburn as a 10-point favorite. Mississippi State on the other hand is undervalued right now. The Bulldogs have lost 3 straight, but the key is they have all been close. IN fact, all 3 losses came by 7 points or less. This is also a tough spot for Florida, who is riding high and has two huge games on deck next week at home against South Carolina and at Kentucky. An outright upset isn't out of the question. Give me Mississippi State +10.5! |
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02-17-17 | Kent State v. Akron -8.5 | 70-67 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Akron -8.5) I like the Zips to win here by at least double-digits at home against the Golden Flashes. Kent State is outclassed here. While they are 3-3 in their last 6 games, two of those wins have come against Miami (OH), which has the worst record of any team in the MAC at 3-10. The other was against Eastern Michigan who is 5-8. Last road game for the Flashes was a 20-point loss at Toledo, which is the same team Akron just took down at home. The Zips are the class of the MAC at 12-1. The next best team is 8-5. It's also worth noting that Akron is a perfect 13-0 at home this season, with the average win coming by 15.1 ppg. Give me the Zips -8.5! |
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02-16-17 | Wisconsin +1.5 v. Michigan | Top | 58-64 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wisconsin +1.5) The Badgers weren't sharp in a few of their wins and it finally caught up to them in their last game, as they were stunned at home by Northwestern, who was without their best player. Sometimes a loss like that is all an elite team like Wisconsin needs to get their attention and re-focus them on the task at hand. I look for one of the Badgers best efforts here against a Michigan team that is getting a little too much respect for blowing out a down Michigan State team and winning at Indiana, who has been in a serious funk. Give me Wisconsin +1.5! |
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02-15-17 | Oklahoma State +2 v. TCU | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Oklahoma St +2) I'll gladly back the Cowboys as a dog in this one. Oklahoma State has won 6 of their last 7 with the only loss being a mere 3-point loss to Baylor. This run includes a 13-point win at home over TCU, where the Cowboys shot 54% from the field and held the Horned Frogs to just 39.3%. TCU is 6-6 in the Big 12, but have not fared well against the upper-level teams. I know Oklahoma State is just 5-7 in the Big 12, but they have been playing like an elite team for almost a month now. Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and TCU is a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a winning record. Give me Oklahoma State +2! |
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02-15-17 | Duke v. Virginia -4.5 | 65-55 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Big Money ATS Blowout (Virginia -4.5) My money is on the Cavaliers to take care of business at home against the Blue Devils. The public is all over Duke, which has won 5 straight, but the last 3 all came at home and they were fortunate to escape with a 64-62 win at home against Clemson in their last game. Virginia is off a crushing 78-80 loss at in-state rival Virginia Tech and are primed to bounce back with a huge effort here at home, where they are 10-2 on the season. Last home game the Cavaliers cruised to a 71-55 win over a very good Louisville team. Duke is just 2-3 on the road in ACC play. Virginia is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Give me the Cavaliers -4.5! |
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02-15-17 | Indiana +5 v. Minnesota | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big Ten Game of the Month (Indiana +5) I think this is a great time to buy low on the Hoosiers, who are much better than their recent 1-5 run would lead on. At the same time, I think we are catching the Gophers overvalued off 3 straight wins against teams in the bottom half of the league. This has the feeling of a must-win game for Indiana and I expect the Hoosiers to deliver. Minnesota is just 6-6 in league play. Indiana is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 after failing to cover the spread in their last game and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 as a road dog of 6.5 or less. Give me Indiana +5! |
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02-14-17 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -14 | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Kentucky -14) I'm not buying Kentucky's loss at Tennessee a few weeks back being a sign of things to come in the Vols keeping it close on the road against the Wildcats. I don't think Kentucky took that first meeting seriously, as they just played a big home game against South Carolina and had an even bigger game on deck at Kansas. It was the definition of a sandwich/trap game. This time around I think the Wildcats are going to be 100% locked in and out to make a statement against the Vols. I see this getting ugly in a hurry and Kentucky taking this one by 20+ points. Give me the Wildcats -14! |
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02-13-17 | Baylor v. Texas Tech OVER 127 | Top | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big 12 Play of the Month (OVER 127) These two teams played earlier this season and combined for just 126 points with a total of 130.5. I believe that low-scoring game has forced the oddsmakers to over-adjust the total for this contest. That first meeting saw both teams struggle from the field. Texas Tech only hit 41.4% of their attempts and Baylor was a miserable 35.4% from the field. That's uncharacteristic for both teams, as the Red Raiders are hitting 48.3% from the field on the season (51.3% at home) and the Bears are at 47.9% on the season (47.1% on the road). OVER is also 6-0 in Texas Tech's last 6 after playing their previous game as a home dog (hosted Kansas on Saturday). Give me the OVER 127! |
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02-12-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -11 | 66-59 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Wisconsin -11) This is as talented a team as Northwestern has arguably ever had, as it figures to be the first team in program history to make the NCAA Tournament. I think that has a lot of people drawn to the Wildcats as a double-digit dog here, but my money is on Wisconsin. The big key here is that Northwestern is still without their best player in Scottie Lindsey. Not only does he lead them in scoring (15.4), but he does a little bit of everything (4.3 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.1 spg). Not to mention he's one of their most efficient shooters and leads the team in made 3-pointers. In the two games he's missed, they have lost by 21 at Purdue and fell at home to a pretty bad Illinois team by 7. Wisconsin hasn't looked great of late, but have also played 4 of their last 6 on the road. I expect a big time effort here from the Badgers and expect this one to get ugly in a hurry. Give me Wisconsin -11! |
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02-12-17 | Cincinnati v. SMU -3.5 | Top | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (SMU -3.5) I like the Mustangs to put an end to Cincinnati's perfect run in the AAC and cover this small number at home. When you look at the standings and the numbers, it's pretty clear that these two are head and shoulders above the rest of the conference. SMU's only loss in the AAC is at Cincinnati by a final of just 64-66. Note that the Bearcats jumped to an early lead and led by as many as 15 before SMU figured things out and closed the game strong. Cincinnati is not near the offensive team on the road as they are at home. The Bearcats average 77.0 ppg on the season, yet only average 63.9 ppg on the road. SMU is 14-0 at home and are scoring more and allowing less on their home floor. Give me the Mustangs -3.5! |
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02-11-17 | Arkansas -4.5 v. LSU | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (Arkansas -4.5) The Razorbacks aren't normally a team that I would back as a road favorite, but I like them in this spot. LSU is awful and are just 1-10 in SEC play with their only win coming against Missouri way back on Jan. 4. Arkansas comes into this game off back-to-back losses, which I think is critical. It's going to have he Razorbacks 100% locked in on this game and that should be all it takes to beat the Tigers by 5 or more points. Note that LSU has lost 9 of their last 10 by at least 7 points. This is also a major letdown spot for the Tigers off a shocking close loss at Kentucky. Give me Arkansas -4.5! |
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02-11-17 | Houston v. Tulsa +3 | Top | 73-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB AAC Game of the Month (Tulsa +3) I believe the Golden Hurricane should be the ones favored in this contest. Tulsa is simply way undervalued after losing their last 3, but two of those were at home against the two best teams in the league in Cincinnati and SMU and the other was a road game against Memphis. On the other side, Houston is overvalued here after winning 4 straight, though 3 of those were at home and the only one away from home was at Tulane, who is 1-11 in AAC play. Prior to the 3-game losing streak, Tulsa had won 4 of 5 and note they only lost at Houston by 3-points earlier this season. Golden Hurricane are 17-7 ATS last 2 seasons at home and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games after failing to cover the spread in their previous contest. Give me Tulsa +3! |
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02-11-17 | Ohio State v. Maryland -7 | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Maryland -7) A lot of things are pointing in the right direction for the Terrapins on Saturday against the Buckeyes. Maryland is playing at home where they are 11-3 on the season and facing an Ohio State team that is a mere 3-6 away from home. They also catch the Buckeyes short-handed, as starting point guard JaQuan Lyle is sitting this one out for personal reasons. That's a huge loss for Ohio State and one I don't think they can overcome on the road. Keep in mind the Terrapins already beat the Buckeyes by 6 on the road. Give me Maryland -7! |
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02-11-17 | Miami (Fla) +10.5 v. Louisville | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ACC Game of the Month (Miami +10.5) I think the books have made a big mistake here making the Hurricanes a double-digit dog against the Cardinals. Miami has had their ups and downs in the ACC, but in good form right now off back-to-back wins. Louisville comes in off a ugly loss at Virginia and the perception here is they are going to bounce back big at home, which I believe has created this inflated line on the Cardinals. Miami's the kind of team that can give Louisville problems. The Hurricanes are hitting 37% from behind the 3-point line and the Cardinals are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams who make 37% or more of their 3-point shots. Miami is also 30-13 ATS in their last 43 as a dog of 10 or more points. Give me the Hurricanes +10.5! |
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02-09-17 | Purdue v. Indiana +1.5 | Top | 69-64 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Indiana +1.5) My money is on the Hoosiers at home against in-state rival Purdue on Thursday. Indiana is 13-2 at home this season and are desperate for a win here after losing 3 of their last 4. The Boilermakers are well respected and have won 5 of 6, but have had their struggles on the road, losing to the likes of Iowa and Nebraska away from home. They also have mere 1-point wins at Maryland and Ohio State. Part of the Hoosiers problems of late has been injuries, but they are likely to get a key piece back in James Blackmon Jr. Either way I like Indiana in this spot, as they are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 home games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games after playing their previous game on the road. Give me the Hoosiers +1.5! |
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02-08-17 | California v. Arizona State OVER 148.5 | 68-43 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Late Night Total Crusher (OVER 148.5) I'm expecting a much higher-scoring game than what the books are anticipating with this total. The average combined score in Arizona State's 11 home games this season is 171.5, as the Sun Devils are scoring 90.0 ppg and allowing 81.5 ppg. No surprise the OVER is 8-2-1 in those 11 games. Cal is a strong defensive team, allowing just 63.1 ppg on the season, but aren't nearly as strong on the road, where they give up just under 70 ppg. Cal should have no problem scoring 75+ here against the Bears, in fact, I think both teams eclipse that mark, which puts us over the total. OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams at Arizona State. OVER is also 9-2 in the Sun Devils' 11 conference games and 10-3 this season when listed as a dog. Give me the OVER 148.5! |
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02-08-17 | DePaul +15 v. Xavier | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (DePaul +15) I'm going to take the points here with the Blue Demons against the Musketeers. This is a great spot to go against Xavier as a big favorite. The Musketeers have won 3 straight with the most recent being a win on the road against a ranked Creighton team. Will be hard for them to give DePaul their full attention with a massive home game looming on deck against Villanova, which they essentially have to win if they want a realistic shot at winning the Big East regular season title. I don't think the Blue Demons can pull off the upset, but I think they can keep it close enough to cash. Give me DePaul +15! |
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02-07-17 | Butler +1.5 v. Marquette | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Butler +1.5) Butler is worth a look here as an underdog at Marquette. The Bulldogs beat the Golden Flashes at home earlier this season, turning an 18-point deficit at the half into a 8-point win. That slow start in the first meeting will keep Butler from looking past Marquette in the rematch. I also like that the Bulldogs are coming into this game highly motivated off 2 straight losses and haven't played in a week. Butler is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 with a line of +3 to -3 and 27-12 ATS in their last 39 road games when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest. Give me the Bulldogs +1.5! |
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02-07-17 | Syracuse v. Clemson -4 | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clemson -4) The Tigers are worth a look here at home against Syracuse. It's been a disappointing run for Clemson in ACC play. Just after they win two straight, they go on the road and get embarrassed in a 61-109 loss at Florida State. when ever a team loses like that, I look for them to bounce back in their next game, especially if it's at home. NC State has played much better at home in the ACC and I think they are in a prime spot to knock off an over-confident Orange team that has won 4 straight and fresh off a thrilling 66-62 come from behind win over Virginia at home. Syracuse is a mere 1-7 on the road this season and the lone win came in overtime. Orange are only 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games when they have won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Clemson is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games after trailing by 15 or more at the half in their last game. Give me the Tigers -4! |
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02-05-17 | Colorado v. California -6.5 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (California -6.5) I'll take the Golden Bears to not only win but win big at home against the Buffaloes. Cal comes in having won 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall, but just don't get a ton of love playing in the same conference as Oregon, Arizona and UCLA. Colorado has won 3 straight, but only one of those was on the road and that was at Stanford, which isn't anything to get excited about. It's the Buffaloes' only win away from home in conference play. Cal is 13-2 at home and last year rolled Colorado by 14 at home as a 7.5-point favorite. Buffaloes are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 after winning 3 of their last 4, while Cal is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after 3 straight conference wins. Give me the Golden Bears -6.5! |
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02-04-17 | Illinois State +11.5 v. Wichita State | 45-86 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational Oddsmakers Error (Illinois St +11.5) You wouldn't think by this line that Illinois State is sitting on top the MVC with a perfect 11-0 record and have already beat the Shockers 76-62 at home this season. The big spread here is a result of the Redbirds losing a key contributor in MiKyle McIntosh. While Illinois State isn't as good without him, there's still a lot of talent on this roster. I don't think it's out of the question that they can win this game outright. I just don't think this line would be this high if it wasn't for the name recognition of Wichita State. Give me the Redbirds +11.5! |
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02-04-17 | Utah -2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Year (Utah -2.5) Looking at these two teams, there's no doubt which one is the more talented team. It's not even close. Utah is a legit NCAA Tournament team and one of the better teams in the country. The only reason this line isn't more, is because the Utes have a horrible history playing at Stanford. All streaks aren't bound to come to an end at some points and this is the perfect storm for Utah to get that elusive win at Stanford. The Cardinal are a mere 3-7 in the Pac-12 and the 3 wins have all come against the bottom feeders in Washington St, Washington and Oregon State. Not only do I think the Utes win here and cover, but I'm expecting a blowout. Give me Utah -2.5! |
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02-04-17 | Arizona v. Oregon -3 | 58-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Knockout (Oregon -3) Arizona is sitting at #5 and Oregon is back at #13, which I believe is creating the value here with the Ducks a short home favorite. Oregon is every bit as good as the Wildcats and are simply not getting the respect the deserve at home, where they are a perfect 14-0 this season. I also really like how the Ducks matchup here. Note that Arizona is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after 15+ games against teams that shoot 45% or better from the field and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 after 15+ games against teams who are outrebounding opponents by 4+ rebounds/game. Oregon is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 off a home win conference win and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games off a close home win by 3-points or less. Give me the Ducks -3! |
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02-04-17 | Kansas State +8 v. Baylor | 56-54 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Blowout (K-State +8) The Wildcats are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Bears. I look for Baylor to come out a bit flat here after that crushing loss at Kansas on Wednesday. Kansas State on the other hand is going to be all business. The Wildcats are desperate for a win here after losing their last 3 and will also be out for revenge from a home loss to the Bears. Keep in mind K-State was favored at home and are now a 8-point dog. That's a huge swing and I don't think it's warranted. Baylor is just 4-13 ATS at home in their last 17 when playing only their 2nd game in a week and K-State is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games with a total of 130 to 139.5 and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after playing their previous two games as a favorite. Give me the Wildcats +8! |
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02-02-17 | Gonzaga v. BYU UNDER 161 | Top | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
50* NCAAB West Coast Game of the Month (Under 161) There's a lot of bad defensive teams in the WCC and I think it has the offensive numbers a bit inflated for both of these teams, which in turn has created some great value here on the UNDER with this total in the 160's. These two teams aren't big fans of each other and both will bring the defensive intensity in a nationally televised game on ESPN2. Gonzaga is only giving up 61.4 ppg and BYU is allowing a modest 72.7 ppg. SO while both teams average 80+ ppg, I think this one stays in the low 150s. Give me the UNDER 161! |
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02-02-17 | Memphis University -14.5 v. South Florida | 85-75 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Knockout (Memphis -14.5) Most will have trouble laying this big number on Memphis, as these two teams recently played in Memphis and the Tigers only won by a final of 62-56. That wasn't a great spot for the Tigers, coming off an ugly loss at Tulsa and USF being a team that really doesn't get you excited to play. I think Memphis will take this meeting a little more seriously and win here by 20+ points. USF is awful and just lost at Cincinnati by 41 and there's really nothing to get excited about with this team. Memphis was a double-digit favorite at Tulane (-11) and delivered in a 80-59 win. I expect a similar outcome here. Give me the Tigers -14.5! |
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02-01-17 | Cincinnati v. Tulsa +10 | 57-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational Dog of the Day (Tulsa +10) I don't think the Golden Hurricane are getting near the respect they deserve here against the Bearcats. A big reason for that is the fact that Cincinnati comes in off 12 straight wins and are a perfect 8-0 in the AAC. Not to mention they are getting all kinds of love from their last two games, which saw them rally to beat Xavier at home 86-78 and follow it up with a 41 point win at home over USF. I think it has the Bearcats very vulnerable here on the road against a talented Tulsa team that is 8-2 at home and 6-2 in the AAC. Give me the Golden Hurricane +10! |
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02-01-17 | Texas Tech v. Texas -1 | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Texas -1) The Longhorns are worth a look here at home against in-state rival Texas Tech. The Longhorns are 8-13 overall, but if you have watched this team play, you know they are much better than their record would indicate. The biggest problem for Texas has been closing out games, but I have seen some improvement in that area of late. The Red Raiders are just 2-5 on the road and have not won a road game in Big 12 play. All 8 of the Longhorn's wins have come at home and I think they add to that total with a convincing win here. Give me Texas -1! |
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02-01-17 | Villanova v. Providence +10 | Top | 66-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Providence +10) The Friars are worth a look here as a double-digit home dog against No. 4 Villanova. There's no question this line is inflated because of Villanova. I'll gladly take my chances here with Providence at home off an impressive 79-78 win at Marquette. The Friars believe they can win this game and they hung with the Wildcats on the road, losing 68-78 at Villanova back on 1/21. I also think this is a tough spot for the Wildcats off that crazy win at home over Virginia on Sunday. An outright win isn't out of the question, but I really like Providence to keep this within single-digits, as they are 12-2 ATS when revenging a road loss. Give me the Friars +10! |
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01-31-17 | West Virginia v. Iowa State +3 | Top | 85-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Month (Iowa State +3) The Cyclones are 8-2 at home this season and I believe they have the perfect answer to West Virginia full court pressure. That's talented point guard Monte Morris, who rarely gives the ball away. In fact, Morris has committed only 23 turnovers on the season. The other big key here is the Mountaineers pressure isn't the same on the road as it is at home. I look for Iowa State to feed off what is going to be electric crowd that loves nothing more than having a Top 10 team come to Hilton. Cyclones come to play against top teams and are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 against a team with a winning record. Give me Iowa State +3! |
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01-31-17 | Creighton v. Butler -6 | 76-67 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Butler -6) It's been a rough go of things for Creighton since they loss Mo Watson Jr. They lost 94-102 at home to Marquette and the 51-71 at Georgetown. They were able to bounce back with a 83-66 blowout win over DePaul, but that's a team that is 1-7 in Big East play. What it did was keep this line from being to high and created some value with Butler, who is the far superior team with Watson sidelined. The Bulldogs are also going to be a hungry group, as they just lost 81-85 at home as a 8.5-point favorite against Georgetown. Give me Butler -6! |
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01-29-17 | Purdue v. Nebraska +9 | Top | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nebraska +9) The Cornhuskers are worth a look here as a near double-digit home dog. Nebraska is way undervalued right now, as they come in having lost 5 straight. This is still a team that won at both Maryland and Indiana and could easily have a couple more wins. Purdue has won 3 straight and are off a huge win on the road at Michigan State, which I believe has them ripe for the picking here. Best part is we don't nee the Cornhuskers to win outright, just keep it respectable. I believe they can do just that and wouldn't be shocked at all if they won. Give me the Cornhuskers +9! |
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01-28-17 | Texas +5.5 v. Georgia | 57-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Oddsmakers Error (Texas +5.5) The Longhorns are fighting there way through a difficult season, but they are no where near as bad as their 8-12 record would lead on. The problem for Texas has been their inability to close out games. However, they did just that in their last game, taking down Oklahoma 84-83 at home. I don't know that they will need to close out this one, as they could have a big lead against a Georgia team that I don't think is all that great. The Bulldogs just lost by 20 at home to Alabama. Same team Texas beat by 7 in non-conference play. I think the Longhorns win this game outright, but I'll gladly take the points as insurance. Give me Texas +5.5! |
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01-28-17 | Maryland v. Minnesota -4.5 | Top | 85-78 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
50* Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Minnesota -4.5) The Terrapins come in having won 5 straight and are ranked No. 22 in the country, while Minnesota is unranked and comes in having lost 4 straight, yet the Gophers are a decent 4.5-point favorite here. The books are begging for action on Maryland and the public is following suit. I think the value here is with Minnesota, who is a lot better than their record of late would lead on and I'm not sold on the Terrapins being as good as people think. Give me the Gophers -4.5! |
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01-28-17 | Florida -2.5 v. Oklahoma | 84-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Florida -2.5) I'll take my chances with the Gators as a short road favorite against the Sooners. Florida is one of the few elite teams in the SEC and Oklahoma is just middle of the pack in the Big 12. The Gators have proven themselves against some good teams outside the conference, playing Gonzaga, Duke and Florida State all tough. The Sooners on the other hand lost to Auburn on a neutral court and the Tigers are middle of the back at best in the SEC. They also got destroyed by 20 at Wisconsin and lost to a Clemson team that's got one win in ACC play. Give me the Gators -2.5! |
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01-28-17 | Clemson -2 v. Pittsburgh | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Shocker (Clemson -2) I'm strictly playing the odds here. Clemson comes into this game having lost 6 straight both straight up and against the spread, yet are a road favorite against a Pittsburgh team that despite their recent struggles has some decent wins on their resume. Both teams are better than what they have shown of late, but my more here is on the Tigers, who I feel has played the tougher schedule in the ACC to this point. Give me Clemson -2! |
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01-26-17 | Indiana v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 60-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan -3.5) The Wolverines are showing some great value here as a short home favorite against Indiana. Michigan is 11-2 at home this season and have really started to come on strong of late. Sandwiched between two comfortable wins at hime over Nebraska and Illinois, was a mere 4-point loss at Wisconsin as a 10.5-point dog. Indiana has won 3 straight, but only one of them came on the road and that was by just 3-points against the likes of Penn State. The Hoosiers simply aren't as good as what they were made out to be and are dealing with some big injuries right now. OG Anunoby was lost for the season on 1/20 and Juwan Morgan is questionable with a foot injury. Give me Michigan -3.5! |
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01-26-17 | Nebraska +8.5 v. Northwestern | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nebraska +8.5) The Cornhuskers are worth a look here as a decently priced dog against Northwestern. Nebraska will be out for revenge from a 8-point loss at home to the Wildcats earlier this month, plus they want to snap a 4-game losing streak. Something they have been close to doing in each of their last two games, falling 66-67 to Ohio State and 64-65 at Rutgers. While Nebraska is undervalued after a 4-game slide, Northwestern is overvalued after 4 straight wins. I just think these are two more evenly matched teams than this spread would suggest. Give me the Cornhuskers +8.5! |
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01-25-17 | Connecticut -7 v. South Florida | 81-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS Knockout (Connecticut -7) This might seem like a big number for UConn to be laying on the road, but I think they have no problem covering this number. The Huskies have been playing much better of late, but are just 3-6 in their last 9. Each of their last 4 losses came on the road against quality teams in SMU, Georgetown, Memphis and Tulsa. In between those were impressive home wins over UCF (64-49) and Temple (73-59). Now I know this one is away from home, but South Florida doesn't have much of a home court edge and we have already seen the Bulls lose by 15 at home to Tulane. They also just lost by 12 at home to Tulsa. USF is just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 as a home underdog and just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games when playing only the 2nd game in a week span. Give m the Huskies -7! |
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01-25-17 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +10.5 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Dog of the Day (Georgia Tech +10.5) The Yellow Jackets have been up and down this season. The best of example of that, is they knock off North Carolina at home 75-63 as a 17-point dog and then go on the road and lose 67-110 at Duke. They lose by 15 at home to Louisville, rebound with wins at home over Clemson and at NC State. Last time out they got beat pretty bad in a 49-62 loss at Virginia and most are going to just assume FSU rolls them here, but I think this is a prime spot for the Yellow Jackets to poentially pull off an upset. The Seminoles just got done playing a brutal 4-game stretch, where they hosted Duke, were at UNC and then returned home for games against Notre Dame and Louisville. I just don't see a max effort here from FSU. Give me the Yellow Jackets +10.5! |
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01-25-17 | St. John's v. Providence -7 | 91-86 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Blowout (Providence -7) The Friars are worth a look here in a big bounce back spot at home. Providence went on the road and gave Villanova all they could handle in a 10-point loss. Now they are back on their home floor, where they have gone 11-1 this season and will face a St. John's team that hasn't been competitive of late. The Red Storm come in off a 13-point loss at Seton Hall, which is the 5th time in their last 6 games they have lost by 10 or more. The only exception coming at home against a bad DePaul team. I look for the Friars to jump out to a big lead early and cruise to a comfortable win and cover int his one. Give me Providence -7! |
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01-24-17 | Kansas State v. Iowa State -3.5 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Iowa State -3.5) Hilton Coliseum is no easy place for opposing teams to play and this Cyclones team is desperate for wins right now, as they still need to beef up that resume to make the NCAA Tournament. Kansas State is getting way too much respect here against a hungry and motivated ISU team and I think the Cyclones could turn this into a blowout. Give me Iowa State -3.5! |
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01-24-17 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse -3 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Syracuse -3) The Orange are with a look here as a short home favorite against the Demon Deacons. Syracuse comes into this one off back to back losses at North Carolina and Notre Dame. Those are two elite teams that rarely lose at home. Wake on the other hand comes in off a 93-88 win at home over NC State, but they caught the Wolfpack looking ahead to Duke. Prior to the losses, Syracuse had really been playing a lot better basketball. They had won by 15 at home over Miami and 11 over Pittsburgh. Now it's Wake that has Duke looming next on their schedule. Give me the Orange -3! |
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01-24-17 | Purdue v. Michigan State +2.5 | Top | 84-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan State +2.5) I believe the books have the wrong team favored in this one. Michigan State comes in having lost 2 straight and 3 of their last 4, but all 3 of those losses came with the Spartans playing away from their home court. Michigan State is 9-1 at home and I expect them to take down the Boilermakers here. Purdue comes in off back-to-back blowout wins at home over Illinois and Penn State, which has them way overvalued here. Keep in mind this is a team that just recently lost at Iowa and that was a team they had beat at home by 20+. Give me the Spartans +2.5! |
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01-23-17 | Oklahoma v. Texas -2 | 83-84 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Texas -2) I'm willing to lay this short number on the Longhorns at home against the Sooners. It's no secret that these two programs don't like each other and I look for Texas to lay it all on the line here, as they try and snap a 5-game losing streak. The thing with the Longhorns is they aren't playing nearly as bad as their record would indicate. They simply have struggled to close out games against the top level teams. Oklahoma had a huge upset win at West Virginia, but then turned around and lost at home to Iowa State and are just 2-8 in their last 10. This is a great spot for Texas to get back in the win column and wouldn't be shocked if they did so in blowout fashion. Give me the Longhorns -2! |
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01-22-17 | Virginia Tech v. Clemson -5.5 | 82-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Clemson -5.5) This Clemson team is too talented to be riding a 5-game conference losing streak. The Tigers hit rock bottom lat time out, getting crushed by 32-points at Louisville. This is do or die situation for Clemson and I expect them to answer at home. The Tigers are 0-2 at home in ACC play, but have also had to host both UNC and Virginia. They were competitive in both, losing by 3-points to UNC and just 4-points to Virginia. Virginia Tech is a decent team, but not on the same level as those two and we have already seen the Hokies lose by 15 at FSU and 26 at NC State. This game means too much to Clemson and I just don't see the Hokies being able to match that intensity. Give me the Tigers -5.5! |
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01-21-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +4 | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Dog of the Day (Minnesota +4) The Gophers aren't getting near enough respect here at home against the Badgers. Minnesota is just 3-3 in Big Ten Play, but they have a 1-point loss at home to Michigan State and 2-point defeat at Penn State. This is a team that has already won on the road at Purdue and Northwestern, while also beating Ohio State at home by 10. Wisconsin is a great team, but we have seen them lose on the road. In fact, last time they played a true road game, they fell 55-66 at Purdue. I just think this game means a lot more to Minnesota and they are certainly talented enough to win this game outright on their home floor. Give me the Gophers +4! |
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01-21-17 | Colorado v. Washington State OVER 142 | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Total Crusher (OVER 142) The books have missed the mark on the total for this one. I'm expecting to see a lot of scoring here this afternoon when the Buffaloes take on the Cougars. Both of these teams are capable of putting up a big number offensively, but the real key is how these two struggle on the defensive side of the ball. Colorado is giving up 74.9 ppg on the road. Washington State is allowing 74.0 ppg. Last year the two regular season meetings both were high scoring, including a 169 points in a 88-81 Colorado win on 2/11/16. Give me the OVER 142! |
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01-21-17 | Arizona v. UCLA -5.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Month (UCLA -5.5) I believe the Bruins are the best team in the country and I got no problem laying this number with them on their home floor against a team like Arizona. While the Wildcats are a top level team, they are not on the same level as UCLA. This is a statement game for the Bruins and while Arizona has won all 3 road games in Pac-12 play, I believe that's helping us keep this number from being closer to 7-8 points. Give me UCLA -5.5! |
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01-19-17 | Stanford v. Oregon State +5 | 62-46 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Late Night ATS Bailout (Oregon State +5) I'm backing the Beavers as a home dog against the Cardinal. Oregon State comes in having lost 5 straight, all of which have come in Pac-12 play. I look for the Beavers to come out highly motivated to get their first conference win of the season and I believe Stanford is a great opponent for them to just that. There's a good chance the Cardinal will be without their top scorer and best player in Reid Travis, plus they aren't nearly as good on the road as they are at home (not a very good team in general). This is also a tough spot for Stanford, as they have a much bigger game on deck at Oregon on Saturday. I'll take the points, but I think Oregon State wins here outright. Give me the Beavers +5! |
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01-19-17 | Arizona v. USC +3 | Top | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (USC +3) I'm backing the Trojans as a home dog against the Wildcats. These two teams come in with near identical records, as Arizona is 16-2 and USC is 16-3. I believe the value is clearly with the home team catching points in this one, as the Trojans are simply undervalued right now due to having gone just 2-8 ATS in their last 10. Wildcats are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 after 15 or more games when facing a team that is holding opponents to a 42% or worse shooting percentage and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after 15+ games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game. Give me the Trojans +3! |
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01-18-17 | Ohio State v. Nebraska -1 | 67-66 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nebraska -1) I'm backing the Cornhuskers here at home against the Buckeyes. Nebraska is in a prime bounce back spot after 2 straight losses and I like what I have seen from this team. Ohio State comes in off a big win over the Spartans, but are a mere 1-4 in Big Ten play and 1-5 on the road this season. I look for Nebraska to not only win here, but to do so comfortable. Cornhuskers are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 home games off a loss by 6 or less and 32-16 ATS in their last 48 off a cover where they lost straight up. Give me the Cornhuskers -1! |
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01-18-17 | Notre Dame v. Florida State -5.5 | Top | 80-83 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ACC Game of the Month (Florida State -5.5) I'm taking the Seminoles at home against the Fighting Irish at what I feel is a great price. Notre Dame is a good team and have started out 5-0 in ACC play, but have been very fortunate to come away with wins in their 3 road games, beating Pitt 78-77, Miami 67-62 and Virginia Tech 76-71. This will be by far the most challenging road game to date and it certainly doesn't help matters that the Irish are playing their 3rd straight on the road in a span of just 7 days. Florida State is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after a loss at North Carolina and I look for them to dominate in this one. Give me the Seminoles -5.5! |
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01-17-17 | Michigan +10.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan +10.5) I like this spot for the Wolverines as a double-digit dog against the Badgers. It's no secret that Wisconsin is one of the top team in the Big Ten and that Michigan has struggled early on in conference play. The Wolverines are coming off a much-needed 91-85 win at home against Nebraska and I expect a huge effort here on the road against the Badgers. Wisconsin on the other hand could struggle here, as they have to be feeling pretty good about themselves off a 23-point win over Ohio State and given Michigan's recent struggles they don't exactly look like a dangerous opponent. An outright win isn't likely, but it's not out of the question. I see this one coming right down to the wire. Give me the Wolverines +10.5! |
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01-17-17 | Texas v. Baylor -13.5 | 64-74 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Baylor -13.5) I expect Baylor to win big at home here against the Longhorns. The Bears weren't deserving of being ranked No. 1 in the country, but they are an elite team that is extremely difficult to beat at home. Baylor is a perfect 10-0 at home and will be taking on a Texas team that has yet to win on the road (0-6). Making matters even worse for the Longhorns, is the suspension of leading scorer Tevin Mack (14.8 ppg). No one else averages more than 11.6 ppg. Mack is also by far their best 3-point shooter. He was hitting 39% with 34 made 3-pointers. No else on the team has more than 20 made 3-pointers. This is also a tough spot for Texas off a crushing 72-74 home loss to West Virginia last time out. I think this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me Baylor -13.5! |
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01-16-17 | Syracuse +14.5 v. North Carolina | 68-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Syracuse +14.5) I like the value here with the Orange as a big dog against the Tar Heels on Monday. Syracuse has been playing much better of late and are certainly going to be up for this one. UNC on the other hand could find this one a bit hard to get up for, as they just played a huge game at home against a very good Florida State team and escaped with a 76-53 win. The Tar Heels are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 off a home win by 10 or more and 0-8 ATS in this spot when that win was against a conference rival. Syracuse on the other hand is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games off a blowout win by 20 or more over a conference opponent. Give me the Orange +14.5! |
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01-14-17 | Iowa State v. TCU -1 | 77-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (TCU -1) I've been impressed with what I have seen from this Horned Frogs team and they simply aren't getting the respect they deserve with a 13-3 record. They are 2-2 in Big 12 play with their 2 losses coming in a close game at home vs Kansas and the other on the road at WV, where they lost by just 12 as a 13.5-point dog. Iowa State has won 2 straight and 5 of 6, plus are off a big 10-point win at Oklahoma State. It has the Cyclones way overvalued in this spot. ISU not only has the difficult task of playing their 2nd road game in 4 days, but they have a massive lookahead game on deck, as they are set to host Kansas on Monday. Give me TCU -1! |
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01-14-17 | West Virginia v. Texas +10.5 | 74-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational Dog of the Day (Texas +10.5) I think the books have set this line way too high. This is not an easy spot for the Mountaineers, who are coming off that huge win at home over then No. 1 Baylor. This Longhorns team isn't as talented as West Virginia, but homecourt is huge in conference play, especially in the Power 5 conferences. While Texas is just 1-3 in Big 12 play, they have been competitive, losing by just 3 at Kansas State, 9 at Iowa State and 3 at home to TCU. A big key here is the Mountaineers pressure style isn't as good on the road as it is at home. I expect a close game throughout and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Texas pulled off the upset. Give me the Longhorns +10.5! |
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01-14-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Pittsburgh -2.5 | 72-46 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Early Bird Blockbuster ATS Blowout (Pittsburgh -2.5) I'll gladly take the Panthers as a short home favorite against the Hurricanes. Miami is a young team that doesn't play well on the road. Their only Power 5 win in a true road game or on a neutral site was against a bad Stanford team. They lost by 17 to ISU and 9 to Florida on neutral sites and just recently were annihilated in a 15-points loss at Syracuse. They also just lost a heartbreaker at home to Notre Dame. Pitt also comes in off back-to-back loss, but both of those came on the road. The Panthers are going to be desperate for a win here after a 1-3 start to ACC play and are 9-1 at home, which includes an impressive 12-point win over an elite Virginia team. Give me Pittsburgh -2.5! |
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01-14-17 | Seton Hall v. Providence +2 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big East Game of the Month (Providence +2) I think the books have made a big mistake here with this line. The Friars are 10-1 at home with their only loss coming to one of the best teams in the country in Creighton. They were just a 5.5-point dog to the Bluejays at home and now are only 3.5-points less against Seton Hall. No way are the Pirates just 3.5-points worse than Creighton. In fact, this is a horrible spot for Seton Hall, playing their 2nd road game in just 4 days and off a heartbreaking overtime loss at Marquette. I just don't think the Pirates are nearly as good as this line would suggest and wouldn't be surprised if Providence won this one going away. Give me the Friars +2! |